A Novel Prognostic Scoring System Using Inflammatory Response Biomarkers for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

CT-radiomics combined with inflammatory indicators for prediction of progression free survival of resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

To develop a nomogram model which combined clinical inflammatory indicators and CT radiomics features to predict progression free survival (PFS) in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) after radical operation. 258 ESCC patients receiving surgical operation treatment were retrospectively collected from July 2017 to March 2019. Clinical data, laboratory results, pathology results, pre-operative CT data, and survival outcomes were analyzed. Using cox proportional hazards regression model to assess the relationship between relevant clinicopathological factors and PFS. C-index and calibration curve were used to evaluate the nomogram model. Survival curves were obtained using the Kaplan-Meier and comparisons were made by using the log-rank test. The inflammatory model, radiomics model and nomogram model all have good predictive efficacy for predicting PFS of ESCC patients in both training and test set. Significant differences were found between the nomogram model and inflammatory model and the radiomics model (DeLong test, Z = 3.869 and 3.195, P < 0.001, P = 0.001). Decision curve analysis (DCA) results revealed the net benefit of nomogram model was better than that of inflammatory model and radiomics model. Kaplan-Meier results showed significant difference in PFS between high-risk and low-risk group in Radscore and nomogram model (P < 0.001), and the high-risk group was prone to postoperative recurrence and poor PFS. The nomogram model developed by combining inflammatory indicators and radiomics features, which is helpful for risk stratification and follow-up work, and improving ESCC patients' prognosis.

Prognostic value of lymphocyte to monocyte ratio in patients with esophageal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Objectives

To report the largest systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate prognostic value of lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR) in patients with esophageal cancer.

Methods

We conducted a systematic literature retrieval via PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane until December, 2023 for studies which evaluated the prognostic value of LMR in patients with esophageal cancer. Outcomes measured were overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), relapse-free survival (RFS), and progression-free survival (PFS).

Results

11 studies including 3,377 patients with esophageal cancer were included for meta-analysis. Meta-analysis demonstrated that OS (HR: 1.65; 95% CI: 1.19, 2.31; P = 0.003) and DFS (HR: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.09, 2.01; P = 0.01) were significantly shorter in the low LMR group compared with the high LMR group. In addition, meta-analysis revealed a similar PFS (HR: 1.58; 95% CI: 1.00, 2.51; P = 0.05) and RFS (HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 0.93, 1.46; P = 0.18) in the two groups. Subgroup analysis found that the predictive value of LMR for OS remained significant in resectable and unresectable esophageal cancers, and in studies with follow-up ≥24 months and < 24 months. Subgroup analysis based on treatment methods found that the prognostic value of LMR was significant for both patients who received PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors and those who did not receive PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors. However, subgroup analysis based on LMR threshold found that the significance remained in studies with LMR threshold<3.5 (HR: 2.09; 95% CI: 1.13, 3.87; P = 0.02) but disappeared in studies with LMR threshold ≥ 3.5 (HR: 1.39; 95% CI: 0.93, 2.07; P = 0.11).

Conclusions

Low LMR is associated with poor prognosis in patients with esophageal cancer. Due to the simple availability and low cost of routine blood tests in clinical practice, LMR can be widely used to assess prognosis and construct risk prediction models for patients with esophageal cancer.

Systematic review registration

PROSPERO, identifier CRD42024509796.

Correlation between Preoperative Platelet Count/(Lymphocyte Count × Prealbumin Count) Ratio and the Prognosis of Patients with Gastric Cancer Undergoing Radical Operation

Objective

To clarify the relationship between preoperative platelet count/(lymphocyte count × prealbumin count) ratio (PLPR) and the prognosis of patients with gastric cancer undergoing a radical operation, combined with Tumor Node Metastasis (TNM) staging, a scoring system was established to guide clinical application.

Methods

The clinical data of 238 patients receiving radical operations for gastric cancer were retrospectively analyzed. According to the area under the Receiver operating characteristic curve, the predictive value of the preoperative PLPR for the 5-year overall survival (OS) of gastric cancer was determined, and the best cut-off value of the ratio was corresponding to the maximum value of Yoden index. Chi-squared test was applied to analyze the correlation between the ratio and clinicopathological features. Kaplan-Meier curve was applied to analyze the influence of this ratio on 5-year OS. The Cox regression model was applied to analyze the hazards affecting the long-term survival of patients. The nomogram model was used to predict the long-term survival rate.

Results

The optimal cut-off point of preoperative PLPR ratio was 7.46, and the patients were segmented into two sets: one set of ratio <7.46 and another set of ratio ≥7.46. The ratio was correlated with the size of the tumor, T stage, N stage, total stage, vascular cancer thrombus, and nerve invasion. In stage I-III patients, the prognosis was better in the low-ratio set than in the high-ratio set (P < 0.001), subgroup analysis indicated the prognosis was obviously better in the low-ratio set than in the high-ratio set in stage II and III patients (P < 0.05 and P < 0.001), but there was no difference in stage I patients (P > 0.05). Age, T stage, N stage, total TNM stage, tumor size, vascular tumor thrombus, nerve invasion, preoperative neutrophil count/lymphocyte count (NLR; reference value 3.68), preoperative PLPR (reference value 7.46), preoperative platelet count/lymphocyte count (PLR; reference value 159.56), and preoperative platelet count × NLR (SII; reference value 915.48) were related to patient prognosis (P < 0.05); meanwhile age, total TNM stage, preoperative PLPR (reference value 7.46), preoperative PLR (reference value 159.56), and preoperative SII (reference value 915.48) were independent hazards for prognosis (P < 0.05). Five independent risk factors were analyzed by nomogram model to predict the 5-year OS of patients who underwent a radical operation for carcinoma of the stomach.

Conclusion

Preoperative PLPR ratio (reference value 7.46) is an independent risk factor for long-term prognosis in patients undergoing a radical operation for gastric cancer. The nomogram scoring system established by postoperative TNM staging combined with this ratio and age, PLR, and SII can better forecast the survival of patients who underwent radical operation for carcinoma of the stomach.

The Predictive Value of Systemic Inflammatory Factors in Advanced, Metastatic Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients Treated with Camrelizumab

Objective

Systemic inflammatory factors are independent risk factors in the formation and progression of various solid tumors. However, whether systemic inflammatory factors are associated with effect and prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients treated with immunotherapy remains unknown. The aim of this study is to assess the value of systemic inflammatory factors in the efficacy of camrelizumab for patients with advanced, metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective analysis of 90 patients with advanced, metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who received treatment with camrelizumab in Xinghua People's Hospital between August 2019 and October 2021. The optimal cut-off values of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) for predicting efficacy and prognosis were identified based on the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and differences in PFS or OS between groups were compared by the Log rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were performed to analyze prognostic values of each variable.

Results

The optimal cutoff values of PLR, NLR and SII predicted survival outcomes were 157.7, 3.84 and 750.8, respectively. Higher PLR, NLR and SII were associated with shorter PFS (HR for PLR = 2.899, P = 0.001; HR for NLR = 3.629, P < 0.001; HR for SII = 10.251, P < 0.001) and OS (HR for PLR = 4.583, P < 0.001; HR for NLR = 3.921, P < 0.001; HR for SII = 38.606, P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that high PLR, NLR and SII were independent risk factors of PFS and OS in the advanced, metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients receiving camrelizumab.

Conclusion

PLR, NLR and SII are potentially effective prognostic predictors in advanced, metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients treated with camrelizumab.

A Novel Model Combining Tumor Length, Tumor Thickness, TNM_Stage, Nutritional Index, and Inflammatory Index Might Be Superior to the 8th TNM Staging Criteria in Predicting the Prognosis of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients Treated With Definitive Chemoradiotherapy

Background

We aimed to determine whether the tumor length and tumor thickness should be used as prognostic factors for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT).

Methods

A retrospective analysis consists of 902 non-operative ESCC patients received dCRT. The nomogram was used to predict the survival. Besides, Restricted Cubic Splines (RCS) was used to examine the relationship between prognostic factors and survival outcomes. Finally, the prognostic index (PI) scores were constructed according to the tumor length and tumor thickness, and the patients were divided into the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups.

Results

The median follow-up of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were 23.0 months and 17.5 months. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that tumor length and tumor thickness were independent prognostic factors associated with survival. Our novel nomograms for OS and PFS were superior to the TNM classification (p < 0.001). Besides, RCS analysis demonstrated that the death hazard of tumor length and tumor thickness sharply increased at 7.7 cm and 1.6 cm (p < 0.001). Finally, there were significant differences for ESCC patients with clinical TNM stage group of the OS and PFS in different risk groups. The higher risk group was significantly associated with shorter OS and PFS in ESCC patients (both p < 0.001 for all).

Conclusion

The study results suggest that the novel models integrating tumor length and tumor thickness may provide a simple and widely available method for evaluating the prognosis of non-operative ESCC patients. The tumor length and tumor thickness should be considered as prognostic factors for ESCC.

Survival Prediction Capabilities of Preoperative Inflammatory and Nutritional Status in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients

BACKGROUND

Studies have revealed the impacts of various inflammatory and nutritional markers in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). We evaluated the prognostic values of multiple inflammation- or nutrition-based markers, either alone or in combination with pStage, in ESCC patients.

METHODS

In total, 360 patients undergoing upfront surgery for ESCC were retrospectively reviewed. The prognostic capabilities of 7 inflammatory and 3 nutritional parameters were investigated. Furthermore, we devised new staging systems by adding these markers to pStage and examined the prognostic abilities of our new approach. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves and the areas under the curve (AUCs) were estimated to compare prognostic capabilities among the parameters.

RESULTS

The AUCs for predicting overall survival (OS) of the prognostic nutritional index (PNI), CRP to albumin ration (CAR), lymphocyte to CRP ratio (LCR) and the Naples prognostic score (NPS) were similar to that of pStage. Notably, CAR and LCR showed high predictive capabilities for OS (AUCs; 0.627 and 0.634 for 3-year OS, respectively). New staging systems combining inflammatory or nutritional markers with pStage provided higher AUCs for predicting OS than pStage alone. In particular, NPpStage (NPS and pStage) (P = 0.03), PNpStage (PNI and pStage) (P = 0.03) and LCpStage (LCR and pStage) (P = 0.05) showed significantly higher accuracy for predicting OS than pStage alone.

CONCLUSIONS

Various inflammatory or nutritional markers, especially those derived from CRP, are useful for predicting survival outcomes of ESCC patients. The predictive capabilities of these indices were augmented when used in combination with pStage.

Prognostic Utility of Platelet-Lymphocyte Ratio, Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio and Monocyte-Lymphocyte Ratio in Head and Neck Cancers: A Detailed PRISMA Compliant Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Simple Summary

Inflammation plays a major role in cancer development and progression and has the potential to be used as a prognostic marker in cancer. Previous studies have attempted to evaluate PLR, NLR and MLR as indicators of inflammation/prognostic markers in cancer, but there is no common consensus on its application in clinical practice. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis (a) assess the prognostic efficacy of all three prognostic markers in comparison to each other and, (b) investigate the prognostic potential of these three markers in HNC. The study followed PRISMA guidelines, with literature being collated from multiple bibliographic databases. Preliminary and secondary screening were carried out using stringent inclusion/exclusion criteria.

Abstract

Inflammation plays a major role in cancer development and progression and has the potential to be used as a prognostic marker in cancer. Previous studies have attempted to evaluate Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) or monocyte–lymphocyte ratio (MLR) as indicators of inflammation/prognostic markers in cancer, but there is no common consensus on their application in clinical practice. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to (a) assess the prognostic efficacy of all three prognostic markers in comparison to each other and (b) investigate the prognostic potential of these three markers in HNC. The study followed PRISMA guidelines, with the literature being collated from multiple bibliographic databases. Preliminary and secondary screening were carried out using stringent inclusion/exclusion criteria. Meta-analysis was carried out on selected studies using CMA software and HR as the pooled effect size metric. A total of 49 studies were included in the study. The pooled HR values of PLR, NLR and MLR indicated that they were significantly correlated with poorer OS. The pooled effect estimates for PLR, NLR and MLR were 1.461 (95% CI 1.329–1.674), 1.639 (95% CI 1.429–1.880) and 1.002 (95% CI 0.720–1.396), respectively. Significant between-study heterogeneity was observed in the meta-analysis of all three. The results of this study suggest that PLR, NLR and MLR ratios can be powerful prognostic markers in head and neck cancers that can guide treatment. Further evidence from large-scale clinical studies on patient cohorts are required before they can be incorporated as a part of the clinical method. PROSPERO Registration ID: CRD42019121008

Prognostic value of platelet-related measures for overall survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Platelet-related measures are considered important in predicting long-term outcomes in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). We performed a systematic electronic research of studies evaluating the prognostic value of platelet-related measures in ESCC in Google Scholar, PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Embase. Then, to synthesize publications exploring the association between platelet-related measures and survival outcomes in ESCC, a meta-analysis was conducted using hazard ratio and 95 % confidence interval. In total, 14 retrospective articles were included in this study. Among them, 4 and 10 have evaluated the clinical impact of platelet count and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), respectively. Further, three studies reported about platelet distribution width (PDW) and mean platelet volume (MPV). Based on the synthesized results, high PLR was significantly associated with poor overall survival (OS). However, platelet count, PDW, and MPV were non-independent prognostic factors for OS. The Begg's funnel plots for PLR, PDW, and MPV indicated low publication bias.

A Novel Systemic Inflammatory Score Combined With Immunoinflammatory Markers Accurately Reflects Prognosis in Patients With Esophageal Cancer

AIM

To establish a novel systemic inflammatory score (SIS) combined with neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR) and to validate its prognostic value and relation with serum cytokine levels in patients who underwent esophagectomy for esophageal cancer (EC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Preoperative NLR, PLR, and CAR were evaluated in 102 patients undergoing esophageal resection for EC from 2009 to 2014. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves censored for 5-year survival were plotted to determine the cutoff values of each measure. Each measure was scored 1 if it was above the cutoff value (NLR >3.12, PLR >230, and CAR >0.085) and scored 0 if it was below that. The SIS was defined as the sum of these values and was divided into the two groups: High SIS (SIS=2-3) and low SIS (SIS=0-1). Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to determine the prognostic significance. The area under the ROCs (AUROC) was compared to verify the discriminative power of survival prediction. In addition, we analyzed the relationship between SIS and perioperative serum interleukin (IL)-6 and IL-10 levels.

RESULTS

In the clinicopathological findings, only tumor depth was significantly related to SIS (p=0.004). At 0.732, the AUROC of SIS was the highest (NLR=0.618, PLR=0.545), and CAR=0.712). The high-SIS group had a significantly poorer prognosis than the low-SIS group (p=0.011). SIS was identified as an independent prognostic factor in the multivariate analysis (hazard ratio=1.96, 95% confidence intervaI=1.11-3.41, p=0.020). The preoperative serum interleukin-6 level was significantly low (p=0.046) and postoperative serum interleukin-10 level was significantly high in the high-SIS group (p=0.047).

CONCLUSION

SIS was a superior predictor of prognosis compared with existing immunoinflammatory markers and closely reflected the fluctuation of peripheral inflammatory cytokines in patients with EC.

A Novel Inflammatory-Nutritional Prognostic Scoring System for Stage III Gastric Cancer Patients With Radical Gastrectomy Followed by Adjuvant Chemotherapy

Purpose

The present study was designed to explore the prognostic value of preoperative inflammatory and nutritional biomarkers in stage III gastric cancer (GC) patients with adjuvant chemotherapy and to develop a novel scoring system called the inflammatory-nutritional prognostic score (INPS).

Methods

A total of 513 patients with pathological stage III GC undergoing radical gastrectomy followed by adjuvant chemotherapy from 2010 to 2017 were enrolled in the study. Clinicopathological characteristics and blood test parameters of individual patients were collected. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression model was used for feature selection to construct INPS. Survival curves were generated using the Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank tests. The nomogram was generated based on the result of the multivariate analysis using Cox's proportional hazards model. The model was assessed by the concordance index (C-index) and was internally validated by bootstraps.

Results

According to the results of Lasso Cox regression and K-M survival curves, INPS was determined as follows: a low body mass index (BMI) (<23 kg/m²), a low prealbumin (<180 mg/L), a high neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (≥2.7), a high platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) (≥209.4), a low lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR) (<2.8), and a low prognostic nutritional index (PNI) (<45.1); each were scored as 1, and the remaining values were scored as 0. The individual scores were then summed up to construct the INPS and further divided into 4 groups: Low Risk (INPS 0); Low-medium Risk (INPS 1); High-medium Risk (INPS 2-4); and High Risk (INPS 5-6). In multivariate analysis, INPS was an independent predictor of overall survival (OS) in stage III GC, with the 5-year OS rates of 70.8%, 57.4%, 41.5%, and 30.6%, respectively. The nomogram based on INPS and other independent predictors (gender, pT stage, pN stage, lymphovascular invasion, and CEA level) showed good predicting performance with a C-index of 0.707, which was superior to the TNM stage alone (C-index 0.645, p=0.008) and was internally validated with the corrected C-index of 0.693.

Conclusion

Preoperative INPS was an independent prognostic factor of stage III GC patients with radical surgery followed by adjuvant chemotherapy. The nomogram based on INPS may serve as a simple and potential model in risk stratification and guiding treatment strategies in clinical practice.

Anesthetic Management for Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Esophagus

While surgery plays a major role in the treatment and potential cure of esophageal cancers, esophagectomy remains a high-risk operation with significant perioperative morbidity and mortality compared to other oncosurgical procedures. Perioperative management for esophagectomy is complex, and close attention to detail in various areas of anesthetic and perioperative management is crucial to improve postoperative outcomes. Patients undergoing esophagectomy should be offered an evidence-based risk assessment for their postoperative outcomes to allow active participation and informed, shared-decision making. Novel perioperative risk scores have been developed to predict both short-term and long-term outcomes in patients with esophageal cancer, although independent validation of such scoring systems is still required. Apart from accurate preoperative risk assessment, further efforts to improve morbidity and mortality from esophagectomy is achieved through comprehensive Enhanced Recovery after Surgery (ERAS) protocols, which comprise an individualized bundle of care throughout the perioperative journey for each patient and should be implemented as a standard practice. Furthermore, anesthetic practice and perioperative anesthetic drug usage can potentially affect cancer progression and recurrence. This chapter reviews current evidence for various factors that contribute to the improvement of perioperative outcomes, including prehabilitation, preoperative optimization of anemia, thoracic epidural analgesia, intraoperative protective ventilatory strategies, goal-directed fluid therapy, as well as special attention to other perioperative issues that potentially reduce anastomotic and cardiopulmonary complications. In summary, it is difficult to show a measurable benefit from any one single intervention, and a multidisciplinary approach that encompasses multiple aspects of perioperative care is necessary to improve outcomes after esophagectomy.

Impact of Antiplatelet and Anticoagulant Therapies on Platelet-related Prognostic Markers in Patients With Esophageal Cancer

BACKGROUND/AIM

In recent years, platelet-related markers were recognized as useful prognostic factors in various malignancies. We investigated the relationship between platelet-related prognostic markers and anti-platelet or anti-coagulant therapies for survival outcomes in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Preoperative platelet-related prognostic markers were evaluated from peripheral blood testing and statistical analyses were performed to evaluate the prognostic value of these markers and reveal the effects of antiplatelets and/or anticoagulants regarding their prognostic relevance.

RESULTS

In all 176 patients, preoperative platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) was not found to be a predictor of overall survival (OS). However, in patients without antiplatelet or anticoagulant therapies, PLR was significantly associated with a poor OS (p=0.03). Although platelet large cell ratio (P-LCR) was not associated with the prognosis in patients with antiplatelet and/or anticoagulant therapies, higher P-LCR was associated with a poor prognosis in patients without antiplatelet or anticoagulant therapies (p<0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Researching detailed antiplatelet and anticoagulant therapies could reinforce the prognostic value of platelet-related prognostic markers in ESCC.

Prognostic significance of systemic inflammatory markers in esophageal cancer: Systematic review and meta-analysis

AIM

Impact of several immune-inflammatory markers on long-term outcome has been reported in various malignancies. The aim of the present study was to evaluate through a meta-analysis the oncological outcome of immune-inflammatory markers, such as neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and C-reactive protein to albumin ratio (CAR) in esophageal cancer.

METHODS

A systematic electronic search for relevant studies was carried out in PubMed, Cochrane library, Embase, and Google scholar. Meta-analysis was done using hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) as effect measures. A systematic review and meta-analysis were undertaken according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses protocol. P-values <.01 were considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

A total of 10 retrospective articles (n = 4551) were included in this study. Synthesized results showed that higher NLR and CAR were significantly associated with poor overall survival (HR 1.47, 95% CI = 1.32-1.63, P < .00001) and HR 1.88, 95% CI = 1.28-2.77, P < .001, respectively). On the contrary, PLR was not a prognostic factor in our analysis (HR 1.25, 95% CI = 1.01-1.54, P < .01). Elevated NLR, PLR, and CAR were strongly associated with a higher T stage (HR 2.28, 95% CI = 1.67-3.11; HR 1.57, 95% CI = 1.29-1.90; HR 1.76, 95% CI = 1.16-2.67, respectively). Begg's funnel plots identified significant publication bias in NLR, but not in PLR and CAR.

CONCLUSION

NLR and CAR represent useful guides for the management of esophageal cancer, although publication bias should be considered. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm the results of the present study.

Predictive value of lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in patients with oesophageal cancer undergoing concurrent chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The survival rate of patients with advanced oesophageal cancer is very low and can vary significantly, even among patients with the same TNM stage. It is important to look for indicators that are economical and readily available to predict overall survival. The aim of this study was to determine whether lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) could be potential predictors of survival in patients with advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) undergoing concurrent chemoradiotherapy.

METHODS

Differences in survival among 204 patients with advanced oesophageal cancer who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy were collected and analysed. Univariate and multivariate COX regression analyses were used to investigate the association between blood inflammatory markers and patient survival before treatment.

RESULTS

Univariate COX regression analyses showed that a history of alcohol use, neutrophil count, LMR, NLR, tumour length, and N stage were significantly associated with the survival of tumour patients receiving concurrent chemoradiotherapy. Multivariate COX regression analysis showed that NLR and LMR were predictors of outcome in tumour patients receiving chemoradiotherapy. According to receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, the AUC of LMR and NLR was 0.734 and 0.749, and the best cutoff point for LMR and NLR was 3.03 and 2.64, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

LMR and NLR can be used to predict the survival of patients with advanced oesophageal cancer receiving concurrent chemoradiotherapy, thereby providing clinicians with suggestions for further treatment options.

Prognostic nomogram integrated baseline serum lipids for patients with non-esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Serum lipids have been documented as prognostic biomarkers in several types of cancer, however the prognostic value of serum lipids in non-esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (non-ESCC) is not clear. The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic roles of serum lipids in non-ESCC and to establish a novel effective nomogram for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with non-ESCC.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the prognostic values of pretreatment serum lipids, including total cholesterol (TC), triglycerides (TG), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), apolipoproteinA-I (ApoAI), and apolipoprotein B (ApoB) and three lipid derivatives: atherogenic index [AI: (TC-HDL-C)/HDL-C], THR (TG/HDL-C) and LHR (LDL-C/HDL-C) in non-ESCC patients. Prognostic factors predictive of OS and DFS were determined by univariate and cox hazards analysis, and prognostic nomograms were established. The predictive power of independent prognostic factors was compared adopting time-dependent ROC. Comparisons between the nomograms and traditional TNM staging systems were evaluated using the C-index and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 180 non-ESCC patients were recruited in this prospective study between January 2006 and December 2016. Four (cancer type, TNM stage, TC, and TG) and five (cancer type, TNM stage, TC, TG, and LDL-C) independent prognostic factors were chosen to generate the nomogram for OS and DFS, respectively. Our results showed that the area under curves (AUCs) of cancer type and TG were higher than TNM stage for OS. For DFS, however, AUCs of cancer type, TG and LDL-C were higher than the TNM stage. The C-index of the nomogram for predicting the OS was 0.69, which was significantly higher than that of TNM stage (0.58, P=0.005). In addition, for DFS, the C-index of the nomogram was significantly higher than that of the TNM stage (0.70 vs. 0.60, P=0.001). Furthermore, decision curve analysis showed that the predictive accuracy of the prognostic nomogram for OS and DFS were both higher than the TNM stage.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated that pretreatment of serum lipids based on the prognostic nomogram could be applied to predict the OS and DFS in non-ESCC patients.

A novel scoring system predicting survival benefits of palliative primary tumor resection for patients with unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer: A retrospective cohort study protocol

The role of palliative primary tumor resection (PPTR) in improving survival in patients with synchronous unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is controversial. In this study, we aimed to evaluate whether our novel scoring system could predict survival benefits of PPTR in mCRC patients.In this retrospective cohort study consecutive patients with synchronous mCRC and unresectable metastases admitted to Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital between January 2005 and December 2013 were identified. A scoring system was established by the serum levels of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), cancer antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH). Patients with scores of 0, 1-2, or 3-4 were considered as being in the low, intermediate, and high score group, respectively. Primary outcome was overall survival (OS).A total of 138 eligible patients were included in the analysis, of whom 103 patients had undergone PPTR and 35 had not. The median OS of the PPTR group was better than that of the Non-PPTR group, with 26.2 and 18.9 months, respectively (P < .01). However, the subgroup of PPTR with a high score (3-4) showed no OS benefit (13.3 months) compared with that of the Non-PPTR group (18.9 months, P = .11). The subgroup of PPTR with a low score (52.1 months) or intermediate score (26.2 months) had better OS than that of the Non-PPTR group (P < .001, P = .017, respectively).A novel scoring system composed of CEA, CA19-9, NLR, and LDH values is a feasible method to evaluate whether mCRC patients would benefit from PPTR. It might guide clinical decision making in selecting patients with unresectable mCRC for primary tumor resection.

Clinical Implications of Pretreatment: Lymphocyte-to-Monocyte Ratio in Patients With Rectal Cancer Receiving Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

Despite advances in local control of rectal cancer, recurrence in distant organs is still one of the main causes of mortality. Prognostic biomarkers would be valuable for the treatment of patients who have rectal cancer.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of our study was to investigate the prognostic impact of lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio in patients with rectal cancer receiving preoperative chemoradiotherapy, and to clarify the clinical significance of lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio.

DESIGN

Prospectively maintained data of patients with rectal cancer were retrospectively evaluated to clarify the clinical relevance of the lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio.

SETTING

This study was conducted at a single expert center.

PATIENTS

A total of 119 consecutive patients with rectal cancer through chemoradiotherapy followed by total mesorectal excision at our institute were enrolled in this study. Eight patients were excluded because of a lack of laboratory data, and finally 111 patients were assessed in this study.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome measured was the clinical relevance of the lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio in patients with rectal cancer receiving chemoradiotherapy.

RESULTS

Patients with a low pretreatment lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio showed poor prognosis significantly both in overall survival and disease-free survival of those with rectal cancer receiving chemoradiotherapy. Multivariate analyses showed that low pretreatment lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio level, presence of pathological lymph node metastasis (ypN(+)), and high pretreatment serum C-reactive protein level were independent prognostic factors of overall survival and disease-free survival. In addition, time-to-event analysis divided into 2 groups by ypN status showed that low pretreatment lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio was correlated with poor overall survival and disease-free survival not only in group ypN(-) but also in group ypN(+).

LIMITATIONS

The present study had several limitations, including that it was a retrospective observational and single institutional study with Japanese patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio and ypN status can be a predictive marker of poor prognosis and recurrence among patients with rectal cancer undergoing preoperative chemoradiotherapy. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/A780.

Pan-Asian adapted ESMO Clinical Practice Guidelines for the management of patients with metastatic oesophageal cancer: a JSMO-ESMO initiative endorsed by CSCO, KSMO, MOS, SSO and TOS

The most recent version of the European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) Clinical Practice Guidelines for the diagnosis, treatment and follow-up of oesophageal cancer was published in 2016, and covered the management and treatment of local/locoregional disease, limited disease, locally advanced disease and the management of advanced/metastatic disease. At the ESMO Asia Meeting in November 2017 it was decided by both ESMO and the Japanese Society of Medical Oncology (JSMO) to convene a special guidelines meeting immediately after the JSMO Annual Meeting in 2018. The aim was to adapt the ESMO 2016 guidelines to take into account the ethnic differences associated with the treatment of metastatic oesophageal cancer in Asian patients. These guidelines represent the consensus opinions reached by experts in the treatment of patients with metastatic oesophageal cancer representing the oncological societies of Japan (JSMO), China (CSCO), Korea (KSMO), Malaysia (MOS), Singapore (SSO) and Taiwan (TOS). The voting was based on scientific evidence, and was independent of both the current treatment practices and the drug availability and reimbursement situations in the individual participating Asian countries.

Prognostic Value of Preoperative Systemic Immunoinflammatory Measures in Patients with Esophageal Cancer

BACKGROUND

It is reported that several systemic immunoinflammatory measures, including systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and C-reactive protein (CRP)-to-albumin ratio (CAR), are associated with survival in patients with various types of cancer.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the present study was to clear which systemic immunoinflammatory measures had the greatest prognostic values. In addition, we examined which component had the greatest prognostic power in patients with esophageal cancer.

METHODS

Preoperative systemic immunoinflammatory measures were evaluated in 143 patients undergoing esophageal resection for esophageal cancer from 2009 to 2014. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the prognostic significance of these markers. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted, and the area under the ROC curves (AUROCs) were compared to verify the accuracy of each measure in predicting overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

In univariate analysis, preoperative SII, NLR, and CAR were the predictors of OS in patients who underwent esophagectomy for esophageal cancer (p < 0.05, respectively), whereas in multivariate analysis, CAR and pathological tumor depth were the significant predictors of OS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.994, p = 0.03 vs. HR 1.967, p = 0.02, respectively). According to AUROC, the CRP (0.66) and albumin levels (0.66) were more important systemic immunoinflammatory measures than neutrophil (0.58), lymphocyte (0.63), and platelet (0.56) levels.

CONCLUSION

Among systemic immunoinflammatory measures, CAR was the most significant predictor of OS in patients with esophageal cancer. CRP and albumin levels were more important components of systemic immunoinflammatory measures.