Sepsis carries a high mortality among hospitalised adults in Malawi in the era of antiretroviral therapy scale-up: a longitudinal cohort study

Community‐acquired pneumonia and its predictors of mortality in rural southwestern Nigeria: A‐five year retrospective observational study

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Majority of people in sub-Sahara Africa reside in rural areas.

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Many hospitals in rural and sub-urban centres do not have adequate personnel and infrastructures.

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There are limited dataoncommunity-acquired pneumonia and its predictors of mortality and were largely restricted to urban and suburban centres.

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The results of the present study would guide the stakeholders on how to reduce community- acquired pneumonia mortality in rural centres.

Introduction

The predictors of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) mortality are important outcome measures in epidemiological studies and clinical trials. There is an observed paucity of data regarding the predictors of mortality of CAP in Nigeria. Few studies from the urban centres have been reported in the literature, with none from the rural centres. The objective of this study is to ascertain the clinical presentations, risk factors, and predictors of mortality among patients admitted for CAP in rural Southwestern Nigeria.

Methods

A retrospective observational study using a data form and a standardised questionnaire reviewed the 176 patients admitted to Southwestern Nigeria hospital between January 2015 and December 2019. The data were analysed using SPSS Version 22.0. The results were presented in descriptive and tabular formats.

Results

A total of 176 patients were studied. Their mean age was 53.3±16.8 years. There were more males, 112 (63.6%), than females. The most common clinical presentations were cough, fever and sputum expectoration. The case fatality rate was 9.1% and its predictors were older aged patients [Adjusted Odds Ration (AOR), 4.135: 95% Confidence Interval (CI) (1.389-12.315); p =0.005], hypoxia [AOR, 11.118: 95% CI (2.607-47.405); p<0.001], tobacco smoking [AOR, 3.632: 95% CI (1.459-9.039); p=0.008], chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) [AOR, 10.111: 95%CI (2.370-43.139); p <0.001], and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) [AOR, 9.444: 95% CI (4.304-20.725), p<0.001].

Conclusion

The case -fatality rate was 9.1%, and its predictors were older age patients, patients with hypoxia, tobacco smoking, COPD, and HIV. This study strengthens the argument on the higher prevalence of CAP and its mortality in rural Southwestern Nigeria. The findings may provide an impetus for prospective research on these outcomes.

A Longitudinal, Observational Study of Etiology and Long-Term Outcomes of Sepsis in Malawi Revealing the Key Role of Disseminated Tuberculosis

BACKGROUND

Sepsis protocols in sub-Saharan Africa are typically extrapolated from high-income settings, yet sepsis in sub-Saharan Africa is likely caused by distinct pathogens and may require novel treatment strategies. Data to guide such strategies are lacking. We aimed to define causes and modifiable factors associated with sepsis outcomes in Blantyre, Malawi, in order to inform the design of treatment strategies tailored to sub-Saharan Africa.

METHODS

We recruited 225 adults who met a sepsis case definition defined by fever and organ dysfunction in an observational cohort study at a single tertiary center. Etiology was defined using culture, antigen detection, serology, and polymerase chain reaction. The effect of treatment on 28-day outcomes was assessed using Bayesian logistic regression.

RESULTS

There were 143 of 213 (67%) participants living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). We identified a diagnosis in 145 of 225 (64%) participants, most commonly tuberculosis (TB; 34%) followed by invasive bacterial infections (17%), arboviral infections (13%), and malaria (9%). TB was associated with HIV infection, whereas malaria and arboviruses with the absence of HIV infection. Antituberculous chemotherapy was associated with survival (adjusted odds ratio for 28-day death, 0.17; 95% credible interval, 0.05-0.49 for receipt of antituberculous therapy). Of those with confirmed etiology, 83% received the broad-spectrum antibacterial ceftriaxone, but it would be expected to be active in only 24%.

CONCLUSIONS

Sepsis in Blantyre, Malawi, is caused by a range of pathogens; the majority are not susceptible to the broad-spectrum antibacterials that most patients receive. HIV status is a key determinant of etiology. Novel antimicrobial strategies for sepsis tailored to sub-Saharan Africa, including consideration of empiric antituberculous therapy in individuals living with HIV, should be developed and trialed.

On prioritising global health's triple crisis of sepsis, COVID-19 and antimicrobial resistance: a mixed-methods study from Malawi

Sepsis causes 20% of global deaths, particularly among children and vulnerable populations living in developing countries. This study investigated how sepsis is prioritised in Malawi’s health system to inform health policy. In this mixed-methods study, twenty multisectoral stakeholders were qualitatively interviewed and asked to quantitatively rate the likelihood of sepsis-related medium-term policy outcomes being realised. Respondents indicated that sepsis is not prioritised in Malawi due to a lack of local sepsis-related evidence and policies. However, they highlighted strong linkages between sepsis and maternal health, antimicrobial resistance and COVID-19, which are already existing national priorities, and offers opportunities for sepsis researchers as policy entrepreneurs. To address the burden of sepsis, we recommend that funding should be channelled to the generation of local evidence, evidence uptake, procurement of resources and treatment of sepsis cases, development of appropriate indicators for sepsis, adherence to infection prevention and control measures, and antimicrobial stewardship.

Improving sepsis care in Africa: an opportunity for change?

Sepsis is common and represents a major public health burden with significant associated morbidity and mortality. However, despite substantial advances in sepsis recognition and management in well-resourced health systems, there remains a distinct lack of research into sepsis in Africa. The lack of evidence affects all levels of healthcare delivery from individual patient management to strategic planning at health-system level. This is particular pertinent as African countries experience some of the highest global burden of sepsis. The 2017 World Health Assembly resolution on sepsis and the creation of the Africa Sepsis Alliance provided an opportunity for change. However, progress so far has been frustratingly slow. The recurrent Ebola virus disease outbreaks and the COVID-19 pandemic on the African continent further reinforce the need for urgent healthcare system strengthening. We recommend that African countries develop national action plans for sepsis which should address the needs of all critically ill patients.

Association of Transforming Growth Factor β1 Gene Polymorphisms and Inflammatory Factor Levels with Susceptibility to Sepsis

Objective: To study the association of transforming growth factor β1 (TGF-β1) gene single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and plasma TGF-β1 levels with susceptibility to sepsis. Methods: The genotypes of the TGF-β1 gene rs1800469, rs1800468, rs1800470, and rs1800471 loci in 285 sepsis patients (119 patients with severe sepsis and 166 patients with mild sepsis) and 285 healthy individuals (control group) were analyzed through Sanger sequencing. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was used to detect the levels of plasma inflammatory factors. Results: The TGF-β1 gene SNP rs1800469 C allele was 0.56 times lower than the T allele in terms of risk of susceptibility to sepsis (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.43-0.72, p < 0.01). Carriers of the A allele at the rs1800468 locus of the TGF-β1 were 2.82 times more susceptible to sepsis than those with the G allele (95% CI: 1.62-4.91, p < 0.01). The T allele at the rs1800470 locus of TGF-β1 produced a lower risk of sepsis than those with the C allele (odds ratio [OR] = 0.74, 95% CI: 0.57-0.94, p = 0.02). The risk of susceptibility to sepsis in the TGF-β1 rs1800471 locus G allele was 3.54 times higher than that of C allele (95% CI: 2.14-5.86, p < 0.01). The TGF-β1 gene rs1800469 T > C and rs1800470 C > T were associated with mild sepsis, whereas rs1800468 G > A and rs1800471 C > G were associated with severe sepsis (p < 0.01). The TGF-β1 gene rs1800469 T > C and rs1800470 C > T were associated with lower plasma TGF-β1 levels, whereas rs1800468 G > A and rs1800471 C > G were associated with higher TGF-β1 levels (p < 0.05). Conclusion: The alleles T > C of rs1800469 and C > T of rs1800470 of the TGF-β1 gene were associated with lower plasma TGF-β1 levels and a reduced risk of sepsis susceptibility, whereas the alleles rs1800468 G > A and rs1800471 C > G were associated with higher TGF-β1 levels and risk of susceptibility to sepsis.

Population Incidence and Mortality of Sepsis in an Urban African Setting, 2013-2016

BACKGROUND

Sepsis is an important cause of mortality globally, although population incidence estimates from low-income settings, including sub-Saharan Africa, are absent. We aimed to estimate sepsis incidence burden using routinely available data from a large urban hospital in Malawi.

METHODS

We linked routine-care databases at Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital, Blantyre, Malawi, to provide admission and discharge data for 217 149 adults from 2013-2016. Using a definition of sepsis based on systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria and Blantyre census population data, we calculated population incidence estimates of sepsis and severe sepsis and used negative binomial regression to assess for trends over time. Missing data were multiply imputed with chained equations.

RESULTS

We estimate that the incidence rate of emergency department-attending sepsis and severe sepsis in adults was 1772 per 100 000 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI], 1754-1789) and 303 per 100 000 person-years (95% CI, 295-310), respectively, between 2013 and 2016, with a year-on-year decrease in incidence. In-hospital mortality for patients admitted to the hospital with sepsis and severe sepsis was 23.7% (95% CI, 22.7-24.7%) and 28.1% (95% CI, 26.1 - 30.0%), respectively, with no clear change over time.

CONCLUSIONS

Sepsis incidence is higher in Blantyre, Malawi, than in high-income settings, from where the majority of sepsis incidence data are derived. Worldwide sepsis burden is likely to be underestimated, and data from low-income countries are needed to inform the public health response.

Clinical and microbiological characterization of sepsis and evaluation of sepsis scores

Background

Despite the necessity of early recognition for an optimal outcome, sepsis often remains unrecognized. Available tools for early recognition are rarely evaluated in low- and middle-income countries. In this study, we analyzed the spectrum, treatment and outcome of sepsis at an Ethiopian tertiary hospital and evaluated recommended sepsis scores.

Methods

Patients with an infection and ≥2 SIRS criteria were screened for sepsis by SOFA scoring. From septic patients, socioeconomic and clinical data as well as blood cultures were collected and they were followed until discharge or death; 28-day mortality was determined.

Results

In 170 patients with sepsis, the overall mortality rate was 29.4%. The recognition rate by treating physicians after initial clinical assessment was low (12.4%). Increased risk of mortality was significantly associated with level of SOFA and qSOFA score, Gram-negative bacteremia (in comparison to Gram-positive bacteremia; 42.9 versus 16.7%), and antimicrobial regimen including ceftriaxone (35.7% versus 19.2%) or metronidazole (43.8% versus 25.0%), but not with an increased respiratory rate (≥22/min) or decreased systolic blood pressure (≤100mmHg). In Gram-negative isolates, extended antimicrobial resistance with expression of extended-spectrum beta-lactamase and carbapenemase genes was common. Among adult patients, sensitivity and specificity of qSOFA score for detection of sepsis were 54.3% and 66.7%, respectively.

Conclusion

Sepsis is commonly unrecognized and associated with high mortality, showing the need for reliable and easy-applicable tools to support early recognition. The established sepsis scores were either of limited applicability (SOFA) or, as in the case of qSOFA, were significantly impaired in their sensitivity and specificity, demonstrating the need for further evaluation and adaptation to local settings. Regional factors like malaria endemicity and HIV prevalence might influence the performance of different scores. Ineffective empirical treatment due to antimicrobial resistance is common and associated with mortality. Local antimicrobial resistance statistics are needed for guidance of calculated antimicrobial therapy to support reduction of sepsis mortality.

Prevalence and outcome of sepsis and septic shock in intensive care units in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: A prospective observational study

Background

Sepsis and septic shock are the major causes of morbidity and mortality in Intensive care Units (ICUs) in low and middle-income countries. However, little is known about their prevalence and outcome in these settings. The study aimed to assess the prevalence and outcome of sepsis and septic shock in ICUs in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Methods

A prospective observational study was conducted from March 2017 to February 2018 in four selected ICUs in Addis Ababa from a total of twelve hospitals having ICU services. There were 1145 total ICU admissions during the study period. All admissions into those ICUs with sepsis, severe sepsis, and septic shock using the Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) criteria (SEPSIS-2) during the study period were screened for sepsis or septic shock based on the new sepsis definition (SEPSIS-3). All patients with sepsis and septic shock during ICU admission were included and followed for 28 days of ICU admission. Data analysis was done using the Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) software version 20.0.

Results

A total of 275 patients were diagnosed with sepsis and septic shock. The overall prevalence of sepsis and septic shock was 26.5 per 100 ICU admissions. The most frequent source of sepsis was respiratory infection (53.1%). The median length of stay in the ICUs was 5 (IQR, 2–8) days. The most common bacterium isolate was Pseudomonas aeroginosa (34.5%). The ICU and 28-day mortality rate was 41.8% and 50.9% respectively. Male sex, modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score ≥10 on day 1 of ICU admission, and comorbidity of HIV or malignancy were the independent predictors of 28-day mortality.

Conclusion

Sepsis and septic shock are common among our ICU admissions, and are associated with a high mortality rate.

Co-prevalent infections in adults with HIV-associated cryptococcal meningitis are associated with an increased risk of death: a nested analysis of the Advancing Cryptococcal meningitis Treatment for Africa (ACTA) cohort

Background: HIV-associated cryptococcal meningitis accounts for 15% of AIDS related deaths globally. In sub-Saharan Africa, acute mortality ranges from 24% to 100%. In addition to the mortality directly associated with cryptococcosis, patients with HIV-associated cryptococcal meningitis are at risk of a range of opportunistic infections (OIs) and hospital acquired nosocomial infections (HAIs). The attributable mortality associated with co-prevalent infections in cryptococcal meningitis has not been evaluated. Methods: As part of the Advancing Cryptococcal meningitis Treatment for Africa (ACTA) trial, consecutive HIV-positive adults with cryptococcal meningitis were randomised to one of five anti-fungal regimens and followed up until 10-weeks. We conducted a retrospective case note review of ACTA participants recruited from Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital in Blantyre, Malawi to describe the range and prevalence of OIs and HAIs diagnosed, and the attributable mortality associated with these infections. Results: We describe the prevalence of OIs and HAIs in 226 participants. Baseline median CD4 count was 29 cell/mm3, 57% (129/226) were on anti-retroviral therapy. 56% (127/226) had at least one co-prevalent infection during the 10-week study period. Data were collected for 187 co-prevalent infection episodes. Suspected blood stream infection was the commonest co-prevalent infection diagnosed (34/187, 18%), followed by community-acquired pneumonia (32/187, 17%), hospital-acquired pneumonia (13/187, 7%), pulmonary tuberculosis (12/187, 6%) and confirmed blood stream infections (10/187, 5%). All-cause mortality at 10-weeks was 35% (80/226), diagnosis of an OI or HAI increased the risk of death at 10 weeks by nearly 50% (HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.01-2.17, p=0.04). Conclusion: We demonstrate the high prevalence and broad range of OIs and HAIs occurring in patients with HIV-associated cryptococcal meningitis. These co-prevalent infections are associated with a significantly increased risk of death. Whether a protocolised approach to improve surveillance and proactive treatment of co-prevalent infections would improve cryptococcal meningitis outcomes warrants further investigation.

Kigali Surgical Sepsis (KiSS) Score: A New Tool to Predict Outcomes in Surgical Patients with Sepsis in Low- and Middle-Income Settings

BACKGROUND

Sepsis is common in surgical patients, and its presence influences the outcomes in those to undergo surgery. Factors such as advanced age, presence of comorbidities and many other conditions increase mortality in surgical patients with sepsis. The sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score simplified into qSOFA helps to define sepsis and to identify patients who are likely to die from it. Sepsis in surgery is under investigated in low- and middle-income countries and so are the factors for mortality in that specific surgical population. Our aim was to develop a prognostic tool accurate in predicting outcomes in surgical patients with sepsis who present at University Teaching Hospitals of Kigali (CHUK) and Butare (CHUB) and in other centers with limited resources METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study conducted over a period of 1 year from February 2018 to January 2019. The surgical patients with sepsis recruited in the first 6 months at CHUK served as the derivation cohort and those recruited in the next 6 months from both CHUK and CHUB served as the validation cohort. The Kigali surgical sepsis (KiSS) score was derived, and to determine its accuracy in predicting mortality, we measured sensitivity, specificity and area under receiver operator characteristic (AUROC) curve. We then compared this with qSOFA score.

RESULTS

A total of 288 patients were recruited with 144 in each cohort. The mean age was 36.5, and median age was 32.6. The mean length of hospital stay (LoHS) was 22.9 days. The overall intensive care unit (ICU) admission rate was 51.4%, and the surgical sepsis-related hospital mortality rate was 21.7%. Factors associated with surgical sepsis-related hospital mortality were age above 55 years (p = 0.034), presence of comorbidities (p = 0.069), hypotension (p = 0.014), tachycardia (p = 0.061), tachypnea (p = 0.028), decreased level of consciousness (p = 0.021), presence of GIT perforation (p = 0.026) and number of impaired organ function (p = 0.035). A predictive score (KiSS score) consisting of six parameters was derived from these factors and compared to qSOFA score. The sensitivity of KiSS score in predicting mortality was 73% (vs 52% for qSOFA), and the specificity was 97% (vs 87% for qSOFA). The predictive validity for hospital mortality was assessed by AUROC curve, and it was 0.939 (95% CI, p < 0.001) for KiSS and 0.684 (95% CI, p < 0.001) for qSOFA.

CONCLUSION

The KiSS score was effective in predicting surgical sepsis-related hospital mortality in low-resource setting. The KiSS score showed an added advantage of stratifying septic surgical patients to be operated on into those with good, variable and poor prognosis.

The Prevalence and Outcomes of Sepsis in Adult Patients in Two Hospitals in Malawi

There are an estimated 19.4 million sepsis cases every year, many of them in low-income countries. The newly adopted definition of sepsis uses Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score (SOFA), a score which is not feasible in many low-resource settings. A simpler quick-SOFA (qSOFA) based solely on vital signs score has been devised for identification of suspected sepsis. This study aimed to determine in-hospital prevalence and outcomes of sepsis, as defined as suspected infection and a qSOFA score of 2 or more, in two hospitals in Malawi. The secondary aim was to evaluate qSOFA as a predictor of mortality. A cross-sectional study of adult in-patients in two hospitals in Malawi was conducted using prospectively collected single-day point-prevalence data and in-hospital follow-up. Of 1,135 participants, 81 (7.1%) had sepsis. Septic patients had a higher hospital mortality rate (17.5%) than non-septic infected patients (9.0%, p = 0.027, odds ratio 2.1 [1.1-4.3]), although the difference was not statistically significant after adjustment for baseline characteristics. For in-hospital mortality among patients with suspected infection, qSOFA ≥ 2 had a sensitivity of 31.8%, specificity of 82.1%, a positive predictive value of 17.5%, and a negative predictive value of 91.0%. In conclusion, sepsis is common and is associated with a high risk of death in admitted patients in hospitals in Malawi. In low-resource settings, qSOFA score that uses commonly available vital signs data may be a tool that could be used for identifying patients at risk-both for those with and without a suspected infection.

Excess mortality risk from sepsis in patients with HIV - A meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Differences in HIV prevalence, access to antiretrovirals and ICU resources may result in wide variation in sepsis mortality in HIV patients. The aim of this study was to perform a meta-analysis to quantify the excess risk of sepsis mortality in HIV patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A systematic review was performed using three databases. The systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria was used for the presumptive diagnosis of sepsis. We only included studies that stratified sepsis mortality by HIV serostatus. A meta-analysis was performed using random effects models, with subgroup analyses performed using country income, sepsis severity, and time periods.

RESULTS

17 studies were included, containing 82,905 patients. Sepsis mortality was found to be 28% higher in the HIV positive patients (95% CI 1.13-1.46, p < .01). Relative risk of mortality was higher in patients treated in low-income countries (RR 1.43 in low-income vs. 1.29 in high-income countries). Mortality was more pronounced in HIV patients with severe sepsis (RR 1.32 in severe sepsis vs. RR 1.15 in sepsis).

CONCLUSIONS

HIV increases the risk of sepsis mortality compared to seronegative individuals across all time periods and geographic areas. We note that this effect is more pronounced in patients with organ dysfunction.

Presentation and outcome of suspected sepsis in a high-HIV burden, high antiretroviral coverage setting

Objective:

To define sepsis syndromes in high-HIV burden settings in the antiretroviral therapy (ART) era. Methods: We characterized a prospective cohort of adults presenting to a tertiary emergency department in Harare, Zimbabwe with suspected community-acquired sepsis using blood and urine cultures, urine tuberculosis lipoarabinomannan (TB LAM), and serum cryptococcal antigen (CrAg) testing. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality.

Results:

Of 142 patients enrolled 68% (n = 96/142, 95% confidence interval (CI) [60–75%]) were HIV-positive, 41% (n = 39/96, 95% CI [31–50%]) of whom were ART-naïve. Among HIV-positive patients, both opportunistic pathogens (TB LAM-positivity, 36%, 95% CI [24–48%]; CrAg-positivity, 15%, 95% CI [7–23%]) and severe non-AIDS infections (S. pneumoniae urine antigen-positivity 12%, 95% CI [4–20%]; bacteraemia 17% (n = 16/96, 95% CI [9–24%]), of which 56% (n = 9/16, 95% CI [30–80%]) were gram-negative organisms) were common. Klebsiella pneumoniae recovered from blood and urine was uniformly resistant to ceftriaxone, as were most Escherichia coli isolates. Acknowledging the power limitations of our study, we conclude that relative to HIV-negative patients, HIV-positive patients had modestly higher 30-day mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.88, 95% CI [0.78–4.55]; p = 0.16, and 3.59, 95% CI [1.27–10.16], p = 0.02) among those with and without viral suppression, respectively.

Conclusion:

Rapid point-of-care assays provide substantial clinically actionable information in the setting of suspected sepsis, even in areas with high ART coverage. Antimicrobial resistance to first-line antibiotics in high burden settings is a growing threat.

Aetiology and outcomes of sepsis in adults in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Aetiology and outcomes of sepsis in sub-Saharan Africa (sSA) are poorly described; we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to summarise the available data.

Methods

Systematic searches of PubMed and Scopus were undertaken to identify prospective studies recruiting adults (> 13 years) with community-acquired sepsis in sSA post-2000. Random effects meta-analysis of in-hospital and 30-day mortality was undertaken and available aetiology data also summarised by random effects meta-analysis.

Results

Fifteen studies of 2800 participants were identified. Inclusion criteria were heterogeneous. The majority of patients were HIV-infected, and Mycobacterium tuberculosis was the most common cause of blood stream infection where sought. Pooled in-hospital mortality for Sepsis-2-defined sepsis and severe sepsis was 19% (95% CI 12–29%) and 39% (95% CI 30–47%) respectively, and sepsis mortality was associated with the proportion of HIV-infected participants. Mortality and morbidity data beyond 30 days were absent.

Conclusions

Sepsis in sSA is dominated by HIV and tuberculosis, with poor outcomes. Optimal antimicrobial strategies, including the role of tuberculosis treatment, are unclear. Long-term outcome data are lacking. Standardised sepsis diagnostic criteria that are easily applied in low-resource settings are needed to establish an evidence base for sepsis management in sSA.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13054-019-2501-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

ChloS-HRM, a novel assay to identify chloramphenicol-susceptible Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae in Malawi

OBJECTIVES

Chloramphenicol is a broad-spectrum antimicrobial widely available in sub-Saharan Africa. With susceptibility re-emerging among Enterobacteriaceae in Blantyre, Malawi, we designed and evaluated a new high-resolution melt (HRM) RT-PCR assay, ChloS-HRM, to identify chloramphenicol-susceptible infections in a hospital setting.

METHODS

Seventy-two previously whole-genome sequenced isolates of Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae from the Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital, Malawi, were subjected to determination of chloramphenicol MICs. Primers were designed to detect 18 chloramphenicol resistance genes that produce seven distinct peaks correlating with different gene groups (catA1, catA2, catA3, catB2, catB group 3, cmlA and floR) following HRM analysis. ChloS-HRM results were compared with MIC and WGS results.

RESULTS

ChloS-HRM correctly identified 15 of 17 phenotypically susceptible isolates and 54 of 55 resistant isolates, giving an accuracy of 88% in identifying susceptibility and 98% in identifying resistance. WGS identified 16 of 17 susceptible and 54 of 55 resistant isolates, giving an accuracy of 94% in identifying susceptibility and 98% in identifying resistance. The single false-susceptible result had no detectable gene by ChloS-HRM or WGS. Compared with WGS, ChloS-HRM had 100% sensitivity and specificity for catA (catA1-3), cmlA and floR, and 96% specificity for catB; sensitivity could not be estimated due to the lack of catB in the clinical sample collection. The overall agreement between MIC and HRM was 96% and between MIC and WGS it was 97%.

CONCLUSIONS

ChloS-HRM could support antimicrobial stewardship in enabling de-escalation from third-generation cephalosporins by identifying chloramphenicol-susceptible infections. This would be valuable in areas with chloramphenicol-susceptible MDR and XDR Enterobacteriaceae.

Validating a novel index (SWAT-Bp) to predict mortality risk of community-acquired pneumonia in Malawi

BACKGROUND

Community-acquired pneumonia is a major cause of mortality worldwide. Early assessment and initiation of management improves outcomes. In higher-income countries, scores assist in predicting mortality from pneumonia. These have not been validated for use in most lower-income countries.

AIM

To validate a new score, the SWAT-Bp score, in predicting mortality risk of clinical community-acquired pneumonia amongst hospital admissions at Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital, Blantyre, Malawi.

METHODS

The five variables constituting the SWAT-Bp score (male [S]ex, muscle [W]asting, non-[A]mbulatory, [T]emperature (>38°C or <35°C) and [B]lood [p]ressure (systolic<100 and/or diastolic<60)) were recorded for all patients with clinical presentation of a lower respiratory tract infection, presumed to be pneumonia, over four months (N=216). The sensitivity and specificity of the score were calculated to determine accuracy of predicting mortality risk.

RESULTS

Median age was 35 years, HIV prevalence was 84.2% amongst known statuses, and mortality rate was 12.5%. Mortality for scores 0-5 was 0%, 8.5%, 12.7%, 19.0%, 28.6%, 100% respectively. Patients were stratified into three mortality risk groups dependent on their score. SWAT-Bp had moderate discriminatory power overall (AUROC 0.744). A SWAT-Bp score of ≥2 was 82% sensitive and 51% specific for predicting mortality, thereby assisting in identifying individuals with a lower mortality risk.

CONCLUSION

In this validation cohort, the SWAT-Bp score has not performed as well as in the derivation cohort. However, it could potentially assist clinicians identifying low-risk patients, enabling rapid prioritisation of treatment in a low-resource setting, as it helps contribute towards individual patient risk stratification.

Patient reported symptoms, body temperature and hospital mortality: an observational study in a low resource healthcare environment

BACKGROUND

Fever is a common presenting complaint of patients, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. Although most medical authorities consider fever to be synonymous with an elevated body temperature the relationship of the complaint of fever made by patients to temperature has not been well defined.

AIM

This study examined the relationship of the complaint of fever to temperature on and after admission and in-hospital mortality.

METHOD

Observational study in a low-resource Ugandan mission hospital.

RESULTS

Out of 2122 alert patients admitted between 9 August 2016 and 5 January 2018, 349 (16.4%) complained of fever: these patients were no more likely to have an abnormal temperature or die in-hospital than those not complaining of fever. Of the 707 alert patients admitted after 1 July 2017, 422 were interviewed in detail about their symptoms: only rigors, feeling intermittently hot and cold, and anorexia were statistically related to the complaint of fever, and only rigors to an admission temperature >38°C. No symptom or sign was associated with a temperature ≤36°C: cold and clammy skin was the only finding associated with in-hospital death. On logistic regression the only independent predictors of mortality were: the National Early Warning Score, impaired mobility on presentation and cold and clammy skin.

CONCLUSION

In this study, the term fever used by patients and raised body temperature were not synonymous. Although fever and related symptoms reported by patients are common presenting complaints only the finding of cold and clammy skin was associated with in-hospital mortality.

The management of intra-abdominal infections from a global perspective: 2017 WSES guidelines for management of intra-abdominal infections

Intra-abdominal infections (IAIs) are common surgical emergencies and have been reported as major contributors to non-trauma deaths in the emergency departments worldwide. The cornerstones of effective treatment of IAIs are early recognition, adequate source control, and appropriate antimicrobial therapy. Prompt resuscitation of patients with ongoing sepsis is of utmost important. In hospitals worldwide, non-acceptance of, or lack of access to, accessible evidence-based practices and guidelines result in overall poorer outcome of patients suffering IAIs. The aim of this paper is to promote global standards of care in IAIs and update the 2013 WSES guidelines for management of intra-abdominal infections.

Presentation, management, and outcomes of sepsis in adults and children admitted to a rural Ugandan hospital: A prospective observational cohort study

Objectives

Limited data are available on sepsis in low-resource settings, particularly outside of urban referral centers. We conducted a prospective observational single-center cohort study in May 2013 to assess the presentation, management and outcomes of adult and pediatric patients admitted with sepsis to a community hospital in rural Uganda.

Methods

We consecutively screened all patients admitted to medical wards who met sepsis criteria. We evaluated eligible patients within 24 hours of presentation and 24–48 hours after admission, and followed them until hospital discharge. In addition to chart review, mental status evaluation, peripheral capillary oxygen saturation, and point-of-care venous whole blood lactate and glucose testing were performed.

Results

Of 56 eligible patients, we analyzed data on 51 (20 adults and 31 children). Median age was 8 years (IQR 2–23 years). Sepsis accounted for a quarter of all adult and pediatric medical ward admissions during the study period. HIV prevalence among adults was 30%. On enrollment, over half of patients had elevated point-of-care whole blood lactate, few were hypoglycemic or had altered mental status, and one third were hypoxic. Over 80% of patients received at least one antibiotic, all severely hypoxic patients received supplemental oxygen, and half of patients with elevated lactate received fluid resuscitation. The most common causes of sepsis were malaria and pneumonia. In-hospital mortality was 3.9%.

Conclusions

This study highlights the importance of sepsis among adult and pediatric patients admitted to a rural Ugandan hospital and underscores the need for continued research on sepsis in low resource settings.

A Systematic Review of the Incidence, Risk Factors and Case Fatality Rates of Invasive Nontyphoidal Salmonella (iNTS) Disease in Africa (1966 to 2014)

This study systematically reviews the literature on the occurrence, incidence and case fatality rate (CFR) of invasive nontyphoidal Salmonella (iNTS) disease in Africa from 1966 to 2014. Data on the burden of iNTS disease in Africa are sparse and generally have not been aggregated, making it difficult to describe the epidemiology that is needed to inform the development and implementation of effective prevention and control policies. This study involved a comprehensive search of PubMed and Embase databases. It documents the geographical spread of iNTS disease over time in Africa, and describes its reported incidence, risk factors and CFR. We found that Nontyphoidal Salmonella (NTS) have been reported as a cause of bacteraemia in 33 out of 54 African countries, spanning the five geographical regions of Africa, and especially in sub-Saharan Africa since 1966. Our review indicates that NTS have been responsible for up to 39% of community acquired blood stream infections in sub-Saharan Africa with an average CFR of 19%. Salmonella Typhimurium and Enteritidis are the major serovars implicated and together have been responsible for 91%% of the cases of iNTS disease, (where serotype was determined), reported in Africa. The study confirms that iNTS disease is more prevalent amongst Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV)-infected individuals, infants, and young children with malaria, anaemia and malnutrition. In conclusion, iNTS disease is a substantial cause of community-acquired bacteraemia in Africa. Given the high morbidity and mortality of iNTS disease in Africa, it is important to develop effective prevention and control strategies including vaccination.