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Zhao Y, Qiu J, Jiang P, Wang M, Sun M, Fan G, Yang N, Huang N, Han Y, Han L, Zhang Y. RNA extraction-free reduced graphene oxide-based RT-LAMP fluorescence assay for highly sensitive SARS-CoV-2 detection. Talanta 2024; 277:126413. [PMID: 38876035 DOI: 10.1016/j.talanta.2024.126413] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/24/2024] [Revised: 05/14/2024] [Accepted: 06/10/2024] [Indexed: 06/16/2024]
Abstract
Infectious diseases have always been a seriously endanger for human life and health. A rapid, accurate and ultra-sensitive virus nucleic acid detection is still a challenge to deal with infectious diseases. Here, a RNA extraction-free reduced graphene oxide-based reverse transcription-loop-mediated isothermal amplification (EF-G-RT-LAMP) fluorescence assay was developed to achieve high-throughput, rapid and ultra-sensitive SARS-CoV-2 RNA detection. The whole detection process only took ∼36 min. The EF-G-RT-LAMP assay achieves a detection limit of 0.6 copies μL-1 with a wide dynamic range of aM-pM. A large number (up to 384) of samples can be detected simultaneously. Simulated detection of the COVID-19 pseudovirus and clinical samples in nasopharyngeal swabs demonstrated a high-throughput, rapid and ultra-sensitive practical detection capability of the EF-G-RT-LAMP assay. The results proved that the assay would be used as a rapid, easy-to-implement approach for epidemiologic diagnosis and could be extended to other nucleic acid detections.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yujuan Zhao
- Institute of Marine Science and Technology, Shandong University, Qingdao, 266237, China
| | - Jiaoyan Qiu
- Institute of Marine Science and Technology, Shandong University, Qingdao, 266237, China
| | - Peiqing Jiang
- Department of Cardiology, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Qingdao, Shandong, 266035, China
| | - Min Wang
- Institute of Marine Science and Technology, Shandong University, Qingdao, 266237, China
| | - Mingyuan Sun
- Institute of Marine Science and Technology, Shandong University, Qingdao, 266237, China
| | - Guangpeng Fan
- Institute of Marine Science and Technology, Shandong University, Qingdao, 266237, China
| | - Ningkai Yang
- Institute of Marine Science and Technology, Shandong University, Qingdao, 266237, China
| | - Ning Huang
- Shandong Lifei Biological Group, Qingdao, 266000, China
| | - Yunrui Han
- Institute of Marine Science and Technology, Shandong University, Qingdao, 266237, China
| | - Lin Han
- Institute of Marine Science and Technology, Shandong University, Qingdao, 266237, China; School of Integrated Circuits, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, 250100, China; Shandong Engineering Research Center of Biomarker and Artificial Intelligence Application, Jinan, 250100, China
| | - Yu Zhang
- Institute of Marine Science and Technology, Shandong University, Qingdao, 266237, China; School of Integrated Circuits, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, 250100, China.
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Kakulu RK, Kimaro EG, Mpolya EA. Effectiveness of Point of Entry Health Screening Measures among Travelers in the Detection and Containment of the International Spread of COVID-19: A Review of the Evidence. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2024; 21:410. [PMID: 38673323 PMCID: PMC11049967 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph21040410] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/03/2023] [Revised: 12/28/2023] [Accepted: 01/03/2024] [Indexed: 04/28/2024]
Abstract
COVID-19 remains a communicable disease with the capacity to cause substantial damage to health and health systems. Enhanced health screening at points of entry (POEs) is a public health measure implemented to support early detection, prevention and response to communicable diseases, such as COVID-19. The purpose of this study was to review the available evidence on the effectiveness of POE health screening in the detection and containment of the COVID-19 pandemic. This study was registered under PROSPERO and followed PRISMA guidelines in which the literature between 2019 and 2022 was retrieved from Scopus, PubMed, Web of Science, Global Health, CINAHL, Embase, Google Scholar and international organizations. A total of 33,744 articles were screened for eligibility, from which 43 met the inclusion criteria. The modeling studies predicted POE screening able to detect COVID-19 in a range of 8.8% to 99.6%, while observational studies indicated a detection rate of 2% to 77.9%, including variants of concern depending on the screening method employed. The literature also indicated these measures can delay onset of the epidemic by 7 to 32 days. Based on our review findings, if POE screening measures are implemented in combination with other public health interventions such as rapid tests, they may help detect and reduce the spread of COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Remidius Kamuhabwa Kakulu
- Department of Health and Biomedical Sciences, School of Life Science and Bioengineering, Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology (NM-AIST), Arusha P.O. Box 447, Tanzania; (E.G.K.); (E.A.M.)
- Department of Preventive Services, Ministry of Health, Dodoma P.O. Box 743, Tanzania
| | - Esther Gwae Kimaro
- Department of Health and Biomedical Sciences, School of Life Science and Bioengineering, Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology (NM-AIST), Arusha P.O. Box 447, Tanzania; (E.G.K.); (E.A.M.)
| | - Emmanuel Abraham Mpolya
- Department of Health and Biomedical Sciences, School of Life Science and Bioengineering, Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology (NM-AIST), Arusha P.O. Box 447, Tanzania; (E.G.K.); (E.A.M.)
- Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health & Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, UK
- Center for Global Health (CGH), Perelman School of Medicine University of Pennsylvania, 240 John Morgan Bldg., 3620 Hamilton Walk, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), Population Health Building/Hans Rosling Center, 3980 15th Ave. NE, Seattle, WA 98195, USA
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Osman K, Mundodan J, Chowdhury J, Ravi R, Baaboura R, Albuquerque J, Riaz B, Emran RY, Batoul K, Esameldin AM, Al Tabatabaee Z, Khogali H, Albayat S. Pfizer-BioNTech mRNA Vaccine Protection among Children and Adolescents Aged 12-17 Years against COVID-19 Infection in Qatar. Vaccines (Basel) 2023; 11:1522. [PMID: 37896926 PMCID: PMC10610824 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines11101522] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2023] [Revised: 09/03/2023] [Accepted: 09/18/2023] [Indexed: 10/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Qatar was also hit hard by the global pandemic of SARS-CoV-2, with the original virus, Alpha variant, Beta variant, Omicron BA.1 and BA.2 variants, Omicron BA.4 and BA.5 variants, and Delta variant, sequentially. The two-dose primary series of BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) COVID-19 vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 infection has been approved for use in 30 µg formulations among children and adolescents aged 12-17 years as of 16 May 2021. This study aimed at estimating the effectiveness of the 30 µg BNT162b2 Pfizer-BioNTech mRNA COVID-19 vaccine against the pre-Omicron variants of SARS-CoV-2 infection in children and adolescents aged 12-17 years residing in Qatar. A test-negative matched case-control study was conducted. The subjects included any child or adolescent aged 12-17 years who had been tested for SARS-CoV-2 using RT-PCR tests performed on nasopharyngeal or oropharyngeal swabs, as part of contact tracing, between June and November 2021, and was eligible to receive the BNT162b2 vaccine as per the national guidelines. Data regarding 14,161 children/adolescents meeting inclusion-exclusion criteria were retrieved from the national Surveillance and Vaccine Electronic System (SAVES). Of the total, 3.1% (444) were positive for SARS-CoV-2. More than half (55.96%) were vaccinated with two doses of Pfizer-BioNTech-mRNA COVID-19 vaccine. Amongst those immunized with two doses, 1.2% tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, while 5.6% amongst the unvaccinated tested positive. The vaccine effectiveness was calculated to be 79%. Pfizer-BioNTech mRNA COVID-19 vaccine provides protection from COVID-19 infection for children/adolescents; hence, it is crucial to ensure they receive the recommended vaccines.
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Affiliation(s)
- Khadieja Osman
- National COVID-19 Track & Trace Team, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar; (K.O.); (J.C.); (R.R.); (R.B.); (J.A.); (B.R.); (R.Y.E.); (H.K.); (S.A.)
| | - Jesha Mundodan
- National COVID-19 Track & Trace Team, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar; (K.O.); (J.C.); (R.R.); (R.B.); (J.A.); (B.R.); (R.Y.E.); (H.K.); (S.A.)
- Vaccination Section, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar
| | - Juel Chowdhury
- National COVID-19 Track & Trace Team, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar; (K.O.); (J.C.); (R.R.); (R.B.); (J.A.); (B.R.); (R.Y.E.); (H.K.); (S.A.)
- Vaccination Section, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar
| | - Rejoice Ravi
- National COVID-19 Track & Trace Team, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar; (K.O.); (J.C.); (R.R.); (R.B.); (J.A.); (B.R.); (R.Y.E.); (H.K.); (S.A.)
- Vaccination Section, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar
| | - Rekayahouda Baaboura
- National COVID-19 Track & Trace Team, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar; (K.O.); (J.C.); (R.R.); (R.B.); (J.A.); (B.R.); (R.Y.E.); (H.K.); (S.A.)
- Vaccination Section, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar
| | - Jeevan Albuquerque
- National COVID-19 Track & Trace Team, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar; (K.O.); (J.C.); (R.R.); (R.B.); (J.A.); (B.R.); (R.Y.E.); (H.K.); (S.A.)
- Vaccination Section, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar
| | - Bilal Riaz
- National COVID-19 Track & Trace Team, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar; (K.O.); (J.C.); (R.R.); (R.B.); (J.A.); (B.R.); (R.Y.E.); (H.K.); (S.A.)
- Vaccination Section, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar
| | - Reem Yusuf Emran
- National COVID-19 Track & Trace Team, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar; (K.O.); (J.C.); (R.R.); (R.B.); (J.A.); (B.R.); (R.Y.E.); (H.K.); (S.A.)
- Vaccination Section, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar
| | - Khatija Batoul
- National COVID-19 Track & Trace Team, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar; (K.O.); (J.C.); (R.R.); (R.B.); (J.A.); (B.R.); (R.Y.E.); (H.K.); (S.A.)
| | - Abdul Mahmood Esameldin
- National COVID-19 Track & Trace Team, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar; (K.O.); (J.C.); (R.R.); (R.B.); (J.A.); (B.R.); (R.Y.E.); (H.K.); (S.A.)
| | - Zinah Al Tabatabaee
- National COVID-19 Track & Trace Team, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar; (K.O.); (J.C.); (R.R.); (R.B.); (J.A.); (B.R.); (R.Y.E.); (H.K.); (S.A.)
| | - Hayat Khogali
- National COVID-19 Track & Trace Team, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar; (K.O.); (J.C.); (R.R.); (R.B.); (J.A.); (B.R.); (R.Y.E.); (H.K.); (S.A.)
- Vaccination Section, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar
| | - Soha Albayat
- National COVID-19 Track & Trace Team, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar; (K.O.); (J.C.); (R.R.); (R.B.); (J.A.); (B.R.); (R.Y.E.); (H.K.); (S.A.)
- Vaccination Section, Ministry of Public Health, Doha P.O. Box 42, Qatar
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Lovey T, Hasler R, Gautret P, Schlagenhauf P. Travel-related respiratory symptoms and infections in travellers (2000-22): a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Travel Med 2023; 30:taad081. [PMID: 37310895 PMCID: PMC10481419 DOI: 10.1093/jtm/taad081] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/22/2023] [Revised: 06/06/2023] [Accepted: 06/07/2023] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Respiratory tract infections (RTIs) are common in travellers due to the year-round or seasonal presence of respiratory pathogen and exposure to crowded environments during the itinerary. No study has systematically examined the burden of RTI infections among travellers. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to evaluate the prevalence of RTIs and symptoms suggestive of RTIs among travellers according to risk groups and/or geographic region, and to describe the spectrum of RTIs. METHODS The systematic review and meta-analysis was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42022311261). We searched Medline, Embase, Scopus, Cochrane Central, Web of Science, Science Direct and preprint servers MedRxiv, BioRxiv, SSRN and IEEE Xplore on 1 February 2022. Studies reporting RTIs or symptoms suggestive of RTIs in international travellers after 1 January 2000 were eligible. Data appraisal and extraction were performed by two authors, and proportional meta-analyses were used to obtain estimates of the prevalence of respiratory symptoms and RTIs in travellers and predefined risk groups. FINDINGS A total of 429 articles on travellers' illness were included. Included studies reported 86 841 symptoms suggestive of RTIs and 807 632 confirmed RTIs. Seventy-eight percent of reported respiratory symptoms and 60% of RTIs with available location data were acquired at mass gatherings events. Cough was the most common symptom suggestive of respiratory infections, and the upper respiratory tract was the most common site for RTIs in travellers. The prevalence of RTIs and respiratory symptoms suggestive of RTIs were 10% [8%; 14%] and 37% [27%; 48%], respectively, among travellers. Reporting of RTIs in travellers denoted by publication output was found to correlate with global waves of new respiratory infections. INTERPRETATION This study demonstrates a high burden of RTIs among travellers and indicates that travellers' RTIs reflect respiratory infection outbreaks. These findings have important implications for understanding and managing RTIs among travellers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thibault Lovey
- Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute, University of Zürich, Hirschengraben 84, 8001 Zürich Switzerland
| | - Robin Hasler
- HFR Fribourg – Cantonal Hospital, 1708 Fribourg, Switzerland
| | | | - Patricia Schlagenhauf
- Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute, University of Zürich, Hirschengraben 84, 8001 Zürich Switzerland
- Department of Global and Public Health, MilMedBiol Competence Centre, Epidemiology Biostatistics and Prevention Institute, WHO Collaborating Centre for Travellers’ Health, Hirschengraben 84, 8001 Zürich, Switzerland
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Development of a COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness and safety assessment system in Japan: The VENUS Study. Vaccine 2023; 41:3556-3563. [PMID: 37037707 PMCID: PMC10050280 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2023.03.059] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/12/2022] [Revised: 03/16/2023] [Accepted: 03/24/2023] [Indexed: 03/31/2023]
Abstract
Background There are currently no COVID-19 vaccine assessment systems in Japan that allow for the active surveillance of both vaccinated and unvaccinated persons. Herein, we describe the development of Japan’s first COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness and safety assessment system with active surveillance capabilities. Methods The Vaccine Effectiveness, Networking, and Universal Safety (VENUS) Study was developed as a multi-source database that links four data types at the individual resident level: Basic Resident Register (base population information), Vaccination Record System (vaccination-related information), Health Center Real-time Information-sharing System on COVID-19 (HER-SYS; information on COVID-19 occurrence), and health care claims data (information on diagnoses, hospitalizations, diagnostic tests, and treatments). These data were obtained from four municipalities. Individual residents were linked across the data types using five matching algorithms based on names, birth dates, and sex; the data were anonymized after linkage. To ascertain the viability of the VENUS Study’s database for COVID-19 vaccine assessments, we examined the trends in COVID-19 vaccinations, COVID-19 cases, and polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test numbers. We also evaluated the linkage rates across the data types. Results Our multi-source database was able to monitor COVID-19 vaccinations, COVID-19 cases, and PCR test numbers throughout the pandemic. Using the five algorithms, the data linkage rates between the COVID-19 occurrence information in the HER-SYS and the Basic Resident Register ranged from 85·4% to 91·7%. Conclusion If used judiciously with an understanding of each data source’s characteristics, the VENUS Study can provide a viable data platform that facilitates active surveillance and comparative analyses for population-based research on COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness and safety in Japan.
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Awandu SS, Ochieng Ochieng A, Onyango B, Magwanga RO, Were P, Atieno Ochung’ A, Okumu F, Oloo MA, Katieno JS, Lidechi S, Ogutu F, Awuor D, Kirungu JN, Orata F, Achieng J, Oure B, Nyunja R, Muok EMO, Munga S, Estambale B. High seroprevalence of Immunoglobulin G (IgG) and IgM antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 in asymptomatic and symptomatic individuals amidst vaccination roll-out in western Kenya. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0272751. [PMID: 36548358 PMCID: PMC9778630 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0272751] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/25/2022] [Accepted: 11/23/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
The population's antibody response is a key factor in comprehending SARS-CoV-2 epidemiology. This is especially important in African settings where COVID-19 impact, and vaccination rates are relatively low. This study aimed at characterizing the Immunoglobulin G (IgG) and Immunoglobulin M (IgM) in both SARS-CoV-2 asymptomatic and symptomatic individuals in Kisumu and Siaya counties in western Kenya using enzyme linked immunosorbent assays. The IgG and IgM overall seroprevalence in 98 symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals in western Kenya between December 2021-March 2022 was 76.5% (95% CI = 66.9-84.5) and 29.6% (95% CI = 20.8-39.7) respectively. In terms of gender, males had slightly higher IgG positivity 87.5% (35/40) than females 68.9% (40/58). Amidst the ongoing vaccination roll-out during the study period, over half of the study participants (55.1%, 95% CI = 44.7-65.2) had not received any vaccine. About one third, (31.6%, 95% CI = 22.6-41.8) of the study participants had been fully vaccinated, with close to a quarter (13.3% 95% CI = 7.26-21.6) partially vaccinated. When considering the vaccination status and seroprevalence, out of the 31 fully vaccinated individuals, IgG seropositivity was 81.1% (95% CI = 70.2-96.3) and IgM seropositivity was 35.5% (95% CI = 19.22-54.6). Out of the participants that had not been vaccinated at all, IgG seroprevalence was 70.4% (95% CI 56.4-82.0) with 20.4% (95% CI 10.6-33.5) seropositivity for IgM antibodies. On PCR testing, 33.7% were positive, with 66.3% negative. The 32 positive individuals included 12(37.5%) fully vaccinated, 8(25%) partially vaccinated and 12(37.5%) unvaccinated. SARs-CoV-2 PCR positivity did not significantly predict IgG (p = 0.469 [95% CI 0.514-4.230]) and IgM (p = 0.964 [95% CI 0.380-2.516]) positivity. These data indicate a high seroprevalence of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 in western Kenya. This suggests that a larger fraction of the population was infected with SARS-CoV-2 within the defined period than what PCR testing could cover.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shehu Shagari Awandu
- School of Health Sciences, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga University of Science and Technology, Bondo, Kenya
- School of Biological, Physical, Mathematics and Actuarial Sciences, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga University of Science and Technology, Bondo, Kenya
| | - Alfred Ochieng Ochieng
- School of Biological, Physical, Mathematics and Actuarial Sciences, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga University of Science and Technology, Bondo, Kenya
| | - Benson Onyango
- School of Biological, Physical, Mathematics and Actuarial Sciences, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga University of Science and Technology, Bondo, Kenya
| | - Richard Odongo Magwanga
- School of Biological, Physical, Mathematics and Actuarial Sciences, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga University of Science and Technology, Bondo, Kenya
- State Key Laboratory of Cotton Biology/Institute of Cotton Research, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Science, Anyang, Henan, China
| | - Pamela Were
- School of Biological, Physical, Mathematics and Actuarial Sciences, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga University of Science and Technology, Bondo, Kenya
| | - Angeline Atieno Ochung’
- School of Biological, Physical, Mathematics and Actuarial Sciences, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga University of Science and Technology, Bondo, Kenya
| | - Fredrick Okumu
- School of Biological, Physical, Mathematics and Actuarial Sciences, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga University of Science and Technology, Bondo, Kenya
| | - Marceline Adhiambo Oloo
- School of Biological, Physical, Mathematics and Actuarial Sciences, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga University of Science and Technology, Bondo, Kenya
| | - Jim Seth Katieno
- Kenya Medical Research Institute Centre for Global Health Research (CGHR), Kisumu, Kenya
| | - Shirley Lidechi
- Kenya Medical Research Institute Centre for Global Health Research (CGHR), Kisumu, Kenya
| | - Fredrick Ogutu
- Kenya Industrial Research and Development Institute (KIRDI), Kisumu, Kenya
| | - Dorothy Awuor
- School of Biological, Physical, Mathematics and Actuarial Sciences, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga University of Science and Technology, Bondo, Kenya
| | - Joy Nyangasi Kirungu
- State Key Laboratory of Cotton Biology/Institute of Cotton Research, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Science, Anyang, Henan, China
| | - Francis Orata
- Masinde Muliro University of Science and Technology (MMUST), Kakamega, Kenya
| | - Justine Achieng
- Kenya Industrial Research and Development Institute (KIRDI), Kisumu, Kenya
| | - Bonface Oure
- Kenya Industrial Research and Development Institute (KIRDI), Kisumu, Kenya
| | - Regina Nyunja
- School of Biological, Physical, Mathematics and Actuarial Sciences, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga University of Science and Technology, Bondo, Kenya
| | - Eric M. O. Muok
- Kenya Medical Research Institute Centre for Global Health Research (CGHR), Kisumu, Kenya
| | - Stephen Munga
- Kenya Medical Research Institute Centre for Global Health Research (CGHR), Kisumu, Kenya
| | - Benson Estambale
- School of Health Sciences, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga University of Science and Technology, Bondo, Kenya
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Sawry S, Le Roux J, Wolter N, Mbatha P, Bhiman J, Balkus J, von Gottberg A, Cohen C, Chersich M, Kekana M, Ndlovu T, Shipalana A, Mthimunye W, Patel F, Gous H, Walaza S, Tempia S, Rees H, Fairlie L. High prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in pregnant women after the second wave of infections in the inner-city of Johannesburg, Gauteng Province, South Africa. Int J Infect Dis 2022; 125:241-249. [PMID: 36347458 PMCID: PMC9637015 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2022.10.036] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/17/2022] [Revised: 09/15/2022] [Accepted: 10/25/2022] [Indexed: 11/08/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES After South Africa's second wave of COVID-19, this study estimated the SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence among pregnant women in inner-city Johannesburg, South Africa. METHODS In this cross-sectional survey, 500 pregnant women who were non-COVID-19-vaccinated (aged ≥12 years) were enrolled, and demographic and clinical data were collected. Serum samples were tested using the Wantai SARS-CoV-2 spike antibody enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and Roche Elecsys® anti-SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid antibody assays. Seropositivity was defined as SARS-CoV-2 antibodies on either (primary) or both (secondary) assays. Univariate Poisson regression assessed risk factors associated with seropositivity. RESULTS The median age was 27.4 years, and HIV prevalence was 26.7%. SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence was 64.0% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 59.6-68.2%) on the primary and 54% (95% CI: 49.5-58.4%) on the secondary measure. Most (96.6%) women who were SARS-CoV-2-seropositive reported no symptoms. On the Roche assay, we detected lower seroprevalence among women living with HIV than women without HIV (48.9% vs 61.7%, P-value = 0.018), and especially low levels among women living with HIV with a clusters of differentiation 4 <350 cells/ml compared with women without immune suppression (22.2% vs 56.4%, prevalence rate ratio = 0.4; 95% CI: 0.2-0.9; P-value = 0.046). CONCLUSION Pregnant women attending routine antenatal care had a high SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence after the second wave in South Africa, and most had asymptomatic infections. Seroprevalence surveys in pregnant women present a feasible method of monitoring the course of the pandemic over time.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shobna Sawry
- Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa,Corresponding author: Shobna Sawry, 22 Esselen Street, Hillbrow, Johannesburg, 2001
| | - Jean Le Roux
- Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Nicole Wolter
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases, a division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa,School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Philile Mbatha
- Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Jinal Bhiman
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases, a division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa,School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Jennifer Balkus
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Washington School of Public Health, Seattle, United States of America
| | - Anne von Gottberg
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases, a division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa,School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa,Department of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Cheryl Cohen
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases, a division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa,School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Matthew Chersich
- Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Malolo Kekana
- Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Thatcher Ndlovu
- Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Angela Shipalana
- Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Wendy Mthimunye
- Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Faeezah Patel
- Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Hermien Gous
- Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Sibongile Walaza
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases, a division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa,School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Stefano Tempia
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases, a division of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Helen Rees
- Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Lee Fairlie
- Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
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8
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Jubishi D, Okamoto K, Hamada K, Ishii T, Hashimoto H, Shinohara T, Yamashita M, Wakimoto Y, Otani A, Hisasue N, Ikeda M, Harada S, Okugawa S, Moriya K, Yanagimoto S. The association between adverse reactions and immune response against SARS-CoV-2 spike protein after vaccination with BNT162b2 among healthcare workers in a single healthcare system: a prospective observational cohort study. Hum Vaccin Immunother 2022; 18:2048559. [PMID: 35333697 PMCID: PMC9115791 DOI: 10.1080/21645515.2022.2048559] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Adverse reactions after vaccination with COVID-19 mRNA vaccines are common; however, the association between adverse reactions and humoral responses is uncertain. To determine whether humoral immune responses after BNT162b2 vaccine administration were associated with local and systemic adverse reactions, we conducted a prospective observational cohort study in a single tertiary referral center. Healthcare workers who received the first dose of BNT162b2 vaccine were recruited. SARS-CoV-2 anti-spike IgG antibody titers were measured three weeks after the second dose and information about adverse reactions after vaccination was collected. Among the 887 participants, 641 (72.3%) were women. The median age was 38 (range, 22–74) years. All but one showed anti-spike IgG levels well above the cutoff, with a median level of 13,600 arbitrary units/mL. Overall, 800 (92.2%) participants reported some reactions after the first dose and 822 (96.3%) after the second dose. Significantly more participants reported systemic reactions after the second dose than after the first dose (P < .01), and 625 (73.6%) reported that reactions were stronger after the second dose. Factors positively associated with elevation of anti-spike IgG levels were history of asthma (24% higher if present, P = .01) and stronger reactions after the second dose (19% higher if experienced, P = .02). The majority of participants showed good humoral responses and reported some adverse reactions after vaccination. Anti-spike IgG levels were significantly higher if adverse reactions after the second dose were stronger than those after the first dose. These findings may help inform current and future vaccine recipients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daisuke Jubishi
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Koh Okamoto
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kensuke Hamada
- Division for Health Service Promotion, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Takashi Ishii
- Division for Health Service Promotion, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hideki Hashimoto
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Takayuki Shinohara
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Marie Yamashita
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yuji Wakimoto
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Amato Otani
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Naoko Hisasue
- Division for Health Service Promotion, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Mahoko Ikeda
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.,Department of Infection Control and Prevention, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Sohei Harada
- Department of Infection Control and Prevention, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Shu Okugawa
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kyoji Moriya
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.,Department of Infection Control and Prevention, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Shintaro Yanagimoto
- Division for Health Service Promotion, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
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9
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Carazo S, Skowronski DM, Brisson M, Sauvageau C, Brousseau N, Gilca R, Ouakki M, Barkati S, Fafard J, Talbot D, Gilca V, Deceuninck G, Garenc C, Carignan A, De Wals P, De Serres G. Estimated Protection of Prior SARS-CoV-2 Infection Against Reinfection With the Omicron Variant Among Messenger RNA-Vaccinated and Nonvaccinated Individuals in Quebec, Canada. JAMA Netw Open 2022; 5:e2236670. [PMID: 36239934 PMCID: PMC9568797 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.36670] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
IMPORTANCE The Omicron variant is phylogenetically and antigenically distinct from earlier SARS-CoV-2 variants and the original vaccine strain. Protection conferred by prior SARS-CoV-2 infection against Omicron reinfection, with and without vaccination, requires quantification. OBJECTIVE To estimate the protection against Omicron reinfection and hospitalization conferred by prior heterologous non-Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection and/or up to 3 doses of an ancestral, Wuhan-like messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccine. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This test-negative, population-based case-control study was conducted between December 26, 2021, and March 12, 2022, and included community-dwelling individuals aged 12 years or older who were tested for SARS-CoV-2 infection in the province of Quebec, Canada. EXPOSURES Prior laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection with or without mRNA vaccination. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The main outcome was laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 reinfection and associated hospitalization, presumed to be associated with the Omicron variant according to genomic surveillance. The odds of prior infection with or without vaccination were compared for case participants with Omicron infection and associated hospitalizations vs test-negative control participants. Estimated protection was derived as 1 - the odds ratio, adjusted for age, sex, testing indication, and epidemiologic week. Analyses were stratified by severity and time since last non-Omicron infection or vaccine dose. RESULTS This study included 696 439 individuals (224 007 case participants and 472 432 control participants); 62.2% and 63.9% were female and 87.4% and 75.5% were aged 18 to 69 years, respectively. Prior non-Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection was detected for 9505 case participants (4.2%) and 29 712 control participants (6.3%). Among nonvaccinated individuals, prior non-Omicron infection was associated with a 44% reduction (95% CI, 38%-48%) in Omicron reinfection risk, which decreased from 66% (95% CI, 57%-73%) at 3 to 5 months to 35% (95% CI, 21%-47%) at 9 to 11 months postinfection and was below 30% thereafter. The more severe the prior infection, the greater the risk reduction. Estimated protection (95% CI) against Omicron infection was consistently significantly higher among vaccinated individuals with prior infection compared with vaccinated infection-naive individuals, with 65% (63%-67%) vs 20% (16%-24%) for 1 dose, 68% (67%-70%) vs 42% (41%-44%) for 2 doses, and 83% (81%-84%) vs 73% (72%-73%) for 3 doses. For individuals with prior infection, estimated protection (95% CI) against Omicron-associated hospitalization was 81% (66%-89%) and increased to 86% (77%-99%) with 1, 94% (91%-96%) with 2, and 97% (94%-99%) with 3 mRNA vaccine doses, without signs of waning. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE The findings of this study suggest that vaccination with 2 or 3 mRNA vaccine doses among individuals with prior heterologous SARS-CoV-2 infection provided the greatest protection against Omicron-associated hospitalization. In the context of program goals to prevent severe outcomes and preserve health care system capacity, a third mRNA vaccine dose may add limited protection in twice-vaccinated individuals with prior SARS-CoV-2 infection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sara Carazo
- Biological Risks Unit, Institut National de Santé Publique du Québec, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
| | - Danuta M. Skowronski
- Communicable Diseases and Immunization Services, British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Marc Brisson
- Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Québec-Université Laval Research Center, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
- Social and Preventive Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Laval University, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
| | - Chantal Sauvageau
- Biological Risks Unit, Institut National de Santé Publique du Québec, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
- Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Québec-Université Laval Research Center, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
- Social and Preventive Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Laval University, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
| | - Nicholas Brousseau
- Biological Risks Unit, Institut National de Santé Publique du Québec, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
- Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Québec-Université Laval Research Center, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
- Social and Preventive Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Laval University, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
| | - Rodica Gilca
- Biological Risks Unit, Institut National de Santé Publique du Québec, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
- Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Québec-Université Laval Research Center, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
- Social and Preventive Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Laval University, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
| | - Manale Ouakki
- Biological Risks Unit, Institut National de Santé Publique du Québec, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
| | - Sapha Barkati
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, McGill University Health Center, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
| | - Judith Fafard
- Laboratoire de Santé Publique du Québec, Institut National de Santé Publique du Québec, Sainte-Anne-de-Bellevue, Quebec, Canada
| | - Denis Talbot
- Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Québec-Université Laval Research Center, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
- Social and Preventive Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Laval University, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
| | - Vladimir Gilca
- Biological Risks Unit, Institut National de Santé Publique du Québec, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
| | - Geneviève Deceuninck
- Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Québec-Université Laval Research Center, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
| | - Christophe Garenc
- Biological Risks Unit, Institut National de Santé Publique du Québec, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
- Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Québec-Université Laval Research Center, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
| | - Alex Carignan
- Department of Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, Sherbrook University, Sherbrook, Quebec, Canada
| | - Philippe De Wals
- Biological Risks Unit, Institut National de Santé Publique du Québec, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
- Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Québec-Université Laval Research Center, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
- Social and Preventive Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Laval University, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
| | - Gaston De Serres
- Biological Risks Unit, Institut National de Santé Publique du Québec, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
- Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Québec-Université Laval Research Center, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
- Social and Preventive Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Laval University, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
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10
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Shrestha NK, Burke PC, Nowacki AS, Terpeluk P, Gordon SM. Necessity of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Vaccination in Persons Who Have Already Had COVID-19. Clin Infect Dis 2022; 75:e662-e671. [PMID: 35028662 PMCID: PMC8807217 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciac022] [Citation(s) in RCA: 34] [Impact Index Per Article: 17.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/10/2021] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The aim was to evaluate the necessity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination in persons with prior COVID-19. METHODS Employees of the Cleveland Clinic working in Ohio on 16 December 2020, the day COVID-19 vaccination was started, were included. Anyone who tested positive for COVID-19 at least once before the study start date was considered previously infected. One was considered vaccinated 14 days after receiving the second dose of COVID-19 mRNA vaccine. Cumulative incidences of COVID-19, symptomatic COVID-19, and hospitalizations for COVID-19 were examined over the next year. RESULTS Among 52 238 employees, 4718 (9%) were previously infected and 36 922 (71%) were vaccinated by the study's end. Cumulative incidence of COVID-19 was substantially higher throughout for those previously uninfected who remained unvaccinated than for all other groups, lower for the vaccinated than unvaccinated, and lower for those previously infected than those not. Incidence of COVID-19 increased dramatically in all groups after the Omicron variant emerged. In multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression, both prior COVID-19 and vaccination were independently associated with significantly lower risk of COVID-19. Among previously infected subjects, a lower risk of COVID-19 overall was not demonstrated, but vaccination was associated with a significantly lower risk of symptomatic COVID-19 in both pre-Omicron (HR, .60; 95% CI, .40-.90) and Omicron (HR, .36; 95% CI, .23-.57) phases. CONCLUSIONS Both previous infection and vaccination provide substantial protection against COVID-19. Vaccination of previously infected individuals does not provide additional protection against COVID-19 for several months, but after that provides significant protection at least against symptomatic COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nabin K Shrestha
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio
| | - Patrick C Burke
- Department of Infection Prevention, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio
| | - Amy S Nowacki
- Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio
| | - Paul Terpeluk
- Department of Occupational Health, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio
| | - Steven M Gordon
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio
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11
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Rosenstrom ET, Mele J, Ivy JS, Mayorga ME, Patel MD, Lich KH, Delamater PL, Smith RL, Swann JL. Vaccinating children against COVID-19 is crucial to protect schools and communities. PNAS NEXUS 2022; 1:pgac081. [PMID: 35873793 PMCID: PMC9295200 DOI: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgac081] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/16/2022] [Accepted: 06/03/2022] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
To evaluate the joint impact of childhood vaccination rates and school masking policies on community transmission and severe outcomes due to COVID-19, we utilized a stochastic, agent-based simulation of North Carolina to test 24 health policy scenarios. In these scenarios, we varied the childhood (ages 5 to 19) vaccination rate relative to the adult's (ages 20 to 64) vaccination rate and the masking relaxation policies in schools. We measured the overall incidence of disease, COVID-19-related hospitalization, and mortality from 2021 July 1 to 2023 July 1. Our simulation estimates that removing all masks in schools in January 2022 could lead to a 31% to 45%, 23% to 35%, and 13% to 19% increase in cumulative infections for ages 5 to 9, 10 to 19, and the total population, respectively, depending on the childhood vaccination rate. Additionally, achieving a childhood vaccine uptake rate of 50% of adults could lead to a 31% to 39% reduction in peak hospitalizations overall masking scenarios compared with not vaccinating this group. Finally, our simulation estimates that increasing vaccination uptake for the entire eligible population can reduce peak hospitalizations in 2022 by an average of 83% and 87% across all masking scenarios compared to the scenarios where no children are vaccinated. Our simulation suggests that high vaccination uptake among both children and adults is necessary to mitigate the increase in infections from mask removal in schools and workplaces.
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Affiliation(s)
- Erik T Rosenstrom
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27606, USA
| | - Jessica Mele
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27606, USA
| | - Julie S Ivy
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27606, USA
| | - Maria E Mayorga
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27606, USA
| | - Mehul D Patel
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA
| | - Kristen Hassmiller Lich
- Department of Health Policy and Management, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA
| | - Paul L Delamater
- Department of Geography, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA
| | - Raymond L Smith
- Department of Engineering, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC 27834, USA
| | - Julie L Swann
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27606, USA
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12
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A Testing and Quarantine Algorithm for Individual International Travelers Using Published Data on WHO-Approved Vaccines and Bayes’ Theorem. Vaccines (Basel) 2022; 10:vaccines10060902. [PMID: 35746509 PMCID: PMC9230962 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines10060902] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/27/2022] [Revised: 05/30/2022] [Accepted: 05/31/2022] [Indexed: 02/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Policies such as border closures and quarantines have been widely used during the COVID-19 pandemic. Policy modifications and updates, however, must be adjusted as global vaccination rates increase. We calculated the risks of individual travelers based on their expected transmission and benchmarked them against that of an unvaccinated traveler quarantined for 14 days without testing. All individuals with a negative preboarding test can be released with a negative arrival test, when both tests have a sensitivity ≥ 90% and a specificity ≥ 97%, performance characteristics that could be accomplished by rapid antigen tests. This assumption is valid for an incidence rate up to 0.1 (prior to testing) and effective reproduction number (Rt) up to 4 in the arrival country. In a sensitivity analysis scenario where the incidence rate is 0.4 and Rt is 16, a negative preboarding test and a negative arrival test, both with a sensitivity ≥ 98% and a specificity ≥ 97%, can ensure that a traveler has a lower expected transmission than an unvaccinated person who is quarantined for 14 days. In most cases, fully vaccinated travelers (with or without booster) and a negative preboarding test can be released with a negative rapid antigen test upon arrival, allowing travelers to depart the airport within 30 min.
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13
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Oberemok VV, Andreeva OA, Laikova KV, Novikov IA, Puzanova YV, Kubyshkin AV. Anti-coronavirus vaccines will not accelerate the transition of humanity to a non-pandemic period, but the pandemic will take fewer victims. Inflamm Res 2022; 71:521-536. [PMID: 35397666 PMCID: PMC8994861 DOI: 10.1007/s00011-022-01567-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2022] [Revised: 03/17/2022] [Accepted: 03/21/2022] [Indexed: 11/05/2022] Open
Abstract
The vaccination rate worldwide has reached enormous proportions, and it is likely that at least 75% of the world's population will be vaccinated. The controversy is that, while people aged 65 and older suffer a significantly higher mortality rate from COVID-19, plans are being made to vaccinate young people under the age of 20. Equally thorny is the question of vaccinating people who already have antibodies to SARS-CoV-2, as well as B and T memory cells, because they contracted and survived the virus. The possible consequences of large-scale vaccination are difficult to predict, when some people do not have access to the vaccine at all and others have already received 3 doses of the vaccine. SARS-CoV-2 will circulate through the human population forever and continue to mutate, as viruses do. Therefore, in the coming years, the need to develop and use effective vaccines and medicines for the prevention and treatment of COVID-19 will remain urgent in view of the high mortality rate from this disease. To date, three vaccine platforms have been most used: adenoviral vector, inactivated, and mRNA. There is some concern about the side effects that occur after vaccination. Whether modern anti-coronavirus vaccines can raise the safety threshold, only time will answer. It is obvious that the pandemic will end, but the virus will remain in the human population, leaving behind invaluable experience and tens of millions of victims. This article is based on search retrieves in research articles devoted to COVID-19 mainly published in 2020-2021 and examines the possible consequences of the worldwide vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 and suggests that, while anti-coronavirus vaccines will not magically transport humanity to a non-pandemic world, they may greatly reduce the number of victims of the pandemic and help us learn how to live with COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- V V Oberemok
- Department of Molecular Genetics and Biotechnologies, V.I. Vernadsky Crimean Federal University, Simferopol, Crimea.
- Department of DNA Technologies of Engineering Center, V.I. Vernadsky Crimean Federal University, Simferopol, Crimea.
| | - O A Andreeva
- Department of Molecular Genetics and Biotechnologies, V.I. Vernadsky Crimean Federal University, Simferopol, Crimea
- Department of DNA Technologies of Engineering Center, V.I. Vernadsky Crimean Federal University, Simferopol, Crimea
| | - K V Laikova
- Department of Molecular Genetics and Biotechnologies, V.I. Vernadsky Crimean Federal University, Simferopol, Crimea
- Department of DNA Technologies of Engineering Center, V.I. Vernadsky Crimean Federal University, Simferopol, Crimea
| | - I A Novikov
- Department of Molecular Genetics and Biotechnologies, V.I. Vernadsky Crimean Federal University, Simferopol, Crimea
| | - Y V Puzanova
- Department of Molecular Genetics and Biotechnologies, V.I. Vernadsky Crimean Federal University, Simferopol, Crimea
- Department of DNA Technologies of Engineering Center, V.I. Vernadsky Crimean Federal University, Simferopol, Crimea
| | - A V Kubyshkin
- Department of DNA Technologies of Engineering Center, V.I. Vernadsky Crimean Federal University, Simferopol, Crimea
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14
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COVID-19 Vaccine Effectiveness: A Review of the First 6 Months of COVID-19 Vaccine Availability (1 January–30 June 2021). Vaccines (Basel) 2022; 10:vaccines10030393. [PMID: 35335025 PMCID: PMC8951318 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines10030393] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/24/2022] [Revised: 02/16/2022] [Accepted: 02/28/2022] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Observational studies are needed to demonstrate real-world vaccine effectiveness (VE) against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) outcomes. Our objective was to conduct a review of published SARS-CoV-2 VE articles, supplemented by preprints, during the first 6 months of COVID-19 vaccine availability. This review compares the effectiveness of completing the primary COVID-19 vaccination series against multiple SARS-CoV-2 disease presentations and disease severity outcomes in three population groups (general population, frontline workers, and older adults). Four hundred and seventy-one published articles and 47 preprints were identified. After title and abstract screening and full article review, 50 studies (28 published articles, 22 preprints) were included. VE results were reported for five COVID-19 vaccines and four combinations of COVID-19 vaccines. VE results for BNT162b2 were reported in 70.6% of all studies. Seventeen studies reported variant specific VE estimates; Alpha was the most common. This comprehensive review demonstrates that COVID-19 vaccination is an important tool for preventing COVID-19 morbidity and mortality among fully vaccinated persons aged 16 years and older and serves as an important baseline from which to follow future trends in COVID-19 evolution and effectiveness of new and updated vaccines.
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15
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Schneider FS, Molina L, Picot MC, L'Helgoualch N, Espeut J, Champigneux P, Alali M, Baptiste J, Cardeur L, Carniel C, Davy M, Dedisse D, Dubuc B, Fenech H, Foulongne V, Gaillard CF, Galtier F, Makinson A, Marin G, Santos RM, Morquin D, Ouedraogo A, Lejeune AP, Quenot M, Keiflin P, Robles FC, Rego CR, Salvetat N, Trento C, Vetter D, Molina F, Reynes J. Performances of rapid and connected salivary RT-LAMP diagnostic test for SARS-CoV-2 infection in ambulatory screening. Sci Rep 2022; 12:2843. [PMID: 35181680 PMCID: PMC8857239 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-04826-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/17/2021] [Accepted: 12/22/2021] [Indexed: 12/27/2022] Open
Abstract
In the context of social events reopening and economic relaunch, sanitary surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 infection is still required. Here, we evaluated the diagnostic performances of a rapid, extraction-free and connected reverse-transcription loop-mediated isothermal amplification (RT-LAMP) assay on saliva. Nasopharyngeal (NP) swabs and saliva from 443 outpatients were collected simultaneously and tested by reverse-transcription quantitative PCR (RT-qPCR) as reference standard test. Seventy-one individuals (16.0%) were positive by NP and/or salivary RT-qPCR. Sensitivity and specificity of salivary RT-LAMP were 85.9% (95%CI 77.8–94.0%) and 99.5% (98.7–100%), respectively. Performances were similar for symptomatic and asymptomatic participants. Moreover, SARS-CoV-2 genetic variants were analyzed and no dominant mutation in RT-LAMP primer region was observed during the period of the study. We demonstrated that this RT-LAMP test on self-collected saliva is reliable for SARS-CoV-2 detection. This simple connected test with optional automatic results transfer to health authorities is unique and opens the way to secure professional and social events in actual context of economics restart.
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Affiliation(s)
- Francisco Santos Schneider
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France.,SkillCell, Montpellier, France
| | - Laurence Molina
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France
| | - Marie-Christine Picot
- Clinical Research and Epidemiology Unit, Department of Medical Information, Montpellier University Hospital, University of Montpellier, Montpellier, France.,INSERM Centre Investigation Clinique 1411, University Hospital, Montpellier, France
| | - Nicolas L'Helgoualch
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France
| | - Julien Espeut
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France.,SkillCell, Montpellier, France
| | - Pierre Champigneux
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France
| | - Mellis Alali
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France
| | - Julie Baptiste
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France.,SkillCell, Montpellier, France
| | - Lise Cardeur
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France
| | | | - Martin Davy
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France.,SkillCell, Montpellier, France
| | | | - Benjamin Dubuc
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France
| | - Hugo Fenech
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France
| | - Vincent Foulongne
- PCCEI, Univ Montpellier, INSERM, EFS, Univ Antilles, Montpellier, France
| | - Carole Fruchart Gaillard
- CEA, INRAE, Department of Medicines and Healthcare Technologies (DMTS), University of Paris-Saclay, SIMoS, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
| | - Florence Galtier
- INSERM Centre Investigation Clinique 1411, University Hospital, Montpellier, France
| | - Alain Makinson
- Infectious Diseases Department, Montpellier University Hospital, Montpellier, France.,TransVIHMI, IRD, INSERM, University of Montpellier, Montpellier, France
| | - Grégory Marin
- Clinical Research and Epidemiology Unit, Department of Medical Information, Montpellier University Hospital, University of Montpellier, Montpellier, France
| | - Raissa Medina Santos
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France.,Department of Biochemistry and Immunology, Institute of Biological Sciences, Federal University of Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - David Morquin
- Infectious Diseases Department, Montpellier University Hospital, Montpellier, France.,TransVIHMI, IRD, INSERM, University of Montpellier, Montpellier, France
| | - Alimata Ouedraogo
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France
| | - Alexandra Prieux Lejeune
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France.,SkillCell, Montpellier, France
| | - Marine Quenot
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France
| | | | - Francisco Checa Robles
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France
| | - Carolina Rodrigues Rego
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France.,Department of Biochemistry and Immunology, Institute of Biological Sciences, Federal University of Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Nicolas Salvetat
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France
| | - Charline Trento
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France
| | - Diana Vetter
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France
| | - Franck Molina
- Sys2Diag UMR9005 CNRS ALCEN, Cap Gamma, Parc Euromédecine, 1682 rue de la Valsière, CS 40182, 34184, Montpellier, CEDEX 4, France.
| | - Jacques Reynes
- Infectious Diseases Department, Montpellier University Hospital, Montpellier, France.,TransVIHMI, IRD, INSERM, University of Montpellier, Montpellier, France
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16
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Abu-Raddad LJ, Chemaitelly H, Ayoub HH, Tang P, Coyle P, Hasan MR, Yassine HM, Benslimane FM, Al-Khatib HA, Al-Kanaani Z, Al-Kuwari E, Jeremijenko A, Kaleeckal AH, Latif AN, Shaik RM, Abdul-Rahim HF, Nasrallah GK, Al-Kuwari MG, Butt AA, Al-Romaihi HE, Al-Khal A, Al-Thani MH, Bertollini R. Relative infectiousness of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine breakthrough infections, reinfections, and primary infections. Nat Commun 2022; 13:532. [PMID: 35087035 PMCID: PMC8795418 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-28199-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 36] [Impact Index Per Article: 18.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/27/2021] [Accepted: 01/06/2022] [Indexed: 12/18/2022] Open
Abstract
SARS-CoV-2 breakthrough infections in vaccinated individuals and in those who had a prior infection have been observed globally, but the transmission potential of these infections is unknown. The RT-qPCR cycle threshold (Ct) value is inversely correlated with viral load and culturable virus. Here, we investigate differences in RT-qPCR Ct values across Qatar's national cohorts of primary infections, reinfections, BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) breakthrough infections, and mRNA-1273 (Moderna) breakthrough infections. Our matched-cohort analyses of the randomly diagnosed infections show higher mean Ct value in all cohorts of breakthrough infections compared to the cohort of primary infections in unvaccinated individuals. The Ct value is 1.3 (95% CI: 0.9-1.8) cycles higher for BNT162b2 breakthrough infections, 3.2 (95% CI: 1.9-4.5) cycles higher for mRNA-1273 breakthrough infections, and 4.0 (95% CI: 3.5-4.5) cycles higher for reinfections in unvaccinated individuals. Since Ct value correlates inversely with SARS-CoV-2 infectiousness, these differences imply that vaccine breakthrough infections and reinfections are less infectious than primary infections in unvaccinated individuals. Public health benefits of vaccination may have been underestimated, as COVID-19 vaccines not only protect against acquisition of infection, but also appear to protect against transmission of infection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Laith J Abu-Raddad
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Doha, Qatar.
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation - Education City, Doha, Qatar.
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York, NY, USA.
- Department of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar.
| | - Hiam Chemaitelly
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Doha, Qatar
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation - Education City, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York, NY, USA
| | - Houssein H Ayoub
- Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | - Patrick Tang
- Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine, Doha, Qatar
| | - Peter Coyle
- Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
- Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
- Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, UK
| | | | - Hadi M Yassine
- Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Biomedical Science, College of Health Sciences, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | - Fatiha M Benslimane
- Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Biomedical Science, College of Health Sciences, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | - Hebah A Al-Khatib
- Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Biomedical Science, College of Health Sciences, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Gheyath K Nasrallah
- Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Biomedical Science, College of Health Sciences, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | | | - Adeel A Butt
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York, NY, USA
- Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
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17
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Butt AA, Al-Halabi AM, Ghazouani H, Rhouma MBH, Ayoub HH, Masoodi NA, Borham AM, Hommos AA, Bertollini R, Chemaitelly H, Abu Raddad LJ, Abou-Samra AB. SARS-CoV-2 infection rates in air passengers arriving in Qatar. J Travel Med 2021; 28:6383646. [PMID: 34622294 PMCID: PMC8524449 DOI: 10.1093/jtm/taab163] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/19/2021] [Revised: 09/29/2021] [Accepted: 09/30/2021] [Indexed: 11/12/2022]
Abstract
Among 352 174 airline travelers entering Qatar, 8236 (2.34%) tested positive on or within the first seven days of arrival, with 3789 (1.08%) testing positive at the time of arrival and the remaining 4447 (1.26%) testing negative at arrival but positive 1 week later.
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Affiliation(s)
- Adeel A Butt
- Quality Department, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.,Department of Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York USA.,Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine Qatar, Doha, Qatar
| | | | | | | | - Houssein H Ayoub
- Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | | | | | - Ahmed A Hommos
- Quality Department, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | | | - Hiam Chemaitelly
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine Qatar, Doha, Qatar
| | - Laith J Abu Raddad
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine Qatar, Doha, Qatar
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18
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Rosenstrom E, Mele J, Ivy J, Mayorga M, Patel M, Lich KH, Delamater P, Smith R, Swann JL. Vaccinating Children Against COVID-19 is Essential Prior to the Removal of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions. MEDRXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR HEALTH SCIENCES 2021:2021.12.08.21267496. [PMID: 34909784 PMCID: PMC8669851 DOI: 10.1101/2021.12.08.21267496] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/24/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVESS To evaluate the joint impact of childhood vaccination rates and masking policies, in schools and workplaces, on community transmission and severe outcomes due to COVID-19. STUDY DESIGN We utilized a stochastic, agent-based simulation of North Carolina, to evaluate the impact of 24 health policy decisions on overall incidence of disease, COVID-19 related hospitalization, and mortality from July 1, 2021-July 1, 2023. RESULTS Universal mask removal in schools in January 2022 could lead to a 38.1-47%, 27.6-36.2%, and 15.9-19.7% increase in cumulative infections for ages 5-9, 10-19, and the total population, respectively, depending on the rate of vaccination of children relative to the adult population. Additionally, without increased vaccination uptake in the adult population, a 25% increase in child vaccination uptake from 50% to 75% uptake and from 75% to 100% uptake relative to the adult population, leads to a 22% and 18% or 28% and 33% decrease in peak hospitalizations in 2022 across scenarios when masks are removed either January 1st or March 8th 2022, respectively. Increasing vaccination uptake for the entire eligible population can reduce peak hospitalizations in 2022 by an average of 89% and 92% across all masking scenarios compared to the scenarios where no children are vaccinated. CONCLUSIONS High vaccination uptake among both children and adults is necessary to mitigate the increase in infections from mask removal in schools and workplaces.
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Affiliation(s)
- Erik Rosenstrom
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, United States of America
| | - Jessica Mele
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, United States of America
| | - Julie Ivy
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, United States of America
| | - Maria Mayorga
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, United States of America
| | - Mehul Patel
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States of America
| | - Kristen Hassmiller Lich
- Department of Health Policy and Management, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States of America
| | - Paul Delamater
- Department of Geography, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States of America
| | - Raymond Smith
- Department of Engineering, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC United States of America
| | - Julie L. Swann
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, United States of America
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19
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Chemaitelly H, Tang P, Hasan MR, AlMukdad S, Yassine HM, Benslimane FM, Al Khatib HA, Coyle P, Ayoub HH, Al Kanaani Z, Al Kuwari E, Jeremijenko A, Kaleeckal AH, Latif AN, Shaik RM, Abdul Rahim HF, Nasrallah GK, Al Kuwari MG, Al Romaihi HE, Butt AA, Al-Thani MH, Al Khal A, Bertollini R, Abu-Raddad LJ. Waning of BNT162b2 Vaccine Protection against SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Qatar. N Engl J Med 2021; 385:e83. [PMID: 34614327 PMCID: PMC8522799 DOI: 10.1056/nejmoa2114114] [Citation(s) in RCA: 538] [Impact Index Per Article: 179.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Waning of vaccine protection against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection or coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) is a concern. The persistence of BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) vaccine effectiveness against infection and disease in Qatar, where the B.1.351 (or beta) and B.1.617.2 (or delta) variants have dominated incidence and polymerase-chain-reaction testing is done on a mass scale, is unclear. METHODS We used a matched test-negative, case-control study design to estimate vaccine effectiveness against any SARS-CoV-2 infection and against any severe, critical, or fatal case of Covid-19, from January 1 to September 5, 2021. RESULTS Estimated BNT162b2 effectiveness against any SARS-CoV-2 infection was negligible in the first 2 weeks after the first dose. It increased to 36.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 33.2 to 40.2) in the third week after the first dose and reached its peak at 77.5% (95% CI, 76.4 to 78.6) in the first month after the second dose. Effectiveness declined gradually thereafter, with the decline accelerating after the fourth month to reach approximately 20% in months 5 through 7 after the second dose. Effectiveness against symptomatic infection was higher than effectiveness against asymptomatic infection but waned similarly. Variant-specific effectiveness waned in the same pattern. Effectiveness against any severe, critical, or fatal case of Covid-19 increased rapidly to 66.1% (95% CI, 56.8 to 73.5) by the third week after the first dose and reached 96% or higher in the first 2 months after the second dose; effectiveness persisted at approximately this level for 6 months. CONCLUSIONS BNT162b2-induced protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection appeared to wane rapidly following its peak after the second dose, but protection against hospitalization and death persisted at a robust level for 6 months after the second dose. (Funded by Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar and others.).
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Affiliation(s)
- Hiam Chemaitelly
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Patrick Tang
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Mohammad R Hasan
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Sawsan AlMukdad
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Hadi M Yassine
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Fatiha M Benslimane
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Hebah A Al Khatib
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Peter Coyle
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Houssein H Ayoub
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Zaina Al Kanaani
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Einas Al Kuwari
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Andrew Jeremijenko
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Anvar H Kaleeckal
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Ali N Latif
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Riyazuddin M Shaik
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Hanan F Abdul Rahim
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Gheyath K Nasrallah
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Mohamed G Al Kuwari
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Hamad E Al Romaihi
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Adeel A Butt
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Mohamed H Al-Thani
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Abdullatif Al Khal
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Roberto Bertollini
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
| | - Laith J Abu-Raddad
- From the Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.) and the World Health Organization Collaborating Center for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis (H.C., S.A., L.J.A.-R.), Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, the Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine (P.T., M.R.H.), the Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., P.C., G.K.N.), the Departments of Biomedical Science (H.M.Y., F.M.B., H.A.A.K., G.K.N.) and Public Health (H.F.A.R., L.J.A.-R.), College of Health Sciences, and the Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences (H.H.A.), Qatar University, Hamad Medical Corporation (P.C., Z.A.K., E.A.K., A.J., A.H.K., A.N.L., R.M.S., A.A.B., A.A.K.), Primary Health Care Corporation (M.G.A.K.), and the Ministry of Public Health (H.E.A.R., M.H.A.-T., R.B.) - all in Doha, Qatar; Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom (P.C.); and the Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York (A.A.B., L.J.A.-R.)
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Tabak YP, Sun X, Brennan TA, Chaguturu SK. Incidence and Estimated Vaccine Effectiveness Against Symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Infection Among Persons Tested in US Retail Locations, May 1 to August 7, 2021. JAMA Netw Open 2021; 4:e2143346. [PMID: 34935923 PMCID: PMC8696565 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.43346] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
This case-control study evaluates the estimated vaccine effectiveness against infection changes over time to help inform public health policy and clinical practices.
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Abu-Raddad LJ, Chemaitelly H, Ayoub HH, Yassine HM, Benslimane FM, Al Khatib HA, Tang P, Hasan MR, Coyle P, Al Kanaani Z, Al Kuwari E, Jeremijenko A, Kaleeckal AH, Latif AN, Shaik RM, Abdul Rahim HF, Nasrallah GK, Al Kuwari MG, Butt AA, Al Romaihi HE, Al-Thani MH, Al Khal A, Bertollini R. Association of Prior SARS-CoV-2 Infection With Risk of Breakthrough Infection Following mRNA Vaccination in Qatar. JAMA 2021; 326:1930-1939. [PMID: 34724027 PMCID: PMC8561432 DOI: 10.1001/jama.2021.19623] [Citation(s) in RCA: 103] [Impact Index Per Article: 34.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/29/2021] [Accepted: 10/15/2021] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
Abstract
Importance The effect of prior SARS-CoV-2 infection on vaccine protection remains poorly understood. Objective To assess protection from SARS-CoV-2 breakthrough infection after mRNA vaccination among persons with vs without prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. Design, Setting, and Participants Matched-cohort studies in Qatar for the BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) and mRNA-1273 (Moderna) vaccines. A total of 1 531 736 individuals vaccinated with either vaccine between December 21, 2020, and September 19, 2021, were followed up beginning 14 days after receiving the second dose until September 19, 2021. Exposures Prior SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 vaccination. Main Outcomes and Measures Incident SARS-CoV-2 infection, defined as a polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-positive nasopharyngeal swab regardless of reason for PCR testing or presence of symptoms. Cumulative incidence was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier estimator method. Results The BNT162b2-vaccinated cohort comprised 99 226 individuals with and 290 432 matched individuals without prior PCR-confirmed infection (median age, 37 years; 68% male). The mRNA-1273-vaccinated cohort comprised 58 096 individuals with and 169 514 matched individuals without prior PCR-confirmed infection (median age, 36 years; 73% male). Among BNT162b2-vaccinated persons, 159 reinfections occurred in those with and 2509 in those without prior infection 14 days or more after dose 2. Among mRNA-1273-vaccinated persons, 43 reinfections occurred in those with and 368 infections in those without prior infection. Cumulative infection incidence among BNT162b2-vaccinated individuals was an estimated 0.15% (95% CI, 0.12%-0.18%) in those with and 0.83% (95% CI, 0.79%-0.87%) in those without prior infection at 120 days of follow-up (adjusted hazard ratio for breakthrough infection with prior infection, 0.18 [95% CI, 0.15-0.21]; P < .001). Cumulative infection incidence among mRNA-1273-vaccinated individuals was an estimated 0.11% (95% CI, 0.08%-0.15%) in those with and 0.35% (95% CI, 0.32%-0.40%) in those without prior infection at 120 days of follow-up (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.35 [95% CI, 0.25-0.48]; P < .001). Vaccinated individuals with prior infection 6 months or more before dose 1 had statistically significantly lower risk for breakthrough infection than those vaccinated less than 6 months before dose 1 (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.62 [95% CI, 0.42-0.92]; P = .02 for BNT162b2 and 0.40 [95% CI, 0.18-0.91]; P = .03 for mRNA-1273 vaccination). Conclusions and Relevance Prior SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with a statistically significantly lower risk for breakthrough infection among individuals receiving the BNT162b2 or mRNA-1273 vaccines in Qatar between December 21, 2020, and September 19, 2021. The observational study design precludes direct comparisons of infection risk between the 2 vaccines.
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Affiliation(s)
- Laith J. Abu-Raddad
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine–Qatar, Cornell University, Doha, Qatar
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine–Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation–Education City, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York, New York
- Department of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | - Hiam Chemaitelly
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine–Qatar, Cornell University, Doha, Qatar
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine–Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation–Education City, Doha, Qatar
| | - Houssein H. Ayoub
- Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | - Hadi M. Yassine
- Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Biomedical Science, College of Health Sciences, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | - Fatiha M. Benslimane
- Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Biomedical Science, College of Health Sciences, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | - Hebah A. Al Khatib
- Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Biomedical Science, College of Health Sciences, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | - Patrick Tang
- Department of Pathology, Sidra Medicine, Doha, Qatar
| | | | - Peter Coyle
- Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
- Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
- Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University, Belfast, United Kingdom
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Gheyath K. Nasrallah
- Biomedical Research Center, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Biomedical Science, College of Health Sciences, Member of QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | | | - Adeel A. Butt
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York, New York
- Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
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22
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BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Qatar. Nat Med 2021; 27:2136-2143. [PMID: 34728831 DOI: 10.1038/s41591-021-01583-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 256] [Impact Index Per Article: 85.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/10/2021] [Accepted: 10/18/2021] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Abstract
With the global expansion of the highly transmissible SARS-CoV-2 Delta (B.1.617.2) variant, we conducted a matched test-negative case-control study to assess the real-world effectiveness of COVID-19 messenger RNA vaccines against infection with Delta in Qatar's population. BNT162b2 effectiveness against any, symptomatic or asymptomatic, Delta infection was 45.3% (95% CI, 22.0-61.6%) ≥14 d after the first vaccine dose, but only 51.9% (95% CI, 47.0-56.4%) ≥14 d after the second dose, with 50% of fully vaccinated individuals receiving their second dose before 11 May 2021. Corresponding mRNA-1273 effectiveness ≥14 d after the first or second dose was 73.7% (95% CI, 58.1-83.5%) and 73.1% (95% CI, 67.5-77.8%), respectively. Notably, effectiveness against Delta-induced severe, critical or fatal disease was 93.4% (95% CI, 85.4-97.0%) for BNT162b2 and 96.1% (95% CI, 71.6-99.5%) for mRNA-1273 ≥ 14 d after the second dose. Our findings show robust effectiveness for both BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 in preventing Delta hospitalization and death in Qatar's population, despite lower effectiveness in preventing infection, particularly for the BNT162b2 vaccine.
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23
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Ayoub HH, Mumtaz GR, Seedat S, Makhoul M, Chemaitelly H, Abu-Raddad LJ. Estimates of global SARS-CoV-2 infection exposure, infection morbidity, and infection mortality rates in 2020. GLOBAL EPIDEMIOLOGY 2021; 3:100068. [PMID: 34841244 PMCID: PMC8609676 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloepi.2021.100068] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2021] [Revised: 10/31/2021] [Accepted: 11/19/2021] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
We aimed to estimate, albeit crudely and provisionally, national, regional, and global proportions of respective populations that have been infected with SARS-CoV-2 in the first year after the introduction of this virus into human circulation, and to assess infection morbidity and mortality rates, factoring both documented and undocumented infections. The estimates were generated by applying mathematical models to 159 countries and territories. The percentage of the world's population that has been infected as of 31 December 2020 was estimated at 12.56% (95% CI: 11.17-14.05%). It was lowest in the Western Pacific Region at 0.66% (95% CI: 0.59-0.75%) and highest in the Americas at 41.92% (95% CI: 37.95-46.09%). The global infection fatality rate was 10.73 (95% CI: 10.21-11.29) per 10,000 infections. Globally per 1000 infections, the infection acute-care bed hospitalization rate was 19.22 (95% CI: 18.73-19.51), the infection ICU bed hospitalization rate was 4.14 (95% CI: 4.10-4.18). If left unchecked with no vaccination and no other public health interventions, and assuming circulation of only wild-type variants and no variants of concern, the pandemic would eventually cause 8.18 million deaths (95% CI: 7.30-9.18), 163.67 million acute-care hospitalizations (95% CI: 148.12-179.51), and 33.01 million ICU hospitalizations (95% CI: 30.52-35.70), by the time the herd immunity threshold is reached at 60-70% infection exposure. The global population remained far below the herd immunity threshold by end of 2020. Global epidemiology reveals immense regional variation in infection exposure and morbidity and mortality rates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Houssein H. Ayoub
- Mathematics Program, Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, College of Arts and Sciences, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | - Ghina R. Mumtaz
- Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - Shaheen Seedat
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Doha, Qatar
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine–Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation – Education City, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, NY, New York, USA
| | - Monia Makhoul
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Doha, Qatar
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine–Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation – Education City, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, NY, New York, USA
| | - Hiam Chemaitelly
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Doha, Qatar
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine–Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation – Education City, Doha, Qatar
| | - Laith J. Abu-Raddad
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Doha, Qatar
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine–Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation – Education City, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, NY, New York, USA
- Department of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
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24
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Fakhroo A, AlKhatib HA, Al Thani AA, Yassine HM. Reinfections in COVID-19 Patients: Impact of Virus Genetic Variability and Host Immunity. Vaccines (Basel) 2021; 9:vaccines9101168. [PMID: 34696276 PMCID: PMC8537829 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines9101168] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/09/2021] [Revised: 06/15/2021] [Accepted: 06/16/2021] [Indexed: 01/02/2023] Open
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic is still posing a devastating threat to social life and economics. Despite the modest decrease in the number of cases during September–November 2020, the number of active cases is on the rise again. This increase was associated with the emergence and spread of the new SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOCs), such as the U.K. (B1.1.7), South Africa (B1.351), Brazil (P1), and Indian (B1.617.2) strains. The rapid spread of these new variants has raised concerns about the multiple waves of infections and the effectiveness of available vaccines. In this review, we discuss SARS-CoV-2 reinfection rates in previously infected and vaccinated individuals in relation to humoral responses. Overall, a limited number of reinfection cases have been reported worldwide, suggesting long protective immunity. Most reinfected patients were asymptomatic during the second episode of infection. Reinfection was attributed to several viral and/or host factors, including (i) underlying immunological comorbidities; (ii) low antibody titers due to the primary infection or vaccination; (iii) rapid decline in antibody response after infection or vaccination; and (iv) reinfection with a different SARS-CoV-2 variant/lineage. Infections after vaccination were also reported on several occasions, but mostly associated with mild or no symptoms. Overall, findings suggest that infection- and vaccine-induced immunity would protect from severe illness, with the vaccine being effective against most VOCs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aisha Fakhroo
- Research and Development Department, Barzan Holdings, Doha 7178, Qatar;
| | - Hebah A. AlKhatib
- Biomedical Research Center, Qatar University, Doha 2713, Qatar; (H.A.A.); (A.A.A.T.)
| | - Asmaa A. Al Thani
- Biomedical Research Center, Qatar University, Doha 2713, Qatar; (H.A.A.); (A.A.A.T.)
| | - Hadi M. Yassine
- Biomedical Research Center, Qatar University, Doha 2713, Qatar; (H.A.A.); (A.A.A.T.)
- Correspondence:
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25
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26
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Leung K, Wu JT, Leung GM. Effects of adjusting public health, travel, and social measures during the roll-out of COVID-19 vaccination: a modelling study. Lancet Public Health 2021; 6:e674-e682. [PMID: 34388389 PMCID: PMC8354806 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-2667(21)00167-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 41] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/30/2021] [Revised: 06/23/2021] [Accepted: 07/12/2021] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Since the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic in late 2019, various public health and social measures (PHSMs) have been used to suppress and mitigate the spread of SARS-CoV-2. With mass vaccination programmes against COVID-19 being rolled out in many countries in early 2021, we aimed to evaluate to what extent travel restrictions and other PHSMs can be relaxed without exacerbating the local and global spread of COVID-19. METHODS We adapted an existing age-structured susceptible-infectious-removed model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics that can be parameterised with country-specific age demographics and contact patterns to simulate the effect of vaccination and PHSM relaxation on transmission. We varied assumptions by age-specific susceptibility and infectiousness, vaccine uptake, contact patterns, and age structures. We used Hong Kong as a case study and assumed that, before vaccination, the population is completely susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection. We applied our model to 304 jurisdictions (27 countries and 277 sub-national administrative regions from eight countries). We assumed that PHSMs have suppressed the effective reproductive number (Re) to fall between 1·0 and 9·0 locally before the commencement of vaccination programmes. We evaluated the levels of PHSMs that should be maintained during the roll-out of COVID-19 vaccination to avoid a large local outbreak of COVID-19, with different assumptions about vaccine efficacy, vaccination coverage, and travel restrictions. We assumed that the maximum capacity of the health system, in terms of daily hospital admissions, is 0·005% of the population size. FINDINGS At vaccine efficacy of 0·80 in reducing susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 infection, 0·50 in reducing SARS-CoV-2 infectivity, and 0·95 in reducing symptomatic COVID-19 diseases, vaccination coverage would have to be 100% for all individuals aged 30 or older to avoid an outbreak, when relaxing PHSMs, that would overload the local health-care system, assuming a pre-vaccination Re of 2·5. Testing and quarantine of at least 5 days would have to be maintained for inbound travellers to minimise the risk of reintroducing a local outbreak until high vaccination coverages are attained locally and overseas in most countries. INTERPRETATION Gradual relaxation of PHSMs should be carefully planned during the roll-out of vaccination programmes, and easing of travel restrictions weighed against risk of reintroducing outbreaks, to avoid overwhelming health systems and minimise deaths related to COVID-19. FUNDING Health and Medical Research Fund and the General Research Fund.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kathy Leung
- WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China; Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health, Hong Kong Science Park, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.
| | - Joseph T Wu
- WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China; Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health, Hong Kong Science Park, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
| | - Gabriel M Leung
- WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China; Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health, Hong Kong Science Park, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
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27
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mRNA-1273 COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against the B.1.1.7 and B.1.351 variants and severe COVID-19 disease in Qatar. Nat Med 2021; 27:1614-1621. [PMID: 34244681 DOI: 10.1038/s41591-021-01446-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 245] [Impact Index Per Article: 81.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/20/2021] [Accepted: 06/22/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic continues to be a global health concern. The mRNA-1273 (Moderna) vaccine was reported to have an efficacy of 94.1% at preventing symptomatic COVID-19 due to infection with 'wild-type' variants in a randomized clinical trial. Here, we assess the real-world effectiveness of this vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern, specifically B.1.1.7 (Alpha) and B.1.351 (Beta), in Qatar, a population that comprises mainly working-age adults, using a matched test-negative, case-control study design. We show that vaccine effectiveness was negligible for 2 weeks after the first dose, but increased rapidly in the third and fourth weeks immediately before administration of a second dose. Effectiveness against B.1.1.7 infection was 88.1% (95% confidence interval (CI): 83.7-91.5%) ≥14 days after the first dose but before the second dose, and was 100% (95% CI: 91.8-100.0%) ≥14 days after the second dose. Analogous effectiveness against B.1.351 infection was 61.3% after the first dose (95% CI: 56.5-65.5%) and 96.4% after the second dose (95% CI: 91.9-98.7%). Effectiveness against any severe, critical or fatal COVID-19 disease due to any SARS-CoV-2 infection (predominantly B.1.1.7 and B.1.351) was 81.6% (95% CI: 71.0-88.8%) and 95.7% (95% CI: 73.4-99.9%) after the first and second dose, respectively. The mRNA-1273 vaccine is highly effective against B.1.1.7 and B.1.351 infections, whether symptomatic or asymptomatic, and against any COVID-19 hospitalization and death, even after a single dose.
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