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Midzi N, Kavhu B, Manangazira P, Phiri I, Mutambu SL, Tshuma C, Chimbari MJ, Munyati S, Midzi SM, Charimari L, Ncube A, Mutsaka-Makuvaza MJ, Soko W, Madzima E, Hlerema G, Mbedzi J, Mhlanga G, Masocha M. Inclusion of edaphic predictors for enhancement of models to determine distribution of soil-transmitted helminths: the case of Zimbabwe. Parasit Vectors 2018; 11:47. [PMID: 29351762 PMCID: PMC5775612 DOI: 10.1186/s13071-017-2586-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/03/2017] [Accepted: 12/11/2017] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Reliable mapping of soil-transmitted helminth (STH) parasites requires rigorous statistical and machine learning algorithms capable of integrating the combined influence of several determinants to predict distributions. This study tested whether combining edaphic predictors with relevant environmental predictors improves model performance when predicting the distribution of STH, Ascaris lumbricoides and hookworms at a national scale in Zimbabwe. Methods Geo-referenced parasitological data obtained from a 2010/2011 national survey indicating a confirmed presence or absence of STH among school children aged 10–15 years was used to calibrate ten species distribution models (SDMs). The performance of SDMs calibrated with a set of environmental and edaphic variables was compared to that of SDMs calibrated with environmental variables only. Model performance was evaluated using the true skill statistic and receiver operating characteristic curve. Results Results show a significant improvement in model performance for both A. lumbricoides and hookworms for all ten SDMs after edaphic variables were combined with environmental variables in the modelling of the geographical distribution of the two STHs at national scale. Using the top three performing models, a consensus prediction was developed to generate the first continuous maps of the potential distribution of the two STHs in Zimbabwe. Conclusions The findings from this study demonstrate significant model improvement if relevant edaphic variables are included in model calibration resulting in more accurate mapping of STH. The results also provide spatially-explicit information to aid targeted control of STHs in Zimbabwe and other countries with STH burden.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicholas Midzi
- Department of Medical Microbiology, College of Health Sciences, University of Zimbabwe, P.O. A178, Avondale, Harare, Zimbabwe.
| | - Blessing Kavhu
- Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Zimbabwe, P. O. Box MP 167, Mount Pleasant, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | - Portia Manangazira
- Ministry of Health and Child Care, P.O. Box, CY 1122 Causeway, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | - Isaac Phiri
- Ministry of Health and Child Care, P.O. Box, CY 1122 Causeway, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | - Susan L Mutambu
- National Institute of Health Research, P.O. Box 573 Causeway, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | - Cremants Tshuma
- Ministry of Health and Child Care, P.O. Box, CY 1122 Causeway, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | | | - Shungu Munyati
- Biomedical Research and Training Institute, P.O. Box CY 1753 Causeway, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | - Stanely M Midzi
- World Health Organization, PO Box CY 348 Causeway, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | - Lincon Charimari
- World Health Organization, PO Box CY 348 Causeway, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | - Anatoria Ncube
- Ministry of Primary and Secondary Education, P.O. Box CY1343, Causeway, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | | | - White Soko
- National Institute of Health Research, P.O. Box 573 Causeway, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | - Emmanuel Madzima
- National Institute of Health Research, P.O. Box 573 Causeway, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | - Gibson Hlerema
- National Institute of Health Research, P.O. Box 573 Causeway, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | - Joel Mbedzi
- National Institute of Health Research, P.O. Box 573 Causeway, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | - Gibson Mhlanga
- Ministry of Health and Child Care, P.O. Box, CY 1122 Causeway, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | - Mhosisi Masocha
- Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Zimbabwe, P. O. Box MP 167, Mount Pleasant, Harare, Zimbabwe
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Nausch N, Louis D, Lantz O, Peguillet I, Trottein F, Chen IYD, Appleby LJ, Bourke CD, Midzi N, Mduluza T, Mutapi F. Age-related patterns in human myeloid dendritic cell populations in people exposed to Schistosoma haematobium infection. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2012; 6:e1824. [PMID: 23029585 PMCID: PMC3459871 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0001824] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/13/2011] [Accepted: 08/06/2012] [Indexed: 01/17/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Urogenital schistosomiasis is caused by the helminth parasite Schistosoma haematobium. In high transmission areas, children acquire schistosome infection early in life with infection levels peaking in early childhood and subsequently declining in late childhood. This age-related infection profile is thought to result from the gradual development of protective acquired immunity. Age-related differences in schistosome-specific humoral and cellular responses have been reported from several field studies. However there has not yet been a systematic study of the age-related changes in human dendritic cells, the drivers of T cell polarisation. METHODS Peripheral blood mononuclear cells were obtained from a cohort of 61 Zimbabwean aged 5-45 years with a S. haematobium prevalence of 47.5%. Two subsets of dendritic cells, myeloid and plasmacytoid dendritic cells (mDCs and pDCs), were analyzed by flow cytometry. FINDINGS In this population, schistosome infection levels peaked in the youngest age group (5-9 years), and declined in late childhood and adulthood (10+ years). The proportions of both mDCs and pDCs varied with age. However, for mDCs the age profile depended on host infection status. In the youngest age group infected people had enhanced proportions of mDCs as well as lower levels of HLA-DR on mDCs than un-infected people. In the older age groups (10-13 and 14-45 years) infected people had lower proportions of mDCs compared to un-infected individuals, but no infection status-related differences were observed in their levels of HLA-DR. Moreover mDC proportions correlated with levels of schistosome-specific IgG, which can be associated with protective immunity. In contrast proportions of pDCs varied with host age, but not with infection status. CONCLUSIONS Our results show that dendritic cell proportions and activation in a human population living in schistosome-endemic areas vary with host age reflecting differences in cumulative history of exposure to schistosome infection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Norman Nausch
- Institute of Immunology and Infection Research, Centre for Immunity, Infection and Evolution, School of Biological Sciences, Ashworth Laboratories, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
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Bradley M, Chandiwana SK, Bundy DA, Medley GF. The epidemiology and population biology of Necator americanus infection in a rural community in Zimbabwe. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 1992; 86:73-6. [PMID: 1566314 DOI: 10.1016/0035-9203(92)90448-l] [Citation(s) in RCA: 52] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/27/2022] Open
Abstract
Baseline data from an epidemiological study of hookworm infection in a rural community in Zimbabwe are presented. The infection status of an age-stratified sample of the community was assessed using anthelmintic expulsion techniques. Necator americanus was the only helminth parasite found to be present. The age-prevalence and intensity profiles rose asymptotically to an adult prevalence of about 80% and adult mean burden of 7.7 worms per host. The overall mean burden was 4.8 worms per host. The frequency distribution of N. americanus was overdispersed and well described by the negative binomial distribution with a value for the aggregation parameter, k, of 0.346. Separate estimates of k were lower in males and older hosts. The distribution patterns were difficult to reconcile with any simple process of age-dependent acquisition of an effective immune response. A significant negative correlation was recorded between per caput fecundity and worm burden, providing evidence for a density-dependent regulation of female worm fecundity. The basic reproductive rate (R0 congruent to 2) was found to be similar to estimates from other geographical areas.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Bradley
- Blair Research Laboratory, Harare, Zimbabwe
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Keeley DJ, Neill P, Gallivan S. Comparison of the prevalence of reversible airways obstruction in rural and urban Zimbabwean children. Thorax 1991; 46:549-53. [PMID: 1926022 PMCID: PMC463268 DOI: 10.1136/thx.46.8.549] [Citation(s) in RCA: 133] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
The prevalence of reversible airways obstruction has been assessed in children in three areas in Zimbabwe--northern Harare (high socioeconomic class urban children), southern Harare (low socio-economic class urban children), and Wedza Communal Land (rural children from peasant families). Peak expiratory flow (PEF) was measured before and after six minutes' free running in 2055 Zimbabwean primary school children aged 7-9 years. Height and weight were measured and nutritional state expressed as a percentage of the 50th centile for age (Tanner-Whitehouse standards). Reversible airways obstruction was deemed to be present when peak expiratory flow was below the 2.5th centile for height before exercise and rose by more than 15% after inhalation of salbutamol and when it fell by 15% or more after exercise and rose again after salbutamol. The prevalence of reversible airways obstruction was 5.8% (95% confidence interval 4.1-7.5%) in northern Harare (n = 726); 3.1% (1.8-4.5%) in southern Harare (n = 642), and 0.1% (0.0-0.4%) in Wedza (n = 687). In northern Harare, the only study area in which white children were found, the prevalence of reversible airways obstruction was similar in white (5.3%, 10/188) and black (5.9%, 32/538) children. Indicators of nutritional state also showed no significant differences between white and black children in northern Harare but were lower in southern Harare and lower still in Wedza. Urban living and higher material standards of living appear to be associated with a higher prevalence of reversible airways obstruction in children in Zimbabwe.
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