Current prevalence of abdominal aortic aneurysm in 70-year-old women

Machine learning-based prediction of abdominal aortic aneurysms for individualized patient care

OBJECTIVE

The United States Preventative Services Task Force guidelines for screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) are broad and exclude many at risk groups. We analyzed a large AAA screening database to examine the utility of a novel machine learning (ML) model for predicting individual risk of AAA.

METHODS

We created a ML model to predict the presence of AAAs (>3 cm) from the database of a national nonprofit screening organization (AAAneurysm Outreach). Participants self-reported demographics and comorbidities. The model is a two-layered feed-forward shallow network. The ML model then generated AAA probability based on patient characteristics. We evaluated graphs to determine significant factors, and then compared those graphs with a traditional logistic regression model.

RESULTS

We analyzed a cohort of 10,033 patients with an AAA prevalence of 2.74%. Consistent with logistic regression analysis, the ML model identified the following predictors of AAA: Caucasian race, male gender, advancing age, and recent or past smoker with recent smoker having a more profound affect (P < .05). Interestingly, the ML model showed body mass index (BMI) was associated with likelihood of AAAs, especially for younger females. The ML model also identified a higher than predicted risk of AAA in several groups, including female nonsmokers with cardiac disease, female diabetics, those with a family history of AAA, and those with hypertension or hyperlipidemia at older ages. An elevated BMI conveyed a higher than expected risk in male smokers and all females. The ML model also identified a complex relationship of both diabetes mellitus and hyperlipidemia with gender. Family history of AAA was a more important risk factor in the ML model for both men and women too.

CONCLUSIONS

We successfully developed an ML model based on an AAA screening database that unveils a complex relationship between AAA prevalence and many risk factors, including BMI. The model also highlights the need to expand AAA screening efforts in women. Using ML models in the clinical setting has the potential to deliver precise, individualized screening recommendations.

Aortic Size Index Versus Aortic Diameter in the Prediction of Rupture in Women With Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm

Abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) pose significant challenges in clinical management, particularly in female patients, whose unique anatomical and physiological characteristics influence rupture risk. While aortic diameter (AD) has traditionally been the primary metric for predicting rupture, its limitations, especially in women, have spurred exploration into alternative measures such as the aortic size index (ASI). This review examines the anatomy and physiology of AAAs in women, gender-specific challenges in diagnosis and management, and the comparative effectiveness of ASI versus AD in predicting rupture risk. ASI, calculated as AD divided by body surface area (BSA), offers a more nuanced assessment by adjusting for individual body size differences, potentially mitigating gender disparities in rupture rates. Comparative analyses indicate ASI's superiority in predicting adverse aortic events, particularly in women, thereby advocating for its integration into clinical practice to improve patient outcomes. Additionally, emerging techniques such as 3D volumetric measurements and biomechanical assessments show promise in enhancing rupture risk prediction, heralding a shift toward more personalized and effective management strategies for AAA patients.

Screening Men and Women above the Age of 50 Years for Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm: A Pilot Study in an Upper Middle Income Country

OBJECTIVE

Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is recommended in high risk populations based on local conditions. Differences in lifestyle and risk factors between countries with different income status make risk stratification based on geographic location necessary. The majority of epidemiological studies on AAA have reported data from high income countries. The aim of this study was to explore the prevalence and risk factors for AAA in an upper middle income country in Eastern Europe.

METHODS

A pilot screening project for AAA, supported by a mass media campaign, was conducted in 2023 in seven cities in Serbia. Ultrasound evaluation of the abdominal aorta was performed by a registered vascular surgeon on individuals who agreed to participate. Participants who attended screening completed a questionnaire on demographic and clinical information. To assess risk factors for AAA, univariable logistic regression analysis was performed to compute the odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Multivariable logistic regression was subsequently performed with adjustments for sex, age, family history of AAA, and other relevant factors.

RESULTS

A total of 4 046 participants (51.2% male and 48.8% female; mean age 68.8 ± 7.6 years) responded to the campaign. An aneurysm was found in 195 (4.8%) screened individuals (8.2% of men and 1.3% of women). In males aged 50 - 64 years, the prevalence of AAA was 5.4%. Male sex, older age, family history of AAA, being a smoker or ex-smoker, being overweight, and alcohol consumption were predictors of AAA in the univariable analysis. After adjustments in the multivariable analysis, male sex (OR 8.04, 95% CI 4.87 - 13.28), older age (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.02 - 1.07), positive family history (OR 2.47, 95% CI 1.61 - 3.78), smoker status (OR 3.10, 95% CI 2.10 - 4.59), ex-smoker status (OR 2.13, 95% CI 1.39 - 3.27), and being overweight (OR 1.85, 95% CI 1.25 - 2.74) were independent risk factors for AAA.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of AAA has not been reduced in all countries, and screening strategies might be changed based on local epidemiological data. The results of this pilot study underline the importance of exploring the prevalence of AAA in populations with a high prevalence of smoking.

Editor's Choice -- European Society for Vascular Surgery (ESVS) 2024 Clinical Practice Guidelines on the Management of Abdominal Aorto-Iliac Artery Aneurysms

OBJECTIVE

The European Society for Vascular Surgery (ESVS) has developed clinical practice guidelines for the care of patients with aneurysms of the abdominal aorta and iliac arteries in succession to the 2011 and 2019 versions, with the aim of assisting physicians and patients in selecting the best management strategy.

METHODS

The guideline is based on scientific evidence completed with expert opinion on the matter. By summarising and evaluating the best available evidence, recommendations for the evaluation and treatment of patients have been formulated. The recommendations are graded according to a modified European Society of Cardiology grading system, where the strength (class) of each recommendation is graded from I to III and the letters A to C mark the level of evidence.

RESULTS

A total of 160 recommendations have been issued on the following topics: Service standards, including surgical volume and training; Epidemiology, diagnosis, and screening; Management of patients with small abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), including surveillance, cardiovascular risk reduction, and indication for repair; Elective AAA repair, including operative risk assessment, open and endovascular repair, and early complications; Ruptured and symptomatic AAA, including peri-operative management, such as permissive hypotension and use of aortic occlusion balloon, open and endovascular repair, and early complications, such as abdominal compartment syndrome and colonic ischaemia; Long term outcome and follow up after AAA repair, including graft infection, endoleaks and follow up routines; Management of complex AAA, including open and endovascular repair; Management of iliac artery aneurysm, including indication for repair and open and endovascular repair; and Miscellaneous aortic problems, including mycotic, inflammatory, and saccular aortic aneurysm. In addition, Shared decision making is being addressed, with supporting information for patients, and Unresolved issues are discussed.

CONCLUSION

The ESVS Clinical Practice Guidelines provide the most comprehensive, up to date, and unbiased advice to clinicians and patients on the management of abdominal aorto-iliac artery aneurysms.

The Comparison of Endovascular and Open Surgical Treatment for Ruptured Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm in Terms of Safety and Efficacy on the Basis of a Single-Center 30-Year Experience

OBJECTIVE

Ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA) is a critical condition with a high mortality rate. Over the years, endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) has evolved as a viable treatment option in addition to open repair (OR). The primary objective of this study was to compare the safety and efficacy of EVAR and OR for the treatment of rAAA based on a comprehensive analysis of our single-centre 30-year experience.

METHODS

Patients treated for rAAA at the Department of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, University Hospital Düsseldorf, Germany from 1 January 1993 to 31 December 2022 were included. Relevant information was retrieved from archived medical records. Patient survival and surgery-related complications were analysed.

RESULTS

None of the patient-specific markers, emergency department-associated parameters, and co-morbidities were associated with patient survival. The 30-day and in-hospital mortality was higher in the OR group vs. in the EVAR group (50% vs. 8.7% and 57.1% vs. 13%, respectively). OR was associated with more frequent occurrence of more severe complications when compared to EVAR. Overall patient survival was 56 ± 5% at 12 months post-surgery (52 ± 6% for OR vs. 73 ± 11% for EVAR, respectively) (p < 0.05). Patients ≥70 years of age showed poorer survival in the OR group, with a 12-month survival of 42 ± 7% vs. 70 ± 10% for patients <70 years of age (p < 0.05). In the EVAR group, this age-related survival advantage was not found (12-month survival: ≥70 years: 67 ± 14%, <70 years: 86 ± 13%). Gender-specific survival was similar regardless of the applied method of care.

CONCLUSION

OR was associated with more severe complications in our study. EVAR initially outperformed OR for rAAA regarding patient survival while re-interventions following EVAR negatively affect survival in the long-term. Elderly patients should be treated with EVAR. Gender does not seem to have a significant impact on survival.

Identification of biomarkers and analysis of infiltrated immune cells in stable and ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms

Objectives

The mortality rate of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is extremely high in the older population. This study aimed to identify potential biomarkers of AAA and aortic rupture and analyze infiltration of immune cells in stable and ruptured AAA samples.

Methods

Raw data of GSE47472, GSE57691, and GSE98278 were downloaded. After data processing, the co-expression gene networks were constructed. Gene Ontology and pathway enrichment analysis of AAA- and aortic rupture-related gene modules were conducted using the Database for Annotation, Visualization, and Integrated Discovery. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) and gene set variation analysis (GSVA) were used for further enrichment analysis. The CIBERSORT tool was used to analyze the relative abundance of immune cells in samples. Differentially expressed immune-related genes were analyzed between different samples. Predictive models were constructed via extreme gradient boosting, and hub genes were identified according to feature importance.

Results

Blue and yellow modules were significantly related to AAA, and genes in these modules were associated with the aortic wall and immune response, respectively. In terms of aortic rupture, the most relevant module was significantly enriched in the inflammatory response. The results of GSEA and GSVA suggested that immune cells and the inflammatory response were involved in the development of AAA and aortic rupture. There were significant differences in the infiltration of immune cells and expression levels of immune-related genes among different samples. NFKB1 might be an important transcription factor mediating the inflammatory response of AAA and aortic rupture. After the construction of a predictive model, CD19, SELL, and CCR7 were selected as hub genes for AAA whereas OAS3, IFIT1, and IFI44L were identified as hub genes for aortic rupture.

Conclusion

Weakening of the aortic wall and the immune response both contributed to the development of AAA, and the inflammatory response was closely associated with aortic rupture. The infiltration of immune cells was significantly different between different samples. NFKB1 might be an important transcription factor in AAA and aortic rupture. CD19, SELL, and CCR7 had potential diagnostic value for AAA. OAS3, IFIT1, and IFI44L might be predictive factors for aortic rupture.

Gender Influence on Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Surgery in a Caribbean Population

Female patients with abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) are usually less common and older than their male counterparts. We report on AAA disease in a Caribbean nation with respect to gender and review their outcomes relative to the male population. Data were collected prospectively and analyzed retrospectively for patients with AAAs who underwent surgery from 2001 to 2018. Sixty patients were diagnosed with AAA with 44 going on to have surgical repair of which 35 were males, aged 61 to 89 (mean age 73.4 years). Nine women ages 44 to 74 years (mean age 60.8 years) had surgical intervention, three being between 40 and 49 years. The size of aneurysms in these patients ranged from 4.3 to 11.0 cm in diameter (average 6.95 cm), female patients having an average diameter of 6.7 cm. Of the 44 patients, 43 underwent open and one endovascular repair. Thirty-three were elective cases and 11 were ruptured with 32 aorto-aortic and 13 aorto-iliac repairs. There were nine fatalities, three elective and six ruptured, with only one being female. Women had similar outcomes to men in all age groups with young patients having good results. Female AAA patients are usually older, undergo less surgical procedures especially if endovascular, and have worse outcomes than their male counterparts. Our study showed that the females were younger but had similar outcomes to the male patients. The female Caribbean patients may present at much younger ages than in continental populations and this may be due to genetic, ethnic, or lifestyle factors.

Integrated analysis and the identification of a circRNA-miRNA-mRNA network in the progression of abdominal aortic aneurysm

Background

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a disease commonly seen in the elderly. The aneurysm diameter increases yearly, and the larger the AAA the higher the risk of rupture, increasing the risk of death. However, there are no current effective interventions in the early stages of AAA.

Methods

Four gene expression profiling datasets, including 23 normal artery (NOR) tissue samples and 97 AAA tissue samples, were integrated in order to explore potential molecular biological targets for early intervention. After preprocessing, differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between AAA and NOR were identified using LIMMA package. Gene Ontology and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes analysis were conducted using the DAVID database. The protein-protein interaction network was constructed and hub genes were identified using the STRING database and plugins in Cytoscape. A circular RNA (circRNA) profile of four NOR tissues versus four AAA tissues was then reanalyzed. A circRNA-miRNA-mRNA interaction network was constructed after predictions were made using the Targetscan and Circinteractome databases.

Results

A total of 440 DEGs (263 up-regulated and 177 down-regulated) were identified in the AAA group, compared with the NOR group. The majority were associated with the extracellular matrix, tumor necrosis factor-α, and transforming growth factor-β. Ten hub gene-encoded proteins (namely IL6, RPS27A, JUN, UBC, UBA52, FOS, IL1B, MMP9, SPP1 and CCL2) coupled with a higher degree of connectivity hub were identified after protein‐protein interaction network analysis. Our results, in combination with the results of previous studies revealed that miR-635, miR-527, miR-520h, miR-938 and miR-518a-5p may be affected by circ_0005073 and impact the expression of hub genes such as CCL2, SPP1 and UBA52. The miR-1206 may also be affected by circ_0090069 and impact RPS27A expression.

Conclusions

This circRNA-miRNA-mRNA network may perform critical roles in AAA and may be a novel target for early intervention.

AAA Revisited: A Comprehensive Review of Risk Factors, Management, and Hallmarks of Pathogenesis

Despite declining incidence and mortality rates in many countries, the abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) continues to represent a life-threatening cardiovascular condition with an overall prevalence of about 2-3% in the industrialized world. While the risk of AAA development is considerably higher for men of advanced age with a history of smoking, screening programs serve to detect the often asymptomatic condition and prevent aortic rupture with an associated death rate of up to 80%. This review summarizes the current knowledge on identified risk factors, the multifactorial process of pathogenesis, as well as the latest advances in medical treatment and surgical repair to provide a perspective for AAA management.

Growth prediction model for abdominal aortic aneurysms

BACKGROUND

The most relevant determinant in scheduling monitoring intervals for abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) is maximum diameter. The aim of the study was to develop a statistical model that takes into account specific characteristics of AAA growth distributions such as between-patient variability as well as within-patient variability across time, and allows probabilistic statements to be made regarding expected AAA growth.

METHODS

CT angiography (CTA) data from patients monitored at 6-month intervals with maximum AAA diameters at baseline between 30 and 66 mm were used to develop the model. By extending the model of geometric Brownian motion with a log-normal random effect, a stochastic growth model was developed. An additional set of ultrasound-based growth data was used for external validation.

RESULTS

The study data included 363 CTAs from 87 patients, and the external validation set comprised 390 patients. Internal and external cross-validation showed that the stochastic growth model allowed accurate description of the distribution of aneurysm growth. Median relative growth within 1 year was 4.1 (5-95 per cent quantile 0.5-13.3) per cent. Model calculations further resulted in relative 1-year growth of 7.0 (1.0-16.4) per cent for patients with previously observed rapid 1-year growth of 10 per cent, and 2.6 (0.3-8.3) per cent for those with previously observed slow growth of 1 per cent. The probability of exceeding a threshold of 55 mm was calculated to be 1.78 per cent at most when adhering to the current RESCAN guidelines for rescreening intervals. An online calculator based on the fitted model was made available.

CONCLUSION

The stochastic growth model was found to provide a reliable tool for predicting AAA growth.

Diseases of the Aorta and Kidney Disease: Conclusions from a Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) Controversies Conference

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an independent risk factor for the development of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), as well as for cardiovascular and renal events and all-cause mortality following surgery for AAA or thoracic aortic dissection. In addition, the incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI) after any aortic surgery is particularly high, and this AKI per se is independently associated with future cardiovascular events and mortality. On the other hand, both development of AKI after surgery and the long-term evolution of kidney function differ significantly depending on the type of AAA intervention (open surgery vs. the various subtypes of endovascular repair). Current knowledge regarding AAA in the general population may not be always applicable to CKD patients, as they have a high prevalence of co-morbid conditions and an elevated risk for periprocedural complications. This summary of a Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes Controversies Conference group discussion reviews the epidemiology, pathophysiology, diagnosis, and treatment of Diseases of the Aorta in CKD and identifies knowledge gaps, areas of controversy, and priorities for future research.

Risk of aortic aneurysm and dissection following exposure to fluoroquinolones, common antibiotics, and febrile illness using a self-controlled case series study design: Retrospective analyses of three large healthcare databases in the US

Objective

Recent observational studies suggest increased aortic aneurysm or dissection (AAD) risk following fluoroquinolone (FQ) exposure but acknowledge potential for residual bias from unreported patient characteristics. The objective of our study is to evaluate the potential association between FQ, other common antibiotics and febrile illness with risk of AAD using a self-controlled case series (SCCS) study design.

Design

Retrospective database analysis–SCCS.

Setting

Primary and Secondary Care.

Study population

51,898 patients across 3 US claims databases (IBM® MarketScan® commercial and Medicare databases, Optum Clinformatics).

Exposure

FQ or other common antibiotics or febrile illness.

Outcome

AAD.

Methods

We studied patients with exposures and AAD between 2012 and 2017 in 3 databases. Risk windows were defined as exposure period plus 30 days. Diagnostic analyses included p-value calibration to account for residual error using negative control exposures (NCE), and pre-exposure outcome analyses to evaluate exposure-outcome timing. The measure of association was the incidence rate ratio (IRR) comparing exposed and unexposed time.

Results

Most NCEs produced effect estimates greater than the hypothetical null, indicating positive residual error; calibrated p (Cp) values were therefore used. The IRR following FQ exposure ranged from 1.13 (95% CI: 1.04–1.22 –Cp: 0.503) to 1.63 (95% CI: 1.45–1.84 –Cp: 0.329). An AAD event peak was identified 60 days before first FQ exposure, with IRR increasing between the 60- to 30- and 29- to 1-day pre-exposure periods. It is uncertain how much this pre-exposure AAD event peak reflects confounding versus increased antibiotic use after a surgical correction of AADs.

Conclusion

This study does not confirm prior studies. Using Cp values to account for residual error, the observed FQ-AAD association cannot be interpreted as significant. Additionally, an AAD event surge in the 60 days before FQ exposure is consistent with confounding by indication, or increased use of antibiotics post-surgery.

Registration

NCT03479736.

Ultrasound screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm in high-risk women

Background

Population-wide ultrasound screening programmes for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) for men have already been established in some countries. Women account for one third of aneurysm-related mortality and are four times more likely to experience an AAA rupture than men. Whole-population screening for AAA in women is unlikely to be clinically or economically effective. The aim of this study was to determine the outcomes of a targeted AAA screening programme for women at high risk of AAA.

Method

Women aged 65–74 years deemed at high risk of having an AAA (current smokers, ex-smokers, or with a history of coronary artery disease) were invited to attend ultrasound screening (July 2016 to March 2019) for AAA in the Female Aneurysm screening STudy (FAST). Primary outcomes were attendance for screening and prevalence of AAA. Biometric data, medical history, quality of life (QoL) and aortic diameter on ultrasound imaging were recorded prospectively.

Results

Some 6037 women were invited and 5200 attended screening (86.7 per cent). Fifteen AAAs larger than 29 mm were detected (prevalence 0.29 (95 per cent c.i. 0.18 to 0.48) per cent). Current smokers had the highest prevalence (0.83 (95 per cent c.i. 0.34 to 1.89) per cent) but lowest attendance (75.2 per cent). Three AAAs greater than 5.5 cm were identified and referred for consideration of surgical repair; one woman underwent repair. There was a significant reduction in patient-reported QoL scores following screening.

Conclusion

A low prevalence of AAA was detected in high-risk women, with lowest screening uptake in those at highest risk. Screening for AAA in high-risk women may not be beneficial.

Sex Hormones in Men with Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm

BACKGROUND

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) primarily affects elderly men. The impact of sex on aneurysm development has been associated with an effect of sex hormones, through mechanisms that are not fully understood. This study aimed to examine the association between levels of sex hormones and the occurrence of AAA in elderly men.

METHODS

A prospective case-control study was conducted including 452, 65-year old men participating in screening for AAA, 2013-2019; 230 men with AAA and 222 men with an aortic diameter<30mm (controls). Questionnaires and blood samples were collected and stored consecutively. Serum levels of total testosterone, estradiol, progesterone, luteinizing hormone and sex hormone binding globulin were analyzed by electrochemiluminescent immunoassays. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to assess the association of sex hormones with AAA.

RESULTS

The median aneurysm diameter was 33mm. Men with AAA had higher estradiol and progesterone levels than controls (93pmol/L vs. 84pmol/L, p=.003 and 0.41nmol/L vs. 0.17nmol/L, p<.001). Testosterone levels were lower in men with AAA than in controls (13nmol/L vs. 14nmol/L, p=.026). AAA was associated with detectable levels of progesterone(OR 6.69, 95%CI 3.86-11.47), smoking(OR 5.26, 95%CI 3.12-8.85), coronary heart disease(OR 4.06, 95%CI 1.92-8.58) and body mass index>25(OR 2.26, 95%CI 1.34-3.82).

CONCLUSION

The observed higher levels of estradiol and progesterone in men with AAA, suggest an impact of sex hormones on aneurysm development. The association between progesterone levels and aortic diameter, stress the importance of focusing on the potential effect of this unconsidered female sex hormone on aneurysm formation.

Sex Differences in Rupture Risk and Mortality in Untreated Patients With Intact Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms

Background

Studies on intact abdominal aortic aneurysms mainly focus on treated patients, and data on untreated patients are sparse. The objective was to investigate sex differences among untreated patients regarding rupture and mortality rates and to determine predictors for these events. Sex‐specific causes of death were evaluated.

Methods and Results

All patients ≥40 years diagnosed from 2001 to 2015 (n=32 393) with intact abdominal aortic aneurysms were identified in national registries; 60% (n=19 569) were untreated. Comorbid loads, crude rupture, and mortality rates were assessed. Predictors of 5‐year rupture and mortality were analyzed in Cox models (sex, age, comorbidities, income, and marital status). The proportion of men and women with multiple comorbidities was similar. Within 5 years, 798 ruptures occurred (9.7% women versus 6.9% men, P<0.001). Ruptures were independently predicted by female sex (hazard ratio [HR], 1.23; 95% CI, 1.07–1.42; P=0.004), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.15–1.62; P<0.001), age (HR, 11.49; 95% CI, 5.68–23.25 for ≥80 years; P<0.001), and income (HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.53–0.75 for highest tertile; P<0.001). After 5 years, 56.5% women and 50.4% men were deceased. Mortality was not independently predicted by female sex. Rupture was the third most common cause of death (11.9% women versus 8.7% men; P<0.001). The median time‐to‐events was 2.8 years.

Conclusions

A considerable proportion of patients with intact abdominal aortic aneurysms in surveillance remain untreated. Despite surveillance algorithms, the healthcare system fails to prevent a high number of ruptures, especially among women. The time‐to‐event data highlight the urgency to develop more individualized surveillance.

Tunica-Specific Transcriptome of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm and the Effect of Intraluminal Thrombus, Smoking, and Diameter Growth Rate

OBJECTIVE

There is no medical treatment to prevent abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) growth and rupture, both of which are linked to smoking. Our objective was to map the tunica-specific pathophysiology of AAA with consideration of the intraluminal thrombus, age, and sex, and to subsequently identify which mechanisms were linked to smoking and diameter growth rate. Approach and Results: Microarray analyses were performed on 246 samples from 76 AAA patients and 13 controls. In media and adventitia, there were 5889 and 2701 differentially expressed genes, respectively. Gene sets related to adaptive and innate immunity were upregulated in both tunicas. Media-specific gene sets included increased matrix disassembly and angiogenesis, as well as decreased muscle cell development, contraction, and differentiation. Genes implicated in previous genome-wide association studies were dysregulated in media. The intraluminal thrombus had a pro-proteolytic and proinflammatory effect on the underlying media. Active smoking resulted in increased inflammation, oxidative stress, and angiogenesis in all tissues and enriched lipid metabolism in adventitia. Processes enriched with active smoking in control aortas overlapped to a high extent with those differentially expressed between AAAs and controls. The AAA diameter growth rate (n=24) correlated with T- and B-cell expression in media, as well as lipid-related processes in the adventitia.

CONCLUSIONS

This tunica-specific analysis of gene expression in a large study enabled the detection of features not previously described in AAA disease. Smoking was associated with increased expression of aneurysm-related processes, of which adaptive immunity and lipid metabolism correlated with growth rate.

Lipoprotein(a) levels and risk of abdominal aortic aneurysm in the Women's Health Initiative

OBJECTIVE

Few studies have prospectively examined the associations of lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] levels with the risk of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), especially in women. Accounting for commonly recognized risk factors, we investigated the baseline Lp(a) levels and the risk of AAA among postmenopausal women participating in the ongoing national Women's Health Initiative.

METHODS

Women's Health Initiative participants with baseline Lp(a) levels available who were beneficiaries of Medicare parts A and B fee-for-service at study enrollment or who had aged into Medicare at any point were included. Participants with missing covariate data or known AAA at baseline were excluded. Thoracic aneurysms were excluded owing to the different pathophysiology. The AAA cases and interventions were identified using the International Classification of Diseases, 9th and 10th revision, codes and Current Procedural Terminology codes from claims data. Hazard ratios were computed using Cox proportional hazard models according to the quintiles of Lp(a).

RESULTS

The mean age of the 6615 participants included in the analysis was 65.3 years. Of the 6615 participants, 66.6% were non-Hispanic white, 18.9% were black, 7% were Hispanic and 4.7% were Asian/Pacific Islander. Compared with the participants in the lowest Lp(a) quintile, those in higher quintiles were more likely to be overweight, black, and former or current smokers, to have hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and a history of cardiovascular disease, and to use menopausal hormone therapy and statins. During 65,476 person-years of follow-up, with a median of 10.4 years, 415 women had been diagnosed with an AAA and 36 had required intervention. More than one half had required intervention for a ruptured AAA. We failed to find a statistically significant association between Lp(a) levels and incident AAA. Additional sensitivity analyses stratified by race, with exclusion of statin users and alternative categorizations of Lp(a) using log-transformed levels, tertiles, and a cutoff of >50 mg/dL, were conducted, which did not reveal any significant associations.

CONCLUSIONS

We found no statistically significant association between Lp(a) levels and the risk of AAA in a large and well-phenotyped sample of postmenopausal women. Women with high Lp(a) levels were more likely to be overweight, black, and former or current smokers, and to have hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and a history of cardiovascular disease, or to use hormone therapy and statins compared with those with lower Lp(a) levels. These findings differ from previous prospective, case-control, and meta-analysis studies that had supported a significant relationship between higher Lp(a) levels and an increased risk of AAA. Differences in the association could have resulted from study limitations or sex differences.

ADAM (a Disintegrin and Metalloproteinase) 15 Deficiency Exacerbates Ang II (Angiotensin II)-Induced Aortic Remodeling Leading to Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Objective:

ADAM (a disintegrin and metalloproteinase) 15—a membrane-bound metalloprotease from the ADAM (disintegrin and metalloproteinase) family—has been linked to endothelial permeability, inflammation, and metastasis. However, its function in aortic aneurysm has not been explored. We aimed to determine the function of ADAM15 in the pathogenesis of aortic remodeling and aneurysm formation.

Approach and Results:

Male Adam15-deficient and WT (wild type) mice (10 weeks old), on standard laboratory diet, received Ang II (angiotensin II; 1.5 mg/kg per day) or saline (Alzet pump) for 2 or 4 weeks. Ang II increased ADAM15 in WT aorta, while Adam15-deficiency resulted in abdominal aortic aneurysm characterized by loss of medial smooth muscle cells (SMCs), elastin fragmentation, inflammation, but unaltered Ang II–mediated hypertension. In the abdominal aortic tissue and primary aortic SMCs culture, Adam15 deficiency decreased SMC proliferation, increased apoptosis, and reduced contractile properties along with F-actin depolymerization to G-actin. Ang II triggered a markedly greater increase in THBS (thrombospondin) 1 in Adam15-deficient aorta, primarily the medial layer in vivo, and in aortic SMC in vitro; increased SSH1 (slingshot homolog 1) phosphatase activity and cofilin dephosphorylation that promoted F-actin depolymerization and G-actin accumulation. rhTHBS1 (recombinant THBS1) alone was sufficient to activate the cofilin pathway, increase G-actin, and induce apoptosis of aortic SMCs, confirming the key role of THBS1 in this process. Further, in human abdominal aortic aneurysm specimens, decreased ADAM15 was associated with increased THBS1 levels and loss of medial SMCs.

Conclusions:

This study is the first to demonstrate a key role for ADAM15 in abdominal aortic aneurysm through regulating the SMC function, thereby placing ADAM15 in a critical position as a potential therapeutic target for abdominal aortic aneurysm.

Pathogenic mechanisms and the potential of drug therapies for aortic aneurysm

Aortic aneurysm is a permanent focal dilation of the aorta. It is usually an asymptomatic disease but can lead to sudden death due to aortic rupture. Aortic aneurysm-related mortalities are estimated at ∼200,000 deaths per year worldwide. Because no pharmacological treatment has been found to be effective so far, surgical repair remains the only treatment for aortic aneurysm. Aortic aneurysm results from changes in the aortic wall structure due to loss of smooth muscle cells and degradation of the extracellular matrix and can form in different regions of the aorta. Research over the past decade has identified novel contributors to aneurysm formation and progression. The present review provides an overview of cellular and noncellular factors as well as enzymes that process extracellular matrix and regulate cellular functions (e.g., matrix metalloproteinases, granzymes, and cathepsins) in the context of aneurysm pathogenesis. An update of clinical trials focusing on therapeutic strategies to slow abdominal aortic aneurysm growth and efforts underway to develop effective pharmacological treatments is also provided.

Extracellular matrix, regional heterogeneity of the aorta, and aortic aneurysm

Aortic aneurysm is an asymptomatic disease with dire outcomes if undiagnosed. Aortic aneurysm rupture is a significant cause of death worldwide. To date, surgical repair or endovascular repair (EVAR) is the only effective treatment for aortic aneurysm, as no pharmacological treatment has been found effective. Aortic aneurysm, a focal dilation of the aorta, can be formed in the thoracic (TAA) or the abdominal (AAA) region; however, our understanding as to what determines the site of aneurysm formation remains quite limited. The extracellular matrix (ECM) is the noncellular component of the aortic wall, that in addition to providing structural support, regulates bioavailability of an array of growth factors and cytokines, thereby influencing cell function and behavior that ultimately determine physiological or pathological remodeling of the aortic wall. Here, we provide an overview of the ECM proteins that have been reported to be involved in aortic aneurysm formation in humans or animal models, and the experimental models for TAA and AAA and the link to ECM manipulations. We also provide a comparative analysis, where data available, between TAA and AAA, and how aberrant ECM proteolysis versus disrupted synthesis may determine the site of aneurysm formation.

A review of aneurysm formation, swelling in blood vessel, in the aorta, examines distinctions between two forms of the condition and the role of proteins in the extracellular matrix which surrounds cells of the arterial wall. Rupture of aneurysms in the aorta, the body’s main artery, is a major cause of death. Researchers led by Zamaneh Kassiri at the University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada, emphasize that aneurysms in the thoracic and abdominal regions of the aorta are distinct conditions with crucial differences in their causes. Disrupted production and assembly of the extracellular matrix and its proteins may underlie thoracic aneurysm formation. Factors triggering the degradation of extracellular matrix proteins may be more significant in abdominal aneurysms. Understanding the differing molecular mechanisms involved could help address the current lack of effective drug treatments for these dangerous conditions.

Gender differences in outcomes after aortic aneurysm surgery should foster further research to improve screening and prevention programmes

Background Gender-related biases in outcomes after thoracic aortic surgery are an important factor to consider in the prevention of potential complications related to aortic diseases and in the analysis of surgical results. Methods The aim of this study is to provide an up-to-date review of gender-related differences in the epidemiology, specific risk factors, outcome, and screening and prevention programmes in aortic aneurysms. Results Female patients affected by aortic disease still have worse outcomes and higher early and late mortality than men. It is difficult to plan new specific strategies to improve outcomes in women undergoing major aortic surgery, given that the true explanations for their poorer outcomes are as yet not clearly identified. Some authors recommend further investigation of hormonal or molecular explanations for the sex differences in aortic disease. Others stress the need for quality improvement projects to quantify the preoperative risk in high-risk populations using non-invasive tests such as cardiopulmonary exercise testing. Conclusions The treatment of patients classified as high risk could thus be optimised before surgery becomes necessary by means of numerous strategies, such as the administration of high-dose statin therapy, antiplatelet treatment, optimal control of hypertension, lifestyle improvement with smoking cessation, weight loss and careful control of diabetes. Future efforts are needed to understand better the gender differences in the diagnosis, management and outcome of aortic aneurysm disease, and for appropriate and modern management of female patients.

Screening women aged 65 years or over for abdominal aortic aneurysm: a modelling study and health economic evaluation

BACKGROUND

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) screening programmes have been established for men in the UK to reduce deaths from AAA rupture. Whether or not screening should be extended to women is uncertain.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of population screening for AAAs in women and compare a range of screening options.

DESIGN

A discrete event simulation (DES) model was developed to provide a clinically realistic model of screening, surveillance, and elective and emergency AAA repair operations. Input parameters specifically for women were employed. The model was run for 10 million women, with parameter uncertainty addressed by probabilistic and deterministic sensitivity analyses.

SETTING

Population screening in the UK.

PARTICIPANTS

Women aged ≥ 65 years, followed up to the age of 95 years.

INTERVENTIONS

Invitation to ultrasound screening, followed by surveillance for small AAAs and elective surgical repair for large AAAs.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Number of operations undertaken, AAA-related mortality, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), NHS costs and cost-effectiveness with annual discounting.

DATA SOURCES

AAA surveillance data, National Vascular Registry, Hospital Episode Statistics, trials of elective and emergency AAA surgery, and the NHS Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Screening Programme (NAAASP).

REVIEW METHODS

Systematic reviews of AAA prevalence and, for elective operations, suitability for endovascular aneurysm repair, non-intervention rates, operative mortality and literature reviews for other parameters.

RESULTS

The prevalence of AAAs (aortic diameter of ≥ 3.0 cm) was estimated as 0.43% in women aged 65 years and 1.15% at age 75 years. The corresponding attendance rates following invitation to screening were estimated as 73% and 62%, respectively. The base-case model adopted the same age at screening (65 years), definition of an AAA (diameter of ≥ 3.0 cm), surveillance intervals (1 year for AAAs with diameter of 3.0-4.4 cm, 3 months for AAAs with diameter of 4.5-5.4 cm) and AAA diameter for consideration of surgery (5.5 cm) as in NAAASP for men. Per woman invited to screening, the estimated gain in QALYs was 0.00110, and the incremental cost was £33.99. This gave an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of £31,000 per QALY gained. The corresponding incremental net monetary benefit at a threshold of £20,000 per QALY gained was -£12.03 (95% uncertainty interval -£27.88 to £22.12). Almost no sensitivity analyses brought the ICER below £20,000 per QALY gained; an exception was doubling the AAA prevalence to 0.86%, which resulted in an ICER of £13,000. Alternative screening options (increasing the screening age to 70 years, lowering the threshold for considering surgery to diameters of 5.0 cm or 4.5 cm, lowering the diameter defining an AAA in women to 2.5 cm and lengthening the surveillance intervals for the smallest AAAs) did not bring the ICER below £20,000 per QALY gained when considered either singly or in combination.

LIMITATIONS

The model for women was not directly validated against empirical data. Some parameters were poorly estimated, potentially lacking relevance or unavailable for women.

CONCLUSION

The accepted criteria for a population-based AAA screening programme in women are not currently met.

FUTURE WORK

A large-scale study is needed of the exact aortic size distribution for women screened at relevant ages. The DES model can be adapted to evaluate screening options in men.

STUDY REGISTRATION

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42015020444 and CRD42016043227.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Cost-effectiveness of targeted screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm in siblings

Background

Population screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in 65‐year‐old men has been shown to be cost‐effective. A risk group with higher prevalence is siblings of patients with an AAA. This health economic model‐based study evaluated the potential cost‐effectiveness of targeted AAA screening of siblings.

Methods

A Markov model validated against other screening programmes was used. Two methods of identifying siblings were analysed: direct questioning of patients with an AAA (method A), and employing a national multigeneration register (method B). The prevalence was based on observed ultrasound data on AAAs in siblings. Additional parameters were extracted from RCTs, vascular registers, literature and ongoing screening. The outcome was cost‐effectiveness, probability of cost‐effectiveness at different willingness‐to‐pay (WTP) thresholds, reduction in AAA death, quality‐adjusted life‐years (QALYs) gained and total costs on a national scale.

Results

Methods A and B were estimated to reduce mortality from AAA, at incremental cost‐effectiveness ratios of €7800 (95 per cent c.i. 4627 to 12 982) and €7666 (5000 to 13 373) per QALY respectively. The probability of cost‐effectiveness was 99 per cent at a WTP of €23 000. The absolute risk reduction in AAA deaths was five per 1000 invited. QALYs gained were 27 per 1000 invited. In a population of ten million, methods A and B were estimated to prevent 12 and 17 AAA deaths, among 2418 and 3572 siblings identified annually, at total costs of €499 500 and €728 700 respectively.

Conclusion

The analysis indicates that aneurysm‐related mortality could be decreased cost‐effectively by applying a targeted screening method for siblings of patients with an AAA.

Usefulness of Screening for Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm During Transthoracic Echocardiography in Women ≥50 Years of Age

Usefulness of screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) during transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) in women is uncertain. The aim of the present study was to clarify the clinical usefulness of screening for AAA during TTE and to identify important TTE indices associated with AAA in women in a routine clinical setting. We prospectively studied 1,495 women (≥50 years) referred for TTE. AAA was defined as ≥30 mm in size. The additional screening time for AAA was <1 minute. The abdominal aorta was visualized in 95.1 % (1,422 of 1,495) using the same TTE probe. AAA was identified in 1.9% (27 of 1422). The aortic root size was larger in patients with AAA than those without (33.3 ± 3.2 vs 30.5 ± 3.4 mm, p < 0.001). The aortic root size had a correlation with abdominal aortic size (r = 0.22, p < 0.001). The aortic root size of ≥30.3 mm was predictive of AAA (area under the curve = 0.74, p < 0.001) and all patients with AAA had the aortic root size of ≥28.0 mm. Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that the aortic root size (Odds ratio 1.17, p = 0.007) was a most independent TTE index of AAA. In conclusion, the visibility of the abdominal aorta using TTE probe was excellent. When the aortic root size is ≥28.0 mm during TTE in women ≥50 years of age, screening for AAA should be carried out.

[Prevalence and risk factors of sub-renal abdominal aortic aneurysm in an Algerian population aged over 60]

INTRODUCTION

The prevalence of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in the general population in our country is not known, our aim was to evaluate it in patients over 60 years of age, to specify the risk factors and to evaluate the extension of aneurysmal disease and multisite subclinical atherosclerosis.

METHODS

Descriptive, transversal, study collecting the data of a systematic ultrasound screening of sub-renal AAA in subjects receiving care in two Algerian hospital structures. Epidemiological data, AAA risk factors, cardiovascular disease risk factors (CVD RF) and the personal history (cardiovascular diseases, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) and family history of AAA were collected during the screening. An abdominal echography was performed in all patients. A biological and morphological assessment was carried out for AAA cases detected. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to study the factors associated with AAA.

RESULTS

Systematic screening for 600 patients revealed an overall AAA prevalence of 2.2% (n=13). In multivariate analysis a positive association with AAA was observed with active smoking, its duration in years and its intensity in year-packages; with hypertension, dyslipidemia and a history of cardiovascular events. While a negative association was observed with a smoking cessation of more than 20 years, type 2 diabetes and android obesity. The study of detected AAA cases found five cases of aneurysm isolated from the primary iliac artery but no popliteal and/or femoral aneurysm. The carotids were atheromatous in more than 80% of cases and the arteries of the lower limbs in more than one-third of cases.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of AAA in our population (2.2%) corresponds to the prevalence reported recently in Europe, but it would have been higher if the screening had targeted males and smokers. The factors associated with AAA in our patients are similar to those described in the literature.

Risk Factors for Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm in Population-Based Studies: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) represents an important public health problem with a prevalence between 1.3% and 12.5%. Several population-based randomized trials have evaluated ultrasound screening for AAA providing evidence of a reduction in aneurysm-related mortality in the screened population. The aim of our study was to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of the risk factors for AAA. We conducted a systematic review of observational studies and we performed a meta-analysis that evaluated the following risk factors: gender, smoking habits, hypertension, coronary artery disease and family history of AAA. Respect to a previous a meta-analysis we added the funnel plot to examine the effect sizes estimated from individual studies as measure of their precision; sensitivity analysis to check the stability of study findings and estimate how the overall effect size would be modified by removal of one study; cumulative analysis to evaluate the trend between studies in relation to publication year. Abdominal aortic aneurysm prevalence is higher in smokers and in males. On the other hand, while diabetes is a risk factor for many cardiovascular diseases, it is not a risk factor for AAA. In addition, it is important to underline that all countries, where AAA screening was set up, had high income level and the majority belong to Western Europe (United Kingdom, Sweden, Italy, Poland, Spain and Belgium). Abdominal aortic aneurysm screening is fundamental for public health. It could avoid deaths, ruptures, and emergency surgical interventions if abdominal aortic aneurysm was diagnosed early in the population target for screening.

Abdominal aortic aneurysms

An abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a localized dilatation of the infrarenal aorta. AAA is a multifactorial disease, and genetic and environmental factors play a part; smoking, male sex and a positive family history are the most important risk factors, and AAA is most common in men >65 years of age. AAA results from changes in the aortic wall structure, including thinning of the media and adventitia due to the loss of vascular smooth muscle cells and degradation of the extracellular matrix. If the mechanical stress of the blood pressure acting on the wall exceeds the wall strength, the AAA ruptures, causing life-threatening intra-abdominal haemorrhage - the mortality for patients with ruptured AAA is 65-85%. Although AAAs of any size can rupture, the risk of rupture increases with diameter. Intact AAAs are typically asymptomatic, and in settings where screening programmes with ultrasonography are not implemented, most cases are diagnosed incidentally. Modern functional imaging techniques (PET, CT and MRI) may help to assess rupture risk. Elective repair of AAA with open surgery or endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) should be considered to prevent AAA rupture, although the morbidity and mortality associated with both techniques remain non-negligible.

Analysis of clinical benefit, harms, and cost-effectiveness of screening women for abdominal aortic aneurysm

BACKGROUND

A third of deaths in the UK from ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) are in women. In men, national screening programmes reduce deaths from AAA and are cost-effective. The benefits, harms, and cost-effectiveness in offering a similar programme to women have not been formally assessed, and this was the aim of this study.

METHODS

We developed a decision model to assess predefined outcomes of death caused by AAA, life years, quality-adjusted life years, costs, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for a population of women invited to AAA screening versus a population who were not invited to screening. A discrete event simulation model was set up for AAA screening, surveillance, and intervention. Relevant women-specific parameters were obtained from sources including systematic literature reviews, national registry or administrative databases, major AAA surgery trials, and UK National Health Service reference costs.

FINDINGS

AAA screening for women, as currently offered to UK men (at age 65 years, with an AAA diagnosis at an aortic diameter of ≥3·0 cm, and elective repair considered at ≥5·5cm) gave, over 30 years, an estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of £30 000 (95% CI 12 000-87 000) per quality-adjusted life year gained, with 3900 invitations to screening required to prevent one AAA-related death and an overdiagnosis rate of 33%. A modified option for women (screening at age 70 years, diagnosis at 2·5 cm and repair at 5·0 cm) was estimated to have an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of £23 000 (9500-71 000) per quality-adjusted life year and 1800 invitations to screening required to prevent one AAA-death, but an overdiagnosis rate of 55%. There was considerable uncertainty in the cost-effectiveness ratio, largely driven by uncertainty about AAA prevalence, the distribution of aortic sizes for women at different ages, and the effect of screening on quality of life.

INTERPRETATION

By UK standards, an AAA screening programme for women, designed to be similar to that used to screen men, is unlikely to be cost-effective. Further research on the aortic diameter distribution in women and potential quality of life decrements associated with screening are needed to assess the full benefits and harms of modified options.

FUNDING

UK National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Prevalence of Synchronous and Metachronous Aneurysms in Women With Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm

BACKGROUND

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is three to five times more common among men compared with women, yet up to 38% of all aneurysm related deaths affect women. The aim of this study was to estimate the prevalence of synchronous or metachronous aneurysms among women with AAA, as diagnosis and treatment could improve survival.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This is a retrospective study of prospectively registered patients. All women operated on, or under surveillance for, AAA were identified at two Swedish hospitals. Aneurysms in different locations were identified using available imaging studies. Aneurysms were defined according to location: thoracic ascending aorta ≥42 mm, descending ≥33 mm, abdominal aorta ≥30 mm, common iliac artery ≥20 mm or 50% wider than the contralateral artery, common femoral artery ≥12 mm, popliteal artery ≥10 mm.

RESULTS

A total of 339 women with an AAA were included. The median follow up was 2.8 (range 0-15.7) years. Thirty-one per cent had an aneurysm in the thoracic aorta (67 of 217 investigated, 84% were located in the descending aorta), 13 (19%) underwent repair. Twelve per cent had a common iliac artery aneurysm (24/259, 76% were investigated). Common femoral artery aneurysms were identified in 4.3% (8/184, 54% investigated). Popliteal artery aneurysms were identified in 4.0% (6/149, 44% investigated). The prevalence of infrainguinal aneurysms was higher among patients with synchronous iliac aneurysms (40% vs. 1.6%, OR 42, 95% CI 6.4-279, p < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Thoracic aortic aneurysms are common among women with AAA, most commonly affecting the descending aorta, and detection frequently results in repair. Popliteal and femoral aneurysms are not rare among women with AAA, and even common if there is a synchronous iliac aneurysm.

Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm: Evolving Controversies and Uncertainties

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is defined as a permanent dilatation of the abdominal aorta that exceeds 3 cm. Most AAAs arise in the portion of abdominal aorta distal to the renal arteries and are defined as infrarenal. Most AAAs are totally asymptomatic until catastrophic rupture. The strongest predictor of AAA rupture is the diameter. Surgery is indicated to prevent rupture when the risk of rupture exceeds the risk of surgery. In this review, we aim to analyze this disease comprehensively, starting from an epidemiological perspective, exploring etiology and pathophysiology, and concluding with surgical controversies. We will pursue these goals by addressing eight specific questions regarding AAA: (1) Is the incidence of AAA increasing? (2) Are ultrasound screening programs for AAA effective? (3) What causes AAA: Genes versus environment? (4) Animal models: Are they really relevant? (5) What pathophysiology leads to AAA? (6) Indications for AAA surgery: Are surgeons over-eager to operate? (7) Elective AAA repair: Open or endovascular? (8) Emergency AAA repair: Open or endovascular?

Gender differences in abdominal aortic aneurysm therapy - a systematic review

This article analyses if and to what extent gender differences exist in abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) therapy. For this purpose Medline (PubMed) was searched from January 1999 to January 2018. Keywords were: "abdominal aortic aneurysm", "gender", "prevalence", "EVAR", and "open surgery of abdominal aortic aneurysm". Regardless of open or endovascular treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysms, women have a higher rate of complications and longer hospitalizations compared to men. The majority of studies showed that women have a lower survival rate for surgical and endovascular treatment of abdominal aneurysms after both elective and emergency interventions. Women receive less surgical/interventional and protective medical treatment. Women seem to have a higher risk of rupture, a lower survival rate in AAA, and a higher rate of complications, regardless of endovascular or open treatment. The gender differences may be due to a higher age of women at diagnosis and therapy associated with higher comorbidity, but also because of genetic, hormonal, anatomical, biological, and socio-cultural differences. Strategies for treatment in female patients must be further defined to optimize outcome.

Discrete Event Simulation for Decision Modeling in Health Care: Lessons from Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Screening

Markov models are often used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of new healthcare interventions but they are sometimes not flexible enough to allow accurate modeling or investigation of alternative scenarios and policies. A Markov model previously demonstrated that a one-off invitation to screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) for men aged 65 y in the UK and subsequent follow-up of identified AAAs was likely to be highly cost-effective at thresholds commonly adopted in the UK (£20,000 to £30,000 per quality adjusted life-year). However, new evidence has emerged and the decision problem has evolved to include exploration of the circumstances under which AAA screening may be cost-effective, which the Markov model is not easily able to address. A new model to handle this more complex decision problem was needed, and the case of AAA screening thus provides an illustration of the relative merits of Markov models and discrete event simulation (DES) models. An individual-level DES model was built using the R programming language to reflect possible events and pathways of individuals invited to screening v. those not invited. The model was validated against key events and cost-effectiveness, as observed in a large, randomized trial. Different screening protocol scenarios were investigated to demonstrate the flexibility of the DES. The case of AAA screening highlights the benefits of DES, particularly in the context of screening studies.

Abdominal aortic aneurysm: Sex differences

OBJECTIVE

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) predominantly affects an elderly male population. Even so, AAA appears more detrimental in women, who experience a higher risk of aneurysm rupture and a worse outcome after surgery than men. Why women are privileged from yet are worse off once affected has been attributed to an effect of sex hormones. This review summarizes the knowledge of sex differences in AAA and addresses the changes in the aneurysm wall from a gender perspective.

METHOD

Standard reporting guidelines set by the PRISMA Group were followed to identify studies examining AAA from a gender perspective. Relevant reports were identified using two electronic databases: PubMed and Web of Science. The systematic search was performed in two stages: firstly, using the terms AAA and gender/sex/women; and secondly, adding the terms "elastin", "collagen" and "vascular smooth muscle cells", in order to filter the search for studies relevant to our focus on the aneurysm wall.

CONCLUSION

Current studies support the theory that sex has an effect on aneurysm formation, yet are inconclusive about whether or not aneurysm formation is dependent on female/male sex hormones or a lack thereof. The studies in women are scarce and out of those most reports primarily address other end-points, which limit their ability to illuminate an effect of sex on aneurysm formation. The complexity of the human menstrual cycle and menopausal transition are difficult to mimic in animal models, which limit their applicability to AAA formation in humans.

Sex Chromosome Complement Defines Diffuse Versus Focal Angiotensin II-Induced Aortic Pathology

OBJECTIVE

Aortic pathologies exhibit sexual dimorphism, with aneurysms in both the thoracic and abdominal aorta (ie, abdominal aortic aneurysm [AAA]) exhibiting higher male prevalence. Women have lower prevalence of aneurysms, but when they occur, aneurysms progress rapidly. To define mechanisms for these sex differences, we determined the role of sex chromosome complement and testosterone on the location and progression of angiotensin II (AngII)-induced aortic pathologies.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We used transgenic male mice expressing Sry (sex-determining region Y) on an autosome to create Ldlr (low-density lipoprotein receptor)-deficient male mice with an XY or XX sex chromosome complement. Transcriptional profiling was performed on abdominal aortas from XY or XX males, demonstrating 1746 genes influenced by sex chromosomes or sex hormones. Males (XY or XX) were either sham-operated or orchiectomized before AngII infusions. Diffuse aortic aneurysm pathology developed in XY AngII-infused males, whereas XX males developed focal AAAs. Castration reduced all AngII-induced aortic pathologies in XY and XX males. Thoracic aortas from AngII-infused XY males exhibited adventitial thickening that was not present in XX males. We infused male XY and XX mice with either saline or AngII and quantified mRNA abundance of key genes in both thoracic and abdominal aortas. Regional differences in mRNA abundance existed before AngII infusions, which were differentially influenced by AngII between genotypes. Prolonged AngII infusions resulted in aortic wall thickening of AAAs from XY males, whereas XX males had dilated focal AAAs.

CONCLUSIONS

An XY sex chromosome complement mediates diffuse aortic pathology, whereas an XX sex chromosome complement contributes to focal AngII-induced AAAs.

Gender, smoking, body size, and aneurysm geometry influence the biomechanical rupture risk of abdominal aortic aneurysms as estimated by finite element analysis

OBJECTIVE

Finite element analysis (FEA) has been suggested to be superior to maximal diameter measurements in predicting rupture of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs). Our objective was to investigate to what extent previously described rupture risk factors were associated with FEA-estimated rupture risk.

METHODS

One hundred forty-six patients with an asymptomatic AAA of a 40- to 60-mm diameter were retrospectively identified and consecutively included. The patients' computed tomography angiograms were analyzed by FEA without (neutral) and with (specific) input of patient-specific mean arterial pressure (MAP), gender, family history, and age. The maximal wall stress/wall strength ratio was described as a rupture risk equivalent diameter (RRED), which translated this ratio into an average aneurysm diameter of corresponding rupture risk.

RESULTS

In multivariate linear regression, RRED_neutral increased with female gender (3.7 mm; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.13-7.3) and correlated with patient height (0.27 mm/cm; 95% CI, 0.11-0.43) and body surface area (BSA, 16 mm/m²; 95% CI, 8.3-24) and inversely with body mass index (BMI, -0.40 mm/kg m^-2; 95% CI, -0.75 to -0.054) in a wall stress-dependent manner. Wall stress-adjusted RRED_neutral was raised if the patient was currently smoking (1.1 mm; 95% CI, 0.21-1.9). Age, MAP, family history, and patient weight were unrelated to RRED_neutral. In specific FEA, RRED_specific increased with female gender, MAP, family history positive for AAA, height, and BSA, whereas it was inversely related to BMI. All results were independent of aneurysm diameter. Peak wall stress and RRED correlated with aneurysm diameter and lumen volume.

CONCLUSIONS

Female gender, current smoking, increased patient height and BSA, and low BMI were found to increase the mechanical rupture risk of AAAs. Previously described rupture risk factors may in part be explained by patient characteristic-dependent variations in aneurysm biomechanics.

Editor's Choice - Trend-break in Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair With Decreasing Surgical Workload

BACKGROUND

The epidemiology and management of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) has changed drastically in the past decades, with implementation of nationwide screening programs, introduction of endovascular repair (EVAR), and reduced prevalence of the disease. This report aims to assess recent trends in AAA repair epidemiology in Sweden in this context.

METHODS

Primary AAA repairs registered in the nationwide Swedish Vascular Registry (Swedvasc) 1994-2014 were analyzed regarding patient characteristics, repair incidence, technique, and outcome. Four time periods were compared: 1994-1999, 2000-2004, 2005-2009, and 2010-2014.

RESULT

The incidence of intact AAA repair increased (18.4/100,000 1994-1999, 27.3/100,000 2010-2014, p < .001) predominantly among octogenarians (12.7/100,000 1994-1999, 36.0/100,000 2010-2014, p < .001). The utilization of EVAR increased (58% of all intact AAA repairs 2010-2014), especially among octogenarians (80% 2010-2014). During the last time period, however, the incidence of intact AAA repair stabilized, despite an increasing number of screening-detected AAAs operated on (19% in 2010-2014). Short- and long-term outcome after intact AAA repair continued to improve, most pronounced among octogenarians (30-day mortality 9% 1994-1999, 2% 2010-2014, p < .001). The incidence of ruptured AAA repair steadily decreased (9.2/100,000 1994-1999, 6.9/100,000 2010-2014, p < .001) and the use of EVAR for ruptures increased (30% in 2010-2014). The previously observed improvement of short- and long-term outcome after ruptured AAA repair (30-day mortality 38% 1994-1999, 28% 2010-2014, p < .001) stalled during the last time period. The overall 30-day mortality after ruptured AAA repair was 22% after EVAR versus 31% after open repair in 2010-2014. The corresponding mortality for octogenarians was 28% versus 42%.

CONCLUSIONS

For the first time, a halt in intact AAA repair workload could be identified. This trend-break occurred despite continued increase in treatment of octogenarians and screening-detected aneurysms. Additionally, the ruptured AAA repair incidence continued to decrease. These findings, together with the sustained improvement in survival after AAA repair, may have important impact on planning of vascular surgical services.

Sex differences in mortality and morbidity following repair of intact abdominal aortic aneurysms

OBJECTIVE

Medicare studies have shown increased perioperative mortality in women compared with men following endovascular and open abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair. However, a recent regional study of high-volume centers, adjusting for anatomy but limited in sample size, did not show sex to be predictive of worse outcomes. This study aimed to evaluate sex differences after intact AAA repair in a national clinical registry.

METHODS

The targeted vascular module of the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program was queried to identify patients undergoing endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) or open repair for intact, infrarenal AAA from 2011 to 2014. Univariate analysis was performed using the Fisher exact test and Mann-Whitney test. Multivariable logistic regression was used to account for differences in comorbidities, aneurysm details, and operative characteristics.

RESULTS

We identified 6611 patients (19% women) who underwent intact AAA repair (87% EVAR; 83% women vs 88% men; P < .001). Women were older (median age, 76 vs 73 years; P < .001), had smaller aneurysms (median, 5.4 vs 5.5 cm; P < .001), and had more chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (22% vs 17%; P < .001). Among patients undergoing EVAR, women had longer operative times (median, 138 [interquartile range, 103-170] vs 131 [106-181] minutes; P < .01) and more often underwent renal (6.3% vs 4.1%; P < .01) and lower extremity (6.6% vs 3.8%; P < .01) revascularization. After open repair, women had shorter operative time (215 [177-304] vs 226 [165-264] minutes; P = .02), but women less frequently underwent lower extremity revascularization (3.1% vs 8.2%; P = .03). Thirty-day mortality was higher in women after EVAR (3.2% vs 1.2%; P < .001) and open repair (8.0% vs 4.0%; P = .04). After adjusting for repair type, age, aneurysm diameter, and comorbidities, female sex was independently associated with mortality (odds ratio [OR], 1.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-2.6; P = .02) and major complications (OR, 1.4; CI, 1.1-1.7; P < .01) after intact AAA repair. However, after adjusting for aortic size index rather than for aortic diameter, the association between female sex and mortality (OR, 1.5; CI, 0.98-2.4; P = .06) and major complications (OR, 1.1; CI, 0.9-1.4; P = .24) was reduced.

CONCLUSIONS

Women were at higher risk for 30-day death and major complications after intact AAA repair. Some of this disparity may be explained by differences in aortic size index, which should be further evaluated to determine the ideal threshold for repair.

Differential expression of sex hormone receptors in abdominal aortic aneurysms

OBJECTIVE

Male sex is a significant risk factor for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). Female sex hormones have been reported to prevent aneurysm formation in animal models. The study aims to describe the expression profile of sex hormone receptors in the aneurysm wall of men and women with AAA and compare with unaffected controls.

METHODS

Aneurysm wall biopsies were obtained during elective open repair of AAA in men and women (n=16+16). Aortic vessel wall from controls were obtained at organ donation (n=6). Western blot-, mRNA expression- and immunohistochemical analyses were performed to assess the expression profile of the sex hormone receptors - androgen receptor (AR), progesterone receptor (PR), estrogen receptor α (ERα) and β (ERβ).

RESULTS

The mRNA- and protein expression levels of AR were higher in AAA compared with control aorta (7.26 vs. 5.14, P=0.001). mRNA- and protein expression levels of ERβ were lower in AAA compared with control aorta (9.15 vs. 12.29, P<0.001). mRNA expression levels of PR were higher in AAA compared with control aorta (8.73 vs. 6.21, P=0.003), but could not be confirmed on protein level. The expression profile of sex hormone receptors in men and women with AAA was similar.

CONCLUSION

Expression of sex hormone receptors differs in the aneurysmal aorta compared with unaffected aorta in men and women. A higher expression of AR and a lower expression of ERβ suggest that sex hormone activity could be associated with aneurysm development.