New associations of the Multidimensional Prognostic Index

Prognostic signature of multimorbidity, geriatric syndromes and resources cluster in older in- and outpatients: a pooled secondary analysis with a 6-month follow-up

OBJECTIVE

The prognosis of older adults is strongly influenced by the relation of multifactorial geriatric syndromes (GS) and their health-maintaining counterparts, geriatric resources (GR). The present analysis aimed to identify clusters of comorbidities, GS and GR, and to measure their multidimensional prognostic signature in older patients admitted to different healthcare settings.

DESIGN

Pooled secondary analysis of three longitudinal interventional studies with the 3- and 6-month follow-up data collection on mortality and rehospitalisation.

SETTING

Inpatients in an internal medicine ward (n=495), inpatients in an ageing medicine ward (n=123) and outpatients from a general practice (n=105).

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 734 patients with multimorbidity who aged over 60 years were recruited between August 2016 and July 2020 (mean age 77.8 years, SD 6.2 and 43% female).

OUTCOME MEASURES

Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA), including Cumulative Illness Rating Scale (CIRS), 17 GS and 10 GR, and the CGA-based Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) as a measure of multidimensional prognosis and frailty were assessed. Based on a general linear model and a hierarchical clustering method, clusters of comorbidities, GS and GR were obtained.

RESULTS

The study identified five clusters of GR-related GS, namely, psychosocial, iatrogenic, neurovegetative, sensorimotor and fluid dysbalance, along with two clusters related to GR, focusing on independence achievement and requirements- circumstances. Additionally, two clusters were identified pertaining to the CIRS, encompassing sensory-vegetative and heart-kidney morbidity. Patients within the iatrogenic cluster exhibited significantly higher MPI and readmissions during follow-up compared with those outside this cluster (p<0.001). Furthermore, membership in the fluid dysbalance or psychosocial cluster was associated with a significantly increased mortality rate during follow-up (p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

A feasible combination of GR and GS in clinical routine enables the identification of clusters with clear prognostic relevance, which may improve prognosis through tailored treatment.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBERS

DRKS00010606/DRKS00013791/DRKS00017094 MPI_InGAH, DRKS00012820 MPI_NoGeP and DRKS00015996 VNKN.

A case vignette study to refine the target group of an intermediate care model: the Acute Geriatric Community Hospital

PURPOSE

To refine the admission criteria of the Acute Geriatric Community Hospital (AGCH) by defining its target group boundaries with (geriatric) hospital care and other bed-based intermediate care models in the Netherlands.

METHODS

A qualitative study consisting of a three-phase refinement procedure with case vignettes. Physicians, medical specialists, nurse practitioners, and physician assistants in hospitals (n = 10) or intermediate care facilities (n = 10) in the Netherlands participated. They collected case vignettes from clinical practice (phase one). The referral considerations and decisions for each case were then documented through surveys (phase two) and two focus groups (phase 3). For thematic data analysis, inductive and deductive approaches were used.

RESULTS

The combination of medical specialist care (MSC) and medical generalist care (MGC), is unique for the AGCH compared to other intermediate care models in the Netherlands. Compared to (geriatric) hospital care, the AGCH offers a more limited scope of MSC. Based on these findings, 13 refined admission criteria were developed such as 'The required diagnostic tests to monitor the effectiveness of treatment are available at the AGCH'. Besides admission criteria, additional clinical and organizational considerations played a role in referral decision-making; 10 themes were identified.

CONCLUSION

This case vignette study defined the target group boundaries between the AGCH and other care models, allowing us to refine the AGCH admission criteria. Our findings may help to determine the required competencies of the interdisciplinary AGCH team and to develop triage instruments. The identified consideration themes can be used as conceptual framework in further research. The findings may also be of interests for healthcare systems outside the Netherlands who aspire to design integrated care for older people closer to home.

Profiles of Geriatric Syndromes and Resources in Older Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

Objective: Older patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) are at high risk for frailty and geriatric syndromes (GSs), which modulate their individual prognosis and are therefore relevant for further management. Because few studies have evaluated the geriatric profile of older AF patients, this secondary analysis aims to further characterize the patterns of GSs and geriatric resources (GRs) in AF patients and their association with anticoagulation use. Methods: Data from 362 hospitalized patients aged 65 years and older with AF (n = 181, 77.8 ± 5.8 years, 38% female) and without AF (non-AF [NAF]; n = 181, 77.5 ± 5.9 years, 40% female) admitted to an internal medicine and nephrology ward of a large university hospital in Germany were included. All patients underwent usual care plus a comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) including calculation of the Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) and collection of 17 GSs and 10 GRs. Patients were followed up by telephone 6 and 12 months after discharge to collect data on their health status. Results: The mean MPI score of 0.47 indicated an average risk of poor outcome, and patients with AF had a significantly higher MPI than those without AF (p = 0.040). After adjustment for chronological age, biological sex, Cumulative Illness Rating Scale (CIRS) for relevant chronic diagnoses and MPI as a proxy for biological age, AF patients had significantly more mnestic resources (63.5% vs. 33.1%, p < 0.001), a tendency for less age-appropriate living conditions (56.4% vs. 72.9%, p = 0.051) and more sensory impairment (78.5% vs. 52.5%, p < 0.001) than NAF patients. They also had a higher number of GSs (p = 0.046). AF patients on oral anticoagulants (OACs, n = 91) had less age-appropriate living conditions (48.4% vs. 64.4%, p < 0.05) and mnestic resources (36.3% vs. 54.4%, p < 0.01), but more emotional resources (80.2% vs. 65.6%, p < 0.05) and chronic pain (56% vs. 40%, p < 0.05) than patients without OACs (n = 90). Overall, mortality at 1 year was increased in patients with a higher MPI (p < 0.009, adjusted for age, sex and CIRS), with a diagnosis of AF (p = 0.007, adjusted for age, sex, CIRS and MPI), with of male sex (p = 0.008, adjusted for age, CIRS and MPI) and those with AF and treated with hemodialysis (p = 0.022, compared to AF patients without dialysis treatment). Conclusions: Patients with AF and patients with AF and OACs show differences in their multidimensional frailty degree as well as GR and GS profiles compared to patients without AF or with AF not treated with OACs. Mortality after 1 year is increased in AF patients with a higher MPI and dialysis, independently from OAC use and overall burden of chronic disease as assessed per CIRS. GRs and GSs, especially age-appropriate living conditions, emotional resources, sensory impairment and chronic pain, can be considered as factors that may modify the individual impact of frailty, underscoring the relevance of these parameters in the management of older patients.

Prognostic Features of Sarcopenia in Older Hospitalized Patients: A 6-Month Follow-Up Study

Background: Sarcopenia is associated with adverse health outcomes. Understanding the association between sarcopenia, multidimensional frailty, and prognosis is essential for improving patient care. The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence and prognostic signature of sarcopenia in an acute hospital setting co-led by internists and geriatricians. Methods: Sarcopenia was assessed by applying the European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People (EWGSOP2) algorithm, including the SARC-F score, handgrip strength, bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA), and Timed Up and Go (TUG) test, to 97 older multimorbid inpatients (76.5 ± 6.8 years, 55% women). The patients underwent a Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) including an evaluation of Geriatric Syndromes (GSs) and Resources (GR) and prognosis calculation using the CGA-based Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI), European Quality of life-5 Dimensions (EQ-5D-5L) scale, Rosenberg Self-Esteem Scale (RSES), and Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS). Information on survival and rehospitalizations was collected 1, 3, and 6 months after discharge. Results: Sarcopenia was present in 63% (95% CI: 54-72%) of patients and categorized as probable (31%), confirmed (13%), and severe sarcopenia (18%). Sarcopenic patients showed significantly higher median MPI-values (p < 0.001), more GSs (p = 0.033), fewer GR (p = 0.003), lower EQ-5D-5L scores (p < 0.001), and lower RSES scores (p = 0.025) than non-sarcopenic patients. Six months after discharge, being sarcopenic at baseline was predictive of falls (p = 0.027) and quality of life (p = 0.043), independent of age, gender, and MPI. Conclusions: Sarcopenia is highly prevalent in older hospitalized multimorbid patients and is associated with poorer prognosis, mood, and quality of life up to 6 months after discharge, independent of age, sex, and MPI as surrogate markers of biological age.

A Tailored Discharge Program Improves Frailty and Mood in Patients Undergoing Usual Rehabilitative Care: A Randomized Controlled Trial

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether a tailored intersectoral discharge program (TIDP) impacts on multidimensional frailty, rehospitalization days, and patient-related outcome measures in older in-patients undergoing acute care and usual rehabilitative care.

DESIGN

Randomized controlled trial of TIDP vs usual rehabilitative care with a 6-month follow-up, 2019-2020, and historical control with a 6-month follow-up, 2016-2019.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Geriatric co-managed internal medicine ward of a metropolitan university hospital. One hundred-twelve multimorbid patients older than age 60 years were consecutively assessed for eligibility and inclusion (age ≥60 years, multimorbidity, admitted for treatment of acute disease, at least 2 geriatric syndromes requiring usual rehabilitative care, and able to consent) and signed informed consent, with 110 recruited and randomized to either TIDP or usual rehabilitative care. At discharge, 104 patients were alive in the intention-to-treat group, the 6-month follow-up was completed for 91 patients. A historical control group of 468 patients was included for comparison.

INTERVENTION

TIDP as intervention included contact with treating general practitioner to discuss the further treatment plan, a structured medical and lifestyle counseling to patients and caregivers at admission as well as a discharge program with internist, geriatrician, and general practitioner in shared decision making with patients.

METHODS

Fifty-four patients underwent TIDP, 53 patients underwent usual rehabilitative care only. Rehospitalization days at follow-up as primary endpoint; multidimensional frailty and prognosis (Multidimensional Prognostic Index, Geriatric Depression Scale, Rosenberg Self-Esteem Scale, quality of life, falls, mortality, home care service need, and need of long-term care at 1-, 3- and 6-month follow-up as secondary endpoints.

RESULTS

TIDP (median age 76.0 years, 56% female) showed significantly improved Multidimensional Prognostic Index scores at discharge compared with usual rehabilitative care (median age 78.5 years, 58% female) (0.43 vs 0.49, P = .011). Compared with usual rehabilitative care, TIDP improved self-confidence (Rosenberg Self-Esteem Scale 13.9 vs 12.4, P = .009) and mood (Geriatric Depression Scale 4 vs 5, P = .027) at follow-up. Compared with historical control (median age 77.0 years, 39 % female), usual rehabilitative care patients showed significantly lower rehospitalization rates (53% vs 70%, P = .002) and lower mortality rates (13% vs 32%, P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

A feasible TIDP improves frailty and mood in advanced age. In older patients undergoing potentially disabling acute treatments, usual rehabilitative care significantly reduces rehospitalization rates. Therefore, implementing geriatric treatment in general is useful to improve outcomes in older in-patients and a tailored discharge program can further increase the benefit for this frail population.

Biomarkers of aging in real life: three questions on aging and the comprehensive geriatric assessment

Measuring intrinsic, biological age is a central question in medicine, which scientists have been trying to answer for decades. Age manifests itself differently in different individuals, and chronological age often does not reflect such heterogeneity of health and function. We discuss here the value of measuring age and aging using the comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA), cornerstone of geriatric medicine, and operationalized assessment tools for prognosis. Specifically, we review the benefits of employing the multidimensional prognostic index (MPI), which collects information about eight domains relevant for the global assessment of the older person (functional and cognitive status, nutrition, mobility and risk of pressure sores, multi-morbidity, polypharmacy, and co-habitation), in the evaluation of the functional status, and in the prediction of health outcomes for older adults. Further integration of biological markers of aging into multidimensional prognostic tools is warranted, as well as actions which could facilitate prognostic assessments for older persons in all healthcare settings.

A rapid and feasible tool for clinical decision making in community-dwelling patients with COVID-19 and those admitted to emergency departments: the Braden-LDH-HorowITZ Assessment-BLITZ

There is no univocal standardized strategy to predict outcomes and stratify risk of SARS-CoV-2 infected patients, notably in emergency departments. Our aim is to develop an accurate indicator of adverse outcomes based on a retrospective analysis of a COVID-19 database established at the Emergency Department (ED) of a North-Italian hospital during the first wave of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Laboratory, clinical, psychosocial and functional characteristics including those obtained from the Braden Scale-a standardized scale to quantify the risk of pressure sores which takes into account aspects of sensory perception, activity, mobility and nutrition-from the records of 117 consecutive patients with swab-positive COVID-19 disease admitted to the Emergency Medicine ward between March 1, 2020 and April 15, 2020 were included in the analysis. Adverse outcomes included admission to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) and in-hospital death. Among the parameters collected, the highest cutoff sensitivity and specificity scores to best predict adverse outcomes were displayed by lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) blood value at admission > 439 U/L, Horowitz Index (P/F Ratio) < 257 and Braden score < 18. The estimation power reached 93.6%. We named the assessment BLITZ (Braden-LDH-HorowITZ). Despite the retrospective and preliminary nature of the data, a multidimensional tool to assess overall functions, not chronological age, produced the highest prediction power for poor outcomes in relation to SARS-CoV-2 infection. Further analyses are now needed to establish meaningful correlations between ventilation therapies and multidimensional frailty as assessed by ad-hoc validated and standardized tools.

Prognostic Signature of Chronic Kidney Disease in Advanced Age: Secondary Analysis from the InGAH Study with One-Year Follow-Up

The negative impact of chronic kidney disease (CKD) on health status and quality of life in older patients has been well documented. However, data on frailty trajectories and long-term outcomes of older CKD patients undergoing structured Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) with multidimensional frailty evaluation are sparse. Here, we analysed records from 375 CKD patients admitted to our university hospital (mean age 77.5 (SD 6.1) years, 36% female) who had undergone a CGA-based calculation of the frailty score with the multidimensional prognostic index (MPI) as well as follow-up evaluations at 3, 6 and 12 months after discharge. Based on the MPI score at admission, 21% of the patients were frail and 56% were prefrail. MPI values were significantly associated with KDIGO CKD stages (p = 0.003) and rehospitalisation after 6 months (p = 0.027) and mortality at 3, 6 and 12 months (p = 0.001), independent of chronological age. Kidney transplant recipients (KTR) showed a significantly lower frailty compared to patients with renal replacement therapy (RRT, p = 0.028). The association between frailty and mortality after 12 months appeared particularly strong for KTR (mean MPI 0.43 KTR vs. 0.52 RRT, p < 0.001) and for patients with hypoalbuminemia (p < 0.001). Interestingly, RRT was per se not significantly associated with mortality during follow up. However, compared to patients on RRT those with KTR had a significantly lower grade of care (p = 0.031) and lower rehospitalisation rates at 12 months (p = 0.010). The present analysis shows that the large majority of older CKD inpatients are prefrail or frail and that the risk for CKD-related adverse outcomes on the long term can be accurately stratified by CGA-based instruments. Further studies are needed to explore the prognostic and frailty-related signature of laboratory biomarkers in CKD.

Referral to geriatric rehabilitation: a scoping review of triage factors in acutely hospitalised older patients

OBJECTIVE

Old or frail acutely hospitalised patients can benefit from geriatric rehabilitation but criteria concerning referral decisions are unclear. This review presents an overview of clinical factors associated with referral to geriatric rehabilitation that may further consensus between hospital and rehabilitation professionals on triage.

DESIGN

Scoping review.

METHODS

A review was conducted following Arksey and O'Malley's framework. The search included literature concerning a broad spectrum of acutely hospitalised patients and factors associated with their referral to geriatric rehabilitation.

RESULTS

Selected abstracts were categorised into distinct geriatric rehabilitation care pathways such as stroke, hip fracture, amputation of lower limb, cardiac and oncologic rehabilitation. Abstracts on internal medical patients were further reviewed and 29 studies were included. A total of 13 studies focused on factors identifying rehabilitation needs and 16 on factors associated with outcome of geriatric rehabilitation. Triage factors were diverse and included frailty status, functional decline, cognitive symptoms and multimorbidity. Mood symptoms and living situation further specified post-acute care needs. In overview, triage factors could be characterised as demographic (n = 4), diagnosis-related (n = 8), mental (n = 6), functional (n = 10) or multi-domain (n = 12) and mapped in a transitional care pathway.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

Frailty and functional decline are characteristics frequently associated with referral to geriatric rehabilitation of acutely hospitalised internal medical patients. A comprehensive geriatric assessment or a simpler multi-domain set of tests reveals rehabilitation needs and approximates a functional prognosis. Professional consensus on factors and timing of triage in hospital is within reach.

The prognostic fingerprint of quality of life in older inpatients : Relationship to geriatric syndromes' and resources' profile

BACKGROUND

The Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) provides essential information about older hospitalized patients but is either not systematically adopted or not adopted at all in clinical routine. As a consequence, critical factors influencing patients' trajectories, like personal resources (geriatric resources, GR), geriatric syndromes (GS), health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and multidimensional prognosis often escape routine diagnostics.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between HRQoL and GR/GS as well as its prognostic signature.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

In this study 165 inpatients older than 65 years admitted to an internal medicine department of a German large metropolitan hospital were assessed by a CGA-based calculation of the multidimensional prognostic index (MPI). Ten different GR and 17 GS, as well as HRQoL were collected. After 3, 6 and 12 months the patients were followed-up by telephone.

RESULTS

The HRQoL was associated with MPI (p < 0.001), number of GS (p < 0.001) and survival days after discharge (p = 0.008). Additionally, significant associations were found between HRQoL and number of GR (p < 0.001). GS displaying risk for physical dependence like instability (p < 0.001) and chronic pain (p = 0.007) and single GR/GS that influence patient's confidence like isolation (p < 0.001), depression (p < 0.001) and emotional resources (p = 0.002) were also associated with HRQoL.

CONCLUSION

The HRQoL is significantly associated to specific risk and protective factor profiles of GR and GS. To improve quality of life, targeted, patient-centered diagnostics and treatment of GS as well as stabilization of GR should be encouraged in the management of older, multimorbid patients outside geriatric settings.

The prognostic signature of health-related quality of life in older patients admitted to the emergency department: a 6-month follow-up study

BACKGROUND

The management of older and multimorbid patients with complex care requires a personalised and comprehensive approach. The main diagnosis is often registered as the cause of hospitalisation, yet poor health-related quality of life (HRQoL) as well as multimorbidity may represent the underlying cause and markedly influence prognosis.

AIMS

To analyse the association of HRQoL and clinical prognosis over time as assessed by a Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA)-based Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) in older patients admitted to the emergency department (ED).

METHODS

We used data from the prospective MPI-HOPE (Influence of the MPI on the Hospitalisation of Older Patients admitted to the Emergency department) study. Data from 165 patients (≥ 75 years) admitted to the ED of the University Hospital of Cologne, Germany, between Oct 2017 and Jan 2018 were included. Clinical prognosis was calculated by the MPI and HRQoL by the EQ5D-5L. Follow-up interviews assessed HRQoL up to 6 months after discharge.

RESULTS

Most patients were multimorbid and presented with several geriatric syndromes. At admission, HRQoL was highest in patients with the best clinical prognosis. The MPI showed a negative correlation with the EQ-Index at admission (r_s(86) = - 0.50, p < 0.0001) and follow-up assessments after 3 and 6 months (r_s(86) = - 0.55 and r_s(86) = - 0.47, p < 0.0001).

DISCUSSION

Our results suggest that patients' self-perceived HRQoL in the ED is related to functional health status and clinical prognosis.

CONCLUSION

The MPI as a multidimensional snapshot provides information on clinical health indicators and informs about subjective HRQoL, thereby helping in identifying patients who would benefit from a specific treatment within the frame of a patient-centered, value-based care strategy geriatric treatment.

An interdisciplinary intervention is associated with overall improvement of older inpatients in a non-geriatric setting: A retrospective analysis of an observational, longitudinal study with one-year follow up

Older persons often loose independence during hospitalization. This analysis aimed at retrospectively evaluating the effects of a pilot individualized multidimensional intervention (IMI) on the comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA)-based prognosis of older multimorbid patients in an acute internal medicine setting. Records from 72 patients aged 65 years and above who received the IMI were compared to those from 403 patients who received standard of care (SOC). All patients had undergone the CGA-based Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) calculation on admission and at discharge. Patients were divided into three risk groups according to MPI score: Low-risk (MPI-1, 0-0.33), medium-risk (MPI-2, 0.34-0.66) and high-risk (MPI-3, 0.67-1). From admission to discharge, IMI patients showed significant improvements in their MPI score (P=0.014) and subdomains compared to SOC. This was particularly evident in MPI-2 and MPI-3 as well as in patients with poorer functions on MPI admission subdomains. An early geriatric intervention during hospitalization for disease-specific treatments in internal medicine settings improves overall individual prognosis in older multimorbid patients. Prospective randomized studies are needed to confirm these preliminary retrospective observations.

Role of a multidimensional prognosis in-hospital monitoring for older patients with prolonged stay

OBJECTIVES

The Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) is a prognostic tool-amongst others-validated for mortality, length of hospital stay (LHS) and rehospitalisation risk assessment. Like the Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA), the MPI is usually obtained at hospital admission and discharge, not during the hospital stay. The aim of the present study was to address the role of an additional CGA-based MPI measurement during hospitalisation as an indicator of "real-time" in-hospital changes.

STUDY DESIGN AND MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Two-hundred consecutive multimorbid patients (128 M, 72 F, median age 75 (78-82)) admitted to an internal medicine ward of a German metropolitan university hospital prospectively underwent a CGA and a prognosis calculation using the MPI on admission and discharge. Seven to 10 days later, an intermediate assessment (IA) was performed for patients needing a longer stay.

RESULTS

The median LHS was 10 (6-19) days. As expected, patients who received an IA had poorer prognosis as measured by higher MPI values (P = .037) and a worse functional status at admission than patients who had a shorter stay (P = .025). In case of prolonged hospitalisation, significant changes in the MPI were detected between admission and IA, both in terms of improvement and deterioration (P < .001). Different overtime courses were observed during prolonged hospitalisation according to the severity of prognosis (P < .001).

CONCLUSION

A CGA-based MPI evaluation during hospitalisation can be used as an objective instrument to detect changes in multidimensional health course. Prompt identification of the latter may enable quick tailored interventions to ensure overall better outcomes at and after discharge.

Mortality and readmission risk can be predicted by the record-based Multidimensional Prognostic Index: a cohort study of medical inpatients older than 75 years

PURPOSE

To examine the predictive value of the record-based Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) on mortality, readmission and length of hospital stay (LOS) among older medical inpatients.

METHODS

A cohort of medical inpatients aged ≥ 75 years was rated using the record-based MPI to assess frailty retrospectively. 90-day and 1-year mortality hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated in a sex- and age-adjusted Cox proportional hazards model. 30-day readmission relative risk (RR) estimates were calculated in a binary regression model with mortality as a competing risk. Discrimination was expressed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Median LOS was calculated using the non-parametric Kruskal-Wallis one-way ANOVA.

RESULTS

In total, 1190 patients with a median age of 83 years were included. 50% were male. 335 patients (28%) were categorized as non-frail (MPI score 0.0-0.33), 522 (44%) moderately frail (MPI score 0.34-0.66) and 333 (28%) severely frail (MPI score 0.67-1.0). 90-day mortality HR was 7.4 (95% confidence interval (CI) 2.9-18.6, p < 0.001) for the moderately frail and 18.5 (95% CI 7.5-46.1, p < 0.001) for the severely frail compared with the non-frail. ROC area was 0.76 (95% CI 0.72-0.80). Similarly, 1-year mortality HR was 3.3 (95% CI 2.2-5.0, p < 0.001) for the moderately frail and 7.1 (95% CI 4.7-10.6, p < 0.001) for the severely frail. 30-day readmission RR was 2.1 (95% CI 1.5-2.9, p < 0.001) for the moderately frail and 1.8 (95% CI 1.3-2.6, p = 0.001) for the severely frail. LOS was significantly longer with increasing MPI score (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The record-based MPI assessed at discharge predicts dose-dependent post-discharge mortality and readmission risk and is associated with LOS in older medical inpatients.

The impact of oral health on prognosis of older multimorbid inpatients: the 6-month follow up MPI oral health study (MPIOH)

PURPOSE

There is clear evidence for an association between oral health and systemic illnesses, geriatric syndromes, and mortality. Frail and multimorbid older people often suffer from insufficient oral health care, but standardized dental examinations are not routinely performed in clinical settings. The aim of this study was to verify the practicability of in-hospital oral health examinations and to identify their association with patients' prognosis as assessed by means of the Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA)-based Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI).

METHODS

One hundred hospitalized patients aged 65 years and older (mean age 76.9 years (SD 6.4); 58.2% male, 41.8% female) underwent a CGA-based MPI calculation at discharge with subdivision into three mortality risk groups (MPI-1, low risk, score 0-0.33; MPI-2, moderate risk, score 0.34-0.66; MPI-3, high risk, score 0.67-1). To identify the current oral health status and the Oral Health-related Quality of Life (OHRQoL), three oral health examinations were performed. Information on survival, the incidence of oral diseases, dental appointments, and treatments up to 6 months after discharge were collected.

RESULTS

All oral health examinations were feasible during hospitalization and were associated with MPI prognosis, even though they were not associated with 6-month mortality. The MPI could not predict the use of dental health care or treatment, as, irrespective of MPI and oral health examinations, dental services were underutilized during follow up.

CONCLUSION

Besides MPI evaluation, oral health examinations should be implemented into an inhospital course to improve clinical decision-making as well as secondary and tertiary prevention of oral health- and related systemic diseases.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

German Clinical Trials Register: DRKS00013607 (07.02.2019, retrospectively registered).

Relationship between multidimensional prognostic index and incident depressive symptoms in older people: Findings from the Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing

OBJECTIVES

The multidimensional prognostic index (MPI) is a useful prognostic tool for evaluating adverse health outcomes in older individuals. However, the association between MPI and depressive symptoms has never been explored, despite depression being a common condition in older people. We therefore aimed to evaluate whether MPI may predict incident depressive symptoms.

METHODS

Longitudinal, cohort study, with 2 years of follow-up (W1: October 2009-February 2011; W2: April 2012-January 2013), including people aged ≥65 years without depressive symptoms at baseline. A comprehensive geriatric assessment including information on functional, nutritional, cognitive status, mobility, comorbidities, medications, and cohabitation status was used to calculate the MPI dividing the participants into low, moderate, or severe risk. Those who scored ≥16/60 with the Center of Epidemiology Studies Depression (CES-D) tool were considered to have depressive symptoms. Multivariable logistic regression models were built to explore the association between MPI and incident depressive symptoms.

RESULTS

The sample consisted of 1854 participants (mean age: 72.8 ± SD 5.1 years; females: 52.1%). The prevalence of incident depressive symptoms by MPI tertiles at baseline were: low 2.5%, moderate 3.9%, and severe 6.7%. In multivariable analyses, baseline MPI values were significantly associated with incident depressive symptoms (increase in 0.1 points in MPI: odds ratio, OR = 1.47; 95% confidence intervals, CI: 1.17-1.85; MPI tertile severe vs low: OR = 2.96; 95%CI: 1.50-5.85).

CONCLUSION

Baseline MPI values were associated with incident depressive symptoms indicating that multidimensional assessment of older people may lead to early identification of individuals at increased risk of depression onset.

Comprehensive geriatric assessment in older patients with cancer: an external validation of the multidimensional prognostic index in a French prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Older patients with cancer require specific and individualized management. The 3-group Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) based on the Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) has shown a predictive interest in terms of mortality. The objective of our study was to assess the prognostic value of MPI for 1-year mortality in an external prospective French cohort of elderly patients with cancer.

METHODS

From March 2015 to March 2017 a prospective single-center cohort study enrolled all patients with cancer, aged 75 years and older referred to the geriatric oncology clinic. We used a proportional hazard model for 1-year mortality adjusted for age, sex, tumor sites and metastatic status. C-statistics were used to assess the incremental predictive value of MPI index to these risk factors.

RESULTS

overall, 433 patients underwent CGA with MPI (women 42%; mean age 82.8 ± 4.8 years). The most common tumor sites were prostate (23%), skin (17%), colorectum (15%) and breast (12%); 29% of patients had a metastatic disease; 231 patients (53%) belonged to the "MPI-1" group, 172 (40%) to the "MPI-2" group and 30 patients were classified in the "MPI-3" group. One-year mortality rate was 32% (23% in MPI-1, 41% in MPI-2 and 53% in MPI-3, p = 0.024). All domains of MPI except cognition and living status were significantly associated with mortality at one-year, as well as tumor sites and metastatic status. Higher MPI was associated with a higher mortality risk (adjusted HR 1.56 [95%CI 1.70-2.09] and 1.72 [1.33-2.22] for MPI groups 2 and 3 compared to 1; p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

In addition to established risk factors, MPI improves risk prediction of 1-year mortality. This practical prognostic tool may help to optimize management of these vulnerable patients.

A multidimensional approach to frailty in older people

Frailty is an important factor determining a higher risk of adverse health outcomes in older adults. Although scientific community in the last two decades put a lot of effort for its definition, to date no consensus was reached on its assessment. The mainstream thinking describes frailty as a loss of physical functions or as accumulation of multiple deficits. Recently, a novel conceptual model of frailty has emerged based on the loss of harmonic interaction between multiple domains (also referred as dimensions) including genetic, biological, functional, cognitive, psychological and socio-economic domain that ultimately lead to homeostatic instability. Therefore, the multidimensional aspects of frailty condition could be captured by the comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) and its derived Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI). This instrument has been applied in different clinical settings and in several cohorts of older adults with specific acute and chronic diseases, showing always excellent accuracy in stratifying population according the mortality risk and other negative health outcomes, i.e. hospitalization, institutionalization or admission to homecare services. This MPI "plasticity" provides a single numerical prognostic index which could be helpful in clinical decision making for the management of frail older adults.

The prognostic significance of geriatric syndromes and resources

BACKGROUND

Geriatric syndromes (GS) do not fit into discrete disease categories and are often underdiagnosed in hospitalized older adults. Geriatric resources (GR) are also not routinely collected in clinical settings, although this may potentiate the beneficial effects of clinical decisions. The prognostic relevance of GS and GR has never been systematically evaluated through clinical tools developed for clinical decision purposes.

AIM

To ascertain the impact of common GS and GR on patients' prognosis as assessed by means of the comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA)-based Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI).

METHODS

One hundred and thirty-five hospitalized patients aged 70 years and older underwent a CGA evaluation with calculation of the MPI on admission and discharge. Accordingly, patients were subdivided in low (MPI-1, score 0-0.33), moderate (MPI-2, score 0.34-0.66), and severe (MPI-3, score 0.67-1)-risk of mortality at 1 month and 1 year. Nine GR and 17 GS were identified and collected accordingly.

RESULTS

A lower number of GS and a higher number of GR were shown to be highly significantly correlated with a lower MPI, as well as years of education, grade of care, and number of medications independent of age, sex and number of GS or GR. Underweight and obesity according to the BMI were significantly correlated to higher number of GS. Patients with more GR had a significantly higher chance of being discharged home.

CONCLUSIONS

The MPI evaluation together with GS and GR in acute care for older patients should be encouraged to improve clinical decision-making.

The Multidimensional Prognostic Index in general practice: One-year follow-up study

BACKGROUND

Older patients' health problems in general practice (GP) can often not be assigned to a specific disease, requiring a paradigm shift to goal-oriented, personalised care for clinical decision making.

PURPOSE

To investigate the predictive value of the comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA)-based Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) in a GP setting with respect to the main healthcare indicators during the 12 months following initial evaluation.

METHODS

One hundred twenty-five consecutive patients aged 70 years and older were enrolled in a GP and followed up to one year. All patients underwent a CGA based on which the MPI was calculated and subdivided into three risk groups (MPI-1, 0-0.33 = low risk, MPI-2, 0.34-0.66 = moderate risk and MPI-3, 0.67-1, severe risk). Grade of Care (GC), hospitalization rate, mortality, nursing home admission, use of home care services, falls, number of general practitioner contacts (GPC), of geriatric resources (GR) and geriatric syndromes (GS) during the 12 months following initial evaluation were collected.

RESULTS

The MPI was significantly associated with number of GS (P < .001), GR (P < .001), GC (P < .001) as well as with the average number of GPC per year (mean 10.4, P = .046). Interestingly, the clinical judgement of the general practitioner, in this case knowing his patients for 16 years on average, was associated with adverse outcomes to a similar extent than the prediction offered by the MPI (GP/adverse outcomes and MPI/adverse outcomes P < .001).

CONCLUSION

The MPI is strongly associated with adverse outcomes in older GP patients and strongly predicts the number of GPC up to one year after initial evaluation. Considering the feasibility and the strong clinimetric properties of the MPI, its collection should be encouraged as early as possible to disclose risk conditions, implement tailored preventive strategies and improve cost-effectiveness of healthcare resources use.