Maternal race/ethnicity and survival experience of children with congenital heart disease

Years of Potential Life Lost for Children and Adults With Congenital Heart Defects: United States, 2007 to 2017

BACKGROUND

Although most children with congenital heart defects (CHDs) live into adulthood, many have increased mortality risk across the lifespan. Little is known about years lost due to premature CHD-related deaths. We estimated the years of potential life lost (YPLL) among individuals with CHDs in the United States.

METHODS

We used 2007 to 2017 death records from the US National Center for Health Statistics to identify decedents with a CHD listed as the underlying or contributing cause of death. We calculated the average percent change in YPLL and the total, mean, crude, and age-standardized YPLL overall, by sex, race and ethnicity, and age group.

RESULTS

Of 28.35 million deaths, 42 158 were CHD-related. The premature deaths attributed to CHD for individuals younger than 65 years was almost 2.1 million years; of those 169 756 and 124 067 years were lost prematurely for children and adolescents, respectively. Men and women with CHDs had 1.13 million and 941 115 years lost prematurely, respectively. Non-Hispanic Black individuals and men had the highest age-standardized YPLL (per 100 000) (95.5 [95% CI, 93.2-97.7] and 74.1 [95% CI, 73.0-75.1]). The overall mean YPLL was 70 years (per 100 000) and non-Hispanic Black men and women had the highest mean YPLL. During 2007 to 2017, the YPLL average percent change declined by 17.8% overall, but the YPLL for non-Hispanic Black individuals aged 1 to 4 years (-31.6%) and 35 to 49 years (-24.3%) had the greatest decline.

CONCLUSIONS

Children with CHDs experience significant premature deaths. Non-Hispanic Black and male individuals experienced the highest burden of premature deaths associated with CHDs. Further research is needed to elucidate these disparities.

Racial and Educational Isolation are Associated with Worse Outcomes in Congenital Heart Disease

Sociodemographic factors influence outcomes in children with congenital heart disease (CHD). We predict an association between measures of social isolation and outcomes in infants with complex CHD. These measures, racial (RI) and educational (EI) isolation range from 0 to 1, with 0 being no isolation and 1 being fully isolated within a specific population. We identified patients less than 1 year old undergoing CHD surgery in North Carolina from 2008 to 2013. We used negative binomial and logistic regression models to assess the case-mix adjusted associations between RI and EI and length of stay, complications, mortality, and resource utilization. We quantified the association of race with these indices and outcomes. We included 1217 infants undergoing CHD surgery. Black infants had increased LOS (p < 0.001), other complications (p = 0.03), and death (p = 0.02). RI up to 0.3 was associated with decreased outpatient encounters (p < 0.001). RI was associated with increased inpatient encounters RI up to 0.3 (p < 0.001) but decreased for RI beyond 0.3 (p = 0.01). There was an association with increased risk of one or more emergency department visits (p = 0.001) at higher levels of EI. Race and RI showed a cumulative effect with children with Black race and greater than median RI having increased LOS (p < 0.001) and fewer outpatient encounters (p = 0.02). RI, EI, and Black race are associated with poorer outcomes. Children with Black race and greater than median levels of RI are at the highest risk of poor outcomes. These differences may be caused by differential access to resources or community support.

Health Disparities in Exercise Performance in Patients with Repaired Tetralogy of Fallot

Black patients with tetralogy of Fallot (TOF) have higher mortality than White patients. Health disparities related to other patient-important outcomes, such as exercise performance, have not been studied in this population. We aimed to determine if there are racial disparities related to exercise performance in patients with TOF and to investigate possible mediators of those disparities. We conducted a retrospective single center study of patients aged 8-25 years with repaired TOF who completed maximal cardiorespiratory exercise tests between 2007 and 2020. The primary outcome was percent predicted oxygen consumption at peak exercise. We used linear regression to determine if race was associated with exercise performance. We used mediation analysis to investigate insurance coverage and neighborhood Child Opportunity Index as possible mediators of this relationship. The study cohort included 163 patients with TOF (136 non-Hispanic/Latinx White and 27 non-Hispanic/Latinx Black). In multivariable analysis, Black patients had a lower percent predicted peak oxygen consumption than White patients by 6.71 percentage points (95% CI - 12.71, - 0.70; p = 0.029). Mediation analysis revealed that the indirect effect of race through insurance coverage accounted for 34.1% of the decrease in exercise performance. Child Opportunity Index was not a statistically significant mediator. Black patients with TOF had worse exercise performance than White patients. Differences in insurance coverage accounted for a significant portion of this difference. Exercise performance is an important outcome for patients with TOF, and further investigation is needed to better understand this disparity and develop interventions to address it.

Racial and Educational Isolation are Associated with Worse Outcomes in Congenital Heart Disease

Background

Sociodemographic factors influence outcomes in children with congenital heart disease (CHD). We predict an association between measures of social isolation and outcomes in infants with complex CHD. These measures, racial (RI) and educational (EI) isolation range from 0 to 1, with 0 being no isolation and 1 being fully isolated within a specific population.

Methods

We identified patients less than 1-year-old undergoing CHD surgery in North Carolina from 2008-2013. We used negative binomial and logistic regression models to assess the case-mix adjusted associations between RI and EI and length of stay, complications, mortality, and resource utilization. We quantified the association of race with these indices and outcomes.

Results

We included 1,217 infants undergoing CHD surgery. Black infants had increased LOS (p < 0.001), other complications (p = 0.03), and death (p = 0.02). RI up to 0.3 was associated with decreased outpatient encounters (p < 0.001). RI was associated with increased inpatient encounters RI up to 0.3 (p < 0.001) but decreased for RI beyond 0.3 (p = 0.01). There was an association with increased risk of one or more emergency department visits (p = 0.001) at higher levels EI. Race and RI showed a cumulative effect with children with Black race and greater than median RI having increased LOS (p < 0.001) and fewer outpatient encounters (p = 0.02).

Conclusions

RI, EI, and Black race are associated with poorer outcomes. Children with Black race and greater than median levels of RI are at the highest risk of poor outcomes. These differences may be caused by differential access to resources or community support.

Temporal Trends of Infant Mortality Secondary to Congenital Heart Disease: National CDC Cohort Analysis (1999-2020)

BACKGROUND

Infant mortality continues to be a significant problem for patients with congenital heart disease (CHD). Limited data exist on the recent trends of mortality in infants with CHD.

METHODS

The CDC WONDER (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research) was queried to identify deaths occurring within the United States with CHD listed as one of the causes of death between 1999 and 2020. Subsequently, trends were calculated using the Joinpoint regression program (version 4.9.1.0; National Cancer Institute).

RESULTS

A total of 47,015 deaths occurred in infants due to CHD at the national level from the year 1999 to 2020. The overall proportional infant mortality (compared to all deaths) declined (47.3% to 37.1%, average annual percent change [AAPC]: -1.1 [95% CI -1.6 to -0.6, p < 0.001]). There was a significant decline in proportional mortality in both Black (45.3% to 34.3%, AAPC: -0.5 [-0.8 to -0.2, p = 0.002]) and White patients (55.6% to 48.6%, AAPC: -1.2 [-1.7 to -0.7, p = 0.001]), with a steeper decline among White than Black patients. A statistically significant decline in the proportional infant mortality in both non-Hispanic (43.3% to 33.0%, AAPC: -1.3% [95% CI -1.9 to -0.7, p < 0.001]) and Hispanic (67.6% to 57.7%, AAPC: -0.7 [95% CI -0.9 to -0.4, p < 0.001]) patients was observed, with a steeper decline among non-Hispanic infant population. The proportional infant mortality decreased in males (47.5% to 53.1%, AAPC: -1.4% [-1.9 to -0.9, p < 0.001]) and females (47.1% to 39.6%, AAPC: -0.9 [-1.9 to 0.0, p = 0.05]). A steady decline in for both females and males was noted.

CONCLUSION

Our study showed a significant decrease in CHD-related mortality rate in infants and age-adjusted mortality rate (AAMR) between 1999 and 2020. However, sex-based, racial/ethnic disparities were noted, with female, Black, and Hispanic patients showing a lesser decline than male, White, and non-Hispanic patients.

Survival of Children With Critical Congenital Heart Defects in the National Birth Defects Prevention Study

BACKGROUND

Critical congenital heart defects (CCHDs) are associated with considerable morbidity and mortality. This study estimated survival of children with nonsyndromic CCHDs and evaluated relationships between exposures of interest and survival by CCHD severity (univentricular or biventricular function).

METHODS

This analysis included 4380 infants with CCHDs (cases) born during 1999-2011 and enrolled in the National Birth Defects Prevention Study, a multisite, population-based case-control study of major birth defects. Cases were linked to state death files. Nonparametric Kaplan-Meier survival functions were used to estimate 1- and 5-year survival probabilities overall and by severity group (univentricular/biventricular) stratified by demographic and clinical exposure variables of interest. The log-rank test was used to determine whether stratified survival curves were equivalent. Survival and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were also estimated using Cox proportional hazards modeling adjusted for maternal age, education, race/ethnicity, study site, and birth year.

RESULTS

One- and five-year survival rates were 85.8% (CI 84.7-86.8) and 83.7% (CI 82.5-84.9), respectively. Univentricular 5-year survival was lower than biventricular case survival [65.3% (CI 61.7-68.5) vs. 89.0% (CI 87.8-90.1; p < 0.001)]. Clinical factors (e.g. preterm birth, low birthweight, and complex/multiple defects) were associated with lower survival in each severity group. Sociodemographic factors (non-Hispanic Black race/ethnicity,

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality among children with CCHDs occurred primarily in the first year of life. Survival was lower for those with univentricular defects, and social determinants of health were most important in predicting survival for those with biventricular defects.

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Key Words

• CCHD severity
• National Birth Defects Prevention Study
• critical congenital heart defects
• early childhood mortality
• survival analysis

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MESH Headings

• Humans
• Heart Defects, Congenital/mortality
• Female
• Male
• Case-Control Studies
• Infant
• Infant, Newborn
• Proportional Hazards Models
• Child, Preschool
• Kaplan-Meier Estimate
• United States
• Survival Rate
• Risk Factors
• Child

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Grants

• U01 DD001036 NCBDD CDC HHS
• U01 DD001227 NCBDD CDC HHS
• CC999999 Intramural CDC HHS
• CDC HHS
• P30 CA086862 NCI NIH HHS
• U01 DD001304 NCBDD CDC HHS

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Affiliation(s)

Nina E. Forestieri Birth Defects Monitoring Program, State Center for Health Statistics, Division of Public Health, North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services, Raleigh, North Carolina, USA
Andrew F. Olshan Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
Matthew E. Oster Division of Pediatric Cardiology, Children’s Healthcare of Atlanta; and School of Medicine, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
Elizabeth C. Ailes Division of Birth Defects and Infant Disorders, National Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
Michael P. Fundora Division of Pediatric Cardiology, Children’s Healthcare of Atlanta; and School of Medicine, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Division of Birth Defects and Infant Disorders, National Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
Sarah C. Fisher Birth Defects Registry, New York State Department of Health, Albany, New York, USA
Charles Shumate Birth Defects Epidemiology and Surveillance Branch, Texas Department of State Health Services, Austin, Texas, USA
Paul A. Romitti Department of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa, USA
Rebecca F. Liberman Massachussets Center for Birth Defects Research and Prevention, Massachusetts Department of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Wendy N. Nembhard Department of Epidemiology, College of Public Health; and Department of Pediatrics, College of Medicine, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Arkansas, USA
Suzan L. Carmichael Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA
Tania A. Desrosiers Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
The National Birth Defects Prevention Study

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Collaborators Collapse

The Association of Race and Ethnicity with Mortality in Pediatric Patients with Congenital Heart Disease: a Systematic Review

CONTEXT

Congenital heart disease (CHD) is a common condition with high morbidity and mortality and is subject to racial and ethnic health disparities.

OBJECTIVE

To conduct a systematic review of the literature to identify differences in mortality in pediatric patients with CHD based on race and ethnicity.

DATA SOURCES

Legacy PubMed (MEDLINE), Embase (Elsevier), and Scopus (Elsevier) STUDY SELECTION: English language articles conducted in the USA focused on mortality based on race and ethnicity in pediatric patients with CHD.

DATA EXTRACTION

Two independent reviewers assessed studies for inclusion and performed data extraction and quality assessment. Data extraction included mortality based on patient race and ethnicity.

RESULTS

There were 5094 articles identified. After de-duplication, 2971 were screened for title and abstract content, and 45 were selected for full-text assessment. Thirty studies were included for data extraction. An additional 8 articles were identified on reference review and included in data extraction for a total of 38 included studies. Eighteen of 26 studies showed increased risk of mortality in non-Hispanic Black patients. Results were heterogenous in Hispanic patients with eleven studies of 24 showing an increased risk of mortality. Results for other races demonstrated mixed outcomes.

LIMITATIONS

Study cohorts and definitions of race and ethnicity were heterogenous, and there was some overlap in national datasets used.

CONCLUSION

Overall, racial and ethnic disparities existed in the mortality of pediatric patients with CHD across a variety of mortality types, CHD lesions, and pediatric age ranges. Children of races and ethnicities other than non-Hispanic White generally had increased risk of mortality, with non-Hispanic Black children most consistently having the highest risk of mortality. Further investigation is needed into the underlying mechanisms of these disparities so interventions to reduce inequities in CHD outcomes can be implemented.

Addressing Disparities in Pediatric Congenital Heart Disease: A Call for Equitable Health Care

While significant progress has been made in reducing disparities within the US health care system, notable gaps remain. This article explores existing disparities within pediatric congenital heart disease care. Congenital heart disease, the most common birth defect and a leading cause of infant death, has garnered substantial attention, revealing certain disparities within the US health care system. Factors such as race, ethnicity, insurance coverage, socioeconomic status, and geographic location are all commonalities that significantly affect health disparities in pediatric congenital heart disease. This comprehensive review sheds light on disparities from diverse perspectives in pediatric care, demonstrates the inequities and inequalities leading to these disparities, presents effective solutions, and issues a call to action for providers, institutions, and the health care system. Recognizing and addressing these disparities is imperative for ensuring equitable care and enhancing the long-term well-being of children affected by congenital heart disease. Implementing robust, evidence-based frameworks that promote responsible and safe interventions is fundamental to enduring change.

Inequitable access: factors associated with incomplete referrals to paediatric cardiology

OBJECTIVE

To assess the variables associated with incomplete and unscheduled cardiology clinic visits among referred children with a focus on equity gaps.

STUDY DESIGN

We conducted a retrospective chart review for patients less than 18 years of age who were referred to cardiology clinics at a single quaternary referral centre from 2017 to 2019. We collected patient demographic data including race, an index of neighbourhood socio-economic deprivation linked to a patient's geocoded address, referral information, and cardiology clinic information. The primary outcome was an incomplete clinic visit. The secondary outcome was an unscheduled appointment. Independent associations were identified using multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

There were 10,610 new referrals; 6954 (66%) completed new cardiology clinic visits. Black race (OR 1.41; 95% CI 1.22-1.63), public insurance (OR 1.29; 95% CI 1.14-1.46), and a higher deprivation index (OR 1.32; 95% CI 1.08-1.61) were associated with higher odds of incomplete visit compared to the respective reference groups of White race, private insurance, and a lower deprivation index. The findings for unscheduled visit were similar. A shorter time elapsed from the initial referral to when the appointment was made was associated with lower odds of incomplete visit (OR 0.62; 95% CI 0.52-0.74).

CONCLUSION

Race, insurance type, neighbourhood deprivation, and time from referral date to appointment made were each associated with incomplete referrals to paediatric cardiology. Interventions directed to understand such associations and respond accordingly could help to equitably improve referral completion.

Risk factors for mortality in infancy and childhood in children with major congenital anomalies: A European population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Preterm birth and young maternal age are known risk factors for infant and childhood mortality. There is limited knowledge of the impact of these risk factors in children born with major congenital anomalies (CAs), who have inherently higher risks of death compared with other children.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the risk factors for mortality up to age 10 years in children born with specific major CAs.

METHODS

This population-based cohort study involved 150,198 livebirths from 1995 to 2014 in 13 European CA registries linked to mortality data. Cox proportional hazards models estimated the association of gestational age, maternal age and child's sex with death <1 year and 1-9 years for the whole cohort and by CA subgroup. Hazard ratios (HR) from each registry were pooled using multivariate meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Preterm birth had a dose-response association with mortality; compared with infants born at 37+ weeks gestation, those born at <28, 28-31 and 32-36 weeks had 14.88 (95% CI 12.57, 17.62), 8.39 (95% CI 7.16, 9.85) and 3.88 (95% CI 3.40, 4.43) times higher risk of death <1 year, respectively. The corresponding risks at 1-9 years were 4.99 (95% CI 2.94, 8.48), 3.09 (95% CI 2.28, 4.18) and 2.04 (95% CI 1.69, 2.46) times higher, respectively. Maternal age <20 years (versus 20-34 years) was a risk factor for death <1 year (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.09, 1.54) and 1-9 years (HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.19, 2.10). Females had 1.22 (95% CI 1.07, 1.39) times higher risk of death between 1 and 9 years than males.

CONCLUSION

Preterm birth was associated with considerably higher infant and childhood mortality in children with CAs, comparable to estimates reported elsewhere for the background population. Additional risk factors included young maternal age and female sex. Information on risk factors could benefit clinical care and guide counselling of parents following CA diagnoses.

Health Disparities in the Treatment of Supraventricular Tachycardia in Pediatric Patients

Supraventricular tachycardia (SVT) is a common pediatric arrhythmia. The objective of this investigation was to investigate the existence and degree of the health disparities in the treatment of pediatric patients with supraventricular tachycardia based on sociodemographic factors. This was retrospective cohort study at a large academic medical center including children ages 5-18 years old diagnosed with SVT. Patients with congenital heart disease and myocarditis were excluded. Initial treatment and ultimate treatment with either medical management or ablation were determined. The odds of having an ablation procedure were determined based on patient age, sex, race, ethnicity, and insurance status. There was a larger portion of non-White patients (p = 0.033) within the cohort that did not receive an ablation during the study period. Patients that were younger, female, American Indian/Alaskan Native, unknown race, and had missing insurance information were less likely to receive ablation therapy during the study period. In this single center, regional evaluation, we demonstrated that disparities in the treatment of pediatric SVT are present based on multiple patient sociodemographic factors. This study adds evidence to the presence of inequities in health care delivery across pediatric populations.

Disparities in Loss to Follow-Up Among Adults With Congenital Heart Disease in North Carolina

Background

The AHA/ACC Adult Congenital Heart Disease guidelines recommend that most adults with congenital heart disease (CHD) follow-up with CHD cardiologists every 1 to 2 years because longer gaps in care are associated with adverse outcomes. This study aimed to determine the proportion of patients in North Carolina who did not have recommended follow-up and to explore predictors of loss to follow-up.

Methods

Patients ages ≥18 years with a healthcare encounter from 2008 to 2013 in a statewide North Carolina database with an ICD-9 code for CHD were assessed. The proportion with cardiology follow-up within 24 months following index encounter was assessed with Kaplan-Meier estimates. Cox regression was utilized to identify demographic factors associated with differences in follow-up.

Results

2822 patients were identified. Median age was 35 years; 55% were female. 70% were white, 22% black, and 3% Hispanic; 36% had severe CHD. The proportion with 2-year cardiology follow-up was 61%. Those with severe CHD were more likely to have timely follow-up than those with less severe CHD (72% vs 55%, P < .01). Black patients had a lower likelihood of follow-up than white patients (56% vs 64%, P = .01). Multivariable Cox regression identified younger age, non-severe CHD, and non-white race as risk factors for a lower likelihood of follow-up by 2 years.

Conclusion

39% of adults with CHD in North Carolina are not meeting AHA/ACC recommendations for follow-up. Younger and minority patients and those with non-severe CHD were particularly vulnerable to inadequate follow-up; targeted efforts to retain these patients in care may be helpful.

Evaluation of Fontan-associated Liver Disease and Ethnic Disparities in Long-term Survivors of the Fontan Procedure: A Population-based Study

OBJECTIVES

Fontan-associated liver disease (FALD) has emerged as a nearly universal chronic comorbidity in patients with univentricular congenital heart disease who undergo the Fontan procedure. There is a paucity of data reporting long-term outcomes and the impact of FALD in this population.

METHODS

Patients who underwent the Fontan procedure between 1992 and 2018 were identified using California registry data. Presumed FALD was assessed by a composite of liver disease codes. Primary outcomes were mortality and transplant. Multivariable regression and survival analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Among 1436 patients post-Fontan, 75.9% studied were adults, with a median follow-up of 12.6 (8.4, 17.3) years. The population was 46.3% Hispanic. Overall survival at 20 years was >80%, but Hispanic patients had higher mortality risk compared with White patients [hazard ratio: 1.49 (1.09-2.03), P =0.012]. Only 225 patients (15.7%) had presumed FALD, although >54% of patients had liver disease by age 25. FALD was associated with later deaths [median: 9.6 (6.4-13.2) years post-Fontan] compared with patients who died without liver disease [4.1 (1.4-10.4) years, P =0.02]. Patients with FALD who underwent combined heart liver transplant had 100% survival at 5 years, compared with only 70.7% of patients who underwent heart transplant alone.

CONCLUSIONS

In this population-based analysis of long-term outcomes post-Fontan, Hispanic ethnicity was associated with increased all-cause mortality. Further, the prevalence of FALD is underrecognized, but our data confirms that its incidence increases with age. FALD is associated with late mortality but excellent posttransplant survival. This emphasizes the need for FALD-specific liver surveillance strategies in patients post-Fontan.

Social Determinants of Disparities in Mortality Outcomes in Congenital Heart Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background

Social determinants of health (SDoH) affect congenital heart disease (CHD) mortality across all forms and age groups. We sought to evaluate risk of mortality from specific SDoH stratified across CHD to guide interventions to alleviate this risk.

Methods

We searched electronic databases between January 1980 and June 2019 and included studies that evaluated occurrence of CHD deaths and SDoH in English articles. Meta-analysis was performed if SDoH data were available in &gt;3 studies. We included race/ethnicity, deprivation, insurance status, maternal age, maternal education, single/multiple pregnancy, hospital volume, and geographic location of patients as SDoH. Data were pooled using random-effects model and outcome was reported as odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI).

Results

Of 17,716 citations reviewed, 65 met inclusion criteria. Sixty-three were observational retrospective studies and two prospective. Of 546,981 patients, 34,080 died. Black patients with non-critical CHD in the first year of life (Odds Ratio 1.62 [95% confidence interval 1.47–1.79], I2 = 7.1%), with critical CHD as neonates (OR 1.27 [CI 1.05-1.55], I2 = 0%) and in the first year (OR 1.68, [1.45-1.95], I2 = 0.3%) had increased mortality. Deprived patients, multiple pregnancies, patients born to mothers &lt;18 years and with education &lt;12 years, and patients on public insurance with critical CHD have greater likelihood of death after the neonatal period.

Conclusion

This systematic review and meta-analysis found that Black patients with CHD are particularly vulnerable for mortality. Numerous SDoH that affect mortality were identified for specific time points in CHD course that may guide interventions, future research and policy.

Systematic Review Registration

[https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/display_record.php?ID=CRD42019139466&amp;ID=CRD42019139466], identifier [CRD42019139466].

US Mortality Attributable to Congenital Heart Disease Across the Lifespan From 1999 Through 2017 Exposes Persistent Racial/Ethnic Disparities

BACKGROUND

Congenital heart disease (CHD) accounts for ≈40% of deaths in US children with birth defects. Previous US data from 1999 to 2006 demonstrated an overall decrease in CHD mortality. Our study aimed to assess current trends in US mortality related to CHD from infancy to adulthood over the past 19 years and determine differences by sex and race/ethnicity.

METHODS

We conducted an analysis of death certificates from 1999 to 2017 to calculate annual CHD mortality by age at death, race/ethnicity, and sex. Population estimates used as denominators in mortality rate calculations for infants were based on National Center for Health Statistics live birth data. Mortality rates in individuals ≥1 year of age used US Census Bureau bridged-race population estimates as denominators. We used joinpoint regression to characterize temporal trends in all-cause mortality, mortality resulting directly attributable to and related to CHD by age, race/ethnicity, and sex.

RESULTS

There were 47.7 million deaths with 1 in 814 deaths attributable to CHD (n=58 599). Although all-cause mortality decreased 16.4% across all ages, mortality resulting from CHD declined 39.4% overall. The mean annual decrease in CHD mortality was 2.6%, with the largest decrease for those >65 years of age. The age-adjusted mortality rate decreased from 1.37 to 0.83 per 100 000. Males had higher mortality attributable to CHD than females throughout the study, although both sexes declined at a similar rate (≈40% overall), with a 3% to 4% annual decrease between 1999 and 2009, followed by a slower annual decrease of 1.4% through 2017. Mortality resulting from CHD significantly declined among all races/ethnicities studied, although disparities in mortality persisted for non-Hispanic Blacks versus non-Hispanic Whites (mean annual decrease 2.3% versus 2.6%, respectively; age-adjusted mortality rate 1.67 to 1.05 versus 1.35 to 0.80 per 100 000, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Although overall US mortality attributable to CHD has decreased over the past 19 years, disparities in mortality persist for males in comparison with females and for non-Hispanic Blacks in comparison with non-Hispanic Whites. Determining factors that contribute to these disparities such as access to quality care, timely diagnosis, and maintenance of insurance will be important moving into the next decade.

Development and Validation of a Seizure Prediction Model in Neonates After Cardiac Surgery

BACKGROUND

Electroencephalographic seizures (ESs) after neonatal cardiac surgery are often subclinical and have been associated with poor outcomes. An accurate ES prediction model could allow targeted continuous electroencephalographic monitoring (CEEG) for high-risk neonates.

METHODS

ES prediction models were developed and validated in a multicenter prospective cohort where all postoperative neonates who underwent cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) also underwent CEEG.

RESULTS

ESs occurred in 7.4% of neonates (78 of 1053). Model predictors included gestational age, head circumference, single-ventricle defect, deep hypothermic circulatory arrest duration, cardiac arrest, nitric oxide, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, and delayed sternal closure. The model performed well in the derivation cohort (c-statistic, 0.77; Hosmer-Lemeshow, P = .56), with a net benefit (NB) over monitoring all and none over a threshold probability of 2% in decision curve analysis (DCA). The model had good calibration in the validation cohort (Hosmer-Lemeshow, P = .60); however, discrimination was poor (c-statistic, 0.61), and in DCA there was no NB of the prediction model between the threshold probabilities of 8% and 18%. By using a cut point that emphasized negative predictive value in the derivation cohort, 32% (236 of 737) of neonates would not undergo CEEG, including 3.5% (2 of 58) of neonates with ESs (negative predictive value, 99%; sensitivity, 97%).

CONCLUSIONS

In this large prospective cohort, a prediction model of ESs in neonates after CPB had good performance in the derivation cohort, with an NB in DCA. However, performance in the validation cohort was weak, with poor discrimination, poor calibration, and no NB in DCA. These findings support CEEG of all neonates after CPB.

Socioeconomic Mediators of Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Congenital Heart Disease Outcomes: A Population-Based Study in California

Background

Racial/ethnic and socioeconomic disparities exist in outcomes for children with congenital heart disease. We sought to determine the influence of race/ethnicity and mediating socioeconomic factors on 1‐year outcomes for live‐born infants with hypoplastic left heart syndrome and dextro‐Transposition of the great arteries.

Methods and Results

The authors performed a population‐based cohort study using the California Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development database. Live‐born infants without chromosomal anomalies were included. The outcome was a composite measure of mortality or unexpected hospital readmissions within the first year of life defined as >3 (hypoplastic left heart syndrome) or >1 readmissions (dextro‐Transposition of the great arteries). Hispanic ethnicity was compared with non‐Hispanic white ethnicity. Mediation analyses determined the percent contribution to outcome for each mediator on the pathway between race/ethnicity and outcome. A total of 1796 patients comprised the cohort (n=964 [hypoplastic left heart syndrome], n=832 [dextro‐Transposition of the great arteries]) and 1315 were included in the analysis (n=477 non‐Hispanic white, n=838 Hispanic). Hispanic ethnicity was associated with a poor outcome (crude odds ratio, 1.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.37–2.17). Higher maternal education (crude odds ratio 0.5; 95% CI, 0.38–0.65) and private insurance (crude odds ratio, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.45–0.71) were protective. In the mediation analysis, maternal education and insurance status explained 33.2% (95% CI, 7–66.4) and 27.6% (95% CI, 6.5–63.1) of the relationship between race/ethnicity and poor outcome, while infant characteristics played a minimal role.

Conclusions

Socioeconomic factors explain a significant portion of the association between Hispanic ethnicity and poor outcome in neonates with critical congenital heart disease. These findings identify vulnerable populations that would benefit from resources to lessen health disparities.

Trends in Long-Term Mortality After Congenital Heart Surgery

BACKGROUND

Congenital heart surgery has improved the survival of patients with even the most complex defects, but the long-term survival after these procedures has not been fully described.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the long-term survival of patients (age <21 years) who were operated on for congenital heart defects (CHDs).

METHODS

This study used the Pediatric Cardiac Care Consortium data, a U.S.-based, multicenter registry of pediatric cardiac surgery. Survival analysis included 35,998 patients who survived their first congenital heart surgery at <21 years of age and had adequate identifiers for linkage with the National Death Index through 2014. Survival was compared to that in the general population using standardized mortality ratios (SMRs).

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 18 years (645,806 person-years), 3,191 deaths occurred with an overall SMR of 8.3 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 8.0 to 8.7). The 15-year SMR decreased from 12.7 (95% CI: 11.9 to 13.6) in the early era (1982 to 1992) to 10.0 (95% CI: 9.3 to 10.8) in the late era (1998 to 2003). The SMR remained elevated even for mild forms of CHD such as patent ductus arteriosus (SMR 4.5) and atrial septal defects (SMR 4.9). The largest decreases in SMR occurred for patients with transposition of great arteries (early: 11.0 vs. late: 3.8; p < 0.05), complete atrioventricular canal (31.3 vs. 15.3; p < 0.05), and single ventricle (53.7 vs. 31.3; p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

In this large U.S. cohort, long-term mortality after congenital heart surgery was elevated across all forms of CHD. Survival has improved over time, particularly for severe defects with significant changes in their management strategy, but still lags behind the general population.

Socio-economic inequalities in mortality in children with congenital heart disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The impact of socio-economic status (SES) on congenital heart disease (CHD)-related mortality in children is not well established.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to systematically review and appraise the existing evidence on the association between SES (including poverty, parental education, health insurance, and income) and mortality among children with CHD.

DATA SOURCES

Seven electronic databases (Medline, Embase, Scopus, PsycINFO, CINAHL, ProQuest Natural, and Biological Science Collections), reference lists, citations, and key journals were searched.

STUDY SELECTION AND DATA EXTRACTION

We included articles reporting original research on the association between SES and mortality in children with CHD if they were full papers published in the English language and regardless of (a) timing of mortality; (b) individual or area-based measures of SES; (c) CHD subtype; (d) age at ascertainment; (e) study period examined. Screening for eligibility, data extraction, and quality appraisal were performed in duplicate.

SYNTHESIS

Meta-analyses were performed to estimate pooled ORs for in-hospital mortality according to health insurance status.

RESULTS

Of 1388 identified articles, 28 met the inclusion criteria. Increased area-based poverty was associated with increased odds/risk of postoperative (n = 1), neonatal (n = 1), post-discharge (n = 1), infant (n = 1), and long-term mortality (n = 2). Higher parental education was associated with decreased odds/risk of neonatal (n = 1) and infant mortality (n = 5), but not with long-term mortality (n = 1). A meta-analysis of four US articles showed increased unadjusted odds of in-hospital mortality in those with government/public versus private health insurance (OR 1.40, 95% CI 1.24, 1.56). The association between area-based income and CHD-related mortality was conflicting, with three of eight articles reporting significant associations.

CONCLUSION

This systematic review provides evidence that children of lower SES are at increased risk of CHD-related mortality. As these children are over-represented in the CHD population, interventions targeting socio-economic inequalities could have a large impact on improving CHD survival.

Association of maternal disease and medication use with the risk of congenital heart defects in offspring: a case-control study using logistic regression with a random-effects model

Objective To examine the association between maternal diseases and congenital heart defects (CHDs) and to evaluate whether those associations vary with corresponding medication use. Methods A multi-hospital case-control study conducted from February 2010 to December 2014 analysed 916 controls and 1236 cases. Participating mothers were asked whether they suffered from influenza, common cold, herpes and threatened abortion or had used corresponding medication during the periconception period or the early pregnancy period. We used a random-effects logistic regression model to compute the odds ratios (ORs), adjusted odds ratios (AORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) while controlling for potential confounders. Results Compared with the results for mothers with no exposure, there were significant associations between maternal diseases with medication non-use and CHDs in the aggregate, including influenza (AOR, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.13-2.95), common cold (AOR, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.60-2.64) and herpes (AOR, 7.00; 95% CI, 2.15-22.84). There was no significant association between medication users and offspring with any subtype of CHDs, except that maternal common cold with medication use slightly increased the risk of the specific subtype, namely, isolated cardiac defects. However, an association was observed between maternal threatened abortion and medication and isolated cardiac defects (AOR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.01-1.75). Conclusion Maternal influenza, common cold, herpes and threatened abortion from 3 months before pregnancy through the first trimester were associated with an increased risk of congenital heart disease in offspring. The teratogenic effect of these conditions may be attenuated by medication use, except for threatened abortion.

The Effects of Endotracheal Suctioning in the Pediatric Population: An Integrative Review

BACKGROUND

Critically ill pediatric patients with endotracheal tubes routinely receive endotracheal tube suctioning to clear secretions and ensure tube patency. This common practice can result in adverse effects.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to evaluate the research literature on the stressors of endotracheal suctioning and consequent effect on the pediatric patient.

METHODS

An integrative review was conducted using the Whittemore and Knafl modified framework for integrative reviews, and article selection was guided by the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses flow diagram. A literature search was conducted via PubMed, the Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, and Scopus. Selected articles were evaluated to present the current evidence on the stressors of endotracheal suctioning in the pediatric population.

RESULTS

This review includes 14 articles, with a total of 849 patients, ranging in age from premature neonates to 17 years of age. The available literature aligned into 3 categories: neurovascular effects, respiratory systems effects, and pain related to endotracheal tube suctioning. Pain was the most prevalent category, with half of the studies using endotracheal suctioning as a painful procedure to validate pain assessment tools rather than examining the effect of suctioning. A majority of the studies (67%) were conducted in the premature neonate population. Children with congenital cardiac or pulmonary defects, genetic syndromes, or neurological injuries were frequently excluded.

CONCLUSIONS

Literature regarding the effects of endotracheal suctioning in children is limited. There are many extrapersonal, interpersonal, and intrapersonal stressors associated with endotracheal suctioning that merit future research.

Sociodemographic Factors and Survival of Infants With Congenital Heart Defects

OBJECTIVES

To examine the first-year survival of infants with congenital heart defects (CHDs) and investigate the potential role of socioeconomic and demographic factors on survival.

METHODS

Subjects included 15 533 infants with CHDs born between 2004 and 2013 ascertained by the NC Birth Defects Monitoring Program. We classified CHDs into the following 3 groups: critical univentricular (n = 575), critical biventricular (n = 1494), and noncritical biventricular (n = 13 345). We determined vital status and age at death through linkage to state vital records and used geocoded maternal residence at birth to obtain census information for study subjects. We calculated Kaplan-Meier survival estimates by maternal and infant characteristics and derived hazard ratios from Cox proportional hazard models for selected exposures.

RESULTS

Among all infants with CHDs, there were 1289 deaths (8.3%) in the first year. Among infants with univentricular defects, 61.6% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 57.7%-65.7%) survived. Survival among infants with univentricular defects was considerably better for those whose fathers were ≥35 years old (71.6%; 95% CI: 63.8%-80.3%) compared with those whose fathers were younger (59.7%; 95% CI: 54.6%-65.2%). Factors associated with survival among infants with any biventricular defect included maternal education, race and/or ethnicity, marital status, and delivery at a heart center. The hazard of infant mortality was greatest among non-Hispanic African American mothers.

CONCLUSIONS

Survival among infants with critical univentricular CHDs was less variable across sociodemographic categories compared with survival among infants with biventricular CHDs. Sociodemographic differences in survival among infants with less severe CHDs reinforces the importance of ensuring culturally effective pediatric care for at-risk infants and their families.

Parental stress and resilience in CHD: a new frontier for health disparities research

Parental stress is a universal experience for parents who have children diagnosed with CHD and has been studied within the context of the child's illness, but not through a broader health disparity lens. This paper provides a thorough synthesis of the current literature on parental stress addressing disparities in parents of children with CHD. Several theories and models from within this literature are described and a new comprehensive framework, the Parental Stress and Resilience in CHD Model, is presented. Future research and clinical implications are discussed.

Racial variations in extracorporeal membrane oxygenation use following congenital heart surgery

OBJECTIVES

Previous studies demonstrate racial and ethnic disparities among children undergoing congenital heart surgery. Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) is used to support critically ill children after congenital heart surgery and improve survival. Thus, racial or ethnic variations in postoperative ECMO use following congenital heart surgery may be associated with racial/ethnic disparities in hospital survival.

METHODS

All children in the Pediatric Health Information Systems dataset undergoing congenital heart surgery from 2004 to 2015 were examined. Multivariable, multinomial regression models examining hospital survival without ECMO use, survival after ECMO, death after ECMO, and death without ECMO support were constructed.

RESULTS

Of 130,860 congenital cardiac surgery patients, 95.4% survived to hospital discharge without requiring ECMO support, whereas 1.3% survived after ECMO support, 1.3% died after ECMO support, and 1.9% died without receiving ECMO support. After adjustment for other covariates, black patients (odds ratio, 1.22; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-1.42) and patients of other race (odds ratio, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.17-1.58) were at increased odds of mortality compared with white patients. In multivariable multinomial models, black patients had increased risk of death without ECMO support (relative risk, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.11-1.56). Patients of other race (relative risk, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.10-1.69) and governmental insurance (relative risk, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.12-1.37) were also at increased risk of death without ECMO.

CONCLUSIONS

Black children and children of other race are at increased odds of mortality after congenital heart surgery. These disparities can be traced to variations in ECMO utilization across racial/ethnic groups.

Survival, by Birth Weight and Gestational Age, in Individuals With Congenital Heart Disease: A Population-Based Study

BACKGROUND

Congenital heart disease (CHD) survival estimates are important to understand prognosis and evaluate health and social care needs. Few studies have reported CHD survival estimates according to maternal and fetal characteristics. This study aimed to identify predictors of CHD survival and report conditional survival estimates.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Cases of CHD (n=5070) born during 1985-2003 and notified to the Northern Congenital Abnormality Survey (NorCAS) were matched to national mortality information in 2008. Royston-Parmar regression was performed to identify predictors of survival. Five-year survival estimates conditional on gestational age at delivery, birth weight, and year of birth were produced for isolated CHD (ie, CHD without extracardiac anomalies). Year of birth, gestational age, birth weight, and extracardiac anomalies were independently associated with mortality (all P≤0.001). Five-year survival for children born at term (37-41 weeks) in 2003 with average birth weight (within 1 SD of the mean) was 96.3% (95% CI, 95.6-97.0). Survival was most optimistic for high-birth-weight children (>1 SD from the mean) born post-term (≥42 weeks; 97.9%; 95% CI, 96.8-99.1%) and least optimistic for very preterm (<32 weeks) low-birth-weight (<1 SD from mean) children (78.8%; 95% CI, 72.8-99.1).

CONCLUSIONS

Five-year CHD survival is highly influenced by gestational age and birth weight. For prenatal counseling, conditional survival estimates provide best- and worst-case scenarios, depending on final gestational age and birth weight. For postnatal diagnoses, they can provide parents with more-accurate predictions based on their baby's birth weight and gestational age.

Unscheduled Pediatric Intensive Care Unit Admissions in Patients With Cardiovascular Disease: Clinical Features and Outcomes

BACKGROUND

An unscheduled readmission to the intensive care unit (ICU) is associated with increased morbidity and mortality in children. There is a paucity of data examining the impact of unscheduled admissions on outcomes in children with specific disease processes such as cardiovascular disease. We investigated the impact of scheduled versus unscheduled ICU admission on clinical outcomes and differences in patient characteristics in children with cardiovascular disease.

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of contemporaneously collected clinical data using the Virtual PICU Systems database. All consecutive admissions at 102 participating pediatric ICUs in patients with cardiovascular disease were collected from October 2010 to September 2012.

RESULTS

There were 48,653 admissions included in the analysis (44% scheduled and 56% unscheduled). The median patient age was 31 months. Unscheduled admissions were associated with longer ICU length of stay and increased mortality (both P < .001). Adjusting for age, weight, and primary ICU admission diagnosis (cardiovascular vs noncardiovascular), patients with unscheduled admissions had an increased odds of mortality (odds ratio = 4.8, P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Unscheduled ICU admissions were associated with worse clinical outcomes including increased mortality. Efforts targeted at reducing unscheduled admissions in at-risk patients are warranted.

African-American:White Disparity in Infant Mortality due to Congenital Heart Disease

OBJECTIVE

To determine the importance of infant factors, maternal prenatal care use, and demographic characteristics in explaining the racial disparity in infant (age <365 days) mortality due to congenital heart defects (CHD).

STUDY DESIGN

In this cross-sectional population-based study, stratified and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed on the 2003-2004 National Center for Health Statistics linked live birth-infant death cohort files of term infants with non-Hispanic white (n = 3 684 569) and African-American (n = 782 452) US-born mothers. Infant mortality rate, including its neonatal (<28 day) and postneonatal (28-364 day) components, due to CHD was the outcome measured.

RESULTS

The infant mortality rate due to CHD for African-American infants (296 deaths; 3.78 per 10 000 live births) exceeded that of white infants (1025 deaths; 2.78 per 10 000 live births) (relative risk [RR], 1.36; 95% CI, 1.20-1.55). The racial disparity was wider in the postneonatal period (2.08 per 10 000 vs 1.42 per 10 000; RR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.29-1.83) compared with the neonatal period (1.70 per 10 000 vs 1.44 per 10 000; RR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.99-1.45). Compared with white mothers, African-American mothers had a higher percentage of high-risk characteristics. In multivariable logistic regression models, the adjusted OR of postneonatal and neonatal mortality due to CHD for African-American mothers compared with white mothers was 1.20 (95% CI, 0.98-1.48) and 0.95 (95% CI, 0.77-1.19), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The racial disparity in infant mortality rate due to CHD among term infants with US-born mothers is driven predominately by the postneonatal survival disadvantage of African-American infants. Commonly cited individual-level risk factors partly explain this phenomenon. The study is limited by the lack of information on neighborhood factors.

Cost and Cost-Effectiveness Assessments of Newborn Screening for Critical Congenital Heart Disease Using Pulse Oximetry: A Review

Screening newborns for critical congenital heart disease (CCHD) using pulse oximetry is recommended to allow for the prompt diagnosis and prevention of life-threatening crises. The present review summarizes and critiques six previously published estimates of the costs or cost-effectiveness of CCHD screening from the United Kingdom, United States, and China. Several elements that affect CCHD screening costs were assessed in varying numbers of studies, including screening staff time, instrumentation, and consumables, as well as costs of diagnosis and treatment. A previous US study that used conservative assumptions suggested that CCHD screening is likely to be considered cost-effective from the healthcare sector perspective. Newly available estimates of avoided infant CCHD deaths in several US states that implemented mandatory CCHD screening policies during 2011-2013 suggest a substantially larger reduction in deaths than was projected in the previous US cost-effectiveness analysis. Taking into account these new estimates, we estimate that cost per life-year gained could be as low as USD 12,000. However, that estimate does not take into account future costs of health care and education for surviving children with CCHD nor the costs incurred by health departments to support and monitor CCHD screening policies and programs.

Twenty-five-year survival for aboriginal and caucasian children with congenital heart defects in Western Australia, 1980 to 2010

BACKGROUND

Australian Aboriginal children have increased infant and childhood mortality compared with Caucasian children, but their mortality related to congenital heart defects (CHDs) throughout life is unknown.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study using data on 8,110 live born, singleton infants with CHDs born January 1980 to December 2010 from the Western Australian Register of Developmental Anomalies. Vital status was determined from death and medical records. Data for infants with chromosomal anomalies (except Down syndrome) were excluded. Kaplan-Meier Product-Limit estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed by Aboriginality. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs were calculated from multivariable Cox-Proportional Hazard Regression models.

RESULTS

Aboriginal children had lower survival than Caucasians for all CHDs combined but most notably during the neonatal period for functional single ventricle (50.0% vs. 86.1%; p = 0.015) and during the postneonatal period for tetralogy of Fallot (87.0% vs. 97.4%; p = 0.021) and atrioventricular septal defect (60.0% vs. 94.6%; p = 0.010). After adjusting for covariates except remoteness and socioeconomic status (SES), Aboriginal children with all CHDs combined (HR = 1.4; 95% CI, 1.0-1.9), with transposition of the great arteries (HR = 4.3; 95% CI, 1.0-18.9) or functional single ventricle (HR = 8.6; 95% CI, 1.3-57.9) had increased risk of mortality compared with Caucasian children. When remoteness and SES were included, the risks were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSION

Long-term survival was lower for Aboriginal children with CHDs, and Aboriginal children with specific CHD phenotypes had increased risk of mortality throughout life. Increased risk may be due to SES and environmental factors. Birth Defects Research (Part A), 2016. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Birth Defects Research (Part A) 106:1016-1031, 2016. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Association of maternal chronic disease with risk of congenital heart disease in offspring

BACKGROUND

Information about known risk factors for congenital heart disease is scarce. In this population-based study, we aimed to investigate the relation between maternal chronic disease and congenital heart disease in offspring.

METHODS

The study cohort consisted of 1 387 650 live births from 2004 to 2010. We identified chronic disease in mothers and mild and severe forms of congenital heart disease in their offspring from Taiwan's National Health Insurance medical claims. We used multivariable logistic regression analysis to assess the associations of all cases and specific types of congenital heart disease with various maternal chronic diseases.

RESULTS

For mothers with the following chronic diseases, the overall prevalence of congenital heart disease in their children was significantly higher than for mothers without these diseases: diabetes mellitus type 1 (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 2.32, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.66-3.25), diabetes mellitus type 2 (adjusted OR 2.85, 95% CI 2.60-3.12), hypertension (adjusted OR 1.87, 95% CI 1.69-2.07), congenital heart defects (adjusted OR 3.05, 95% CI 2.45-3.80), anemia (adjusted OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.25-1.38), connective tissue disorders (adjusted OR 1.39, 95% CI 1.19-1.62), epilepsy (adjusted OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.08-1.74) and mood disorders (adjusted OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.11-1.41). The same pattern held for mild forms of congenital heart disease. A higher prevalence of severe congenital heart disease was seen only among offspring of mothers with congenital heart defects or type 2 diabetes.

INTERPRETATION

The children of women with several kinds of chronic disease appear to be at risk for congenital heart disease. Preconception counselling and optimum treatment of pregnant women with chronic disease would seem prudent.

Congenital Heart Defects in the United States: Estimating the Magnitude of the Affected Population in 2010

BACKGROUND

Because of advancements in care, there has been a decline in mortality from congenital heart defects (CHDs) over the past several decades. However, there are no current empirical data documenting the number of people living with CHDs in the United States. Our aim was to estimate the CHD prevalence across all age groups in the United States in the year 2010.

METHODS

The age-, sex-, and severity-specific observed prevalence of CHDs in Québec, Canada, in the year 2010 was assumed to equal the CHD prevalence in the non-Hispanic white population in the United States in 2010. A race-ethnicity adjustment factor, reflecting differential survival between racial-ethnic groups through 5 years of age for individuals with a CHD and that in the general US population, was applied to the estimated non-Hispanic white rates to derive CHD prevalence estimates among US non-Hispanic blacks and Hispanics. Confidence intervals for the estimated CHD prevalence rates and case counts were derived from a combination of Taylor series approximations and Monte Carlo simulation.

RESULTS

We estimated that ≈2.4 million people (1.4 million adults, 1 million children) were living with CHDs in the United States in 2010. Nearly 300 000 of these individuals had severe CHDs.

CONCLUSIONS

Our estimates highlight the need for 2 important efforts: planning for health services delivery to meet the needs of the growing population of adults with CHD and the development of surveillance data across the life span to provide empirical estimates of the prevalence of CHD across all age groups in the United States.

Long-Term Survival of Individuals Born With Congenital Heart Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Estimates of long-term survival are required to adequately assess the variety of health and social services required by those with congenital heart disease (CHD) throughout their lives.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Medline, Embase, and Scopus were searched from inception to June 2015 using MeSH headings and keywords. Population-based studies that ascertained all persons born with CHD within a predefined area and reported survival estimates at ≥5 years were included. Unadjusted survival estimates for each CHD subtype at ages 1 year, 5 years, 10 years, and so forth were extracted. Pooled survival estimates for each age were calculated using meta-analyses. Metaregression was performed to examine the impact of study period on survival. Of 7840 identified articles, 16 met the inclusion criteria. Among those with CHD, pooled 1-year survival was 87.0% (95% CI 82.1-91.2), pooled 5-year survival was 85.4% (95% CI 79.4-90.5), and pooled 10-year survival was 81.4% (95% CI 73.8-87.9). There was significant heterogeneity of survival estimates among articles (P<0.001 for 1-, 5-, and 10-year survival). A more recent study period was significantly associated with greater survival at ages 1 year (P=0.047), 5 years (P=0.013), and 10 years (P=0.046). Survival varied by CHD subtype, with 5-year survival being greatest for those with ventricular septal defect (96.3%, 95% CI 93.7-98.2) and lowest for those with hypoplastic left heart (12.5%, 95% CI 0.0-41.4).

CONCLUSIONS

Among persons with CHD, the mortality rate is greatest during the first year of life; however, this systematic review and meta-analysis showed that survival decreases gradually after infancy and into adulthood.

Under-5-Years Child Mortality Due to Congenital Anomalies: A Retrospective Study in Urban and Rural China in 1996-2013

INTRODUCTION

Congenital anomalies (CAs) contribute significantly to under-5-years child mortality (U5M) throughout the world. This study analyzed trends in the CA-specific U5M rate in urban and rural China.

METHODS

This population-based epidemiologic study used data obtained by China's National U5M Surveillance System from 1996 to 2013. Data from national surveillance sites were used to examine CA-specific U5M rates by year, urban and rural habitation, and sex. Mixed effect negative binomial regression models were used to assess the trends in CA-specific U5M rates and differences in those trends between urban and rural areas.

RESULTS

The CA-specific U5M rate decreased from 407.7 per 100,000 live births in 1996 to 217.4 per 100,000 live births in 2013, with average annual decline rates of 6.4% (95% CI=5.6%, 7.1%) and 3.8% (95% CI=3.3%, 4.3%) in urban and rural areas, respectively. The CA-specific U5M rate was the same in both rural and urban areas in 1996, but the U5M rate of the rural areas was 1.621-fold of that of urban areas in 2013. In urban and rural China, cardiovascular anomalies were the most frequent CAs, accounting for 50.3% and 58.2% of U5M due to CA, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

CAs have become one of the leading causes of U5M in both urban and rural China and the difference between the CA-specific U5M rates in two areas is gradually increasing. Reduction of child mortality due to CAs and elimination of the geographic disparity in child mortality rates should be major public health concerns in China.

Infant deaths in the UK community following successful cardiac surgery: building the evidence base for optimal surveillance, a mixed-methods study

Background

While early outcomes of paediatric cardiac surgery have improved, less attention has been given to later outcomes including post-discharge mortality and emergency readmissions.

Objectives

Our objectives were to use a mixed-methods approach to build an evidenced-based guideline for postdischarge management of infants undergoing interventions for congenital heart disease (CHD).

Methods

Systematic reviews of the literature – databases used: MEDLINE (1980 to 1 February 2013), EMBASE (1980 to 1 February 2013), Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL; 1981 to 1 February 2013), The Cochrane Library (1999 to 1 February 2013), Web of Knowledge (1980 to 1 February 2013) and PsycINFO (1980 to 1 February 2013). Analysis of audit data from the National Congenital Heart Disease Audit and Paediatric Intensive Care Audit Network databases pertaining to records of infants undergoing interventions for CHD between 1 January 2005 and 31 December 2010. Qualitative analyses of online discussion posted by 73 parents, interviews with 10 helpline staff based at user groups, interviews with 20 families whose infant either died after discharge or was readmitted urgently to intensive care, and interviews with 25 professionals from tertiary care and 13 professionals from primary and secondary care. Iterative multidisciplinary review and discussion of evidence incorporating the views of parents on suggestions for improvement.

Results

Despite a wide search strategy, the studies identified for inclusion in reviews related only to patients with complex CHD, for whom adverse outcome was linked to non-white ethnicity, lower socioeconomic status, comorbidity, age, complexity and feeding difficulties. There was evidence to suggest that home monitoring programmes (HMPs) are beneficial. Of 7976 included infants, 333 (4.2%) died postoperatively, leaving 7634 infants, of whom 246 (3.2%) experienced outcome 1 (postdischarge death) and 514 (6.7%) experienced outcome 2 (postdischarge death plus emergency intensive care readmissions). Multiple logistic regression models for risk of outcomes 1 and 2 had areas under the receiver operator curve of 0.78 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.75 to 0.82] and 0.78 (95% CI 0.75 to 0.80), respectively. Six patient groups were identified using classification and regression tree analysis to stratify by outcome 2 (range 3–24%), which were defined in terms of neurodevelopmental conditions, high-risk cardiac diagnosis (hypoplastic left heart, single ventricle or pulmonary atresia), congenital anomalies and length of stay (LOS) > 1 month. Deficiencies and national variability were noted for predischarge training and information, the process of discharge to non-specialist services including documentation, paediatric cardiology follow-up including HMP, psychosocial support post discharge and the processes for accessing help when an infant becomes unwell.

Conclusions

National standardisation may improve discharge documents, training and guidance on ‘what is normal’ and ‘signs and symptoms to look for’, including how to respond. Infants with high-risk cardiac diagnoses, neurodevelopmental conditions or LOS > 1 month may benefit from discharge via their local hospital. HMP is suggested for infants with hypoplastic left heart, single ventricle or pulmonary atresia. Discussion of postdischarge deaths for infant CHD should occur at a network-based multidisciplinary meeting. Audit is required of outcomes for this stage of the patient journey.

Future work

Further research may determine the optimal protocol for HMPs, evaluate the use of traffic light tools for monitoring infants post discharge and develop the analytical steps and processes required for audit of postdischarge metrics.

Study registration

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42013003483 and CRD42013003484.

Funding

The National Institute for Health Research Health Services and Delivery Research programme. The National Congenital Heart Diseases Audit (NCHDA) and Paediatric Intensive Care Audit Network (PICANet) are funded by the National Clinical Audit and Patient Outcomes Programme, administered by the Healthcare Quality Improvement Partnership (HQIP). PICAnet is also funded by Welsh Health Specialised Services Committee; NHS Lothian/National Service Division NHS Scotland, the Royal Belfast Hospital for Sick Children, National Office of Clinical Audit Ireland, and HCA International. The study was supported by the National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Centre at Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children NHS Foundation Trust and University College London. Sonya Crowe was supported by the Health Foundation, an independent charity working to continuously improve the quality of health care in the UK.

Projected growth of the adult congenital heart disease population in the United States to 2050: an integrative systems modeling approach

Background

Mortality for children with congenital heart disease (CHD) has declined with improved surgical techniques and neonatal screening; however, as these patients live longer, accurate estimates of the prevalence of adults with CHD are lacking.

Methods

To determine the prevalence and mortality trends of adults with CHD, we combined National Vital Statistics System data and National Health Interview Survey data using an integrative systems model to determine the prevalence of recalled CHD as a function of age, sex, and year (by recalled CHD, we mean positive response to the question “has a doctor told you that (name) has congenital heart disease?”, which is a conservative lower-bound estimate of CHD prevalence). We used Human Mortality Database estimates and US Census Department projections of the US population to calculate the CHD-prevalent population by age, sex, and year. The primary outcome was prevalence of recalled CHD in adults from 1970 to 2050; the secondary outcomes were birth prevalence and mortality rates by sex and women of childbearing age (15–49 years).

Results

The birth prevalence of recalled CHD in 2010 for males was 3.29 per 1,000 (95 % uncertainty interval (UI) 2.8–3.6), and for females was 3.23 per 1,000 (95 % UI 2.3–3.6). From 1968 to 2010, mortality among zero to 51-week-olds declined from 170 to 53 per 100,000 person years. The estimated number of adults (age 20–64 years) with recalled CHD in 1968 was 118,000 (95 % UI 72,000–150,000). By 2010, there was an increase by a factor of 2.3 (95 % UI 2.2–2.6), to 273,000 (95 % UI 190,000–330,000). There will be an estimated 510,000 (95 % UI: 400,000–580,000) in 2050. The prevalence of adults with recalled CHD will begin to plateau around the year 2050. In 2010, there were 134,000 (95 % UI 69,000–160,000) reproductive-age females (age 15–49 years) with recalled CHD in the United States.

Conclusion

Mortality rates have decreased in infants and the prevalence of adults with CHD has increased but will slow down around 2050. This population requires adult medical systems with providers experienced in the care of adult CHD patients, including those familiar with reproduction in women with CHD.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12963-015-0063-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Survival of Children With Hypoplastic Left Heart Syndrome

OBJECTIVE

To examine the survival of infants with hypoplastic left heart syndrome (HLHS) and potential influence of demographic and clinical characteristics on survival using population-based data.

METHODS

Infants with nonsyndromic HLHS (n = 212) born between 1979 and 2005 were identified through the Metropolitan Atlanta Congenital Defects Program. Vital status was ascertained through 2009 based on linkage with vital records. We estimated Kaplan-Meier survival probabilities stratified by select demographic and clinical characteristics.

RESULTS

The overall survival probability to 2009 was 24% and significantly improved over time: from 0% in 1979-1984 to 42% in 1999-2005. Survival probability was 66% during the first week, 27% during the first year of life, and 24% during the first 10 years. Survival of very low and low birth weight or preterm infants and those born in high-poverty neighborhoods was significantly poorer. For children with information on surgical intervention (n = 88), the overall survival was 52%, and preterm infants had significantly poorer survival (31%) compared with term infants (56%). For children who survived to 1 year of age, long-term survival was ∼90%.

CONCLUSIONS

Survival to adolescence of children with nonsyndromic HLHS born in metropolitan Atlanta has significantly improved in recent years, with those born full term, with normal birth weight, or in a low-poverty neighborhood having a higher survival probability. Survival beyond infancy to adolescence is high. A better understanding of the growing population of survivors with HLHS is needed to inform resource planning.

Racial/ethnic differences in survival of United States children with birth defects: a population-based study

OBJECTIVES

To examine racial/ethnic-specific survival of children with major birth defects in the US.

STUDY DESIGN

We pooled data on live births delivered during 1999-2007 with any of 21 birth defects from 12 population-based birth defects surveillance programs. We used the Kaplan-Meier method to calculate cumulative survival probabilities and Cox proportional hazards models to estimate mortality risk.

RESULTS

For most birth defects, there were small-to-moderate differences in neonatal (<28 days) survival among racial/ethnic groups. However, compared with children born to non-Hispanic white mothers, postneonatal infant (28 days to <1 year) mortality risk was significantly greater among children born to non-Hispanic black mothers for 13 of 21 defects (hazard ratios [HRs] 1.3-2.8) and among children born to Hispanic mothers for 10 of 21 defects (HRs 1.3-1.7). Compared with children born to non-Hispanic white mothers, a significantly increased childhood (≤ 8 years) mortality risk was found among children born to Asian/Pacific Islander mothers for encephalocele (HR 2.6), tetralogy of Fallot, and atrioventricular septal defect (HRs 1.6-1.8) and among children born to American Indian/Alaska Native mothers for encephalocele (HR 2.8), whereas a significantly decreased childhood mortality risk was found among children born to Asian/Pacific Islander mothers for cleft lip with or without cleft palate (HR 0.6).

CONCLUSION

Children with birth defects born to non-Hispanic black and Hispanic mothers carry a greater risk of mortality well into childhood, especially children with congenital heart defect. Understanding survival differences among racial/ethnic groups provides important information for policy development and service planning.

Community socioeconomic disadvantage and the survival of infants with congenital heart defects

OBJECTIVES

We examined the association between survival of infants with severe congenital heart defects (CHDs) and community-level indicators of socioeconomic status.

METHODS

We identified infants born to residents of Arizona, New Jersey, New York, and Texas between 1999 and 2007 with selected CHDs from 4 population-based, statewide birth defect surveillance programs. We linked data to the 2000 US Census to obtain 11 census tract-level socioeconomic indicators. We estimated survival probabilities and hazard ratios adjusted for individual characteristics.

RESULTS

We observed differences in infant survival for 8 community socioeconomic indicators (P < .05). The greatest mortality risk was associated with residing in communities in the most disadvantaged deciles for poverty (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR] = 1.49; 95% confidence interval [CI]  = 1.11, 1.99), education (AHR = 1.51; 95% CI = 1.16, 1.96), and operator or laborer occupations (AHR = 1.54; 95% CI = 1.16, 1.96). Survival decreased with increasing numbers of indicators that were in the most disadvantaged decile. Community-level mortality risk persisted when we adjusted for individual-level characteristics.

CONCLUSIONS

The increased mortality risk among infants with CHDs living in socioeconomically deprived communities might indicate barriers to quality and timely care at which public health interventions might be targeted.