Comparison of diagnostic accuracy of aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index and fibrosis-4 index for detecting liver fibrosis in adult patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection: a systemic review and meta-analysis

Assessment of liver fibrosis with liver and spleen stiffness measured by sound touch elastography, serum fibrosis markers in patients with chronic hepatitis B

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the performance of liver stiffness (LS) and spleen stiffness (SS) by using the sound touch elastography (STE) technique and compare with those of the splenic index, aspartate transaminase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, King's score and combined models for diagnosing and staging fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B (CHB).

METHODS

One hundred patients with CHB underwent STE and serological tests. LS and SS values were measured with STE technique, and splenic index was calculated. Staging of fibrosis was determined with liver biopsy. Correlations between the individual parameters and the stage of fibrosis were evaluated with the Spearman correlation analysis. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was calculated to analyze the performance of all methods.

RESULTS

Among all individual parameters, LS showed the highest AUROC for diagnosing fibrosis of ≥S2, ≥S3, and S4 stages (AUROC: 0.70, 0.86, and 0.96, respectively; all P < 0.05). The AUROC of combined model 1 (LS and SS) and 2 (LS, SS, APRI, FIB-4 index, King's score) for diagnosing ≥S2, ≥S3, and S4 fibrosis were 0.70, 0.86, 0.97, and 0.70, 0.86, 0.96, respectively, which were higher than those of APRI, FIB-4 index and the King's score (P < 0.05). No significant differences were found between two combined models and LS for staging fibrosis (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

LS measurement is reliable for diagnosing and staging fibrosis in CHB, with a better performance than SS, splenic index and serum biomarkers. It is also comparable with the performance of combined models.

Prediction models for development of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major health problem in Asian-Pacific regions. Antiviral therapy reduces, but does not completely prevent, HCC development. Thus, there is a need for accurate risk prediction to assist prognostication and decisions on the need for antiviral therapy and HCC surveillance. A few risk scores have been developed to predict the occurrence of HCC in CHB patients. Initially, the scores were derived from untreated CHB patients. With the development and extensive clinical application of nucleos(t)ide analog(s) (NA), the number of risk scores based on treated CHB patients has increased gradually. The components included in risk scores may be categorized into host factors and hepatitis B virus factors. Hepatitis activities, hepatitis B virus factors, and even liver fibrosis or cirrhosis are relatively controlled by antiviral therapy. Therefore, variables that are more dynamic during antiviral therapy have since been included in risk scores. However, host factors are more difficult to modify. Most existing scores derived from Asian populations have been confirmed to be accurate in predicting HCC development in CHB patients from Asia, while these scores have not offered excellent predictability in Caucasian patients. These findings support that more relevant variables should be considered to provide individualized predictions that are easily applied to CHB patients of different ethnicities. CHB patients should receive different intensities of HCC surveillance according to their risk category.

Serum markers for predicting advanced fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

To compare the diagnostic utility of serum markers in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB).This study enrolled 118 consecutive biopsy-proven NAFLD patients with or without CHB. Fibrosis scores of each marker were compared against histological fibrosis staging. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis helped assess the accuracy of each marker.In patients with both diseases, 12.96% (7/54) had advanced fibrosis on biopsy and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index was the best performing marker for predicting advanced fibrosis. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and area under the ROC (95% confidence interval) for AST to platelet ratio index (APRI) were 0%, 93.62%, 0%, 86.27%, and 0.676 (0.524-0.828), respectively. The markers ranked as follows from highest to lowest with respect to their accuracy: APRI; BARD; fibrosis-4; and AST to ALT ratio. In patients without CHB, fibrosis-4 was the best performing marker for predicting advanced fibrosis. The sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and area under the ROC (95% confidence interval) for fibrosis-4 were 77.78%, 85.45%, 46.67%, 95.92%, and 0.862 (0.745-0.978), respectively.Serum markers are less reliable in predicting advanced fibrosis in NAFLD patients with CHB; APRI is the most accurate predictor of the absence of advanced fibrosis.

Applicability of APRI and FIB-4 as a transition indicator of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic viral hepatitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The usefulness of APRI or FIB-4 is well established as a non-invasive liver fibrosis marker at a point of diagnosis in patients with chronic liver disease. However, their applicability for the monitoring of progression of liver fibrosis over time is yet to be determined. We aimed to clarify the feasibility of APRI and FIB-4 for the longitudinal evaluation of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B and C.

METHODS

This is a multi-center retrospective and prospective cohort study, enrolling 1029 patients with HCV and 384 patients with HBV who were histologically diagnosed by liver biopsy. The observation period of retrospective and prospective study was 14 and 12 years, respectively. The APRI and FIB-4 were traced back in cases of histologically diagnosed cirrhosis, and those were prospectively analyzed after biopsy in cases diagnosed as F3 of METAVIR score, respectively.

RESULTS

The averaged APRI and FIB-4 exhibited time-dependent increase in the retrospective study of hepatitis C patients (increase by 0.09/year in APRI and 0.29/year in FIB-4). In the prospective study of untreated hepatitis C patients, such increases were 0.14/year in APRI and 0.40/year in FIB-4, respectively. Neither the average of APRI nor FIB-4 showed a specific tendency with hepatitis B patients and treatment-experienced hepatitis C patients.

CONCLUSION

The APRI and FIB-4 may serve as a transition indicator of liver fibrosis in anti-viral treatment-naïve patients with chronic hepatitis C.

A non-invasive model for predicting liver fibrosis in HBeAg-positive patients with normal or slightly elevated alanine aminotransferase

ABSTRACT

Early and accurate diagnosis of liver fibrosis is necessary for HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with normal or slightly increased alanine aminotransferase (ALT), Liver biopsy and many non-invasive predicting markers have several application restrictions in grass-roots hospitals. We aimed to construct a non-invasive model based on routinely serum markers to predict liver fibrosis for this population.A total of 363 CHB patients with HBeAg-positive, ALT ≤2-fold the upper limit of normal and liver biopsy data were randomly divided into training (n = 266) and validation groups (n = 97). Two non-invasive models were established based on multivariable logistic regression analysis in the training group. Model 2 with a lower Akaike information criterion (AIC) was selected as a better predictive model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) was used to evaluate the model and was then independently validated in the validation group.The formula of Model 2 was logit (Model value) = 5.67+0.08 × Age -2.44 × log10 [the quantification of serum HBsAg (qHBsAg)] -0.60 × log10 [the quantification of serum HBeAg (qHBeAg)]+0.02 × ALT+0.03 ×  aspartate aminotransferase (AST). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.89 for the training group and 0.86 for the validation group. Using 2 cut-off points of -2.61 and 0.25, 59% of patients could be identified with liver fibrosis and antiviral treatment decisions were made without liver biopsies, and 149 patients were recommended to undergo liver biopsy for accurate diagnosis.In this study, the non-invasive model could predict liver fibrosis and may reduce the need for liver biopsy in HBeAg-positive CHB patients with normal or slightly increased ALT.

Gene Polymorphism of MUC15, MMP14, BRAF, and COL1A1 Is Associated with Capsule Formation in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The presence of a capsule is an important prognostic factor in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Capsule formation is affected by tumor-host interaction, which may include collagen deposition and extracellular matrix (ECM) degradation.

PURPOSE

This study aimed to examine whether single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the genes for COL1A1 MUC15, MMP14, CD97, SMYD3, BRAF, and transforming growth factor beta 1 (TGF-β) are related to capsule formation.

METHODS

We prospectively recruited and analyzed 185 patients with HCC with or without a capsule between 2019 and 2020. The SNPs involved were analyzed by polymerase chain reaction. Differences in the allele and genotype frequency between the cases and controls were evaluated using the chi-square test. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated by logistic regression analysis with adjustment for age and sex. Stratification analyses were also performed with preselected variables.

RESULTS

The single-locus analysis showed that the presence of a capsule was significantly associated with five SNPs : MUC15 rs17309195 (P=0.01), rs12271124 (P= 0.02), rs10430847 (P=0.04), MMP14 rs17884816 (P=0.01), and BRAF rs74512895 (P=0.03). Adjusted logistic regression revealed that the decreased capsule formation was statistically significantly associated with BRAF rs76603725, COL1A1 rs2269336, and MUC15 rs17309195, while MMP14 rs17884816 and MUC15 rs10430847, rs2063278, and rs967490 were associated with increased capsule formation. The MUC15 block 2 haplotype was associated with increased capsule formation.

CONCLUSIONS

MUC15, MMP14, BRAF, and COL1A1 gene polymorphisms are associated with capsule formation in HCC. Studies involving larger samples are needed to confirm our results.

Nomogram for predicting advanced liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND

We aimed to formulate a novel predictive nomogram to discriminate liver fibrosis stage in patients with chronic liver disease.

METHODS

Nomograms were established based on the results of multivariate analysis. The predictive accuracy of the nomograms was assessed by ROC analysis and calibration. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to determine the clinical benefit of the nomograms.

RESULTS

INR, platelets, and N-terminal propeptide type III collagen (PIIINP) were independent predictors for advanced liver fibrosis (≥ S3) and cirrhosis (S4) in patients with chronic liver disease in the training cohort. In the training set, the areas under the ROCs (AUROCs) of nomogram S3S4, APRI, FIB-4, and GPR for stage ≥ S3 were 0.83, 0.71, 0.68, and 0.74, respectively; the AUROCs of nomogram S4, APRI, FIB-4, and GPR for stage S4 were 0.88, 0.74, 0.78, and 0.79, respectively. The calibrations showed optimal agreement between the prediction by the established nomograms and actual observation. In the validation set, the AUROCs of nomogram S3S4, APRI, FIB-4, and GPR for stage ≥ S3 were 0.86, 0.79, 0.78, and 0.81, respectively; the AUROCs of nomogram S4, APRI, FIB-4, and GPR for stage S4 were 0.88, 0.77, 0.81, and 0.83, respectively. Furthermore, the decision curve analysis suggested that the nomograms represent better clinical benefits in both independent cohorts than APRI, FIB-4, and GPR.

CONCLUSION

The constructed nomograms could be a superior tool for discriminating advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in chronic liver disease.

Liver Fibrosis is Associated with Ischemic Stroke Risk in Women but not Men: The REGARDS Study

BACKGROUND

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is inconsistently associated with ischemic stroke, with one study suggesting an association in women and not men. The relative importance of liver fibrosis, as opposed to fatty liver, for cardiovascular risk is increasingly appreciated. We hypothesized that advanced liver fibrosis is associated with incident ischemic stroke risk, and especially in women.

METHODS

We performed a case-cohort study in the REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke cohort. Black and white individuals aged 45 and older were recruited between 2003 and 2007 and followed for ischemic stroke. The Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score and Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Fibrosis Score (NFS) were calculated using baseline data for stroke cases and a cohort random sample; advanced liver fibrosis was classified using validated cutoffs. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) of stroke after adjusting for potential confounders. Sex differences were assessed.

RESULTS

There were 572 incident ischemic strokes (285 in women) over 5.4 (SD, 2.2) years. Advanced liver fibrosis was not significantly associated with ischemic stroke overall using the FIB-4 (HR 1.44; 95% CI 0.49-4.28) or NFS (HR 1.76; 95% CI 0.67-4.61). However, liver fibrosis was associated with stroke in women (HR 3.51; 95% CI 1.00-12.34) but not men (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.16-3.16) (P = 0.098 for interaction) when using FIB-4. A similar but non-significant sex difference was seen for NFS.

CONCLUSION

Advanced liver fibrosis may be associated with a higher risk of ischemic stroke in women but not men.

Correlation of Serum Ferritin and Liver Iron Concentration with Transient Liver Elastography in Adult Thalassemia Intermedia Patients with Blood Transfusion

INTRODUCTION

Iron overload is a common feature of thalassemia intermedia due to regular blood transfusion and increased gastrointestinal iron absorption. Early detection and adequate iron chelator can decrease morbidity and mortality from iron overload. Liver iron concentration (LIC) by MRI T2* is the best non-invasive way to measure body iron stores. However, this method is expensive and not available nationwide in Indonesia. The aim of this study was to identify liver iron overload and correlation of transferrin saturation, serum ferritin, liver MRI T2* and LIC with transient liver elastography in adult thalassemia intermedia patients.

METHODS

This is a cross-sectional study of 45 patients with thalassemia intermedia with blood transfusion and with and without iron chelator therapy. The study was conducted at Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital from August through October 2016. We performed measurements of transferrin saturation, serum ferritin level, transient liver elastography and liver MRI T2*. Pearson and Spearman correlation tests were used to evaluate the correlation between transient liver elastography with transferrin saturation, serum ferritin, liver MRI T2*and LIC.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

This study showed that 64.4% of study subjects are β-Hb E thalassemia intermedia. Furthermore, 84.4% of study subjects have regular transfusion. Based on liver MRI T2*all subjects suffered from liver iron overload, 48.9% had severe degree. Median value of liver MRI T2* was 1.6 ms. Mean serum ferritin was 2831 ng/mL, with median transferrin saturation of 66%. Mean of LIC corresponding to liver MRI T2* and mean liver stiffness measurement was 15.36±7.37 mg Fe/gr dry weight and 7.7±3.8 kPa, respectively. Liver stiffness correlated with serum ferritin (r=0.651; p=0.000), liver MRI T2* (r=-0.357; p=0.016), and LIC (r=0.433; p=0.003). No correlation was found between liver elastography and transferrin saturation (r=0.204; p=0.178).

CONCLUSION

Serum ferritin, liver MRI T2*and LIC correlated with liver elastography. No correlation was found between transferrin saturation and liver elastography.

Assessment of Liver Fibrosis Stage Using Integrative Analysis of Hepatic Heterogeneity and Nodularity in Routine MRI with FIB-4 Index as Reference Standard

Image-based quantitative methods for liver heterogeneity (L_Het) and nodularity (L_Nod) provide helpful information for evaluating liver fibrosis; however, their combinations are not fully understood in liver diseases. We developed an integrated software for assessing L_Het and L_Nod and compared L_Het and L_Nod according to fibrosis stages in chronic liver disease (CLD). Overall, 111 CLD patients and 16 subjects with suspected liver disease who underwent liver biopsy were enrolled. The procedures for quantifying L_Het and L_Nod were bias correction, contour detection, liver segmentation, and L_Het and L_Nod measurements. L_Het and L_Nod scores among fibrosis stages (F0–F3) were compared using ANOVA with Tukey’s test. Diagnostic accuracy was determined by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) curve. The mean L_Het scores of F0, F1, F2, and F3 were 3.49 ± 0.34, 5.52 ± 0.88, 6.80 ± 0.97, and 7.56 ± 1.79, respectively (p < 0.001). The mean L_Nod scores of F0, F1, F2, and F3 were 0.84 ± 0.06, 0.91 ± 0.04, 1.09 ± 0.08, and 1.15 ± 0.14, respectively (p < 0.001). The combined L_Het × L_Nod scores of F0, F1, F2, and F3 were 2.96 ± 0.46, 5.01 ± 0.91, 7.30 ± 0.89, and 8.48 ± 1.34, respectively (p < 0.001). The AUROCs of L_Het, L_Nod, and L_Het × L_Nod for differentiating F1 vs. F2 and F2 vs. F3 were 0.845, 0.958, and 0.954; and 0.619, 0.689, and 0.761, respectively. The combination of L_Het and L_Nod scores derived from routine MR images allows better differential diagnosis of fibrosis subgroups in CLD.

Predictive Performances of Blood Parameter Ratios for Liver Inflammation and Advanced Liver Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis B Infection

OBJECTIVE

Blood parameter ratios, including neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and monocyte to lymphocyte ratio (MLR), have been reported that they are correlated to the progression of liver disease. This study is aimed at evaluating the predictive value of PLR, NLR, and MLR for liver inflammation and fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB).

METHODS

We recruited 457 patients with CHB who underwent a liver biopsy and routine laboratory tests. Liver histology was assessed according to the Scheuer scoring system. The predictive accuracy for liver inflammation and fibrosis was assessed by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis.

RESULTS

PLR and NLR presented significantly reverse correlation to liver inflammation and fibrosis. However, these correlations were not observed for MLR and liver histology. The AUROCs of PLR for assessing G2-3 and G3 were 0.676 and 0.705 with cutoffs 74.27 and 68.75, respectively. The AUROCs of NLR in predicting inflammatory scores G2-3 and G3 were 0.616 and 0.569 with cutoffs 1.36 and 1.85, respectively. The AUROCs of PLR for evaluating fibrosis stages S3-4 and S4 were 0.723 and 0.757 with cutoffs 79.67 and 74.27, respectively. The AUROCs of NLR for evaluating fibrosis stages S3-4 and S4 were 0.590 with cutoff 1.14.

CONCLUSION

Although PLR has similar predictive power of progressive liver fibrosis compared with APRI, FIB-4, and GPR in CHB patients, it has the advantage of less cost and easy application with the potential to be widely used in clinical practice.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram Based on Noninvasive Liver Reserve and Fibrosis (PALBI and FIB-4) Model to Predict Posthepatectomy Liver Failure Grade B-C in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatectomy is currently one of the most effective treatments for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, postoperative liver failure (PHLF) is a serious complication and the leading cause of mortality in patients with HCC after hepatectomy. This study attempted to develop a novel nomogram based on noninvasive liver reserve and fibrosis models, platelet-albumin-bilirubin grade (PALBI) and fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), able to predict PHLF grade B-C. This was a single-centre retrospective study of 574 patients with HCC undergoing hepatectomy between 2014 and 2018. The independent risk factors of PHLF were screened using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Multivariate logistic regression was performed using the training set, and the nomogram was developed and visualised. The utility of the model was evaluated in a validation set using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. A total of 574 HCC patients were included (383 in the training set and 191 for the validation set) and included PHLF grade B-C complications of 14.8, 15.4, and 13.6%, respectively. Overall, cirrhosis (P < 0.026, OR = 2.296, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1.02-4.786), major hepatectomy (P=0.031, OR = 2.211, 95% CI 1.077-4.542), ascites (P=0.014, OR = 3.588, 95% 1.299-9.913), intraoperative blood loss (P < 0.001, OR = 4.683, 95% CI 2.281-9.616), PALBI score >-2.53 (, OR = 3.609, 95% CI 1.486-8.764), and FIB-4 score ≥1.45 (P < 0.001, OR = 5.267, 95% CI 2.077-13.351) were identified as independent risk factors associated with PHLF grade B-C in the training set. The areas under the ROC curves for the nomogram model in predicting PHLF grade B-C were significant for both the training and validation sets (0.832 vs 0.803). The proposed nomogram predicted PHLF grade B-C among patients with HCC with a better prognostic accuracy than other currently available fibrosis and noninvasive liver reserve models.

Predictive value of noninvasive indices in chronic hepatitis B virus-related fibrosis

OBJECTIVES

Despite being an invasive method, liver biopsy followed by pathological grading remains the gold standard in evaluating liver fibrosis resulting from chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. The present study aims to evaluate the utility of biochemical parameters and their derived indices in predicting development of fibrosis related to HBV infection.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Pathology results and biochemical parameters of patients who underwent liver biopsy were retrieved from electronic archive records dated 2010-2019 and evaluated retrospectively. Pathological fibrosis grading was performed as per Ishak scoring, with scores of 1-2 considered as mild fibrosis and 3-6 as advanced fibrosis.

RESULTS

The mean age of 302 patients was 37.69 ± 11.33 years. Of the 302 patients, 230 (76.2%) had mild fibrosis and 72 (23.8%) had advanced fibrosis. Age-platelet index, aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index, fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), modified fibrosis-4, platelets count, aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio/platelet ratio index, Goteborg University Cirrhosis Index and King's score were markedly and significantly higher in patients with advanced fibrosis than those with mild fibrosis. FIB-4, age-platelet index and King's score had higher (>80%) area under the curve values than other indices in the receiver operating characteristics analysis. Evaluation of sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of these indices with the specified cut-off values revealed 87% sensitivity with FIB-4, 70% specificity with King's score and 72% accuracy with the age-platelet index.

CONCLUSION

In this study, the highest rates of sensitivity, specificity and accuracy in distinguishing and predicting liver fibrosis were observed with the noninvasive indices FIB-4, King's score and the age-platelet index, respectively.

Liver Disease is Associated with Increased Mortality and Major Morbidity After Infra-Inguinal Bypass but not After Endovascular Intervention

OBJECTIVE

Liver disease increases mortality after abdominal surgery, including endovascular aortic aneurysm repair. However, its effect on mortality and morbidity after endovascular and open management of peripheral vascular disease has not been widely evaluated.

METHODS

The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program was used to evaluate patients undergoing infra-inguinal bypass and endovascular intervention (2005 - 2016). Aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio (APRI score) is a non-invasive tool recommended by the World Health Organisation to identify liver disease and was calculated for all patients. A ratio of > 0.5 was used to identify patients with liver fibrosis. Demographics, comorbidities, and 30 day outcomes were evaluated for patients with and without liver fibrosis. A subgroup analysis was completed in patients with APRI scores > 0.5, to evaluate the effect of increasing Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores on outcomes. Multivariable regression was used to account for differences in baseline factors.

RESULTS

In total, 17 603 patients underwent infra-inguinal bypasses. Fibrosis was associated with higher mortality (3.8% vs. 2.4%; p < .001), major complications (23% vs. 20%; p = .020), pulmonary (5.1% vs. 2.9%; p < .001), and renal complications (1.9% vs. 1.1%; p = .007) after bypass. These differences persisted following multivariable adjustment. Altogether, 7 830 patients underwent endovascular intervention. Fibrosis was also associated with higher mortality (4.7% vs. 2.2%; p < .001), pulmonary (3.9% vs. 2.5%; p = .022), and renal complications (1.9% vs. 0.8%; p = .003) after endovascular intervention. After adjustment, only renal complications persisted. In a subgroup analysis of patients with liver fibrosis, morbidity (31% vs. 17%; p < .001) and mortality (7.2% vs. 1.8%; p < .001) increased after bypass among those with MELD scores > 15 but not after endovascular intervention.

CONCLUSION

Liver fibrosis was associated with higher 30 day mortality and major complications after infra-inguinal bypass, with outcomes worsening as MELD scores increased. Surgeons may consider an endovascular first approach in managing peripheral arterial disease among those with liver fibrosis.

Combining Aspartate Aminotransferase-to-Platelet Ratio Index with Future Liver Remnant to Assess Preoperative Hepatic Functional Reserve in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Accurate preoperative assessment of hepatic functional reserve is essential for conducting a safe hepatectomy. In recent years, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) has been used as a noninvasive model for assessing fibrosis stage, hepatic functional reserve, and prognosis after hepatectomy with a high level of accuracy. The purpose of this research was to evaluate the clinical value of combining APRI with standardized future liver remnant (sFLR) for predicting severe post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Six hundred thirty-seven HCC patients who had undergone hepatectomy were enrolled in this study. The performance of the Child-Pugh (CP) grade, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), APRI, sFLR, and APRI-sFLR in predicting severe PHLF was assessed using the area under the ROC curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Severe PHLF was found to have developed in 101 (15.9%) patients. Multivariate logistic analyses identified that prealbumin, cirrhosis, APRI score, sFLR, and major resection were significantly associated with severe PHLF. The AUC values of the CP, MELD, APRI, and sFLR were 0.626, 0.604, 0.725, and 0.787, respectively, indicating that the APRI and sFLR showed significantly greater discriminatory abilities than CP and MELD (P < 0.05 for all). After APRI was combined with sFLR, the AUC value of APRI-sFLR for severe PHLF was 0.816, which greatly improved the prediction accuracy, compared with APRI or sFLR alone (P < 0.05 for all). Stratified analysis using the status of cirrhosis and extent of resection yielded similar results. Moreover, the incidence and grade of PHLF were significantly different among the three risk groups.

CONCLUSION

The combination of APRI and sFLR can be considered to be a predictive factor with increased accuracy for severe PHLF in HCC patients, compared with CP grade, MELD, APRI, or sFLR alone.

Imaging-Based Staging of Hepatic Fibrosis in Patients with Hepatitis B: A Dynamic Radiomics Model Based on Gd-EOB-DTPA-Enhanced MRI

Accurate grading of liver fibrosis can effectively assess the severity of liver disease and help doctors make an appropriate diagnosis. This study aimed to perform the automatic staging of hepatic fibrosis on patients with hepatitis B, who underwent gadolinium ethoxybenzyl diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid (Gd-EOB-DTPA)-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging with dynamic radiomics analysis. The proposed dynamic radiomics model combined imaging features from multi-phase dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) images and time-domain information. Imaging features were extracted from the deep learning-based segmented liver volume, and time-domain features were further explored to analyze the variation in features during contrast enhancement. Model construction and evaluation were based on a 132-case data set. The proposed model achieved remarkable performance in significant fibrosis (fibrosis stage S1 vs. S2-S4; accuracy (ACC) = 0.875, area under the curve (AUC) = 0.867), advanced fibrosis (S1-S2 vs. S3-S4; ACC = 0.825, AUC = 0.874), and cirrhosis (S1-S3 vs. S4; ACC = 0.850, AUC = 0.900) classifications in the test set. It was more dominant compared with the conventional single-phase or multi-phase DCE-based radiomics models, normalized liver enhancement, and some serological indicators. Time-domain features were found to play an important role in the classification models. The dynamic radiomics model can be applied for highly accurate automatic hepatic fibrosis staging.

One-year Fibrosis-4 index helps identify minimal HCC risk in non-cirrhotic chronic hepatitis B patients with antiviral treatment

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index is a HCC predictor in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. However, little is known about whether FIB-4 helps identify non-cirrhotic CHB patients with minimal HCC risk after prolonged nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) therapy.

METHODS

A total of 1936 ethnically diverse, non-cirrhotic CHB patients were enrolled in this retrospective multi-national study. All patients received prolonged NA treatment, including entecavir and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate. We explored whether FIB-4 cutoff of 1.30, a marker indicative of mild fibrosis severity, could stratify HCC risks in these patients.

RESULTS

A total of 48 patients developed HCC after a mean follow-up of 6.98 years. FIB-4 level at 1 year after treatment (1-year FIB-4) was shown to be associated with HCC development and was superior to pre-treatment FIB-4 value. When patients were stratified by 1-year FIB-4 of 1.30, the high FIB-4 group was at an increased HCC risk compared to the low FIB-4 group, with a hazard ratio of 4.87 (95% confidence interval: 2.48-9.55). Multivariable analysis showed that sex and 1-year FIB-4 were independent predictors, with none of the 314 female patients with low 1-year FIB-4 developing HCC. Finally, 1-year FIB-4 of 1.30 consistently stratified HCC risks in patients with low PAGE-B score, a score composed of baseline age, sex and platelet count, and the annual incidence rate of HCC was 0.11% in those with PAGE-B < 10 + 1-year FIB-4 < 1.30.

CONCLUSIONS

In non-cirrhotic CHB patients receiving prolonged NA therapy, 1-year FIB-4 < 1.30 is useful for identifying those with minimal HCC risk by combining with female sex or low PAGE-B score.

Transition rates to cirrhosis and liver cancer by age, gender, disease and treatment status in Asian chronic hepatitis B patients

BACKGROUND

Increasing hepatitis-related mortality has reignited interest to fulfill the World Health Organization's goal of viral hepatitis elimination by 2030. However, economic barriers have enabled only 28% of countries to implement countermeasures. Given the high disease burden among Asians, we aimed to present age, sex, disease activity and treatment-specific annual progression rates among Asian chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients to inform health economic modeling efforts and cost-effective public health interventions.

METHODS

We analyzed 18,056 CHB patients from 36 centers across the U.S. and seven countries/regions of Asia Pacific (9530 treated; 8526 untreated). We used Kaplan-Meier methods to estimate annual incidence of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Active disease was defined by meeting the APASL treatment guideline criteria.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 8.55 years, there were 1178 incidences of cirrhosis and 1212 incidences of HCC (297 without cirrhosis, 915 with cirrhosis). Among the 8526 untreated patients (7977 inactive, 549 active), the annual cirrhosis and HCC incidence ranged from 0.26% to 1.30% and 0.04% to 3.80% in inactive patients, and 0.55 to 4.05% and 0.19 to 6.03% in active patients, respectively. Of the 9530 treated patients, the annual HCC rates ranged 0.03-1.57% among noncirrhotic males and 2.57-6.93% among cirrhotic males, with lower rates for females. Generally, transition rates increased with age, male sex, the presence of fibrosis/cirrhosis, and active disease and/or antiviral treatment.

CONCLUSION

Using data from a large and diverse real-world cohort of Asian CHB patients, the study provided detailed annual transition rates to inform practice, research and public health planning.

Outcome of TACE treatment in HIV infected patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

The surgical treatment and transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) rate of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients is relatively low in West China. For various reasons, most patients do not receive timely surgical treatment. Upon transfer to an infectious disease centralized hospital, they were already classified in the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC)-B stage. A total of 2249 BCLC-B HCC patients were analyzed. The eligible population was divided into three groups for analysis of survival and prognostic factors; These were 21 HIV infected (HIV+) HCC patients treated with TACE (TACE+), 1293 non-HIV-infected (HIV−) HCC patients treated with TACE, and 150 HIV− HCC patients who only receive medication (TACE−) as a second control group. After 1:2 matching, 1- and 2-year survival of HIV+ TACE+ and HIV− TACE+ groups was 64.3% and 76.5% (P = 0.453) and 45.5% vs. 50.0% (P = 0.790) respectively. We also compared one and two-year survival between HIV+ TACE+ and HIV− TACE−. One-year overall survival was 64.3% vs. 45.7% (P = 0.097) and 2-year survival was 45.5% vs. 7.1% (P = 0.004). Multivariate analysis showed that the most important prognostic factors for survival were serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and Child–Pugh score and tumor size, while HIV status had no significant effect on prognosis statistically. CD4 levels below 200 may increase the risk of opportunistic infection after surgery, but after anti-infection and systematic supportive therapy, it has no effect on survival. HIV+ patients should have the same treatment opportunities as HIV− patients. If the patient's immune status permits, we suggest that early TACE treatment should be administered to BCLC-B HCC patients, regardless of HIV infection.

INR-to-platelet ratio (INPR) as a novel noninvasive index for predicting liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B

Objective: We aimed to investigate whether a novel noninvasive index, i.e., the international normalized ratio-to-platelet ratio (INPR), was a variable in determining liver fibrosis stage in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Methods: A total of 543 treatment-naïve CHB patients were retrospectively enrolled. Liver histology was assessed according to the Metavir scoring scheme. All common demographic and clinical parameters were analyzed. Results: Based on routine clinical parameters (age, sex, HBeAg status, HBV DNA, hematological parameters, coagulation index, and liver biochemical indicators), a novel index, i.e., the INR-to-platelet ratio (INPR), was developed to magnify the unfavorable effects of liver fibrosis on INR and platelets. The AUCs of INPR for predicting significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis were 0.74, 0.76 and 0.86, respectively. Compared with APRI, FIB-4, and GPR, the INPR had comparable predictive efficacy for significant fibrosis and better predictive performance for advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis. Conclusion: INPR could be an accurate, easily calculated and inexpensive index to assess liver fibrosis in patients with CHB. Further studies are needed to verify this indicator and compare it with other noninvasive methods for predicting liver fibrosis in CHB patients.

Application of artificial intelligence in chronic liver diseases: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The gold standard for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is liver biopsy. Various noninvasive modalities, e.g., ultrasonography, elastography and clinical predictive scores, have been used as alternatives to liver biopsy, with limited performance. Recently, artificial intelligence (AI) models have been developed and integrated into noninvasive diagnostic tools to improve their performance.

METHODS

We systematically searched for studies on AI-assisted diagnosis of liver fibrosis and NAFLD on MEDLINE, Scopus, Web of Science and Google Scholar. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV) and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) with their 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated using a random effects model. A summary receiver operating characteristic curve and the area under the curve was generated to determine the diagnostic accuracy of the AI-assisted system. Subgroup analyses by diagnostic modalities, population and AI classifiers were performed.

RESULTS

We included 19 studies reporting the performances of AI-assisted ultrasonography, elastrography, computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging and clinical parameters for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis and steatosis. For the diagnosis of liver fibrosis, the pooled sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV and DOR were 0.78 (0.71-0.85), 0.89 (0.81-0.94), 0.72 (0.58-0.83), 0.92 (0.88-0.94) and 31.58 (11.84-84.25), respectively, for cirrhosis; 0.86 (0.80-0.90), 0.87 (0.80-0.92), 0.85 (0.75-0.91), 0.88 (0.82-0.92) and 37.79 (16.01-89.19), respectively; for advanced fibrosis; and 0.86 (0.78-0.92), 0.81 (0.77-0.84), 0.88 (0.80-0.93), 0.77 (0.58-0.89) and 26.79 (14.47-49.62), respectively, for significant fibrosis. Subgroup analyses showed significant differences in performance for the diagnosis of fibrosis among different modalities. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV and DOR were 0.97 (0.76-1.00), 0.91 (0.78-0.97), 0.95 (0.87-0.98), 0.93 (0.80-0.98) and 191.52 (38.82-944.81), respectively, for the diagnosis of liver steatosis.

CONCLUSIONS

AI-assisted systems have promising potential for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis and NAFLD. Validations of their performances are warranted before implementing these AI-assisted systems in clinical practice.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The protocol was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42020183295).

Development and Validation of a Risk Score for Liver Cirrhosis Prediction in Untreated and Treated Chronic Hepatitis B

BACKGROUND

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) can progress to cirrhosis, but there are limited noninvasive tools available to estimate cirrhosis risk, including in patients receiving antiviral therapy. This study developed and validated a simple model to assess risk in CHB patients.

METHODS

The derivation cohort included 3000 CHB patients from 6 centers in the United States, with 52.60% receiving antiviral therapy. External validation was performed for 4552 CHB individuals from similar cohorts in Taiwan, with 21.27% receiving therapy. Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to screen predictors and develop the risk score for cirrhosis. Areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) were calculated for predictive value.

RESULTS

Sex, age, diabetes, antiviral treatment status/duration, hepatitis B e-antigen, and baseline alanine aminotransferase/aspartate aminotransferase levels were significantly associated with increased cirrhosis risk. A 13-point risk score was developed based on these predictors. The AUROCs for predicting cirrhosis risk were 0.82 at 3 years, 0.85 at 5 years, and 0.89 at 10 years in the derivation cohort, and 0.82, 0.79, and 0.77 in the validation cohort, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated a simple cirrhosis prediction model with an independent external cohort that can be applied to both treatment-naive and treatment-experienced CHB patients in diverse settings and locations.

Red Blood Cell Distribution Width-to-Platelet Ratio and Other Laboratory Indices Associated with Severity of Histological Hepatic Fibrosis in Patients with Autoimmune Hepatitis: A Retrospective Study at a Single Center

Background

This retrospective study at a single center aimed to evaluate the role of the red blood cell distribution width (RDW)-to-platelet ratio and other laboratory indices associated with the severity of histological hepatic fibrosis on liver biopsy in patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH).

Material/Methods

We retrospectively reviewed records from 2097 adult patients who had liver biopsies. Of these patients, data from 72 with AIH and 164 with drug-induced liver injury (DILI) with complete laboratory information and medical histories were included in the analysis.

Results

We found that compared with patients with DILI, patients with AIH had higher alkaline phosphatase, globulin, and total bile acid levels. Multivariate analyses of risk factors for AIH-associated advanced liver fibrosis in Chinese patients revealed an estimated adjusted odds ratio (AOR) (95% CI) of 1.609 (1.028–2.517) in patients with higher immunoglobulin A (IgA) levels. Patients with higher gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT)-to-platelet ratio (GPR) values had a significantly higher risk of serious liver fibrosis than patients with lower GPR values. Advanced fibrosis risk was higher in patients with higher RPR values than in patients with lower RPR values [AOR (95% CI): 25.507 (2.934–221.784)]. The result for area under the curve (0.821) analysis for lnRPR levels indicated this variable had high diagnostic performance for predicting advanced AIH-related fibrosis.

Conclusions

The degree of histological liver fibrosis in patients with AIH was significantly associated with an increased red blood cell distribution width-to-platelet ratio, GPR, and increased serum levels of IgA.

Identification and external validation of the optimal FIB-4 and APRI thresholds for ruling in chronic hepatitis B related liver fibrosis in tertiary care settings

BACKGROUND

With the initially defined thresholds, the most widely used serum biomarkers for staging liver fibrosis (ie, APRI and FIB-4 scores) proved to be ineffective among patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection (CHB). Whether optimizing the FIB-4 and APRI thresholds could improve their diagnostic accuracy requires further research.

METHODS

Using data of treat-naïve CHB patients from three tertiary hospitals, we explored the optimal FIB-4 and APRI thresholds to rule in liver fibrosis accurately. Subsequently, we validated the applicability of the newly defined thresholds to the CHB patients from another two tertiary hospitals.

RESULTS

The fibrosis stages between discovery cohort (n = 433) and the external validation cohort (n = 568) were statistically different (P < .001). When ruling in significant fibrosis and advanced fibrosis by the newly defined FIB-4 thresholds (2.25 and 3.00, respectively), 24.0% and 14.3% of patients, respectively, could be classified with excellent accuracy (PPVs of 91.3% and 80.6%, respectively; misdiagnosis rates of 6.0% and 5.4%, respectively), supported by the internal and external validation tests. Regrettably, the more accurate and robust thresholds of APRI score for ruling in significant fibrosis and advanced fibrosis could not be found. Besides, the FIB-4 and APRI scores should not be recommended for ruling in cirrhosis because of poor clinical diagnostic performance.

CONCLUSION

The newly defined FIB-4 thresholds for ruling in significant fibrosis and advanced fibrosis showed superior and reproducible clinical diagnostic accuracy. The well-validated threshold (≥2.25) of FIB-4 score could aid in antiviral treatment decisions for treat-naïve adult CHB patients by accurately ruling in significant fibrosis in tertiary care settings.

Relationship between magnetic resonance imaging spleen T1 relaxation and other radiologic and clinical biomarkers of liver fibrosis in children and young adults with autoimmune liver disease

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the relationships between MRI splenic T1 relaxation measurements and other radiologic and clinical markers of chronic liver disease, including the presence of radiologic portal hypertension.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the relationships between MRI splenic T1 relaxation and other radiologic and clinical biomarkers of liver fibrosis, including the presence of radiologic portal hypertension, in children and young adults with autoimmune liver diseases (AILD).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Research MRI examinations performed at 1.5 T from 63 AILD registry participants were identified. Spleen T1 and iron-corrected T1 (cT1) relaxation measurements, liver cT1, liver/spleen stiffness, splenic length percentile for age, and presence of radiologic portal hypertension were recorded, along with demographic and laboratory data. The Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare continuous data between groups; Spearman correlation was used to evaluate associations. Areas-under-the-receiver operating characteristic curve (AuROC) was used to assess diagnostic performance.

RESULTS

Mean age was 15.2 ± 4.1 years. Mean splenic T1 and cT1 values for the study population were 1158.0 ± 70.9 ms and 1436.0 ± 68.9 ms, respectively. Splenic T1 and cT1 values positively correlated with APRI and FIBROSIS-4 scores, splenic length percentile, liver cT1 values, and liver and spleen stiffnesses (p-values < 0.05). There was no significant relationship between splenic T1/cT1 and age (p-values > 0.05). Splenic T1 and cT1 values were higher in participants with vs. without radiologic portal hypertension (n = 18) (1213.4 ± 69.6 vs. 1135.4 ± 58.5 ms; p = 0.0001, and 1488.2 ± 64.8 vs. 1415.1 ± 59.1 ms; p = 0.0002). Splenic T1 and cT1 both demonstrated an AuROC of 0.81 for discriminating patients without and with portal hypertension (p-values < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Splenic T1 relaxation is associated with other radiologic and clinical biomarkers of liver fibrosis, including radiologic portal hypertension, in children and young adults with AILD.

Accuracy of Noninvasive Fibrosis Scores to Detect Advanced Fibrosis in Patients With Type-2 Diabetes With Biopsy-proven Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGROUND

Recent guidelines have recommended screening for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and case finding of advanced disease with fibrosis in patients with type-2 diabetes (T2D). The aim of this study is to assess the accuracy of commonly used noninvasive scores to predict the presence of advanced fibrosis (AF) in a large cohort of diabetics in real-life settings.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9) codes, all patients with the diagnosis of T2D who had a liver biopsy for suspected NAFLD between January 2000 and December 2015, were identified and analyzed. Patients with secondary causes of hepatic steatosis were excluded. AST/ALT ratio, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, and Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease Fibrosis Score (NFS) were calculated to predict advanced disease. Sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operator curve were calculated and compared with liver biopsies to predict the overall accuracy of each score.

RESULTS

A total of 1319 patients with T2D underwent liver biopsy for suspected NAFLD. After exclusions, 1,157 subjects were included in the final analysis. Our cohort consisted of 64.6% females and 88.4% were whites. Overall, 85% of the population was overweight or obese (body mass index>25 kg/m). Liver biopsy showed 31.7% with AF [Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network (NASH-CRN) stage 3 to 4]. In comparison to liver biopsy, for the diagnosis of AF, AST/ALT>1.4, APRI>1.5, FIB-4>2.67, and NFS>0.676 had reasonable specificities of 84.2%, 97.4%, 69.9%, and 93% but poor sensitivities of 27.4%, 16.5%, 6.7%, and 44.1%, respectively. Even at lower cutoff values of AST/ALT≥1, APRI≥1, and FIB-4≥1.45 sensitivities remained low at 60.7%, 27.9%, and 72.6%, respectively, except for NFS ≥-1.455 with sensitivity of 94.6%, but at this cutoff, its specificity decreased to 16.9%. The area under the receiver operator curve to detect AF was 0.62, 0.74, 0.77, and 0.72, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large cohort of adult patients with T2D and NAFLD, commonly used fibrosis scores had reasonable specificity, but poor sensitivity for detecting AF in diabetics. The development of reliable biomarkers for NAFLD/NASH in diabetics is urgently needed.

Point-of-Care Tests for Hepatitis B: An Overview

Despite the heavy disease burden posed by hepatitis B, around 90% of people living with hepatitis B are not diagnosed globally. Many of the affected populations still have limited or no access to essential blood tests for hepatitis B. Compared to conventional blood tests which heavily rely on centralised laboratory facilities, point-of-care testing for hepatitis B has the potential to broaden testing access in low-resource settings and to engage hard-to-reach populations. Few hepatitis B point-of-care tests have been ratified for clinical use by international and regional regulatory bodies, and countries have been slow to adopt point-of-care testing into hepatitis B programs. This review presents currently available point-of-care tests for hepatitis B and their roles in the care cascade, reviewing evidence for testing performance, utility, acceptability, costs and cost-effectiveness when integrated into hepatitis B diagnosis and monitoring programs. We further discuss challenges and future directions in aspects of technology, implementation, and regulation when adopting point-of-care testing in hepatitis B programs.

Investigation of Thrombosis Volume, Anticoagulants, and Recurrence Factors in Portal Vein Thrombosis with Cirrhosis

This retrospective study investigated factors influencing the portal vein thrombosis (PVT) volume and recurrence in 52 cirrhosis patients with PVT from November 2008 to September 2018. All patients were treated with danaparoid sodium with or without additional antithrombin III. Blood platelet counts significantly correlated with the PVT volume (r² = 0.17; P < 0.01). Computed tomography confirmed recurrence as PVT aggravation was reported in 43 patients, with ≥50% PVT volume reduction following anticoagulation therapy. In 43 patients, recurrence significantly correlated with the pretreatment PVT volume (P = 0.019). Factors influencing recurrence included a Child-Pugh score >8 (P = 0.049) and fibrosis index ≤7.0 based on four factors (FIB-4) (P = 0.048). Moreover, the relationship between recurrence and correlating factors showed that 15 patients who received warfarin experienced recurrence more often when Child-Pugh scores were >8 (P = 0.023), regardless of maintenance treatment. For patients who did not receive warfarin, a PVT volume ≥3.0 mL significantly influenced recurrence (P = 0.039). Therefore, the platelet count influences the PVT volume. The pretreatment PVT volume correlated with recurrence after anticoagulation therapy. According to the Kaplan-Meier curve, risk factors for PVT recurrence after anticoagulation therapy included Child-Pugh scores >8 and FIB-4 ≤7.0. Therefore, the FIB-4 is a unique factor that shows trends opposing other liver function markers.

CHI3L1 in the pathophysiology and diagnosis of liver diseases

Chitinase 3-like protein 1(CHI3L1) participates in physiological and pathophysiological process, such as cell survival, cell proliferation, tissue remodeling, angiogenesis, etc. Some studies demonstrated that CHI3L1 is liver-enriched and has better application value in staging liver fibrosis than platelet ratio index(APRI) and fibrosis-4 index(FIB-4) and that CHI3L1 can be used in monitoring the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In this review, we summarized the pathophysiological role and the diagnostic value of CHI3L1 in liver fibrosis in different background and HCC.

Red cell distribution width to platelet ratio predicts liver fibrosis in patients with autoimmune hepatitis

Noninvasive tests for the assessment of liver fibrosis are highly needed for the management of patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH). We aimed to investigate the accuracy of red cell distribution width to platelet ratio (RPR) in predicting liver fibrosis in AIH patients. One hundred nineteen AIH patients who underwent liver biopsy were enrolled. Liver fibrosis stage was diagnosed using the Scheuer scoring system. The diagnostic accuracy was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). RPR values in AIH patients with S2-S4 (0.10, interquartile range [IQR] 0.08-0.15), S3-S4 (0.10, IQR 0.09-0.14), and S4 (0.14, IQR 0.09-0.19) were significantly higher than patients with S0-S1 (0.07, IQR 0.06-0.08, P < .001), S0-S2 (0.08, IQR 0.06-0.12, P = .025) and S0-S3 (0.09, IQR 0.07-0.13, P = .014), respectively. The RPR was positively correlated with fibrosis stages (r = 0.412, P < .001), while aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4) were not significantly associated with fibrosis stages in AIH patients. The AUROCs of RPR in identifying significant fibrosis (S2-S4), advanced fibrosis (S3-S4), and cirrhosis (S4) were 0.780 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.696-0.865), 0.639 (95% CI 0.530-0.748), and 0.724 (95% CI 0.570-0.878), respectively. The AUROCs of RPR were significantly higher than APRI and FIB-4 in diagnosing significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis. Our study demonstrates that the RPR is a simple predictor of liver fibrosis and is superior to APRI and FIB-4 in identifying liver fibrosis in AIH patients.

Alanine aminotransferase influencing performances of routine available tests detecting hepatitis B-related cirrhosis

The performances of routine tests such as FIB-4 and APRI in detecting cirrhosis and significant fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) have been shown to be discrepant between studies. Novel tests such as red cell distribution width-platelet ratio (RPR), γ-glutamyl transpeptidase to platelet ratio (GPR) and easy liver fibrosis test (eLIFT) are introduced recently. To evaluate the aminotransferase influence on the performance of these routine tests, a total of 1005 CHB patients who underwent liver biopsies and routine tests were retrospectively analysed. The diagnostic cut-offs referring to likelihood ratio were determined for excluding or including cirrhosis diagnosis and also for ruling in significant fibrosis diagnosis. The performances of RPR, FIB-4, eLIFT and APRI in detecting cirrhosis seemed improved at higher ALT levels, while GPR was conversely impaired. The likelihood ratio was ∝ for APRI cut-off 2 diagnosing cirrhosis in ALT < 2 upper limit of normal (ULN), 14.6 for APRI cut-off 1.5 determining significant fibrosis in ALT ≤ 5ULN and 20.6 for FIB-4 cut-off 3.2 diagnosing ≥ F3 in the total cohort, respectively. The optimal cut-offs for cirrhosis diagnosis were increased with higher ALTs by tests which included aminotransferase, but not for RPR. The proportions of patients classified as having cirrhosis or no cirrhosis stratified by ALT level cut-offs were superior. Stepwise applying RPR, GPR and eLIFT would determine 60% of patients as having cirrhosis or no cirrhosis with an accuracy of 93.0%. In conclusion, the performance of aminotransferase comprising tests in detecting cirrhosis in CHB were influenced by ALT levels. Thus, ALT stratified cut-offs may be a preferred alternative. In resource-limited settings, stepwise applying routine tests could be recommended as a preferred measurement for cirrhosis detection.

Review of Serum Biomarkers and Models Derived from Them in HBV-Related Liver Diseases

A series of predictive scoring systems is available for stratifying the severity of conditions and assessing the prognosis in patients with HBV-related liver diseases. We show nine of the most popular serum biomarkers and their models (i.e., serum cystatin C, homocysteine, C-reactive protein, C-reactive protein to albumin ratio, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index, fibrosis index based on four factors, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to platelet ratio, albumin-bilirubin score, and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to albumin ratio) that have gained great interest from clinicians. Compared with traditional scoring systems, these serum biomarkers and their models are easily acquired, simple, and relatively inexpensive. In the present review, we summarize the latest studies focused on these serum biomarkers and their models as diagnostic and prognostic indexes in HBV-related liver diseases.

Serum ceruloplasmin can predict liver fibrosis in hepatitis B virus-infected patients

BACKGROUND

The presence of significant liver fibrosis in hepatitis B virus (HBV)-infected individuals with persistently normal serum alanine aminotransferase (PNALT) levels is a strong indicator for initiating antiviral therapy. Serum ceruloplasmin (CP) is negatively correlated with liver fibrosis in HBV-infected individuals.

AIM

To examine the potential value of serum CP and develop a noninvasive index including CP to assess significant fibrosis among HBV-infected individuals with PNALT.

METHODS

Two hundred and seventy-five HBV-infected individuals with PNALT were retrospectively evaluated. The association between CP and fibrotic stages was statistically analyzed. A predictive index including CP [Ceruloplasmin hepatitis B virus (CPHBV)] was constructed to predict significant fibrosis and compared to previously reported models.

RESULTS

Serum CP had an inverse correlation with liver fibrosis (r = -0.600). Using CP, the areas under the curves (AUCs) to predict significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis were 0.774, 0.812, and 0.853, respectively. The CPHBV model was developed using CP, platelets (PLT), and HBsAg levels to predict significant fibrosis. The AUCs of this model to predict significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis were 0.842, 0.920, and 0.904, respectively. CPHBV was superior to previous models like the aspartate aminotransferase (AST)-to-PLT ratio index, Fibrosis-4 score, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-PLT ratio, Forn's score, and S-index in predicting significant fibrosis in HBV-infected individuals with PNALT.

CONCLUSION

CPHBV could accurately predict liver fibrosis in HBV-infected individuals with PNALT. Therefore, CPHBV can be a valuable tool for antiviral treatment decisions.

Serum Scoring and Quantitative Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Intestinal Failure-Associated Liver Disease: A Feasibility Study

(1) Background: Intestinal failure-associated liver disease (IFALD) in adults is characterized by steatosis with variable progression to fibrosis/cirrhosis. Reference standard liver biopsy is not feasible for all patients, but non-invasive serological and quantitative MRI markers for diagnosis/monitoring have not been previously validated. Here, we examine the potential of serum scores and feasibility of quantitative MRI used in non-IFALD liver diseases for the diagnosis of IFALD steatosis; (2) Methods: Clinical and biochemical parameters were used to calculate serum scores in patients on home parenteral nutrition (HPN) with/without IFALD steatosis. A sub-group underwent multiparameter quantitative MRI measurements of liver fat fraction, iron content, tissue T1, liver blood flow and small bowel motility; (3) Results: Compared to non-IFALD (n = 12), patients with IFALD steatosis (n = 8) demonstrated serum score elevations in Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (p = 0.032), Aspartate transaminase-to-Platelet Ratio Index (p < 0.001), Fibrosis-4 Index (p = 0.010), Forns Index (p = 0.001), Gamma-glutamyl transferase-to-Platelet Ratio Index (p = 0.002) and Fibrosis Index (p = 0.001). Quantitative MRI scanning was feasible in all 10 sub-group patients. Median liver fat fraction was higher in IFALD steatosis patients (10.9% vs 2.1%, p = 0.032); other parameter differences were non-significant; (4) Conclusion: Serum scores used for non-IFALD liver diseases may be useful in IFALD steatosis. Multiparameter MRI is feasible in patients on HPN.

Artificial Neural Network Model for Liver Cirrhosis Diagnosis in Patients with Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

Testing for the presence of liver cirrhosis (LC) is one of the most critical diagnostic and prognostic assessments for patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). More non-invasive tools are needed to diagnose LC but the predictive abilities of current models are still inconclusive. This study aimed to develop and validate a novel and non-invasive artificial neural network (ANN) model for diagnosing LC in patients with HBV-related HCC using routine laboratory serological indicators.

Methods

A total of 1152 HBV-related HCC patients who underwent hepatectomy were included and randomly divided into the training set (n = 864, 75%) and validation set (n = 288, 25%). The ANN model was constructed from the training set using multivariate Logistic regression analysis and then verified in the validation set.

Results

The morbidity of LC in the training and validation sets was 41.2% and 46.8%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that age, platelet count, prothrombin time and total bilirubin were independent risk factors for LC (P < 0.05). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) analyses revealed that the ANN model had higher predictive accuracy than the Logistic model (ANN: 0.757 vs Logistic: 0.721; P < 0.001), and other scoring systems (ANN: 0.757 vs CP: 0.532, MELD: 0.594, ALBI: 0.575, APRI: 0.621, FIB-4: 0.644, AAR: 0.491, and GPR: 0.604; P < 0.05 for all) in diagnosing LC. Similar results were obtained in the validation set.

Conclusion

The ANN model has better diagnostic capabilities than other commonly used models and scoring systems in assessing LC risk in patients with HBV-related HCC.

Noninvasive Assessment of Liver Fibrosis: Current and Future Clinical and Molecular Perspectives

Liver fibrosis is one of the risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development. The staging of liver fibrosis can be evaluated only via a liver biopsy, which is an invasive procedure. Noninvasive methods for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis can be divided into morphological tests such as elastography and serum biochemical tests. Transient elastography is reported to have excellent performance in the diagnosis of liver fibrosis and has been accepted as a useful tool for the prediction of HCC development and other clinical outcomes. Two-dimensional shear wave elastography is a new technique and provides a real-time stiffness image. Serum fibrosis markers have been studied based on the mechanism of fibrogenesis and fibrolysis. In the healthy liver, homeostasis of the extracellular matrix is maintained directly by enzymes called matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) and their specific inhibitors, tissue inhibitors of metalloproteinases (TIMPs). MMPs and TIMPs could be useful serum biomarkers for liver fibrosis and promising candidates for the treatment of liver fibrosis. Further studies are required to establish liver fibrosis-specific markers based on further clinical and molecular research. In this review, we summarize noninvasive fibrosis tests and molecular mechanism of liver fibrosis in current daily clinical practice.

Relationship between circulating tumor cells undergoing EMT and short-term efficacy following interventional treatment in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Objective

A growing number of studies have indicated that epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) phenotypes and the number of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) are significant indicators of tumor characteristics and treatment efficacy, and thus have a broad range of potential applications in the diagnosis and treatment of malignant tumors. The value of data on CTC phenotypes and CTC counts in the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and assessment of efficacy after comprehensive interventional therapy remains unclear.

Methods

Data of 107 patients who exhibited space-occupying lesions in the liver on enhanced CT/MRI scans at the Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital (a tertiary medical center) between August 2017 and October 2018, were retrospectively analyzed. All enrolled patients were treated with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) combined with microwave ablation (MWA). An imFISH CTC assay was used to isolate and count CTCs with different EMT phenotypes in the patients’ peripheral blood, which facilitated an analysis of the value of CTC phenotype and CTC count data in the diagnosis or treatment of HCC.

Results

The CTC count and EMT phenotypes in HCC patients were not associated with patient characteristics such as age, sex, Hepatitis B Virus (HBV)-DNA status, alcohol consumption history, Aspartate Transaminase (AST) to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI) score, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) score, Child-Pugh score, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), number and size of tumors, vascular invasion, or metastasis (P ​> ​0.05). The CTC count and EMT phenotypes in HCC patients before treatment were not predictive of short-term efficacy (P ​> ​0.05). Comprehensive interventional therapy reduced the total CTC count and mesenchymal CTC count (P ​= ​0.034 and 0.022, respectively).

Conclusion

TACE in combination with ablation reduced the total CTC count and mesenchymal CTC count. The CTC count and EMT phenotypes may be associated with long-term efficacy.

A Novel Prediction Model for Significant Liver Fibrosis in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B

Background

Preventing liver fibrosis from progressing to cirrhosis and even liver cancer is a key step in the treatment of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This study is aimed at constructing and validating a new nomogram for predicting significant liver fibrosis (S ≥ 2) in CHB patients.

Methods

The nomogram was based on a retrospective study of 252 CHB patients. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram were evaluated by the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), decision curves, and calibration curve compared with the fibrosis 4 score (FIB-4) and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI). The results were validated using bootstrap resampling and an external set of 168 CHB patients.

Results

A total of 420 CHB patients were enrolled based on liver biopsy results. Independent factors predicting significant liver fibrosis were laminin (LN), procollagen type III N-terminal peptide (PIIINP), and blood platelet count (PLT) in a multivariate analysis, and these factors were selected to construct the nomogram. The calibration curve for the probability of significant liver fibrosis showed optimal agreement between the prediction from the nomogram and actual observation. The prediction from the nomogram was more consistent with the results of liver biopsy than FIB-4 and APRI. The AUROC of the nomogram was higher than that of FIB-4 and APRI for predicting significant liver fibrosis. These results were confirmed in the validation set. Furthermore, the decision curve analysis suggested that the most net benefits were provided by the nomogram.

Conclusions

We found the proposed nomogram resulted in a more accurate prediction of significant liver fibrosis in CHB patients and could provide the most net benefits. We recommend this noninvasive assessment for patients with liver fibrosis to avoid the risk of liver biopsy and earlier intervention to prevent the development of cirrhosis or liver cancer.

New Advances in Magnetic Resonance Techniques in Abdomen and Pelvis

This article explores new acquisition methods in magnetic resonance (MR) imaging to provide high spatial and temporal resolution imaging for a wide spectrum of clinical applications in the abdomen and pelvis. We present an overview of some of these advanced MR techniques, such as non-cartesian image acquisition, fast sampling and compressed sensing, diffusion quantification and quantitative MR that can improve data sampling, enhance image quality, yield quantitative measurements, and/or optimize diagnostic performance in the body.

Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive Mac-2-binding protein as a diagnostic biomarker in liver cirrhosis: an updated meta-analysis

Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive Mac-2-binding protein (WFA+-M2BP) had been suggested as a possible glycobiomarker for assessing liver fibrosis. Here, we conducted this updated meta-analysis to systematically investigate the predictive accuracy of WFA+-M2BP for diagnosing liver fibrosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by comparing with multiple non-invasive indicators. We searched relevant literatures from Pubmed, Web of Science, EMBASE and Cochrane Library and enrolled 36 eligible studies involving 7,362 patients. Summary results were calculated using bivariate random effects model. The pooled sensitivities, specificities and areas under the summary receiver operating characteristic curves (AUSROCs) of WFA+-M2BP for identifying mild fibrosis, significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, cirrhosis, and HCC were 0.70/0.68/0.75, 0.71/0.75/0.79, 0.75/0.76/0.82, 0.77/0.86/0.88, and 0.77/0.80/0.85, respectively. The accuracy of WFA+-M2BP was strongly affected by etiology and it was not better than other non-invasive indicators for predicting early fibrosis. It showed similar diagnostic performance to hyaluronic acid and FibroScan for cirrhosis, but was equivalent to α-fetoprotein for HCC. In conclusion, WFA+-M2BP was suitable to diagnose late stage of liver fibrosis, especially cirrhosis. Individual cutoff value of WFA+-M2BP could be used to grade liver fibrosis in different etiology. Combined diagnostic model was suggested to improve its predictive accuracy for HCC.

Performance of Non-invasive Blood Parameters for Ruling Out Significant Liver Fibrosis in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B

Background and Aims: Evaluation of significant liver fibrosis is important for treatment decision and treatment response evaluation in patients with chronic hepatitis B. Since liver biopsy is invasive and transient elastography (TE) has limited availability, various non-invasive blood parameters need evaluation for their capabilities for detection of significant fibrosis. Methods: In this retrospective study, records of patients who had undergone liver biopsy for treatment-naïve chronic hepatitis B were evaluated to obtain various non-invasive blood parameters (aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index [referred to as APRI], Fibrosis-4 score [referred to as FIB-4], gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio [referred to as GPR], and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-albumin ratio [referred to as GAR]), in addition to TE, to assess significant liver fibrosis and compare these to fibrosis stage in liver biopsy. Results: A total of 113 patients were included in the study (median age 33 [interquartile range: 11-82 years], 74% males). Most (75%) patients were HBeAg-negative. The liver biopsy revealed significant fibrosis (Ishak ≥3) in 13% of the patients and nil or mild fibrosis (Ishak <3) in 87% of the patients. TE findings were available for 85 patients, APRI and FIB-4 for 95 patients, GPR for 79 patients, and GAR for 78 patients. The median values of all the parameters were significantly higher in patients with significant fibrosis, as compared to patients with non-significant fibrosis, and all the blood parameters as well as TE were able to identify patients with significant fibrosis significantly well (p<0.05). All non-invasive parameters had low positive predictive value but negative predictive value above 92%. Compared to TE, all the non-invasive blood parameters had similar area under the curve for detecting significant fibrosis, with excellent negative predictive value (≥93%). Conclusions: Non-invasive blood parameters (APRI, FIB-4, GPR, and GAR) with negative predictive values above 93% are excellent parameters for ruling-out significant fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B. These can be used at bedside in place of TE.

Red cell distribution width-to-lymphocyte ratio: A novel predictor for HBV-related liver cirrhosis

To evaluate the diagnostic power of red cell distribution width-to-lymphocyte ratio (RLR) for HBV-related liver cirrhosis via a retrospective cohort study.Seven hundred fifty healthy controls, 327 chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients, and 410 patients with HBV-related liver cirrhosis (HBV-LC) were enrolled in this study. RLR, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), red cell distribution width (RDW), AST to platelet ratio index (APRI), and fibrosis index based on the 4 factors (FIB-4) were compared between the 3 groups. The predictive powers of RLR and RDW for HBV-related liver cirrhosis and patient prognosis were evaluated using AUROC.Patients with HBV-related liver cirrhosis had higher RLR, FIB-4, NLR, RDW, APRI, and lower LMR compared with the control and CHB groups. RLR in the HBV-LC group was significantly higher than both CHB and control groups (both P < .05). While RLR in the CHB group was also higher than the control group, the difference was not statistically significant (P > .05). The AUROC of RLR for predicting HBV-related liver cirrhosis was 0.87, and was superior to RDW (0.81), FIB-4 (0.79), and APRI (0.60). With an optimized cut-off value (10.87), RLR had the highest sensitivity (0.88) and specificity (0.72), and was superior to RDW (0.86, 0.64), FIB-4 (0.80, 0.65), and APRI (0.85, 0.48) as a biomarker. For all 3 groups, RLR was negatively correlated (all P < .05) with serum platelet (PLT) and was positively correlated (all P < .05) with FIB-4 and APRI. There was no significant statistical difference in RLR for patients in HBV-LC group who had different prognosis (P > .05).The RLR, a routinely available, inexpensive, and easily calculated measure, can be used as a predictor of HBV-related liver cirrhosis, but not as a predictor of prognosis for patients with liver cirrhosis. Use of RLR may reduce the need for frequent liver biopsies in CHB patients.

Assessment of liver fibrosis with liver and spleen magnetic resonance elastography, serum markers in chronic liver disease

Background

The accurate assessment of liver fibrosis is essential for patients with chronic liver disease. A liver biopsy is an invasive procedure that has many potential defects and complications. Therefore, noninvasive assessment techniques are of considerable value for clinical diagnosis. Liver and spleen magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) and serum markers have been proposed for quantitative and noninvasive assessment of liver fibrosis. This study aims to compare the diagnostic performance of liver and spleen stiffness measured by MRE, fibrosis index based on the 4 factors (FIB-4), aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), and their combined models for staging hepatic fibrosis.

Methods

One hundred and twenty patients with chronic liver disease underwent MRE scans. Liver and spleen stiffness were measured by the MRE stiffness maps. Serum markers were collected to calculate FIB-4 and APRI. Liver biopsies were used to identify pathologic grading. Spearman's rank correlation analysis evaluated the correlation between the parameters and fibrosis stages. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis evaluated the performance of the four individual parameters, a liver and spleen stiffness combined model, and an all-parameters combined model in assessing liver fibrosis.

Results

Liver stiffness, spleen stiffness, FIB-4, and APRI were all correlated with fibrosis stage (r=0.87, 0.64, 0.65, and 0.51, respectively, all P<0.001). Among the 4 individual diagnostic markers, liver stiffness showed the highest values in staging F1-4, F2-4, F3-4 and F4 (AUC =0.89, 0. 97, 0.95, and 0.95, all P<0.001). The AUCs of the liver and spleen stiffness combined model in the F1-4, F2-4, F3-4, and F4 staging groups were 0.89, 0.97, 0.95, and 0.96, respectively (all P<0.001). The corresponding AUCs of the all-parameters combined model were 0.90, 0.97, 0.95, and 0.96 (all P<0.001). The AUCs of the liver and spleen stiffness combined model were significantly higher than those of APRI, FIB-4 in the F2-4, F3-4, and F4 staging groups (all P<0.05). Both combined models were not significantly different from liver stiffness in staging liver fibrosis (all P>0.05).

Conclusions

Liver stiffness measured with MRE had better diagnostic performance than spleen stiffness, APRI, and FIB-4 for fibrosis staging. The combined models did not significantly improve the diagnostic value compared with liver stiffness in staging fibrosis.

Plateletcrit as a potential index for predicting liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B

Noninvasive tests (NITs) for liver fibrosis are highly needed for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. We aimed to investigate whether plateletcrit (PCT) could be used as a NIT in predicting liver fibrosis for CHB patients. Five hundred and sixty-seven treatment-naïve CHB patients with available liver biopsies were included. Patients were randomly divided into a derivation cohort (n = 378) and a validation cohort (n = 189). The diagnostic accuracy of PCT was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. In the derivation cohort, PCT in CHB patients with S2-S4 (0.14%), S3-S4 (0.13%) and S4 (0.12%) was lower than patients with S0-S1 (0.17%, P < .001), S0-S2 (0.17%, P < .001) and S0-S3 (0.16%, P < .001), respectively. PCT was an independent predictor of significant fibrosis (≥S2), advanced fibrosis (≥S3) and cirrhosis (S4). The area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of PCT in predicting significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis was 0.645, 0.709 and 0.714, respectively. The AUROC of PCT was higher than the aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index (APRI) in identifying advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis, while this was comparable with APRI in identifying significant fibrosis. The diagnostic value of PCT was comparable with fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4) in predicting significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis. In the validation cohort, PCT could also identify significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis with similar diagnostic accuracy as in the derivation cohort. PCT represents a simple and inexpensive indictor for liver fibrosis in CHB patients. PCT is just as good or better than other more complex tools for staging liver fibrosis in CHB patients.

On-Treatment Changes in FIB-4 and 1-Year FIB-4 Values Help Identify Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B Receiving Entecavir Therapy Who Have the Lowest Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Noninvasive fibrosis indices can help stratify the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) receiving nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) therapy. We investigated the predictive performance of on-treatment changes in FIB-4 (△FIB-4) and 1-year FIB-4 values (FIB-4 12M) for HCC risk in patients with CHB receiving entecavir therapy. We included 1325 NA-naïve patients with CHB treated with entecavir, retrospectively, from January 2007 to August 2012. A combination of △FIB-4 and FIB-4 12M was used to stratify the cumulative risk of HCC into three subgroups each in the noncirrhotic and cirrhotic subgroups with p < 0.0001 by using the log-rank test (noncirrhotic: the highest risk (n = 88): FIB-4 12M ≥ 1.58/△FIB-4 ≥ 0 (hazard ratio (HR): 40.35; 95% confidence interval (CI): 5.107–318.7; p <0.0001) and cirrhotic: the highest risk (n = 89): FIB-4 12M ≥2.88/△FIB-4 ≥0 (HR: 9.576; 95% CI: 5.033–18.22; p < 0.0001)). Patients with noncirrhotic CHB treated with entecavir who had a FIB-4 12M < 1.58 or FIB-4 12M ≥ 1.58/△FIB-4 < 0 exhibited the lowest 5-year HCC risk (0.6%). A combination of on-treatment changes in FIB-4 and 1-year FIB-4 values may help identify patients with CHB receiving entecavir therapy with the lowest risk of HCC.