Remodelling of Vascular (Surgical) Services in the UK

Mortality from abdominal aortic aneurysm: trends in European Union 15+ countries from 1990 to 2017

BACKGROUND

This observational study assessed trends in abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) death rates in European Union (EU) 15+ countries for the years 1990 to 2017.

METHODS

Age-standardized death rates (ASDRs) were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease Study Global Health Data Exchange. Trends were analysed using joinpoint regression analysis.

RESULTS

Between 1990 and 2017, ASDRs from AAA decreased in all 19 EU15+ countries for women, and in 18 of 19 countries for men. Increasing AAA mortality was observed only for men in Greece (+5·3 per cent). The largest relative decreases in ASDR between 1990 and 2017 were observed in Australia (men -65·6 per cent, women -50·4 per cent) and Canada (men -60·8 per cent, women -48·6 per cent). Over the 28-year interval, the smallest decreases in ASDR for women were noted in Greece (-2·3 per cent) and in Italy (-2·5 per cent). In 2017, the highest mortality rates were observed in the UK for both men and women (7·5 per 100 000 and 3·7 per 100 000 respectively). The lowest ASDR was observed in Portugal for men (2·8 per 100 000) and in Spain for women (1·0 per 100 000). ASDRs for AAA in 2017 were higher for men than women in all 19 EU15+ countries. The most recent trends demonstrated increasing AAA ASDRs in 14 of 19 countries for both sexes; the increases were relatively small compared with the improvements in the preceding years.

CONCLUSION

This observational study identified decreasing mortality from AAA across EU15+ countries since 1990. The most recent trends demonstrated relatively small increases in AAA mortality across the majority of EU15+ countries since 2012.

A 'hot clinic' for cold limbs: the benefit of urgent clinics for patients with critical limb ischaemia

INTRODUCTION

The national reconfiguration of vascular surgery means that arterial centres serve larger populations with increased demand on resources. Emergency general surgery ambulatory clinics facilitate timely review and intervention, avoiding admission; a critical limb ischaemia (CLI) 'hot clinic' (HC) was implemented to achieve similar for vascular patients. The aim of the study was to determine HC efficacy.

METHODS

This was a prospective cohort study comparing HC patients with emergency admission (EA) patients between 1 May and 1 December 2017. Age, sex, comorbidities, CLI severity and smoking status were noted. HC patients were provided with satisfaction surveys. Primary outcome measures were freedom from reintervention and major amputation. Secondary outcome measures included time to procedure, length of stay, returns to theatre and 30-day readmission.

RESULTS

A total of 147 patients (72 HC, 75 EA) were enrolled in the study. No statistical difference was found in age, sex, smoking status, severity of CLI or prevalence of comorbidities between the groups except that diabetes was more prevalent in EA patients (p=0.028). The median length of stay for the HC cohort was shorter (3 days vs 17 days, p<0.001), with no difference between time to procedure, return to theatre or 30-day readmission. HC patients were nearly 6 times more likely to experience freedom from reintervention (odds ratio: 5.824, p<0.001) and 2.5 times less likely to undergo amputation (odds ratio: 2.616, p=0.043). HC utilisation saved a total of 441 bed days. Over 90% of attendees responded with 100% positive feedback.

CONCLUSIONS

A vascular HC facilitates urgent review and revascularisation. It provides comparable in-hospital outcomes and better long-term outcomes, with greater efficiency than hospital admission, demonstrating its value in treating CLI.

Geographic disparities in the application of endovascular repair of unruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm - Polish population analysis

PURPOSE

Differences between the regions of the same country regarding the management of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) have rarely been published. The aim of the study was to analyze the absolute and relative number of unruptured AAA repairs, utilizing endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) vs. open aneurysm repairs (OAR) and compare the AAA patients population from all 16 administrative districts in Poland.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We used the Polish National Health Fund data of all patients who underwent elective treatment of AAA between 1^st January 2011 and 22^nd March 2016 and analyzed the absolute/relative number of all AAA repairs, OAR, EVAR and incidence of concomitant diseases in distinctive regions. Relationships between the utilization of EVAR and the number of procedures, age, gender and concomitant diseases were studied.

RESULTS

A total of 7805 patients (mean age 70.9 ± 8.1 yrs) underwent OAR (n = 2336) or EVAR (n = 5469). The age and the incidence of concomitant diseases differed significantly between districts. The highest absolute number of all repairs was performed in the Masovian district (n = 1442), while the highest relative number of all repairs in the Lublin district (36.3/100,000 65+/year). The utilization of EVAR ranged from 34.5% to 93.9% and correlated positively with the number of EVAR, age and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease occurrence and negatively with OAR number.

CONCLUSIONS

Striking differences in the relative numbers of unruptured AAA repairs and in the population characteristics in various districts of the country point to the possibility of different health needs in the regions and variations in standards of care.

An ethnographic study of improving data collection and completeness in large-scale data exercises

Background: Large-scale data collection is an increasingly prominent and influential feature of efforts to improve healthcare delivery, yet securing the involvement of clinical centres and ensuring data comprehensiveness often proves problematic. We explore how improvements in both data submission and completion rates were achieved during a crucial period of the evolution of two large-scale data exercises. Methods:  As part of an evaluation of a quality improvement programme, we conducted an ethnographic study involving 90 interviews and 47 days of non-participant observation of two UK national clinical audits in a period before submission of data on adherence to clinical standards became mandatory. Results: Critical to the improvements in submission and completion rates in the two exercises were the efforts of clinical leaders to refigure "data work" as a professionalization strategy. Using a series of strategic manoeuvres, leaders constructed a cultural account that tied the fortunes of the healthcare professions to the submission of high-quality data, proposing that it would demonstrate responsibility, transparency, and alignment with the public interest. In so doing, clinical leadership deployed tactics that might have been seen as unwarranted managerial aggression had they been imposed by parties external to the profession. Many residual challenges were linked not to principled objection by clinicians, but to mundane problems and frustrations in obtaining, recording, and submitting data. The cultural framing of data work as a professional duty was important to resolving its status as an abject form of labour. Conclusions: Improving data quality in large-scale exercises is possible, but requires cooperation with clinical centres. Enabling professional leadership of data work may offer some significant advantages, but attention is also needed to mundane and highly consequential obstacles to participation in data collection.

Changing Patterns of Carotid Endarterectomy Between 2011 and 2017 in England

Background and Purpose—

Carotid endarterectomy (CEA) reduces the risk of stroke in recently symptomatic patients and less so in asymptomatic patients. Recent evidence suggests that the number of CEAs may be declining. The aim of this study was to investigate annual patterns of CEA in asymptomatic and symptomatic patients in England from 2011 to 2017.

Methods—

Data from the National Vascular Registry were used to describe (1) the number of CEA procedures in England and its 9 geographic regions from 2011 to 2017, (2) the characteristics of patients undergoing CEA, and (3) whether rates of CEA correlated with the number of vascular arterial units within each region. Annual stroke incidence for each region was derived from official population figures and the number of index stroke admissions per year.

Results—

The overall number of CEAs performed in England fell from 4992 in 2011 to 3482 in 2017, a 30% decline. Among symptomatic patients, there was a 25% decline, the number of CEAs falling from 4270 to 3217. In asymptomatic patients, there were 722 CEAs performed in 2011 and 265 in 2017, a 63% decline. CEAs per 100 000 adults within all regions declined over time but the size of change varied across the regions (range, 1.7–5.5 per 100 000). The regional numbers of CEAs per year were associated with changes in the regional stroke incidence, the proportion of CEAs performed in asymptomatic patients, and the number of hospitals performing CEA.

Conclusions—

This population-based study revealed a 63% decline in CEAs among asymptomatic patients between 2011 and 2017, possibly because of changing attitudes in the role of CEA. Reasons for the 25% decline in CEAs among symptomatic patients are unclear as UK guidelines on CEA have not changed for these patients. Whether the proportion of symptomatic patients with 50% to 99% ipsilateral stenosis has changed requires investigation.

Comparative analysis of the outcomes of elective abdominal aortic aneurysm repair in England and Sweden

Background

There is substantial international variation in mortality after abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair; many non‐operative factors influence risk‐adjusted outcomes. This study compared 90‐day and 5‐year mortality for patients undergoing elective AAA repair in England and Sweden.

Methods

Patients were identified from English Hospital Episode Statistics and the Swedish Vascular Registry between 2003 and 2012. Ninety‐day mortality and 5‐year survival were compared after adjustment for age and sex. Separate within‐country analyses were performed to examine the impact of co‐morbidity, hospital teaching status and hospital annual caseload.

Results

The study included 36 249 patients who had AAA treatment in England, with a median age of 74 (i.q.r. 69–79) years, of whom 87·2 per cent were men. There were 7806 patients treated for AAA in Sweden, with a median of age 73 (68–78) years, of whom 82·9 per cent were men. Ninety‐day mortality rates were poorer in England than in Sweden (5·0 versus 3·9 per cent respectively; P < 0·001), but were not significantly different after 2007. Five‐year survival was poorer in England (70·5 versus 72·8 per cent; P < 0·001). Use of EVAR was initially lower in England, but surpassed that in Sweden after 2010. In both countries, poor outcome was associated with increased age. In England, institutions with higher operative annual volume had lower mortality rates.

Conclusion

Mortality for elective AAA repair was initially poorer in England than Sweden, but improved over time alongside greater uptake of EVAR, and now there is no difference. Centres performing a greater proportion of EVAR procedures achieved better results in England.

Improving in England

Comparative clinical effectiveness and cost effectiveness of endovascular strategy v open repair for ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm: three year results of the IMPROVE randomised trial

Objective To assess the three year clinical outcomes and cost effectiveness of a strategy of endovascular repair (if aortic morphology is suitable, open repair if not) versus open repair for patients with suspected ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm.Design Randomised controlled trial.Setting 30 vascular centres (29 in UK, one in Canada), 2009-16.Participants 613 eligible patients (480 men) with a clinical diagnosis of ruptured aneurysm, of whom 502 underwent emergency repair for rupture.Interventions 316 patients were randomised to an endovascular strategy (275 with confirmed rupture) and 297 to open repair (261 with confirmed rupture).Main outcome measures Mortality, with reinterventions after aneurysm repair, quality of life, and hospital costs to three years as secondary measures.Results The maximum follow-up for mortality was 7.1 years, with two patients in each group lost to follow-up by three years. After similar mortality by 90 days, in the mid-term (three months to three years) there were fewer deaths in the endovascular than the open repair group (hazard ratio 0.57, 95% confidence interval 0.36 to 0.90), leading to lower mortality at three years (48% v 56%), but by seven years mortality was about 60% in each group (hazard ratio 0.92, 0.75 to 1.13). Results for the 502 patients with repaired ruptures were more pronounced: three year mortality was lower in the endovascular strategy group (42% v 54%; odds ratio 0.62, 0.43 to 0.88), but after seven years there was no clear difference between the groups (hazard ratio 0.86, 0.68 to 1.08). Reintervention rates up to three years were not significantly different between the randomised groups (hazard ratio 1.02, 0.79 to 1.32); the initial rapid rate of reinterventions was followed by a much slower mid-term reintervention rate in both groups. The early higher average quality of life in the endovascular strategy versus open repair group, coupled with the lower mortality at three years, led to a gain in average quality adjusted life years (QALYs) at three years of 0.17 (95% confidence interval 0.00 to 0.33). The endovascular strategy group spent fewer days in hospital and had lower average costs of -£2605 (95% confidence interval -£5966 to £702) (about €2813; $3439). The probability that the endovascular strategy is cost effective was >90% at all levels of willingness to pay for a QALY gain.Conclusions At three years, compared with open repair, an endovascular strategy for suspected ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm was associated with a survival advantage, a gain in QALYs, similar levels of reintervention, and reduced costs, and this strategy was cost effective. These findings support the increasing use of an endovascular strategy, with wider availability of emergency endovascular repair.Trial registration Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN48334791; ClinicalTrials NCT00746122.

Impact of the first 5 years of a national abdominal aortic aneurysm screening programme

Background

The Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm (AAA) Screening Programme was introduced by the National Health Service (NHS) in England to reduce the rate of death from ruptured AAA in men. The programme commenced in 2009 and was implemented completely across the country in April 2013. The aim was to review the first 5 years of the programme, looking specifically at compliance and early outcome.

Methods

Men aged 65 years were invited for a single abdominal ultrasound scan. Data were entered into a bespoke database (AAA SMaRT). This was a planned analysis after the first 5 years of the programme.

Results

The summation analysis involved the first 700 000 men screened, and the first 1000 men with a large AAA referred for possible treatment. The prevalence of AAA (aortic diameter larger than 2·9 cm) in 65-year-old men was 1·34 per cent. Mean uptake was 78·1 per cent, but varied from 61·7 to 85·8 per cent across the country. Based on the Index of Multiple Deprivation, uptake was 65·1 per cent in the most deprived versus 84·1 per cent in the least deprived areas. Of the first 1000 men referred for possible treatment of a large AAA (greater than 5·4 cm), the false-positive rate was 3·2 per cent. Some 870 men underwent a planned AAA intervention (non-intervention rate 9·2 per cent), with seven deaths (perioperative mortality rate 0·8 per cent).

Conclusion

The processes in the NHS AAA Screening Programme are effective in detecting and treating men with AAA.

Trends in Abdominal Aortic and Iliac Aneurysm Repairs in Norway from 2001 to 2013

OBJECTIVE/BACKGROUND

The objective was to examine trends in abdominal aortic and iliac aneurysm repairs in Norway from 2001 to 2013, and study regional variations and organizational developments in this type of vascular surgery.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study on aortic and iliac aneurysm repairs using data from the Norwegian Patient Register. The vascular centers were categorized by yearly volume of repairs into small (<18), medium (18-49) and large (≥50). Incidence rates were assessed per 100,000 ≥ 60 years. The percentage of endovascular aneurysm repairs (EVAR) was calculated among the conducted repairs at the three categories of centers and the South-Eastern, Western, Central, and Northern Norway Regional Health Authority (NRHA).

RESULTS

The national incidence rates of intact repairs per 100,000 ≥ 60 years increased from 57.4 to 65.7 (p < .01). Ruptured repairs decreased from 19.7 to 9.2 (p < .01). The rate of EVAR increased from 6.0 to 29.9 (p < .01) in intact and from 0.4 to 2.5 (p < .01) in ruptured repairs. The vascular centers were reduced from 25 to 16. The rate of EVAR was 27.1% (p < .01) higher at large centers and 7.9% (p < .03) higher at medium centers compared with small centers, and from 11.1% to 15.7% higher (p < .01) at the Central, Western, and Northern NRHA compared with the South-Eastern NRHA, which had the most centers (also in the large category). The national increase in intact EVAR from 10.6% to 43.3% was less compared with many other Western countries.

CONCLUSION

During the study period the rates of intact repairs increased while the ruptured repairs decreased. EVAR was associated with centers performing high volumes of abdominal aortic and iliac aneurysm repairs and regional authorities organized with few centers.

Insights from the clinical assurance of service reconfiguration in the NHS: the drivers of reconfiguration and the evidence that underpins it – a mixed-methods study

Background

Over the life of the NHS, hospital services have been subject to continued reconfiguration. Yet it is rare for the reconfiguration of clinical services to be evaluated, leaving a deficit in the evidence to guide local reconfiguration of services.

Objectives

The objectives of this research are to determine the current pressures for reconfiguration within the NHS in England and the solutions proposed. We also investigate the quality of evidence used in making the case for change, any key evidence gaps, and the opportunities to strengthen the clinical case for change and how it is made.

Methods

We have drawn on two key sources of evidence. First, we reviewed the reports produced by the National Clinical Advisory Team (NCAT) documenting its reviews of reconfiguration proposals. An in-depth multilevel qualitative analysis was conducted of 123 NCAT reviews published between 2007 and 2012. Second, we carried out a search and synthesis of the literature to identify the key evidence available to support reconfiguration decisions. The findings from this literature search were integrated with the analysis of the reviews to develop a narrative for each specialty and the process of reconfiguration as a whole.

Results

The evidence from the NCAT reviews shows significant pressure to reconfigure services within the NHS in England. We found that the majority of reconfiguration proposals are driving an increasing concentration of hospital services, with some accompanying decentralisation and, for some specialist services, the development of supporting clinical networks. The primary drivers of reconfiguration have been workforce (in particular the medical workforce) and finance. Improving outcomes and safety issues have been subsidiary drivers, though many make the link between staffing and clinical safety. Policy has also been a notable driver. Access has been notable by its absence as a driver. Despite significant pressures to reconfigure services, many proposals fail to be implemented owing to public and/or clinical opposition. We found strong evidence that some specialist service reconfiguration including vascular surgery and major trauma can significantly improve clinical outcomes. However, there are notable evidence gaps. The most significant is the absence of evidence that service reconfiguration can deliver significant savings. There is also an absence of evidence about safe staffing models and the interplay between staff numbers, skill mix and outcomes. We found that the advice provided by the NCAT reflects the current evidence, but one of the NCAT’s most valuable contributions has been to encourage greater clinical engagement in service change.

Conclusions

The NHS is continuing to concentrate many district general hospital services to resolve financial and workforce pressures. However, many proposals are not implemented owing to public opposition. We also found no evidence to suggest that this will deliver the savings anticipated. There is a significant gap in the evidence about safe staffing models and the appropriate balance of junior and senior medical as well as other clinical staff. There is an urgent need to carry out research that will help to fill the current evidence gap. There is also a need to retain some national clinical expertise to work alongside Clinical Senates in supporting local service reconfiguration.

Funding

The National Institute for Health Research Health Services and Delivery Research programme.

Treatment of intermittent claudication

Stop smoking. Exercise under supervision

Application of Porter’s Five Forces Model and generic strategies for vascular surgery: should be stuck in the middle?

There are many stakeholders in the vascular marketplace from clinicians to hospitals, third party payers, medical device manufacturers and the government. Economic stress, threats of policy reform and changing health-care delivery are adding to the challenges faced by vascular surgeons. Use of Porter's Five Forces analysis to identify the sources of competition, the strength and likelihood of that competition existing, and barriers to competition that affect vascular surgery will help our specialty understand both the strength of our current competition and the strength of a position that our specialty will need to move to. By understanding the nature of the Porter's Five Forces as it applies to vascular surgery, and by appreciating their relative importance, our society would be in a stronger position to defend itself against threats and perhaps influence the forces with a long-term strategy. Porter's generic strategies attempt to create effective links for business with customers and suppliers and create barriers to new entrants and substitute products. It brings an initial perspective that is convenient to adapt to vascular surgery in order to reveal opportunities.Vascular surgery is uniquely situated to pursue both a differentiation and high value leadership strategy.