High prevalence of diabetes among young First Nations Peoples with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: a population-based study in Australia

BACKGROUND

Liver disease is an important contributor to the mortality gap between First Nations Peoples and non-Indigenous Australian adults. Despite a high burden of metabolic comorbidities among First Nations Peoples, data about the epidemiology of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) in this population is scarce.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of all adults hospitalized with MASLD or metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) with/without cirrhosis during 2007-2019 in the state of Queensland was performed. Patients were followed from the first admission with MASLD/MASH (identified based on validated algorithms) to decompensated cirrhosis and overall mortality. We explored differences according to Indigenous status using Multivariable Cox regression.

FINDINGS

439 First Nations Peoples and 7,547 non-Indigenous Australians were followed for a median of 4.6 years (interquartile range 2.7-7.2). Overall, women were overrepresented, but more so in the First Nations cohort (72.7% vs. 57.0%, p < 0.001). First Nations patients were younger, a higher proportion lived in remote and socioeconomic disadvantaged areas, and had higher comorbidity compared to non-Indigenous Australians (all p < 0.001). Diabetes, the most common comorbidity affecting both groups, was overrepresented in First Nations Peoples versus non-Indigenous Australians (43.5% vs. 30.8%, p < 0.001, respectively). Nineteen (4.3%) First Nations Peoples and 332 (4.4%) of non-Indigenous patients progressed to cirrhosis decompensation (9.0% [95%CI 4.5-17.7] vs. 7.7% [95%CI 6.6-8.9; p = 0.956] respectively within 10 years). In multivariable analysis, there was no association between Indigenous status and progression to decompensated cirrhosis (p = 0.759) and survival (p = 0.437).

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides the first population-based epidemiological data on MASLD in First Nations Australians. The high prevalence of diabetes (that is associated with advanced fibrosis and liver disease mortality) among young First Nations Peoples with MASLD raises concern about future risk of progressive liver disease in this patient population. These data highlight the importance of early identification of MASLD, and providing culturally appropriate intervention to reduce disease progression in parallel with the management of cardiometabolic comorbidities.

Indications and outcomes of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt insertion in two regional Australian hepatology centres

BACKGROUND

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is an important therapy for complications of portal hypertension but remains underutilised in regional settings.

AIMS

The aim of this study is to explore the demographics, indications, outcomes and complications in patients undergoing TIPS in two regional hepatology centres.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis was undertaken of all patients undergoing TIPS at two regional centres between January 2017 and March 2023. The primary outcome measures were efficacy and complications of TIPS. Patient demographics (such as age, baseline liver severity scores and aetiology of liver disease) and indications for TIPS are detailed.

RESULTS

Forty-eight patients underwent TIPS. Median age was 56 years (interquartile range (IQR): 46-65). The most common indications for TIPS were refractory ascites (n = 17) and failure of secondary prophylaxis of variceal bleeding (n = 13). Cumulative survival at 3 months and 1 year was 93% and 77% respectively. There was no significant difference in outcomes based on TIPS indication. The median number of paracenteses in patients undergoing TIPS for refractory ascites 1 year pre- and post-TIPS were 10 (IQR: 4.5-16) and 2 (IQR: 0-4) respectively (P < 0.001). There were no procedure-related deaths. Inpatient management of liver disease complications had a mean cost of $32 874.67 (SEM: 7779) in 1 year pre-TIPS compared with $12 304.70 (SEM: 3531.1) in 1 year post-TIPS (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

TIPS is a safe and effective treatment to reduce complications of portal hypertension and can be performed successfully in the regional setting.

Transplant benefit-based offering of deceased donor livers in the United Kingdom

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The National Liver Offering Scheme (NLOS) was introduced in the UK in 2018 to offer livers from deceased donors to patients on the national waiting list based, for most patients, on calculated transplant benefit. Before NLOS, livers were offered to transplant centres by geographic donor zones and, within centres, by estimated recipient need for a transplant.

METHODS

UK Transplant Registry data on patient registrations and transplants were analysed to build survival on the list (M1) and survival post-transplantation (M2) statistical models. A separate cohort of registrations - not seen by the models before - was analysed to simulate what liver allocation would have been under M1, M2 and a Transplant Benefit Score (TBS) model (combining both M1 and M2), and to compare these allocations to what had been recorded in the Registry. Number of deaths on the waiting list and patient life years were used to compare the different simulation scenarios and to select the optimal allocation model. Registry data were monitored, pre- and post-NLOS, to understand the performance of the scheme.

RESULTS

The TBS was identified as the optimal model to offer livers from donors after brain death (DBD) to adult and large paediatric elective recipients and, in the first two years of NLOS, 68% of DBD livers were offered using the TBS to this type of recipient. Monitoring data indicate that mortality on the waiting list post-NLOS significantly decreased compared with pre-NLOS (p<0.0001), and that patient survival post-listing is significantly greater post-than pre-NLOS (p=0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

In the first two years of NLOS offering, waiting list mortality fell while post-transplant survival was not negatively impacted, delivering on the scheme's objectives.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

The National Liver Offering Scheme (NLOS) was introduced in the UK in 2018 to increase transparency of the deceased donor liver offering process, maximise the overall survival of the waiting list population, and improve equity of access to liver transplantation. To our knowledge, it is the first scheme that offers organs based on statistical prediction of transplant benefit; the Transplant Benefit Score (TBS). The results are important to the transplant community - from healthcare practitioners to patients - and demonstrate that, in the first two years of NLOS offering, waiting-list mortality fell while post-transplant survival was not negatively impacted, thus delivering on the scheme's objectives. The scheme continues to be monitored to ensure that the TBS remains up-to-date and that signals that suggest the possible disadvantage of some patients are investigated.

A discrete choice experiment to elicit preferences for a chronic disease screening programme in Queensland, Australia

OBJECTIVE

Patient-centred care, increasingly highlighted in healthcare strategies, necessitates understanding public preferences for healthcare service attributes. We aimed to understand the preferences of the Australian population regarding the attributes of chronic disease screening programmes.

STUDY DESIGN

The preferences were elicited using the discrete choice experiment (DCE) methodology.

METHODS

A DCE was administered to a sample of the Australian general population. Respondents were asked to make choices, each offering two hypothetical screening scenarios defined by screening conduct, quality and accuracy of the test results, cost to the patient, wait time and source of information. Data were analysed using a panel mixed multinomial logit model.

RESULTS

A strong preference for highly accurate screening tests and nurse-led screenings at local health clinics was evident. They expressed disutility for waiting time and out-of-pocket costs but were indifferent about the source of information. Their preference for a nurse-led programme was highlighted by the fact that they were willing to pay $81 and $88 to get a nurse-led programme when they were offered a general practitioner-led and a specialist-led programme, respectively. Furthermore, they were willing to pay $32 to reduce a week of waiting time and $205 for a 95% accurate test compared to a 75% accurate test. Preferences remained consistent irrespective of the respondent's place of residence.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings highlight the importance of diagnostic test accuracy and nurse-led service delivery in chronic disease screening programmes. These insights could guide the development of patient-centric services by enhancing test accuracy, reducing waiting times and promoting nurse-led care models.

Diabetes mellitus and the progression of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease to decompensated cirrhosis: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To determine the incidence of decompensated cirrhosis and associated risk factors in people hospitalised with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) or non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) with or without cirrhosis.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study; analysis of linked Queensland Hospital Admitted Patient Data Collection, Queensland Registry of Births, Deaths and Marriages, and Queensland Cancer Register data.

SETTING, PARTICIPANTS

Queensland residents aged 20 years or older admitted to Queensland hospitals with NAFLD/NASH during 1 July 2009 - 31 December 2018.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Progression to decompensated cirrhosis (ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or oesophageal variceal bleeding).

RESULTS

We included data for 8006 patients in our analysis (10 082 admissions), including 4632 women (58%) and 2514 people with diabetes mellitus (31%); median follow-up time was 4.6 years (interquartile range, 2.7-7.2 years). Three hundred and fifty-one people (4.4%) experienced decompensated cirrhosis during the follow-up period. Of the 6900 people without cirrhosis, 4.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.6-5.7%) experienced decompensated cirrhosis within ten years (mean, 0.5% per year; 95% CI, 0.4-0.6% per year); risk of progression was greater for people aged 70 years or older (v 20-39 years: adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 4.7; 95% CI, 2.0-11.0) and those who had extrahepatic cancers (aHR, 5.0; 95% CI, 3.0-8.2), history of major cardiovascular events (aHR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.2-3.1), or diabetes mellitus (aHR, 2.8; 95% CI, 2.0-3.9). Of the 1106 people with cirrhosis, 32.4% (95% CI, 27.2-38.3%) experienced decompensated cirrhosis within ten years (mean, 5.5% per year; 95% CI, 4.8-6.3% per year); risk of progression was greater for those with portal hypertension (aHR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.3-2.7), extrahepatic cancer (aHR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.1-2.9), or diabetes mellitus (aHR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1-2.0). Compared with people who had neither cirrhosis nor diabetes mellitus, the risk of decompensation was greater for people with cirrhosis (aHR, 10.7; 95% CI, 7.6-15.0) or cirrhosis and diabetes mellitus (aHR, 14.4; 95% CI, 10.1-20.6).

CONCLUSIONS

Given the greater risk of progression to cirrhosis decompensation in people with diabetes mellitus, a disorder common in people with NAFLD/NASH, identifying advanced fibrosis and providing appropriate treatment for averting disease progression is vital.

A discrete choice experiment to elicit preferences for a liver screening programme in Queensland, Australia: a mixed methods study to select attributes and levels

BACKGROUND

In Australia, the overall prevalence of liver disease is increasing. Maximising uptake of community screening programmes by understanding patient preferences is integral to developing consumer-centred care models for liver disease. Discrete choice experiments (DCEs) are widely used to elicit preferences for various healthcare services. Attribute development is a vital component of a well-designed DCE and should be described in sufficient detail for others to assess the validity of outcomes. Hence, this study aimed to create a list of potential attributes and levels which can be used in a DCE study to elicit preferences for chronic liver disease screening programmes.

METHODS

Key attributes were developed through a multi-stage, mixed methods design. Focus groups were held with consumers and health care providers on attributes of community screening programmes for liver disease. Stakeholders then prioritised attributes generated from the focus group in order of importance via an online prioritisation survey. The outcomes of the prioritisation exercise were then reviewed and refined by an expert panel to ensure clinically meaningful levels and relevance for a DCE survey.

RESULTS

Fifteen attributes were generated during the focus group sessions deemed necessary to design liver disease screening services. Outcomes of the prioritisation exercise and expert panel stages recognised five attributes, with three levels each, for inclusion in a DCE survey to elicit consumer preferences for community screening for liver disease. This study also highlights broader social issues such as the stigma around liver disease that require careful consideration by policy makers when designing or implementing a liver screening programme.

CONCLUSIONS

The attributes and levels identified will inform future DCE surveys to understand consumer preferences for community screening programmes for liver disease. In addition, the outcomes will help inform the implementation of the LOCATE-NAFLD programme in real-world practice, and could be relevant for other liver and non-liver related chronic disease screening programmes.

Lower prevalence of elevated liver stiffness measurements in people with type 2 diabetes taking sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors or glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Among people with type 2 diabetes (T2D), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is very common and has an increased risk of clinically significant liver disease. The use of sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2i) inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1a) receptor agonists is endorsed to reduce major cardiovascular events and/or progression of chronic kidney disease. Their prevalence of use in people with T2D and co-existent NAFLD remains unclear. We sought to determine the prevalence of use of these medications at two different time periods, and their association with prevalence of clinically significant liver disease.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Consecutive people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were recruited from diabetes clinics between Jun-2021 and Jun-2022 ('current' cohort). Liver stiffness measurements (LSM) using FibroScan were performed. Medication data were collected prospectively at recruitment and verified with the dispensing pharmacy or general practitioner medical records. Data for a historical cohort with NAFLD and T2D recruited from the same clinics during 2015-2017 ('historical' cohort) were available. Logistic regression was used to evaluate factors associated with LSM <8.0 or ≥8 kPa (clinically significant fibrosis).

RESULTS

There were 292 participants, 177 in the historical cohort and 115 in the current cohort. In the current cohort, 57.4% of patients with T2D and NAFLD were taking a GLP-1a and 42.6% were taking a SGLT2i; a 2.6 to 3.4-fold higher prevalence than in 2015-2017. A lower proportion of the current cohort (23.9% compared to 38.4%) had clinically significant fibrosis (LSM ≥8 kPa; p=0.012). When the cohorts were pooled and differences adjusted for in multivariable logistic regression analysis, patients taking a GLP-1a or a SGLT2i were 2 times more likely to have a lower LSM (<8 kPa) compared to patients not taking these drugs (OR=2.05, 95%CI 1.07-3.94, p=0.03 and OR 2.07 95%CI 1.04-4.11, p=0.04, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The observation of a lower LSM in people taking SGLT2i and/or GLP-1a following adjustment for other relevant clinico-demographic variables provides support for clinical trials to assess their efficacy in reducing the progression of NAFLD.

Monitoring quality of care in hepatocellular carcinoma: A modified Delphi consensus

Although there are several established international guidelines on the management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), there is limited information detailing specific indicators of good quality care. The aim of this study was to develop a core set of quality indicators (QIs) to underpin the management of HCC. We undertook a modified, two-round, Delphi consensus study comprising a working group and experts involved in the management of HCC as well as consumer representatives. QIs were derived from an extensive review of the literature. The role of the participants was to identify the most important and measurable QIs for inclusion in an HCC clinical quality registry. From an initial 94 QIs, 40 were proposed to the participants. Of these, 23 QIs ultimately met the inclusion criteria and were included in the final set. This included (a) nine related to the initial diagnosis and staging, including timing to diagnosis, required baseline clinical and laboratory assessments, prior surveillance for HCC, diagnostic imaging and pathology, tumor staging, and multidisciplinary care; (b) thirteen related to treatment and management, including role of antiviral therapy, timing to treatment, localized ablation and locoregional therapy, surgery, transplantation, systemic therapy, method of response assessment, and supportive care; and (c) one outcome assessment related to surgical mortality. Conclusion: We identified a core set of nationally agreed measurable QIs for the diagnosis, staging, and management of HCC. The adherence to these best practice QIs may lead to system-level improvement in quality of care and, ultimately, improvement in patient outcomes, including survival.

Assessment of clinically significant portal hypertension by two-dimensional shear wave elastography

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

To evaluate two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2DSWE) in parallel with transient elastography (TE) for diagnosing clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) and high-risk varices (HRV) in patients with chronic liver disease.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Consecutive patients with suspicion of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) [liver stiffness measurement (LSM) ≥ 10 kPa by TE, or morphological signs suggestive of cACLD on imaging], with no history of liver decompensation, underwent hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement, transjugular liver biopsy and esophagogastroduodenoscopy, which served as the reference methods for diagnosing CSPH, cACLD and HRV. All patients underwent LSM and spleen stiffness measurements (SSM) by 2DSWE and TE.

RESULTS

Seventy-six (76) patients were included (78% men, mean age 62 years, body mass index 28.3 kg/m² , 36.8% alcoholic, 30.3% non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, 14.5% viral hepatitis). Of them, 80.3%, 69.7%, 52.6% and 22.4% had cACLD, cirrhosis, CSPH and HRV respectively. LSM performed better than SSM in diagnosing CSPH and HRV. For CSPH, AUROCs (0.926 vs. 0.866), optimal cut-offs (20.1 vs. 20.2 kPa) and sensitivity/specificity (80.5%/94.3% vs. 77.5% /86.1%) were comparable for 2DSWE and TE. Ruling-out of CSPH by 2DSWE (LSM at cut-off with ≥90% sensitivity (13.5 kPa) and platelets ≥ 150 x 10⁹ /L) performed comparably to TE, with 1/24 cases falsely classified as negative. For HRV, AUROCs were similar (0.875 2DSWE, 0.851 TE) with similar optimal LSM cut-offs enabling 100% sensitivity and ruling-out HRV.

CONCLUSION

Liver stiffness measurement by 2DSWE appears to perform equally well as TE for diagnosing CSPH and ruling-out HRV in compensated chronic liver disease.

An exploration of barriers and facilitators to implementing a nonalcoholic fatty liver disease pathway for people with type 2 diabetes in primary care

AIMS

We explored barriers and facilitators to the implementation of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) pathway for people with diabetes to identify determinants of behaviour surrounding the diagnosis, assessment and management of NAFLD.

METHODS

Health practitioners (n = 24) recruited from multidisciplinary diabetes clinics in primary care (n = 3) and hospital (n = 1) settings participated in four focus group discussions, and common themes were identified using thematic analysis.

RESULTS

Lack of knowledge and access to resources were key factors that underpinned an inconsistent approach by clinicians to NAFLD diagnosis and risk stratification and impacted their confidence to discuss the diagnosis with patients. Participants often prioritised other medical issues above NAFLD due to lack of concern about liver-related consequences, reluctance to overburden patients with information, lack of time and perceived absence of accessible fibrosis tests. All participants agreed that implementation of a NAFLD pathway would improve patient care and the general practitioners proposed that screening for NAFLD could be incorporated into routine review cycles for type 2 diabetes. A consistent message from participants was that educating patients about their liver disease needs to be implemented in an integrated care pathway.

CONCLUSIONS

From the perspectives of health practitioners, there is a gap in clinical practice for the implementation of clear, evidence-based guidelines for NAFLD in people with T2D. By focusing on comorbidity prevention and integrating NAFLD as a diabetes complication to be addressed during established cycles of care, many barriers to implementing a NAFLD pathway in primary care could be overcome.

Developmental Dysplasia of the Hip: An Audit of the Ultrasound Screening Programme

Aims Developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) is an important cause of disability in children and young adults. Early diagnosis and treatment can help avoid more invasive interventions and long-term morbidity. This study examines the ultrasound screening programme conducted in University Hospital Waterford (UHW), and the outcomes for infants with DDH in the Southeast of Ireland. Methods We conducted an audit of all the DDH screening ultrasounds performed in UHW in the year 2020, a total of 992 infants. Data included referral and ultrasound times, screening results, interventions, and outcomes. Results Of those screened, 255 (26%) were referred to the Orthopaedic clinic, with a significant female majority of nearly 3:1. At the time of writing, only two infants were ultimately referred for further management of persistent DDH, the rest being successfully treated by less invasive interventions such as harnessing and bracing. There were no babies scanned within the recommended 6 weeks who later presented with a dislocated hip or required tertiary referral for DDH management. Conclusion The ultrasound screening programme in UHW is shown to be successful in the prompt diagnosis and early treatment of DDH. This plays a significant role in avoiding the lifelong disabling outcomes of untreated DDH, and the invasive surgical procedures required in the management of late-stage disease.

Retreatment for hepatitis C virus direct acting antiviral therapy virological failure in primary and tertiary settings: the REACH-C cohort

Virological failure occurs in a small proportion of people treated for hepatitis C virus (HCV) with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapies. This study assessed retreatment for virological failure in a large real-world cohort. REACH-C is an Australian observational study (n=10843) evaluating treatment outcomes of sequential DAA initiations across 33 health services between March 2016 to June 2019. Virological failure retreatment data were collected until October 2020. Of 408 people with virological failure (81% male; median age 53; 38% cirrhosis; 56% genotype 3), 213 (54%) were retreated once; 15 were retreated twice. A range of genotype specific and pangenotypic DAAs were used to retreat virological failure in primary (n=56) and tertiary (n=157) settings. Following sofosbuvir/velpatasvir/voxilaprevir availability in 2019, the proportion retreated in primary care increased from 21% to 40% and median time to retreatment initiation declined from 294 to 152 days. Per-protocol (PP) sustained virological response (SVR12) was similar for people retreated in primary and tertiary settings (80% vs 81%; p=1.000). In regression analysis, sofosbuvir/velpatasvir/voxilaprevir (vs. other regimens) significantly decreased likelihood of second virological failure (PP SVR12 88% vs. 77%; adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 0.29; 95%CI 0.11-0.81); cirrhosis increased likelihood (PP SVR12 69% vs. 91%; AOR 4.26; 95%CI 1.64-11.09). Indigenous Australians had lower likelihood of retreatment initiation (AOR 0.36; 95%CI 0.15-0.81). Treatment setting and prescriber type were not associated with retreatment initiation or outcome. Virological failure can be effectively retreated in primary care. Expanded access to simplified retreatment regimens through decentralised models may increase retreatment uptake and reduce HCV-related mortality.

Implementing the right care in the right place at the right time for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD-RRR study): a study protocol for a community care pathway for people with type 2 diabetes

Background

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is an emerging epidemic that affects approximately half of all people with type 2 diabetes. Those with type 2 diabetes are a high-risk NAFLD subgroup because of their increased risk of clinically significant liver-related outcomes from NAFLD which include hepatocellular carcinoma, cirrhosis-related complications and liver disease mortality. They may benefit from early detection of disease as this would allow at risk patients to access hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance, emerging drug trials for NAFLD and specialist hepatology care prior to emergence of liver-related complications.

Methods

This is a prospective cohort study aimed at incorporating and assessing a community care pathway for liver fibrosis screening into routine care for type 2 diabetes. Patients undergo a point of care assessment of hepatic steatosis and stiffness using FibroScan at the time of the routine diabetes appointment or when attending the clinic for blood tests in preparation for this appointment.

Discussion

We propose that implementation of a community-based NAFLD diagnosis, risk-stratification, and referral pathway for people with type 2 diabetes is feasible, will provide earlier, targeted detection of advanced fibrosis, and reduce unnecessary referrals to hepatology outpatients for fibrosis risk assessment. Our study will provide important information about the feasibility of establishing a NAFLD pathway for people with type 2 diabetes in primary care. Ultimately, our findings will help direct spending and resource allocation for NAFLD in a high-risk population. Regular evaluation by stakeholders during implementation will help to create a reliable and sustainable community care pathway and establish a perpetual cycle of learning in primary care.

Trial registration

ANZCTR, ACTRN12621000330842. Registered 23 March 2021.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12913-022-07808-7.

The fate of indeterminate liver lesions: What proportion are precursors of hepatocellular carcinoma?

Background

The natural history and incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) arising from indeterminate liver lesions are not well described. We aimed to define the incidence of HCC in a cohort of patients undergoing surveillance by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and estimate any associations with incident HCC.

Methods

We performed a retrospective follow-up study, identifying MRI scans in which indeterminate lesions had been reported between January 2006 and January 2017. Subsequent MRI scan reports were reviewed for incident HCC arising from indeterminate lesions, data were extracted from electronic patient records and survival analysis performed to estimate associations with baseline factors.

Results

One hundred and nine patients with indeterminate lesions on MRI were identified. HCC developed in 19 (17%) patients over mean follow up of 4.6 years. Univariate Cox proportional hazards analysis found incident HCC to be significantly associated with baseline low platelet count (hazard ratio (HR) = 7.3 (95% confidence intervals (CI) 2.1–24.9), high serum alpha-fetoprotein level (HR = 2.7 (95% CI 1.0–7.1)) and alcohol consumption above fourteen units weekly (HR = 3.1 (95% CI 1.1–8.7)). Multivariate analysis, however, found that only low platelet count was independently associated with HCC (HR = 5.5 (95% CI 0.6–5.1)).

Conclusions

HCC arises in approximately one fifth of indeterminate liver lesions over 4.6 years and is associated with a low platelet count at the time of first diagnosis of an indeterminate lesion. Incidence of HCC was more common in people with viral hepatitis and in those consuming > 14 units of alcohol per week. Our data may be used to support a strategy of enhanced surveillance in patients with indeterminate lesions.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12876-022-02135-x.

High Effectiveness of Broad Access Direct-Acting Antiviral Therapy for Hepatitis C in an Australian Real-World Cohort: The REACH-C Study

Australia was one of the first countries with unrestricted access to government subsidized direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy for adults with chronic hepatitis C virus. This study assessed real-world DAA treatment outcomes across a diverse range of Australian clinical services and evaluated factors associated with successful treatment and loss to follow-up. Real-world Effectiveness of Antiviral therapy in Chronic Hepatitis C (REACH-C) consisted a national observational cohort of 96 clinical services including specialist clinics and less traditional settings such as general practice. Data were obtained on consecutive individuals who commenced DAAs from March 2016 to June 2019. Effectiveness was assessed by sustained virological response ≥12 weeks following treatment (SVR) using intention-to-treat (ITT) and per-protocol (PP) analyses. Within REACH-C, 10,843 individuals initiated DAAs (male 69%; ≥50 years 52%; cirrhosis 22%). SVR data were available in 85% (9,174 of 10,843). SVR was 81% (8,750 of 10,843) by ITT and 95% (8,750 of 9,174) by PP. High SVR (≥92%) was observed across all service types and participant characteristics. Male gender (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.43-0.72), cirrhosis (aOR 0.52, 95% CI 0.41-0.64), recent injecting drug use (IDU; aOR 0.64, 95% CI 0.46-0.91) and previous DAA treatment (aOR 0.50, 95% CI 0.28-0.90) decreased the likelihood of achieving SVR. Multiple factors modified the likelihood of loss to follow-up including IDU ± opioid agonist therapy (OAT; IDU only: aOR 1.75, 95% CI 1.44-2.11; IDU + OAT: aOR 1.39, 95% CI 1.11-1.74; OAT only, aOR 1.36; 95% CI 1.13-1.68) and age (aOR 0.97, 95% CI 0.97-0.98). Conclusion: Treatment response was high in a diverse population and through a broad range of services following universal access to DAA therapy. Loss to follow-up presents a real-world challenge. Younger people who inject drugs were more likely to disengage from care, requiring innovative strategies to retain them in follow-up.

Performance of simple serum-based tests to exclude cirrhosis prior to hepatitis C treatment in non-hospital settings in Australia

BACKGROUND

Current guidelines suggest using transient elastography (TE) or aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) score <1 to exclude cirrhosis prior to commencing treatment for hepatitis C virus (HCV). Recently, fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) <0.93 has been shown to have a high negative predictive value (NPV) for the presence of cirrhosis.

AIMS

To assess FIB-4 and APRI in a cohort of HCV patients and to validate FIB-4 <0.93 in populations of HCV-infected individuals with differing cirrhosis prevalence, including secondary care, primary care and prisons.

METHODS

From our treatment database, we identified patients with complete data (n = 793). We calculated FIB-4 and APRI and correlated this with the presence of cirrhosis, determined by TE. We analysed the performance of FIB-4 and APRI using area under the receiver operating curve analysis. We calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, NPV and number of patients misclassified using published cut-offs in populations with varying cirrhosis prevalence.

RESULTS

FIB-4 was superior to APRI for the diagnosis of cirrhosis (area under the receiver operating curve 0.868 vs 0.802). In secondary care (cirrhosis prevalence 32%), APRI <1 had a NPV of 80% and misclassified 14% of patients. FIB-4 <0.93 had a NPV of 97% and misclassified 1%. In primary care and prison (cirrhosis prevalence 13% and 8%), the NPV for APRI <1 was 93% and 96%, respectively, but 5% of patients with cirrhosis were misclassified. FIB-4 <0.93 had excellent NPV in both primary care (97%) and prisoners (100%).

CONCLUSIONS

FIB-4 <0.93 is highly efficient at ruling out cirrhosis in HCV patients and allows TE to be appropriately avoided, thereby streamlining treatment algorithms.

Is methotrexate hepatotoxicity associated with cumulative dose? A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE

Methotrexate (MTX) is widely used in various medical specialties. However, hepatotoxicity is an ongoing concern and this is thought to be directly associated with cumulative dose. We sought to synthesise the published literature to evaluate the association between methotrexate hepatotoxicity and cumulative dose.

METHODS

A systematic review of Medline (PubMed) EMBASE, CINAHL and The Cochrane Library was performed. Full texts of articles were examined, and excluded articles were recorded with reasons for exclusion. A meta-analysis of correlation coefficients was performed using Fisher's z-transformation and a random effects model. Cochran's Q-test and the I² statistic were calculated to assess heterogeneity.

RESULTS

A total of 35 studies met inclusion criteria. Measures of hepatotoxicity were highly varied and included liver biopsy, elastography, FibroTest, biochemical tests and scoring systems (Fib-4, APRI, AST:ALT). Some studies analysed for the association with MTX cumulative dose using more than one modality. Overall, 38 analyses found no significant association between MTX cumulative dose and hepatoxicity vs eight that identified a significant association. The pooled correlation coefficient from five studies which utilised elastography was 0.18 (95% CI, -0.09 to 0.42), with significant heterogeneity between studies (P < 0.0001), I²  = 92%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our synthesis of a large volume of studies in this review found no significant association between MTX cumulative dose and hepatotoxicity, both in terms of vote counting and with regard to the meta-analysis of correlation coefficients from studies that utilised elastography. This challenges the long-held belief that liver injury is a direct result of drug accumulation.

One-stop shop for variceal surveillance: integration of unsedated ultrathin endoscopy into the routine clinic visit

BACKGROUND

The endoscopic appearance of oesophageal varices determines the need for prophylaxis. However, as the point prevalence of varices is low (25%), the majority of surveillance endoscopies are unnecessary and costly. Narrow diameter, ultrathin (UT) endoscopes are more tolerable than conventional upper gastrointestinal (UGI) endoscopes and can be used without sedation. We hypothesised that unsedated UT endoscopy for variceal surveillance could be implemented during the routine outpatient clinic visit allowing accurate diagnosis of varices and the timely provision of prophylaxis.

METHODS

Patients with cirrhosis awaiting surveillance endoscopy were identified. UT endoscopy was scheduled during routine clinic review at the same time as ultrasound surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma. UGI endoscopy was performed unsedated using the E.G Scan II disposable endoscope. Varices were graded using the modified Paquet classification. Video recordings of procedures were reviewed by blinded assessors and agreement was assessed using the kappa statistic.

RESULTS

40 patients (80% male) underwent unsedated UT endoscopy. All procedures were successful and tolerated well in 98% of cases. Median procedure time was 2 min (IQR 1-3). Varices were found in 37.5% (17.5% grade 1 and 20% grade 2). Patients with grade 2 varices were prescribed non-selective beta blockers at the clinic appointment. Kappa statistic for the finding of any varices was 0.636 (p=0.001) and 0.8-1.0 for diagnosis of grade 2 varices (p<0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Outpatient unsedated ultrathin endoscopy in patients with cirrhosis is accurate, safe and feasible. This integrative care model is convenient, particularly for regional communities, and is likely to result in significant cost savings associated with variceal surveillance.

Efficacy and safety of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir/voxilaprevir for HCV NS5A-inhibitor experienced patients with difficult to cure characteristics

BACKGROUND

In clinical trials, HCV salvage treatment with Sofosbuvir/Velpatasvir/Voxilaprevir (SOF/VEL/VOX) achieved an SVR12 rate of >95% in NS5A-experienced participants. Lower SVR12 rates have been reported in real-world studies, particularly for genotype (GT)3 infection and cirrhosis. We determined the efficacy and safety of SOF/VEL/VOX in a large real-world cohort.

METHODS

We assessed the efficacy of salvage SOF/VEL/VOX for HCV infection in NS5A-inhibitor experienced participants with cirrhosis and portal hypertension, prior liver transplantation (LT) or severe extra-hepatic manifestations. SOF/VEL/VOX was available via an early access program. The primary outcome was SVR12. Secondary outcome was frequency of adverse events (AE).

FINDINGS

Ninety-seven participants were included. Median age was 58, 82% were male, 78% had cirrhosis, most with portal hypertension (61%, n=46/76), and 18% had prior-LT. Of the cirrhotic participants, 96% were Child-Turcotte-Pugh class A and 4% were class B. Of the 72% with GT3, 76% were also cirrhotic. By intention-to-treat analysis, SVR12 rate was 85% (n=82/97). Per protocol, the SVR12 rate was 90%, including 91% in GT1 (GT1a n=18/18, GT1b n=2/4), 89% in GT3 (n=59/66) and 100% in GT6 (n=3/3). SVR12 in participants with GT3 and cirrhosis was 90%. No predictors of non-SVR12 were identified. There were four serious AEs including one death and three hepatic decompensation events. NS5A resistance-associated substitutions detected at baseline did not affect SVR12.

CONCLUSION

This real-world study confirms high efficacy of SOF/VEL/VOX for the treatment of difficult-to-cure NS5A-inhibitor experienced patients, including those with GT3 and cirrhosis. Treatment was well tolerated in most however serious AEs can occur in those with advanced liver disease.

Protocol for a randomised trial testing a community fibrosis assessment service for patients with suspected non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: LOCal assessment and triage evaluation of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (LOCATE-NAFLD)

Background

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common type of chronic liver disease in Australia and its recent increase mirrors the obesity and type 2 diabetes epidemics. Currently, many patients who present to primary care with abnormal liver function tests or steatosis on liver ultrasound are referred for assessment in secondary care. Due to the large number of patients with NAFLD, this results in long waits for clinical and fibrosis assessment, placing unnecessary burden on the public hospital system.

Methods

We will conduct a 1:1 parallel randomised trial to compare two alternative models of care for NAFLD. Participants will be randomised to usual care or the LOCal Assessment and Triage Evaluation (LOCATE) model of care and followed for 1 year. We will recruit patients from the non-neighbouring Sunshine Coast and Metro South Hospital and Health Services (HHSs) in Queensland, Australia. Our primary outcome of interest is time to diagnosis of high-risk NAFLD, based on the number of participants in each arm of the study who receive a diagnosis of clinically significant fibrosis. Two hundred and 34 participants will give us a 95% power to detect a 50% reduction in the primary outcome of time to diagnosis of high-risk disease. We will also conduct an economic evaluation, evaluating the cost-effectiveness of the new model of care. We will also evaluate the implementation of the new model of care.

Discussion

It is anticipated that the results of this study will provide valuable new information regarding the management of NAFLD in the Australian setting. A relatively simple change to care could result in earlier identification of patients with significant liver disease and lower overall costs for the health system. Results will be directly disseminated to key staff for further distribution to consumers, policy- and decision-makers in the form of evidence briefs, plain language summaries and policy recommendations.

Trial registration

The trial was registered on 30 January, 2020 and can be found via ANZCTR - number ACTRN12620000158965.

Changing prevalence of aetiological factors and comorbidities among Australians hospitalised for cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

The rate of hospital admissions for cirrhosis increased 1.3-fold during 2008-2016 in Queensland. Alcohol misuse was a contributing factor for cirrhosis in 55% of admissions and 40% of patients had at least one comorbidity.

AIMS

To examine the temporal change in aetiology of liver disease and presence of comorbidity in patients admitted with cirrhosis.

METHODS

Population-based retrospective cohort study of all people treated in hospital for cirrhosis (10 254 patients) in Queensland during 2008-2016. Data were sourced from Queensland Hospital Admitted Patient Data Collection.

RESULTS

The commonest aetiology was alcohol (49.5%), followed by cryptogenic (unspecified cirrhosis; 28.5%), hepatitis C virus (19.3%), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)/non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) (4.8%) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) (4.3%). The prevalence of alcohol-related (P = 0.41) and hepatitis C virus (P = 0.08) remained stable between 2008-2010 and 2014-2016, that of NAFLD/NASH, cryptogenic and HBV-cirrhosis increased by 67% (P < 0.00001), 27% (P < 0.00001) and 20% (P = 0.00019), respectively; 41.1% of patients had at least one comorbidity. The prevalence of type 2 diabetes nearly doubled (from 13.7% to 25.4%; P < 0.00001) between 2008-2010 and 2014-2016.

CONCLUSIONS

Alcohol misuse was the most important aetiology. The importance of NAFLD/NASH, cryptogenic and HBV-cirrhosis and the burden of comorbidity increased during 2008-2016. Ongoing alcohol misuse and the increasing prevalence of NAFLD/NASH, cryptogenic cirrhosis and comorbid type 2 diabetes among admissions for cirrhosis has implications for public health interventions to reduce the burden of unhealthy lifestyle and metabolic disorders.

Observational study of the microcirculation in patients with liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Liver cirrhosis is associated with widespread microcirculatory dysfunction and hemodynamic derangement, which may play a role in the pathogenesis of multiple organ failure. Little is known, however, about the progression of microvascular alterations as the severity of liver disease worsens. Therefore, our aim is to quantify the peripheral systemic microcirculatory changes associated with increasing severity of liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

Forty patients with liver cirrhosis were studied and divided into groups based on Child-Pugh classes A (n = 9), B (n = 18), and C (n = 13) for comparison. Incident dark field imaging was used to evaluate the sublingual microcirculation and near-infrared spectroscopy at the thenar eminence to assess microvascular reactivity and function.

RESULTS

There was no difference in microcirculatory flow index (P = 0.655), heterogeneity index (P = 0.702), or vessel density (P = 0.923) between the different Child-Pugh groups. Microvascular reactivity did not change as the severity of liver disease worsened.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed no association between peripheral systemic microcirculatory alterations and the severity of liver disease. Further research with larger study cohorts are needed to clarify the relationship between microcirculatory abnormalities and disease progression and to establish if the peripheral microcirculation is affected by the pathophysiology of worsening cirrhosis.

A stepwise thrombolysis regimen in the management of acute portal vein thrombosis in patients with evidence of intestinal ischaemia

BACKGROUND

Anticoagulation alone in acute, extensive portomesenteric vein thrombosis (PVT) does not always result in spontaneous clot lysis, and leaves the patient at risk of complications including intestinal infarction and portal hypertension.

AIM

To develop a new standard of care for patients with acute PVT and evidence of intestinal ischaemia.

METHODS

We present a case series of patients with acute PVT and evidence of intestinal ischaemia plus ongoing symptoms despite initial systemic anticoagulation, who were treated with a thrombolysis protocol between 2014 and 2019. This stepwise protocol initially uses low-dose systemic alteplase, and in patients with ongoing abdominal pain, and no evidence of radiological improvement, is followed by local clot dissolution therapy (CDT) through a TIPSS. Outcomes and safety were assessed.

RESULTS

Twenty-two patients were included. The mean age was 44.6 (standard deviation [SD] 16.0) years, and 64% had an identifiable prothrombotic risk factor. All patients had intestinal wall oedema and 77% had complete occlusion of all portomesenteric veins. Systemic thrombolysis was started 18.7 (SD 11.2) days after the onset of symptoms. 55% of patients underwent TIPSS insertion for CDT. At the end of treatment, symptoms resolved in 91% of patients and recanalisation in 86%. Only one patient required resection for intestinal ischaemia, and there were no deaths. Major complications occurred in two patients (9%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our stepwise protocol is effective, resulting in good recanalisation rates. It can be commenced early while organising transfer to a centre capable of performing local CDT.

Cardiovascular morbidity and mortality is increased post-liver transplantation even in recipients with no pre-existing risk factors

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Post-liver transplant (LT) metabolic syndrome (PTMS) and cardiovascular (CVS) mortality are becoming increasingly prevalent following sustained improvements in post-LT survival. We investigated the prevalence and predictors of PTMS and CVS complications in a cohort of consecutive LT recipients.

METHODS

We reviewed prospectively collected data of patients (n = 928) who underwent LT (1995-2013) and survived at least 1-year post-LT or died before that due to a major CVS complication.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 85 months (IQR = 106). The prevalence of PTMS was 22.4% and it developed de novo in 183 recipients (19.7%). A total of 187 (20.2%) patients developed at least one CVS event post-LT within a median of 49 months (IQR = 85). Overall mortality rate was 22.6% (n = 210). Causes of death were CVS events (n = 45, 21.4%), malignancies (21%), liver-related deaths (20%) and infections (6.7%). Independent predictors of major CVS events were: documented CVS disease pre-LT (Hazard Ratio (HR) = 3.330; 95% CI = 1.620-6.840), DM (HR = 1.120; 95% CI 1.030-1.220), hypertension (HR = 1.140; 95% CI 1.030-1.270), dyslipidaemia (HR = 1.140; 95% CI 1.050-1.240) and creatinine levels at 1 year (HR = 1.010; 95% CI = 1.005-1.013). Among LT recipients without pre-LT CVS disease or MS components (n = 432), 85 recipients developed ≥1 CVS events (19.7%) with independent predictors being DM (HR = 1.150; 95% CI = 1.010-1.320), creatinine levels at 1 year (HR = 1.020; 95% CI = 1.010-1.030) and hypertension (HR = 1.190; 95% CI = 1.040-1.360).

CONCLUSIONS

Post-LT patients are at increased risk of CVS morbidity even in the absence of pre-existing metabolic risk factors. Renal sparing immunosuppressive protocols might reduce CVS events post-LT.

Cost-comparison analysis of FIB-4, ELF and fibroscan in community pathways for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Background

The identification of patients with advanced liver fibrosis secondary to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) remains challenging. Using non-invasive liver fibrosis tests (NILT) in primary care may permit earlier detection of patients with clinically significant disease for specialist review, and reduce unnecessary referral of patients with mild disease. We constructed an analytical model to assess the clinical and cost differentials of such strategies.

Methods

A probabilistic decisional model simulated a cohort of 1000 NAFLD patients over 1 year from a healthcare payer perspective. Simulations compared standard care (SC) (scenario 1) to: Scenario 2: FIB-4 for all patients followed by Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) test for patients with indeterminate FIB-4 results; Scenario 3: FIB-4 followed by fibroscan for indeterminate FIB-4; Scenario 4: ELF alone; and Scenario 5: fibroscan alone. Model estimates were derived from the published literature. The primary outcome was cost per case of advanced fibrosis detected.

Results

Introduction of NILT increased detection of advanced fibrosis over 1 year by 114, 118, 129 and 137% compared to SC in scenarios 2, 3, 4 and 5 respectively with reduction in unnecessary referrals by 85, 78, 71 and 42% respectively.

The cost per case of advanced fibrosis (METAVIR ≥F3) detected was £25,543, £8932, £9083, £9487 and £10,351 in scenarios 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 respectively. Total budget spend was reduced by 25.2, 22.7, 15.1 and 4.0% in Scenarios 2, 3, 4 and 5 compared to £670 K at baseline.

Conclusion

Our analyses suggest that the use of NILT in primary care can increases early detection of advanced liver fibrosis and reduce unnecessary referral of patients with mild disease and is cost efficient. Adopting a two-tier approach improves resource utilization.

Contemporary Educational Interventions for General Practitioners (GPs) in Primary Care Settings in Australia: A Systematic Literature Review

Background: The primary purpose of educational interventions is to optimize the clinical management of patients. General practitioners (GPs) play a major role in the detection and management of diseases. This systematic literature review will describe the type and outcomes of educational interventions designed for general practitioners (GPs) in the Australian context.

Methods: PubMed, CINHAL, and Scopus databases were systematically searched for studies on educational interventions conducted for GPs in Australia during 1st January 2008 to 11th June 2018. Data collected on the methodology of the interventions, GPs satisfaction regarding the educational intervention, changes in knowledge, confidence, skills and clinical behavior of the GPs. We also assessed whether the acquired clinical competencies had an impact on organizational change and on patient health.

Results: Thirteen publications were included in this review. The methods with which educational interventions were developed and implemented varied substantially and rigorous evaluation was generally lacking particularly in detailing the outcomes. The reported GP response rate varied between 2 and 96% across studies, depending upon the method of recruitment, the type of intervention and the study setting (rural vs. urban). The most effective recruitment strategy was a combination of initial contact coupled with a visit to GP practices. Nine of the studies reviewed reported improvement in at least one outcome measure: gaining knowledge, improving skills or change in clinical behavior which was translated into clinical practice. In the 3 pre- and post-intervention analysis studies, 90–100% of the participating GPs reported improvement in their knowledge and attitudes.

Conclusion: Education interventions for GPs in Australia had low response (recruitment) and retention (GPs that participated in follow-ups) rates, even when financial benefits or CPD points were used as incentives. Higher GP response rates were achieved through multiple recruitment strategies. Multifaceted interventions were more likely to achieve the primary outcome by improving knowledge, skills or changing practice, but the effect was often modest. Inconsistent results were reported in studies involving the use of multiple contact methods within an intervention and conducting online interventions.

Systematic review with meta-analysis: ultra-thin gastroscopy compared to conventional gastroscopy for the diagnosis of oesophageal varices in people with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Haemorrhage from ruptured oesophageal varices is a common cause of death in people with cirrhosis. Guidelines recommend screening for varices at time of cirrhosis diagnosis and throughout the course of the disease. Conventional gastroscopy is the criterion standard for variceal screening; however, is invasive, costly, and carries risks related to use of sedation. Ultra-thin gastroscopy (using endoscopes with a shaft diameter ≤6 mm) has been proposed as an alternative method of variceal screening that mitigates these risks.

AIM

To determine the diagnostic accuracy of ultra-thin gastroscopy compared to conventional gastroscopy for the diagnosis of varices in people with cirrhosis.

METHODS

MEDLINE, EMBASE and Cochrane library databases were searched for studies that evaluated the accuracy of ultra-thin gastroscopy compared to conventional gastroscopy in the diagnosis of oesophageal varices.

RESULTS

Ten studies, 7 in known cirrhosis, with 752 participants were included in this systematic review. The overall prevalence of oesophageal varices was 42%. On bivariate modelling, pooled estimates of sensitivity and specificity were 98% (95% CI 93%-99%) and 96% (95% CI 91%-99%) respectively. The positive and negative likelihood ratios were 28 (95% CI 10.7-73.2) and 0.02 (95% CI 0.01-0.72) respectively. Kappa coefficient for inter-observer agreement for any varices ranged from 0.45 to 0.90. No serious adverse events related to ultra-thin gastroscopy were reported.

CONCLUSIONS

Ultra-thin gastroscopy is accurate in the diagnosis of oesophageal varices, safe and well tolerated. It is a valid alternative to conventional gastroscopy for the screening and surveillance of varices in people with cirrhosis.

Increasing Hospitalization Rates for Cirrhosis: Overrepresentation of Disadvantaged Australians

BACKGROUND

Limited information is available about hospitalization rates for cirrhosis in Australia.

METHODS

Using information on all hospital episodes of care for patients admitted to Queensland hospitals during 2008-2016, we report age-standardized hospitalization rates/10,000 person-years, in-hospital case-fatality rate among these admissions (n = 30,327), and examine the factors associated with hospital deaths using logistic regression analyses.

FINDINGS

Hospitalization rates increased from 8.50/10,000 (95% confidence interval (CI) 8.18-8.82) to 11.21/10,000 (95%CI 10.87-11.54) between 2008 and 2016, and peaked in men aged 55-59 years (34.03/10,000) and in Indigenous Australians (32.79/10,000). The number of admissions increased by 61.7% from 2701 admissions in 2008 to 4367 in 2016. During the same period, the percentage increase varied by socioeconomic disadvantage (3.2%/year in the most affluent vs. 9.4%/year in the most disadvantaged quintile; p < 0.001). Alcohol misuse was a contributing factor for cirrhosis in 55.1% of admissions, and socioeconomic disadvantage in 26.8%. The overall in-hospital case-fatality rate was 9.7% for males and 9.3% for females, and decreased in males (p < 0.001). Predictors of in-hospital mortality included hepatorenal syndrome (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 7.24, 95%CI 5.99-8.75), HCC (AOR = 2.53, 95%CI 2.20-2.91), hepatic encephalopathy (AOR = 1.94, 95%CI 1.61-2.34), acute peritonitis (AOR = 1.93, 95%CI 1.61-2.33), jaundice (AOR = 1.82, 95%CI 1.20-2.75), age ≥ 70 years (AOR = 1.63, 95%CI 1.38-1.92), a higher comorbidity index (p = 0.021), and residence outside of a "major city" (p < 0.001).

INTERPRETATION

The increasing healthcare use by Australians with cirrhosis has resource and economic implications. Our data highlight the disproportionate impact of cirrhosis on Indigenous Australians and people from the most socioeconomically disadvantaged areas.

FUNDING

Brisbane Diamantina Health Partners.

Administration of Albumin Solution Increases Serum Levels of Albumin in Patients With Chronic Liver Failure in a Single-Arm Feasibility Trial

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Infections are life-threatening to patients with acute decompensation and acute-on-chronic liver failure (AD/ACLF). Patients with AD/ACLF have prostaglandin E2-mediated immune suppression, which can be reversed by administration of albumin; infusion of 20% human albumin solution (HAS) might improve outcomes of infections. We performed a feasibility study to determine optimal trial design, assess safety, and validate laboratory assessments of immune function to inform design of a phase 3 trial.

METHODS

We performed a prospective multicenter, single-arm, open-label trial of 79 patients with AD/ACLF and levels of albumin lower than 30 g/L, seen at 10 hospitals in the United Kingdom from May through December 2015. Patients were given daily infusions of 20% HAS, based on serum levels, for 14 days or until discharge from the hospital. Rates of infection, organ dysfunction, and in-hospital mortality were recorded. The primary end point was daily serum albumin level during the treatment period. Success would be demonstrated if 60% achieved and maintained serum albumin levels at or above 30 g/L on at least one third of days with recorded levels.

RESULTS

The patients' mean model for end-stage disease score was 20.9 ± 6.6. The primary end point (albumin ≥30 g/L on at least one third of days recorded) was achieved by 68 of the 79 patients; 75% of administrations were in accordance with suggested dosing regimen. Mean treatment duration was 10.3 days (104 ± 678 mL administered). There were 8 deaths and 13 serious adverse events, considered by the independent data-monitoring committee to be consistent with those expected. Twelve of 13 patients that developed either respiratory or cardiovascular dysfunction (based on ward-based clinical definitions) as their only organ dysfunction were alive at 30 days compared with 1 of 3 that developed renal dysfunction. Only 1 case of brain dysfunction was recorded.

CONCLUSIONS

In a feasibility trial, we found that administration of HAS increased serum levels of albumin in patients with AD/ACLF. The dosing regimen was acceptable at multiple sites and deemed safe by an independent data-monitoring committee. We also developed a robust system to record infections. The poor prognosis for patients with renal dysfunction was confirmed. However, patients with cardiovascular or respiratory dysfunction had good outcomes, which is counterintuitive. Severe encephalopathy appeared substantially under-reported, indicating that ward-based assessment of these parameters cannot be recorded with sufficient accuracy for use as a primary outcome in phase 3 trials. Trial registration no: EudraCT 2014-002300-24 and ISRCTN14174793.

Review article: the role of the microcirculation in liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Intrahepatic microvascular derangements and microcirculatory dysfunction are key in the development of liver cirrhosis and its associated complications. While much has been documented relating to cirrhosis and the dysfunction of the microcirculation in the liver parenchyma, far less is known about the state of the extrahepatic microcirculation and the role this may have in the pathogenesis of multiple organ failure in end stage liver cirrhosis.

AIM

To provide an update on the role of the microcirculation in the pathophysiology of cirrhosis and its associated complications and briefly discuss some of the imaging techniques which may be used to directly investigate the microcirculation.

METHODS

A Medline literature search was conducted using the following search terms: 'cirrhosis', 'microcirculation', 'circulation', 'systemic', 'inflammation', 'peripheral', 'hepatorenal' and 'hepatopulmonary'.

RESULTS

Significant heterogeneous microvascular alterations exist in patients with cirrhosis. Data suggest that the systemic inflammation, associated with advanced cirrhosis, induces microcirculatory dysregulation and contributes to haemodynamic derangement. The resultant vasoconstriction and hypoperfusion in the systemic extrahepatic microvasculature, is likely to be instrumental in the pathophysiology of organ failure in decompensated cirrhosis, however the mechanistic action of vasoactive agents used to correct the circulatory disturbance of advanced cirrhosis is poorly understood.

CONCLUSIONS

Further research into the role of the microcirculation in patients with liver cirrhosis, will improve physicians understanding of the pathophysiology of cirrhosis, and may provide a platform for real time evaluation of an individual's microcirculatory response to vasoactive mediators, thus guiding their therapy.

Non-selective beta-blockers are not associated with increased mortality in cirrhotic patients with ascites

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Controversy exists on the impact of non-selective beta-blockers (NSBBs) on survival in patients with ascites. We assessed whether NSBB treatment affects survival in a cohort of 316 consecutive patients with ascites undergoing evaluation for liver transplantation.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with cirrhosis and ascites assessed for liver transplantation between 2011 and 2014 were retrospectively evaluated. Competing risk Cox regression analysis in the whole population and in propensity score matched patients were performed to identify predictors of survival.

RESULTS

Three hundred and sixteen patients were evaluated: males 229 (73%), mean age 54 years, median follow-up: 7 months. Refractory ascites was diagnosed in 124 (39%) patients. Patients receiving NSBBs (n=128, 40.5%) had a higher frequency of previous spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (27% vs 17%, P=.025), lower frequency of refractory ascites (32% vs 44%, P=.03) but similar MELD and UKELD scores. Overall 80 (25%) patients died: 20 (16%) in the NSBB group vs. 60 (32%) in the non-NSBB group (P=.002). In multivariate competing risk Cox regression analysis, NSBB use was associated with reduced mortality (HR=0.55, 95% CI=0.33-0.94) along with prophylactic antibiotic use (HR=0.33, 95% CI=0.14-0.74), MELD score (HR=1.10, 95% CI=1.06-1.14) and sodium levels (HR=0.94, 95% CI: 0.89-0.98). No impact on survival was found when considering only patients with refractory ascites (NSBB use: HR=0.43, 95% CI=0.20-1.11).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with ascites on NSBBs did not have impaired survival compared to those not receiving NSSBs and interestingly this observation was also confirmed in the subgroup with refractory ascites. Our results suggest that NSBBs are not detrimental, but instead seem safe even in more advanced stages of cirrhosis in patients on a transplant waiting list.

Malnutrition and sarcopenia predict post-liver transplantation outcomes independently of the Model for End-stage Liver Disease score

BACKGROUND

Although malnutrition and sarcopenia are prevalent in cirrhosis, their impact on outcomes following liver transplantation is not well documented.

METHODS

The associations of nutritional status and sarcopenia with post-transplant infections, requirement for mechanical ventilation, intensive care (ICU) and hospital stay, and 1 year mortality were assessed in 232 consecutive transplant recipients. Nutritional status and sarcopenia were assessed using the Royal Free Hospital-Global Assessment (RFH-GA) tool and the L3-psoas muscle index (L3-PMI) on CT, respectively.

RESULTS

A wide range of RFH-SGA and L3-PMI were observed within similar Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) sub-categories. Malnutrition and sarcopenia were independent predictors of all outcomes. Post-transplant infections were associated with MELD (OR = 1.055, 95%CI = 1.002-1.11) and severe malnutrition (OR = 6.55, 95%CI = 1.99-21.5); ventilation > 24 h with MELD (OR = 1.1, 95%CI = 1.036-1.168), severe malnutrition (OR = 8.5, 95%CI = 1.48-48.87) and suboptimal donor liver (OR = 2.326, 95%CI = 1.056-5.12); ICU stay > 5 days, with age (OR = 1.054, 95%CI = 1.004-1.106), MELD (OR = 1.137, 95%CI = 1.057-1.223) and severe malnutrition (OR = 7.46, 95%CI = 1.57-35.43); hospital stay > 20 days with male sex (OR = 2.107, 95%CI = 1.004-4.419) and L3-PMI (OR = 0.996, 95%CI = 0.994-0.999); 1 year mortality with L3-PMI (OR = 0.996, 95%CI = 0.992-0.999). Patients at the lowest L3-PMI receiving suboptimal grafts had longer ICU/hospital stay and higher incidence of infections.

CONCLUSIONS

Malnutrition and sarcopenia are associated with early post-liver transplant morbidity/mortality. Allocation indices do not include nutritional status and may jeopardize outcomes in nutritionally compromised individuals.

Development and validation of a mathematical equation to estimate glomerular filtration rate in cirrhosis: The royal free hospital cirrhosis glomerular filtration rate

Current expressions based on serum creatinine concentration overestimate kidney function in cirrhosis, leading to significant differences between "true" and calculated glomerular filtration rate (GFR). We compared the performance of the four-variable and six-variable Modification of Diet in Renal Disease and chronic kidney disease epidemiology with "true," or measured, GFR (mGFR) and the impact of this difference on Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) calculation. We subsequently developed and validated a GFR equation specifically for cirrhosis and compared the performance of the new derived formula with existing GFR formulae. We included 469 consecutive patients who had a transplant assessment between 2011 and 2014. mGFR was measured using plasma isotope clearance according to a technique validated in patients with ascites. A corrected creatinine was derived from the mGFR after application of the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease formula. Subsequently, a corrected MELD was calculated and compared with the conventionally calculated MELD. Stepwise multiple linear regression was used to derive a GFR equation. This was compared with the mGFR in independent external and internal validation sets of 82 and 174 patients with cirrhosis, respectively. A difference >20 mL/minute/1.73 m² between existing formulae and mGFR was observed in 226 (48.2%) patients. The corrected MELD score was ≥3 points higher in 177 (37.7%) patients. The predicted equation (r² = 74.6%) was GFR = 45.9 × (creatinine^-0·836 ) × (urea^-0·229 ) × (international normalized ratio^-0·113 ) × (age^-0.129 [Corrected November 29, 2016: originally written as "age-129."]) × (sodium^0·972 ) × 0.809 (if female) × 0.92 (if moderate/severe ascites). An online calculator is available at http://rfh-cirrhosis-gfr.ucl.ac.uk. The model was a good fit and showed the greatest accuracy compared to that of existing formulae.

CONCLUSION

We developed and validated a new accurate model for GFR assessment in cirrhosis, the Royal Free Hospital cirrhosis GFR, using readily available variables; this remains to be tested and incorporated in prognostic scores in patients with cirrhosis. (Hepatology 2017;65:582-591).

Validation of the Baveno VI criteria to identify low risk cirrhotic patients not requiring endoscopic surveillance for varices

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The Baveno VI guidelines propose that cirrhotic patients with a liver stiffness measurement (LSM) <20kPa and a platelet count >150,000/μl can avoid screening endoscopy as their combination is highly specific for excluding clinically significant varices. The aim of the study was to validate these criteria.

METHODS

Transient elastography data was collected from two institutions from 2006-2015. Inclusion criteria were a LSM ⩾10kPa and an upper gastrointestinal endoscopy within 12months, with a diagnosis of compensated chronic liver disease. Exclusion criteria were porto-mesenteric-splenic vein thrombosis and non-cirrhotic portal hypertension. Varices were graded as low risk (grade <2) or high risk (grade ⩾2).

RESULTS

The study included 310 patients (169 (55%) hepatitis C, and 275 (89%) Child-Pugh A). Varices were present in 23% cases, with 5% prevalence of high risk varices. Overall 102/310 (33%) met the Baveno VI criteria. Within this group 11% had varices and 2% had high risk varices, representing 2/15 (13%) of all high risk varices. The Baveno VI criteria gave a sensitivity 0.87, specificity 0.34, positive predictive value 0.06, negative predictive value 0.98, positive likelihood ratio 1.31 and negative likelihood ratio 0.39. The AUROC for LSM and platelet count combined was 0.746.

CONCLUSIONS

The Baveno VI criteria performed well correctly identifying 98% of patients who could safely avoid endoscopy.

LAY SUMMARY

This study examines the effectives of a recent set of guidelines published by the Baveno VI conference, which states that patients with chronic liver disease and a low liver stiffness (<20kPa) and high platelet count (>150) are at low risk of having varices and do not need a screening endoscopy. Varices are a complication of cirrhosis, confer a risk of serious bleeding, and can be diagnosed and treated by endoscopy. Our study reviewed the clinical records of patients who have had liver stiffness scans and endoscopy over a 9-year period at two hospitals. The results show that only about 2% of patients who meet the Baveno VI criteria will be miss-classified as not having varices.

Long-term impact of liver function on curative therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma: application of the ALBI grade

BACKGROUND

Application of curative therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma is crucially dependent on underlying liver function. Using the recently described ALBI grade we examined the long-term impact of liver dysfunction on survival of early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.

METHODS

This cohort study comprised 2559 HCC patients from different geographic regions, all treated with curative intent. We also examined the relation between indocyanine green (ICG) clearance and ALBI score. Survival was measured from the date of treatment to the date of death or last follow-up.

RESULTS

The ALBI score correlated well with ICG clearance. Among those undergoing surgical resection, patients with ALBI grade-1 (good liver function) survived approximately twice as long as those with ALBI grade-2 (less good liver function), although more than 90% of these patients were classified as Child-Pugh (C-P) grade A. In the cohort receiving ablative therapies, there was a similar difference in survival between ALBI grade-1 and grade-2. Cox regression analysis confirmed that the ALBI score along with age, gender, aetiology and tumour factors (AFP, tumour size/number and vascular invasion) independently influenced survival in HCC patients receiving curative treatments.

CONCLUSIONS

The ALBI score represents a simple approach to the assessment of liver function in patients with HCC. After potentially curative therapy, those with ALBI grade-1 survived approximately twice as long as those with ALBI grade-2. These data suggest that ALBI grade-1 patients are appropriately treated with surgical resection whereas ALBI grade-2 patients may, where the option exists, be more suitable for liver transplantation or the less invasive curative ablative therapies.

Synchronous Hepatic Epithelioid Hemangioendothelioma and Hepatocellular Carcinoma: First Case Report in the Literature and Challenges

We would like to report the first case in English literature, to the best of our knowledge, of a synchronous hepatic epithelioid hemangioendothelioma (HEHE) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), as well as to address the current trends and challenges in the management of HEHE.An otherwise well 58-year-old man was referred to his local hepatology service with elevated serum γ-GT levels. Imaging revealed bilobar liver lesions consistent with HEHE, a discrete left lobe lesion suspected as HCC, and multiple pulmonary nodules. Biopsies confirmed HEHE with pulmonary metastases. After multidisciplinary team discussions, the patient was admitted under our team and underwent an uneventful laparoscopic left lateral hepatectomy for suspected HCC, which was confirmed histologically.As part of a watch-and-wait approach to metastatic HEHE, in the first follow-up (3 months postoperatively) the patient was clinically fine and the surveillance CT scan did not show recurrent disease.By presenting this case, we aim to raise awareness that this rare entity can coexist with others, potentially complicating their management.

The accuracy of respiratory rate assessment by doctors in a London teaching hospital: a cross-sectional study

Respiratory rate (RR) is one of the most sensitive markers of a patient condition and a core aspect of multiple clinical assessment tools. Doctors use a number of methods to assess RR, including formal measurement, and 'spot' assessments, although this is not recommended. This study aimed to assess the accuracy of the methods of RR measurement being used by doctors. A cross-sectional study assessing the accuracy (range, bias, and imprecision) of doctors' 'spot' and 'formal' respiratory rate assessments, using videos of mock patients. 54 doctors in a London teaching hospital participated. Both methods showed high levels of inaccuracy, though formal methods were more accurate than 'spot' assessments. 52 and 19% of doctors did not identify the respiratory rates shown as abnormal, using 'spot' and formal assessment methods respectively. We observed a trend towards decreasing accuracy of 'spot' assessments with increasing clinical experience (p = 0.0490). Current methods of RR assessment by doctors are inaccurate. This may be significantly delaying appropriate clinical care, or even misguiding treatment.

Endoscopy management algorithms: role of cyanoacrylate glue injection and self-expanding metal stents in acute variceal haemorrhage

Mortality from acute variceal bleeding (AVB) has improved markedly over the last 2-3 decades due to increased specialisation and standardisation of medical and endoscopic practice culminating in the production of consensus guidance based on expert opinion. Nonetheless, despite greater exposure, training and endoscopic practices, 30-day mortality still remains high at around 30%. This is a reflection of the high morbidity with liver disease, and limited endoscopic experience and/or endoscopic techniques used by the majority of general endoscopists. Clinical necessity defines our drive for further endoscopic innovation to improve 'best practice' and, therefore, clinical outcomes accordingly. Sclerotherpy, variceal band ligation and/or rescue balloon tamponade have been entrenched in most treatment algorithms over the decades. However, in recent years and albeit limited to specialised liver centres, cyanoacrylate glue injection therapy (for oesophageal and gastric varices), and the placement of a self-expanding metallic stent for oesophageal varices have begun to offer improved endoscopic care in experienced hands. Yet even in specialised centres, their application is sporadic and operator dependent. Here, we discuss the evidence of these newer endoscopic approaches, and hope to propose their inclusion in endoscopic therapy algorithms for 'best practice' management of AVB in all appropriately supported endoscopy units.