CLIF-SOFA and CLIF-C scores for the prognostication of acute-on-chronic liver failure and acute decompensation of cirrhosis: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome characterized by decompensation in individuals with chronic liver disease, generally secondary to one or more extra-hepatic organ failures, implying an elevated mortality rate. Acute decompensation (AD) is the term used for one or more significant consequences of liver disease in a short time and is the most common reason for hospital admission in cirrhotic patients. The European Association for the Study of Liver-Chronic-Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF) Group modified the intensive care Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score into CLIF-SOFA, which detects the presence of ACLF in patients with or without AD, classifying it into three grades.

AIM

To investigate the role of the EASL-CLIF definition for ACLF and the ability of CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-C ACLF, and CLIF-C AD scores for prognosticating ACLF or AD.

METHODS

This study is a literature review using a standardized search method, conducted using the steps following the guidelines for reporting systematic reviews set out by the PRISMA statement. For specific keywords, relevant articles were found by searching PubMed, ScienceDirect, and BioMed Central-BMC. The databases were searched using the search terms by one reviewer, and a list of potentially eligible studies was generated based on the titles and abstracts screened. The data were then extracted and assessed on the basis of the Reference Citation Analysis (https://www.referencecitationanalysis.com/).

RESULTS

Most of the included studies used the EASL-CLIF definition for ACLF to identify cirrhotic patients with a significant risk of short-term mortality. The primary outcome in all reviewed studies was mortality. Most of the study findings were based on an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analysis, which revealed that CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-C ACLF, and CLIF-C AD scores were preferable to other models predicting 28-d mortality. Their AUROC scores were higher and able to predict all-cause mortality at 90, 180, and 365 d. A total of 50 articles were included in this study, which found that the CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-C ACLF and CLIF-C AD scores in more than half of the articles were able to predict short-term and long-term mortality in patients with either ACLF or AD.

CONCLUSION

CLIF-SOFA score surpasses other models in predicting mortality in ACLF patients, especially in the short-term. CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-C ACLF, and CLIF-C AD are accurate short-term and long-term mortality prognosticating scores.

[Study on characteristics and prognosis of organ failure in patients with hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure]

Objective: To evaluate the incidence, and the characteristics of organ failure in relationship to prognosis in hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) patients using chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA) score for judgments of clinical treatment and prognosis. Methods: Clinical data of 316 patients who were diagnosed as HBV-ACLF during hospitalization from February 2015 to February 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. Intrahepatic and extrahepatic organ failures were assessed according to CLIF-SOFA score, and the relationship between clinical characteristics and prognosis was analyzed. Continuity variables were analyzed by analysis of variance, or Kruskal-Wallis H test. Comparison of the categorical data were done using χ (2) or Fisher's exact test, and the predictive efficacy of various prognostic scores was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and Z-test. Results: Of 316 cases (87.3% men) of HBV-ACLF, the mean age was (45 ± 11) years old. 78.8% of patients with underlying liver disease had hepatitis B virus induced cirrhosis. Mortality rates in patients without liver transplantation at 28 days, 90 days and 180 days were 20.5% (63/307), 36.7% (110/300) and 39.2% (116/296), respectively. According to the CLIF-SOFA score, 89.9% (284 patients) had organ failure at baseline, of which 97.5% had liver failure (Total bilirubin ≥ 12 mg/dl) and only 2.5% had coagulation, kidney, circulation or respiratory failure without liver failure. Besides liver failure, the incidence of extrahepatic organ failure was coagulation (23.1%), kidney (5.7%), brain (3.8%), circulation (1.3%) and respiratory failure (0.3%). With increasing number of organ failure, the mortality rate of two and three or more organ failures were 69.6% and 69.2%, respectively, which was significantly higher than that of single organ failure and non-organ failure patients (27% and 6.9%, respectively; P < 0.001). Liver failure with coagulation failure (International normalized ratio≥2.5 or platelet count≤20×10(9)/L) had worst prognosis with a mortality rate of up to 75% at 90 days. Conclusion: According to the CLIF-SOFA score, the main organ failure in patients with HBV-ACLF in China is liver failure. The mortality rate in patients with two or more organ failures is as high as 70% within 3 months. Therefore, timely manner liver transplantation should be considered.

Class III obesity is a risk factor for the development of acute-on-chronic liver failure in patients with decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome of systemic inflammation and organ failures. Obesity, also characterized by chronic inflammation, is a risk factor among patients with cirrhosis for decompensation, infection, and mortality. Our aim was to test the hypothesis that obesity predisposes patients with decompensated cirrhosis to the development of ACLF.

METHODS

We examined the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database, from 2005-2016, characterizing patients at wait-listing as non-obese (body mass index [BMI] <30), obese class I-II (BMI 30-39.9) and obese class III (BMI ≥40). ACLF was determined based on the CANONIC study definition. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to assess the association between obesity and ACLF development at liver transplantation (LT). We confirmed our findings using the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS), years 2009-2013, using validated diagnostic coding algorithms to identify obesity, hepatic decompensation and ACLF. Logistic regression evaluated the association between obesity and ACLF occurrence.

RESULTS

Among 387,884 patient records of decompensated cirrhosis, 116,704 (30.1%) were identified as having ACLF in both databases. Multivariable modeling from the UNOS database revealed class III obesity to be an independent risk factor for ACLF at LT (hazard ratio 1.24; 95% CI 1.09-1.41; p <0.001). This finding was confirmed using the NIS (odds ratio 1.30; 95% CI 1.25-1.35; p <0.001). Regarding specific organ failures, analysis of both registries demonstrated patients with class I-II and class III obesity had a greater prevalence of renal failure.

CONCLUSION

Class III obesity is a newly identified risk factor for ACLF development in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Obese patients have a particularly high prevalence of renal failure as a component of ACLF. These findings have important implications regarding stratifying risk and preventing the occurrence of ACLF.

LAY SUMMARY

In this study, we identify that among patients with decompensated cirrhosis, class III obesity (severe/morbid obesity) is a modifiable risk factor for the development of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). We further demonstrate that regarding the specific organ failures associated with ACLF, renal failure is significantly more prevalent in obese patients, particularly those with class III obesity. These findings underscore the importance of weight management in cirrhosis, to reduce the risk of ACLF. Patients with class III obesity should be monitored closely for the development of renal failure.

Comparison of prognostic systems in cirrhotic patients with hepatic encephalopathy

Background/aim: There are various scoring systems for evaluating prognosis in patients hospitalized in intensive care units (ICUs) with hepatic encephalopathy. These include the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) classification, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD), chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA), and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II). In this study, we aimed to compare the various scoring systems to determine the best system for showing the prognosis of patients with a prior diagnosis of cirrhosis who were hospitalized for hepatic encephalopathy. Materials and methods: Patients with known cirrhosis hospitalized in the internal medicine ICU of the Adana Numune Education and Research Hospital with a diagnosis of hepatic encephalopathy were included in the study. Diagnosis and classification of hepatic encephalopathy were done according to the West Haven criteria. The etiology of hepatic encephalopathy was recorded for all patients. APACHE II, CLIF-SOFA, MELD, and CTP scores were calculated for all patients within the first 24 h. Outcomes of patients were recorded as either discharged or deceased. Demographic and biochemical data, duration of hospitalization, and prognostic factors were compared for both groups. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) values were calculated for each scoring system. Results: A total of 84 patients were included in the study. The etiologies of encephalopathy were infection (n = 35, 41.7%), variceal bleeding (n = 19, 22.6%), constipation (n = 15, 17.9%), consuming excessive protein (n = 8, 9.5%), hypokalemia (n = 6, 7.1%), and hepatocellular carcinoma (n = 1, 1.2%). Nine patients had grade 1 encephalopathy, 34 patients had grade 2, 27 patients had grade 3, and 14 patients had grade 4. AUROC values were 0.986 (0.970-1.003), 0.974 (0.945-1.003), 0.955 (0.915-0.996), and 0.880 (0.800-0.959) for CLIF-SOFA, APACHE II, CTP, and MELD scores, respectively. Conclusion: We found the best prognostic model for patients who were hospitalized in the ICU for hepatic encephalopathy to be CLIFSOFA, followed by APACHE II, CTP, and MELD scores.

Acute on Chronic Liver Failure-In-Hospital Predictors of Mortality in ICU

AIMS

We studied in-hospital predictors of mortality of acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) in Indian patients.

METHODS

Patients admitted to the intensive care unit of our institute fulfilling the definition of ACLF based on the Asia-Pacific Association for Study of Liver Disease (APASL) consensus were included. Complete history and medical evaluation to assess the etiology of underlying liver cirrhosis and to identify the acute precipitating insult of worsening liver function was done. Data was prospectively recorded and various scoring systems and individual clinical and laboratory parameters were assessed to identify predictors of 28 days mortality.

RESULTS

64 out of 240 patients screened for ACLF were analyszed in the study. Median age was 44 years and 53% were males. Alcohol was the primary cause of cirrhosis in 60.93%. Infections and active alcoholism was the main precipitating acute insult in 43% and 37% patients respectively. 28% patients had history of ingestion of hepato-toxic drugs as the acute insult. More than one acute insult was seen in 37.5% patients and type-II hepatic injury was the most common type. 28 days in hospital mortality was 43.75% and was highest in patients with sepsis (67.8%). Presence of hepato-renal syndrome and need for ventilation was associated with poor outcome. Though multiple variables were significant in predicting mortality on univariate analysis, yet on regression model only APACHE II and shock could significantly predict mortality with odds ratio of 3.18 and 9.14 respectively. Highest mortality was seen with cerebral and lung as organ failure and mortality increased as the number of organ failure worsened. CLIF-SOFA and APACHE-II scores having area under curve > 0.8 had higher ability to predict mortality.

CONCLUSION

ACLF carries high short-term mortality and early intervention by liver transplantation should be considered in patients who shows high risk of mortality.

Scoring model to predict outcome in critically ill cirrhotic patients with acute respiratory failure: comparison with MELD scoring models and CLIF-SOFA score

BACKGROUND

Critically ill cirrhotic patients have a high mortality, particularly with concomitant respiratory failure on admission. There are no specific models in use for mortality risk assessment in critically ill cirrhotic patients with acute respiratory failure (CICRF). The aim is to develop a risk prediction model specific to CICRF in order to quantify the severity of illness.

METHODS

We analyzed 949 CICRF patients extracted from the MIMIC-III database. The novel model (ARF-CLIF-SOFA) was developed from the CLIF-SOFA score. Cox regression analysis and AUROC were implemented to test the predictive accuracy, compared with existing scores including the CLIF-SOFA score and MELD-related scores.

RESULTS

ARF-CLIF-SOFA contains PaO₂/FiO₂ ratio, lactate, MAP, vasopressor therapy, bilirubin and creatinine (1 point each; score range: 0-6). Based on our patient cohort, the ARF-CLIF-SOFA score had good predictive accuracy for predicting the 30-, 90-day and 1-year mortality (AUROC = 0.767 at 30-day, 0.768 at 90-day, 0.765 at 1-year, respectively). Additionally, the performance of the ARF-CLIF-SOFA is superior to existing scores (all P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The ARF-CLIF-SOFA score can be considered a CICRF specific score with a better predictive accuracy compared to the existing scores.

Prognosis of cirrhotic patients admitted to intensive care unit: a meta-analysis

Background

The best predictors of short- and medium-term mortality of cirrhotic patients receiving intensive care support are unknown.

Methods

We conducted meta-analyses from 13 studies (2523 cirrhotics) after selection of original articles and response to a standardized questionnaire by the corresponding authors. End-points were in-ICU, in-hospital, and 6-month mortality in ICU survivors. A total of 301 pooled analyses, including 95 analyses restricted to 6-month mortality among ICU survivors, were conducted considering 249 variables (including reason for admission, organ replacement therapy, and composite prognostic scores).

Results

In-ICU, in-hospital, and 6-month mortality was 42.7, 54.1, and 75.1%, respectively. Forty-eight patients (3.8%) underwent liver transplantation during follow-up. In-ICU mortality was lower in patients admitted for variceal bleeding (OR 0.46; 95% CI 0.36–0.59; p < 0.001) and higher in patients with SOFA > 19 at baseline (OR 8.54; 95% CI 2.09–34.91; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.93). High SOFA no longer predicted mortality at 6 months in ICU survivors. Twelve variables related to infection were predictors of in-ICU mortality, including SIRS (OR 2.44; 95% CI 1.64–3.65; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.57), pneumonia (OR 2.18; 95% CI 1.47–3.22; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.69), sepsis-associated refractory oliguria (OR 10.61; 95% CI 4.07–27.63; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.76), and fungal infection (OR 4.38; 95% CI 1.11–17.24; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.85). Among therapeutics, only dopamine (OR 5.57; 95% CI 3.02–10.27; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.68), dobutamine (OR 8.92; 95% CI 3.32–23.96; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.86), epinephrine (OR 5.03; 95% CI 2.68–9.42; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.77), and MARS (OR 2.07; 95% CI 1.22–3.53; p = 0.007; PPV = 0.58) were associated with in-ICU mortality without heterogeneity. In ICU survivors, eight markers of liver and renal failure predicted 6-month mortality, including Child–Pugh stage C (OR 2.43; 95% CI 1.44–4.10; p < 0.001; PPV = 0.57), baseline MELD > 26 (OR 3.97; 95% CI 1.92–8.22; p < 0.0001; PPV = 0.75), and hepatorenal syndrome (OR 4.67; 95% CI 1.24–17.64; p = 0.022; PPV = 0.88).

Conclusions

Prognosis of cirrhotic patients admitted to ICU is poor since only a minority undergo liver transplant. The prognostic performance of general ICU scores decreases over time, unlike the Child–Pugh and MELD scores, even recorded in the context of organ failure. Infection-related parameters had a short-term impact, whereas liver and renal failure had a sustained impact on mortality.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13613-017-0249-6) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

First clinical experience in 14 patients treated with ADVOS: a study on feasibility, safety and efficacy of a new type of albumin dialysis

BACKGROUND

Liver failure (LF) is associated with prolonged hospital stay, increased cost and substantial mortality. Due to the limited number of donor organs, extracorporeal liver support is suggested as an appealing concept to "bridge to transplant" or to avoid transplant in case of recovery. ADVanced Organ Support (ADVOS) is a new type of albumin dialysis, that provides rapid regeneration of toxin-binding albumin by two purification circuits altering the binding capacities of albumin by biochemical (changing of pH) and physical (changing of temperature) modulation of the dialysate. It was the aim of this study to evaluate feasibility, efficacy and safety of ADVOS in the first 14 patients ever treated with this procedure.

METHODS

Patients included suffered from acute on chronic LF (n = 9) or "secondary" LF (n = 5) which resulted from non-hepatic diseases such as sepsis. The primary endpoint was the change of serum bilirubin, creatinine and serum BUN levels before and after the first treatment with ADVOS. The Wilcoxon Signed Rank test for paired samples was used to analyze the data.

RESULTS

A total of 239 treatments (1 up to 101 per patient) were performed in 14 patients (6 female, 8 male). Mean age 54 ± 13; MELD-score 34 ± 7; CLIF-SOFA 15 ± 3. Serum bilirubin levels were significantly decreased by 32% during the first session (26.0 ± 15.4 vs. 17.7 ± 10.5 mg/dl; p = 0.001). Similarly, serum creatinine (2.2 ± 0.8 vs. 1.6 ± 0.7 mg/dl; p = 0.005) and serum BUN (49.4 ± 23.3 vs. 31.1 ± 19.7 mg/dl; p = 0.003), were significantly lowered by 27% and 37%, respectively. None of the treatment sessions had to be interrupted due to side effects related to the procedure.

CONCLUSION

ADVOS efficiently eliminates water- and protein-bound toxins in humans with LF. ADVOS is feasible in patients with advanced LF which is emphasized by a total number of more than 100 treatment sessions in one single patient.

Prognostication of critically ill patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure using the Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment: A Canadian retrospective study

PURPOSE

We evaluated the Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (CLIF-SOFA) score to predict survival in a Canadian critically ill cohort with acute-on-chronic liver failure.

METHODS

We retrospectively examined 274 acute-on-chronic liver failure patients admitted to a quaternary level intensive care unit (ICU) between April 1, 2000, and April 30, 2011. We evaluated severity of illness scores, including the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP), SOFA, and CLIF-SOFA.

RESULTS

On ICU admission, patients had the following median (interquartile range): APACHE II, 23 (19-28); MELD, 26 (19-35); CTP, 12 (10-13); SOFA, 15 (11-18); and CLIF-SOFA, 17 (13-21). In-hospital survival was 40%. There were no significant differences in survival for cirrhosis etiology, reason, or year of admission. The CLIF-SOFA score had the greatest area under receiver operating curve of 0.865 (95% confidence interval, 0.820-0.909) and outperformed the CTP, MELD, SOFA, and APACHE II scores. Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score performance improved on the third day of ICU admission (area under receiver operating curve, 0.935; 95% confidence interval, 0.895-0.975).

CONCLUSIONS

The CLIF-SOFA and SOFA scores during the first 3 days of ICU admission appear to be highly predictive of in-hospital mortality.

A modified prognostic score for critically ill patients with cirrhosis: An observational study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

It is controversial whether patients with cirrhosis benefit from the intensive care unit (ICU) management. To identify the patients in whom ICU care may offer recovery, this study aimed to determine specific risk factors and to establish a novel prognostic score for 3-month mortality in critically ill patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

An observational study was performed from August 2008 to May 2014, encompassing 349 critically ill patients with cirrhosis during their ICU stay (a 70% training and 30% validation set).

RESULTS

The overall 3-month mortality rate was 68.1% in training cohort. Prothrombin time, serum bilirubin, use of vasopressors, hepatic encephalopathy, and systemic inflammatory response syndrome at admission were identified as being strongly correlated with the 3-month prognosis. Based on these five variables, a modified score for critically ill cirrhosis (MSCIC) was developed. An increasing MSCIC was significantly correlated with a reduction in the rate of survival (P < 0.001). Moreover, excellent predictive power was found when the MSCIC was used (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.856 ± 0.047), which was significantly better than the prognostic efficiency of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (P < 0.001), Model for End-stage Liver Disease (P = 0.02), Simplified Acute Physiology Score (P = 0.023), and the Child-Turcotte-Pugh score (P = 0.01); the MSCIC score was slightly better than that of Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (P = 0.068). The similar result was obtained in validation set.

CONCLUSIONS

The MSCIC is an easily adopted tool with a high prognostic efficacy for patients with advanced cirrhosis; MSCIC may act as a supplement to the clinical judgment of physicians when considering the prognosis.

CLIF-SOFA scoring system accurately predicts short-term mortality in acutely decompensated patients with alcoholic cirrhosis: a retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Accurate prognostication of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is essential for therapeutic decisions. Our aim was to validate a novel scoring system for predicting mortality, the chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA), in a population of Asian patients with ACLF.

METHODS

A total of 345 patients with acutely decompensated alcoholic cirrhosis were selected for study, comparing areas under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves of CLIF-SOFA and five existing scoring systems for end-stage liver disease [model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-Na, Refit-MELD, Refit-MELD-Na, and Child-Turcotte-Pugh].

RESULTS

CLIF-SOFA displayed the highest AUROC of 0.943 significantly outperforming all five reference methods in predicting short-term mortality at Week 4 (all P < 0.001) by competing risk analysis. In 262 patients given supportive care only, the power of CLIF-SOFA to predict short-term mortality was high (AUROC: 0.952 at Week 1; 0.959 at Week 4), again surpassing the other methods (all P < 0.001). For the remaining 83 liver transplant recipients, CLIF-SOFA also excelled in predicting 12-week mortality (AUROC: 0.978); and high-grade ACLF by CLIF-SOFA was associated with prolonged postoperative mechanical support (i.e. mechanical ventilation and renal replacement therapy) and ICU stays (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

CLIF-SOFA enables more accurate prediction of short-term mortality in patients with acutely decompensated alcoholic cirrhosis than other available scoring systems and is useful in predicting both 12-week mortality and the need for mechanical support after liver transplantation.

Outcome of patients with cirrhosis requiring mechanical ventilation in ICU

INTRODUCTION

Mortality rate of patients with cirrhosis admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) and requiring mechanical ventilation varies between 60 and 91%. The aim of our study is to assess the prognosis of these patients, their 1-year outcome and to analyze predictive factors of long-term mortality.

METHODS

From May 2005 to May 2011, we studied 246 consecutive patients with cirrhosis requiring mechanical ventilation either at admission or during their ICU stay.

RESULTS

Alcohol was the most common etiology of the cirrhosis (69%). Bleeding related to portal hypertension (30%) and severe sepsis (33%) were the most common reasons for admission. ICU and hospital mortality were respectively 65.9% and 70.3%. Prognostic severity scores, the need for other organ support therapy, infection, and total bilirubin value at ICU admission were significantly associated with ICU mortality. Eighty-four patients (34.1%) were discharged from the ICU. Among these patients, the one-year survival was only of 32%. Logistic regression analysis, using survival at one year as the endpoint, identified two independent risk factors: the length of ventilation (odds ratio [OR] = 1.1; 95% CI, 1.0-1.2; p = 0.02) and total bilirubin at ICU discharge (OR = 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.5; p = 0.006).

CONCLUSION

Patients with cirrhosis admitted to the liver ICU and who required mechanical ventilation have a poor prognosis with a 1-year mortality of 89%. At ICU discharge, a total bilirubin level higher than 64.5 μmol/L and length of ventilation higher than 9 days could help the hepatologists to identify patients at risk of death in the year following the ICU discharge.