Poor Diagnostic Efficacy of Noninvasive Tests for Advanced Fibrosis in Obese or Younger Than 60 Diabetic NAFLD patients

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease criteria may underestimate the number of lean female nonalcoholic fatty liver disease patients with significant liver fibrosis

AIM

It remains unclear whether the newly defined concept of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) appropriately includes patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease with significant liver fibrosis.

METHODS

A total of 4112 patients in whom nonalcoholic fatty liver disease was diagnosed by ultrasonography during medical checkups were enrolled. We defined a fibrosis-4 index ≥1.3 in patients aged <65 years and ≥2.0 in patients aged ≥65 years as significant liver fibrosis.

RESULTS

The numbers of patients with a low, intermediate, and high probability of advanced fibrosis based on the fibrosis-4 index were 3360 (81.7%), 668 (16.2%), and 84 (2.0%). There were 3828 (93.1%) and 284 (6.9%) patients diagnosed with MASLD and non-MASLD. The non-MASLD group, compared with the MASLD group, was significantly younger (44 vs. 55 years) and had a higher percentage of women (62.3% vs. 27.7%). Significant fibrosis, defined based on the fibrosis-4 index, was present in 18.5% of the MASLD group and 15.5% of the non-MASLD group. In a multivariable analysis, female sex (OR 6.170, 95% CI 3.180-12.000; p < 0.001) was independently associated with non-MASLD in patients with a significant fibrosis. Among non-MASLD patients with a significant fibrosis (n = 44), body mass index was significantly lower in females than in males (p < 0.001). In a multivariable analysis of patients aged <65 years, female sex (OR, 7.700; 95% CI, 3.750-15.800; p < 0.001) remained independently associated with non-MASLD in patients with a significant fibrosis.

CONCLUSIONS

MASLD may inappropriately exclude patients with significant fibrosis, especially lean females with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Accuracy of the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis Test in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Its Clinical Implications

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The diagnostic performance of the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) fibrosis score (NFS) is poor in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). We determined the usefulness of the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) test in patients with T2DM.

METHODS

A total of 1228 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were enrolled. The diagnostic performance of the ELF test for predicting advanced fibrosis in participants with or without T2DM was evaluated in comparison with the FIB-4 index and NFS.

RESULTS

Overall, the area under the curve of the ELF test for predicting advanced fibrosis was greater (0.828) than that of the FIB-4 index (0.727) and NFS (0.733). The diagnostic performance of the ELF test (area under the curve, 0.820) was also superior to that of the FIB-4 index (0.698) and NFS (0.700) in patients with T2DM. With the low cutoff values for each noninvasive test, the ELF test provided an acceptable false negative rate (cutoff value 9.8, 6.7%) in this population, unlike the FIB-4 index (1.30, 14.5%) and NFS (-1.455, 12.4%). After propensity score matching to avoid selection bias including age, sex, body mass index, and the prevalence of advanced fibrosis, the ELF test with a low cutoff value showed a high sensitivity (≥91.4%) and a high negative predictive value (≥96.8%), irrespective of the presence or absence of T2DM.

CONCLUSIONS

The high diagnostic performance of the ELF test for predicting advanced fibrosis in individuals with or without T2DM could address an unmet medical need for accurate assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with diabetes and NAFLD.

Performance of noninvasive seromarkers in predicting liver fibrosis among MAFLD patients with or without viral hepatitis

The accuracy of noninvasive seromarkers in predicting liver fibrosis in metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) patients with or without viral hepatitis is elusive. The AST to platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) were assessed in 871 MAFLD patients who received elastography in a viral hepatitis-endemic area. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve increased substantially with increasing fibrotic stage across the three biomarkers. APRI (AUROC range 0.73-0.80) and FIB-4 (AUROC range 0.66-0.82) performed better than NFS (AUROC range 0.63-0.75). When patients were divided into viral and non-viral MAFLD groups, a better AUROC of APRI (range 0.76-0.80) and FIB-4 (range 0.68-0.78) than NFS (range 0.62-70) existed only in viral MALFD but not in non-viral MAFLD. Regarding the NFS, the AUROC was higher in non-viral MAFLD (range 0.69-0.86) and outperformed viral MAFLD at all fibrotic stages. The accuracy in predicting liver fibrosis increased with the advancement of liver disease for the three biomarkers. NFS exerted better diagnostic accuracy in non-viral than in viral MAFLD patients across different fibrotic stages. The best accuracy was 91.1% using the cutoff value of -9.98 for the NFS in predicting liver cirrhosis in non-viral MAFLD patients. The APRI and FIB-4 performed better than the NFS in predicting liver fibrosis in MAFLD as a whole. The suboptimal performance and accuracy of the NFS existed only in viral MAFLD patients. Caution should be taken when assessing the NFS in MAFLD patients with viral hepatitis.

Global epidemiology of type 2 diabetes in patients with NAFLD or MAFLD: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) shares common pathophysiological mechanisms with type 2 diabetes, making them significant risk factors for type 2 diabetes. The present study aimed to assess the epidemiological feature of type 2 diabetes in patients with NAFLD or MAFLD at global levels.

METHODS

Published studies were searched for terms that included type 2 diabetes, and NAFLD or MAFLD using PubMed, EMBASE, MEDLINE, and Web of Science databases from their inception to December 2022. The pooled global and regional prevalence and incidence density of type 2 diabetes in patients with NAFLD or MAFLD were evaluated using random-effects meta-analysis. Potential sources of heterogeneity were investigated using stratified meta-analysis and meta-regression.

RESULTS

A total of 395 studies (6,878,568 participants with NAFLD; 1,172,637 participants with MAFLD) from 40 countries or areas were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled prevalence of type 2 diabetes among NAFLD or MAFLD patients was 28.3% (95% confidence interval 25.2-31.6%) and 26.2% (23.9-28.6%) globally. The incidence density of type 2 diabetes in NAFLD or MAFLD patients was 24.6 per 1000-person year (20.7 to 29.2) and 26.9 per 1000-person year (7.3 to 44.4), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study describes the global prevalence and incidence of type 2 diabetes in patients with NAFLD or MAFLD. The study findings serve as a valuable resource to assess the global clinical and economic impact of type 2 diabetes in patients with NAFLD or MAFLD.

A Cross-sectional Real-life Study of the Prevalence, Severity, and Determinants of Metabolic Dysfunction-associated Fatty Liver Disease in Type 2 Diabetes Patients

Background and Aims

Most data on liver assessment in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients are from retrospective cohorts with selection bias. We aimed at appraising the feasibility, results, and benefits of an outpatient systematic noninvasive screening for metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) severity and determinants in T2DM patients.

Methods

We conducted a 50-week cross-sectional study enrolling adult T2DM outpatients from a diabetes clinic. An algorithm based on guidelines was applied using simple bioclinical scores and, if applicable, ultrasound and/or elastometry.

Results

Two hundred and thirteen patients were included. Mean age and body mass index were 62 years and 31 kg/m2 and 29% of patients had abnormal transaminase levels. The acceptance rate of additional liver examinations was 92%. The prevalence of MAFLD, advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis was 87%, 11%, and 4%, respectively. More than half of the cases of advanced fibrosis had not been suspected and were detected by this screening. MAFLD was associated with poor glycemic control, elevated transaminases, low HDL-C and the absence of peripheral arterial disease. Advanced fibrosis was linked to high waist circumference and excessive alcohol consumption, which should be interpreted with caution owing to the small number of patients reporting excessive consumption.

Conclusions

Simple bioclinical tools allowed routine triage of T2DM patients for MAFLD severity, with high adherence of high-risk patients to subsequent noninvasive exams.

Identification of clinical phenotypes associated with poor prognosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease via unsupervised machine learning

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Both fibrosis status and body weight are important for assessing prognosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The aim of this study was to identify population clusters for specific clinical outcomes based on fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and body mass index (BMI) using an unsupervised machine learning method.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter study of 1335 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients from Japan. Using the Gaussian mixture model to divide the cohort into clusters based on FIB-4 index and BMI, we investigated prognosis for these clusters.

RESULTS

The cohort consisted of 223 cases (16.0%) with advanced fibrosis (F3-4) as assessed from liver biopsy. Median values of BMI and FIB-4 index were 27.3 kg/m2 and 1.67. The patients were divided into four clusters by Bayesian information criterion, and all-cause mortality was highest in cluster d, followed by cluster b (P = 0.001). Regarding the characteristics of each cluster, clusters d and b presented a high FIB-4 index (median 5.23 and 2.23), cluster a presented the lowest FIB-4 index (median 0.78), and cluster c was associated with moderate FIB-4 level (median 1.30) and highest BMI (median 34.3 kg/m2 ). Clusters a and c had lower mortality rates than clusters b and d. However, all-cause of death in clusters a and c was unrelated to liver disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Our clustering approach found that the FIB-4 index is an important predictor of mortality in NAFLD patients regardless of BMI. Additionally, non-liver-related diseases were identified as the causes of death in NAFLD patients with low FIB-4 index.

Diagnostic performance of the fibrosis-4 index and the NAFLD fibrosis score for screening at-risk individuals in a health check-up setting

BACKGROUND

The fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) have been used as noninvasive screening methods for advanced fibrosis in patients with NAFLD. However, their diagnostic performance has not been evaluated in at-risk individuals regardless of hepatic steatosis. This study evaluated the performance of the FIB-4 and NFS in at-risk groups of health check-up examinees at mass screening centers.

METHODS

This retrospective, cross-sectional study included 8545 participants who underwent voluntary magnetic resonance elastography at a discounted fee during their regular health check-ups at 13 mass screening centers nationwide. The at-risk group was defined as those with any of the following conditions: NAFLD, 2 or more metabolic abnormalities, diabetes mellitus, or abnormal aminotransferase levels. A magnetic resonance elastography cutoff of ≥3.6 kPa was used to define conventional advanced fibrosis.

RESULTS

According to the proposed criteria, the proportion of at-risk individuals was 67.4%-80.2% in the health check-up cohort without viral or alcohol-associated liver disease. The prevalence of individuals with advanced hepatic fibrosis in each at-risk group was ~2.3%-2.8% according to various criteria. It was higher in patients without NAFLD than in those with NAFLD. A total of 28.2%-39.6% of those in each at-risk group did not show hepatic steatosis on ultrasonography. The performance of FIB-4 for advanced fibrosis in the at-risk group was comparable with that in the NAFLD group. FIB-4 showed a better area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and sensitivity than NFS in the at-risk group.

CONCLUSIONS

FIB-4 demonstrated superior performance compared with the NFS, and its performance in at-risk individuals was similar to that observed for patients with NAFLD.

M-PAST score is better than MAST score for the diagnosis of active fibrotic nonalcoholic steatohepatitis

BACKGROUND

Clinical trials enroll patients with active fibrotic nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) (nonalcoholic fatty liver disease [NAFLD] activity score ≥ 4) and significant fibrosis (F ≥ 2); however, screening failure rates are high following biopsy. We developed new scores to identify active fibrotic NASH using FibroScan and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

METHODS

We undertook prospective primary (n = 176), retrospective validation (n = 169), and University of California San Diego (UCSD; n = 234) studies of liver biopsy-proven NAFLD. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) using FibroScan or magnetic resonance elastography (MRE), controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), or proton density fat fraction (PDFF), and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) were combined to develop a two-step strategy-FibroScan-based LSM followed by CAP with AST (F-CAST) and MRE-based LSM followed by PDFF with AST (M-PAST)-and compared with FibroScan-AST (FAST) and MRI-AST (MAST) for diagnosing active fibrotic NASH. Each model was categorized using rule-in and rule-out criteria.

RESULTS

Areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) of F-CAST (0.826) and M-PAST (0.832) were significantly higher than those of FAST (0.744, p = 0.004) and MAST (0.710, p < 0.001). Following the rule-in criteria, positive predictive values of F-CAST (81.8%) and M-PAST (81.8%) were higher than those of FAST (73.5%) and MAST (70.0%). Following the rule-out criteria, negative predictive values of F-CAST (90.5%) and M-PAST (90.9%) were higher than those of FAST (84.0%) and MAST (73.9%). In the validation and UCSD cohorts, AUROCs did not differ significantly between F-CAST and FAST, but M-PAST had a higher diagnostic performance than MAST.

CONCLUSIONS

The two-step strategy, especially M-PAST, showed reliability of rule-in/-out for active fibrotic NASH, with better predictive performance compared with MAST. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (number, UMIN000012757).

Evaluation of 2-year outcomes in infants born to mothers with and without NAFLD in pregnancy

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects an estimated 17% of pregnant patients in the USA. However, there are limited data on the impact of maternal NAFLD on pediatric outcomes. We prospectively evaluated outcomes in infants born to mothers with and without NAFLD in pregnancy over their first 2 years of life. Maternal subjects were identified through an ongoing prospective study in which pregnant individuals were screened for NAFLD. Pediatric outcomes of infants born to these mothers-including adverse neonatal outcomes and weight and weight-for-length percentile at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months-were prospectively evaluated. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to evaluate the association of maternal NAFLD with pediatric outcomes, as well as to adjust for potentially confounding maternal characteristics. Six hundred thirty-eight infants were included in our cohort. The primary outcomes assessed were weight and growth throughout the first 2 years of life. Maternal NAFLD was also not associated with increased infant birth weight or weight-for-gestational-age percentile or weight or weight-for-length percentile over the first 2 years of life. Maternal NAFLD was significantly associated with very premature delivery before 32 weeks, even after adjustment for confounding maternal characteristics (aOR = 2.83, p = 0.05). Maternal NAFLD was also significantly associated with neonatal jaundice, including after adjusting for maternal race (aOR = 1.67, p = 0.03). However, maternal NAFLD was not significantly associated with any other adverse neonatal outcomes.    Conclusion: Maternal NAFLD may be independently associated with very premature birth and neonatal jaundice but was not associated with other adverse neonatal outcomes. Maternal NAFLD was also not associated with any differences in infant growth over the first 2 years of life. What is Known: • Maternal NAFLD in pregnancy may be associated with adverse pregnancy and neonatal outcomes, but the findings are inconsistent across the literature. What is New: • Maternal NAFLD is not associated with any differences in weight at birth or growth over the first 2 years of life. • Maternal NAFLD is associated with very premature delivery and neonatal jaundice, but is not associated with other adverse neonatal outcomes.

Diagnostic Performance of the Fibrosis-4 Index and Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Fibrosis Score in Lean Adults With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

IMPORTANCE

The diagnostic performance of the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) fibrosis score (NFS) for advanced fibrosis in lean patients with NAFLD is limited.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the diagnostic performance of the FIB-4 and NFS in lean individuals with NAFLD.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This diagnostic study included adults with biopsy-proven NAFLD from 6 referral centers in Asia from 1995 to 2019. Cohorts were matched by age and sex between the lean and nonlean groups. All statistical analyses were executed from October 2022 to March 2023.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The diagnostic performance of the FIB-4 and NFS at the current cutoff for advanced hepatic fibrosis in lean (body mass index [BMI] below 23 [calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared]) and nonlean (BMI above 23) patients were evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 1501 patients were included in analysis (mean [SD] age, 46.1 [16.4] years); 788 male (52.5%), 115 lean (7.7%), 472 (30.2%) Korean, 821 (48.7%) Japanese, and 341 (21.3%) Taiwanese. Among the age- and sex-matched cohort, the mean (SD) age was 52.3 (15.1) years and 41.2% (47 of 114) were male. The diagnostic performance and areas under the operating characteristic curve of the FIB-4 (lean, 0.807 vs nonlean, 0.743; P = .28) and NFS (lean, 0.790 vs nonlean, 0.755; P = .54) between the 2 groups were comparable in the age- and sex-matched cohort. The sensitivity and specificity of the NFS showed increasing and decreasing tendency according to the BMI quartiles (P for trend < .001), while those of the FIB-4 did not (P for trend = .05 and P = .20, respectively). Additionally, although the areas under the operating characteristic curve of the FIB-4 and NFS were not significantly different in the lean group (0.807 vs 0.790; P = .09), the sensitivity of the current NFS cutoff values was lower in the lean group than in that of FIB-4 (54.4% vs 81.8%; P = .03).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this cohort study, the performance of the FIB-4 and NFS in diagnosing advanced fibrosis did not differ significantly between the 2 groups overall. However, in lean NAFLD, while the sensitivity for diagnosing advanced hepatic fibrosis remained reasonable at the current cutoff level, the sensitivity of NFS at the current cutoff was too low to be an adequate screening tool.

SWOT analysis of noninvasive tests for diagnosing NAFLD with severe fibrosis: an expert review by the JANIT Forum

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease. Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is an advanced form of NAFLD can progress to liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Recently, the prognosis of NAFLD/NASH has been reported to be dependent on liver fibrosis degree. Liver biopsy remains the gold standard, but it has several issues that must be addressed, including its invasiveness, cost, and inter-observer diagnosis variability. To solve these issues, a variety of noninvasive tests (NITs) have been in development for the assessment of NAFLD progression, including blood biomarkers and imaging methods, although the use of NITs varies around the world. The aim of the Japan NASH NIT (JANIT) Forum organized in 2020 is to advance the development of various NITs to assess disease severity and/or response to treatment in NAFLD patients from a scientific perspective through multi-stakeholder dialogue with open innovation, including clinicians with expertise in NAFLD/NASH, companies that develop medical devices and biomarkers, and professionals in the pharmaceutical industry. In addition to conventional NITs, artificial intelligence will soon be deployed in many areas of the NAFLD landscape. To discuss the characteristics of each NIT, we conducted a SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats) analysis in this study with the 36 JANIT Forum members (16 physicians and 20 company representatives). Based on this SWOT analysis, the JANIT Forum identified currently available NITs able to accurately select NAFLD patients at high risk of NASH for HCC surveillance/therapeutic intervention and evaluate the effectiveness of therapeutic interventions.

Liver Stiffness Is Associated with the Burden of Carotid and Systemic Atherosclerosis in an Unorganized Cohort of Patients 40-64 Years Old

Background: The aim of the study is to research the relationship between the severity of liver fibrosis and the burden of carotid and systemic atherosclerosis. Methods: The study includes 163 patients 40 to 64 years of age without atherosclerotic CVD or liver disease. All patients underwent duplex scanning of the carotid and lower limb arteries. All patients underwent transient liver elastometry using the FibroScan (Echosens, France). Results: Carotid plaque was detected in 110 (67.5%) patients. Based on the results of linear regression analysis, relationships between liver stiffness and carotid total plaque area (r = 0.21; p = 0.025) were found. Significant relationships were established between liver stiffness and atherosclerosis burden score based on the results of linear regression (r = 0.17; p = 0.029). Liver stiffness showed moderate diagnostic performance (AUC 0.666; p = 0.01) with regard to generalized atherosclerosis. An increase in liver stiffness >4.5 kPa was associated with an odds ratio of generalized atherosclerosis of 3.48 (95% CI 1.07−11.3; p = 0.038) after adjusting confounding factors. Conclusion: Among patients 40−64 years of age without established atherosclerotic CVD and liver disease, liver stiffness directly correlates with the burden of carotid and systemic atherosclerosis. Liver stiffness showed moderate diagnostic performance (AUC 0.666; p = 0.01) with regard to generalized atherosclerosis.