Predictive classifier for intensive treatment of head and neck cancer

A systematic review and proportional meta-analysis of image-based pattern of loco-regional failure analyses outcomes in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The prognosis following loco-regional failure after primary radiotherapy (RT) for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is poor. The hypothesis that most failures occur as a consequence of tumor radioresistance, can be evaluated by proxy as the proportion of failures that occur in the high-dose region. Several studies have investigated possible reasons for treatment failure by an image-based pattern of failure analyses (POF), comparing the initial planning CT scan with a scan conducted upon failure. The aim of the present systematic review and meta-analysis was to evaluate the proportion of failures that occurred in the high-dose region of all analyzed failures.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A systematic database search from 2000 to 2023, was performed for studies including results from image-based loco-regional POF, regardless of the method, after primary RT for HNSCC. Proportions of volumetrically in-field (opposed to marginal or outfield) failures, point of origin-based inside high-dose targets, or covered by curative doses for both the number of patients and the number of failure sites were analyzed in proportional meta-analyses. The review was registered at Prospero (CRD42023412545).

RESULTS

Out of 56 included studies, accumulated image-based POF results were available from 1,161 patients and 658 individual failure sites. The majority of patients had in-field failures in volumetric-based studies (84 % (95 % CI: 77;90)), inside failures in point of origin-based studies (82 % (95% CI:61;85)) or failures covered by 95 % of dose prescribed to CTV1 (84 % (95% CI:69;95)). A trend toward increasing proportions of non-high-dose failures in more recently treated patients was observed.

CONCLUSION

Most loco-regional failures for patients treated with primary RT for HNSCC are related to the high-dose volume. Therefore, a focus on biomarkers predicting individual tumor radiosensitivity is warranted to enable individualized treatment intensification to increase loco-regional control.

Managing Patients with Head and Neck Cancer and Advanced Age or Comorbidities

The dominant treatment paradigm for locoregionally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) involves postoperative or definitive radiotherapy with concurrent cisplatin chemotherapy. Despite years of research investigating de-intensified treatment, cisplatin-based chemoradiotherapy remains the standard, yet it is associated with significant acute and chronic toxicity. However, due to shared risk factors, such as advanced age, and tobacco and alcohol use, patients with HNSCC frequently have comorbid illnesses that impact treatment tolerability, adding complexity to treatment-related decision-making. In addition, many patients have medical contraindications to cisplatin, requiring alternative treatment strategies. It is thus important to consider how well patients are likely to tolerate treatment, and how to adapt treatment in response to a patient's condition, when weighing treatment options. In this review, we aim to offer readers guidance in managing the elderly or comorbid patient with HNSCC, with particular attention to (i) approaching comorbidity and fragility assessment to make determinations on intensity of treatment, (ii) considering primary treatment modality (eg, surgery vs radiotherapy, chemo-radiotherapy vs radiotherapy alone) and (iii) choice of concurrent systemic therapy agent.

Redefining Candidates for Deintensification in Locoregionally Advanced P16+ Oropharyngeal Cancer Based on Relative Risk

PURPOSE

Randomized trials have found that patients with locoregionally advanced p16+ oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) do not benefit from treatment deintensification, even among favorable risk groups. Although various methods have been used to identify candidates for treatment deintensification, the optimal approach is unknown.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

We conducted a multi-institutional cohort study of 444 patients with previously untreated p16+ OPSCC undergoing definitive radiation therapy with or without systemic therapy between 2009 and 2022. We compared the following 2 approaches for identifying candidates for deintensification: (1) favorable versus unfavorable risk, using NRG-HN005 eligibility criteria, and (2) low versus high relative risk of cancer events, using the Head and Neck Cancer Intergroup predictive classifier ("omega score"). We tested differences in outcomes and systemic therapy allocation by risk group using multivariable Cox models, competing event models, and logistic regression, and compared characteristics of hypothetical deintensification trials using the 2 approaches. Progression-free survival events were defined as cancer recurrence (locoregional or distant) or death from any cause.

RESULTS

Median follow-up time was 52 months; 120 patients (27.0%) were favorable risk; a different 120 patients had low omega score; 28 patients (6.3%) met both criteria; 184 patients (41.4%) had discordant classification. On ordinal logistic regression, decreasing omega score was associated with a statistically significantly lower odds of receiving intensive therapy (normalized odds ratio, 0.37 per SD; 95% CI, 0.24-0.57), with a greater magnitude than favorable risk group (odds ratio, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.44-0.99). Among patients receiving cisplatin and/or platinum-based induction (n = 374), favorable risk was associated with significantly improved progression-free survival (hazard ratio, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.36-0.99), whereas lower omega score was associated with a significantly decreased relative hazard for cancer events (relative hazard ratio, 0.18; 95% CI, 0.070-0.46). In simulations, selecting patients with low omega scores increased the efficiency of hypothetical noninferiority trials.

CONCLUSIONS

Considering patients' relative risk of cancer events can help define optimal populations for treatment deintensification in p16+ OPSCC.

Radiotherapy with cetuximab or durvalumab for locoregionally advanced head and neck cancer in patients with a contraindication to cisplatin (NRG-HN004): an open-label, multicentre, parallel-group, randomised, phase 2/3 trial

BACKGROUND

Management of patients with locoregionally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) when cisplatin is contraindicated is controversial. We aimed to assess whether radiotherapy with concurrent and adjuvant durvalumab would improve outcomes compared with radiotherapy with cetuximab.

METHODS

NRG-HN004 was designed as an open-label, multicentre, parallel-group, randomised, phase 2/3 trial with safety lead-in conducted at 89 academic and community medical centres in North America. Eligible patients were aged 18 years or older with American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition stage III-IVB p16-negative HNSCC or unfavourable stage I-III p16-positive oropharyngeal or unknown primary carcinoma, who had a contraindication to cisplatin (Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group [ECOG] performance status 2, renal or hearing impairment, peripheral neuropathy, aged at least 70 years with moderate or severe comorbidity, or aged younger than 70 years with severe comorbidity). Patients were randomly assigned (2:1) by permuted block randomisation (multiples of 6) to intravenous durvalumab 1500 mg starting 2 weeks before radiotherapy then every 4 weeks starting week 2 of radiotherapy (seven cycles) or intravenous cetuximab 400 mg/m2 1 week before radiotherapy then 250 mg/m2 weekly beginning week 1 of radiotherapy (eight cycles), with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (70 Gy in 35 fractions over 7 weeks). Stratification factors were tumour and nodal stage, ECOG performance status and comorbidity, and primary site and p16 status. The phase 2 primary endpoint was progression-free survival in the intention-to-treat population. There was one prespecified interim futility analysis at 50% of progression-free survival information. If the observed hazard ratio was 1·0 or more, favouring cetuximab, early stopping would be considered. Extended follow-up analysis was post hoc. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03258554, and is closed to enrolment.

FINDINGS

Following a ten-patient safety lead-in, the phase 2 trial enrolled 190 patients from March 12, 2019, to July 30, 2021, 186 of whom were randomly assigned (123 to durvalumab and 63 to cetuximab). Median age was 72 years (IQR 64-77), 30 (16%) patients were women and 156 (84%) were men. Phase 2 accrual was suspended in July 30, 2021, following an interim futility analysis, and permanently closed in Sept 1, 2022. The phase 3 part of the trial was not conducted. At a median follow-up of 2·3 years (IQR 1·9-3·1) for the extended follow-up (data cutoff July 31, 2023; post-hoc analysis), 2-year progression-free survival was 50·6% (95% CI 41·5-59·8) in the durvalumab group versus 63·7% (51·3-76·1) in the cetuximab group (hazard ratio 1·33 [95% CI 0·84-2·12]; p=0·89). Adverse events were similar in both groups. The most common grade 3-4 adverse events were dysphagia (26 [22%] of 119 patients in the durvalumab group vs 18 [30%] of 61 patients in the cetuximab group), lymphopenia (33 [28%] vs 20 [33%]), and oral mucositis (13 [11%] vs 11 [18%]). Four (3%) patients in the durvalumab group and one (2%) in the cetuximab group died from treatment-related adverse events (death not otherwise specified, laryngeal oedema, lung infection, and respiratory failure in the durvalumab group and sudden death not otherwise specified in the cetuximab group).

INTERPRETATION

Our findings suggest that durvalumab did not improve outcomes compared with cetuximab in patients with HNSCC with contraindications to cisplatin. Further trials are needed to define the standard of care for this population.

FUNDING

US National Cancer Institute and AstraZeneca.

Comparison of 3-year local control using DAHANCA radiotherapy guidelines before and after implementation of five millimetres geometrical GTV to high-dose CTV margin

INTRODUCTION

Treatment planning using a five-millimetre geometrical margin from GTV to high-dose CTV (CTV1) has been used in DAHANCA treatment centres since 2013. We aimed to evaluate changes in CTV1 volumes, local control (LC), and recurrence pattern after the implementation of five-millimetre geometrical margins nationally.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

1,948 patients with pharyngeal, and laryngeal squamous cell carcinomas completed definitive IMRT-based treatment in 2010-2012 and 2013-2015 in three centres. The patient-specific margin was calculated as median surface distance from primary tumour GTV (GTV-T) to CTV1. Radiologically verified local recurrences were analysed using a centre of mass (COM) of the delineated recurrence volume, measuring the shortest distance between COM to GTV-T and CTV1 boundaries.

RESULTS

Median GTV-CTV1 was 0.9 (0.0-0.97) and 0.47 cm (0.4-0.5) for 2010-2012 and 2013-2015, respectively. Median CTV1 changed in three centres from 76, 28, 42 cm3 to 61, 53, 62 cm3 for 2010-2012 and 2013-2015, respectively. Local failures occurred at 247 patients during first three years after radiotherapy. The 3-year LC rate for 2010-2012 and 2013-2015 was 0.84 and 0.87 (p = 0.06). Out of 146 radiology-verified analysable local recurrences, 102 (69.9%) were inside the CTV1. In 74.6% and 91% of cases, the LRs were covered by 95% isodose in 2010-2012 and 2013-2015, respectively.

CONCLUSION

DAHANCA radiotherapy guidelines based on a geometrically generated isotropic CTV1 margin led to less variation in treatment volumes and between centres than previous guidelines. The transition towards consensus GTV-CTV1 margins did not influence local tumour control. The majority of local recurrences were inside CTV1 and covered by the prescription dose.

Effects of Androgen Deprivation Therapy on Prostate Cancer Outcomes According to Competing Event Risk: Secondary Analysis of a Phase 3 Randomised Trial

BACKGROUND

Previous studies indicate that the benefit of short-term androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) with radiotherapy (RT) for prostate cancer depends on competing risks.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether a quantitative method to stratify patients by risk for competing events (omega score) could identify subgroups that selectively benefit from ADT.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

An ancillary analysis of NRG/RTOG 9408 phase 3 trial (NCT00002597) involving 1945 prostate cancer patients was conducted.

INTERVENTION

Short-term ADT.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

We applied generalised competing event regression models incorporating age, performance status, comorbidity, T category, Gleason score (GS), and prostate-specific antigen (PSA), to stratify patients according to relative hazards for primary cancer-related events (distant metastasis or prostate cancer death) versus competing noncancer mortality. We tested interactions between ADT and subgroups defined by standard risk criteria versus relative risk (RR) using the omega score.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

T2b, higher GS, and higher PSA were associated with an increased RR for cancer-related versus competing mortality events (a higher omega score); increased age and comorbidity were associated with a decreased omega score. Of 996 patients with low-risk/favourable intermediate-risk (FIR) disease, 286 (28.7%) had a high omega score (≥0.314). Of 768 patients with unfavourable intermediate-risk disease, 175 (22.8%) had a low omega score. The overall discordance in risk classification was 26.1%. Both standard criteria and omega score identified significant interactions for the effect of ADT on cancer-related events and late mortality in low- versus high-risk subgroups. Within the low-risk/FIR subgroup, a higher omega score identified patients in whom ADT significantly reduced cancer events and improved event-free survival. Limitations are the need for external/prospective validation and lower RT doses than contemporary standards.

CONCLUSIONS

Stratification based on competing event risk is useful for identifying prostate cancer patients who selectively benefit from ADT.

PATIENT SUMMARY

We analysed the effectiveness of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) for localised prostate cancer among patients, defined by the relative risk (RR) for cancer versus noncancer events. Among patients with traditional low-risk/favourable intermediate-risk disease, those with a higher RR benefitted from short-term ADT.

Nomogram to predict risk of early mortality following definitive or adjuvant radiation and systemic therapy for head and neck cancer

Purpose/Objectives

We sought to create nomograms to predict individual risk of early mortality, which can identify patients who require interventions to prevent early death.

Methods

We included patients in the National Cancer Database with non-metastatic squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck who received radiation and systemic therapy between 2004 and 2017 in the definitive or adjuvant setting. Early mortality was defined as any death less than 90 days after starting radiation. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the relationship between covariates and early mortality. Nomograms to predict the risk of early death were created for both the definitive and adjuvant settings.

Results

Among 84,563 patients in the definitive group and 18,514 patients in the adjuvant group, rates of early mortality were 3.5 % (95 % CI 3.4-3.7 %) and 2.2 %, (95 % CI 1.9-2.4 %), respectively. Patients above the age of 70 had an early mortality rate of 7.8 % (95 % CI 7.3-8.2 %) in the definitive group and 4.4 % (95 % CI 3.6-5.4 %) in the adjuvant group. In the multivariable analysis, age, comorbidity, T and N category, and tumor site were associated with early mortality in both cohorts (p < 0.05 for all). Nomograms including age, comorbidity, T and N category and tumor site performed better than age alone at predicting early mortality (AUC for definitive group: 0.70 vs 0.66; AUC for adjuvant group: 0.71 vs 0.61).

Conclusion

Nomograms including age, comorbidity, T and N category and tumor site were developed to predict the risk of early death following definitive or adjuvant chemoradiation.

Concurrent carboplatin and paclitaxel definitive radiation therapy for locally advanced head and neck cancer

BACKGROUND

We report the outcomes of cisplatin-ineligible HNSCC patients treated with definitive chemoradiation and concurrent carboplatin and paclitaxel.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We included consecutive HNSCC patients treated from 2013 to 2021 that received definitive chemoradiation with carboplatin and paclitaxel. Locoregional recurrences (LRR) and distant metastases (DM) were estimated using cumulative incidence functions. Progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using Kaplan-Meier methods.

RESULTS

Sixty-five patients were identified with median age of 71 years (range 44-85). Median radiation dose was 70 Gy and the median doses of carboplatin and paclitaxel were AUC 1 and 40 mg/m2 , respectively. At a median follow-up of 29 (range 5-91) months, the 2-year rates of LRR, DM, PFS, and OS were 8.8%, 9.4%, 72.2%, and 88.7%, respectively. In total, there were 5 LRR, 7 DM, and 12 deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

Chemoradiation with carboplatin and paclitaxel is an excellent option for cisplatin-ineligible HNSCC patients.

Induction chemotherapy in locally advanced head and neck cancers, is there a best choice?

Locally advanced stages of squamous cancers of the head and neck (LAHNCs) acquire high propensity for local and systemic relapse. Addition of systemic therapy as an induction (IC) to the standard concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) has become an approach of many practitioners. This strategy has shown to reduce metastases but did not affect survival in unselected populations. Meanwhile, the induction regimen including docetaxel, cisplatin, 5-FU (TPF) has shown superiority over other combinations, however, a survival advantage was not detected when compared to CCRT alone. This may be attributed to its high toxicity profile, inducing treatment delay, resistance, or variations in tumor sites and responses. Currently, newer systemic therapy combinations are being tested and indicators of benefit are being identified. The focus of this review is on the development of the choice of combination regimen for induction, next, proposed alternatives and strategies for patient selection will be introduced.

Clinical and Therapeutic Considerations for Older Adults with Head and Neck Cancer

Approximately 30% of patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) are at least 70 years of age, and this percentage is expected to increase as the population increases and lives longer. Elderly patients are underrepresented in head and neck oncology clinical trials, and there is minimal evidence on the management of HNSCC for this population. Subsequently, despite their best intentions, physicians may unknowingly recommend an ill-suited course of therapy, which may result in suboptimal oncological or functional outcomes or adverse events. Surgical approaches have the potential to carry a higher risk of morbidity and mortality in older adults, especially in patients with multiple comorbidities. Definitive radiation therapy treatment in patients with HNSCC frequently involves 7 weeks of daily radiation, sometimes with concurrent chemotherapy, and this demanding treatment can be difficult for older adult patients, which may lead to treatment interruptions, potential removal of concurrent systemic therapy, compromised outcomes, and diminished quality of life. There are clinical trials currently underway investigating altered fractionation regimens and novel, less toxic systemic treatments in this population. This review provides an overview of how best to approach an older adult with HNSCC, from initial work-up to treatment selection.

Treatment Considerations for Patients with Locoregionally Advanced Head and Neck Cancer with a Contraindication to Cisplatin

OPINION STATEMENT

Significant advancements have been made in the treatment of locally advanced head and neck cancer, predominantly driven by the integration of concurrent chemotherapy with radiation therapy as a standard of care for many patients. The most heavily investigated chemotherapeutic is cisplatin, yet many patients are ineligible for cisplatin due to the presence of pre-existing medical comorbidities. Moreover, given the toxicity profile of cisplatin, identifying which patients stand to benefit from cisplatin is challenging, which is particularly evident in older patients. Efforts to better risk-stratify patients based on age, performance status, and the degree of pre-existing comorbidities are ongoing and have been increasingly utilized in national clinical trials. In parallel, exploration into alternative systemic agents, including novel targeted therapies and immunotherapies, in cisplatin-ineligible patients are rapidly expanding. Cumulatively, identifying appropriate treatment paradigms in patients who harbor contraindications to cisplatin can not only improve clinical outcomes but also critically mitigate detrimental adverse effects.

Management of Older Adults with Locally Advanced Head and Neck Cancer

Simple Summary

Approximately one third of patients with head and neck cancer are older adults. The number of older adults with head and neck cancer continues to rise especially as life expectancy increases. However, this population remains significantly underrepresented in clinical trials. Due to this, there is no clear consensus regarding the optimal treatment for older adults with head and neck cancer. In general, older adults are a complex cohort due to variations in functional and performance status, medical comorbidities, and medication management. Treatment for head and neck cancer involves surgery, radiation therapy, systemic therapy, or a combination. These treatments are highly demanding. Additionally, they are associated with toxicity which can be especially difficult for older adults to tolerate. This may lead to treatment interruptions and compromised outcomes. In order to understand the optimal treatment for older adults with head and neck cancer, novel predictive scores are being developed. Additionally, ongoing clinical trials are investigating less intensive treatments for older adults. This review provides an overview of current clinical data, treatment considerations, and future areas of investigation for older adults with head and neck cancer.

Abstract

Thirty percent of patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) are at least 70 years of age. This number continues to rise as life expectancy continues to increase. Still, older adults with HNSCC remain underrepresented in clinical trials, resulting in ambiguity on optimal management. Older adults are a complex patient population, often requiring increased support due to issues relating to functional and performance status, medical comorbidities, and medication management. Furthermore, in older adults with HNSCC, many of these conditions are independently associated with increased toxicity and worse outcomes. Toxicity in the older adult remains difficult to predict and to understand, and as treatment decisions are based on treatment tolerability, it is essential to understand the toxicities and how to minimize them. Novel predictive scores are being developed specifically for older adults with HNSCC to understand toxicity and to assist in personalized treatment decisions. There are clinical trials presently underway that are investigating shortened radiation courses and novel, less toxic systemic treatments in this population. In the forthcoming sections, we provide a detailed overview of the clinical data, treatment paradigms, and considerations in this population. This review provides a comprehensive overview of existing clinical data and clinical considerations in the older adult head and neck cancer population. Additionally, we provide a detailed overview of pertinent current and ongoing clinical trials, as well as future areas for investigation.

Validation of NRG Oncology's prognostic nomograms for oropharyngeal cancer in the Veterans Affairs database

BACKGROUND

To test whether nomograms developed by NRG Oncology for oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) patients could be validated in an independent population-based sample.

METHODS

The authors tested nomograms for estimating progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients from the Veterans Health Administration with previously untreated locoregionally advanced OPSCC, diagnosed between 2008 and 2017, managed with definitive radiotherapy with or without adjuvant systemic therapy. Covariates were age, performance status, p16 status, T/N category, smoking history, education history, weight loss, marital status, and anemia. We used multiple imputation to handle missing data and performed sensitivity analyses on complete cases. Validation was assessed via Cox proportional hazards models, log-rank tests, and c-indexes.

RESULTS

A total of 4007 patients met inclusion criteria (658 patients had complete data). Median follow-up time was 3.20 years, with 967 progression events and 471 noncancer deaths. Each risk score was associated with poorer outcomes per unit increase (PFS score, hazard ratio [HR], 1.42 [1.37-1.47]; OS score, HR, 1.40 [1.34-1.45]). By risk score quartile, 2-year PFS estimates were 89.2%, 78.5%, 65.8%, and 48.3%; OS estimates were 92.6%, 83.6%, 73.9%, and 51.3%, respectively (P < .01 for all comparisons). C-indices for models of PFS and OS were 0.65 and 0.67, for all patients, respectively (0.69 and 0.73 for complete cases). The nomograms slightly overestimated PFS and OS in the overall cohort but exhibited high agreement in complete cases.

CONCLUSIONS

NRG nomograms were effective for predicting PFS and OS for patients with OPSCC, supporting their broader applicability in the OPSCC population undergoing definitive radiotherapy.

Meta-analysis of chemotherapy in head and neck cancer (MACH-NC): An update on 107 randomized trials and 19,805 patients, on behalf of MACH-NC Group

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The Meta-Analysis of Chemotherapy in squamous cell Head and Neck Cancer (MACH-NC) demonstrated that concomitant chemotherapy (CT) improved overall survival (OS) in patients without distant metastasis. We report the updated results.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Published or unpublished randomized trials including patients with non-metastatic carcinoma randomized between 1965 and 2016 and comparing curative loco-regional treatment (LRT) to LRT + CT or adding another timing of CT to LRT + CT (main question), or comparing induction CT + radiotherapy to radiotherapy + concomitant (or alternating) CT (secondary question) were eligible. Individual patient data were collected and combined using a fixed-effect model. OS was the main endpoint.

RESULTS

For the main question, 101 trials (18951 patients, median follow-up of 6.5 years) were analyzed. For both questions, there were 16 new (2767 patients) and 11 updated trials. Around 90% of the patients had stage III or IV disease. Interaction between treatment effect on OS and the timing of CT was significant (p < 0.0001), the benefit being limited to concomitant CT (HR: 0.83, 95%CI [0.79; 0.86]; 5(10)-year absolute benefit of 6.5% (3.6%)). Efficacy decreased as patients age increased (p_trend = 0.03). OS was not increased by the addition of induction (HR = 0.96 [0.90; 1.01]) or adjuvant CT (1.02 [0.92; 1.13]). Efficacy of induction CT decreased with poorer performance status (p_trend = 0.03). For the secondary question, eight trials (1214 patients) confirmed the superiority of concomitant CT on OS (HR = 0.84 [0.74; 0.95], p = 0.005).

CONCLUSION

The update of MACH-NC confirms the benefit and superiority of the addition of concomitant CT for non-metastatic head and neck cancer.