Non-invasive prediction of esophageal varices by stiffness and platelet in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease cirrhosis

Advances in imaging-Elastography

Chronic liver disease affects over a billion people worldwide. Liver fibrosis is the key driver of liver-related complications and mortality. Elastography has been a transformative tool in hepatology, allowing for the diagnosis and staging of liver fibrosis noninvasively, and is evolving beyond these purposes into a prognostication tool. By measuring tissue stiffness, elastography techniques such as shear-wave and magnetic resonance elastography offer critical insights into liver fibrosis, portal hypertension, and the progression of disease. Magnetic resonance elastography stands out for its reliability across fibrosis stages and robustness in obese patients affected by metabolic liver disease. Spleen stiffness measurement complements liver assessments, enhancing the identification of portal hypertension and refining patient risk stratification. This review covers current clinical applications but also anticipates future innovations such as artificial intelligence-based algorithms that could expand elastography's clinical impact, thereby improving patient outcomes.

Noninvasive Assessment of portal Hypertension in Patients With Primary Biliary Cholangitis is Affected by Severity of Cholestasis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Noninvasive tests (NITs) for ruling-out clinical significant portal hypertension (CSPH) and high-risk varices (HRVs) in patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) and compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) are lacking. We evaluated NITs in these patients and the influence of cholestasis on their performance.

METHODS

Consecutive patients from the "Italian PBC registry" and 2 United Kingdom large-volume PBC referral centers with upper endoscopy within 6 months from biochemical evaluation and transient elastography were included. Rete Sicilia Selezione Terapia (RESIST), Baveno VI (BVI), and Expanded Baveno VI (EBVI) criteria for ruling out HRV were assessed according to alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels (< or ≥1.5 × upper limit of normal). Decision curve analysis was performed. Prevalence of any sized esophageal varices among patients fitting Baveno VII (BVII) criteria was also calculated.

RESULTS

The final cohort consisted of 293 patients with cACLD. RESIST criteria were associated with the lowest rate of missed HRV (2.5% vs 9.8% for BVI and 8.9% for EBVI). In patients with ALP levels ≥1.5 × upper limit of normal, BVI and EBVI missed a higher rate of HRV (15.5% and 14.5%, respectively) than RESIST (3.1%). Decision curve analysis demonstrated the highest net benefit of RESIST criteria for ruling out HRV, regardless of ALP levels. Among 75 patients classified as low risk of CSPH according to BVII, 14 (18.7%) showed esophageal varices.

CONCLUSIONS

Biochemical-based RESIST criteria demonstrate the highest net benefit compared with elastography-based criteria for ruling out HRV. The severity of cholestasis affects NITs performance to rule out HRV and CSPH in patients with PBC and cACLD.

EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is defined as steatotic liver disease (SLD) in the presence of one or more cardiometabolic risk factor(s) and the absence of harmful alcohol intake. The spectrum of MASLD includes steatosis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH, previously NASH), fibrosis, cirrhosis and MASH-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This joint EASL-EASD-EASO guideline provides an update on definitions, prevention, screening, diagnosis and treatment for MASLD. Case-finding strategies for MASLD with liver fibrosis, using non-invasive tests, should be applied in individuals with cardiometabolic risk factors, abnormal liver enzymes, and/or radiological signs of hepatic steatosis, particularly in the presence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) or obesity with additional metabolic risk factor(s). A stepwise approach using blood-based scores (such as FIB-4) and, sequentially, imaging techniques (such as transient elastography) is suitable to rule-out/in advanced fibrosis, which is predictive of liver-related outcomes. In adults with MASLD, lifestyle modification - including weight loss, dietary changes, physical exercise and discouraging alcohol consumption - as well as optimal management of comorbidities - including use of incretin-based therapies (e.g. semaglutide, tirzepatide) for T2D or obesity, if indicated - is advised. Bariatric surgery is also an option in individuals with MASLD and obesity. If locally approved and dependent on the label, adults with non-cirrhotic MASH and significant liver fibrosis (stage ≥2) should be considered for a MASH-targeted treatment with resmetirom, which demonstrated histological effectiveness on steatohepatitis and fibrosis with an acceptable safety and tolerability profile. No MASH-targeted pharmacotherapy can currently be recommended for the cirrhotic stage. Management of MASH-related cirrhosis includes adaptations of metabolic drugs, nutritional counselling, surveillance for portal hypertension and HCC, as well as liver transplantation in decompensated cirrhosis.

Repeatability of vibration-controlled transient elastography versus magnetic resonance elastography in patients with cirrhosis: A prospective study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) and vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) have the potential to assess disease progression; however, repeatability data in people with cirrhosis are lacking. We aimed to assess the effect of disease severity on measurement variability and contribute to the evidentiary basis for the qualification of repeating liver stiffness measurements (LSM) in practice and research.

METHODS

This prospective study included 49 adult participants (58.3% female) with cirrhosis who underwent same-day repeat LSM examinations. The primary outcome was the same-day, same-operator repeatability coefficient% (RC%) and the within-case coefficient of variation (wCV) for each modality. Secondary outcomes include the intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC). The relationship between measurement variability (interquartile for VCTE, standard deviation for MRE) and disease severity (mean liver stiffness) was evaluated by linear regression with the coefficient of determination R2 reported.

RESULTS

Same-day repeat MRE and VCTE exams were prospectively conducted in 33 and 45 participants, respectively. The RC% appeared 82% higher for VCTE versus MRE (38% vs. 21%), with consistent findings in head-to-head analyses. The wCV for VCTE and MRE was 14% and 8% respectively, indicating VCTE has 75% higher within-subject measurement variation than MRE. ICC was excellent for LSM by VCTE (0.92) and MRE (0.96). Measurement variability increased with mean liver stiffness for VCTE (R2 = 0.78) and MRE (R2 = 0.93).

CONCLUSION

Both VCTE and MRE demonstrated increased measurement variability with disease severity. However, MRE outperformed VCTE in terms of technical repeatability in patients with cirrhosis. These repeatability estimates may improve the qualification of NITs in practice.

Validation of a Machine Learning Algorithm, EVendo, for Predicting Esophageal Varices in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Treatment with atezolizumab and bevacizumab has become standard of care for advanced unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) but carries an increased gastrointestinal bleeding risk. Therefore, patients are often required to undergo esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) to rule out esophageal varices (EV) prior to initiating therapy, which can delay care and lead to unnecessary procedural risks and health care costs. In 2019, the EVendo score was created and validated as a noninvasive tool to accurately screen out patients who were at low risk for having EV that required treatment. We sought to validate whether the EVendo score could be used to accurately predict the presence of EV and varices needing treatment (VNT) in patients with HCC.

METHODS

This was a retrospective multicenter cohort study of patients with HCC from 9/2004 to 12/2021. We included patients who underwent EGDs within 1 year after their HCC diagnosis. We collected clinical parameters needed to calculate an EVendo score at the time of EGD and compared the EVendo model prediction to the gold standard endoscopic report in predicting presence of VNT.

RESULTS

112 with HCC were recruited to this study, with 117 qualifying EGDs. VNT occurred in 39 (33.3%) patients. The EVendo score had a sensitivity of 97.4% and a negative predictive value of 96.9%, supporting the validity in applying EVendo in predicting VNT in HCC.

CONCLUSION

In this study, we validated the use of the EVendo score in ruling out VNT in patients with HCC. The application of the EVendo score could safely defer about 30% of EGDs for EV screening in HCC patients. Although additional validation cohorts are needed, this suggests that EVendo score can potentially be applied in patients with HCC to avoid unnecessary EGDs, which can ultimately mitigate healthcare costs and delays in initiating HCC treatment with atezolizumab and bevacizumab.

Performance of Baveno VII criteria for the screening of varices needing treatment in patients with biliary atresia

OBJECTIVE

Biliary atresia (BA) is the leading cause of liver cirrhosis and chronic liver insufficiency in children in the world. Gastroesophageal varices bleeding is an ominous complication of cirrhosis in BA patients and is associated with high morbidity and mortality. In this study, we aimed to investigate the utility of noninvasive Baveno VI and Baveno VII criteria for the screening of varices need treatment (VNT) and the need for liver transplantation in BA patients.

METHODS

This study enrolled 48 BA patients (23 females and 25 males) who underwent an esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) and transient elastography at a mean age of 11.18 ± 1.48 years; the clinical data were surveyed in a retrospective design.

RESULTS

The sensitivity and negative predictive value of Baveno VI and Baveno VII criteria for the prediction of VNT in BA patients are both 100% and 100%, respectively. The VNT missing rate of Baveno VI and Baveno VII criteria are both 0% in our cohort. The Baveno VI, expanded Baveno VI, and Baveno VII criteria are also predictive of the need for liver transplantation in our cohort (OR = 10.33, 4.24, and 21.33; p = 0.009, 0.03, and 0.007, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The Baveno VI and Baveno VII criteria are useful for the screening of VNT and minimize non-necessary invasive EGD in BA patients with low VNT missing rates. The Baveno VI, expanded Baveno VI, and Baveno VII criteria are associated with the need for liver transplantation.

EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the Management of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD)

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is defined as steatotic liver disease (SLD) in the presence of one or more cardiometabolic risk factor(s) and the absence of harmful alcohol intake. The spectrum of MASLD includes steatosis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH, previously NASH), fibrosis, cirrhosis and MASH-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This joint EASL-EASD-EASO guideline provides an update on definitions, prevention, screening, diagnosis and treatment for MASLD. Case-finding strategies for MASLD with liver fibrosis, using non-invasive tests, should be applied in individuals with cardiometabolic risk factors, abnormal liver enzymes, and/or radiological signs of hepatic steatosis, particularly in the presence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) or obesity with additional metabolic risk factor(s). A stepwise approach using blood-based scores (such as FIB-4) and, sequentially, imaging techniques (such as transient elastography) is suitable to rule-out/in advanced fibrosis, which is predictive of liver-related outcomes. In adults with MASLD, lifestyle modification - including weight loss, dietary changes, physical exercise and discouraging alcohol consumption - as well as optimal management of comorbidities - including use of incretin-based therapies (e.g. semaglutide, tirzepatide) for T2D or obesity, if indicated - is advised. Bariatric surgery is also an option in individuals with MASLD and obesity. If locally approved and dependent on the label, adults with non-cirrhotic MASH and significant liver fibrosis (stage ≥2) should be considered for a MASH-targeted treatment with resmetirom, which demonstrated histological effectiveness on steatohepatitis and fibrosis with an acceptable safety and tolerability profile. No MASH-targeted pharmacotherapy can currently be recommended for the cirrhotic stage. Management of MASH-related cirrhosis includes adaptations of metabolic drugs, nutritional counselling, surveillance for portal hypertension and HCC, as well as liver transplantation in decompensated cirrhosis.

Diagnosis and non-invasive assessment of MASLD in type 2 diabetes and obesity

BACKGROUND

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is currently the most common chronic liver disease and an important cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. It is strongly associated with type 2 diabetes and obesity. Because of the huge number of patients at risk of MASLD, it is imperative to use non-invasive tests appropriately.

AIMS

To provide a narrative review on the performance and limitations of non-invasive tests, with a special emphasis on the impact of diabetes and obesity.

METHODS

We searched PubMed and Cochrane databases for articles published from 1990 to August 2023.

RESULTS

Abdominal ultrasonography remains the primary method to diagnose hepatic steatosis, while magnetic resonance imaging proton density fat fraction is currently the gold standard to quantify steatosis. Simple fibrosis scores such as the Fibrosis-4 index are well suited as initial assessment in primary care and non-hepatology settings to rule out advanced fibrosis and future risk of liver-related complications. However, because of its low positive predictive value, an abnormal test should be followed by specific blood (e.g. Enhanced Liver Fibrosis score) or imaging biomarkers (e.g. vibration-controlled transient elastography and magnetic resonance elastography) of fibrosis. Some non-invasive tests of fibrosis appear to be less accurate in patients with diabetes. Obesity also affects the performance of abdominal ultrasonography and transient elastography, whereas magnetic resonance imaging may not be feasible in some patients with severe obesity.

CONCLUSIONS

This article highlights issues surrounding the clinical application of non-invasive tests for MASLD in patients with type 2 diabetes and obesity.

Novel approaches in the medical management of compensated cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

Classically, clinical practice guidelines and expert recommendations have focused on the management of decompensated cirrhotic patients, so we focused this review on improving care for compensated cirrhotic patients who are followed up in outpatient clinics.

AREAS COVERED

We reviewed the current methods for establishing liver function, the diagnosis and management of advanced chronic liver disease and clinically significant portal hypertension as well as the prevention of its complications, with special attention to covert hepatic encephalopathy, we also paid attention to the extrahepatic complications of cirrhosis and the palliative care. All this from the perspective of evidence-based medicine and trying to empower precision medicine. The literature search was undertaken by PubMed with 'cirrhosis,' 'advanced chronic liver disease,' 'liver function,' 'portal hypertension,' 'covert hepatic encephalopathy,' 'minimal hepatic encephalopathy,' 'palliative care' as MeSH terms.

EXPERT OPINION

We must offer compensated cirrhotic patients specific care and measures to prevent the progression of the disease and the appearance of its complications beyond the calculation of liver function and imaging screening for hepatocellular carcinoma that we perform every six months. Entities that have typically received little attention, such as covert hepatic encephalopathy, extrahepatic complications and symptoms of cirrhosis, and palliative care, must come to the spotlight.

A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of aldafermin in patients with NASH and compensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Aldafermin, an engineered analog of the human hormone FGF19, improves liver histology in patients with noncirrhotic NASH; however, its efficacy and safety in compensated cirrhosis is unknown. No drug has yet to demonstrate benefit in the compensated NASH population.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

In this multicenter, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 2b trial, 160 patients with compensated NASH cirrhosis were randomized to aldafermin 0.3 mg (n = 7), 1 mg (n = 42), 3 mg (n = 55), or placebo (n = 56) for 48 weeks. The 0.3 mg group was discontinued to limit exposure to suboptimal doses. The primary end point was a change in Enhanced Liver Fibrosis from baseline to week 48. The analyses were performed in the intention-to-treat population. At week 48, the least-squares mean difference in the change in Enhanced Liver Fibrosis was -0.5 (95% CI, -0.7 to -0.2; p = 0.0003) between the 3 mg group and the placebo group. 15%, 21%, and 23% of patients in the placebo, 1 mg, and 3 mg group, respectively, achieved fibrosis improvement ≥ 1 stage; and 13%, 16%, and 20% achieved fibrosis improvement ≥ 1 stage without NASH worsening. Improvement in alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, neoepitope-specific N-terminal pro-peptide of type III collagen, and liver stiffness favored aldefermin groups over placebo. Diarrhea was the most frequent adverse event, occurring at 26% and 40% in the 1 mg and 3 mg groups, respectively, compared to 18% in the placebo group. Overall, 0%, 2%, and 9% of patients in the placebo, 1 mg, and 3 mg group, respectively, discontinued due to treatment-related adverse events.

CONCLUSIONS

Aldafermin 3 mg resulted in a significant reduction in Enhanced Liver Fibrosis in patients with compensated NASH cirrhosis.

Diagnosis and assessment of disease severity in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) includes simple steatosis, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), fibrosis, and eventually cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The diagnosis of NAFLD is based on the detection of excess fat disposition in the liver, which is the first step to trigger further evaluation of NAFLD, including necroinflammation and fibrosis. In this review, we discuss non-invasive biomarkers and imaging tools that are currently and potentially available for different features (steatosis, necroinflammation and fibrosis) and disease severity assessment of NAFLD. In the past 2 decades, advances in non-invasive tests of fibrosis have transformed the management of NAFLD. Blood and imaging biomarkers have already been evaluated in multiple studies for the diagnosis of fibrosis and cirrhosis. Among the various histological features of NAFLD, the degree of fibrosis has the strongest correlation with liver-related morbidity and mortality. Non-invasive tests of fibrosis have been shown to predict liver-related outcomes, both in the general population and among patients with NAFLD. What is lacking, however, is good data to support the use of non-invasive tests as monitoring and response biomarkers. With the conclusion of several large phase 3 studies in the next few years, the availability of paired liver biopsy, non-invasive test and clinical outcome data will likely advance the field and shed light on new biomarkers and the way to use various non-invasive tests in a longitudinal manner.

Portal hypertension in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: Current knowledge and challenges

Portal hypertension (PH) has traditionally been observed as a consequence of significant fibrosis and cirrhosis in advanced non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, recent studies have provided evidence that PH may develop in earlier stages of NAFLD, suggesting that there are additional pathogenetic mechanisms at work in addition to liver fibrosis. The early development of PH in NAFLD is associated with hepatocellular lipid accumulation and ballooning, leading to the compression of liver sinusoids. External compression and intra-luminal obstacles cause mechanical forces such as strain, shear stress and elevated hydrostatic pressure that in turn activate mechanotransduction pathways, resulting in endothelial dysfunction and the development of fibrosis. The spatial distribution of histological and functional changes in the periportal and perisinusoidal areas of the liver lobule are considered responsible for the pre-sinusoidal component of PH in patients with NAFLD. Thus, current diagnostic methods such as hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement tend to underestimate portal pressure (PP) in NAFLD patients, who might decompensate below the HVPG threshold of 10 mmHg, which is traditionally considered the most relevant indicator of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH). This creates further challenges in finding a reliable diagnostic method to stratify the prognostic risk in this population of patients. In theory, the measurement of the portal pressure gradient guided by endoscopic ultrasound might overcome the limitations of HVPG measurement by avoiding the influence of the pre-sinusoidal component, but more investigations are needed to test its clinical utility for this indication. Liver and spleen stiffness measurement in combination with platelet count is currently the best-validated non-invasive approach for diagnosing CSPH and varices needing treatment. Lifestyle change remains the cornerstone of the treatment of PH in NAFLD, together with correcting the components of metabolic syndrome, using nonselective beta blockers, whereas emerging candidate drugs require more robust confirmation from clinical trials.

Recompensation in cirrhosis: unravelling the evolving natural history of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Recompensation has gained increasing attention in the field of cirrhosis, particularly in chronic liver disease with a definite aetiology. The current global prevalence of obesity and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing, but there is currently a lack of a clear definition for recompensation in NAFLD-related cirrhosis. Here, we provide an up-to-date perspective on the natural history of NAFLD, emphasizing the reversible nature of the disease, summarizing possible mechanisms underlying recompensation in NAFLD, discussing challenges that need to be addressed and outlining future research directions in the field. Recompensation is a promising goal in patients with NAFLD-related cirrhosis, and further studies are needed to explore its underlying mechanisms and uncover its clinical features.

Transient elastography (FibroScan) in critical care: Applications and limitations

FibroScan^® is a non-invasive device that assesses the ‘hardness’ (or stiffness) of the liver via the technique of transient elastography. Because fibrous tissue is harder than normal liver, the degree of hepatic fibrosis can be inferred from the liver hardness. This technique is increasingly being employed to diagnose liver fibrosis, even in critically ill patients. It is now being used not only for diagnosis and staging of liver cirrhosis, but also for outcome prognostication. However, the presence of several confounding factors, especially in critically ill patients, may make interpretation of these results unreliable. Through this review we aim to describe the indications and pitfalls of employing FibroScan in patients admitted to intensive care units.

Letter to editor ‘Non-invasive model for predicting high-risk esophageal varices based on liver and spleen stiffness’

This letter to the editor relates to the study entitled "Non-invasive model for predicting high-risk esophageal varices based on liver and spleen stiffness". Acute bleeding caused by esophageal varices is a life-threatening complication in patients with liver cirrhosis. Due to the discomfort, contraindications, and associated complications of upper gastrointestinal endoscopy screening, it is crucial to identify an imaging-based non-invasive model for predicting high-risk esophageal varices in patients with cirrhosis.

Non-Invasive Diagnostic of NAFLD in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Risk Stratification: Strengths and Limitations

The progressive potential of liver damage in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) towards advanced fibrosis, end-stage liver disease, and hepatocarcinoma has led to increased concern for quantifying liver injury and individual risk assessment. The combination of blood-based markers and imaging techniques is recommended for the initial evaluation in NAFLD and for regular monitoring to evaluate disease progression. Continued development of ultrasonographic and magnetic resonance imaging methods for accurate quantification of liver steatosis and fibrosis, as well as promising tools for the detection of high-risk NASH, have been noted. In this review, we aim to summarize available evidence regarding the usefulness of non-invasive methods for the assessment of NAFLD in T2DM. We focus on the power and limitations of various methods for diagnosis, risk stratification, and patient monitoring that support their implementation in clinical setting or in research field.

AGA Clinical Practice Update on the Role of Noninvasive Biomarkers in the Evaluation and Management of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Expert Review

DESCRIPTION

The purpose of this American Gastroenterological Association (AGA) Clinical Practice Update Expert Review is to provide clinicians with guidance on the use of noninvasive tests (NITs) in the evaluation and management of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). NAFLD affects nearly 30% of the global population and is a growing cause of end-stage liver disease and liver-related health care resource utilization. However, only a minority of all patients with NAFLD experience a liver-related outcome. It is therefore critically important for clinicians to assess prognosis and identify those with increased risk of disease progression and negative clinical outcomes at the time of initial assessment. It is equally important to assess disease trajectory over time, particularly in response to currently available therapeutic approaches. The reference standard for assessment of prognosis and disease monitoring is histologic examination of liver biopsy specimens. There are, however, many limitations of liver biopsies and their reading that have limited their use in routine practice. The utilization of NITs facilitates risk stratification of patients and longitudinal assessment of disease progression for patients with NAFLD. This clinical update provides best practice advice based on a review of the literature on the utilization of NITs in the management of NAFLD for clinicians. Accordingly, a combination of available evidence and consensus-based expert opinion, without formal rating of the strength and quality of the evidence, was used to develop these best practice advice statements.

METHODS

This Expert Review was commissioned and approved by the AGA Institute Clinical Practice Updates Committee and the AGA Governing Board to provide timely guidance on a topic of high clinical importance to the AGA membership and underwent internal peer review by the Clinical Practice Updates Committee and external peer review through standard procedures of Gastroenterology. These best practice advice statements were drawn from a review of the published literature and from expert opinion. Because systematic reviews were not performed, these best practice advice statements do not carry formal ratings of the quality of evidence or strength of the presented considerations. Best Practice Advice Statements BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 1: NITs can be used for risk stratification in the diagnostic evaluation of patients with NAFLD. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 2: A Fibrosis 4 Index score <1.3 is associated with strong negative predictive value for advanced hepatic fibrosis and may be useful for exclusion of advanced hepatic fibrosis in patients with NAFLD. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 3: A combination of 2 or more NITs combining serum biomarkers and/or imaging-based biomarkers is preferred for staging and risk stratification of patients with NAFLD whose Fibrosis 4 Index score is >1.3. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 4: Use of NITs in accordance with manufacturer's specifications (eg, not in patients with ascites or pacemakers) can minimize risk of discordant results and adverse events. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 5: NITs should be interpreted with context and consideration of pertinent clinical data (eg, physical examination, biochemical, radiographic, and endoscopic) to optimize positive predictive value in the identification of patients with advanced fibrosis. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 6: Liver biopsy should be considered for patients with NIT results that are indeterminate or discordant; conflict with other clinical, laboratory, or radiologic findings; or when alternative etiologies for liver disease are suspected. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 7: Serial longitudinal monitoring using NITs for assessment of disease progression or regression may inform clinical management (ie, response to lifestyle modification or therapeutic intervention). BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 8: Patients with NAFLD and NITs results suggestive of advanced fibrosis (F3) or cirrhosis (F4) should be considered for surveillance of liver complications (eg, hepatocellular carcinoma screening and variceal screening per Baveno criteria). Patients with NAFLD and NITs suggestive of advanced hepatic fibrosis (F3) or (F4), should be monitored with serial liver stiffness measurement; vibration controlled transient elastography; or magnetic resonance elastography, given its correlation with clinically significant portal hypertension and clinical decompensation.

Diagnosis of esophageal varices by liver stiffness and serum biomarkers in virus-related compensated advanced chronic liver disease

Background

Individuals infected with hepatitis B (HBV), hepatitis C (HCV), and human immunodeficiency (HIV) viruses can experience compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) leading to esophageal varices (EV). In patients at low risk of esophageal varices needing treatment (EVNT), non-invasive criteria based on liver stiffness measurement (LSM) with platelets, or fibrosis biomarkers, may avoid unnecessary screening esophagogastroduodenoscopies (EGD). These approaches have not been compared among people infected with HIV, HBV, and HCV patients.

Methods

Patients with a diagnosis of cACLD (LSM ≥10 kPa) and EGD availability were included from two cohorts. Baveno VI and expanded Baveno VI criteria (based on LSM and platelets), fibrosis biomarkers Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4), AST-to-Platelets Ratio Index (APRI), AST-to-ALT ratio (AAR), and RESIST criteria (based on platelets and albumin) were applied to determine the proportion of spared EGD and of missed EVNT.

Results

Three hundred fifty three patients (30.6% with HIV, 25.3% monoinfected with HBV, and 44.1% with HCV) were included. The prevalence of EVNT was 8.2%. Both Baveno VI and expanded Baveno VI criteria performed well in patients with virus-related cACLD, by sparing 26.1% and 51.6% EGD, respectively, while missing <2% EVNT. The proportion of spared EGD were 48.2%, 58%, and 24.3% by FIB-4 (<2.78), APRI (<1.1), and AAR (<0.75), respectively, while missing <3% EVNT. RESIST criteria spared 47.8% EGD while missing 1.9% EVNT.

Conclusions

Non-invasive criteria based on LSM can spare unnecessary EGD in virus-related cACLD. Simple fibrosis biomarkers can ameliorate resource utilization for EVNT screening in low resource settings.

Oesophageal varices predict complications in compensated advanced non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Background & Aims

We aimed to evaluate the impact of oesophageal varices (OV) and their evolution on the risk of complications of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) caused by non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We also assessed the accuracy of non-invasive scores for predicting the development of complications and for identifying patients at low risk of high-risk OV.

Methods

We performed a retrospective assessment of 629 patients with NAFLD-related cACLD who had baseline and follow-up oesophagogastroduodenoscopy and clinical follow-up to record decompensation, portal vein thrombosis (PVT), and hepatocellular carcinoma.

Results

Small and large OV were observed at baseline in 30 and 15.9% of patients, respectively. The 4-year incidence of OV from absence at baseline, and that of progression from small to large OV were 16.3 and 22.4%, respectively. Diabetes and a ≥5% increase in BMI were associated with OV progression. Multivariate Cox regression revealed that small (hazard ratio [HR] 2.24, 95% CI 1.47-3.41) and large (HR 3.86, 95% CI 2.34-6.39) OV were independently associated with decompensation. When considering OV status and trajectories, small (HR 2.65, 95% CI 1.39-5.05) and large (HR 4.90, 95% CI 2.49-9.63) OV at baseline and/or follow-up were independently associated with decompensation compared with the absence of OV at baseline and/or follow-up. The presence of either small (HR 2.8, 95% CI 1.16-6.74) or large (HR 5.29, 95% CI 1.96-14.2) OV was also independently associated with incident PVT.

Conclusion

In NAFLD-related cACLD, the presence, severity, and evolution of OV stratify the risk of developing decompensation and PVT.

Impact and implications

Portal hypertension is the main driver of liver decompensation in chronic liver diseases, and its non-invasive markers can help risk prediction. The presence, severity, and progression of oesophageal varices stratify the risk of complications of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Easily obtainable laboratory values and liver stiffness measurement can identify patients at low risk for whom endoscopy may be withheld, and can also stratify the risk of liver-related complications.

Predicting the Severity of Esophageal Varices in Patients with Hepatic Cirrhosis Using Non-Invasive Markers

Background

The presence and extent of severity of esophageal varices (EV) in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC) are predicted using noninvasive clinical, biochemical, and imaging parameters. The aim of this study was to investigate the accuracy of noninvasive predictors of EV, such as the platelet count-to-spleen diameter ratio (PSR), platelet count-to-spleen volume ratio (PSVR), spleen size (SZ), and a combination of these markers in determining the severity of EV in patients with cirrhosis.

Methods

We recruited 82 inpatients with LC from the Department of Gastroenterology at the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University between January 2018 and December 2019 for this diagnostic investigation. All patients underwent endoscopy, ultrasound, computed tomography, and routine laboratory investigations. For the study, we evaluated and compared the diagnostic accuracy of PSR, PSVR, SZ, and their combinations.

Results

There were significant differences in the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) in the prediction of severe and moderate/severe EV for all the variables. PSR+PSVR had the highest AUC at 0.735 (95% CI: 0.626-0.826) and 0.765 (95% CI: 0.659-0.852) for predicting severe and moderate/severe EV, respectively. There were statistically significant differences in the AUCs (95% CI) for PSR, PSVR, and PSR+PSVR in predicting the existence of EV. As per the overall model quality chart, the combination of PSR+PSVR was the best indicator for detecting the presence of EV (AUC, 0.696; 95% CI: 0.584-0.792).

Conclusion

In our study, we found that these noninvasive parameters could predict the extent of severity of EV in patients with LC. We anticipate the use of a combination of PSR + PSVR to emerge as the superior indicator as studies progress.

Prediction of High-Risk Varices in Patients with Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease in Saudi Arabia

Purpose

Liver stiffness and low platelet count can predict portal hypertension and high-risk varices (HRVs) in patients with cirrhosis. Thus, screening endoscopy may not be required for all patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, data from Saudi Arabia are limited. This study aimed to validate the Baveno VI and expanded Baveno VI criteria for screening endoscopy and identify the risk factors associated with HRVs in patients with cACLD in Saudi Arabia.

Patients and Methods

We analyzed data from 215 patients with cACLD diagnosed on transient elastography (LSM > 10 kPa) and had paired platelet count and screening upper endoscopy performed within one year of diagnosis. HRVs or varices needing treatment (VNTs) were defined as medium-to-large esophageal varices (EVs), small EVs with red flags, or gastric varices. Sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve were calculated. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses identified HRV risk factors.

Results

The Baveno VI criteria spared 50.7% of endoscopies, missing 3.7% of VNTs, while the expanded Baveno VI criteria spared 63.7% of endoscopies, missing 5.1% VNTs. An LSM <20 kPa and platelet count > 150,000/µL were associated with HRV in 8.1% and 8.3%, respectively. While an LSM <25 kPa and platelet count > 110,000/µL were associated with HRV in 9.7% and 9%, respectively. The Baveno VI criteria had sensitivity and specificity of 76% and 55%, while the expanded criteria had 67% and 69%, respectively. Baveno VI criteria performed better in hepatitis C virus patients than nonalcoholic fatty liver disease patients. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed platelet count and LSM as predictors of HRV.

Conclusion

The Baveno VI criteria effectively identified HRVs in cACLD patients from Saudi Arabia, reducing unnecessary endoscopies. Although the expanded criteria avoided more endoscopies, it led to a higher rate of missed HRVs.

Individual and population screening of varices needing treatment by a simple, safe and accurate test

BACKGROUND

Several tests have been developed to screen varices needing treatment (VNT) in different screening settings. We aimed to develop simple estimators to quantify VNT risk and spare endoscopy while missing <5% of VNT, adapted to different screenings in the main etiologies.

METHODS

2,368 patients with chronic liver disease were included. The main VNT predictors were platelets, prothrombin index (PI) and LSM. Their interactions led to score construction, LIP: (LSM*45)/(PI*platelets), and BLIP: BMI-adjusted LIP in NAFLD. Scores were categorized either for population (VNT sensitivity ≥95%) or individual (negative predictive value ≥95%) VNT screening.

RESULTS

1) Scores diagnosing VNT. AUROCs were, PLER: 0.767 Anticipate: 0.773 (p=0.059 vs previous), LIP: 0.779 (p=0.136), PLEASE: 0.789 (p=0.196). 2) Population screening performance was in increasing order (with missed VNT rate), Baveno6 criteria: 23.9% (2.5%), Anticipate: 24.5%, p=0.367 vs previous (3.3%), PLER: 27.3%, p<0.001 (3.6%), LIP: 33.4%, p<0.001 (4.2%), PLEASE: 35.2%, p=0.006 (3.6%). In NAFLD, LIP: 38.6%, BLIP: 40.8%, p=0.038. 3) Individual screening performance was, expanded Baveno6 criteria: 42.7%, LIP: 54.1%, p<0.001. In NAFLD, performance was, NAFLD-cirrhosis criteria: 66.7%, BLIP: 74.6%, p<0.001.

CONCLUSION

LIP combined simplicity, performance and safety in each etiology. In NAFLD, BMI-adjusted LIP outperformed other tests.

Spleen stiffness: a predictive factor of dismal prognosis in liver cirrhosis

Portal hypertension (PH) is a major complication of liver cirrhosis, as it predisposes to the development of serious clinical manifestations such as ascites, hepatic encephalopathy and variceal bleeding, aggravating the prognosis of patients. Hepatic vein pressure gradient (HVPG) is considered the reference method for the estimation of the presence and severity of PH, but this procedure is available only in specialized centers. Alternatively, many non-invasive methods have been proposed in order to substitute HVPG. Among them, liver stiffness measurement (LSM) has been widely used, as it has been shown to correlate well with HVPG, though this relationship seems to weaken in values of HVPG higher than 12 mmHg, the threshold of serious complications development. Several studies supported the use of spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) instead of LSM, anticipating to a more adequate assessment of this advanced stage of PH. The aim of this paper is to critically appraise and summarize the literature about the role of SSM as a predictive tool of liver decompensation and prognosis, highlighting the strengths and the potential limitations of the studies published so far. EXPERT'S OPINION: The utility of SSM in ruling out high risk for bleeding varices in cirrhotic patients has been demonstrated, driving the Baveno VII consensus to encompass SSM in its last recommendations, though its use in patients with non-viral cirrhosis remains to be validated. We believe that in the near future, SSM alone or combined with other tests, will being used not only for sparing upper endoscopies, but also for predicting decompensation and prognosis in advanced compensated cirrhotic patients, regardless of liver disease's etiology. Herein, we present the data that support this consideration, pointing out these issues that should further be investigated in order to elucidate and intensify the value of SSM in the management of patients with liver cirrhosis.

Noninvasive imaging biomarkers for liver fibrosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: current and future

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasingly prevalent worldwide and becoming a major cause of liver disease-related morbidity and mortality. The presence of liver fibrosis in patients with NAFLD is closely related to prognosis, including the development of hepatocellular carcinoma and other complications of cirrhosis. Therefore, assessment of the presence of significant or advanced liver fibrosis is crucial. Although liver biopsy has been considered the "gold standard" method for evaluating the degree of liver fibrosis, it is not suitable for extensive use in all patients with NAFLD owing to its invasiveness and high cost. Therefore, noninvasive biochemical and imaging biomarkers have been developed to overcome the limitations of liver biopsy. Imaging biomarkers for the stratification of liver fibrosis have been evaluated in patients with NAFLD using different imaging techniques, such as transient elastography, shear wave elastography, and magnetic resonance elastography. Furthermore, artificial intelligence and deep learning methods are increasingly being applied to improve the diagnostic accuracy of imaging techniques and overcome the pitfalls of existing imaging biomarkers. In this review, we describe the usefulness and future prospects of noninvasive imaging biomarkers that have been studied and used to evaluate the degree of liver fibrosis in patients with NAFLD.

Stéatose hépatique non alcoolique : diagnostic et traitement en 2022

La NAFLD (Non Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease ) est la manifestation hépatique d’un trouble métabolique multisystémique. Elle est la principale cause de maladie hépatique au niveau mondial, avec une prévalence croissante. Bien qu’il s’agisse principalement d’une maladie silencieuse à évolution lente, certains patients présentent un risque élevé de progression de la maladie et d’issues plus graves telles que la cirrhose, le carcinome hépatocellulaire et la transplantation hépatique. Malgré les multiples études menées et les nombreux essais cliniques en cours, il n’existe pas de médicaments approuvés pour la NAFLD/NASH (Non Alcoholic Steato-Hepatitis ), et le traitement doit donc se fonder sur des stratégies de modification du mode de vie. Cette revue explorera la définition et l’épidémiologie courantes de la NAFLD et de la NASH ainsi que les facteurs de risque et les conséquences de la maladie, tout en résumant les recommandations existantes pour le diagnostic, la stratification du risque et la prise en charge de la maladie.

RESIST-HCV Criteria to Monitor Progression of Low-Risk Esophageal Varices in Patients With Compensated Cirrhosis After HCV Eradication: The SIMPLE Study: SIMPLE: Scoring Index to Monitor Progression of Low-risk Esophageal varices

INTRODUCTION

Noninvasive criteria to predict the progression of low-risk esophageal varices (EV) in patients with compensated hepatitis C virus (HCV) cirrhosis after sustained virological response (SVR) by direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are lacking. Our aim was to assess the diagnostic performance of Rete Sicilia Selezione Terapia-HCV (RESIST-HCV) criteria for EV progression compared with elastography-based criteria (Baveno VI, Expanded Baveno VI, and Baveno VII-HCV criteria).

METHODS

All consecutive patients observed at 3 referral centers with compensated HCV cirrhosis with or without F1 EV who achieved sustained virological response by DAAs were classified at last esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGDS) as RESIST-HCV low risk (i.e., low probability of high-risk varices [HRV]) if platelets were >120 × 10 9 /L and serum albumin >3.6 g/dL or RESIST-HCV high risk (i.e., high probability of HRV) if platelets were <120 × 10 9 /L or serum albumin <3.6 g/dL. The primary outcome was the progression to HRV. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and decision curve analysis of noninvasive criteria were calculated.

RESULTS

The cohort consisted of 353 patients in Child-Pugh class A (mean age 67.2 years, 53.8% males). During a mean follow-up of 44.2 months, 34 patients (9.6%, 95% CI 6.7%-13.5%) developed HRV. At the last EGDS, 178 patients (50.4%) were RESIST-low risk, and 175 (49.6%) were RESIST-high risk. RESIST-HCV criteria showed the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.70, 95% confidence interval 0.65-0.75), correctly sparing the highest number of EGDS (54.3%), with the lowest false-positive rate (45.7%), compared with elastography-based criteria. Decision curve analysis showed that RESIST-HCV had higher clinical utility than elastography-based criteria.

DISCUSSION

Biochemical-based RESIST-HCV criteria are useful to easily predict HRV development after HCV eradication by DAAs in patients with compensated cirrhosis and low-risk EV.

Comparison of screening strategies with two new tests to score and diagnose varices needing treatment

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We aimed to improve non-invasive screening of varices needing treatment (VNT) and compare different screening strategies.

METHODS

2,290 patients with chronic liver disease were included in a retrospective study. Etiologies were: virus: 50.0%, NAFLD: 29.5%, alcohol: 20.5%, VNT: 14.9%. Test descriptors were performance (spared endoscopy) and safety (missed VNT). VNT tests were evaluated according to their safety levels either for individual screening (95% negative predictive value (NPV)), population screening (95% sensitivity) or undifferentiated screening (100% sensitivity/NPV) without missed VNT. The tests provided three categories: missed VNT <5%, VNT 100% specificity (new category), both sparing endoscopies, and intermediate (endoscopy required).

RESULTS

Independent VNT predictors (etiology, sex, age, platelets, prothrombin index, albumin, ALT, liver stiffness) were included in two tests: VNT virus alcohol NAFLD test (VANT) and varice risk score (VARS). We report results of the whole population. Considering population screening, performances were, Baveno VI criteria: 24.1%, Anticipate: 24.7%, VariScreen: 35.3%, VANT: 40.2% (p<0.001 vs other tests). VANT spared 58.0% more endoscopies in the whole population than Baveno criteria in compensated advanced chronic liver diseases. Considering individual screening, VARS performance was, in all patients: 62.0% vs 42.9% for the expanded Baveno VI criteria (p<0.001), and, in NAFLD: 72.8% vs 65.1% for the NAFLD cirrhosis criteria (p<0.001). Considering undifferentiated screening, VARS performance was 12%. The VARS score estimated VNT probability from 0 to 100% (AUROC: 0.826).

CONCLUSION

VANT and VARS spared from 12% (undifferentiated screening) to 40% (population screening) or 62% (individual screening) of endoscopies in main-etiology patients without ascites.

Validation of Baveno VI and Expanded-Baveno VI Criteria for predicting gastroesophageal varices in patients with alcoholic and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Background and aims: Baveno VI and Expanded-Baveno VI Criteria were validated to rule out high-risk esophageal varices (HRV) and to prevent unneeded endoscopies in compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) mainly related to viral hepatitis. We aim to assess these criteria to rule out low- and high- risk varices in patients with cACLD secondary to alcoholic liver disease (ALD) and non- alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Methods: Data were collected retrospectively from 2016 to 2020. Inclusion criteria were: NAFLD and /or ALD related cACLD, a liver stiffness measurement (LSM) ≥ 10 kPa and an esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) within 12 months. Exclusion criteria were: use of non cardioselective β-blockers, hepatic decompensation, previous variceal bleeding, portal thrombosis, liver cancer, or liver transplant. Results: One hundred and ninety-four patients were included in this study. Eighty-one patients (42%) met Baveno VI criteria and 103 (53%) met Expanded-Baveno VI criteria. Baveno VI criteria yielded a high negative predictive value (NPV ≥ 95%) for detecting HRV and varices of any size. Expanded-Baveno VI criteria yielded a high NPV ≥ 95% only for detecting HRV: the miss rate for varices of any size was 8%. Expanded-Baveno VI criteria could avoid more endoscopies than the original Baveno VI criteria to rule out HRV (53% versus 42%). Conclusion: In this study, both criteria showed high NPV to rule out HRV but only original Baveno VI criteria yielded a satisfactory high NPV to rule out varices of any size. Expanded-Baveno VI criteria could avoid more endoscopies to exclude HRV.

Utility of FibroScan-based scoring systems to narrow the risk group of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease with comorbidities

BACKGROUND

Vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is proposed as a second step of examination to assess liver fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) after triaging by the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index. Recently, VCTE-based scoring systems, including FibroScan-AST (FAST), Agile 3+, and Agile 4, emerged to determine the status of NAFLD. However, the significance of these scoring systems remains unknown in narrowing the high-risk group of NAFLD patients with comorbidities, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and esophagogastric varices (EGV).

AIM

To clarify the significance of VCTE-based scoring systems to narrow the high-risk group of NAFLD patients with comorbidities.

METHODS

We performed a cross-sectional study to investigate the usefulness of VCTE-based scoring systems and other fibrosis markers to narrow the high-risk group of patients with NAFLD. FIB-4 index was used for the first triage. Risk groups of FAST, Agile 3+, and Agile 4 were stratified according to the published data. Among the 191 patients with NAFLD, there were 26 (14%) and 25 patients (13%) with HCC and EGV, respectively.

RESULTS

When 1.3 was used as a cutoff value, the FIB-4 index narrowed the risk group to 120 patients, in which all patients with HCC and/or EGV were included. High risk group of Agile 3+ could subsequently narrow the risk group. The prevalence of HCC and EGV at this step were 33% (26/80) and 31% (25/80), respectively. In further narrowing of EGV, Agile 4 aggregated the patients with EGV into 43 patients, of whom 23 (53%) had EGV. FAST failed to narrow the risk group of patients with comorbidities. When 2.6 was used as a cutoff value of the FIB-4 index, three patients with HCC and two patients with EGV were missed at the first triage.

CONCLUSION

Agile 3+ and Agile 4 are useful to narrow the NAFLD patient group, in which patients may have HCC and/or EGV.

Review article: current and emerging therapies for the management of cirrhosis and its complications

BACKGROUND

Cirrhosis is increasingly common and morbid. Optimal utilisation of therapeutic strategies to prevent and control the complications of cirrhosis are central to improving clinical and patient-reported outcomes.

METHODS

We conducted a narrative review of the literature focusing on the most recent advances.

RESULTS

We review the aetiology-focused therapies that can prevent cirrhosis and its complications. These include anti-viral therapies, psychopharmacological therapy for alcohol-use disorder, and the current landscape of clinical trials for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis. We review the current standard of care and latest developments in the management of hepatic encephalopathy (HE), ascites and hepatorenal syndrome. We evaluate the promise and drawbacks of chemopreventative therapies that have been examined in trials and observational studies which may reduce the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma and cirrhosis complications. Finally, we examine the therapies which address the non-pain symptoms of cirrhosis including pruritis, muscle cramps, sexual dysfunction and fatigue.

CONCLUSION

The improvement of clinical and patient-reported outcomes for patients with cirrhosis is possible by applying evidence-based pharmacotherapeutic approaches to the prevention and treatment of cirrhosis complications.

Noninvasive assessment oesophageal varices: impact of the Baveno VI criteria

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

In 2015, as a consequence of the high development in noninvasive tests, Baveno VI consensus recommended for the first time the use of a prediction rule (liver stiffness <20kPa and platelet count > 150000) to identify patients at low risk of having varices and that could circumvent endoscopy. These became known as the Baveno VI criteria. We review here the data validating Baveno VI criteria and we discuss the attempts of expanding these criteria.

RECENT FINDINGS

We report 28 studies assessing the performance of Baveno VI criteria showing a pooled 99% negative predictive value for ruling out high-risk varices. Performance is not affected by the cause of cirrhosis. Different attempts at expanding these criteria show suboptimal performance. Nonelastography-based criteria require further validation.

SUMMARY

Baveno VI criteria can be safely used to avoid endoscopy in a substantial proportion of patients with compensated cirrhosis. The progressive change in approach to the management of compensated cirrhosis, progressively focusing on treating portal hypertension with beta-blockers independently of the presence of varices, might render these criteria less relevant.

Application of Noninvasive Tools to Decide the Need for Beta-Blockers for Variceal Bleeding Prophylaxis in Compensated Advanced Liver Disease: A Decision Curve Analysis

Background and aims

Noninvasive tools (NITs) reliably categorise patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) into high-risk and low-risk group for harbouring varices needing treatment. Here, we assess the ability of these NITs to predict the need for nonselective beta-blockers at baseline based on risk of variceal bleeding (VB) on follow-up.

Methods

This was a retrospective multicentre analysis of patients with cACLD categorised at baseline into different risk groups by NITs (Baveno-VI, expanded Baveno-VI, platelet-albumin, platelet-model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and anticipate study platelet criteria) and by endoscopy (high risk vs low risk/no varices). VB event rates on follow-up were estimated in different risk strata. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to estimate the benefit of administering nonselective beta-blockers (NSBB) using NITs over endoscopic classification at different threshold probabilities of VB event rates and estimating the number needed to treat (NNT) to identify one additional bleeder over endoscopy.

Results

A total of 1284 patients (mean age: 44.7 ± 13.5 years, 72.4% males) of hepatitis B (29.2%), nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (24.9%), hepatitis C (20.1%), and alcohol (17.5%)-related cACLD were included with 323 (25.2%) having high-risk varices. Ninety-eight (7.6%) patients developed VB over a median follow-up of 20 (9-35) months. The 1-year and 3-year rate of VB with all NITs was 5.7-7.4% and 13.2-16.4% among high-risk and 0-2.3% and 0-5% among low-risk subgroups, respectively (P < 0.001) in both viral and nonviral aetiologies. Among patients classified as low risk on Baveno-VI criteria, none developed VB on follow-up. At thresholds of <3% event rate of VB, Baveno-VI (NNT-176), platelet-albumin (NNT-576) and anticipate platelet (NNT-233) criteria were superior, whereas endoscopic stratification was superior above this event rate on DCA.

Conclusions

The use of both elastography and blood-based NITs at baseline can accurately identify the need for NSBB for VB prophylaxis in patients of cACLD on follow-up.

Baveno VI criteria as a prognostic factor for clinical complications in patients with compensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Combination of liver stiffness measurement and platelets count is a tool to safely rule out varices needing treatment (VNT) in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD).

AIMS

to evaluate 4-year liver-related complications and survival in low-risk patients according to Baveno VI criteria.

METHODS

we conducted a monocentric retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data of all consecutive patients, with cirrhosis (LSM≥12.5 kPa) and without previous complication, evaluated between 2012 and 2015. Liver-related complications and survival were compared between 2 groups of patients: favourable (LSM< 20 kPa and platelet count>150.000/mm3) and unfavourable Baveno VI status patients (LSM ≥ 20 kPa or platelet count ≤150.000/mm3).

RESULTS

455 patients with cACLD were analysed. Two hundred patients had favourable Baveno VI criteria, 3.6% with VNT. The 4-year probability of being free of acute decompensation was higher in low-risk patients (94.4 ± 1.8% vs. 85.7%±2.6%, p = 0.018). Unfavourable Baveno status was independently associated with acute decompensation. The probability of being free of HCC was significantly higher in low-risk patients (94.2 ± 1.8% vs. 87.6 ± 2.4%, p = 0.048). Liver-related mortality was not different between the 2 groups (p = 0.56).

CONCLUSION

The Baveno VI criteria could predict clinical outcome in cACLD.

Liver stiffness by two-dimensional shear wave elastography for screening high-risk varices in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the usefulness of the criteria with liver stiffness (LS) measured by two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) and platelet count (PLT) for ruling out high-risk varices in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD).

METHODS

A total of 661 patients with cACLD had successfully undergone 2D-SWE and endoscopy screening. We analyzed risk factors for the presence of high-risk varices and compared proportions of patients who were spared endoscopy when used the predicting criteria with LS (ranged from 16 to 25 kPa) and PLT (ranged from 80 × 109/L to 150 × 109/L).

RESULTS

PLT, albumin, LS were found to be independent predictors of high-risk varices. The LS values for ruling out and ruling in high-risk varices were 14.0 kPa and 24.8 kPa, respectively. When the Baveno VI criteria LS < 20 kPa and PLT > 150 × 109/L were used, the high-risk varices miss rate was 2.1%, while the saved endoscopy rate only was 19.2%. The new criteria that LS < 16 kPa and PLT > 100 × 109/L saved 30.4-34.6% endoscopy with 0-3.2% high-risk varices miss rate in the subgroup analysis stratified according to the types of underlying liver disease.

CONCLUSIONS

The Baveno VI criteria can be applied to LS measurement by 2D-SWE. The new criteria that LS < 16 kPa and PLT > 100 × 109/L could be a potential model to spare more endoscopy screening with < 5% high-risk varices miss rate.

KEY POINTS

• LS measured by 2D-SWE is reliable predictive factor for predicting all-size varices and high-risk varices in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease. • LS measured by 2D-SWE < 16 kPa and PLT > 100 × 109 /L, which can spare more endoscopy than Baveno VI criteria with < 5% high-risk varices miss rate. • The Baveno VI criteria can be applied to LS measurement by 2D-SWE.

Doppler hemodynamic liver index and hepatic elastic modulus: Advanced ultrasonographic techniques for non-invasive prediction of esophageal varices in cirrhosis

PURPOSE

Currently esophagoscopy is the gold standard for assessment of esophageal varices in cirrhosis. Predicting the presence of esophageal varices, varices needing treatment (VNT) and variceal grade by advanced ultrasonographic techniques using a combination of Doppler hemodynamic liver index (HDLI) (quantifying portal hypertension) and hepatic elastic modulus (quantifying hepatic fibrosis) would be a cost-effective and non-invasive alternative to routine endoscopy.

METHODS

Our cross-sectional study consisted of cirrhotic patients diagnosed using clinical features and laboratory parameters. Portal venous Doppler and liver sonoelastography were performed in selected subjects for obtaining measurements of HDLI (portal vein diameter/mean velocity) and hepatic elastic modulus respectively. Within 3 days of ultrasound, the subjects underwent upper GI endoscopy for assessment of presence, VNT and grade (F1, F2, F3) of varices. Subjects were divided into two groups (without and with varices) and data analyzed using XLSTAT.

RESULTS

A total of 60 subjects (26 without and 34 with varices) were evaluated. Mean Doppler HDLI of subjects with varices was significantly higher (0.72 vs. 0.59, p < 0.0001) with progressive increase in values with variceal grade, being highest in grade-F3 (mean 0.77). Likewise, mean hepatic elastic modulus was also higher in subjects with varices (28.9 vs. 12.6 kPa, p < 0.0001) and showed progressive increase with grade (51.1 kPa for F3). For predicting presence of varices, maximum accuracy of elastic modulus was at cut-off of 14.5 kPa (sensitivity, specificity 83% and 84.6%) and Doppler HDLI was at 0.66 (66% and 92.3%). Good inter-rater agreement was present (κ 0.66).

CONCLUSION

Combination of Doppler HDLI and hepatic elastic modulus is an excellent non-invasive method for predicting the presence, VNT, and variceal grade and may obviate need for routine endoscopic screening in cirrhosis.

Current considerations for clinical management and care of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: Insights from the 1st International Workshop of the Canadian NASH Network (CanNASH)

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects approximately 8 million Canadians. NAFLD refers to a disease spectrum ranging from bland steatosis to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Nearly 25% of patients with NAFLD develop NASH, which can progress to liver cirrhosis and related end-stage complications. Type 2 diabetes and obesity represent the main risk factors for the disease. The Canadian NASH Network is a national collaborative organization of health care professionals and researchers with a primary interest in enhancing understanding, care, education, and research around NAFLD, with a vision of best practices for this disease state. At the 1st International Workshop of the CanNASH network in April 2021, a joint event with the single topic conference of the Canadian Association for the Study of the Liver (CASL), clinicians, epidemiologists, basic scientists, and community members came together to share their work under the theme of NASH. This symposium also marked the initiation of collaborations between Canadian and other key opinion leaders in the field representative of international liver associations. The main objective is to develop a policy framework that outlines specific targets, suggested activities, and evidence-based best practices to guide provincial, territorial, and federal organizations in developing multidisciplinary models of care and strategies to address this epidemic.

Diagnostic challenges in patients with alcohol-related liver disease

Alcohol is globally the leading risk factor for cirrhosis and is subsumed under the term alcohol-related liver disease (ALD). However, only ca. 10% of people with harmful alcohol consumption (>40 gram alcohol per day) develop cirrhosis, while 15% have normal liver histology. Unfortunately, laboratory parameters and ultrasound hold little value to neither rule-in nor rule out alcohol related liver fibrosis. While several indices with combinations of liver associated markers such as FIB4 seem to be promising, non-invasive test strategies are urgently needed with cut-off's that can be applied to guide clinical decision making. The aims of this review article are to highlight novel developments for the diagnosis of ALD and to identify topics of controversy and potential future directions. In the last 15 years, elastography to measure liver stiffness (LS) has significantly improved our screening strategies for cirrhosis. LS values below 6 kPa are considered as normal and exclude ALD. LS of 8 and 12.5 kPa represent generally accepted cut-off values for F3 and F4 fibrosis. Especially, transient elastography (TE) has been assessed in numerous studies, but similar performance can be obtained with point shear wave elastography, 2 SD shear wave elastography or MR elastography. Important confounders of elevated LS such as inflammation should also be considered and alcohol withdrawal not only improves liver inflammation but also LS. Liver stiffness measurement has signficiantly improved early diagnosis and follow-up of fibrosis in patients with ALD and patients with diagnosed manifest but clinically compensated cirrhosis should undergo further clinical examinations to rule out complications of portal hypertension. In addition, surveillance for the occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma is recommended in all cirrhotic patients.

Non-invasive diagnosis and follow-up of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

NAFLD is a frequent disease that affects 25% of the worldwide population. There is no specific diagnostic test for NAFLD, and the diagnosis mainly relies on the elimination of the other causes of chronic liver diseases with liver biopsy kept for unsure diagnoses. Non-invasive tests are now available to assess NAFLD severity and therefore to help physicians decide on the patient management and follow-up. These non-invasive tests can also be used to define pathways that organize referrals from primary care and diabetology clinics to the liver specialist, with the ambition to improve the screening of asymptomatic patients with NAFLD and advanced liver disease. NAFLD being the liver expression of the metabolic syndrome, physicians need also take care to screen for diabetes and to evaluate the cardiovascular risk in those patients. These recommendations from the French Association for the Study of the Liver (AFEF) aim at providing guidance on the following questions: how to diagnose NAFLD; how non-invasive tests should be used to assess NAFLD severity; how to follow patients with NAFLD; when to perform liver biopsy in NAFLD; and how to decide referral to the liver specialist for a patient with NAFLD.

Transient splenic elastography predicts high-risk esophageal varices in patients with non-cirrhotic portal hypertension

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Non-cirrhotic portal hypertension (NCPH) comprise a group of diseases that cause portal hypertension without cirrhosis, leading to a high risk of hemorrhage from esophageal varices. There are no non-invasive predictors of high-risk varices (HRV) described in the literature for NCPH. This study aimed to evaluate whether transient splenic elastography (TSE) can predict HRV in patients with NCPH.

METHODS

Prospective study of patients with NCPH who underwent a single timepoint evaluation with transient liver and spleen elastography, ultrasonography, upper endoscopy, and laboratory tests. The study was performed from January to September 2020. Patients were divided into two groups based on the presence of HRV. The relation between TSE, transient liver elastography (TLE), spleen size, and platelet count to the presence of HRV was evaluated.

RESULTS

Of 42 patients with NCPH, 50% (21/42) presented HRV. In univariate analysis, TSE (median, 58.4 vs. 28.3, p = 0.009) and spleen size (median, 17.5 vs. 14.5 cm, p = 0.013) were associated with HRV. No statistically significant relationship was found between the presence of HRV and platelet count or TLE. In multivariate analysis, TSE was the only variable related to HRV (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.02-1.38). TSE had a good performance in predicting HRV in our population (AUROC 0.878; 95% CI 0.751-1000). TSE > 35.4 kPa presents 93.3% sensitivity, 60.0% specificity, and 90.9% negative predictive value.

CONCLUSION

In our population of patients with NCPH, TSE is useful in predicting HRV. TLE, spleen size, and platelet count were not related to HRV.

Novel albumin, bilirubin and platelet criteria for the exclusion of high-risk varices in compensated advanced chronic liver disease: A validation study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Availability of transient elastography (TE) limits the application of Baveno-VI criteria. In a derivation study, the ABP criteria (Albumin >40 g/l, Bilirubin <22 μmol/l and Platelet >114,000/μl) had been shown to perform well in identifying compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) patients without high-risk varices (HRV). We aim to externally validate this novel ABP criteria for the exclusion of HRVs among cACLD patients.

METHODS

Data was retrospectively collected from consecutive cACLD patients with paired TE and esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) performed between 2011 and 2017 in Changi General Hospital, Singapore. We estimate the discriminative ability of ABP criteria in validation cohort using AUROC and calibration-in-the-large. We subsequently compare the performance between ABP and Baveno-VI criteria in the validation cohort.

RESULTS

Among 314 patients included in our validation cohort, 32 (10.2%) had HRV on screening EGD. Application of ABP criteria within this validation cohort has increased discriminative ability than the derivation cohort. The AUROC of validation and derivation cohort were 0.68 (0.60-0.76) and 0.66 (0.60-0.76), respectively. The mean and standard error for calibration-in-the-large and calibration slope were -0.08 (0.22) and 0.93 (0.26) respectively. The ABP criteria had excellent performance in excluding HRV and will spare more screening EGDs than the Baveno-VI criteria (39.2% vs 27.4%, p < 0.001), without missing more HRVs.

CONCLUSION

We validated the performance of ABP criteria for the exclusion of HRVs in cACLD patients. ABP criteria is superior to Baveno-VI criteria by sparing more screening EGD without the need of TE.

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting varices needing treatment in compensated advanced chronic liver disease: A multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Only a small proportion of patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) had varices needing treatment (VNT) after recommended esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) screening. We aimed to create a non-invasive nomogram based on routine tests to detect VNT in cACLD patients.

METHODS

The training cohort included 162 cACLD patients undergoing EGD in a university hospital, between January 2014 and September 2019. A nomogram was developed based on the independent predictors of VNT, selected using a multivariate logistic regression analysis. Thirty-three patients from eight university hospitals were prospectively enrolled as validation cohort between December 2018 and December 2019.

RESULTS

The prevalence of VNT was 32.7% (53/162) and 39.4% (13/33) in training and validation cohorts, respectively. The univariate analysis identified six risk factors for VNT. On the multivariate analysis, four of them, i.e., gallbladder wall thickness (odds ratio [OR]: 1.23; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.98-1.56), spleen diameter (OR: 1.02; 95% CI: 1.00-1.04), platelet count (OR: 0.98; 95% CI: 0.97-0.99), and international normalized ratio (OR: 0.58; 95% CI: 0.06-5.84) were independently associated with VNT. Thus, a nomogram based on the four above - mentioned variables was developed, and showed a favorable performance for detecting VNT, with an area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.848 (95% CI: 0.769-0.927) in training cohort. By applying a cut-off value of 105 in validation cohort, 31.0% of EGD were safely spared with 3.4% of missed VNT.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram based on routine clinical parameters was developed for detecting VNT and avoiding unnecessary EGD in cACLD patients.

Accuracy of non-invasive methods/models for predicting esophageal varices in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease secondary to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

INTRODUCTION

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients can progress to cirrhosis. In these, there is a compensated stage in which esophageal varices can exist. However, no more than 20% of these patients have varices needing treatment (VNT).

OBJECTIVE

Evaluate the accuracy of non-invasive models to predict esophageal varices, as well as their performance to avoid esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) with a risk of missing VNT of less than 5%, in Brazilian patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) secondary to NAFLD.

METHODS

Twenty-one patients with biopsy-proven cACLD secondary to NAFLD were submitted to liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography (TE), and data were collected to measure platelet count/spleen diameter ratio (PSR), LSM-spleen diameter to platelet ratio score (LSPS), varices risk score (VRS), Baveno VI, Expanded Baveno VI and NAFLD cirrhosis criteria.

RESULTS

The mean age was 61 (±6.6) years, and 81% were female; 14% presented VNT. For detection of VNT, LSPS and VRS performed excellently, with an area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 0.961 for both. LSM presented an AUROC of 0.889 and a cutoff point of 21.8 kPa. LSPS and VRS enabled sparing 75-80% of EGDs for VNT, with no risk of missing varices. Expanded Baveno VI enabled sparing 71% of EGDs, with 4.8% risk of missing VNT.

CONCLUSION

LSPS and VRS performed excellently in both predicting VNT and sparing EGD, and Expanded Baveno VI showed good performance in sparing EGDs, with acceptable risk of missing VNT. An LSM cutoff point was established and had good performance.

Liver cirrhosis

Cirrhosis is widely prevalent worldwide and can be a consequence of different causes, such as obesity, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, high alcohol consumption, hepatitis B or C infection, autoimmune diseases, cholestatic diseases, and iron or copper overload. Cirrhosis develops after a long period of inflammation that results in replacement of the healthy liver parenchyma with fibrotic tissue and regenerative nodules, leading to portal hypertension. The disease evolves from an asymptomatic phase (compensated cirrhosis) to a symptomatic phase (decompensated cirrhosis), the complications of which often result in hospitalisation, impaired quality of life, and high mortality. Progressive portal hypertension, systemic inflammation, and liver failure drive disease outcomes. The management of liver cirrhosis is centred on the treatment of the causes and complications, and liver transplantation can be required in some cases. In this Seminar, we discuss the disease burden, pathophysiology, and recommendations for the diagnosis and management of cirrhosis and its complications. Future challenges include better screening for early fibrosis or cirrhosis, early identification and reversal of causative factors, and prevention of complications.

Identification of potential metabolic biomarkers in predicting esophageal varices needing treatment in patients with liver cirrhosis

The goal of this study was to determine the diagnostic performance of in vivo quantitative proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy (¹H-MRS) to identify the presence of esophageal varices needing treatment (VNT), as well as investigate its correlation with clinical characteristics in patients with liver cirrhosis. Forty cirrhotic patients without VNT showing the negative red color sign, and 40 cirrhotic patients with VNT showing positive red color sign underwent laboratory tests, esophago-gastro-duodenoscopy, and ¹H-MRS with single-voxel localization in the cirrhotic liver parenchyma. The levels of lactate + triglyceride (TG) and choline in cirrhotic patients with VNT were significantly higher than those in cirrhotic patients without VNT. In multivariate analysis, spleen diameter, platelet count, and platelet count/spleen diameter ratio, as well as lactate + TG, and choline were associated with the presence of VNT. Moreover, lactate + TG and choline levels were positively correlated with spleen diameter and negatively correlated with platelet count in the combined group of cirrhotic patients with and without VNT. Our study demonstrated that higher hepatic lactate + TG and choline levels in cirrhotic patients in conjunction with longer spleen diameter, lower platelet counts, and lower ratios of platelet count to spleen diameter were associated with the presence of esophageal VNT and the risk of developing variceal bleeding. Therefore, in vivo ¹H-MRS might be an effective tool for diagnosing and predicting esophageal VNT in patients with liver cirrhosis.

Development of a machine learning model to predict bleed in esophageal varices in compensated advanced chronic liver disease: A proof of concept

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Risk stratification beyond the endoscopic classification of esophageal varices (EVs) to predict first episode of variceal bleeding (VB) is currently limited in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). We aimed to assess if machine learning (ML) could be used for predicting future VB more accurately.

METHODS

In this retrospective analysis, data from patients of cACLD with EVs, laboratory parameters and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) were used to generate an extreme-gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm to predict the risk of VB. The performance characteristics of ML and endoscopic classification were compared in internal and external validation cohorts. Bleeding rates were estimated in subgroups identified upon risk stratification with combination of model and endoscopic classification.

RESULTS

Eight hundred twenty-eight patients of cACLD with EVs, predominantly related to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (28.6%), alcohol (23.7%) and hepatitis B (23.1%) were included, with 455 (55%) having the high-risk varices. Over a median follow-up of 24 (12-43) months, 163 patients developed VB. The accuracy of machine learning (ML) based model to predict future VB was 98.7 (97.4-99.5)%, 93.7 (88.8-97.2)%, and 85.7 (82.1-90.5)% in derivation (n = 497), internal validation (n = 149), and external validation (n = 182) cohorts, respectively, which was better than endoscopic classification [58.9 (55.5-62.3)%] alone. Patients stratified high risk on both endoscopy and model had 1-year and 3-year bleeding rates of 31-43% and 64-85%, respectively, whereas those stratified as low risk on both had 1-year and 3-year bleeding rates of 0-1.6% and 0-3.4%, respectively. Endoscopic classification and LSM were the major determinants of model's performance.

CONCLUSION

Application of ML model improved the performance of endoscopic stratification to predict VB in patients with cACLD with EVs.