Prognostic factors for the course of functional status of patients with ALS: a systematic review

Natural history of the revised ALS functional rating scale and its association with survival: the PRECISION-ALS Extant Study

OBJECTIVE

To characterize the natural history of the revised ALS functional rating scale (ALSFRS-R) over a 24-month period following initial assessment, and to assess its associations with survival.

METHODS

Longitudinal ALSFRS-R measurements and survival data were obtained from seven population-based, European cohorts. Different models for the ALSFRS-R trajectory were evaluated, including tests for linearity and between-cohort differences. We employed a joint modeling framework to factor in mortality, thereby aiming to derive a more precise estimate of the population's rate of decline, while simultaneously delineating its relationship with survival.

RESULTS

In total, 7,030 patients were included who produced 31,746 ALSFRS-R measurements during a follow-up period of 10,285 person-years. There was substantial evidence for a non-linear time trend within all cohorts (all p < 0.001), with faster progression rates at the beginning of follow-up. The average rate over 24 months was 0.89 points per month; 95% of the patients had a rate between 0.04 and 1.96. Overall, two components of the ALSFRS-R trajectory were found to be associated with survival: (1) the actual value of the ALSFRS-R total score and (2) the rate of change at any given time (both p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Functional loss in ALS follows a decelerating trajectory, where the current functional status and the rate of change have a direct impact on the patient' s probability of survival. Given the pivotal role of the ALSFRS-R in drug development, these results help to separate treatment benefit from the disease's natural trajectory and to estimate the impact on survival.

Incidence and mortality of ALS: a 42-year population-based nationwide study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Recent studies have suggested that the incidence rate (IR) and the rate of death (MR) of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) are increasing. Still, it remains unclear whether this is due to improved case ascertainment or represents a true increase. We examined the development in the incidence and mortality of ALS in Denmark for 42 years.

METHODS

We retrieved individual-level data of all patients aged above 18 years with first-time ALS diagnosed at any Danish department of neurology. The IR and MR were calculated based on data from 1980 to 2021, stratified by gender and age.

RESULTS

We identified 5,943 patients with ALS and identified a total of 5,069 deaths in the nationwide population. Overall, the IR was 3.4 per 100,000 persons per year (95% CI 3.4-3.5). ALS incidence rose gradually during the study period, and the IR was 2.8 times higher (95% CI 2.4-3.2) when comparing the latest period (2018-2021) with the first (1980-1983). Parallel to the IR, the MR increased over time and was associated with male gender and rose with age at diagnosis, peaking in the 70-79-year age group.

CONCLUSION

In Denmark, the IR and MR of ALS increased threefold from 1980 to 2021, with steadily increasing risk related to male gender and in particular to higher age. Considering our aging societies, the number of elderly patients with ALS can be expected to increase considerably.

Update on recent advances in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

In the last few years, our understanding of disease molecular mechanisms underpinning ALS has advanced greatly, allowing the first steps in translating into clinical practice novel research findings, including gene therapy approaches. Similarly, the recent advent of assistive technologies has greatly improved the possibility of a more personalized approach to supportive and symptomatic care, in the context of an increasingly complex multidisciplinary line of actions, which remains the cornerstone of ALS management. Against this rapidly growing background, here we provide an comprehensive update on the most recent studies that have contributed towards our understanding of ALS pathogenesis, the latest results from clinical trials as well as the future directions for improving the clinical management of ALS patients.

Correlation of single-fiber electromyography studies and functional status in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

Objective

Our aim was to examine the significance of single-fiber electromyography (SFEMG) in patients diagnosed with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and determine the best correlating parameter with SFEMG parameters and clinical scales across different muscles including facial muscles.

Methods

SFEMG examinations were conducted on the extensor digitorum (ED), frontalis, and orbicularis oculi muscles. Mean jitter, percentage of increased jitter, fiber density (FD), and impulse blocking percentage were compared to reference values and functional scales.

Results

Significant differences (p < 0.001) were observed between the patients' SFEMG results and reference values in all muscles. Significant correlations were found between SFEMG parameters and clinical scales, particularly when considering both FD and jitter. A notable value of the ALS Functional Rating Scale Revised (ALSFRS-R) was detected in all muscles: 31 points in the ED muscle, 30 in the orbicularis oculi muscle, and 31 in the frontalis muscle. Below this ALSFRS-R threshold, the percentage of increased jitter was higher, while FD remained relatively low.

Conclusion

SFEMG examination emerges as a valuable tool for better understanding ALS and holds potential for assessing prognosis. Combined jitter and FD analysis showed the strongest correlation with clinical scales. In addition to the ED muscle, the orbicularis oculi muscle may be important in the assessment.

Clinical factors and vascular endothelial growth factor as determinants of disease progression in Indian patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

OBJECTIVE

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a neurodegenerative disorder. Prognostication remains sub-optimally defined. We aimed to assess clinical determinants of disease progression rates in Indian patients with ALS and to assess the role of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) in disease progression.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, consecutive patients with clinically definite/probable ALS according to the revised El Escorial criteria and controls were included. Patients were classified into fast or slow progressors based on disease progression rate (DPR). Serum and CSF VEGF level was assessed for patients and controls.

RESULTS

Of 142 patients recruited, 93 (65.5%) were male. Mean age at enrollment was 49.37 ± 12.65 years. Mean duration of symptoms was 20.53 ± 20.88 months. Mean DPR was 1.14 ± 0.94. Based on DPR, 81 (57%) patients were slow progressors and 61 (43%) were fast progressors. Univariate analysis demonstrated a statistically significant association of DPR with age at onset, symptom duration, time to spread, wasting of small muscles of the hand, frontal release signs, and neurophysiologic bulbar abnormalities. On multivariate analysis, age at onset and symptom duration had a significant association with disease progression. The CSF VEGF levels of ALS patients (46.18 ± 27.8) were significantly elevated compared to controls (25.95 ± 25.64 pg/ml) (p = 0.001), but not serum VEGF.

CONCLUSION

Age at symptom onset and duration of disease had a significant impact on disease progression in Indian patients with ALS. CSF VEGF levels were significantly elevated in ALS compared to controls, indicating the role of CSF VEGF as a potential biomarker.

Exploring the association between outcome measures to guide clinical management in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

[Purpose] The usefulness and limitations of outcome measures changes throughout functional decline of patients with Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS). This study aims to describe associations between outcome measures in patients with ALS over time. [Participants and Methods] Participant data was collected at a multidisciplinary ALS clinic during regular clinic visits, including gait velocity, Timed Up and Go, the ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised, and it’s Gross Motor Subscale. [Results] All gait velocity measures were <1.2 m/sec; average Timed Up and Go was >13.5 sec. There was strong internal consistency between ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised and its functional mobility components and a strong, significant correlation between the Timed Up and Go and the Gross Motor Subscale. [Conclusion] Patients with ALS are not community ambulators and demonstrate risk for falls. We found concurrent validity between objective and self-reported measures. The strong association between the Gross Motor Subscale and the Timed Up and Go may allow PTs to utilize the self-reported Gross Motor Subscale to predict fall risk. Clinically, when the Timed Up and Go and gait velocity are no longer appropriate due to disease progression, the Gross Motor Subscale can provide insight into functional decline.

Physical activity in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: Prevalence, patients’ perspectives and relation to the motor performance

BACKGROUND: There are no recommendations for physical activity in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) patients. OBJECTIVE: (i) To describe the prevalence and pattern of physical activity (PA) in ALS patients; (ii) to explore patients’ attitude towards PA; and (iii) to investigate the relationship between PA at home environment and the rate of functional decline. METHODS: 96 ALS patients were followed for 6 months at 3-month intervals and assessed by site of disease onset, disease duration, diagnosis delay, functional status, muscle strength, fatigue and prevalence of PA. RESULTS: Over 70% of patients performed regular exercise and reported a positive effect of PA on functional status and mood. Regularly exercising individuals showed a higher ALSFRS-R bulbar score (11.0 vs 9.0, p = 0.011) and a lower decline of respiratory sub-score of ALSFRS-R compared to non-regularly exercising patients (0 vs 1.0, p = 0.026). Bulbar onset was a negative prognostic factor for regular exercise (odds ratio [OR]: 5.2, p = 0.004). CONCLUSION: The majority of ALS patients perform regular PA and find it positively influence their motor performance and mood. Bulbar disease onset, but not functional status, is a negative prognostic factor for regular exercise in ALS patients. Regular mild PA may result in a slower deterioration of functional status, especially the respiratory function.

Predictors of survival in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: A large meta-analysis

Background

The survival time of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is greatly variable and protective or risk effects of the potential survival predictors are controversial. Thus, we aim to undertake a comprehensive meta-analysis of studies investigating non-genetic prognostic and survival factors in patients with ALS.

Methods

A search of relevant literature from PubMed, Embase, Cochrane library and other citations from 1^st January 1966 to 1^st December 020 was conducted. Random-effects models were conducted to pool the multivariable or adjusted hazard ratios (HR) by Stata MP 16.0. PROSPERO registration number: CRD42021256923.

Findings

A total of 5717 reports were identified, with 115 studies meeting pre-designed inclusion criteria involving 55,169 ALS patients. Five dimensions, including demographic, environmental or lifestyle, clinical manifestations, biochemical index, therapeutic factors or comorbidities were investigated. Twenty-five prediction factors, including twenty non-intervenable and five intervenable factors, were associated with ALS survival. Among them, NFL (HR:3.70, 6.80, in serum and CSF, respectively), FTD (HR:2.98), ALSFRS-R change (HR:2.37), respiratory subtype (HR:2.20), executive dysfunction (HR:2.10) and age of onset (HR:1.03) were superior predictors for poor prognosis, but pLMN or pUMN (HR:0.32), baseline ALSFRS-R score (HR:0.95), duration (HR:0.96), diagnostic delay (HR:0.97) were superior predictors for a good prognosis. Our results did not support the involvement of gender, education level, diabetes, hypertension, NIV, gastrostomy, and statins in ALS survival.

Interpretation

Our study provided a comprehensive and quantitative index for assessing the prognosis for ALS patients, and the identified non-intervenable or intervenable factors will facilitate the development of treatment strategies for ALS.

Funding

This study was supported by the National Natural Science Fund of China (Grant No. 81971188), the 1.3.5 project for disciplines of excellence, West China Hospital, Sichuan University (Grant No. 2019HXFH046), and the Science and Technology Bureau Fund of Sichuan Province (No. 2019YFS0216).

Coffee and Tea Consumption Impact on Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Progression: A Multicenter Cross-Sectional Study

Background/objectives: Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a devastating and still untreatable motor neuron disease. The causes of ALS are unknown, but nutritional factors may impact the rate of disease progression. We aimed to ascertain the influence of coffee and tea consumption on ALS progression rate.

Subjects/methods: In this multicenter cross-sectional study, we recruited 241 patients, 96 females, and 145 males; the mean age at onset was 59.9 ± 11.8 years. According to El Escorial criteria, 74 were definite ALS, 77 probable, 55 possible, and 35 suspected; 187 patients had spinal onset and 54 bulbar. Patients were categorized into three groups, according to their ΔFS (derived from ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised score and disease duration from onset): slow (81), intermediate (80), and fast progressors (80).

Results: Current coffee consumers were 179 (74.3%), 34 (14.1%) were non-consumers, and 22 (9.1%) were former consumers, whereas six (2.5%) consumed decaffeinated coffee only. The log-ΔFS was weakly correlated with the duration of coffee consumption (p = 0.034), but not with the number of cup-years, or the intensity of coffee consumption (cups/day). Current tea consumers were 101 (41.9%), 6 (2.5%) were former consumers, and 134 (55.6%) were non-consumers. Among current and former consumers, 27 (25.2%) consumed only green tea, 51 (47.7%) only black tea, and 29 (27.1%) both. The log-ΔFS was weakly correlated only with the consumption duration of black tea (p = 0.028) but not with the number of cup-years.

Conclusions: Our study does not support the hypothesis that coffee or tea consumption is associated with the ALS progression rate.

Milano-Torino Staging and Long-Term Survival in Chinese Patients with Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis

(1) Background: The aim of this longitudinal study was to evaluate the association between disease progression according to the Milano–Torino staging (MITOS) system and long-term survival in Chinese patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). We also examined factors affecting MITOS progression. (2) Methods: Patients were enrolled and underwent follow-up at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months, and their demographic and clinical data, including the Milano–Torino stage, Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Functional Rating Scale—Revised (ALSFRS-R) score and neuropsychiatric data, were evaluated. The sensitivity and specificity of predicting survival outcomes based on MITOS progression and ALSFRS-R score decline from baseline to 6 months were compared. The associations between MITOS progression from baseline to 6 months and survival outcome at 12, 18 and 24 months were examined, and factors associated with disease progression were evaluated with subgroup analyses. (3) Results: Among the 100 patients included, 74% were in stage 0 at baseline, and approximately 95% progressed to a higher stage of the MITOS system at 24 months. MITOS progression from baseline to 6 months and ALSFRS-R decline showed comparable value for predicting survival at 12, 18, and 24 months. MITOS progression from baseline to 6 months is strongly associated with death outcomes. Older age at onset and increased depression and anxiety scores may be related to disease progression. (4) Conclusions: MITOS progression during the early disease course could serve as a prognostic marker of long-term survival and may have utility in clinical trials. Age at onset and diagnosis and neuropsychiatric factors might be associated with disease progression.

The Impact of Lifetime Alcohol and Cigarette Smoking Loads on Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Progression: A Cross-Sectional Study

Background—Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a devastating and untreatable motor neuron disease; smoking and alcohol drinking may impact its progression rate. Objective—To ascertain the influence of smoking and alcohol consumption on ALS progression rates. Methods—Cross-sectional multicenter study, including 241 consecutive patients (145 males); mean age at onset was 59.9 ± 11.8 years. Cigarette smoking and alcohol consumption data were collected at recruitment through a validated questionnaire. Patients were categorized into three groups according to ΔFS (derived from the ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised and disease duration from onset): slow (n = 81), intermediate (80), and fast progressors (80). Results—Current smokers accounted for 44 (18.3%) of the participants, former smokers accounted for 10 (4.1%), and non-smokers accounted for 187 (77.6%). The age of ALS onset was lower in current smokers than non-smokers, and the ΔFS was slightly, although not significantly, higher for smokers of >14 cigarettes/day. Current alcohol drinkers accounted for 147 (61.0%) of the participants, former drinkers accounted for 5 (2.1%), and non-drinkers accounted for 89 (36.9%). The log(ΔFS) was weakly correlated only with the duration of alcohol consumption (p = 0.028), but not with the mean number of drinks/day or the drink-years. Conclusions: This cross-sectional multicenter study suggested a possible minor role for smoking in worsening disease progression. A possible interaction with alcohol drinking was suggested.

ALS-Like Disorder in Three HIV-Positive Patients: Case Series

There appears to be a relationship between retroviruses such as HIV and the development of an ALS-like syndrome. Few cases have been reported; however, there exists evidence of a higher frequency of motor neuron disease in HIV-infected patients, as well as potential slowing and reversibility of disease course with combination antiretroviral therapy. We conducted a retrospective chart review of patients presenting to the George Washington University ALS Clinic from September 2006 to June 2018 to identify patients with HIV receiving HAART who were subsequently diagnosed with ALS or an ALS-like disorder. Our goals were to describe our patients' disease course and compare them to general characteristics of ALS. We report three cases of HIV-positive individuals, all male, who were subsequently diagnosed with ALS. Each presented with symptoms of limb onset ALS with involvement of upper and lower motor neurons and whose disease originated at the cervical level. All three had been diagnosed with HIV prior to presentation and were presumably compliant with antiretroviral therapy throughout. Our patients demonstrated effective control of their HIV infection. Each experienced relatively slow progression of motor impairment compared to general ALS characteristics. Our study offers a distinct profile of HIV-positive patients compliant with HAART subsequently diagnosed with an ALS-like disorder. Further study should aim to uncover pathophysiological similarities between motor neuron disease both in the presence and absence of retroviral infection and to develop effective medical therapy for each.

Prognostic Value of Melanoma-Associated Antigen-A (MAGE-A) Gene Expression in Various Human Cancers: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of 7428 Patients and 44 Studies

BACKGROUND

Members of the melanoma-associated antigen-A (MAGE-A) subfamily are overexpressed in many cancers and can drive cancer progression, metastasis, and therapeutic recurrence.

OBJECTIVE

This study is the first comprehensive meta-analysis evaluating the prognostic utility of MAGE-A members in different cancers.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed, Google Scholar, Science Direct, and Web of Science. The pooled hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals were estimated to evaluate the prognostic significance of MAGE-A expression in various cancers.

RESULTS

In total, 44 eligible studies consisting of 7428 patients from 11 countries were analysed. Univariate and multivariate analysis for overall survival, progression-free survival, and disease-free survival showed a significant association between high MAGE-A expression and various cancers (P < 0.00001). Additionally, subgroup analysis demonstrated that high MAGE-A expression was significantly associated with poor prognosis for lung, gastrointestinal, breast, and ovarian cancer in both univariate and multivariate analysis for overall survival.

CONCLUSION

Overexpression of MAGE-A subfamily members is linked to poor prognosis in multiple cancers. Therefore, it could serve as a potential prognostic marker of poor prognosis in cancers.

Decreased Mitochondrial Function, Biogenesis, and Degradation in Peripheral Blood Mononuclear Cells from Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Patients as a Potential Tool for Biomarker Research

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a multifactorial and progressive neurodegenerative disease of unknown etiology. Due to ALS’s unpredictable onset and progression rate, the search for biomarkers that allow the detection and tracking of its development and therapeutic efficacy would be of significant medical value. Considering that alterations of energy supply are one of ALS’s main hallmarks and that a correlation has been established between gene expression in human brain tissue and peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs), the present work investigates whether changes in mitochondrial function could be used to monitor ALS. To achieve this goal, PBMCs from ALS patients and control subjects were used; blood sampling is a quite non-invasive method and is cost-effective. Different parameters were evaluated, namely cytosolic calcium levels, mitochondrial membrane potential, oxidative stress, and metabolic compounds levels, as well as mitochondrial dynamics and degradation. Altogether, we observed lower mitochondrial calcium uptake/retention, mitochondria depolarization, and redox homeostasis deregulation, in addition to a decrease in critical metabolic genes, a diminishment in mitochondrial biogenesis, and an augmentation in mitochondrial fission and autophagy-related gene expression. All of these changes can contribute to the decreased ATP and pyruvate levels observed in ALS PBMCs. Our data indicate that PBMCs from ALS patients show a significant mitochondrial dysfunction, resembling several findings from ALS’ neural cells/models, which could be exploited as a powerful tool in ALS research. Our findings can also guide future studies on new pharmacological interventions for ALS since assessments of brain samples are challenging and represent a relevant limited strategy.

Spinal Anesthesia for Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Patient Undergoing Lower Extremity Orthopedic Surgery: An Overview of the Anesthetic Considerations

Background

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis is a progressive neurodegenerative disease primarily affecting the upper and lower motor neurons. Patients present with a variety of clinical manifestations inevitably resulting in death secondary to respiratory insufficiency from muscle weakness and consequential pulmonary complications. Despite the lack of universal consensus on the ideal anesthetic approach to amyotrophic lateral sclerosis patients undergoing lower extremity total joint surgery, there are few noteworthy anesthetic considerations in this cohort.

Case Report

A 75-year-old male with multiple medical comorbidities, including a recent diagnosis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, presented to a large academic medical center for a right total hip arthroplasty revision. The patient’s preoperative neurologic examination demonstrated brisk deep tendon reflexes, visible fasciculations of lower extremities, and motor weakness of upper and lower extremities. Serology demonstrated an elevated creatine kinase, and an electromyography study showed active denervation in the cervical, thoracic, and lumbosacral regions. After a careful risk-benefit analysis was performed, involving a multidisciplinary team approach, the patient successfully underwent the surgical procedure with a spinal anesthetic and minimal sedation. Perioperative course was unremarkable, and there were no neurologic complications in the first 6 months after surgery.

Conclusion

Patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis present unique challenges for anesthesia providers. General anesthesia may potentially worsen respiratory function; therefore, alternative methods to avoiding airway manipulation should be considered. Conversely, regional techniques may carry the risk of exacerbating pre-existing neurologic symptoms. Currently, no definite guidelines exist on the perioperative anesthetic management of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis patients; ultimately, the decision to perform regional anesthesia should be based on analyzing a patient’s risk against the potential benefits.

Diaphragmatic CMAP amplitude from phrenic nerve stimulation predicts functional decline in ALS

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate phrenic nerve motor amplitude (PhrenicAmp) as an independent predictor of functional decline in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). We also assessed both PhrenicAmp and forced vital capacity (FVC) as predictors of functional loss in patients with bulbar dysfunction.

METHODS

We included consecutive ALS patients with PhrenicAmp and FVC at baseline. Participants were evaluated with the revised ALS Functional Rating Scale (ALSFRS-R) at inclusion and at, at least, one subsequent follow-up visit. The outcome measure of functional decline was the percentage reduction in ALSFRS-R from baseline. Bulbar dysfunction was defined by the presence of any relevant symptom on the ALSFRS-R bulbar sub-score. Correlations and mixed-effects regressions were used to study the relationship between functional decline and both PhrenicAmp and FVC baseline evaluations.

RESULTS

A total of 249 ALS patients were included; 64.2% of these had bulbar dysfunction. At inclusion, significant correlations were found between PhrenicAmp and FVC (p < 0.001), as well as between each respiratory measure and ALSFRS-R (all p < 0.001). The functional decline at first (median 3 months) and second (median 6 months) follow-up visits was significantly correlated with baseline values of both respiratory evaluations (all p < 0.01) in the entire ALS population, but only with baseline PhrenicAmp (all p < 0.05) in bulbar dysfunction cases. Regression analysis revealed that PhrenicAmp (all p < 0.05), but not FVC, was a significant independent predictor of functional decline in ALS patients and in those with bulbar dysfunction.

CONCLUSION

Baseline PhrenicAmp is an independent predictor of functional decline in ALS, whether or not bulbar dysfunction is present.

Increased expression of P-cadherin is an indicator of poor prognosis in breast cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

P-cadherin (CDH3), located at 16q22.1 belonging to classical cadherin family, is a calcium-dependent glycoprotein associated with cell to cell adhesion, migration, and invasion in cancer. This meta-analysis was conducted to examine the prognostic utility of P-cadherin expression in breast cancer (BC).

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was carried out using the available databases to obtain relevant research articles to test the relationship between P-cadherin and BC. Correlation of P-cadherin expression and disease-free survival (DFS) or overall survival (OS) was tested using hazard ratio (HR), relative risk (RR) at 95% confidence interval (CI) by univariate and/or multivariate analysis. A total of 11 studies from 7 countries were found to be relevant and were further subjected to statistical analysis to find an association between the P-cadherin expression with BC. Additionally, we have also performed a co-relation analysis of P-cadherin expression with GOBO and Cancertool in breast cancer using publicly available breast cancer datasets.

RESULTS

Our study shows that P-cadherin expression is significantly linked with poor prognosis in the various subtypes of BC. The HR for OS and DFS was 1.87 (95% CI = 1.48-2.36) and 1.64 (95% CI = 1.18-2.27) respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In this meta-analysis, we identified a positive correlation between the overexpression of P-cadherin and BC. Our study demonstrates that P-cadherin overexpression can be used as a prognostic indicator in BC.

Metabolic Alteration and Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Outcome: A Systematic Review

Background: The development of strategies that could not only efficiently detect the onset of Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS), a fatal neurodegenerative disorder with no cure but also predict its development and evaluate therapeutic intervention would be of great value. In this respect, the metabolic status of ALS patients has called attention. Hence, this study aimed to investigate the potential correlation between changes in ALS's metabolic parameters with the disease outcome in a systematic review. Methods: The manuscripts were manually searched within different databases (PubMed, Web of Science and Cochrane). The inclusion criteria were original articles and reviews about individuals with ALS and its survival, disease prognosis and metabolism (weight, cholesterol, hypertension, BMI, and glycaemia). The authors also established three different exclusion criteria: studies including ALS and other degenerative disorders, works including animal models and published before the year 2000. Results: In total, 29 papers were selected. From all manuscripts, only 82.8% ensured the participation of sALS patients. Also, 27.6% of selected studies described the presence of a genetic mutation. Regarding ALS prognosis, patient's age, the age of ALS onset, ALS duration and survival, <50% of the papers addressed these issues. Specifically, regarding metabolism, 65.5% of articles mentioned BMI, 20.7% mentioned any data concerning hypertension, 6.89% cardiovascular risk, 10.3% obesity, 13.78% diabetes and 10.3% glycaemia. Concerning lipid metabolism, more results were gathered, but still, they did not suffice to establish a correlation with ALS development. Conclusions: Altogether, the authors concluded that available information is not enough to establish a link between ALS and metabolism. In reality, less than half of the manuscripts evaluated show an association between both factors. Nonetheless, it is worth mentioning that metabolism does influence ALS, but not in a unique manner. There is a debate about patients' hypo- and hypermetabolism. Thus, to provide a reliable record, a public policy in which all research and clinical centers might assess the parameters discussed herein is suggested. Accordingly, this systematic review attempts to provide a comprehensible database to facilitate multicentered collaboration, validation, and clinical translation.

Poor emotional well-being is associated with rapid progression in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

The study aimed to determine the impact of emotional well-being on disease aggressiveness and survival in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). In 224 patients with ALS (without significant cognitive deficits) the revised ALS Functional Rating Scale (physical function), the ALS Assessment Questionnaire (ALSAQ-40) for health-related Quality of Life and survival data were collected. Data analysis comprised logistic regression, Kaplan-Meier curves analyses and Cox regression model. Most patients reported to be worried about how the disease will affect them in the future and 67% reported to feel depressed. Patients with good emotional well-being were characterized by better physical function (higher ALSFRS-R) and lower disease aggressiveness. The association between high emotional well-being and lower disease aggressiveness was confirmed in the univariate analysis and also after adjustment for known predictors of disease progression. In the Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis the overall 1-year, 2-year and 3-year mortality did not significantly differ between patients with poor and good emotional well-being. Our study demonstrates an association between emotional well-being and disease progression. Knowing that subjective well-being is neither a necessary nor a sufficient cause of health, longitudinal studies are necessary to explore when well-being does and does not influence disease progress and survival in ALS.

Machine Learning in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis: Achievements, Pitfalls, and Future Directions

Background: Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS) is a relentlessly progressive neurodegenerative condition with limited therapeutic options at present. Survival from symptom onset ranges from 3 to 5 years depending on genetic, demographic, and phenotypic factors. Despite tireless research efforts, the core etiology of the disease remains elusive and drug development efforts are confounded by the lack of accurate monitoring markers. Disease heterogeneity, late-stage recruitment into pharmaceutical trials, and inclusion of phenotypically admixed patient cohorts are some of the key barriers to successful clinical trials. Machine Learning (ML) models and large international data sets offer unprecedented opportunities to appraise candidate diagnostic, monitoring, and prognostic markers. Accurate patient stratification into well-defined prognostic categories is another aspiration of emerging classification and staging systems. Methods: The objective of this paper is the comprehensive, systematic, and critical review of ML initiatives in ALS to date and their potential in research, clinical, and pharmacological applications. The focus of this review is to provide a dual, clinical-mathematical perspective on recent advances and future directions of the field. Another objective of the paper is the frank discussion of the pitfalls and drawbacks of specific models, highlighting the shortcomings of existing studies and to provide methodological recommendations for future study designs. Results: Despite considerable sample size limitations, ML techniques have already been successfully applied to ALS data sets and a number of promising diagnosis models have been proposed. Prognostic models have been tested using core clinical variables, biological, and neuroimaging data. These models also offer patient stratification opportunities for future clinical trials. Despite the enormous potential of ML in ALS research, statistical assumptions are often violated, the choice of specific statistical models is seldom justified, and the constraints of ML models are rarely enunciated. Conclusions: From a mathematical perspective, the main barrier to the development of validated diagnostic, prognostic, and monitoring indicators stem from limited sample sizes. The combination of multiple clinical, biofluid, and imaging biomarkers is likely to increase the accuracy of mathematical modeling and contribute to optimized clinical trial designs.

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and anesthesia: a case series and review of the literature

PURPOSE

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a progressive neurodegenerative disease that leads to death due to respiratory failure. This report describes the perioperative characteristics of ALS patients who underwent procedures with anesthesia at our institution.

METHODS

We reviewed perioperative records of ALS patients who underwent procedures with anesthesia from January 1, 2014, through December 31, 2015.

RESULTS

Seventy-eight patients underwent 89 procedures (71 procedures with monitored anesthesia care and 18 with general anesthesia), including 45 gastrostomy tube placements and 18 bone marrow biopsies. Three patients had prolonged duration of postoperative intubation related to preexisting respiratory muscle weakness, and one patient with bilateral pneumothorax required tracheal reintubation for respiratory distress. Four patients had prolonged duration of hospitalization. Three patients were hospitalized for ALS-related complications, and one patient was hospitalized for respiratory distress when pneumoperitoneum developed after gastrostomy tube placement. Three of these patients died of complications attributable to ALS within 30 days of the procedure. Twenty-nine (32.6%) procedures required minimal sedation (e.g., bone marrow biopsy, cataract surgery) and were performed on an ambulatory basis.

CONCLUSION

When caring for patients with ALS, the perioperative team must be prepared to treat potentially complex medical conditions that may not be directly related to the procedure and anesthetic management. However, minor procedures performed with minimal sedation may be safely performed on an ambulatory basis.

Clinical features and prognosis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis in Africa: the TROPALS study

OBJECTIVE

We describe and compare the sociodemographic and clinical features, treatments, and prognoses and survival times of patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) in Africa.

METHODOLOGY

We conducted a multicentre, hospital-based cohort study in Africa. Patients with ALS diagnosed in the neurology departments of participating hospitals from 2005 to 2017 were included. Subgroup analysis was performed by subcontinent. Survival analyses were conducted using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

Nine centres from eight African countries participated. A total of 185 patients with ALS were included: 114 from Northern Africa, 41 from Western Africa and 30 from Southern Africa. A male predominance (male to female ratio 2.9) was evident. The median age at onset was 53.0 years (IQR 44.5-64.0 years). The onset was bulbar in 22.7%. Only 47 patients (26.3%) received riluzole, mainly in Northern and Western Africa. The median survival from the time of diagnosis was 14.0 months (95% CI 10.7 to 17.2 months). The median survival was longer in Northern Africa (19.0 months, 95% CI 10.8 to 27.2 months) than in Western (4.0 months, 95% CI 0.8 to 7.1 months) and Southern (11.0 months, 95% CI 5.6 to 16.4 months) Africa (Breslow test, p<0.0001). Both subcontinental location and riluzole treatment independently affected survival.

CONCLUSION

More African patients with ALS were male and younger and exhibited a lower proportion of bulbar onset compared with patients with ALS from Western nations. Survival was consistent with that in Western registers but far shorter than what would be expected for young patients with ALS. The research improves our understanding of the disease in Africa.

Unraveling the Complexity of Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Survival Prediction

Objective: The heterogeneity of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) survival duration, which varies from <1 year to >10 years, challenges clinical decisions and trials. Utilizing data from 801 deceased ALS patients, we: (1) assess the underlying complex relationships among common clinical ALS metrics; (2) identify which clinical ALS metrics are the "best" survival predictors and how their predictive ability changes as a function of disease progression. Methods: Analyses included examination of relationships within the raw data as well as the construction of interactive survival regression and classification models (generalized linear model and random forests model). Dimensionality reduction and feature clustering enabled decomposition of clinical variable contributions. Thirty-eight metrics were utilized, including Medical Research Council (MRC) muscle scores; respiratory function, including forced vital capacity (FVC) and FVC % predicted, oxygen saturation, negative inspiratory force (NIF); the Revised ALS Functional Rating Scale (ALSFRS-R) and its activities of daily living (ADL) and respiratory sub-scores; body weight; onset type, onset age, gender, and height. Prognostic random forest models confirm the dominance of patient age-related parameters decline in classifying survival at thresholds of 30, 60, 90, and 180 days and 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 years. Results: Collective prognostic insight derived from the overall investigation includes: multi-dimensionality of ALSFRS-R scores suggests cautious usage for survival forecasting; upper and lower extremities independently degenerate and are autonomous from respiratory decline, with the latter associating with nearer-to-death classifications; height and weight-based metrics are auxiliary predictors for farther-from-death classifications; sex and onset site (limb, bulbar) are not independent survival predictors due to age co-correlation. Conclusion: The dimensionality and fluctuating predictors of ALS survival must be considered when developing predictive models for clinical trial development or in-clinic usage. Additional independent metrics and possible revisions to current metrics, like the ALSFRS-R, are needed to capture the underlying complexity needed for population and personalized forecasting of survival.

Cardiovascular diseases may play a negative role in the prognosis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Only a few studies have considered the role of comorbidities in the prognosis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and have provided conflicting results.

METHODS

Our multicentre, retrospective study included patients diagnosed from 1 January 2009 to 31 December 2013 in 13 referral centres for ALS located in 10 Italian regions. Neurologists at these centres collected a detailed phenotypic profile and follow-up data until death in an electronic database. Comorbidities at diagnosis were recorded by main categories and single medical diagnosis, with the aim of investigating their role in ALS prognosis.

RESULTS

A total of 2354 incident cases were collected, with a median survival time from onset to death/tracheostomy of 43 months. According to univariate analysis, together with well-known clinical prognostic factors (age at onset, diagnostic delay, site of onset, phenotype, Revised El Escorial Criteria and body mass index at diagnosis), the presence of dementia, hypertension, heart disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, haematological and psychiatric diseases was associated with worse survival. In multivariate analysis, age at onset, diagnostic delay, phenotypes, body mass index at diagnosis, Revised El Escorial Criteria, dementia, hypertension, heart diseases (atrial fibrillation and heart failure) and haematological diseases (disorders of thrombosis and haemostasis) were independent prognostic factors of survival in ALS.

CONCLUSIONS

Our large, multicentre study demonstrated that, together with the known clinical factors that are known to be prognostic for ALS survival, hypertension and heart diseases (i.e. atrial fibrillation and heart failure) as well as haematological diseases are independently associated with a shorter survival. Our findings suggest some mechanisms that are possibly involved in disease progression, giving new interesting clues that may be of value for clinical practice and ALS comorbidity management.

Using an onset-anchored Bayesian hierarchical model to improve predictions for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis disease progression

BACKGROUND

Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS), also known as Lou Gehrig's disease, is a rare disease with extreme between-subject variability, especially with respect to rate of disease progression. This makes modelling a subject's disease progression, which is measured by the ALS Functional Rating Scale (ALSFRS), very difficult. Consider the problem of predicting a subject's ALSFRS score at 9 or 12 months after a given time-point.

METHODS

We obtained ALS subject data from the Pooled Resource Open-Access ALS Clinical Trials Database, a collection of data from various ALS clinical trials. Due to the typical linearity of the ALSFRS, we consider several Bayesian hierarchical linear models. These include a mixture model (to account for the two potential classes of "fast" and "slow" ALS progressors) as well as an onset-anchored model, in which an additional artificial data-point, using time of disease onset, is utilized to improve predictive performance.

RESULTS

The onset-anchored model had a drastically reduced posterior predictive mean-square-error distributions, when compared to the Bayesian hierarchical linear model or the mixture model under a cross-validation approach. No covariates, other than time of disease onset, consistently improved predictive performance in either the Bayesian hierarchical linear model or the onset-anchored model.

CONCLUSIONS

Augmenting patient data with an additional artificial data-point, or onset anchor, can drastically improve predictive modelling in ALS by reducing the variability of estimated parameters at the cost of a slight increase in bias. This onset-anchored model is extremely useful if predictions are desired directly after a single baseline measure (such as at the first day of a clinical trial), a feat that would be very difficult without the onset-anchor. This approach could be useful in modelling other diseases that have bounded progression scales (e.g. Parkinson's disease, Huntington's disease, or inclusion-body myositis). It is our hope that this model can be used by clinicians and statisticians to improve the efficacy of clinical trials and aid in finding treatments for ALS.

Structural MRI correlates of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis progression

PURPOSE

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) presents with varying degrees of brain degeneration that can extend beyond the corticospinal tract (CST). Furthermore, the clinical course and progression of ALS varies widely. Brain degeneration detected using structural MRI could reflect disease progression.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

On study registration, 3-Tesla volumetric MRI and diffusion tensor imaging scans were obtained at baseline in 38 healthy controls and 67 patients with sporadic ALS. Patients had Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Functional Rating Scale-Revised (ALSFRS-R) scores of ≥36 and did not have the chromosome 9, open reading frame 72 repeat expansion. Six months later, changes in ALSFRS-R (ΔALSFRS-R) scores were calculated and patients were grouped into three categories, namely, patients with slow progression with ΔALSFRS-R scores ≤3 (n=19), intermediate progression with ΔALSFRS-R scores =4, 5 and 6 (n=36) and rapid progression with ΔALSFRS-R scores ≥7 (n=12). We analysed voxel-based morphometry and tract-based spatial statistics among these subgroups and controls.

RESULTS

In comparison with controls, patients with ALS showed grey matter atrophy and decreased fractional anisotropy beyond the motor cortex and CST, especially in the frontotemporal lobes and basal ganglia. Moreover, the degree of change was highly proportional to ΔALSFRS-R at the 6-month assessment.

CONCLUSION

A more rapid disease progression and poorer functional decline were associated with greater involvement of the extra-motor cortex and basal ganglia, suggesting that the spatial extent of brain involvement can be an indicator of the progression in ALS.

Locked Out

Brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) can enable communication for persons in severe paralysis including locked-in syndrome (LIS); that is, being unable to move or speak while aware. In cases of complete loss of muscle control, termed "complete locked-in syndrome," a BCI may be the only viable solution to restore communication. However, a widespread ignorance regarding quality of life in LIS, current BCIs, and their potential as an assistive technology for persons in LIS, needlessly causes a harmful situation for this cohort. In addition to their medical condition, these persons also face social barriers often perceived as more impairing than their physical condition. Through social exclusion, stigmatization, and frequently being underestimated in their abilities, these persons are being locked out in addition to being locked-in. In this article, we (1) show how persons in LIS are being locked out, including how key issues addressed in the existing literature on ethics, LIS, and BCIs for communication, such as autonomy, quality of life, and advance directives, may reinforce these confinements; (2) show how these practices violate the United Nations Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities, and suggest that we have a moral responsibility to prevent and stop this exclusion; and (3) discuss the role of BCIs for communication as one means to this end and suggest that a novel approach to BCI research is necessary to acknowledge the moral responsibility toward the end users and avoid violating the human rights of persons in LIS.

Serum C-Reactive Protein as a Prognostic Biomarker in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis

Importance

Various factors have been proposed as possible candidates associated with the prognosis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS); however, there is still no consensus on which biomarkers are reliable prognostic factors. C-reactive protein (CRP) is a biomarker of the inflammatory response that shows significant prognostic value for several diseases.

Objective

To examine the prognostic significance of CRP in ALS.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Patients' serum CRP levels were evaluated from January 1, 2009, to June 30, 2015, in a large cohort of patients with ALS observed by an Italian tertiary multidisciplinary center. Results were replicated in an independent cohort obtained from a population-based registry of patients with ALS. A post hoc analysis was performed of the phase 2 trial of NP001 to determine whether stratification by levels of CRP improves differentiation of responders and nonresponders to the drug.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Serum CRP levels from the first examination were recorded to assess their effect on disease progression and survival.

Results

A total of 394 patients with ALS (168 women and 226 men; mean [SD] age at diagnosis, 60.18 [13.60] years) were observed in a tertiary multidisciplinary center, and the analysis was replicated in an independent cohort of 116 patients with ALS (50 women and 66 men; mean [SD] age at diagnosis, 67.00 [10.74] years) identified through a regional population-based registry. Serum CRP levels in the 394 patients with ALS correlated with severity of functional impairment, as measured by total score on the ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised, at first evaluation (r = -0.14818; P = .004), and with patient survival (hazard ratio, 1.129; 95% CI, 1.033-1.234; P = .007). Similar results were found in the independent cohort (hazard ratio, 1.044; 95% CI, 1.016-1.056; P ≤ .001). Moreover, a post hoc analysis of the phase 2 trial of NP001 using the same CRP threshold showed that patients with elevated baseline CRP levels receiving the higher dose of NP001 had significantly less functional impairment after the treatment period compared with patients with normal baseline CRP, regardless of whether patients with normal CRP levels received NP001 or placebo (3.00 [3.62] vs -7.31 [6.23]; P = .04).

Conclusions and Relevance

These findings suggest that patients with ALS and elevated serum CRP levels progress more rapidly than do those with lower CRP levels and that this elevation may reflect a neuroinflammatory state potentially responsive to the immune regulators such as NP001.

Hematopoietic stem and progenitor cells as novel prognostic biomarkers of longevity in a murine model for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a fatal neurodegenerative disease with a difficult diagnosis and prognosis. In this regard, new and more reliable biomarkers for the disease are needed. We propose peripheral blood, and, more specifically, the hematopoietic stem and progenitor cells (HSPCs) as potential prognostic biomarkers in the SOD1G93A murine model of ALS. We accurately and serially studied three HSPCs-hematopoietic stem cells (HSCs), common lymphoid progenitors (CLPs), and common myeloid progenitors (CMPs)-in both control and SOD1G93A mice along the disease's progression by RT-PCR and flow cytometry analysis. We found interesting differences for every HSPC type in the transgenic mice compared with the control mice at every time point selected, as well as differences along the disease course. The results showed a maintained compensatory increase of HSCs along disease progression. However, the downregulated levels of CLPs and CMPs suggested an exit of these cell populations to the peripheral tissues, probably due to their supporting role to the damaged tissues. In addition, a positive correlation of the percentage of CLPs and CMPs with the longevity was found, as well as a positive correlation of HSCs and CMPs with motor function and weight, thus reinforcing the idea that HSPCs play a relevant role in the longevity of the SOD1G93A mice. On the basis of these results, both CLPs and CMPs could be considered prognostic biomarkers of longevity in this animal model, opening the door to future studies in human patients for their potential clinical use.

Factors predicting survival in ALS: a multicenter Italian study

The aim of this multicenter, retrospective study is to investigate the role of clinical characteristics and therapeutic intervention on ALS prognosis. The study included patients diagnosed from January 1, 2009 to December 31, 2013 in 13 Italian referral centers for ALS located in 10 Italian regions. Caring neurologists collected a detailed phenotypic profile and follow-up data until death into an electronic database. One center collected also data from a population-based registry for ALS. 2648 incident cases were collected. The median survival time from onset to death/tracheostomy was 44 months (SE 1.18, CI 42-46). According to univariate analysis, factors related to survival from onset to death/tracheostomy were: age at onset, diagnostic delay, site of onset, phenotype, degree of certainty at diagnosis according to revised El Escorial criteria (R-EEC), presence/absence of dementia, BMI at diagnosis, patients' provenance. In the multivariate analysis, age at onset, diagnostic delay, phenotypes but not site of onset, presence/absence of dementia, BMI, riluzole use, R-EEC criteria were independent prognostic factors of survival in ALS. We compared patients from an ALS Registry with patients from tertiary centers; the latter ones were younger, less frequently bulbar, but more frequently familial and definite at diagnosis. Our large, multicenter study demonstrated the role of some clinical and demographic factors on ALS survival, and showed some interesting differences between referral centers' patients and the general ALS population. These results can be helpful for clinical practice, in clinical trial design and to validate new tools to predict disease progression.

The frontotemporal syndrome of ALS is associated with poor survival

Thirty percent of ALS patients have a frontotemporal syndrome (FS), defined as behavioral changes or cognitive impairment. Despite previous studies, there are no firm conclusions on the effect of the FS on survival and the use of non-invasive ventilation (NIV) in ALS. We examined the effect of the FS on survival and the start and duration of NIV in ALS. Behavioral changes were defined as >22 points on the ALS-Frontotemporal-Dementia-Questionnaire or ≥3 points on ≥2 items of the Neuropsychiatric Inventory. Cognitive impairment was defined as below the fifth percentile on ≥2 tests of executive function, memory or language. Classic ALS was defined as ALS without the frontotemporal syndrome. We performed survival analyses from symptom onset and time from NIV initiation, respectively, to death. The impact of the explanatory variables on survival and NIV initiation were examined using Cox proportional hazards models. We included 110 ALS patients (76 men) with a mean age of 62 years. Median survival time was 4.3 years (95 % CI 3.53–5.13). Forty-seven patients (43 %) had an FS. Factors associated with shorter survival were FS, bulbar onset, older age at onset, short time to diagnosis and a C9orf72 repeat expansion. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for the FS was 2.29 (95 % CI 1.44–3.65, p < 0.001) in a multivariate model. Patients with an FS had a shorter survival after NIV initiation (adjusted HR 2.70, 95 % CI 1.04–4.67, p = 0.04). In conclusion, there is an association between the frontotemporal syndrome and poor survival in ALS, which remains present after initiation of NIV.

Recent advances in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

ALS is a relentlessly progressive and fatal disease, with no curative therapies available to date. Symptomatic and palliative care, provided in a multidisciplinary context, still remains the cornerstone of ALS management. However, our understanding of the molecular mechanisms underlying the disease has advanced greatly over the past years, giving new hope for the development of novel diagnostic and therapeutic approaches. Here, we have reviewed the most recent studies that have contributed to improving both clinical management and our understanding of ALS pathogenesis.

Age of onset differentially influences the progression of regional dysfunction in sporadic amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

The clinical courses of sporadic amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) show extensive variability. Our objective was to elucidate how age of onset influences the progression of regional symptoms and functional losses in sporadic ALS. We included 648 patients with sporadic ALS from a multicenter prospective ALS cohort. We investigated the distribution of initial symptoms and analyzed the time from onset to events affecting activities of daily living (ADL) as well as the longitudinal changes in each regional functional rating score among four groups with different ages of onset. The frequencies of dysarthria and dysphagia as initial symptoms were higher in the older age groups, whereas weakness of upper limbs was the most common initial symptom in the youngest age group. The survival times and the times from onset to loss of speech and swallowing were significantly shorter in the older age group (p < 0.001), although the times from onset to loss of upper limb function were not significantly different among the age groups. According to joint modeling analysis, the bulbar score declined faster in the older age groups (<50 vs. 60-69 years: p = 0.029, <50 vs. ≥70 years: p < 0.001), whereas there was no significant correlation between the age of onset and decline in the upper limb score. Our results showed that age of onset had a significant influence on survival time and the progression of bulbar symptoms, but had no influence on upper limb function in sporadic ALS.

The ALSFRS as an outcome measure in therapeutic trials and its relationship to symptom onset

The reduction in ALS Functional Rating Score (ALSFRS) from reported symptom onset to diagnosis is used to estimate rate of disease progression. ALSFRS decline may be non-linear or distorted by drop-outs in therapeutic trials, reducing the reliability of change in slope as an outcome measure. The PRO-ACT database uniquely allows such measures to be explored using historical data from negative therapeutic trials. The decline of functional scores was analysed in 18 pooled trials, comparing rates of decline based on symptom onset with rates calculated between interval assessments. Strategies to mitigate the effects of trial drop-out were considered. Results showed that progression rate calculated by symptom onset underestimated the subsequent rate of disability accumulation, although it predicted survival more accurately than four-month interval estimates of δALSFRS or δFVC. Individual ALSFRS and FVC progression within a typical trial duration were linear. No simple solution to correct for trial drop-out was identified, but imputation using δALSFRS appeared least disruptive. In conclusion, there is a trade-off between the drive to recruit trial participants soon after symptom onset, and reduced reliability of the ALSFRS-derived progression rate at enrolment. The need for objective markers of disease activity as an alternative to survival-based end-points is clear and pressing.

Heterogeneity in ALSFRS-R decline and survival: a population-based study in Italy

Very few studies examined trend over time of the revised Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Functional Rating Scale (ALSFRS-R) and factors influencing it; previous studies, then, included only patients attending tertiary ALS Centres. We studied ALSFRS-R decline, factors influencing this trend and survival in a population-based setting. From 2009 onwards, a prospective registry records all incident ALS cases among residents in Emilia Romagna (population: 4.4 million). For each patient, demographic and clinical details (including ALSFRS-R) are collected by caring physicians at each follow-up. Analysis was performed on 402 incident cases (1279 ALSFRS-R assessments). The average decline of the ALSFRS-R was 0.60 points/month during the first year after diagnosis and 0.34 points/month in the second year. ALSFRS-R decline was heterogeneous among subgroups. Repeated measures mixed model showed that ALSFRS-R score decline was influenced by age at onset (p < 0.01), phenotype (p = 0.01), body mass index (BMI) (p < 0.01), progression rate at diagnosis (ΔFS) (p < 0.01), El Escorial Criteria-Revised (p < 0.01), and FVC% at diagnosis (p < 0.01). Among these factors, at multivariate analysis, only age, site of onset and ΔFS independently influenced survival. In this first population-based study on ALSFRS-R trend, we confirm that ALSFRS-R decline is not homogeneous among ALS patients and during the disease. Factors influencing ALSFRS-R decline may not match with those affecting survival. These disease modifiers should be taken into consideration for trials design and in clinical practice during discussions with patients on prognosis.

UNC13A confers risk for sporadic ALS and influences survival in a Spanish cohort

To investigate the association of functional variants of the human UNC13A gene with the risk of ALS, survival and the disease progression rate in a Spanish ALS cohort. 136 sporadic ALS (sALS) patients and 487 healthy controls were genotyped for the UNC13A rs12608932 variant. Clinical characterization of ALS patients included gender, age at first symptom, initial topography, disease progression rate, and survival. Genetic association was analyzed under five inheritance models. The sALS patients with the rs12608932(CC) genotype had an increased risk of ALS under a recessive genetic model [OR 2.16; 95 % CI (1.23, 3.8), p = 0.009; corrected p = 0.028]. Genotypes with a C allele are also associated with increased risk [OR 1.47; 95 % CI (1.11, 1.95); p = 0.008; corrected p = 0.023] under an additive model. sALS patients with a C/C genotype had a shorter survival than patients with A/A and A/C genotypes [HR 1.44; 95 % CI (1.11, 1.873); p = 0.007] under a recessive model. In an overdominant model, heterozygous patients had a longer survival than homozygous patients [HR 0.36; 95 % CI (0.22, 0.59); p = 0.001]. The rs12608932 genotypes modify the progression of symptoms measured using the ALSFRS-R. No association with age of onset, initial topography or rate of decline in FVC was found. Our results show that rs12608932 is a risk factor for ALS in the Spanish population and replicate the findings described in other populations. The rs12608932 is a modifying factor for survival and disease progression rate in our series. Our results also corroborated that it did not influence the age of onset.

Vitamin D is Not a Protective Factor in ALS

AIMS

Vitamin D deficiency has been associated with poorer prognosis in ALS. Better understanding of the role of vitamin D in ALS is needed to determine whether trials of systematic supplementation are justified. Our aim was to report vitamin D levels during the course of ALS and to evaluate its relationship with clinical parameters at diagnosis and with disease progression.

METHODS

We prospectively collected vitamin D serum concentrations from 125 consecutive ALS patients. Cox proportional hazard models analyzed the relationship between vitamin D concentrations, clinical parameters, and survival.

RESULTS

The mean vitamin D concentration was below our laboratory's lower limit of normal (P < 0.0001) and did not change during the course of the disease. The concentrations were higher in patients with bulbar onset (P = 0.003) and were negatively associated with body mass index (BMI) (P = 0.0095). Models with ALSFRS-R (ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised) and BMI as a covariates showed that vitamin D concentrations predicted worse prognosis.

CONCLUSION

The distribution of vitamin D concentrations in our cohort was consistent with previous reports. Surprisingly, we noted a negative effect of higher vitamin D levels on prognosis in ALS. More detailed research is warranted to determine whether manipulation of vitamin D could be beneficial to patients.

Hypnosis-based psychodynamic treatment in ALS: a longitudinal study on patients and their caregivers

Background: Evidence of psychological treatment efficacy is strongly needed in ALS, particularly regarding long-term effects.

Methods: Fifteen patients participated in a hypnosis treatment and self-hypnosis training protocol after an in-depth psychological and neurological evaluation. Patients' primary caregivers and 15 one-by-one matched control patients were considered in the study. Measurements of anxiety, depression and quality of life (QoL) were collected at the baseline, post-treatment, and after 3 and 6 months from the intervention. Bayesian linear mixed-models were used to evaluate the impact of treatment and defense style on patients' anxiety, depression, QoL, and functional impairment (ALSFRS-r), as well as on caregivers' anxiety and depression.

Results: The statistical analyses revealed an improvement in psychological variables' scores immediately after the treatment. Amelioration in patients' and caregivers' anxiety as well as caregivers' depression, were found to persist at 3 and 6 months follow-ups. The observed massive use of primitive defense mechanisms was found to have a reliable and constant buffer effect on psychopathological symptoms in both patients and caregivers. Notably, treated patients decline in ALSFRS-r score was observed to be slower than that of control group's patients.

Discussion: Our brief psychodynamic hypnosis-based treatment showed efficacy both at psychological and physical levels in patients with ALS, and was indirectly associated to long-lasting benefits in caregivers. The implications of peculiar psychodynamic factors and mind-body techniques are discussed. Future directions should be oriented toward a convergence of our results and further psychological interventions, in order to delineate clinical best practices for ALS.