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Romanello M, Walawender M, Hsu SC, Moskeland A, Palmeiro-Silva Y, Scamman D, Ali Z, Ameli N, Angelova D, Ayeb-Karlsson S, Basart S, Beagley J, Beggs PJ, Blanco-Villafuerte L, Cai W, Callaghan M, Campbell-Lendrum D, Chambers JD, Chicmana-Zapata V, Chu L, Cross TJ, van Daalen KR, Dalin C, Dasandi N, Dasgupta S, Davies M, Dubrow R, Eckelman MJ, Ford JD, Freyberg C, Gasparyan O, Gordon-Strachan G, Grubb M, Gunther SH, Hamilton I, Hang Y, Hänninen R, Hartinger S, He K, Heidecke J, Hess JJ, Jamart L, Jankin S, Jatkar H, Jay O, Kelman I, Kennard H, Kiesewetter G, Kinney P, Kniveton D, Kouznetsov R, Lampard P, Lee JKW, Lemke B, Li B, Liu Y, Liu Z, Llabrés-Brustenga A, Lott M, Lowe R, Martinez-Urtaza J, Maslin M, McAllister L, McMichael C, Mi Z, Milner J, Minor K, Minx J, Mohajeri N, Momen NC, Moradi-Lakeh M, Morrisey K, Munzert S, Murray KA, Obradovich N, O'Hare MB, Oliveira C, Oreszczyn T, Otto M, Owfi F, Pearman OL, Pega F, Perishing AJ, Pinho-Gomes AC, Ponmattam J, Rabbaniha M, Rickman J, Robinson E, Rocklöv J, Rojas-Rueda D, Salas RN, Semenza JC, Sherman JD, Shumake-Guillemot J, Singh P, Sjödin H, Slater J, Sofiev M, Sorensen C, Springmann M, et alRomanello M, Walawender M, Hsu SC, Moskeland A, Palmeiro-Silva Y, Scamman D, Ali Z, Ameli N, Angelova D, Ayeb-Karlsson S, Basart S, Beagley J, Beggs PJ, Blanco-Villafuerte L, Cai W, Callaghan M, Campbell-Lendrum D, Chambers JD, Chicmana-Zapata V, Chu L, Cross TJ, van Daalen KR, Dalin C, Dasandi N, Dasgupta S, Davies M, Dubrow R, Eckelman MJ, Ford JD, Freyberg C, Gasparyan O, Gordon-Strachan G, Grubb M, Gunther SH, Hamilton I, Hang Y, Hänninen R, Hartinger S, He K, Heidecke J, Hess JJ, Jamart L, Jankin S, Jatkar H, Jay O, Kelman I, Kennard H, Kiesewetter G, Kinney P, Kniveton D, Kouznetsov R, Lampard P, Lee JKW, Lemke B, Li B, Liu Y, Liu Z, Llabrés-Brustenga A, Lott M, Lowe R, Martinez-Urtaza J, Maslin M, McAllister L, McMichael C, Mi Z, Milner J, Minor K, Minx J, Mohajeri N, Momen NC, Moradi-Lakeh M, Morrisey K, Munzert S, Murray KA, Obradovich N, O'Hare MB, Oliveira C, Oreszczyn T, Otto M, Owfi F, Pearman OL, Pega F, Perishing AJ, Pinho-Gomes AC, Ponmattam J, Rabbaniha M, Rickman J, Robinson E, Rocklöv J, Rojas-Rueda D, Salas RN, Semenza JC, Sherman JD, Shumake-Guillemot J, Singh P, Sjödin H, Slater J, Sofiev M, Sorensen C, Springmann M, Stalhandske Z, Stowell JD, Tabatabaei M, Taylor J, Tong D, Tonne C, Treskova M, Trinanes JA, Uppstu A, Wagner F, Warnecke L, Whitcombe H, Xian P, Zavaleta-Cortijo C, Zhang C, Zhang R, Zhang S, Zhang Y, Zhu Q, Gong P, Montgomery H, Costello A. The 2024 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: facing record-breaking threats from delayed action. Lancet 2024; 404:1847-1896. [PMID: 39488222 PMCID: PMC7616816 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(24)01822-1] [Show More Authors] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/29/2024] [Revised: 08/04/2024] [Accepted: 08/29/2024] [Indexed: 11/04/2024]
Abstract
Despite the initial hope inspired by the 2015 Paris Agreement, the world is now dangerously close to breaching its target of limiting global multiyear mean heating to 1·5°C. Annual mean surface temperature reached a record high of 1·45°C above the pre-industrial baseline in 2023, and new temperature highs were recorded throughout 2024. The resulting climatic extremes are increasingly claiming lives and livelihoods worldwide. The Lancet Countdown: tracking progress on health and climate change was established the same year the Paris Agreement entered into force, to monitor the health impacts and opportunities of the world’s response to this landmark agreement. Supported through strategic core funding from Wellcome, the collaboration brings together over 300 multidisciplinary researchers and health professionals from around the world to take stock annually of the evolving links between health and climate change at global, regional, and national levels. The 2024 report of the Lancet Countdown, building on the expertise of 122 leading researchers from UN agencies and academic institutions worldwide, reveals the most concerning findings yet in the collaboration’s 8 years of monitoring.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marina Romanello
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK.
| | - Maria Walawender
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Shih-Che Hsu
- Energy Institute, University College London, London, UK
| | - Annalyse Moskeland
- Department of Geography and Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK
| | | | - Daniel Scamman
- Institute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK
| | - Zakari Ali
- Medical Research Council Unit, The Gambia, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Serekunda, The Gambia
| | - Nadia Ameli
- Institute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK
| | - Denitsa Angelova
- Institute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK
| | - Sonja Ayeb-Karlsson
- Department of Risk and Disaster Reduction, University College London, London, UK
| | - Sara Basart
- World Metereological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | | | - Paul J Beggs
- School of Natural Sciences, Faculty of Science and Engineering, Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Luciana Blanco-Villafuerte
- Centro Latino Americano de Excelencia en Cambio Climático y Salud, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
| | - Wenjia Cai
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Max Callaghan
- Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany
| | | | | | - Victoria Chicmana-Zapata
- Intercultural Citizenship and Indigenous Health Unit, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
| | - Lingzhi Chu
- Yale Center on Climate Change and Health, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Troy J Cross
- Heat and Health Research Centre, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | | | - Carole Dalin
- Institute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK
| | - Niheer Dasandi
- School of Government, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Shouro Dasgupta
- Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change Foundation, Lecce, Italy
| | - Michael Davies
- Institute for Environmental Design and Engineering, University College London, London, UK
| | - Robert Dubrow
- Yale Center on Climate Change and Health, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Matthew J Eckelman
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Northeastern University, Boston, MA, USA
| | - James D Ford
- Priestley Centre for Climate Futures, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | | | - Olga Gasparyan
- Department of Political Science, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, USA
| | - Georgiana Gordon-Strachan
- Tropical Metabolism Research Unit, Caribbean Institute for Health Research, University of the West Indies, Kingston, Jamaica
| | - Michael Grubb
- Institute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK
| | - Samuel H Gunther
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Ian Hamilton
- Energy Institute, University College London, London, UK
| | - Yun Hang
- Department of Environmental and Occupational Health Sciences, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX, USA
| | | | - Stella Hartinger
- School of Public Health and Administration, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
| | - Kehan He
- Institute for Climate and Carbon Neutrality, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China; University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
| | - Julian Heidecke
- Interdisciplinary Centre for Scientific Computing, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Jeremy J Hess
- Centre for Health and the Global Environment, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Louis Jamart
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Slava Jankin
- School of Government, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | | | - Ollie Jay
- Heat and Health Research Centre, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Ilan Kelman
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Harry Kennard
- Center on Global Energy Policy, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
| | - Gregor Kiesewetter
- Pollution Management Group, Program on Energy, Climate and the Environment, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
| | - Patrick Kinney
- Department of Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA
| | | | | | - Pete Lampard
- Department of Health Sciences, University of York, York, UK
| | - Jason K W Lee
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Bruno Lemke
- Nelson Marlborough Institute of Technology-Te Pukenga, Nelson, New Zealand
| | - Bo Li
- School of Management, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China
| | - Yang Liu
- Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Zhao Liu
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | | | - Melissa Lott
- Center on Global Energy Policy, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
| | - Rachel Lowe
- Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Jaime Martinez-Urtaza
- Department of Genetics and Microbiology, School of Biosciences, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Mark Maslin
- Department of Geography, University College London, London, UK
| | - Lucy McAllister
- Environmental Studies Program, Denison University, Granville, OH, USA
| | - Celia McMichael
- School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Zhifu Mi
- Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction, University College London, London, UK
| | - James Milner
- Department of Public Health, Environments, and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Kelton Minor
- Data Science Institute, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
| | - Jan Minx
- Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany
| | - Nahid Mohajeri
- Institute for Environmental Design and Engineering, University College London, London, UK
| | - Natalie C Momen
- Department of Environment, Climate Change and Health, WHO, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Maziar Moradi-Lakeh
- Gastrointestinal and Liver Diseases Research Center, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Karyn Morrisey
- Department of Technology, Management and Economics, Technical University of Denmark, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | | | - Kris A Murray
- Medical Research Council Unit, The Gambia, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Serekunda, The Gambia
| | - Nick Obradovich
- Laureate Institute for Brain Research, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Tulsa, OK, USA
| | - Megan B O'Hare
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Camile Oliveira
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
| | | | - Matthias Otto
- Nelson Marlborough Institute of Technology-Te Pukenga, Nelson, New Zealand
| | - Fereidoon Owfi
- Agricultural Research, Education and Extension Organization, Iranian Fisheries Science Research Institute, Tehran, Iran
| | - Olivia L Pearman
- Social and Economic Analysis Branch, US Geological Survey, Fort Collins, OH, USA
| | - Frank Pega
- Department of Environment, Climate Change and Health, WHO, Geneva, Switzerland
| | | | | | - Jamie Ponmattam
- Global Health and Population, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Mahnaz Rabbaniha
- Agricultural Research, Education and Extension Organization, Iranian Fisheries Science Research Institute, Tehran, Iran
| | - Jamie Rickman
- Institute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK
| | | | - Joacim Rocklöv
- Interdisciplinary Centre for Scientific Computing, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - David Rojas-Rueda
- Department of Environmental and Radiological Health Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA
| | - Renee N Salas
- Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Jan C Semenza
- Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Section of Sustainable Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden
| | - Jodi D Sherman
- Department of Anesthesiology, Yale School of Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
| | | | - Pratik Singh
- Interdisciplinary Centre for Scientific Computing, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Henrik Sjödin
- Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Section of Sustainable Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden
| | - Jessica Slater
- Pollution Management Group, Program on Energy, Climate and the Environment, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
| | | | - Cecilia Sorensen
- Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
| | - Marco Springmann
- Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Jennifer D Stowell
- Department of Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Meisam Tabatabaei
- Higher Institution Centre of Excellence, Institute of Tropical Aquaculture and Fisheries, Universiti Malaysia Terengganu, Terengganu, Malaysia
| | - Jonathon Taylor
- Department of Civil Engineering, Tampere University, Tampere, Finland
| | | | - Cathryn Tonne
- Barcelona Institute for Global Health, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Marina Treskova
- Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Joaquin A Trinanes
- Department of Electronics and Computer Sciences, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
| | | | - Fabian Wagner
- Pollution Management Group, Program on Energy, Climate and the Environment, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
| | - Laura Warnecke
- Pollution Management Group, Program on Energy, Climate and the Environment, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
| | - Hannah Whitcombe
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Peng Xian
- United States Navy Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA, USA
| | - Carol Zavaleta-Cortijo
- Intercultural Citizenship and Indigenous Health Unit, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
| | - Chi Zhang
- School of Management, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China
| | - Ran Zhang
- Natural Language Learning Group, University of Mannheim, Mannheim, Germany
| | - Shihui Zhang
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Ying Zhang
- Sydney School of Public Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Qiao Zhu
- Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Peng Gong
- Department of Geography, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
| | - Hugh Montgomery
- Centre for Human Health and Performance, University College London, London, UK
| | - Anthony Costello
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
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Kuang X, Liu J, Scanlon BR, Jiao JJ, Jasechko S, Lancia M, Biskaborn BK, Wada Y, Li H, Zeng Z, Guo Z, Yao Y, Gleeson T, Nicot JP, Luo X, Zou Y, Zheng C. The changing nature of groundwater in the global water cycle. Science 2024; 383:eadf0630. [PMID: 38422130 DOI: 10.1126/science.adf0630] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2022] [Accepted: 01/05/2024] [Indexed: 03/02/2024]
Abstract
In recent decades, climate change and other anthropogenic activities have substantially affected groundwater systems worldwide. These impacts include changes in groundwater recharge, discharge, flow, storage, and distribution. Climate-induced shifts are evident in altered recharge rates, greater groundwater contribution to streamflow in glacierized catchments, and enhanced groundwater flow in permafrost areas. Direct anthropogenic changes include groundwater withdrawal and injection, regional flow regime modification, water table and storage alterations, and redistribution of embedded groundwater in foods globally. Notably, groundwater extraction contributes to sea level rise, increasing the risk of groundwater inundation in coastal areas. The role of groundwater in the global water cycle is becoming more dynamic and complex. Quantifying these changes is essential to ensure sustainable supply of fresh groundwater resources for people and ecosystems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xingxing Kuang
- State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Integrated Surface Water-Groundwater Pollution Control, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Soil and Groundwater Pollution Control, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China
| | - Junguo Liu
- State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Integrated Surface Water-Groundwater Pollution Control, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Soil and Groundwater Pollution Control, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China
- Henan Provincial Key Lab of Hydrosphere and Watershed Water Security, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou, China
| | - Bridget R Scanlon
- Bureau of Economic Geology, Jackson School of Geosciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78758, USA
| | - Jiu Jimmy Jiao
- Department of Earth Sciences, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong, China
| | - Scott Jasechko
- Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106, USA
| | - Michele Lancia
- State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Integrated Surface Water-Groundwater Pollution Control, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Soil and Groundwater Pollution Control, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China
| | - Boris K Biskaborn
- Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, 14473 Potsdam Germany
| | - Yoshihide Wada
- Biological and Environmental Science and Engineering Division, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia
| | - Hailong Li
- State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Integrated Surface Water-Groundwater Pollution Control, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Soil and Groundwater Pollution Control, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China
| | - Zhenzhong Zeng
- State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Integrated Surface Water-Groundwater Pollution Control, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Soil and Groundwater Pollution Control, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China
| | - Zhilin Guo
- State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Integrated Surface Water-Groundwater Pollution Control, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Soil and Groundwater Pollution Control, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China
| | - Yingying Yao
- Department of Earth and Environmental Science, School of Human Settlements and Civil Engineering, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China
| | - Tom Gleeson
- Department of Civil Engineering and School of Earth and Ocean Sciences, University of Victoria, 3800 Finnerty Road, Victoria, BC V8P 5C2, Canada
| | - Jean-Philippe Nicot
- Bureau of Economic Geology, Jackson School of Geosciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78758, USA
| | - Xin Luo
- Department of Earth Sciences, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong, China
| | - Yiguang Zou
- State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Integrated Surface Water-Groundwater Pollution Control, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Soil and Groundwater Pollution Control, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China
| | - Chunmiao Zheng
- State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Integrated Surface Water-Groundwater Pollution Control, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Soil and Groundwater Pollution Control, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China
- Eastern Institute for Advanced Study, Eastern Institute of Technology, Ningbo, China
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