The prognostic value of the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in acute pancreatitis: identification of an optimal NLR

Effectiveness of Systemic Inflammation Response Index (SIRI) Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), Derived Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio (dNLR), and Systemic Immune Inflammation Index (SII) for predicting prognosis of acute diverticulitis

There are many applications to emergency services due to acute colonic diverticulitis. It is necessary to decide whether these patients are complicated, to quickly predict their prognosis, and to decide whether medical or invasive treatment is necessary. We planned to research effectiveness NLR, NLR, SII, and SIRI values calculated using hemogram data can predict the prognosis of acute diverticulitis. We managed a retrospective scanning with patients who applied with a diagnosis of acute diverticulitis between 06/2020 and 04/2023. Demographic data (age, gender, previous surgery, comorbid diseases), tomographic Hinchey classification, location of diverticulitis, applied treatment, and obtained from blood parameters at presentation to the emergency department WBC, CRP, NLR, dNLR, SII, SIRI parameters were recorded from the electronically registered patient files. According to the Hinchey classification, those with Hinchey 0 and 1a were included in the noncomplicated group A class because they were followed up with outpatient medical follow-up. Those with Hinchey 1b,2,3,4 were included in the complicated GROUP B class. Differences in WBC, CRP, NLR, dNLR, SIRI, SII values between the complicated and noncomplicated groups were evaluated statistically. There were 286 patients with acute diverticulitis on the dates indicated. The number of patients eligible for the study was eighty-two. According to Hinchey's classification, 56 patients had noncomplicated acute diverticulitis (SAD) and 26 patients had complicated diverticulitis (CAD). These diagnoses were given based on tomography findings and clinical evaluations. The hospital stay was longer in the CAD group compared to the SAD group (p < 0.001) statistically significantly. The rate of surgical procedures and percutaneous interventions in the CADs was higher than SADs (p: 0.040) statistically significantly. WBC (white blood cell), NLR, dNLR, SIRI, SII and CRP parameters were higher in CADs than in SADs as statistically significant. Spearman's correlation analysis showed between the Hinchey classification and the NLR, dNLR, SII, SIRI, CRP, WBC parameters with high correlation as positive. Determination of values SIRI (2.42), NLR (3.35), SII (907.44) dNLR (4.63), CRP (15.25) WBC (11.16) and specificity and fractionation of these values ROC analysis was performed for this purpose. Highest AUC (area under the curve) value was found in WBC [0.807 0.703-0.910)], SIRI [0.786 (, 0.681-0.892)], SII [0.767 (0.654-0.880)], NLR [0.740 (0.624-0.854)], dNLR [0.739 (0.625-0.853)]. This study showed that there are SII, SIRI dNLR, NLR, CRP, and WBC values in patients presenting with acute diverticulitis a very high correlation with Hinchey classification in distinguishing complicated and non-complicated acute diverticulitis (p < 0.01). These data were higher in CADs than in SADs statistically significantly. The use of these data can both prevent unnecessary radiation in patients suspected of acute diverticulitis by reducing unnecessary tomography scans and can be valuable in predicting the prognosis of diverticulitis at a low cost.

A New Simple Scoring System for Early Prediction of Severe Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory condition with rising incidence, often resulting in severe complications and increased mortality, particularly when accompanied by organ failure. Early identification of patients at risk for severe AP is essential for timely intervention. Current scoring systems like Ranson's, BISAP, and APACHE-II, though useful, have limitations in terms of time and specificity. We aimed to identify a simple and early scoring system to predict severe AP.

METHODS

In this single-center study conducted over two years, patients diagnosed with AP within 72 h of symptom onset were enrolled. Initial clinical and laboratory data were prospectively collected according to established criteria, including BISAP, APACHE-II, and Ranson's. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors for severe AP, which were then used to develop a new scoring system.

RESULTS

In our population of 424 patients (8.5% severe), we identified key clinical and laboratory markers-blood urea nitrogen (BUN), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and heart rate-as independent predictors of severe AP. Based on these factors, we developed the BHN scoring system, which demonstrated non-inferior sensitivity (91.7%) and specificity (83.3%) for predicting severe disease, compared to more complex systems BISAP, Ranson's, and APACHE-II.

CONCLUSION

The BHN score offers a simple, accessible tool in a variety of clinical settings, improving early risk stratification. External validation and further exploration of its use in mortality prediction are needed, but BHN presents a promising alternative for guiding early treatment decisions in acute pancreatitis.

Systemic inflammatory response index as a novel biomarker for age-related macular degeneration: a cross-sectional study from NHANES (2005-2008)

Background

Chronic low-grade systemic inflammation plays a significant role in age-related macular degeneration (AMD) pathogenesis. The systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI), a novel inflammatory marker, may predict various diseases. However, data on the relationship between SIRI and AMD are limited. This study examines the relationship between SIRI and AMD and assesses its potential as a predictive biomarker.

Methods

A cross-sectional analysis of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data from 2005 to 2008 was conducted on participants aged ≥40 years with SIRI and AMD status data. Multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for confounders were used to assess the association. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses, along with restricted cubic spline (RCS) curve analysis, were performed.

Results

Among 5,365 participants, 425 (7.9%) had AMD. The median SIRI was higher in AMD patients (1.23 vs. 1.04, p < 0.001). Higher SIRI was independently associated with increased odds (adjusted OR: 1.18, 95% CI:1.07-1.29, p = 0.001). RCS analyses revealed a dose-response relationship (p = 0.002). Subgroup analyses showed a positive association in male participants, individuals with hypertension, individuals with obesity, and non-smokers. Higher SIRI levels were independently associated with increased AMD risk (adjusted OR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.03-1.56, p = 0.023).

Conclusion

Elevated SIRI is independently associated with increased AMD risk in the U.S. population. SIRI may serve as a biomarker for identifying high-risk individuals, enabling early intervention. The cross-sectional design limits causal inference, and unmeasured confounders may affect the results. SIRI could potentially serve as a non-invasive biomarker for AMD risk, pending further validation through longitudinal studies.

Epidemiology, clinical features and prognostic factors in patients with Covid-19 and acute limb ischaemia - A single center study

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to determine the incidence, clinical and paraclinical characteristics and outcomes of Covid-19 positive patients presenting in the Emergency Department (ED) with and treated for acute limb ischaemia (ALI) during a 2-year period.

METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted in the ED of St. Spiridon County Clinical Emergency Hospital in Iasi, north-east region of Romania. The patients included in this study presented in the ED between March 1st, 2020 and February 28th, 2022 with ALI and Covid-19.

RESULTS

During the study period, a total number of 141018 patients were evaluated in our ED, 8578 (representing 6,08%) patients being diagnosed with Covid-19. Of them, 98 (1.14% of all with Covid-19) presented ALI. The mean age was 70.9 ± 10.23 and 67.3% of the patients were males. At admission, 57% of patients had Covid-19-related pneumonia, identified on X-ray or CT scan. Of all patients, 81 (82%) were diagnosed with ALI in lower limbs with 10% of them having affected both limbs. 95% of the patients presented comorbidities, the main being cardiac (85%), diabetes mellitus (37%), vascular (24%) and neurological (22.6%). Non-survivor patients were more likely to have Covid-19 pneumonia on chest X-ray or CT scan, 92% versus 44% (OR 15, CI 3.3; 68, p < .01), lymphopenia 96% versus 70% (OR 10.2, CI 1.30; 80.9, p < .01), a NLR over 9.77% versus 30% (OR 7.5, CI 2.6; 21.4, p < .01), acidosis 65% versus 33% (OR 3.8, CI 1.4; 9.7, p < .01), abnormal AST, 69% versus 29% (OR 5.4, CI 2; 14.5, p < .01) and secondary amputation, 38.5 versus 11.1% (OR 5, CI 1.7; 14.7, p < 0.1). Overall, the mortality rate was 26.5%.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of ALI in patients infected with Covid-19 who were evaluated in our ED was 1.14%. The highest mortality rate was probably related to Covid-19 pneumonia. We observed that patients with Covid-19 pneumonia, lymphopenia, a NLR >9, metabolic acidosis, increased AST at ED admission and secondary amputation had a higher mortality.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in type 2 diabetes patients combined with Lower Extremity Peripheral Artery Disease

Objective

This study explored the utility of NLR (neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio) as a marker to predict Lower Extremity Peripheral Artery Disease (PAD) in the Chinese population, as well as to assess its consistency and diagnostic value with digital subtraction angiography.

Methods

Patients were distributed into three groups according to the angiography in lower limb arterial: group L1, plaque with no stenosis; group L2, plaque with luminal stenosis and group L3, total vascular occlusion. Changes in the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio were documented and compared among groups.

Results

Compared to group L1, NLR was significantly increased in L2 (1.76 vs 2.35, p=0.037) and L3 (1.76 vs 3.60, p<0.001), with a gradual decrease in ABI (Ankle-Brachial Index, 1.11 vs 1.02 vs 0.94, p<0.001). Those older patients with higher prevalence of hypertension (p=0.002), obesity (p=0.032), or reduced high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (p=0.020) were more likely to develop PAD; higher glycosylated hemoglobin (p=0.045), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (p=0.006), and systolic blood pressure (p<0.001) levels led to a greater tendency to suffer stenosis or even occlusion; the probability of severe stenosis (>70%) increased to 2.075 times for every 1 increase in NLR, while it was 46.8% for every 0.1 increase in ABI. The optimal NLR cut-off value to predict severe stenosis in PAD was 2.73. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis of the inflammatory biomarkers and severe stenosis prediction displayed an area under the curve of 0.81.

Conclusion

NLR could serve as a new noninvasive and accurate marker in predicting PAD.

Evaluating the Therapeutic Efficiency and Efficacy of Blood Purification for Treating Severe Acute Pancreatitis: A Single-Center Data Based on Propensity Score Matching

Purpose

To evaluate the long-term efficacy and cost-efficiency of blood purification (BP) in severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) through single-center data.

Patients and Methods

A total of 155 SAP patients were collected and followed up for 6 months. The participants were divided into control (49 cases) and BP group (106 cases) according to whether they received BP treatment or not. The primary outcomes were 6-month mortality, length of hospital stay, and hospitalization costs. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed based on various factors such as gender, age, etiology, SOFA score, JSS score, and creatinine value on day 1.

Results

There were significant differences in all baseline data between BP and control groups (p<0.05). However, there was a significant difference in the mortality, length of hospital stay, hospital costs and infection aggravation rate the in outcome data for 6-months (all p<0.05). BP was not considered a death factor in any adjusted models, with p-values ranging from 0.81 to 0.93. The results of subgroup analysis after PSM showed that BP mode had no significant impact on prognostic indicators, but the length of ICU stay and total costs were significantly increased (all p<0.001). There was no significant difference in mortality among the cases that did not require early intervention after 6 months (p=0.487). However, the patients in BP group had longer ICU stays (p=0.001) and higher hospitalization costs (p<0.001) compared to the control group.

Conclusion

The utilization of BP therapy did not decrease the 6-month mortality in SAP patients. Additionally, BP therapy has a significant impact on the duration of ICU stay or hospitalization expenses. However, the effectiveness and cost-efficiency of this therapy are unsatisfactory, and early intervention does not enhance survival benefits. Furthermore, there was no substantial variation in survival benefits between continuous veno-venous hemofiltration (CVVH) alone and compound BP.

Clinical study of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio in hypertriglyceridemia-induced acute pancreatitis and acute biliary pancreatitis with persistent organ failure

BACKGROUND

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) are novel inflammatory indicators that can be used to predict the severity and prognosis of various diseases. We categorize acute pancreatitis by etiology into acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) and hypertriglyceridemia-induced acute pancreatitis (HTGP).

AIM

To investigate the clinical significance of NLR and PLR in assessing persistent organ failure (POF) in HTGP and ABP.

METHODS

A total of 1450 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (AP) for the first time at Shanxi Bethune Hospital between January 2012 and January 2023 were enrolled. The patients were categorized into two groups according to the etiology of AP: ABP in 530 patients and HTGP in 241 patients. We collected and compared the clinical data of the patients, including NLR, PLR, and AP prognostic scoring systems, within 48 h of hospital admission.

RESULTS

The NLR (9.1 vs 6.9, P < 0.001) and PLR (203.1 vs 160.5, P < 0.001) were significantly higher in the ABP group than in the HTGP group. In the HTGP group, both NLR and PLR were significantly increased in patients with severe AP and those with a SOFA score ≥ 3. Likewise, in the ABP group, NLR and PLR were significantly elevated in patients with severe AP, modified computed tomography severity index score ≥ 4, Japanese Severity Score ≥ 3, and modified Marshall score ≥ 2. Moreover, NLR and PLR showed predictive value for the development of POF in both the ABP and HTGP groups.

CONCLUSION

NLR and PLR vary between ABP and HTGP, are strongly associated with AP prognostic scoring systems, and have predictive potential for the occurrence of POF in both ABP and HTGP.

Systemic immune inflammation index and system inflammation response index on the third postoperative day predict poor prognosis of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage patients

The inflammatory response is involved in the progression of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). We sought to investigate the relationships of inflammatory indicators including blood cell counts and the ratios of different blood cells counts with the prognosis of aSAH patients. We performed a retrospective study including 140 patients with aSAH and aneurysm surgeries. The relationships of neutrophils, lymphocytes, monocytes, platelets, systemic immune inflammation index (SII), system inflammation response index (SIRI), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-lymphocyte ratio with prognosis were investigated by univariable analysis and multivariable logistic regression model. The patient with Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score＜3 was defined as having a good prognosis, while with mRS score ≥3 was defined as having a poor prognosis. Among 140 patients included, there were 108 cases with good prognosis and 32 cases with poor prognosis after follow-up. On the 3rd postoperative day, the neutrophils counts, SIRI level and SII level in cases with poor prognosis were significantly higher than cases with good prognosis, P < .05. After adjusting for baseline differences in Hunt-Hess grade, Glasgow Coma Scale score, combination with intraventricular hemorrhage and maximum diameter of aneurysm, the levels of SIRI (odds ratio = 3.968, 95% CI: 1.432-10.992, P = .008) and SII (odds ratio = 3.313, 95% CI: 1.029-10.665, P = .045) on the 3rd postoperative day could predict poor prognosis. SII and SIRI on the 3rd postoperative day could independently predict the poor prognosis in aSAH. However, the cutoff values for predicting prognosis needs to be validated in larger-sample studies.

Prediction of postoperative infectious complications in elderly patients with colorectal cancer: a study based on improved machine learning

BACKGROUND

Infectious complications after colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery increase perioperative mortality and are significantly associated with poor prognosis. We aimed to develop a model for predicting infectious complications after colorectal cancer surgery in elderly patients based on improved machine learning (ML) using inflammatory and nutritional indicators.

METHODS

The data of 512 elderly patients with colorectal cancer in the Third Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University from March 2018 to April 2022 were retrospectively collected and randomly divided into a training set and validation set. The optimal cutoff values of NLR (3.80), PLR (238.50), PNI (48.48), LCR (0.52), and LMR (2.46) were determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve; Six conventional machine learning models were constructed using patient data in the training set: Linear Regression, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine (SVM), BP Neural Network (BP), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and an improved moderately greedy XGBoost (MGA-XGBoost) model. The performance of the seven models was evaluated by area under the receiver operator characteristic curve, accuracy (ACC), precision, recall, and F1-score of the validation set.

RESULTS

Five hundred twelve cases were included in this study; 125 cases (24%) had postoperative infectious complications. Postoperative infectious complications were notably associated with 10 items features: American Society of Anesthesiologists scores (ASA), operation time, diabetes, presence of stomy, tumor location, NLR, PLR, PNI, LCR, and LMR. MGA-XGBoost reached the highest AUC (0.862) on the validation set, which was the best model for predicting postoperative infectious complications in elderly patients with colorectal cancer. Among the importance of the internal characteristics of the model, LCR accounted for the highest proportion.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates for the first time that the MGA-XGBoost model with 10 risk factors might predict postoperative infectious complications in elderly CRC patients.

Association between a four-parameter inflammatory index and all-cause mortality in critical ill patients with non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage: a retrospective analysis of the MIMIC-IV database (2012-2019)

Background

Non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), primarily due to the rupture of intracranial aneurysms, contributes significantly to the global stroke population. A novel biomarker, pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV) or called the aggregate index of systemic inflammation (AISI), linked to progression-free survival and overall survival in non-small-cell lung cancer and mortality in Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients, has surfaced recently. Its role in non-traumatic SAH patients, however, remains under-researched. This study aims to determine the relationship between PIV and all-cause mortality in non-traumatic SAH patients.

Methods

A retrospective analysis was conducted using data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) database to examine the association between PIV and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with non-traumatic SAH. PIV measurements were collected at Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission, and several mortality measures were examined. To control for potential confounding effects, a 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) method was applied. The optimal PIV cutoff value was identified as 1362.45 using X-tile software that is often used to calculate the optimal cut-off values in survival analysis and continuous data of medical or epidemiological research. The relationship between PIV and short- and long-term all-cause mortality was analyzed using a multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model and Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curve analysis. Interaction and subgroup analyses were also carried out.

Results

The study included 774 non-traumatic SAH patients. After PSM, 241 pairs of score-matched patients were generated. The Cox proportional hazard model, adjusted for potential confounders, found a high PIV (≥ 1362.45) independently associated with 90-day all-cause mortality both pre- (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.67; 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.05-2.65; P = 0.030) and post-PSM (HR: 1.58; 95% CI: 1.14-2.67; P = 0.042). K-M survival curves revealed lower 90-day survival rates in patients with PIV ≥ 1362.45 before (31.1% vs. 16.1%%, P < 0.001) and after PSM (68.9% vs. 80.9%, P < 0.001). Similarly, elevated PIV were associated with increased risk of ICU (pre-PSM: HR: 2.10; 95% CI: 1.12-3.95; P = 0.02; post-PSM: HR: 2.33; 95% CI: 1.11-4.91; P = 0.016), in-hospital (pre-PSM: HR: 1.91; 95% CI: 1.12-3.26; P = 0.018; post-PSM: 2.06; 95% CI: 1.10-3.84; P = 0.034), 30-day (pre-PSM: HR: 1.69; 95% CI: 1.01-2.82; P = 0.045; post-PSM: 1.66; 95% CI: 1.11-2.97; P = 0.047), and 1-year (pre-PSM: HR: 1.58; 95% CI: 1.04-2.40; P = 0.032; post-PSM: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.10-2.53; P = 0.044) all-cause mortality. The K-M survival curves confirmed lower survival rates in patients with higher PIV both pre- and post PSM for ICU (pre-PSM: 18.3% vs. 8.4%, P < 0.001; post-PSM:81.7 vs. 91.3%, P < 0.001), in-hospital (pre-PSM: 25.3% vs. 12.8%, P < 0.001; post-PSM: 75.1 vs. 88.0%, P < 0.001), 30-day (pre-PSM: 24.9% vs. 11.4%, P < 0.001; post-PSM:74.7 vs. 86.3%, P < 0.001), and 1-year (pre-PSM: 36.9% vs. 20.8%, P < 0.001; P = 0.02; post-PSM: 63.1 vs. 75.1%, P < 0.001) all-cause mortality. Stratified analyses indicated that the relationship between PIV and all-cause mortality varied across different subgroups.

Conclusion

In critically ill patients suffering from non-traumatic SAH, an elevated PIV upon admission correlated with a rise in all-cause mortality at various stages, including ICU, in-hospital, the 30-day, 90-day, and 1-year mortality, solidifying its position as an independent mortality risk determinant. This study represents an attempt to bridge the current knowledge gap and to provide a more nuanced understanding of the role of inflammation-based biomarkers in non-traumatic SAH. Nevertheless, to endorse the predictive value of PIV for prognosticating outcomes in non-traumatic SAH patients, additional prospective case-control studies are deemed necessary.

NLR48 is Better Than CRP, and mCTSI, and Similar to BISAP and SOFA Scores for Mortality Prediction in Acute Pancreatitis: A Comparison of 6 Scores

Introduction

The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been suggested as a reliable marker for predicting inflammation progression and severity of acute pancreatitis, although the role of the NLR stratified by etiology is still insufficiently studied. However, the NLR's role in mortality prediction was poorly evaluated in the literature.

Patients and Methods

We performed a retrospective, cross-sectional study to analyze the role of NLR0 (at admission) and NLR48 (at 48 hours) in acute pancreatitis as compared with CRP, BISAP, SOFA, and modified CTSI (mCTSI) for the prediction of mortality and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) in patients admitted into the Emergency Clinical County Hospital of Craiova during 48 months. The primary assessed outcomes were the rate of in-hospital mortality, the rate of persistent organ failure, and ICU admissions. We analyzed mortality prediction for all acute pancreatitis, for biliary, alcoholic, and hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis, for severe forms, and for patients admitted to the ICU.

Results

A total of 725 patients were selected; 42.4% had biliary acute pancreatitis, 27.7% had alcoholic acute pancreatitis, and 8.7% had hypertriglyceridemia-induced acute pancreatitis. A total of 13.6% had POF during admission. The AUC for NLR48 in predicting mortality risk and SAP was 0.81 and 0.785, superior to NLR0, CRP48, and mCTSI but inferior to BISAP and SOFA scores. The NLR48/NLR0 ratio did not add significantly to the accuracy. NLR0 and NLR48 performed poorly for mortality prediction in severe forms and in patients admitted to the ICU. NLR48 has good accuracy in our study for predicting death risk in biliary and alcoholic acute pancreatitis but not in hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis.

Conclusion

NLR48 was a good indicator in predicting mortality risk and severe forms in all patients with acute pancreatitis, but not of death in SAP and in patients admitted to ICU, with good accuracy for predicting death risk in biliary and alcoholic acute pancreatitis but not in hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis.

The Predictive Value of Different Laboratory Indicators Based on the 2018 Tokyo Guidelines for the Severity of Acute Cholangitis

BACKGROUND

This study evaluated the predictive value of different laboratory indicators for the severity of acute cholangitis (AC) according to the 2018 Tokyo Guidelines.

OBJECTIVES

We enrolled consecutive patients with a diagnosis of AC from June 2016 to May 2021. Serum procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels, white blood cell counts, the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, and the platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were compared according to the severity of AC.

RESULTS

In total, 293 patients were enrolled in this study (mild, n = 172; moderate, n = 68; severe, n = 53). In receiver operating characteristic analyses, CRP was the best biomarker for differentiating mild and moderate AC (area under the curve [AUC] 0.66, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.58-0.74). PCT was the best biomarker for differentiating mild and severe AC (AUC 0.80, 95% CI 0.74-0.86). Blood culture was performed in 117 patients (39.93%), 53 of whom (45.30%) had positive results. Regarding blood culture positivity, PLR was most predictive (AUC 0.85, 95% CI 0.78-0.92).

CONCLUSIONS

PCT can be used as a reliable predictor of severe AC. CRP was most predictive of moderate AC, whereas PLR was most predictive of blood culture positivity.

Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratios in Dry Age-Related Macular Degeneration

Inflammation plays a role in the etiopathogenesis of age-related macular degeneration (AMD). A retrospective case-control study was conducted to assess the significance of the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a systemic inflammatory indicator in dry AMD. Clinical diagnosis and complete blood count (CBC) results were extracted from medical records for patients with dry AMD and age/sex-matched controls. This study included 90 patients diagnosed with dry AMD and 270 controls without AMD. There were no significant differences in the CBC results between the cases and controls. Patients with dry AMD had a slightly higher mean NLR than controls; however, this increase was not significant (P = .13). In the NLR model, age and sex were significant factors affecting the NLR values in the dry AMD group (P = .03 and 0.01, respectively). The NLR alone cannot predict dry AMD. Therefore, exploring other routine laboratory measurements may shed light on early disease prediction and prevention.

Novel Amphibian Bowman-Birk-Like Inhibitor with Antioxidant and Anticoagulant Effects Ameliorates Pancreatitis Symptoms in Mice

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a serious inflammatory disorder and still lacks effective therapy globally. In this study, a novel Ranacyclin peptide, Ranacin, was identified from the skin of Pelophylax nigromaculatus frog. Ranacin adopted a compact β-hairpin conformation with a disulfide bond (Cys5-Cys15). Ranacin was also demonstrated effectively to inhibit trypsin and have anticoagulant and antioxidant activities in vitro. Furthermore, the severity of pancreatitis was significantly alleviated in l-Arg-induced AP mice after treatment with Ranacin. In addition, structure-activity studies of Ranacin analogues confirmed that the sequences outside the trypsin inhibitory loop (TIL), especially at the C-terminal side, might be closely associated with the efficacy of its trypsin inhibitory activity. In conclusion, our data suggest that Ranacin can improve pancreatic injury in mice with severe AP through its multi-activity. Therefore, Ranacin is considered a potential drug candidate in AP therapy.

Evaluation of red blood cell distribution width, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and other hematologic parameters in canine acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVE

To determine if RBC distribution width (RDW), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and other hematological parameters are associated with increased odds of in-hospital mortality, increased length of hospitalization (LOH), or disease severity as measured by the Canine Acute Pancreatitis Severity (CAPS) score in dogs with acute pancreatitis (AP).

DESIGN

Retrospective, multicenter study from January 2016 to August 2020.

SETTING

Four private emergency and specialty referral centers.

ANIMALS

On initial case search, 118 client-owned dogs were identified with a clinical diagnosis of AP. Out of these cases, 114 dogs met inclusion criteria, defined as sudden onset of ≥2 compatible clinic signs (lethargy, anorexia, vomiting, or abdominal pain), a specific canine pancreatic lipase concentration >400 μg/L, hospital admission, as well as CBC and serum biochemistry run within 48 hours of initial hospitalization. Disease severity was calculated and measured using the CAPS score, in addition to LOH and in-hospital mortality.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Clinical endpoints were in-hospital mortality, LOH, and disease severity, as evaluated by the CAPS score. Overall in-hospital mortality was 36.8%. NLR was significantly associated with survival, with a higher percentage being associated with an increased likelihood of nonsurvival (odds ratio: 1.1, 95% confidence interval: 1.0-1.2; P = 0.006, adjusted P = 0.04). Increased NLR was found to be significantly associated with a longer LOH based on the unadjusted P-value (P = 0.02) but was not statistically significant based on a P-value adjusted for multiple comparisons (P = 0.12). No significant associations were noted when RDW, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, WBC count, mean platelet volume, RDW-to-platelet ratio, or RDW-to-total serum calcium ratio was evaluated against outcome measures.

CONCLUSIONS

This study retrospectively evaluated the prognostic utility of several readily available hematological parameters in dogs hospitalized for AP. Dogs with an increased NLR may have a higher risk of in-hospital mortality and increased LOH, although future prospective studies are necessary to confirm these findings.

Hemogram-Derived Ratios in the Prognosis of Acute Diverticulitis

Background and Objectives: It is crucial to quickly identify those patients who need immediate treatment in order to avoid the various complications related to acute diverticulitis (AD). Although several studies evaluated the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) suggesting its predictive value in assessing the severity of AD, results have been inconclusive. Therefore, we aimed to assess the relationship between the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), the monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), and systemic immune inflammation (SII) with the severity of AD, the ability to predict the presence or absence of complications, and the recurrence rate, based on the values of inflammatory markers. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 147 patients diagnosed with AD between January 2012 to February 2023. Patients were divided into 2 groups, uncomplicated and complicated AD. The characteristics and full blood count between both groups were compared. Results: A total of 65 (44.22%) patients were classified as having complicated AD. The area under the ROC curve (AUROC) defining a Hinchey score ≥ 1b was as follows: SII, 0.812 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.73 -0.888); NLR, 0.773 (95% CI, 0.676-0.857); PLR, 0.725 (95% CI, 0.63-0.813); MLR: 0.665 (95% CI, 0.542 -0.777). An SII cutoff value of > 1200 marked the highest yield for diagnosing complicated AD, with a sensitivity of 82% and a specificity of 76%. The cumulative recurrence rate was not significantly different in the groups of SII ≥ median vs. SII < median (p = 0.35), NLR ≥ median vs. NLR < median (p = 0.347), PLR ≥ median vs. PLR < median (p = 0.597), and MLR ≥ median vs. MLR < median (p = 0.651). Conclusions: Our study indicates that SII, NLR, and PLR are statistically significant and clinically useful classifying ratios to predict higher Hinchey scores. However, they cannot predict recurrences.

The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Outcomes in Acute Pancreatitis: A Propensity Score Matched Study Comparing before and during the Pandemic

We aimed to evaluate the outcomes and survival of patients with acute pancreatitis who shared the same clinical form, age, and sex before the pandemic, during the pandemic, and among those with confirmed COVID-19 infection upon hospital admission. This consideration used the sparse data in the existing literature on the influence of the pandemic and COVID-19 infection on patients with acute pancreatitis. To accomplish this, we conducted a multicentric, retrospective case-control study using propensity score matching with a 2:1 match of 28 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection and acute pancreatitis, with 56 patients with acute pancreatitis pre-pandemic, and 56 patients with acute pancreatitis during the pandemic. The study outcome demonstrated a six-fold relative risk of death in patients with acute pancreatitis and SARS-CoV-2 infection compared to those with acute pancreatitis before the pandemic. Furthermore, restrictive measures implemented during the pandemic period led to a partial delay in the care of patients with acute pancreatitis, which likely resulted in an impairment of their immune state. This, in certain circumstances, resulted in a restriction of surgical treatment indications, leading to a three-fold relative risk of death in patients with acute pancreatitis during the pandemic compared to those with acute pancreatitis before the pandemic.

Neutrophil-lymphocyte Ratio Predicts Clinical Response to Percutaneous Transhepatic Biliary Drainage in Acute Cholangitis

BACKGROUND

Predicting response to biliary drainage is critical to stratify patients with acute cholangitis. Total leucocyte count (TLC) is one of the criteria for predicting the severity of cholangitis and is routinely performed. We aim to investigate the performance of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in predicting clinical response to percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage (PTBD) in acute cholangitis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective study comprised consecutive patients with acute cholangitis who underwent PTBD and had serial (baseline, day 1, and day 3) TLC and NLR measurements. Technical success, complications of PTBD, and clinical response to PTBD (based on multiple outcomes) were recorded. Univariate and multivariate analysis was performed to identify factors significantly associated with clinical response to PTBD. The sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve of serial TLC and NLR for predicting clinical response to PTBD were calculated.

RESULTS

Forty-five patients (mean age 51.5 years, range 22-84) met the inclusion criteria. PTBD was technically successful in all the patients. Eleven (24.4%) minor complications were recorded. Clinical response to PTBD was recorded in 22 (48.9%) patients. At univariate analysis, the clinical response to PTBD was significantly associated with baseline TLC (P = 0.035), baseline NLR (P = 0.028), and NLR at day 1 (P=0.011). There was no association with age, the presence of comorbidities, prior endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography, admission to PTBD interval, diagnosis (benign vs. malignant), severity of cholangitis, organ failure at baseline, and blood culture positivity. At multivariate analysis, NLR-1 independently predicted the clinical response. Area under the curve of NLR at day 1 for predicting clinical response was 0.901. NLR-1 cut-off value of 3.95 was associated with sensitivity and specificity of 87% and 78%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

TLC and NLR are simple tests that can predict clinical response to PTBD in acute cholangitis. NLR-1 cut-off value of 3.95 can be used in clinical practice to predict response.

Assessment of aggregate index of systemic inflammation and systemic inflammatory response index in dry age-related macular degeneration: a retrospective study

Introduction

Inflammation is known to contribute to the development of age-related macular degeneration (AMD). Several inflammatory indices derived from routine complete blood counts have been proposed as biomarkers in multiple disorders.

Methods

In this study, clinical and laboratory data were retrospectively collected from medical records to assess the aggregate index of systemic inflammation (AISI) and the systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) as potential biomarkers of systemic inflammation in patients with early diagnosis of dry AMD.

Results

The study included 90 patients with dry AMD and 270 age/sex-matched patients with cataracts as a control group. There were no significant differences in the AISI and SIRI results between the cases and controls (p = 0.16 and 0.19, respectively).

Conclusion

This suggests that AISI and SIRI may be inadequate metrics for AMD or lack sensitivity in detecting inflammatory changes. Exploring other routine blood markers may help to identify and prevent the early stages of AMD.

Platelet to lymphocyte ratio is a risk factor for failure of non-operative treatment of colonic diverticulitis

Non-operative treatment is the mainstay of colonic diverticulitis, but some patients require surgery due to non-operative treatment failure. This study aims to identify risk factors for the failure of non-operative treatment of colonic diverticulitis. From January 2011 to December 2020, we retrospectively reviewed 2362 patients with non-operative treatment for first-attack acute diverticulitis. Patients were categorized into non-operative treatment success or failure groups. Clinical characteristics and serum inflammatory markers were analyzed by multivariable logistic regression to determine risk factors for non-operative treatment failure of colonic diverticulitis. Overall, 2.2% (n = 50) of patients underwent delayed surgery within 30 days (median 4.0 [3.0; 8.0]) due to non-operative treatment failure. Multivariable logistic regression identified that platelet to lymphocyte ratio (odds ratio [OR], 4.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.05-0.13; p < 0.001), diabetes mellitus (OR, 2.2; 95% CI, 0.01-0.09; p = 0.025), left-sided colonic diverticulitis (OR, 4.1; 95% CI, 0.04-0.13; p < 0.001), and modified Hinchey classification (OR, 6.2; 95% CI, 0.09-0.17; p < 0.001) were risk factors for non-operative treatment failure. Platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) is a potential risk factor for the non-operative treatment failure of acute first-attack colonic diverticulitis. Therefore, patients with higher PLR during non-operative treatment should be monitored with special caution.

High Triglyceride-Glucose Index Is Associated with Poor Prognosis in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common gastrointestinal disease worldwide. Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is characterized as persistent organ failure with a mortality rate as high as 20-30%. Early assessment of the severity and screening out possible SAP is of great significance. Given that there is still a lack of both convenient and practical tools for evaluating SAP, we conducted this study to explore the association between TyG index and acute pancreatitis prognosis.

METHODS

A total of 353 in-patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis in the Second Hospital of Shandong University were retrospectively enrolled from January 2018 to November 2021 in this study. According to the Atlanta Classification, they were divided into two groups based on the AP severity. Demographic information and clinical materials were retrospectively collected. The TyG index calculation formula is as follows: ln [fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting plasma glucose (mg/dL)/2]. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS software (IBM version 22.0) and Medcalc software. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to investigate independent predictors for SAP. ROC curve was plotted to assess the predictive ability and cutoffs of TyG index.

RESULTS

A total of 353 AP patients were respectively enrolled in this study, of which 47 suffered from SAP. Compared with the non-SAP group, TyG index was significantly higher in the SAP group (10.44 ± 1.55 vs 9.33 ± 1.44, P < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that TyG index was an independent risk factor for SAP (OR 1.835, 95% CI 1.380-2.442 P < 0.001), with a cutoff of 8.76 for non-HTG/AAP and 11.81 for HTG/AAP by ROC curve. TyG index of patients who suffered from SIRS, OF, APFC, and ANC was higher than those without (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The triglyceride-glucose index is an independent risk factor for SAP. High TyG index is closely related to SAP and AP-related complications.

Preoperative Immunocite-Derived Ratios Predict Surgical Complications Better when Artificial Neural Networks Are Used for Analysis-A Pilot Comparative Study

We aimed to comparatively assess the prognostic preoperative value of the main peripheral blood components and their ratios-the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR)-to the use of artificial-neural-network analysis in determining undesired postoperative outcomes in colorectal cancer patients. Our retrospective study included 281 patients undergoing elective radical surgery for colorectal cancer in the last seven years. The preoperative values of SII, NLR, LMR, and PLR were analyzed in relation to postoperative complications, with a special emphasis on their ability to accurately predict the occurrence of anastomotic leak. A feed-forward fully connected multilayer perceptron network (MLP) was trained and tested alongside conventional statistical tools to assess the predictive value of the abovementioned blood markers in terms of sensitivity and specificity. Statistically significant differences and moderate correlation levels were observed for SII and NLR in predicting the anastomotic leak rate and degree of postoperative complications. No correlations were found between the LMR and PLR or the abovementioned outcomes. The MLP network analysis showed superior prediction value in terms of both sensitivity (0.78 ± 0.07; 0.74 ± 0.04; 0.71 ± 0.13) and specificity (0.81 ± 0.11; 0.69 ± 0.03; 0.9 ± 0.04) for all the given tasks. Preoperative SII and NLR appear to be modest prognostic factors for anastomotic leakage and overall morbidity. Using an artificial neural network offers superior prognostic results in the preoperative risk assessment for overall morbidity and anastomotic leak rate.

Has COVID-19 Modified the Weight of Known Systemic Inflammation Indexes and the New Ones (MCVL and IIC) in the Assessment as Predictive Factors of Complications and Mortality in Acute Pancreatitis?

We aimed at evaluating the prognostic capacity of the inflammatory indices derived from routine complete blood cell counts in two groups of patients with acute pancreatitis from two different time periods, before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, when a high incidence of complications with surgical risk and mortality was found. Two new markers were introduced: the mean corpuscular volume to lymphocyte ratio (MCVL) and the cumulative inflammatory index (IIC), which were calculated at a baseline in the two groups of patients. Of the already established markers, none of them managed to effectively predict the complications with surgical risk and mortality, with a decrease of less than 50% in specificity in the peri-COVID group. The MCVL had the best prediction of complications with surgical risk in both the pre-COVID and peri-COVID groups, validated it as an independent factor by multivariate analysis. The IIC had the best prediction of mortality in both periods and was proven to be an independent factor by multivariate analysis. As the IIC predicted death best, we tested the occurrence of death and found that patients with PA who had an IIC > 12.12 presented a risk of death 4.08 times higher in the pre-COVID group and 3.33 times higher in the peri-COVID group. The new MCVL and IIC independent markers had a superior sensitivity and specificity in predicting surgical risk complications and, respectively, mortality in the group of patients with acute pancreatitis during the COVID-19 pandemic, which makes them widely applicable in populations with modified immune and inflammatory status. Conclusions: In patients with acute pancreatitis, MCVL has a significant predictive value regarding complications with surgical risk (abscess, necrosis, and pseudocyst), and the IIC has a significant predictive value for mortality.

Esophageal stenosis as an independent factor of poor prognosis in patients with ESCC treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy

Aim: To evaluate the clinical outcome and elucidate the prognostic factors in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy (CRT). Patients: Data for patients newly diagnosed with ESCC receiving definitive CRT at our institution between 2012 and 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. Results: A total of 201 patients were included. Severe stenosis after radiotherapy was an independent factor relevant to prognosis. Maximal esophageal wall thickness, short-term responses, severe stenosis at diagnosis and a high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio were independent risk factors for the occurrence of severe stenosis after radiotherapy. Conclusion: Severe stenosis after radiotherapy is a useful predictive indicator in patients with ESCC receiving definitive CRT. Further studies are needed to verify these findings.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio as an Early Predictor of Complication and Mortality Outcomes in Individuals With Acute Pancreatitis at a UK District General Hospital: A Retrospective Analysis

Aim

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the predictive usefulness of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) and establish a threshold for the prediction of poor outcomes.

Methods

For this investigation, we looked back at all cases of acute pancreatitis treated at Torbay Hospital in Torquay, UK, between January 1st, 2019, and December 31st, 2020. Those who were found to have chronic pancreatitis or whose baseline laboratory values could not be obtained were not included. Each patient’s entire hospital stay was analyzed, including up to 72 hours of medical and laboratory data.

Results

According to the Glasgow Coma Scale scoring system, 28 of the 314 included patients had severe acute pancreatitis, and 81 patients had pancreatitis with complications. Those with complications had a substantially higher NLR on day 1 (9.43 ± 7.57) than patients who recovered without complications (7.37 ± 5.88) (P-value = 0.028). The NLR on day 0 (>18.71) exhibited a sensitivity of 80%, a specificity of 90.2%, and an accuracy of 83.9% in forecasting the death of patients with pancreatitis.

Conclusion

Elevated baseline NLR corresponds with pancreatitis with complications and can predict mortality.

Association Between the Neutrophil-To-Lymphocyte Ratio and Diabetes Secondary to Exocrine Pancreatic Disorders

BACKGROUND

Diabetes mellitus among patients with exocrine pancreatic disorders is commonly known to be associated with chronic inflammation, including chronic pancreatitis and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a novel marker that indicates the presence of various chronic inflammatory diseases, including type 2 diabetes (T2DM). However, no studies have examined the relationship between the NLR value and diabetes secondary to exocrine pancreatic disorders.

AIM

To determine whether the NLR value is associated with diabetes secondary to exocrine pancreatic disorders.

METHODS

The medical data of subjects with confirmed pancreatic disease who were admitted to the Department of Pancreatic Surgery of our institution from August 2017 to October 2021 were obtained from the database and retrospectively analyzed. Anthropometric measures, laboratory data, including HbA1c, fasting insulin, and fasting C-peptide levels and the inflammatory index (white blood cell count, NLR, platelet-to-lymphocyte ration, monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio) were recorded. The NLR is the ratio of neutrophils to lymphocytes. A homeostasis model (HOMA-B and HOMA-IR) was used to measure beta-cell dysfunction and insulin resistance.

RESULTS

The NLR values of the diabetes secondary to exocrine pancreatic disorders group were significantly higher than those of the nondiabetic group (P=0.001). In multivariate logistic regression, after adjusting for covariates, high NLR values were found to be an independent risk factor for diabetes secondary to exocrine pancreatic disorders (OR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.138-1.649, P=0.001). According to Spearman correlation analysis, the NLR was significantly correlated with fasting plasma glucose levels (P<0.0001) and HOMA2-IR values (P=0.02).

CONCLUSION

The NLR inflammation marker was significantly higher in subjects with diabetes secondary to exocrine pancreatic disorders and was associated with insulin resistance. NLR values may be reliable predictive markers for diabetes among patients with exocrine pancreatic disorders.

Hypertriglyceridaemia-Induced Acute Pancreatitis: A Different Disease Phenotype

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is the most common gastrointestinal indication requiring hospitalisation. Severe hypertriglyceridaemia (HTG) is the third most common aetiology of AP (HTGAP), with a complication rate and severity that are higher than those of other aetiologies (non-HTGAP). The aim of this study was to evaluate the supposedly higher complication rate of HTGAP compared to non-HTGAP. The secondary objectives were to find different biomarkers for predicting a severe form. This was a retrospective study that included patients admitted with AP in a tertiary department of gastroenterology and hepatology. The patients were divided into two groups: HTGAP and non-HTGAP. We searched for differences regarding age, gender, the presence of diabetes mellitus (DM), the severity of the disease, the types of complications and predictive biomarkers for severity, hospital stay and mortality. A total of 262 patients were included, and 11% (30/262) of the patients had HTGAP. The mean ages were 44.4 ± 9.2 in the HTGAP group and 58.2 ± 17.1 in the non-HTGAP group, p < 0.0001. Male gender was predominant in both groups, at 76% (23/30) in the HTGAP group vs. 54% (126/232) in non-HTGAP, p = 0.02; 53% (16/30) presented with DM vs. 18% (42/232), p < 0.0001. The patients with HTG presented higher CRP 48 h after admission: 207 mg/dL ± 3 mg/dL vs. non-HTGAP 103 mg/dL ± 107 mg/dL, p < 0.0001. Among the patients with HTGAP, there were 60% (18/30) with moderately severe forms vs. 30% (71/232), p = 0.001, and 16% (5/30) SAP vs. 11% (27/232) in non-HTGAP, p = 0.4 Among the predictive markers, only haematocrit (HT) and blood urea nitrogen (BUN) had AUCs > 0.8. According to a multiple regression analysis, only BUN 48 h was independently associated with the development of SAP (p = 0.05). Diabetes mellitus increased the risk of developing severe acute pancreatitis (OR: 1.3; 95% CI: 0.1963−9.7682; p = 0.7). In our cohort, HTGAP more frequently had local complications compared with non-HTGAP. A more severe inflammatory syndrome seemed to be associated with this aetiology; the best predictive markers for complicated forms of HTGAP were BUN 48 h and HT 48 h.

Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio in Patients with Hypertriglyceridemic Pancreatitis Predicts Persistent Organ Failure

BACKGROUND

The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been proposed as a surrogate marker of inflammation with prognostic value in various diseases. Our objective was to investigate the predictive value of the NLR as an indicator of persistent organ failure (POF) in patients with hypertriglyceridemic pancreatitis (HTGP).

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the data from patients with HTGP between 2016 and 2019. The NLR was obtained at admission. The diagnostic performance of the NLR for POF was evaluated by the area under the receiver operator characteristics curve (AUROC). Multivariate logistic regression determined whether elevated NLR was independently associated with POF.

RESULTS

Of the 446 patients enrolled, 89 (20.0%) developed POF. Patients with POF showed a significantly higher NLR than those without POF (P < 0.001). A positive trend for the association across increasing NLR quartiles and the incidence of POF was observed (P trend < 0.001). The AUROC of NLR to predict POF was 0.673 (95% confidence interval, 0.627-0.716). With a cut-off of NLR > 6.56, the sensitivity and specificity were 73.0% and 55.7%, respectively. Multivariate analysis suggested that high NLR (>6.56) was independently associated with POF (odds ratio, 2.580; 95% confidence interval, 1.439-4.626; P = 0.001). Patients with a high NLR (>6.56) had a worse overall clinical course in HTGP.

CONCLUSION

Elevated NLR was significantly associated with an increased risk of developing POF and could be an early independent predictor of POF in patients with HTGP.

A Nomogram for Predicting the Risk of Radiotherapy-Related Esophageal Fistula in Esophageal Cancer Patients

Background

To construct and validate a nomogram for predicting the risk of esophageal fistula in esophageal cancer patients receiving radiotherapy.

Methods

A retrospective nested case–control study was performed, in which a total of 81 esophageal fistula patients and 243 controls from 2014 to 2020 in the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University were enrolled. Factors included in the nomogram were determined by univariate and multiple logistic regression analysis. The following methods including ROC curve, C-index, calibration curves, Brier score, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were adopted to evaluate this nomogram.

Results

Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that T4 stage, level 4 stenosis, ulcerative esophageal cancer, prealbumin, and maximum diameters of GTV and NLR were the independent risk factors of esophageal fistula. Accordingly, a nomogram incorporating the aforementioned six parameters was constructed. The AUC was 0.848 (95% CI 0.901–0.895), indicating a high prediction accuracy of this nomogram. Further evaluation of this model showed that the C-index was 0.847, while the bias-corrected C-index after internal validation was 0.833. The Brier score was 0.127. The calibration curves presented good concordance, and the DCA revealed promising clinical application.

Conclusions

The nomogram presents accurate and applicable prediction for the esophageal fistula risk in esophageal cancer patients receiving radiotherapy.

Value of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio in evaluating response to percutaneous catheter drainage in patients with acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Early prediction of response to percutaneous catheter drainage (PCD) of necrotic collections in acute pancreatitis (AP) using simple and objective tests is critical as it may determine patient prognosis. The role of white blood cell (WBC) count and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has not been assessed as a tool of early prediction of PCD success and is the focus of this study.

AIM

To assess the value of WBC and NLR in predicting response to PCD in AP.

METHODS

This retrospective study comprised consecutive patients with AP who underwent PCD between June 2018 and December 2019. Severity and fluid collections were classified according to the revised Atlanta classification and organ failure was defined according to the modified Marshall Score. WBC and NLR were monitored 24 h prior PCD (WBC-0/NLR-0) and 24 h (WBC-1/NLR-1), 48 h (WBC-2/NLR-2) and 72 h (WBC-3/NLR-3) after PCD. NLR was calculated by dividing the number of neutrophils by the number of lymphocytes. The association of success of PCD (defined as survival without the need for surgery) with WBC and NLR was assessed. The trend of WBC and NLR was also assessed post PCD.

RESULTS

One hundred fifty-five patients [median age 40 ± 13.6 (SD), 64.5% males, 53.5% severe AP] were included in the final analysis. PCD was done for acute necrotic collection in 99 (63.8%) patients and walled-off necrosis in 56 (36.1%) patients. Median pain to PCD interval was 24 ± 69.89 d. PCD was successful in 109 patients (group 1) and 46 patients (group 2) who failed to respond. There was no significant difference in the baseline characteristics between the two groups except the severity of AP and frequency of organ failure. Both WBC and NLR showed an overall decreasing trend. There was a significant difference between WBC-0 and WBC-1 (P = 0.0001). WBC-1 and NLR-1 were significantly different between the two groups (P = 0.048 and 0.003, respectively). The area under the curve of WBC-1 and NLR-1 for predicting the success of PCD was 0.602 and 0.682, respectively. At a cut-off value of 9.87 for NLR-1, the sensitivity and specificity for predicting the success of PCD were calculated to be 75% and 65.4% respectively.

CONCLUSION

WBC and NLR can be used as simple tests for predicting response to PCD in patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis.

Clinical and simple laboratory data associated with fatal outcomes in patients with acute pancreatitis

Aims. The aim of the study was to evaluate the association of mortality in acute pancreatitis with clinical and simple laboratory data received on the day of admission. Patients and methods. In our retrospective study, the clinical and laboratory parameters of 99 patients with moderate and severe acute pancreatitis were analyzed. All patients were divided into two groups: deceased and survivors. Results. We did not find a significant difference in age and gender distribution between the comparison groups. However, a significant predominance of alcoholic etiology of acute pancreatitis, early hospitalization (up to 6 hours from the onset of the disease) of patients, and the number of necrotizing infected type in the deceased group were found. Concomitant pathology did not significantly differ in comparison groups. In patients from the deceased group, the total number of all complications was significantly higher than in the group of survivors-21 (100%) and 42 (53.8%) (p = 0.0001), respecting. Among the laboratory parameters determined on the day of admission, in the deceased group, there was a significant increase in stabs to 19.8 ± 9.8 and ESR, AST to 225.3 ± 47.5 U/L, urea to 11.2 ± 7.7 mmol/L, and creatinine to 173.6 ± 26.1 mmol/L. Conclusion. The alcoholic genesis of acute pancreatitis, necrotizing infected type of inflammation of the pancreas, presence of late complications, and comorbidities were significantly higher in the deceased group. The levels of stabs, ESR, AST, urea, and creatinine determined on the admission significantly dominated in the deceased group, which requires further study for the prediction of mortality of acute pancreatitis.

The relationship between neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and clinal laboratory data in acute pancreatitis

Introduction: Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is one of the laboratory biomarkers used in clinical practice to predict severity and mortality of acute pancreatitis (AP), however, there is currently insufficient information about the changes of NLR in the dynamics in relationship with other clinical and laboratory data. Aims: To assess the relationship between NLR values and other demographics, clinical and simple laboratory data in patients with acute pancreatitis. Methods: The data of two hundred twenty-nine patients with AP were analyzed. All patients were divided into two groups: the group with a positive outcome and the group with a fatal outcome. NLR was counted on the 1st, 3rd and 5th day after admission in each group. The dynamics of NLR index by groups and days, as well as its correlation with other 18 simple laboratory parameters were evaluated. Results: The level of NLR rate itself was significantly higher on the 1st, 3rd and 5th day in the group with the fatal result compared with the group with the positive result (p < 0.05). In patients with AP with the positive result of treatment, there was a gradual decrease in the rate between the 1st and the 3rd day (-21.8%) (p < 0.05). The overall dynamics of the indicator between the 1st and the 5th day was -21.5%. In contrast to the group of patients with the fatal outcome, despite the infusion therapy, there was an increase in NLR rate between the 1st and 3rd day of +15.7%. The overall dynamics between the 1st and 5th day was -34.0%. A significant negative relationship of the Spearman's rank correlation coefficient between NLR on the 1st and 3rd day with the fatal outcome was revealed. The highest reliability of this indicator was found on the 3rd day after admission (p < 0.0001). In the group of patients with a positive result, a correlation between NLR on the 1st day and stabs on the 1st day, segmental forms on the 1st day, serum amylase on the 1st day was found. A very high correlation was found with the level of lymphocytes on the 1st day (rs = -0.98, p < 0001). In the group of patients with the fatal outcome, a statistically significant correlation (p < 0.05) of moderate strength was found between the value of NLR and the following indicators: glucose level on the 1st day, total protein on the 5th day, prothrombin index on the 5th day. A high correlation was found with the level of segmental forms on the 1st day (rs = 0.7) and a very high correlation with the level of lymphocytes on the 1st day (rs = -0.99). Conclusions: There was a significant increase in NLR on the 1st, 3rd, and 5th day in the group of patients with AP with the fatal outcome compared with the group of patients with AP with the positive result. Elevated NLR levels on the 1st and 3rd day seem to be associated with hospital mortality in patients with AP. No correlation was found between NLR rate and clinical data in the group with fatal outcome. The main indicators among simple laboratory parameters for determining the predictors of lethal outcome in AP in different periods after hospitalization were: the level of blood glucose, lymphocytes, total protein, serum amylase, prothrombin index.

The BISAP score, NLR, CRP, or BUN: Which marker best predicts the outcome of acute pancreatitis?

Acute pancreatitis is a common disease, and the mortality rate can be high. Thus, a risk assessment should be performed early to optimize treatment. We compared simple prognostic markers with the bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) scoring system to identify the best predictors of severity and mortality.This retrospective study stratified disease severity based on the revised Atlanta criteria. The accuracies of the markers for predicting severe AP (SAP) were assessed using receiver operating characteristic curves. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were calculated for each marker. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent predictors of SAP and mortality.The area under the curve (AUC) for the BISAP score was classified as fair for predicting SAP. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio at 48 hours (NLR48 h) and the C-reactive protein level at 48 hours (CRP48 h) had the best AUCs and were independently associated with SAP. When both criteria were met, the AUC was 0.89, sensitivity was 68%, and specificity was 92%. CRP48 h and hematocrit at 48 hours were independently associated with mortality.NLR48 h and CRP48 h were independently associated with SAP but not superior to the BISAP score at admission. Assessing NLR48 h and CRP48H together was most suitable for predicting SAP. The CRP level was a good predictive marker for mortality.

The Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio as an Early Predictive Marker of the Severity of Post-Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography Pancreatitis

Background and objectives: Factors predictive of severe non-iatrogenic acute pancreatitis have been investigated, but few studies have evaluated prognostic markers of severe post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) pancreatitis (PEP). The neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been studied for predicting severe acute pancreatitis. We examined the predictive value of NLR in patients with PEP. Materials and Methods: From January 2012 to August 2021, 125 patients who developed PEP were retrospectively evaluated. The NLR was measured before, and on days 1 and 2 after, ERCP. PEP was categorized as mild, moderate, or severe according to consensus guidelines, based on the prolongation of planned hospitalization. Patients were divided into two groups, mild-to-moderate vs. severe PEP. Results: We analyzed 125 patients with PEP, 18 (14.4%) of whom developed severe PEP. The baseline NLR was similar between the two groups (2.26 vs. 3.34, p = 0.499). The severe PEP group had a higher NLR than the mild/moderate PEP group on days 1 (11.19 vs. 6.58, p = 0.001) and 2 (15.68 vs. 5.32, p < 0.001) post-ERCP. The area under the curve of the NLR on days 1 and 2 post-ERCP for severe PEP was 0.75 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.64–0.86)) and 0.89 (95% CI, 0.81–0.97), respectively; NLR on day 2 had greater power to predict severe PEP. The optimal cutoff value of the NLR on days 1 and 2 after ERCP for prediction of severe PEP was 7.38 (sensitivity, 72%; specificity, 69%) and 8.17 (sensitivity, 83%; specificity, 83%), respectively. In a multivariate analysis, a Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis score ≥3 (odds ratio (OR) 9.07, p = 0.012) and NLR on day 2 > 8.17 (OR 18.29, p < 0.001) were significantly associated with severe PEP. Conclusions: The NLR on day 2 post-ERCP is a reliable prognostic marker of severe PEP.

THE ACCEPTANCE OF CHANGES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF PATIENTS WITH ACUTE PANCREATITIS AFTER THE REVISED ATLANTA CLASSIFICATION

BACKGROUND

New recommendations for the management of patients with acute pancreatitis were set after the Atlanta Classification was revised in 2012.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the present systematic review is to assess whether these recommendations have already been accepted and implemented in daily medical practices.

METHODS

A systematic literature review was carried out in studies conducted with humans and published in English and Portuguese language from 10/25/2012 to 11/30/2018. The search was conducted in databases such as PubMed/Medline, Cochrane and SciELO, based on the following descriptors/Boolean operator: "Acute pancreatitis" AND "Atlanta". Only Randomized Clinical Trials comprising some recommendations released after the revised Atlanta Classification in 2012 were included in the study.

RESULTS

Eighty-nine studies were selected and considered valid after inclusion, exclusion and qualitative evaluation criteria application. These studies were stratified as to whether, or not, they applied the recommendations suggested after the Atlanta Classification revision. Based on the results, 68.5% of the studies applied the recommendations, with emphasis on the application of severity classification (mild, moderately severe, severe); 16.4% of them were North-American and 14.7% were Chinese. The remaining 31.5% just focused on comparing or validating the severity classification.

CONCLUSION

Few studies have disclosed any form of acceptance or practice of these recommendations, despite the US and Chinese efforts. The lack of incorporation of these recommendations didn't enable harnessing the benefits of their application in the clinical practice (particularly the improvement of the communication among health professionals and directly association with the worst prognoses); thus, it is necessary mobilizing the international medical community in order to change this scenario.

Complete hemogram: simple and cost-effective in staging and predicting outcome in acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

An important goal in management of acute pancreatitis (AP) is early prediction and recognition of disease severity. Various predictive scoring systems are in clinical use with their own limitations and there is always a quest for simple, practical, quantifiable, dynamic and readily available markers for predicting disease severity and outcome. Complete hemogram is routinely ordered in all patients with AP. In recent years red cell distribution width (RDW), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR) and platelet lymphocyte ratio (PLR) have been found to be independent predictors of prognosis in various benign and malignant conditions. This prospective study evaluated complete hemogram based markers in AP.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Complete hemogram analysis was done and NLR, LMR, PLR values were calculated. Development of organ failure, the need for intensive care unit (ICU) admission and interventions, development of complications (local/systemic) and 100-day mortality were assessed.

RESULTS

In this study 160 subjects of AP were included. Complete hemogram analysis was performed within 24 h after admission. C‑reactive protein, RDW, NLR, PLR and bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) values were higher in severe AP than moderate AP group than mild AP group, while LMR values were decreased in the corresponding severe, moderate and mild AP groups (p < 0.001). The NLR performed best for prediction of ICU admission, organ failure, interventions and mortality with area under receiver operating curve (AUROC) were 0.943, 0.940, 0.902 and 0.910, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Hemogram based markers are simple, objective, dynamic and readily available. They can be considered in addition to conventional multifactorial scoring systems for prediction of outcome and prognosis of AP.

Clinical Significance of Inflammation Markers in Predicting the Severity of Acute Pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disease of the pancreas. We analyzed changes in inflammation markers to explore the clinical significance of using these markers to predict the severity of AP.

METHODS

The study included 169 patients (severe AP = 50 and nonsevere AP = 119) admitted to Yanbian University Hospital between January 2015 and July 2017. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), prognostic nutrition index (PNI), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, red blood cell distribution width coefficient of variation, mean platelet volume, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and red blood cell distribution width-to-platelet ratio of the patients were detected after admission. Correlations between AP severity and various inflammatory markers were statistically analyzed.

RESULTS

The results indicated that the NLR on the first day after admission (area under the curve, 0.824; 95% confidence interval, 0.753-0.896) and the PNI on the third day after admission (area under the curve, 0.814; 95% confidence interval, 0.753-0.896) had more significance than other inflammation markers in predicting the severity of AP. In AP patients, the NLR showed a gradual decline, and the PNI initially decreased and then increased.

CONCLUSIONS

The NLR and PNI can provide new reference values for predicting the severity of AP.

The Relationship Between Neutrophil-Lymphocyte and Platelet-Lymphocyte Ratios With Hospital Stays and Mortality in the Emergency Department

Background Most acute pancreatitis scoring is made in the first 48-72 hours or later. Like many inflammatory processes, Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR) can be useful in showing the severity and extent of inflammation in acute pancreatitis. Our study aimed to evaluate whether these rates affect mortality according to the NLR and PLR values ​​of patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis by examining the blood samples taken within the first hour after admission to the emergency department rates are useful in predicting the length of stay. Methods In our retrospective study, 557 patients applied to our clinic for 4.5 years, whose amylase and lipase values ​​were higher than two times the cut-off value in blood tests and whose CT imaging was compatible with acute pancreatitis were included in the study. Results The median length of hospitalization of the patients was 4.0 (3.0-6.0) days. Gallstones were detected in 320 (57.5%) patients. Mortality of less than a year was observed in 45 (8.1%) of the study population. Eighteen of the patients (3.2%) showed the need for follow-up in the intensive care unit. A statistically significant relationship was found between mortality and variables hematocrit (HCT), red cell distribution width (RDW),c-reactive protein CRP), glucose, urea, potassium, albumin, PLR, and NLR (p <0.05). A statistically significant correlation was observed between RDW, NLR, glucose, and CRP levels in the two groups divided according to the median value of 4 days we found on hospitalization (p <0.05). According to the graphics and test results obtained by ROC analysis, the mortality status can be predicted at a statistically significant level with PLR and NLR diagnostic tests (p <0.05). Conclusion High levels of NLR, PLR, RDW, glucose, CRP, urea, potassium, low albumin and hematocrit values ​​at the first admission in the Emergency Service seem to be associated with increased 1-year mortality in acute pancreatitis.

Prognostic value of the creatinine-albumin ratio in acute pancreatitis debridement

Background

Increases in the levels of serum C-reactive protein (CRP) and creatinine (Cr) and decreases in those of albumin (Alb) are commonly observed in acute pancreatitis (AP). We aimed to evaluate the efficacy of the Cr/Alb and CRP/Alb ratios in the prediction of surgical treatment effect in AP patients.

Methods

This study retrospectively analyzed clinical data obtained from 140 AP patients who underwent debridement from January 2008 to November 2018 in Shanghai Ruijin Hospital. The Cr/Alb and CRP/Alb ratios at admission and before surgery were assessed in the analysis of clinical statistics, prediction of prognoses, and logistic regression analysis.

Results

The admission Cr/Alb had the best predictive value of the four ratios. This value was significantly higher in patients with re-operation and those who died (P < 0.05) and was correlated with the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) score, admission CRP/Alb, preoperative Cr/Alb, and post-operative complications. The admission Cr/Alb could predict the risk of AP-related re-operation and mortality with sensitivities, specificities and areas under the curve of 86.3%, 61.7% and 0.824, and 73.4%, 81.3% and 0.794, respectively. At a cut-off value of 3.43, admission Cr/Alb values were indicative of a worse clinical state, including impaired laboratory test values, APACHE II scores, rates of post-operative complications and re-operation, and mortality (P < 0.05). In the logistic regression analysis, admission Cr/Alb values were independently related to the APACHE II score, post-operative renal failure, and mortality.

Conclusion

Cr/Alb is a novel but promising, easy-to-measure, reproducible, non-invasive prognostic score for the prediction of the effect of debridement in AP patients.

Minimally invasive puncture versus conventional craniotomy for spontaneous supratentorial hemorrhage: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Minimally invasive puncture and conventional craniotomy are both utilized in the treatment of spontaneous supratentorial hemorrhage. The purpose of this study is to review evidence that compares the safety and effectiveness of these two techniques.

METHODS

We searched EMBASE, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and PubMed for studies published between 2000 and 2019 that compared the minimally invasive puncture procedure with the conventional craniotomy for the treatment of spontaneous supratentorial hemorrhage.

RESULTS

Seven trials (2 randomized control trials and 5 observational studies) with a total of 970 patients were included. The odds ratio indicated a statistically significant difference between the minimally invasive puncture and conventional craniotomy in terms of good functional outcome (OR 2.36, 90% CI 1.24-4.49). The minimally invasive puncture procedure was associated with lower mortality rates (OR 0.61, 90% CI 0.44-0.85) and rebleeding rates (OR 0.48, 95%CI 0.24-0.99; P=0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

The use of the minimally invasive puncture for the management of spontaneous supratentorial hemorrhage was associated with better functional outcome results, a lower mortality rate, and decreased rebleeding rates. However, because insufficient data has been published thus far, we need more robust evidence to provide a better guide for future management.

Evaluation of the prognostic value of the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, lactate dehydrogenase enzyme, and proteinuria in patients with acute pancreatitis admitted at Assiut University Hospitals and its correlation with Ranson’s criteria scoring system

Background

Acute pancreatitis is a relatively common acute medical presentation that may progress beyond the pancreas to cause multi-organ failure or death. It is associated with high morbidity and mortality with mortality rates changing little in the past few decades despite advances in intensive care and surgical management. Early evaluation of acute pancreatitis severity is essential to allow the clinician to predict the patient’s clinical course, estimate the prognosis, determine the need for intensive care unit admission, and prevent complications. So, the purpose of our study is to evaluate the prognostic value of the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, lactate dehydrogenase enzyme, and proteinuria in patients with acute pancreatitis and its correlation with Ranson’s criteria scoring system as new, rapid, and easy parameters to predict severity of acute pancreatitis.

Results

The mean age of patients in years was 47.97, and the median was 52 with a range of ages between 18 and 87; 38% of the patients included were males, and 61% were females. The mean Ranson’s score was 2.77 ± 1.4, and the median was 3 with a range of 0–6; 44.5% of patients included have low severity, 42.4% have mild severity, and 13.1% of patients have high severity. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio both at the time of admission and after 48 h of admission was significantly increasing with an increase in disease severity with a P value of < 0.001 that was statistically significant. Lactate dehydrogenase enzyme at the time of admission was also significantly increasing with diseased severity with a P value of 0.001 that was statistically significant and the same for lactate dehydrogenase enzyme level after 48 h of admission with a P value of 0.002 that was also statistically significant. Proteinuria is positive only in 15.2% of patients and with the same result after 48 h of admission.

Conclusion

The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio gives a rapid impression of the extent of the inflammatory process, and it can effectively predict severity at the time of admission and even after 48 h of admission and can also differentiate between patients with mild and severe acute pancreatitis in both calcular and non-calcular cause-dependent acute pancreatitis patients. Lactate dehydrogenase can be used to predict severity in calcular cause-dependent acute pancreatitis patients only at the time of admission and after 48 h of admission. Proteinuria in urine analysis on admission and after 48 h does not seem to be a reliable predictor for disease severity in acute pancreatitis.

The diagnostic value of serum C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, interleukin-6 and lactate dehydrogenase in patients with severe acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVE

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disease with rapid progression. In severe cases, it can cause systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), multiple organ failure (POF) and even death. The study aimed to investigate the diagnostic value of C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), interleukin-6 (IL-6) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) in patients with severe AP.

METHODS

AP patients (n = 153) divided into mild AP patients (n = 81) and severe AP patients (n = 72) were selected from June 2014 to June 2016. The demographic information (age, sex) and the hematological parameters (WBC, PLT, CRP, PCT, IL-6, LDH and so on) were analyzed.

RESULTS

Significant differences were found out of CRP, PCT, IL-6 and LDH values between AP patients and controls (P < 0.05), even those results had significant difference between MAP group and SAP group (P < 0.05). In SAP group, the cut-off values of CRP, PCT, IL-6 and LDH were 16.62, 2.29, 16.66, 273.04; sensitivity 55.6%, 77.8%, 80.2%, 82.7%; specificity 73%, 94%, 85%, 96% and AUC 0.637, 0.929, 0.886, 0.919, respectively. The AUC of combined detection of CRP, PCT, IL-6 and LDH was 0.989 (95%CI).

CONCLUSION

The combined detection of CRP, PCT, IL-6 and LDH has a high diagnostic value for judging the severity of AP.

Utility of inflammatory markers to predict adverse outcome in acute pancreatitis: A retrospective study in a single academic center

BACKGROUND/AIM

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a commonly encountered emergency where early identification of complicated cases is important. Inflammatory markers like lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR) and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) are simple and readily available markers. In this study, we evaluated the utility of these markers in the early identification of patients with complicated AP.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

All patients with a diagnosis of AP admitted to the University Medical Center in Las Vegas/Nevada between August 2015 and September 2018 were identified using ICD-10 codes. Medical records were reviewed retrospectively. Epidemiological measures and their associated confidence intervals were calculated using MedCalc (v. 18).

RESULTS

The LMR showed a significant difference between groups, with the non-complicated cases consistently higher than the complicated cases but without significant temporal differences. The NLR showed a significant difference with a significant temporal relation. Using the bound of the 95% confidence interval separating the two groups, LMR <2 was found to be associated with a complicated case and NLR >10.5 was suggestive of a complicated case. High specificity (85-92%) with low sensitivity (23-69%) was noted; hence, these cut points were very good at discerning non-complicated cases.

CONCLUSION

Our data show persistently low LMR that is associated with severe AP and a value of <2.0 can be used clinically to predict severe AP on admission. It also shows that elevated NLR is associated with complicated AP and prolonged hospital stay with a value >10.5 that can be used to predict severe complicated AP and to monitor response to treatment over time.

The early predictive value of routine laboratory tests on the severity of acute pancreatitis patients in pregnancy: a retrospective study

Acute pancreatitis in pregnancy (APIP) varies in severity from a self-limiting mild condition to a severe life-threatening condition, and its severity is significantly correlated with higher risks of maternal and foetal death. This study evaluated the early predictive value of routine laboratory tests on the severity of APIP patients. We enrolled 100 patients with APIP in West China Hospital. Initial routine laboratory tests, including the biochemistry and hematologic tests were collected within 48 hours after the onset of APIP. For predicting SAP in AP, LDH had the highest specificity of 0.879. RDW was a suitable predictive marker as it had the sensitivity of 0.882. Lower levels of triglycerides (<4.72 mmol/L) predicted mild AP of APIP, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.724, and a negative predictive value of 0.80. Furthermore, a risk score was calculated based on white blood cells, neutrophils, RDW, LMR and LDH, as an independent marker (adjusted odds ratio = 3.013, 95% CI 1.893 to 4.797, P < 0.001), with the highest AUC of 0.906, a sensitivity of 0.875 and a specificity of 0.828. In conclusion, the risk score we recommended was the powerful marker to aid in the early prediction of the severity of APIP patients.

Evaluation of Prognostic Factors of Severity in Acute Biliary Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disorder of the pancreas that, when classified as severe, is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Promptly identifying the severity of AP is of extreme importance for improving clinical outcomes. The aim of this study was to compare the prognostic value of serological biomarkers, ratios, and multifactorial scores in patients with acute biliary pancreatitis and to identify the best predictors. In this observational and prospective study, the biomarkers, ratios and multifactorial scores were evaluated on admission and at 48 h of the symptom onset. On admission, regarding the AP severity, the white blood count (WBC) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and regarding the mortality, the WBC and the modified Marshall score (MMS) showed the best predictive values. At 48 h, regarding the AP severity, the hepcidin, NLR, systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) and MMS and regarding the mortality, the NLR, hepcidin and the bedside index for severity in AP (BISAP) score, showed the best predictive values. The present study enabled the identification, for the first time, of SIRI as a new prognostic tool for AP severity, and validated hepcidin and the NLR as better prognostic markers than C-reactive protein (CRP) at 48 h of symptom onset.

Diagnostic Value of Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio for Predicting the Severity of Acute Pancreatitis: A Meta-Analysis

Background

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a life-threatening disease caused by a variety of factors, and once it progresses to severe acute pancreatitis, the prognosis is poor. The purpose of this study was to investigate the diagnostic value of the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis.

Materials and Methods

We searched the databases of PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library to identify eligible studies using the NLR to predict the severity of AP. The sensitivity (SEN), specificity (SPE), negative likelihood ratio (NLR), positive likelihood ratio (PLR), diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were combined using a bivariate mixed model.

Results

A total of 10 articles containing 394 cases and 1319 controls were included in the study. The combined SEN, SPE, NLR, PLR, DOR, and AUC are 79% (73%-84%), 71% (59%-80%), 0.30 (0.21-0.41), 2.7 (1.8-4.0), 9 (5-18), and 0.82 (0.78-0.85), respectively.

Conclusions

NLR has a moderately high diagnostic value in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis.

Hemogram parameters in the patients with subacute thyroiditis

Background &Objective

Subacute Granulomatous Thyroiditis (De Quervain's Thyroiditis) is an acute painful inflammatory disease of the thyroid. We aimed to investigate easily accessible and cheap hemogram based parameters of Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), Platelet to Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR), and Mean Platelet Volume (MPV) in the follow up of inflammatory thyroid disease.

Methods

Patients admitted to Sakarya University Education and Research Hospital Endocrinology and Metabolism Outpatient Clinic and diagnosed as Subacute Granulomatous Thyroiditis between May 2017 and November 2018 were included in the study. Hemogram, thyroid function tests and acute phase values of these patients were recorded and compared with the values after treatment and disease recovery. On the sixth month, thyroid function tests were repeated and the rate of permanent hypothyroidism was screened. The relationships between initial hemogram parameters and acute phase reactants were evaluated.

Results

Total 71 patients were included in our study. 60 (84.5%) were female and 11 (15.5%) were male. The F/M ratio was found to be 6/1. Mean age was 43 ± 9.95 years. Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) Curve Analysis was performed and values for Area Under the Curve (AUC) for NLR and PLR, respectively, were 0.739 (95% CI 0.657-0.820 p<0.0001) and 0.772 (95% CI 0.694-0.850 p<0.0001), which are significant and associated with disease activity. However, the AUC for MPV parameter was: 0.578 (95% CI 0.484-0.672 P_: 0.10) and was not significant. The cut off values defined as 2.4 (80% sensitivity and 51% specificity) for NLR and 146.84 (83% sensitivity and 54% specificity) for PLR for the acute phase of the disease. In the Correlation Analysis, NLR and PLR values were significantly correlated with ESR and CRP parameters, which are the most commonly used acute phase reactants.

Conclusion

According to the present study, we believe that the NLR and PLR parameters will be of benefit in the follow-up the disease, accurately demonstrate the inflammatory load in the acute phase of the disease, and correlate with the common acute phase reactants.