A new risk score for patients after first recurrence of stage 4 neuroblastoma aged ≥18 months at first diagnosis

Clinical prediction models in children that use repeated measurements with time-varying covariates: a scoping review

BACKGROUND

Emerging evidence suggests that clinical prediction models that use repeated (time-varying) measurements within each patient may have higher predictive accuracy than models that use patient information from a single measurement.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the breadth of the published literature reporting the development of clinical prediction models in children that use time-varying predictors.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, EMBASE and Cochrane databases.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

We included studies reporting the development of a multivariable clinical prediction model in children, with or without validation, to predict a repeatedly measured binary or time-to-event outcome and utilizing at least one repeatedly measured predictor.

SYNTHESIS METHODS

We categorized included studies by the method used to model time-varying predictors.

RESULTS

Of 99 clinical prediction model studies that had a repeated measurements data structure, only 27 (27%) used methods that incorporated the repeated measurements as time-varying predictors in a single model. Among these 27 time-varying prediction model studies, we grouped model types into nine categories: time-dependent Cox regression, generalized estimating equations, random effects model, landmark model, joint model, neural network, K-nearest neighbor, support vector machine and tree-based algorithms. Where there was comparison of time-varying models to single measurement models, using time-varying predictors improved predictive accuracy.

CONCLUSIONS

Various methods have been used to develop time-varying prediction models in children, but there is a paucity of pediatric time-varying models in the literature. Incorporating time-varying covariates in pediatric prediction models may improve predictive accuracy. Future research in pediatric prediction model development should further investigate whether incorporation of time-varying covariates improves predictive accuracy.

Targeting refractory/recurrent neuroblastoma and osteosarcoma with anti-CD3×anti-GD2 bispecific antibody armed T cells

BACKGROUND

The survival benefit observed in children with neuroblastoma (NB) and minimal residual disease who received treatment with anti-GD2 monoclonal antibodies prompted our investigation into the safety and potential clinical benefits of anti-CD3×anti-GD2 bispecific antibody (GD2Bi) armed T cells (GD2BATs). Preclinical studies demonstrated the high cytotoxicity of GD2BATs against GD2+cell lines, leading to the initiation of a phase I/II study in recurrent/refractory patients.

METHODS

The 3+3 dose escalation phase I study (NCT02173093) encompassed nine evaluable patients with NB (n=5), osteosarcoma (n=3), and desmoplastic small round cell tumors (n=1). Patients received twice-weekly infusions of GD2BATs at 40, 80, or 160×106 GD2BATs/kg/infusion complemented by daily interleukin-2 (300,000 IU/m2) and twice-weekly granulocyte macrophage colony-stimulating factor (250 µg/m2). The phase II segment focused on patients with NB at the dose 3 level of 160×106 GD2BATs/kg/infusion.

RESULTS

Of the 12 patients enrolled, 9 completed therapy in phase I with no dose-limiting toxicities. Mild and manageable cytokine release syndrome occurred in all patients, presenting as grade 2-3 fevers/chills, headaches, and occasional hypotension up to 72 hours after GD2BAT infusions. GD2-antibody-associated pain was minimal. Median overall survival (OS) for phase I and the limited phase II was 18.0 and 31.2 months, respectively, with a combined OS of 21.1 months. A phase I NB patient had a complete bone marrow response with overall stable disease. In phase II, 10 of 12 patients were evaluable: 1 achieved partial response, and 3 showed clinical benefit with prolonged stable disease. Over 50% of evaluable patients exhibited augmented immune responses to GD2+targets post-GD2BATs, as indicated by interferon-gamma (IFN-γ) EliSpots, Th1 cytokines, and/or chemokines.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated the safety of GD2BATs up to 160×106 cells/kg/infusion. Coupled with evidence of post-treatment endogenous immune responses, our findings support further investigation of GD2BATs in larger phase II clinical trials.

Targeting GD2-positive Refractory/Resistant Neuroblastoma and Osteosarcoma with Anti- CD3 x Anti-GD2 Bispecific Antibody Armed T cells

Background

Since treatment of neuroblastoma (NB) with anti-GD2 monoclonal antibodies provides a survival benefit in children with minimal residual disease and our preclinical study shows that anti-CD3 x anti-GD2 bispecific antibody (GD2Bi) armed T cells (GD2BATs) were highly cytotoxic to GD2+ cell lines, we conducted a phase I/II study in recurrent/refractory patients to establish safety and explore the clinical benefit of GD2BATs.

Methods

The 3+3 dose escalation study (NCT02173093) phase I involved 9 evaluable patients with NB (n=5), osteosarcoma (OST) (n=3), and desmoplastic small round cell tumors (DSRCT) (n=1) with twice weekly infusions of GD2BATs at 40, 80, or 160 x 106 GD2BATs/kg/infusion with daily interleukin 2 (300,000 IU/m2) and twice weekly granulocyte-macrophage colony stimulating factor (250 μg/m2). Phase II portion of the trial was conducted in patients with NB at the dose 3 level of 160 x 106 GD2BATs/kg/infusion but failed to enroll the planned number of patients.

Results

Nine of 12 patients in the phase I completed therapy. There were no dose limiting toxicities (DLTs). All patients developed mild and manageable cytokine release syndrome (CRS) with grade 2-3 fevers/chills, headaches, and occasional hypotension up to 72 hours after GD2BAT infusions. GD2-antibody associated pain was not significant in this study. The median OS for patients in the Phase I and limited Phase II was 18.0 and 31.2 months, respectively, whereas the combined OS was 21.1 months. There was a complete bone marrow response with overall stable disease in one of the phase I patients with NB. Ten of 12 phase II patients were evaluable for response: 1 had partial response. Three additional patients were deemed to have clinical benefit with prolonged stable disease. More than 50% of evaluable patients showed augmented immune responses to GD2+ targets after GD2BATs as measured by interferon-gamma (IFN-γ) EliSpots, Th1 cytokines, and/or chemokines.

Conclusions

Our study demonstrated safety of up to 160 x 106 cells/kg/infusion of GD2BATs. Combined with evidence for the development of post treatment endogenous immune responses, this data supports further investigation of GD2 BATs in larger Phase II clinical trials.

A novel clinical tool and risk stratification system for predicting the event-free survival of neuroblastoma patients: A TARGET-based study

Neuroblastoma (NB), considered the most common non-intracranial solid tumor in children, accounts for nearly 8% of pediatric malignancies. This study aimed to develop a simple and practical nomogram to predict event-free survival (EFS) in NB patients and establish a new risk stratification system. In this study, 763 patients primarily diagnosed with NB in the Therapeutically Applicable Research to Generate Effective Treatments (TARGET) database were included and randomly assigned to a training set (70%) and a validation set (30%) in a 7:3 ratio. First, the independent prognostic factors of EFS for NB patients were identified through univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Second, a nomogram was created based on these factors and was validated for calibration capability, discriminative, and clinical significance by C-curves, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and decision curve analysis. Finally, a new risk stratification system was established for NB patients based on the nomogram. The univariate Cox analysis demonstrated that NB patients with age at diagnosis >318 days, International Neuroblastoma Staging System (INSS) stage 4, DNA diploidy, MYCN amplification status, and children oncology group (COG) high-risk group had a relatively poor prognosis. However, according to the multivariate Cox regression analysis, only age, INSS stage, and DNA ploidy were independent predictive factors in NB patients regarding EFS, and a nomogram was created based on these factors. The area under the curve (AUC) values of the ROC curves for the 3-, 5-, and 10-year EFS of this nomogram were 0.681, 0.706, and 0.720, respectively. Additionally, the AUC values of individual independent prognostic factors of EFS were lower than those of the nomogram, suggesting that the developed nomogram had a higher predictive reliability for prognosis. In addition, a new risk stratification system was developed to better stratify NB patients and provide clinical practitioners with a better reference for clinical decision-making. NB patients' EFS could be predicted more accurately and easily through the constructed nomogram and event-occurrence risk stratification system, allowing clinicians to better differentiate NB patients and establish individualized treatment plans to maximize patient benefits.

Early-phase clinical trial eligibility and response evaluation criteria for refractory, relapsed, or progressive neuroblastoma: A consensus statement from the National Cancer Institute Clinical Trials Planning Meeting

BACKGROUND

International standardized criteria for eligibility, evaluable disease sites, and disease response assessment in patients with refractory, progressive, or relapsed high-risk neuroblastoma enrolled in early-phase clinical trials are lacking.

METHODS

A National Cancer Institute-sponsored Clinical Trials Planning Meeting was convened to develop an international consensus to refine the tumor site eligibility criteria and evaluation of disease response for early-phase clinical trials in children with high-risk neuroblastoma.

RESULTS

Standardized data collection of patient and disease characteristics (including specified genomic data), eligibility criteria, a definition of evaluable disease, and response evaluations for primary and metastatic sites of disease were developed. Eligibility included two distinct patient groups: progressive disease and refractory disease. The refractory disease group was subdivided into responding persistent disease and stable persistent disease to better capture the clinical heterogeneity of refractory neuroblastoma. Requirements for defining disease evaluable for a response assessment were provided; they included requirements for biopsy to confirm viable neuroblastoma and/or ganglioneuroblastoma in those patients with soft tissue or bone disease not avid for iodine-123 meta-iodobenzylguanidine. Standardized evaluations for response components and time intervals for response evaluations were established.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of international consensus eligibility, evaluability, and response criteria for early-phase clinical studies will facilitate the collection of comparable data across international trials and promote more rapid identification of effective treatment regimens for high-risk neuroblastoma.

Pattern and predictors of sites of relapse in neuroblastoma: A report from the International Neuroblastoma Risk Group (INRG) project

PURPOSE

We sought to analyze biologic, clinical, and prognostic differences according to pattern of failure at the time of first relapse in neuroblastoma.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Children <21 years diagnosed with neuroblastoma between 1989 and 2017 with known site of first relapse (isolated local vs. distant only vs. combined local and distant sites) were identified from the International Neuroblastoma Risk Group (INRG) database. Data were compared between sites of relapse according to clinical features, biologic features, initial treatment, time to first relapse, and overall survival (OS) from time of first relapse.

RESULTS

Pattern of first relapse among 1833 children was 19% isolated local; 65% distant only; and 16% combined sites. All evaluated clinical and biologic variables with exception of tumor diagnosis differed statistically by relapse pattern, with patients with isolated local failure having more favorable prognostic features. Patients with stage 3 disease were more likely to have isolated local failure compared to all other stages (49% vs. 16%; p < .001). OS significantly differed by relapse pattern (5-year OS ± SE): isolated local: 64% ± 3%; distant only: 23% ± 2%; and combined: 26% ± 4% (p < .001). After controlling for age, stage, and MYCN status, patients with isolated local failure (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 0.46; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.33-0.62; p < .001) and distant-only failure (adjusted HR = 0.57; 95% CI: 0.45-0.71; p < .001) remained at decreased risk for death as compared to patients with combined failure.

CONCLUSION

Patients with distant-only and combined failures have a higher proportion of unfavorable clinical and biological features, and a lower survival than those with isolated local relapse.

To transplant, or not to transplant? That is the question. A patient advocate evaluation of autologous stem cell transplant in neuroblastoma

High-dose chemotherapy with autologous stem cell transplant (ASCT) has been a mainstay of high-risk neuroblastoma treatment for several decades, demonstrating improvements in event-free survival but with risks of serious or even life-threatening acute toxicities, severe long-term adverse health effects for survivors, and ongoing contention regarding overall survival benefit. The merits of ASCT in the modern era of immunotherapy are a source of debate among parents, advocates, and some physicians. Here we examine evidence for and against ASCT, explore parent attitudes and their turmoil over decision-making, and strongly encourage international research consortia to develop a coordinated strategy to accelerate progress toward a future that avoids the routine use of ASCT in high-risk neuroblastoma.

Phase I Trial of Oral Yeast-Derived β-Glucan to Enhance Anti-GD2 Immunotherapy of Resistant High-Risk Neuroblastoma

Beta glucans, complex polysaccharides, prime leukocyte dectin-1 and CR3-receptors and enhance anti-tumor cytotoxicity of complement-activating monoclonal antibodies. We conducted a phase I study (clinicaltrials.gov NCT00492167) to determine the safety of the combination of yeast-derived beta glucan (BG) and anti-GD2 murine monoclonal antibody 3F8 in patients with relapsed or refractory high-risk neuroblastoma. Patients received intravenous 3F8 (fixed dose of 10 mg/m²/day × 10 days) and oral BG (dose-escalated from 10-200 mg/kg/day × 17 days in cohorts of 3-6 patients each). Forty-four patients completed 141 cycles. One patient developed DLT: transient self-limiting hepatic transaminase elevation 5 days after starting BG (120 mg/kg/day). Overall, 1, 3, 12 and 24 evaluable patients had complete response, partial response, stable and progressive disease, respectively, at the end of treatment. Positive human anti-mouse antibody response and dectin-1 rs3901533 polymorphism were associated with better overall survival. BG dose level and serum BG levels did not correlate with response. Progression-free and overall survival at 2 years were 28% and 61%, respectively. BG lacked major toxicity. Treatment with 3F8 plus BG was associated with anti-neuroblastoma responses in patients with resistant disease. Although the maximal tolerated dose for yeast BG was not reached, considering the large volume of oral BG, we recommended 40 mg/kg/day as the phase II dose.

Establishment and Validation of a Prognostic Immune Signature in Neuroblastoma

BACKGROUND

Neuroblastoma (NBL) is the most common extracranial solid tumor in childhood, and patients with high-risk neuroblastoma had a relatively poor prognosis despite multimodal treatment. To improve immunotherapy efficacy in neuroblastoma, systematic profiling of the immune landscape in neuroblastoma is an urgent need.

METHODS

RNA-seq and according clinical information of neuroblastoma were downloaded from the TARGET database and GEO database (GSE62564). With an immune-related-gene set obtained from the ImmPort database, Immune-related Prognostic Gene Pairs for Neuroblastoma (IPGPN) for overall survival (OS) were established with the TARGET-NBL cohort and then verified with the GEO-NBL cohort. Immune cell infiltration analysis was subsequently performed. The integrated model was established with IPGPN and clinicopathological parameters. Immune cell infiltration was analyzed with the XCELL algorithm. Functional enrichment analysis was performed with clusterProfiler package in R.

RESULTS

Immune-related Prognostic Gene Pairs for Neuroblastoma was successfully established with seven immune-related gene pairs (IGPs) involving 13 unique genes in the training cohort. In the training cohort, IPGPN successfully stratified neuroblastoma patients into a high and low immune-risk groups with different OS (HR=3.92, P = 2 × 10^-8) and event-free survival (HR=3.66, P=2 × 10^-8). ROC curve analysis confirmed its predictive power. Consistently, high IPGPN also predicted worse OS (HR=1.84, P = .002) and EFS in validation cohort (HR=1.38, P = .06) Moreover, higher activated dendritic cells, M1 macrophage, Th1 CD4⁺, and Th2 CD4⁺ T cell enrichment were evident in low immune-risk group. Further integrating IPGPN with age and stage demonstrated improved predictive performance than IPGPN alone.

CONCLUSION

Herein, we presented an immune landscape with IPGPN for prognosis prediction in neuroblastoma, which complements the present understanding of the immune signature in neuroblastoma.

Survival Impact of Anti-GD2 Antibody Response in a Phase II Ganglioside Vaccine Trial Among Patients With High-Risk Neuroblastoma With Prior Disease Progression

PURPOSE

Anti-GD2 monoclonal antibody (mAb) has proven efficacy in high-risk neuroblastoma (HR-NB). A small phase I GD2/GD3 vaccine trial (n = 15) described long-term survival and a favorable safety profile among patients with a history of disease progression (PD). The kinetics of mounting antibody response to vaccine and its prognostic impact on survival are now investigated in a phase II study (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00911560).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

One hundred two patients with HR-NB who achieved remission after salvage therapies were enrolled in this trial. They received seven subcutaneous injections of GD2/GD3 vaccine spanning 1 year plus oral β-glucan starting at week 6 after the third dose of vaccine. Serum anti-vaccine antibody titers were quantified by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were determined by quantitative polymerase chain reaction. Kaplan-Meier and landmark Cox Regression models were used for survival estimates.

RESULTS

Patients had a history of one (63%), two (21%), or three to six (16%) episodes of PD. 82% of them progressed following anti-GD2 mAb (m3F8/dinutuximab/naxitamab) therapy. Vaccine-related toxicities were self-limited injection-associated local reactions and fever without any > grade 3 toxicities. The progression-free survival (PFS) was 32% ± 6%, and the overall survival (OS) was 71% ± 7% at 5 years. Serum anti-GD2 (immunoglobulin G1 [IgG1] and IgM) and anti-GD3 (IgG1) titers showed notable increases following the initiation of β-glucan at week 6. There was an association between IgG1 titer and SNP rs3901533 of dectin-1, the β-glucan receptor. Multivariable analyses showed that anti-GD2-IgG1 titer ≥ 150 ng/mL by week 8 was associated with favorable PFS and OS, while having prior episodes of PD and the time from last PD to vaccine were associated with PFS.

CONCLUSION

GD2/GD3 vaccine plus β-glucan elicited robust antibody responses in patients with HR-NB with prior PD. Higher anti-GD2-IgG1 titer was associated with improved survival.

Gene Expression Signature of Acquired Chemoresistance in Neuroblastoma Cells

Drug resistance of childhood cancer neuroblastoma is a serious clinical problem. Patients with relapsed disease have a poor prognosis despite intense treatment. In the present study, we aimed to identify chemoresistance gene expression signatures in vincristine resistant neuroblastoma cells. We found that vincristine-resistant neuroblastoma cells formed larger clones and survived under reduced serum conditions as compared with non-resistant parental cells. To identify the possible mechanisms underlying vincristine resistance in neuroblastoma cells, we investigated the expression profiles of genes known to be involved in cancer drug resistance. This specific gene expression patterns could predict the behavior of a tumor in response to chemotherapy and for predicting the prognosis of high-risk neuroblastoma patients. Our signature could help chemoresistant neuroblastoma patients in avoiding useless and harmful chemotherapy cycles.

A new risk score for patients after first recurrence of stage 4 neuroblastoma aged ≥18 months at first diagnosis

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of patients with recurrences from stage 4 neuroblastoma is not uniformly dismal. The evaluation of new therapies therefore needs to consider the individual risks of the treated patients. This study aims to define clinically useful risk criteria.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Inclusion criteria were: first recurrence of neuroblastoma stage 4 aged ≥18 months and enrollment in first line trials between 1997 and 2016. Patients were randomized into a training set (N = 310) and an independent validation set (N = 159). The primary endpoint was secondary event-free survival. The individual treatment elements the patients received during initial and recurrent disease were analyzed as binary and time-dependent variables. A five-step multiple time-dependent Cox regression analysis was performed on the training set to identify prognostic variables adjusted for the individual frontline treatment. The selected variables resulted in a prognostic index (PI) and were used to build a risk score system. The score was validated with the validation set.

RESULTS

Of the 469 patients, 372 were treated with curative intent and 97 with palliative intent. The PI included the variables number of recurrence organs (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.27), time to recurrence (HR = 2.03), liver metastasis at diagnosis (HR = 1.77), first recurrence at site of the primary tumor (HR = 1.55), and age (HR = 1.29). Three risk groups were built and confirmed in the validation set. The scoring system was likewise useful for the curatively or palliatively treated subgroups.

CONCLUSION

A new risk score system for patients with first recurrence of stage 4 neuroblastoma aged ≥18 months at diagnosis is proposed.