Impact of baseline systolic blood pressure on long-term outcomes in patients with advanced chronic systolic heart failure (insights from the BEST trial)

Predictors of heart failure readmission and all-cause mortality in patients with acute heart failure

BACKGROUND

Predischarge risk stratification of patients with acute heart failure (AHF) could facilitate tailored treatment and follow-up, however, simple scores to predict short-term risk for HF readmission or death are lacking.

METHODS

We sought to develop a congestion-focused risk score using data from a prospective, two-center observational study in adults hospitalized for AHF. Laboratory data were collected on admission. Patients underwent physical examination, 4-zone, and in a subset 8-zone, lung ultrasound (LUS), and echocardiography at baseline. A second LUS was performed before discharge in a subset of patients. The primary endpoint was the composite of HF hospitalization or all-cause death.

RESULTS

Among 350 patients (median age 75 years, 43% women), 88 participants (25%) were hospitalized or died within 90 days after discharge. A stepwise Cox regression model selected four significant independent predictors of the composite outcome, and each was assigned points proportional to its regression coefficient: NT-proBNP ≥2000 pg/mL (admission) (3 points), systolic blood pressure < 120 mmHg (baseline) (2 points), left atrial volume index ≥60 mL/m2 (baseline) (1 point) and ≥ 9 B-lines on predischarge 4-zone LUS (3 points). This risk score provided adequate risk discrimination for the composite outcome (HR 1.48 per 1 point increase, 95% confidence interval: 1.32-1.67, p < 0.001, C-statistic: 0.70). In a subset of patients with 8-zone LUS data (n = 176), results were similar (C-statistic: 0.72).

CONCLUSIONS

A four-variable risk score integrating clinical, laboratory and ultrasound data may provide a simple approach for risk discrimination for 90-day adverse outcomes in patients with AHF if validated in future investigations.

Blood pressure and heart failure: focused on treatment

Heart failure (HF) remains a significant global health burden, and hypertension is known to be the primary contributor to its development. Although aggressive hypertension treatment can prevent heart changes in at-risk patients, determining the optimal blood pressure (BP) targets in cases diagnosed with HF is challenging owing to insufficient evidence. Notably, hypertension is more strongly associated with HF with preserved ejection fraction than with HF with reduced ejection fraction. Patients with acute hypertensive HF exhibit sudden symptoms of acute HF, especially those manifested with severely high BP; however, no specific vasodilator therapy has proven beneficial for this type of acute HF. Since the majority of medications used to treat HF contribute to lowering BP, and BP remains one of the most important hemodynamic markers, targeted BP management is very concerned in treatment strategies. However, no concrete guidelines exist, prompting a trend towards optimizing therapies to within tolerable ranges, rather than setting explicit BP goals. This review discusses the connection between BP and HF, explores its pathophysiology through clinical studies, and addresses its clinical significance and treatment targets.

Blood pressure levels and adverse cardiovascular outcomes in heart failure: A systematic review and meta-analysis

AIM

Existing data on the association between blood pressure levels and adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF) are inconsistent. The optimal blood pressure targets for patients with HF remain uncertain. This study sought to assess the associations between blood pressure (systolic [SBP] and diastolic blood pressure [DBP]) levels and adverse cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes in patients with HF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted using MEDLINE, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and Web of Science databases up to 5 May 2023. The outcomes of interest included adverse cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality. Pooled relative risks (RRs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. Forty-three unique observational cohort studies, comprising 120 643 participants with HF, were included. The pooled RRs (95% CIs) for SBP thresholds of ≥140 mmHg versus <140 mmHg were 0.92 (0.83-1.01) for all-cause mortality, 0.83 (0.67-1.04) for CVD death, and 0.98 (0.80-1.21) for HF hospitalization. The pooled RR (95% CI) for SBP thresholds of ≥160 mmHg versus <160 mmHg and all-cause mortality was 0.67 (0.62-0.74). SBP levels below <130, <120, and <110 mmHg were each associated with an increased risk of various cardiovascular endpoints and all-cause mortality. The pooled RR (95% CI) for DBP thresholds of ≥80 mmHg versus <80 mmHg and all-cause mortality was 0.86 (0.67-1.10). A 10 mmHg increase in SBP or DBP was associated with a reduction in all-cause mortality and other cardiovascular endpoints.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings suggest that lower and normal baseline SBP levels (<130, <120, and <110 mmHg) may be associated with future risk of worse outcomes in patients with HF. Optimal baseline blood pressure levels for these patients may lie within the range of ≥140 mmHg for SBP. In the absence of observational studies with repeated blood pressure measurements or definitive trials evaluating optimal blood pressure targets, individualized blood pressure targets based on patients' unique circumstances are warranted in HF management.

Longitudinal machine learning model for predicting systolic blood pressure in patients with heart failure

Objective

Systolic blood pressure (SBP) strongly indicates the prognosis of heart failure (HF) patients, as it is closely linked to the risk of death and readmission. Hence, maintaining control over blood pressure is a vital factor in the management of these patients. In order to determine significant variables associated with changes in SBP over time and assess the effectiveness of classical and machine learning models in predicting SBP, this study aimed to conduct a comparative analysis between the two.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study involved the analysis of data from 483 patients with HF who were admitted to Farshchian Heart Center located in Hamadan in the west of Iran, and hospitalized at least two times between October 2015 and July 2019. To predict SBP, we utilized a linear mixed-effects model (LMM) and mixed-effects least-square support vector regression (MLS-SVR). The effectiveness of both models was evaluated based on the mean absolute error and root mean squared error.

Results

The LMM analysis revealed that changes in SBP over time were significantly associated with sex, body mass index (BMI), sodium, time, and history of hypertension (P-value < 0.05). Furthermore, according to the MLS-SVR analysis, the four most important variables in predicting SBP were identified as history of hypertension, sodium, BMI, and triglyceride. In both the training and testing datasets, MLS-SVR outperformed LMM in terms of performance.

Conclusions

Based on our results, it appears that MLS-SVR has the potential to serve as a viable alternative to classical longitudinal models for predicting SBP in patients with HF.

Factors associated with hospitalisations of patients with chronic heart failure approaching the end of life: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Heart failure has high mortality and is linked to substantial burden for patients, carers and health care systems. Patients with chronic heart failure frequently experience recurrent hospitalisations peaking at the end of life, but most prefer to avoid hospital. The drivers of hospitalisations are not well understood.

AIM

We aimed to synthesise the evidence on factors associated with all-cause and heart failure hospitalisations of patients with advanced chronic heart failure.

DESIGN

Systematic review of studies quantitatively evaluating factors associated with all-cause or heart failure hospitalisations in adult patients with advanced chronic heart failure.

DATA SOURCES

Five electronic databases were searched from inception to September 2020. Additionally, searches for grey literature, citation searching and hand-searching were performed. We assessed the quality of individual studies using the QualSyst tool. Strength of evidence was determined weighing number, quality and consistency of studies. Findings are reported narratively as pooling was not deemed feasible.

RESULTS

In 54 articles, 68 individual, illness-level, service-level and environmental factors were identified. We found high/moderate strength evidence for specialist palliative or hospice care being associated with reduced risk of all-cause and heart failure hospitalisations, respectively. Based on high strength evidence, we further identified black/non-white ethnicity as a risk factor for all-cause hospitalisations.

CONCLUSION

Efforts to integrate hospice and specialist palliative services into care may reduce avoidable hospitalisations in advanced heart failure. Inequalities in end-of-life care in terms of race/ethnicity should be addressed. Further research should investigate the causality of the relationships identified here.

Predictors and Outcomes of Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction in Patients With a Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction Above or Below 60

Background Although potential therapeutic candidates for heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) are emerging, it is still unclear whether they will be effective in patients with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) of 60% or higher. Our aim was to identify the clinical characteristics of these patients with HFpEF by comparing them to patients with LVEF below 60%. Methods and Results From a multicenter, prospective, observational cohort (PURSUIT-HFpEF [Prospective Multicenter Obsevational Study of Patients with Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction]), we investigated 812 consecutive patients (median age, 83 years; 57% women), including 316 with 50% ≤ LVEF <60% and 496 with 60% ≤ LVEF, and compared the clinical backgrounds of the 2 groups and their prognoses for cardiac mortality or HF readmission. Two hundred four adverse outcomes occurred at a median of 366 days. Multivariable Cox regression tests adjusted for age, sex, heart rate, atrial fibrillation, estimated glomerular filtration rate, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and prior heart failure hospitalization revealed that systolic blood pressure (hazard ratio [HR], 0.925 [95% CI, 0.862-0.992]; P=0.028), high-density lipoprotein to C-reactive protein ratio (HR, 0.975 [95% CI, 0.944-0.995]; P=0.007), and left ventricular end-diastolic volume index (HR, 0.870 [95% CI, 0.759-0.997]; P=0.037) were uniquely associated with outcomes among patients with 50% ≤ LVEF <60%, whereas only the ratio of peak early mitral inflow velocity to velocity of mitral annulus early diastolic motion e'(HR, 1.034 [95% CI, 1.003-1.062]; P=0.034) was associated with outcomes among patients with 60% ≤ LVEF. Conclusions Prognostic factors show distinct differences between patients with HFpEF with 50% ≤ LVEF <60% and with 60% ≤ LVEF. These findings suggest that the 2 groups have different inherent pathophysiology. Registration URL: https://upload.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000024414; Unique identifier: UMIN000021831 PURSUIT-HFpEF.

The Global Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring (ABPM) in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction (HFpEF) Registry. Rationale, design and objectives

Hypertension is a major risk factor for the development of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFPEF) and blood pressure (BP) in itself is an important marker of prognosis. The association of BP levels, and hemodynamic parameters, measured by ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM), with outcomes, in patients with HFPEF is largely unknown. Patients with HFPEF have a substantial burden of co-morbidities and frailty. In addition there are marked geographic differences in HFPEF around the world. How these difference influence the association between BP and outcomes in HFPEF are unknown. The Global Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring (ABPM) in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction (HFpEF) Registry aims to assess the relevance of BP parameters, measured by ABPM, on the outcome of HFPEF patients worldwide. Additionally, the influence of other relevant factors such as frailty and co-morbidities will be assessed. Stable HFPEF patients with a previous hospitalization, will be included. Patients should be clinically and hemodynamically stable for at least 4 weeks before study inclusion. Specific data related to HF, biochemical markers, ECG and echocardiography will be collected. An ABPM and geriatric and frailty evaluation will be performed and the association with morbidity and mortality assessed. Follow up will be at least one year.

Prognostic impact of systolic blood pressure in acute heart failure with preserved ejection fraction in older patients

Aims

Recent guidelines recommend a systolic blood pressure (SBP) target below 130 mmHg in heart failure patients with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), whatever their age. We investigated whether this intensive SBP control was associated with better survival in very old adults hospitalized for acute HFpEF.

Methods and results

We conducted an observational study in an acute geriatric unit: all consecutive patients discharged from hospital for acute heart failure from 1 March 2019 to 29 February 2020 with a diagnosis of HFpEF were included. Re‐hospitalization and all‐cause mortality at 1 year were compared according to the mean SBP at discharge (patients with a mean SBP < 130 mmHg vs. those with SBP ≥ 130 mmHg). We included 81 patients with a mean age of 89 years. Among them, 47 (58%) were re‐hospitalized and 37 (46%) died at 1 year. All‐cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] [95% confidence interval]: 1.50 [0.75–2.98], P = 0.2) and re‐hospitalization rate (HR: 1.04 [0.58–1.86], P = 0.90) at 1 year did not significantly differ between patients with SBP ≥ 130 mmHg and those with SBP < 130 mmHg at discharge. However, a prescription for antihypertensive drugs at discharge was associated with a better long‐term prognosis (all‐cause mortality: HR: 0.42 [0.20–0.88], P = 0.02; re‐hospitalization rate: HR: 0.56 [0.28–1.10], P = 0.09).

Conclusions

Although SBP < 130 mmHg at discharge was not associated with a better prognosis among very old patients hospitalized for acute HFpEF, the prescription of antihypertensive drugs was associated with mortality and re‐hospitalization rates that were reduced by half. Future prospective studies are needed to assess target blood pressure in very elderly patients with HFpEF.

Systolic Blood Pressure and Outcomes in Older Patients with HFpEF and Hypertension

BACKGROUND

New hypertension and heart failure guidelines recommend that systolic blood pressure (SBP) in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and hypertension be lowered to <130 mm Hg.

METHODS

Of the 6778 hospitalized patients with HFpEF and a history of hypertension in the Medicare-linked OPTIMIZE-HF registry, 3111 had a discharge SBP <130 mm Hg. Using propensity scores for SBP <130 mm Hg, we assembled a matched cohort of 1979 pairs with SBP <130 versus ≥130 mm Hg, balanced on 66 baseline characteristics (mean age, 79 years; 69% women; 12% African American). We then assembled a second matched cohort of 1326 pairs with SBP <120 versus ≥130 mm Hg. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for outcomes associated with SBP <130 and <120 mm Hg were separately estimated in the matched cohorts using SBP ≥130 mm Hg as the reference.

RESULTS

HRs (95% CIs) for 30-day, 12-month, and 6-year all-cause mortality associated with SBP <130 mm Hg were 1.20 (0.91-1.59; P = 0.200), 1.11 (0.99-1.26; P = 0.080), and 1.05 (0.98-1.14; P = 0.186), respectively. Respective HRs (95% CIs) associated with SBP <120 mm Hg were 1.68 (1.21-2.34; P = 0.002), 1.28 (1.11-1.48; P = 0.001), and 1.11 (1.02-1.22; P = 0.022). There was no association with readmission.

CONCLUSIONS

Among older patients with HFpEF and hypertension, compared with SBP ≥130 mm Hg, the new target SBP <130 mm Hg had no association with outcomes but SBP <120 mm Hg was associated with a higher risk of death but not of readmission. Future prospective studies need to evaluate optimal SBP treatment goals in these patients.

Introduction of sacubitril/valsartan in primary care follow-up of heart failure: a prospective observational study (THESEUS)

Aims

Switch from angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor treatment to sacubitril/valsartan (sac/val) is associated with benefit in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Reports on management of this switch are largely based on randomized controlled trials, retrospective analyses, and hospital‐based care, while patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) are frequently followed‐up in primary care. The THESEUS study aimed to characterize the transition to sac/val and early maintenance period of HFrEF in primary care.

Method and results

THESEUS was a prospective, observational, non‐interventional study, performed at primary care sites throughout Switzerland. Patient characteristics, sac/val transition, and maintenance were reported at study enrolment and approximately 3 and 6 months after sac/val initiation. The primary endpoint was achievement of 200 mg BID sac/val with maintenance for ≥12 weeks. Secondary outcomes included dosing regimens, healthcare utilization in the 6 months prior to sac/val initiation and during the study, patient well‐being, safety, and tolerability. Fifty‐eight patients with CHF were enrolled from 45 primary care centres. Six patients were excluded, and 19 achieved the primary endpoint (36.5%, Achievers). Non‐Achievers underwent fewer titration steps than Achievers (1.9 ± 0.9 vs. 3.1 ± 1.4). In both groups, patient well‐being improved and the percentage of New York Heart Association III patients decreased. Healthcare utilization decreased (19% vs. 30.8% in the 6 months pre‐enrolment period). The most frequent reasons for target dose non‐achievement were asymptomatic and symptomatic hypotension (15.3% and 12.1%, respectively).

Conclusions

Results from THESEUS suggest that transition to sac/val is manageable in primary care, with a safety profile corresponding to reports from specialized heart failure care.

Pharmacological interventions for heart failure in people with chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

Approximately half of people with heart failure have chronic kidney disease (CKD). Pharmacological interventions for heart failure in people with CKD have the potential to reduce death (any cause) or hospitalisations for decompensated heart failure. However, these interventions are of uncertain benefit and may increase the risk of harm, such as hypotension and electrolyte abnormalities, in those with CKD.

OBJECTIVES

This review aims to look at the benefits and harms of pharmacological interventions for HF (i.e., antihypertensive agents, inotropes, and agents that may improve the heart performance indirectly) in people with HF and CKD.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Kidney and Transplant Register of Studies through 12 September 2019 in consultation with an Information Specialist and using search terms relevant to this review. Studies in the Register are identified through searches of CENTRAL, MEDLINE, and EMBASE, conference proceedings, the International Clinical Trials Register (ICTRP) Search Portal and ClinicalTrials.gov.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included randomised controlled trials of any pharmacological intervention for acute or chronic heart failure, among people of any age with chronic kidney disease of at least three months duration.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two authors independently screened the records to identify eligible studies and extracted data on the following dichotomous outcomes: death, hospitalisations, worsening heart failure, worsening kidney function, hyperkalaemia, and hypotension. We used random effects meta-analysis to estimate treatment effects, which we expressed as a risk ratio (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). We assessed the risk of bias using the Cochrane tool. We applied the GRADE methodology to rate the certainty of evidence.

MAIN RESULTS

One hundred and twelve studies met our selection criteria: 15 were studies of adults with CKD; 16 studies were conducted in the general population but provided subgroup data for people with CKD; and 81 studies included individuals with CKD, however, data for this subgroup were not provided. The risk of bias in all 112 studies was frequently high or unclear. Of the 31 studies (23,762 participants) with data on CKD patients, follow-up ranged from three months to five years, and study size ranged from 16 to 2916 participants. In total, 26 studies (19,612 participants) reported disaggregated and extractable data on at least one outcome of interest for our review and were included in our meta-analyses. In acute heart failure, the effects of adenosine A1-receptor antagonists, dopamine, nesiritide, or serelaxin on death, hospitalisations, worsening heart failure or kidney function, hyperkalaemia, hypotension or quality of life were uncertain due to sparse data or were not reported. In chronic heart failure, the effects of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEi) or angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB) (4 studies, 5003 participants: RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.70 to 1.02; I2 = 78%; low certainty evidence), aldosterone antagonists (2 studies, 34 participants: RR 0.61 95% CI 0.06 to 6.59; very low certainty evidence), and vasopressin receptor antagonists (RR 1.26, 95% CI 0.55 to 2.89; 2 studies, 1840 participants; low certainty evidence) on death (any cause) were uncertain. Treatment with beta-blockers may reduce the risk of death (any cause) (4 studies, 3136 participants: RR 0.69, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.79; I2 = 0%; moderate certainty evidence). Treatment with ACEi or ARB (2 studies, 1368 participants: RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.43 to 1.90; I2 = 97%; very low certainty evidence) had uncertain effects on hospitalisation for heart failure, as treatment estimates were consistent with either benefit or harm. Treatment with beta-blockers may decrease hospitalisation for heart failure (3 studies, 2287 participants: RR 0.67, 95% CI 0.43 to 1.05; I2 = 87%; low certainty evidence). Aldosterone antagonists may increase the risk of hyperkalaemia compared to placebo or no treatment (3 studies, 826 participants: RR 2.91, 95% CI 2.03 to 4.17; I2 = 0%; low certainty evidence). Renin inhibitors had uncertain risks of hyperkalaemia (2 studies, 142 participants: RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.49 to 1.49; I2 = 0%; very low certainty). We were unable to estimate whether treatment with sinus node inhibitors affects the risk of hyperkalaemia, as there were few studies and meta-analysis was not possible. Hyperkalaemia was not reported for the CKD subgroup in studies investigating other therapies. The effects of ACEi or ARB, or aldosterone antagonists on worsening heart failure or kidney function, hypotension, or quality of life were uncertain due to sparse data or were not reported. Effects of anti-arrhythmic agents, digoxin, phosphodiesterase inhibitors, renin inhibitors, sinus node inhibitors, vasodilators, and vasopressin receptor antagonists were very uncertain due to the paucity of studies.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

The effects of pharmacological interventions for heart failure in people with CKD are uncertain and there is insufficient evidence to inform clinical practice. Study data for treatment outcomes in patients with heart failure and CKD are sparse despite the potential impact of kidney impairment on the benefits and harms of treatment. Future research aimed at analysing existing data in general population HF studies to explore the effect in subgroups of patients with CKD, considering stage of disease, may yield valuable insights for the management of people with HF and CKD.

Systolic Blood Pressure and Outcomes in Patients With Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction

BACKGROUND

National guidelines recommend that systolic blood pressure (SBP) in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and hypertension be maintained below 130 mm Hg.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to determine associations of SBP <130 mm Hg with outcomes in patients with HFrEF.

METHODS

Of the 25,345 patients in the Medicare-linked OPTIMIZE-HF registry, 10,535 had an ejection fraction (EF) ≤40%. Of these, 5,615 had stable SBP (≤20 mm Hg admission to discharge variation), and 3,805 (68%) had a discharge SBP <130 mm Hg. Propensity scores for SBP <130 mm Hg, estimated for each of the 5,615 patients, were used to assemble a matched cohort of 1,189 pairs of patients with SBP <130 versus ≥130 mm Hg, balanced on 58 baseline characteristics (mean age 76 years; mean EF 28%, 45% women, 13% African American). This process was repeated in 3,946 patients, after excluding 1,669 patients (30% of 5,615) with a discharge SBP <110 mm Hg and assembled a second matched balanced cohort of 1,099 pairs of patients with SBP 110 to 129 mm Hg versus ≥130 mm Hg.

RESULTS

Thirty-day all-cause mortality occurred in 7% and 4% of matched patients with SBP <130 mm Hg versus ≥130 mm Hg, respectively (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.76; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.24 to 2.48; p = 0.001). HRs (95% CIs) for all-cause mortality, all-cause readmission, and HF readmission at 1 year, associated with SBP <130 mm Hg, were 1.32 (1.15 to 1.53; p < 0.001), 1.11 (1.01 to 1.23; p = 0.030), and 1.24 (1.09 to 1.42; p = 0.001), respectively. HRs (95% CIs) for 30-day and 1-year all-cause mortality associated with SBP 110 to 129 mm Hg (vs. ≥130 mm Hg) were 1.50 (1.03 to 2.19; p = 0.035), and 1.19 (1.02 to 1.39; p = 0.029), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Among hospitalized older patients with HFrEF, SBP <130 mm Hg is associated with poor outcomes. This association persisted when the analyses were repeated after excluding patients with SBP <110 mm Hg. There is an urgent need for randomized controlled trials to evaluate optimal SBP reduction goals in patients with HFrEF.

One- to 10-Day Versus 11- to 30-Day All-Cause Readmission and Mortality in Older Patients With Heart Failure

Heart failure (HF) is the leading cause for 30-day all-cause readmission in older Medicare beneficiaries and 30-day all-cause readmission is associated with a higher risk of mortality. In the current analysis, we examined if that association varied by timing of 30-day all-cause readmission. Of the 8,049 Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized for HF, 1,688 had 30-day all-cause readmissions, of whom 1,519 were alive at 30 days. Of these, 626 (41%) had early (first 10 days) 30-day readmission. Propensity scores for early 30-day readmission, estimated for all 1,519 patients, were used to assemble a matched cohort of 596 pairs of patients with early versus late (11 to 30 days) all-cause readmission balanced on 34 baseline characteristics. Two-year all-cause mortality occurred in 51% and 57% of matched patients with early versus late 30-day all-cause readmissions, respectively (hazard ratio [HR] associated with late 30-day readmission, 1.22; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04 to 1.42; p = 0.014). This association was not observed in the subset of 436 patients whose 30-day all-cause readmission was due to HF (HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.79 to 1.28; p = 0.963), but was observed in the subset of 756 patients whose 30-day all-cause readmission was not due to HF (HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.12 to 1.67; p = 0.002; p for interaction, 0.057). In conclusion, in a high-risk subset of older hospitalized HF patients readmitted within 30 days, readmission during 11 to 30 (vs 1 to 10) days was associated with a higher risk of death and this association appeared to be more pronounced in those readmitted for non-HF-related reasons.

Reverse J-Curve Relationship Between On-Treatment Blood Pressure and Mortality in Patients With Heart Failure

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess the relationship between on-treatment blood pressure (BP) and clinical outcomes of patients with heart failure (HF).

BACKGROUND

Lower BP has been reported to be related to increased mortality in various cardiovascular diseases. The optimal BP level for patients already experiencing HF is contentious.

METHODS

The Korean Acute Heart Failure registry prospectively enrolled a total of 5,625 consecutive patients hospitalized for acute HF in 10 tertiary university hospitals in Korea between March 2011 and February 2014. Clinical profiles including BP were collected at admission, discharge, and during outpatient follow-up. Mean on-treatment BP was calculated from BP at discharge and at each follow-up visit. We evaluated the effects of mean on-treatment BP on the clinical outcomes of patients.

RESULTS

Patients were followed up for a median 2.2 years. One-year mortality after discharge was 18.2%. The relationship between on-treatment BP and all-cause mortality followed a reversed J-curve relationship. A nonlinear, multivariable Cox proportional hazard model identified a nadir of systolic and diastolic BPs of 132.4/74.2 mm Hg in patients, for whom the mortality rate was lowest (p < 0.0001). The relationship with increased mortality above and below the reference BP was more definitive for diastolic BP and for HF with a preserved ejection fraction.

CONCLUSIONS

Systolic and diastolic BPs <130/70 mm Hg at discharge and during follow-up was associated with worse survival in HF patients. These data suggest that the lowest BP possible might not be an optimal target for HF patients. Further studies should establish a proper BP goal in HF patients. (Registry [Prospective Cohort] for Heart Failure in Korea [KorAHF]; NCT01389843).

Systolic Blood Pressure and Outcomes in Patients With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction

IMPORTANCE

Lower systolic blood pressure (SBP) levels are associated with poor outcomes in patients with heart failure. Less is known about this association in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).

OBJECTIVE

To determine the associations of SBP levels with mortality and other outcomes in HFpEF.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A propensity score-matched observational study of the Medicare-linked Organized Program to Initiate Lifesaving Treatment in Hospitalized Patients with Heart Failure (OPTIMIZE-HF) registry included 25 354 patients who were discharged alive; 8873 (35.0%) had an ejection fraction of at least 50%, and of these, 3915 (44.1%) had stable SBP levels (≤20 mm Hg admission to discharge variation). Data were collected from 259 hospitals in 48 states between March 1, 2003, and December 31, 2004. Data were analyzed from March 1, 2003, to December 31, 2008.

EXPOSURE

Discharge SBP levels less than 120 mm Hg. A total of 1076 of 3915 (27.5%) had SBP levels less than 120 mm Hg, of whom 901 (83.7%) were matched by propensity scores with 901 patients with SBP levels of 120 mm Hg or greater who were balanced on 58 baseline characteristics.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Thirty-day, 1-year, and overall all-cause mortality and heart failure readmission through December 31, 2008.

RESULTS

The 1802 matched patients had a mean (SD) age of 79 (10) years; 1147 (63.7%) were women, and 134 (7.4%) were African American. Thirty-day all-cause mortality occurred in 91 (10%) and 45 (5%) of matched patients with discharge SBP of less than 120 mm Hg vs 120 mm Hg or greater, respectively (hazard ratio [HR], 2.07; 95% CI, 1.45-2.95; P < .001). Systolic blood pressure level less than 120 mm Hg was also associated with a higher risk of mortality at 1 year (39% vs 31%; HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.16-1.59; P < .001) and during a median follow-up of 2.1 (overall 6) years (HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.05-1.30; P = .005). Systolic blood pressure level less than 120 mm Hg was associated with a higher risk of heart failure readmission at 30 days (HR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.08-2.01; P = .02) but not at 1 or 6 years. Hazard ratios for the combined end point of heart failure readmission or all-cause mortality associated with SBP level less than 120 mm at 30 days, 1 year, and overall were 1.71 (95% CI, 1.34-2.18; P < .001), 1.21 (95% CI, 1.07-1.38; P = .004), and 1.12 (95% CI, 1.01-1.24; P = .03), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among hospitalized patients with HFpEF, an SBP level less than 120 mm Hg is significantly associated with poor outcomes. Future studies need to prospectively evaluate optimal SBP treatment goals in patients with HFpEF.

Racial differences in mortality in patients with advanced systolic heart failure: potential role of right ventricular ejection fraction

In Beta-Blocker Evaluation of Survival Trial (BEST) bucindolol significantly reduced mortality among Caucasians with systolic heart failure (HF) but not among African Americans. Whether this differential effect can be explained by racial differences in baseline characteristics has not been previously examined. Of the 2708 BEST participants, 627 were African Americans. Because African Americans were more likely to be younger and women, we used age-sex-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) to estimate their outcomes (vs. Caucasians). A step-wise multivariable-adjusted model using 24 baseline characteristics was used to identify variables associated with between-race outcome differences and propensity-matching was used to determine independence of associations. Age-sex-adjusted HR for all-cause mortality for African Americans during 2 years of mean follow-up was 1.27. African Americans were more likely to have lower right ventricular ejection fraction. African Americans had no association with mortality among propensity-matched patients. The higher risk of death among African Americans in BEST may in part be due to their lower RVEF which may in part explain the lack of response to bucindolol among these patients. Future studies need to examine the role of low RVEF on the effect of beta-blockers in patients with systolic HF.

Calcium channel blockers and outcomes in older patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction

BACKGROUND

Little is known about associations of calcium channel blockers (CCBs) with outcomes in patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction (EF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Of the 10 570 hospitalized patients with heart failure and preserved EF, ≥65 years, EF ≥40%, in the Organized Program to Initiate Lifesaving Treatment in Hospitalized Patients with Heart Failure (OPTIMIZE-HF; 2003-2004), linked to Medicare data (through December 31, 2008), 7514 had no prior history of CCB use. Of these, 815 (11%) patients received new discharge prescriptions for CCBs. Propensity scores for CCB initiation, calculated for each of the 7514 patients, were used to assemble a matched cohort of 1620 (810 pairs) patients (mean age, 80 years; mean EF, 56%; 65% women; 10% black) receiving and not receiving CCBs, balanced on 114 baseline characteristics. The primary composite end point of all-cause mortality or heart failure hospitalization occurred in 82% and 81% of patients receiving and not receiving CCBs (hazard ratio for CCBs, 1.03; 95% confidence interval, 0.92-1.14). Hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for all-cause mortality, heart failure hospitalization, and all-cause hospitalization were 1.05 (0.94-1.18), 1.05 (0.91-1.21), and 1.03 (0.93-1.14), respectively. Similar associations were observed when we categorized patients into those receiving amlodipine and nonamlodipine CCBs. Among 7514 prematch patients, multivariable-adjusted and propensity-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for primary composite end point were 1.03 (0.95-1.12) and 1.02 (0.94-1.11), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In hospitalized older patients with heart failure, new discharge prescriptions for CCBs had no associations with composite or individual end points of mortality or heart failure hospitalization, regardless of the class of CCBs.

Systolic blood pressure and mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation and heart failure: insights from the AFFIRM and AF-CHF studies

AIMS

To investigate the association between baseline systolic blood pressure levels and mortality in patients with AF with or without LV dysfunction. Hypertension leads to cardiovascular disease but, in specific groups, low blood pressure has been associated with a paradoxical increase in mortality. In patients with AF and heart failure, the relationship between blood pressure and death remains largely unknown.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We conducted a post-hoc combined analysis on pooled data from AFFIRM and AF-CHF trials and assessed the relationship between baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP) and mortality and hospitalizations. Patients were classified according to LVEF (>40%, ≤40%) and baseline SBP (<120 mmHg, 120-140 mmHg, >140 mmHg). A total of 5436 patients with non-permanent AF were followed for 41 ± 16 months. In patients with LVEF >40%, baseline SBP was not related to mortality using multivariate Cox regression analyses to adjust for baseline differences (P = 0.563). In contrast, in patients with LVEF ≤40% (n = 1980), SBP <120 mmHg and SBP >140 mmHg were both associated with a significant increase in total mortality compared with SBP 120-140 mmHg [hazard ratio (HR) 1.75, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.41-2.17; and HR 1.40, 95% CI 1.04-1.90, respectively]. Hospitalizations were unrelated to SBP regardless of LVEF.

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality is modulated by baseline SBP levels in patients with AF and depressed EF but not in patients with normal EF. Targeted therapy of AF patients based on SBP merits further prospective investigation.

Recommendations to prescribe in complex older adults: results of the CRIteria to assess appropriate Medication use among Elderly complex patients (CRIME) project

The occurrence of several geriatric conditions may influence the efficacy and limit the use of drugs prescribed to treat chronic conditions. Functional and cognitive impairment, geriatric syndromes (i.e. falls or malnutrition) and limited life expectancy are common features of old age, which may limit the efficacy of pharmacological treatments and question the appropriateness of treatment. However, the assessment of these geriatric conditions is rarely incorporated into clinical trials and treatment guidelines. The CRIME (CRIteria to assess appropriate Medication use among Elderly complex patients) project is aimed at producing recommendations to guide pharmacologic prescription in older complex patients with a limited life expectancy, functional and cognitive impairment, and geriatric syndromes, and providing physicians with a tool to improve the quality of prescribing, independent of setting and nationality. To achieve these aims, we performed the following: (i) Existing disease-specific guidelines on pharmacological prescription for the treatment of diabetes, hypertension, congestive heart failure, atrial fibrillation and coronary heart disease were reviewed to assess whether they include specific indications for complex patients; (ii) a literature search was performed to identify relevant articles assessing the pharmacological treatment of complex patients; (iii) A total of 19 new recommendations were developed based on the results of the literature search and expert consensus. In conclusion, the new recommendations evaluate the appropriateness of pharmacological prescription in older complex patients, translating the recommendations of clinical guidelines to patients with a limited life expectancy, functional and cognitive impairment, and geriatric syndromes. These recommendations cannot represent substitutes for careful clinical consideration and deliberation by physicians; the recommendations are not meant to replace existing clinical guidelines, but they may be used to help physicians in the prescribing process.

Blood pressure and heart failure risk among diabetic patients

BACKGROUND

Blood pressure (BP) control has been shown to reduce the risk of heart failure (HF) among diabetic patients; however, it is not known whether the lowest clinical BP achieved ultimately results in the lowest risk of HF in diabetic patients.

METHODS

We performed a prospective cohort study which included 17,181 African American and 12,446 white diabetic patients without established coronary heart disease and HF at diabetes diagnosis. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the association of different levels of BP stratification with incident HF.

RESULTS

During a mean follow up of 6.5 years, 5,089 incident HF cases were identified. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios of HF associated with different levels of systolic/diastolic BP (<110/65, 110-119/65-69, 120-129/70-80, 130-139/80-90 [reference group], 140-159/90-100, and ≥ 160/100 mmHg) were 1.79 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.53-2.11), 1.34 (95% CI 1.16-1.53), 1.02 (95% CI 0.92-1.13), 1.00, 1.04 (95% CI 0.95-1.12), and 1.26 (95% CI 1.16-1.37) using baseline BP measurements, and 2.63 (95% CI 2.02-3.41), 1.84 (95% CI 1.59-2.13), 1.25 (95% CI 1.14-1.37), 1.00, 1.11 (95% CI 1.03-1.19), and 1.32 (95% CI 1.20-1.44) using an updated mean value of BP during follow-up, respectively. The U-shaped association was confirmed in both patients who were and were not taking antihypertensive drugs, and in incident systolic HF (ejection fraction ≤ 40%) and incident HF with a preserved ejection fraction (ejection fraction >40%).

CONCLUSIONS

The current study suggests a U-shaped association between observed BP and the risk of HF among diabetic patients.

The influence of atorvastatin on parameters of inflammation left ventricular function, hospitalizations and mortality in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy--5-year follow-up

Background

We assessed the influence of atorvastatin on selected indicators of an inflammatory condition, left ventricular function, hospitalizations and mortality in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM).

Methods

We included 68 DCM patients with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤40% treated optimally in a prospective, randomized study. They were observed for 5 years. Patients were divided into two groups: patients who were commenced on atorvastatin 40 mg daily for two months followed by an individually matched dose of 10 or 20 mg/day (group A), and patients who were treated according to current recommendations without statin therapy (group B).

Results

After 5-year follow-up we assessed 45 patients of mean age 59 ± 11 years - 22 patients in group A (77% male) and 23 patients in group B (82% male). Interleukin-6, tumor necrosis factor alpha, and uric acid concentrations were significantly lower in the statin group than in group B (14.96 ± 4.76 vs. 19.02 ± 3.94 pg/ml, p = 0.012; 19.10 ± 6.39 vs. 27.53 ± 7.39 pg/ml, p = 0.001, and 5.28 ± 0.48 vs. 6.53 ± 0.46 mg/dl, p = 0.001, respectively). In patients on statin therapy a reduction of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide concentration (from 1425.28 ± 1264.48 to 1098.01 ± 1483.86 pg/ml, p = 0.045), decrease in left ventricular diastolic (from 7.15 ± 0.90 to 6.67 ± 0.88 cm, p = 0.001) and systolic diameters (from 5.87 ± 0.92 to 5.17 ± 0.97, p = 0.001) in comparison to initial values were observed. We also showed the significant increase of LVEF in patients after statin therapy (from 32.0 ± 6.4 to 38.8 ± 8.8%, p = 0.016). Based on a comparison of curves using the log-rank test, the probability of survival to 5 years was significantly higher in patients receiving statins (p = 0.005).

Conclusions

Atorvastatin in a small dose significantly reduce levels of inflammatory cytokines and uric acid, improve hemodynamic parameters and improve 5-year survival in patients with DCM.

Blood pressure j-curve: current concepts

The blood pressure (BP) J-curve debate started in 1979, and we still cannot definitively answer all the questions. However, available studies of antihypertensive treatment provide strong evidence for J-shaped relationships between both diastolic and systolic BP and main outcomes in the general population of hypertensive patients, as well as in high-risk populations, including subjects with coronary artery disease, diabetes mellitus, left ventricular hypertrophy, and elderly patients. However, further studies are still necessary in order to clarify this issue. This is connected to the fact that most available studies were observational, and randomized trials did not have or lost their statistical power and were inconclusive. Perhaps only the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT) and Optimal Blood Pressure and Cholesterol Targets for Preventing Recurrent Stroke in Hypertensives (ESH-CHL-SHOT) will be able to finally answer all the questions. According to the current state of knowledge, it seems reasonable to suggest lowering BP to values within the 130-139/80-85 mmHg range, possibly close to the lower values in this range, in all hypertensive patients and to be very careful with further BP level reductions, especially in high-risk hypertensive patients.

Effect of warfarin on outcomes in septuagenarian patients with atrial fibrillation

Anticoagulation has been shown to decrease ischemic stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF). However, concerns remain regarding their safety and efficacy in those ≥70 years of age who constitute most patients with AF. Of the 4,060 patients (mean age 65 years, range 49 to 80) in the Atrial Fibrillation Follow-up Investigation of Rhythm Management (AFFIRM) trial, 2,248 (55% of 4,060) were 70 to 80 years of age, 1,901 of whom were receiving warfarin. Propensity score for warfarin use, estimated for each of the 2,248 patients, was used to match 227 of the 347 patients not on warfarin (in 1:1, 1:2, or 1:3 sets) to 616 patients on warfarin who were balanced in 45 baseline characteristics. All-cause mortality occurred in 18% and 33% of matched patients receiving and not receiving warfarin, respectively, during up to 6 years (mean 3.4) of follow-up (hazard ratio [HR] when warfarin use was compared to its nonuse 0.58, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.43 to 0.77, p <0.001). All-cause hospitalization occurred in 64% and 67% of matched patients receiving and not receiving warfarin, respectively (HR associated with warfarin use 0.93, 95% CI 0.77 to 1.12, p = 0.423). Ischemic stroke occurred in 4% and 8% of matched patients receiving and not receiving warfarin, respectively (HR associated with warfarin use 0.57, 95% CI 0.31 to 1.04, p = 0.068). Major bleeding occurred in 7% and 10% of matched patients receiving and not receiving warfarin, respectively (HR associated with warfarin use 0.73, 95% CI 0.44 to 1.22, p = 0.229). In conclusion, warfarin use was associated with decreased mortality in septuagenarian patients with AF but had no association with hospitalization or major bleeding.

A propensity-matched study of the association of diabetes mellitus with incident heart failure and mortality among community-dwelling older adults

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a risk factor for incident heart failure (HF) in older adults. However, the extent to which this association is independent of other risk factors remains unclear. Of 5,464 community-dwelling adults ≥65 years old in the Cardiovascular Health Study without baseline HF, 862 had DM (fasting plasma glucose levels ≥126 mg/dl or treatment with insulin or oral hypoglycemic agents). Propensity scores for DM were estimated for each of the 5,464 participants and were used to assemble a cohort of 717 pairs of participants with and without DM who were balanced in 65 baseline characteristics. Incident HF occurred in 31% and 26% of matched participants with and without DM, respectively, during >13 years of follow-up (hazard ratio 1.45 for DM vs no DM, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.14 to 1.86, p = 0.003). Of the 5,464 participants before matching unadjusted and multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for incident HF associated with DM were 2.22 (95% CI 1.94 to 2.55, p <0.001) and 1.52 (95% CI 1.30 to 1.78, p <0.001), respectively. All-cause mortality occurred in 57% and 47% of matched participants with and without DM, respectively (hazard ratio 1.35, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.61, p = 0.001). Of matched participants DM-associated hazard ratios for incident peripheral arterial disease, incident acute myocardial infarction, and incident stroke were 2.50 (95% CI 1.45 to 4.32, p = 0.001), 1.37 (95% CI 0.97 to 1.93, p = 0.072), and 1.11 (95% CI 0.81 to 1.51, p = 0.527), respectively. In conclusion, the association of DM with incident HF and all-cause mortality in community-dwelling older adults without HF is independent of major baseline cardiovascular risk factors.

A propensity-matched study of the comparative effectiveness of angiotensin receptor blockers versus angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors in heart failure patients age ≥ 65 years

The comparative effectiveness of angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors versus angiotensin II type 1 receptor blockers (ARBs) in real-world older heart failure (HF) patients remains unclear. Of the 8,049 hospitalized HF patients aged ≥ 65 years discharged alive from 106 Alabama hospitals, 4,044 received discharge prescriptions of either ACE inhibitors (n = 3,383) or ARBs (n = 661). Propensity scores for ARB use, calculated for each of 4,044 patients, were used to match 655 (99% of 661) patients receiving ARBs with 661 patients receiving ACE inhibitors. The assembled cohort of 655 pairs of patients was well balanced on 56 baseline characteristics. During >8 years of follow-up, all-cause mortality occurred in 63% and 68% of matched patients receiving ARBs and ACE inhibitors, respectively (hazard ratio [HR] associated with ARB use 0.86, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.75 to 0.99, p = 0.031). Among the 956 matched patients with data on the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), the association between ARB (vs ACE inhibitor) use was significant in only 419 patients with LVEFs ≥ 45% (HR 0.65, 95% CI 0.51 to 0.84, p = 0.001) but not in the 537 patients with LVEFs < 45% (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.23, p = 0.999; p for interaction = 0.012). HRs for HF hospitalization associated with ARB use were 0.99 (95% CI 0.86 to 1.14, p = 0.876) overall, 0.80 (95% CI 0.63 to 1.03, p = 0.080) in those with LVEFs ≥45%, and 1.14 (95% CI 0.91 to 1.43, p = 0.246) in those with LVEFs <45% (p for interaction = 0.060). In conclusion, in older HF patients with preserved LVEFs, discharge prescriptions of ARBs (vs ACE inhibitors) were associated with lower mortality and a trend toward lower HF hospitalization, findings that need replication in other HF populations.

Bucindolol, systolic blood pressure, and outcomes in systolic heart failure: a prespecified post hoc analysis of BEST

BACKGROUND

In the Beta-Blocker Evaluation of Survival Trial (BEST), systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≤ 120 mm Hg was an independent predictor of poor prognosis in ambulatory patients with chronic systolic heart failure (HF). Because SBP is an important predictor of response to β-blocker therapy, the BEST protocol prespecified a post hoc analysis to determine whether the effect of bucindolol varied by baseline SBP.

METHODS

In the BEST, 2706 patients with chronic systolic (left ventricular ejection fraction < 35%) HF and New York Heart Association class III (92%) or IV (8%) symptoms and receiving standard background therapy were randomized to receive either bucindolol (n = 1354) or placebo (n = 1354). Of these, 1751 had SBP ≤ 120 mm Hg, and 955 had SBP > 120 mm Hg at baseline.

RESULTS

Among patients with SBP > 120 mm Hg, all-cause mortality occurred in 28% and 22% of patients receiving placebo and bucindolol, respectively (hazard ratio when bucindolol was compared with placebo, 0.77; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59-0.99; P = 0.039). In contrast, among those with SBP ≤ 120 mm Hg, 36% and 35% of patients in the placebo and bucindolol groups died, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.81-1.12; P = 0.541). Hazard ratios (95% CIs; P values) for HF hospitalization associated with bucindolol use were 0.70 (0.56-0.89; P = 0.003) and 0.82 (0.71-0.95; P = 0.008) for patients with SBP > 120 and ≤ 120 mm Hg, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Bucindolol, a nonselective β-blocker with weak α(2)-blocking properties, significantly reduced HF hospitalization in systolic HF patients regardless of baseline SBP. However, bucindolol reduced mortality only in those with SBP > 120 mm Hg.

Baseline characteristics, quality of care, and outcomes of younger and older Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized with heart failure: findings from the Alabama Heart Failure Project

BACKGROUND

Most studies of heart failure (HF) in Medicare beneficiaries have excluded patients age <65 years. We examined baseline characteristics, quality of care, and outcomes among younger and older Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized with HF in the Alabama Heart Failure Project.

METHODS

Of the 8049 Medicare beneficiaries discharged alive with a primary discharge diagnosis of HF in 1998-2001 from 106 Alabama hospitals, 991 (12%) were younger (age <65 years). After excluding 171 patients discharge to hospice care, 7867 patients were considered eligible for left ventricular systolic function (LVSF) evaluation and 2211 patients with left ventricular ejection fraction <45% and without contraindications were eligible for angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB) therapy.

RESULTS

Nearly half of the younger HF patients (45% versus 22% for ≥65 years; p<0.001) were African American. LVSF was evaluated in 72%, 72%, 70% and 60% (overall p<0.001) and discharge prescriptions of ACE inhibitors or ARBs were given to 83%, 77%, 75% and 75% of eligible patients (overall p=0.013) among those <65, 65-74, 75-84 and ≥85 years respectively. During 9 years of follow-up, all-cause mortality occurred in 54%, 61%, 71% and 80% (overall p<0.001) and hospital readmission due to worsening HF occurred in 65%, 60%, 55% and 48% (overall p<0.001) of those <65, 65-74, 75-84 and ≥85 years respectively.

CONCLUSION

Medicare beneficiaries <65 years with HF, nearly half of whom were African American generally received better quality of care, had lower mortality, but had higher re-hospitalizations due to HF.

What should be the optimal levels of blood pressure: Does the J-curve phenomenon really exist?

INTRODUCTION

The blood pressure (BP) J-curve debate has lasted for over 30 years and we still cannot definitively answer all the questions. However, recent studies suggest that BP should be reduced carefully in patients with hypertension and coronary artery disease. BP should not fall below 110 - 115/70 - 75 mmHg, because this may be associated with more cardiovascular events.

AREAS COVERED

A retrospective analysis of the INVEST Trial and the results of the BP arm of the ACCORD Trial shows that care is needed in patients with hypertension and diabetes. Although the ACCORD BP Trial suggests important benefits connected with the significant reduction of stroke in patients being treated intensively, it also shows the lack of advantage of such therapy on each main and other additional endpoints. The ACCORD Trial also confirmed the increased risk of adverse events that might appear when intensive treatment was used in this group of patients.

EXPERT OPINION

Most available studies were observational and randomized trials (BBB, HOT, ACCORD BP), do not have or have lost their statistical power and were inconclusive. Further studies are therefore needed to provide definitive conclusions on the subject. In the meantime, it seems that in high-risk patients with hypertension, it is necessary to carefully select those who might suffer adverse events and those who may benefit from intensive BP lowering.

Relation of baseline systolic blood pressure and long-term outcomes in ambulatory patients with chronic mild to moderate heart failure

We studied the impact of baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP) on outcomes in patients with mild to moderate chronic systolic and diastolic heart failure (HF) in the Digitalis Investigation Group trial using a propensity-matched design. Of 7,788 patients, 7,785 had baseline SBP data and 3,538 had SBP ≤ 120 mm Hg. Propensity scores for SBP ≤ 120 mm Hg, calculated for each of the 7,785 patients, were used to assemble a matched cohort of 3,738 patients with SBP ≤ 120 and >120 mm Hg who were well-balanced in 32 baseline characteristics. All-cause mortality occurred in 35% and 32% of matched patients with SBPs ≤ 120 and >120 mm Hg respectively, during 5 years of follow-up (hazard ratio [HR] when SBP ≤ 120 was compared to >120 mm Hg 1.10, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.99 to 1.23, p = 0.088). HRs for cardiovascular and HF mortalities associated with SBP ≤ 120 mm Hg were 1.15 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.30, p = 0.031) and 1.30 (95% CI 1.08 to 1.57, p = 0.006). Cardiovascular hospitalization occurred in 53% and 49% of matched patients with SBPs ≤ 120 and > 120 mm Hg, respectively (HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.24, p = 0.008). HRs for all-cause and HF hospitalizations associated with SBP ≤ 120 mm Hg were 1.10 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.194, p = 0.017) and 1.21 (95% CI 1.07 to 1.36, p = 0.002). In conclusion, in patients with mild to moderate long-term systolic and diastolic HF, baseline SBP ≤ 120 mm Hg was associated with increased cardiovascular and HF mortalities and all-cause, cardiovascular, and HF hospitalizations that was independent of other baseline characteristics.

The Rise and Fall of Hypertension: Lessons Learned from Eastern Europe

Hypertension is a progressive cardiovascular syndrome that arises from many differing, but interrelated, etiologies. Hypertension is the most prevalent cardiovascular disorder, affecting 20% to 50% of the adult population in developed countries. Arterial hypertension is a major risk factor for cardiovascular diseases and death. Epidemiologic data have shown that control of hypertension is achieved in only a small percentage of hypertensive patients. Findings from the World Health Organization project Monitoring Trends and Determinants in Cardiovascular Diseases (MONICA) showed a remarkably high prevalence (about 65%) of hypertension in Eastern Europeans. There is virtually no difference however, between the success rate in controlling hypertension when comparing Eastern and Western European populations. Diagnosing hypertension depends on both population awareness of the dangers of hypertension and medical interventions aimed at the detecting elevated blood pressure, even in asymptomatic patients. Medical compliance with guidelines for the treatment of hypertension is variable throughout Eastern Europe. Prevalence of hypertension increases with age, and the management of hypertension in elderly is a significant problem. The treatment of hypertension demands a comprehensive approach to the patient with regard to cardiovascular risk and individualization of hypertensive therapy.

Warfarin use and outcomes in patients with advanced chronic systolic heart failure without atrial fibrillation, prior thromboembolic events, or prosthetic valves

Warfarin is often used in patients with systolic heart failure (HF) to prevent adverse outcomes. However, its long-term effect remains controversial. The objective of this study was to determine the association of warfarin use and outcomes in patients with advanced chronic systolic HF without atrial fibrillation (AF), previous thromboembolic events, or prosthetic valves. Of the 2,708 BEST patients, 1,642 were free of AF without a history of thromboembolic events and without prosthetic valves at baseline. Of these, 471 patients (29%) were receiving warfarin. Propensity scores for warfarin use were estimated for each patient and were used to assemble a matched cohort of 354 pairs of patients with and without warfarin use who were balanced on 62 baseline characteristics. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were used to estimate the association between warfarin use and outcomes during 4.5 years of follow-up. Matched participants had a mean age ± SD of 57 ± 13 years with 24% women and 24% African-Americans. All-cause mortality occurred in 30% of matched patients in the 2 groups receiving and not receiving warfarin (hazard ratio 0.86, 95% confidence interval 0.62 to 1.19, p = 0.361). Warfarin use was not associated with cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio 0.97, 95% confidence interval 0.68 to 1.38, p = 0.855), or HF hospitalization (hazard ratio 1.09, 95% confidence interval 0.82 to 1.44, p = 0.568). In conclusion, in patients with chronic advanced systolic HF without AF or other recommended indications for anticoagulation, prevalence of warfarin use was high. However, despite a therapeutic international normalized ratio in those receiving warfarin, its use had no significant intrinsic association with mortality and hospitalization.

Current problems in hypertension and nephrology

The aim of this issue of Expert Opinion on Pharmacotherapy is to present the most important and controversial problems in hypertension and nephrology. To this end, the most important points of the current (2009) recommendations of the European Society of Hypertension (ESH) are discussed, including aspects related to the treatment of hypertension - the role of beta-blockers, combined therapy with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) the treatment of hypertension in elderly patients, and role of destiffening therapy. The authors also present current recommendations for the management of dyslipidemia in hypertensive and chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients, and new strategies to prevent cardiovascular risk in CKD patients, the optimal level of blood pressure in patients with hypertensive nephropathy and which hypotensive drugs are the most nephroprotective. The Editors are aware that many other important problems have not been addressed in this issue of the journal; however, they hope the readers find it interesting and useful.