Variations in Incidence and Prognosis of Stage 4 CKD Among Adults Identified Using Different Algorithms: A Population-Based Cohort Study

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Clinical guidelines define chronic kidney disease (CKD) as abnormalities of kidney structure or function for>3 months. Assessment of the duration criterion may be implemented in different ways, potentially impacting estimates of disease incidence or prevalence in the population, individual diagnosis, and treatment decisions, especially for more severe cases. We investigated differences in incidence and prognosis of CKD stage G4 identified by 1 of 4 algorithms.

STUDY DESIGN

Population-based cohort study in Alberta, Canada.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Residents>18 years old with incident CKD stage G4 (eGFR 15-29mL/min/1.73m2) diagnosed between April 1, 2015, and March 31, 2018, based on administrative and laboratory data.

EXPOSURE

Four outpatient eGFR-based algorithms, increasing in stringency, for defining cohorts with CKD G4 were evaluated: (1) a single test, (2) first eGFR<30mL/min/1.73m2 and a second eGFR 15-29mL/min/1.73m2 measured>90 days apart (2 tests), (3) ≥2 eGFR measurements of<30mL/min/1.73m2 sustained for>90 days (qualifying period) and the last eGFR in the qualifying period of 15-29mL/min/1.73m2 (relaxed sustained), and (4) ≥2 consecutive measurements of 15-29mL/min/1.73m2 for>90 days (rigorous sustained).

OUTCOME

Time to the earliest of death, eGFR improvement (a sustained increase in eGFR to≥30mL/min/1.73m2 for>90 days and>25% increase from the index eGFR), or kidney failure.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

For each of the 4 cohorts, incidence rates and event-specific cumulative incidence functions at 1 year from cohort entry were estimated.

RESULTS

The incidence rates of CKD G4 decreased as algorithms became more stringent, from 190.7 (single test) to 79.9 (rigorous sustained) per 100,000 person-years. The 2 cohorts based on sustained reductions in eGFR were of comparable size and 1-year event-specific probabilities. The 2 cohorts based on a single test and a 2-test sequence were larger and experienced higher probabilities of eGFR improvement.

LIMITATIONS

A short follow-up period of 1 year and a predominantly White population.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of more stringent algorithms for defining CKD G4 results in substantially lower estimates of disease incidence, the identification of a group with a lower probability of eGFR improvement, and a higher risk of kidney failure. These findings can inform implementation decisions of disease definitions in clinical reporting systems and research studies.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

Although guidelines recommend>3 months to define chronic kidney disease (CKD), the methods for defining specific stages, particularly G4 (eGFR 15-29mL/min/1.73m2) when referral to nephrology services is recommended, have been implemented differently across studies and surveillance programs. We studied differences in incidence and prognosis of CKD G4 cohorts identified by 4 algorithms using administrative and outpatient laboratory databases in Alberta, Canada. We found that, compared with a single-test definition, more stringent definitions resulted in a lower disease incidence and identified a group with worse short-term kidney outcomes. These findings highlight the impact of the choice of algorithm used to define CKD G4 on disease burden estimates at the population level, on individual prognosis, and on treatment/referral decisions.

Association between Serum Estradiol and Cardiovascular Health among Transgender Adults Using Gender-Affirming Estrogen Therapy

INTRODUCTION

Gender-affirming estrogen therapy (GAET) is commonly used for feminization in transgender and non-binary (TNB) individuals, yet the optimal rate of change (ROC) in estradiol levels for cardiovascular health is unclear. We examined the association between serum estradiol levels and cardiovascular-related mortality, adverse events, and risk factors in TNB adults using GAET.

METHODS

Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, EMBASE, MEDLINE and Web of Science were systematically searched (inception-April 2023) for original articles reporting serum estradiol levels and cardiovascular-related mortality, adverse events, and risk factors in TNB adults using GAET. Data extraction was completed in duplicate following PRISMA guidelines. Stratified random effects meta-analyses using serum estradiol ROC (serum estradiolbaseline-serum estradiolfollow-up/study duration) was used to assess longitudinal studies (Low:0

RESULTS

Thirty-five studies (13 cross-sectional, 19 cohort, 3 trials) were included. Two studies collectively reported 50 cardiovascular-related deaths, and four collectively reported 23 adverse cardiovascular events. Nineteen studies reporting cardiovascular risk factors were meta-analyzed by ROC stratum (Low=5; Moderate=6; High=8), demonstrating an association between moderate (0.40, 95%CI: 0.22, 0.59kg/m2, I2=28.2%) and high (0.46, 95%CI:0.15, 0.78kg/m2; I2=0.0%,) serum estradiol ROC and increased body mass index. High (-6.67, 95%CI:-10.65, -2.68mg/dL; I2=0.0%) serum estradiol ROC were associated with decreased low-density lipoproteins. Low (-7.05, 95%CI:-10.40, -3.70mmHg; I2=0.0%) and moderate (-3.69, 95%CI:-4.93, -2.45mmHg; I2=0.0%) serum estradiol ROC were associated with decreases in systolic blood pressure.

CONCLUSION

In TNB adults using GAET, serum estradiol ROC may influence cardiovascular risk factors, which may have implications for clinical cardiovascular outcomes.

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Key Words

• cardiovascular
• gender-affirming estrogen therapy
• rate of change
• serum estradiol
• transgender women

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Affiliation(s)

Chantal L Rytz University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
Keila Turino Miranda McGill University, Canada
Paul E Ronksley University of Calgary, Canada
Nathalie Saad Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
Satish R Raj Department of Cardiac Sciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada
Ranjani Somayaji University of Calgary, Canada
Sandra M Dumanski University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada
Heather Ganshorn University of Calgary, Canada
Dina N Greene Department of Laboratory Medicine, University of Washington, United States
David Collister Department of Medicine, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Amelia M Newbert Skipping Stone Foundation, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
Lindsay Peace Skipping Stone Foundation, Calgary, AB, Canada
Sofia B Ahmed University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

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Patterns of metformin use and glycated haemoglobin trends among patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes in Alberta, Canada

AIM

Canadian guidelines recommend metformin as first-line therapy for incident uncomplicated type 2 diabetes and the vast majority of patients are treated accordingly. However, only 54% 65% remain on treatment after 1 year, with the highest discontinuation rates within the first 3 months. The purpose of this study was: (a) to identify individual and clinical factors associated with metformin discontinuation among patients with newly diagnosed uncomplicated type 2 diabetes in Alberta, Canada, and (b) describe glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) trajectories in the first 12 months after initiation of pharmacotherapy, stratified by metformin usage pattern.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study using linked administrative datasets from 2012 to 2017 to define a cohort of individuals with uncomplicated incident type 2 diabetes. Using logistic regression, we determined individual and clinical characteristics associated with metformin discontinuation. We categorized individuals based on patterns of metformin use and then used mean HbA1c measurements over a 12-month follow-up period to determine glycaemic trajectories for each pattern.

RESULTS

Characteristics associated with metformin discontinuation were younger age, lower baseline HbA1c and having fewer comorbidities. Sex, income and location (urban/rural) were not significantly associated with metformin discontinuation. Individuals who continued metformin with higher adherence and individuals who discontinued metformin entirely had lowest HbA1c values at 12 months from treatment initiation. Those who changed therapy or had additional therapies added had higher HbA1c values at 12 months.

CONCLUSION

Identifying characteristics associated with discontinuation of metformin and individuals' medication usage patterns provide an opportunity for targeted interventions to support patients' glycaemic management.

Diagnostic strategies in postpartum individuals with suspected venous thromboembolism: A scoping review

BACKGROUND

The risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is increased postpartum and contributes to important morbidity and mortality. While there have been advances in evaluating diagnostic algorithms for suspected VTE during pregnancy, there is limited data for postpartum individuals.

OBJECTIVE

We conducted a scoping review to describe and evaluate diagnostic strategies used to investigate suspected VTE in postpartum individuals.

METHODS

A comprehensive search strategy was conducted in Ovid MEDLINE, Embase and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (January 1, 2000-September 30, 2022) to identify original articles that reported on diagnostic strategies in postpartum individuals with suspected VTE. We extracted demographics, clinical decision rules used, D-dimer and imaging completed, including test performance and VTE outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 13 studies conducted across 11 countries with separate postpartum data were included for 759 individuals with suspected PE (n = 634) or DVT (n = 125), including unpublished data (n = 251). Among those with suspected PE, computed tomography pulmonary angiography was conducted more commonly (n = 522) than ventilation-perfusion scans (n = 69), with PE positivity rates that ranged from 4 %-27.6 % and 0-50 % across studies, respectively. Among 131 postpartum individuals with suspected PE who had a D-dimer measured, only 4.6 % (6/131) had a negative D-dimer test. For postpartum individuals with suspected DVT, the most common diagnostic test was compression ultrasonography (positivity rate 12.2 %-18.6 %). There were limited retrospective data evaluating the clinical decision rules.

CONCLUSIONS

There are heterogeneous approaches globally in the diagnosis of suspected postpartum VTE. Limited high-quality data available underscores the need for more robust evidence to inform clinical practice.

Anxiety and depressive symptoms and migraine-related outcomes in children and adolescents

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to explore the longitudinal relationship between anxiety and depressive symptoms and migraine outcomes in children and adolescents.

BACKGROUND

Children and adolescents with migraine experience more anxiety and depressive symptoms than their peers without migraine, but it is unknown if these symptoms are associated with differential migraine outcomes.

METHODS

In this prospective clinical cohort study, children and adolescents aged 8.0-18.0 years with migraine completed headache questionnaires and validated measures of anxiety and depressive symptoms (Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System) at an initial consultation and at their first follow-up visit with a neurologist. Changes in monthly headache frequency and changes in migraine-related disability (Pediatric Migraine Disability Assessment) were tracked at each time point. The relationships between these migraine outcomes and anxiety and depressive symptoms were estimated using models controlling for sex, age, headache frequency, and treatment type.

RESULTS

There were 123 consenting participants. In models adjusted for age, sex, baseline disability score, and treatment type, baseline anxiety and depressive symptom levels were not significantly associated with change in headache frequency (for anxiety symptoms: β = -0.05, 95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.268 to 0.166, p = 0.639; for depressive symptoms: β = 0.14, 95% CI = -0.079 to 0.359, p = 0.209). Similarly, in models adjusted for age, sex, baseline headache frequency, and treatment type, the change in disability was not associated with baseline anxiety (β = -0.45, 95% CI = -1.69 to 0.78, p = 0.470), nor with baseline depressive symptom scores (β = 0.16, 95% CI = -1.07 to 1.40, p = 0.796). In post hoc exploratory analyses (N = 84 with anxiety and N = 82 with depressive symptom data at both visits), there were also no significant associations between change in mental health symptoms and change in headache frequency (for anxiety symptoms: β = -0.084, 95% CI = -0.246 to 0.078, p = 0.306; for depressive symptoms: β = -0.013, 95% CI = -0.164 to 0.138, p = 0.865). Similarly, the change in disability scores between visits was not related to the change in anxiety (β = 0.85, 95% CI = -0.095 to 1.78, p = 0.077) nor depressive symptom scores (β = 0.32, 95% CI = -0.51 to 1.15, p = 0.446).

CONCLUSION

Baseline anxiety and depressive symptom levels were not associated with longitudinal migraine outcomes and neither were longitudinal changes in anxiety and depressive symptom levels; this contradicts popular clinical belief that mental health symptoms predict or consistently change in tandem with migraine outcomes.

The effect of goal-directed fluid therapy on delayed graft function in kidney transplant recipients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Delayed graft function (DGF) is a common post-operative complication with potential long-term sequelae for many kidney transplant recipients, and hemodynamic factors and fluid status play a role. Fixed perioperative fluid infusions are the standard of care, but more recent evidence in the non-transplant population has suggested benefit with goal-directed fluid strategies based on hemodynamic targets. We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Controlled Trials Registry and Google Scholar through December 2022 for randomized controlled trials comparing risk of DGF between goal-directed and conventional fluid therapy in adults receiving a living or deceased donor kidney transplant. Effect estimates were reported with odds ratios (OR) and pooled using random effects meta-analysis. We identified 4 studies (205 participants) that met the inclusion criteria. The use of goal-directed fluid therapy had no significant effect on DGF (OR 1.37 95% CI, 0.34-5.6; p = 0.52; I2 = 0.11). Subgroup analysis examining effects among deceased and living kidney donation did not reveal significant differences in the effects of fluid strategy on DGF between subgroups. Overall, the strength of the evidence for goal-directed versus conventional fluid therapy to reduce DGF was of low certainty. Our findings highlight the need for larger trials to determine the effect of goal-directed fluid therapy on this patient-centered outcome.

Recovery of kidney function after acute kidney disease-a multi-cohort analysis

BACKGROUND

There are no consensus definitions for evaluating kidney function recovery after acute kidney injury (AKI) and acute kidney disease (AKD), nor is it clear how recovery varies across populations and clinical subsets. We present a federated analysis of four population-based cohorts from Canada, Denmark and Scotland, 2011-18.

METHODS

We identified incident AKD defined by serum creatinine changes within 48 h, 7 days and 90 days based on KDIGO AKI and AKD criteria. Separately, we applied changes up to 365 days to address widely used e-alert implementations that extend beyond the KDIGO AKI and AKD timeframes. Kidney recovery was based on resolution of AKD and a subsequent creatinine measurement below 1.2× baseline. We evaluated transitions between non-recovery, recovery and death up to 1 year; within age, sex and comorbidity subgroups; between subset AKD definitions; and across cohorts.

RESULTS

There were 464 868 incident cases, median age 67-75 years. At 1 year, results were consistent across cohorts, with pooled mortalities for creatinine changes within 48 h, 7 days, 90 days and 365 days (and 95% confidence interval) of 40% (34%-45%), 40% (34%-46%), 37% (31%-42%) and 22% (16%-29%) respectively, and non-recovery of kidney function of 19% (15%-23%), 30% (24%-35%), 25% (21%-29%) and 37% (30%-43%), respectively. Recovery by 14 and 90 days was frequently not sustained at 1 year. Older males and those with heart failure or cancer were more likely to die than to experience sustained non-recovery, whereas the converse was true for younger females and those with diabetes.

CONCLUSION

Consistently across multiple cohorts, based on 1-year mortality and non-recovery, KDIGO AKD (up to 90 days) is at least prognostically similar to KDIGO AKI (7 days), and covers more people. Outcomes associated with AKD vary by age, sex and comorbidities such that older males are more likely to die, and younger females are less likely to recover.

Time to Benefit of Surgery vs Targeted Medical Therapy for Patients With Primary Aldosteronism: A Meta-analysis

CONTEXT

Primary aldosteronism (PA) is one of the most common causes of secondary hypertension, but the comparative outcomes of targeted treatment remain unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To compare the clinical outcomes in patients treated for primary aldosteronism over time.

METHODS

Medline and EMBASE were searched. Original studies reporting the incidence of mortality, major adverse cardiovascular outcomes (MACE), progression to chronic kidney disease, or diabetes following adrenalectomy vs medical therapy were selected. Two reviewers independently abstracted data and assessed study quality. Standard meta-analyses were conducted using random-effects models to estimate relative differences. Time to benefit meta-analyses were conducted by fitting Weibull survival curves to estimate absolute risk differences and pooled using random-effects models.

RESULTS

15 541 patients (16 studies) with PA were included. Surgery was consistently associated with an overall lower risk of death (hazard ratio [HR] 0.34, 95% CI 0.22-0.54) and MACE (HR 0.55, 95% CI 0.36-0.84) compared with medical therapy. Surgery was associated with a significantly lower risk of hospitalization for heart failure (HR 0.48 95% CI 0.34-0.70) and progression to chronic kidney disease (HR 0.62 95% CI 0.39-0.98), and nonsignificant reductions in myocardial infarction and stroke. In absolute terms, 200 patients would need to be treated with surgery instead of medical therapy to prevent 1 death after 12.3 (95% CI 3.1-48.7) months.

CONCLUSION

Surgery is associated with lower all-cause mortality and MACE than medical therapy for PA. For most patients, the long-term surgical benefits outweigh the short-term perioperative risks.

Estimating the population-level impacts of improved uptake of SGLT2 inhibitors in patients with chronic kidney disease: a cross-sectional observational study using routinely collected Australian primary care data

Background

Sodium glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors reduce the risk of kidney failure and death in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) but are underused. We evaluated the number of patients with CKD in Australia that would be eligible for treatment and estimated the number of cardiorenal and kidney failure events that could be averted with improved uptake of SGLT2 inhibitors.

Methods

This cross-sectional observational study leveraged nationally representative primary care data from 392 Australian general practices (MedicineInsight) between 1 January 2020 and 31 December 2021. We identified patients that would have met inclusion criteria of key SGLT2 inhibitor trials and applied these data to age and sex-stratified estimates of CKD prevalence for the Australian population (using national census data), estimating the number of preventable events using trial event rates. Key outcomes included cardiorenal events (CKD progression, kidney failure, or death due to cardiovascular or kidney disease) and kidney failure.

Findings

In MedicineInsight, 44.2% of adults with CKD would have met CKD eligibility criteria for an SGLT2 inhibitor; baseline use was 4.1%. Applying these data to the Australian population, 230,246 patients with CKD would have been eligible for treatment with an SGLT2 inhibitor. Optimal implementation of SGLT2 inhibitors (75% uptake) could reduce cardiorenal and kidney failure events annually in Australia by 3644 (95% CI 3526-3764) and 1312 (95% CI 1242-1385), respectively.

Interpretation

Improved uptake of SGLT2 inhibitors for patients with CKD in Australia has the potential to prevent large numbers of patients experiencing CKD progression or dying due to cardiovascular or kidney disease. Identifying strategies to increase the uptake of SGLT2 inhibitors is critical to realising the population-level benefits of this drug class.

Funding

University of New South Wales Scientia Program and Boehringer IngelheimEli Lilly Alliance.

Prospective Validation of the Calgary Kids' Hand Rule: A Clinical Prediction Rule for Pediatric Hand Fracture Triage

Introduction: Pediatric hand fractures are common and routinely referred to surgeons, yet most heal well without surgical intervention. This trend inspired the development of the Calgary Kids' Hand Rule (CKHR), a clinical prediction rule designed to predict "complex" fractures that require surgical referral. The CKHR was adapted into a checklist whereby the presence of any 1 of 6 clinically or radiologically identifiable fracture characteristics predicts a complex fracture. The aim of this study was to assess the accuracy of the CKHR in a prospective sample of children with hand fractures. Methods: Physicians were asked to complete the CKHR checklist when referring pediatric patients (< 18 years) to hand surgeons at a Canadian pediatric hospital (April 2019-September 2020). Completed checklists represented predicted outcomes and were compared to observed outcomes (determined via chart review). Predictive accuracy (primary outcome) was evaluated based on sensitivity and specificity. Secondary outcomes were interrater reliability between referring physicians and surgeons, and survey assessment of CKHR user satisfaction. Results: In total 365 fractures were included, with only 16 requiring surgical intervention. Overall performance of the CKHR was good with 84% sensitivity and 71% specificity. Percent agreement between referring physicians and surgeons ranged from 84.1% to 96.3% on individual predictors, with 78.1% agreement on the presence of any predictors. Survey results showed general user satisfaction but also identified areas for improvement. Conclusion: This study posits the CKHR as an accurate and clinically useful prediction rule and highlights the importance of education for its effective use and eventual scale and spread.

Nurse Practitioner Care Compared with Primary Care or Nephrologist Care in Early CKD

BACKGROUND

Early interventions in CKD have been shown to improve health outcomes; however, gaps in access to nephrology care remain common. Nurse practitioners can improve access to care; however, the quality and outcomes of nurse practitioner care for CKD are uncertain.

METHODS

In this propensity score-matched cohort study, patients with CKD meeting criteria for nurse practitioner care were matched 1:1 on their propensity scores for ( 1 ) nurse practitioner care versus primary care alone and ( 2 ) nurse practitioner versus nephrologist care. Processes of care were measured within 1 year after cohort entry, and clinical outcomes were measured over 5 years of follow-up and compared between propensity score-matched groups.

RESULTS

A total of 961 (99%) patients from the nurse practitioner clinic were matched on their propensity score to 961 (1%) patients receiving primary care only while 969 (100%) patients from the nurse practitioner clinic were matched to 969 (7%) patients receiving nephrologist care. After matching to patients receiving primary care alone, those receiving nurse practitioner care had greater use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blocker (82% versus 79%; absolute differences [ADs] 3.4% [95% confidence interval, 0.0% to 6.9%]) and statins (75% versus 66%; AD 9.7% [5.8% to 13.6%]), fewer prescriptions of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (10% versus 17%; AD -7.2% [-10.4% to -4.2%]), greater eGFR and albuminuria monitoring, and lower rates of all-cause hospitalization (34.1 versus 43.3; rate difference -9.2 [-14.7 to -3.8] per 100 person-years) and all-cause mortality (3.3 versus 6.0; rate difference -2.7 [-3.6 to -1.7] per 100 person-years). When matched to patients receiving nephrologist care, those receiving nurse practitioner care were also more likely to be prescribed angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers and statins, with no difference in the risks of experiencing adverse clinical outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Nurse practitioner care for patients with CKD was associated with better guideline-concordant care than primary care alone or nephrologist care, with clinical outcomes that were better than or equivalent to primary care alone and similar to those with care by nephrologists.

PODCAST

This article contains a podcast at https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/www.asn-online.org/media/podcast/CJASN/2023_12_08_CJN0000000000000305.mp3.

Prescription ranitidine use and population exposure in 6 Canadian provinces, 1996 to 2019: a serial cross-sectional analysis

BACKGROUND

Ranitidine was the most prescribed histamine-2 receptor antagonist (H2RA) in Canada when recalled in 2019 because of potential carcinogenicity. We sought to compare geographic and temporal patterns in use of prescription ranitidine and 3 other HRAs and estimated population exposure to ranitidine in 6 provinces between 1996 and 2019.

METHODS

This population-based serial cross-sectional study used prescription claims for H2RAs dispensed from community pharmacies in Nova Scotia, Ontario, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Alberta and British Columbia. We estimated the period prevalence of ranitidine use per 100 population by province, age category and sex. We estimated exposure to ranitidine between 2015 and 2019 using defined daily doses (DDDs).

RESULTS

Overall, 2.4 million ranitidine prescriptions were dispensed to patients aged 65 years and older, and 1.7 million were dispensed to younger adults. Among older adults, the median period prevalence of ranitidine use among females was 16% (interquartile range [IQR] 13%-27%) higher than among males. Among younger adults, the median prevalence was 50% (IQR 37%-70%) higher among females. Among older adults, between 1996 and 1999, use was highest in Nova Scotia (33%) and Ontario (30%), lower in the prairies (Manitoba [18%], Saskatchewan [26%], Alberta [17%]) and lowest in BC (11%). By 2015-2019, use of ranitidine among older adults dropped by at least 50% in all provinces except BC. We estimate that at least 142 million DDDs of prescribed ranitidine were consumed annually in 6 provinces (2015-2019).

INTERPRETATION

Over the 24-year period in 6 provinces, patients aged 65 years and older were dispensed 2.4 million prescriptions of ranitidine and younger adults were dispensed 1.7 million prescriptions of ranitidine. These estimates of ranitidine exposure can be used for planning studies of cancer risk and identifying target populations for cancer surveillance.

The Association of Homelessness With Rates of Diabetes Complications: A Population-Based Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the rates of diabetes complications and revascularization procedures among people with diabetes who have experienced homelessness compared with a matched cohort of nonhomeless control subjects.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A propensity-matched cohort study was conducted using administrative health data from Ontario, Canada. Inclusion criteria included a diagnosis of diabetes and at least one hospital encounter between April 2006 and March 2019. Homeless status was identified using a validated administrative data algorithm. Eligible people with a history of homelessness were matched to nonhomeless control subjects with similar sociodemographic and clinical characteristics. Rate ratios (RRs) for macrovascular complications, revascularization procedures, acute glycemic emergencies, skin/soft tissue infections, and amputation were calculated using generalized linear models with negative binomial distribution and robust SEs.

RESULTS

Of 1,076,437 people who were eligible for inclusion in the study, 6,944 were identified as homeless. A suitable nonhomeless match was found for 5,219 individuals. The rate of macrovascular complications was higher for people with a history of homelessness compared with nonhomeless control subjects (RR 1.85, 95% CI 1.64-2.07), as were rates of hospitalization for glycemia (RR 5.64, 95% CI 4.07-7.81) and skin/soft tissue infections (RR 3.78, 95% CI 3.31-4.32). By contrast, the rates of coronary revascularization procedures were lower for people with a history of homelessness (RR 0.76, 95% CI 0.62-0.94).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings contribute to our understanding of the impact of homelessness on long-term diabetes outcomes. The higher rates of complications among people with a history of homelessness present an opportunity for tailored interventions to mitigate these disparities.

20-year trends in multimorbidity by race/ethnicity among hospitalized patient populations in the United States

BACKGROUND

The challenges presented by multimorbidity continue to rise in the United States. Little is known about how the relative contribution of individual chronic conditions to multimorbidity has changed over time, and how this varies by race/ethnicity. The objective of this study was to describe trends in multimorbidity by race/ethnicity, as well as to determine the differential contribution of individual chronic conditions to multimorbidity in hospitalized populations over a 20-year period within the United States.

METHODS

This is a serial cross-sectional study using the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) from 1993 to 2012. We identified all hospitalized patients aged ≥ 18 years old with available data on race/ethnicity. Multimorbidity was defined as the presence of 3 or more conditions based on the Elixhauser comorbidity index. The relative change in the proportion of hospitalized patients with multimorbidity, overall and by race/ethnicity (Black, White, Hispanic, Asian/Pacific Islander, Native American) were tabulated and presented graphically. Population attributable fractions were estimated from modified Poisson regression models adjusted for sex, age, and insurance type. These fractions were used to describe the relative contribution of individual chronic conditions to multimorbidity over time and across racial/ethnic groups.

RESULTS

There were 123,613,970 hospitalizations captured within the NIS between 1993 and 2012. The prevalence of multimorbidity increased in all race/ethnic groups over the 20-year period, most notably among White, Black, and Native American populations (+ 29.4%, + 29.7%, and + 32.0%, respectively). In both 1993 and 2012, Black hospitalized patients had a higher prevalence of multimorbidity (25.1% and 54.8%, respectively) compared to all other race/ethnic groups. Native American populations exhibited the largest overall increase in multimorbidity (+ 32.0%). Furthermore, the contribution of metabolic diseases to multimorbidity increased, particularly among Hispanic patients who had the highest population attributable fraction values for diabetes without complications (15.0%), diabetes with complications (5.1%), and obesity (5.8%).

CONCLUSIONS

From 1993 to 2012, the secular increases in the prevalence of multimorbidity as well as changes in the differential contribution of individual chronic conditions has varied substantially by race/ethnicity. These findings further elucidate the racial/ethnic gaps prevalent in multimorbidity within the United States.

PRIOR PRESENTATIONS

Preliminary finding of this study were presented at the Society of General Internal Medicine (SGIM) Annual Conference, Washington, DC, April 21, 2017.

Identifying Unique Subgroups of High-Cost Patients With Schizophrenia: A Population-Based Study Using Latent Class Analysis

Schizophrenia does not present uniformly among patients and as a result this patient population is characterized by a diversity in the type and amount of healthcare supports needed for daily functioning. Despite this, little work has been completed to understand the heterogeneity that exists among these patients. In this work we used a data-driven approach to identify subgroups of high-cost patients with schizophrenia to identify potentially actionable interventions for the improvement of outcomes and to inform conversations on how to most efficiently allocate resources in an already strained system. Administrative health data was used to conduct a retrospective analysis of "high-cost" adult patients with schizophrenia residing in Alberta, Canada in 2017. Costs were derived from inpatient encounters, outpatient primary care and specialist encounters, emergency department encounters, and drug costs. Latent class analysis was used to group patients based on their unique clinical profiles. Latent class analysis of 1659 patients revealed the following patient groups: (1) young, high-needs males early in their disease course; (2) actively managed middle-aged patients; (3) elderly patients with multiple chronic conditions and polypharmacy; (4) unstably housed males with low treatment rates; (5) unstably housed females with high acute care use and low treatment rates. This taxonomy may be used to inform policy, including the identification of interventions most likely to improve care and reduce health spending for each subgroup.

Amsterdam 2022 process: A summary of the methodology for the Amsterdam International Consensus on Concussion in Sport

The purpose of this paper is to summarise the consensus methodology that was used to inform the International Consensus Statement on Concussion in Sport (Amsterdam 2022). Building on a Delphi process to inform the questions and outcomes from the 5th International Conference on Concussion in Sport, the Scientific Committee identified key questions, the answers to which would help encapsulate the current science in sport-related concussion and help guide clinical practice. Over 3½ years, delayed by 2 years due to the pandemic, author groups conducted systematic reviews on each selected topic. The 6th International Conference on Concussion in Sport was held in Amsterdam (27-30 October 2022) and consisted of 2 days of systematic review presentations, panel discussions, question and answer engagement with the 600 attendees, and abstract presentations. This was followed by a closed third day of consensus deliberations by an expert panel of 29 with observers in attendance. The fourth day, also closed, was dedicated to a workshop to discuss and refine the sports concussion tools (Concussion Recognition Tool 6 (CRT6), Sport Concussion Assessment Tool 6 (SCAT6), Child SCAT6, Sport Concussion Office Assessment Tool 6 (SCOAT6) and Child SCOAT6). We include a summary of recommendations for methodological improvements for future research that grew out of the systematic reviews.

Clinical recovery from concussion-return to school and sport: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To define the time frames, measures used and modifying factors influencing recovery, return to school/learn (RTL) and return to sport (RTS) after sport-related concussion (SRC).

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

DATA SOURCES

8 databases searched through 22 March 2022.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Studies with diagnosed/suspected SRC and interventions facilitating RTL/RTS or investigating the time and modifying factors for clinical recovery. Outcomes included days until symptom free, days until RTL and days until RTS. We documented study design, population, methodology and results. Risk of bias was evaluated using a modified Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network tool.

RESULTS

278 studies were included (80.6% cohort studies and 92.8% from North America). 7.9% were considered high-quality studies, while 23.0% were considered high risk of bias and inadmissible. The mean days until symptom free was 14.0 days (95% CI: 12.7, 15.4; I²=98.0%). The mean days until RTL was 8.3 (95% CI: 5.6, 11.1; I²=99.3%), with 93% of athletes having a full RTL by 10 days without new academic support. The mean days until RTS was 19.8 days (95% CI: 18.8, 20.7; I²=99.3%), with high heterogeneity between studies. Several measures define and track recovery, with initial symptom burden remaining the strongest predictor of longer days until RTS. Continuing to play and delayed access to healthcare providers were associated with longer recovery. Premorbid and postmorbid factors (eg, depression/anxiety, migraine history) may modify recovery time frames. Though point estimates suggest that female sex or younger age cohorts take longer to recover, the heterogeneity of study designs, outcomes and overlap in CIs with male sex or older age cohorts suggests that all have similar recovery patterns.

CONCLUSION

Most athletes have full RTL by 10 days but take twice as long for an RTS.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42020159928.

Rest and exercise early after sport-related concussion: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To synthesise the evidence regarding the risks and benefits of physical activity (PA), prescribed aerobic exercise treatment, rest, cognitive activity and sleep during the first 14 days after sport-related concussion (SRC).

DESIGN

Meta-analysis was performed for PA/prescribed exercise interventions and a narrative synthesis for rest, cognitive activity and sleep. Risk of bias (ROB) was determined using the Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network and quality assessed using Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, Embase, APA PsycInfo, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, CINAHL Plus and SPORTDiscus. Searches were conducted in October 2019 and updated in March 2022.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Original research articles with sport-related mechanism of injury in >50% of study sample and that evaluated how PA, prescribed exercise, rest, cognitive activity and/or sleep impact recovery following SRC. Reviews, conference proceedings, commentaries, editorials, case series, animal studies and articles published before 1 January 2001 were excluded.

RESULTS

46 studies were included and 34 had acceptable/low ROB. Prescribed exercise was assessed in 21 studies, PA in 15 studies (6 PA/exercise studies also assessed cognitive activity), 2 assessed cognitive activity only and 9 assessed sleep. In a meta-analysis of seven studies, PA and prescribed exercise improved recovery by a mean of -4.64 days (95% CI -6.69, -2.59). After SRC, early return to light PA (initial 2 days), prescribed aerobic exercise treatment (days 2-14) and reduced screen use (initial 2 days) safely facilitate recovery. Early prescribed aerobic exercise also reduces delayed recovery, and sleep disturbance is associated with slower recovery.

CONCLUSION

Early PA, prescribed aerobic exercise and reduced screen time are beneficial following SRC. Strict physical rest until symptom resolution is not effective, and sleep disturbance impairs recovery after SRC.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42020158928.

Targeted interventions and their effect on recovery in children, adolescents and adults who have sustained a sport-related concussion: a systematic review

OBJECTIVES

We evaluated interventions to facilitate recovery in children, adolescents and adults with a sport-related concussion (SRC).

DESIGN

Systematic review including risk of bias (modified Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network tool).

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE(R) and Epub Ahead of Print, In-Process & Other Non-Indexed Citations, Embase, APA PsycINFO, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, CINAHL Plus with Full Text, SPORTDiscus and Scopus searched until March 2022.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

(1) Original research including randomised controlled trials (RCTs), quasi-experimental designs, cohort, comparative effectiveness studies; (2) focus on SRC; (3) English; (4) peer-reviewed and (5) evaluated treatment.

RESULTS

6533 studies were screened, 154 full texts reviewed and 13 met inclusion (10 RCTs, 1 quasi-experimental and 2 cohort studies; 1 high-quality study, 7 acceptable and 5 at high risk of bias). Interventions, comparisons, timing and outcomes varied, precluding meta-analysis. For adolescents and adults with dizziness, neck pain and/or headaches >10 days following concussion, individualised cervicovestibular rehabilitation may decrease time to return to sport compared with rest followed by gradual exertion (HR 3.91 (95% CI 1.34 to 11.34)) and when compared with a subtherapeutic intervention (HR 2.91 (95% CI 1.01 to 8.43)). For adolescents with vestibular symptoms/impairments, vestibular rehabilitation may decrease time to medical clearance (vestibular rehab group 50.2 days (95% CI 39.9 to 60.4) compared with control 58.4 (95% CI 41.7 to 75.3) days). For adolescents with persisting symptoms >30 days, active rehabilitation and collaborative care may decrease symptoms.

CONCLUSIONS

Cervicovestibular rehabilitation is recommended for adolescents and adults with dizziness, neck pain and/or headaches for >10 days. Vestibular rehabilitation (for adolescents with dizziness/vestibular impairments >5 days) and active rehabilitation and/or collaborative care (for adolescents with persisting symptoms >30 days) may be of benefit.

Prediction of major postoperative events after non-cardiac surgery for people with kidney failure: derivation and internal validation of risk models

BACKGROUND

People with kidney failure often require surgery and experience worse postoperative outcomes compared to the general population, but existing risk prediction tools have excluded those with kidney failure during development or exhibit poor performance. Our objective was to derive, internally validate, and estimate the clinical utility of risk prediction models for people with kidney failure undergoing non-cardiac surgery.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, AND MEASURES

This study involved derivation and internal validation of prognostic risk prediction models using a retrospective, population-based cohort. We identified adults from Alberta, Canada with pre-existing kidney failure (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] < 15 mL/min/1.73m² or receipt of maintenance dialysis) undergoing non-cardiac surgery between 2005-2019. Three nested prognostic risk prediction models were assembled using clinical and logistical rationale. Model 1 included age, sex, dialysis modality, surgery type and setting. Model 2 added comorbidities, and Model 3 added preoperative hemoglobin and albumin. Death or major cardiac events (acute myocardial infarction or nonfatal ventricular arrhythmia) within 30 days after surgery were modelled using logistic regression models.

RESULTS

The development cohort included 38,541 surgeries, with 1,204 outcomes (after 3.1% of surgeries); 61% were performed in males, the median age was 64 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 53, 73), and 61% were receiving hemodialysis at the time of surgery. All three internally validated models performed well, with c-statistics ranging from 0.783 (95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 0.770, 0.797) for Model 1 to 0.818 (95%CI: 0.803, 0.826) for Model 3. Calibration slopes and intercepts were excellent for all models, though Models 2 and 3 demonstrated improvement in net reclassification. Decision curve analysis estimated that use of any model to guide perioperative interventions such as cardiac monitoring would result in potential net benefit over default strategies.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and internally validated three novel models to predict major clinical events for people with kidney failure having surgery. Models including comorbidities and laboratory variables showed improved accuracy of risk stratification and provided the greatest potential net benefit for guiding perioperative decisions. Once externally validated, these models may inform perioperative shared decision making and risk-guided strategies for this population.

Risk Scores for Clinical Risk Stratification of Emergency Department Patients With Chest Pain but No Acute Myocardial Infarction: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Chest pain is a common cause for emergency department (ED) presentations. After myocardial infarction (MI) has been ruled out by means of electrocardiography and troponin testing, decisions around anatomic or functional testing may be informed by clinical risk scores. We conducted a systematic review to synthesize evidence of the prognostic performance of chest pain risk scores among ED patients who have had MI ruled out by means of a high-sensitivity troponin assay.

METHODS

We queried multiple databases from inception to May 17, 2022. We included studies that quantified risk of 30-day major adverse cardiac events (MACE), at different cutoffs of clinical risk scores, among adult patients who had MI ruled out by means of a high-sensitivity troponin assay. Prognostic performance of each score was synthesized and described, but meta-analysis was not possible.

RESULTS

Six studies met inclusion criteria. Short-term MACE risk among patients who had MI ruled out by means of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin assays was very low. The HEART score, with a cutoff of 3 or less, predicted a very low risk of MACE among the greatest proportion of patients. Other scores had lower sensitivity or classified fewer patients as low risk.

CONCLUSIONS

The HEART score with a cutoff value of 3 or less accurately identified the greatest number of patients at low risk of 30-day MACE. However, MACE risk among patients who have MI ruled out by means of high-sensitivity troponin testing is sufficiently low that clinical risk stratification or noninvasive testing may be of little additional value in identifying patients with coronary disease.

Aortic Stenosis Progression: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Aortic valve stenosis is a progressive disorder with variable progression rates. The factors affecting aortic stenosis (AS) progression remain largely unknown.

OBJECTIVES

This systematic review and meta-analysis sought to determine AS progression rates and to assess the impact of baseline AS severity and sex on disease progression.

METHODS

The authors searched Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials from inception to July 1, 2020, for prospective studies evaluating the progression of AS with the use of echocardiography (mean gradient [MG], peak velocity [PV], peak gradient [PG], or aortic valve area [AVA]) or computed tomography (calcium score [AVC]). Random-effects meta-analysis was performed to evaluate the rate of AS progression for each parameter stratified by baseline severity, and meta-regression was performed to determine the impact of baseline severity and of sex on AS progression rate.

RESULTS

A total of 24 studies including 5,450 patients (40% female) met inclusion criteria. The pooled annualized progression of MG was +4.10 mm Hg (95% CI: 2.80-5.41 mm Hg), AVA -0.08 cm² (95% CI: 0.06-0.10 cm²), PV +0.19 m/s (95% CI: 0.13-0.24 m/s), PG +7.86 mm Hg (95% CI: 4.98-10.75 mm Hg), and AVC +158.5 AU (95% CI: 55.0-261.9 AU). Increasing baseline severity of AS was predictive of higher rates of progression for MG (P < 0.001), PV (P = 0.001), and AVC (P < 0.001), but not AVA (P = 0.34) or PG (P = 0.21). Only 4 studies reported AS progression stratified by sex, with only PV and AVC having 3 studies to perform a meta-analysis. No difference between sex was observed for PV (P = 0.397) or AVC (P = 0.572), but the level of confidence was low.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides progression rates for both hemodynamic and anatomic parameters of AS and shows that increasing hemodynamic and anatomic baseline severity is associated with faster AS progression. More studies are needed to determine if sex differences affect AS progression. (Aortic Valve Stenosis Progression Rate: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis; CRD42021207726).

Patterns and Patients' Characteristics Associated With Use of Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors Among Adults With Type 2 Diabetes: A Population-based Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

Our aim in this study was to describe patterns and patient-level factors associated with use of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) among adults with diabetes being treated in Alberta, Canada.

METHODS

Using linked administrative data sets from 2014 to 2019, we defined a retrospective cohort of adults with prevalent or incident type 2 diabetes with indications for SGLT2i use and who did not have advanced kidney disease (glomerular filtration rate <30 mL/min per 1.73 m²) or previous amputation. We describe medication dispensation patterns of SGLT2is over time in the overall cohort and among the subgroup with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine patients' characteristics associated with SGLT2i use.

RESULTS

Of the 341,827 patients with diabetes (mean age, 60.7 years; 45.6% female), 107,244 (31.3%) had CVD. The proportion of patients with an SGLT2i prescription increased in a linear fashion to a maximum of 10.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 10.7% to 10.9%) of the eligible cohort by the end of the observation period (March 2019). The proportion of filled prescriptions was similar for patients with CVD (10.4%; 95% CI, 10.1% to 10.6%) and for those without CVD (10.9%; 95% CI, 10.8% to 11.0%). Patients' characteristics associated with lower odds of filling an SGLT2i prescription included female sex, older age and lower income.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of SGLT2is is increasing among patients with diabetes but remains low even in those with CVD. Policy and practice changes to increase prescribing, especially in older adults, may help to reduce morbidity and mortality related to cardiovascular and renal complications.

Perioperative management for people with kidney failure receiving dialysis: A scoping review

BACKGROUND

People with kidney failure receiving dialysis (CKD-G5D) are more likely to undergo surgery and experience poorer postoperative outcomes than those without kidney failure. In this scoping review, we aimed to systematically identify and summarize perioperative strategies, protocols, pathways, and interventions that have been studied or implemented for people with CKD-G5D.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL Plus, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and Cochrane Controlled Trials registry (inception to February 2020), in addition to an extensive grey literature search, for sources that reported on a perioperative strategy to guide management for people with CKD-G5D. We summarized the overall study characteristics and perioperative management strategies and identified evidence gaps based on surgery type and perioperative domain. Publication trends over time were assessed, stratified by surgery type and study design.

RESULTS

We included 183 studies; the most common study design was a randomized controlled trial (27%), with 67% of publications focused on either kidney transplantation or dialysis vascular access. Transplant-related studies often focused on fluid and volume management strategies and risk stratification, whereas dialysis vascular access studies focused most often on imaging. The number of publications increased over time, across all surgery types, though driven by non-randomized study designs.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite many current gaps in perioperative research for patients with CKD-G5D, evidence generation supporting perioperative management is increasing, with recent growth driven primarily by non-randomized studies. Our review may inform organization of evidence-based strategies into perioperative care pathways where evidence is available while also highlighting gaps that future perioperative research can address.

Anxiety and Depressive Symptoms and Disorders in Children and Adolescents With Migraine: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Importance

Though it is presumed that children and adolescents with migraine are at risk of internalizing symptoms and disorders, high-level summative evidence to support this clinical belief is lacking.

Objective

To determine if there is an association between internalizing symptoms and disorders and migraine in children and adolescents.

Data Sources

A librarian-led, peer-reviewed search was performed using MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO, and CINAHL databases (inception to March 28, 2022).

Study Selection

Case-control, cohort, and cross-sectional studies on the association between internalizing symptoms and disorders and migraine in children and adolescents 18 years or younger were eligible.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

Two investigators independently completed abstract and full-text screening, data extraction, and quality appraisal using the Newcastle-Ottawa scales. Studies were pooled with random-effects meta-analyses using standardized mean differences (SMD) or odds ratios (OR) with 95% CIs. Where sufficient data for pooling were unavailable, studies were described qualitatively.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was migraine diagnosis; additional outcomes included migraine outcomes and incidence. Associations between these outcomes and internalizing symptoms and disorders were evaluated.

Results

The study team screened 4946 studies and included 80 studies in the systematic review. Seventy-four studies reported on the association between internalizing symptoms and disorders and migraine, and 51 studies were amenable to pooling. Meta-analyses comparing children and adolescents with migraine with healthy controls showed: (1) an association between migraine and anxiety symptoms (SMD, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.64-1.63); (2) an association between migraine and depressive symptoms (SMD, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.46-0.87); and (3) significantly higher odds of anxiety disorders (OR, 1.93, 95% CI, 1.49-2.50) and depressive disorders (OR, 2.01, 95% CI, 1.46-2.78) in those with, vs without, migraine. Stratification of results did not reveal differences between clinical vs community/population-based samples and there was no evidence of publication bias. Twenty studies assessing the association between internalizing symptoms or disorders and migraine outcomes (n = 18) or incident migraine (n = 2) were summarized descriptively given significant heterogeneity, with minimal conclusions drawn.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this study, children and adolescents with migraine were at higher risk of anxiety and depression symptoms and disorders compared with healthy controls. It may be beneficial to routinely screen children and adolescents with migraine for anxiety and depression in clinical practice. It is unclear whether having anxiety and depressive symptoms or disorders has an affect on migraine outcomes or incidence.

Menstrual Abnormalities and Reproductive Lifespan in Females with CKD: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Menstrual abnormalities and shortened reproductive lifespan are associated with shorter life expectancy and higher cardiovascular and osteoporosis risk in the general population, although the magnitude of these reproductive factor irregularities in females with CKD is unclear. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to summarize the current knowledge regarding menstrual abnormalities and reproductive lifespan among females with CKD.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

A comprehensive bibliographic search (MEDLINE, Embase, and Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature [CINAHL]) was completed from database inception to February 2022 to identify all original articles reporting on females of reproductive age with nondialysis-dependent/nonkidney transplant CKD, dialysis-dependent CKD, or kidney transplantation and menstruation patterns, age of menarche, and/or menopause. Data extraction and study quality assessment were completed in duplicate. Random effects meta-analyses were used to derive pooled proportions estimates.

RESULTS

Forty-six studies were identified, and 35 were meta-analyzed, stratified by KRT modality and reported outcome. Menstrual abnormalities were present in 19%-47% of patients on hemodialysis and 75% of patients on peritoneal dialysis. Kidney transplantation was associated with a 7%-30% decrease in menstrual abnormalities. Reproductive lifespan was 32 years (95% confidence interval, 30 to 34 years). Although significant heterogeneity was present, study quality ranged from fair to good, and no evidence of publication bias was noted.

CONCLUSIONS

Menstrual abnormalities and shorter reproductive lifespan are common in females with CKD, although kidney transplantation may improve menstrual health.

Serum oestradiol levels and risk of adverse cardiovascular events associated with gender-affirming oestrogen therapy: a protocol for a systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

The use of gender-affirming oestrogen therapy (GAOT) is an integral part of the gender-affirming transition process for transgender women (assigned male at birth who identify as women) and gender-diverse individuals. However, its use may present significant cardiovascular implications, which may be influenced by systemic oestradiol levels. Therefore, we aim to establish the association between serum oestradiol levels and incidence of adverse cardiovascular events in individuals using GAOT.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

We will conduct a systematic review addressing the association between serum oestradiol levels and risk of adverse cardiovascular events in individuals using GAOT. Our primary outcome is the incidence of adverse cardiovascular events, our secondary outcome is the incidence of cardiovascular-related mortality and our tertiary outcome is cardiovascular-related risk factors. Electronic databases (Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Embase, MEDLINE and Web of Science) will be searched from inception until September 2022. Two investigators will independently complete screening to determine appropriateness of inclusion. Extracted data will include information on serum sex hormone levels (oestradiol and testosterone), participants, GAOT (route of administration, formulations, dosages and duration of exposure), incidence of cardiovascular outcomes, study quality and risk of bias. Inter-reviewer reliability will be calculated at both phases. Data will be presented both descriptively and meta-analysed using a random effects model, if appropriate. Heterogeneity will be explored and meta-regressed if noted.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethics approval is not needed. We will disseminate findings through international conferences, distributions to transgender and gender-diverse support organisations, decision-makers and key stakeholders. The final systematic review will be published in a peer-reviewed journal.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42021247717.

A Qualitative Content Analysis of Comments on Press Articles on Deemed Consent for Organ Donation in Canada

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

In 2019, two Canadian provinces became the first jurisdictions in North America to pass deemed consent legislation to increase deceased organ donation and transplantation rates. We sought to explore the perspectives of the deemed consent legislation for organ donation in Canada from the viewpoint of individuals commenting on press articles.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

In this qualitative descriptive study, we extracted public comments regarding deemed consent from online articles published by four major Canadian news outlets between January 2019 and July 2020. A total of 4357 comments were extracted from 35 eligible news articles. Comments were independently analyzed by two research team members using a conventional content analysis approach.

RESULTS

Commenters' perceptions of the deemed consent legislation for organ donation in Canada predominantly fit within three organizational groups: perceived positive implications of the bills, perceived negative implications of the bills, and key considerations. Three themes emerged within each group that summarized perspectives of the proposed legislation. Themes regarding the perceived positive implications of the bills included majority rules, societal effect, and prioritizing donation. Themes regarding the perceived negative implications of the bills were a right to choose, the potential for abuse and errors, and a possible slippery slope. Improving government transparency and communication, clarifying questions and addressing concerns, and providing evidence for the bills were identified as key considerations.

CONCLUSIONS

If deemed consent legislation is meant to increase organ donation and transplantation, addressing public concerns will be important to ensure successful implementation.

Prenatal allostatic load and preterm birth: A systematic review

Objective

Allostatic load refers to cumulative neuroendocrine burden and has been postulated to mediate and moderate physiological and psychological stress-related responses. This may have important implications for the risk of preterm birth. This systematic review examines the evidence on the association between prenatal allostatic load and preterm birth.

Data sources

A comprehensive search of seven electronic databases was conducted from inception to August 23, 2022 to identify all English-language observational and mixed methods studies examining allostatic load and preterm birth with no year or geographic restrictions.

Study eligibility criteria

Studies were included if they measured allostatic load, evaluated as the cumulative effect of any combination of more than one allostatic load biomarker, during pregnancy. Studies must have observed preterm birth, defined as &lt; 37 weeks' gestational age, as a primary or secondary outcome of interest.

Study appraisal and synthesis methods

The Quality In Prognosis Studies tool was used to evaluate risk of bias within included studies. A narrative synthesis was conducted to explore potential associations between allostatic load and preterm birth, and sources of heterogeneity.

Results

Three prospective cohort studies were identified and revealed mixed evidence for an association between allostatic load and preterm birth. One study reported a statistically significant association while the other two studies reported little to no evidence for an association. Heterogeneity in when and how allostatic load was measured, limitations in study design and cohort socio-demographics may have contributed to the mixed evidence.

Conclusions

This review provides insight into key individual-, community-, and study-level characteristics that may influence the association between allostatic load and preterm birth. Knowledge gaps are identified as foci for future research, including heterogeneity in allostatic load biomarkers and allostatic load index algorithms as well as pregnancy-specific considerations for allostatic load measurement. Further investigation of the allostatic load framework in the context of perinatal mental health is needed to advance understandings of maternal, infant, and child health.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42020208990, PROSPERO, identifier: CRD42020208990.

Factors associated with high health care spending among patients with schizophrenia

INTRODUCTION

Understanding the reasons for the wide variation in health care spending among patients with schizophrenia may benefit the development of interventions aimed at improving patient outcomes and health care spending efficiency. The aim of our study was to determine factors associated with high health care spending in the patient population.

METHODS

A serial cross-sectional study used the administrative health records of residents of Alberta, Canada between 1 January 2008 and 31 December 2017 and provincial costing methodologies to calculate total health care spending and sector-specific costs. Factors that modified the odds of being a high cost (i.e. 95th percentile or higher) patient with schizophrenia were estimated using generalized estimating equations.

RESULTS

This study captured 242 818 person-years of observations among 38 177 unique patients with schizophrenia. Increased odds of being a high-cost patient were associated with younger age (18-29 years), male sex, unstable housing status and requiring care from multiple medical specialties. The strongest estimated associations between high cost status and comorbidity were for metastatic cancer (OR = 2.26) and cirrhosis (OR = 2.07). In contrast, polypharmacy was associated with a decreased odds of being high cost compared with untreated patients.

CONCLUSION

Factors associated with being a high-cost patient are the result of complex interactions between individual, structural and treatment-related factors. Efforts to improve patient outcomes and address rising health care costs must consider the value of allocating resources towards early detection and support of patients with schizophrenia along with the prevention/management of comorbidity.

Characteristics of new users of recent antidiabetic drugs in Canada and the United Kingdom

BACKGROUND

Characteristics of patients using newer 2^nd and 3^rd line antidiabetic drugs in a real-world setting are poorly understood. We described the characteristics of new users of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i), dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i), and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RA) in Canada and the United Kingdom (UK) between 2016 and 2018.

METHODS

We conducted a multi-database cohort study using administrative health databases from 7 Canadian provinces and the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink. We assembled a base cohort of antidiabetic drug users between 2006 and 2018, from which we constructed 3 cohorts of new users of SGLT-2i, DPP-4i, and GLP-1 RA between 2016 and 2018.

RESULTS

Our cohorts included 194,070 new users of DPP-4i, 166,722 new users of SGLT-2i, and 27,719 new users of GLP-1 RA. New users of GLP-1 RA were more likely to be younger (mean ± SD: 56.7 ± 12.2 years) than new users of DPP-4i (67.8 ± 12.3 years) or SGLT-2i (64.4 ± 11.1 years). In Canada, new users of DPP-4i were more likely to have a history of coronary artery disease (22%) than new users of SGLT-2i (20%) or GLP-1 RA (15%).

CONCLUSION

Although SGLT-2i, DPP-4i, and GLP-1 RAs are recommended as 2^nd or 3^rd line therapy for type 2 diabetes, important differences exist in the characteristics of users of these drugs. Contrary to existing guidelines, new users of DPP-4i had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular disease at baseline than new users of SGLT2i or GLP-1RA.

The neighbourhood built environment and health-related fitness: a narrative systematic review

Background

There is increasing evidence demonstrating the importance of the neighbourhood built environment in supporting physical activity. Physical activity provides numerous health benefits including improvements in health-related fitness (i.e., muscular, cardiorespiratory, motor, and morphological fitness). Emerging evidence also suggests that the neighbourhood built environment is associated with health-related fitness. Our aim was to summarize evidence on the associations between the neighbourhood built environment and components of health-related fitness in adults.

Methods

We undertook a systematic review following PRISMA guidelines. Our data sources included electronic searches in MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, Web of Science, SPORTDiscus, Environment Complete, ProQuest Dissertations and Theses, and Transport Research International Documentation from inception to March 2021. Our eligibility criteria consisted of observational and experimental studies estimating associations between the neighbourhood built environment and health-related fitness among healthy adults (age ≥ 18 years). Eligible studies included objective or self-reported measures of the neighbourhood built environment and included either objective or self-reported measures of health-related fitness. Data extraction included study design, sample characteristics, measured neighbourhood built environment characteristics, and measured components of health-related fitness. We used individual Joanna Briggs Institute study checklists based on identified study designs. Our primary outcome measure was components of health-related fitness (muscular; cardiorespiratory; motor, and morphological fitness).

Results

Twenty-seven studies (sample sizes = 28 to 419,562; 2002 to 2020) met the eligibility criteria. Neighbourhood destinations were the most consistent built environment correlate across all components of health-related fitness. The greatest number of significant associations was found between the neighbourhood built environment and morphological fitness while the lowest number of associations was found for motor fitness. The neighbourhood built environment was consistently associated with health-related fitness in studies that adjusted for physical activity.

Conclusion

The neighbourhood built environment is associated with health-related fitness in adults and these associations may be independent of physical activity. Longitudinal studies that adjust for physical activity (including resistance training) and sedentary behaviour, and residential self-selection are needed to obtain rigorous causal evidence for the link between the neighbourhood built environment and health-related fitness.

Trial registration

Protocol registration: PROSPERO number CRD42020179807.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12966-022-01359-0.

Laboratory testing and antihypertensive medication adherence following initial treatment of incident, uncomplicated hypertension: A real-world data analysis

In this study on medication adherence among newly diagnosed patients with uncomplicated, incident hypertension, we conducted a retrospective cohort study using available administrative and laboratory data from April 1, 2012 to March 31, 2017 in Alberta, Canada to understand the extent to which baseline laboratory assessment and/or subsequent follow-up was associated with persistence with antihypertensive therapy. We determined the frequency of baseline and follow-up testing and compared the rates of medication persistence by patient-, neighbourhood-, and treatment-related factors. Of 103 232 patients with newly diagnosed, uncomplicated hypertension who filled their first prescription within our study timeframe, 52.5% were non-persistent within 6 months. Persistent patients were more often female and residing in neighbourhoods with higher social status (with exception to rurality). Aside from older age, the strongest predictor of persistence was performance of laboratory testing related to hypertension with an apparent effect in which higher levels of medication persistence were seen with more frequent laboratory testing. We concluded that medication persistence was far from optimal, dropping off considerably after 6 months for more than half of patients. Medication persistence is a substantial barrier to realizing the full societal benefits of antihypertensive treatment. Ongoing follow up with patients, including laboratory testing, may be a critical component of better long term treatment persistence.

10-Year Trends in Healthcare Spending among Patients with Schizophrenia in Alberta, Canada

OBJECTIVES

Schizophrenia is characterized by high levels of disability often resulting in increased healthcare utilization and spending. With expanding healthcare costs across all healthcare sectors, there is a need to understand how healthcare spending has changed over time. We conducted a population-based study using administrative health data from Alberta, Canada, to describe changes in medical complexity and direct healthcare spending among patients with schizophrenia over a 10-year period.

METHODS

A serial cross-sectional study from January 1, 2008, to December 31, 2017, was conducted to determine changes in demographic characteristics, medical complexity, and costs among all adults (18 years or older) with schizophrenia. Total healthcare spending and sector-specific costs attributable to hospitalizations, emergency department visits, practitioner billings, and prescriptions were calculated and compared over time.

RESULTS

Over the 10-year period the contact prevalence of patients with schizophrenia increased from 0.6% (n  =  16,183) to 1.0% (n  =  33,176) within the province. There was a marked change in medical complexity with the number of patients living with 3 or more comorbidities increasing from 33.0% to 47.3%. Direct annual healthcare costs increased 2-fold from 321 to 639 million CAD (493 million USD) with a 7-fold increase in medication expenditures over the 10-year time frame. As of 2017, spending on pharmaceutical treatment surpassed hospitalizations as the leading spending category in this population.

CONCLUSIONS

Healthcare spending among patients with schizophrenia continues to increase and may be partially attributable to growing rates of multimorbidity within this population. Although promising second-generation antipsychotic medications have entered the market, this has resulted in considerable changes in the distribution of healthcare spending over time. These findings will inform policy discussions around resource allocation and efforts to curb health spending while also improving care for patients with schizophrenia.

Trends in nephrology referral patterns for patients with chronic kidney disease: Retrospective cohort study

Introduction

Information on early, guideline discordant referrals in nephrology is limited. Our objective was to investigate trends in referral patterns to nephrology for patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD).

Methods

Retrospective cohort study of adults with ≥1 visits to a nephrologist from primary care with ≥1 serum creatinine and/or urine protein measurement <180 days before index nephrology visit, from 2006 and 2019 in Alberta, Canada. Guideline discordant referrals were those that did not meet ≥1 of: Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ˂ 30 mL/min/1.73m², persistent albuminuria (ACR ≥ 300 mg/g, PCR ≥ 500 mg/g, or Udip ≥ 2+), or progressive and persistent decline in eGFR until index nephrology visit (≥ 5 mL/min/1.73m²).

Results

Of 69,372 patients with CKD, 28,518 (41%) were referred in a guideline concordant manner. The overall rate of first outpatient visits to nephrology increased from 2006 to 2019, although guideline discordant referrals showed a greater increase (trend 21.9 per million population/year, 95% confidence interval 4.3, 39.4) versus guideline concordant referrals (trend 12.4 per million population/year, 95% confidence interval 5.7, 19.0). The guideline concordant cohort were more likely to be on renin-angiotensin system blockers or beta blockers (hazard ratio 1.14, 95% confidence interval 1.12, 1.16), and had a higher risk of CKD progression (hazard ratio 1.09, 95% confidence interval 1.06, 1.13), kidney failure (hazard ratio 7.65, 95% confidence interval 6.83, 8.56), cardiovascular event (hazard ratio 1.40, 95% confidence interval 1.35,1.45) and mortality (hazard ratio 1.58, 95% confidence interval 1.52, 1.63).

Conclusions

A significant proportion nephrology referrals from primary care were not consistent with current guideline-recommended criteria for referral. Further work is needed to identify quality improvement initiatives aimed at enhancing referral patterns of patients with CKD.

Performance of Confirmatory Tests for Diagnosing Primary Aldosteronism: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background:

Confirmatory tests are recommended for diagnosing primary aldosteronism, but the supporting evidence is unclear.

Methods:

We searched Medline, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials. Studies evaluating any guideline-recommended confirmatory test (ie, saline infusion test, salt loading test, fludrocortisone suppression test, and captopril challenge test), compared with a reference standard were included. The Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool was used to assess the risk of bias. Meta-analyses were conducted using hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic models.

Results:

Fifty-five studies were included, comprising 26 studies (3654 participants) for the recumbent saline infusion test, 4 studies (633 participants) for the seated saline infusion test, 2 studies (99 participants) for the salt loading test, 7 studies (386 participants) for the fludrocortisone suppression test, and 25 studies (2585 participants) for the captopril challenge test. Risk of bias was high, affecting more than half of studies, and across all domains. Studies with case-control sampling overestimated accuracy by 7-fold (relative diagnostic odds ratio, 7.26 [95% CI, 2.46–21.43]) and partial verification or use of inconsistent reference standards overestimated accuracy by 5-fold (5.12 [95% CI, 1.48–17.77]). There were large variations in how confirmatory tests were conducted, interpreted, and verified. Under most scenarios, confirmatory testing resulted in an excess of missed cases. The certainty of evidence underlying each test (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations) was very low.

Conclusions:

Recommendations for confirmatory testing in patients with abnormal screening tests and high probability features of primary aldosteronism are based on very low-quality evidence and their routine use should be reconsidered.

Using the Revised Cardiac Risk Index to Predict Major Postoperative Events for People With Kidney Failure: An External Validation and Update

Background

People with kidney failure have high risk of postoperative morbidity and mortality. Although the revised cardiac risk index (RCRI) is used to estimate the risk of major postoperative events, it has not been validated in this population. We aimed to externally validate the RCRI and determine whether updating the model improved predictions for people with kidney failure.

Methods

We derived a retrospective, population-based cohort of adults with kidney failure (maintenance dialysis or sustained estimated glomerular filtration rate < 15 mL/min per 1.73 m²) who had surgery in Alberta, Canada between 2005 and 2019. We categorized participants based on RCRI variables and assigned risk estimates of death or major cardiac events, and then estimated predictive performance. We re-estimated the coefficients for each RCRI variable and internally validated the updated model. Net benefit was estimated with decision curve analysis.

Results

After 38,541 surgeries, 1204 events (3.1%) occurred. The estimated C-statistic for the original RCRI was 0.64 (95% confidence interval: 0.62, 0.65). Examination of calibration revealed significant risk overestimation. In the re-estimated RCRI model, discrimination was marginally different (C-statistic 0.67 [95% confidence interval: 0.66, 0.69]), though calibration was improved. No net benefit was observed when the data were examined with decision curve analysis, whereas the original RCRI was associated with harm.

Conclusions

The RCRI performed poorly in a Canadian kidney failure cohort and significantly overestimated risk, suggesting that RCRI use in similar kidney failure populations should be limited. A re-estimated kidney failure-specific RCRI may be promising but needs external validation. Novel perioperative models for this population are urgently needed.

Vaccines alone will not prevent COVID-19 outbreaks among migrant workers-the example of meat processing plants

BACKGROUND

Migrant populations in high-income countries have faced myriad health and social inequities during the COVID-19 pandemic. Migrants often work in frontline essential services that expose them to COVID-19. Migrant workers in meat processing plants have endured large COVID-19 outbreaks across multiple countries.

OBJECTIVES

We examine current scientific evidence around COVID-19 transmission, outcomes, and prevention for migrant workers and highlight meat processing plants as an example.

SOURCES

We performed a series of PubMed searches between January 1, 2020 and January 12, 2022.

CONTENT

Migrant workers in high-income countries often work in occupations at high risk for COVID-19 transmission, contract COVID-19 at higher rates, and experience worse outcomes than native-born counterparts. For example, meat processing plants represent almost ideal environments for rapid and large-scale SARS-CoV-2 viral transmission; often, large migrant workforces confined to small workspaces perform physically demanding work in noisy environments that require shouting to communicate, increasing workers' respiratory rates and the quantity of aerosolized droplets expelled and thus increasing viral transmission risk. Although enhanced vaccination outreach programs remain an important equity approach for migrant worker safety, they alone are insufficient. The emergence and rapid spread of multiple increasingly transmissible SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern with variable vaccine escape properties, including Omicron in November 2021, highlight the importance of improved infection prevention and control strategies to protect migrant workers. Across countries, strategies such as improving ventilation and mask quality in many high-risk occupational settings are already required by employment law. Universal mandatory vaccination program should also be considered.

IMPLICATIONS

COVID-19 transmission prevention for migrant workers requires an aggressive multicomponent plan that includes (a) improved on-site ventilation and infection prevention and control strategies; (b) improved social supports such as paid sick leave; (c) mobile vaccination clinics and community engagement to overcome vaccine hesitancy and barriers; and (d) consideration of universal mandatory vaccination programs.

Clinical outcomes in pediatric hydrocephalus patients treated with endoscopic third ventriculostomy and choroid plexus cauterization: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Endoscopic third ventriculostomy and choroid plexus cauterization (ETV+CPC) is a novel procedure for infant hydrocephalus that was developed in sub-Saharan Africa to mitigate the risks associated with permanent implanted shunt hardware. This study summarizes the hydrocephalus literature surrounding the ETV+CPC intraoperative abandonment rate, perioperative mortality rate, cerebrospinal fluid infection rate, and failure rate.

METHODS

This systematic review and meta-analysis followed a prespecified protocol and abides by Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. A comprehensive search strategy using MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsychInfo, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Scopus, and Web of Science was conducted from database inception to October 2019. Studies included controlled trials, cohort studies, and case-control studies of patients with hydrocephalus younger than 18 years of age treated with ETV+CPC. Pooled estimates were calculated using DerSimonian and Laird random-effects modeling, and the significance of subgroup analyses was tested using meta-regression. The quality of the pooled outcomes was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) approach.

RESULTS

After screening and reviewing 12,321 citations, the authors found 16 articles that met the inclusion criteria. The pooled estimate for the ETV+CPC failure rate was 0.44 (95% CI 0.37-0.51). Subgroup analysis by geographic income level showed statistical significance (p < 0.01), with lower-middle-income countries having a lower failure rate (0.32, 95% CI 0.28-0.36) than high-income countries (0.53, 95% CI 0.47-0.60). No difference in failure rate was found between hydrocephalus etiology (p = 0.09) or definition of failure (p = 0.24). The pooled estimate for perioperative mortality rate (n = 7 studies) was 0.001 (95% CI 0.00-0.004), the intraoperative abandonment rate (n = 5 studies) was 0.04 (95% CI 0.01-0.08), and the postoperative CSF infection rate (n = 5 studies) was 0.0004 (95% CI 0.00-0.003). All pooled outcomes were found to be low-quality evidence.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review and meta-analysis provides the most comprehensive pooled estimate for the ETV+CPC failure rate to date and demonstrates, for the first time, a statistically significant difference in failure rate by geographic income level. It also provides the first reported pooled estimates for the risk of ETV+CPC perioperative mortality, intraoperative abandonment, and CSF infection. The low quality of this evidence highlights the need for further research to improve the understanding of these critical clinical outcomes and their relevant explanatory variables and thus to appreciate which patients may benefit most from an ETV+CPC. Systematic review registration no.: CRD42020160149 (https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/).

Prevalence and Risk Factors for Fatigue in Adults With Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Systematic Review With Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is a chronic relapsing and remitting disease with high morbidity, substantial health care costs, and increasing incidence. Fatigue is one of the most common symptoms that impacts quality of life and is a leading concern for patients with IBD. The aim of this study was to determine the global prevalence, risk factors, and impact of fatigue in adults with IBD.

METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted. Data were retrieved from Medline, Embase, CINAHL, and PsycINFO from database inception to October 2019. A pooled prevalence of fatigue was calculated using a random-effects model. Stratified meta-analyses explored sources of between-study heterogeneity. Study quality was assessed using an adapted checklist from Downs and Black.

RESULTS

The search yielded 4524 studies, of which 20 studies were included in the systematic review and meta-analysis. Overall, the studies were of good quality. The pooled prevalence of fatigue was 47% (95% confidence interval, 41%-54%), though between-study heterogeneity was high (I² = 98%). Fatigue prevalence varied significantly by the definition of fatigue (chronic: 28%; high: 48%; P < .01) and disease status (active disease: 72%; remission: 47%; P < .01). Sleep disturbance, anxiety, depression, and anemia were the most commonly reported fatigue-related risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of fatigue in adults with IBD is high, emphasizing the importance of additional efforts to manage fatigue to improve the care and quality of life for patients with IBD.

Impact of quality improvement initiatives to improve CKD referral patterns: a systematic review protocol

INTRODUCTION

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a global-health problem. A significant proportion of referrals to nephrologists for CKD management are early and guideline-discordant, which may lead to an excess number of referrals and increased wait-times. Various initiatives have been tested to increase the proportion of guideline-concordant referrals and decrease wait times. This paper describes the protocol for a systematic review to study the impacts of quality improvement initiatives aimed at decreasing the number of non-guideline concordant referrals, increasing the number of guideline-concordant referrals and decreasing wait times for patients to access a nephrologist.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

We developed this protocol by using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses for Protocols (2015). We will search the following empirical electronic databases: MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Library, CINAHL, Web of Science, PsycINFO and grey literature for studies designed to improve guideline-concordant referrals or to reduce unnecessary referrals of patients with CKD from primary care to nephrology. Our search will include all studies published from database inception to April 2021 with no language restrictions. The studies will be limited to referrals for adult patients to nephrologists. Referrals of patients with CKD from non-nephrology specialists (eg, general internal medicine) will be excluded.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethics approval will not be required, as we will analyse data from studies that have already been published and are publicly accessible. We will share our findings using traditional approaches, including scientific presentations, open access peer-reviewed platforms, and appropriate government and public health agencies.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42021247756.

Identifying subgroups of adult high-cost health care users: a retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND

Few studies have categorized high-cost patients (defined by accumulated health care spending above a predetermined percentile) into distinctive groups for which potentially actionable interventions may improve outcomes and reduce costs. We sought to identify homogeneous groups within the persistently high-cost population to develop a taxonomy of subgroups that may be targetable with specific interventions.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis in which we identified adults (≥ 18 yr) who lived in Alberta between April 2014 and March 2019. We defined "persistently high-cost users" as those in the top 1% of health care spending across 4 data sources (the Discharge Abstract Database for inpatient encounters; Practitioner Claims for outpatient primary care and specialist encounters; the Ambulatory Care Classification System for emergency department encounters; and the Pharmaceutical Information Network for medication use) in at least 2 consecutive fiscal years. We used latent class analysis and expert clinical opinion in tandem to separate the persistently high-cost population into subgroups that may be targeted by specific interventions based on their distinctive clinical profiles and the drivers of their health system use and costs.

RESULTS

Of the 3 919 388 adults who lived in Alberta for at least 2 consecutive fiscal years during the study period, 21 115 (0.5%) were persistently high-cost users. We identified 9 subgroups in this population: people with cardiovascular disease (n = 4537; 21.5%); people receiving rehabilitation after surgery or recovering from complications of surgery (n = 3380; 16.0%); people with severe mental health conditions (n = 3060; 14.5%); people with advanced chronic kidney disease (n = 2689; 12.7%); people receiving biologic therapies for autoimmune conditions (n = 2538; 12.0%); people with dementia and awaiting community placement (n = 2520; 11.9%); people with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or other respiratory conditions (n = 984; 4.7%); people receiving treatment for cancer (n = 832; 3.9%); and people with unstable housing situations or substance use disorders (n = 575; 2.7%).

INTERPRETATION

Using latent class analysis supplemented with expert clinical review, we identified 9 policy-relevant subgroups among persistently high-cost health care users. This taxonomy may be used to inform policy, including identifying interventions that are most likely to improve care and reduce cost for each subgroup.

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in COVID-19 patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis (November 2019-June 2021)

Background

Pneumonia from SARS-CoV-2 is difficult to distinguish from other viral and bacterial etiologies. Broad-spectrum antimicrobials are frequently prescribed to patients hospitalized with COVID-19 which potentially acts as a catalyst for the development of antimicrobial resistance (AMR).

Objectives

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis during the first 18 months of the pandemic to quantify the prevalence and types of resistant co-infecting organisms in patients with COVID-19 and explore differences across hospital and geographic settings.

Methods

We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science (BioSIS), and Scopus from November 1, 2019 to May 28, 2021 to identify relevant articles pertaining to resistant co-infections in patients with laboratory confirmed SARS-CoV-2. Patient- and study-level analyses were conducted. We calculated pooled prevalence estimates of co-infection with resistant bacterial or fungal organisms using random effects models. Stratified meta-analysis by hospital and geographic setting was also performed to elucidate any differences.

Results

Of 1331 articles identified, 38 met inclusion criteria. A total of 1959 unique isolates were identified with 29% (569) resistant organisms identified. Co-infection with resistant bacterial or fungal organisms ranged from 0.2 to 100% among included studies. Pooled prevalence of co-infection with resistant bacterial and fungal organisms was 24% (95% CI 8–40%; n = 25 studies: I² = 99%) and 0.3% (95% CI 0.1–0.6%; n = 8 studies: I² = 78%), respectively. Among multi-drug resistant organisms, methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Pseudomonas aeruginosa and multi-drug resistant Candida auris were most commonly reported. Stratified analyses found higher proportions of AMR outside of Europe and in ICU settings, though these results were not statistically significant. Patient-level analysis demonstrated > 50% (n = 58) mortality, whereby all but 6 patients were infected with a resistant organism.

Conclusions

During the first 18 months of the pandemic, AMR prevalence was high in COVID-19 patients and varied by hospital and geography although there was substantial heterogeneity. Given the variation in patient populations within these studies, clinical settings, practice patterns, and definitions of AMR, further research is warranted to quantify AMR in COVID-19 patients to improve surveillance programs, infection prevention and control practices and antimicrobial stewardship programs globally.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13756-022-01085-z.

The Effect of Alcohol Cue Exposure on Tobacco-Related Cue Reactivity: A Systematic Review

AIMS

To examine the effect of alcohol cue exposure on tobacco-related cravings, self-administration and other measures of tobacco-related cue reactivity.

METHODS

We searched Medline, PsycINFO, Embase, CINAHL and Scopus from inception to May 2020 for articles reporting on a combination of cue reactivity (and/or cross-cue reactivity), alcohol use and tobacco consumption. A semi-quantitative analysis and study quality assessment were performed for the included articles.

RESULTS

A total of 37 articles met our inclusion criteria and were included in the systematic review. Most studies (60%) reported that alcohol cue exposure increased tobacco cravings, but only 18% of studies reported that alcohol cue exposure resulted in an increase in ad libitum smoking. There was also substantial heterogeneity between studies due to differences in methodology related to alcohol cue exposure, measures of tobacco cravings, as well as variable participant and study characteristics.

CONCLUSIONS

Alcohol cue exposure can increase cravings for tobacco. This has important implications for individuals who use both substances but are trying to quit one or both.

Mortality and cardiovascular events in adults with kidney failure after major non-cardiac surgery: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

People with kidney failure have a high incidence of major surgery, though the risk of perioperative outcomes at a population-level is unknown. Our objective was to estimate the proportion of people with kidney failure that experience acute myocardial infarction (AMI) or death within 30 days of major non-cardiac surgery, based on surgery type.

METHODS

In this retrospective population-based cohort study, we used administrative health data to identify adults from Alberta, Canada with major surgery between April 12,005 and February 282,017 that had preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs) < 15 mL/min/1.73m2 or received chronic dialysis. The index surgical procedure for each participant was categorized within one of fourteen surgical groupings based on Canadian Classification of Health Interventions (CCI) codes applied to hospitalization administrative datasets. We estimated the proportion of people that had AMI or died within 30 days of the index surgical procedure (with 95% confidence intervals [CIs]) following logistic regression, stratified by surgery type.

RESULTS

Overall, 3398 people had a major surgery (1905 hemodialysis; 590 peritoneal dialysis; 903 non-dialysis). Participants were more likely male (61.0%) with a median age of 61.5 years (IQR 50.0-72.7). Within 30 days of surgery, 272 people (8.0%) had an AMI or died. The probability was lowest following ophthalmologic surgery at 1.9% (95%CI: 0.5, 7.3) and kidney transplantation at 2.1% (95%CI: 1.3, 3.2). Several types of surgery were associated with greater than one in ten risk of AMI or death, including retroperitoneal (10.0% [95%CI: 2.5, 32.4]), intra-abdominal (11.7% [8.7, 15.5]), skin and soft tissue (12.1% [7.4, 19.1]), musculoskeletal (MSK) (12.3% [9.9, 15.5]), vascular (12.6% [10.2, 15.4]), anorectal (14.7% [6.3, 30.8]), and neurosurgical procedures (38.1% [20.3, 59.8]). Urgent or emergent procedures had the highest risk, with 12.1% experiencing AMI or death (95%CI: 10.7, 13.6) compared with 2.6% (1.9, 3.5) following elective surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

After major non-cardiac surgery, the risk of death or AMI for people with kidney failure varies significantly based on surgery type. This study informs our understanding of surgery type and risk for people with kidney failure. Future research should focus on identifying high risk patients and strategies to reduce these risks.

Connect 2 Care, a Novel Community Outreach Program for Vulnerably Housed Patients With High Acute Care Use: A Mixed-Methods Study Protocol

Introduction: Vulnerably housed individuals, especially those experiencing homelessness, have higher acute care use compared with the general population. Despite available primary care and social services, many face significant challenges accessing needed services. Connect 2 Care (C2C) is a novel transitional case management program that includes registered nurses and health navigators with complementary expertise in chronic disease management, mental health and addictions, social programs, community health, and housing, financial, transportation and legal resources. C2C bridges acute care and community services to improve care coordination. Methods and Analysis: We will perform a mixed-methods evaluation of the C2C program according to the Donabedian framework of structure, process and outcome, to understand how program structure and process, coupled with contextual factors, influence outcomes in a novel intervention. Eligible patients are homeless or unstably housed adults with complex health conditions and high acute care use. Change in emergency department visit rate 12-months after program enrolment is the primary outcome. Secondary outcomes include 12-month post-enrolment hospital admissions, cumulative hospital days, health-related quality of life, housing status, primary care attachment and substance use. Qualitative methods will explore experiences with the C2C program from multiple perspectives and an economic evaluation will assess cost-effectiveness. Discussion: Academic researchers partnered with community service providers to evaluate a novel transitional case management intervention for vulnerably housed patients with high acute-care use. The study uses mixed-methods to evaluate the Connect 2 Care program according to the Donabedian framework of structure, process and outcome, including an assessment of contextual factors that influence program success. Insights gained through this comprehensive evaluation will help refine the C2C program and inform decisions about sustainability and transferability to other settings in Canada.