Estimation of life's essential 8 score with incomplete data of individual metrics

Background

The American Heart Association's Life's Essential 8 (LE8) is an updated construct of cardiovascular health (CVH), including blood pressure, lipids, glucose, body mass index, nicotine exposure, diet, physical activity, and sleep health. It is challenging to simultaneously measure all eight metrics at multiple time points in most research and clinical settings, hindering the use of LE8 to assess individuals' overall CVH trajectories over time.

Materials and methods

We obtained data from 5,588 participants in the Nurses' Health Studies (NHS, NHSII) and Health Professionaĺs Follow-up Study (HPFS), and 27,194 participants in the 2005-2016 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) with all eight metrics available. Individuals' overall cardiovascular health (CVH) was determined by LE8 score (0-100). CVH-related factors that are routinely collected in many settings (i.e., demographics, BMI, smoking, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, and diabetes) were included as predictors in the base models of LE8 score, and subsequent models further included less frequently measured factors (i.e., physical activity, diet, blood pressure, and sleep health). Gradient boosting decision trees were trained with hyper-parameters tuned by cross-validations.

Results

The base models trained using NHS, NHSII, and HPFS had validated root mean squared errors (RMSEs) of 8.06 (internal) and 16.72 (external). Models with additional predictors further improved performance. Consistent results were observed in models trained using NHANES. The predicted CVH scores can generate consistent effect estimates in associational studies as the observed CVH scores.

Conclusions

CVH-related factors routinely measured in many settings can be used to accurately estimate individuals' overall CVH when LE8 metrics are incomplete.

Life's Simple 7 Cardiovascular Health Score in Relation to Arrhythmias on Extended Ambulatory Electrocardiographic Monitoring (from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis)

The Life's Simple 7 (LS7) metric consists of 7 modifiable health behaviors and measures that are known health factors for cardiovascular wellness. Relatively little is known about the association of LS7 score with cardiac arrhythmias. In the setting of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, we studied the LS7 score (range 0 to 14), assessed at the 2010 to 2102 study visit, in relation to cardiac arrhythmias assessed by Zio Patch ambulatory electrocardiographic monitoring in 2016 to 2018. In participants free of clinically recognized cardiovascular disease and atrial fibrillation, we used logistic and linear regression to examine the association of total LS7 score with atrial fibrillation, supraventricular ectopy, and ventricular ectopy. In 1,329 participants in the analysis, the mean (SD) age was 67 (8) years and 48% were men. A more favorable total LS7 score was associated with fewer premature ventricular contractions (PVCs) per hour (ratio of geometric means for optimal [11 to 14] versus inadequate [0 to 7] score 0.52 [95% confidence interval 0.34 to 0.81]). After adjustment for sociodemographic characteristics, the association was attenuated (0.66 [0.43 to 1.01]). =Among the LS7 components, a more favorable body mass index was associated with less ventricular ectopy. We did not detect associations of total LS7 score with atrial arrhythmias. In conclusion, in this longitudinal study of older participants free of clinically recognized cardiovascular disease, there was little evidence of association of the LS7 cardiovascular health score with subclinical cardiac arrhythmias. However, there was a suggestion that a more favorable LS7 score was associated with fewer PVCs and specifically, that a more favorable body mass index was associated with fewer PVCs.

Association of Life's Simple 7 with Atrial Fibrillation Burden (From the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study)

The American Heart Association's Life's Simple 7 (LS7) metric consists of 7 modifiable risk factors. Although a more favorable LS7 risk factor profile is associated with lower AF incidence, this relation is unknown in regard to AF burden. We assessed the prospective association of overall LS7 score and individual LS7 risk factors in midlife with AF burden in late-life in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. LS7 components were assessed at Visit 3 (1993 to 1995) and a composite score ranging from 0 to 14 was calculated. A higher score indicates better cardiovascular health. AF burden was measured at Visit 6 (2016 to 2017) with a 2-week Zio XT Patch. AF burden, defined as the percent of time a participant was in AF, was categorized as none, intermittent (>0 to <100%), or continuous (100%). Weighted multinomial logistic regression was used. Of the 2,363 participants, 58% were female and 24% were black. Participants were aged 57 ± 5 years at Visit 3 and 79 ± 5 years at Visit 6. From the Zio XT Patch, 5% had continuous AF, 4% had intermittent AF, and 91% had none. After multivariable adjustment, each 1-point increase in LS7 score had 0.87 (95% CI: 0.79 to 0.95) higher odds of continuous AF than no AF. Individually, poor levels of physical activity, BMI, and fasting blood glucose were associated with greater AF burden. In conclusion, this population-based prospective cohort study reports that unfavorable cardiovascular health profile in midlife is associated with higher AF burden in late-life and future research to evaluate the effectiveness of optimizing physical activity, BMI, and fasting blood glucose in lowering AF burden is warranted.

Sex differences in the association between ideal cardiovascular health and biomarkers of cardiovascular disease among adults in the United States: a cross-sectional analysis from the multiethnic study of atherosclerosis

OBJECTIVES

This study investigated the sex differences in the associations between ideal cardiovascular health (CVH), measured by the American Heart Association's Life's Simple 7 metrics, and cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related biomarkers among an ethnically diverse cohort of women and men free of clinical CVD at baseline.

SETTING

We analysed data from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis conducted in six centres across the USA (Baltimore, Maryland; Chicago, Illinois; Forsyth County, North Carolina; Los Angeles, California; New York, New York; and St Paul, Minnesota).

PARTICIPANTS

This is a cross-sectional study of 5379 women and men, aged 45-84 years old. Mean age (SD) was 62 (10), 52% were women, 38% White, 11% Chinese American, 28% Black and 23% Hispanic.

PRIMARY MEASURES

The seven metrics (smoking, body mass index, physical activity, diet, total cholesterol, blood pressure and blood glucose) were each scored as 0 points (poor), 1 point (intermediate) or 2 points (ideal). The total CVH score ranged from 0 to 14. The CVD-related biomarkers studied were high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, D-dimer, fibrinogen, homocysteine, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and interleukin 6. We examined the association between the CVH score and each biomarker using multivariable linear regression, adjusting for age, race/ethnicity, education, income and health insurance status.

RESULTS

Higher CVH scores were associated with lower concentrations of all biomarkers, except for NT-proBNP where we found a direct association. There were statistically significant interactions by sex for all biomarkers (p<0.001), but results were qualitatively similar between women and men.

CONCLUSION

A more favourable CVH score was associated with lower levels of multiple CVD-related biomarkers for women and men, except for NT-proBNP. These data suggest that promotion of ideal CVH would have similarly favourable impact on the reduction of biomarkers of CVD risk for both women and men.

Relation of Lifestyle Factors and Life's Simple 7 Score to Temporal Reduction in Troponin Levels Measured by a High-Sensitivity Assay (from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study)

The impact of lifestyle-related factors on temporal decreases in high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT), possibly reflecting reversal of subclinical myocardial damage, has not been evaluated in a community-based setting. We measured hs-cTnT twice, 6 years apart, in 9,256 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study who were free from baseline cardiovascular disease. We used Poisson and multinomial regression to evaluate the associations of cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, body mass index, healthy diet score, physical activity, and Life's Simple 7 (LS7) score (a composite measure of lifestyle-related health factors) with 6-year decreases in hs-cTnT. Of the 3,017 patients with detectable baseline hs-cTnT (≥5 ng/L), 2,418 (80%) remained detectable, whereas 599 (20%) had undetectable levels (<5 ng/L) at the 6-year follow-up visit. Patients with a body mass index of <30 kg/m2, adherence to American Heart Association's physical activity guidelines, and average or optimal LS7 scores were more likely to improve from a detectable to an undetectable hs-cTnT level during follow-up. There was a robust association between optimal LS7 score and temporal hs-cTnT reduction (relative risk 1.64, 95% confidence interval 1.11 to 2.42, for baseline ≥5 ng/L and for follow-up <5 ng/L). A greater duration of exposure to average or optimal LS7 score was also associated with increased likelihood of temporal hs-cTnT reduction (p-trend <0.001). In conclusion, we found that lifestyle factors and the LS7 score were associated with reversal of subclinical myocardial damage. In conclusion, our results support the growing evidence that hs-cTnT levels change in response to lifestyle modifications and hs-cTnT may serve as a useful dynamic surrogate for monitoring cardiovascular risk.