Marital status, education, and income in relation to the risk of esophageal and gastric cancer by histological type and site

Development of a Survival Nomogram for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients: a Population-Based Analysis

PURPOSE

In this study, we developed a prognostic nomogram for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with ESCC from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (1975-2017) and a local hospital were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. Prognoses were analyzed using the R language software, and the predictive power of the model was then assessed by the Harrell concordance index (C-index) and the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

In total, 2915 ESCC patients from SEER database were divided into training and validation cohorts. Multivariate analysis revealed that sex, marital status, tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage, surgery, chemotherapy, and radiation all showed a significant association with overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) (also with tumor grade). These characteristics were employed to build a nomogram. The C-index of the nomogram for OS and CSS prediction was 0.743 and 0.748 for the training cohort, which were superior to the predictive power of the 7th TNM staging system. The AUCs of the nomogram for predicting 2- and 5-year OS were 0.805 and 0.812, respectively, and the AUCs for CSS were 0.811 and 0.821, respectively. ROC and calibration curves of data from the SEER internal validation set and of data from our hospital showed that this model had good accuracy for predicting the prognosis of ESCC patient.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram developed in this study provides a useful tool for accurately estimating OS and CSS for ESCC patients.

Independent associations of education, intelligence, and cognition with gastrointestinal diseases and the mediating effects of risk factors: a Mendelian randomization study

Background

Education, intelligence and cognition affect occupational performance and socioeconomic status and may influence virous diseases development. However, the impact of these factors on gastrointestinal diseases and their mediating risk factors remains unclear.

Methods

We utilized genome-wide association studies from European ancestry populations to perform two-sample Mendelian randomization analyses, aiming to estimate genetic instruments associated with education, intelligence, or cognition in relation to 24 gastrointestinal diseases Subsequently, we evaluated 14 potential mediators of this association and calculated the corresponding mediated proportions through two-step Mendelian randomization analyses.

Result

As the dominant factor in gastrointestinal diseases, education had a statistically significant association with 2 gastrointestinal diseases (acute pancreatitis, gastroesophageal reflux) and a suggestive association with 6 diseases (cirrhosis, alcoholic liver disease, cholecystitis, cholelithiasis, chronic gastritis and gastric ulcer). Of the 14 mediators, smoking and adiposity traits played a major role in mediating the effects.

Conclusion

The study demonstrated the causal, independent impact of education on specific gastrointestinal diseases. Smoking and adiposity traits emerged as primary mediators, illuminating potential avenues for targeted interventions for prevention of them.

Development of a gastric cancer risk calculator for questionnaire-based surveillance of Iranian dyspeptic patients

BACKGROUND

Gastric cancer (GC) is considered a silent killer, taking more than three quarters of a million lives annually. Therefore, prior to further costly and invasive diagnostic approaches, an initial GC risk screening is desperately in demand.

METHODS

In order to develop a simple risk scoring system, the demographic and lifestyle indices from 858 GC and 1132 non-ulcer dyspeptic (NUD) patients were analysed. We applied a multivariate logistic regression approach to identify the association between our target predictors and GC versus NUD. The model performance in classification was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Our questionnaire covering 64 predictors, included known risk factors, such as demographic features, dietary habits, self-reported medical status, narcotics use, and SES indicators.

RESULTS

Our model segregated GC from NUD patients with the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy rates of 85.89, 63.9, and 73.03%, respectively, which was confirmed in the development dataset (AUC equal to 86.37%, P < 0.0001). Predictors which contributed most to our GC risk calculator, based on risk scores (RS) and shared percentages (SP), included: 1) older age group [> 70 (RS:+ 241, SP:7.23), 60-70 (RS:+ 221, SP:6.60), 50-60 (RS:+ 134, SP:4.02), 2) history of gastrointestinal cancers (RS:+ 173, SP:5.19), 3) male gender (RS:+ 119, SP:3.55), 4) non-Fars ethnicity (RS:+ 89, SP:2.66), 5) illiteracy of both parents (RS:+ 78, SP:2.38), 6) rural residence (RS:+ 77, SP:2.3), and modifiable dietary behaviors (RS:+ 32 to + 53, SP:0.96 to 1.58).

CONCLUSION

Our developed risk calculator provides a primary screening step, prior to the subsequent costly and invasive measures. Furthermore, public awareness regarding modifiable risk predictors may encourage and promote lifestyle adjustments and healthy behaviours.

Incidence and risk of remnant gastric cancer after gastrectomy for gastric cancer: a population-based study from the SEER database

BACKGROUND

Gastric cancer (GC) constitutes a major global health problem, of which remnant gastric cancer (RGC) occurs less frequently. The rate of RGCs after gastrectomy for GC is increasing recently due to improved survival and screening, however, their incidence and risk have not been reported in the U.S.

POPULATION

The objective of this study was to evaluate the incidence and elevated risk of RGC after GC gastrectomy in this population, and to identify the risk factors.

METHODS

Patients underwent gastrectomy for first primary GC in 2000-2015 and those who developed RGC were identified from Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Fine-Gray regression was used to estimate the cumulative incidence and to identify risk factors. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were calculated by Poisson regression to compare the risk with the general population.

RESULTS

Among 21,566 patients included in the cohort, 227 developed RGC. The 20-year cumulative incidence of RGC was 1.88%. Multivariate analysis revealed that older age, invasion depth, male sex, marital status, and lower income are independent risk factors for RGC development. SIR was 7.70 overall and > 4.5 in each stratum.

CONCLUSIONS

Cumulative incidence and risk for RGCs increased continuously in patients underwent GC gastrectomy. Close and lifelong endoscopy surveillance should be recommended for patients who received GC gastrectomy, especially those with high-risk factors.

An optimized postsurgery follow-up strategy for patients with esophageal cancer: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

After radical surgery, patients with esophageal cancer should undergo long-term surveillance of disease relapse. However, the optimal follow-up strategy remains to be explored.

METHOD

A total of 4688 patients were recruited. Recursive partition analysis was applied to develop recurrence risk stratification for patients. The follow-up strategies of each stratification were developed based on monthly recurrence probability and validated by bootstrap validation and an external dataset. A Markov decision-analytic model was constructed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the follow-up strategies.

RESULTS

Patients were stratified into four groups according to four pathological features. The authors applied a random survival forest to calculate the monthly recurrence probability of each group. Based on the temporal distribution of recurrences, the authors further established surveillance strategies for four groups. The strategies were validated as optimal protocols by bootstrap resampling and another dataset. Markov cost-effective analysis indicated that our recommended strategies outperformed the mainstream protocols from guidelines. Using less than 12 visits across the first 5 years on average, our follow-up strategies were more efficient than the NCCN recommended strategies (14 visits average). Our results also supported the computerized tomography from the neck to the upper abdomen as a routine examination and PETCT of distant metastasis for some groups with high risks.

CONCLUSION

Our study provided data-driven evidence of personalized and economic follow-up strategies for esophageal cancer patients and shed light on follow-up optimization for other cancer types.

Individual and joint effect of socioeconomic status and lifestyle factors on cancer in Korea

BACKGROUND

There is limited evidence on the individual and joint effect of socioeconomic status (SES) and unhealthy lifestyle on cancer. Therefore, this study aimed to examine the effects of these factors on cancer incidence and mortality.

METHODS

In this population-based cohort study, income was used as the proxy of SES. A combined unhealthy lifestyle score was obtained using data on smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, and body mass index. Hazard ratios were estimated using a Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The study included data on 8,353,169 participants (median follow-up period, 17 years). Although the association between low income and cancer incidence varied depending on cancer type, low income consistently increased the risk of cancer-related death with a social gradient. Unhealthy behaviors increased the risk of cancer incidence and mortality, except for thyroid and breast cancer in women and prostate cancer in men. Compared with the wealthiest and healthiest individuals, the poorest and unhealthiest men and women showed 2.1-fold (2.05-2.14) and 1.36-fold (1.31-1.41) higher risk of cancer-related death, respectively. The joint effect was most robust for lung, liver, head, and neck cancers in men and liver and cervical cancers in women; further, the effect was stronger with cancer-specific mortality than with incidence.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, income and combined healthy lifestyle behaviors have individual and joint effects on cancer incidence and mortality. The effect varies by cancer type and sex.

Early stage gastric adenocarcinoma: clinical and molecular landscapes

Gastric adenocarcinoma, even when diagnosed at an early (localized) disease stage, poses a major health-care burden with cure rates that remain unsatisfactorily low, particularly in Western countries. This lack of progress reflects, among other aspects, the impracticality of early diagnosis, considerable variations in therapeutic approaches that is partly based on regional preferences, and the ingrained heterogeneity of gastric adenocarcinoma cells and their associated tumour microenvironment (TME). Clinical trials have long applied empirical interventions with the assumption that all early stage gastric adenocarcinomas are alike. Despite certain successes, the shortcomings of these approaches can potentially be overcome by targeting the specific molecular subsets of gastric adenocarcinomas identified by genomic and/or multi-omics analyses, including microsatellite instability-high, Epstein-Barr virus-induced, DNA damage repair-deficient, HER2-positive and PD-L1-high subtypes. Future approaches, including the availability of sophisticated vaccines, novel antibody technologies, agents targeting TME components (including fibroblasts, macrophages, cytokines or chemokines, and T cells) and novel immune checkpoint inhibitors, supported by improved tissue-based and blood-based diagnostic assays, seem promising. In this Review, we highlight current knowledge of the molecular and cellular biology of gastric adenocarcinomas, summarize the current approaches to clinical management of the disease, and consider the role of novel management and/or treatment strategies.

Population-based investigation of common and deviating patterns of gastric cancer and oesophageal cancer incidence across populations and time

BACKGROUND

The subtypes of gastric cancer (GC) and oesophageal cancer (EC) manifest distinct epidemiological profiles. Here, we aim to examine correlations in their incidence rates and to compare their temporal changes globally, both overall and by subtype.

METHODS

Long-term incidence data were obtained from population-based registries available from the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents series. Variation in the occurrence of EC and GC (overall and by subtype) was assessed using the GC:EC ratio of sex-specific age-standardised rates (ASR) in 2008-2012. Average annual per cent changes were estimated to assess temporal trends during 1998-2012.

RESULTS

ASRs for GC and EC varied remarkably across and within world regions. In the countries evaluated, the GC:EC ratio in men exceeded 10 in several South American countries, Algeria and Republic of Korea, while EC dominated in most sub-Saharan African countries. High rates of both cardia gastric cancer and oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) were observed in several Asian populations. Non-cardia gastric cancer rates correlated positively with ESCC rates (r=0.60) and negatively with EAC (r=-0.79). For the time trends, while GC incidence has been uniformly decreasing by on average 2%-3% annually over 1998-2012 in most countries, trends for EC depend strongly on histology, with several but not all countries experiencing increases in EAC and decreases in ESCC.

CONCLUSIONS

Correlations between GC and EC incidence rates across populations are positive or inverse depending on the GC subsite and EC subtype. Multisite studies that include a combination of populations whose incidence rates follow and deviate from these patterns may be aetiologically informative.

Association of educational attainment with esophageal cancer, Barrett's esophagus, and gastroesophageal reflux disease, and the mediating role of modifiable risk factors: A Mendelian randomization study

Background

Observational studies have reported that educational attainment has been related to the risk of esophageal cancer (EC) and its precancerous lesions. However, the causal relationship remains controversial. We aimed to apply the Mendelian randomization (MR) design to determine the causal associations between genetically predicted educational attainment and EC, Barrett's esophagus (BE), and gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD), and to explore whether modifiable risk factors play a mediating role.

Methods

Using summary statistics from genome-wide association studies (GWASs) based on European ancestry individuals of several years in education (EduYears, primary analysis, n = 293,723), college completion (College, secondary analysis, n = 95,427), EC (n = 420,531), BE (n = 361,194), and GERD (n = 420,531), genetic associations between two education phenotypes and EC, BE, and GERD were tested by two-sample MR analyses. Then, two-step MR mediation analyses were used to assess the proportion of the aforementioned association that might be mediated by body mass index (BMI), major depressive disorder (MDD), smoking, drinking, carbohydrates, fat, and protein intake.

Results

Genetically predicted EduYears was negatively associated with the risk of EC, BE, and GERD {odds ratio (OR), 0.64 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.44–0.94], 0.86 (95% CI, 0.75–0.99), and 0.62 (95%CI, 0.58–0.67)}. EduYears was negatively associated with BMI, MDD, and smoking (range of OR: 0.76–0.84). There were positive associations between BMI, smoking with EC, BE, and GERD, as well as between MDD with GERD (range of OR: 1.08–1.50). For individual mediating effect, BMI and smoking mediated 15.75 and 14.15% of the EduYears-EC association and 15.46 and 16.85% of the EduYears-BE association. BMI, MDD, and smoking mediated 5.23, 4.98, and 4.49% of the EduYears-GERD association. For combined mediation, the aforementioned mediators explained 26.62, 28.38, and 11.48% of the effect of EduYears on EC, BE, and GERD. The mediating effects of drinking and dietary composition were not significant in the effect of education on EC, BE, and GERD.

Conclusion

Our study supports that genetically predicted higher educational attainment has a protective effect on EC, BE, and GERD, and is partly mediated by reducing adiposity, smoking, and depression.

Risk factors in the development of gastric adenocarcinoma in the general population: A cross-sectional study of the Wuwei Cohort

Several risk factors have been identified for the development of gastric adenocarcinoma (GAC), where the control group was usually a healthy population. However, it is unclear at what stage known risk factor exert their influence toward the progression to cancer. Based on the Wuwei Cohort, we enrolled 1,739 patients with chronic non-atrophic gastritis (no-CAG), 3,409 patients with chronic atrophic gastritis (CAG), 1,757 patients with intestinal metaplasia (IM), 2,239 patients with low-grade dysplasia (LGD), and 182 patients with high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or GAC to assess the risk factors between each two consecutive stages from no-CAG to GAC/HGD using adjusted logistic regression. We found that different groups of risk factors were associated with different stages. Age, occupation of farmer, low annual family income, Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection, drinking, eating hot food, histories of gastritis and peptic ulcer were associated with the development of CAG. Age, illiteracy, H. pylori infection, smoking, eating hot food, eating quickly, and histories of gastritis and gallbladder diseases were associated with the progression to IM from CAG. Male, occupation of farmer and history of peptic ulcer were associated with the development of LGD from IM. Age, male and polyp history appeared to be risk factors associated with the development of GAC/HGD from LGD. In conclusion, it seems that most risk factors function more as a set of switches that initiated the GAC carcinogenesis. H. Pylori eradication and control of other risk factors should be conducted before IM to decrease the incidence of GAC.

Epidemiological Review: Esophagus Squamous Cell Carcinoma in India

Worldwide the incidence of esophagus squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), remains one of the most common causes of cancer death. ESCC is one of the leading types of cancer in the North and Northeast regions of India among both genders. Risk factors of ESCC include tobacco, alcohol, areca nut, hot beverages, low fruit diet, poor oral hygiene, unpiped water, and human papillomavirus infection. This review tries to elaborate on various modifiable risk factors for ESCC, which have been studied worldwide and need to be studied in India. PubMed was used as a search platform using keywords, such as “esophagus cancer,” “esophagus squamous cell carcinoma,” “epidemiology,” “India,” “incidence,” “mortality,” “risk factors,” “treatment,” “survival,” “prevention” and their corresponding Medical Subject Heading terms, were used in combination with Boolean operators “OR” and “AND.” Studies from India are mostly hospital-based case-control studies from the North region. Further research is required in India to understand the etiology, to design large-scale screening and prevention strategies.

The Effects of Risk Factors on One- and Five-Year Survival of Patients with Gastric Cancer in Isfahan in 2016

Background: Gastric cancer (GC) is a frequent and multifactorial malignancy worldwide. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between some risk factors of GC and the 1-year or 5-year survival rates in newly diagnosed patients in Isfahan in 2016. Methods: We included 274 newly diagnosed patients in this survival analysis from a database of 484 GC cases. We used a checklist to collect information. To inform about missed data, we call the patients or their families in non-survived cases. We evaluated each patient's age, sex, body mass index (BMI), education, salt, salty foods, and red meat consumption. In addition, we asked patients about the intake of fresh fruits and vegetables, tobacco smoking, opium usage, and alcohol consumption. We surveyed the patient's job, physical activity, Helicobacter pylori infection, family history of GC, history of gastric surgery, and survival status after 1 or 5 years. Variables were evaluated between survived and dead patients and compared for means and frequencies using the independent samples t-test or Mann-Whitney, or chi-square test. The univariate relationship of each risk factor, with 1- and 5-year survival, was examined by the log-rank test and the Kaplan-Meyer method and their multivariate relationship with Cox regression. Results: 1- and 5-year survived patients were younger than dead patients with GC (P<0.001; HR for 1-year survival: 1.014, 95% CI: 0.997 to 1.030; HR for 5-year survival: 1.005, 95% CI: 0.994 to 1.017), and had more frequent higher educational levels (P<0.05; HR for 1-year survival: 1.887, 95% CI: 1.046 to 3.406; HR for 5-year survival: 1.482, 95% CI: 0.987 to 2.223). The death rate after 5 years was higher in men than in women (P=0.009; HR: 1.009, 95% CI: 0.593 to 1.717) and depended on the job status of the patients (P=0.021). The other studied variables were not significantly different between 1- or 5-year survived and dead patients. Conclusion: GC development depends on genomic changes, environmental factors, and lifestyle status. But all risk factors that play a role in its development are not notable for a patient's survival. We suggest that risk factors for these patients' survival become elucidated in future studies. It helps to gather the necessary pieces of evidence for the enhancement of survival in patients with GC.

Virulence Genes of Helicobacter pylori Increase the Risk of Premalignant Gastric Lesions in a Colombian Population

BACKGROUND

Genetic variability of Helicobacter pylori is associated with various gastrointestinal diseases; however, little is known about interaction with sociodemographic in the development of premalignant lesions in Colombian patients.

METHODS

An analytical study was conducted including cases (patients with gastric atrophy, intestinal metaplasia, and gastric dysplasia) and controls (patients with nonatrophic gastritis). Sociodemographic information was obtained using a questionnaire. Histopathological diagnosis was performed according to the Sydney System. The cagA and vacA genotypes were established using polymerase chain reaction in paraffin blocks. The effect of each variable on the study outcome (premalignant lesion) is presented as odds ratio (OR) and 95% CI. A p value of <0.05 was considered as statistically significant.

RESULTS

The vacA/s1m1 genotype increases the risk of developing premalignant lesions of the stomach (OR: 3.05, 95% IC: 1.57-5.91, p=0.001). Age and educational level showed a positive interaction with the s1m1 genotype (adjusted OR: 3.68, 95% CI: 1.73-7.82, p=0.001). The cagA genotype was not correlated to the development of premalignant lesions of the stomach (OR: 1.32, 95% CI: 0.90-1.94, p=0.151).

CONCLUSIONS

The vacA genotype, age, and educational level are indicators of the risk of developing premalignant lesions of the stomach in the study population. Significance Statement. Genetic variability of H. pylori and sociodemographic information could be used to predict the risk of premalignant lesions in stomach in Colombian population.

The mediating role of combined lifestyle factors on the relationship between education and gastric cancer in the Stomach cancer Pooling (StoP) Project

BACKGROUND

The causal pathway between high education and reduced risk of gastric cancer (GC) has not been explained. The study aimed at evaluating the mediating role of lifestyle factors on the relationship between education and GC METHODS: Ten studies with complete data on education and five lifestyle factors (smoking, alcohol drinking, fruit and vegetable intake, processed meat intake and salt consumption) were selected from a consortium of studies on GC including 4349 GC cases and 8441 controls. We created an a priori score based on the five lifestyle factors, and we carried out a counterfactual-based mediation analysis to decompose the total effect of education on GC into natural direct effect and natural indirect effect mediated by the combined lifestyle factors. Effects were expressed as odds ratios (ORs) with a low level of education as the reference category.

RESULTS

The natural direct and indirect effects of high versus low education were 0.69 (95% CI: 0.62-0.77) and 0.96 (95% CI: 0.95-0.97), respectively, corresponding to a mediated percentage of 10.1% (95% CI: 7.1-15.4%). The mediation effect was limited to men.

CONCLUSIONS

The mediation effect of the combined lifestyle factors on the relationship between education and GC is modest. Other potential pathways explaining that relationship warrants further investigation.

Associations of Education Level With Survival Outcomes and Treatment Receipt in Patients With Gastric Adenocarcinoma

Background

It remains largely unclear how education level, an important socioeconomic factor, affects prognoses for patients with gastric adenocarcinoma (GAC). We aimed to demonstrate the associations between education level and clinical outcomes in patients with GAC.

Methods

We included a total of 30,409 patients diagnosed with GAC from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 18 registry database. Education level, household income, unemployment rate, poverty rate, insurance status, and marital status were selected as sociodemographic variables for the comprehensive analysis. Cox and logistic regression models, Kaplan–Meier curves, and subgroup analyses were the primary statistical methods employed.

Results

A low level of education was correlated with less income, higher unemployment rates, and higher poverty rates (all p < 0.001). The multivariate Cox analysis indicated that a high education level was significantly associated with superior overall survival rates and cancer-specific survival rates in patients with GAC (both p < 0.001). We also corroborated favorable survival outcomes by high education level within almost every clinical and demographic subgroup. Furthermore, chemotherapy combined with surgery could markedly prolong the survival for all patients, including patients of stage IV cancer (both p < 0.001). By using multivariable logistic models, patients in counties with high education levels had a higher probability of chemotherapy receipt (p < 0.001). Contrarily, those in the counties with low levels of education were less likely to receive chemotherapy or undergo surgery (p < 0.001).

Conclusions

Education level was identified and confirmed as an independent predictor of treatment and survival for GAC patients. Efforts are needed to provide effective interventions for those whose educational status is adverse.

Evaluation of CSTB and DMBT1 expression in saliva of gastric cancer patients and controls

Background

Gastric cancer (GC) is the fifth most common cancer and the third cause of cancer deaths globally, with late diagnosis, low survival rate, and poor prognosis. This case-control study aimed to evaluate the expression of cystatin B (CSTB) and deleted in malignant brain tumor 1 (DMBT1) in the saliva of GC patients with healthy individuals to construct diagnostic algorithms using statistical analysis and machine learning methods.

Methods

Demographic data, clinical characteristics, and food intake habits of the case and control group were gathered through a standard checklist. Unstimulated whole saliva samples were taken from 31 healthy individuals and 31 GC patients. Through ELISA test and statistical analysis, the expression of salivary CSTB and DMBT1 proteins was evaluated. To construct diagnostic algorithms, we used the machine learning method.

Results

The mean salivary expression of CSTB in GC patients was significantly lower (115.55 ± 7.06, p = 0.001), and the mean salivary expression of DMBT1 in GC patients was significantly higher (171.88 ± 39.67, p = 0.002) than the control.

Multiple linear regression analysis demonstrated that GC was significantly correlated with high levels of DMBT1 after controlling the effects of age of participants (R² = 0.20, p < 0.001).

Considering salivary CSTB greater than 119.06 ng/mL as an optimal cut-off value, the sensitivity and specificity of CSTB in the diagnosis of GC were 83.87 and 70.97%, respectively. The area under the ROC curve was calculated as 0.728. The optimal cut-off value of DMBT1 for differentiating GC patients from controls was greater than 146.33 ng/mL (sensitivity = 80.65% and specificity = 64.52%). The area under the ROC curve was up to 0.741.

As a result of the machine learning method, the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve for the diagnostic ability of CSTB, DMBT1, demographic data, clinical characteristics, and food intake habits was 0.95. The machine learning model’s sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 100, 70.8, and 80.5%, respectively.

Conclusion

Salivary levels of DMBT1 and CSTB may be accurate in diagnosing GCs. Machine learning analyses using salivary biomarkers, demographic, clinical, and nutrition habits data simultaneously could provide affordability models with acceptable accuracy for differentiation of GC by a cost-effective and non-invasive method.

Socioeconomic Disparities in Gastric Cancer and Identification of a Single SES Variable for Predicting Risk

INTRODUCTION

Socioeconomic status (SES) is a known risk factor for gastric cancer (GC). This study seeks to examine education, income, and occupation variables separately to identify the single variable that can be best used to assess SES risk for GC.

METHODS

Data from a case-control survey study were used. Logistic regression models were created for education, income, and occupation adjusted for age, sex, and race. Models were compared using AIC, c-statistics, and pseudo-R square to determine the model that had the highest risk predictive ability.

RESULTS

GC cases had lower education levels and more commonly held jobs in unskilled labor. Annual household income was lower in cases compared to controls. Age, gender, race, education, and occupation were associated with increased risk of GC. The education model adjusted for age, gender, and race found < high school (HS) education to have an OR of 3.18 (95% CI 1.09-9.25) for GC compared to > HS education. The occupation model demonstrated that employment in unskilled labor had OR of 4.32 (95% CI 1.05-17.76) for GC compared to professional occupation. Model fit was best for the education model (AIC: 113.583, lower AIC is better) compared to income (117.562) or occupation (117.032). Education contributed the most to model variability (% delta pseudo-R square (4.7%)) compared to occupation (4.0%) or income (3.8%).

CONCLUSION

Education level was the single most reliable measure of GC risk among 3 SES variables and can be employed as an ideal single indicator of SES-related GC risk when multiple SES factors cannot be obtained.

Gastric epithelial histology and precancerous conditions

The most common histological type of gastric cancer (GC) is gastric adenocarcinoma arising from the gastric epithelium. Less common variants include mesenchymal, lymphoproliferative and neuroendocrine neoplasms. The Lauren scheme classifies GC into intestinal type, diffuse type and mixed type. The WHO classification includes papillary, tubular, mucinous, poorly cohesive and mixed GC. Chronic atrophic gastritis (CAG) and intestinal metaplasia are recommended as common precancerous conditions. No definite precancerous condition of diffuse/poorly/undifferentiated type is recommended. Chronic superficial inflammation and hyperplasia of foveolar cells may be the focus. Presently, the management of early GC and precancerous conditions mainly relies on endoscopy including diagnosis, treatment and surveillance. Management of precancerous conditions promotes the early detection and treatment of early GC, and even prevent the occurrence of GC. In the review, precancerous conditions including CAG, metaplasia, foveolar hyperplasia and gastric hyperplastic polyps derived from the gastric epithelium have been concluded, based on the overview of gastric epithelial histological organization and its renewal.

Endoscopic Versus Surgical Therapy for Early Esophagogastric Junction Adenocarcinoma Based on Lymph Node Metastasis Risk: A Population-Based Analysis

Background

In this study, we aimed to compare the prognosis and lymph node metastasis (LNM) risk in patients with early-stage esophagogastric junction (EGJ) adenocarcinoma after endoscopic treatment (ET) or radical surgery.

Methods

We collected data from eligible patients based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2004 and 2016. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine independent predictors of LNM (examination of at least 16 lymph nodes). Cox regression analysis and propensity score-matched (PSM) analysis were subsequently utilized to compare the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of patients treated with ET or radical surgery.

Results

In total, 3708 patients were identified. Among them, 856 patients had greater than or equal to 16 examined lymph nodes (LNs) (LNE≥16). The LNM rates were 18.8% in all patients 8.3% in T1a patients and 24.6% in T1b patients. Independent predictors of LNM were submucosal invasion, tumor size ≥3cm and decreasing differentiation (P<0.05). The LNM rate decreased to approximately 5.3% in T1b tumors with well differentiation and tumor size <3cm. However, the LNM incidence increased to 17.9% or 33.3% in T1a tumors with poor differentiation or with both tumor size≥3cm and poor differentiation. Cox regression analysis demonstrated CSS was not significantly different in early-stage EGJ adenocarcinoma patients undergoing ET and those treated with radical surgery (HR= 1.004, P=0.974), which were robustly validated after PSM analysis. Moreover, subgroup analysis stratified by T1a and T1b showed similar results.

Conclusions

The findings of this study indicated ET as an alternative to radical surgery in early EGJ adenocarcinoma.

Using machine-learning algorithms to identify patients at high risk of upper gastrointestinal lesions for endoscopy

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Endoscopic screening for early detection of upper gastrointestinal (UGI) lesions is important. However, population-based endoscopic screening is difficult to implement in populous countries. By identifying high-risk individuals from the general population, the screening targets can be narrowed to individuals who are in most need of an endoscopy. This study was designed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI)-based model to predict patient risk of UGI lesions to identify high-risk individuals for endoscopy.

METHODS

A total of 620 patients (from 5300 participants) were equally allocated into 10 parts for 10-fold cross validation experiments. The machine-learning predictive models for UGI lesion risk were constructed using random forest, logistic regression, decision tree, and support vector machine (SVM) algorithms. A total of 48 variables covering lifestyles, social-economic status, clinical symptoms, serological results, and pathological data were used in the model construction.

RESULTS

The accuracies of the four models were between 79.3% and 93.4% in the training set and between 77.2% and 91.2% in the testing dataset (logistics regression: 77.2%; decision tree: 87.3%; random forest: 88.2%; SVM: 91.2%;). The AUCs of four models showed impressive predictive ability. Comparing the four models with the different algorithms, the SVM model featured the best sensitivity and specificity in all datasets tested.

CONCLUSIONS

Machine-learning algorithms can accurately and reliably predict the risk of UGI lesions based on readily available parameters. The predictive models have the potential to be used clinically for identifying patients with high risk of UGI lesions and stratifying patients for necessary endoscopic screening.

Predictive Model for Overall Survival and Cancer-Specific Survival in Patients with Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

Objective

Recent years, there has been a rapid increase in the incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), while the prognosis for patients diagnosed remains poor and has slightly improved.

Methods

We extracted 6,466 cases with detailed demographical characteristics including age at diagnosis, sex, ethnicity, marital status, and clinical features, involving tumor grade and stage at diagnosis and treatment modalities (radiation therapy, chemotherapy, and surgery) from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) (1975–2017) dataset. They were further randomly divided into the training and validating cohorts. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were conducted to determine significant variables for construction of nomogram. The predictive power of the model was then assessed by Harrell concordance index (C-index) and the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

Results

Multivariate analysis revealed that age, marital status, insurance, tumor grade, TNM stage, surgery, and chemotherapy all showed a significant association with overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). These characteristics were employed to build a nomogram. Particularly, the discrimination of nomogram for OS and CSS prediction in the training set were excellent (C-index = 0.762, 95% CI: 0.754–0.770 and C-index = 0.774, 95% CI: 0.766–0.782). The AUC of the nomogram for predicting 2- and 5-year OS was 0.834 and 0.853 and CSS was 0.844 and 0.866. Similar results were observed in the internal validation set.

Conclusion

We have successfully established a novel nomogram for predicting OS and CSS in EAC patients with good accuracy, which can help clinicians predict the survival of individual patient survival and provide optimal treatment strategies.

Geographic and Socioeconomic Disparity of Gastric Cancer Patients in Canada

Gastric cancer is the 5th most common malignancy worldwide, representing ~5–10% of all new cancer cases. Although its incidence is declining, it is estimated that 1 in 98 Canadians will develop gastric cancer in their lifetime. The epidemiology and distribution of gastric cancer throughout Canada, however, remains poorly understood. A retrospective analysis of demographic data across Canada between 1992 and 2010 was performed using 2 population-based cancer registries. The incidence of gastric cancer was examined at the levels of provinces, cities, and postal codes. In addition, 43,955 patients were diagnosed with gastric cancer in Canada between 1992 and 2010; 66% were male and the average age of diagnosis was 68.4 years. The age-adjusted incidence rate was 5.07 cases per 100,000 individuals per year. The incidence decreased over the study period by 30%. High incidence rates were identified in rural areas of Newfoundland and Labrador, New Brunswick, and Quebec. Our study found a significant association between gastric cancer incidence rates and lower socioeconomic status, as well as Hispanic ethnicity. This is the first study to provide a comprehensive analysis of the incidence of gastric carcinoma in Canada, identifying high-risk populations that may benefit from increased primary and secondary prevention.

Prognosis after surgery for gastric adenocarcinoma in the Swedish Gastric Cancer Surgery Study (SWEGASS)

BACKGROUND

Most studies examining prognostic factors after gastrectomy come from selected patients and non-Western populations. This nationwide population-based cohort study aims to identify prognostic factors after surgery for gastric adenocarcinoma in an unselected Western cohort.

METHODS

This study included 98% of patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma in Sweden in 2006-2015, with follow-up through 2019. Data were collected from medical records and national registries. Exposures were sex, age, education, comorbidity, tumor sub-localization, tumor stage, calendar period, and pre-operative chemotherapy. Outcomes were 3-year all-cause and disease-specific mortality. Cox regression produced hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs), adjusted for the other study exposures.

RESULTS

Among all 2154 patients, 3-year all-cause mortality was 53.3%. Factors influencing 3-year all-cause mortality after multivariable adjustment were tumor stage (stage IV vs. stage 0-I: HR 8.72, 95% CI 6.77-11.24), comorbidity (Charlson comorbidity score ≥2 vs. 0: HR 1.63, 95% CI 1.39-1.90), age (>75 vs. <65 years: HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.24-1.78), and calendar period (2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015: HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.73-0.95). No independent prognostic influence was found for sex (women vs. men: HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.85-1.09), pre-operative chemotherapy (yes vs. no: HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.78-1.08), tumor sub-localization (non-cardia vs. cardia: HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.83-1.22), or education (≥13 vs. ≤9 years: HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.74-1.07). The results were similar for 3-year disease-specific mortality.

CONCLUSION

Survival after gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma needs further improvement. Tumor stage, comorbidity, age, and calendar period were independently prognostic, while sex, pre-operative chemotherapy, tumor sub-localization, and education were not.

Effects of marital status on overall and cancer-specific survival in laryngeal cancer patients: a population-based study

Marital status has long been recognized as an important prognostic factor for many cancers, however its' prognostic effect for patients with laryngeal cancer has not been fully examined. We retrospectively analyzed 8834 laryngeal cancer patients in the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results database from 2004 to 2010. Patients were divided into four groups: married, widowed, single, and divorced/separated. The difference in overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of the various marital subgroups were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier curve. Multivariate Cox regression analysis screened for independent prognostic factors. Propensity score matching (PSM) was also conducted to minimize selection bias. We included 8834 eligible patients (4817 married, 894 widowed, 1732 single and 1391 divorced/separated) with laryngeal cancer. The 5-year OS and CSS of married, widowed, single, and separated/divorced patients were examined. Univariate and multivariate analyses found marital status to be an independent predictor of survival. Subgroup survival analysis showed that the OS and CSS rates in widowed patients were always the lowest in the various American Joint Committee on Cancer stages, irrespective of sex. Widowed patients demonstrated worse OS and CSS in the 1:1 matched group analysis. Among patients with laryngeal cancer, widowed patients represented the highest-risk group, with the lowest OS and CSS.

Non-coding RNAs underlying chemoresistance in gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

Gastric cancer (GC) is a major health issue in the Western world. Current clinical imperatives for this disease include the identification of more effective biomarkers to detect GC at early stages and enhance the prevention and treatment of metastatic and chemoresistant GC. The advent of non-coding RNAs (ncRNAs), particularly microRNAs (miRNAs) and long-non coding RNAs (lncRNAs), has led to a better understanding of the mechanisms by which GC cells acquire features of therapy resistance. ncRNAs play critical roles in normal physiology, but their dysregulation has been detected in a variety of cancers, including GC. A subset of ncRNAs is GC-specific, implying their potential application as biomarkers and/or therapeutic targets. Hence, evaluating the specific functions of ncRNAs will help to expand novel treatment options for GC.

CONCLUSIONS

In this review, we summarize some of the well-known ncRNAs that play a role in the development and progression of GC. We also review the application of such ncRNAs in clinical diagnostics and trials as potential biomarkers. Obviously, a deeper understanding of the biology and function of ncRNAs underlying chemoresistance can broaden horizons toward the development of personalized therapy against GC.

Understanding Esophageal Cancer: The Challenges and Opportunities for the Next Decade

Esophageal cancer (EC) is the seventh most common cancer worldwide with over 570,000 new cases annually. In China, the incidence of EC is particularly high where approximately 90% of cases are defined as esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Although various risk factors have been identified, the knowledge of genetic drivers for ESCC is still limited due to high mutational loading of the cancer and lack of appropriate EC models, resulting in inadequate treatment choices for EC patients. Currently, surgery, chemotherapy, radiation, and limited targeted therapy options can only bring dismal survival advantages; thus, the prognosis for ESCC is very poor. However, cancer immunotherapy has unleashed a new era of cancer treatment with extraordinary therapeutic benefits for cancer patients, including EC patients. This review discusses the latest understanding of the risk factors and clinical rational for EC treatment and provides accumulated information, which describes the ongoing development of immunotherapy for EC with a specific emphasis on ESCC, the most prevalent EC subtype in the Chinese population.

The impact of insurance status on the survival outcomes of patients with renal cell carcinoma

Background

The impact of insurance status on renal cell carcinoma (RCC) patient survival is unclear. In this study, we investigated the effects of insurance status on the survival outcomes of RCC patients in the United States of America.

Methods

Data of patients diagnosed with RCC between 2007 and 2014 were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database, a large national database including statistics on cancer patients. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis were used to determine the influence of insurance status on cancer-specific survival (CSS).

Results

A total of 30,951 eligible RCC patients were identified. Of these patients, 25,493 (82.37%) were insured, 3,959 (12.79%) had any Medicaid coverage, and 1,499 (4.84%) were uninsured. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that insurance status was associated with better CCS (P<0.001). The 5-year CSS rates of patients with insurance, any Medicaid, and no insurance were 88.3%, 82.6%, and 82.7%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that patients with any Medicaid had poorer CSS than insured patients [hazard ratio (HR), 1.222; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.100–1.357]. Stratified analysis revealed that at localized tumor stage and at regional tumor stage or among white patients, any Medicaid insurance was an independent predictor of an unfavorable survival outcome.

Conclusions

Among the RCC patients in this study, individuals with insurance experienced improved CSS while individuals with any Medicaid tended to suffer worse survival outcomes.

Prognostic evaluation of esophageal cancer patients with stages I-III

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of clinicopathological factors and treatments on the overall survival (OS) and esophageal cancer-specific survival (ECSS) of stages I-III esophageal cancer (EC) patients and to establish a prognostic visual nomogram.

METHODS

We collected clinical data of patients diagnosed with stages I-III EC without receiving chemotherapy from 2004 to 2014 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Prognoses were analyzed using the R language software, and nomograms were obtained according to the visual processing logistic regression model, which was verified using the Harrell C-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and calibration curve.

RESULTS

A total of 4,305 patients were selected, mostly white males. Most patients were over 60 years old and old age predicted poor prognosis. EC, primarily adenocarcinoma, occurred mostly in the lower third of the esophagus. About half of the patients had T1 (58.00%) and grade II (50.41%) cancer. Of all the patients, 2,448 was treated with surgery and the majority (n = 1,476; 64.85%) of these patients had stage I EC. Stages I-III patients underwent surgery had significantly better OS and ECSS, and endoscopic therapy was associated with the best outcome amongst all the surgical methods. 3.67% of the patients received radiotherapy, predominantly postoperative radiotherapy (2.69%). Older age, squamous cell carcinoma, overlapping lesion of the esophagus, and grades II and III were high-risk factors for poor OS and ECSS for stage I patients, whereas endoscopic therapy, esophagectomy, and esophagectomy with gastrectomy were low-risk factors. Stage II patients with older age, male sex, T3, N1, and grades II and III had shorter OS and ECSS, but patients with any surgical treatment had significantly longer OS and ECSS. T4, N1, and grade III correlated negatively with OS and ECSS in stage III patients, and any surgical treatment correlated positively with longer OS and ECSS. The OS and ECSS rates of stages I-III EC patients with a total score of more than 150 points in the nomogram were both only 40% after 3 years and 30% after 5 years. The C-index, ROC curve, and calibration curve indicated that the nomograms established in this study were suitable to assess patient prognosis.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram established in this study is an effective clinical tool to predict the prognosis of stages I-III EC patients without chemotherapy.

Socioeconomic inequalities in cancer incidence in Europe: a comprehensive review of population-based epidemiological studies

Background

Since the end of the previous century, there has not been a comprehensive review of European studies on socioeconomic inequality in cancer incidence. In view of recent advances in data source linkage and analytical methods, we aimed to update the knowledge base on associations between location-specific cancer incidence and individual or area-level measures of socio-economic status (SES) among European adults.

Materials and methods

We systematically searched three databases (PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science) for articles on cancer incidence and SES. Qualitative synthesis was performed on the 91 included English language studies, published between 2000 and 2019 in Europe, which focused on adults, relied on cancer registry data and reported on relative risk (RR) estimates.

Results

Adults with low SES have increased risk of head and neck, oesophagogastric, liver and gallbladder, pancreatic, lung, kidney, bladder, penile and cervical cancers (highest RRs for lung, head and neck, stomach and cervix). Conversely, high SES is linked with increased risk of thyroid, breast, prostate and skin cancers. Central nervous system and haematological cancers are not associated with SES. The positive gap in testicular cancer has narrowed, while colorectal cancer shows a varying pattern in different countries. Negative associations are generally stronger for men compared to women.

Conclusions

In Europe, cancers in almost all common locations are associated with SES and the inequalities can be explained to a varying degree by known life-style related factors, most notably smoking. Independent effects of many individual and area SES measures which capture different aspects of SES can also be observed.

Preventable lifestyle and eating habits associated with gastric adenocarcinoma: A case-control study

Background: Besides the well-established risk factors for gastric adenocarcinoma (GaC), many other etiological factors remain largely unexplored. This large comprehensive case-control study aimed to investigate the preventable lifestyle and eating habits associated with GaC.

Methods: Consecutive patients with primary microscopically-confirmed GaC diagnosed in 2016-2018 were matched by sex, age, height, and socioeconomic status at a 1:1 ratio with healthy controls. Association of GaC versus control with investigated factors was assessed using the multivariable-adjusted conditional logistic regression for paired samples.

Results: Together 302 GaC patients and 302 healthy controls were investigated. Participants receiving higher education and those eating majorly vegetables had less frequently GaC. The majorly frying cooking habit was associated with a higher incidence of GaC. People complaining about poor sleep quality had more often GaC. The more often one smoked, the more often he/she had GaC. A higher frequency for having pickled food was associated with more frequent GaC, while having more frequently vegetables/fruit, beans, or kelps was associated with less often GaC. A greater preference for sour or bitter taste was associated with less frequent GaC. The frequencies of thin liquid intake after meal, swallowing hot food without adequate cooling, doing other things while eating, eating overnight food, and eating midnight snack were all positively associated with GaC, while going to bed regularly was associated with less often GaC.

Conclusions: Education level, sleep quality, smoking, the frequencies of use of several foods and seasonings, the preference for specific tastes, and various eating and living habits were associated with GaC. The findings offer important hints for further prospective investigations and for easy effective GaC-preventative strategy-making.

Time-Varying Effects of Marital Status on Gastric Cancer: A Population-Based Study

Background

Although prior studies have shown that marital status affects the prognosis of patients with gastric cancer, its time-varying effects are not well understood. We aimed to investigate the changes in marital status’ impact over a 10-year follow-up time among patients with gastric cancer (GC) in the United States.

Materials and Methods

All patients with gastric cancer diagnosed between 2004 and 2008 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were retrieved. Married patients and unmarried patients (single, separated, divorced or widowed) with complete survival time were selected for comparisons. A total of 14,545 patients who had clinical data and follow-up information available were enrolled. We used Kaplan–Meier analyses and time-dependent flexible parametric models to estimate time-varying hazard ratios (HRs).

Results

Unmarried GC patients had worse overall and cancer-specific survival compared with married patients (log-rank test: P < 0.001 and P < 0.001, respectively). The time-varying analysis found that unmarried patients had a significantly higher risk of overall mortality during the 10-year follow-up time, with the lowest adjusted hazard ratio (HR) at 12 months after diagnosis (HR at 12 months, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.03–1.15). For cancer-specific mortality, the time-varying adjusted HR of unmarried patients was significantly higher initially (HR at 12 months, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.02–1.14) but decreased to null after 20 months (HR at 24 months = 1.04; 95% CI = 0.99–1.11).

Conclusion

Unmarried patients had a higher risk of cancer-specific mortality during the 20 months after gastric cancer diagnosis, which may be an appropriate time frame for intervention.

Oolong tea consumption and its interactions with a novel composite index on esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Background

No previous study has investigated the association between oolong tea consumption and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), we aim to elucidate the association between oolong tea consumption and ESCC and its joint effects with a novel composite index.

Methods

In a hospital-based case-control study, 646 cases of ESCC patients and 646 sex and age matched controls were recruited. A composite index was calculated to evaluate the role of demographic characteristics and life exposure factors in ESCC. Unconditional logistic regression was used to calculate the point estimates between oolong tea consumption and risk of ESCC.

Results

No statistically significant association was found between oolong tea consumption and ESCC (OR = 1.39, 95% CI: 0.94–2.05). However, drinking hot oolong tea associated with increased risk of ESCC (OR = 1.60, 95% Cl: 1.06–2.41). Furthermore, drinking hot oolong tea increased ESCC risk in the high-risk group (composite index> 0.55) (OR = 3.14, 95% CI: 1.93–5.11), but not in the low-risk group (composite index≤0.55) (OR = 1.16, 95% CI: 0.74–1.83). Drinking warm oolong tea did not influence the risk of ESCC.

Conclusions

No association between oolong tea consumption and risk of ESCC were found, however, drinking hot oolong tea significantly increased the risk of ESCC, especially in high-risk populations.

Does marital status impact postoperative survival in patients with less differentiated hepatocellular carcinoma? A population-based study

BACKGROUND

Marital status has long been widely recognized as a determinant of cancer survival. However, only few analytical studies have been conducted on this issue considering heterogeneous factors. The aim of this study was to assess the effects of marital status on postoperative survival of patients with less differentiated (poor/anaplastic) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 1581 postoperative patients diagnosed with poor/anaplastic HCC from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 2004 and 2015. Patients were classified into married, never married, divorced/separated and widowed groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to analyze the effects of marital status on HCC cause-specific survival (HCSS).

RESULTS

Compared with married patients, there were no significant differences in HCSS for unmarried, never married, divorced/separated and widowed patients both in univariate (5-year HCSS: 36.0% vs 36.3%, 36.0% vs 32.4%, 36.0% vs 40.2%, 36.0% vs 36.3%, respectively, all P > .05) and multivariate analysis (all P > .05). Furthermore, in stratified analyses according to sex, age, and tumor size, compared with married patients, there were also no significant differences for never married, divorced/separated, and widowed patients both in univariate (all P > .05) and multivariate analysis (all P > .05).

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with poor/anaplastic differentiated HCC treated with surgical resection, marital status has no prognostic role in survival.

Education and gastric cancer risk-An individual participant data meta-analysis in the StoP project consortium

Low socioeconomic position (SEP) is a strong risk factor for incidence and premature mortality from several cancers. Our study aimed at quantifying the association between SEP and gastric cancer (GC) risk through an individual participant data meta-analysis within the "Stomach cancer Pooling (StoP) Project". Educational level and household income were used as proxies for the SEP. We estimated pooled odds ratios (ORs) and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) across levels of education and household income by pooling study-specific ORs through random-effects meta-analytic models. The relative index of inequality (RII) was also computed. A total of 9,773 GC cases and 24,373 controls from 25 studies from Europe, Asia and America were included. The pooled OR for the highest compared to the lowest level of education was 0.60 (95% CI, 0.44-0.84), while the pooled RII was 0.45 (95% CI, 0.29-0.69). A strong inverse association was observed both for noncardia (OR 0.39, 95% CI, 0.22-0.70) and cardia GC (OR 0.47, 95% CI, 0.22-0.99). The relation was stronger among H. pylori negative subjects (RII 0.14, 95% CI, 0.04-0.48) as compared to H. pylori positive ones (RII 0.29, 95% CI, 0.10-0.84), in the absence of a significant interaction (p = 0.28). The highest household income category showed a pooled OR of 0.65 (95% CI, 0.48-0.89), while the corresponding RII was 0.40 (95% CI, 0.22-0.72). Our collaborative pooled-analysis showed a strong inverse relationship between SEP indicators and GC risk. Our data call for public health interventions to reduce GC risk among the more vulnerable groups of the population.

Statin use after diagnosis is associated with an increased survival in esophageal cancer patients: a Belgian population-based study

PURPOSE

Preclinical studies have shown that statins reduce proliferation in esophageal cancer. Three recent observational studies have shown encouraging results but suffered from limitations. This work aimed to assess at the Belgian population level whether statin usage was associated with a decreased mortality in esophageal cancer patients.

METHODS

We conducted an observational, population-based study by linking data of the Belgian Cancer Registry (BCR) with medical claims data coming from health insurance companies and mortality records collected by regional governments for patients diagnosed with esophageal cancer between 2004 and 2014. Using time-dependent Cox regression models, hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for overall and cancer-specific mortality were calculated.

RESULTS

Of 6,238 patients with stage I-III esophageal cancer, post-diagnostic use of statins was found in 1,628 (26%) patients. Statins use after diagnosis was associated with a reduction in overall mortality (adjusted HR = 0.84, 95% CI [0.77; 0.92]) and cancer-specific mortality (adjusted HR = 0.87, 95% CI [0.78; 0.97]). Similar association were also seen for pre-diagnostic statin use in overall (adjusted HR = 0.83, 95% CI [0.76-0.91]) and cancer-specific analysis (adjusted HR = 0.86, 95% CI [0.77-0.96]).

CONCLUSIONS

In this large cohort of Belgian patients with esophageal cancer, statins use after diagnosis was associated with a decreased mortality.

Determining Risk Factors for Gastric and Esophageal Cancers between 2009-2015 in East-Azarbayjan, Iran Using Parametric Survival Models

Background: Esophageal cancer (EC) and Gastric cancer (GC) have been identified as two of the most common cancers in the northeastern regions of Iran. The increasing rates of these types of cancers requires attention. This study aims to assess the potential risk factors for these two cancers and then determine shared risk factors between them in a population of Iranian patients using parametric survival models. Methods: This retrospective cohort study was conducted using 127 patients with EC and 184 patients with GC in East Azarbaijan, Iran who were diagnosed and registered during the years 2009-2010 in Iran’s National Cancer Control Registration Program and were followed for five years. Parametric survival models were used to find the risk factors of the patients. Akaike Information Criteria was used to identify the best parametric model in this study. Interaction analysis was used to determine shared risk factors between EC and GC. Results: The mean (±standard deviation) age of diagnoses for EC and GC were 66.92(±11.95) and 66.5(±11.5) respectively. The survival time ranges of GC patients was (0.07-70.33) and the survival time ranges were from 0.10 to 69.03 months for EC patients. Multivariable Log- logistic model showed that being married (OR=2.25, 95% CI: 1.33 - 3.81) for EC patients and Esophagectomy surgery for EC (OR: 1.62, 95% CI: 1.04 – 2.55) and GC (OR: 1.60, 95% CI: 1.02 – 2.53) had significant effects on survival. Age at the time of diagnosis, job status, and Esophagectomy surgery were statistically comparable regarding their magnitude of effect on survival of two cancers (all Ps>0.05). Conclusion: Esophagectomy surgery and being married were important risk factors in EC and GC. The log-logistic model was the most appropriate statistical approach to identify significant risk factors on survival of both cancers.

Prognostic impact of family history of cancer in Southern Chinese patients with esophageal squamous cell cancer

Background: First degree family history of cancer is associated with developing esophageal cancer and sparse data is about the impact on poor survival among established esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) patients. In this study, we investigated the prognoses of patients with ESCC with a family history.

Methods: A total of 479 ESCC patients were retrospectively enrolled from a Southern Chinese institution. A positive family history was defined as having malignant cancer among parents and siblings. Kaplan-Meier plots and Cox proportional hazards regressions were applied for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

Results: Among 479 patients, 119 (24.8%) and 68 (14.2%) reported a first-degree family history of cancer and digestive tract cancer, respectively. Compared with patients without a family history of cancer, the adjusted hazard ratios (HR) among those with it were 1.40 (95% CI, 1.08-1.82, p=0.011) for death, 1.36 (95% CI, 1.05-1.76, p=0.018) for progression. Similar results were observed in those with a family history of digestive tract cancer (HR=1.69, 95%CI, 1.24-1.98, p=0.001 for death and HR=1.77, 95%CI, 1.30-2.37, p<0.001 for progression, respectively). Furthermore, there was a trend for increasing risk of overall mortality (p=0.021, p=0.004, respectively), and progression (p=0.022, p=0.001, respectively) with an increasing number of affected family members.

Conclusion: A first-degree family history of cancer, especially digestive tract cancer is associated with poor survival for established ESCC patients and plays an important role in prognosis. The patients with a family history of cancer might need a greater intensity of treatment and more frequent follow-up.

A nomogram for endoscopic screening in a high esophageal squamous cell cancer risk area: results from a population-based study

Background

Endoscopy is the main approach used for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) screening, especially in high-risk areas. However, little consensus has been achieved in recent ESCC screening programs, and endoscopists have selected patients only by age and family history.

Patients and methods

To generate a proper strategy for selecting an eligible population for endoscopic screening based on demographic factors, lifestyle, and eating habits, a total of 7,830 residents in an area with a high risk of ESCC were recruited for this study. All participants underwent endoscopic examinations that were conducted by experienced endoscopists. Risk factors for ESCC and other lesions were selected by univariate and multivariate logistic regressions. A nomogram for the prediction of ESCC and premalignant lesions was constructed, which included information on age, sex, occupation, labor intensity, income, and mining exposure. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to present the predictive accuracy of the nomograms.

Results

The area under the curve (95% CI) was 0.749 (0.711–0.788) for this nomogram. By applying this nomogram, we could exclude 60% (4704/7830) of patients before endoscopy screening and detect all ESCC cases as well as most esophageal lesions in the remaining population.

Conclusion

In conclusion, we provided a ready-to-use preclinical tool with the potential to select eligible people with high risk of ESCC for endoscopy screening.

Risk factors for oesophageal cancer

The two main histological subtypes of oesophageal cancer, squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma, have distinct risk factor profiles. For oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma, tobacco smoking and excess alcohol use are the main risk factors. For adenocarcinoma, gastro-oesophageal reflux disease and obesity are main risk factors, whereas tobacco smoking is a moderately strong risk factor and infection with Helicobacter pylori decreases the risk. Dietary factors may influence the risk of both types of oesophageal cancer. Genetic factors are involved in the aetiology, but their influence is generally low. The striking male predominance in oesophageal adenocarcinoma is unexplained, although sex hormones may play a role. Risk prediction models combining information on multiple risk factors have shown promising potential in identifying high-risk individuals for targeted prevention and early detection, which should prompt further studies. More high-quality research efforts are warranted for better understanding of the aetiology of oesophageal cancer, particularly in developing countries.

Severity of chronic periodontitis and risk of gastrointestinal cancers: A population-based follow-up study from Taiwan

The present study aimed to assess the association between the severity of chronic periodontitis and the risk of gastrointestinal (GI) cancers by investigating whether severe chronic periodontitis (CP), rather than mild CP, correlates with an increased risk of total or individual GI cancers.Adults (≥18 years) with mild and severe CP were identified from a random sample of 2 million insured patients in the National Health Insurance Research Database (2001-2010). After propensity score matching, 25,485 individuals, each with mild or severe CP, were included for comparison. The primary endpoint was the incidence of total or individual GI cancers, including cancers of the esophagus, stomach, small intestine, colon/rectum, and pancreas. Cox proportional hazard models with the robust aggregated sandwich estimator were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) after adjusting for known risk factors.GI cancers occurred in 275 individuals with mild CP and 324 individuals with severe CP. After adjusting for known risk factors, severe CP was not associated with an increased risk of total GI cancer relative to mild CP (HR: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.84-1.16) or individual GI cancers, including esophageal (HR: 1.15, 95% CI: 0.62-2.15), gastric (HR: 1.01, 95% CI: 0.68-1.49), small intestinal (HR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.22-2.22), colorectal (HR: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.78-1.16), and pancreatic cancers (HR: 0.90, 95% CI: 0.47-1.75).Severe CP was not associated with an increased risk of total or individual GI cancers when compared with mild CP.

Social group disparities in the incidence and prognosis of oesophageal cancer

There are substantial disparities in the incidence and prognosis of oesophageal cancer across social population groups, including sex, race/ethnicity, geographical location and socio-economic status. Both squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma of the oesophagus are more common in men than in women, but the male predominance in adenocarcinoma is stronger and less well understood. The varying incidence and prognosis of oesophageal cancer across racial/ethnic groups show distinct patterns by histological type. Individuals residing in rural areas have a higher incidence and worse prognosis than those in urban areas in developing regions. Lower socio-economic status is associated with an increased incidence and reduced survival in oesophageal cancer. Sustained research identifying novel preventive and therapeutic strategies are needed to reduce the risk of oesophageal cancer and improve the prognosis in all social groups.

Marital status is an independent prognostic factor for tracheal cancer patients: an analysis of the SEER database

BACKGROUND

Although marital status is an independent prognostic factor in many cancers, its prognostic impact on tracheal cancer has not yet been determined. The goal of this study was to examine the relationship between marital status and survival in patients with tracheal cancer.

RESULTS

Compared with unmarried patients (42.67%), married patients (57.33%) had better 5-year OS (25.64% vs. 35.89%, p = 0.009) and 5-year TCSS (44.58% vs. 58.75%, p = 0.004). Results of multivariate analysis indicated that marital status is an independent prognostic factor, with married patients showing better OS (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.64-0.95, p = 0.015) and TCSS (HR = 0.70, 95% CI 0.54-0.91, p = 0.008). In addition, subgroup analysis suggested that marital status plays a more important role in the TCSS of patients with non-low-grade malignant tumors (HR = 0.71, 95% CI 0.53-0.93, p = 0.015).

METHODS

We extracted 600 cases from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Variables were compared by Pearson chi-squared test, t-test, log-rank test, and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Overall survival (OS) and tracheal cancer-specific survival (TCSS) were compared between subgroups with different pathologic features and tumor stages.

CONCLUSIONS

Marital status is an independent prognostic factor for survival in patients with tracheal cancer. For that reason, additional social support may be needed for unmarried patients, especially those with non-low-grade malignant tumors.

[Economic aspects of oncological esophageal surgery : Centralization is essential]

The incidence of esophageal carcinoma has increased in recent years in Germany. The aim of this article is a discussion of the economic aspects of oncological esophageal surgery within the German diagnosis-related groups (DRG) system focusing on the association between minimum caseload requirements and outcome quality as well as costs. The margins for the DRG classification G03A are low and quickly exhausted if complications determine the postoperative course. A current study using nationwide German hospital discharge data proved a significant difference in hospital mortality between clinics with and without achieving the minimum caseload requirements for esophagectomy. Data from the USA clearly showed that besides patient-relevant parameters, the caseload of a surgeon is relevant for the cost of treatment. Such cost-related analyses do not exist in Germany at present. Scientific validation of reliable minimum caseload numbers for oncological esophagectomy is desirable in the future.

Socioeconomic status is inversely associated with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma risk: results from a population-based case-control study in China

Socioeconomic status (SES) is suspected to influence the risk of esophageal squamous-cell carcinoma (ESCC) in China, however, the evidence is still inconclusive and the selection of SES indicators remains inconsistent. In current study, we examined the association between SES and risk of ESCC based on a population-based case-control study in Taixing, China, with 1298 histopathology-confirmed cases and 1900 controls recruited between October 2010 and September 2013. Data on SES indicators was collected using a structured questionnaire. We constructed a composite wealth score based on the ownership of a series of household appliances and other variables by using multiple correspondence analysis (MCA). We used unconditional logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of ESCC in association with SES indicators. SES was inversely associated with ESCC risk in current study. Higher education (secondary high school or above vs illiteracy, OR=0.60, 95%CI, 0.41-0.87), larger house area per person (>70 vs <45 square meters, OR=0.71, 95%CI, 0.59-0.86) and higher wealth score (5th quintile (high) vs 1st quintile (low), OR=0.43, 95%CI, 0.32-0.57) were associated with a decreased risk of ESCC. Subjects possessing several household appliances >5 years also had a lower ESCC risk. Whereas physical labor (very active vs sedentary, OR=1.69, 95%CI, 1.27-2.26) and larger families (≥6 vs <3 in household, OR=1.63, 95%CI, 1.30-2.03) increased the risk of ESCC. These findings confirm the strong inverse association between SES and ESCC risk. Future studies are needed to verify these findings and identify contributing factors underlying the observed associations.

Marital status independently predicts gastric cancer survival after surgical resection--an analysis of the SEER database

Marital status was found to be an independent prognostic factor for survival in various cancer types, but it hasn't been studied in gastric cancer. The Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database was used to compare survival outcomes with marital status. A total of 16,106 eligible patients were identified. Patients in the widowed group had the highest proportion of women, more common site of stomach, more prevalence of elderly patients, higher percentage of adenocarcinoma, and more tumors at localized stage (P < 0.05). Patients in married group had better 5year cause-specific survival (CSS) than those unmarried (P < 0.05). Further analysis showed that widowed patients always presented the lowest CSS compared with that of other groups. Widowed patients had 7.1% reduction in 5-year CSS compared with married patients at Localized stage (77.2% vs 70.1%, P < 0.001), 9.6% reduction at Regional stage (38.2% vs 28.6%, P < 0.001), and 4.7% reduction at Distant stage (13.3% vs 8.6%, P < 0.001). These results showed that unmarried patients were at greater risk of cancer specific mortality. Despite favorable clinicpathological characteristics, widowed patients were at highest risk of death compared with other groups.