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Salazar de Pablo G, Iniesta R, Bellato A, Caye A, Dobrosavljevic M, Parlatini V, Garcia-Argibay M, Li L, Cabras A, Haider Ali M, Archer L, Meehan AJ, Suleiman H, Solmi M, Fusar-Poli P, Chang Z, Faraone SV, Larsson H, Cortese S. Individualized prediction models in ADHD: a systematic review and meta-regression. Mol Psychiatry 2024; 29:3865-3873. [PMID: 38783054 PMCID: PMC11609101 DOI: 10.1038/s41380-024-02606-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2023] [Revised: 04/30/2024] [Accepted: 05/09/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024]
Abstract
There have been increasing efforts to develop prediction models supporting personalised detection, prediction, or treatment of ADHD. We overviewed the current status of prediction science in ADHD by: (1) systematically reviewing and appraising available prediction models; (2) quantitatively assessing factors impacting the performance of published models. We did a PRISMA/CHARMS/TRIPOD-compliant systematic review (PROSPERO: CRD42023387502), searching, until 20/12/2023, studies reporting internally and/or externally validated diagnostic/prognostic/treatment-response prediction models in ADHD. Using meta-regressions, we explored the impact of factors affecting the area under the curve (AUC) of the models. We assessed the study risk of bias with the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST). From 7764 identified records, 100 prediction models were included (88% diagnostic, 5% prognostic, and 7% treatment-response). Of these, 96% and 7% were internally and externally validated, respectively. None was implemented in clinical practice. Only 8% of the models were deemed at low risk of bias; 67% were considered at high risk of bias. Clinical, neuroimaging, and cognitive predictors were used in 35%, 31%, and 27% of the studies, respectively. The performance of ADHD prediction models was increased in those models including, compared to those models not including, clinical predictors (β = 6.54, p = 0.007). Type of validation, age range, type of model, number of predictors, study quality, and other type of predictors did not alter the AUC. Several prediction models have been developed to support the diagnosis of ADHD. However, efforts to predict outcomes or treatment response have been limited, and none of the available models is ready for implementation into clinical practice. The use of clinical predictors, which may be combined with other type of predictors, seems to improve the performance of the models. A new generation of research should address these gaps by conducting high quality, replicable, and externally validated models, followed by implementation research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gonzalo Salazar de Pablo
- Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK
- Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
- Institute of Psychiatry and Mental Health. Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón School of Medicine, Universidad Complutense, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Gregorio Marañón (IiSGM), CIBERSAM, Madrid, Spain
| | - Raquel Iniesta
- Department of Biostatistics and Health Informatics, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neurosciences, King's College London, London, UK
- King's Institute for Artificial Intelligence, King's College London, London, UK
| | - Alessio Bellato
- School of Psychology, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, Malaysia
- Centre for Innovation in Mental Health-Developmental Lab, School of Psychology, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
- School of Psychology, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Arthur Caye
- Post-Graduate Program of Psychiatry, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Brazil
- National Center for Research and Innovation (CISM), University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
- ADHD Outpatient Program, Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Maja Dobrosavljevic
- School of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden
| | - Valeria Parlatini
- Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK
- Centre for Innovation in Mental Health-Developmental Lab, School of Psychology, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
- School of Psychology, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
- Solent NHS Trust, Southampton, UK
| | - Miguel Garcia-Argibay
- Centre for Innovation in Mental Health-Developmental Lab, School of Psychology, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
- School of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden
- Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Lin Li
- School of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden
- Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Anna Cabras
- Department of Neurology and Psychiatry, University of Rome La Sapienza, Rome, Italy
| | - Mian Haider Ali
- Department of Biostatistics and Health Informatics, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neurosciences, King's College London, London, UK
| | - Lucinda Archer
- Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR), Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, Birmingham, UK
| | - Alan J Meehan
- Department of Psychology, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK
- Yale Child Study Center, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Halima Suleiman
- Departments of Psychiatry and of Neuroscience and Physiology, SUNY Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, Syracuse, NY, USA
| | - Marco Solmi
- Centre for Innovation in Mental Health-Developmental Lab, School of Psychology, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
- Department of Mental Health, The Ottawa Hospital, Ottawa, ON, Canada
- Hospital Research Institute (OHRI) Clinical Epidemiology Program University of Ottawa, Ontario, ON, Canada
- School of Epidemiology and Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
- Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Charité Universitätsmedizin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Paolo Fusar-Poli
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK
- Department of Brain and Behavioral Sciences, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy
- Outreach and Support in South-London (OASIS) service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
- Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilian-University (LMU), Munich, Germany
| | - Zheng Chang
- Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Stephen V Faraone
- Departments of Psychiatry and of Neuroscience and Physiology, SUNY Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, Syracuse, NY, USA
| | - Henrik Larsson
- School of Psychology, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
- School of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden
- Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Samuele Cortese
- Centre for Innovation in Mental Health-Developmental Lab, School of Psychology, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
- Solent NHS Trust, Southampton, UK.
- Clinical and Experimental Sciences (CNS and Psychiatry), Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
- Hassenfeld Children's Hospital at NYU Langone, New York University Child Study Center, New York City, NY, USA.
- DiMePRe-J-Department of Precision and Rigenerative Medicine-Jonic Area, University of Bari "Aldo Moro", Bari, Italy.
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Canals J, Morales-Hidalgo P, Voltas N, Hernández-Martínez C. Prevalence of comorbidity of autism and ADHD and associated characteristics in school population: EPINED study. Autism Res 2024; 17:1276-1286. [PMID: 38695661 DOI: 10.1002/aur.3146] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/03/2023] [Accepted: 04/19/2024] [Indexed: 06/20/2024]
Abstract
Autism and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) comorbidity in the school population have been understudied. This study estimates its prevalence considering both parents' and teachers' reports and clinical diagnosis. Sociodemographic, clinical, and cognitive data were compared by diagnostic groups: autism, ADHD, autism and ADHD, subthreshold autism spectrum disorder (ASD), subthreshold ADHD, and children without neurodevelopmental conditions. Following a two-phase design, 3727 parents and teachers (1802 preschoolers, 1925 school-age children) participated in the first phase. Subsequently, 781 participants underwent individual assessment for DSM-5 diagnoses. The estimated prevalence of the comorbid diagnosis was 0.51% (0.28%-0.74%), with significant sex differences (0.16% girls, 0.89% boys). The cooccurrence of symptoms of autism and ADHD reported by parents or teachers was 3.2% and 2.6%, respectively. ADHD comorbidity was observed in 32.8% of autistic children and 31.4% of those with subthreshold ASD. ASD comorbidity was observed in 9.8% of children with ADHD and 5.7% of those with subthreshold ADHD. Comorbidity was reported by at least one informant in 95% of children. Only 15.8% of children with autism and ADHD had been previously diagnosed with both conditions. Early detection and accurate comorbidity diagnosis are crucial to address the clinical and socio-educational needs of these children.
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Affiliation(s)
- Josefa Canals
- Research Group on Nutrition and Mental Health (NUTRISAM); Research Center for Behavioral Assessment (CRAMC); Department of Psychology, Rovira i Virgili University, Tarragona, Spain
| | - Paula Morales-Hidalgo
- Research Group on Nutrition and Mental Health (NUTRISAM); Research Center for Behavioral Assessment (CRAMC); Department of Psychology, Rovira i Virgili University, Tarragona, Spain
- Department of Psychology, Open University of Catalonia, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Núria Voltas
- Research Group on Nutrition and Mental Health (NUTRISAM); Research Center for Behavioral Assessment (CRAMC); Department of Psychology, Rovira i Virgili University, Tarragona, Spain
- Serra Húnter Fellow, Department of Psychology, Rovira i Virgili University, Tarragona, Spain
| | - Carmen Hernández-Martínez
- Research Group on Nutrition and Mental Health (NUTRISAM); Research Center for Behavioral Assessment (CRAMC); Department of Psychology, Rovira i Virgili University, Tarragona, Spain
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Kaur S, Morales-Hidalgo P, Voltas N, Canals-Sans J. Cluster analysis of teachers report for identifying symptoms of autism spectrum and/or attention deficit hyperactivity in school population: EPINED study. Autism Res 2024; 17:1027-1040. [PMID: 38641914 DOI: 10.1002/aur.3138] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/24/2023] [Accepted: 04/08/2024] [Indexed: 04/21/2024]
Abstract
An early detection of Neurodevelopmental Disorders (NDDs) is crucial for their prognosis; however, the clinical heterogeneity of some disorders, such as autism spectrum disorder (ASD) or attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is an obstacle to accurate diagnoses in children. In order to facilitate the screening process, the current study aimed to identify symptom-based clusters among a community-based sample of preschool and school-aged children, using behavioral characteristics reported by teachers. A total of 6894 children were assessed on four key variables: social communication differences, restricted behavior patterns, restless-impulsiveness, and emotional lability (pre-schoolers) or inattention and hyperactivity-impulsivity (school-aged). From these behavioral profiles, four clusters were identified for each age group. A cluster of ASD + ADHD and others including children with no pathology was clearly identified, whereas two other clusters were characterized by subthreshold ASD and/or ADHD symptoms. In the school-age children, the presence of ADHD was consistently observed with ASD patterns. In pre-schoolers, teachers were more proficient at identifying children who received a diagnosis for either ASD and/or ADHD from an early stage. Considering the significance of early detection and intervention of NDDs, teachers' insights are important. Therefore, promptly identifying subthreshold symptoms in children can help to minimize consequences in social and academic functioning.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sharanpreet Kaur
- Nutrition and Mental Health (NUTRISAM) Research Group, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Spain
- Research Center for Behavior Assessment (CRAMC), Department of Psychology, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Tarragona, Spain
| | - Paula Morales-Hidalgo
- Nutrition and Mental Health (NUTRISAM) Research Group, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Spain
- Research Center for Behavior Assessment (CRAMC), Department of Psychology, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Tarragona, Spain
- Department of Psychology and Education Studies, Universitat Oberta de Catalunya (UOC), Barcelona, Spain
| | - Núria Voltas
- Nutrition and Mental Health (NUTRISAM) Research Group, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Spain
- Research Center for Behavior Assessment (CRAMC), Department of Psychology, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Tarragona, Spain
- Department of Psychology, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Serra Húnter Fellow, Tarragona, Spain
| | - Josefa Canals-Sans
- Nutrition and Mental Health (NUTRISAM) Research Group, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Spain
- Research Center for Behavior Assessment (CRAMC), Department of Psychology, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Tarragona, Spain
- Institut d'Investigació Sanitària Pere Virgili (IISPV), Reus, Spain
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Kindler J, Kaess M, Eliez S, Cosentino M, Liebrand M, Klauser P. Research training in child and adolescent psychiatry: lack of motivation or a structural problem? Eur Child Adolesc Psychiatry 2023; 32:1817-1820. [PMID: 37740094 PMCID: PMC10533604 DOI: 10.1007/s00787-023-02293-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 08/30/2023] [Indexed: 09/24/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Jochen Kindler
- University Hospital of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Michael Kaess
- University Hospital of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
- Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Centre for Psychosocial Medicine, University Hospital Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Stephan Eliez
- Fondation Pôle Autisme, Département de psychiatrie, Faculté de Médecine, Université de Genève, Genève, Switzerland
| | - Maya Cosentino
- University Hospital of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
- Department of Psychiatry & Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA USA
| | - Matthias Liebrand
- University Hospital of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Paul Klauser
- Department of Psychiatry, Service of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Lausanne University Hospital and the University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
- Department of Psychiatry, Center for Psychiatric Neuroscience, Lausanne University Hospital and the University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
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