Glucose Variability Measures as Predictors of Oral Feeding Intolerance in Acute Pancreatitis: A Prospective Pilot Study

Association Between Glycemic Variability and All-Cause Mortality in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis in the Intensive Care Unit: A Retrospective Analysis

BACKGROUND

Identifying high-risk acute pancreatitis (AP) patients in the ICU is vital for improving prognosis. Thus, this study aims to explore the relationship between the coefficient of variation (CV) of blood glucose and the all-cause mortality of patients with AP in the ICU.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on AP patients in the MIMIC-IV database. The CV was used to describe the glycemic variability (GV) and the optimal cut-off value was determined using the ROC curve. Subsequently, analyze the correlation between CV and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 907 patients with AP in the ICU were included in this study. The ROC curve determined the optimal CV cut-off value as 0.25. The KM survival curves and univariate and multivariate logistics regression analyses all showed that CV was associated with the 30-day, 60-day, and 90-day all-cause mortality (P < 0.05). The RCS curves showed a nonlinear correlation (P < 0.05). When CV is less than 0.421, 0.449, and 0.428, respectively, the risk of death at 30-day, 60-day, and 90-day increases as the CV value rises. Subgroup analysis showed an interaction between congestive heart failure and CV in 30-day and 60-day all-cause mortality, between age and CV in 60-day and 90-day all-cause mortality, and between chronic pulmonary disease and CV in 30-day all-cause mortality (P all < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

The CV is associated with the all-cause mortality of AP patients in the ICU, especially when the CV value is between 0.25 and 0.45. When using CV, the effects of age, congestive heart failure, and chronic pulmonary disease should be considered.

Clinical Predictors and Prevalence of Enteral Nutrition Intolerance in Acute Pancreatitis: An Updated Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background: Acute pancreatitis (AP) leads to severe inflammation and nutritional deficits, with 80% of severe cases experiencing critical protein loss. Timely enteral nutrition is essential for recovery. This study systematically reviews and analyzes the incidence and predictors of enteral nutrition intolerance (ENI) in AP patients. Methods: Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane Library, and PubMed were searched up to May 2024. Studies reporting on ENI incidence and predictors in AP patients were included based on predefined criteria. Bias was assessed using standardized tools, and meta-analyses provided summary estimates with confidence intervals. Results: From the 2697 screened studies, 28 involving 4853 patients met the inclusion criteria. The pooled incidence of ENI was 26%. Significant predictors included comorbid diabetes, pancreatic necrosis, elevated pre-refeeding serum lipase levels, peri-pancreatic fluid collections, and systemic inflammatory response syndrome at admission. Higher ENI rates were observed in Europe, among patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), those receiving nasoenteric feeding, and in prospective study cohorts. Conclusions: ENI affects approximately one-quarter of AP patients and is not significantly associated with age, sex, or the cause of AP. Its incidence varies by region, disease severity, feeding method and study design. Identifying predictors, such as comorbid diabetes and pancreatic necrosis, may help clinicians reduce the risk of ENI. The limitations of this study include the heterogeneity of the included studies and inconsistent ENI diagnostic criteria.

Relationship between acute glucose variability and cognitive decline in type 2 diabetes: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Cognitive decline is one of the most widespread chronic complications of diabetes, which occurs in more than half of the patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM). Emerging evidences have suggested that glucose variability (GV) is associated with the pathogenesis of diabetic complications. However, the influence of acute GV on cognitive dysfunction in T2DM is still controversial. The aim of the study was to evaluate the association between acute GV and cognitive defect in T2DM, and provide a most recent and comprehensive summary of the evidences in this research field.

METHODS

PubMed, Cochrane library, EMBASE, Web of science, Sinomed, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), and Wanfang were searched for articles that reported on the association between acute GV and cognitive impairment in T2DM.

RESULTS

9 eligible studies were included, with a total of 1263 patients with T2DM involved. Results showed that summary Fisher's z value was -0.23 [95%CI (-0.39, -0.06)], suggesting statistical significance (P = 0.006). Summary r value was -0.22 [95%CI (-0.37, -0.06)]. A lower cognitive performance was found in the subjects with greater glucose variation, which has statistical significance. Mean amplitude of glycemic excursions (MAGE) was associated with a higher risk of poor functional outcomes. Fisher's z value was -0.35 [95%CI (-0.43, -0.25)], indicating statistical significance (P = 0.011). Sensitivity analyses by omitting individual studies showed stability of the results.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, higher acute GV is associated with an increased risk of cognitive impairment in patients with T2DM. Further studies should be required to determine whether targeted intervention of reducing acute GV could prevent cognitive decline.

Ultrasonic/CT image fusion guidance facilitating percutaneous catheter drainage in treatment of acute pancreatitis complicated with infected walled-off necrosis

BACKGROUND

As the firs-line treatment for acute pancreatitis (AP) related infectious walled-off necrosis (WON), percutaneous catheter drainage (PCD) are usually accomplished under CT or US guidance, either of which has certain disadvantages. It is necessary to verify the clinical effects of using US and CT images fusion as guidance of PCD.

METHODS

The total 94 consecutive AP patients with infected WON from January of 2013 to January of 2017 were included. Among these patients with infected WON, 48 received PCD under simple US guidance (US-PCD) and 46 under US/CT images fusion guidance (US/CT-PCD). The clinical data consisting of puncture data, drainage effectiveness indicators, intervention complications were collected.

RESULTS

The demographic characteristics and disease related characteristics of two groups were comparable. After 48 h of PCD treatment, the US/CT-PCD group achieved a significantly higher imaging effective rate, and significantly lower inflammatory response indexes and severity score, than the US-PCD group (P < 0.05). The US/CT-PCD group required fewer puncture times and drainage tubes and lower rate of advanced treatment, showing higher operational success rate than the US-PCD group (P < 0.05). Moreover, the US/CT-PCD group exhibited significantly fewer puncture related complications, lower hospital stay, intubation time, and hospitalization expenses than the US-PCD group (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

PCD treatment under the US/CT images fusion guidance is a reliable intervention with definite clinical effects for AP complicated with infected WON.

Interplay between innate immunity and iron metabolism after acute pancreatitis

Emerging evidence shows that chronic low-grade inflammation and changes in markers of innate immunity are implicated in a range of metabolic abnormalities following an episode of acute pancreatitis. Also, deranged iron metabolism has been linked to type 2 diabetes mellitus, gestational diabetes, and new-onset diabetes after pancreatitis - the conditions characterized by high haemoglobin glycation index (HGI). This study aimed to investigate the associations between markers of innate immunity and iron metabolism in individuals after acute pancreatitis. Fasting blood samples were collected to analyse lipopolysaccharide binding protein (LBP), interleukin (IL)-6, tumor necrosis factor-α, hepcidin, ferritin, soluble transferrin receptor, HbA1c, and glucose. Participants were categorized into two groups: low HGI and high HGI. Linear regression analyses were conducted, and potential confounders (age, sex, ethnicity, body mass index, diabetes mellitus status, smoking status, aetiology of pancreatitis, duration, recurrence, and severity of pancreatitis) were adjusted for in 5 statistical models. A total of 93 patients following an episode of acute pancreatitis were included, of who 40 (43%) had high HGI. In the overall cohort, LBP was significantly associated with hepcidin and ferritin, and IL-6 was significantly associated with hepcidin, consistently in all the models. Further, LBP contributed to 7.7% and 9.5% of variance in hepcidin and ferritin levels, respectively, whereas IL-6 contributed to 5.3% of hepcidin variance. Upon subgroup analysis, the observed LBP associations were maintained in the high HGI subgroup only and the IL-6 association in the low HGI subgroup only. No consistently significant associations were found between any of the other markers. The interplay between LBP, IL-6, hepcidin, and ferritin characterizes metabolic derangements after acute pancreatitis and may play a role in the pathogenesis of new-onset diabetes after pancreatitis.

Derivation and validation of the prediabetes self-assessment screening score after acute pancreatitis (PERSEUS)

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Approximately 40% of patients develop abnormal glucose metabolism after a single episode of acute pancreatitis. This study aimed to develop and validate a prediabetes self-assessment screening score for patients after acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

Data from non-overlapping training (n=82) and validation (n=80) cohorts were analysed. Univariate logistic and linear regression identified variables associated with prediabetes after acute pancreatitis. Multivariate logistic regression developed the score, ranging from 0 to 215. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC), Hosmer-Lemeshow χ² statistic, and calibration plots were used to assess model discrimination and calibration. The developed score was validated using data from the validation cohort.

RESULTS

The score had an AUROC of 0.88 (95% CI, 0.80-0.97) and Hosmer-Lemeshow χ² statistic of 5.75 (p=0.676). Patients with a score of ≥75 had a 94.1% probability of having prediabetes, and were 29 times more likely to have prediabetes than those with a score of <75. The AUROC in the validation cohort was 0.81 (95% CI, 0.70-0.92) and the Hosmer-Lemeshow χ² statistic was 5.50 (p=0.599). Model calibration of the score showed good calibration in both cohorts.

CONCLUSION

The developed and validated score, called PERSEUS, is the first instrument to identify individuals who are at high risk of developing abnormal glucose metabolism following an episode of acute pancreatitis.

Effect of Intravenous Fluids and Analgesia on Dysmotility in Patients With Acute Pancreatitis: A Prospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

Analgesia and intravenous fluid resuscitation are cornerstones of initial patient management in acute pancreatitis (AP). The aim was to investigate the effect of intravenous fluids and analgesia on gastrointestinal motility in the early course of AP.

METHODS

Gastrointestinal dysmotility was assessed using the Gastroparesis Cardinal Symptom Index (GCSI). One-way analysis of variance and analysis of covariance were conducted, adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, severity of AP, preexisting diabetes mellitus, and time from first symptom onset to hospital admission.

RESULTS

A total of 108 patients with AP were prospectively enrolled. Opioid analgesia, when compared with nonopioid analgesia, was significantly associated with increase in total GCSI score in both unadjusted and adjusted analyses. There was no significant difference between aggressive and nonaggressive fluid resuscitation in both unadjusted and adjusted analyses. A combination of opioids and any intravenous fluids was associated with a significantly increased total GCSI score compared with opioids and no intravenous fluids in both unadjusted and adjusted analyses. Duration of symptoms was the confounder that significantly affected 6 of 9 studied associations.

CONCLUSIONS

Intravenous fluids and analgesia significantly affect motility independent of severity and other covariates. Guidelines on prudent use of opioids and fluids in AP need to be developed, particularly taking into account duration of symptoms from onset to hospitalization.