The prognostic value of multidetector CT features in predicting overall survival outcomes in patients with pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors

Clinical and CT Quantitative Features for Predicting Liver Metastases in Patients with Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors: A Study with Prospective/External Validation

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

We aimed to evaluate clinical characteristics and quantitative CT imaging features for the prediction of liver metastases (LMs) in patients with pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs).

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with pathologically confirmed PNETs were included, 133 patients were in the training group, 22 patients in the prospective internal validation group, and 28 patients in the external validation group. Clinical information and quantitative features were collected. The independent variables for predicting LMs were confirmed through the implementation of univariate and multivariate logistic analyses. The diagnostic performance was evaluated by conducting receiver operating characteristic curves for predicting LMs in the training and validation groups.

RESULTS

PNETs with LMs demonstrated significantly larger diameter and lower arterial/portal tumor-parenchymal enhancement ratio, arterial/portal absolute enhancement value (AAE/PAE value) (p < 0.05). After multivariate analyses, A high level of tumor marker (odds ratio (OR): 5.32; 95% CI, 1.54-18.35), maximum diameter larger than 24.6 mm (OR: 7.46; 95% CI, 1.70-32.72), and AAE value ≤ 51 HU (OR: 4.99; 95% CI, 0.93-26.95) were independent positive predictors of LMs in patients with PNETs, with area under curve (AUC) of 0.852 (95%CI, 0.781-0.907). The AUCs for prospective internal and external validation groups were 0.883 (95% CI, 0.686-0.977) and 0.789 (95% CI, 0.602-0.916), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Tumor marker, maximum diameter and absolute enhancement value in arterial phase were independent predictors with good predictive performance for the prediction of LMs in patients with PNETs. Combining clinical and quantitative features may facilitate the attainment of good predictive precision in predicting LMs.

A CT-based diagnostic nomogram and survival analysis for differentiating grade 3 pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors from pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas

Objective

To construct a CT-based diagnostic nomogram for distinguishing grade 3 pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (G3 PNETs) from pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (PDACs) and assess their respective survival outcomes.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with G3 PNETs (n = 30) and PDACs (n = 78) through surgery or biopsy from two medical centers were retrospectively identified. Demographic and radiological information, including age, gender, tumor diameter, shape, margin, dilatation of pancreatic duct, and invasive behavior, were carefully collected. A nomogram was established after univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. The Kaplan-Meier survival was performed to analyze their survival outcomes.

Results

Factors with a p-value <0.05, including age, CA 19-9, pancreatic duct dilatation, irregular shape, ill-defined margin, pancreatic atrophy, combined pancreatitis, arterial/portal enhancement ratio, were included in the multivariate logistic analysis. The independent predictive factors, including age (OR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.85-0.98), pancreatic duct dilatation (OR, 0.064; 95% CI, 0.01-0.32), and portal enhancement ratio (OR, 1,178.08; 95% CI, 5.96-232,681.2) were determined to develop a nomogram. The internal calibration curve and decision curve analysis demonstrate that the nomogram exhibits good consistency and discriminative capacity in distinguishing G3 PNETs from PDACs. Patients diagnosed with G3 PNETs exhibited considerably better overall survival outcomes compared to those diagnosed with PDACs (median survival months, 42 vs. 9 months, p < 0.001).

Conclusions

The nomogram model based on age, pancreatic duct dilatation, and portal enhancement ratio demonstrates good accuracy and discriminative ability effectively predicting the probability of G3 PNETs from PDACs. Furthermore, patients with G3 PNETs exhibit better prognosis than PDACs.

Surgical resection of double advanced pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors with multiple renal cell carcinoma associated with von Hippel-Lindau disease

Von Hippel-Lindau (VHL) disease, an autosomal dominant genetic disorder caused by a germline mutation, is associated with non-functional and slow-growing pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor (PNET) and kidney cancer. We describe the case of a 46 year-old man with a 35 mm mass in the pancreatic head causing stricture of the bile duct and main pancreatic duct, a 55 mm mass in the pancreatic tail causing obstruction of the splenic vein (SV), and multiple masses of > 36 mm on both kidneys. We performed a two-stage resection. First, a total pancreatectomy with superior mesenteric vein (SMV) resection and reconstruction and retroperitoneoscopic right partial nephrectomy (NP) for five lesions was performed, followed by retroperitoneoscopic left partial NP of the five lesions 6 months later. Postoperative histopathological examination revealed NET G2 in the pancreatic head with SMV invasion and somatostatin receptor type 2A (SSTR2A) positivity, NET G2 in the pancreatic tail showed SV invasion and negative SSTR2A, and multiple clear cell renal cell carcinomas (RCC) were also noted. Multiple liver recurrences occurred 22 months after primary surgery. The patient remains alive 41 months after primary surgery. Kidney cancer generally determines VHL prognosis; however, we experienced dual-advanced PNETs with a more defined prognosis than multiple RCC associated with VHL.

Machine Learning Methods Based on CT Features Differentiate G1/G2 From G3 Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To identify CT features for distinguishing grade 1 (G1)/grade 2 (G2) from grade 3 (G3) pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs) using different machine learning (ML) methods.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 147 patients with 155 lesions confirmed by pathology were retrospectively included. Clinical-demographic and radiological CT features was collected. The entire cohort was separated into training and validation groups at a 7:3 ratio. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm and principal component analysis (PCA) were used to select features. Three ML methods, namely logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), and K-nearest neighbor (KNN) were used to build a differential model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and precision-recall curves for each ML method were generated. The area under the curve (AUC), accuracy rate, sensitivity, and specificity were calculated.

RESULTS

G3 PNETs were more likely to present with invasive behaviors and lower enhancement than G1/G2 PNETs. The LR classifier yielded the highest AUC of 0.964 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.930, 0.972), with 95.4% accuracy rate, 95.7% sensitivity, and 92.9% specificity, followed by SVM (AUC: 0.957) and KNN (AUC: 0.893) in the training group. In the validation group, the SVM classier reached the highest AUC of 0.952 (95% CI: 0.860, 0.981), with 91.5% accuracy rate, 97.3% sensitivity, and 70% specificity, followed by LR (AUC: 0.949) and KNN (AUC: 0.923).

CONCLUSIONS

The LR and SVM classifiers had the best performance in the training group and validation group, respectively. ML method could be helpful in differentiating between G1/G2 and G3 PNETs.

Prognostic value of CT-based radiomics in grade 1-2 pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors

BACKGROUND

Surgically resected grade 1-2 (G1-2) pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PanNETs) exhibit diverse clinical outcomes, highlighting the need for reliable prognostic biomarkers. Our study aimed to develop and validate CT-based radiomics model for predicting postsurgical outcome in patients with G1-2 PanNETs, and to compare its performance with the current clinical staging system.

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective study included patients who underwent dynamic CT and subsequent curative resection for G1-2 PanNETs. A radiomics-based model (R-score) for predicting recurrence-free survival (RFS) was developed from a development set (441 patients from one institution) using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-Cox regression analysis. A clinical model (C-model) consisting of age and tumor stage according to the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system was built, and an integrative model combining the C-model and the R-score (CR-model) was developed using multivariable Cox regression analysis. Using an external test set (159 patients from another institution), the models' performance for predicting RFS and overall survival (OS) was evaluated using Harrell's C-index. The incremental value of adding the R-score to the C-model was evaluated using net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

RESULTS

The median follow-up periods were 68.3 and 59.7 months in the development and test sets, respectively. In the development set, 58 patients (13.2%) experienced recurrence and 35 (7.9%) died. In the test set, tumors recurred in 14 patients (8.8%) and 12 (7.5%) died. In the test set, the R-score had a C-index of 0.716 for RFS and 0.674 for OS. Compared with the C-model, the CR-model showed higher C-index (RFS, 0.734 vs. 0.662, p = 0.012; OS, 0.781 vs. 0.675, p = 0.043). CR-model also showed improved classification (NRI, 0.330, p < 0.001) and discrimination (IDI, 0.071, p < 0.001) for prediction of 3-year RFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Our CR-model outperformed the current clinical staging system in prediction of the prognosis for G1-2 PanNETs and added incremental value for predicting postoperative recurrence. The CR-model enables precise identification of high-risk patients, guiding personalized treatment planning to improve outcomes in surgically resected grade 1-2 PanNETs.

Duodenal neuroendocrine neoplasms on enhanced CT: establishing a diagnostic model with duodenal gastrointestinal stromal tumors in the non-ampullary area and analyzing the value of predicting prognosis

OBJECTIVE

To identify CT features and establish a diagnostic model for distinguishing non-ampullary duodenal neuroendocrine neoplasms (dNENs) from non-ampullary duodenal gastrointestinal stromal tumors (dGISTs) and to analyze overall survival outcomes of all dNENs patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 98 patients with pathologically confirmed dNENs (n = 44) and dGISTs (n = 54). Clinical data and CT characteristics were collected. Univariate analyses and binary logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent factors and establish a diagnostic model between non-ampullary dNENs (n = 22) and dGISTs (n = 54). The ROC curve was created to determine diagnostic ability. Cox proportional hazards models were created and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were performed for survival analysis of dNENs (n = 44).

RESULTS

Three CT features were identified as independent predictors of non-ampullary dNENs, including intraluminal growth pattern (OR 0.450; 95% CI 0.206-0.983), absence of intratumoral vessels (OR 0.207; 95% CI 0.053-0.807) and unenhanced lesion > 40.76 HU (OR 5.720; 95% CI 1.575-20.774). The AUC was 0.866 (95% CI 0.765-0.968), with a sensitivity of 90.91% (95% CI 70.8-98.9%), specificity of 77.78% (95% CI 64.4-88.0%), and total accuracy rate of 81.58%. Lymph node metastases (HR: 21.60), obstructive biliary and/or pancreatic duct dilation (HR: 5.82) and portal lesion enhancement ≤ 99.79 HU (HR: 3.02) were independent prognostic factors related to poor outcomes.

CONCLUSION

We established a diagnostic model to differentiate non-ampullary dNENs from dGISTs. Besides, we found that imaging features on enhanced CT can predict OS of patients with dNENs.

Qualitative imaging features of pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms predict histopathologic characteristics including tumor grade and patient outcome

OBJECTIVES

To identify PanNEN imaging features associated with tumor grade and aggressive histopathological features.

METHODS

Associations between histopathological and imaging features of resected PanNEN were retrospectively tested. Histopathologic features included WHO grade, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), growth pattern (infiltrative, circumscribed), and intratumoral fibrosis (mature, immature). Imaging features included size, degree/uniformity of enhancement, progressive enhancement, contour, infiltrative appearance (infiltrative_im), calcifications, cystic components, tumor thrombus, vascular occlusion (VO), duct dilatation, and atrophy. Multinomial logistic regression analyses evaluated the magnitude of associations. Association of variables with outcome was assessed using Cox-proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

133 patients were included. 3 imaging features (infiltrative_im, ill-defined contour [contour_ill], and VO) were associated with all histopathologic parameters and poor outcome. Increase in grade increased odds of contour_ill by 15.6 times (p = 0.0001, 95% CI 3.8-64.4). PanNEN with VO were 51.1 times (p = 0.0002, 6.5-398.6) more likely to demonstrate LVI. For PanNEN with contour_ill, infiltrative growth pattern was 51.3 times (p < 0.0001, 9.1-288.4), and fibrosis was 14 times (p = 0.0065, 2.1-93.7) more likely. Contour_ill was associated with decreased recurrence-free survival (p = 0.0003, HR 18.29, 3.83-87.3) and VO (p = 0.0004, HR6.08, 2.22-16.68) with decreased overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Infiltrative_im, contour_ill, and VO on imaging are associated with higher grade/histopathological parameters linked to tumor aggression, and poor outcome.

Quantitative analysis of enhanced CT in differentiating well-differentiated pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors and poorly differentiated neuroendocrine carcinomas

OBJECTIVE

To identify quantitative CT features for distinguishing well-differentiated pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs) from poorly differentiated pancreatic neuroendocrine carcinomas (PNECs).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Seventeen patients with PNECs and 131 patients with PNETs confirmed by biopsy or surgery were retrospectively included. General demographic (sex, age) and CT quantitative parameters (arterial/portal absolute enhancement, arterial/portal relative enhancement ratio, arterial/portal enhancement ratio) were collected. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to confirm independent variables for differentiating PNECs from PNETs. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for each quantitative parameter were generated to determine their diagnostic ability.

RESULTS

PNECs had a much lower mean arterial/portal absolute enhancement value (19.5 ± 11.0 vs. 78.8 ± 47.2; 28.1 ± 15.8 vs. 77.0 ± 39.4), arterial/portal relative enhancement ratio (0.57 ± 0.36 vs. 2.03 ± 1.31; 0.80 ± 0.52 vs. 1.99 ± 1.13), and arterial/portal enhancement ratio (0.62 ± 0.27 vs. 1.22 ± 0.49; 0.74 ± 0.19 vs. 1.21 ± 0.36) than PNETs (all p < 0.001). After multivariable analysis, arterial absolute enhancement (odds ratio [OR]: 0.96, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.93, 0.99) and portal absolute enhancement (OR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.92, 0.99) were independent factors for differentiating PNECs from PNETs. For each quantitative parameter, arterial lesion enhancement yielded the highest diagnostic performance, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.922 (95% CI: 0.867-0.960), followed by portal absolute enhancement.

CONCLUSIONS

Arterial/portal absolute enhancements were independent predictors with good diagnostic accuracy for differentiating between PNETs and PNECs. Quantitative parameters of enhanced CT can distinguish PNECs from PNETs.

KEY POINTS

• PNECs were hypovascular and had a much lower enhanced CT attenuation in both arterial and portal phases than well-differentiated PNETs. • Quantitative parameters derived from enhanced CT can be used to distinguish PNECs from PNETs. • Arterial absolute enhancement and portal absolute enhancement were independent predictive factors for differentiating between PNETs and PNECs.

Imaging of Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Neoplasms

Pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (panNENs) represent the second most common pancreatic tumors. They are a heterogeneous group of neoplasms with varying clinical expression and biological behavior, from indolent to aggressive ones. PanNENs can be functioning or non-functioning in accordance with their ability or not to produce metabolically active hormones. They are histopathologically classified according to the 2017 World Health Organization (WHO) classification system. Although the final diagnosis of neuroendocrine tumor relies on histologic examination of biopsy or surgical specimens, both morphologic and functional imaging are crucial for patient care. Morphologic imaging with ultrasonography (US), computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is used for initial evaluation and staging of disease, as well as surveillance and therapy monitoring. Functional imaging techniques with somatostatin receptor scintigraphy (SRS) and positron emission tomography (PET) are used for functional and metabolic assessment that is helpful for therapy management and post-therapeutic re-staging. This article reviews the morphological and functional imaging modalities now available and the imaging features of panNENs. Finally, future imaging challenges, such as radiomics analysis, are illustrated.

Prognostic significance of extracellular volume fraction with equilibrium contrast-enhanced computed tomography for pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms

BACKGROUND

/Objectives: Identifying reliable pretreatment imaging biomarkers for pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasm (PanNEN) is a key imperative. Extracellular volume (ECV) fraction quantified with equilibrium contrast-enhanced CT can be easily integrated into routine examinations. This study aimed to determine whether ECV fraction with equilibrium contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) could predict long-term outcomes in patients with PanNEN.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective observational study of 80 patients pathologically diagnosed with PanNEN at a single institution. ECV fraction of the primary lesion was calculated using region-of-interest measurement within PanNEN and the aorta on unenhanced and equilibrium CECT. The impact of clinical factors and tumor ECV fraction on progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) was assessed with univariate and multivariate analyses using Cox proportional hazards models. The correlation between WHO classification and tumor ECV fraction was evaluated using Kendall rank correlation coefficients.

RESULTS

PFS and OS rates were estimated as 93.4% and 94.6%, 78.7% and 86.2%, 78.7% and 77.0%, and 78.7% and 66.6% at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) stage (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.95, P = 0.003), WHO classification (HR = 12.27, P = 0.003), and tumor ECV fraction (HR = 11.93, P = 0.039) were independent predictors of PFS. Patient age (HR = 1.11, P < 0.001), UICC stage (HR = 3.14, P = 0.001), and tumor ECV fraction (HR = 5.27, P = 0.024) were independent significant variables for predicting OS. Tumor ECV fraction had a weak inverse relationship with WHO classification (P = 0.045, τ = -0.178).

CONCLUSIONS

ECV fraction determined by equilibrium CECT and UICC stage may predict survival in patients with PanNEN.

Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Neoplasms: 2020 Update on Pathologic and Imaging Findings and Classification

Pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (panNENs) are heterogeneous neoplasms with neuroendocrine differentiation that show characteristic clinical, histomorphologic, and prognostic features; genetic alterations; and biologic behavior. Up to 10% of panNENs develop in patients with syndromes that predispose them to cancer, such as multiple endocrine neoplasia type 1, von Hippel-Lindau disease, tuberous sclerosis complex, neurofibromatosis type 1, and glucagon cell adenomatosis. PanNENs are classified as either functioning tumors, which manifest early because of clinical symptoms related to increased hormone production, or nonfunctioning tumors, which often manifest late because of mass effect. PanNENs are histopathologically classified as well-differentiated pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (panNETs) or poorly differentiated pancreatic neuroendocrine carcinomas (panNECs) according to the 2010 World Health Organization (WHO) classification system. Recent advances in cytogenetics and molecular biology have shown substantial heterogeneity in panNECs, and a new tumor subtype, well-differentiated, high-grade panNET, has been introduced. High-grade panNETs and panNECs are two distinct entities with different pathogenesis, clinical features, imaging findings, treatment options, and prognoses. The 2017 WHO classification system and the eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system include substantial changes. Multidetector CT, MRI, and endoscopic US help in anatomic localization of the primary tumor, local-regional spread, and metastases. Somatostatin receptor scintigraphy and fluorine 18-fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT are helpful for functional and metabolic assessment. Knowledge of recent updates in the pathogenesis, classification, and staging of panNENs and familiarity with their imaging findings allow optimal patient treatment. ^©RSNA, 2020.