Detection of early portal hypertension with routine data and liver stiffness in patients with asymptomatic liver disease: a prospective study

Prediction of the varices needing treatment with non-invasive tests in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease

BACKGROUNDS & AIMS

The Baveno VI guidelines proposed criteria including liver stiffness (LS) and platelet count to avoid screening endoscopy in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). This study was performed to validate the Baveno IV criteria and to compare its diagnostic accuracy with other non-invasive models.

METHODS

Patients with cACLD who underwent laboratory tests, upper gastrointestinal endoscopy and abdominal ultrasound within 6 months of transient elastography were included.

RESULTS

A total of 1218 patients with cACLD were included. VNT occurred in 249 patients (20.4%). With the Baveno VI criteria, the VNT miss rate was 1.9% with a 25.7% saved endoscopy rate. Using two criteria of LS <20 kPa and platelet count >110 × 109  cells/L or LS <25 kPa and platelet count >120 × 109  cells/L, the saved endoscopy rate was 39.1% while maintaining the VNT miss rate <5%. The optimal LS and platelet count-based criteria for predicting VNT differed according to the underlying liver disease. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of LS-spleen diameter to platelet score (LSPS) was 0.780 (95% confidence interval: 0.774-0.820), which was significantly higher than other models. The optimal cut-off value of the LSPS for predicting VNT was 1.47.

CONCLUSION

Liver stiffness and platelet count-based criteria are useful for discriminating patients with very low risk of having VNT among patients with cACLD and are partly affected by the type of underlying liver disease. Conversely, the LSPS is a predictor of VNT in patients with cACLD regardless of the type of underlying liver disease.

ALBI/ST ratio versus FIB-4 and APRI as a predictor of posthepatectomy liver failure in hepatocellular carcinoma patients

A precise and noninvasive method to predict posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) in clinical practice is still lacking. Liver fibrosis or cirrhosis accompanied with varying degrees of portal hypertension plays an important role in the occurrence of PHLF in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. This study aims to compare the predictive ability of the albumin-bilirubin score to spleen thickness ratio (ALBI/ST) versus fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet count ratio index (ARPI) for the occurrence of PHLF. We retrospectively enrolled 932 patients who underwent liver resection for HCC between 2010 and 2017. The predictive accuracy of ALBI/ST ratio, FIB-4, and APRI for occurrence of PHLF was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. PHLF was diagnosed in 69 (7.4%) patients. The ALBI/ST ratio was found to be a significant predictor of PHLF. The AUC of ALBI/ST (AUC = 0.774; 95% CI, 0.731-0.817; P <.001) was larger than that of FIB-4 (AUC = 0.696; 95% CI, 0.634-0.759; P <.001) and APRI (AUC = 0.697; 95% CI, 0.629-0.764; P <.001). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that ALBI/ST ratio was a strong risk factor of PHLF in all hepatectomy subgroups. In conclusion, the ALBI/ST ratio has a superior predictive ability for PHLF compared with APRI and FIB-4.

Validation of Baveno VI Criteria for Screening and Surveillance of Esophageal Varices in Patients With Compensated Cirrhosis and a Sustained Response to Antiviral Therapy

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Management of patients with cirrhosis includes endoscopic screening and surveillance to detect esophageal varices (EV) and prevent bleeding. However, the Baveno VI guidelines recommend avoiding endoscopies for patients with liver stiffness measurements below 20 kPa and platelet counts above 150,000 (favorable Baveno VI status) and endoscopic assessment of patients with higher levels of liver stiffness and platelet counts (unfavorable Baveno VI status). We aimed to validate the Baveno VI guidelines, evaluating outcomes of patients in the ANRS-CO12 CirVir cohort with compensated cirrhosis associated with hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, with or without a sustained response to antiviral therapy.

METHODS

We performed an ancillary study using data from 891 patients in the ANRS CO12 CirVir cohort, treated at 35 centers in France, with HCV or HBV infection and biopsy-proven cirrhosis, Child-Pugh A scores, no previous complications, and no hepatocellular carcinoma who underwent an endoscopic procedure and had interpretable liver stiffness measurements and platelet counts. Progression of portal hypertension (PHT) was defined as the onset of varices needing treatment (VNT) or PHT-related bleeding. An sustained response to antiviral therapy was defined as undetectable level of HCV RNA by polymerase chain reaction assay (<50 IU/mL) 12 weeks after the end of treatment (SVR) or an undetectable level of HBV DNA. The primary aims were to validate the Baveno VI guidelines for screening and surveillance of EV in patients with compensated cirrhosis and to study the effects of an SVR on the progression of PHT.

RESULTS

A total of 200 patients achieved an SVR (22.4%) (94 patients with HCV infection, 98 patients with HBV infection, and 8 patients with both); 80 of these patients had favorable Baveno VI status and none had VNT. Progression of PHT was studied in 548 patients; during a follow-up period of 61.2 months (interquartile range, 39.5-80.6 months), 105 of these patients (19.1%) had progression of PHT. Lack of an SVR and grade 1 EV were independently associated with progression of PHT. At the time of PHT progression, all patients had unfavorable Baveno VI status. Achieving favorable Baveno VI status after an SVR was associated with the absence of PHT progression. Favorable Baveno VI status and SVR were independently associated with survival.

CONCLUSIONS

In an analysis of data from a large cohort of patients with HBV- or HCV-associated cirrhosis in France, we validated the Baveno VI guidelines on screening and surveillance of PHT, even for patients who achieved a sustained response to antiviral therapy.

Diagnostic Performance of Ultrasound Elastography for Evaluating Portal Hypertension in Children: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To assess the diagnostic performance of ultrasound (US) elastography in evaluating portal hypertension in children and compare the liver and spleen stiffness values between the portal hypertension and control groups.

METHODS

Studies in the MEDLINE and Embase databases were selected that investigated the diagnostic performance of US elastography in children with portal hypertension up to December 21, 2017. Pooled sensitivity and specificity data were assessed by hierarchical logistic regression modeling.

RESULTS

Eleven studies were included in the systematic review, and a meta-analysis could be conducted in 7 of these publications to evaluate the diagnostic performance of US elastography. The summary sensitivity and specificity of this method for liver stiffness were 90% (95% confidence interval [CI], 83%-94%) and 79% (95% CI, 73%-84%), respectively, and the area under the hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.92 (95% CI, 0.90-0.94). A subgroup analysis of 5 transient elastographic studies revealed similar diagnostic performance (sensitivity, 90%; specificity, 78%). In 10 of the 11 studies that investigated liver stiffness and 2 of the 3 studies that also measured spleen stiffness, patients in the portal hypertension group had a significantly higher stiffness value than the control group (P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

Ultrasound elastography shows good performance in diagnosing portal hypertension and can identify significant differences in liver and spleen stiffness in children with this condition. This method thus has considerable potential as a noninvasive tool for screening portal hypertension-related complications in children with chronic liver disease.

Role of the von Willebrand factor and the VITRO score as predictors for variceal bleeding in patients with hepatitis C-related cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Noninvasive methods have been established to detect clinically significant portal hypertension in liver cirrhosis with variable limitations. The von Willebrand factor (vEF) has been found to increase in liver cirrhosis.

AIM

The aim of this study was to explore the vEF and VITRO (von Willebrand factor antigen/platelet ratio) score in the prediction of variceal bleeding in patients with portal hypertension.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Fifty patients with hepatitis C-related liver cirrhosis (25 patients with variceal bleeding and 25 without variceal bleeding) as well as 80 healthy controls were included. Laboratory investigations and upper gastrointestinal endoscopy were performed in all patients. Serum vEF was measured in the patient and the control group. The VITRO score was calculated.

RESULTS

The mean levels of the vEF antigen and the VITRO score were higher in patients with variceal bleeding compared with patients without variceal bleeding and controls (P<0.001). At levels of at least 100.1 ng/ml and at least 0.732, the vEF and the VITRO score could predict variceal bleeding with a sensitivity and a specificity of 92 and 99.9% for the vEF and 80 and 68% for the VITRO score (area under the curve=0.982 and 0.843), respectively. Levels of vEF were correlated positively with esophageal varices grade.

CONCLUSION

Serum vEF level and the VITRO score are potential noninvasive biomarkers for the prediction and risk stratification of variceal bleeding in hepatitis C-related liver cirrhosis.

Comparison of three cut-offs to diagnose clinically significant portal hypertension by liver stiffness in chronic viral liver diseases: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Transient elastography-based liver stiffness value (TE-LSV) has been investigated for assessing clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH). The aetiology of CSPH is an important factor determining TE-LSV. There is insufficient evidence for selecting cut-off values.

AIMS

This study performed a meta-analysis to compare the three most widely used cut-off values (around 13.6 kPa, 18 kPa and 22kPa) of TE-LSV for the diagnosis of CSPH in patients with chronic viral liver disease.

METHODS

The PubMed, Ovid, Web of Science and Cochrane Library databases were searched. Diagnostic data for cut-off values around 13.6 kPa, 18 kPa and 22 kPa in each included study were extracted. The bivariate model was performed to estimate pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (LR+) and negative likelihood ratio (LR-).

RESULTS

Eleven studies assessing 910 patients were included in this meta-analysis. Pooled sensitivities of cut-off values around 13.6 kPa, 18 kPa and 22 kPa were 0.96 (95% CI 0.93-0.97), 0.85 (0.81-0.89) and 0.74 (0.66-0.80), respectively; pooled specificities were 0.60 (0.47-0.75), 0.80 (0.71-0.87) and 0.94 (0.86-0.97), respectively. Pooled LR+ values were 2.4 (1.6-3.7), 4.4 (2.9-6.8) and 11.5 (5.5-23.5) for cut-off values around 13.6 kPa, 18 kPa and 22 kPa, respectively, for pooled LR- values of 0.07 (0.04-0.13), 0.17 (0.12-0.25) and 0.28 (0.22-0.36), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Cut-off values around 13.6 kPa (high sensitivity) and 22 kPa (high specificity) could be used as screening and confirmation tools, respectively, in the diagnosis of CSPH. Overall, the cut-off value around 22 kPa showed the best performance.

KEY POINTS

Transient elastography-based liver stiffness could be used to diagnose portal hypertension. Comparison of certain cut-off values would provide more information for clinical decision-making. Cut-off around 13.6 kPa was able to exclude clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) effectively. Cut-off around 22 kPa was able to confirm CSPH effectively.

Transient elastography can stratify patients with Child-Pugh A cirrhosis according to risk of early decompensation

BACKGROUND

Compensated cirrhosis has a variable prognosis depending on stage. There are currently no straightforward and robust tools in clinical practice to predict decompensation in Child-Pugh A cirrhosis. We set out to determine whether transient elastography (TE) could be used across liver disease aetiologies to determine risk of decompensation.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Participants were enrolled at two sites (Dublin and Nottingham) and followed up for a minimum of 2 years. The primary outcome of the study was liver decompensation, defined as the development of overt hepatic encephalopathy or ascites or presentation with bleeding varices. All patients received a TE examination to measure liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and had routine blood measurements taken at the baseline visit and on each subsequent visit.

RESULTS

In 259 participants, the overall rate of liver-related outcome was 31 per 1000 person-years (95% confidence interval: 19-47 per 1000 person-years). Of the total population, 6 and 11% developed a liver-related outcome within 2 and 4 years of follow-up, respectively. There were no events in the population with a LSM less than 21 kPa. A LSM of more than 35 kPa was associated with a decompensation risk of 39% at 4 years. For each unit increase in the LSM above 20 kPa, the risk of liver-related outcome increased by 6% (hazard ratio=1.06; 95% confidence interval: 1.04-1.82) after adjusting for age, sex Mayo End Liver Disease Score, cohort source and aetiology.

CONCLUSION

The risk of liver decompensation increased with increasing LSM in mixed aetiology compensated cirrhosis. LSM may be used to risk stratify patients, potentially reassure patients with low scores, and select patients with higher scores for experimental therapeutic studies with acceptable timelines.

Ability of the ALBI grade to predict posthepatectomy liver failure and long-term survival after liver resection for different BCLC stages of HCC

BACKGROUND

Underlying liver function is a major concern when applying surgical resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to explore the capability of the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade to predict post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) and long-term survival after hepatectomy for HCC patients with different Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages.

METHODS

Between January 2010 and December 2014, 338 HCC patients who were treated with liver resection were enrolled. The predictive accuracy of ALBI grade system for PHLF and long-term survival across different BCLC stages was examined.

RESULTS

A total of 26 (7.7%) patients developed PHLF. Patients were divided into BCLC 0/A and BCLC B/C categories. ALBI score was found to be a strong independent predictor of PHLF across different BCLC stages by multivariate analysis. In terms of overall survival (OS), it exhibited high discriminative power in the total cohort and in BCLC 0/A subgroup. However, differences in OS between ALBI grade 1 and 2 patients in BCLC B/C subgroup were not significant (P = 0.222).

CONCLUSION

The ALBI grade showed good predictive ability for PHLF in HCC patients across different BCLC stages. However, the ALBI grade was only a significant predictor of OS in BCLC stage 0/A patients and failed to predict OS in BCLC stage B/C patients.

Quantification of Liver Surface Nodularity at CT: Utility for Detection of Portal Hypertension

Purpose To determine whether quantification of liver surface nodularity (LSN) provides an estimate of the presence of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) in patients with cirrhosis. Materials and Methods This retrospective study included a training cohort (n = 189) and separate external validation cohort (n = 78), both composed of patients with cirrhosis who underwent abdominal CT and hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement between 2010 and 2016. The LSN score, liver and spleen volumes, liver-to-spleen volume ratio, platelet count to spleen diameter ratio, Iranmanesh score, aspartate amino transferase-to-platelet ratio index, and Fibrosis-4 index were derived from CT images and serum laboratories. The accuracy of the various tests for predicting CSPH was evaluated with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and compared by using the DeLong test. Student t test and Pearson correlation coefficient were used. Results One hundred eighty-nine patients were analyzed (119 men [mean age ± standard deviation, 57 years ± 11; range, 29-81 years] and 70 women [mean age, 61 years ± 10; range, 34-83 years]; overall mean age, 58 years ± 10; range, 29-83 years). A total of 102 patients (54%) had CSPH. LSN score correlated with HVPG (r = 0.75; P < .001). Patients with CSPH had a higher LSN score than did those without CSPH (3.2 ± 0.6 vs 2.4 ± 0.3; P < .001). A cutoff value of 2.8 had a positive predictive value of 88% for CSPH; the AUROC of LSN was 0.88 ± 0.03. This was higher than that of other available noninvasive tests (DeLong, all P < .001). In the validation cohort, LSN score of 2.8 had a positive predictive value of 86% for CSPH; the AUROC was 0.87 ± 0.04. Conclusion The CT-based liver surface nodularity score demonstrated high diagnostic performance for detecting clinically significant portal hypertension and outperformed multiple other noninvasive tests. © RSNA, 2018 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Liver stiffness measurement in the primary care setting detects high rates of advanced fibrosis and predicts liver-related events in hepatitis C

BACKGROUND & AIMS

As many as 70% of individuals with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) are managed solely in primary care. The aims of this study were to determine the prevalence of elevated liver stiffness measurement (LSM) in a cohort of community managed patients with CHC and to evaluate predictors of advanced liver disease and liver-related events.

METHODS

A prospective cohort of adult patients with CHC were recruited from 21 primary care practices throughout Victoria, Australia. Inclusion criteria included the presence of CHC for >6 months, no recent (<18 months) specialist input and no history of hepatocellular carcinoma. Clinical assessment, LSM and phlebotomy were carried out in primary care. A hospital cohort was recruited for comparison. Participants were followed longitudinally and monitored for liver-related events.

RESULTS

Over 26 months, 780 community patients were recruited and included in the analysis. The median LSM was 6.9 kPa in the community, with 16.5% of patients at risk of advanced fibrosis (LSM ≥12.5 kPa); of these 8.5% had no laboratory features of advanced liver disease. The proportion at risk of cirrhosis was no different between the community and hospital cohorts (p = 0.169). At-risk alcohol consumption, advancing age, elevated body mass index and alanine aminotransferase were independent predictors of elevated LSM. Over a median follow-up of 15.2 months, liver-related events occurred in 9.3% of those with an LSM ≥12.5 kPa. An LSM of 24 kPa had the highest predictive power for liver-related events (hazard ratio152; p <0.001).

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of advanced fibrosis, as determined by LSM, in primary care managed CHC is significant and comparable to a hospital cohort. Furthermore, this study supports the use of LSM as a community screening tool in a CHC population and indicates a possible role in predicting liver-related events.

LAY SUMMARY

The prevalence of advanced liver disease in primary care managed hepatitis C is unknown. Our data suggests that rates of advanced fibrosis in the community are significant (16.5%), often underdiagnosed and comparable to rates seen in specialist referral centres. Liver stiffness measurement is a feasible community screening tool prior to hepatitis C therapy and can predict liver-related adverse events.

Meta-analysis of the accuracy of transient elastography in measuring liver stiffness to diagnose esophageal varices in cirrhosis

BACKGROUD

To assess the diagnostic performance of transient elastography (TE) in detecting the presence and size of esophageal varices (EV) in cirrhotic patients.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Web of Science, Wiley Online Library, Science Direct, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, WeiPu, WanFang database, and Baidu Scholar to identify studies that evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of TE in liver stiffness measurement, compared with esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD), for the detection of the presence and degree of EV in cirrhosis.

RESULTS

We included 32 studies in the presence of any EV (grade 1-3; n = 4082), 27 studies on substantial EV (grade 2-3; n = 5221) and 5 studies on large EV (grade 3). The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) were 0.8 (95% CI, 0.78-0.86), 0.68 (95% CI, 0.62-0.74), and 10 (95% CI, 7-14) for any EV; 0.81 (95% CI, 0.77-0.85), 0.72 (95% CI, 0.66-0.77), and 11 (95% CI, 8-15) for substantial EV; and 0.92 (95% CI, 0.83-0.96), 0.78 (95% CI, 0.70-0.85), and 40 (95% CI, 15-107) for large EV. Subgroup analysis revealed that the heterogeneity among studies on any EV could potentially be explained by study location, proportion of Child A, and time interval between TE and EGD; for substantial EV, the proportion of Child A, etiology of cirrhosis, and the time interval between TE and EGD were important heterogeneity factors. Publication bias was found among studies evaluating diagnostic performance of TE for any EV.

CONCLUSION

TE is a good tool for detecting the presence and degree of EV; however, in determination of the liver stiffness cutoff values means that TE is only cautiously used in clinical practice.

A Prospective Blinded Study of Endoscopic Ultrasound Elastography in Liver Disease: Towards a Virtual Biopsy

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Liver biopsy has traditionally been used for determining the degree of fibrosis, however there are several limitations. Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) real-time elastography (RTE) is a novel technology that uses image enhancement to display differences in tissue compressibility. We sought to assess whether liver fibrosis index (LFI) can distinguish normal, fatty, and cirrhotic liver tissue.

METHODS

A total of 50 patients undergoing EUS were prospectively enrolled. RTE of the liver was performed to synthesize the LFI in each patient. Univariate and multivariable analyses were performed. Chi-square and t-tests were performed for categorical and continuous variables, respectively. A p-value of <0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

Abdominal imaging prior to endoscopic evaluation suggested normal tissue, fatty liver, and cirrhosis in 26, 16, and 8 patients, respectively. Patients with cirrhosis had significantly increased mean LFI compared to the fatty liver (3.2 vs. 1.7, p<0.001) and normal (3.2 vs. 0.8, p<0.001) groups. The fatty liver group showed significantly increased LFI compared to the normal group (3.8 vs. 1.4, p<0.001). Multivariable regression analysis suggested that LFI was an independent predictor of group features (p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

LFI computed from RTE images significantly correlates with abdominal imaging and can distinguish normal, fatty, and cirrhotic-appearing livers; therefore, LFI may play an important role in patients with chronic liver disease.

Elastography methods for the non-invasive assessment of portal hypertension

The gold standard to assess the presence and severity of portal hypertension remains the hepatic vein pressure gradient, however the recent development of non-invasive assessment using elastography techniques offers valuable alternatives. In this review, we discuss the diagnostic accuracy and utility of such techniques in patients with portal hypertension due to cirrhosis. Areas covered: A literature search focused on liver and spleen stiffness measurement with different elastographic techniques for the assessment of the presence and severity of portal hypertension and oesophageal varices in people with chronic liver disease. The combination of elastography with parameters such as platelet count and spleen size is also discussed. Expert commentary: Non-invasive assessment of liver fibrosis and portal hypertension is a validated tool for the diagnosis and follow-up of patients. Baveno VI recommended the combination of transient elastography and platelet count for ruling out varices needing treatment in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease. Assessment of aetiology specific cut-offs for ruling in and ruling out clinically significant portal hypertension is an unmet clinical need. The incorporation of spleen stiffness measurements in non-invasive algorithms using validated software and improved measuring scales might enhance the non-invasive diagnosis of portal hypertension in the next 5 years.

Optimal Use of Transient Elastography and Acoustic Radiation Force Impulse to Stage Liver Fibrosis in HIV/HCV-Coinfected Patients in Clinical Practice

OBJECTIVES

Liver fibrosis (LF) is crucial for the individualized management of patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV). We evaluated the concordance between two noninvasive methods for staging LF, transient elastography (TE) and acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI), in patients coinfected with human immunodeficiency virus and HCV. We propose an algorithm for optimal use of both techniques in routine clinical practice.

METHODS

A total of 89 human immunodeficiency virus/HCV-coinfected patients underwent TE and ARFI on the same day. The kappa index was used to assess concordance between the techniques. An algorithm combining ARFI and TE was proposed based on the independent factors associated with a kappa index greater than or equal to 0.70, obtained from a multiple regression analysis. We performed a cost-effectiveness analysis. The study was approved by our institutional review board and all patients signed the informed consent.

RESULTS

Concordance between TE and ARFI for F2, F3, and F4 was 0.55, 0.59, and 0.69, respectively. Ultrasound normal spleen size (odds ratio [OR], 0.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.05-0.91) and high viral load (OR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.17-0.77) reduced the probability of agreement between TE and ARFI, whereas ultrasound normal left liver lobe size (OR, 3.32; 95% CI, 1.21-9.10) increased this probability. The algorithm revealed that LF was adequately assessed in 74.16%, with 25.84% of patients misclassified. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of TE compared with ARFI to increase concordance by 1% was €8.86.

CONCLUSIONS

Concordance between TE and ARFI was moderate. In the algorithm we proposed, ARFI was cost-effective as a first technique for the staging of LF in the study population.

Expanding the Baveno VI criteria for the screening of varices in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease

Patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) can safely avoid screening endoscopy with a platelet count >150 × 109 cells/L and a liver stiffness measurement (LSM) <20 kPa (Baveno VI criteria). However, the total number of avoided endoscopies using this rule is relatively low. We aimed at expanding the Baveno VI criteria and validating them in additional cohorts. Patients from the Anticipate cohort (499 patients with cACLD of different etiologies) were used to study the performance of different thresholds of platelets and LSM for the identification of patients at very low risk (<5%) of having varices needing treatment (VNT). The new criteria (Expanded-Baveno VI) were validated in two additional cohorts from London (309 patients) and Barcelona (117 patients). The performance of the new criteria by etiology of cACLD was also assessed. The best new expanded classification rule was platelet count >110 × 109 cells/L and LSM <25 kPa. This was validated in the two additional cohorts. Overall, the Expanded-Baveno VI criteria would potentially spare 367 (40%) endoscopies (21% with Baveno VI criteria) with a risk of missing VNT of 1.6% (95% confidence interval, 0.7%-3.5%) in patients within the criteria and 0.6% (95% confidence interval, 0.3%-1.4%) in the overall population of 925 patients evaluated. The Expanded-Baveno VI criteria performed well in patients with cACLD with hepatitis C virus and alcoholic and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis.

CONCLUSION

The new Expanded-Baveno VI criteria spare more endoscopies than the original criteria with a minimal risk of missing VNT in most of the main etiologies of cACLD. (Hepatology 2017;66:1980-1988).

Influence of sustained viral response on the regression of fibrosis and portal hypertension in cirrhotic HCV patients treated with antiviral triple therapy

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The regression of liver fibrosis and portal hypertension (PH) and their influence on the natural history of compensated hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related cirrhosis has not been studied previously. Our objective was to evaluate the influence of sustained virologic response (SVR) on the portal pressure gradient (HVPG) and non-invasive parameters of PH and prognostic factors of response.

METHODS

Sixteen patients with compensated HCV genotype 1-related cirrhosis with PH (HVPG > 6 mmHg) without beta-blocker therapy were considered as candidates for PEGα2a + RBV + BOC (48 weeks; lead-in and accepted stopping rules). A hemodynamic study and Fibroscan® were performed at baseline, at eight weeks and, in the case of SVR, 24 weeks after treatment. In each hemodynamic study, serum samples were analyzed for inflammatory biomarkers associated with PH.

RESULTS

In eight cases, SVR was obtained; five patients relapsed, and treatment was stopped early for non-response to lead in (one case) and a decrease of < 3 log at week 8 (two patients). Compared to baseline, there was a significant decrease in HVPG and Fibroscan® at weeks 8 and 72 (10.31 ± 4.3 vs 9.4 ± 5.04 vs 6.1 ± 3.61 mmHg, p < 0.0001 and 21.3 ± 14.5 vs 16.2 ± 9.5 vs 6.4 ± 4.5 kPa, p < 0.0001, respectively). The average HVPG decrease in SVR was 40.8 ± 17.53%, achieving an HVPG < 6 mmHg in five patients (62.5%) and a Fibroscan® < 7.1 kPa in three patients (37.5%).

CONCLUSIONS

Complete hemodynamic response (HVPG < 6 mmHg) and fibrosis regression (Fibroscan® < 7.1 kPa) occur in more than half and one-third of patients achieving SVR, respectively, and must be another target in cirrhotic patients with SVR.

Validation of noninvasive methods to predict the presence of gastroesophageal varices in a cohort of patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The aim was to validate noninvasive methods to predict the presence of gastroesophageal varices (GEV) in patients with suspected compensated advanced chronic liver disease.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed clinical and radiological data collected prospectively between September 2013 and September 2015. We reviewed 442 consecutive patients with suspected compensated advanced chronic liver disease measured by transient elastography (TE) and a gastroscopy. We evaluated platelets, spleen diameter, TE, liver stiffness × spleen size/platelets (LSPS), variceal risk index (VRI), Baveno VI strategy, and Augustin algorithm.

RESULTS

One hundred sixty-one out of 442 patients were included. Patients with GEV were compared with patients without GEV and showed statistically significant differences in platelet count (117 SD 51 vs 149 SD 62; P = 0.02), spleen diameter (13.0 SD 1.9 vs 11.5 SD 2; P = 0.003), and TE (28 SD 15 vs 19 SD 10; P = 0.001). Single methods (platelet count and TE) diagnosed correctly 51% and 71.4% of patients. Combined methods (LSPS, VRI, Baveno VI, and Augustin algorithm) diagnosed correctly 78%, 83.6%, 45.3%, and 57.1% of patients. Patients with GEV misdiagnosed: platelets 5/161 (3.1%), TE 6/161 (3.7%), LSPS 16/159 (10%), VRI 18/159 (11.3%), Baveno VI 3/161 (1.8%), and Augustin algorithm 6/161 (3.7%). Rate of unnecessary gastroscopies: platelets 46%, TE 25%, LSPS 13%, VRI 6%, Baveno VI 53%, and Augustin algorithm 39.1%.

CONCLUSIONS

A significant number of patients were classified correctly using TE, LSPS, and VRI; however, LSPS and VRI had unacceptable rates of misdiagnoses. TE is the best noninvasive single method and the Baveno VI strategy the best combined method.

Liver stiffness measurement and spleen diameter as predictors for the presence of esophageal varices in chronic hepatitis C patients

Although it is an invasive and unpleasant procedure, esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) is still the gold standard for esophageal varices (EV) detection. The aim of this study was to investigate liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and spleen diameter as simple noninvasive tools for EV prediction in chronic hepatitis C patients (CHC).A total of 123 Egyptian patients with CHC have been included and were classified based on screening EGD result into 2 groups; group A (without EV) and group B (with EV). Group (B) was subclassified according to EV grade into 4 subgroups: (B1, grade I), (B2, grade II), (B3, grade III), and (B4, grade IV). LSM was taken for each patient on the next day by an independent Fibroscan operator and correlated to the EGD result. Demographic, clinical, and biochemical data were recorded and analyzed using advanced data-mining computational technology.Mean LSM was 9.94 ± 6 kPa for group A and 33.32 ± 14 kPa for group B, whereas it was 21.22 ± 3, 25.72 ± 6, 33.82 ± 8, and 46.1 ± 15 kPa for subgroups B1, B2, B3, and B4, respectively. Mean spleen diameter was 11.09 ± 1.7 cm for group A and 16.58 ± 1.6 cm for group B. However, LSM ≥17 kPa was the only independent factor for EV prediction; splenic longitudinal span ≥15 cm was a complementary predictor when LSM was <17 kPa. The overall accuracy was 98.33 ± 3.33, Mikro = 98.26%.LSM ≥17 kPa and spleen diameter ≥15 cm is a simple noninvasive algorithm that could be used for prediction of EV and discrimination among its different grades.

Evaluation of large esophageal varices in cirrhotic patients by transient elastography: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Transient elastography (TE) has been shown to be a valuable tool for the prediction of large esophageal varices. However, the conclusions have not been always consistent throughout the different studies. Therefore, we performed a further meta-analysis in order to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of transient elastography for the prediction of large esophageal varices.

METHODS

We performed a systematic literature search in PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and CENTRAL in The Cochrane Library without time restriction. The strategy we used was "(fibroscan OR transient elastography OR stiffness) AND esophageal varices". Accuracy measures such as pooled sensitivity, specificity, among others, were calculated using Meta-DiSc statistical software.

RESULTS

Twenty studies (2,994 patients) were included in our meta-analysis. The values of pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative likelihood ratios and diagnostic odds ratio were as follows: 0.81 (95% CI, 0.79-0.84), 0.71 (95% CI, 0.69-0.73), 2.63 (95% CI, 2.15-3.23), 0.27 (95% CI, 0.22-0.34) and 10.30 (95% CI, 7.33-14.47). The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve was 0.83. The Spearman correlation coefficient was 0.246 with a p-value of 0.296, indicating the absence of any significant threshold effects. In our subgroup analysis, the heterogeneity could be partially explained by the geographical origin of the study or etiology; or it could be partially explained blindingly, through the appropriate interval and cut-off value of the liver stiffness (LS).

CONCLUSIONS

Transient elastography could be used as a valuable non-invasive screening tool for the prediction of large esophageal varices. However, since LS cut-off values vary throughout the different studies and significant heterogeneity also exists among them, we need more reasonable approaches or flow diagram in order to improve the operability of this technology.

A Pilot Study Evaluating the Safety of Intravenously Administered Human Amnion Epithelial Cells for the Treatment of Hepatic Fibrosis

Liver cirrhosis is the 6th leading cause of death in adults aged 15–59 years in high-income countries. For many who progress to cirrhosis, the only prospect for survival is liver transplantation. While there is some indication that mesenchymal stem cells may be useful in reversing established liver fibrosis, there are limitations to their widespread use – namely their rarity, the need for extensive serial passaging and the associated potential for genomic instability and cellular senescence. To this end, we propose the use of allogeneic amnion epithelial cells. This clinical trial will assess the safety of intravenously delivered allogeneic human amnion epithelial cells (hAECs) in patients with compensated liver cirrhosis. This will also provide clinical data that will inform phases 2 and 3 clinical trials with the ultimate goal of developing hAECs as a therapeutic option for patients with cirrhosis who are at significant risk of disease progression. We will recruit 12 patients with compensated cirrhosis, based on their hepatic venous pressure gradient, for a dose escalation study. Patients will be closely monitored in the first 24 h post-infusion, then via daily telephone interviews until clinical assessment on day 5. Long term follow up will include standard liver tests, transient elastography and hepatic ultrasound. Ethics approval was obtained from Monash Health for this trial 16052A, “A Pilot Study Evaluating the Safety of Intravenously Administered Human Amnion Epithelial Cells for the Treatment of Liver Fibrosis, A First in Adult Human Study.” The trial will be conducted in accordance to Monash Health Human Ethics guidelines. Outcomes from this study will be disseminated in the form of conference presentations and submission to a peer reviewed journal. This trial has been registered on the Australian and New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry ACTRN12616000437460.

Validating, deconstructing and refining Baveno criteria for ruling out high-risk varices in patients with compensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Guidelines recommend variceal screening in patients with cirrhosis to identify varices at high risk of bleeding requiring primary prophylaxis. Non-invasive criteria to rule out high-risk varices will avoid unnecessary endoscopies. Recent Baveno VI criteria define patients with compensated cirrhosis in whom endoscopy can be avoided as those with a liver stiffness by transient elastography <20 kPa and a platelet count >150 000/mm^3. AIMS: To validate Baveno criteria in two cohorts with a different prevalence of high-risk varices and to determine whether alternate parameters not including liver stiffness would be equal/more accurate in ruling out high-risk varices.

METHODS

Retrospective study evaluating patients with liver stiffness >10 kPa who had liver stiffness and endoscopy within 1 year of each other.

RESULTS

This study included 161 patients from the US cohort (14 [9%] with high-risk varices) and 101 patients from an Italian cohort (17 [17%] with high-risk varices). Of patients meeting Baveno criteria (41 in the US, 16 in Italy), none had high-risk varices and therefore 26% (US) and 16% (Italy) endoscopies could have been avoided. Sensitivity and negative predictive value were 100%. A stepwise strategy using platelet count >150 000 and MELD=6, increased the number of endoscopies avoided to 54% (US) while maintaining a sensitivity and negative predictive value of 100%. Excellent sensitivity and negative predictive value were validated in the Italian cohort and in another cohort of patients with a clinical diagnosis of cirrhosis.

CONCLUSIONS

This study validates Baveno VI criteria, particularly in sites with a low prevalence of high-risk varices and describes a new accurate strategy that does not include liver stiffness.

Non-invasive evaluation of portal hypertension using ultrasound elastography

Portal hypertension (PH) leads to serious complications, such as bleeding from gastroesophageal varices, ascites and portosystemic encephalopathy in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). Gold standard methods for assessing PH and its complications include the measurement of hepatic venous pressure gradient and endoscopy; however, these are invasive, expensive and not available at all centres. Therefore, non-invasive alternatives have been the subject of extensive investigation over the last 20years. The present review focuses on the role of ultrasound elastography - a novel group of non-invasive techniques used to measure stiffness in target organs. In the context of CLD these methods are used to identify the presence of PH, its severity, and the risk of PH-related complications. The rationale, accumulated evidence, advantages and limitations of liver and spleen stiffness measurements evaluated by different ultrasound elastography techniques in patients with advanced CLD is discussed. Recent data regarding the use of ultrasound elastography techniques in patients with non-cirrhotic forms of PH are also described.

Point Shear Wave Elastography to Evaluate and Monitor Changing Portal Venous Pressure in Patients with Decompensated Cirrhosis

This study evaluated whether the stiffness of the liver and spleen, measured using the point shear wave elastography (pSWE) technique, correlates with portal venous pressure (PVP) and whether the result extends to estimate the diminishing change in PVP (ΔPVP) in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. We evaluated the data of 67 prospectively enrolled patients who underwent both transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) and pSWE. The stiffness of liver and spleen were evaluated by measuring shear wave velocity (SWV) to determine the statistical correlation with PVP. We also analyzed whether change in SWV (ΔSWV) correlates with ΔPVP. The correlations were assessed with Spearman's rank correlation coefficients. Furthermore, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to evaluate diagnostic capacity of ΔSWV. Spleen stiffness (SS) was positively correlated with PVP before and after TIPS (p < 0.002), although no correlation between liver stiffness and PVP was detected. A strong relationship between ΔSWV in SS and ΔPVP change in portal hypertension (r = 0.871) was also found in the overall population. The area under the ROC curve for the diagnosis of TIPS technical success was 0.869 and at a ΔSWV cut-off value of 0.36 m/s sensitivity was 77%. Measurement of SS can be used for non-invasive assessment and monitoring of PVP in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

Liver stiffness and platelet count for identifying patients with compensated liver disease at low risk of variceal bleeding

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The 2015 Baveno VI guidelines recommend against performing upper gastrointestinal endoscopy in patients with compensated cirrhosis who have a liver stiffness <20 kPa and a platelet count >150 000/mm³ because of a low prevalence of varices at risk of bleeding in this population. The aim was to synthesize the available evidence on the usefulness of the combined use of liver stiffness and platelet count to identify patients without oesophageal varices.

METHODS

Meta-analysis of trials evaluating the usefulness of a given cut-off for liver stiffness and platelet count to rule out the presence of oesophageal varices.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies were included. All studies excepting five used the Baveno VI criteria. Compared to patients with either high liver stiffness or low platelet count, those with low liver stiffness and normal platelet count had a lower risk of varices at risk of bleeding (OR=0.22, 95% CI=0.13-0.39, P<.001) with low heterogeneity between studies (I² =21%). They also had a lower risk of varices (OR=0.23, 95% CI=0.17-0.32, P<.001) with moderate heterogeneity between studies (I² =28%). In patients with low liver stiffness and normal platelet count, the pooled estimate rates for varices at risk of bleeding was 0.040 (95% CI=0.027-0.059) with low heterogeneity between studies (I² =3%).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with low liver stiffness and normal platelet count have a lower risk of varices than those with either high liver stiffness or low platelet count. Varices at risk of bleeding are found in no more than 4% of patients when liver stiffness is <20 kPa and platelet count is normal.

Beta adrenergic blockade and decompensated cirrhosis

Non-selective betablockers (NSBBs) remain the cornerstone of medical treatment of portal hypertension. The evidence for their efficacy to prevent variceal bleeding is derived from prospective trials, which largely excluded patients with refractory ascites and renal failure. In parallel to the increasing knowledge on portal hypertension-induced changes in systemic hemodynamics, cardiac function, and renal perfusion, emerging studies have raised concerns about harmful effects of NSBBs. Clinicians are facing an ongoing controversy on the use of NSBBs in patients with advanced cirrhosis. On the one hand, NSBBs are effective in preventing variceal bleeding and might also have beneficial non-hemodynamic effects, however, they also potentially induce hypotension and limit the cardiac reserve. An individualized NSBB regimen tailored to the specific pathophysiological stage of cirrhosis might optimize patient management at this point. This article aims to give practical recommendations on the use of NSBBs in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

Correlation of transient elastography with hepatic venous pressure gradient in patients with cirrhotic portal hypertension: A study of 326 patients from India

AIM

To study the diagnostic accuracy of transient elastography (TE) for detecting clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) in Indian patients with cirrhotic portal hypertension.

METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted at the Institute of Liver, Gastroenterology, and Pancreatico-Biliary Sciences, Sir Ganga Ram Hospital, New Delhi, on consecutive patients with cirrhosis greater than 15 years of age who underwent hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) and TE from July 2011 to May 2016. Correlation between HVPG and TE was analyzed using the Spearman’s correlation test. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were prepared for determining the utility of TE in predicting various stages of portal hypertension. The best cut-off value of TE for the diagnosis of CSPH was obtained using the Youden index.

RESULTS

The study included 326 patients [median age 52 (range 16-90) years; 81% males]. The most common etiology of cirrhosis was cryptogenic (45%) followed by alcohol (34%). The median HVPG was 16.0 (range 1.5 to 30.5) mmHg. Eighty-five percent of patients had CSPH. A significant positive correlation was noted between TE and HVPG (rho 0.361, P < 0.001). The area under ROC curve for TE in predicting CSPH was 0.740 (95%CI: 0.662-0.818) (P < 0.01). A cut-off value of TE of 21.6 kPa best predicted CSPH with a positive predictive value (PPV) of 93%.

CONCLUSION

TE has a fair positive correlation with HVPG; thus, TE can be used as a non-invasive modality to assess the degree of portal hypertension. A cut-off TE value of 21.6 kPa identifies CSPH with a PPV of 93%.

Clinical role of non-invasive assessment of portal hypertension

Measurement of portal pressure is pivotal in the evaluation of patients with liver cirrhosis. The measurement of the hepatic venous pressure gradient represents the reference method by which portal pressure is estimated. However, it is an invasive procedure that requires significant hospital resources, including experienced staff, and is associated with considerable cost. Non-invasive methods that can be reliably used to estimate the presence and the degree of portal hypertension are urgently needed in clinical practice. Biochemical and morphological parameters have been proposed for this purpose, but have shown disappointing results overall. Splanchnic Doppler ultrasonography and the analysis of microbubble contrast agent kinetics with contrast-enhanced ultrasonography have shown better accuracy for the evaluation of patients with portal hypertension. A key advancement in the non-invasive evaluation of portal hypertension has been the introduction in clinical practice of methods able to measure stiffness in the liver, as well as stiffness/congestion in the spleen. According to the data published to date, it appears to be possible to rule out clinically significant portal hypertension in patients with cirrhosis (i.e., hepatic venous pressure gradient ≥ 10 mmHg) with a level of clinically-acceptable accuracy by combining measurements of liver stiffness and spleen stiffness along with Doppler ultrasound evaluation. It is probable that the combination of these methods may also allow for the identification of patients with the most serious degree of portal hypertension, and ongoing research is helping to ensure progress in this field.

A Meta-analysis for the Diagnostic Performance of Transient Elastography for Clinically Significant Portal Hypertension

We aimed to evaluate the correlation between liver stiffness measurement using transient elastography (TE-LSM) and hepatic venous pressure gradient and the diagnostic performance of TE-LSM in assessing clinically significant portal hypertension through meta-analysis. Eleven studies were included from thorough literature research and selection processes. The summary correlation coefficient was 0.783 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.737-0.823). Summary sensitivity, specificity and area under the hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were 87.5% (95% CI, 75.8-93.9%), 85.3 % (95% CI, 76.9-90.9%) and 0.9, respectively. The subgroup with low cut-off values of 13.6-18 kPa had better summary estimates (sensitivity 91.2%, specificity 81.3% and partial AUC 0.921) than the subgroup with high cut-off values of 21-25 kPa (sensitivity 71.2%, specificity 90.9% and partial AUC 0.769). In summary, TE-LSM correlated well with hepatic venous pressure gradient and represented good diagnostic performance in diagnosing clinically significant portal hypertension. For use as a sensitive screening tool, we propose using low cut-off values of 13.6-18 kPa in TE-LSM.

Noninvasive tools and risk of clinically significant portal hypertension and varices in compensated cirrhosis: The "Anticipate" study

In patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD), the presence of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) and varices needing treatment (VNT) bears prognostic and therapeutic implications. Our aim was to develop noninvasive tests-based risk prediction models to provide a point-of-care risk assessment of cACLD patients. We analyzed 518 patients with cACLD from five centers in Europe/Canada with paired noninvasive tests (liver stiffness measurement [LSM] by transient elastography, platelet count, and spleen diameter with calculation of liver stiffness to spleen/platelet score [LSPS] score and platelet-spleen ratio [PSR]) and endoscopy/hepatic venous pressure gradient measurement. Risk of CSPH, varices, and VNT was modeled with logistic regression. All noninvasive tests reliably identified patients with high risk of CSPH, and LSPS had the highest discrimination. LSPS values above 2.65 were associated with risks of CSPH above 80%. None of the tests identified patients with very low risk of all-size varices, but both LSPS and a model combining TE and platelet count identified patients with very low risk (<5%) risk of VNT, suggesting that they could be used to triage patients requiring screening endoscopy. LSPS values of <1.33 were associated with a <5% risk of VNT, and 26% of patients had values below this threshold. LSM combined with platelet count predicted a risk <5% of VNT in 30% of the patients. Nomograms were developed to facilitate point-of-care risk assessment.

CONCLUSION

A significant proportion of patients with a very high risk of CSPH, and a population with a very low risk of VNT can be identified with simple, noninvasive tests, suggesting that these can be used to individualize medical care. (Hepatology 2016;64:2173-2184).

Validation of the Baveno VI criteria to identify low risk cirrhotic patients not requiring endoscopic surveillance for varices

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The Baveno VI guidelines propose that cirrhotic patients with a liver stiffness measurement (LSM) <20kPa and a platelet count >150,000/μl can avoid screening endoscopy as their combination is highly specific for excluding clinically significant varices. The aim of the study was to validate these criteria.

METHODS

Transient elastography data was collected from two institutions from 2006-2015. Inclusion criteria were a LSM ⩾10kPa and an upper gastrointestinal endoscopy within 12months, with a diagnosis of compensated chronic liver disease. Exclusion criteria were porto-mesenteric-splenic vein thrombosis and non-cirrhotic portal hypertension. Varices were graded as low risk (grade <2) or high risk (grade ⩾2).

RESULTS

The study included 310 patients (169 (55%) hepatitis C, and 275 (89%) Child-Pugh A). Varices were present in 23% cases, with 5% prevalence of high risk varices. Overall 102/310 (33%) met the Baveno VI criteria. Within this group 11% had varices and 2% had high risk varices, representing 2/15 (13%) of all high risk varices. The Baveno VI criteria gave a sensitivity 0.87, specificity 0.34, positive predictive value 0.06, negative predictive value 0.98, positive likelihood ratio 1.31 and negative likelihood ratio 0.39. The AUROC for LSM and platelet count combined was 0.746.

CONCLUSIONS

The Baveno VI criteria performed well correctly identifying 98% of patients who could safely avoid endoscopy.

LAY SUMMARY

This study examines the effectives of a recent set of guidelines published by the Baveno VI conference, which states that patients with chronic liver disease and a low liver stiffness (<20kPa) and high platelet count (>150) are at low risk of having varices and do not need a screening endoscopy. Varices are a complication of cirrhosis, confer a risk of serious bleeding, and can be diagnosed and treated by endoscopy. Our study reviewed the clinical records of patients who have had liver stiffness scans and endoscopy over a 9-year period at two hospitals. The results show that only about 2% of patients who meet the Baveno VI criteria will be miss-classified as not having varices.

Basal values and changes of liver stiffness predict the risk of disease progression in compensated advanced chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Transient elastography has been proposed as a tool to predict the risk of decompensation in patients with chronic liver disease. We aimed to identify risk groups of disease progression, using a combination of baseline liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and its change over time (delta-LSM) in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD).

METHODS

Ninety-four patients with baseline LSM ≥10kPa, Child-Pugh score 5 and without previous decompensation were included. A second LSM was performed during follow-up and data on liver function and liver-related events were collected. The primary endpoint was a composite that included death, liver decompensation and impairment in at least 1 point in Child-Pugh score.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 43.6 months, 15% of patients presented the primary endpoint. Multivariate analysis identified baseline LSM (OR 1.12, P=0.002) and delta-LSM (OR 1.02, P=0.048) as independent predictors of the primary endpoint. A high risk group represented by patients with baseline LSM ≥21kPa and delta-LSM ≥10% (risk of progression 47.1%, 95% CI: 23-71%) was identified, while patients with LSM <21kPa and delta-LSM <10% presented zero risk of progression (P=0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Simple classification rules using baseline LSM and delta-LSM identify cACLD patients at low or high risk of disease progression.

The VITRO Score (Von Willebrand Factor Antigen/Thrombocyte Ratio) as a New Marker for Clinically Significant Portal Hypertension in Comparison to Other Non-Invasive Parameters of Fibrosis Including ELF Test

Background

Clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), defined as hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) ≥10 mmHg, causes major complications. HVPG is not always available, so a non-invasive tool to diagnose CSPH would be useful. VWF-Ag can be used to diagnose. Using the VITRO score (the VWF-Ag/platelet ratio) instead of VWF-Ag itself improves the diagnostic accuracy of detecting cirrhosis/ fibrosis in HCV patients.

Aim

This study tested the diagnostic accuracy of VITRO score detecting CSPH compared to HVPG measurement.

Methods

All patients underwent HVPG testing and were categorised as CSPH or no CSPH. The following patient data were determined: CPS, D’Amico stage, VITRO score, APRI and transient elastography (TE).

Results

The analysis included 236 patients; 170 (72%) were male, and the median age was 57.9 (35.2–76.3; 95% CI). Disease aetiology included ALD (39.4%), HCV (23.4%), NASH (12.3%), other (8.1%) and unknown (11.9%). The CPS showed 140 patients (59.3%) with CPS A; 56 (23.7%) with CPS B; and 18 (7.6%) with CPS C. 136 patients (57.6%) had compensated and 100 (42.4%) had decompensated cirrhosis; 83.9% had HVPG ≥10 mmHg. The VWF-Ag and the VITRO score increased significantly with worsening HVPG categories (P<0.0001). ROC analysis was performed for the detection of CSPH and showed AUC values of 0.92 for TE, 0.86 for VITRO score, 0.79 for VWF-Ag, 0.68 for ELF and 0.62 for APRI.

Conclusion

The VITRO score is an easy way to diagnose CSPH independently of CPS in routine clinical work and may improve the management of patients with cirrhosis.

Liver stiffness plus platelet count can be used to exclude high-risk oesophageal varices

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Endoscopic screening for high-risk gastro-oesophageal varices (GOV) is recommended for compensated cirrhotic patients with transient elastography identifying increasing numbers of patients with cirrhosis without portal hypertension. Using liver stiffness measurement (LSM) ± platelet count, the aim was to develop a simple clinical rule to exclude the presence of high-risk GOV in patients with Child-Pugh A cirrhosis.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 71 patients with Child-Pugh A cirrhosis diagnosed by transient elastography (LSM >13.6 kPa) who underwent screening gastroscopy was conducted. A predictive model using LSM ± platelet count was assessed to exclude the presence of high-risk GOV (diameter >5 mm and/or the presence of high-risk stigmata) and validated using a second cohort of 200 patients from two independent centres.

RESULTS

High-risk GOV were present in 10 (15%) and 16 (8%) of the training and validation cohorts, respectively, which was associated with LSM and Pl count (P < 0.05). A combined model based on LSM and Pl count was more accurate for excluding the presence of high-risk GOV than either alone (training cohort AUROC: 0.87 [0.77-0.96] vs. 0.78 [0.65-0.92] for LSM and 0.71 [0.52-0.90] for platelets) with the combination of LSM ≤25 kPa and Pl ≥100 having a NPV of 100% in both the training and validation cohorts. A total of 107 (39%) patients meet this criterion.

CONCLUSION

The combination of LSM ≤25 kPa and Pl ≥100 can be used in clinical practice to exclude the presence of high-risk GOV in patients with Child-Pugh A cirrhosis.

Effect of Pressure on Liver Stiffness During the Development of Liver Fibrosis in Rabbits

This study was designed to investigate whether hepatic arterial pressure and portal pressure have an effect on liver stiffness during the development of liver fibrosis. Liver fibrosis was induced in 50 healthy New Zealand white rabbits. Laparotomy was performed to measure liver stiffness, and the portal vein and hepatic artery were successively ligated to repeat the measurements. A significant difference was observed among liver stiffness values measured at different time points (F = 22.82, p < 0.001). Differences between original liver stiffness and liver stiffness measured after portal ligation were positively correlated with portal pressure (r = 0.801, p < 0.001). In animals with grade 4 liver fibrosis, the increase in liver stiffness caused by pressure was greater than that caused by extracellular matrix accumulation (p = 0.002). In conclusion, hepatic arterial pressure and portal pressure have a significant effect on liver stiffness during the development of liver fibrosis.

A Beginning or the End? A Meta-analysis to Assess the Diagnostic Accuracy of Transient Elastography for the Prediction of Esophageal Varices

BACKGROUND/AIMS

To assess the accuracy of transient elastography (TE) in the prediction of esophageal varices (EV).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The literature search was conducted by using PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and CENTRAL on The Cochrane Library without time or language restrictions. Terms used were "FibroScan," "transient elastography," "stiffness," and "esophageal varices." The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and other parameters were obtained using a bivariate mixed-effects regression model.

RESULT

Twenty studies (2530 patients) were identified for inclusion. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative likelihood ratios, and diagnostic odds ratio were 0.84 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.79-0.87), 0.68 (95% CI, 0.61-0.73), 2.58 (95% CI, 2.15-3.10), 0.24 (95% CI, 0.19-0.32), and 10.60 (95%CI, 7.20-15.62), respectively. The summary area under receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) curves was 0.82 (95% CI, 0.79-0.86). Especially, for hepatitis C patients, the diagnostic performance of TE for detecting the presence of EV was similar to all other patients with a sensitivity of 0.83 and a specificity of 0.63, but without heterogeneity (I2 = 0.00). For the prediction of large esophageal varices in patients with viral liver cirrhosis, the pooled sensitivity and specificity of TE were 0.82 (95% CI 0.74-0.89) and 0.77 (95% CI 0.65-0.85), respectively, without significant heterogeneity (I2 = 0.00).

CONCLUSION

Transient elastography has good sensitivity and moderate specificity. TE can be used as an effective noninvasive screening tool for the prediction of esophageal varices, especially in hepatitis C patients, and for the prediction of large esophageal varices in patients with viral liver cirrhosis.

Progression of liver stiffness predicts clinical events in HIV/HCV-coinfected patients with compensated cirrhosis

Background

Our objective was to assess the predictive value of the changes of liver stiffness (LS) for clinical outcome in HIV/HCV-coinfected patients with compensated liver cirrhosis and a LS value < 40 kPa.

Methods

Prospective cohort of 275 HIV/HCV-coinfected patients with cirrhosis, no previous liver decompensation (LD) and LS < 40 kPa. The time from diagnosis to LD and/or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and the predictors of this outcome were evaluated. Significant progression of LS was defined as an increase ≥ 30 % over the baseline value at any time during the follow-up.

Results

After a median (Q1-Q3) follow-up of 32 (20–48) months, 19 (6.9 %, 95 % CI: 3.8 %–9.9 %) patients developed a first LD and/or HCC. At the end of the follow-up, 247 (90 %) patients had undergone a further LS examination. Of them, 77 (31 %) patients had a significant progression of LS. The mean (SD) survival time free of LD and/or HCC was 67 (3) and 77 (1) months in patients with or without significant progression of LS (p = 0.01). Significant progression of LS was an independent predictor of LD and/or HCC (Adjusted Hazard Ratio 4.63; 95 % confidence interval: 1.34–16.02; p = 0.015).

Conclusions

Significant progression of LS is associated with a higher risk of clinical events in HIV/HCV-coinfected patients with compensated cirrhosis and LS < 40 kPa.

Real-time two-dimensional shear wave ultrasound elastography of the liver is a reliable predictor of clinical outcomes and the presence of esophageal varices in patients with compensated liver cirrhosis

AIM

Primary: to evaluate predictivity of liver stiffness (LS), spleen stiffness (SS), and their ratio assessed by real-time 2D shear wave elastography (RT-2D-SWE) for adverse outcomes (hepatic decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma or death; "event") in compensated liver cirrhosis (LC) patients. Secondary: to evaluate ability of these measures to discriminate between cirrhotic patients with/without esophageal varices (EV).

METHODS

Predictivity of LS, SS, and LS/SS was assessed in a retrospectively analyzed cohort of compensated LC patients (follow-up cohort) and through comparison with incident patients with decompensated cirrhosis (DC) (cross-sectional cohort). Both cohorts were used to evaluate diagnostic properties regarding EV.

RESULTS

In the follow-up cohort (n=44) 18 patients (40.9%) experienced an "event" over a median period of 28 months. LS≥21.5 kPa at baseline was independently associated with 3.4-fold (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.16-10.4, P=0.026) higher risk of event. Association between SS and outcomes was weaker (P=0.056), while there was no association between LS/SS ratio and outcomes. Patients with DC (n=43) had higher LS (35.3 vs 18.3 kPa, adjusted difference 65%, 95% CI 43%-90%; P<0.001) than compensated patients at baseline. Adjusted odds of EV increased by 13% (95% CI 7.0%-20.0%; Plt;0.001) with 1 kPa increase in LS. At cut-offs of 19.7 and 30.3 kPa, LS and SS had 90% and 86.6% negative predictive value, respectively, to exclude EV in compensated patients.

CONCLUSION

This is the first evaluation of RT-2D-SWE as a prognostic tool in LC. Although preliminary and gathered in a limited sample, our data emphasize the potential of LS to be a reliable predictor of clinical outcomes and the presence of EV in LC patients.

Cirrhosis and portal hypertension: The importance of risk stratification, the role of hepatic venous pressure gradient measurement

Portal hypertension is the main prognostic factor in cirrhosis. The recent emergence of potent antiviral drugs and new algorithm of treatment for the management of complications due to portal hypertension have sensibly changed our perception of cirrhosis that can be now considered as a multistage liver disease whose mortality risk can be reduced by a tailored approach for any stage of risk. Experts recommend to move toward a pathophysiological classification of cirrhosis that considers both structural and functional changes. The hepatic venous pressure gradient HVPG, is the reference gold standard to estimate the severity of portal hypertension in cirrhosis. It correlates with both structural and functional changes that occur in cirrhosis and carries valuable prognostic information to stratify the mortality risk. This article provides a general overview of the pathophysiology and natural course of cirrhosis and portal hypertension. We propose a simplified classification of cirrhosis based on low, intermediate and high mortality stage. The prognostic information provided by HVPG is presented according to each stage. A comparison with prognostic models based on clinical and endoscopic variables is discussed in order to evidence the additional contribute given by HVPG on top of other clinical and instrumental variables widely used in clinical practice.

Liver stiffness and the prediction of clinically significant portal hypertension and portal hypertensive complications

OBJECTIVE

Clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) is associated with increased risk of liver disease complications, but its identification requires invasive methods. Liver stiffness (LS) measurement via transient elastography correlates with the presence of CSPH. We, therefore, evaluated LS as a noninvasive tool in the prediction of CSPH and portal hypertensive complications.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Ninety-five consecutive patients successfully underwent measurement of hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) and LS on the same day. Recent laboratory tests were correlated. Patients were followed up for development of portal hypertensive complications. Predictors of CSPH and complications were identified.

RESULTS

Seventy-six (80%) were male and mean age was 56.8 ± 9.3 years. Ninety-three percent and 72% of patients had cirrhosis and esophageal varices, respectively. Only LS (r(2) = 0.38; p < 0.0001) and international normalized ratio (r(2) = 0.21; p = 0.02) were independently associated with HVPG. An LS >29.0 kilopascal (kPa) predicted CSPH with 71.9% sensitivity, 100% specificity, 100% positive predictive value (PPV), and 56.0% negative predictive value (NPV). An LS <25.0 kPa in those with platelet count >150 × 10(9)/L excluded CSPH with 91.7% sensitivity, 100% specificity, 100% PPV, and 90% NPV. Ninety patients were followed up for a median duration of 15.1 months. CSPH and LS >34.5 kPa predicted portal hypertensive complications with 100% and 75.0% sensitivity, 40.3% and 69.4% specificity, 43.1% and 52.5% PPV, and 100% and 86.2% NPV, respectively.

CONCLUSION

LS shows promise as a noninvasive marker of CSPH and portal hypertensive complications. Combining LS with platelet count improves diagnostic accuracy in the exclusion of CSPH.