Occult Hepatitis B Virus Infection and Liver Fibrosis in Chinese Patients

BACKGROUND

The impact of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg)-negative/hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA-positive occult HBV infection (OBI) on the severity of liver fibrosis remains unclear.

METHODS

A total of 1772 patients negative for HBsAg but positive for antibody to hepatitis B core antigen (HBcAg), stratified by the presence or absence of OBI, were selected for long-term carriage leading to elevation of ≥2 of 4 liver fibrosis indexes-hyaluronic acid (HA), laminin, type III procollagen peptide (PCIII), and type IV collagen (CIV)-at testing in a Chinese hospital. Patients were tested for serum viral load, HBV markers, and histopathological changes in liver biopsy specimens.

RESULTS

OBI was identified in 148 patients with liver fibrosis (8.4%), who had significantly higher levels of HA, laminin, PCIII, and CIV than 1624 fibrotic patients without OBI (P < .05). In 36 patients with OBI who underwent liver biopsy, significant correlations were observed between OBI viral load and serum HA levels (P = .01), PCIII levels (P = .01), and pathological histological activity index (HAI) scores (P < .001), respectively; HAI scores and PCIII levels (P = .04); HBcAg immunohistochemical scores and HA levels (P < .001); and HBcAg immunohistochemical scores and PCIII levels (P = .03). Positive fluorescent in situ hybridization results were significantly more frequent in patients with OBIs (80.6% vs 37.5% in those without OBIs). Among patients with OBIs, HBcAg was detected in the liver tissue in 52.8% and HBsAg in 5.6%.

CONCLUSIONS

OBI status appears to be associated with liver fibrosis severity.

Progression of fibrosis in liver transplant recipients with hepatitis C before and after sustained virologic response

BACKGROUND

Liver transplant (LT) recipients with untreated hepatitis C (HCV) are at risk for cirrhosis graft failure. The advent of direct acting antiviral agents (DAA) has improved outcomes in HCV.

AIMS

We aim to examine liver transplant outcomes and allograft fibrosis development/progression after sustained virologic response (SVR).

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of 226 consecutive liver transplant recipients with HCV from 2007 to 2018. The cohort was split into transplants pre (Group A) and post (Group B) 2014 to reflect the introduction of DAAs. Fibrosis was monitored with liver biopsy and non-invasive imaging.

RESULTS

Group B had significantly improved HCV treatment rates and earlier SVR compared to Group A, with a cumulative incidence rate of SVR at 2 years of 86.7% versus 15.4% (HR = .11, p < .001). Prior to achieving SVR, Group A demonstrated worsening of fibrosis stage per year (+.21, p < .001) whereas Group B showed minimal change on protocol annual biopsy (-.02, p = .80). After SVR, most patients were followed non-invasively and demonstrated stable or improved fibrosis stage over time. Patients undergoing transient elastography showed regression in fibrosis stage per year (-.19, p < .001).

CONCLUSION

HCV patients undergoing LT after 2014 had higher rates of SVR and improved clinically relevant transplant outcomes, namely less graft loss and death relating to HCV. Fibrosis progression halted or improved after SVR in both cohorts, suggesting that LT recipients with SVR do not require fibrosis monitoring even with established fibrosis prior to SVR.

A continuous-time Markov chain model of fibrosis progression in NAFLD and NASH

The specific pathways, timescales, and dynamics driving the progression of fibrosis in NAFLD and NASH are not yet fully understood. Hence, a mechanistic model of the pathogenesis and treatment of fibrosis in NASH will necessarily have significant uncertainties. The rate of fibrosis progression and the heterogeneity of pathogenesis across patients are not thoroughly quantified. To address this problem, we have developed a continuous-time Markov chain model that is able to capture the heterogeneity of fibrosis progression observed in the clinic. We estimated the average time of disease progression through various stages of fibrosis using seven published clinical studies involving paired liver biopsies. Sensitivity analysis revealed therapeutic intervention at stage F1 or stage F2 results in greatest potential improvement in the average fibrosis scores for a typical patient cohort distribution. These results were in good agreement with a retrospective analysis of placebo-controlled pioglitazone clinical trials for the treatment of NAFLD and NASH. This model provides support for determining patient populations, duration, and potential successful endpoints for clinical trial design in the area of NAFLD and NASH.

A review of hepatic fibrosis-associated histopathology in aged cadavers

This article reviews hepatic fibrosis-associated histopathology of aged cadavers (mean age 82 years). A study of 68 livers identified steatosis in 35.5%, central vein fibrosis in 49.2%, perisinusoidal fibrosis in 63.2%, portal tract fibrosis in 47.7%, septa formation in 44.1%, bridging fibrosis in 30.8%, and cirrhosis in 4.4% of the samples as well as one hepatocellular carcinoma and six metastatic tumors. Other studies have revealed that collagens I, III, IV, V, and VI and fibronectin constitute the matrices of fibrous central veins, perisinusoidal space, portal tracts, and septa. Elastin is rich in portal tracts and fibrous septa but absent from the perisinusoidal space. Hepatic stellate cells are ubiquitous in the liver parenchyma while myofibroblasts localize in fibrotic foci. Factor VIII-related antigen expression signals sinusoidal to systemic vascular endothelium transformation while collagen IV and laminin codistribution indicates formation of perisinusoidal membranes. Their coincidence reflects focalized capillarization of sinusoids in the aged liver. In response to fibrogenesis, hepatic progenitor cells residing in the canal of Hering in the periportal parenchyma undergo expansion and migration deep into the lobule. Concomitantly, intermediate hepatocyte-like cells increase in advanced fibrosis stages, which is possibly related to hepatic regeneration. Metabolic zonation of glutamine synthetase expands from the perivenous to non-perivenous parenchyma in fibrosis progression but its expression is lost in cirrhosis, while cytochrome P-4502E1 expression is maintained in centrilobular and midlobular zones in fibrosis progression and expressed in cirrhosis. Hence, cadaveric livers provide a platform for further investigation of hepatic histopathologies associated with the aging liver.

PNPLA3 and IL 28B signature for predicting susceptibility to chronic hepatitis C infection and fibrosis progression

BACKGROUND

Association studies identified genetic polymorphisms as predictive risk factors of rapid fibrosis progression in chronic hepatitis C (CHC). This study aims to assess the impact of IL28B rs8099917 polymorphism on CHC genotype 4 (G4) susceptibility and liver fibrosis progression individually; and in combination with PNPLA3 rs738409.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

IL28B rs8099917 and PNPLA3 rs738409 were genotyped in 150 Egyptian CHC patients and 175 healthy controls using real-time PCR.

RESULTS

IL28B rs8099917 genotype distribution significantly differs in healthy individuals versus CHC patients (p = .018); and in low versus advanced fibrosis IL28B (p = .013). The haplotype CC -GG (PNPLA3-IL28B) is considered a high-risk signature for susceptibility to CHC infection. Similarly, GG-GG (PNPLA3-IL28B) is considered a high-risk signature for higher degree of fibrosis.

CONCLUSION

IL28B rs8099917 and PNPLA3 rs738409 introduce genetic signature to identify patients at higher risk for CHC susceptibility and fibrosis progression in CHC G4.

Natural history of hepatitis C virus infection in a large national seroconversion cohort in the direct-acting antiviral agent era: Results from ERCHIVES

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) natural history studies are limited by not knowing the time of infection, small numbers and non-representative populations. No studies are available from the direct-acting antiviral agents (DAA) era. We created the largest known cohort of persons with HCV with a known window of seroconversion in the DAA era. We compared the annual cumulative incident events and incidence rate/1000 person-years of follow-up for liver cirrhosis, hepatic decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and mortality from the time of seroconversion among untreated and those treated and attaining a sustained virologic response (SVR). Among 12,881 persons in the final analyses, 10,417 had never been treated for HCV, 2464 (23.6%) were treated with a DAA regimen and 1836 (74.5%) attained SVR. After 9 years of follow-up, cirrhosis was diagnosed in 17.4% of untreated and 13.6% of the SVR group. Overall, 29.5% in the untreated versus 3.5% in the SVR group died. Incidence rates/1000 person-years of follow-up (95% CI) for untreated versus SVR group were 22.7 (21.6, 23.9) versus 19.5 (17.0, 21.9) for cirrhosis (p = 0.03), 0.1 (0.03, 0.2) versus 0.07 (-0.07, 0.2) for HCC (p = 0.74) and 35.4 (34.0, 36.8) versus 4.53 (3.4, 5.7) for mortality (p < 0.0001). After excluding those with alcohol-related diagnoses at baseline, the difference in cirrhosis was not statistically significant. Cirrhosis and mortality occur early and steadily increase over the first decade after acquiring HCV infection, while HCC is rarely observed. Those treated with a DAA regimen have sharply lower cirrhosis and mortality rates, particularly among those without alcohol abuse or dependence.

Liver Fibrosis Progression and Mortality in Hepatitis B- and C-Coinfected Persons Treated With Directly Acting Antiviral Agents: Results From ERCHIVES

For persons with baseline Fibrosis-4 1.46-3.25, cirrhosis incidence/1000 patient-years was 49.3 among hepatitis B virus (HBV)/hepatitis C virus (HCV) coinfected and 18.2 among HCV monoinfected (P = .03). Cirrhosis risk was numerically higher but statistically nonsignificant among HBV/HCV coinfected (hazards ratio [HR] 1.51; 95% confidence intervals [CI], .37-6.05) but lower among those who attained sustained virologic response (HR, .52; 95% CI, .42-.63).

Effect of Chronic Western Diets on Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver of Male Mice Modifying the PPAR-γ Pathway via miR-27b-5p Regulation

Western diets contribute to metabolic diseases. However, the effects of various diets and epigenetic mechanisms are mostly unknown. Here, six week-old C57BL/6J male and female mice were fed with a low-fat diet (LFD), high-fat diet (HFD), and high-fat high-fructose diet (HFD-HF) for 20 weeks. We determined that HFD-HF or HFD mice experienced significant metabolic dysregulation compared to the LFD. HFD-HF and HFD-fed male mice showed significantly increased body weight, liver size, and fasting glucose levels with downregulated PPARγ, SCD1, and FAS protein expression. In contrast, female mice were less affected by HFD and HFD-HF. As miR-27b contains a seed sequence in PPARγ, it was discovered that these changes are accompanied by male-specific upregulation of miR-27b-5p, which is even more pronounced in the HFD-HF group (p < 0.01 vs. LFD) compared to the HFD group (p < 0.05 vs. LFD). Other miR-27 subtypes were increased but not significantly. HFD-HF showed insignificant changes in fibrosis markers when compared to LFD. Interestingly, fat ballooning in hepatocytes was increased in HFD-fed mice compared to HFD-HF fed mice, however, the HFD-HF liver showed an increase in the number of small cells. Here, we concluded that chronic Western diet-composition administered for 20 weeks may surpass the non-alcoholic fatty liver (NAFL) stage but may be at an intermediate stage between fatty liver and fibrosis via miR-27b-5p-induced PPARγ downregulation.

HIV-positive men who have sex with men are at high risk of development of significant liver fibrosis after an episode of acute hepatitis C

Acute hepatitis C virus infection remains a major health concern in human immunodeficiency virus(HIV)-infected men who have sex with men (MSM). New direct-acting antiviral agent (DAA) combination therapy has not yet been approved for the treatment for acute hepatitis C virus(HCV), thereby potentially causing deferral of HCV treatment. Therefore, we aimed to study the course of liver disease after an episode of acute HCV. This study is a retrospective single-centre cohort of HIV-positive MSM with acute HCV infection. Liver fibrosis was estimated by Fibroscan^® and Fibrotest^® . Liver-related and non-liver-related outcomes were documented. Overall 213 episodes of acute HCV infection in 178 men were documented. Median follow-up for all included patients was 38.7 months. Spontaneous HCV clearance was found in 10.8% of patients, which was significantly associated with older age, lower HCV RNA levels, and higher ALT levels upon initial acute HCV diagnosis. Treatment with interferon-based therapy was initiated in 86.3% of cases, resulting in a sustained virological response(SVR) rate of 70.7%. After 3 years' follow-up, significant liver fibrosis of METAVIR F2 stage or higher was found in 39.4% of patients after first acute HCV diagnosis. Higher age, physician-declared alcoholism, and nonresponse to acute HCV therapy were independently associated with higher fibrosis stages. Ten patients died during the observation period (IR 1.4/100 patient-years) and four during interferon treatment. Significant liver fibrosis is a common finding in HIV-positive MSM following acute HCV infection despite high treatment uptake and cure rates, suggesting the need for close liver disease monitoring particularly if HCV treatment is deferred.

Prediction of Fibrosis Progression Rate in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C Genotype 4: Role of Cirrhosis Risk Score and Host Factors

The rate of liver fibrosis progression in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients is highly variable and affected by different factors. This study aimed to assess the role of cirrhosis risk score (CRS) based on 7 genetic variants (7 single-nucleotide polymorphisms [SNPs]) and host factors (age and sex) in the prediction of the rate of fibrosis progression in CHC. Duration of infection was determined in 115 patients. The fibrosis progression rate (FPR) per year was calculated as the ratio between fibrosis stage and the duration of infection. SNP genotyping were performed and CRS was determined based on it. FPR was significantly elevated in patients who acquired infection at age >40 years versus those who acquired infection at 30-40 years and those who acquired infection at <30 years. Median FPR was significantly higher in males than females (0.17 vs. 0.15) with P = 0.001. CRS value ≥0.8 is predictive of patients with high risk for cirrhosis, and CRS value <0.5 is predictive of patients with low risk for cirrhosis. There was significant positive correlation between CRS and FPR (P ≤ 0.001). CRS based on 7 SNPs at cutoff value ≥0.8, age at infection >40 years, and male sex are predictors of higher FPR.

Why I do not treat patients for mild disease

The short-term prognosis of patients with chronic hepatitis C and mild disease is excellent. Monitoring of the progression of fibrosis is easy to perform with non-invasive tests. Current all-oral interferon (IFN)- and ribavirin (RBV)-free regimens offer sustained viral response (SVR) rates of more than 90% as well as 12-weeks of treatment for most patients with mild disease. Several DAA combinations can be selected to optimize efficacy and safety outcomes. A short treatment duration of 8 weeks could be indicated in most patients with mild disease. However, additional data from clinical trials and real-life experience are needed to confirm this option. Moreover, current regimens are not cost-effective for patients with mild disease. In practice, deferral of HCV treatment for a few years and monitoring the progression of fibrosis is a safe option until cheaper, shorter, more effective and more convenient HCV regimens become available.

Improvement of predictive models of risk of disease progression in chronic hepatitis C by incorporating longitudinal data

Existing predictive models of risk of disease progression in chronic hepatitis C have limited accuracy. The aim of this study was to improve upon existing models by applying novel statistical methods that incorporate longitudinal data. Patients in the Hepatitis C Antiviral Long-term Treatment Against Cirrhosis trial were analyzed. Outcomes of interest were (1) fibrosis progression (increase of two or more Ishak stages) and (2) liver-related clinical outcomes (liver-related death, hepatic decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplant, or increase in Child-Turcotte-Pugh score to ≥7). Predictors included longitudinal clinical, laboratory, and histologic data. Models were constructed using logistic regression and two machine learning methods (random forest and boosting) to predict an outcome in the next 12 months. The control arm was used as the training data set (n = 349 clinical, n = 184 fibrosis) and the interferon arm, for internal validation. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for longitudinal models of fibrosis progression was 0.78 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.74-0.83) using logistic regression, 0.79 (95% CI 0.77-0.81) using random forest, and 0.79 (95% CI 0.77-0.82) using boosting. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for longitudinal models of clinical progression was 0.79 (95% CI 0.77-0.82) using logistic regression, 0.86 (95% CI 0.85-0.87) using random forest, and 0.84 (95% CI 0.82-0.86) using boosting. Longitudinal models outperformed baseline models for both outcomes (P < 0.0001). Longitudinal machine learning models had negative predictive values of 94% for both outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Prediction models that incorporate longitudinal data can capture nonlinear disease progression in chronic hepatitis C and thus outperform baseline models. Machine learning methods can capture complex relationships between predictors and outcomes, yielding more accurate predictions; our models can help target costly therapies to patients with the most urgent need, guide the intensity of clinical monitoring required, and provide prognostic information to patients.

Systematic review: identifying patients with chronic hepatitis C in need of early treatment and intensive monitoring--predictors and predictive models of disease progression

BACKGROUND

Advances in hepatitis C therapies have led to increasing numbers of patients seeking treatment. As a result, logistical and financial concerns regarding how treatment can be provided to all patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) have emerged.

AIM

To evaluate predictors and predictive models of histological progression and clinical outcomes for patients with CHC.

METHODS

MEDLINE via PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and Scopus were searched for studies published between January 2003 and June 2014. Two authors independently reviewed articles to select eligible studies and performed data abstraction.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine studies representing 5817 patients from 20 unique cohorts were included. The outcome incidence rates were widely variable: 16-61% during median follow-up of 2.5-10 years for fibrosis progression; 13-40% over 2.3-14.4 years for hepatic decompensation and 8-47% over 3.9-14.4 years for overall mortality. Multivariate analyses showed that baseline steatosis and baseline fibrosis score were the most consistent predictors of fibrosis progression (significant in 6/21 and 5/21, studies, respectively) while baseline platelet count (significant in 6/13 studies), aspartate and alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT) ratio, albumin, bilirubin and age (each significant in 4/13 studies) were the most consistent predictors of clinical outcomes. Five studies developed predictive models but none were externally validated.

CONCLUSIONS

Our review identified the variables that most consistently predict outcomes of patients with chronic hepatitis C allowing the application of risk based approaches to identify patients in need of early treatment and intensive monitoring. This approach maximises effective use of resources and costly new direct-acting anti-viral agents.

Treatment failure may lead to accelerated fibrosis progression in patients with chronic hepatitis C

Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients with treatment failure (TF) remain at risk of continuing fibrosis progression. However, it has not been investigated whether there is an increased risk of accelerated fibrosis progression after failed interferon-based therapy. We aimed to investigate long-term influence of TF on fibrosis progression compared with untreated patients with CHC. We studied 125 patients with CHC who underwent paired liver biopsies from 1994 to 2012. Patients with advanced fibrosis were excluded from the analysis. Sixty-three patients had TF, and 62 patients were treatment-naïve (TN). Annual fibrosis progression rate (FPR) was calculated, and significant fibrosis progression (SFP) was defined as ≥ 2 stage increase in fibrosis during follow-up. Multiple regression analyses were performed to find out independent predictors of FPR and SFP. Demographic characteristics and duration between paired liver biopsies were similar in TF and TN groups. Baseline alanine aminotransferase and gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) levels (71 ± 31 vs 47 ± 22, P < 0.001 and 49 ± 39 vs 36 ± 28, P = 0.027, respectively), baseline mean fibrosis stage (2.2 ± 0.7 vs 1.9 ± 0.7, P = 0.018) and histologic activity index (6.3 ± 1.9 vs 4.3 ± 1.6, P < 0.001) were higher in the TF group compared with the TN group. In regression analyses, the strongest independent predictor of fibrosis progression was the GGT level (OR: 1.03, 95%CI 1.01-1.5, P < 0.001). Treatment experience (OR: 5.97, 95%CI 1.81-19.7, P = 0.003) also appeared as an independent predictor of both FPR and SFP. Failed interferon-based CHC treatment may lead to accelerated FPR in the long-term compared with the natural course.

Association of IL28B genotype with fibrosis progression and clinical outcomes in patients with chronic hepatitis C: a longitudinal analysis

Interleukin (IL)28B polymorphisms are associated with spontaneous clearance of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and response to therapy. Whether IL28B genotype affects fibrosis progression or clinical outcome is unclear. Our aim was to study the relationship between IL28B genotype and both histological and clinical outcomes in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). Hepatic fibrosis was scored using the Ishak (0-6) scale; progression was defined as a 2-point increase in Ishak score between biopsies. Multiple logistic and Cox regressions were used to identify variables associated with fibrosis progression. In all, 1,483 patients were included in a baseline cross-sectional analysis, from which 276 were eligible for a paired biopsy analysis (median time between biopsies 4 years), and 400 for a clinical outcome analysis. At baseline biopsy, patients with IL28B CC genotype had significantly higher portal inflammation (2.4 versus 2.2) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels (133 versus 105 U/L; P < 0.05 for all). In the paired biopsy analysis, there was no difference in the frequency of fibrosis progression between patients with IL28B CC and non-CC genotypes (17% versus 23%). In logistic regression, only higher baseline alkaline phosphatase, lower platelets, and greater hepatic steatosis were associated with fibrosis progression. Patients with IL28B CC were twice as likely to develop adverse clinical outcomes compared to non-CC (32% versus 16%; P = 0.007).

CONCLUSION

IL28B CC genotype was associated with greater hepatic necroinflammation, higher ALT, and worse clinical outcomes in CHC patients. This suggests that IL28B CC is associated with a state of enhanced immunity that, on the one hand, can promote viral clearance, but alternately can increase necroinflammation and hepatic decompensation without enhancing fibrosis progression.

Host genetic variants in the pathogenesis of hepatitis C

Direct-acting antiviral drugs (DAAs) are currently replacing antiviral therapy for Hepatitis C infection. Treatment related side effects are even worse and the emergence of resistant viruses must be avoided because of the direct-antiviral action. Altogether it remains a challenge to take treatment decisions in a clinical setting with cost restrictions. Genetic host factors are hereby essential to implement an individualized treatment concept. In recent years results on different genetic variants have been published with a strong association with therapy response, fibrosis and treatment-related side effects. Polymorphisms of the IL28B gene were identified as accurate predictors for therapy response and spontaneous clearance of HCV infection and are already used for diagnostic decisions. For RBV-induced side effects, such as hemolytic anemia, associations to genetic variants of inosine triphosphatase (ITPA) were described and different SLC28 transporters for RBV-uptake have been successfully analyzed. Fibrosis progression has been associated with variants of Vitamin D receptor (VDR) and ABCB11 (bile salt export pump). Cirrhotic patients especially have a high treatment risk and low therapy response, so that personalized antiviral treatment is mandatory. This review focuses on different host genetic variants in the pathogenesis of Hepatitis C at the beginning of a new area of treatment.

Micronuclei formation in liver fibrosis samples from patients infected by hepatitis C virus

Genetic research on fibrosis outset and its progression in chronic hepatitis (CH) by hepatitis C virus (HCV) are limited. The lack of cytogenetic data led us to investigate the presence of micronuclei (MNi), as a sign of genomic damage. Hepatocytes of hepatic parenchyma from 62 cases diagnosed with CH associated with HCV and displaying different degrees of fibrosis (F1-F4) were analyzed. These data were compared to 15 cases without fibrosis (F0). Twelve healthy liver parenchyma samples were included as control. All samples were obtained from paraffin-embedded archival material. Micronucleated hepatocytes (MN-Heps) were analyzed through Feulgen/Fast-green staining. Results showed that the rates of MN-Heps in the F4 group were statistically significant (p < 0.05) and higher than those in the control group. Like results were also obtained on comparing F4 with F0, F1, F2 and F3 cases. Conversely, differences were not significant (p > 0.05) on comparing F0, F1, F2, F3, one against the other, as well as individual versus control. Although chromosomal losses in CH were detected, it was shown that liver parenchyma with fibrosis in the initial stages (F1-F3) cannot be considered cytogenetically abnormal.

Advancing donor liver age and rapid fibrosis progression following transplantation for hepatitis C

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Cirrhosis with liver failure due to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is the most common indication for liver transplantation (LT). Reinfection of the transplanted liver by HCV is inevitable, and aggressive hepatitis with accelerated progression to graft cirrhosis may be observed. Of concern, recent reports suggest that the outcome of LT for HCV may have deteriorated in recent years. Determinants of rate of progression to cirrhosis in the immunocompetent non-transplant patient are well defined, and the most powerful determinant is patient age at the time of infection. Following LT for HCV, recipient age does not affect outcome of HCV reinfection. However, the impact of donor age on graft fibrosis progression rate following LT has not been examined.

METHODS

We have examined post-transplant biopsies to assess histological activity, including fibrosis stage (scored 0-6 units, 6 representing established cirrhosis), and to calculate fibrosis progression rates in 101 post-transplant specimens from 56 HCV infected LT patients. Univariate and multivariate analyses examined the impact of parameters including recipient and donor age and sex on fibrosis progression rate, and on predicted time to cirrhosis.

RESULTS

For the cohort, median fibrosis progression rate was 0.78 units/year, and median interval from transplantation to development of cirrhosis was 7.7 years. In multivariate analysis, donor age (not recipient age) was a powerful determinant (p=0.02) of fibrosis progression rate. When the liver donor was younger than 40 years, median progression rate was 0.6 units/year and interval to cirrhosis was 10 years. When the donor was aged 50 years or more, median progression rate was 2.7 units/year and interval to cirrhosis only 2.2 years. During the observation period there has been a significant increase in donor age (p=0.01) but date of transplantation per se is not a determinant of progression rate when included in multivariate analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Donor age has a major influence on graft outcome following transplantation for HCV. The changing organ donor profile will affect the long term results of LT for HCV. These observations have important implications for donor liver allocation.