Heart Failure Incidence Following ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction

Atypical Symptoms on Admission Predict Progression to Heart Failure in Patients With First-Time Myocardial Infarction: Using Data From the Korean Multicenter Cohort Registry

BACKGROUND

Identifying the initial factors predicting heart failure (HF) progression in patients with myocardial infarction (MI), a major cause of HF, is essential.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to examine predictors of rehospitalization due to HF in patients with first-time MI from the Korea Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry-National Institutes of Health (KAMIR-NIH) prospective cohort between 2011 and 2015.

METHODS

A secondary data analysis was conducted on a population of 8888 patients who completed 3 years of follow-up and had no history of MI, HF, or death. The HF group was defined as patients rehospitalized with an HF diagnosis due to worsening symptoms. A 1:4 propensity score matching analysis was performed on 11 baseline characteristics, and the clinical conditions and complications of the HF group (n = 252) were compared with the non-HF group (n = 991). Statistical analyses were performed using SAS version 9.4 and R version 4.2.3.

RESULTS

A Cox proportional hazards model showed that the factors predicting rehospitalization due to HF were dyspnea (HR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.16-2.04; P = .003), left ventricular ejection fraction <50% (HR, 2.71; 95% CI, 2.06-3.58; P < .001), and new-onset HF confirmed during hospitalization (HR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.18-2.66; P = .006). Atypical chest pain (no chest pain) was significant only in univariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the importance of carefully monitoring symptoms and conditions during outpatient follow-up in post-MI patients, regardless of age, sex, or medical history. In particular, those who present with dyspnea at admission or develop new-onset HF during hospitalization should be considered high-risk for HF rehospitalization.

Comparative evaluation of machine learning models versus TIMI score in ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction patients

BACKGROUND

Risk stratification is an integral component of ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) management practices. This study aimed to derive a machine learning (ML) model for risk stratification and identification of factors associated with in-hospital and 30-day mortality in patients with STEMI and compare it with traditional TIMI score.

METHODS

This was a single center prospective study wherein subjects >18 years with STEMI (n = 1700) were enrolled. Patients were divided into two groups: training (n = 1360) and validation dataset (n = 340). Six ML algorithms (Extra Tree, Random Forest, Multiple Perceptron, CatBoost, Logistic Regression and XGBoost) were used to train and tune the ML model and to determine the predictors of worse outcomes using feature selection. Additionally, the performance of ML models both for in-hospital and 30-day outcomes was compared to that of TIMI score.

RESULTS

Of the 1700 patients, 168 (9.88 %) had in-hospital mortality while 30-day mortality was reported in 210 (12.35 %) subjects. In terms of in-hospital mortality, Random Forest ML model (sensitivity: 80 %; specificity: 74 %; AUC: 80.83 %) outperformed the TIMI score (sensitivity: 70 %; specificity: 64 %; AUC:70.7 %). Similarly, Random Forest ML model (sensitivity: 81.63 %; specificity: 78.35 %; AUC: 78.29 %) had better performance as compared to TIMI score (sensitivity: 63.26 %; specificity: 63.91 %; AUC: 63.59 %) for 30-day mortality. Key predictors for worse outcomes at 30-days included mitral regurgitation on presentation, smoking, cardiogenic shock, diabetes, ventricular septal rupture, Killip class, age, female gender, low blood pressure and low ejection fraction.

CONCLUSIONS

ML model outperformed the traditional regression based TIMI score as a risk stratification tool in patients with STEMI.

Interleukin-1 Blockade in Patients With ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction Across the Spectrum of Coronary Artery Disease Complexity

ABSTRACT

Patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and complex coronary artery disease (CAD) face a poor prognosis, including increased heart failure (HF) risk. Phase 2 clinical trials of anakinra have shown inhibition of the acute inflammatory response and prevention of HF after STEMI, but data on its effects based on CAD complexity are lacking. We performed a pooled secondary analysis of 139 patients with STEMI. The SYNTAX (Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention with Taxus and Cardiac Surgery), SYNTAX II, and Gensini scores were calculated, and patients were divided into 2 groups below and above the median. We evaluated the effect of anakinra on the area-under-the-curve of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP-AUC) at 14 days, and the composite endpoint of new-onset HF, HF hospitalization, or all-cause death at 1-year follow-up using Kaplan-Meier survival curves, Cox regression analysis for hazard ratios (HRs), and tested interactions between subgroups. All 3 CAD complexity scores (SYNTAX, SYNTAX II, and Gensini) were associated with an increased risk of adverse events (HR 1.02-1.06, all P-values ≤0.025). We found no statistically significant interactions between CAD extent, measured as single-vessel or multivessel CAD, SYNTAX score ≤9 or >9, SYNTAX II score ≤24 or >24, Gensini score ≤32 or >32, and treatment effect of anakinra on hsCRP-AUC or the composite clinical endpoint (all P - values for interaction >0.05). In conclusion, among patients with STEMI, IL-1 blockade with anakinra significantly attenuated the acute inflammatory response and reduced the risk of HF-related events regardless of the spectrum of CAD complexity.

State of the Art of Primary PCI: Present and Future

Primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) has revolutionized the management of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), markedly improving patient outcomes. Despite technological advancements, pharmacological innovations, and refined interventional techniques, STEMI prognosis remains burdened by a persistent incidence of cardiac death and heart failure (HF), with mortality rates plateauing over the last decade. This review examines current practices in primary PCI, focusing on critical factors influencing patient outcomes. Moreover, it explores future developments, emphasizing the role of microvascular dysfunction-a critical but often under-recognized contributor to adverse outcomes, including incident HF and mortality, and has emerged as a key therapeutic frontier. Strategies aimed at preserving microvascular function, mitigating ischemia-reperfusion injury, and reducing infarct size are discussed as potential avenues for improving STEMI management. By addressing these challenges, the field can advance toward more personalized and effective interventions, potentially breaking the current deadlock in mortality rates and improving longer-term prognosis.

Factors Associated With the Development of Heart Failure Following Acute Coronary Syndrome: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) remains a major global health burden, encompassing a spectrum of conditions from unstable angina to acute myocardial infarction. Despite advancements in early detection and management, ACS is often complicated by the development of heart failure. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to identify factors associated with the development of heart failure following acute coronary syndrome. A comprehensive search was conducted across PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science from January 2018 to November 2024. Studies evaluating clinical or biochemical predictors of heart failure development in adult patients with acute coronary syndrome were included. Out of the initially identified studies, nine studies met the inclusion criteria. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used to assess the quality of included studies, with most studies demonstrating high quality. The pooled analysis revealed that older age, female sex, diabetes, hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, atrial fibrillation, multivessel coronary disease, and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction were significant predictors of heart failure development following acute coronary syndrome. The presence of atrial fibrillation emerged as the strongest predictor, followed by reduced left ventricular ejection fraction and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. While complete revascularization showed a protective trend, this association did not reach statistical significance. The findings were limited by the predominantly retrospective nature of included studies and heterogeneity in the assessment of certain risk factors. Future research should focus on prospective studies with larger cohorts and comprehensive evaluation of additional factors such as treatment delays and revascularization strategies. Understanding these predictors can facilitate early risk stratification and guide targeted interventions, potentially improving outcomes for patients with acute coronary syndrome.

Myocardial infarction elevates endoplasmic reticulum stress and protein aggregation in heart as well as brain

Cardiovascular diseases, including myocardial infarction (MI), constitute the leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Protein-aggregate deposition is a hallmark of aging and neurodegeneration. Our previous study reported that aggregation is strikingly elevated in hearts of hypertensive and aged mice; however, no prior study has addressed MI effects on aggregation in heart or brain. Here, we present novel data on heart and brain aggregation in mice following experimental MI, induced by left coronary artery (LCA) ligation. Infarcted and peri-infarcted heart tissue, and whole cerebra, were isolated from mice at sacrifice, 7 days following LCA ligation. Sham-MI mice (identical surgery without ligation) served as controls. We purified detergent-insoluble aggregates from these tissues, and quantified key protein constituents by high-resolution mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). Infarct heart tissue had 2.5- to 10-fold more aggregates than non-infarct or sham-MI heart tissue (each P = 0.001). Protein constituents from MI cerebral aggregates overlapped substantially with those from human Alzheimer's disease brain. Prior injection of mice with mesenchymal stem cell (MSC) exosomes, shown to limit infarct size after LCA ligation, reduced cardiac aggregation ~ 60%, and attenuated markers of endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress in heart and brain (GRP78, ATF6, P-PERK) by 50-75%. MI also elevated aggregate constituents enriched in Alzheimer's disease (AD) aggregates, such as proteasomal subunits, heat-shock proteins, complement C3, clusterin/ApoJ, and other apolipoproteins. These data provide novel evidence that aggregation is elevated in mouse hearts and brains after myocardial ischemia, leading to cognitive impairment resembling AD, but can be attenuated by exosomes or drug (CDN1163) interventions that oppose ER stress.

The Role of Vericiguat in Early Phases of Anterior Myocardial Infarction: A Potential Game-Changer?

Anterior myocardial infarction is a critical condition with significant implications for cardiac function and patient prognosis. Despite advancements in reperfusion therapies, optimizing recovery during the early phases of myocardial infarction remains challenging. Anterior myocardial infarction can lead to substantial long-term effects on a patient's health due to extensive damage to the heart muscle, particularly the left ventricle, impacting both quality of life and overall prognosis. Vericiguat, a soluble guanylate cyclase stimulator, has shown promise in heart failure, but its role in early anterior myocardial infarction has not yet been fully explored. By enhancing soluble guanylate cyclase activity, vericiguat may increase cyclic guanosine monophosphate production, leading to vasodilation, inhibition of platelet aggregation, and potential cardioprotective effects. Currently, treatment options for anterior myocardial infarction primarily focus on reperfusion strategies and managing complications. However, there is a critical need for adjunctive therapies that specifically target the pathophysiological changes occurring in the early phases of myocardial infarction. Vericiguat's mechanism of action offers a novel approach to improving vascular function and myocardial health, potentially contributing to innovative treatment strategies that could transform the care and prognosis of patients with anterior myocardial infarction.

Management of Myocardial Infarction and the Role of Cardiothoracic Surgery

Myocardial infarction (MI) is a leading cause of mortality globally and is predominantly attributed to coronary artery disease (CAD). MI is categorized as ST-elevation MI (STEMI) or non-ST-elevation MI (NSTEMI), each with distinct etiologies and treatment pathways. The goal in treatment for both is restoring blood flow back to the myocardium. STEMI, characterized by complete occlusion of a coronary artery, is managed urgently with reperfusion therapy, typically percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). In contrast, NSTEMI involves a partial occlusion of a coronary artery and is treated with medical management, PCI, or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) depending on risk scores and clinical judgment. The Heart Team approach can assist in deciding which reperfusion technique would provide the greatest benefit to the patient and is especially useful in complicated cases. Despite advances in treatment, complications such as cardiogenic shock (CS) and ischemic heart failure (HF) remain significant. While percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is considered the primary treatment for MI, it is important to recognize the significance of cardiac surgery in treatment, especially when there is complex disease or MI-related complications. This comprehensive review analyzes the role of cardiac surgery in MI management, recognizing when it is useful, or not.

Vectorcardiography Predicts Heart Failure in Patients Following ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction

BACKGROUND

Modeling outcomes, such as onset of heart failure (HF) or mortality, in patients following ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is challenging but clinically very useful. The acute insult following a myocardial infarction and chronic degeneration seen in HF involve a similar process where a loss of cardiomyocytes and abnormal remodeling lead to pump failure. This process may alter the strength and direction of the heart's net depolarization signal. We hypothesize that changes over time in unique parameters extracted using vectorcardiography (VCG) have the potential to predict outcomes in patients post-STEMI and could eventually be used as a noninvasive and cost-effective surveillance tool for characterizing the severity and progression of HF to guide evidence-based therapies.

METHODS

We identified 162 patients discharged from Michigan Medicine between 2016 and 2021 with a diagnosis of acute STEMI. For each patient, a single 12-lead ECG > 1 week pre-STEMI and > 1 week post-STEMI were collected. A set of unique VCG parameters were derived by analyzing features of the QRS complex. We used LASSO regression analysis incorporating clinical variables and VCG parameters to create a predictive model for HF, mortality, or the composite at 90, 180, and 365 days post-STEMI.

RESULTS

The VCG model is most predictive for HF onset at 90 days with a robust AUC. Variables from the HF model mitigating or driving risk, at a p < 0.05, were primarily parameters that assess the area swept by the depolarization vector including the 3D integral and convex hull in select spatial octants and quadrants.

Treatment and Care of Patients with ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction-What Challenges Remain after Three Decades of Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention?

Primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI) has revolutionized the prognosis of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and is the gold standard treatment. As a result of its success, the number of pPCI centres has expanded worldwide. Despite decades of advancements, clinical outcomes in STEMI patients have plateaued. Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest and cardiogenic shock remain a major cause of high in-hospital mortality, whilst the growing burden of heart failure in long-term STEMI survivors presents a growing problem. Many elements aiming to optimize STEMI treatment are still subject to debate or lack sufficient evidence. This review provides an overview of the most contentious current issues in pPCI in STEMI patients, with an emphasis on unresolved questions and persistent challenges.

Incidence and predictors of heart failure with reduced and preserved ejection fraction after ST-elevation myocardial infarction in the contemporary era of early percutaneous coronary intervention

AIMS

The development and incidence of de-novo heart failure after ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in the contemporary era of rapid reperfusion are largely unknown. We aimed to establish the incidence of post-STEMI heart failure, stratified by left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and to find predictors for its occurrence. Furthermore, we investigated the course of left ventricular systolic and diastolic function after STEMI.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 1172 all-comer STEMI patients from the CardioLines Biobank were included. Patients were predominantly male (74.5%) and 64 ± 12 years of age. During a median follow-up of 3.7 years (2.0, 5.5) we found a total incidence of post-STEMI heart failure of 10.9%, of which 52.1% heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), 29.4% heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction and 18.5% heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Independent predictors for the development of HFrEF were male sex (β = 0.97, p = 0.009), lung crepitations (β = 1.09, p = 0.001), potassium level (mmol/L, β = 0.43, p = 0.012), neutrophil count (109/L, β = 0.09, p = 0.001) and a reduced LVEF (β = 1.91, p < 0.001) at baseline. Independent predictors for the development of HFpEF were female sex (β = 0.99, p = 0.029), pre-existing kidney failure (β = 1.95, p = 0.003) and greater left atrial volume index (β = 0.04, p = 0.033) at baseline. Follow-up echocardiography (median follow-up 20 months) showed an improvement in LVEF (p < 0.001), whereas changes in diastolic function parameters showed both improvement and deterioration.

CONCLUSION

In the current era of early STEMI reperfusion, still one in 10 patients develops heart failure, with approximately half of the patients with a reduced and half with a mildly reduced or normal LVEF. Predictors for the development of HFrEF were different from HFpEF.

Effects of triglyceride glucose (TyG) and TyG-body mass index on sex-based differences in the early-onset heart failure of ST-elevation myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Heart failure (HF) is an important complication of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), including early- and late-onset HF. This study aimed to investigate the association between insulin resistance (IR)-related parameters triglyceride glucose (TyG) and TyG-body mass index (TyG-BMI) index and early-onset HF in STEMI between sexes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This cross-sectional study included patients with STEMI who underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) between January 2016 and September 2022. Patients were divided into tertiles according to TyG/TyG-BMI index levels in males and females. The presence of early-onset HF was compared between tertiles in both sexes. Moreover, patients were stratified according to the tertiles of TyG/Tyg-BMI index. Differences in early-onset HF of STEMI were compared between males and females in each tertile group. 1118 patients were included in this study, 20.3% of whom were females. The incidence rate of early-onset HF was significantly higher in females than in males (29% vs. 14.8%). TyG-BMI index was negatively correlated with early-onset HF. In both females and males, there was no difference in the occurrence of early-onset HF between the highest and lowest TyG/TyG-BMI index groups. Sex disparity was observed in females who had a significantly higher prevalence of early-onset HF than males in each TyG/TyG-BMI index tertile group; however, after adjustment, the differences disappeared.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with STEMI who undergo primary PCI, the incidence of early-onset HF is higher in females than in males. The TyG/TyG-BMI index do not contribute to the difference in early-onset HF between sexes.

Cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging-derived intraventricular pressure gradients in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction: a long-term follow-up study

Aims

Recently, novel post-processing tools have become available that measure intraventricular pressure gradients (IVPGs) on routinely obtained long-axis cine cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) images. IVPGs provide a comprehensive overview of both systolic and diastolic left ventricular (LV) functions. Whether IVPGs are associated with clinical outcome after ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is currently unknown. Here, we investigated the association between CMR-derived LV-IVPGs and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in a large reperfused STEMI cohort with long-term outcome.

Methods and results

In this prospectively enrolled multi-centre cohort study, 307 patients underwent CMR within 14 days after the first STEMI. LV-IVPGs (from apex-to-base) were estimated on the long-axis cine images. During a median follow-up of 9.7 (5.9-12.5) years, MACE (i.e. composite of cardiovascular death and de novo heart failure hospitalisation) occurred in 49 patients (16.0%). These patients had larger infarcts, more often microvascular injury, and impaired LV-IVPGs. In univariable Cox regression, overall LV-IVPG was significantly associated with MACE and remained significantly associated after adjustment for common clinical risk factors (hazard ratio (HR) 0.873, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.794-0.961, P = 0.005) and myocardial injury parameters (HR 0.906, 95% CI 0.825-0.995, P = 0.038). However, adjusted for LV ejection fraction and LV global longitudinal strain (GLS), overall LV-IVPG does not provide additional prognostic information (HR 0.959, 95% CI 0.866-1.063, P = 0.426).

Conclusion

Early after STEMI, CMR-derived LV-IVPGs are univariably associated with MACE and this association remains significant after adjustment for common clinical risk factors and measures of infarct severity. However, LV-IVPGs do not add prognostic value to LV ejection fraction and LV GLS.

Angio-based coronary functional assessment predicts 30-day new-onset heart failure after acute myocardial infarction

AIMS

Suboptimal perfusion leading to heart failure (HF) often occurs after ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), despite restoration of epicardial coronary flow in primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI) era. We determined the clinical implications of angio-based coronary functional assessment in evaluation of suboptimal perfusion and further outcomes among STEMI patients after successful PPCI.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this study, STEMI patients in the Chinese STEMI PPCI registry trial (NCT04996901) who achieved post-PPCI thrombolysis in myocardial infarction grade 3 flow were retrospectively screened. Post-procedural quantitative flow ratio (QFR), angio-based microvascular resistance (AMR), and coronary flow velocity (CFV) of the infarct-related artery were calculated. QFR and AMR measure epicardial stenosis severity and microvascular resistance, respectively. QFR+ was defined as QFR < 0.90 while QFR- was QFR ≥ 0.90. AMR+ was defined as AMR ≥ 250 mmHg*s/m while AMR- was AMR < 250 mmHg*s/m. The primary outcome was 30-day new-onset HF. The Kaplan-Meier curves were used to establish the associations between QFR, AMR, CFV, and HF incidences. The relationship between CFV and combined QFR and AMR indices was further assessed. Independent predictors were determined using Cox regression analysis. The receiver-operating characteristic curve was used to assess discriminant ability to predict HF. A total of 942 patients (mean age was 57.8 ± 11.7 years and 84.6% were men) were enrolled. Among them, 129 patients had new-onset HF episodes. Patients in the QFR-/AMR- group had a low risk of HF compared with those in the QFR+/AMR+ group (10.5% vs. 27.3%, P = 0.027). A higher CFV ≥ 17.4 cm/s was associated with low HF incidences as compared with CFV < 17.4 cm/s (10.3% vs. 16.8%, P = 0.005), whereas isolated QFR or AMR did not reveal any marked differences in HF incidences (P = 0.150 and 0.079, respectively). The highest and lowest medians of CFV were observed in the QFR-/AMR- and QFR+/AMR+ groups, respectively. CFV correlated well with the QFR/AMR ratio (adjusted R2  = 1, P < 0.001) and post-PPCI CFV was found to be an independent predictor of post-STEMI HF (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.61, 95% confidence interval: 0.41-0.90, P = 0.012). The area under curve estimate of the multivariable regression model was 0.749.

CONCLUSIONS

CFV is an integrated coronary physiological assessment approach that incorporates epicardial and microcirculatory contributions. Patients with post-PPCI CFV < 17.4 cm/s were strongly associated with a high risk for post-STEMI HF, even achieving thrombolysis in myocardial infarction grade 3 flow. The immediate angio-based coronary functional assessment is a feasible tool for evaluating suboptimal perfusion and risk stratification.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of pressure-controlled intermittent coronary sinus occlusion in elective percutaneous coronary intervention

OBJECTIVES

Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) represents the standard treatment for ST-elevated myocardial infarction, nevertheless, mortality and heart failures are frequent. Pressure-controlled intermittent coronary sinus occlusion (PiCSO) might reduce infarct size showing better patients' outcomes. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of PCI+PiCSO compared to PCI from the National Healthcare Service (NHS) perspective in Italy.

METHODS

A Markov model was developed to estimate life years (LYs), quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs. A micro-costing analysis has been performed to inform the cost of PCI+PiCSO procedure. Sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness of the model results.

RESULTS

Considering a willingness-to-pay threshold of 50,000€/QALY for the ICUR and a cost for PCI+PiCSO procedure of 14,654€, the innovative strategy may be cost-effective compared to PCI alone from the Italian NHS perspective, showing an ICUR of 17,530€/QALY (ICER 14,631€/LY) over a lifetime horizon; the probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that PCI+PiCSO is cost-effective in 78.8% of simulations.Considering the above mentioned willingness-to-pay threshold, PCI+PiCSO strategy would be cost-effective over a lifetime horizon considering a cost for PCI+PiCSO procedure lower than 28,160€.

CONCLUSION

PCI+PiCSO procedure may be considered a cost-effective technology that allows reducing cardiac events, while improving patients' life expectancy and quality of life.