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Kim J, Seki E. Unveiling the cancer risk nexus of the steatotic liver. Trends Endocrinol Metab 2024:S1043-2760(24)00060-2. [PMID: 38531699 DOI: 10.1016/j.tem.2024.02.017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2024] [Revised: 02/28/2024] [Accepted: 02/28/2024] [Indexed: 03/28/2024]
Abstract
Steatotic liver, characterized by the accumulation of fat in the liver, poses significant health risks including metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and an elevated risk of primary liver cancer. Emerging evidence indicates a robust association between steatotic liver and increased susceptibility to extrahepatic primary cancers and their metastases. The deposition of fat induces dynamic changes in hepatic microenvironments, thereby fostering inflammation and immune responses that enhance liver metastasis from extrahepatic primary cancers. This review explores the impact of steatotic liver on hepatic carcinogenesis and metastasis from extrahepatic cancers, with a specific focus on hepatocyte-derived factors and the immune microenvironment. By emphasizing novel conclusions, this article underscores the timely relevance of understanding these intricate connections.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jieun Kim
- Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA 90048, USA
| | - Ekihiro Seki
- Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA 90048, USA; Department of Biomedical Sciences, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA 90048, USA.
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Abstract
Globally, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major cause of cancer-related death and a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with chronic liver disease and cirrhosis. The predominant cause of HCC is shifting from viral to nonviral causes, in parallel with the high global prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and increasing alcohol consumption in many countries. There have been promising recent advances in the treatment of all stages of HCC; however, improvements in early detection, increased utilization of HCC surveillance, and equitable access to HCC therapies are needed to curb increases in HCC mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicole E Rich
- Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Harold C. Simmons Comprehensive Cancer Center, UT Southwestern Medical Center, 5959 Harry Hines Boulevard, Professional Office Building 1, Suite 4.420G, Dallas, TX 75390-8887, USA.
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Kann AE, Jepsen P, Madsen LG, West J, Askgaard G. Cause-specific mortality in patients with alcohol-related liver disease in Denmark: a population-based study. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2023; 8:1028-1034. [PMID: 37660703 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-1253(23)00192-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/24/2023] [Revised: 06/15/2023] [Accepted: 06/15/2023] [Indexed: 09/05/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Increased knowledge of the causes of death will be essential to prevent premature death in alcohol-related liver disease. We examined cause-specific mortality, including death due to specific cancers, in the 15 years after diagnosis of alcohol-related liver disease. METHODS We used nationwide health registries to identify patients (aged ≥18 years) with a first diagnosis of alcohol-related liver disease between Jan 1, 2002, and Dec 31, 2017, in Denmark and followed up patients for their underlying cause of death up to Dec 31, 2019. We estimated the cause-specific mortality and investigated whether the cause-specific mortality differed by sex, age (<50, 50-59, and ≥60 years), alcohol-related liver disease severity at diagnosis (decompensated cirrhosis, compensated cirrhosis, alcoholic hepatitis, and steatosis or unspecified liver disease), and presence of diabetes. FINDINGS The study included 23 385 patients with incident alcohol-related liver disease. Patients had a median age of 58 years (IQR 51-65), 15 819 (68%) were men and 7566 (32%) were women, and 15 358 (66%) had cirrhosis. During 111 532 person-years of follow-up, 15 692 (67%) patients died. Liver disease was the leading cause of death. In the first 5 years after alcohol-related liver disease diagnosis, liver disease caused almost half of all deaths, and the 5-year risk of death due to liver disease was 25·8% (95% CI 25·3-26·4). Beyond 5 years, causes other than liver disease combined became more common; of these extrahepatic causes, cancer, cardiovascular disease, and alcohol use disorder were the most common. Hepatocellular carcinoma was the dominant cause of cancer death (10-year risk of 2·5%, 95% CI 2·3-2·7), followed by lung cancer (1·9%, 1·7-2·1). The 10-year risk of death due to liver disease (around 30%) was similar for patients in all age groups and independent of sex and diabetes but was three times higher for those with decompensated cirrhosis (46·7%, 44·8-48·4) than steatosis or unspecified liver disease (16·2%, 15·3-17·2). INTERPRETATION Patients diagnosed with alcohol-related liver disease were at high risk of dying from liver disease many years after diagnosis, irrespective of age and sex. Death due to specific cancers, including hepatocellular carcinoma, each contributed minimally to the total mortality in patients with alcohol-related liver disease. FUNDING TrygFonden and the Novo Nordisk Foundation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anna Emilie Kann
- Section of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Medical Department, Zealand University Hospital, Koege, Denmark; Department of Hepatology and Gastroenterology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark; Center for Clinical Research and Prevention, Bispebjerg and Frederiksberg Hospital, Frederiksberg, Denmark.
| | - Peter Jepsen
- Department of Hepatology and Gastroenterology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
| | - Lone Galmstrup Madsen
- Section of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Medical Department, Zealand University Hospital, Koege, Denmark; Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, Copenhagen University, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Joe West
- Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust and the University of Nottingham, NIHR Nottingham Biomedical Research Centre, Nottingham, UK; Lifespan and Population Health, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK; Department of Clinical Medicine, Hepatology and Gastroenterology, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark
| | - Gro Askgaard
- Section of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Medical Department, Zealand University Hospital, Koege, Denmark; Department of Hepatology and Gastroenterology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark; Center for Clinical Research and Prevention, Bispebjerg and Frederiksberg Hospital, Frederiksberg, Denmark
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Hofer BS, Simbrunner B, Hartl L, Jachs M, Balcar L, Paternostro R, Schwabl P, Semmler G, Scheiner B, Trauner M, Mandorfer M, Reiberger T. Hepatic recompensation according to Baveno VII criteria is linked to a significant survival benefit in decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis. Liver Int 2023; 43:2220-2231. [PMID: 37469291 DOI: 10.1111/liv.15676] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2023] [Revised: 06/09/2023] [Accepted: 07/04/2023] [Indexed: 07/21/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Removing the primary aetiological factor in decompensated cirrhosis may lead to a restoration of hepatic function. In this study, we investigated the clinical implications of recompensation and the subsequent survival in patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis. METHODS The rate of recompensation was evaluated in patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis and persistent alcohol abstinence undergoing a hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement. Recompensation was defined according to Baveno VII criteria as resolution of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy, absence of variceal bleeding and improvement in liver function. RESULTS Two hundred and four abstinent patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis (age: 57.2 [IQR:50.1-63.7] years; 75.0% male; median MELD: 15 [IQR:11-19]) and a median HVPG of 20 (IQR:18-24) mmHg were included. During a median follow-up of 24.4 (IQR:10.9-50.4) months, 37 patients (18.1%) achieved abstinence-induced recompensation. Lower baseline HVPG, lower Child-Pugh score, lower BMI, higher albumin and higher mean arterial pressure were linked to a higher probability of recompensation. After adjusting for age, disease severity, portal hypertension and systemic inflammation, achieving recompensation resulted in a significant and considerable reduction in liver-related mortality (adjusted HR: 0.091 [95% CI: 0.012-0.677]; p = .019). Only 13 patients (6.4%) developed hepatocellular carcinoma, with a tendency towards a lower risk upon recompensation (HR: 0.398 [95% CI: 0.084-1.878]; p = .245), yet this finding did not reach statistical significance and requires further investigation. CONCLUSIONS Alcohol abstinence led to recompensation in 18.1% of our cohort of HVPG-characterised patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis. Achieving hepatic recompensation resulted in a >90% risk reduction in liver-related mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Benedikt Silvester Hofer
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Vienna Hepatic Hemodynamic Lab, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Christian Doppler Lab for Portal Hypertension and Liver Fibrosis, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Benedikt Simbrunner
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Vienna Hepatic Hemodynamic Lab, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Christian Doppler Lab for Portal Hypertension and Liver Fibrosis, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Lukas Hartl
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Vienna Hepatic Hemodynamic Lab, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Mathias Jachs
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Vienna Hepatic Hemodynamic Lab, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Lorenz Balcar
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Vienna Hepatic Hemodynamic Lab, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Rafael Paternostro
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Vienna Hepatic Hemodynamic Lab, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Philipp Schwabl
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Vienna Hepatic Hemodynamic Lab, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Christian Doppler Lab for Portal Hypertension and Liver Fibrosis, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Georg Semmler
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Vienna Hepatic Hemodynamic Lab, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Bernhard Scheiner
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Vienna Hepatic Hemodynamic Lab, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Michael Trauner
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Mattias Mandorfer
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Vienna Hepatic Hemodynamic Lab, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Thomas Reiberger
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Vienna Hepatic Hemodynamic Lab, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
- Christian Doppler Lab for Portal Hypertension and Liver Fibrosis, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
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Wester A, Åberg F, Rajani R, Hagström H. Minimal Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Noncirrhotic Budd-Chiari Syndrome: A Three-Decade Population-Based Study. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2023; 21:2689-2691.e1. [PMID: 36087708 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2022.08.042] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/16/2022] [Revised: 08/24/2022] [Accepted: 08/29/2022] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Axel Wester
- Department of Medicine, Huddinge, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
| | - Fredrik Åberg
- Transplantation and Liver Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital and Helsinki University, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Rupesh Rajani
- Department of Medicine, Huddinge, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; Division of Hepatology, Department of Upper GI, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Hannes Hagström
- Department of Medicine, Huddinge, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; Division of Hepatology, Department of Upper GI, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden; Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Department of Medicine, Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
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Niu X, Zhu L, Xu Y, Zhang M, Hao Y, Ma L, Li Y, Xing H. Global prevalence, incidence, and outcomes of alcohol related liver diseases: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Public Health 2023; 23:859. [PMID: 37170239 PMCID: PMC10173666 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-023-15749-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2023] [Accepted: 04/25/2023] [Indexed: 05/13/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Alcohol related liver disease (ARLD) is one of the major chronic liver diseases worldwide. This review aimed to describe the global prevalence, incidence, and outcomes of ARLD. METHODS Medline, Embase, The Cochrane Library, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) were searched from inception to May 31, 2022. The language was restricted to English or Chinese. According to the criteria, articles describing the basic characteristics of the population were selected. Two reviewers extracted the data independently. RESULTS A total of 372 studies were identified: 353 were used for prevalence analysis, 7 were used for incidence analysis, and 114 were used to for outcome analysis. The prevalence of ARLD worldwide was 4.8%. The prevalence in males was 2.9%, which was higher than female (0.5%). Among the ethnic groups, the percentage was highest in Caucasians (68.9%). Alcoholic liver cirrhosis comprised the highest proportion in the disease spectrum of ARLD at 32.9%. The prevalence of ascites in ARLD population was highest (25.1%). The ARLD population who drinking for > 20 years accounted for 54.8%, and the average daily alcohol intake was 146.6 g/d. About 59.5% of ARLD patients were current or former smokers, and 18.7% were complicated with hepatitis virus infection. The incidence was 0.208/1000 person-years. The overall mortality was 23.9%, and the liver-related mortality was 21.6%. CONCLUSION The global prevalence of ARLD was 4.8% and was affected by sex, region, drinking years, and other factors. Therefore, removing the factors causing a high disease prevalence is an urgent requisite. TRIAL REGISTRATION PROSPERO Nr: CRD42021286192.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xuanxuan Niu
- Center of Liver Diseases Division 3, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, 8 Jingshundong Street, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100015, China
| | - Lin Zhu
- Center of Liver Diseases Division 3, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, 8 Jingshundong Street, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100015, China
| | - Yifan Xu
- Center of Liver Diseases Division 3, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, 8 Jingshundong Street, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100015, China
| | - Menghan Zhang
- Center of Liver Diseases Division 3, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, 8 Jingshundong Street, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100015, China
| | - Yanxu Hao
- Center of Liver Diseases Division 3, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, 8 Jingshundong Street, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100015, China
| | - Lei Ma
- Center of Liver Diseases Division 3, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, 8 Jingshundong Street, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100015, China
| | - Yan Li
- Center of Liver Diseases Division 3, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, 8 Jingshundong Street, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100015, China
| | - Huichun Xing
- Center of Liver Diseases Division 3, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, 8 Jingshundong Street, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100015, China.
- Peking University Ditan Teaching Hospital, Beijing, 100015, China.
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7
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Huang DQ, Tan DJH, Ng CH, Amangurbanova M, Sutter N, Lin Tay PW, Lim WH, Yong JN, Tang A, Syn N, Muthiah MD, Tan EXX, Dave S, Tay B, Majzoub AM, Gerberi D, Kim BK, Loomba R. Hepatocellular Carcinoma Incidence in Alcohol-Associated Cirrhosis: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2023; 21:1169-1177. [PMID: 35940513 PMCID: PMC10792532 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2022.06.032] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 15.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/26/2022] [Revised: 05/31/2022] [Accepted: 06/25/2022] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Alcohol is one of the leading causes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, pooled estimates of HCC incidence in alcohol-associated cirrhosis have not been evaluated systematically. We performed a pooled analysis of time-to-event data to provide robust estimates for the incidence of HCC in alcohol-associated cirrhosis. METHODS Medline, Embase, Cochrane Central Register, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched from inception to August 2021. Individual patient data were reconstructed from published Kaplan-Meier curves, and a pooled analysis of cumulative HCC incidence was performed using a random-effects model. RESULTS We screened 5022 articles and included 18 studies (148,333 patients). In the pooled analysis, the cumulative incidence of HCC in alcohol-associated cirrhosis at 1, 5, and 10 years among studies that accounted for the competing risk of death without HCC was 1%, 3%, and 9%, respectively. A secondary analysis by traditional meta-analysis determined that the HCC incidence rate was higher in cohorts enrolled in a HCC surveillance program (18.6 vs 4.8 per 1000 person-years; P = .001) vs those who were not enrolled in a surveillance program. Meta-regression showed that diabetes, smoking, variceal bleeding, and hepatic decompensation were associated with a higher risk of HCC. CONCLUSIONS Our analysis determined that the 5- and 10- year cumulative risk of HCC in alcohol-associated cirrhosis was 3% and 9%, respectively, with a higher incidence in cohorts that were enrolled in a HCC surveillance program. These data should be validated further in large prospective studies, and may have important implications for HCC screening and surveillance among patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Q Huang
- NAFLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California; Department of Medicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, National University Health System, Singapore.
| | - Darren J H Tan
- Department of Medicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Cheng Han Ng
- Department of Medicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Maral Amangurbanova
- NAFLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California
| | - Nancy Sutter
- NAFLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California
| | - Phoebe Wen Lin Tay
- Department of Medicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Wen Hui Lim
- Department of Medicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Jie Ning Yong
- Department of Medicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Ansel Tang
- Department of Medicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Nicholas Syn
- Department of Medicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Mark D Muthiah
- Department of Medicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, National University Health System, Singapore
| | - Eunice X X Tan
- Department of Medicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, National University Health System, Singapore
| | - Shravan Dave
- NAFLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California
| | - Benjamin Tay
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, National University Health System, Singapore
| | - Abdul M Majzoub
- Division of Internal Medicine, Conemaugh Memorial Medical Center, Johnstown, Pennsylvania
| | | | - Beom Kyung Kim
- NAFLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California; Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Yonsei University Health System, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Rohit Loomba
- NAFLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California.
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Mitchell MC, Cotter TG. Unraveling the roles of excessive alcohol use and liver disease in mortality. Alcohol Clin Exp Res (Hoboken) 2023; 47:429-431. [PMID: 36585252 PMCID: PMC10050149 DOI: 10.1111/acer.15007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/12/2022] [Accepted: 12/26/2022] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Mack C Mitchell
- Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA
| | - Thomas G Cotter
- Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA
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Dhanda A, Bodger K, Hood S, Henn C, Allison M, Amasiatu C, Burton R, Cramp M, Forrest E, Khetani M, MacGilchrist A, Masson S, Parker R, Sheron N, Simpson K, Vergis N, White M, Boyd A, Brind A, Joshi A, Rund A, Srivastava A, McCune A, Gartland A, Hudson B, Stableforth B, John C, Maxan E, Unitt E, Beetteridge F, Lewis H, Fellows H, Haq I, Patel J, Ryan J, Cobbold J, Pohl K, Raeburn K, Corless L, Johnston M, Subhani M, Shah N, Ali N, Rajoriya N, Bendall O, Saeed O, Berry P, Moodley P, Abdelbadiee S, Davies S, Kotha S, Ryder S, Verma S, Manship T, Kumar V, Haddadin Y. The Liverpool alcohol-related liver disease algorithm identifies twice as many emergency admissions compared to standard methods when applied to Hospital Episode Statistics for England. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2023; 57:368-377. [PMID: 36397658 PMCID: PMC10099257 DOI: 10.1111/apt.17307] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/29/2022] [Revised: 05/19/2022] [Accepted: 11/03/2022] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Emergency admissions in England for alcohol-related liver disease (ArLD) have increased steadily for decades. Statistics based on administrative data typically focus on the ArLD-specific code as the primary diagnosis and are therefore at risk of excluding ArLD admissions defined by other coding combinations. AIM To deploy the Liverpool ArLD Algorithm (LAA), which accounts for alternative coding patterns (e.g., ArLD secondary diagnosis with alcohol/liver-related primary diagnosis), to national and local datasets in the context of studying trends in ArLD admissions before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS We applied the standard approach and LAA to Hospital Episode Statistics for England (2013-21). The algorithm was also deployed at 28 hospitals to discharge coding for emergency admissions during a common 7-day period in 2019 and 2020, in which eligible patient records were reviewed manually to verify the diagnosis and extract data. RESULTS Nationally, LAA identified approximately 100% more monthly emergency admissions from 2013 to 2021 than the standard method. The annual number of ArLD-specific admissions increased by 30.4%. Of 39,667 admissions in 2020/21, only 19,949 were identified with standard approach, an estimated admission cost of £70 million in under-recorded cases. Within 28 local hospital datasets, 233 admissions were identified using the standard approach and a further 250 locally verified cases using the LAA (107% uplift). There was an 18% absolute increase in ArLD admissions in the seven-day evaluation period in 2020 versus 2019. There were no differences in disease severity or mortality, or in the proportion of admissions with decompensation of cirrhosis or alcoholic hepatitis. CONCLUSIONS The LAA can be applied successfully to local and national datasets. It consistently identifies approximately 100% more cases than the standard coding approach. The algorithm has revealed the true extent of ArLD admissions. The pandemic has compounded a long-term rise in ArLD admissions and mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ashwin Dhanda
- University of Plymouth, Plymouth, UK.,South West Liver Unit, University Hospitals Plymouth NHS Trust, Plymouth, UK
| | - Keith Bodger
- University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.,Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK
| | - Steve Hood
- Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK
| | - Clive Henn
- Addiction and Inclusion Directorate, Office for Health Improvement and Disparities, Department for Health and Social Care, London, UK
| | - Michael Allison
- Cambridge Liver Unit, Cambridge NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge, UK
| | - Chioma Amasiatu
- Addiction and Inclusion Directorate, Office for Health Improvement and Disparities, Department for Health and Social Care, London, UK
| | - Robyn Burton
- Addiction and Inclusion Directorate, Office for Health Improvement and Disparities, Department for Health and Social Care, London, UK
| | - Matthew Cramp
- University of Plymouth, Plymouth, UK.,South West Liver Unit, University Hospitals Plymouth NHS Trust, Plymouth, UK
| | | | - Meetal Khetani
- Addiction and Inclusion Directorate, Office for Health Improvement and Disparities, Department for Health and Social Care, London, UK
| | | | - Steven Masson
- Liver Unit, Newcastle Hospitals NHS Trust, Newcastle, UK
| | - Richard Parker
- Leeds Liver Unit, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, UK
| | - Nick Sheron
- Addiction and Inclusion Directorate, Office for Health Improvement and Disparities, Department for Health and Social Care, London, UK
| | - Ken Simpson
- Liver Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, NHS Lothian, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Nikhil Vergis
- Imperial College London, London, UK.,Research and Development, GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), Hertfordshire, UK
| | - Martin White
- Addiction and Inclusion Directorate, Office for Health Improvement and Disparities, Department for Health and Social Care, London, UK
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10
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Tran TPT, Han M, Luu NM, Oh JK. Alcoholic liver disease in relation to cancer incidence and mortality: Findings from a large, matched cohort study in South Korea. Cancer Med 2023; 12:8754-8766. [PMID: 36653955 PMCID: PMC10134281 DOI: 10.1002/cam4.5614] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/22/2022] [Revised: 11/23/2022] [Accepted: 12/25/2022] [Indexed: 01/20/2023] Open
Abstract
AIM To estimate the risk of cancer incidence and mortality among patients with alcoholic liver disease in South Korea. METHODS A matched cohort study was conducted, including 1,042,185 men (alcoholic liver disease cases: 208,437; controls: 833,748) and 100,400 women (alcoholic liver disease cases: 20,080; controls: 80,320), matched for sex, age, smoking, alcohol consumption, and body mass index at a 1:4 ratio. The risk of cancer incidence and mortality in the alcoholic liver disease group was assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS Both men and women with alcoholic liver disease had an elevated risk of all-cancer and liver cancer incidence and mortality in comparison with the control group. In men, alcoholic liver disease was associated with a significantly higher risk of development of 10 cancer types, including lip, oral cavity, and pharynx; esophagus; liver; gallbladder and biliary tract; pancreas; larynx; lung; kidney; thyroid gland; and leukemia. Subgroup analysis by hepatitis B and C infection showed increased hazard ratios of all cancer incidences and mortality in the alcoholic liver disease group, regardless of hepatitis B or C infection status. In both sexes, a higher number and more years of hospital or clinic visits for alcoholic liver disease were associated with an increased risk of incidence and mortality from all cancers and liver cancer. A more profound dose-response relationship between alcoholic liver disease and alcohol consumption was observed in women than in men. CONCLUSIONS Our findings emphasize the need for a clinical surveillance program and the early detection of cancer in patients with alcoholic liver disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thi Phuong Thao Tran
- Department of Cancer Control and Population Health, National Cancer Center Graduate School of Cancer Science and Policy, Goyang-si, South Korea.,Center for Population Health Sciences, Hanoi University of Public Health, Hanoi, Vietnam
| | - Minji Han
- Division of Cancer Prevention, National Cancer Center, Goyang, South Korea
| | - Ngoc Minh Luu
- Department of Cancer Control and Population Health, National Cancer Center Graduate School of Cancer Science and Policy, Goyang-si, South Korea.,Hanoi Medical University, Hanoi, Vietnam
| | - Jin-Kyoung Oh
- Department of Cancer Control and Population Health, National Cancer Center Graduate School of Cancer Science and Policy, Goyang-si, South Korea.,Division of Cancer Prevention, National Cancer Center, Goyang, South Korea
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11
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Ito T, Nguyen MH. Perspectives on the Underlying Etiology of HCC and Its Effects on Treatment Outcomes. J Hepatocell Carcinoma 2023; 10:413-428. [PMID: 36926055 PMCID: PMC10013586 DOI: 10.2147/jhc.s347959] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2023] [Accepted: 02/25/2023] [Indexed: 03/11/2023] Open
Abstract
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) continues to be a serious medical problem with poor prognosis worldwide. The distribution of the major etiologies of HCC is changing due to the progress of anti-viral treatments, including hepatitis B virus (HBV) suppression by nucleoside/nucleotide analogues (NAs) and increased sustained virologic response (SVR) rates by direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV), as well as the rising trend of nonviral liver disease. Although viral hepatitis remains the most common cause of HCC, non-alcoholic liver disease (NAFLD) with metabolic syndrome and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) are increasing. Effective and well-tolerated NAs treatment can slow the disease progression of chronic HBV infection to cirrhosis, end-stage liver disease, and reduce HCC risk. Treatment with NAs is also associated with significant improvement in the long-term survival of patients with HBV infection who already have HCC. DAAs have achieved viral elimination in almost all patients with HCV without significant adverse events, even in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis and HCC. Similarly, DAA therapy can reduce disease progression, liver and non-liver complications, and improve the long-term survival of patients with chronic HCV infection with or without HCC. Meanwhile, NAFLD is a rapidly increasing cause of HCC along with the epidemics of obesity and type 2 diabetes globally. NAFLD-related HCC can occur in patients without cirrhosis and is known to have a lower survival rate than viral hepatitis-related HCC. Since there is currently no specific pharmacotherapy effective for NAFLD, lifestyle modification and prevention of complications are important to improve prognosis. Additionally, ALD is the second fastest-growing cause of HCC-related deaths, especially with an accelerated trend since the COVID-19 pandemic. This review provides an overview of the epidemiologic trends in the etiologies of HCC, and the progress of treatments for each etiology and the impact on outcome in the patients with HCC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Takanori Ito
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya, Japan
| | - Mindie H Nguyen
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Stanford University Medical Center, Palo Alto, CA, USA.,Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, Stanford University Medical Center, Palo Alto, CA, USA
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12
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Huang DQ, Mathurin P, Cortez-Pinto H, Loomba R. Global epidemiology of alcohol-associated cirrhosis and HCC: trends, projections and risk factors. Nat Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol 2023; 20:37-49. [PMID: 36258033 DOI: 10.1038/s41575-022-00688-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 64] [Impact Index Per Article: 64.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/08/2022] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
Heavy alcohol consumption is a major cause of morbidity and mortality. Globally, alcohol per-capita consumption rose from 5.5 litres in 2005 to 6.4 litres in 2016 and is projected to increase further to 7.6 litres in 2030. In 2019, an estimated 25% of global cirrhosis deaths were associated with alcohol. The global estimated age-standardized death rate (ASDR) of alcohol-associated cirrhosis was 4.5 per 100,000 population, with the highest and lowest ASDR in Africa and the Western Pacific, respectively. The annual incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis ranged from 0.9% to 5.6%. Alcohol was associated with approximately one-fifth of global HCC-related deaths in 2019. Between 2012 and 2017, the global estimated ASDR for alcohol-associated cirrhosis declined, but the ASDR for alcohol-associated liver cancer increased. Measures are required to curb heavy alcohol consumption to reduce the burden of alcohol-associated cirrhosis and HCC. Degree of alcohol intake, sex, older age, obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus, gut microbial dysbiosis and genetic variants are key factors in the development of alcohol-associated cirrhosis and HCC. In this Review, we discuss the global epidemiology, projections and risk factors for alcohol-associated cirrhosis and HCC.
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13
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Ganesan R, Yoon SJ, Suk KT. Microbiome and Metabolomics in Liver Cancer: Scientific Technology. Int J Mol Sci 2022; 24. [PMID: 36613980 DOI: 10.3390/ijms24010537] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2022] [Revised: 12/12/2022] [Accepted: 12/19/2022] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Primary liver cancer is a heterogeneous disease. Liver cancer metabolism includes both the reprogramming of intracellular metabolism to enable cancer cells to proliferate inappropriately and adapt to the tumor microenvironment and fluctuations in regular tissue metabolism. Currently, metabolomics and metabolite profiling in liver cirrhosis, liver cancer, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have been in the spotlight in terms of cancer diagnosis, monitoring, and therapy. Metabolomics is the global analysis of small molecules, chemicals, and metabolites. Metabolomics technologies can provide critical information about the liver cancer state. Here, we review how liver cirrhosis, liver cancer, and HCC therapies interact with metabolism at the cellular and systemic levels. An overview of liver metabolomics is provided, with a focus on currently available technologies and how they have been used in clinical and translational research. We also list scalable methods, including chemometrics, followed by pathway processing in liver cancer. We conclude that important drivers of metabolomics science and scientific technologies are novel therapeutic tools and liver cancer biomarker analysis.
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Rattanasupar A, Chang A, Prateepchaiboon T, Pungpipattrakul N, Akarapatima K, Songjamrat A, Pakdeejit S, Prachayakul V, Piratvisuth T. Impact of alcohol consumption on treatment outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma patients with viral hepatitis who underwent transarterial chemoembolization. World J Hepatol 2022; 14:1162-1172. [PMID: 35978671 PMCID: PMC9258258 DOI: 10.4254/wjh.v14.i6.1162] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/04/2022] [Revised: 04/24/2022] [Accepted: 06/13/2022] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Alcohol consumption increases the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with pre-existing liver disease, including viral hepatitis. However, studies on the impact of alcohol consumption on the outcomes of HCC are limited. We hypothesized that alcohol had an additional effect with chronic viral hepatitis infection on treatment outcomes after transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in patients with intermediate-stage HCC (Barcelona Clinical Liver Cancer [BCLC] -B).
AIM To evaluate the additional effect of alcohol on treatment outcomes of TACE among HCC patients with viral hepatitis.
METHODS This study, conducted at Hatyai Hospital in Thailand, included HCC patients over 18 years of age with chronic viral hepatitis. Records of HCC patients with viral hepatitis classified as BCLC-B who underwent TACE as the first treatment modality between 2014 and 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients with chronic viral hepatitis only were categorized under group A, and those with chronic viral hepatitis and concurrent alcohol consumption were categorized under group B. Both groups were compared, and the Cox proportional-hazards model was used to identify the survival-influencing variables.
RESULTS Of the 69 patients, 53 were categorized in group A and 16 in group B. There were no statistically significant differences in tumor characteristics between the two patient groups. However, Group A had a statistically significantly higher proportion of complete response (24.5% vs 0%, P = 0.030) and a higher median survival rate (26.2 mo vs 8.4 mo; log-rank P = 0.012) compared to group B. Factors associated with decreased survival in the proportional-hazards model included alcohol consumption (hazards ratio [HR], 2.377; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.109-5.095; P = 0.026), presence of portal hypertension (HR, 2.578; 95%CI, 1.320–5.037; P = 0.006), largest tumor size > 5 cm (HR, 3.558; 95%CI, 1.824-6.939; P < 0.001), and serum alpha-fetoprotein level > 100 ng/mL (HR, 2.536; 95%CI, 1.377-4.670; P = 0.003).
CONCLUSION In HCC BCLC B patients with chronic viral hepatitis, alcohol consumption is an independent risk factor for increased mortality and decreases the rate of complete response and survival after TACE.
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Affiliation(s)
- Attapon Rattanasupar
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Hatyai Hospital, Hatyai 90110, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Arunchai Chang
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Hatyai Hospital, Hatyai 90110, Songkhla, Thailand
| | | | | | - Keerati Akarapatima
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Hatyai Hospital, Hatyai 90110, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Apiradee Songjamrat
- Division of Intervention Radiology, Department of Radiology, Hatyai Hospital, Hatyai 90110, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Songklod Pakdeejit
- Division of Intervention Radiology, Department of Radiology, Hatyai Hospital, Hatyai 90110, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Varayu Prachayakul
- Siriraj Gastrointestinal Endoscopy Center, Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkoknoi 10700, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Teerha Piratvisuth
- NKC Institute of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Songklanagarind Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hatyai 90110, Songkhla, Thailand
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Lee K, Choi GH, Jang ES, Jeong SH, Kim JW. A scoring system for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma risk in alcoholic cirrhosis. Sci Rep 2022; 12:1717. [PMID: 35110551 PMCID: PMC8810867 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-05196-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2021] [Accepted: 01/04/2022] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
The role of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is being questioned in alcoholic cirrhosis because of the relative low HCC risk. This study aimed to assess the risk and predictors of HCC in Korean patients with alcoholic cirrhosis by using competing risk analysis. A total of 745 patients with alcoholic cirrhosis were recruited at a university-affiliated hospital in Korea and randomly assigned to either the derivation (n = 507) and validation (n = 238) cohort. Subdistribution hazards model of Fine and Gray was used with deaths and liver transplantation treated as competing risks. Death records were confirmed from Korean government databases. A nomogram was developed to calculate the Alcohol-associated Liver Cancer Estimation (ALICE) score. The cumulative incidence of HCC was 15.3 and 13.3% at 10 years for derivation and validation cohort, respectively. Age, alpha-fetoprotein level, and albumin level were identified as independent predictors of HCC and incorporated in the ALICE score, which discriminated low, intermediate, and high risk for HCC in alcoholic cirrhosis at the cut-off of 60 and 100. The risk of HCC can be stratified by using a combination of readily available clinical parameters (age, AFP level, and albumin level) in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kyunghan Lee
- Department of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82, Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang-gu, Seongnam-si, Gyeonggi-do, 13620, Republic of Korea
| | - Gwang Hyeon Choi
- Department of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82, Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang-gu, Seongnam-si, Gyeonggi-do, 13620, Republic of Korea
| | - Eun Sun Jang
- Department of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82, Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang-gu, Seongnam-si, Gyeonggi-do, 13620, Republic of Korea
| | - Sook-Hyang Jeong
- Department of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82, Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang-gu, Seongnam-si, Gyeonggi-do, 13620, Republic of Korea.,Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jin-Wook Kim
- Department of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82, Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang-gu, Seongnam-si, Gyeonggi-do, 13620, Republic of Korea. .,Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
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17
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Åström H, Ndegwa N, Hagström H. External validation of the Toronto hepatocellular carcinoma risk index in a Swedish population. JHEP Rep 2021; 3:100343. [PMID: 34611618 PMCID: PMC8476346 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhepr.2021.100343] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/05/2021] [Revised: 07/11/2021] [Accepted: 07/29/2021] [Indexed: 11/28/2022] Open
Abstract
Background & Aims The Toronto hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk index (THRI) is a predictive model to determine the risk of HCC in patients with cirrhosis. This study aimed to externally validate the THRI in a Swedish setting to investigate whether it could identify patients not requiring HCC surveillance. Methods From 2004-2017, 2,491 patients with cirrhosis at the Karolinska University Hospital were evaluated. Patients were classified into low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups for future HCC according to the THRI. Harrell’s C-index, calibration-in-the-large, calibration slope and goodness-of-fit estimates were calculated to assess model discrimination and calibration. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to determine the risk of HCC. Results Most patients were male (n = 1,638, 66%). The most common etiologies of cirrhosis were steatohepatitis (n = 1,182, 48%) followed by viral hepatitis (n = 987, 40%). In all, 131 patients (5.3%) were designated as low risk for HCC. Harrell’s C-index was 0.69. Calibration-in-the-large (0.11), calibration slope (1.24, not different from 1, p = 0.66) and goodness-of-fit showed good model calibration. Patients in the high-risk group had a 7.1-fold (95% CI 2.9–17.2) higher risk of HCC and patients in the intermediate-risk group had a 2.5-fold (95% CI 1.0–6.3) higher risk compared to the low-risk group. Conclusions In a Swedish setting, the THRI could differentiate between low- and high-risk of HCC development. However, because the low-risk group was relatively small (5.3%), the clinical applicability of the THRI could be limited. Lay summary The Toronto hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk index (THRI) is a novel prediction model used to stratify patients with cirrhosis based on future risk of HCC. In this study, the THRI was validated in an external cohort using the TRIPOD guidance. Few patients were identified as low-risk, and the THRI had a modest discriminative ability, limiting its clinical applicability. The THRI is a simple and non-invasive method to estimate 5- and 10-year HCC risk. This was the largest validation of the THRI to date. The THRI had a modest discriminative ability and was well-calibrated. However, the THRI could only identify few patients at low risk of HCC, limiting its clinical use.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hanne Åström
- Department of Medicine, Huddinge, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Nelson Ndegwa
- Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.,Division of Surgery, Department of Clinical Science Intervention and Technology, Karolinska Institutet, and Oesophageal and Gastric Cancer Unit, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Hannes Hagström
- Department of Medicine, Huddinge, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.,Division of Hepatology, Department of Upper GI, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.,Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Department of Medicine, Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
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18
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Duan F, Liu C, Liu Y, Chang C, Zhai H, Xing H, Cheng J, Yang S. Nomogram to Predict the Survival of Chinese Patients with Alcohol-Related Liver Disease. Can J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2021; 2021:4073503. [PMID: 34616695 DOI: 10.1155/2021/4073503] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/10/2021] [Revised: 09/08/2021] [Accepted: 09/13/2021] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Alcohol-related liver disease is an increasing public health burden in China, but there is a lack of models to predict its prognosis. This study established a nomogram for predicting the survival of Chinese patients with alcohol-related liver disease (ALD). METHODS Hospitalized alcohol-related liver disease patients were retrospectively enrolled from 2015 to 2018 and followed up for 24 months to evaluate survival profiles. A total of 379 patients were divided into a training cohort (n = 265) and validation cohort (n = 114). Cox proportional hazard survival analysis identified survival factors of the patients in the training cohort. A nomogram was built and internally validated. RESULTS The 3-month, 6-month, 12-month, and 24-month survival rates for the training cohort were 82.6%, 81.1%, 74.3%, and 64.5%, respectively. The Cox analysis showed relapse (P=0.001), cirrhosis (P=0.044), liver cancer (P < 0.001), and a model for end-stage liver diseases score of ≥21 (P=0.041) as independent prognostic factors. A nomogram was built, which predicted the survival of patients in the training cohort with a concordance index of 0.749 and in the internal validation cohort with a concordance index of 0.756. CONCLUSION The long-term survival of Chinese alcohol-related liver disease patients was poor with a 24-month survival rate of 64.5%. Relapse, cirrhosis, liver cancer, and a model for end-stage liver disease score of ≥21 were independent risk factors for those patients. A nomogram was developed and internally validated for predicting the probability of their survival at different time points.
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Zhang Y, Zeng F, Zeng M, Han X, Cai L, Zhang J, Weng J, Gao Y. Identification and Characterization of Alcohol-related Hepatocellular Carcinoma Prognostic Subtypes based on an Integrative N6-methyladenosine methylation Model. Int J Biol Sci 2021; 17:3554-3572. [PMID: 34512165 PMCID: PMC8416726 DOI: 10.7150/ijbs.62168] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/05/2021] [Accepted: 08/01/2021] [Indexed: 12/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Alcohol consumption increases the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and associated with a high mortality rate and poor prognosis. N6-methyladenosine (m6A) methylations play key roles in tumorigenesis and progression. However, our current knowledge about m6A in alcohol-related HCC (A-HCC) remains elucidated. Herein, the authors construct an integrative m6A model based on A-HCC subtyping and mechanism exploration workflow. Methods: Based on the m6A expressions of A-HCC and in vivo experiment, different prognosis risk A-HCC subtypes are identified. Meanwhile, multiple interdependent indicators of prognosis including patient survival rate, clinical pathological prognosis and immunotherapy sensitivity. Results: The m6A model includes LRPPRC, YTHDF2, KIAA14219, and RBM15B, classified A-HCC patients into high/low-risk subtypes. The high-risk subtype compared to the low-risk subtype showed phenotypic malignancy, poor prognosis, immunosuppression, and activation of tumorigenesis and proliferation-related pathways, including the E2F target, DNA repair, and mTORC1 signalling pathways. The expression of Immunosuppressive cytokines DNMT1/EZH2 was up-regulated in A-HCC patients, and teniposide may be a potential therapeutic drug for A-HCC. Conclusion: Our model redefined A-HCC prognosis risk, identified potential m6As linking tumour progress and immune regulations and selected possible therapy target, thus promoting understanding and clinical applications about A-HCC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yue Zhang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery II, Guangdong Provincial Research Center for Artificial Organ and Tissue Engineering, Guangzhou Clinical Research and Transformation Center for Artificial Liver, Institute of Regenerative Medicine, ZhuJiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Fanhong Zeng
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery II, Guangdong Provincial Research Center for Artificial Organ and Tissue Engineering, Guangzhou Clinical Research and Transformation Center for Artificial Liver, Institute of Regenerative Medicine, ZhuJiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Min Zeng
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery II, Guangdong Provincial Research Center for Artificial Organ and Tissue Engineering, Guangzhou Clinical Research and Transformation Center for Artificial Liver, Institute of Regenerative Medicine, ZhuJiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Xu Han
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery II, Guangdong Provincial Research Center for Artificial Organ and Tissue Engineering, Guangzhou Clinical Research and Transformation Center for Artificial Liver, Institute of Regenerative Medicine, ZhuJiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Lei Cai
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery II, Guangdong Provincial Research Center for Artificial Organ and Tissue Engineering, Guangzhou Clinical Research and Transformation Center for Artificial Liver, Institute of Regenerative Medicine, ZhuJiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Jiajun Zhang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery II, Guangdong Provincial Research Center for Artificial Organ and Tissue Engineering, Guangzhou Clinical Research and Transformation Center for Artificial Liver, Institute of Regenerative Medicine, ZhuJiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Jun Weng
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery II, Guangdong Provincial Research Center for Artificial Organ and Tissue Engineering, Guangzhou Clinical Research and Transformation Center for Artificial Liver, Institute of Regenerative Medicine, ZhuJiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Yi Gao
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery II, Guangdong Provincial Research Center for Artificial Organ and Tissue Engineering, Guangzhou Clinical Research and Transformation Center for Artificial Liver, Institute of Regenerative Medicine, ZhuJiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
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