Early prediction of acute pancreatitis: prospective study comparing computed tomography scans, Ranson, Glascow, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores, and various serum markers

Diagnosis and Management of Acute Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis is an inflammatory condition of the exocrine pancreas that is a common indication for hospital admission and has had an increasing incidence in the last few decades. The diagnosis of acute pancreatitis requires the satisfaction of two out of three criteria: (1) abdominal pain radiating to the back, (2) serum lipase or amylase levels three or more times the upper limit of the normal level, and (3) findings indicating pancreatitis obtained via a computed tomography (CT) scan or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). The different etiologies include gallstones, autoimmune disorders, alcohol abuse, smoking, hypertriglyceridemia, obesity, drugs, and post-endoscope retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP). The initial investigation includes serum amylase and lipase analysis, a lipid panel including triglycerides, analysis of immunoglobulins, a full blood count, electrolyte analysis, a hemoglobin A1c test, a complete metabolic panel, and transabdominal ultrasound. The initial therapy includes oxygen supplementation, the provision of intravenous fluids, pain control, and a nutrition regime. Early oral feeding is encouraged if tolerated; if not, liquid supplement provision or enteral tube feeding within 48 h of admission has shown better outcomes. Some complications of acute pancreatitis are necrosis, infection, insulin resistance leading to diabetes mellitus, and pancreatic exocrine insufficiency requiring enzyme supplementation. Patients need to attend regular follow-ups and abstain from alcohol and smoking (if warranted) to prevent the recurrence of acute pancreatitis. The mortality rate of acute pancreatitis has decreased in the past few decades because of better management skills, but the recent rise in acute pancreatitis episodes is concerning. Sustained endeavors through clinical trials are required to establish a broad variety of drugs that can be used for acute pancreatitis episodes.

Predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis: Current approaches and future directions

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a sudden-onset inflammatory disease of the pancreas. The severity of AP is classified into mild, moderate, and severe categories based on the presence and persistence of organ failure. Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) can be associated with significant morbidity and mortality. It requires early recognition for appropriate timely management. Prognostic scores for predicting SAP incorporating many clinical, laboratory, and radiological parameters have been developed in the past. However, all of these prognostic scores have low positive predictive value for SAP and some of these scores require >24 h for assessment. There is a need to develop biomarkers that can accurately identify patients at risk for SAP early in the course of the presentation. In this review, we aim to provide a summary of the most commonly utilized prognostic scores for AP and discuss future directions.

Penoscrotal Edema as a Rare Complication of Acute Pancreatitis: A Case Report

Background and Objectives: Scrotal swelling or hydrocele is a rare complication of acute pancreatitis described in the literature. We present a case of penoscrotal swelling caused by the first attack of acute interstitial edematous alcohol-induced pancreatitis in a young male patient. Case report: A 22-year-old man was admitted to the emergency unit due to diarrhea and vomiting since morning which was followed by severe abdominal pain. Urgent abdominal multislice CT scan showed steatosis, pancreatic swelling and acute peripancreatic fluid collection (interstitial edematous pancreatitis). Also, scan showed fluid between small bowel loops and along the anterior renal fascia, while there was minimal amount of fluid in the Douglas space. There was no sign of penoscrotal swelling. On the second day of admission, the patient developed left scrotal swelling and mild pain without erythema. On the fourth day, a control CT scan showed progression to moderately severe pancreatitis (CT severity index 4). Dilated scrotal veins of the pampiniform venous plexus with an increased caliber of the testicular veins were present on both sides, from the scrotum to the level of the inguinal canal. Penoscrotal swelling was significantly reduced on discharge. Conclusions: Penoscrotal swelling is a rare complication or manifestation of acute inflammation of the pancreas. It is important to identify scrotal swelling caused by pancreatitis because in severe cases it can be related to possible infertility in the future.

Aetiology, clinical profile, management and outcome of acute pancreatitis at public hospitals in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: a prospective observational study

Background

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a rare gastrointestinal pathology that has recently become increasingly common owing to lifestyle changes. Its clinical presentation ranges from mild discomfort to organ failure and death. Previous studies in Ethiopia reported that AP is rare. However, lifestyle changes have recently increased. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the aetiology, clinical profile, management, and outcomes of AP.

Methods

This prospective observational study included 59 adults diagnosed with AP using the Revised Atlanta Classification between November 2021 and August 2022 at five public hospitals in Addis Ababa. The data were analyzed using SPSS 25. The mean ± standard deviation and adjusted odds ratio (AOR) at 95% CI were used.

Results

The mean age was 38.2 (SD±11.5 years), mostly aged 30-44, with 67% males and 89.8% patients presenting with new-onset AP. Abdominal pain and nausea were the most common presentations in 93.2% of patients. More than 52.5% of AP cases were caused by alcohol, followed by gallstones (28.8%), and gallstones (47.1%) underwent cholecystectomy during the index admission. One patient (1.7%) died. The length of hospital stay ranges from 1-47 days and increases with the severity of AP. Patients with recurrent AP had a 2.4 folds increase in complications compared to new-onset AP (AOR=2.4, 95% CI=1.38, 15.71).

Conclusion

Most AP cases were caused by alcohol consumption, followed by gallstones, smoking, and hypertriglyceridemia. One death in a 60-year-old male with an alcohol and smoking history was diagnosed and triaged as severe AP with persistent multiple organ failure; BISAP score 4, his Creatinine=2.55 mg/dl, haematocrit 72.6%; and left shift of WBC, was associated.

Correlation between serum levels of PTX-3, SIL-2R, inflammatory markers, and APACHE II scores in patients with severe acute pancreatitis

To investigate the correlation of serum pentraxin 3 (PTX-3), soluble interleukin-2 receptor (SIL-2R), C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT) levels, and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) scores in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). A total of 30 patients with SAP from October 2020 to October 2021 were selected as the SAP group, and 42 patients with mild acute pancreatitis (MAP) or moderate-severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP) was selected as the control group. The serum levels of PTX-3, SIL-2R, CRP, PCT, and APACHE II scores were evaluated. The serum levels of PTX-3, SIL-2R, CRP, PCT, and APACHE II scores at admission in the SAP group were significantly higher than those in the control group (all P < .05). Spearman analysis showed that serum PTX-3, SIL-2R, CRP, and PCT levels were positively correlated with APACHE II scores (all P < .05). The mortality rate within 28 days was 26.7% in the SAP group; moreover, the serum PTX-3, SIL-2R, CRP, and PCT levels and APACHE II scores at admission in the death group were significantly higher than those in the survival group (all P < .05). The receiver operating curve showed that the combined prediction value of all indicators (PTX-3 + SIL-2R + CRP + PCT + APACHE II) was superior to the single indicators, and the diagnostic sensitivity and specificity were 90.9% and 84.2%, respectively. Serum PTX-3, SIL-2R, CRP, and PCT levels and APACHE II scores have high guiding significance in early diagnosis and prognostic evaluation of SAP patients.

Early prediction of severe acute pancreatitis using machine learning

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is one of the most common causes of gastrointestinal-related hospitalizations in the United States. Severe AP (SAP) is associated with a mortality rate of nearly 30% and is distinguished from milder forms of AP. Risk stratification to identify SAP cases needing inpatient treatment is an important aspect of AP diagnosis.

METHODS

We developed machine learning algorithms to predict which patients presenting with AP would require treatment for SAP. Three models were developed using logistic regression, neural networks, and XGBoost. Models were assessed in terms of area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) and compared to the Harmless Acute Pancreatitis Score (HAPS) and Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) scores for AP risk stratification.

RESULTS

61,894 patients were used to train and test the machine learning models. With an AUROC value of 0.921, the model developed using XGBoost outperformed the logistic regression and neural network-based models. The XGBoost model also achieved a higher AUROC than both HAPS and BISAP for identifying patients who would be diagnosed with SAP.

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning may be able to improve the accuracy of AP risk stratification methods and allow for more timely treatment and initiation of interventions.

The relationship between neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and clinal laboratory data in acute pancreatitis

Introduction: Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is one of the laboratory biomarkers used in clinical practice to predict severity and mortality of acute pancreatitis (AP), however, there is currently insufficient information about the changes of NLR in the dynamics in relationship with other clinical and laboratory data. Aims: To assess the relationship between NLR values and other demographics, clinical and simple laboratory data in patients with acute pancreatitis. Methods: The data of two hundred twenty-nine patients with AP were analyzed. All patients were divided into two groups: the group with a positive outcome and the group with a fatal outcome. NLR was counted on the 1st, 3rd and 5th day after admission in each group. The dynamics of NLR index by groups and days, as well as its correlation with other 18 simple laboratory parameters were evaluated. Results: The level of NLR rate itself was significantly higher on the 1st, 3rd and 5th day in the group with the fatal result compared with the group with the positive result (p < 0.05). In patients with AP with the positive result of treatment, there was a gradual decrease in the rate between the 1st and the 3rd day (-21.8%) (p < 0.05). The overall dynamics of the indicator between the 1st and the 5th day was -21.5%. In contrast to the group of patients with the fatal outcome, despite the infusion therapy, there was an increase in NLR rate between the 1st and 3rd day of +15.7%. The overall dynamics between the 1st and 5th day was -34.0%. A significant negative relationship of the Spearman's rank correlation coefficient between NLR on the 1st and 3rd day with the fatal outcome was revealed. The highest reliability of this indicator was found on the 3rd day after admission (p < 0.0001). In the group of patients with a positive result, a correlation between NLR on the 1st day and stabs on the 1st day, segmental forms on the 1st day, serum amylase on the 1st day was found. A very high correlation was found with the level of lymphocytes on the 1st day (rs = -0.98, p < 0001). In the group of patients with the fatal outcome, a statistically significant correlation (p < 0.05) of moderate strength was found between the value of NLR and the following indicators: glucose level on the 1st day, total protein on the 5th day, prothrombin index on the 5th day. A high correlation was found with the level of segmental forms on the 1st day (rs = 0.7) and a very high correlation with the level of lymphocytes on the 1st day (rs = -0.99). Conclusions: There was a significant increase in NLR on the 1st, 3rd, and 5th day in the group of patients with AP with the fatal outcome compared with the group of patients with AP with the positive result. Elevated NLR levels on the 1st and 3rd day seem to be associated with hospital mortality in patients with AP. No correlation was found between NLR rate and clinical data in the group with fatal outcome. The main indicators among simple laboratory parameters for determining the predictors of lethal outcome in AP in different periods after hospitalization were: the level of blood glucose, lymphocytes, total protein, serum amylase, prothrombin index.

Sequential organ failure assessment score is superior to other prognostic indices in acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common surgical condition, with severe AP (SAP) potentially lethal. Many prognostic indices, including; acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II score (APACHE II), bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP), Glasgow score, harmless acute pancreatitis score (HAPS), Ranson's score, and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) evaluate AP severity and predict mortality.

AIM

To evaluate these indices' utility in predicting severity, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and mortality.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 653 patients with AP from July 2009 to September 2016 was performed. The demographic, clinical profile, and patient outcomes were collected. SAP was defined as per the revised Atlanta classification. Values for APACHE II score, BISAP, HAPS, and SOFA within 24 h of admission were retrospectively obtained based on laboratory results and patient evaluation recorded on a secure hospital-based online electronic platform. Data with < 10% missing data was imputed via mean substitution. Other patient information such as demographics, disease etiology, and patient outcomes were also derived from electronic medical records.

RESULTS

The mean age was 58.7 ± 17.5 years, with 58.7% males. Gallstones (n = 404, 61.9%), alcohol (n = 38, 5.8%), and hypertriglyceridemia (n = 19, 2.9%) were more common aetiologies. 81 (12.4%) patients developed SAP, 20 (3.1%) required ICU admission, and 12 (1.8%) deaths were attributed to SAP. Ranson's score and APACHE-II demonstrated the highest sensitivity in predicting SAP (92.6%, 80.2% respectively), ICU admission (100%), and mortality (100%). While SOFA and BISAP demonstrated lowest sensitivity in predicting SAP (13.6%, 24.7% respectively), ICU admission (40.0%, 25.0% respectively) and mortality (50.0%, 25.5% respectively). However, SOFA demonstrated the highest specificity in predicting SAP (99.7%), ICU admission (99.2%), and mortality (98.9%). SOFA demonstrated the highest positive predictive value, positive likelihood ratio, diagnostic odds ratio, and overall accuracy in predicting SAP, ICU admission, and mortality. SOFA and Ranson's score demonstrated the highest area under receiver-operator curves at 48 h in predicting SAP (0.966, 0.857 respectively), ICU admission (0.943, 0.946 respectively), and mortality (0.968, 0.917 respectively).

CONCLUSION

The SOFA and 48-h Ranson's scores accurately predict severity, ICU admission, and mortality in AP, with more favorable statistics for the SOFA score.

Can we use endocan level to determine severity of pancreatitis?

Background and study aims

Endothelial cell specific molecule-1 (ESM-1), also known as endocan, is a soluble proteoglycan secreted by human vascular endothelial cells. In some studies, it has been found that endocan have important effects on cell adhesion, inflammation and angiogenesis. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the endocan level in patients with pancreatitis and the availability of endocan level in determining the severity of the disease.

Patients and methods

A total of 42 patients with pancreatitis and 33 healthy individuals were included in the study. The serum endocan levels in patients were evaluated 1st and 3 th days after the symptom's onset. Current scoring systems and the relationship between the severity of the disease and endocan levels were evaluated.

Results

The endocan levels of the patients on day 1 are significantly correlated only with the APACHE II score (p=0.039 r=0.319), while the endocan values on day 3 are significantly correlated with the BISAP (bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis) (p=0.013 r=0.380), APACHE II (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation)(p<0.001; r=0.53) and Ranson (p=0.037 r=0.32) scores. The cutoff level of endocan (day 3) was calculated 92.2 pg/ml (83% sensitivity and 50% specificity; p=0.039 area under the curve 0.706) for severe pancreatitis when considering the patients with a score of 8 or higher in the APACHE II scoring system.

Conclusion

Serum endocan level can be used as a marker of prognosis in patients with pancreatitis. However, studies involving large populations are needed on this matter.

The association of parameters of body composition and laboratory markers with the severity of hypertriglyceridemia-induced pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Hypertriglyceridemia has arisen as the third leading cause of acute pancreatitis. This study aimed at exploring the association between the severity of hypertriglyceridemia-induced pancreatitis (HTGP) and computed tomography (CT)-based body composition parameters and laboratory markers.

METHODS

Laboratory and clinical parameters were collected from 242 patients with HTGP between 2017 and 2020. Severity of HTGP was evaluated by original or modified CT severity index. Body composition parameters such as area and radiodensity of muscle, subcutaneous adipose tissue and visceral adipose tissue were calculated by CT at the level of third lumbar vertebra. Parameters were compared between mild and moderately severe to severe HTGP. Uni-variate and multi-variate Logistic regression analyses were employed to assess the risk factors of the severity of HTGP.

RESULTS

Seventy patients (28.9%) presented with mild HTGP. Body mass index, waist circumference and all CT-based body composition parameters differed between male and female patients. None was associated with the severity of HTGP, neither in males nor in females. Receiver operating characteristic curves showed that areas under the curves of apolipoprotein A-I and albumin to predict the severity of HTGP were 0.786 and 0.759, respectively (all P < 0.001). Uni-variate and further multi-variate Logistic regression analysis confirmed that low serum albumin (< 35 g/L, P = 0.004, OR = 3.362, 95%CI = 1.492-8.823) and apolipoprotein A-I (< 1.1 g/L, P < 0.001, OR = 5.126, 95%CI = 2.348-11.195), as well as high C-reactive protein (> 90 mg/L, P = 0.005, OR = 3.061, 95%CI = 1.407-6.659) and lipase (P = 0.033, OR = 2.283, 95%CI = 1.070-4.873) were risk factors of moderately severe to severe HTGP. Levels of albumin, apolipoprotein A-I, C-reactive protein and lipase were also associated with the length of hospital stay (all P < 0.05). Besides, low serum albumin, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and high radiodensity of subcutaneous adipose tissue were significant risk factors of pancreatic necrosis in patients with HTGP (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Low serum albumin and apolipoprotein A-I, and high C-reactive protein and lipase upon admission were associated with a more severe type of HTGP and longer hospital stay for these patients. Albumin and apolipoprotein A-I may serve as novel biomarkers for the severity of HTGP. However, none of the body composition parameters was associated with the severity of HTGP.

The Relationship Between Neutrophil-Lymphocyte and Platelet-Lymphocyte Ratios With Hospital Stays and Mortality in the Emergency Department

Background Most acute pancreatitis scoring is made in the first 48-72 hours or later. Like many inflammatory processes, Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR) can be useful in showing the severity and extent of inflammation in acute pancreatitis. Our study aimed to evaluate whether these rates affect mortality according to the NLR and PLR values ​​of patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis by examining the blood samples taken within the first hour after admission to the emergency department rates are useful in predicting the length of stay. Methods In our retrospective study, 557 patients applied to our clinic for 4.5 years, whose amylase and lipase values ​​were higher than two times the cut-off value in blood tests and whose CT imaging was compatible with acute pancreatitis were included in the study. Results The median length of hospitalization of the patients was 4.0 (3.0-6.0) days. Gallstones were detected in 320 (57.5%) patients. Mortality of less than a year was observed in 45 (8.1%) of the study population. Eighteen of the patients (3.2%) showed the need for follow-up in the intensive care unit. A statistically significant relationship was found between mortality and variables hematocrit (HCT), red cell distribution width (RDW),c-reactive protein CRP), glucose, urea, potassium, albumin, PLR, and NLR (p <0.05). A statistically significant correlation was observed between RDW, NLR, glucose, and CRP levels in the two groups divided according to the median value of 4 days we found on hospitalization (p <0.05). According to the graphics and test results obtained by ROC analysis, the mortality status can be predicted at a statistically significant level with PLR and NLR diagnostic tests (p <0.05). Conclusion High levels of NLR, PLR, RDW, glucose, CRP, urea, potassium, low albumin and hematocrit values ​​at the first admission in the Emergency Service seem to be associated with increased 1-year mortality in acute pancreatitis.

Severe acute pancreatitis: capillary permeability model linking systemic inflammation to multiorgan failure

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) includes persistent systemic inflammation (SIRS) and multiorgan failure (MOF). The mechanism of transition from SIRS to MOF is unclear. We developed a fluid compartment model and used clinical data to test predictions. The model includes vascular, interstitial and "third-space" compartments with variable permeability of plasma proteins at the capillaries. Consented patients from University of Pittsburgh Medical Center Presbyterian Hospital were studied. Preadmission and daily hematocrit (HCT), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), creatine (Cr), albumin (Alb), and total protein (TP) were collected, and nonalbumin plasma protein (NAPP = TP minus the Alb) was calculated. Subjects served as their own controls for trajectory analysis. Of 57 SAP subjects, 18 developed MOF (5 died), and 39 were non-MOF (0 died). Compared with preadmission levels, admission HCT increased in MOF +5.00 [25%-75% interquartile range, IQR] versus non-MOF -0.10 [-1.55, 1.40] (P < 0.002) with HCT > +3 distinguishing MOF from non-MOF (odds ratio 17.7, P = 0.014). Preadmission Alb fell faster in MOF than non-MOF (P < 0.01). By day 2, TP and NAPP dropped in MOF but not non-MOF (P < 0.001). BUN and Cr levels increased in MOF (P = 0.001), but BUN-to-Cr ratios remained constant. Pancreatic necrosis was more common in MOF (56%) than non-MOF (23%). Changing capillary permeability to allow loss of NAPP in this model predicts loss of plasma oncotic pressure and reduced vascular volume, hypotension with prerenal azotemia and acute kidney dysfunction, pancreas necrosis, and pulmonary edema from capillary leak in the lung with acute respiratory distress syndrome. Sequential biomarker analysis in humans with or without MOF is consistent with this model. This study is registered on https://clinicaltrials.gov at NCT03075605.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Acute pancreatitis is a sudden inflammatory response to pancreatic injury that may spread to systemic inflammation, multiorgan failure, and death in some patients. With the use of the predictions of a new mechanistic model, we compared patients with severe acute pancreatitis with or without multiorgan failure. All biomarkers of capillary leak and clinical features of multiorgan failure were accurately predicted. This provides a new paradigm for understanding and developing new treatments for patients with severe acute pancreatitis.

Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio and Thrombocyte to Lymphocyte Ratio, New Biochemical Parameters in Acute Pancreatitis

Background. Acute pancreatitis represents an inflammatory disease with different grades of severity, ranging from mild to severe presentation. In current practice there are a lot of biomarkers used in diagnosis and prognosis of pancreatitis.

The aim of this study was to evaluate de differences between a group with acute pancreatitis and a group of healthy people regarding the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), thrombocyte to lymphocyte ratio (TLR), as these two could help in the evaluation of prognosis and severity of acute pancreatitis.

Method. The study had two groups: group A, included 100 patients with acute pancreatitis and group B - 30 healthy people.

Results. In the group A there were 65% male and 35 % female with a mean age of 58.07±15.10 years, in the group B there were 50% male and 50% female with a mean age of 48.06±15.47 years. The majority of the people included in both groups were from the urban provenience. We obtained an important difference between group A and group B regarding the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and thrombocyte to lymphocyte ratio with an important statistical significance (p<0.001).

Conclusion. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and thrombocyte to lymphocyte ratio could be promising biochemical parameters in diagnosis and prognosis of acute pancreatitis.

Prediction of Self-Limited Acute Pancreatitis Cases at Admission to Emergency Unit

Background

While acute pancreatitis (AP) resolves spontaneously with supportive treatment in most patients, it may be life-threatening. Predicting the disease severity at onset dictates the management strategy. We aimed to define the patients with mild pancreatitis who may be considered for outpatient management with significant cost-savings.

Materials and Methods

This prospective observational study included 180 patients with mild AP according to the harmless acute pancreatitis score (HAPS) and Imrie score. The relationships of biochemical parameters with the changes in the Balthazar score and clinical course were examined.

Results

The study included 180 patients (111 females, 69 males; mean age: 53.9 ± 17.2 years; range: 17-92 years). The etiology was biliary in 118 (65%) patients and remained undetermined in 38 (21.1%) patients. Computed tomography (CT) performed within the first 12 h revealed mild and moderate AP in 159 (88.3%) and 21 (11.7%) patients, respectively. CT repeated at 72 h revealed mild, moderate, and severe AP in 155 (86.1%), 24 (13.3%), and 1 (0.6%) patients, respectively. Comparisons between stages A + B + C and D + E showed significant differences in the amylase levels on day 1 and 3, and in C-reactive protein on day 3. Also, in stage D and E disease, narcotic analgesic intake, oral intake onset time, and pain were significantly higher.

Conclusion

There were no significant changes in the CT findings of patients with mild AP at 12 and 72 h. Most patients (n = 179; 99.4%) recovered uneventfully. Patients with mild pancreatitis according to the HAPS and Imrie scores can be considered for outpatient management. The recovery is longer in stage D and E disease.

Association of elevated serum triglyceride levels with a more severe course of acute pancreatitis: Cohort analysis of 1457 patients

BACKGROUND

Previous publications have reported an association between hypertriglyceridemia (HTG) and severity of acute pancreatitis, but this relationship remains somewhat controversial.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the outcome of acute pancreatitis according to serum triglyceride levels on admission.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data, which included all consecutive cases of acute pancreatitis admitted to a tertiary hospital (January 2002-December 2014). Acute pancreatitis patients were classified into 3 groups based on serum triglyceride levels (mg/dl) measured within 48 h from admission: normal triglycerides-mild HTG (<200); moderate HTG (200-749); severe HTG (≥750). Primary outcomes were the difference in organ failure, pancreatic necrosis, acute peripancreatic collections and mortality among the three groups.

RESULTS

A total of 1,457 cases were included: 1,335 with normal-mild HTG, 77 with moderate HTG and 45 with severe HTG. The rates of organ failure (11.2% in normal-mild HTG group, 15.6% in moderate HTG and 20.0% in severe HTG), persistent multiple organ failure (2.5% vs. 5.2% vs. 6.7%), pancreatic necrosis (9.2% vs. 14.3% vs. 26.7%) and acute collections (21.6% vs. 40.3% vs. 55.6%) increased significantly with hypertriglyceridemia severity grades. On multivariate analysis, triglycerides as a quantitative variable, evaluated in increments of 100 mg/dl, was independently associated with organ failure, pancreatic necrosis, acute collections and mortality (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated serum triglyceride levels are independently associated with a more severe course of pancreatitis. It must be highlighted the elevated frequency of local complications in patients with HTG that increases proportionally and significantly with HTG severity grades.

Early Prediction of the Severity of Acute Pancreatitis Using Radiologic and Clinical Scoring Systems With Classification Tree Analysis

OBJECTIVE

The objective of our study was to develop a decision tree model for the early prediction of the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP) using clinical and radiologic scoring systems.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

For this retrospective study, 192 patients with AP who underwent CT 72 hours or less after symptom onset were divided into two cohorts: a training cohort (n = 115) and a validation cohort (n = 77). Univariate analysis was performed to identify significant parameters for the prediction of severe AP in the training cohort. For early prediction of disease severity, a classification tree analysis (CTA) model was constructed using significant scoring systems shown by univariate analysis. To assess the diagnostic performance of the model, we compared the area under the ROC curve (AUC) with each selected single parameter. We also evaluated the diagnostic performance in the validation cohort.

RESULTS

The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE)-II score, bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) score, extrapancreatic inflammation on CT (EPIC) score, and Balthazar grade were included in the CTA model. In the training cohort, our CTA model showed a trend of a higher AUC (0.853) than the AUC of each single parameter (APACHE-II score, 0.835; BISAP score, 0.842; EPIC score, 0.739; Balthazar grade, 0.700) (all, p > 0.0125) while achieving specificity (100%) higher than and accuracy (94.8%) comparable to each single parameter (both, p < 0.0125). In the validation cohort, the CTA model achieved diagnostic performance similar to the training cohort with an AUC of 0.833.

CONCLUSION

Our CTA model consisted of clinical (i.e., APACHE-II and BISAP scores) and radiologic (i.e., Balthazar grade and EPIC score) scoring systems and may be useful for the early prediction of the severity of AP and identification of high-risk patients who require close surveillance.

Preventing Hospitalization in Mild Acute Pancreatitis Using a Clinical Pathway in the Emergency Department

GOALS

We created an observation pathway with close outpatient follow-up for patients with mild acute pancreatitis (AP) to determine its effect on admission rates, length of stay (LOS), and costs.

BACKGROUND

AP is a common reason for hospitalization costing $2.6 billion annually. Majority have mild disease and improve quickly but have unnecessarily long hospital stays.

STUDY

We performed a pilot prospective cohort study in patients with AP at a tertiary-care center. In total, 90 patients with AP were divided into 2 groups: observation cohort and admitted cohort. Exclusion criteria from observation included end-organ damage, pancreatic complications, and/or severe cardiac, liver, and renal disease. Patients in observation received protocolized hydration and periodic reassessment in the emergency department and were discharged with outpatient follow-up. Using similar exclusion criteria, we compared outcomes with a preintervention cohort composed of 184 patients admitted for mild AP in 2015. Our primary outcome was admission rate, and secondary outcomes were LOS, patient charges, and 30-day readmission.

RESULTS

Admitted and preintervention cohorts had longer LOS compared with the observation cohort (89.7 vs. 22.6 h, P<0.01 and 72.0 vs. 22.6 h, P<0.01). The observation cohort admission rate was 22.2% lower than the preintervention cohort (P<0.01) and had 43% lower patient charges ($5281 vs. $9279, P<0.01). Moreover there were significantly fewer imaging studies performed (25 vs. 49 images, P=0.03) in the observation cohort. There were no differences in readmission rates and mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

In this feasibility study, we demonstrate that a robust pathway can prevent hospitalization in those with AP and may reduce resource utilization without a detrimental impact on safety.

Extra-pancreatic complications, especially hemodialysis predict mortality and length of stay, in ICU patients admitted with acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) with acute pancreatitis (AP) are at risk for extra-pancreatic complications given their severe illness and prolonged length of stay. We sought to determine the rate of extra-pancreatic complications and its effect on length of stay (LOS) and mortality in ICU patients with AP.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of ICU patients admitted to a tertiary-care center with a diagnosis of AP. A total of 287 ICU patients had a discharge diagnosis of AP, of which 163 met inclusion criteria. We calculated incidence rates of extra-pancreatic complications and performed a univariate and multi-variable analysis to determine predictors of LOS and mortality.

RESULTS

There were a total of 158 extra-pancreatic complications (0.97 extra-pancreatic complications per patient). Ninety-five patients had at least one extra-pancreatic complication, whereas 68 patients had no extra-pancreatic complications. Patients with extra-pancreatic complications had a significantly longer LOS (14.7 vs 8.8 days, p < 0.01) when controlling for local pancreatic complications. Patients with non-infectious extra-pancreatic complications had a higher rate of mortality (24.0% vs 16.2%, p = 0.04). Patients requiring dialysis was an independent predictor for LOS and mortality (incidence risk ratio [IRR] 1.73, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.263-2.378 and IRR 1.50, 95% CI 1.623-6.843, p < 0.01) on multi-variable analysis. Coronary events were also a predictor for mortality (p = 0.05). Other extra-pancreatic complications were not significant.

CONCLUSIONS

Extra-pancreatic complications occur frequently in ICU patients with AP and impact LOS. Patients with non-infectious extra-pancreatic complications have a higher mortality rate. After controlling for local pancreatic complications, patients requiring dialysis remained an independent predictor for LOS and mortality.

Are traditional scoring systems for severity stratification of acute pancreatitis sufficient?

BACKGROUNDS/AIMS

Ranson's score (RS) and Glasgow score (GS) have been utilized to stratify the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP). The aim of this study was to validate RS and GS for stratifying the severity of acute pancreatitis and audit our experience of managing AP.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective review of patients treated for AP from July 2009 to September 2016. Final severity was determined using the revised Atlanta classification. Mortality and complications were analyzed.

RESULTS

From July 2009 to September 2016, a total of 675 patients with a diagnosis of AP were admitted at the hospital. Of them, 669 patients who had sufficient data were analyzed. Their average age±SD was 58.7±17.4 years (range, 21-98 years). There was a male preponderance (n=393, 53.8%). A total of 82 (12.3%) patients had eventual severe pancreatitis. RS demonstrated a sensitivity of 92.7% and a specificity of 52.8% with a positive predictive value (PPV) of 21.5% and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 98.1%. GS demonstrated a sensitivity of 76.8% and a specificity of 69.2% with a PPV of 25.8% and a NPV of 95.5%. For severity prediction, areas under the curve (AUCs) for RS and GS were 0.848 (95% CI: 0.819-0.875) and 0.784 (95% CI: 0.750-0.814), respectively (p=0.003). Twelve (1.6%) patients died in the hospital.

CONCLUSIONS

RS has higher sensitivity, NPV and AUC for predicting severity of AP than GS.

Potential Prediction of Acute Biliary Pancreatitis Outcome on Admission

OBJECTIVES

This pilot study aimed to determine the feasibility of serum values of osteonectin, adiponectin, transforming growth factor beta 1, and neurotensin being used in clinical practice to predict the severity of acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

Blood samples were collected from 45 consecutive newly diagnosed acute pancreatitis patients and 30 matched healthy controls. The 2 groups were matched according to age, sex, weight, height, diabetes, smoking, and alcohol consumption. The aforementioned markers were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay kits.

RESULTS

Characteristics of acute pancreatitis patients and healthy controls were comparable. Osteonectin values differed significantly (P < 0.0001). Median/lower quartile/upper quartile of osteonectin levels for acute pancreatitis patients and healthy controls were 263.5/110.3/490.36 and 63.2/46.1/87.2 ng/mL, respectively. Two patients died, 1 patient underwent necrosectomy, and 4 patients had a prolonged intensive care unit/hospital stay. Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II and Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome scores neither predicted serum values of any of the measured substances nor the clinical outcome (need for intervention, prolonged intensive care unit/hospital stay and mortality). Osteonectin was the only independent predictor for clinical outcome (P = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum osteonectin strongly discriminates healthy individuals from acute pancreatitis patients. Serum osteonectin shows promise in the prediction of the clinical outcome.

Validation of AAST EGS Grade for Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

The AAST recently developed an emergency general surgery (EGS) disease grading system to measure anatomic severity. We aimed to validate this grading system for acute pancreatitis and compare cross sectional imaging-based AAST EGS grade and compare with several clinical prediction models. We hypothesize that increased AAST EGS grade would be associated with important physiological and clinical outcomes and is comparable to other severity grading methods.

METHODS

Single institution retrospective review of adult patients admitted with acute pancreatitis during 10/2014-1/2016 was performed. Patients without imaging were excluded. Imaging, operative, and pathological AAST grades were assigned by two reviewers. Summary and univariate analyses were performed. AUROC analysis was performed comparing AAST EGS grade with other severity scoring systems.

RESULTS

There were 297 patients with a mean (±SD) age of 55 ± 17 years; 60% were male. Gallstone pancreatitis was the most common etiology (28%). The overall complication, mortality, and ICU admission rates were 51, 1.3, and 25%, respectively. The AAST EGS imaging grade was comparable to other severity scoring systems that required multifactorial data for readmission, mortality, and length of stay.

CONCLUSIONS

The AAST EGS grade for acute pancreatitis demonstrates initial validity; patients with increasing AAST EGS grade demonstrated longer hospital and ICU stays, and increased rates of readmission. AAST EGS grades assigned using cross sectional imaging findings were comparable to other severity scoring systems. Further studies should determine the generalizability of the AAST system.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

IV Study Type: Single institutional retrospective review.

Management of Acute Pancreatitis in the Pediatric Population: A Clinical Report From the North American Society for Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition Pancreas Committee

BACKGROUND

Although the incidence of acute pancreatitis (AP) in children is increasing, management recommendations rely on adult published guidelines. Pediatric-specific recommendations are needed.

METHODS

The North American Society for Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition Pancreas committee performed a MEDLINE review using several preselected key terms relating to management considerations in adult and pediatric AP. The literature was summarized, quality of evidence reviewed, and statements of recommendations developed. The authorship met to discuss the evidence, statements, and voted on recommendations. A consensus of at least 75% was required to approve a recommendation.

RESULTS

The diagnosis of pediatric AP should follow the published INternational Study Group of Pediatric Pancreatitis: In Search for a CuRE definitions (by meeting at least 2 out of 3 criteria: (1) abdominal pain compatible with AP, (2) serum amylase and/or lipase values ≥3 times upper limits of normal, (3) imaging findings consistent with AP). Adequate fluid resuscitation with crystalloid appears key especially within the first 24 hours. Analgesia may include opioid medications when opioid-sparing measures are inadequate. Pulmonary, cardiovascular, and renal status should be closely monitored particularly within the first 48 hours. Enteral nutrition should be started as early as tolerated, whether through oral, gastric, or jejunal route. Little evidence supports the use of prophylactic antibiotics, antioxidants, probiotics, and protease inhibitors. Esophago-gastro-duodenoscopy, endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography, and endoscopic ultrasonography have limited roles in diagnosis and management. Children should be carefully followed for development of early or late complications and recurrent attacks of AP.

CONCLUSIONS

This clinical report represents the first English-language recommendations for the management of pediatric AP. Future aims should include prospective multicenter pediatric studies to further validate these recommendations and optimize care for children with AP.

The diffuse reduction in spleen density: an indicator of severe acute pancreatitis?

We observed that acute pancreatitis (AP) was associated with diffuse reduction in spleen density (DROSD) in some patients. Furthermore, the condition of these patients was more serious, and the potential relationship between DROSD and structural and functional injury of the spleen remained unclear. Therefore, we performed a preliminary exploration of these factors. We analysed pertinent clinical data for AP patients with normal spleen density (control group) and for those with DROSD (reduction group) at the First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University (June 2013–June 2015). We measured the immunoglobulin M (IgM) B-cells of the AP patients and examined pancreatic and splenic tissues from AP rats with optical microscopy and TEM. The reduction group had a higher acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, a longer length of stay (LOS) and lower serum calcium than the control group. The levels of triglycerides (TG) and total cholesterol (TC) did not differ significantly between the two groups. The percentage of IgM memory B-cells was significantly lower in the DROSD group than in the control group. TEM revealed that the spleen T-lymphocytes were normal in AP rats, but pyroptotic and necrotic spleen B-cells were observed in the severe AP rats. In AP, DROSD was an independent indicator of more severe conditions. Furthermore, spleen B-lymphocytes showed obvious damage at the cellular level, and the immunological function of the spleen was down-regulated when AP was associated with DROSD.

Role of Clinical, Biochemical, and Imaging Parameters in predicting the Severity of Acute Pancreatitis

AIM

The assessment of the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP) is important for proper management of the disease and for its prognosis. The aim was to correlate clinical, biochemical, and imaging diagnostic parameters and evaluate their prognostic values in the early assessment of severity of AP.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We prospectively studied 128 consecutive patients with AP. The predictors were clinical, biochemical, and imaging diagnostic parameters. The outcome measure was the occurrence of complications. Abdominal sonogram, contrast-enhanced computer tomography, and pancreatitis-specific clinical and laboratory findings were done.

RESULTS

According to the Atlanta classification, 84 patients (65.6%) had mild and 44 (34.4%) had severe AP. The severity markers were significantly different between the mild and the severe groups (p < 0.001). Leukocyte count, serum albumin level, C-reactive protein (CRP), Ranson, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), and Glasgow score were the factors associated with radiological severity grade. Leukocyte count, CRP, Ranson score, APACHE II, and Glasgow score were the factors associated with the number and appearance of acute fluid collections (AFCs). A significant association was found between the number of AFCs and the occurrence of complications [odds ratio 4.4; 95% confidence interval 2.5-7.6]. Hospital stay was significantly longer in the group with severe disease as compared with the group with mild disease (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Clinical, biochemical, and imaging diagnostic parameters are related to the clinical course of AP and they can predict its severity. This allows us to determine the severity of the disease and to target the patients with high scores for close monitoring and more aggressive intervention.How to cite this article: Zerem D, Zerem O, Zerem E. Role of Clinical, Biochemical, and Imaging Parameters in predicting the Severity of Acute Pancreatitis. Euroasian J Hepato-Gastroenterol 2017;7(1):1-5.

Human serum albumin homeostasis: a new look at the roles of synthesis, catabolism, renal and gastrointestinal excretion, and the clinical value of serum albumin measurements

Serum albumin concentration (CP) is a remarkably strong prognostic indicator of morbidity and mortality in both sick and seemingly healthy subjects. Surprisingly, the specifics of the pathophysiology underlying the relationship between CP and ill-health are poorly understood. This review provides a summary that is not previously available in the literature, concerning how synthesis, catabolism, and renal and gastrointestinal clearance of albumin interact to bring about albumin homeostasis, with a focus on the clinical factors that influence this homeostasis. In normal humans, the albumin turnover time of about 25 days reflects a liver albumin synthesis rate of about 10.5 g/day balanced by renal (≈6%), gastrointestinal (≈10%), and catabolic (≈84%) clearances. The acute development of hypoalbuminemia with sepsis or trauma results from increased albumin capillary permeability leading to redistribution of albumin from the vascular to interstitial space. The best understood mechanism of chronic hypoalbuminemia is the decreased albumin synthesis observed in liver disease. Decreased albumin production also accounts for hypoalbuminemia observed with a low-protein and normal caloric diet. However, a calorie- and protein-deficient diet does not reduce albumin synthesis and is not associated with hypoalbuminemia, and CP is not a useful marker of malnutrition. In most disease states other than liver disease, albumin synthesis is normal or increased, and hypoalbuminemia reflects an enhanced rate of albumin turnover resulting either from an increased rate of catabolism (a poorly understood phenomenon) or enhanced loss of albumin into the urine (nephrosis) or intestine (protein-losing enteropathy). The latter may occur with subtle intestinal pathology and hence may be more prevalent than commonly appreciated. Clinically, reduced CP appears to be a result rather than a cause of ill-health, and therapy designed to increase CP has limited benefit. The ubiquitous occurrence of hypoalbuminemia in disease states limits the diagnostic utility of the CP measurement.

Role of Biomarkers in Diagnosis and Prognostic Evaluation of Acute Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis is a potentially life threatening disease. The spectrum of severity of the illness ranges from mild self-limiting disease to a highly fatal severe necrotizing pancreatitis. Despite intensive research and improved patient care, overall mortality still remains high, reaching up to 30–40% in cases with infected pancreatic necrosis. Although little is known about the exact pathogenesis, it has been widely accepted that premature activation of digestive enzymes within the pancreatic acinar cell is the trigger that leads to autodigestion of pancreatic tissue which is followed by infiltration and activation of leukocytes. Extensive research has been done over the past few decades regarding their role in diagnosis and prognostic evaluation of severe acute pancreatitis. Although many standalone biochemical markers have been studied for early assessment of severity, C-reactive protein still remains the most frequently used along with Interleukin-6. In this review we have discussed briefly the pathogenesis and the role of different biochemical markers in the diagnosis and severity evaluation in acute pancreatitis.

Laboratory markers predicting severity of acute pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disease of highly variable severity, ranging from mild cases with low mortality to severe cases with high mortality. Numerous biomarkers have been studied as potential early predictors of the severity of this disease so that treatment can be optimally tailored to prevent complications. We aim to present and discuss the most relevant biomarkers for early severity assessment in AP that have been studied to date. We review the current literature on biomarkers that have been used to predict the severity in AP. C-reactive protein (CRP) is still considered to be the gold standard, with a cut-off value of 150 mg/ml 48 h after disease onset. Other markers, including procalcitonin (PCT) and interleukin 6 (IL-6) have been implemented in some hospitals, but are not used on a routine basis. Most other markers, including acute phase proteins (LBP, SAA, PTX3), cytokines (Il-8, TNF-a, MIF), activation peptides of pancreatic proteases (TAP, CAPAP, PLAP), antiproteases (AAT, a2M), adhesion molecules (ICAM-1, selectins, E-cadherin) and leukocyte-derived enzymes (PA2, PMN-E) have shown some promising results but have not been routinely implemented. Furthermore, new and interesting biomarkers (Copeptin, TRX-1, Ang-2, E-2) have shown good results, but more research is needed to determine if they could play a role in the future. Various reasons why new markers for disease severity have not been adopted in daily routine include low accuracy, cumbersome laboratory techniques and high cost. Despite these difficulties, research is still very active in finding new markers to predict the severity of AP.

Can the time course of systemic inflammatory response syndrome score predict future organ failure in acute pancreatitis?

OBJECTIVES

In patients with acute pancreatitis (AP), we aimed to precisely quantify the association between systemic inflammatory response syndrome score (SIRSS), an easily measured bedside tool, and various adverse outcomes of AP.

METHODS

We prospectively identified patients admitted to Mayo Clinic on day 1 of AP. Patients with positive SIRSS (≥2) on day 1 were further followed up with daily measurement of SIRSS and organ failure status for 14 days or until discharge. Positive SIRSS on day 1, persistent SIRSS on day 3, and time course of SIRSS were correlated with development of organ failure.

RESULTS

SIRSS and persistent SIRSS were associated with all the complications of AP with a high sensitivity and negative predictive value, ranging from 73.1% to 100.0%. Persistent SIRSS at day 3 added significantly higher specificity to this association (71.7%-80.0%). All patients who developed late-onset organ failure had the highest possible value of cumulative SIRSS.

CONCLUSIONS

SIRSS of less than 2 on day 1 has a high negative predictive value for complications of AP. Eighty percent of the patients with persistent SIRSS on day 3 will develop at least 1 adverse outcome. A new variable "cumulative SIRSS" has the potential to reliably predict late-onset persistent organ failure.

Severity markers in patients with acute pancreatitis

To evaluate the effectiveness of serum levels of resistin and CD14 expression in monocytes, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) in early stages of acute pancreatitis and correct prediction of the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP) using scoring systems. The study involved 10 (29.41%) male and 24 (70.59%) female patients (total n=34) followed for AP diagnosis at the Department of General Surgery, Ataturk University Medical School between July 2008 and September 2009. In all the patients, Ranson and APACHE II scores, serum resistin, hsCRP, and monocyte CD14 expression levels were determined. The patients were divided into two groups as mild and severe AP groups. A control group was formed and the intergroup comparisons were made. Values ≥ 3 based on the Ranson scoring scale and values ≥ 8 in APACHE II scoring scale were considered to indicate severe AP. Evaluations were based on the values obtained on the 1st and 7th days for serum resistin and hsCRP levels and monocyte CD 14 expression. In 17 (50%) patients, severe AP was determined. No statistically significant differences were found between the mean serum resistin levels of AP groups, while the difference for the same parameter between the mild and severe AP groups and the control group was statistically significant. In the severe AP group, the mean 1st day and 7th day serum hsCRP levels were statistically significantly higher. The CD14 expression in monocytes was similar in all the groups. Serum hsCRP concentrations and Ranson and APACHE II scores and serum resistin and hsCRP concentrations on the 1st day were positively correlated. Serum hsCRP measurement is effective in determining the severity of acute pancreatitis. Serum resistin measurement may be a useful early marker in determining the inflammatory response in AP. However, CD14 expression in monocytes was not found to be a useful marker in the diagnosis and prediction of the disease severity in AP patients.

Acute necrotizing pancreatitis: laboratory, clinical, and imaging findings as predictors of patient outcome

OBJECTIVE

In patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis, we analyzed whether laboratory and clinical findings determined in the early phase of disease and morphologic features on contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) at the beginning of the late phase of disease are helpful in predicting patient outcome and whether CECT findings provide additional information in establishing prognosis compared with the laboratory and clinical findings.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 99 patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis was performed. Four laboratory variables (albumin, calcium, C-reactive protein, WBC count) and three clinical variables (Acute Physiology, Age, Chronic Health Evaluation [APACHE] II score; Simplified Acute Physiology Score [SAPS] II; persistent organ failure) were assessed. Five morphologic features on CECT including Balthazar grade and CT severity index were reviewed. The endpoints of patient outcome were peripancreatic or pancreatic infection, need for intervention, duration of organ failure, ICU and hospital stays, and death. Based on receiver operating characteristic curve analysis for infection, high-and low-risk groups for each prognostic variable were calculated and univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses were carried out.

RESULTS

In our study population of 99 patients (63 men, 36 women; median age, 52 years; age range, 18-84 years), 25 patients (25%) developed infection, 42 patients (42%) experienced organ failure, and 12 patients (12%) died. Regarding the laboratory and clinical variables, albumin level, APACHE II score, and particularly persistent organ failure were the strongest independent predictors of patient outcome. Regarding the imaging variables, Balthazar grade and a morphologic feature that takes the distribution of intrapancreatic necrosis into account were the strongest independent predictors. In the multivariable analysis of all studied variables, imaging variables were independent and strong predictors of patient outcome and provided additional information in establishing prognosis compared with clinical and laboratory findings.

CONCLUSION

In patients with suspected or proven acute necrotizing pancreatitis, performing CECT at the beginning of the late phase of disease is recommended to identify patients at increased risk for adverse outcomes.

Scoring of human acute pancreatitis: state of the art

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis remains as one of the most difficult and challenging digestive disorder to predict in terms of clinical course and outcome. Every case has an individual course and therefore acute pancreatitis remains challenging and fascinating. Due to this variability, many different scoring systems have evolved during the last decades. Every scoring system has advantages and disadvantages. Not every scoring system is capable of assessing the clinical time course of the disease, some are only suitable for the time of initial presentation.

AIM

This paper will give an overview on the development of different widely used scoring systems and their performance in assessing severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis.

CONCLUSION

Severity assessment means objective quantification of overall severity of illness. Early and reliable stratification of severity is required to decide best treatment of the individual patient, preparation for possible evolving complications or for referral to specialist centers. No single scoring system is able to cover the entire range of problems associated with treatment and assessment of acute pancreatitis. In our clinical experience, we recommend hematocrit upon admission, daily sequential organ failure assessment score and procalcitonin, C-reactive protein on day 3 and CT severity index beyond the first week. These scoring tools together with close clinical follow-up of the patient ultimately lead to an optimized treatment of this challenging disease.

Predictors of adverse outcomes in acute pancreatitis: new horizons

Acute pancreatitis (AP) continues to be a clinical challenge. The mortality of patients with AP with adverse outcomes like organ failure and infected necrosis can be as high as 43 %. Highly accurate predictors of adverse outcomes are necessary to identify the high-risk patients so that they can be meticulously monitored and managed. However, there are no ideal predictors till date. Over the past several years, a number of single- and multi-parameter predictors have been identified and tested for prediction of adverse outcomes in AP. Out of the different tools tested, blood urea nitrogen and the harmless acute pancreatitis score appears to be useful and feasible in the management of AP under Indian conditions. Other single-parameter predictors like serum creatinine, hematocrit, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, C-reactive protein, and D-dimer need to be put to further tests in high-quality prospective studies with large sample size at the community level. Multi-parameter prediction tools like the bedside index of severity of acute pancreatitis may not be appealing in day-to-day clinical practice.

Plasma thrombin-activatable fibrinolysis inhibitor as an indicator of inflammation and disease severity in acute pancreatitis

AIM

In addition to suppressing fibrinolysis, thrombin activatable fibrinolysis inhibitor (TAFI) was suggested to be involved in inflammation. To date, no study has been published that reports the role of TAFI in acute pancreatitis (AP). Therefore, the objective of the present study was to investigate the role of plasma TAFI as an indicator of inflammation in AP, and its association with disease severity.

METHODS

Plasma TAFI antigen levels quantitatively determined by using ELISA kits in 21 AP patients at onset and remission and 17 healthy controls. Associations of TAFI with inflammatory markers to determine AP and disease severity were assessed. To predict the severity of AP, modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) and computerized tomography severity index (CTSI) were used for each subject.

RESULTS

Plasma TAFI levels was higher in AP patients at onset of the disease compared with healthy controls. The disease severity according to mGPS was significantly correlated with TAFI levels. Overall, accuracy of TAFI in determining AP was 83.3% with a sensitivity, specificity, NPV and PPV of 80.9%, 85.7%, 81.8%, and 85% respectively (AUC: 0.915).

CONCLUSIONS

The present study for the first time demonstrated that TAFI is elevated in AP. The appraisal of TAFI levels in patients with AP in conjunction with other markers of inflammation may provide additional information in estimating AP severity.

EUS finding of geographic hyperechoic area is an early predictor for severe acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) is an accurate imaging modality for delineating pancreatobiliary structures, however, its clinical application of acute pancreatitis (AP) is limited. Therefore, we sought to characterize the typical EUS features of AP and to determine whether early EUS findings may have prognostic significance.

METHODS

Between March 2008 and October 2010, 90 patients with AP and 90 patients without pancreatic disease who underwent EUS were enrolled. An EUS examination was performed within 48 h of admission in AP, and all EUS findings were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS

Among 90 patients, 27 (30%) were diagnosed with severe AP. Multivariate analysis revealed the presence of peripancreatic fluid (OR 13.9, 95%, CI: 1.6-123.6), heterogenous (OR 7.2, 95% CI: 1.7-30.4) and hypoechoic parenchymal echogenicity (OR 10.0, 95% CI: 3.9-25.8) were significant EUS features in AP, as compared to those in the control group. Comparison between mild and severe AP showed that geographic hyperechoic area (GHA) of pancreas was a predictive factor (OR 2.9, 95% CI: 1.1-8.2, p = 0.04) for the severe form, and that AP patients with GHA had significantly longer duration of fever, abdominal pain and hospital stay than those without GHA (5.5 vs. 1 day (s), p = 0.002; 4 vs. 3 days, p = 0.023; 11 vs. 8 days, p = 0.021, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Typical EUS features of AP are a heterogenous hypoechoic parenchymal changes with peripancreatic fluid collection. The novel EUS variable of GHA in the early phase of AP seems to have prognostic value and could be correlated with a worse clinical outcome.

A comparative evaluation of radiologic and clinical scoring systems in the early prediction of severity in acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

The early identification of clinically severe acute pancreatitis (AP) is critical for the triage and treatment of patients. The aim of this study was to compare the accuracy of computed tomography (CT) and clinical scoring systems for predicting the severity of AP on admission.

METHODS

Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data of all consecutive patients with a primary diagnosis of AP during a two-and-half-year period was prospectively collected for this study. A retrospective analysis of the abdominal CT data was performed. Seven CT scoring systems (CT severity index (CTSI), modified CT severity index (MCTSI), pancreatic size index (PSI), extrapancreatic score (EP), ''extrapancreatic inflammation on CT'' score (EPIC), ''mesenteric oedema and peritoneal fluid'' score (MOP), and Balthazar grade) as well as two clinical scoring systems: Acute Physiology, Age, and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE)-II and Bedside Index for Severity in AP (BISAP) were comparatively evaluated with regard to their ability to predict the severity of AP on admission (first 24 h of hospitalization). Clinically severe AP was defined as one or more of the following: mortality, persistent organ failure and/or the presence of local pancreatic complications that require intervention. All CT scans were reviewed in consensus by two radiologists, each blinded to patient outcome. The accuracy of each imaging and clinical scoring system for predicting the severity of AP was assessed using receiver operating curve analysis.

RESULTS

Of 346 consecutive episodes of AP, there were 159 (46%) episodes in 150 patients (84 men, 66 women; mean age, 54 years; age range, 21-91 years) who were evaluated with a contrast-enhanced CT scan (n = 131 episodes) or an unenhanced CT scan (n = 28 episodes) on the first day of admission. Clinically severe AP was diagnosed in 29/159 (18%) episodes; 9 (6%) patients died. Overall, the Balthazar grading system (any CT technique) and CTSI (contrast-enhanced CT only) demonstrated the highest accuracy among the CT scoring systems for predicting severity, but this was not statistically significant. There were no statistically significant differences between the predictive accuracies of CT and clinical scoring systems.

CONCLUSIONS

The predictive accuracy of CT scoring systems for severity of AP is similar to clinical scoring systems. Hence, a CT on admission solely for severity assessment in AP is not recommended.

Mean platelet volume as an indicator of disease severity in patients with acute pancreatitis

AIM

Acute pancreatitis (AP) constitutes a systemic inflammatory process which is often accompanied by thrombosis and bleeding disorders. The role of platelets in the pathophysiology of the disease has not been elucidated yet. Mean platelet volume (MPV) is an index of platelet activation and reported to be influenced by inflammation. The objective of the present study is to assess whether platelet volume would be useful in predicting disease severity in AP. Additionally possible relationship of MPV with clinical and radiologic parameters in conjunction with other inflammatory markers during AP was also investigated.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 144 AP patients (male/female: 87/57), and 40 healthy subjects (male/female: 23/17) were enrolled in this study. Mean platelet volume and inflammatory parameters were measured for all study participants. Modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) and the computerized tomography severity index (CTSI) were used as to predict the disease severity in AP patients.

RESULTS

A statistically significant decrease in MPV levels was observed in AP patients (8.06 ± 0.71 fL) compared with healthy controls (8.63 ± 0.62 fL) (P<0.001). According to the mGPS, overall accuracy of MPV in determining severe AP was 72.7% with a sensitivity, specificity, NPV and PPV of 70.6%, 73.9%, 81.9%, and 60 respectively (AUC: 0.762). Overall accuracy of MPV in predicting disease severity according to CTSI was not superior compared with other inflammation markers.

CONCLUSION

The present study demonstrated that MPV is decreased in AP. Assessment of MPV with other inflammatory markers may provide additional information about disease severity in AP.

Nutritional support in acute and chronic pancreatitis

Nutritional support can have a significant beneficial impact on the course of moderate to severe acute pancreatitis. Enteral nutrition is preferred, with emphasis on establishment of jejunal access; however, parenteral nutrition can also be of value if intestinal failure is present. Early initiation of nutritional support is critical, with benefits decreasing rapidly if begun after 48 hours from admission. Severe malnutrition in chronic pancreatitis can be avoided or treated with dietary modifications or enteral nutrition.

Acute pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis is a common disease most frequently caused by gallstone disease or excess alcohol ingestion. Diagnosis is usually based on characteristic symptoms, often in conjunction with elevated serum pancreatic enzymes. Imaging is not always necessary, but may be performed for many reasons, such as to confirm a diagnosis of pancreatitis, rule out other causes of abdominal pain, elucidate the cause of pancreatitis, or to evaluate for complications such as necrosis or pseudocysts. Though the majority of patients will have mild, self-limiting disease, some will develop severe disease associated with organ failure. These patients are at risk to develop complications from ongoing pancreatic inflammation such as pancreatic necrosis, fluid collections, pseudocysts, and pancreatic duct disruption. Validated scoring systems can help predict the severity of pancreatitis, and thus, guide monitoring and intervention.Treatment of acute pancreatitis involves supportive care with fluid replacement, pain control, and controlled initiation of regular food intake. Prophylactic antibiotics are not recommended in acute pancreatitis if there is no evidence of pancreatic infection. In patients who fail to improve, further evaluation is necessary to assess for complications that require intervention such as pseudocysts or pancreatic necrosis. Endoscopy, including ERCP and EUS, and/or cholecystectomy may be indicated in the appropriate clinical setting. Ultimately, the management of the patient with severe acute pancreatitis will require a multidisciplinary approach.

[Bernard Organ Failure Score in estimation of most severe forms of acute pancreatitis]

INTRODUCTION

Despite intensive research, efforts and clinical investigations on pathogenesis of acute pancreatitis (AP) and system morbidity during the illness onset, mortality is still very high in the group of severe forms. A significantly high number of patients show moderate, self-limited forms of illness, with a minimal degree of systemic or local complications, with full recovery. However, some of them have a severe form, followed by a high percent of morbidity and mortality, and system organ failure. The distinction between mild and severe forms of AP within 24-48 hours of hospital admission is very important for the treatment of these patients. The usage of multifactorial scoring systems holds a lot of promise, reaching reliability in the disease severity estimation of approximately 70-80%.

OBJECTIVE

The main purpose of this prospective study was to assess the correlation of the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) and the Bernard Organ Failure Score (BOFS) scoring systems in estimation of disease severity and outcome prediction.

METHODS

Sixty patients with AP participated in the study, all of them scored with the APACHE II and BOFS scores. The results were used for integration of laboratory and clinical parameters.

RESULTS

In our study, we had a highly significant correlation between the APACHE II and BOFS scores from the disease onset until the end of treatment.There was a highly significant correlation between these two scores and the serum C-reactive protein concentration level.

CONCLUSION

The concept of the BOFS score has more advantages than the APACHE II score in the patients with severe forms of AP with organ dysfunction.

A simple prognostic score for risk assessment in patients with acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common disease that poses potential serious problems. Its clinical course is often unpredictable. Identification of high risk patients enables early appropriate treatment.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective study to develop a new prognostic method that can objectively and easily grade the severity of AP within the first 72 h of admission. The prediction rule was based on clinical and analytical parameters in 308 patients admitted in a community-based hospital. We validated the score in 193 additional patients in the same hospital.

RESULTS

Independent prognostic factors related to poor prognosis were age >65 years, leucocytes >13,000/mm(3), albumin <2.5 mg/dL, calcium <8.5 mg/dL and reactive C protein >150 mg/dL. We assigned points to each of the independent factors for complicated AP in proportion to the regression coefficients. We defined three different risk groups according to the points obtained in the prediction rule. Low risk, 0 points (18% patients, 0% risk), moderate, 1-3 points (56% patients, 19% risk) and high, 4-6 points (26% patients, 73% risk). The sensitivity of this formula was 90% with specificity of 63%. The positive and negative predictive values were 50% and 94% respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our simple prediction rule is an additional tool that may help physicians stratifying the severity of AP. Patients with high risk for complicated AP should be kept under close surveillance whereas low risk patients would not need special monitoring.

Treatment of acute pancreatitis: focus on medical care

Acute pancreatitis has an incidence of about 300 per 1 million individuals per year, of which 10-15% of patients develop the severe form of the disease. Novel management options, which have the potential to improve outcome, include initial proper fluid resuscitation, which maintains microcirculation and thereby potentially decreases ischaemia and reperfusion injury. The traditional treatment concept in acute pancreatitis, fasting and parenteral nutrition, has been challenged and early initiation of enteral feeding in severe pancreatitis and oral intake in mild acute pancreatitis is both feasible and provides some benefits. There are at present no data supporting immunonutritional supplements and probiotics should be avoided in patients with acute pancreatitis. There is also no evidence of any benefits provided by prophylactic antibacterials in patients with predicted severe acute pancreatitis. A variety of specific medical interventions have been investigated (e.g. intense blood glucose monitoring by insulin) but none has become clinically useful. Lessons can probably be learned from critical care in general, but studies are needed to verify these interventions in acute pancreatitis.

Is there correlation between pancreatic enzyme and radiological severity in acute pancreatitis?

AIM: To investigate the correlation between the changes of pancreatic enzyme, the biochemical markers and the clinical results according to the Balthazar computer tomography (CT) grade.

METHODS: Between July 2004 and July 2005, we reviewed the charts of 119 patients who were admitted to our hospital with acute pancreatitis.

RESULTS: Eighty-three patients (69.7%) were male, and the mean age of the patients was 57 ± 15.7 years. The biliary pancreatitis patients had an older mean age. Forty-nine patients (41.1%) had biliary pancreatitis and forty-six (38.6%) had alcoholic pancreatitis. Group 3 patients had a longer duration of pain (2.51 ± 1.16 vs 3.17 ± 1.30 vs 6.56 ± 6.13, P < 0.001), a longer period of fasting (7.49 ± 4.65 vs 10.65 ± 5.54 vs 21.88 ± 13.81, P < 0.001) and a longer hospital stay (9.17 ± 5.34 vs 14.63 ± 8.65 vs 24.47 ± 15.52, P < 0.001) than the other groups. On the univariate analysis, the factors that affected the radiological grade were the leukocyte count at admission (P = 0.048), the hemoglobin (P = 0.016) and total bilirubin concentrations (P = 0.023), serum lipase (P = 0.009), the APACH II scores at admission (P = 0.017), the APACH II scores after 24 h (P = 0.031), the C-reactive protein (CRP) titer (P = 0.0001) and the follow up CRP titer (P = 0.003). But the CRP level (P = 0.001) and follow up CRP titer (P = 0.004) were only correlated with the radiological grade on multivariate analysis. According to the ROC curve, when we set the CRP cut off value at 83 mg/L, the likelihood ratio for a positive test was 3.84 and the likelihood ratio for a negative test was 0.26 in group 3.

CONCLUSION: In conclusion, our study suggests that the CRP with the radiological severity may be used to estimate the severity of acute pancreatitis.

The Atlanta Classification of acute pancreatitis revisited

BACKGROUND

In a complex disease such as acute pancreatitis, correct terminology and clear definitions are important. The clinically based Atlanta Classification was formulated in 1992, but in recent years it has been increasingly criticized. No formal evaluation of the use of the Atlanta definitions in the literature has ever been performed.

METHODS

A Medline literature search sought studies published after 1993. Guidelines, review articles and their cross-references were reviewed to assess whether the Atlanta or alternative definitions were used.

RESULTS

A total of 447 articles was assessed, including 12 guidelines and 82 reviews. Alternative definitions of predicted severity of acute pancreatitis, actual severity and organ failure were used in more than half of the studies. There was a large variation in the interpretation of the Atlanta definitions of local complications, especially relating to the content of peripancreatic collections.

CONCLUSION

The Atlanta definitions for acute pancreatitis are often used inappropriately, and alternative definitions are frequently applied. Such lack of consensus illustrates the need for a revision of the Atlanta Classification.

Pancreas and cystic fibrosis: the implications of increased survival in cystic fibrosis

Pancreatitis affects 0.5% people with cystic fibrosis (CF) in the UK and 0.01% of the normal population. Why do some with CF get pancreatitis and some not? And does pancreatitis in neonates result in pancreatic failure with no further inflammation or risk of pancreatic cancer? Review of the literature would suggest that 85% of those with CF have pancreatic destruction as children with minimal risk of further inflammatory or neoplastic changes. Those with a functioning pancreas are at risk of developing pancreatitis. There are several case series of pancreatic cancer reported in CF patients, but overall the risk is unknown. As patients with CF and pancreatic sufficiency are living longer, further studies to assess the risk of developing pancreatic cancer in this subgroup should be considered.