The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma decreases after the first 5 years of entecavir or tenofovir in Caucasians with chronic hepatitis B

EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of hepatitis B virus infection

The updated EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection provide comprehensive, evidence-based recommendations for its management. Spanning ten thematic sections, the guidelines address diagnostics, treatment goals, treatment indications, therapeutic options, hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance, management of special populations, HBV reactivation prophylaxis, post-transplant care, HBV prevention strategies, and finally address open questions and future research directions. Chronic HBV remains a global health challenge, with over 250 million individuals affected and significant mortality due to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. These guidelines emphasise the importance of early diagnosis, risk stratification based on viral and host factors, and tailored antiviral therapy. Attention is given to simplified algorithms, vaccination, and screening to support global HBV elimination targets. The guidelines also discuss emerging biomarkers and evolving definitions of functional and partial cure. Developed through literature review, expert consensus, and a Delphi process, the guidelines aim to equip healthcare providers across disciplines with practical tools to optimise HBV care and outcomes worldwide.

A Machine Learning Model to Predict De Novo Hepatocellular Carcinoma Beyond Year 5 of Antiviral Therapy in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

This study aims to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients after the first 5 years of entecavir (ETV) or tenofovir (TFV) therapy.

METHODS

CHB patients treated with ETV/TFV for > 5 years and not diagnosed with HCC during the first 5 years of therapy were selected from two hospitals. We used 36 variables, including baseline characteristics (age, sex, cirrhosis, and type of antiviral agent) and laboratory values (at baseline, at 5 years, and changes between 5 years) for model development. Five machine learning algorithms were applied to the training dataset and internally validated using a test dataset. External validation was performed.

RESULTS

In years 5-15, a total of 279/5908 (4.7%) and 25/562 (4.5%) patients developed HCC in the derivation and external validation cohorts, respectively. In the training dataset (n = 4726), logistic regression showed the highest area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.803 and a balanced accuracy of 0.735, outperforming other ML algorithms. An ensemble model combining logistic regression and random forest performed best (AUC, 0.811 and balanced accuracy, 0.754). The results from the test dataset (n = 1182) verified the good performance of the ensemble model (AUC, 0.784 and balanced accuracy, 0.712). External validation confirmed the predictive accuracy of our ensemble model (AUC, 0.862 and balanced accuracy, 0.771). A web-based calculator was developed (http://ai-wm.khu.ac.kr/HCC/).

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed ML model excellently predicted HCC risk beyond year 5 of ETV/TFV therapy and, therefore, could facilitate individualised HCC surveillance based on risk stratification.

Impact of Nucleos(t)ide Analogs on Major Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B: A 10-Year French Nationwide Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Conflicting results have been reported on the impact of tenofovir versus entecavir on liver-related outcomes.

AIMS

To explore trends in clinical outcomes in chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV)-infected patients and compare the impact of tenofovir versus entecavir on the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver transplantation (LT) and mortality.

METHODS

We used the French National Health Insurance Databases (SNDS) to identify HBV-infected patients. We quantified the excess clinical burden from 2012 to 2021 by comparing the HBV-infected cohort with a general population cohort, using 1:1 exact matching on birth date, sex, social deprivation index and follow-up start date. The risks of mortality, HCC and LT were compared between patients treated with tenofovir and entecavir using inverse probability weighting.

RESULTS

A total of 101,740 patients were matched to the general population. From 2012 to 2021, the average annual decreases in excess mortality, incidence of HCC and LT were 3.7%, 8.0% and 11.9%, respectively (p for trend < 0.001). During the same period, the nucleos(t)ide analog (NUC) treatment coverage significantly increased, particularly after 2016 (p < 0.001). Among 14,054 treatment-naïve patients starting tenofovir (n = 7426) or entecavir (n = 6628), we observed no difference in the composite outcome of mortality, LT or HCC (HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.95-1.24). Tenofovir was associated with an increased risk of HCC compared with entecavir (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.07-1.62).

CONCLUSIONS

Tenofovir was associated with a higher risk of HCC compared with entecavir, although no difference in the composite outcome of mortality or liver-related events was observed between the two treatments.

Comparison of tenofovir versus entecavir for preventing hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients: an umbrella review and meta-analysis

There are several meta-analyses about the comparison of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) versus entecavir (ETV) for preventing hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic HBV infection published in recent years. However, the conclusions vary considerably. This umbrella review aims to consolidate evidence from various systematic reviews to evaluate differences in hepatocellular carcinoma prevention between two drugs. Systematic searches were conducted using PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science to identify original meta-analyses. Finally, twelve studies were included for quantitative analyses. We found that TDF treatment was associated with a significantly lower risk of HCC than ETV (hazard ratio, 0.80; 95% CI 0.75-0.86, p < 0.05). The lower risk of HCC in patients given TDF compared with ETV persisted in subgroup analyses performed with propensity score-matched cohorts, cirrhosis cohorts, nucleos(t)ide naïve cohorts and Asian cohorts. In the cohorts of non-Asia and patients without cirrhosis, there was no difference exhibited between these two drugs. Subsequent analyses showed TDF treatment was also associated with a lower incidence of death or transplantation than patients receiving ETV. Overall, the preventive effect of these two drugs on HCC has been studied in several published meta-analyses, but few were graded as high-quality evidence, meanwhile, most of which had high overlap. Thus, future researchers should include updated cohorts or conduct prospective RCTs to further explore this issue.

Evolution of hepatitis B virus polymerase and surface genes in patients receiving finite antiviral therapy

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation could develop after withdrawal following a finite course of nucleoside analog (NA) therapy, leading to virological and clinical relapses. The genetic heterogeneity in the HBV surface and polymerase genes during finite NA therapy has not been carefully studied.

METHODS

Seven chronic HBV-infected patients experiencing relapses following entecavir (ETV; n = 5; Patients 1 to 5) or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF; n = 2; Patients 6 and 7) withdrawal were included. Sera obtained before treatment and at relapses were retrieved and submitted for DNA extraction and amplicon-specific deep sequencing.

RESULTS

ETV-treated patients had a longer time-to-relapse than that of TDF-treated patients (P = 0.0357). No drug-resistance related polymerase mutation was detected during relapses, except for a low percentage (1.4%) of rtM204I mutation in Patient 1. Two surface truncation mutations (sW216*; 40.9% and sW182*; 4.7%) detected before treatment in two TDF-treated patients (Patients 6 and 7, respectively) were overtaken by the wild types during subsequent drug-withdrawal-related relapses. The simultaneous presence of sG44E (T-cell epitope) and sE164G (B-cell epitope) mutations was associated with failure of HBV e antigen (HBeAg) seroclearance in ETV-treated patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, HBV genome continues to evolve during the courses of finite antiviral therapies. Pre-existing surface truncation mutations can be overtaken by the wild types after relapses. The sG44E/sE164G mutations are associated with failure of HBeAg seroclearance.

Inhibition of hepatitis B virus through PPAR-JAK/STAT pathway modulation by electroacupuncture and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate combination therapy

BACKGROUND

Acupuncture combined with nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) has shown promise in treating chronic hepatitis B (CHB), though mechanisms remain unclear. This study evaluates the antiviral effects of combining acupuncture with NAs against hepatitis B virus (HBV) and explores underlying mechanisms.

METHODS

The HBV-infected mouse model, established using the high-pressure hydrodynamic method, was divided into three groups: normal saline (NS), tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TF), and electroacupuncture combined with TF (E_T), n = 6. Antiviral effects were assessed by monitoring HBV DNA, HBsAg, and HBeAg levels weekly. Mechanistic insights were gained via transcriptomics, metabolomics, and 16S rDNA sequencing, validated by WB, PCR, and flow cytometry.

RESULTS

Serum HBV DNA levels decreased by 1.98 log10 IU/mL in TF and 2.2 log10 IU/mL in E_T groups compared to NS. Serum HBeAg decreased by 10.61 % in TF and 35.75 % in E_T, while HBsAg decreased by 7.38 % and 37.58 %, respectively. Multi-omics indicated E_T modulates the PPAR pathway, upregulates taurine and all-trans-retinoic acid, and increases gut microbiota like Bacteroides and Blautia. E_T also enhanced tight junction proteins (ZO-1, Occludin, Claudin-4), improving intestinal barrier integrity. Mechanistically, E_T inhibited the PGC-1α/PPAR-α/SIRT1 pathway, reducing PGC-1α, PPAR-α, SIRT1, RXRα, and HNF4α, while promoting JAK/STAT signaling via IFN-γ, p-JAK1, p-JAK2, p-STAT1, IRF8, and suppressing SOCS-1.

CONCLUSION

E_T more effectively inhibited HBV replication, showing superior antigen inhibition, particularly HBsAg, than TF alone. This may be due to PPAR-JAK/STAT pathway regulation, suggesting E_T as a potential adjuvant therapy for CHB, especially in achieving a functional cure.

Dynamic Changes in ELF Score Predict Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients Receiving Antiviral Treatment

Enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) score is a noninvasive assessment for liver fibrosis. We aimed to evaluate the performance of changes in ELF score 3 years apart in combination with liver stiffness measurement (LSM)-hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) score to predict HCC in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. This is a prospective cohort study. Patients who underwent transient elastography (TE) examinations and at intermediate or high risk of HCC defined by LSM-HCC score were invited to repeat the examination about 3 years later. Their serum samples at these two time points were retrieved to assess the ELF score changes. The primary endpoint was HCC. There were 445 CHB patients (males: 73.9%; mean age: 51.6 ± 10.3 years) who received two TE examinations and ELF scores. Among them, 252 (56.6%) and 193 (43.4%) patients were at intermediate and high HCC risk at first assessment defined by LSM-HCC score, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the changes in ELF score could stratify the HCC risk in both intermediate- and high-risk patients defined by LSM-HCC score (p < 0.001 for intermediate-risk group; p = 0.011 for high-risk group). Patients remained having mild or moderate fibrosis at both assessments had the lowest risk of HCC (4.0%), followed by patients with fibrosis regressed (11.3%; p = 0.014) during a mean follow-up of 163 months. Patients remained having or progressed to severe fibrosis were at highest risk of HCC (> 20%). Consistent findings were demonstrated in patients at both intermediate and high risk of HCC defined by LSM-HCC score. Dynamic changes in ELF score provided additional value to LSM-HCC score for stratifying HCC risk in CHB patients.

Epidemiological, diagnostic, therapeutic and prognostic impact of hepatitis B and D virus infection on hepatocellular carcinoma: A review of the literature

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounts for >90% of primary liver cancer cases, and chronic infections with hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis D virus (HDV) are major contributors.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature review was conducted using the MEDLINE (PubMed) database, focusing on studies related to HBV, HDV, and HCC.

RESULTS

HBV contributes to HCC through mechanisms like viral integration into the host genome, chronic inflammation, and immune modulation, leading to genomic instability and altered cell signaling. HDV exacerbates HBV-induced liver damage, accelerating fibrosis and cirrhosis, and significantly increasing HCC risk. Antiviral therapies and vaccinations have majorly reduced the burden of HBV-related HCC, but HDV remains challenging to treat due to limited therapeutic options. Emerging treatments like Bulevirtide showed promising results.

CONCLUSION

This review highlights the critical impact of HBV and HDV co-infections on HCC development, emphasizing the need for more effective therapeutic strategies. While advances in antiviral therapies have reduced the incidence of HBV-related HCC, the high burden of HDV-related complications persists. Future research should focus on improving treatments for HDV and understanding its unique contribution to HCC pathogenesis.

Hepatitis B Virus-Related Cirrhosis and Hepatocellular Carcinoma Hospital Discharge Rates from 2005 to 2021 in Spain: Impact of Universal Vaccination

Background: The main consequences of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infections are cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), both associated with frequent hospitalization. The aim of this study was to analyze the impact of universal HBV vaccination in Spain on chronic HBV-related hospital discharges from 2005 to 2021. Methods: Using data from the Minimum Basic Data Set of the Spanish National Health System, we calculated the hospital discharge rate ratio (HDRR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) values for chronic HBV-related discharges between 2005 and 2021. For comparative purposes, we calculated the HDRR and 95% confidence interval (CI) values for the early (2005-2013) and later (2014-2021) periods and the vaccinated compared with unvaccinated cohorts for the 20-39 age group. Results: The hospital discharge rate per 1,000,000 people was 3.08 in 2005 and 4.50 in 2021 for HCC, and 4.81 in 2005 and 1.92 in 2021 for cirrhosis. Comparing the early and later periods, values were higher for HCC (HDRR 1.13; 95% CI: 1.06-1.20) and lower for cirrhosis (HDRR 0.56; 95% CI: 0.51-0.60). The rate for the 20-39 age group was lower for the vaccinated compared with the unvaccinated cohorts overall (HDRR 0.53; 95% CI: 0.45-0.62), for HCC (HDRR 0.66; 95% CI: 0.53-0.82), and for cirrhosis (HDRR 0.41; 95% CI: 0.33-0.53). Conclusions: This study describes the important impact, after 25 years, of universal HBV vaccination in Spain: cirrhosis hospital discharge rate was reduced, and the vaccinated cohorts, compared with the unvaccinated cohorts in the 20-39 age group, had a lower hospital discharge rate of both HCC and cirrhosis.

Epidemiology and natural history of chronic Hepatitis B in the Canadian province of Alberta from 2012 to 2021: A population-based study

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

There are limited recent data on the burden of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in the North American general population. We aimed to identify the CHB burden from a Canadian population-based perspective.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Using a retrospective cohort design, we searched Alberta Analytics administrative databases including the Provincial Laboratory database, to describe CHB epidemiology and natural history in Alberta, Canada between fiscal years 2012-2020. We analyzed incidence and prevalence trends using a Poisson regression model and conducted Kaplan-Meier analyses to examine the incident cohort's survival.

RESULTS

The age/sex-adjusted incidence of CHB between 2015-2020 was 27.1/100,000 person/years (29.6/100,000 in males and 24.5/100,000 in females) and was highest among individuals aged 45-64 years. Despite a decrease in annual incidence of CHB from 36.4 to 13.4/100,000 between 2015-2020, prevalence increased from 98.9 to 210.3/100,000 in the same period. Of 6,860 incident cases, 2.1% died, and 0.2% underwent liver transplantation during a median follow-up of 3.6 years (interquartile range 2.0-4.9 years). CHB patients had significantly lower survival rates compared to age/sex-matched Canadians, with a standardized mortality ratio of 3.9 (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.3-4.6). Male sex (hazard ratio [HR] 1.7; 95% CI 1.2-2.5), older age at diagnosis (HR, 1.08; 95% CI 1.07-1.09) independently predicted mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

CHB incidence decreased in Alberta, which is consistent with nationwide trends. Males and individuals aged 45-64 had higher CHB incidence and prevalence. CHB patients' lower survival rates emphasize the need to address barriers to guideline recommended HBV care linkage.

Surveillance for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Successfully Treated Viral Disease of the Liver: A Systematic Review

Background

Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been proven to increase the proportion of tumors detected at early stages and the chance of receiving curative therapies, reducing mortality by about 30%.

Summary

Current recommendations consist of a semi-annual abdominal ultrasound with or without serum alpha-fetoprotein measurement in patients with cirrhosis and specific subgroups of populations with chronic viral hepatitis. Antiviral therapies, such as nucleot(s)ide analogs that efficiently suppress the replication of hepatitis B virus (HBV) and direct-acting antiviral drugs able to eliminate the hepatitis C virus (HCV) in >90% of patients, have radically changed the outcomes of viral liver disease and decreased, but not eliminated, the risk of HCC in both cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients. HCC risk is a key starting point for implementing a cost-effective surveillance and should also guide the decision-making process concerning its modality. As the global number of effectively treated viral patients continues to rise, there is a pressing need to identify those for whom the benefit-to-harm ratio of surveillance is favorable and to determine how to conduct cost-effective screening on such patients.

Key Messages

This article addresses this topic and attempts to determine which patients should continue HCC surveillance after HBV suppression or HCV eradication, based on cost-effectiveness principles and the fact that HCC risk declines over time. We also formulate a proposal for a surveillance algorithm that switches the use of surveillance for HCC from the "one-size-fits-all" approach to individualized programs based on oncologic risk (precision surveillance).

Chinese Multidisciplinary Expert Consensus on Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor-Based Combination Therapy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma (2023 Edition)

Background

Immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI)-based combination therapy modalities for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have achieved significant efficacy in clinical research and practice and have become the mainstay for the treatment of unresectable HCC.

Summary

To better help clinicians use combination immunotherapy drugs and regimens rationally, effectively, and safely, the editorial board facilitated a discussion with multidisciplinary experts in the field, adopted the "Delphi" consensus formation method, and finally revised and completed the "Chinese Multidisciplinary Expert Consensus on the Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors (ICIs)-Based Combination Therapy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma (2023 Edition)" on the basis of the 2021 edition.

Key Messages

This consensus primarily focuses on the principles and methods of clinical practice of combination therapy based on ICIs, aiming to summarize the recommendations for clinical application based on the latest research and expert experience and provide application guidance for clinicians.

Improvement of hepatic fibrosis after tenofovir disoproxil fumarate switching to tenofovir alafenamide for three years

BACKGROUND

Both tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) are the first-line treatments for chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We have showed switching from TDF to TAF for 96 weeks resulted in further alanine aminotransferase (ALT) improvement, but data remain lacking on the long-term benefits of TDF switching to TAF on hepatic fibrosis.

AIM

To assess the benefits of TDF switching to TAF for 3 years on ALT, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and hepatic fibrosis improvement in patients with CHB.

METHODS

A single center retrospective study on 53 patients with CHB who were initially treated with TDF, then switched to TAF to determine dynamic patterns of ALT, AST, AST to platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) scores, and shear wave elastography (SWE) reading improvement at switching week 144, and the associated factors.

RESULTS

The mean age was 55 (28-80); 45.3%, males; 15.1%, clinical cirrhosis; mean baseline ALT, 24.8; AST, 25.7 U/L; APRI, 0.37; and FIB-4, 1.66. After 144 weeks TDF switching to TAF, mean ALT and AST were reduced to 19.7 and 21, respectively. From baseline to switching week 144, the rates of ALT and AST < 35 (male)/25 (female) and < 30 (male)/19 (female) were persistently increased; hepatic fibrosis was also improved by APRI < 0.5, from 79.2% to 96.2%; FIB-4 < 1.45, from 52.8% to 58.5%, respectively; mean APRI was reduced to 0.27; FIB-4, to 1.38; and mean SWE reading, from 7.05 to 6.30 kPa after a mean of 109 weeks switching. The renal function was stable and the frequency of patients with glomerular filtration rate > 60 mL/min was increased from 86.5% at baseline to 88.2% at switching week 144.

CONCLUSION

Our data confirmed that switching from TDF to TAF for 3 years results in not only persistent ALT/AST improvement, but also hepatic fibrosis improvement by APRI, FIB-4 scores, as well as SWE reading, the important clinical benefits of long-term hepatitis B virus antiviral treatment with TAF.

British Society of Gastroenterology guidelines for the management of hepatocellular carcinoma in adults

Deaths from the majority of cancers are falling globally, but the incidence and mortality from hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing in the United Kingdom and in other Western countries. HCC is a highly fatal cancer, often diagnosed late, with an incidence to mortality ratio that approaches 1. Despite there being a number of treatment options, including those associated with good medium to long-term survival, 5-year survival from HCC in the UK remains below 20%. Sex, ethnicity and deprivation are important demographics for the incidence of, and/or survival from, HCC. These clinical practice guidelines will provide evidence-based advice for the assessment and management of patients with HCC. The clinical and scientific data underpinning the recommendations we make are summarised in detail. Much of the content will have broad relevance, but the treatment algorithms are based on therapies that are available in the UK and have regulatory approval for use in the National Health Service.

Extrahepatic malignancies and antiviral drugs for chronic hepatitis B: A nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is related to an increased risk of extrahepatic malignancy (EHM), and antiviral treatment is associated with an incidence of EHM comparable to controls. We compared the risks of EHM and intrahepatic malignancy (IHM) between entecavir (ETV) and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) treatment.

METHODS

Using data from the National Health Insurance Service of Korea, this nationwide cohort study included treatment-naïve CHB patients who initiated ETV (n=24,287) or TDF (n=29,199) therapy between 2012 and 2014. The primary outcome was the development of any primary EHM. Secondary outcomes included overall IHM development. E-value was calculated to assess the robustness of results to unmeasured confounders.

RESULTS

The median follow-up duration was 5.9 years, and all baseline characteristics were well balanced after propensity score matching. EHM incidence rate differed significantly between within versus beyond 3 years in both groups (P<0.01, Davies test). During the first 3 years, EHM risk was comparable in the propensity score-matched cohort (5.88 versus 5.84/1,000 person-years; subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR]=1.01, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.88-1.17, P=0.84). After year 3, however, TDF was associated with a significantly lower EHM incidence compared to ETV (4.92 versus 6.91/1,000 person-years; SHR=0.70, 95% CI=0.60-0.81, P<0.01; E-value for SHR=2.21). Regarding IHM, the superiority of TDF over ETV was maintained both within (17.58 versus 20.19/1,000 person-years; SHR=0.88, 95% CI=0.81-0.95, P<0.01) and after year 3 (11.45 versus 16.20/1,000 person-years; SHR=0.68, 95% CI=0.62-0.75, P<0.01; E-value for SHR=2.30).

CONCLUSION

TDF was associated with approximately 30% lower risks of both EHM and IHM than ETV in CHB patients after 3 years of antiviral therapy.

Impact of preoperative antiviral therapy on the prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

For chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection patients, increasing evidence has demonstrated the effectiveness of expanding the indications and applicable population for antiviral therapy. However, the expanded indication of antiviral therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains to be further explored.

METHODS

196 HBV-related HCC patients who received radical hepatectomy and nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) therapy at Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital were enrolled in this study. HCC recurrence, overall survival (OS), early virological (VR) and biochemical responses (BR) of patients were compared between different NAs therapy and the use of anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) therapy.

RESULTS

NAs therapy at different timing of surgery was a strong independent risk factor for postoperative recurrence and overall mortality of HBV-related HCC patients. Furthermore, in HCC patients who received postoperative anti-PD-1 therapy, patients with HBV DNA < 1000 copy/mL had significantly better recurrence-free survival (RFS) and OS than those with HBV DNA ≥ 1000 copy/mL (HR: 7.783; P = 0.002; HR: 6.699; P < 0.001). However, the differences of RFS and OS rates between entecavir group and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate group were not statistically significant. Similar results were also observed in the rates of early VR, BR and combined VR and BR.

CONCLUSION

Timely and reasonable preoperative NAs therapy showed clinical benefit in improving the prognosis of patients with HBV-related HCC, even in the case of normal alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level and negative hepatitis e antigen (HBeAg). Furthermore, a possible synergistic effect between antiviral therapy and anti-PD-1 therapy was founded and need further verification.

Hepatocellular carcinoma reduced, HBsAg loss increased, and survival improved after finite therapy in hepatitis B patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Long-term nucleos(t)ide analog (Nuc) treatment can reduce HCC in patients with HBV-related liver cirrhosis (HBV-LC). Earlier small cohort studies showed a comparable 5-year incidence of HCC in HBeAg-negative patients with HBV-LC who stopped and those continued Nuc therapy. This study aimed to validate these findings using a large cohort with 10-year follow-up.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

From 2 centers, 494 HBeAg-negative patients with HBV-LC who stopped (finite group) and 593 who continued (continuous group) Nuc therapy were recruited. HCC, HBsAg loss, liver-related mortality/transplantation, and overall survival rates were compared between 2 groups with 1:1 propensity score matching of sex, treatment history, types of Nuc, age, transaminases, platelet count, and HBsAg levels at end of therapy in finite group or 3-year on-therapy in continuous groups. During a median follow-up of 6.2 (3.4-8.9) years, the annual and 10-year HCC incidence were lower in finite group (1.6 vs. 3.3%/y and 10-y 15.7% vs. 26.8%, respectively; log-rank test, p <0.0001). The finite group showed greater HBsAg decline/year (-0.116 vs. -0.095 log 10 IU/mL, p =0.0026) and 7.6 times higher 10-year incidence of HBsAg loss (22.7% vs. 3%, p <0.0001). Multivariate Cox regression showed finite therapy an independent factor for HBsAg loss (adjusted HR: 11.79) but protective against HCC (adjusted HR: 0.593), liver-related mortality/transplantation (adjusted HR: 0.312), and overall mortality (adjusted HR: 0.382).

CONCLUSIONS

Finite Nuc therapy in HBeAg-negative HBV-LC may reduce HCC incidence, increase HBsAg loss, and improve survival. Greater HBsAg decline/loss may reflect enhanced immunity and contribute to the reduction of hepatic carcinogenesis.

Five-year on-treatment variables-based PPACS model predicts subsequent hepatocellular carcinoma in entecavir/tenofovir-treated patients

Considering the lower risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients receiving long-term potent antiviral therapy, models predicting HCC after 5 years of therapy are needed. We conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study to construct and validate a model predicting HCC after 5 years of entecavir (ETV) or tenofovir (TFV) therapy for CHB. The endpoint was HCC after 5 years of ETV/TFV therapy. Information on age, sex, liver cirrhosis (assessed by diagnosis code and confirmed by clinical findings) and type of antiviral agent was obtained at baseline (initiation of ETV/TFV). Laboratory values were collected at baseline and 5 years. Risk factors for HCC were identified in the training set and the final prediction model was validated using the test set. Among 7542 patients, 345 (4.6%) developed HCC after 5 years of ETV/TFV therapy. HCC risk after 5 years of ETV/TFV therapy was increased by 4-fold in patients with liver cirrhosis than in those without cirrhosis at baseline. Furthermore, Platelet counts and Prothrombin time at 5 years, Age at baseline and Sex were associated with risk of HCC and were incorporated into a prediction model, PPACS. PPACS showed a good performance with a time-dependent area under the curve of 0.80 (95% confidence interval, 0.75-0.85) at 8-year of ETV/TFV therapy, a Brier score of 0.031 and an integrated Brier score of 0.006 in the test set. In conclusion, the PPACS model provides a reliable assessment of HCC risk after 5 years of ETV/TFV therapy (https://ppacs.shinyapps.io/shiny_app_up/).

The effect of switch therapy to tenofovir versus entecavir maintenance on recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after surgery (SWITE): study protocol for a randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Antiviral therapy has been reported to be associated with lower recurrence rate of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) for patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. While entecavir (ETV) and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) were both recommended as first-line therapies for HBV patients, recent retrospective studies proposed a lower incidence rate of HCC occurrence or recurrence in those receiving TDF compared ETV. However, the survival benefits of switching to TDF therapy after prolonged ETV treatment before surgery remain uncertain. We delineate the rationale and design of SWITE, a randomized, open-label, phase III trial contrasting TDF switch therapy versus ETV maintenance in HBV-related HCC patients.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This is a prospective, randomized, controlled, single-center study with two parallel groups of patients with HBV-related HCC who have received long-term ETV therapy before surgery. West China Hospital will enroll 238 patients, randomized in a 1:1 ratio to TDF switch therapy or ETV maintenance after surgery. The primary endpoint of this study is 3-year recurrence free survival (RFS), with the secondary endpoint being 3-year overall survival (OS) after curative surgery of HCC. Safety events will be diligently recorded.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study protocol aligns with the ethical guidelines of the 1975 Declaration of Helsinki. It was approved by ethics committee of West China Hospital (approval number: 2022-074) and was registered with chictr.org.cn (chiCTR2200057867). Informed consent will be obtained from all participants. The results of this trial will be published in peer-reviewed journals and presentations at national and international conferences relevant to this topic.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

chiCTR2200057867 . Date of registration is March 20 2022.

An evaluation of 20-year survival of radiofrequency ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma as first-line treatment

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the changes in clinical characteristics, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) by investigating a 20-year cohort of patients with HCC who underwent RFA treatment.

METHODS

From 2000 to 2020, 505 consecutive patients with HCC underwent ultrasound-guided percutaneous RFA as first-line therapy at a tertiary cancer hospital. We divided the cohort according to the time when hepatitis-B antiviral therapy was covered by national medical insurance coverage (early 2011), including the first decade (2000-2010) and second decade (2011-2020). The prognostic factors for OS were analyzed by the Cox proportional hazard model. OS and PFS in different groups were compared using the Kaplan-Meier method. To reduce selection bias, matched groups of patients were selected using the propensity score matching (PSM) method.

RESULTS

In total, 726 RFA sessions were performed to treat 867 HCC lesions. Patients treated in the second decade were younger (p =.047), had smaller tumors (p <.001), had lower Child-Pugh scores (p <.001), and had a higher proportion of antiviral treatment (p <.001). A total of 96.0% of patients achieved technical efficacy from the initial RFA. After PSM analysis, improved PFS was found for the second decade (median, 68 vs. 49 months, p =.003), but no significant difference in OS was observed between the two groups (median, 71 vs. 65 months, p =.20).

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated that improved PFS was achieved in patients with HCC receiving RFA as first-line treatment in the second decade. However, long-term OS was not significantly increased compared to the first decade suggesting that while RFA treatment has improved, it still might not substantially affect OS results.

Unveiling the Role of Tumor-Infiltrating T Cells and Immunotherapy in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Comprehensive Review

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a rapidly rising global health concern, ranking as the third-leading cause of cancer-related mortality. Despite medical advancements, the five-year survival rate remains a dismal 18%, with a daunting 70% recurrence rate within a five-year period. Current systematic treatments, including first-line sorafenib, yield an overall response rate (ORR) below 10%. In contrast, immunotherapies have shown promise by improving ORR to approximately 30%. The IMbravel150 clinical trial demonstrates that combining atezolizumab and bevacizumab surpasses sorafenib in terms of median progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). However, the therapeutic efficacy for HCC patients remains unsatisfactory, highlighting the urgent need for a comprehensive understanding of antitumor responses and immune evasion mechanisms in HCC. In this context, understanding the immune landscape of HCC is of paramount importance. Tumor-infiltrating T cells, including cytotoxic T cells, regulatory T cells, and natural killer T cells, are key components in the antitumor immune response. This review aims to shed light on their intricate interactions within the immunosuppressive tumor microenvironment and explores potential strategies for revitalizing dysfunctional T cells. Additionally, current immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI)-based trials, ICI-based combination therapies, and CAR-T- or TCR-T-cell therapies for HCC are summarized, which might further improve OS and transform the management of HCC in the future.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Hepatitis: Advanced Diagnosis and Management with a Focus on the Prevention of Hepatitis B-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Though the world-wide hepatitis B virus (HBV) vaccination program has been well completed for almost thirty years in many nations, almost HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurs in unvaccinated middle-aged and elderly adults. Apparently, treating 80% of qualified subjects could decrease HBV-related mortality by 65% in a short period. Nevertheless, globally, only 2.2% of CHB patients undergo antiviral therapy. The HBV markers related to HCC occurrence and prevention are as follows: the HCC risk is the highest at a baseline of HBV DNA of 6-7 log copies/mL, and it is the lowest at a baseline of an HBV DNA level of >8 log copies/mL and ≤4 log copies/mL (parabolic, and not linear pattern). The titer of an HBV core-related antigen (HBcrAg) reflecting the amount of HBV covalently closed circular DNA (ccc DNA) in the liver is related to HCC occurrence. The seroclearance of HBs antigen (HBsAg) is more crucial than HBV DNA negativity for the prevention of HCC. In terms of the secondary prevention of hepatitis B-related HCC involving antiviral therapies with nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs), unsolved issues include the definition of the immune-tolerant phase; the optimal time for starting antiviral therapies with NAs; the limits of increased aminotransferase (ALT) levels as criteria for therapy in CHB patients; the normalization of ALT levels with NAs and the relation to the risk of HCC; and the relation between serum HBV levels and the risk of HCC. Moreover, the first-line therapy with NAs including entecavir (ETV), tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF), and tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) remains to be clarified. Discussed here, therefore, are the recent findings of HBV markers related to HCC occurrence and prevention, unsolved issues, and the current secondary antiviral therapy for the prevention of HBV-related HCC.

Lower risk of hepatocellular carcinoma with tenofovir than entecavir in antiviral treatment-naïve chronic hepatitis B patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis involving 90,897 participants

Entecavir (ETV) and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) are equally recommended as first-line treatments for antiviral treatment-naïve (ART-naïve) chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients by practice guidelines because of their similarly high antiviral efficacy and low resistance rate. However, whether one is superior to the other in terms of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prevention is currently largely controversial. We aimed to identify and synthesize these existing studies regarding the HCC risk of these two highly potent antivirals in treatment-naïve CHB patients. PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library were searched for studies between January 1, 2012 and June 25, 2022. These studies used ETV monotherapy and/or TDF monotherapy to treat ART-naïve CHB patients and reported the incidence of HCC. The extracted data were analyzed using a DerSimonian-Laird random-effects models. The HCC incidence difference was expressed as hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI). A total of 17 studies with 90,897 ART-naïve CHB patients (ETV = 60,980 vs TDF = 29,917) were included in this meta-analysis. Compared with ETV, TDF was associated with a significant lower cumulative incidence of HCC (HR 0.66; 95% CI 0.56-0.76). No significant heterogeneity or publication bias was found among the included studies (I2 = 48.1%, Begg's p = 0.363 and Egger's p = 0.748). TDF is associated with a lower risk of HCC compared with entecavir in ART-naïve CHB patients. The results suggest that TDF may be a better option for ART-naïve CHB patients with high HCC risks.

Incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma and mortality in chronic viral hepatitis in an Asian population with and without HIV infection

BACKGROUND

It is uncertain whether people with HIV infection have a higher incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) than the general population.

AIMS

To compare the incidence of HCC between people infected with HBV and/or HCV with and without HIV METHODS: We performed a retrospective population-based cohort study, involving people with HBV and/or HCV infection from 2001 to 2018. The primary endpoint was incidence of HCC; secondary endpoint was all-cause mortality. We performed Cox proportional hazard regression models to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) of HIV for the primary and secondary endpoints.

RESULTS

We identified 1374 people infected with HIV and 39,908 people without HIV with HBV and/or HCV infection. Among those with HIV, 654 (47.6%) had HBV, 649 (47.2%) HCV and 71 (5.2%) HBV-HCV-co-infection; they were younger, and had a higher prevalence of HCV and a lower prevalence of cirrhosis. The incidence rate estimates of HCC were, respectively, 1.5 (95% CI: 0.8-2.5) and 7.6 (95% CI 7.3-8.0) per 1000 person-years for those with and without HIV infection. Using multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models, among people with HBV, HIV was associated with lower risk of HCC (adjusted HR: 0.376, 95% CI: 0.201-0.704, p = 0.01) and death (adjusted HR: 0.692, 95% CI: 0.552-0.867, p = 0.007). Risks of HCC were similar for HCV and HBV-HCV co-infection for people with and without HIV.

CONCLUSIONS

Among individuals with HBV infection, the Incidence of HCC was lower in those with HIV. For HCV infection, incidence of HCC was similar between those with and without HIV.

Association between daily aspirin therapy and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma according to metabolic risk factor burden in non-cirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND

Several studies have demonstrated chemopreventive effects of aspirin against hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB).

AIMS

To investigate the associations of aspirin use with risks of HCC, liver-related mortality, and major bleeding according to metabolic risk factor burden among non-cirrhotic patients with CHB METHODS: Using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database, we identified 282,611 non-cirrhotic adults with CHB. Data on obesity, diabetes, high blood pressure, and hypercholesterolemia were collected. Subjects were stratified into lower and higher metabolic risk groups (≤2 and ≥3 risk factors, respectively). Propensity score-matched cohorts of aspirin users and non-users were generated. Risks of HCC, liver-related death and major bleeding were analyzed.

RESULTS

During the median follow-up of 7.4 years, positive associations between metabolic risk factor burden and outcomes were verified (all ptrend  < 0.001). In the lower metabolic risk group (13,104 pairs), the association between aspirin use and HCC risk was not significant after multivariable adjustment (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [aSHR]: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.84-1.03); however, aspirin use was associated with elevated major bleeding risk (aSHR: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.08-1.39). In the higher metabolic risk group (2984 pairs), aspirin use was associated with reduced risks of HCC (aSHR: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.57-0.91) and liver-related mortality (aSHR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.50-0.96) without an increase in risk of major bleeding (aSHR: 1.02; 95% CI: 0.79-1.32).

CONCLUSIONS

Aspirin therapy was associated with reduced risks of HCC and liver-related death without excess risk of major bleeding, in non-cirrhotic patients with CHB who had a higher metabolic risk factor burden.

DNA methylation markers in the detection of hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver malignancy and has a poor prognosis. Epigenetic modification has been shown to be deregulated during HCC development by dramatically impacting the differentiation, proliferation, and function of cells. One important epigenetic modification is DNA methylation during which methyl groups are added to cytosines without changing the DNA sequence itself. Studies found that methylated DNA markers can be specific for detection of HCC. On the basis of these findings, the utility of methylated DNA markers as novel biomarkers for early-stage HCC has been measured in blood, and indeed superior sensitivity and specificity have been found in several studies when compared to current surveillance methods. However, a variety of factors currently limit the immediate application of these exciting biomarkers. In this review, we provide a detailed rationalisation of the approach and basis for the use of methylation biomarkers for HCC detection and summarise recent studies on methylated DNA markers in HCC focusing on the importance of the aetiological cause of liver disease in the mechanisms leading to cancer.

Cost-effectiveness of treating all hepatitis B-positive individuals in the United States

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a leading cause of liver disease and related mortality globally. However, most of the infected individuals in the United States remain undiagnosed and untreated. There is a need to understand more completely the economic and disease burden impact of removing treatment restrictions and increasing diagnosis and treatment. The PRoGReSs model, a dynamic HBV model that tracks the infected population by year, disease stage, and gender, was used to quantify the disease and economic burden of chronic HBV infection in the United States from 2020 to 2050 based on four scenarios: a status quo (base) scenario and three treat-all scenarios, in which screening, diagnosis, and treatment were maximized at different annual treatment price levels of $5382, $2000 and $750. Compared to the base scenario, the treat-all scenarios would avert 71,100 acute and 11,100 chronic incident cases of HBV, and 169,000 liver-related deaths from 2020 to 2050. At an annual treatment cost of $2000, treating all HBV infections would be highly cost-effective, and at $750 would be cost saving and would achieve a positive return on investment before 2050. Maximizing the diagnosed and treated HBV population in the United States would avert a significant number of cases of advanced liver disease and related mortality. Such interventions can also be cost-effective compared to the status quo strategy, and cost saving at a treatment price threshold of $750 annually, above the current lowest annual treatment cost of $362.

ALT Is Not Associated With Achieving Subcirrhotic Liver Stiffness and HCC During Entecavir Therapy in HBV-Related Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

We investigated whether baseline and on-treatment alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels during entecavir (ETV) therapy are associated with achieving subcirrhotic liver stiffness (LS) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related cirrhosis.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 347 treatment-naïve patients with HBV-related cirrhosis, who started ETV between 2006 and 2011 and were followed up for >5 years without developing HCC. The study outcomes were achieving subcirrhotic LS at 5 years of ETV, and risk of HCC development beyond 5 years of ETV. Subcirrhotic LS was defined as <12 kPa by transient elastography.

RESULTS

After 5 years of ETV, 227 (65.4%) patients achieved subcirrhotic LS. During a median follow-up of 9.2 years, 49 (14.1%) patients developed HCC beyond 5 years of ETV. ALT levels at baseline, at 1 year of ETV therapy, and 5 years of ETV therapy were not associated with the probability of achieving subcirrhotic LS at 5 years of ETV therapy or risk of HCC development beyond 5 years of ETV therapy (all P > .05). Patients achieving subcirrhotic LS at 5 years of ETV therapy had significantly lower risk of HCC development than those who did not (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.33; 95% confidence interval, 0.17-0.64; P = .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline and on-treatment ALT levels were not associated with achieving subcirrhotic LS at 5 years of ETV therapy or with risk of HCC development beyond 5 years of ETV therapy in patients with HBV-related cirrhosis. Achieving subcirrhotic LS at 5 years of ETV therapy was independently associated with lower risk of HCC development beyond 5 years of ETV therapy.

Hepatocellular carcinoma prediction model performance decreases with long-term antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis B patients

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Existing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prediction models are derived mainly from pretreatment or early on-treatment parameters. We reassessed the dynamic changes in the performance of 17 HCC models in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) during long-term antiviral therapy (AVT).

METHODS

Among 987 CHB patients administered long-term entecavir therapy, 660 patients had 8 years of follow-up data. Model scores were calculated using on-treatment values at 2.5, 3, 3.5, 4, 4.5, and 5 years of AVT to predict threeyear HCC occurrence. Model performance was assessed with the area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC). The original model cutoffs to distinguish different levels of HCC risk were evaluated by the log-rank test.

RESULTS

The AUROCs of the 17 HCC models varied from 0.51 to 0.78 when using on-treatment scores from years 2.5 to 5. Models with a cirrhosis variable showed numerically higher AUROCs (pooled at 0.65-0.73 for treated, untreated, or mixed treatment models) than models without (treated or mixed models: 0.61-0.68; untreated models: 0.51-0.59). Stratification into low, intermediate, and high-risk levels using the original cutoff values could no longer reflect the true HCC incidence using scores after 3.5 years of AVT for models without cirrhosis and after 4 years of AVT for models with cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

The performance of existing HCC prediction models, especially models without the cirrhosis variable, decreased in CHB patients on long-term AVT. The optimization of existing models or the development of novel models for better HCC prediction during long-term AVT is warranted.

Current Therapy of Chronic Viral Hepatitis B, C and D

The majority of chronic viral hepatitis cases are induced via infection with the hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), or hepatitis D virus (HDV). These patients are at increased risk for progressive liver disease leading to cirrhosis as well as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). HBV infection is well controlled by the currently available nucleosides as well as nucleotides, and the development of cirrhosis can be prevented. Additionally, it has been shown that HBV-induced liver fibrosis can regress during successful antiviral treatment; however, a "functional cure", i.e., loss of HBsAg, is a rare event when these drugs are used. Therefore, novel therapeutic strategies are aiming at the selective suppression of HBsAg levels in combination with immunostimulation. The development of directly acting antivirals (DAAs) has revolutionized HCV therapy, as almost all patients can be cured via this treatment. Additionally, DAA therapy has few, if any, side effects, and is generally well tolerated by patients. HDV remains the most challenging type of chronic viral hepatitis. Although novel therapeutic options have recently been approved, response rates are still less favorable compared to HBV and HCV. This review discusses current and future options for the treatment of chronic HBV, HCV, and HDV infection.

The current and future burden of hepatitis B in Switzerland: a modelling study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Chronic hepatitis B infection (defined as sustained detection of hepatitis B virus [HBV] surface antigen [HBsAg] protein in serum) is a leading cause of cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma and liver-related deaths. A situation analysis carried out by the Swiss Federal Office of Public Health estimated the HBsAg prevalence in Switzerland to be 0.53% (95% CI: 0.32-0.89%) in 2015 (~44,000 cases). A lower prevalence of chronic HBV in the younger generation and the adoption of universal coverage in the first year of life are expected to decrease the burden of HBV; however, a number of people in key populations (including migrants) remain undiagnosed and untreated, and infected individuals remain at risk of progressing to cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma and death. Our primary objective was to examine the current and estimate the future disease burden of HBV in Switzerland and the impact of migration. The secondary objective was to estimate the impact of changing future treatment numbers.

METHODS

A modelling study was performed using an existing, validated model (PRoGReSs Model) applied to the Swiss context. Model inputs were selected through a literature search and expert consensus. Population data from the Federal Statistical Office were used alongside prevalence data from the Polaris Observatory to estimate the number of HBV infections among people born abroad. The PRoGReSs Model was populated with and calibrated to the available data and what-if scenarios were developed to explore the impact of intervention on the future burden of disease. A Monte Carlo simulation was used to estimate 95% uncertainty intervals (95% UIs).

RESULTS

In 2020, there were an estimated 50,100 (95% UI: 47,500-55,000) HBsAg+ cases among people born abroad. Among people born in Switzerland, there were approximately 62,700 (UI: 58,900-68,400) total HBV infections (0.72% [UI: 0.68-0.79%] prevalence). Prevalence among infants and children under the age of 5 were both <0.1%. By 2030, prevalence of HBV is expected to decrease, although morbidity and mortality will increase. Increasing diagnosis (90%) and treatment (80% of those eligible) to meet the global health sector strategy on viral hepatitis programme targets could prevent 120 cases of hepatocellular carcinoma and 120 liver-related deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

Thanks to the historical vaccination programmes and the continued rollout of universal 3-dose coverage in the first year of life, Switzerland is expected to exceed the global health sector strategy targets for the reduction of incidence. While overall prevalence is decreasing, the current diagnosis and treatment levels remain below global health sector strategy targets.

Liver-related mortality among people with hepatitis B and C: Evaluation of definitions based on linked healthcare administrative datasets

Routinely collected and linked healthcare administrative datasets could be used to monitor mortality among people with hepatitis B (HBV) and C (HCV). This study aimed to evaluate the concordance in records of liver-related mortality among people with an HBV or HCV notification, between data on hospitalization for end-stage liver disease (ESLD) and death certificates. In New South Wales, Australia, HBV and HCV notifications (1993-2017) were linked to hospital admissions (2001-2018), all-cause mortality (1993-2018) and cause-specific mortality (1993-2016) datasets. Hospitalization for ESLD was defined as a first-time hospital admission due to decompensated cirrhosis (DC) or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Consistency of liver death definition of mortality following hospitalization for ESLD was compared with two death certificate-based definitions of liver deaths coded among primary and secondary cause-specific mortality data, including ESLD-related (deaths due to DC and HCC) and all-liver deaths (ESLD-related and other liver-related causes). Of 63,292 and 107,430 individuals with an HBV and HCV notification, there were 4478 (2.6%) post-ESLD hospitalization deaths, 5572 (3.3%) death certificate liver disease deaths and 2910 (1.7%) death certificate ESLD deaths. Between 2001 and 2016, among HBV post-ESLD hospitalization deaths (n = 891), 63% (562) had death certificate ESLD recorded, and 83% (741) had death certificate liver disease recorded. Between 2001 and 2016, among HCV post-ESLD hospitalization deaths (n = 3587), 58% (2082) had death certificate ESLD recorded, and 87% (3135) had death certificate liver disease recorded. At least one-third of death certificates with DC and HCC as cause of death had no mention of HBV, HCV or viral hepatitis. Our study identified limitations in estimating and tracking HBV and HCV liver disease mortality using death certificate-based data only. The optimum data for this purpose is either ESLD hospitalisations with vital status information or a combination of these with cause-specific death certificate data.

Geographical disparities in hepatitis b virus related hepatocellular carcinoma mortality rates worldwide from 1990 to 2019

This study aims to evaluate global trends in hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HBV-HCC) related mortality over the past 30 years. Despite improvements in the treatment of both HBV and HCC, disparities in access to care and treatment persist, and these disparities may have affected HBV-HCC outcomes across certain global regions disproportionately. Using data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injury, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) from 1990 to 2019, we evaluated overall mortality rates related to HBV-HCC. From 1990 to 2019, overall global HBV-HCC mortality rate decreased by 30.3%. While most world regions experienced declines in HBV-HCC mortality, several regions also experienced significant increases in mortality, including Australasia, Central Asia, and Eastern Europe. When stratified by age, all age groups demonstrated declines in HBV-HCC mortality from 1990 to 2019. Similar trends were observed for both men and women. When stratified by world regions, HBV-HCC mortality in 2019 was highest in East Asia, which was significantly higher than the region with the next highest HBV-HCC mortality, Southeast Asia. Significant disparities in HBV-HCC mortality are observed among global regions. We observed higher HBV-HCC mortality rates with older age, higher mortality in males, and highest mortality in East Asia. The clinical significance of these findings are to highlight those regions that need more targeted resources to improve HBV testing and treatment to reduce the long term consequences of untreated HBV, such as HCC.

A Historical Overview on the Role of Hepatitis B and C Viruses as Aetiological Factors for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) are the leading cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide. Currently, HBV-related HCC predominates in Sub-Saharan Africa and South-East-Asia, while HCV-related HCC predominates in northern Africa and in the western world. Liver cirrhosis is the underlying condition in most HBV cases and in nearly all HCV cases. Several cofactors, viral and non-viral, play a role in the progression toward HCC: dual HBV/HCV infection, HDV, HIV, alcohol intake, smoking, diabetes mellitus, obesity, and NAFLD/NASH. HBV vaccine is effective in preventing both infection and HCC; antiviral drugs may suppress HBV replication and eradicate HCV infection, halting progression to HCC. Inequalities exist between high- and low-income countries with respect to vaccine availability and access to antivirals. These factors represent barriers to the control of HCC incidence. Lack of an effective vaccine against HCV is also a serious barrier to HCV elimination and HCC prevention. The most crucial steps and knowledge that have arisen over time on the association between the two major hepatotropic viruses and HCC are discussed in this historical review.

Evidence for Benefits of Early Treatment Initiation for Chronic Hepatitis B

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is the most common cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide. Antiviral treatment reduces the risk of HCC and mortality; nonetheless, globally in 2019, only 2.2% of CHB patients received treatment. Current international CHB guidelines recommend antiviral treatment only in subsets of patients with clear evidence of liver damage. This contrasts with hepatitis C or HIV where early treatment is recommended in all infected patients, regardless of end-organ damage. This narrative review aims to provide an overview of data on the early initiation of antiviral treatment and its related potential economic impact. Literature searches were performed using PubMed and abstracts from international liver congresses (2019-2021). Data on risk of disease progression and HCC and the impact of antiviral treatment in currently ineligible patients were summarized. Cost-effectiveness data on early antiviral treatment initiation were also collated. Accumulating molecular, clinical, and economic data suggest that early initiation of antiviral treatment could save many lives through HCC prevention in a highly cost-effective manner. In light of these data, we consider several alternative expanded treatment strategies that might further a simplified 'treatment as prevention' approach.

Risk of hepatic decompensation but not hepatocellular carcinoma decreases over time in patients with hepatitis B surface antigen loss

BACKGROUND & AIMS

We examined the long-term incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and hepatic decompensation among chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients who have achieved hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance.

METHODS

All adult CHB-monoinfected patients who cleared HBsAg between January 2000 and December 2020 were identified using a territory-wide database in Hong Kong. Patients who underwent liver transplantation and/or developed HCC before HBsAg seroclearance or less than 6 months follow-up were excluded. The primary and secondary endpoints were HCC and hepatic decompensation respectively.

RESULTS

We identified 9,769 patients with CHB who achieved HBsAg seroclearance (mean age 57 years, 60.0% male, 13.2% cirrhosis); most had compensated liver function at HBsAg loss. At a median (25th-75th percentile) follow-up of 4.6 (2.2-8.4) years, 106 (1.1%) patients developed HCC. Patients who developed HCC were older, more likely to be male and have cirrhosis, and had higher alanine aminotransferase and lower platelets at the time of HBsAg loss than patients without HCC. The cumulative incidence of HCC remained steady 0-7 and 8-12 years after HBsAg loss (p = 0.898) (crude annual incidence drop: -0.04%, 95% CI -0.13% to 0.04%, p = 0.265). Moreover, 124/9,640 (1.3%) patients developed hepatic decompensation. The growth in cumulative incidence of hepatic decompensation decelerated 8-12 years after HBsAg loss (p = 0.009) (crude annual incidence drop: -0.23%, 95% CI -0.40% to -0.06%, p = 0.012). In multivariable analysis, HBsAg loss for over 7 years was associated with a reduced risk of hepatic decompensation (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [aSHR] 0.55, 95% CI 0.31-0.97, p = 0.039) but not HCC (aSHR 1.35, 95% CI 0.83-2.19, p = 0.230).

CONCLUSION

HCC risk persists in patients after HBsAg loss, whereas the risk of hepatic decompensation decreases over time.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) still have a non-negligible risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after 12 years of HBsAg seroclearance, especially among those with cirrhosis. The risk of developing hepatic decompensation decreases over time after HBsAg seroclearance. In clinical practice, although patients with CHB who cleared HBsAg have a more favourable clinical outcome than those who remain chronically infected, long-term HCC surveillance would still be necessary for patients with cirrhosis and other high-risk subgroups after HBsAg seroclearance.

Machine learning-based model for predicting the esophagogastric variceal bleeding risk in liver cirrhosis patients

BACKGROUND

Liver cirrhosis patients are at risk for esophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB). Herein, we aimed to estimate the EGVB risk in patients with liver cirrhosis using an artificial neural network (ANN).

METHODS

We included 999 liver cirrhosis patients hospitalized at the Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University in the training cohort and 101 patients from Shuguang Hospital in the validation cohort. The factors independently affecting EGVB occurrence were determined via univariate analysis and used to develop an ANN model.

RESULTS

The 1-year cumulative EGVB incidence rates were 11.9 and 11.9% in the training and validation groups, respectively. A total of 12 independent risk factors, including gender, drinking and smoking history, decompensation, ascites, location and size of varices, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), γ-glutamyl transferase (GGT), hematocrit (HCT) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) levels as well as red blood cell (RBC) count were evaluated and used to establish the ANN model, which estimated the 1-year EGVB risk. The ANN model had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.959, which was significantly higher than the AUC for the North Italian Endoscopic Club (NIEC) (0.669) and revised North Italian Endoscopic Club (Rev-NIEC) indices (0.725) (all P <  0.001). Decision curve analyses revealed improved net benefits of the ANN compared to the NIEC and Rev-NIEC indices.

CONCLUSIONS

The ANN model accurately predicted the 1-year risk for EGVB in liver cirrhosis patients and might be used as a basis for risk-based EGVB surveillance strategies.

CAGE-B and SAGE-B models better predict the hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma after 5-year entecavir treatment than PAGE-B

OBJECTIVES

The PAGE-B model consists of variables at the initiation of antiviral therapy (AVT), whereas the SAGE-B and CAGE-B models consist of variables after 5 years of AVT. We aimed to compare the predictive accuracy of three risk prediction models for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development after 5 years of AVT in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB).

METHODS

A total of 1335 patients who initiated entecavir (ETV) treatment between 2006 and 2011 and were followed up for more than 5 years were enrolled in the study.

RESULTS

At ETV initiation, the median age was 49 years and the median score of the PAGE-B model was 14. After 5 years of ETV treatment, the median SAGE-B and CAGE-B scores were 6 and 6. During the study period, 93 (7.0%) patients developed HCC after 5-year treatment. In multivariate analysis, PAGE-B (hazard ratio [HR] 1.151, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.087-1.219), SAGE-B (HR 1.340, 95% CI 1.228-1.463), and CAGE-B (HR 1.327, 95% CI 1.223-1.440) models independently predicted HCC development after 5 years of treatment (all P < 0.001). The high-risk groups of the three risk prediction models showed a significantly higher risk of HCC development compared to the medium- and low-risk groups (both P < 0.05). The AUROC of the SAGE-B (0.772-0.844) and CAGE-B (0.785-0.838) models was significantly higher than those of the PAGE-B model (0.696-0.745) in predicting HCC development after 5 years of treatment (both P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

The SAGE-B and CAGE-B models might be better than the PAGE-B model in predicting HCC development after 5 years of ETV treatment.

Heat Shock Protein Family A Member 1 Promotes Intracellular Amplification of Hepatitis B Virus Covalently Closed Circular DNA

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) contains a partially double-stranded relaxed circular DNA (rcDNA) genome that is converted into a covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA) in the nucleus of the infected hepatocyte by cellular DNA repair machinery. cccDNA associates with nucleosomes to form a minichromosome that transcribes RNA to support the expression of viral proteins and reverse transcriptional replication of viral DNA. In addition to the de novo synthesis from incoming virion rcDNA, cccDNA can also be synthesized from rcDNA in the progeny nucleocapsids within the cytoplasm of infected hepatocytes via the intracellular amplification pathway. In our efforts to identify cellular DNA repair proteins required for cccDNA synthesis using a chemogenetic screen, we found that B02, a small-molecule inhibitor of DNA homologous recombination repair protein RAD51, significantly enhanced the synthesis of cccDNA via the intracellular amplification pathway in human hepatoma cells. Ironically, neither small interfering RNA (siRNA) knockdown of RAD51 expression nor treatment with another structurally distinct RAD51 inhibitor or activator altered cccDNA amplification. Instead, it was found that B02 treatment significantly elevated the levels of multiple heat shock protein mRNA, and siRNA knockdown of HSPA1 expression or treatment with HSPA1 inhibitors significantly attenuated B02 enhancement of cccDNA amplification. Moreover, B02-enhanced cccDNA amplification was efficiently inhibited by compounds that selectively inhibit DNA polymerase α or topoisomerase II, the enzymes required for cccDNA intracellular amplification. Our results thus indicate that B02 treatment induces a heat shock protein-mediated cellular response that positively regulates the conversion of rcDNA into cccDNA via the authentic intracellular amplification pathway. IMPORTANCE Elimination or functional inactivation of cccDNA minichromosomes in HBV-infected hepatocytes is essential for the cure of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. However, lack of knowledge of the molecular mechanisms of cccDNA metabolism and regulation hampers the development of antiviral drugs to achieve this therapeutic goal. Our findings reported here imply that enhanced cccDNA amplification may occur under selected pathobiological conditions, such as cellular stress, to subvert the dilution or elimination of cccDNA and maintain the persistence of HBV infection. Therapeutic inhibition of HSPA1-enhanced cccDNA amplification under these pathobiological conditions should facilitate the elimination of cccDNA and cure of chronic hepatitis B.

HBcrAg Predicts Hepatocellular Carcinoma Development in Chronic B Hepatitis Related Liver Cirrhosis Patients Undergoing Long-Term Effective Anti-Viral

Hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) is a predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. Studies on anti-viral therapy have shown that the use of NUC therapy in HBV patients could reduce the incidence of HCC. However, the incidence of HCC continues to increase after long-term anti-viral therapy. The relationship between HBcrAg and HCC development in CHB-related liver cirrhosis (LC) patients undergoing long-term anti-viral therapy is still unclear. This study enrolled 1108 treatment-naïve CHB patients diagnosed with HBV-related LC receiving NUC therapy from April 1999 to February 2015. The baseline biomarkers, disease history, and following results were collected by the hospital. Among the 1108 patients, 219 developed HCC within a median follow-up period of 6.85 years. A multivariable Cox regression model was used, with adjustment for age, gender, FIB-4, DM, and HBsAg-HQ. The adjusted hazard ratios for the HBcrAg tertile levels were 1.70 (95%CI: 1.21, 2.39) and 2.14 (95%CI: 1.50, 3.05) for levels 3.4-4.9 and >4.9 logU/mL, respectively, compared with levels ≤3.4. The effect of the HBcrAg level on HCC incidence was found to be significantly modified by HBsAg-HQ, where lower HBsAg-HQ (≤ 3) values were associated with a significantly higher risk, but HBsAg-HQ levels >3 were not. Our results highlight that, after adjustment for potential confounding factors, patients with CHB-related LC and higher HBcrAg levels are at significant risk for HCC development, even while undergoing long-term effective anti-viral therapy. The HBcrAg level is therefore an independent risk factor for HCC development, especially for patients with HBsAg-HQ levels <3.

Health inequalities in the management of chronic hepatitis B virus infection in patients from sub-Saharan Africa in high-income countries

Chronic hepatitis B virus disproportionately affects migrant communities in high-income countries, reflecting increased migration from sub-Saharan Africa. Chronic hepatitis B virus is endemic in sub-Saharan Africa, yet the natural history of chronic infection experienced by patients remains incompletely understood, with evidence of variability across genotypes and regions within sub-Saharan Africa. Clinical guidelines recommending treatment thresholds are not specific to sub-Saharan African patients and are based on natural history studies from Western Pacific Asian countries. Access to standard of care treatment is available for sub-Saharan African people with chronic hepatitis B virus infection in high-income countries; however, the evidence base for these treatments was not established in this cohort and areas of uncertainty remain, particularly regarding HCC surveillance and treatment discontinuation. Participation in phase III clinical trials for chronic hepatitis B therapies is almost non-existent amongst sub-Saharan African patients, even when residing in high-income countries that participate in multicentre trials. Engagement with sub-Saharan African patients with chronic hepatitis B in high-income countries is challenging because of the stigma associated with the diagnosis, absence of routine screening systems and the complexities involved in navigating the healthcare system. Nonetheless, improved engagement is critical if we are to achieve global hepatitis B virus elimination.

Incidence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Decompensated Liver Cirrhosis and Prognostic Accuracy of the PAGE-B HCC Risk Score in a Low Endemic Hepatitis B Virus Infected Population

Purpose

We aimed to determine incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and decompensated liver cirrhosis in persons with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in Denmark stratified by disease phase, liver cirrhosis, and treatment status at baseline. Additionally, we aimed to assess the prognostic value of the PAGE-B HCC risk score in a mainly non-cirrhotic population.

Patients and Methods

In this register-based cohort study, we included all individuals over the age of 18, with chronic HBV infection first registered between 2002 and 2016 in at least one of three nationwide registers. The study population was followed until HCC, decompensated liver cirrhosis, death, emigration, or December 31, 2017, which ever came first.

Results

Among 6016 individuals included in the study, 10 individuals with and 23 without baseline liver cirrhosis developed HCC during a median follow up of 7.3 years (range 0.0-15.5). This corresponded to five-year cumulative incidences of 7.1% (95% confidence interval (CI) 2.0-12.3) and 0.2% (95% CI 0.1-0.4) in persons with and without baseline liver cirrhosis. The five-year cumulative incidence of decompensated liver cirrhosis was 0.7% (95% CI 0.5-1.0). Among 2038 evaluated for liver events stratified by disease phase, incidence of HCC was low in all who were non-cirrhotic and untreated for HBV at baseline. PAGE-B score was evaluated in 1529 persons. The 5-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 0, 0.8 (95% CI 0.5-1.8), and 8.7 (95% CI 1.0-16.4) in persons scoring <10, 10-17 and >17, respectively (c-statistic 0.91 (95% CI 0.84-0.98)).

Conclusion

We found low incidence of HCC and decompensated liver cirrhosis in persons with chronic HBV infection in Denmark. Moreover, the PAGE-B score showed good accuracy for five-year risk of developing HCC in the population with chronic HBV infection in Denmark.

Hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma is one of the most common cancers worldwide and represents a major global health-care challenge. Although viral hepatitis and alcohol remain important risk factors, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is rapidly becoming a dominant cause of hepatocellular carcinoma. A broad range of treatment options are available for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, including liver transplantation, surgical resection, percutaneous ablation, and radiation, as well as transarterial and systemic therapies. As such, clinical decision making requires a multidisciplinary team that longitudinally adapts the individual treatment strategy according to the patient's tumour stage, liver function, and performance status. With the approval of new first-line agents and second-line agents, as well as the establishment of immune checkpoint inhibitor-based therapies as standard of care, the treatment landscape of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma is more diversified than ever. Consequently, the outlook for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma has improved. However, the optimal sequencing of drugs remains to be defined, and predictive biomarkers are urgently needed to inform treatment selection. In this Seminar, we present an update on the causes, diagnosis, molecular classification, and treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Validation of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk Prediction Models in Patients with Hepatitis B-Related Cirrhosis

Purpose

Several risk models have been developed to predict the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB); however, it remains unclear whether these models are useful for risk assessment in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related cirrhosis undergoing antiviral therapy.

Patients and Methods

A total of 252 treatment-naive cirrhosis patients with no history of HCC who underwent treatment with nucleos(t)ide analogues between January 2010 and July 2014 were enrolled. Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze the risk factors for HCC. "TimeROC" and "survival ROC" package, written for R, were used to compare the time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves for the predictability of the HCC risk scores.

Results

During the mean follow-up period of 56.96 months, 48 (19.0%) patients developed HCC. Cox multivariate stepwise regression analysis revealed that international normalized ratio (hazard ratio [HR] 2.771, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.462-5.254; P=0.002), alpha-fetoprotein (HR 1.001, 95% CI 1.000-1.003; P=0.035), diabetes mellitus (HR 3.061, 95% CI 1.542-6.077; P=0.001), and alcohol intake (HR 2.250, 95% CI 1.042-4.856; P=0.039) were independent indicators of the HCC risk. AUROC at 3 (0.739) and 5 years (0.695) for the REAL-B score were consistently higher than those of the other risk models except RWS-HCC. The time-dependent AUROC value at 1 year for the REAL-B score was similar to those of the other risk models. According to REAL-B score stratification (0-3, low; 4-7, moderate; and 8-13, high), the HCC risk rates at 1, 3, and 5 years were 2.4%, 5.6%, and 9.0% in the intermediate-risk group, and 7.2%, 21.1%, and 26.3% in the high-risk group, respectively (all P<0.001 between each pair).

Conclusion

REAL-B score showed a persistently high prognostic capability in predicting the HCC risk in HBV-related cirrhosis patients undergoing antiviral therapy.

Evaluation of high-risk factors and the diagnostic value of alpha-fetoprotein in the stratification of primary liver cancer

BACKGROUND

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is one of the diagnostic standards for primary liver cancer (PLC); however, AFP exhibits insufficient sensitivity and specificity for diagnosing PLC.

AIM

To evaluate the effects of high-risk factors and the diagnostic value of AFP in stratified PLC.

METHODS

In total, 289 PLC cases from 2013 to 2019 were selected for analysis. First, the contributions of high-risk factors in stratifying PLC were compared according to the following criteria: Child–Pugh score, clinical stage of liver cirrhosis, tumor size, and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage. Then, the diagnostic value of AFP was evaluated in different stratifications of PLC by receiver operating characteristic curves. For PLC cases in which AFP played little role, the diagnostic values of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9), gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), and AFP were analyzed.

RESULTS

The roles of high-risk factors differed in stratified PLC. The incidence of smoking and drinking history was higher in PLC with Child–Pugh scores of C (P < 0.0167). The hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection rate in PLC with cirrhosis was more than in PLC without cirrhosis (P < 0.0167). Small tumors were more prone to cirrhosis than large tumors (P < 0.005). BCLC stage D PLC was more likely to be associated with HBV infection and cirrhosis (P < 0.0083). AFP levels were higher in PLC with cirrhosis, diffuse tumors, and BCLC stage D disease. In diagnosing PLC defined as Child–Pugh A, B, and C, massive hepatoma, diffuse hepatoma, BCLC stage B, C, and D, and AFP showed significant diagnostic value [all area under the curve (AUC) > 0.700]. However, these measures were meaningless (AUC < 0.600) in small hepatomas and BCLC A stage PLC, but could be replaced by the combined detection of CEA, CA 19-9, GGT, and AFP (AUC = 0.810 and 0.846, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Stratification of PLC was essential for precise diagnoses and benefited from evaluating AFP levels.

Management of Chronic Hepatitis B in HIV-Coinfected Patients

Hepatitis B virus infection occurs in approximately 7% of people living with HIV (PLWH), with substantial regional variation and higher prevalence among intravenous drug users. Early studies on the natural history of HIV/HBV coinfection demonstrated that in coinfected patients, chronic hepatitis B (CHB) has a more rapid progression than in HBV-monoinfected patients, leading to end-stage liver disease complications, including hepatocellular carcinoma. Therefore, the adequate management of CHB is considered a priority in HIV-coinfected patients. Several guidelines have highlighted this issue and have provided recommendations for preventing and treating HBV infection. This article discusses the management of liver disease in patients with HIV/HBV coinfection and summarizes the current and future therapeutic options for treating chronic hepatitis B in this setting.

Clinical and virological features of chronic hepatitis B in the French National Surveillance Program, 2008-2012

Background & Aims

Among people living with HBV, only a subset of individuals with chronic hepatitis is in need of treatment, and this proportion varies according to the population, region, and setting. No estimates of the proportion of people who are infected with HBV and meet the treatment eligibility criteria in France are available.

Methods

552 treatment-naïve individuals with chronic HBV infection referred for the first time to a hepatology reference centre between 2008 and 2012 were prospectively included. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were analysed.

Results

In total, 61.1% of patients were males, with a median age of 37.5 years. Moreover, 64% were born in an intermediate- or high-HBV endemicity country, and 90% were HBeAg-negative. At referral, median HBV DNA and HBsAg levels were 3.3 and 3.6 log IU/ml, respectively; 37.8% of patients had alanine aminotransferase >40 U/L, and 29.0% had moderate or severe fibrosis (≥F2), including 9.4% with cirrhosis. The most prevalent genotypes were D (34.7%), E (27.4%), and A (25.7%). Coinfections were rare: 2.4% were HIV-positive, 4.0% were HCV-positive, and 6.0% were HDV-positive. According to the 2017 EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines, using a single time point analysis, 2.7% of patients were classified as HBeAg-positive chronic infection, 6.1% as HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B, 26.5% as HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B, and 61.1% as HBeAg-negative chronic infection, whereas 3.6% patients could not be classified. The performance of HBsAg level quantification to identify individuals with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B was poor. A total of 29.1% met the criteria for initiation of antiviral treatment, whereas 66.5% remained under routine clinical surveillance. Most eligible patients initiated recommended first-line therapies, including tenofovir (45.3%), entecavir (36.8%), or pegylated interferon alpha (11.6%).

Conclusions

Of all cases, 9.4% had cirrhosis at presentation and 29.1% met the 2017 EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines treatment criteria. HBsAg levels failed to accurately identify individuals with HBeAg-negative chronic infection.

Lay summary

Among French adults chronically infected with HBV referred for the first time to hepatology reference centres, about one-third had a significant liver disease. Approximately one-third of individuals met criteria for initiation of antiviral treatment based on entecavir or tenofovir or, occasionally, pegylated interferon alpha.

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In French adults with chronic hepatitis B infection, the most prevalent genotypes were D, E, and A.

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Patients were predominantly HBeAg-negative (90.0%).

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The seroprevalence of delta hepatitis was 6%.

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HBsAg quantification is not useful in identifying patients with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.

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A total of 29.1% of patients were eligible for antiviral treatment.

Impact of expanding hepatitis B treatment guidelines: A modelling and economic impact analysis

BACKGROUND

Antiviral treatment in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) may decrease the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and death. However, only 2.2% of CHB patients receive antiviral treatment globally. The complexity and strictness of the current clinical practice guidelines may limit expanding the treatment coverage for CHB.

AIMS

To examine the impact of expanding treatment criteria on future disease burden in Korea, a hepatitis B virus (HBV) endemic country with high diagnostic rates.

MATERIALS

Dynamic country-level data were used to estimate the HCC incidence, overall mortality and economic impact of three incremental scenarios compared to the base case in Korea through 2035.

RESULTS

In 2020, 1,409,000 CHB cases were estimated, with the majority born before 1995. All scenarios assumed treating 70% of eligible individuals. The first scenario removed viral load restrictions in cirrhotic patients, which would avert 13,000 cases of HCC and save 11,800 lives. The second scenario, lowering the alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level restriction to the upper limit of the normal in non-cirrhotic patients, would avert 26,700 cases of HCC and save 23,300 lives. The last scenario removed the restriction by ALT and HBeAg in treating non-cirrhotic individuals with a viral load of ≥2000 IU/ml, which would avert 43,300 cases of HCC and save 37,000 lives. All scenarios were highly cost-effective.

CONCLUSIONS

Simplifying and expanding treatment eligibility for CHB would save many lives and be highly cost-effective when combined with high diagnostic rates. These dynamic country-level data may provide new insights for their global application.

Trends in decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma among people with a hepatitis B notification in New South Wales

Background & Aims

Population-level trends and factors associated with HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis (DC), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and liver-related mortality are crucial to evaluate the impacts of therapeutic interventions.

Methods

Trends in HBV-DC and -HCC diagnoses and liver-related mortality in New South Wales, Australia, were determined through linkage of HBV notifications (1993-2017) to hospital admissions (2001-2018), mortality (1993-2018), and cancer registry (1994-2014) databases. Late HBV notification was defined as notification at or within 2 years of a DC or HCC diagnosis. Cox proportional-hazards regression and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate associated factors.

Results

Among 60,660 people with a HBV notification, 1,276 (2.0%) DC and 1,087 (1.8%) HCC diagnoses, and 1,219 (2.0%) liver-related deaths were documented. Since the early 2000s, the number of DC and HCC diagnoses increased; however, age-standardised incidence decreased from 2.64 and 1.95 in 2003 to 1.14 and 1.09 per 1,000 person-years in 2017, respectively. Similarly, age-standardised liver mortality decreased from 2.60 in 2003 to 1.14 per 1,000 person-years in 2017. Among people with DC and HCC diagnoses, late HBV notification declined from 41% and 40% between 2001-2009 to 29% and 25% in 2010-2018, respectively. Predictors of DC diagnosis included older age (birth <1944, adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.06, 95% CI 1.57–2.69), alcohol use disorder (aHR 4.82, 95% CI 3.96–5.87) and HCV co-infection (aHR 1.88, 95% CI 1.53–2.31). Predictors of HCC diagnosis included older age (birth <1944, aHR 3.94, 95% CI 2.91–5.32) and male sex (aHR 3.79, 95% CI 3.05–4.71).

Conclusion

In an era of improved antiviral therapies, the risk of HBV-related liver morbidity and mortality has declined. HCV co-infection and alcohol use disorder are key modifiable risk factors associated with the burden of HBV.

Lay summary

Rising hepatitis B-related morbidity and mortality is a major public health concern. However, the development of highly effective medicines against hepatitis B virus (HBV) has brought renewed optimism for its elimination by 2030. This study shows a steady decline in HBV-related liver morbidity and mortality in New South Wales, Australia. Moreover, late hepatitis notification has also declined, allowing individuals with HBV to have access to timely antiviral treatment. Despite this, hepatitis C co-infection and alcohol use disorder are key modifiable risk factors associated with HBV disease burden. To attain the desired benefits from highly effective antiviral treatment, managing comorbidities, including hepatitis C and high alcohol use, must improve among individuals with hepatitis B.

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The World Health Organization has set a 65% HBV mortality reduction target by 2030.

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Since the early 2000s, diagnoses of decompensated cirrhosis and HCC increased, but age-standardised incidence rates decreased.

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Age-standardised liver mortality rates decreased from 2.64 in 2003 to 0.97 per 1,000 person-years in 2017.

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Late HBV notification declined from 41% and 40% during 2001-2009 to 28% and 26% in 2010-2018, respectively.

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Hepatitis C co-infection and alcohol-use disorder are key modifiable risk factors associated with HBV disease burden.