Predicting failure to control bleeding and mortality in acute variceal bleeding

Sequential endoscopic treatment for esophageal and gastric variceal bleeding significantly reduces patient mortality and rebleeding rates

Background

Esophageal-gastric variceal bleeding (EGVB) is a serious complication in patients with liver cirrhosis, characterized by high mortality and rebleeding rates. The effect of sequential endoscopic therapy on patient mortality and rebleeding rates remains unclear.

Objectives

This study aimed to evaluate the effects of sequential endoscopic therapy on mortality and rebleeding rates in patients with EGVB.

Design

In this single-center retrospective study, 373 hospitalized cases of EGVB caused by liver cirrhosis, collected between November 2019 and November 2023, were divided into four groups according to different treatment methods: a sequential endoscopy group, emergency endoscopy group, emergency endoscopy plus transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) group and control group.

Methods

Mortality and rebleeding rates were compared among the four groups using statistical analyses.

Results

The mortality and rebleeding rates of the sequential endoscopy group (3.7% and 19%, respectively) were significantly lower than those of the emergency endoscopy (22% and 36%, respectively), emergency endoscopy plus TIPS (33% and 28%, respectively), and control groups (33% and 51%, respectively) (p = 0.013 and p = 0.013, respectively).

Conclusion

Sequential endoscopic therapy may significantly reduce the mortality and rebleeding rates of patients with EGVB compared to other conventional treatment strategies. The findings of the study could help develop approaches benefiting EGVB treatment.

Risk factors and predictive nomograms for bedside emergency endoscopic treatment following endotracheal intubation in cirrhotic patients with esophagogastric variceal bleeding

Data on emergency endoscopic treatment following endotracheal intubation in patients with esophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB) remain limited. This retrospective study aimed to explore the efficacy and risk factors of bedside emergency endoscopic treatment following endotracheal intubation in severe EGVB patients admitted in Intensive Care Unit. A total of 165 EGVB patients were enrolled and allocated to training and validation sets in a randomly stratified manner. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors to construct nomograms for predicting the prognosis related to endoscopic hemostasis failure rate and 6-week mortality. In result, white blood cell counts (p = 0.03), Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score (p = 0.001) and comorbid shock (p = 0.005) were selected as independent clinical predictors of endoscopic hemostasis failure. High CTP score (p = 0.003) and the presence of gastric varices (p = 0.009) were related to early rebleeding after emergency endoscopic treatment. Furthermore, the 6-week mortality was significantly associated with MELD scores (p = 0.002), the presence of hepatic encephalopathy (p = 0.045) and postoperative rebleeding (p < 0.001). Finally, we developed practical nomograms to discern the risk of the emergency endoscopic hemostasis failure and 6-week mortality for EGVB patients. In conclusion, our study may help identify severe EGVB patients with higher hemostasis failure rate or 6-week mortality for earlier implementation of salvage treatments.

Endoscopic therapy + β-blocker vs. covered transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt for prevention of variceal rebleeding in cirrhotic patients with hepatic venous pressure gradient ≥16 mmHg

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Currently, monitoring hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) have been proved to be the best predictor for the risk of variceal bleeding. We performed the study to evaluate the effect of endoscopic therapy + β-blocker vs. covered transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) for the prevention of variceal rebleeding in cirrhotic patients with HVPG ≥16 mmHg.

METHODS

Consecutive cirrhotic patients with HVPG ≥16 mmHg treated with endoscopic therapy + β-blocker or covered TIPS for variceal bleeding were retrospectively gathered between April 2013 and December 2018. The variceal rebleeding rate, survival, and incidence of overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE) were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 83 patients were analyzed, of which 46 received endoscopic therapy + β-blocker and 37 covered TIPS. During a median follow-up of 12.0 months, the rebleeding rate (32.6 vs. 10.8%, P = 0.017) and rate of OHE (2.2 vs. 27.0%, P = 0.001) showed significant differences between the two groups, while liver transplantation-free survival (93.5 vs. 94.6%, P = 0.801) was similar. Preoperative and postoperative Child-Turcotte-Pugh scores were similar in either group. In addition, no significant differences of rebleeding rate (25.0 vs. 21.3%, P = 0.484) and survival (97.2 vs. 91.5%, P = 0.282) were observed between patients with 16 mmHg ≤ HVPG < 20 mmHg and HVPG ≥ 20 mmHg.

CONCLUSION

Covered TIPS was more effective than endoscopic therapy + β-blocker in preventing rebleeding in patients with HVPG ≥16 mmHg but did not improve survival. TIPS also induce more OHE.

Bedside risk-scoring model for predicting 6-week mortality in cirrhotic patients undergoing endoscopic band ligation for acute variceal bleeding

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Acute variceal bleeding (AVB) is a fatal adverse event of cirrhosis, and endoscopic band ligation (EBL) is the standard treatment for AVB. We developed a novel bedside risk-scoring model to predict the 6-week mortality in cirrhotic patients undergoing EBL for AVB.

METHODS

Cox regression analysis was used to assess the relationship of clinical, biological, and endoscopic variables with the 6-week mortality risk after EBL in a derivation cohort (n = 1373). The primary outcome was the predictive accuracy of the new model for the 6-week mortality in the validation cohort. Moreover, we tested the adequacy of the mortality risk-based stratification and the discriminative performance of our new model in comparison with the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) and the model for end-stage liver disease scores in the validation cohort (n = 200).

RESULTS

On multivariate Cox regression analysis, five objective variables (use of beta-blockers, hepatocellular carcinoma, CTP class C, hypovolemic shock at initial presentation, and history of hepatic encephalopathy) were scored to generate a 12-point risk-prediction model. The model stratified the 6-week mortality risk in patients as low (3.5%), intermediate (21.1%), and high (53.4%) (P < 0.001). Time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for 6-week mortality showed that this model was a better prognostic indicator than the CTP class alone in the derivation (P < 0.001) and validation (P < 0.001) cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

A simplified scoring model with high potential for generalization refines the prediction of 6-week mortality in high-risk cirrhotic patients, thereby aiding the targeting and individualization of treatment strategies for decreasing the mortality rate.

Role of non-invasive markers in prediction of esophageal varices and variceal bleeding in patients of alcoholic liver cirrhosis from central India

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Alcohol is the leading cause of liver cirrhosis, which results in portal hypertension and subsequently, culminates into esophageal varices and esophgeal variceal bleeding. Esophagogastroduodenoscopy is gold standard for diagnosis of varices. Non-invasive markers based on clinical, laboratory - ultrasonographic parameters can be utilised for prediction of risk of esophageal varices - variceal bleed in alcoholic cirrhosis from central India.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a cross sectional observational study. Child Turcot Pugh scores, MELD, AST ALT Ratio(AAR), AST Platelet Ratio Index(APRI), FIB-4 index and Platelet count-Spleen diameter(PC/SD) ratio were calculated for all patients and correlated with esophagogastroduodenoscopy findings. Short term follow up was done for variceal bleeding.

RESULTS

Total 202 male patients were included with mean age of 43.77±9.95 years. 188(93%) patients had esophageal varices. 61(30.19%) patients had variceal bleeding. On univariate analysis platelet count, APRI, spleen bipolar diameter, and PC/SD ratio were significantly associated with varices. For prediction of esophageal varices, only PC/SD ratio was significant and showed area under the curve of 65.6% at cut-off of <997. CTP score, FIB-4, APRI, and PC/SD ratio were significant for variceal bleeding. At cut-off <985 PC/SD ratio had sensitivity of 82% and specificity of 63% with AUC of 78% for prediction of variceal bleeding. Also, FIB-4 and APRI had diagnostic accuracy of 64% and 61% with AUC of 74% and 72% respectively for bleed.

CONCLUSION

FIB-4 and PC/SD may be useful among armamentarium of non-invasive markers for predicting esophageal varices and risk of variceal bleeding in alcoholic liver cirrhosis.

[Esophageal variceal bleeding: management and tips on transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt]

BACKGROUND

Esophageal variceal bleeding is a life-threatening complication in patients with liver cirrhosis, which is pathophysiologically explained by the presence of portal hypertension. The incidence of such bleeding greatly depends on the severity of the underlying liver disease.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this article is to present the current treatment concepts for acute esophageal variceal bleeding, the management in acute situations and the indications for treatment of the causal portal hypertension with a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS).

RESULTS

In patients with liver cirrhosis or any other disease causing portal hypertension, a staging examination by esophagogastroduodenoscopy is first carried out for determination of the stage of the varices and the resulting necessary treatment. In addition, determination of the portal pressure gradient is useful. In patients with varices a medicinal or endoscopic bleeding prophylaxis should subsequently additionally be initiated. After an acute variceal bleeding event, under clearly defined prerequisites an evaluation for TIPS implantation should be considered. This is the only effective treatment for reducing portal hypertension.

CONCLUSION

With appropriate indications implantation of a TIPS is an effective strategy to lower portal hypertension and therefore prevent recurrent variceal bleeding. The resulting improvement of the portal hemodynamics leads to an improvement in kidney function; however, it also leads to deterioration of liver function with subsequent development or deterioration of a previously existing hepatic encephalopathy.

Νon-invasive screening for esophageal varices in patients with liver cirrhosis

Esophageal varices are one of the main complications of liver cirrhosis. Upper gastrointestinal endoscopy is the gold standard for the detection of esophageal varices. Many less invasive methods for screening of varices have been investigated and the most recent Baveno VI guidelines suggest that endoscopy is not necessary in patients with liver stiffness <20 kPa and platelets >150,000/μL. A critical review of the literature was performed concerning non-invasive or minimally invasive methods of screening for esophageal varices. Liver and spleen elastography, imaging methods including computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging and ultrasound, laboratory tests and capsule endoscopy are discussed. The accuracy of each method, and its advantages and limitations compared to endoscopy are analyzed. There are data to support the Baveno VI guidelines, but there is still a lack of large prospective studies and low specificity has been reported for the liver stiffness and platelet count combination. Spleen elastography has shown promising results, as there are data to support its superiority to liver elastography, but it needs further assessment. Computed tomography has shown high diagnostic accuracy and can be part of the diagnostic work up of cirrhotic patients in the future, including screening for varices.

Short outcome comparison of elderly patients versus nonelderly patients treated with transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic stent shunt: A propensity score matched cohort study

A transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic stent shunt (TIPSS) has been widely used to treat portal hypertension and its complications. However, no established guidelines mentioned whether age was a risk factor for the treatment of TIPSS.The aim is to determine whether age is a risk factor for poor outcomes following TIPSS.The retrospective cohort study included 134 patients who received TIPSS treatment from 2003 to 2016. The adverse events after the TIPSS treatment were compared after propensity score matching to reduce the effect of selection bias. Multivariate logistic regression was conducted to confirm the potential confounders for rebleeding (RB) and ascites after TIPSS therapy.After excluding 10 patients, 124 patients were analyzed. Among them, 37 patients were included in the elderly group. In the propensity score matched cohort (32 pairs), there was no significant difference between the elderly group and the nonelderly group in terms of the event after TIPSS therapy (All P > .05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that hypertension (OR 13.246, 95% CI: [1.29, 136.073]; P = .03) was an independent risk factor for RB. In addition, smoking (OR 4.48, 95% CI: [1.43, 14.033]; P = .01) and preascites (OR 6.7, 95% CI: [2.04, 22.005]; P = .002) were independent risk factors for ascites after TIPSS treatment.Age is not an independent risk factor for poor outcomes following the treatment of TIPSS. Smoking and preascites are independent risk factors for patients' ascites, and hypertension is an independent risk factor for patients' RB after TIPSS therapy.

Recent advances in the management of variceal bleeding

Acute haemorrhage from ruptured gastroesophageal varices is perhaps the most serious consequence of uncontrolled portal hypertension in cirrhotic patients. It represents a medical emergency and is associated with a high morbidity and mortality. In those who survive the initial bleeding event, the risks of further bleeding and other decompensated events remain high. The past 30 years have seen a slow evolution of management strategies that have greatly improved the chances of surviving a variceal haemorrhage. Liver cirrhosis is a multi-staged pathological process and we are moving away from a one-size-fits-all therapeutic approach. Instead there is an increasing recognition that a more nuanced approach will yield optimal survival for patients. This approach seeks to risk stratify patients according to their disease stage. The exact type and timing of treatment offered can then be varied to suit individual patients. At the same time, the toolbox of available therapy is expanding and there is a continual stream of emerging evidence to support the use of endoscopic and pharmacological therapies. In this review, we present a summary of the treatment options for a variety of different clinical scenarios and for when there is failure to control bleeding. We have conducted a detailed literature review and presented up-to-date evidence from either primary randomized-controlled trials or meta-analyses that support current treatment algorithms.

Covered transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt versus endoscopic therapy + β-blocker for prevention of variceal rebleeding

Gastroesophageal variceal bleeding in patients with cirrhosis is associated with significant morbidity and mortality, as well as a high rebleeding risk. Limited data are available on the role of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) with covered stents in patients receiving standard endoscopic, vasoactive, and antibiotic treatment. In this multicenter randomized trial, long-term endoscopic variceal ligation (EVL) or glue injection + β-blocker treatment was compared with TIPS placement in 72 patients with a first or second episode of gastric and/or esophageal variceal bleeding, after hemodynamic stabilization upon endoscopic, vasoactive, and antibiotic treatment. Randomization was stratified according to Child-Pugh score. Kaplan-Meier (event-free) survival estimates were used for the endpoints rebleeding, death, treatment failure, and hepatic encephalopathy. During a median follow-up of 23 months, 10 (29%) of 35 patients in the endoscopy + β-blocker group, as compared to 0 of 37 (0%) patients in the TIPS group, developed variceal rebleeding (P = 0.001). Mortality (TIPS 32% vs. endoscopy 26%; P = 0.418) and treatment failure (TIPS 38% vs. endoscopy 34%; P = 0.685) did not differ between groups. Early hepatic encephalopathy (within 1 year) was significantly more frequent in the TIPS group (35% vs. 14%; P = 0.035), but during long-term follow-up this difference diminished (38% vs. 23%; P = 0.121).

CONCLUSIONS

In unselected patients with cirrhosis, who underwent successful endoscopic hemostasis for variceal bleeding, covered TIPS was superior to EVL + β-blocker for reduction of variceal rebleeding, but did not improve survival. TIPS was associated with higher rates of early hepatic encephalopathy.

Multidetector computed tomography versus platelet/spleen diameter ratio as methods for the detection of gastroesophageal varices

BACKGROUND

All patients with liver cirrhosis should undergo screening endoscopy, but there are limitations and this approach places a heavy burden upon endoscopy units. The aim of this study was to compare multidetector computed tomography (MDCT) and the platelet/spleen diameter ratio as non-invasive methods for the detection of gastroesophageal varices.

METHODS

The study included 38 cirrhotics who underwent upper gastrointestinal (GI) endoscopy and MDCT within one month. Two radiologists reviewed the scans, in order to determine the presence and the size of varices. Blood tests and measurement of the spleen maximum diameter were also carried out and the platelet/spleen diameter ratio was calculated. Endoscopy was considered the gold standard and the results of the two methods were compared to it.

RESULTS

Varices were detected by upper GI endoscopy in 24 of 38 patients. The mean sensitivity and specificity of MDCT for the two observers was 86.1% and 57.1% respectively. In patients with large varices (>5 mm), the sensitivity was 100% (4/4). Using 909 as a cut-off value of the platelet/spleen diameter ratio this method yielded a sensitivity of 56.5% and a specificity of 35.7%. The difference in sensitivity and specificity between the two methods was statistically significant P<0.05.

CONCLUSION

MDCT was accurate for the detection of gastroesophageal varices, especially those with clinically significant size (>5 mm), and superior to platelet/spleen diameter ratio. MDCT could replace, in selected patients, upper GI endoscopy as a method for detecting gastroesophageal varices in cirrhotic patients.

Relative adrenal insufficiency in severe acute variceal and non-variceal bleeding: influence on outcomes

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Relative adrenal insufficiency (RAI) is common in critical illness and in cirrhosis, and is related with worse outcomes. The prevalence of RAI may be different in variceal and non-variceal bleeding and whether it may influence outcomes in these settings is unclear. This study assesses RAI and its prognostic implications in cirrhosis with variceal bleeding and in peptic ulcer bleeding.

METHODS

Patients with severe bleeding (systolic pressure <100 mmHg and/or haemoglobin <8 g/L) from oesophageal varices or from a peptic ulcer were included. Adrenal function was evaluated within the first 24 h and RAI was diagnosed as delta cortisol <250 nmol/L after 250 μg of i.v. corticotropin.

RESULTS

Sixty-two patients were included, 36 had cirrhosis and variceal bleeding and 26 without cirrhosis had ulcer bleeding. Overall, 15 patients (24%) had RAI, 8 (22%) with variceal and 7 (24%) with ulcer bleeding. Patients with RAI had higher rate of bacterial infections. Baseline serum and salivary cortisol were higher in patients with RAI (P < 0.001) while delta cortisol was lower (P < 0.001). There was a good correlation between plasma and salivary cortisol (P < 0.001). The probability of 45-days survival without further bleeding was lower in cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding and RAI than in those without RAI (25% vs 68%, P = 0.02), but not in non-cirrhotic patients with peptic ulcer bleeding with or without RAI (P = 0.75).

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of RAI is similar in ulcer bleeding and in cirrhosis with variceal bleeding. Cirrhotic patients with RAI, but not those with bleeding ulcers, have worse prognosis.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Phase II Randomized Controlled Double-Blind Trial of Transarterial Chemoembolization in Combination with Biweekly Intravenous Administration of Bevacizumab or a Placebo

PURPOSE

To investigate the efficacy and safety of conventional transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) (cTACE) in combination with bevacizumab or a placebo in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in a randomized controlled double-blind phase II trial.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study was approved by the institutional review board, and written informed consent was obtained prior to inclusion. A total of 40 patients (20 patients per group, all 18 years or older) with histologically confirmed early- or intermediate-stage HCC and Child-Pugh class A or B cirrhosis were scheduled for inclusion. The primary endpoint was radiologic progression at 12 months according to European Association for the Study of the Liver criteria. Secondary endpoints were safety and overall survival (OS). Patients underwent cTACE with doxorubicin and intravenous administration of a placebo (cTACE-C) or bevacizumab (cTACE-B) (5 mg per kilogram of body weight) every 2 weeks for 52 weeks. After the first TACE procedure, TACE was repeated twice in 4-week intervals if indicated and technically feasible and on demand thereafter. Statistical analyses were performed with statistical software. P < .05 indicated a significant difference.

RESULTS

Thirty-two patients were recruited between January 2006 and December 2009 (29 male, three female; mean age, 61 years ± 8 [standard deviation]; Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage A, n = 4; Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage B, n = 28; predominant cause, alcohol [n = 15]; Child-Pugh class A disease, n = 22; Child-Pugh class B disease, n = 10; 16 patients received bevacizumab; 16 patients received a placebo). Patients underwent a median of three TACE cycles and received 13 infusions of bevacizumab versus 11 infusions of the placebo before the trial was stopped prematurely for safety reasons. Severe (grade 3-5) septic (n = 8 vs n = 3) and vascular (n = 9 vs n = 0) side effects were observed almost exclusively in the cTACE-B group. Median survival was worse in the cTACE-B group than in the cTACE-C group (5.3 vs 13.7 months; hazard ratio [HR], 1.7; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.8, 3.6; P = .195) and reached significance in patients with Child-Pugh class A cirrhosis (7.3 vs 26.5 months; HR, 2.6; 95% CI: 1.0, 6.6; P = .049). The primary endpoint was not met, since there was no difference in radiologic response between the groups at 3, 6, or 12 months.

CONCLUSION

No improvement in radiologic tumor response or OS was observed in patients with HCC who received cTACE and bevacizumab, but severe and even lethal septic and vascular side effects occurred. Thus, bevacizumab cannot be recommended as an adjuvant treatment to cTACE.

Higher free serum cortisol is associated with worse survival in acute variceal bleeding because of cirrhosis: a prospective study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Critical illness-related corticosteroid insufficiency has been reported in acute variceal bleeding (AVB). In cirrhosis, free serum cortisol (FC) is considered optimal to assess adrenal function. Salivary cortisol (SC) is considered a surrogate for FC. We evaluated FC and its prognostic role in AVB.

METHODS

Total serum cortisol, SC, cortisol-binding globulin, and FC (Coolens' formula) were evaluated in AVB (n=38) and in stable cirrhosis (CC) (n=31). A Cox proportional hazards model was evaluated for 6-week survival.

RESULTS

In AVB, the median FC and SC levels were higher with worse liver dysfunction [Child-Pugh (CP) A/B/C: 1.59/2.62/3.26 μg/dl, P=0.019; CPA/B/C: 0.48/0.897/1.81 μg/ml, P<0.001, respectively]. In AVB compared with CC, median total serum cortisol: 24.3 versus 11.6 μg/dl (P<0.001), SC: 0.86 versus 0.407 μg/ml (P<0.001); FC 2.4 versus 0.57 μg/dl (P<0.001). In AVB, 5-day rebleeding was 10.5%, and 6-week and total mortality were 21.1 and 23.7%, respectively. Independent associations with 6-week mortality in AVB were FC at least 3.2 μg/dl (P<0.001), hepatocellular carcinoma (P<0.001), CPC (P<0.001), and early rebleeding (P<0.001). Among patients with normal cortisol-binding globulin (n=14) and albumin (n=31), the factors were hepatocellular carcinoma (P=0.003), CP (P=0.003), and FC (P=0.036). SC was also found to be an independent predictor of 6-week mortality (P<0.001). Area under the curve of FC for predicting 6-week mortality was 0.79.

CONCLUSION

Higher FC is present in cirrhosis with AVB compared with CC and is associated independently with bleeding-related mortality. However, whether high FC solely indicates the severity of illness or whether there is significant adrenal insufficiency cannot be discerned.

Endoscopic treatment of esophageal varices in patients with liver cirrhosis

Variceal bleeding is a life-threatening complication of portal hypertension with a six-week mortality rate of approximately 20%. Patients with medium- or large-sized varices can be treated for primary prophylaxis of variceal bleeding using two strategies: non-selective beta-blockers (NSBBs) or endoscopic variceal ligation (EVL). Both treatments are equally effective. Patients with acute variceal bleeding are critically ill patients. The available data suggest that vasoactive drugs, combined with endoscopic therapy and antibiotics, are the best treatment strategy with EVL being the endoscopic procedure of choice. In cases of uncontrolled bleeding, transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) with polytetrafluoroethylene (PTFE)-covered stents are recommended. Approximately 60% of the patients experience rebleeding, with a mortality rate of 30%. Secondary prophylaxis should start on day six following the initial bleeding episode. The combination of NSBBs and EVL is the recommended management, whereas TIPS with PTFE-covered stents are the preferred option in patients who fail endoscopic and pharmacologic treatment. Apart from injection sclerotherapy and EVL, other endoscopic procedures, including tissue adhesives, endoloops, endoscopic clipping and argon plasma coagulation, have been used in the management of esophageal varices. However, their efficacy and safety, compared to standard endoscopic treatment, remain to be further elucidated. There are safety issues accompanying endoscopic techniques with aspiration pneumonia occurring at a rate of approximately 2.5%. In conclusion, future research is needed to improve treatment strategies, including novel endoscopic techniques with better efficacy, lower cost, and fewer adverse events.

Acute variceal haemorrhage in the United Kingdom: patient characteristics, management and outcomes in a nationwide audit

BACKGROUND

Despite advances in treatment, acute variceal haemorrhage remains life-threatening.

AIM

To describe contemporary characteristics, management and outcomes of patients with cirrhosis and acute variceal haemorrhage and risk factors for rebleeding and mortality.

METHODS

Multi-centre clinical audit conducted in 212 UK hospitals.

RESULTS

In 526 cases of acute variceal haemorrhage, 66% underwent endoscopy within 24h with 64% (n=339) receiving endoscopic therapy. Prior to endoscopy, 57% (n=299) received proton pump inhibitors, 44% (n=232) vasopressors and 27% (n=144) antibiotics. 73% (n=386) received red cell transfusion, 35% (n=184) fresh frozen plasma and 14% (n=76) platelets, with widely varying transfusion thresholds. 26% (n=135) experienced further bleeding and 15% (n=80) died by day 30. The Model for End Stage Liver Disease score was the best predictor of mortality (area under the receiver operating curve=0.74, P<0.001). Neither the clinical nor full Rockall scores were useful predictors of outcome. Coagulopathy was strongly associated with rebleeding (odds ratio 2.23, 95% CI 1.22-4.07, P=0.01, up to day 30) and mortality (odds ratio 3.06, 95% CI 1.29-7.26, P=0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Although mortality has improved following acute variceal haemorrhage, rebleeding rates remain appreciably high. There are notable deficiencies in the use of vasopressors and endoscopic therapy. More work is needed to understand the optimum transfusion strategies. Better risk stratification tools are required to identify patients needing more intensive support.

Management and prognosis of acute esophageal variceal bleeding: Analysis of 300 cases

AIM: To analyze the treatment, management duration and prognosis of acute esophageal variceal bleeding and to identify predictive factors for treatment failure.

METHODS: Clinical data for 300 patients with acute esophageal variceal bleeding treated at our hospital from January 2008 to January 2013 were analyzed retrospectively. Bleeding control was analyzed ≤ 2 h, > 2 h but ≤ 6 h, > 6 h but ≤ 5 d, or ≥ 5 d after treatment to find the relationship between bleeding control time and mortality. The effective rate and mortality were compared between patients treated with simple drugs and those treated with drugs combined with endoscopic therapy. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictive factors for treatment failure.

RESULTS: The number of patients having ineffective bleeding management was 75, 25 and 27 in the ≤ 2 h, >2 h but ≤ 6 h, and >6 h but ≤ 5 d groups, respectively, and the number of dead patients was 1, 3 and 16, respectively. The percentage of patients having ineffective bleeding management was higher in the ≤ 2 h group. The effective rate of drug therapy in management of bleeding was 57.67% (173/300), and the mortality was 9.67% (29/300). The effective rate of tissue adhesive injection or ligation combined with endoscopic therapy in controlling bleeding in patients after ineffective drug therapy was 90.00% (27/30), and the mortality was 0. Logistic regression analysis showed that admission systolic blood pressure ≤ 90 mmHg, increased total bilirubin, high liver function classification, and ascites were predictive factors for treatment failure.

CONCLUSION: Ascites, increased total bilirubin, admission systolic blood pressure ≤ 90 mmHg, and high Child-Pugh classification can predict treatment failure in patients with acute esophageal variceal bleeding. Invalid bleeding control is more common during ≤ 2 h after treatment. Mortality increases with time. If bleeding can not be controlled effectively 2 h after treatment, treatment conversion should be considered. Drugs in combination with endoscopic therapy are associated with higher efficacy and lower mortality in controlling bleeding.

Management of varices in patients with cirrhosis

Variceal bleeding remains a life-threatening condition with a 6-week mortality rate of ∼20%. Prevention of variceal bleeding can be achieved using nonselective β-blockers (NSBBs) or endoscopic band ligation (EBL), with NSBBs as the first-line treatment. EBL should be reserved for cases of intolerance or contraindications to NSBBs. Although NSBBs cannot be used to prevent varices, if the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) is ≤10 mmHg, prognosis is excellent. Survival after acute variceal bleeding has improved over the past three decades, but patients with Child-Pugh grade C cirrhosis remain at greatest risk. Vasoactive drugs combined with endoscopic therapy and antibiotics are the best therapeutic strategy for these patients. Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts (TIPS) should be used in patients with uncontrolled bleeding or those who are likely to have difficult-to-control bleeding. Rebleeding from varices occurs in ∼60% of patients 1-2 years after the initial bleeding episode, with a mortality rate of 30%. Secondary prophylaxis should start at day 6 after initial bleeding using a combination of NSBBs and EBL. TIPS with polytetrafluoroethylene-covered stents are the preferred option in patients who fail combined treatment with NSBBs and EBL. Despite the improvement in patient survival, further studies are needed to direct the management of patients with gastro-oesophageal varices and variceal bleeding.

Non-variceal gastrointestinal bleeding in patients with liver cirrhosis: a review

BACKGROUND

Non-variceal gastrointestinal (NVGI) bleeding in cirrhosis may be associated with life-threatening complications similar to variceal bleeding.

AIM

To review NVGI bleeding in cirrhosis.

METHODS

MEDLINE, Scopus, and ISI Web of Knowledge were searched, using the textwords "portal hypertensive gastropathy," "gastric vascular ectasia," "peptic ulcer," "Dieulafoy's," "Mallory-Weiss syndrome," "portal hypertensive enteropathy," "portal hypertensive colopathy," "hemorrhoids," and "cirrhosis."

RESULTS

Portal hypertensive gastropathy (PHG) and gastric vascular ectasia (GVE) are gastric lesions that most commonly present as chronic anemia; acute upper GI (UGI) bleeding is a rare manifestation. Management of PHG-related bleeding is mainly pharmacological, whereas endoscopic intervention is favored in GVE-related bleeding. Shunt therapies or more invasive techniques are restricted in refractory cases. Despite its high incidence in cirrhotic patients, peptic ulcer accounts for a relatively small proportion of UGI bleeding in this patient population. However, in contrary to general population, the pathogenetic role of Helicobacter pylori infection remains questionable. Finally, other causes of UGI bleeding include Dieulafoy's lesion, Mallory-Weiss syndrome, and portal hypertensive enteropathy. The most common non-variceal endoscopic findings reported in patients with lower gastrointestinal bleeding are portal hypertensive colopathy and hemorrhoids. However, the vast majority of studies are case reports and, therefore, the incidence, diagnosis, and risk of bleeding remain undefined. Endoscopic interventions, shunting procedures, and surgical techniques have been described in this setting.

CONCLUSIONS

The data on NVGI bleeding in liver cirrhosis are surprisingly scanty. Large, multicenter epidemiological studies are needed to better assess prevalence and incidence and, most importantly, randomized studies should be performed to evaluate the success rates of therapeutic algorithms.

Child-Turcotte score versus MELD for prognosis in a randomized controlled trial of emergency treatment of bleeding esophageal varices in cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Bleeding esophageal varices is responsible for much of the high mortality rate in cirrhosis. An important objective of management of bleeding varices is to develop reliable tools for predicting survival, controlling bleeding and encephalopathy, and improve quality of life. This study compared two widely used prognostic tools, the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and the Child-Turcotte (C-T) score, in a randomized controlled trial of emergency treatment of bleeding varices.

METHODS

We randomized 211 unselected consecutive patients with cirrhosis and bleeding varices to endoscopic sclerotherapy (n = 106) or emergency portacaval shunt (n = 105). Diagnosis and treatment were accomplished within 20 hours. Follow-up was 100% for 10 y. We compared the prognostic powers of MELD and C-T upon entry, and then monthly for the first year and every 3 months thereafter. Statistical analysis included computation of receiver operating curves, the area under the curve, and the proportion of variability.

RESULTS

In baseline determinations of MELD versus C-T, there were no significant differences in predicting survival, recurrent encephalopathy, and rebleeding. The Child-Turcotte score was a stronger predictor than MELD of hospital readmissions and readmission days. In serial determinations over years, the prognostic power of both MELD and C-T was substantial, but C-T was significantly more effective in predicting survival and time to recurrent encephalopathy.

CONCLUSIONS

In this first long-term comparison of MELD versus C-T in cirrhosis with bleeding varices, C-T was consistently as effective as MELD in predicting survival, encephalopathy, rebleeding, hospital readmissions, and readmission days. In some measures, C-T was a more effective prognostic tool than MELD.

Critical illness-related corticosteroid insufficiency in patients with cirrhosis and variceal bleeding

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Relative adrenal insufficiency (AI) occurs in patients with cirrhosis with sepsis, but not with variceal bleeding. We evaluated adrenal function in cirrhotic patients with and without bleeding.

METHODS

Twenty cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding were evaluated using the short synacthen test (SST) and 10 using the low-dose synacthen test (LDSST) followed by SST. The control group included 60 stable cirrhotic patients, assessed by LDSST (n = 50) or SST (n = 10), and 14 healthy volunteers. AI was diagnosed using SST, based on peak cortisol levels ≤ 18 μg/dL in nonstressed patients or Δmax <9 μg/dL or a total cortisol level <10 μg/dL in stressed patients with variceal bleeding-the current criteria for critical illness-related corticosteroid insufficiency. Using LDSST, diagnosis was based on peak concentrations of cortisol ≤ 18 μg/dL in nonstressed patients and <25 μg/dL (or Δmax <9 μg/dL) in patients with variceal bleeding. We evaluated patients with levels of serum albumin >2.5 g/dL, to indirectly assess cortisol binding.

RESULTS

All healthy volunteers had normal results from LDSSTs and SSTs. Patients with variceal bleeding had higher median baseline concentrations of cortisol (15.4 μg/dL) than stable cirrhotic patients (8.7 μg/dL, P = .001) or healthy volunteers (10.1 μg/dL, P = .01). Patients with variceal bleeding had higher median peak concentrations of cortisol than stable cirrhotic patients (SST results of 32.7 vs 21 μg/dL, P = .001; LDSST results of 9.3 vs 8.1 μg/dL; nonsignificant), with no differences in Δmax in either test. These differences were greater with variceal bleeding than in stable cirrhotic patients with AI. Subanalysis of patients with albumin levels >2.5 g/dL did not change these differences.

CONCLUSIONS

Cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding have AI. Despite higher baseline concentrations of serum cortisol and subnormal Δmax values, they did not have adequate responses to stress, and therefore had critical illness-related corticosteroid insufficiency.

Management of varices in cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

Acute variceal bleeding is a medical emergency and one of the main causes of mortality in patients with cirrhosis. Timely and effective treatment of the acute bleeding episode results in increased survival, and appropriate prophylactic treatment can prevent bleeding or rebleeding from varices.

AREAS COVERED

We discuss the prevention of development and growth of varices, the primary and secondary prophylaxis of bleeding, the treatment of acute bleeding, and the management of gastric varices. We systematically reviewed studies, without time limits, identified through Medline and searches of reference lists, and provide an overview of the evidence underlying the -treatment options in the management of varices in cirrhosis.

EXPERT OPINION

The management of variceal hemorrhage relies on nonspecific interventions (e.g., adequate fluid resuscitation, airway protection) and on specific interventions. These are routine prophylactic antibiotics, vasoactive drugs and endoscopic treatment. Procedures such as the placement of a Sengstaken-Blakemore tube or a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) can be lifesaving. The primary and secondary prophylaxis of bleeding is based on nonselective beta-blockers and endoscopy, even though TIPS or, less frequently, surgery have a role in selected cases.

Infections in patients with cirrhosis increase mortality four-fold and should be used in determining prognosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

A staged prognostic model of cirrhosis based on varices, ascites, and bleeding has been proposed. We analyzed data on infections in patients with cirrhosis to determine whether it is also a prognostic factor.

METHODS

Studies were identified by MEDLINE, EMBASE, COCHRANE, and ISI Web of Science searches (1978-2009); search terms included sepsis, infection, mortality, and cirrhosis. Studies (n = 178) reporting more than 10 patients and mortality data were evaluated (225 cohorts, 11,987 patients). Mortality after 1, 3, and 12 months was compared with severity, site, microbial cause of infection, etiology of cirrhosis, and publication year. Pooled odds ratio of death was compared for infected versus noninfected groups (18 cohorts, 2317 patients).

RESULTS

Overall median mortality of infected patients was 38%: 30.3% at 1 month and 63% at 12 months. Pooled odds ratio for death of infected versus noninfected patients was 3.75 (95% confidence interval, 2.12-4.23). In 101 studies that reported spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (7062 patients), the median mortality was 43.7%: 31.5% at 1 month and 66.2% at 12 months. In 30 studies that reported bacteremia (1437 patients), the median mortality rate was 42.2%. Mortality before 2000 was 47.7% and after 2000 was 32.3% (P = .023); mortality was reduced only at 30 days after spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (49% vs 31.5%; P = .005).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with cirrhosis, infections increase mortality 4-fold; 30% of patients die within 1 month after infection and another 30% die by 1 year. Prospective studies with prolonged follow-up evaluation and to evaluate preventative strategies are needed.

Predictors of early rebleeding and mortality after acute variceal hemorrhage in patients with cirrhosis

Despite improvements over the past 20 years in patient survival following episodes of acute variceal hemorrhage (AVH) secondary to cirrhosis, AVH is still associated with a high rate of mortality. The ability to predict which patients are at high risk of death, or which are not likely to respond to standard therapy at admission to hospital is important, as it enables the immediate initiation of vasoactive drugs, early endoscopic intervention and prophylactic antibiotics. This commentary discusses a study that attempts to predict early rebleeding and mortality after AVH in patients with cirrhosis using the Model for End-stage Liver Disease. In this study, the model was a significant predictor of mortality; however, several defects in the study's design limit the conclusions that can be drawn from it. The model described in this study is neither more useful, nor more accurate, than those previously published for the prediction of rebleeding and mortality in patients with AVH.

Review article: the therapeutic and prognostic benefit of portal pressure reduction in cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement is not a routinely used technique, despite its therapeutic and prognostic value.

AIM

To review the role of HVPG from published literature.

METHODS

Systematic literature review.

RESULTS

In acute variceal bleeding, HVPG is prognostic identifying 'difficult to treat' group, which now has defined clinical correlations. In secondary prevention of portal hypertensive bleeding, a reduction to < or = 12 mmHg confers near complete protection against rebleeding. The target of > or = 20% HVPG reduction from baseline needs prospective assessment to test a change of therapy, if no reduction occurs. The acute HVPG response to beta-blockade needs further assessment. In primary prevention, the cost-effectiveness of HVPG measurement is not favourable given the efficacy of medical therapy. In chronic liver disease, wedge hepatic venous pressure (WHVP) is prognostic for survival. Pharmacological reduction in portal pressure decreases complications and improves survival, possibly independent of a concomitant improvement in liver function. This latter requires urgent confirmation as it is clinically very relevant. HVPG monitoring can be used to assess anti-viral therapy particularly in cirrhosis, ergonomically combined with transjugular biopsy.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognostic and therapeutic value of HVPG is established beyond portal hypertensive bleeding for which there are some clinical surrogates. HVPG measurement should now be part of everyday clinical practice.