The incidence and risk factors for central lymph node metastasis in cN0 papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a meta-analysis

The impact of age at diagnosis on central lymph node metastasis in clinically low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma patients

BACKGROUND

Age is an independent risk factor for central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in clinically negative lymph node (cN0) papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) patients. The objective of this study was to investigate the impact of age on CLNM in clinically low-risk PTMC patients.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed on patients with clinically low-risk PTMC who underwent surgery between January 2016 and December 2018. Logistic regression analysis was used to examine the impact of age on the risk of CLNM. The associations between age and pN1a and the lymph node ratio (LNR) were examined by a restricted cubic spline (RCS) curve with logistic regression models.

RESULTS

A total of 1352 patients (mean [range] age, 43[18-76] years; 325 males [24.0%]) were enrolled in this study. Logistic regression analysis revealed that age was a significant factor influencing the risk of CLNM (OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.94-0.96; p < 0.001). The RCS curve revealed a significant nonlinear association between age and pN1a status and the LNR. For patients under the age of 55, the risk of CLNM (OR 0.59, 95% CI 0.55-0.65, p < 0.001) and the LNR (beta - 0.23, 95% CI -0.27, -0.19, p < 0.001) significantly decreased as age increased. For patients aged ≥ 55 years, the risk of LNM (OR 1.03, 95% CI 0.81-1.32; p = 0.79) and the LNR (Beta - 0.03, 95% CI -0.07,0.13, p = 0.54) did not change with age.

CONCLUSIONS

This study confirmed that age was a significant factor influencing the risk and severity of CLNM in patients with low-risk PTMC. The risk and severity of LNM were lowest in patients aged ≥ 55 years.

A radiopathomics model for predicting large-number cervical lymph node metastasis in clinical N0 papillary thyroid carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to develop a multimodal radiopathomics model utilising preoperative ultrasound (US) and fine-needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) to predict large-number cervical lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in patients with clinically lymph node-negative (cN0) papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This multicentre retrospective study included patients with PTC between October 2017 and June 2024 across seven institutions. Patients were categorised based on the presence or absence of large-number CLNM in training, validation, and external testing cohorts. A clinical model was developed based on the maximum diameter of thyroid nodules. Radiomics features were extracted from US images and pathomics features were extracted from FNAC images. Feature selection was performed using univariate analysis, correlation analysis, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. Six machine learning (ML) algorithms were employed to construct radiomics, pathomics, and radiopathomics models. Predictive performance was assessed using the area under the curve (AUC), and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

A total of 426 patients with PTC (41.65 ± 12.47 years; 124 men) were included in this study, with 213 (50%) exhibiting large-number CLNM. The multimodal radiopathomics model demonstrated excellent predictive capabilities with AUCs 0.921, 0.873, 0.903; accuracies (ACCs) 0.852, 0.800, 0.833; sensitivities (SENs) 0.876, 0.867, 0.857; specificities (SPEs) 0.829, 0.733, 0.810, for the training, validation, and testing cohorts, respectively. It significantly outperformed the clinical model (AUCs 0.730, 0.698, 0.630; ACCs 0.690, 0.656, 0.627; SENs 0.686, 0.378, 0.556; SPEs 0.695, 0.933, 0.698), the radiomics model (AUCs 0.819, 0.762, 0.783; ACCs 0.752, 0.722, 0.738; SENs 0.657, 0.844, 0.937; SPEs 0.848, 0.600, 0.540), and the pathomics model (AUCs 0.882, 0.786, 0.800; ACCs 0.829, 0.756, 0.786; SENs 0.819, 0.889, 0.857; SPEs 0.838, 0.633, 0.714).

CONCLUSION

The multimodal radiopathomics model demonstrated significant advantages in the preoperative prediction of large-number CLNM in patients with cN0 PTC.

KEY POINTS

Question Accurate preoperative prediction of large-number CLNM in PTC patients can guide treatment plans, but single-modality diagnostic performance remains limited. Findings The radiopathomics model utilising preoperative US and FNAC images effectively predicted large-number CLNM in both validation and testing cohorts, outperforming single predictive models. Clinical relevance Our study proposes a multimodal radiopathomics model based on preoperative US and FNAC images, which can effectively predict large-number CLNM in PTC preoperatively and guide clinicians in treatment planning.

The Role of Risk Factors for the Progression of Patients with T1b-T2 Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma (PC) during Long-Term Follow-Up

Background/Objectives: Recurrence prediction for patients with PC and tumor sizes ranging between 1 and 4 cm, classified as T1b and T2, remains a controversial problem. We evaluated which risk factors, identified during the primary tumor surgery, might play a prognostic role in predicting disease progression. Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 363 patients with classic PC who were in follow-up (207 T1b, 156 T2), with tissue risk factors at surgery in 209/363 cases. In all cases, an 131I-whole-body scan, SPECT/CT, and US were employed to detect any metastases during follow-up, and histology was used to confirm lesions. In the absence of surgery, metastases were validated by radioisotopic and radiologic procedures, eventually culminating in a needle biopsy and sequential thyroglobulin changes. Results: Metastases occurred in 61/363 (16.8%) patients (24 T1b, 37 T2). In 50/61 cases, the following risk factors were identified: minimal extrathyroid tumor extension (mETE) alone in 12/50 patients, neck lymph node (LN) metastases in 8/50 cases, and multifocality/multicentricity (M/M) in 6/50 cases. In the remaining 24/50 cases, the risk factors were associated with each other. From a Cox regression multivariate analysis, metastasis development was significantly (p < 0.001) influenced by only mETE and LN metastases, with a shorter disease-free survival (log-rank test). Conclusions: The current study proves that mETE and neck LN metastases are associated with aggressive PC. While LN metastasis' role is known, mETE's role is still being debated, and was removed by the AJCC's eighth edition because it was considered to not be associated with an unfavorable prognosis. However, this interpretation is not supported by the present study and, according to comparable studies, we suggest a revision of the mETE classification be considered in the next AJCC edition.

An Online Model for Central Lymph Node Metastases in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma With BRAF V600E Mutation

OBJECTIVE

To construct a predictive model to direct the dissection of the central lymph nodes in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) with BRAF V600E mutation by identifying the risk variables for central lymph node metastases (CLNM).

METHODS

Data from 466 PTC patients with BRAF V600E mutations underwent thyroid surgery was collected and analyzed retrospectively. For these patients, we conducted univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis to find risk variables for CLNM. To construct a nomogram, the independent predictors were chosen. The calibration, discrimination, and clinical utility of the predictive model were assessed by training and validation data.

RESULTS

CLNM was present in 323/466 PTC patients with BRAF V600E mutations. By using univariate and multivariate logistic regression, we discovered that gender, age, tumor size, multifocality, and pathological subtype were all independent predictors of CLNM in PTC patients with BRAF V600E mutations. A predictive nomogram was created by combining these variables. In both training and validation groups, the nomogram demonstrated great calibration capacities. The training and validation groups' areas under the curve (AUC) were 0.772 (specificity 0.694, sensitivity 0.728, 95% CI: 0.7195-0.8247) and 0.731 (specificity 0.778, sensitivity 0.653, 95% CI: 0.6386-0.8232) respectively. According to the nomogram's decision curve analysis (DCA), the nomogram might be beneficial. As well, an online dynamic calculator was developed to make the application of this nomogram easier in the clinic.

CONCLUSION

An online nomogram model based on the 5 predictors included gender, age, pathological subtype, multifocality, and tumor size was confirmed to predict CLNM and guide the central lymph nodes dissection in PTC patients with BRAF V600E mutations.

Impact of age on central lymph nodes involvement in papillary thyroid cancer

BACKGROUND

Total thyroidectomy is the main line of treatment for papillary thyroid cancer. Central lymph node dissection (CLND) is still debatable. In this study, we aimed to correlate the central lymph node status with the age of patients.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study including patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) who underwent total thyroidectomy and CLND at a tertiary cancer center during the period from January 2012 to September 2022. Patients were subdivided into 3groups: patients younger than 20 years old, patients between 20 and 40 years old, and patients older than 40 years old. Correlation between central lymph node status, lateral lymph node status, and harvest count with each other and between age groups was done.

RESULTS

315 patients were included. The younger the age group the higher the possibility of harboring positive central nodes, however, the positivity of lateral nodes was similar. Neither central nodal harvest nor positive central node count significantly differed between groups. The lateral nodal harvest was significantly higher in the < 20 years group with no affection to the number of positive nodes retrieved. The younger the age group the longer the disease-free survival (DFS).

CONCLUSION

We can conclude that patients younger than twenty years had a higher probability of harboring malignancy in central nodes and higher lateral node harvest on dissection. In contrast, they do have a lower incidence of recurrence.

Development of a nomogram for prediction of central lymph node metastasis of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is the most frequent malignant tumor in thyroid carcinoma. The aim of this study was to explore the risk factors associated with central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) and establish a nomogram model that can assess the probability of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM).

METHODS

The clinicopathological data of 377 patients with cN0 PTMC were collected and analyzed from The Second Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University from July 1st, 2019 to December 30th, 2021. All patients were examined by underwent ultrasound (US), found without metastasis to central lymph nodes, and diagnosed with PTMC through pathologic examination. All patients received thyroid lobectomy or total thyroidectomy with therapeutic or prophylactic central lymph node dissection (CLND). R software (Version 4.1.0) was employed to conduct a series of statistical analyses and establish the nomogram.

RESULTS

A total of 119 patients with PTMC had central lymph node metastases (31.56%). After that, age (P < 0.05), gender (P < 0.05), tumor size (P < 0.05), tumor multifocality (P < 0.05), and ultrasound imaging-suggested tumor boundaries (P < 0.05) were identified as the risk factors associated with CLNM. Subsequently, multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of the training cohort was 0.703 and that of the validation cohort was 0.656, demonstrating that the prediction ability of this model is relatively good compared to existing models. The calibration curves indicated a good fit for the nomogram model. Finally, the decision curve analysis (DCA) showed that a probability threshold of 0.15-0.50 could benefit patients clinically. The probability threshold used in DCA captures the relative value the patient places on receiving treatment for the disease, if present, compared to the value of avoiding treatment if the disease is not present.

CONCLUSION

CLNM is associated with many risk factors, including age, gender, tumor size, tumor multifocality, and ultrasound imaging-suggested tumor boundaries. The nomogram established in our study has moderate predictive ability for CLNM and can be applied to the clinical management of patients with PTMC. Our findings will provide a better preoperative assessment and treatment strategies for patients with PTMC whether to undergo central lymph node dissection.

The Impact of Total Tumor Diameter on Lymph Node Metastasis and Tumor Recurrence in Papillary Thyroid Carcinomas

(1) Introduction: The impact of multifocality/bilaterality on the prognosis of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is a matter of debate. In order to clarify this debate, several studies have attempted to identify additional parameters associated with poor prognosis, including total tumor diameter (TTD), in the context of multifocal PTCs. In this context, this study was carried out to investigate the impact of TTD on tumor recurrence and lymph node metastasis (LNM) in PTCs. (2) Materials and Methods: The sample of this single-center retrospective study consisted of 706 patients diagnosed with PTC. TTD was calculated as the sum of the largest diameters of tumor foci in multifocal tumors. The resulting TTDs were grouped into TTDs ≤ 10 mm, TTDs > 10 mm, TTDs ≤ 20 mm, and TTDs > 20 mm, using 10 mm and 20 mm as cutoff values. (3) Results: There was no significant difference between multifocal papillary microcarcinomas (PTMCs) with a TTD of >10 mm and unifocal PTCs with a primary tumor diameter (PTD) of >10 mm except for advanced age and lymphovascular invasion (LVI). In addition, perineural invasion (PNI) and TTD > 10 mm were found to be significant risk factors for LNM, and PNI, TTD > 10 mm, TTD > 20 mm, and bilaterality were found to be significant risk factors for recurrence. LVI, and TTD > 10 mm were found to be independent significant predictors for recurrence, and LVI and extrathyroidal extension (ETE) were found to be independent significant predictors for LNM. (4) Conclusions: Considering TTD > 10 mm in recurrence risk categorization models and adopting a clinical approach that takes into account multifocal PTMCs with TTD > 10 mm along with unifocal PTCs with PTD > 10 mm may be more useful in terms of clinical management of the disease.

A prediction model for identifying high-risk lymph node metastasis in clinical low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The presence of high-volume lymph node metastasis (LNM) and extranodal extension (ENE) greatly increases the risk of recurrence in patients with low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). The goal of this research was to analyze the factors that contribute to high-risk lymph node metastasis in patients with low-risk PTMC.

METHODS

We analyzed the records of 7344 patients who were diagnosed with low-risk PTMC and treated at our center from January 2013 to June 2018.LNM with a high volume or ENE was classified as high-risk lymph node metastasis (hr-LNM). A logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify the risk factors associated with hr-LNM. A nomogram was created and verified using risk factors obtained from LASSO regression analysis, to predict the likelihood of hr-LNM.

RESULTS

The rate of hr-LNM was 6.5%. LASSO regression revealed six variables that independently contribute to hr-LNM: sex, age, tumor size, tumor location, Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT), and microscopic capsular invasion. A predictive nomogram was developed by integrating these risk factors, demonstrating its excellent performance. Upon analyzing the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for predicting hr-LNM, it was observed that the area under the curve (AUC) had a value of 0.745 and 0.730 in the training and testing groups showed strong agreement, affirming great reliability.

CONCLUSION

Sex, age, tumor size, tumor location, HT, and microscopic capsular invasion were determined to be key factors associated with hr-LNM in low-risk PTMC. Utilizing these factors, a nomogram was developed to evaluate the risk of hr-LNM in patients with low-risk PTMC.

Safety and efficacy of microwave ablation for the treatment of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a prospective multicenter study

OBJECTIVES

To assess the safety and efficacy of ultrasound-guided thermal ablation for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) via a prospective multicenter study.

METHODS

From January 2017 through June 2021, low-risk PTMC patients were screened. The management details of active surveillance (AS), surgery, and thermal ablation were discussed. Among patients who accepted thermal ablation, microwave ablation (MWA) was performed. The main outcome was disease-free survival (DFS). The secondary outcomes were tumor size and volume changes, local tumor progression (LTP), lymph node metastasis (LNM), and complication rate.

RESULTS

A total of 1278 patients were included in the study. The operation time of ablation was 30.21 ± 5.14 min with local anesthesia. The mean follow-up time was 34.57 ± 28.98 months. Six patients exhibited LTP at 36 months, of whom 5 patients underwent a second ablation, and 1 patient received surgery. The central LNM rate was 0.39% at 6 months, 0.63% at 12 months, and 0.78% at 36 months. Of the 10 patients with central LNM at 36 months, 5 patients chose ablation, 3 patients chose surgery and the other 2 patients chose AS. The overall complication rate was 1.41%, and 1.10% of patients developed hoarseness of the voice. All of the patients recovered within 6 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Thermal ablation of low-risk PTMC was observed to be safe and efficacious with few minor complications. This technique may help to bridge the gap between surgery and AS as treatment options for patients wishing to have their PTMC managed in a minimally invasive manner.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

This study proved that microwave ablation is a safe and effective treatment method for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma.

KEY POINTS

Percutaneous US-guided microwave ablation of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma is a very minimally invasive treatment under local anesthesia during a short time period. The local tumor progression and complication rate of microwave ablation in the treatment of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma are very low.

Subcentimetric Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: Does the Diagnosis Kind Impact Prognosis?

INTRODUCTION

Subcentimetric papillary thyroid carcinoma (SPTC) (papillary thyroid carcinoma with less than 10 mm in size) usually presents an excellent prognosis, with few aggressive reported cases. Given the globally increased incidence of SPTC, physicians are struggling with the need to identify prognostic factors to stratify SPTC. The aim was to compare clinicopathological variables and prognosis between clinically and incidentally diagnosed SPTC. Materials and methodsː This is a retrospective observational study on patients with SPTC who underwent thyroidectomy between 2002 and 2015. Two groups were considered: G1 (n=60 (61.9%)), clinical diagnosis (Bethesda III-VI cytology in the thyroid tumor/in cervical lymphadenopathies) and G2 (n=37 (38.1%)), incidental diagnosis (thyroidectomy for benign thyroid pathology). The histological material was reviewed, and molecular analysis of the BRAF, RAS, and TERT promoter (TERTp) genes was performed. Resultsː Ninety-seven individuals were included, 60 (61.9%) of which were from G1, with a predominance of female sex (n=83 (85.6%)). Individuals of G1 were younger (53.0±14.2 versus 59.3±13.9 years; p=0.035), were more frequently treated with 131-iodine (39.2% versus 13.4%; p=0.007), had the largest diameter (8 (p25-p75: 7-9) versus 5 (p25-p75: 4-6.5) mm; p<0.001), and higher frequency of minimal extracapsular invasion (45% versus 24.3%; p=0.041). Increased tumor size was the only independent predictor of a clinical diagnosis (p<0.001). Conclusionsː Clinically and incidentally diagnosed SPTC showed excellent medium- to long-term prognosis. A larger SPTC was more likely a driver of clinical detection than a marker of tumor aggressiveness, but caution should be taken as contradictory data persists.

Predictive nomogram for central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma based on pathological and ultrasound features

Background

Central lymph node metastases (CLNM) in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) are common, but management through prophylactic central lymph node dissection (pCLND) remains controversial. In this study, the independent predictors of CLNM in PTMC were retrospectively studied based on ultrasound and pathological data, and we aim to establish the prediction model to predict CLNM in PTMC.

Methods

This study included a total of 1,506 patients who underwent thyroid surgery for PTMC at the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University from 2015 to 2018. Ultrasound and clinicopathological features were summarized and analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the risk factors associated with CLNM. The prediction model is established and verified according to the multivariate analysis results. The Kaplan-Meier curve was used to evaluate the effect of CLNM on survival.

Results

The CLNM rate was 44.5% (670/1,506). Multivariate analysis showed that men, younger age, smaller diameter, ETE, microcalcification, without Hashimoto's thyroiditis, and multifocal were independent risk predictors of CLNM. Nomogram has a good discriminative ability (C-index: 0.755 in the validation group), and the calibration effect is good. In the DCA curve, the CLNM prediction model performed better net benefit given any high-risk thresholds. The median follow-up time was 30 months (12-59 months), 116 cases were lost, and the follow-up rate was 92.8% (1,506/1,622). Of the 1,506 patients included, 12 (0.8%) experienced recurrence.

Conclusion

The likelihood of CLNM can be objectively quantified before surgery by using this reliable and accurate nomogram that combines preoperative ultrasound with clinicopathological features. Clinicians can use this nomogram to assess central lymph node status in patients with PTMC and consider prophylactic CND in patients with high scores.

The effect of central lymph node dissection on the prognosis of cN0 papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a mid-term follow-up study

BACKGROUND

To investigate the effect of central lymph node dissection on the prognosis of patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) without clinical lymph node metastasis (cN0).

METHODS

According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 462 patients with cN0 PTMC underwent surgery in the Second Department of General Surgery, Zhongshan City People's Hospital from January 1, 2007, to June 31, 2017. They were divided into two groups: the undissection group (262 cases) and the dissection group (170 cases). A comparison was made between the two groups in terms of postoperative complications, recurrences, metastases, etc., as well aslymph node metastasis risk factors in the central region of cN0 PTMC.

RESULTS

There was no lymphatic leakage or death in all patients after the operation. In the dissection group, 64 cases (37.6%) of central lymph node metastasis were found after the postoperative pathological examination. The undissection group was followed up for (92 ± 28.7) months, and the dissection group was followed up for (86 ± 25.4) months (t=-2.165, P = 0.031). In the two groups, there were no lung metastases, bone metastases, or other distant metastases during the follow-up period. In the undissection group, there were 7 cases, while in the dissection group, there were just 2. Recurrence rates between the two groups did not differ significantly (χ2 = 0.126, P = 0.169); Similarly, disease-free survival curves did not differ significantly (χ2 = 2.565, P = 0.708). Hypoparathyroidism and Hypocalcemia also had no difference between the group. In comparison to the undissection group, the capsular invasion rate (P = 0.026), calcification rate(P < 0.001) incidence of postoperative hoarseness (P = 0.017), and hand and foot numbness rate (P < 0.001) were all considerably greater in the dissection group. Multivariate research revealed that capsular invasion (OR = 9.42, P = 0.002), multifocal (OR = 24.57, P < 0.001), and tumor diameter > 5 mm (OR = 5.46, P = 0.019) were the independent risk factors for central lymph node metastasis in cN0 PTMC.

CONCLUSIONS

Thyroidectomy alone is safe for cN0 PTMC, but longer-term follow-up is still required for changes in central lymph nodes. For cN0 PTMC patients with tumor diameter > 5 mm, multifocal, and capsular invasion, central lymph node metastasis is more likely to occur. Comprehensive evaluation and individualized and precise treatment are essential.

Clinical and ultrasonic risk factors for high-volume central lymph node metastasis in cN0 papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: A retrospective study and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) comprises more than 50% of all newly detected cases of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). High-volume lymph node metastasis (involving >5 lymph nodes) (hv-LNM) is associated with PTMC recurrence. In half of the clinically node-negative (cN0) PTMC patients, central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) is pathologically present. However, clinical risk factors for high-volume CLNM (hv-CLNM) in cN0 PTMC have not been defined well. Therefore, we aimed to obtain evidence for hv-CLNM risk factors in cN0 PTMC.

DESIGN

Data on patients who visited our hospital between January 2020 and December 2021 were collected; a preoperative diagnosis of cN0 and a postoperative pathological confirmation of PTMC were obtained. After filtering by inclusion versus exclusion criteria, the obtained data (N = 2268) were included in the meta-analysis. Relevant studies published as of 10 April 2022, were identified from the Web of Science, PubMed, WANFANG, and CNKI databases. These eligible studies were included in the meta-analysis and the association between clinicopathological factors and hv-CLNM in cN0 PTMC was assessed. SPSS and MetaXL were used for statistical analyses.

RESULTS

The meta-analysis included 10 previous studies (11,734 patients) and 2268 patients enroled in our hospital for a total of 14,002 subjects. The results of which suggested that younger age (<40, odds ratio [OR] = 3.28, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.75-3.92, p < .001 or <45 odds ratio [OR] = 2.93, 95% CI = 2.31-3.72, p < .001), male sex (OR = 2.81, 95% CI = 2.25-3.52, p < .001), tumour size >5 mm (OR = 1.85, 95% CI = 1.39-2.47, p < .001), multifocality (OR = 1.88, 95% CI = 1.56-2.26, p < .001), extrathyroidal extension (OR = 2.58, 95% CI = 2.02-3.30, p < .001), capsule invasion (OR = 2.02, 95% CI = 1.46-2.78, p < .001), microcalcification (OR = 3.25, 95% CI = 2.42-4.36, p < .001) and rich blood flow (OR = 1.65, 95% CI = 1.21-2.25, p = .002) were the significant factors related to an elevated hv-CLNM risk in cN0 PTMC patients. Hashimoto thyroiditis (OR = 0.76, 95% CI = 0.55-1.07, p = .114), irregular margin (versus regular margin, OR = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.68-1.33, p = .787) and hypoechoic (versus nonhypoechoic, OR = 1.27, 95% CI = 0.84-1.92, p = .261) showed no significant association with hv-CLNM.

CONCLUSIONS

Younger age, tumour size >5 mm, males, extrathyroidal extension, multifocality, microcalcification, capsular invasion, and rich blood flow were the significant clinicopathological risk factors for hv-CLNM risk in cN0 PTMC patients. These predictors may compensate for the sensitivity of imaging diagnosis in the preoperative period, thus helping in the effective identification of PTMCs with an invasive phenotype.

Clinical-Radiomics Nomogram Based on Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound for Preoperative Prediction of Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

This study aimed to establish a new clinical-radiomics nomogram based on ultrasound (US) for cervical lymph node metastasis (LNM) in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). We collected 211 patients with PTC between June 2018 and April 2020, then we randomly divided these patients into the training set (n = 148) and the validation set (n = 63). 837 radiomics features were extracted from B-mode ultrasound (BMUS) images and contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) images. The maximum relevance minimum redundancy (mRMR) algorithm, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm, and backward stepwise logistic regression (LR) were applied to select key features and establish a radiomics score (Radscore), including BMUS Radscore and CEUS Radscore. The clinical model and clinical-radiomics model were established using the univariate analysis and multivariate backward stepwise LR. The clinical-radiomics model was finally presented as a clinical-radiomics nomogram, the performance of which was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curves, Hosmer-Lemeshow test, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The results show that the clinical-radiomics nomogram was constructed by four predictors, including gender, age, US-reported LNM, and CEUS Radscore. The clinical-radiomics nomogram performed well in both the training set (AUC = 0.820) and the validation set (AUC = 0.814). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test and the calibration curves demonstrated good calibration. The DCA showed that the clinical-radiomics nomogram had satisfactory clinical utility. The clinical-radiomics nomogram constructed by CEUS Radscore and key clinical features can be used as an effective tool for individualized prediction of cervical LNM in PTC.

Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: Insights from a Cohort of 257 Thyroidectomized Patients

Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma management evolved, and less aggressive strategies are now considered. Questions, however, remain on these tumors' behavior, particularly on developing countries' real ground healthcare scenarios. Our aim is to gather insights on the natural history of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma on patients treated with thyroidectomy in Brazil. Consecutive patients diagnosed with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma had their clinical characteristics, interventions, and outcomes described. Patients were classified as incidental or nonincidental based on the diagnosis after or before surgery, respectively. A sum of 257 patients were included, 84.0% of which were women, and the mean age was of 48.3±13.5 years. The mean tumor size was of 0.68±0.26 cm, 30.4% were multifocal, 24.5% had cervical metastasis, and 0.4% distant metastasis. The nonincidental and incidental tumors differed in tumor size (0.72±0.24 and 0.60±0.28 cm, respectively, p=0.003) and in presence of cervical metastasis (31.3% and 11.9%, respectively, p<0.001). Male sex, nonincidental diagnosis, and younger age were independent predictors of cervical metastasis. After 5.5 years (P25-75 2.5-9.7) of follow-up, only 3.8% of patients had persistent structural disease (3.4% cervical). Predictors of persistent disease at multivariate analysis included cervical metastasis and multicentricity. In conclusion, incidental and nonincidental papillary thyroid microcarcinoma patients of the population studied displayed excellent outcomes. Cervical metastasis and multicentricity were frequent findings and prognostic factors for persistent disease.

Nomograms for Prediction of High-Volume Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma Patients

OBJECTIVE

The coexistence rate between chronic lymphocytic thyroiditis (CLT) and papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is quite high. Whether CLT influences metastatic lymph nodes remains uncertain. High-volume lymph node metastasis is recommended as an unfavorable pathological feature. We aimed to investigate risk factors for high-volume central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) and lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) in PTC patients.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Changzhou First People's Hospital.

METHODS

Clinicopathological characteristics of 1094 PTC patients who underwent surgery in our center from January 2019 to November 2021 were analyzed.

RESULTS

The number of metastatic lymph nodes in the central compartment and lateral compartment were lower in the CLT group. We demonstrated that age, BRAF V600E, shape, and the number of foci were risk factors for high-volume CLNM in patients with CLT. For patients without CLT, sex, age, tumor size, number of foci, and margin were risk factors for high-volume CLNM. Tumor size, number of foci, location, and CLNM were all risk factors for high-volume LLNM in patients with or without CLT. Body mass index was only associated with high-volume LLNM in CLT patients. All the above factors were incorporated into nomograms, which showed perfect discriminative ability.

CONCLUSION

Separate predictive systems should be used for CLT and non-CLT patients for a more accurate clinical assessment of lymph node status. Our nomograms of predicting high-volume CLNM and LLNM could facilitate risk-stratified management of PTC recurrence and treatment decisions.

ABCA1-Mediated EMT Promotes Papillary Thyroid Cancer Malignancy through the ERK/Fra-1/ZEB1 Pathway

Papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is the most prevalent histological type of thyroid cancer (TC) worldwide. Although tumor metastasis occurs in regional lymph nodes, distant metastasis (DM) may also occur. Radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy is an effective treatment for TC; however, resistance to RAI occurs in patients with DM. Therefore, in this study, we investigated the efficacy of DM-related biomarkers as therapeutic targets for PTC therapy. ABCA1 expression was higher in aggressive BCPAP cells than in other PTC cells in terms of migration and invasion capacity. The knockdown of ABCA1 substantially decreased the expression of the epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) marker, N-cadherin, and EMT regulator (ZEB1), resulting in suppressed migration and invasion of BCPAP cells. ABCA1 knockdown also reduced ERK activity and Fra-1 expression, which correlated with the effects of an ERK inhibitor or siRNA-mediated inhibition of ERK or Fra-1 expression. Furthermore, ABCA1-knocked-down BCPAP cells suppressed cell migration and invasion by reducing Fra-1 recruitment to Zeb1 promoter; lung metastasis was not observed in mice injected with ABCA1-knocked-down cells. Overall, our findings suggest that ABCA1 regulates lung metastasis in TC cells.

Quantitative analysis of contrast-enhanced ultrasound combined with ultrasound in the unifocal papillary thyroid micro-carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate diagnostic value of ultrasound (US) combined with contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) in the invasiveness of unifocal papillary thyroid micro-carcinoma (UPTMC) without capsule-invasion.

METHODS

This retrospective study included data from patients with UPTMC who received US and CEUS examinations in the Ultrasound Department of the Central Hospital of Changsha, China between June 2019 and September 2021. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to evaluate the risk of US and CEUS parameters for UPTMC. Diagnostic performance was estimated by ROC analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 136 cases were enrolled, including invasive UPTMC (n = 47) and non-invasive UPTMC (n = 89), which were divided into test set (n = 109) and validation set (n = 27). The occurrence of microcalcification and the ratios (R) of each time-intensity curve (TIC) of CEUS parameter were significantly higher in patients with invasive UTPMC than non-invasive UPTMC (all P < 0.05). Additionally, nodular diameter was significantly longer in the invasive group (P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that microcalcification (OR = 2.917, 95% CI: 1.002-8.491, P = 0.050), R-TTP > 1 (OR = 3.376, 95%CI: 1.267-8.994, P = 0.015), R-DS > 1 (OR = 6.558, 95% CI: 2.358-18.243, P < 0.010) were independently associated with invasive UPTMC. The sensitivities of US, CEUS and their combined application were 82.1%, 46.2% and 79.5%, respectively, and their specificities were 37.1%, 88.6% and 61.4%, respectively. The combination of the two methods had the best diagnostic efficiency (AUC=0.775)compared to US (AUC = 0.596) and CEUS (AUC = 0.750).

CONCLUSION

The combination of US and CEUS might have good diagnostic value for UPTMC with capsule non-invasion.

Exploring risk factors for cervical lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: construction of a novel population-based predictive model

BACKGROUND

Machine learning was a highly effective tool in model construction. We aim to establish a machine learning-based predictive model for predicting the cervical lymph node metastasis (LNM) in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC).

METHODS

We obtained data on PTMC from the SEER database, including 10 demographic and clinicopathological characteristics. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression (LR) analyses were applied to screen the risk factors for cervical LNM in PTMC. Risk factors with P < 0.05 in multivariate LR analysis were used as modeling variables. Five different machine learning (ML) algorithms including extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest (RF), adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), gaussian naive bayes (GNB) and multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and traditional regression analysis were used to construct the prediction model. Finally, the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve was used to compare the model performance.

RESULTS

Through univariate and multivariate LR analysis, we screened out 9 independent risk factors most closely associated with cervical LNM in PTMC, including age, sex, race, marital status, region, histology, tumor size, and extrathyroidal extension (ETE) and multifocality. We used these risk factors to build an ML prediction model, in which the AUROC value of the XGBoost algorithm was higher than the other 4 ML algorithms and was the best ML model. We optimized the XGBoost algorithm through 10-fold cross-validation, and its best performance on the training set (AUROC: 0.809, 95%CI 0.800-0.818) was better than traditional LR analysis (AUROC: 0.780, 95%CI 0.772-0.787).

CONCLUSIONS

ML algorithms have good predictive performance, especially the XGBoost algorithm. With the continuous development of artificial intelligence, ML algorithms have broad prospects in clinical prognosis prediction.

Predictive features of central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: Roles of active surveillance in over-treatment

Background

Low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) without clinically evident lymph nodes, extrathyroidal expansions, and distant metastases may be candidates for active monitoring.

Objective

The purpose of this research is to identify risk factors for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) metastasis to central cervical lymph nodes (CLNM) and to discuss the viability of an active surveillance strategy to minimize unnecessary therapy for patients.

Methods

This single-center retrospective study was conducted on the data and medical records of the patients who were diagnosed with PTMC and underwent surgery at the Baotou Cancer Hospital, China, between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2019. Both lobectomy and complete thyroid resections were performed, and central lymph node dissections (CLND) were used in all patients. Comparisons and analyses were conducted on the preoperative ultrasound (US) characteristics, the post-operation pathological results, and lymph node metastasis.

Results

We analyzed 172 patients with PTMC with average age 48.32 ± 10.59 years old, with 31 males and 142 females. US testing showed 74 (43.0%) patients had suspicious lymph nodes; 31 (41.9%) had capsular invasion and 52 (30.2%) patients were confirmed to have CLNM. Based on logistic regression analysis, central lymph node metastasis was shown to be more common in individuals with PTMC who were older than 45 years old, male, and had tumors that lacked micro-calcification on US imaging. Postoperative pathology assessments suggested that 58 cases (33.7%) were more suitable candidates for active surveillance cohorts.

Conclusions

While active surveillance might benefit many PTMC patients, treatments for the patients should also encompass occult lymph node metastasis, especially in patients with over 45 years old, male, tumor without micro-calcification in the US imaging. Furthermore, the prediction of lymph nodes in the central cervical via the preoperative US and the PTMC risk stratification accuracy need to be improved. Our findings showed about 30% of the patients with PTMC had no active surveillance high-risk factors but required surgical treatment. Fear of cancer in the PTMC patients, although informed of the details, is still the main reason for choosing surgical treatment over active surveillance.

Ultrasound gray scale ratio for differential diagnosis of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma from benign micronodule in patients with Hashimoto's thyroiditis

BACKGROUND

To investigate the diagnostic value of ultrasound gray scale ratio (UGSR) in differentiating papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMCs) from benign micronodules (BMNs) in patients with Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT).

METHODS

The ultrasound images of 285 PTMCs (from 247 patients) and 173 BMNs (from 140 patients) in the HT group, as well as 461 PTMCs (from 417 patients) and 234 BMNs (from 197 patients) in the non-HT group were retrospectively analyzed. The diagnosis of all cases was confirmed by histopathological examinations. The gray scale values of the nodules and surrounding thyroid tissues were measured and subsequently the UGSRs were calculated. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to determine the area under the curve (AUC), optimal UGSR threshold, sensitivity and specificity in differentiating PTMCs and BMNs in the two groups.

RESULTS

The UGSR of PTMC and BMN was 0.52 ± 0.12 and 0.85 ± 0.24 in the HT group (P < 0.001), and 0.57 ± 0.13 and 0.87 ± 0.20 in the non-HT group (P < 0.001), respectively. The difference in PTMC-UGSR was significant between the two groups (P < 0.001), whereas BMN-UGSR did not differ between the two groups (P = 0.416). The AUC, optimal UGSR threshold, sensitivity and specificity of UGSR for differentiating PTMC and BMN in the HT and non-HT group were 0.890 versus 0.901, 0.68 versus 0.72, 91.23% versus 90.67%, and 77.46% versus 82.05%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The USGR of the HT group was lower than that of the non-HT group. Moreover, UGSR exhibited important diagnostic value in differentiating PTMC from BMN in both HT and non-HT groups.

A Narrative Review of Preventive Central Lymph Node Dissection in Patients With Papillary Thyroid Cancer - A Necessity or an Excess

OBJECTIVE

This review article summarises the latest evidence for preventive central lymph node dissection in patients with papillary thyroid cancer taking into account the possible complications and risk of recurrence.

BACKGROUND

Papillary thyroid cancer is the most frequent histological variant of malignant neoplasms of the thyroid gland. It accounts for about 80-85% of all cases of thyroid cancer. Despite good postoperative results and an excellent survival rate in comparison with many other malignant diseases, tumor metastases to the cervical lymph nodes are frequent. Most researchers agree that the presence of obvious metastases in the lymph nodes requires careful lymph node dissection. It was suggested to perform preventive routine lymphadenectomy in all patients with malignant thyroid diseases referred to surgery.

METHODS

It was performed the literature review using the "papillary thyroid cancer", "central lymph node dissection", "hypocalcemia", "recurrent laryngeal nerve paresis", "metastasis", "cancer recurrence" along with the MESH terms. The reference list of the articles was carefully reviewed as a potential source of information. The search was based on Medline, Scopus, Google Scholar, eLibrary engines. Selected publications were analyzed and their synthesis was used to write the review and analyse the role of preventive central lymph node dissection in patients with papillary thyroid cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

The necessity of preventive central lymph node dissection in patients with differentiated papillary thyroid carcinoma is still controversial. There is much evidence that it increases the frequency of transient hypocalcemia. Due to the fact that this complication is temporary, its significance in clinical practice is debatable. It can also be assumed that an extant of surgery in the neck area is associated with an increased risk of recurrent laryngeal nerve injury. However, most studies indicate that this injury is associated more with thyroidectomy itself than with lymph node dissection. Recurrent laryngeal nerve dysfunction is also a temporary complication in the vast majority of cases. At the same time, a large amount of data shows that central lymph node dissection reduces the risk of thyroid cancer recurrence in two times.

Development of an Active Surveillance or Surgery Model to Predict Lymph Node Metastasis in cN0 Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

OBJECTIVE

Involvement of multiple lymph node (LN) metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) may indicate a progressive disease. To assist treatment decision, we conducted a clinical study to develop and validate a prediction model for the preoperative evaluation of LN metastasis involving more than five lymph nodes in patients with clinical N0 (cN0) PTMC.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Using data from 6,337 patients with cN0 PTMCs at Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital from 2013 to 2017, we identified and integrated risk factors for the prediction of multiple LN metastasis to build a nomogram. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram were evaluated by the concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve. The model was validated using bootstrap resampling of the training cohort and an independent temporal validation cohort at the same institution.

RESULTS

In the training cohort (n = 3,209 patients), six independent risk factors were identified and included the prediction model (PTMC Active Surveillance or Surgery (ASOS) Model), including age, gender, multifocality, tumor size, calcification, and aspect ratio. The PTMC ASOS model was validated both internally and through the temporal validation cohort (n = 3,128 patients) from the same institute. The C-indexes of the prediction model in the training cohort were 0.768 (95% CI, 0.698-0.838), 0.768 and 0.771 in the internal validation and external validation cohorts, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.7068 and 0.6799. The calibration curve for probability of large-LN metastasis showed good agreement between prediction by nomogram and actual observation. DCA curves were used for comparison with another model, and IDI and NRI were also calculated. The cutoff value of our model was obtained by the ROC curve. Based on this model and cut point, a web-based dynamic nomogram was developed (https://tjmuch-thyroid.shinyapps.io/PTMCASOSM/).

CONCLUSION

We established a novel nomogram that can help to distinguish preoperatively cN0 PTMC patients with or without metastasis of multiple lymph nodes. This clinical prediction model may be used in decision making for both active surveillance and surgery.

Risk Factor Analysis for Central Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

Purpose

Although the prognosis of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) is excellent, cervical lymph node metastasis (CLNM) is commonly observed in PTMC. This study aimed to investigate the incidence and risk factors for CLNM in PTMC.

Patients and Methods

Altogether, 687 patients with PTMC who initially underwent unilateral thyroidectomy with unilateral central lymph node dissection or bilateral thyroidectomy with bilateral central lymph node dissection between January 2014 and June 2018 at our hospital were included. The patients were divided into two groups: PTMC with CLNM and PTMC with no CLNM. The clinicopathologic characteristics and ultrasound features were compared between the groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify the risk factors for CLNM.

Results

CLNM was observed in 121/687 (17.6%) patients with PTMC. PTMC patients aged <55 years exhibited a greater incidence of CLNM (87.6% vs 12.4%) than those aged ≥55 years. PTMC patients with CLNM were more likely to have capsular extension (24.0% vs 15.4%) and extension to the adjacent structures (9.9% vs 4.2%). Patients with microcalcification on ultrasound images were more likely to have CLNM (66.1% vs 47.9%). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that microcalcification (odds ratio [OR]: 2.066, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.361-3.135, P<0.001), age <55 years (OR: 2.341, 95% CI: 1.309-4.187, P=0.004), capsular invasion (OR: 1.772, 95% CI: 1.082-2.879, P=0.023), and invasion of the adjacent tissues (OR: 2.872, 95% CI: 1.355-4.187, P=0.004) were significant risk factors for CLNM.

Conclusion

Microcalcification, age <55 years, capsular invasion, and invasion of the adjacent tissues were significant risk factors for CLNM in PTMC.

Prophylactic central neck dissection for well-differentiated thyroid carcinoma: results and methodological assessment of systematic reviews

OBJECTIVE

The aim was to assess the methodological quality of systematic reviews evaluating the effectivness of prophylactic central neck dissection plus thyroidectomy to decrease locoregional recurrence in patients with thyroid carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION

Many systematic reviews have been published concerning prophylactic central neck dissection in well-differentiated thyroid carcinoma, finding inconsistent results regarding the risk of locoregional recurrence. Because systematic reviews are considered the best source on which to base clinical decisions, the assessment of methodological quality is important.

INCLUSION CRITERIA

This paper included studies that mentioned that a systematic review was performed in adult patients with confirmed diagnosis of well-differentiated thyroid carcinoma without evidence of nodal metastatic disease who underwent total thyroidectomy. Reviews evaluated prophylactic central neck dissection compared with no neck diessection for decreasing locoregional recurrence.

METHODS

A systematic search was performed using MEDLINE, Embase, the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, LILACS, Web of Science, CNKI, and Google Scholar. PROSPERO was searched for unpublished studies and gray literature. Data regarding the study characteristics, patient types, numbers of patients, and locoregional recurrence by group were extracted. Methodological characteristics, type of statistical analysis and summary estimator, heterogeneity, and publication bias were recorded. The methodological quality was measured using the AMSTAR 2 tool.

RESULTS

The search identified 12 systematic reviews. Only four systematic reviews reported adherence to methodological guidelines. The AMSTAR 2 critical criteria classified all the studies as critically low quality. The pooled risk difference for locoregional recurrence varied among studies from -5% to 0%. Most of the studies were published in high-impact journals.

CONCLUSIONS

The published systematic reviews that assessed prophylactic central neck dissection as an intervention to decrease the rate of locoregional recurrence have a critically low methodological quality. The results and recommendations based on these studies should be used with caution. The evaluation of methodological quality by peer reviewers must be improved.

Predictive Factors of Recurrence of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinomas: Analysis of 2,538 Patients

Introduction  The incidence of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) has increased, and its treatment remains controversial.

Objective  To identify the clinical and pathological factors predictive of tumor recurrence.

Methods  We retrospectively analyzed 2,538 consecutive patients treated for PTMC, most submitted to total thyroidectomy (98%) followed by radioactive iodine (RAI) ablation (51.7%) at a cancer center from 1996 to 2015. The patients were stratified according to the American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk categories (low, intermediate, or high), and the clinicopathological features were evaluated by multivariate Cox regression analysis to identify independent prognostic factors for recurrence.

Results  After a mean follow-up of 58 months (range: 3 to 236.5 months), tumor recurrence was diagnosed in 63 (2.5%) patients, mostly in the lymph nodes. Distant metastasis occurred in 2 (0.1%) patients. There were no cancer-related deaths. The multivariate analysis showed that age < 55 years ( p  = 0.049; hazard ratio [HR]: 2.54; 95% confidence interval [95%CI]: 0.95 to 0.99), multifocality ( p  = 0.032; HR: 1.76; 95%CI: 1.05 to 2.96), and the presence of lymph-node metastasis ( p  < 0.001; HR: 3.69; 95%CI: 2.07–6.57) were independent risk factors for recurrence. Recurrence was observed in 29 (1.5%) out of 1,940 low-risk patients, 32 (5.4%) out of 590 intermediate-risk patients, and in 2 (25%) out of 8 high-risk patients.

Conclusions  The prognosis of PTMC is excellent, favoring a conservative treatment for most patients. Age < 55 years, multifocality, and node metastasis at diagnosis, as well the ATA staging system effectively predict the risk of recurrence. The presence of these risk factors can help identify patients who should be considered for more aggressive management and more frequent follow-up.

Is There a Regular Pattern in the Recovery of Parathyroid Function After Thyroid Cancer Surgery?

Purpose

To investigate whether there is a pattern of recovery of parathyroid function after thyroid cancer surgery.

Patients and Methods

The study included 183 patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) who underwent “total thyroidectomy (TT)” plus “unilateral central lymph node dissection (UCLND)” or “bilateral central lymph node dissection (BCLND)”. The intact parathyroid hormone (iPTH) and serum calcium (sCa) were analyzed several times within 1 month after surgery to explore the recovery pattern of parathyroid gland function. Then, these 183 cases were divided into group A (97 cases) with UCLND and group B (86 cases) with BCLND to analyze whether the impairment and recovery of parathyroid function were different between the two subgroups.

Results

Postoperative hypoparathyroidism was seen in 115 out of 183 cases. iPTH values decreased significantly on postoperative day (POD) 1 compared with preoperative values, dropped to the lowest point on POD 3, showed an increasing trend on POD 5 and 14, and increased to 85.0% of preoperative values at POD30, whereas changes in sCa differ from changes in iPTH, which showed the lowest sCa value on POD1, and rebounded on the POD3 with the intervention of calcium supplementation, and continued to rise on the POD5 and POD14, and the sCa value reached 96.6% of the preoperative level at POD30. Subgroup analysis showed that temporary hypoparathyroidism was more pronounced in group B than in group A. SCa and iPTH levels in both subgroups showed the same trend of first decrease and then increase.

Conclusion

The recovery of hypocalcemia and hypo-iPTHemia in the first month after thyroid cancer surgery shows a trend of decreasing and then increasing, and knowing the recovery of parathyroid function at different time points is of great value to surgeons and patients alike.

Total Tumor Diameter and Unilateral Multifocality as Independent Predictor Factors for Metastatic Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

Simple Summary

Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma is currently the most frequent endocrine cancer at this time. Usually, this form of cancer is indolent, but there are situations in which it metastasizes. The current classification guidelines are rather simplistic and do not comprehend the whole disease spectrum. Studies that have addressed this issue have evaluated various stages of papillary thyroid carcinoma, considering the scarcity of studies based on European demographic data. We aim to further investigate whether total tumor diameter and multifocality are directly correlated with metastatic forms of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. The results of this study could validate the confidence with which current guidelines are used or could open new avenues in using the total tumor diameter instead of the size of the largest tumor.

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to assess whether total tumor diameter (TTD) and multifocality are predictors for metastatic disease in papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMC). Eighty-two patients with histologically proven PTMC were retrospectively included. Patients were divided according to the presence of metastatic disease in the metastatic (n = 41) and non-metastatic (n = 41) demographic-matched group. The morphological features of PTMCs (primary tumor diameter, multifocality, TTD, number of foci, and tumor site) were compared between groups using univariate, multivariate, and receiver operating characteristic analyses. TTD (p = 0.026), TTD > 10 mm (p = 0.036), and Unilateral Multifocality (UM) (p = 0.019) statistically differed between the groups. The combination of the two independent predictors (TTD and UM) was able to assess metastatic risk with 60.98% sensitivity and 75.61% specificity. TTD and UM can be used to predict metastatic disease in PTMC, which may help to better adapt the RAI therapy decision. We believe that TTD and multifocality are tumor features that should be considered in future guidelines.

A prospective randomized controlled trial to assess the efficacy and safety of prophylactic central compartment lymph node dissection in papillary thyroid carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The efficacy of prophylactic central compartment lymph node dissection for papillary thyroid carcinoma remains controversial. We performed a randomized controlled trial to evaluate the efficacy and safety of prophylactic central compartment lymph node dissection in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma.

METHODS

In this parallel-group randomized controlled trial, we assessed 101 patients aged 20 to 70 years with small/noninvasive papillary thyroid carcinoma and no clinical metastases or history of cervical surgery/radiation exposure. Randomization ran from April 2015 to November 2017. Data were collected between April 2015 and October 2020. Of the 101 enrolled patients, 50 underwent total thyroidectomy (TTx group) and 51 underwent total thyroidectomy as well as prophylactic central compartment lymph node dissection (TTx+pCND group). Surgical completeness, local recurrence, successful ablation, postoperative complication, and papillary thyroid carcinoma upstaging were compared between the 2 groups.

RESULTS

No patient showed structural recurrence after 46.6 ± 9.1 months of follow-up. Both groups had similar rates of surgical completeness and successful ablation. There was no difference in the incidence of complications. More patients were upstaged to pN1a in the TTx+pCND group compared to those in the TTx group (P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

Prophylactic central compartment lymph node dissection detected more lymph node metastases but did not affect recurrence. The 2 groups showed similar outcomes with regard to surgical completeness, successful ablation, and complications. In conclusion, for small/noninvasive papillary thyroid carcinoma without clinical evidence of lymph node metastases, prophylactic central compartment lymph node dissection may not be required if total thyroidectomy is planned.

Nomograms to predict ipsilateral and contralateral central lymph node metastasis in clinically lymph node-negative patients with solitary isthmic classic papillary thyroid carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Isthmus-originating papillary thyroid carcinoma has unique clinicopathological characteristics. There are no specific guidelines regarding the extent of surgery for isthmic papillary thyroid carcinoma. We aimed to evaluate the characteristics of clinically lymph node-negative patients with solitary isthmic papillary thyroid carcinoma and to determine the best surgical protocol for these patients.

METHODS

A total of 904 patients diagnosed with solitary papillary thyroid carcinoma who underwent surgery were retrospectively reviewed. These patients were divided into the isthmic group (246 patients) or lobar group (658 patients). We compared the 2 groups and conducted a multivariate analysis to assess risk factors for ipsilateral and contralateral central lymph node metastasis in isthmic papillary thyroid carcinoma patients. Nomograms for predicting central lymph node metastasis in isthmic papillary thyroid carcinoma patients were developed and internal calibration was performed for these models.

RESULTS

Isthmic papillary thyroid carcinoma patients have a significantly higher incidence of extrathyroidal extension and central lymph node metastasis than do lobar papillary thyroid carcinoma patients. For isthmic papillary thyroid carcinoma patients, sex, BRAF V600E mutation, chronic lymphocytic thyroiditis, tumor size, margin, and extrathyroidal extension were independent risk factors of ipsilateral central lymph node metastasis. Body mass index, BRAF V600E mutation, tumor size, location, and extrathyroidal extension were independent risk factors of contralateral central lymph node metastasis. All the above factors were incorporated into nomograms, which showed the perfect discriminative ability.

CONCLUSION

Based on the predictive nomograms, we proposed a risk stratification scheme and corresponding individualized surgical treatment based on different nomogram scores. In the debate about prophylactic central neck dissection among clinically lymph node-negative patients with solitary isthmic papillary thyroid carcinoma, our nomograms provide the balance to avoid overtreatment and undertreatment through personal risk assessment.

Occult contralateral central neck metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma with preoperatively documented ipsilateral lateral neck metastasis

BACKGROUND

This study was conducted to evaluate risk factors and long-term prognosis of contralateral central neck metastasis (CCNM) in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients with ipsilateral lateral neck metastasis. We present clinical evidence to aid in surgical decision-making regarding the extent of central neck dissection (CND), focusing on separation between ipsilateral and contralateral sides.

METHODS

A total of 379 PTC patients who underwent total thyroidectomy and concomitant bilateral central neck dissection with ipsilateral lateral neck dissection (LND) at a single institution was retrospectively included between January 1997 and December 2015.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time was 83.2 months, the mean age was 44.3 years, and the mean tumor size was 1.5 cm. Among the study sample, 266 patients were female (70.2%) and 113 (29.8%) were male. Of 379 patients, CCNM was present in 34.6%. In multivariate analysis, male sex (adjusted OR = 2.46, p = 0.002), bilaterality (adjusted OR = 2.58, p = 0.004), number of metastatic ipsilateral central lymph nodes (adjusted OR = 1.15, p = 0.002), number of metastatic lateral lymph nodes (adjusted OR = 1.48, p < 0.001), and three-level metastasis (adjusted OR = 2.46, p = 0.012) were identified as risk factors of CCNM. Overall recurrence occurred in 6.0% and 11.5% of patients in the CCNM (-) group and CCNM (+) group, respectively. In addition, contralateral recurrence was observed in 1.2% patients and 0.8% patients in the CCNM (-) group and CCNM (+) group, respectively. However, CCNM did not significantly increase risk of recurrence (adjusted HR = 1.01, p = 0.981).

CONCLUSIONS

Although the probability of pathological CCNM is not negligible, CCNM was not associated with higher risk of recurrence. This study suggest that central neck dissection may be limited to the ipsilateral side, and the result regarding prognosis of CCNM may help to avoid bilateral CND so that it could have potential to minimize unnecessary surgery-related complications such as recurrent laryngeal nerve(RLN) injury or hypoparathyroidism.

CHD4 Predicts Aggressiveness in PTC Patients and Promotes Cancer Stemness and EMT in PTC Cells

Chromodomain-helicase-DNA-binding protein 4 (CHD4), a core subunit of the nucleosome remodeling and deacetylation (NuRD) complex is highly expressed in several cancers. However, its role in the pathogenesis and progression of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) has not been investigated. We investigated the prognostic significance of CHD4 in a large cohort of Middle Eastern PTC patients and explored the functional role of CHD4 in regulating cancer stemness and EMT in PTC cells. CHD4 overexpression was observed in 45.3% (650/1436) of PTCs, and was associated with aggressive clinico-pathological parameters and worse outcome. Functional analysis using PTC cell lines showed that forced expression of CHD4 promoted cell proliferation, spheroid growth, migration, invasion and progression of epithelial to mesenchymal transition (EMT) in PTC cells whereas its knockdown reversed the effect. Methylation of E-cadherin was associated with loss of expression in CHD4 expressing cells, while CHD4 depletion reactivated E-cadherin expression. Most importantly, knockdown of mesenchymal transcriptional factors, Snail1 or Zeb1, attenuated the spheroid growth in CHD4 expressing PTC cells, showing a potential link between EMT activation and stemness maintenance in PTC. These findings suggest that CHD4 might be a promising therapeutic target in the treatment of patients with an aggressive subtype of PTC.

Clinical Study of Ultrasonographic Risk Factors for Central Lymph Node Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Thyroid cancer is the most common malignancy of the endocrine system worldwide. Papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is the most common pathologic type. The preoperative diagnosis of PTC and central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) or metastatic tendency is of great clinical significance to the diagnosis, treatment and prognosis of these patients. This study was conducted to investigate the correlation between ultrasound features and central CLNM of PTC.

METHODS

This study retrospectively analyzed patients who underwent PTC surgery and central lymph node dissection in the Department of Surgery, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, from January 2019 to February 2020. According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, data from 136 patients were ultimately included, and the clinical and ultrasonic data of the patients were analyzed by multivariate regression to evaluate the correlation among grayscale ultrasound (US), superb microvascular imaging (SMI) and contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) features of thyroid nodules and CLNM of PTCs.

RESULTS

The multivariate analysis showed that tumor size, multifocality, microcalcification characteristics, SMI vascularization, and CEUS evaluation of contact with the adjacent capsule were correlated with PTC metastasis (P=0.008, P=0.001, P=0.028, P=0.041, and P< 0.001, respectively). Comparisons of the area under the ROC curves revealed that the area under the ROC curve of the degree of nodular invasion into the thyroid capsule was the largest (AUC: 0.754). The sensitivity and specificity for evaluating CLNM of PTC were 67.7% and 83.1%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Ultrasound characteristics of the following features are associated with a high risk of lymph node metastasis in PTCs: maximum diameter of nodules ≥1 cm, multifocality, ≥5 microcalcifications, abundant blood flow of SMI in nodules and nodule contact with the thyroid capsule ≥25% under CEUS. Ultrasound has clinical value in the preoperative evaluation of CLNM of PTCs.

A Nomogram Based on Clinical and Ultrasound Characteristics to Predict Central Lymph Node Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The status of lymph nodes in the central compartment is crucial to determining the surgical strategies for papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). We aimed to develop a nomogram for predicting central lymph node metastasis (CLNM).

METHODS

A total of 886 PTC patients who underwent total thyroidectomy or lobectomy with central neck dissection (CND) from July 2019 to June 2020 were retrospectively retrieved. Clinical and ultrasound features were collected. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed to determine risk factors of CLNM. A nomogram for predicting CLNM was developed, internal and external calibration was performed for the established model.

RESULTS

Variables (sex, chronic lymphocytic thyroiditis, tumor size, the number of foci, tumor location, margin) significantly associated with CLNM were included in the nomogram. The nomogram showed excellent calibration in the training group and validation group, with area under curves of 0.806 (95% CI, 0.771 to 0.825), and 0.799 (95% CI, 0.778-0.813) respectively.

CONCLUSION

Through this accurate and easy-to-use nomogram, the possibility of CLNM can be objectively quantified preoperatively. Clinicians can use this nomogram to evaluate the status of lymph nodes in PTC patients and consider prophylactic CND for those with high scores.

Management of cN0 papillary thyroid microcarcinoma patients according to risk-scoring model for central lymph node metastasis and predictors of recurrence

BACKGROUND

The role of routine prophylactic central neck dissection (pCND) in clinically lymph node-negative (cN0) papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) patients remains controversial. This retrospective study aimed to identify the clinical and pathologic factors of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) and recurrence in PTMC patients.

METHODS

A total of 371 cN0 PTMC patients from two hospitals were retrospectively analyzed. All patients underwent thyroidectomy plus pCND between January 2010 and January 2018. Clinicopathological features were collected, univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the risk factors of CLNM. A scoring model was constructed on the basis of the results of independent risk factors of CLNM. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze the risk factors of recurrence.

RESULTS

CLNM occurred in 123 (33.2%) patients. Multivariate analysis showed male, tumor size > 0.75 cm, multifocality, extrathyroidal extension (ETE) and tumor in the middle/lower pole were independent risk predictors of CLNM (P < 0.05). A seven-point risk-scoring model was established to predict the stratified CLNM in cN0 PTMC patients. Multivariate Cox regression model showed ETE, vascular invasion and CLNM were independent risk predictors of recurrence (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Our study suggested that routine pCND should be performed for cN0 PTMC patients with score ≥ 3 according to the risk-scoring model. Moreover, patients with risk factors of recurrence should consider more complete treatment and more frequent follow-up.

Personalized treatment for differentiated thyroid cancer: current data and new perspectives

More conservative and personalized treatment options have been developed in recent years to face the rising diagnosis of low-risk differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC). The present review describes the change towards a more risk-adapted management either in the treatment or in the follow-up of DTC. Particular attention is given to the innovations introduced by the latest guidelines for low-risk tumors, starting from the most appropriate extension of surgery up to the postoperative management. The emerging role of active surveillance for low-risk microcarcinoma is discussed, as well as the development of percutaneous strategies in the setting of malignant thyroid disease. The recent use of approved new systemic target therapies for advanced radioiodine refractory thyroid cancer is reported, together with the description of new compounds in trial. Finally, we provide some considerations to improve the risk evaluation in a presurgical setting, especially related to the rising role of genetics, to enable better risk-based cancer management and personalized treatment choices.

Predicting non-small-volume central lymph node metastases (>5 or ≥2 mm) preoperatively in cN0 papillary thyroid microcarcinoma without extrathyroidal extension

The ability to identify patients with aggressive papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) from the low-risk patients is critical to planning proper management of PTMC. Lymph node metastases showed association with recurrence and low survival rate, especially in patients with >5 or ≥2 mm metastatic lymph nodes. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the preoperatively predictive factors of non-small-volume (metastatic lymph nodes >5 or ≥2 mm in size) central lymph node metastases (NSVCLNM) in PTMC patients. A total of 420 patients with clinically node-negative (cN0) PTMC without extrathyroidal extension underwent thyroidectomy plus central neck dissection (CND) between January 2013 and December 2015, were retrospectively analyzed. Of the 420 patients, 33 (7.9%) had NSVCLNM. The 5-year recurrence-free survival was significantly less in cN0 PTMC patients with NSVCLNM, when compared with patients without NSVCLNM (80.8% vs 100%, P < .001). Multivariate logistic regression revealed age ≤36 years (P < .001), male sex (P = .002), ultrasonic tumor sizes of >0.65 cm (P < .001), and ultrasonic multifocality (P = .039) were independent predictive factors of NSVCLNM. A prediction equation (Y = 1.714 × age + 1.361 × sex + 1.639 × tumor size + 0.842 × multifocality -5.196) was developed, with a sensitivity (69.7%) and a specificity (84.0%), respectively, at an optimal cutoff point of -2.418. In conclusion, if the predictive value was >-2.418 according to the equation, immediate surgery including CND rather than active surveillance might be considered for cN0 PTMC patients.

BRAF Status in Papillary Microcarcinomas of the Thyroid Gland: a Brief Review

Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) is defined by the World Health Organization as papillary cancer measuring 10 mm or less in diameter. Generally, PTMC shows an indolent clinical behavior with a good prognosis, although a minority of PTMC is characterized by an aggressive course. However, efforts to identify this aggressive subset of PTMC after surgery remain inconclusive. Several oncogenic pathways have been identified in thyroid cancer and have been applied translationally to improve prognosis and clinical management. In particular, the BRAFV600E mutation was found more frequently in large, aggressive, recurrent and advanced tumors. We aimed at reviewing studies on BRAFV600E mutation as a prognostic factor in PTMC.

Analysis of Risk Factors for Lymph Node Metastases in Elderly Patients with Papillary Thyroid Micro-Carcinoma

Background

With guidance from the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Cancer Staging Manual, 8th edition, we explored the characteristics of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) of papillary thyroid micro-carcinoma (PTMC) in elderly patients ≥55 years of age. Our goal was to provide references for establishing a lymph node dissection scheme in such patients.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of thyroid cancer patients admitted to the Head and Neck Surgery Center of Sichuan Cancer Hospital, Chengdu, China, from January 2015 to September 2018. Then, we screened and analyzed eligible PTMC cases in strict accordance with our inclusion and exclusion criteria.

Results

The study included 107 patients, including 24 men and 83 women. Median age was 59.99 ± 4.58 years. The maximum diameter range of the cancer foci was 4-10 mm, and the median was 7.59 ± 1.78 mm. Unilateral lobectomy had been performed in 32 cases, total thyroidectomy in 75 cases and lateral cervical lymph node dissection in 21 cases. There were 60 cases of CLNM (56.07%) and 13 cases of lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (12.10%). The sensitivity of preoperative ultrasound in predicting CLNM was 100%, but its accuracy was only 50.47%. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that multiple cancer foci (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.632), extra-thyroidal expansion of cancer focus (AUC = 0.721), and irregular nodules (AUC = 0.603) were independent risk factors for CLNM of PTMC in elderly patients (P < 0.05). Overall predictability for PTMC-CLNM was 80.30%.

Conclusion

1) Preoperative color Doppler ultrasound is not recommended as the basis for cervical lymph node dissection in PTMC patients. 2) For multiple cancer foci, irregular nodules, and elderly patients with PTMC extra-thyroidal expansion, we recommend a prophylactic central lymph node dissecting. 3) Nonsurgical observation of PTMC in elderly patients with low risk should be carefully selected.

Prophylactic lymph node dissection in clinically N0 differentiated thyroid carcinoma: example of personalized treatment

Considering the 'differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) epidemic', the indolent nature of DTC imposes a treatment paradigm shift toward elimination of recurrence. Lymph node metastases in cervical compartments, encountered in 20-90% of DTC, are the main culprit of recurrent disease, affecting 5-30% of patients. Personalized risk-stratified cervical prophylactic lymph node dissection (PLND) at initial thyroidectomy in DTC with no clinical, sonographic or intraoperative evidence of lymph node metastases (clinically N0) has been advocated, though not unanimously. The present review dissects the controversy over PLND. Weighing the benefit yielded from PLND up against the PLND-related morbidity is so far hampered by the inconsistent profit yielded by PLND and the challenging patient selection. Advances in tailoring PLND are anticipated to empower optimal patient care.

The relationship between central lymph node metastasis and the distance from tumor to thyroid capsule in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma without capsule invasion

Background

This study aims to explore the predictive factors of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) without capsule invasion.

Methods

From January 2016 to October 2018, 1,622 patients with PTMC, who underwent surgical treatment at Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, were enrolled in the present study. A model of multivariate logistic regression was developed to find the variables that were independently associated with CLNM. The results were presented in the odds ratio (OR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI). The nomogram for predicting CLNM was developed based on the results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis. The distance (distance >0) from tumor to capsule is defined as the shortest distance from the tumor boundary to the capsule or trachea.

Results

The multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that age, gender, tumor maximum diameter, tumor mean diameter, and tumor volume were independently associated with CLNM. In the 692 cases without capsular invasion, the distance from the capsule was not correlated to the CLNM. The joint model, which included age, gender, tumor volume, and capsular invasion, were analyzed using the ROC curve. The cut-off point for the prediction of CLNM was defined as a value of 0.208. The area under the ROC curve was 0.687, the sensitivity was 65.4%, and the specificity was 63.3%.

Conclusions

Gender, age, maximum diameter, mean diameter, tumor volume, and capsular invasion were independently associated with the CLNM. When there was no capsular invasion, the distance between the tumor and capsule was not correlated to the CLNM, suggesting that considering whether the tumor is close to the capsule may not be necessary for low-risk PTMC.

Predicting factors of central lymph node metastases in patients with unilateral multifocal papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Unilateral multifocal papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (UM-PTMC) is not rare, and the suitable extent of operation is controversial. Total thyroidectomy is associated with a high risk of hypoparathyroidism and recurrent laryngeal nerve injury. Hemithyroidectomy should be considered in patients without lymph node metastases. This study aimed to identify factors predicting central lymph node metastases (CLNM) in patients with UM-PTMC.

METHODS

A total of 1,453 patients with thyroid cancer underwent surgery at our hospital from January 2018 to June 2018, and 115 patients with UM-PTMC were selected and assessed retrospectively. The relationship between CLNM and clinicopathologic features of UM-PTMC were analyzed by both univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Of the 115 patients with UM-PTMC, CLNM were confirmed by pathology in 57 patients. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified the sum diameter of all tumors (≥1.0 cm) [odds ratio (OR) =2.295; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.036-5.086; P=0.041] and positive CLNM via ultrasonography (OR =5.882; 95% CI: 1.562-22.153; P=0.009) as independent predictors of CLNM.

CONCLUSIONS

CLNM are common in patients with UM-PTMC. The sum diameter of all tumors (≥1.0 cm) and positive CLNM via ultrasonography are independent risk factors for CLNM. Our data should be considered in the decision process relating to performing total thyroidectomy or hemithyroidectomy in patients with UM-PTMC.

Predicting large-volume lymph node metastasis in the clinically node-negative papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

Large-volume lymph node metastasis (LNM) has been believed to be an important predictor for recurrence in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). However, the clinical predictors for large-volume LNM have yet to be established. This study aimed to determine clinical predictors for large-volume LNM in clinically node-negative PTMC.

METHODS

A total of 947 clinically N0 PTMC patients who received total thyroidectomy with lymph node dissection and radioiodine therapy were included. Based on the LNM status, they were divided into two groups: large-volume LNM and small-volume LNM including those patients without LNM. The association between age, gender and other clinical factors and large-volume LNM were investigated. The recurrence-free survival was also compared among these groups.

RESULTS

We found that male gender [odds ratio (OR) = 1.865, P = 0.015], young age (OR = 2.743, P < 0.001) and extrathyroid extension (OR = 5.352, P < 0.001) were independent predictors for high prevalence of large-volume LNM. Young (<40 years) and male patients tended to have large-volume LNM with the highest prevalence of 17.20%, whereas old (≥55 years) and female patients had the lowest prevalence of 2.02%. After median follow-up of 71 months, the recurrence rate was significantly higher for large-volume LNM compared with small-volume LNM (15.48 vs 0.72%, P < 0.05). Large-volume LNM status was significantly associated with decreased recurrence-free probability, while small-volume LNM had little effect on the recurrence-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that in clinically node-negative PTMC, young male patients had a greater incidence of large-volume LNM.

Risk Factors for Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Purpose: To explore the risk factors that may predict the lymph node metastasis potential of these lesions and new prevention strategies in papillary thyroid carcinoma patients. Materials and Methods: In total, 9,369 papillary thyroid carcinoma patients with 37.17% lymph node metastasis were analyzed (Revman 5.3 software) in this study. The PubMed and Embase databases were used for searching works systematically that were published through to January 22, 2020. Results: Several factors were related to the increased risk of lymph node metastasis in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma: age <45 years (pooled OR = 1.52, 95% CI = 1.14-2.01, p <0.00001); gender = male (pooled OR = 1.68, 95% CI = 1.51-1.87, p <0.00001); multifocality (pooled OR = 2.05, 95% CI = 1.45-2.89, p <0.0001); tumor size ≥1.0 cm (pooled OR = 3.53, 95% CI = 2.62-4.76, p <0.00001); tumor location at the upper pole 1/3 (pooled OR =1.46, 95% CI = 1.04-2.04, p = 0.03); capsular invasion + (pooled OR = 3.48, 95% CI = 1.69-7.54, p = 0.002); and extrathyroidal extension + (pooled OR = 2.03, 95% CI= 1.78-2.31, p <0.00001). However, tumor bilaterality (pooled OR = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.54-1.34, p = 0.49) and Hashimoto's thyroditis (pooled OR = 1.08, 95% CI = 0.79-1.49, p = 0.62) showed no correlation with lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma patients. Conclusion: The systematic review and meta-analysis defined several significant risk factors of lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid cancer patients: age (<45 years), gender (male), multifocality, tumor size (>1 cm), tumor location (1/3 upper), capsular invasion, and extra thyroidal extension. Bilateral tumors and Hashimoto's thyroiditis were unrelated to lymph node metastasis in patients with papillary thyroid cancer.

Predictive factors for central lymph node metastases in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) measures 1 cm or less in its longest dimension. The incidence of PTMC is increasing worldwide. Surgery is the primary treatment; however, prophylactic central lymph node dissection is controversial, and discrepancies between different guidelines have been noted. Routine prophylactic central lymph node dissection may result in hypoparathyroidism and recurrent laryngeal nerve injury in some patients without lymph node metastasis, while simple thyroidectomy may leave metastatic lymph nodes in high-risk patients. To selectively perform prophylactic lymph node dissections in high-risk patients, it is important to identify predictive factors for lymph node metastases in patients with PTMC. Several studies have reported on this, but their conclusions are not entirely consistent. Several clinicopathologic characteristics have been identified as risk factors for central lymph node metastases, and the most commonly reported factors include age, gender, tumor size and location, multifocality, bilaterality, extrathyroidal extension, and abnormal lymph node found using ultrasound. Here, we provide an overview of previous studies along with a favorable opinion on or against these factors, with the aim of increasing the understanding of this topic among the medical community. In addition, current opinions about prophylactic central lymph node dissection are reviewed and discussed.

Clinical Analysis of Risk Factors for Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: A Retrospective Study of 3686 Patients

Purpose

To investigate the risk factors for cervical lymph node metastasis (LNM) in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC).

Patients and Methods

In total, 3686 patients with PTMC who underwent initial surgery in Shanghai Jiao Tong University affiliated Sixth People’s Hospital from January 2010 to December 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify risk factors associated with cervical LNM.

Results

Male gender [odds ratio (OR) =1.420, P <0.001], age <55 years (OR =2.128, P <0.001), tumor size >6.5 mm (OR =2.112, P <0.001), lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (OR =2.110, P =0.016), multifocality (OR =1.358, P =0.022), extrathyroidal extension (ETE) (OR =1.598, P <0.001), and lateral LNM (LLNM) (OR =6.383, P <0.001) served as independent risk factors for central LNM (CLNM). Moreover, male gender (OR =1.668, P =0.001), tumor size >6.5 mm (OR =2.223, P <0.001), chronic lymphocytic thyroiditis (OR =1.402, P =0.021), LVI (OR =4.582, P <0.001), ETE (OR =1.393, P=0.023), and CLNM (OR =6.212, P <0.001) served as independent risk factors for LLNM. Furthermore, solitary PTMC with lesions in the upper third of the thyroid gland were more associated with LLNM than lesions in the other regions.

Conclusion

This study suggests that meticulous evaluation of risk factors associated with LNM is required in order to guide the surgical treatment of PTMC patients in clinical practice.

Select Group of Patients Might Benefit From Prophylactic Central Lymph Node Dissection in Clinically Node Negative Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

Objective

The aim of this study was to identify predictive factors for pathologic central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in patients with clinically negative CLNM (cN0) papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) to suggest a specific group of cN0 PTMC patients who benefit from prophylactic central lymph node dissection (CLND).

Background

PTMC have excellent prognosis, however, 8% have recurrent disease. Recurrence is associated with regional lymph node metastasis. It has been reported that pathologic CLNM is found in 30 to 65% of cN0 PTMC patients. However, prophylactic CLND for cN0 PTMC remains controversial.

Methods

We reviewed the records of papillary thyroid carcinoma patients with a tumor size on preoperative ultrasonography (US) of ≤10 mm and negative CLNM on preoperative physical examination, US, and positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT), who underwent total thyroidectomy or thyroid lobectomy with prophylactic CLND between April 2010 and February 2013. In total, 163 patients were included. We evaluated the relationship between preoperatively assessable factors including age, gender, body mass index, preoperative metformin use, primary tumor size through preoperative US, the maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) of the primary tumor through preoperative PET/CT, and the bilaterality of the primary tumor and pathologic CLNM.

Results

A SUVmax of the primary tumor of &gt;3 was an independent preoperatively assessable factor predictive of pathologic CLNM in cN0 PTMC patients.

Conclusions

Prophylactic CLND might be considered in cN0 PTMC patients with a SUVmax of the primary tumor of &gt; 3 to reduce the risks of residual CLNM and recurrence.

Risk Factors of Metastatic Lymph Nodes in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) usually has an indolent course, but some have worse prognostic factors, such as the presence of central (6.9%-51.5%) and lateral (3%-49.6%) lymph node metastases. The aim of this study is to analyze the factors associated with PTMC with metastatic lymph nodes and its long-term prognosis.

METHODS

Retrospective study whose study population consists of patients with PTMC (size ≤1cm). Patients with previous thyroid surgery, other synchronous malignancies and ectopic location of the PTMC were excluded. Two groups were compared: PTMC without metastatic lymph nodes (group 1) and PTMC with metastatic lymph nodes (group 2). A multivariate analysis using a logistic regression model and a Kaplan-Meier survival analysis with log-rank test were performed.

RESULTS

Out of the 161 selected patients, 9.3% (n=15) had metastatic lymph nodes. Multifocality (OR 5.284, 95%CI 1.056-26.443; P=.043) and extrathyroidal extension (OR 7.687, 95%CI 1.405-42.050; P=.019) were associated with the presence of metastatic lymph nodes. In PTMC with metastatic lymph nodes, more aggressive treatments were performed: lymphadenectomy (4.8% vs. 100%; P<.001) and radioactive iodine (24.7% vs. 100%; P<.001). During a mean follow-up of 119.8±65 months, one recurrence was detected in group 2 (0% vs. 6.7%; P=.093). No patients died due to the disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Multifocality and extrathyroidal extension of PTMC were associated with the presence of metastatic lymph nodes. Metastatic PTMC, with more aggressive treatments, presents an excellent long-term prognosis.