Clinical profile, natural history, and predictors of mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF)

Alpha-fetoprotein and APRI as predictive markers for patients with Type C hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Type C hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF), which is based on decompensated cirrhosis, has different laboratory tests, precipitating events, organ failure and clinical outcomes. The predictors of prognosis for type C HBV-ACLF patients are different from those for other subgroups. This study aimed to construct a novel, short-term prognostic score that applied serological indicators of hepatic regeneration and noninvasive assessment of liver fibrosis to predict outcomes in patients with type C HBV-ACLF.

METHOD

Patients with type C HBV-ACLF were observed for 90 days. Demographic information, clinical examination, and laboratory test results of the enrolled patients were collected. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were performed to identify independent prognostic factors and develop a novel prognostic scoring system. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyse the performance of the model.

RESULTS

A total of 224 patients with type C HBV-ACLF were finally included. The overall survival rate within 90 days was 47.77%. Age, total bilirubin (TBil), international normalized ratio (INR), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), white blood cell (WBC), serum sodium (Na), and aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index (APRI) were found to be independent prognostic factors. According to the results of the logistic regression analysis, a new prognostic model (named the A3Twin score) was established. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was 0.851 [95% CI (0.801-0.901)], the sensitivity was 78.8%, and the specificity was 71.8%, which were significantly higher than those of the MELD, IMELD, MELD-Na, TACIA and COSSH-ACLF II scores (all P < 0.001). Patients with lower A3Twin scores (<-9.07) survived longer.

CONCLUSIONS

A new prognostic scoring system for patients with type C HBV-ACLF based on seven routine indices was established in our study and can accurately predict short-term mortality and might be used to guide clinical management.

Definitions, Etiologies, and Outcomes of Acute on Chronic Liver Failure: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a major public health concern. We aimed to assess the definitions, etiologic spectrum, organ failure (OF), and outcomes of ACLF globally.

METHODS

Three databases were searched for studies on ACLF from 1990 until September 2022. Information regarding definitions, acute precipitants, underlying chronic liver disease (CLD), OF, and mortality were extracted. Meta-analyses were performed for pooled prevalence rates (95% confidence interval [CI]) using random-effects model for each definition of ACLF.

RESULTS

Of the 11,451 studies identified, 114 articles (142 cohorts encompassing 210,239 patients) met the eligibility criteria. Most studies (53.2%) used the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) definition, followed by Asia-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) (33.3%). Systemic infection was the major acute precipitant, and alcohol use was the major cause of CLD in EASL-defined studies, whereas alcohol was both the major acute precipitant and cause of CLD in APASL-defined studies. Liver failure was the major OF in APASL-based studies, whereas renal failure was predominant in EASL-based studies. Thirty-day mortality varied across definitions: APASL: 38.9%, 95% CI, 31.2%-46.9%; EASL: 47.9%, 95% CI, 42.2%-53.5%; and NACSELD: 52.2%, 95% CI, 51.9%-52.5%. Diagnostic overlap between definitions ranged from 7.7% to 80.2%. Meta-regression suggested that the World Health Organization region influenced 30-day mortality in studies using EASL definition.

CONCLUSIONS

Heterogeneity in the definition of ACLF proposed by different expert societies and regional preferences in its use result in differences in clinical phenotype and outcomes. A uniform definition would enhance the comparability and interpretation of global data.

Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure: Causes, Clinical Parameters, and Predictors of Mortality

Objectives This study aimed to identify the causes, clinical characteristics, and 28-day in-hospital mortality predictors in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Methods A cross-sectional study enrolled sixty-four patients aged 18-70 years with acute-on-chronic liver failure. The study was conducted at the Gastroenterology Department, Lahore General Hospital. The study classified ACLF according to the criteria of the European Association for the Study of the Liver - Chronic Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF). Patients were followed for 28 days for mortality outcomes. The outcomes between Survivor and Non-survivor groups were compared using the Chi-Square/Fisher's Exact Test for categorical variables and the Mann-Whitney U test for continuous variables. Results In this study, age and duration of chronic liver disease were not significantly different between survivors and non-survivors. The etiology of liver disease and ACLF causes had no impact on 28-day mortality. Non-survivors had lower mean arterial pressure, and higher mortality was linked with lower Glasgow Coma Scale scores, upper gastrointestinal bleeding, and Grade IV hepatic encephalopathy. Significant differences in bilirubin, serum creatinine, urea, and C-reactive protein levels were observed at 28 days. Survival rates were highest with single organ failure (35.94%) and decreased with multiple organ failures. The overall survival rate was 51.56%. Predictive validity for mortality was assessed using the Area Under the Curve (AUC), with Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) at 0.679, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) at 0.819, and Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (CLIF-SOFA) at 0.771. Conclusion This study concludes that in acute-on-chronic liver failure, factors like age, gender, and disease etiology do not significantly predict 28-day mortality. Key mortality indicators include clinical parameters such as lower Glasgow Coma Scale scores, hepatic encephalopathy Grade IV, and laboratory findings like elevated bilirubin and serum creatinine. The MELD score is the most compelling prognostic tool.

Challenges in Diagnosis and Therapeutic Approach of Acute on Chronic Liver Failure-A Review of Current Evidence

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome characterized by acute and severe decompensation of chronic liver disease (CLD) correlated with multiple organ failure, poor prognosis, and increased mortality. In 40-50% of ACLF cases, the trigger is not recognized; for many of these patients, bacterial translocation associated with systemic inflammation is thought to be the determining factor; in the other 50% of patients, sepsis, alcohol consumption, and reactivation of chronic viral hepatitis are the most frequently described trigger factors. Other conditions considered precipitating factors are less common, including acute alcoholic hepatitis, major surgery, TIPS insertion, or inadequate paracentesis without albumin substitution. Host response is likely the primary factor predicting ACLF severity and prognosis, the host immune response having a particular significance in this syndrome, together with the inflammatory cascade. The management of ACLF includes both the prevention of the precipitating factors that lead to acute liver decompensation and the support of vital functions, the prevention and management of complications, the estimation of prognosis, and the opportunity for liver transplantation.

Association between statin exposure and short-term mortality in patients with high-grade acute-on-chronic liver failure

Background & Aims

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) carries a high short-term mortality for patients with cirrhosis. Prior literature suggests that statin exposure may reduce the likelihood of ACLF events. However, it is unclear if statin exposure is associated with ACLF-related mortality. This study sought to determine the association between statin use and short-term mortality among patients hospitalised with ACLF.

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort study of Veterans Health Administration (VHA) patients diagnosed with cirrhosis between 2008 and 2021 and hospitalised with high-grade (2 or 3) ACLF. Patients were stratified into those with and without continuous statin exposure for at least 90 days prior to hospitalisation. Multivariable logistic regression models were created to determine the adjusted association between statin exposure and 28-day and 90-day mortality. Categorical statin dose exposure, converted to simvastatin equivalents, was also explored.

Results

A total of 11,731 patients with cirrhosis hospitalised with Grade 2 or 3 ACLF were included in the analytic cohort, 26% of whom had statin exposure. In adjusted logistic regression models, statin use was associated with 18% lower odds of ACLF-related 28-day mortality (odds ratio [OR] 0.82, 95% CI 0.73-0.93, p = 0.001) and 24% lower odds of 90-day mortality (OR 0.76, 95% CI 0.68-0.86, p <0.001). Increasing statin dose exposure was also associated with further reductions in 90-day mortality (e.g. OR 0.81, 95% CI 0.70-0.93 for 10-40 mg vs. 0 mg and OR 0.72, 95% CI 0.60-0.87 for 80 mg vs. 0 mg, p <0.001).

Conclusions

In this large, retrospective cohort study, statin exposure before high-grade ACLF hospitalisation was associated with reduced odds of 28-day and 90-day mortality in patients with cirrhosis. A statin dose-dependent reduction in 90-day ACLF-related mortality was also observed.

Impact and Implications

Statins have been identified as a class of medications with potential beneficial effects for patients with cirrhosis. In this large, retrospective cohort study of patients with cirrhosis who seek care at the Veterans Health Administration, statin use was associated with a decrease in short term (28-day and 90-day) mortality as a result of acute-on-chronic liver failure. Future prospective studies are needed to further clarify the relative safety and efficacy of statin therapy in reducing morbidity and mortality associated with acute-on-chronic liver failure in patients with cirrhosis.

Impact of donor diabetes mellitus status on liver transplant outcomes in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation (LT) is the most effective way to save patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). However, the impact of donor diabetes mellitus (DM) on LT outcomes in patients with ACLF has not been fully investigated.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) between Janunary 1^st, 2008 to December 31^st, 2017 in this study. All the patients were divided into donors with DM and without DM group (DM: 1,394; non-DM: 11,138). We compared the overall survival (OS) and graft survival (GS) across different estimated ACLF (estACLF) grades between two groups.

RESULTS

There were 25.10% estACLF-3 patients in the entire cohort. And in estACLF-3 patients, 318 patients had DM donors. The estACLF-3 associated 5-year OS rate in the non-DM group was 74.6%, significantly better than that in the DM group, with corresponding survival rate at 64.9% (P < 0.001). Donor DM was an independent predictor for OS in the entire cohort as well as in estACLF-3 patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Donor DM was associated with inferior outcomes of LT in patients with estACLF-3. However, the differences were not obvious in recipients with other estACLF grades.

Hyperkalemia influences the outcome of patients with cirrhosis with acute decompensation (AD) and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF)

INTRODUCTION

The presence of hyperkalemia in different clinical scenarios has been described as a risk factor for mortality. Information about this electrolyte disorder in patients with cirrhosis is limited and there are no data in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF).

AIM

The aim of this study was to investigate whether hyperkalemia is a risk factor for mortality in patients with cirrhosis and acute decompensation (AD) with and without ACLF.

METHODS

We performed an analysis of the Chronic Liver Failure Consortium CANONIC database in 1,314 consecutive patients admitted to 29 European centers with AD both with and without associated ACLF (294 and 1020 respectively). Hyperkalemia was defined as serum potassium ≥ 5.0 mEq/L. All patients had at least one valid measure of serum potassium from admission and/or through the whole hospitalization.

RESULTS

1314 patients were admitted with AD and 294 of them had ACLF at admission. Prevalence of hyperkalemia was significantly higher in ACLF versus AD (22.4% and 8.6% respectively, p<0.001). Hyperkalemia was associated with an increased 90, 180 and 360-day mortality risk in ACLF compared to AD (HR 10 vs 2.3 at 90-day p<0.001, 8.9 vs 3.1 at 180-day, p<0.001 and 5.8 vs 3.8 at 360-day, p<0.001). In a multivariate analysis, the presence of hyperkalemia during admission was independently associated with 90-day mortality [HR 2.4 (1.7 - 3.4)]. Variability of potassium between two valid measures ≥ 0.9 mg/dl was always also associated with a higher mortality rate. Addition of hyperkalemia to MELD score (MELD-K model) improved the accuracy to predict 90-day mortality risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Hyperkalemia is an independent risk factor of mortality in patients with AD and ACLF. Addition of hyperkalemia to the MELD score improves diagnostic accuracy to predict 90-day mortality in patients with AD and ACLF.

Patient Frailty Is Independently Associated With the Risk of Hospitalization for Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

There is significant interest in identifying risk factors associated with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). In transplant candidates, frailty predicts wait-list mortality and posttransplant outcomes. However, the impact of frailty on ACLF development and mortality is unknown. This was a retrospective study of US veterans with cirrhosis identified between 2008 and 2016. First hospitalizations were characterized as ACLF or non-ACLF admissions. Prehospitalization patient frailty was ascertained using a validated score based on administrative coding data. We used logistic regression to investigate the impact of an increasing frailty score on the odds of ACLF hospitalization and short-term ACLF mortality. Cox regression was used to analyze the association between frailty and longterm survival from hospitalization. We identified 16,561 cirrhosis hospitalizations over a median follow-up of 4.19 years (interquartile range, 2.47-6.34 years). In adjusted models, increasing frailty score was associated with significantly increased odds of ACLF hospitalization versus non-ACLF hospitalization (odds ratio, 1.03 per point; 95% CI 1.02-1.03; P < 0.001). By contrast, frailty score was not associated with ACLF 28- or 90-day mortality (P = 0.13 and P = 0.33, respectively). In an adjusted Cox analysis of all hospitalizations, increasing frailty scores were associated with poorer longterm survival from the time of hospitalization (hazard ratio, 1.02 per 5 points; 95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.03; P = 0.004). Frailty increases the likelihood of ACLF hospitalization among patients with cirrhosis, but it does not impact short-term ACLF mortality. These findings have implications for clinicians caring for frail outpatients with cirrhosis, including tailored follow-up, risk mitigation strategies, and possible expedited transplant evaluation.

Value of Liver Regeneration in Predicting Short-Term Prognosis for Patients with Hepatitis B-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Background and Aims

The value of hepatocyte regeneration in predicting the outcomes of hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is not fully assessed. The present study was aimed at establishing a novel scoring system to predict patients' outcomes within 3 months by applying serological indicators of hepatic regeneration and liver injury.

Methods

Patients with chronic hepatitis B who had a rapid deterioration were investigated. Patients were observed for 90 days, and the endpoint of follow-up was death or liver transplantation. Serum parameters were estimated on the diagnosis of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Cox proportional hazard regression was used to identify independent prognostic factors and create a novel prognostic scoring system, and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the performance of the model.

Results

A total of 308 patients with HBV-ACLF were incorporated and divided into the training cohort (n = 206) and testing cohort (n = 102) randomly. Creatine (Cre), age, total bilirubin (TBil), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), and international normalized ratio (INR) were found to be independent prognostic factors. According to the results of Cox regression analysis, a new prognostic model (we named it the TACIA score) was calculated. The areas under ROC (AUROC) for the new model were 0.861 and 0.763 in the training and testing cohorts, respectively, and patients with lower TACIA scores (<4.34) would survive longer (P < 0.001).

Conclusions

A pertinent prognostic scoring system for patients with HBV-ACLF was established in our study, and the novel model could predict patients' short-term survival effectively.

Malondialdehyde as a Prognostic Factor in Alcoholic Hepatitis

Aims

Alcoholic hepatitis is a severe complication of alcoholism, associated with high short-term mortality. Although pathogenesis remains obscure, it is generally accepted that lipopolysaccharide-induced cytokine secretion with further generation of reactive oxygen species (ROS) play outstanding roles. Prognosis is uncertain, and the usually employed prognostic scores do not include variables related to ROS generation. Therefore, this study was performed to assess short-term prognostic value of cytokines, nutritional status, different scores [Maddrey, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), albumin, bilirubin, INR, creatinine index (ABIC), Lille, Glasgow, MELD-Na, Child-Pugh] and malondialdehyde (MDA, as an indicator of lipid peroxidation) at admission and after 1 week, among patients affected by severe acute alcoholic hepatitis (Maddrey index >32).

Methods

Sixty-two patients affected by severe acute alcoholic hepatitis, for whom we calculated Maddrey, MELD, ABIC, Lille, Glasgow, MELD-Na, Child-Pugh, and determined serum MDA and interleukin (IL)-6, IL-8, IL-4, tumor necrosis factor alpha and interferon gamma levels at admission and after 1 week.

Results

Twenty-four patients died during the follow-up period. MDA showed a better prognostic accuracy than the aforementioned scores, both at admission and after 1 week.

Conclusion

Our study supports the importance of including MDA assessment in the prognostic evaluation of patients with alcoholic hepatitis.

Short summary

Alcoholic hepatitis is associated with high short-term mortality. Although not included in prognostic scores, lipid peroxidation plays an outstanding role in its pathogenesis. We found that malondialdehyde levels showed a better prognostic accuracy than the usually employed scores. Therefore, it should be included in the prognostic evaluation of these patients.

Acute on Chronic Liver Failure-In-Hospital Predictors of Mortality in ICU

AIMS

We studied in-hospital predictors of mortality of acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) in Indian patients.

METHODS

Patients admitted to the intensive care unit of our institute fulfilling the definition of ACLF based on the Asia-Pacific Association for Study of Liver Disease (APASL) consensus were included. Complete history and medical evaluation to assess the etiology of underlying liver cirrhosis and to identify the acute precipitating insult of worsening liver function was done. Data was prospectively recorded and various scoring systems and individual clinical and laboratory parameters were assessed to identify predictors of 28 days mortality.

RESULTS

64 out of 240 patients screened for ACLF were analyszed in the study. Median age was 44 years and 53% were males. Alcohol was the primary cause of cirrhosis in 60.93%. Infections and active alcoholism was the main precipitating acute insult in 43% and 37% patients respectively. 28% patients had history of ingestion of hepato-toxic drugs as the acute insult. More than one acute insult was seen in 37.5% patients and type-II hepatic injury was the most common type. 28 days in hospital mortality was 43.75% and was highest in patients with sepsis (67.8%). Presence of hepato-renal syndrome and need for ventilation was associated with poor outcome. Though multiple variables were significant in predicting mortality on univariate analysis, yet on regression model only APACHE II and shock could significantly predict mortality with odds ratio of 3.18 and 9.14 respectively. Highest mortality was seen with cerebral and lung as organ failure and mortality increased as the number of organ failure worsened. CLIF-SOFA and APACHE-II scores having area under curve > 0.8 had higher ability to predict mortality.

CONCLUSION

ACLF carries high short-term mortality and early intervention by liver transplantation should be considered in patients who shows high risk of mortality.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure: Pathogenesis, prognostic factors and management

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is increasingly recognized as a complex syndrome that is reversible in many cases. It is characterized by an acute deterioration of liver function in the background of a pre-existing chronic liver disease often associated with a high short-term mortality rate. Organ failure (OF) is always associated, and plays a key role in determining the course, and the outcome of the disease. The definition of ACLF remains controversial due to its overall ambiguity, with several disparate criteria among various associations dedicated to the study of liver diseases. Although the precise pathogenesis needs to be clarified, it appears that an altered host response to injury might be a contributing factor caused by immune dysfunction, ultimately leading to a pro-inflammatory status, and eventually to OF. The PIRO concept (Predisposition, Insult, Response and Organ Failure) has been proposed to better approach the underlying mechanisms. It is accepted that ACLF is a different and specific form of liver failure, where a precipitating event is always involved, even though it cannot always be ascertained. According to several studies, infections and active alcoholism often trigger ACLF. Viral hepatitis, gastrointestinal haemorrhage, or drug induced liver injury, which can also provoke the syndrome. This review mainly focuses on the physiopathology and prognostic aspects. We believe these features are essential to further understanding and providing the rationale for improveddisease management strategies.