Plasma copeptin levels predict disease progression and tolvaptan efficacy in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease

Validation of the Mayo Imaging Classification System for Predicting Kidney Outcomes in ADPKD

BACKGROUND

The Mayo Imaging Classification was developed to predict the rate of disease progression in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease. This study aimed to validate its ability to predict kidney outcomes in a large multicenter autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease cohort.

METHODS

Included were patients with ≥1 height-adjusted total kidney volume (HtTKV) measurement and ≥3 eGFR values during ≥1-year follow-up. Mayo HtTKV class stability, kidney growth rates, and eGFR decline rates were calculated. The observed eGFR decline was compared with predictions from the Mayo Clinic future eGFR equation. The future eGFR prediction equation was also tested for nonlinear eGFR decline. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression models were used to assess time to kidney failure using Mayo HtTKV class as a predictor variable.

RESULTS

We analyzed 618 patients with a mean age of 47±11 years and mean eGFR of 64±25 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 at baseline. Most patients (82%) remained in their baseline Mayo HtTKV class. During a mean follow-up of 5.1±2.2 years, the mean total kidney volume growth rates and eGFR decline were 5.33%±3.90%/yr and -3.31±2.53 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 per year, respectively. Kidney growth and eGFR decline showed considerable overlap between the classes. The observed annual eGFR decline was not significantly different from the predicted values for classes 1A, 1B, 1C, and 1D but significantly slower for class 1E. This was also observed in patients aged younger than 40 years and older than 60 years and those with PKD2 mutations. A polynomial model allowing nonlinear eGFR decline provided more accurate slope predictions. Ninety-seven patients (16%) developed kidney failure during follow-up. The classification predicted the development of kidney failure, although the sensitivity and positive predictive values were limited.

CONCLUSIONS

The Mayo Imaging Classification demonstrated acceptable stability and generally predicted kidney failure and eGFR decline rate. However, there was marked interindividual variability in the rate of disease progression within each class.

Is mild dehydration a risk for progression of childhood chronic kidney disease?

Children with chronic kidney disease (CKD) can have an inherent vulnerability to dehydration. Younger children are unable to freely access water, and CKD aetiology and stage can associate with reduced kidney concentrating capacity, which can also impact risk. This article aims to review the risk factors and consequences of mild dehydration and underhydration in CKD, with a particular focus on evidence for risk of CKD progression. We discuss that assessment of dehydration in the CKD population is more challenging than in the healthy population, thus complicating the definition of adequate hydration and clinical research in this field. We review pathophysiologic studies that suggest mild dehydration and underhydration may cause hyperfiltration injury and impact renal function, with arginine vasopressin as a key mediator. Randomised controlled trials in adults have not shown an impact of improved hydration in CKD outcomes, but more vulnerable populations with baseline low fluid intake or poor kidney concentrating capacity need to be studied. There is little published data on the frequency of dehydration, and risk of complications, acute or chronic, in children with CKD. Despite conflicting evidence and the need for more research, we propose that paediatric CKD management should routinely include an assessment of individual dehydration risk along with a treatment plan, and we provide a framework that could be used in outpatient settings.

Kidney Energetics and Cyst Burden in Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease: A Pilot Study

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

In this pilot study, we hypothesized that autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is characterized by impaired kidney oxidative metabolism that associates with kidney size and cyst burden.

STUDY DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Twenty adults with ADPKD (31±6 years of age, 65% women, BMI: 26.8 [22.7, 30.4] kg/m2, eGFR (2021 CKD-EPI Creatinine): 103±18 ml/min/1.73m2, height-adjusted total kidney volume [HtTKV]: 731±370 ml/m, Mayo Classifications: 1B [5%], 1C [42%], 1D [21%], 1E [32%]) and 11 controls in normal weight category (NWC; 25±3 years of age, 45% women, BMI: 22.5 [21.7, 24.2] kg/m2, eGFR: 113±15 ml/min/1.73m2, HtTKV: 159±31 ml/m) at the University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus.

PREDICTORS

ADPKD status (yes/no) and severity (Mayo Classifications).

OUTCOMES

HtTKV and cyst burden by MRI, kidney oxidative metabolism and perfusion by 11C-acetate PET/CT, insulin sensitivity by hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamps (presented as ratio of M-value of steady state insulin concentration [M/I]).

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Chi-square/Fisher's exact tests used for categorical variables and t-tests/ Mann-Whitney U tests for continuous variables. Pearson correlation used to estimate the relationships between variables.

RESULTS

Compared to NWC, participants with ADPKD exhibited lower mean±SD M/I ratio (0.586±0.205 vs. 0.424±0.171 (mg/kg lean/min) / (μIU/mL), p=0.04), lower median [p25, p75] cortical perfusion (1.93 [1.80, 2.09 vs. 0.68 [0.47, 1.04] mL/min/g, p<0.001) and lower median [p25, p75] total kidney oxidative metabolism (0.17 [0.16,0.19] vs. 0.14 [0.12, 0.15] min-1, p=0.001) in voxel-wise models excluding cysts. HtTKV correlated inversely with cortical perfusion (r:-0.83, p<0.001), total kidney oxidative metabolism (r:-0.61, p<0.001) and M/I (r:-0.41, p=0.03).

LIMITATIONS

Small sample size and cross-sectional design.

CONCLUSION

Adults with ADPKD and preserved kidney function exhibited impaired renal perfusion and kidney oxidative metabolism across a wide range of cysts and kidney enlargements.

Visceral Adiposity and Progression of ADPKD: A Cohort Study of Patients From the TEMPO 3:4 Trial

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Body mass index (BMI) is an independent predictor of kidney disease progression in individuals with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD). Adipocytes do not simply act as a fat reservoir but are active endocrine organs. We hypothesized that greater visceral abdominal adiposity would associate with more rapid kidney growth in ADPKD and influence the efficacy of tolvaptan.

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

1,053 patients enrolled in the TEMPO 3:4 tolvaptan trial with ADPKD and at high risk of rapid disease progression.

PREDICTOR

Estimates of visceral adiposity extracted from coronal plane magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans using deep learning.

OUTCOME

Annual change in total kidney volume (TKV) and effect of tolvaptan on kidney growth.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Multinomial logistic regression and linear mixed models.

RESULTS

In fully adjusted models, the highest tertile of visceral adiposity was associated with greater odds of annual change in TKV of≥7% versus<5% (odds ratio [OR], 4.78 [95% CI, 3.03-7.47]). The association was stronger in women than men (interaction P<0.01). In linear mixed models with an outcome of percent change in TKV per year, tolvaptan efficacy (% change in TKV) was reduced with higher visceral adiposity (3-way interaction of treatment ∗ time ∗ visceral adiposity, P=0.002). Visceral adiposity significantly improved classification performance of predicting rapid annual percent change in TKV for individuals with a normal BMI (DeLong's test z score: -2.03; P=0.04). Greater visceral adiposity was not associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) slope in the overall cohort; however, visceral adiposity was associated with more rapid decline in eGFR slope (below the median) in women (fully adjusted OR, 1.06 [95% CI, 1.01-1.11] per 10 unit increase in visceral adiposity) but not men (OR, 0.98 [95% CI, 0.95-1.02]).

LIMITATIONS

Retrospective; rapid progressors; computational demand of deep learning.

CONCLUSIONS

Visceral adiposity that can be quantified by MRI in the coronal plane using a deep learning segmentation model independently associates with more rapid kidney growth and improves classification of rapid progression in individuals with a normal BMI. Tolvaptan efficacy decreases with increasing visceral adiposity.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

We analyzed images from a previous study with the drug tolvaptan conducted in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) to measure the amount of fat tissue surrounding the kidneys (visceral fat). We had previously shown body mass index can predict kidney growth in this population; now we determined whether visceral fat was an important factor associated with kidney growth. Using a machine learning tool to automate measurement of fat in images, we observed that visceral fat was independently associated with kidney growth, that it was a better predictor of faster kidney growth in lean patients than body mass index, and that having more visceral fat made treatment of ADPKD with tolvaptan less effective.

Prospective Study on Individualized Dose Adjustment of Tolvaptan Based on Urinary Osmolality in Patients With ADPKD

Introduction

Tolvaptan has been shown to reduce renal volume and delay disease progression in autosomal-dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD). However, no biomarkers are currently available to guide dose adjustment. We aimed to explore the possibility of individualized tolvaptan dose adjustments based on cut-off values for urinary osmolality (OsmU).

Methods

This prospective cohort study included patients with ADPKD, with rapid disease progression. Tolvaptan treatment was initiated at a dose of 45/15 mg and increased based on OsmU, with a limit set at 200 mOsm/kg. Primary renal events (25% decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] during treatment), within-patient eGFR slope, and side effects were monitored during the 3-year follow-up.

Results

Forty patients participated in the study. OsmU remained below 200 mOsm/kg throughout the study period, and most patients required the minimum tolvaptan dose (mean dose, 64 [±10] mg), with a low discontinuation rate (5%). The mean annual decline in eGFR was -3.05 (±2.41) ml/min per 1.73 m2 during tolvaptan treatment, compared to the period preceding treatment, corresponding to a reduction in eGFR decline of more than 50%. Primary renal events occurred in 20% of patients (mean time to onset, 31 months; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 28-34).

Conclusion

Individualized tolvaptan dose adjustment based on OsmU in patients with ADPKD and rapid disease progression provided benefits in terms of reducing eGFR decline, compared with reference studies, and displayed lower dropout rates and fewer side effects. Further studies are required to confirm optimal strategies for the use of OsmU for tolvaptan dose adjustment in patients with ADPKD.

Initial eGFR Changes Predict Response to Tolvaptan in ADPKD

Key Points

This post hoc analysis of the Tolvaptan Efficacy and Safety in Management of Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease and Its Outcomes 3:4 study investigated the long-term predictive potential of initial changes in eGFR. Initial eGFR change from baseline to week 3 proved to be a significant and independent indicator of the long-term effects of tolvaptan. No correlation was found between the initial change in eGFR and the annual rate of percent growth in total kidney volume.

Background

Tolvaptan, the only pharmaceutical treatment available for autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD), reduced the rates of total kidney volume (TKV) increase and kidney function decline in patients with ADPKD in the global phase 3 Tolvaptan Efficacy and Safety in Management of Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease and Its Outcomes (TEMPO) 3:4 study. Since tolvaptan initiation is associated with an initial decline in the eGFR, this post hoc analysis of the TEMPO 3:4 study investigated whether initial changes in eGFR from baseline to week 3 after tolvaptan administration can predict its longer-term effects on eGFR and TKV in patients with ADPKD.

Methods

eGFR was estimated using the CKD Epidemiology Collaboration equation at baseline and up to month 36. TKV was estimated using standardized kidney magnetic resonance imaging at baseline and after 12, 24, and 36 months of tolvaptan treatment. The effect of tolvaptan on kidney function and kidney volume was evaluated by measuring changes in eGFR from week 3 and TKV from baseline up to 36 months. All 961 patients randomized to receive tolvaptan in TEMPO 3:4 were included in this analysis.

Results

Initial change in eGFR from baseline to week 3 was a significant and independent predictor of the mean rate of change in eGFR per year. By contrast, there was no association between initial change in eGFR and the rate of percent growth in TKV per year.

Conclusions

Changes in eGFR after 3 weeks of treatment are likely due to the pharmacologic effect of tolvaptan, and these initial changes are predictive of the long-term effects of tolvaptan treatment.

Effects of salt and protein intake on polyuria in V2RA-treated ADPKD patients

BACKGROUND

The only treatment proven to be renoprotective in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is a vasopressin V2-receptor antagonist (V2RA). However, aquaresis-associated side effects limit tolerability. We investigated whether salt and/or protein intake influences urine volume and related endpoints in V2RA-treated ADPKD patients.

METHODS

In this randomized, controlled, double-blind, crossover trial, ADPKD patients treated with maximally tolerated dose of a V2RA were included. While on a low salt and low protein diet, patients were given additional salt and protein to mimic regular intake, which was subsequently replaced by placebo in random order during four 2-week periods. Primary endpoint was change in 24-h urine volume. Secondary endpoints were change in quality of life, measured glomerular filtration rate (mGFR), blood pressure and copeptin level.

RESULTS

Twelve patients (49 ± 8 years, 25.0% male) were included. Baseline salt and protein intake were 10.8 ± 1.3 g/24-h and 1.2 ± 0.2 g/kg/24-h, respectively. During the low salt and low protein treatment periods, intake decreased to 5.8 ± 1.6 g/24-h and 0.8 ± 0.1 g/kg/24-h, respectively. Baseline 24-h urine volume (5.9 ± 1.2 L) decreased to 5.2 ± 1.1 L (-11%, P = .004) on low salt and low protein, and to 5.4 ± 0.9 L (-8%, P = .04) on low salt. Reduction in 24-h urine volume was two times greater in patients with lower urine osmolality (-16% vs -7%). Polyuria quality of life scores improved in concordance with changes in urine volume. mGFR decreased during the low salt and low protein, while mean arterial pressure did not change during study periods. Plasma copeptin decreased significantly during low salt and low protein periods.

CONCLUSION

Lowering dietary salt and protein intake has a minor effect on urine volume in V2RA-treated ADPKD patients. Reduced intake of osmoles decreased copeptin concentrations and might thus increase the renoprotective effect of a V2RA in ADPKD patients.

Additional renoprotective effect of the SGLT2 inhibitor dapagliflozin in a patient with ADPKD receiving tolvaptan treatment

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is a major cause of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Vasopressin plays a pivotal role in ADPKD progression; therefore, the selective vasopressin V2 receptor antagonist tolvaptan is used as a key drug in the management of ADPKD. On the other hand, sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), which may possibly stimulate vasopressin secretion due to the diuretic effect of the drug, have been shown to have both renal and cardioprotective effects in various populations, including those with non-diabetic chronic kidney disease. However, the effect of SGLT2i in patients with ADPKD have not been fully elucidated. Herein, we report the case of a patient with ADPKD on tolvaptan who was administered the SGLT2i dapagliflozin. The patient was a Japanese woman diagnosed with ADPKD at age 30. Despite the treatment with tolvaptan, eGFR was gradually declined from 79.8 to 50 ml/min/1.73 m2 in almost 5 years and 10 mg of dapagliflozin was initiated in the hope of renoprotective effects. Although a small increase in vasopressin levels was observed, eGFR decline rate was moderated after dapagliflozin initiation. This case suggested an additional renoprotective effect of dapagliflozin in patient with ADPKD receiving tolvaptan. Although there is no evidence about the renal protective effect of SGLT2i in patients with ADPKD, we hereby report a case successfully treated with dapagliflozin for approximately 2 years. Further research, including clinical trials, is needed to evaluate whether SGLT2i are effective in patients with ADPKD.

DKK3 as a potential novel biomarker in patients with autosomal polycystic kidney disease

Backgound

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is the most common inherited kidney disease, and leads to a steady loss of kidney function in adulthood. The variable course of the disease makes it necessary to identify the patients with rapid disease progression who will benefit the most from targeted therapies and interventions. Currently, magnetic resonance imaging-based volumetry of the kidney is the most commonly used tool for this purpose. Biomarkers that can be easily and quantitatively determined, which allow a prediction of the loss of kidney function, have not yet been established in clinical practice. The glycoprotein Dickkopf 3 (DKK3) which is secreted in the renal tubular epithelium upon stress and contributes to tubulointerstitial fibrosis via the Wnt signaling pathway, was recently described as a biomarker for estimating risk of kidney function loss, but has not been investigated for ADPKD. This study aimed to obtain a first insight into whether DKK3 may indeed improve outcome prediction in ADPKD in the future.

Methods

In 184 ADPKD patients from the AD(H)PKD registry and 47 healthy controls, the urinary DKK3 (uDKK3) levels were determined using ELISA. Multiple linear regression was used to examine the potential of these values in outcome prediction.

Results

ADPKD patients showed significantly higher uDKK3 values compared with the controls (mean 1970 ± 5287 vs 112 ± 134.7 pg/mg creatinine). Furthermore, there was a steady increase in uDKK3 with an increase in the Mayo class (A/B 1262 ± 2315 vs class D/E 3104 ± 7627 pg/mg creatinine), the best-established biomarker of progression in ADPKD. uDKK3 also correlated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Patients with PKD1 mutations show higher uDKK3 levels compared with PKD2 patients (PKD1: 2304 ± 5119; PKD2: 506.6 ± 526.8 pg/mg creatinine). Univariate linear regression showed uDKK3 as a significant predictor of future eGFR slope estimation. In multiple linear regression this effect was not significant in models also containing height-adjusted total kidney volume and/or eGFR. However, adding both copeptin levels and the interaction term between copeptin and uDKK3 to the model resulted in a significant predictive value of all these three variables and the highest R2 of all models examined (∼0.5).

Conclusion

uDKK3 shows a clear correlation with the Mayo classification in patients with ADPKD. uDKK3 levels correlated with kidney function, which could indicate that uDKK3 also predicts a disproportionate loss of renal function in this collective. Interestingly, we found an interaction between copeptin and uDKK3 in our prediction models and the best model containing both variables and their interaction term resulted in a fairly good explanation of variance in eGFR slope compared with previous models. Considering the limited number of patients in these analyses, future studies will be required to confirm the results. Nonetheless, uDKK3 appears to be an attractive candidate to improve outcome prediction of ADPKD in the future.

Predicting autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease progression: review of promising Serum and urine biomarkers

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is one of the leading causes of end-stage renal disease. In spite of the recent tremendous progress in the understanding of ADPKD pathogenesis, the molecular mechanisms of the disease remain incompletely understood. Considering emerging new targeted therapies for ADPKD, it has become crucial to disclose easily measurable and widely available biomarkers for identifying patients with future rapid disease progression. This review encompasses all the research with a shared goal of identifying promising serum or urine biomarkers for predicting ADPKD progression or response to therapy. The rate of the ADPKD progress varies significantly between patients. The phenotypic variability is only partly explained by the underlying genetic lesion diversity. Considering significant decline in kidney function in ADPKD is not usually evident until at least 50% of the parenchyma has been destroyed, conventional kidney function measures, such as glomerular filtration rate (GFR), are not suitable for monitoring disease progression in ADPKD, particularly in its early stages. Since polycystic kidney enlargement usually precedes the decline in GFR, height-adjusted total kidney volume (ht-TKV) has been accepted as an early biomarker for assessing disease severity in ADPKD patients. However, since measuring ht-TKV is time-consuming and observer-dependent, the identification of a sensitive and quickly measurable biomarker is of a great interest for everyday clinical practice. Throughout the last decade, due to development of proteomic and metabolomic techniques and the enlightenment of multiple molecular pathways involved in the ADPKD pathogenesis, a number of urine and serum protein biomarkers have been investigated in ADPKD patients, some of which seem worth of further exploring. These include copeptin, angiotensinogen, monocyte chemoattractant protein 1, kidney injury molecule-1 and urine-to-plasma urea ratio among many others. The aim of the current review is to provide an overview of all of the published evidence on potentially clinically valuable serum and urine biomarkers that could be used for predicting disease progression or response to therapy in patients with ADPKD. Hopefully, this review will encourage future longitudinal prospective clinical studies evaluating proposed biomarkers as prognostic tools to improve management and outcome of ADPKD patients in everyday clinical practice.

Copeptin in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease: real-world experiences from a large prospective cohort study

Background

The identification of new biomarkers in autosomal-dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is crucial to improve and simplify prognostic assessment as a basis for patient selection for targeted therapies. Post hoc analyses of the TEMPO 3:4 study indicated that copeptin could be one of those biomarkers.

Methods

Copeptin was tested in serum samples from patients of the AD(H)PKD study. Serum copeptin levels were measured using a time-resolved amplified cryptate emission (TRACE)-based assay. In total, we collected 711 values from 389 patients without tolvaptan treatment and a total of 243 values (of which 64 were pre-tolvaptan) from 94 patients on tolvaptan. These were associated with rapid progression and disease-causing gene variants and their predictive capacity tested and compared with the Mayo Classification.

Results

As expected, copeptin levels showed a significant negative correlation with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Measurements on tolvaptan showed significantly higher copeptin levels (9.871 pmol/L vs 23.90 pmol/L at 90/30 mg; P < .0001) in all chronic kidney disease stages. Linear regression models (n = 133) show that copeptin is an independent predictor of eGFR slope. A clinical model (including eGFR, age, gender, copeptin) was nearly as good (R2 = 0.1196) as our optimal model (including height-adjusted total kidney volume, eGFR, copeptin, R2 = 0.1256). Adding copeptin to the Mayo model improved future eGFR estimation.

Conclusion

Copeptin levels are associated with kidney function and independently explained future eGFR slopes. As expected, treatment with tolvaptan strongly increases copeptin levels.

Prostaglandin E2, Osmoregulation, and Disease Progression in Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease

BACKGROUND

Prostaglandin E2 (PGE2) plays a physiological role in osmoregulation, a process that is affected early in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD). PGE2 has also been implicated in the pathogenesis of ADPKD in preclinical models, but human data are limited. Here, we hypothesized that urinary PGE2 excretion is associated with impaired osmoregulation, disease severity, and disease progression in human ADPKD.

METHODS

Urinary excretions of PGE2 and its metabolite (PGEM) were measured in a prospective cohort of patients with ADPKD. The associations between urinary PGE2 and PGEM excretions, markers of osmoregulation, eGFR and height-adjusted total kidney volume were assessed using linear regression models. Cox regression and linear mixed models were used for the longitudinal analysis of the associations between urinary PGE2 and PGEM excretions and disease progression defined as 40% eGFR loss or kidney failure, and change in eGFR over time. In two intervention studies, we quantified the effect of starting tolvaptan and adding hydrochlorothiazide to tolvaptan on urinary PGE2 and PGEM excretions.

RESULTS

In 562 patients with ADPKD (61% female, eGFR 63±28 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 ), higher urinary PGE2 or PGEM excretions were independently associated with higher plasma copeptin, lower urine osmolality, lower eGFR, and greater total kidney volume. Participants with higher baseline urinary PGE2 and PGEM excretions had a higher risk of 40% eGFR loss or kidney failure (hazard ratio, 1.28; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13 to 1.46 and hazard ratio, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.26 to 1.80 per two-fold higher urinary PGE2 or PGEM excretions) and a faster change in eGFR over time (-0.39 [95% CI, -0.59 to -0.20] and -0.53 [95% CI, -0.75 to -0.31] ml/min per 1.73 m 2 per year). In the intervention studies, urinary PGEM excretion was higher after starting tolvaptan, while urinary PGE2 excretion was higher after adding hydrochlorothiazide to tolvaptan.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher urinary PGE2 and PGEM excretions in patients with ADPKD are associated with impaired osmoregulation, disease severity, and progression.

PKD1 Mutation Is a Biomarker for Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease

BACKGROUND

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) occurs in 1 in 500-4000 people worldwide. Genetic mutation is a biomarker for predicting renal dysfunction in patients with ADPKD. In this study, we performed a genetic analysis of Japanese patients with ADPKD to investigate the prognostic utility of genetic mutations in predicting renal function outcomes.

METHODS

Patients clinically diagnosed with ADPKD underwent a panel genetic test for germline mutations in PKD1 and PKD2. This study was conducted with the approval of the Ethics Committee of Juntendo University (no. 2019107).

RESULTS

Of 436 patients, 366 (83.9%) had genetic mutations. Notably, patients with PKD1 mutation had a significantly decreased ΔeGFR/year compared to patients with PKD2 mutation, indicating a progression of renal dysfunction (-3.50 vs. -2.04 mL/min/1.73 m²/year, p = 0.066). Furthermore, PKD1 truncated mutations had a significantly decreased ΔeGFR/year compared to PKD1 non-truncated mutations in the population aged over 65 years (-6.56 vs. -2.16 mL/min/1.73 m²/year, p = 0.049). Multivariate analysis showed that PKD1 mutation was a more significant risk factor than PKD2 mutation (odds ratio, 1.81; 95% confidence interval, 1.11-3.16; p = 0.020).

CONCLUSIONS

The analysis of germline mutations can predict renal prognosis in Japanese patients with ADPKD, and PKD1 mutation is a biomarker of ADPKD.

Copeptin: Up-to-date diagnostic and prognostic role highlight

Arginine Vasopressin (AVP) is one of the key hormones in the human body. AVP is clinically important because it maintains body fluid balance and vascular tone. Unfortunately, AVP laboratory measurements are always difficult and with low accuracy. Copeptin, the C-terminal of the AVP precursor, is released in equal amounts with AVP, making it a sensitive marker of AVP release. Despite being a non-specific biomarker, copeptin earned a lot of attention as a novel biomarker due to easy and quick laboratory measurements. Recent studies have reported the critical role of copeptin as a clinical indicator, especially in the diagnosis and prognosis of many diseases. Besides, it was reported that the combination between copeptin and gold standard biomarkers improved the prognostic values of those biomarkers. In this review, the role of copeptin as a new predictive diagnostic and prognostic biomarker of various diseases is highlighted according to the most recent studies. In addition, the importance of using copeptin as a marker in different medical departments and the impact of this on improving healthcare service was discussed.

Pharmacologic Management of Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is the most common genetic kidney disorder and the fourth leading cause of end-stage kidney disease. ADPKD encompasses a wide range of morbidity in addition to chronic kidney disease and end-stage kidney disease, and its pathogenesis remains incompletely understood. Progress in the management of this condition includes the 2018 FDA approval of tolvaptan as the only mechanism-specific treatment available for individuals at risk of rapid progression. Assessing the risk of rapid progression is discussed at greater length in a separate article in this special issue. This section will address use and prescription of tolvaptan in more detail and address other therapies that may be considered in the treatment of patients with ADPKD.

Biomarkers in Polycystic Kidney Disease: Are We There?

This article describes the use of prognostic, predictive, and response biomarkers that have been developed for autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease and their use in clinical care or drug development. We focus on biochemical markers that can be assayed in patients' blood and urine and their association with the outcome of decreased glomerular filtration rate. There have been several studies on prognostic biomarkers. The most promising ones have been markers of tubular injury, inflammation, metabolism, or the vasopressin-urinary concentration axis. So far, none have been shown to be superior to kidney volume-based biomarkers. Several biomarkers are additive to kidney volume and genotype in prognostic models, but there have been few direct comparisons between the biochemical markers to identify the best ones. Moreover, there is a lack of uniformity in the statistical tools used to assess and compare biomarkers. There have been few reports of predictive and response biomarkers, and none are suitable surrogate endpoints. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration's Biomarker Qualification Program provides a regulatory pathway to approve biomarkers for use across multiple drug-development programs.

Drug Development in Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease: Opportunities and Challenges

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is a hereditary disorder characterized by relentless growth of innumerable renal cysts bilaterally, associated with decline in glomerular filtration rate over the course of decades. The burden of ADPKD and its treatment is associated with a significant economic and societal cost. Despite several clinical studies conducted over the past decade, only one treatment has been approved by regulatory agencies to slow disease progression in ADPKD. Elucidating feasible endpoints and clear regulatory pathway may stimulate interest in developing and translating novel therapeutics. This review summarizes the recent progress, challenges, and opportunities in drug development for ADPKD. We discuss the traditional and accelerated regulatory approval pathways, the various clinical trials endpoints, and biomarkers in ADPKD. Furthermore, we propose strategies that could optimize the clinical trial design in ADPKD. Finally, we owe it to our ADPKD patient community to strive for international collaborative studies geared toward discovery and validation of surrogate endpoints and to rally for funded infrastructure that would allow phase 3 master protocols in ADPKD. These advances will serve to derisk and potentially accelerate the development of therapies and eventually bring hope to patients and families who endure through this devastating disease.

The role of copeptin in kidney disease

Copeptin is a 39-amino acid glycopeptide that is secreted equimolecularly with arginine-vasopressin (AVP) from the prepro-hormone AVP in the posterior pituitary. While AVP is a very unstable molecule and is accompanied by significant technical troubles in its quantification, copeptin is a stable and easily quantifiable molecule. For this reason, circulating copeptin is currently used as a surrogate for AVP in different pathological conditions, including renal diseases. In recent years it has been shown that copeptin is associated with an increased risk of developing chronic kidney disease in the general population. In addition, copeptin has also been associated with multiple renal diseases with relevant clinical consequences and potential therapeutic implications. In the present review, we update and summarize the clinical significance of copeptin as a surrogate marker for AVP concentrations in different kidney diseases, as well as in renal replacement therapy (hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis) and renal transplantation.

Vaptans or voluntary increased hydration to protect the kidney: how do they compare?

The adverse effects of vasopressin (AVP) in diverse forms of chronic kidney disease have been well described. They depend on the antidiuretic action of AVP mediated by V2 receptors (V2R). Tolvaptan, a selective V2R antagonist, is now largely used for the treatment of patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease. Another way to reduce the adverse effects of AVP is to reduce endogenous AVP secretion by a voluntary increase in fluid intake. These two approaches differ in several ways, including the level of thirst and AVP. With voluntary increased drinking, plasma osmolality will decline and so will AVP secretion. Thus, not only will V2R-mediated effects be reduced, but also those mediated by V1a and V1b receptors (V1aR and V1bR). In contrast, selective V2R antagonism will induce a loss of fluid that will stimulate AVP secretion and thus increase AVP's influence on V1a and V1b receptors. V1aR is expressed in the luminal side of the collecting duct (CD) and in inner medullary interstitial cells, and their activation induces the production of prostaglandins, mostly prostaglandin E2 (PGE2). Intrarenal PGE2 has been shown to reduce sodium and water reabsorption in the CD and increase blood flow in the renal medulla, both effects contributing to increase sodium and water excretion and reduce urine-concentrating activity. Conversely, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs have been shown to induce significant water and sodium retention and potentiate the antidiuretic effects of AVP. Thus, during V2R antagonism, V1aR-mediated actions may be responsible for part of the diuresis observed with this drug. These V1aR-dependent effects do not take place with a voluntary increase in fluid intake. In summary, while both strategies may have beneficial effects, the information reviewed here leads us to assume that pharmacological V2R antagonism, with resulting stimulation of V1aR and increased PGE2 production, may provide greater benefit than voluntary high water intake. The influence of tolvaptan on the PGE2 excretion rate and the possibility to use somewhat lower tolvaptan doses than presently prescribed remain to be evaluated.

Review novel insights into the diagnostic and prognostic function of copeptin in daily clinical practice

As is shown in previous reports, arginine vasopressin (AVP), as one of the most important hormones within circulation in human beings, is of great clinically significance given that it could maintain the body fluid balance and vascular tone. However, the laboratory measurements AVP in daily clinical practice are shown to be difficult and with low accuracy. Concerning on this notion, it is unpractical to use the serum levels of AVP in diagnosing multiple diseases. On the other hand, another key serum biomarker, copeptin, is confirmed as the C-terminal of the AVP precursor which could be released in equal amounts with AVP, resultantly making it as a sensitive marker of arginine vasopressin release. Notably, emerging recent evidence has demonstrated the critical function of copeptin as a clinical indicator, especially in the diagnosis and prognosis of several diseases in diverse organs, such as cardiovascular disease, kidney disease, and pulmonary disease. In addition, copeptin was recently verified to play an important role in diagnosing multiple acute diseases when combined it with other gold standard serum biomarkers, indicating that copeptin could be recognized as a vital disease marker. Herein, in the current review, the functions of copeptin as a new predictive diagnostic and prognostic biomarker of various diseases, according to the most recent studies, are well summarized. Furthermore, the importance of using copeptin as a serum biomarker in diverse medical departments and the impact of this on improving healthcare service is also summarized in the current review.

Polycystic Kidney Disease Drug Development: A Conference Report

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is part of a spectrum of inherited diseases that also includes autosomal recessive polycystic kidney disease, autosomal dominant polycystic liver disease, and an expanding group of recessively inherited disorders collectively termed hepatorenal fibrocystic disorders. ADPKD is the most common monogenic disorder frequently leading to chronic kidney failure with an estimated prevalence of 12 million people worldwide. Currently, only one drug (tolvaptan) has been approved by regulatory agencies as disease-modifying therapy for ADPKD, but, given its mechanism of action and side effect profile, the need for an improved therapy for ADPKD remains a priority. Although significant regulatory progress has been made, with qualification of total kidney volume as a prognostic enrichment biomarker and its later designation as a reasonably likely surrogate endpoint for progression of ADPKD within clinical trials, further work is needed to accelerate drug development efforts for all forms of PKD. In May 2021, the PKD Outcomes Consortium at the Critical Path Institute and the PKD Foundation organized a PKD Regulatory Summit to spur conversations among patients, industry, academic, and regulatory stakeholders regarding future development of tools and drugs for ADPKD and autosomal recessive polycystic kidney disease. This Special Report reviews the key points discussed during the summit and provides future direction related to PKD drug development tools.

Attuali applicazioni della determinazione dei livelli plasmatici di copeptina in contesti non-endocrinologici

Copeptina (CT-proAVP) rappresenta l’affidabile marker di secrezione dell’arginin-vasopressina (AVP) e nella pratica clinica endocrinologica viene impiegata per la diagnosi differenziale della sindrome poliurica-polidipsica. Negli ultimi anni, tuttavia, sono state indagate applicazioni alternative di tale glicopeptide in setting differenti. In questa rassegna sono esaminate, in particolare, le sue più interessanti proposte di utilizzo in ambito cardiovascolare, infettivologico e nefrologico.

ST2 and copeptine – modern biomarkers for monitoring the effectiveness of treatment of decompensated heart failure in patients after acute myocardial infarction

The aim of the study was to increase the efficiency of diagnostic methods to find means to improve the treatment of patients with decompensated heart failure in the post-infarction period. Materials and methods. This study is based on an examination of 120 patients with decompensated HF (60 patients with STEMI and 60 with non-STEMI). Patients with previous STEMI complicated by decompensated heart failure were divided into groups, depending on their treatment. The studied groups were homogeneous in terms of age, sex, the severity of the course of the disease, duration of the post-infarction period, and the presence of clinical manifestations of decompensation. The patients were observed on the first day after hospitalization, after 1 and 2 months after treatment. Copeptin serum levels were assayed using the EK 065-32, EIA Copeptine kit (RayBiotech, Inc., USA). ST-2 in blood serum was determined with the help of the Presage ST-2 kit (Critical Diagnostics, USA). The level of ST2 was determined in ng/ml. Results. We analysed the effect of therapy on the level of ST2 in the blood serum of examined patients with STEMI and non-STEMI complicated by decompensated heart failure. All the treatment regimens we proposed led to a significant decrease in the level of this peptide in blood serum after the end of the treatment. In patients of group I who received basic therapy drugs, the average ST2 concentration was (49.47±1.77) ng/ml before treatment. After 1 and 2 months of therapy, it was (44.92±1.22) ng/ml and (41.67±1.18) ng/ml, respectively (p˂0.05). The patients with decompensated heart failure after non-STEMI from group I had a copeptin level of (18.13±0.10) pg/ml before treatment and probably decreased to levels of (16.29±0.15) pg/ml and (15.09±0.14) pg/ml after 1 and 2 months under the influence standard therapy. Conclusions. We found the dependence of copeptin and ST2 levels on decompensated HF in the early and late post-infarction periods. It was established that the use of the therapy with a combination of the studied drugs led to a more intense decrease in serum copeptin, compared to therapy with succinic acid, arginine drugs, and standard therapy (p˂0.05). Using a differentiated treatment algorithm for patients with decompensated heart failure in the post-infarction period, copeptin and ST2 in blood serum increases the effectiveness of treatment and prevents complications.

A Systematic Review of Reported Outcomes in ADPKD Studies

Introduction

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Copeptin as a Diagnostic and Prognostic Biomarker in Cardiovascular Diseases

Copeptin is the carboxyl-terminus of the arginine vasopressin (AVP) precursor peptide. The main physiological functions of AVP are fluid and osmotic balance, cardiovascular homeostasis, and regulation of endocrine stress response. Copeptin, which is released in an equimolar mode with AVP from the neurohypophysis, has emerged as a stable and simple-to-measure surrogate marker of AVP and has displayed enormous potential in clinical practice. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is currently recognized as a primary threat to the health of the population worldwide, and thus, rapid and effective approaches to identify individuals that are at high risk of, or have already developed CVD are required. Copeptin is a diagnostic and prognostic biomarker in CVD, including the rapid rule-out of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), mortality prediction in heart failure (HF), and stroke. This review summarizes and discusses the value of copeptin in the diagnosis, discrimination, and prognosis of CVD (AMI, HF, and stroke), as well as the caveats and prospects for the application of this potential biomarker.

Drugs in Clinical Development to Treat Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is characterized by progressive cyst formation that ultimately leads to kidney failure in most patients. Approximately 10% of patients who receive kidney replacement therapy suffer from ADPKD. To date, a vasopressin V2 receptor antagonist (V2RA) is the only drug that has been proven to attenuate disease progression. However, aquaresis-related adverse events limit its widespread use. Data on the renoprotective effects of somatostatin analogues differ largely between studies and medications. This review discusses new drugs that are investigated in clinical trials to treat ADPKD, such as cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) modulators and micro RNA inhibitors, and drugs already marketed for other indications that are being investigated for off-label use in ADPKD, such as metformin. In addition, potential methods to improve the tolerability of V2RAs are discussed, as well as methods to select patients with (likely) rapid disease progression and issues regarding the translation of preclinical data into clinical practice. Since ADPKD is a complex disease with a high degree of interindividual heterogeneity, and the mechanisms involved in cyst growth also have important functions in various physiological processes, it may prove difficult to develop drugs that target cyst growth without causing major adverse events. This is especially important since long-standing treatment is necessary in this chronic disease. This review therefore also discusses approaches to targeted therapy to minimize systemic side effects. Hopefully, these developments will advance the treatment of ADPKD.

Approach to the Patient: "Utility of the Copeptin Assay"

Copeptin derives from the same precursor peptide preprovasopressin as arginine vasopressin (AVP). The secretion of both peptides is stimulated by similar physiological processes, such as osmotic stimulation, hypovolemia, or stress. AVP is difficult to measure due to complex preanalytical requirements and due to technical difficulties. In the last years, copeptin was found to be a stable, sensitive, and simple to measure surrogate marker of AVP release. Different immunoassays exist to measure copeptin. The 2 assays which have most often be used in clinical studies are the original sandwich immunoluminometric assay and its automated immunofluorescent successor. In addition, various enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay have been developed. With the availability of the copeptin assay, the differential diagnosis of diabetes insipidus was recently revisited. The goal for this article is therefore to first review the physiology of copeptin, and second to describe its use as marker for the differential diagnosis of vasopressin-dependent fluid disorders, mainly diabetes insipidus but also hyper- and hyponatremia. Furthermore, we highlight the role of copeptin as prognostic marker in other acute and chronic diseases.

Water - A life-giving toxin - A nephrological oxymoron. Health consequences of water and sodium balance disorders. A review article

BACKGROUND

This article aims to reveal misconceptions about methods of assessment of hydration status and impact of the water disorders on the progression of kidney disease or renal dysfunction.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The PubMed database was searched for reviews, meta-analyses and original articles on hydration, volume depletion, fluid overload and diagnostic methods of hydration status, which were published in English.

RESULTS

Based on the results of available literature the relationship between the amount of fluid consumed, and the rate of progression of chronic kidney disease, autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease, and kidney stones disease was discussed. Selected aspects of the assessment of the hydration level in clinical practice based on physical examination, laboratory tests, and imaging are presented. The subject of in-hospital fluid therapy is discussed. Based on available randomized studies, an attempt was made to assess, which fluids should be selected for intravenous treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

There is some evidence for the beneficial effect of increased water intake in preventing recurrent cystitis and kidney stones, but there are still no convincing data for chronic kidney disease and autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease. Further studies are needed to clarify the aforementioned issues and establish a reliable way to assess the volemia and perform suitable fluid therapy.

Functional Reserve of the Kidney

An exploration of the normal limits of physiologic responses and how these responses are lost when the kidney is injured rarely occurs in clinical practice. However, the differences between "resting" and "stressed" responses identify an adaptive reactiveness that is diminished before baseline function is impaired. This functional reserve is important in the evaluation of prognosis and progression of kidney disease. Here, we discuss stress tests that examine protein-induced hyperfiltration, proximal tubular secretion, urea-selective concentration defects, and acid retention. We discuss diseases in which these tests have been used to diagnose subclinical injury. The study and follow-up of abnormal functional reserve may add considerable understanding to the natural history of CKD.

Initial decline in eGFR to predict tolvaptan response in autosomal-dominant polycystic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

Tolvaptan, a vasopressin V2 receptor antagonist, is used to treat autosomal-dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD). Although tolvaptan curbs disease progression, a few reports have examined factors related to treatment response. The estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decreases soon after tolvaptan is initiated. We investigated whether initial eGFR decline affects renal prognosis of patients.

METHODS

This was a single-center, retrospective observational cohort study. Eighty-three patients with ADPKD who initiated tolvaptan were selected. We analyzed the relationship of the initial eGFR change with clinical parameters and analyzed the annual eGFR change in terms of renal prognostic value using univariable and multivariable linear regression analyses.

RESULTS

The initial eGFR change was - 4.6 ± 8.0%/month. The initial eGFR change correlated significantly with the annual eGFR change in multivariable analysis, suggesting that the larger decline in the initial eGFR change, the better the renal prognosis. Furthermore, the change in fractional excretion (FE) of free water (FEH₂O) correlated positively with initial eGFR change. FEH₂O and urea nitrogen FE (FEUN) increased significantly; however, sodium FE (FENa) level remained unchanged. In approximately half of the patients, FENa unexpectedly decreased.

CONCLUSIONS

The initial eGFR decline might be caused by suppressing glomerular hyperfiltration, due to the pharmacological effect of tolvaptan, and/or by reducing renal plasma flow, due to potential volume depletion. The initial eGFR change reflects the tolvaptan effect, can be easily evaluated in clinical practice, and may be useful as one of the clinical indicator for predicting renal prognosis in patients under tolvaptan.

Long-Term Outcomes of Longitudinal Efficacy Study With Tolvaptan in ADPKD

Introduction

The effects of long-term and uninterrupted tolvaptan treatment on autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) are unclear. Therefore, a more than 3-year continuous treatment study was performed.

Methods

From the Kyorin University cohort, 299 patients were surveyed and 179 patients were indicated for tolvaptan having a total kidney volume (TKV) ≥750 ml, TKV slope ≥5%/yr, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥15 ml/min per 1.73 m². Among 179 patients, 118 patients consented to the study.

Results

Retrospective pretreatment and prospective on-treatment periods had a median of 1.8 and 4.0 years, respectively. During the 5 treatment-years, the log₁₀(TKV) slope/yr decreased from the pretreatment period (P < 0.0001) and the estimated height-adjusted TKV growth rate α (eHTKV-α, %/yr) decreased from baseline (P < 0.0001). The decline in eGFR improved in female patients (P < 0.0001), but not in males (P = 0.6321). Furthermore, during the 5 treatment-years, eGFR remained significantly better in the group with a percent decrease in eHTKV-α from baseline to the first treatment-year ≥ the median (2.94%) than in the group with a decrease <2.94%. The free-water clearance was higher in males than in females irrespective of treatment.

Conclusion

The TKV growth rate decreased in 4 years with tolvaptan in both sexes. The insignificant effects of tolvaptan on the eGFR slope in males were likely due to androgen stimulation of cystogenesis and analytical difficulty of longitudinal changes in nonlinear trajectories of eGFR. The larger decrease in eHTKV-α in the first year was related to a better renal prognosis. The vasopressin-mediated water reabsorption was activated more in females than males irrespective of tolvaptan administration.

MODY5 Hepatocyte Nuclear Factor 1ß (HNF1ß)-Associated Nephropathy: experience from a regional monogenic diabetes referral centre in Singapore

From our monogenic diabetes registry set-up at a secondary-care diabetes center, we identified a nontrivial subpopulation (~15%) of maturity-onset diabetes of the young (MODY) among people with young-onset diabetes. In this report, we describe the diagnostic caveats, clinical features and long-term renal-trajectory of people with HNF1B mutations (HNF1B-MODY). Between 2013 and 2020, we received 267 referrals to evaluate MODY from endocrinologists in both public and private practice. Every participant was subjected to a previously reported structured evaluation process, high-throughput nucleotide sequencing and gene-dosage analysis. Out of 40 individuals with confirmed MODY, 4 (10%) had HNF1B-MODY (harboring either a HNF1B whole-gene deletion or duplication). Postsequencing follow-up biochemical and radiological evaluations revealed the known HNF1B-MODY associated systemic-features, such as transaminitis and structural renal-lesions. These anomalies could have been missed without prior knowledge of the nucleotide-sequencing results. Interestingly, preliminary longitudinal observation (up to 15 years) suggested possibly 2 distinct patterns of renal-deterioration (albuminuric vs. nonalbuminuric chronic kidney disease). Monogenic diabetes like HNF1B-MODY may be missed among young-onset diabetes in a resource-limited routine-care clinic. Collaboration with a MODY-evaluation center may fill the care-gap. The long-term renal-trajectories of HNF1B-MODY will require further studies by dedicated registries and international consortium.

Prescribed Water Intake in Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease

Prescribed Water Intake in Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease The effect of increased water intake on kidney cyst growth in patients with polycystic kidney disease was compared for two groups randomly assigned to either prescribed or ad libitum water intake. Over 3 years, there was no difference in height-corrected total kidney volume between the groups.

The wind of change in the management of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease in childhood

Significant progress has been made in understanding the genetic basis of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD), quantifying disease manifestations in children, exploring very-early onset ADPKD as well as pharmacological delay of disease progression in adults. At least 20% of children with ADPKD have relevant, yet mainly asymptomatic disease manifestations such as hypertension or proteinuria (in line with findings in adults with ADPKD, where hypertension and cardiovascular damage precede decline in kidney function). We propose an algorithm for work-up and management based on current recommendations that integrates the need to screen regularly for hypertension and proteinuria in offspring of affected parents with different options regarding diagnostic testing, which need to be discussed with the family with regard to ethical and practical aspects. Indications and scope of genetic testing are discussed. Pharmacological management includes renin-angiotensin system blockade as first-line therapy for hypertension and proteinuria. The vasopressin receptor antagonist tolvaptan is licensed for delaying disease progression in adults with ADPKD who are likely to experience kidney failure. A clinical trial in children is currently ongoing; however, valid prediction models to identify children likely to suffer kidney failure are lacking. Non-pharmacological interventions in this population also deserve further study.

Copeptin and renal function decline, cardiovascular events and mortality in type 1 diabetes

BACKGROUND

Plasma copeptin is a surrogate of arginine vasopressin (AVP) secretion and is associated with a risk of renal and cardiovascular disease. We investigated associations between copeptin and renal events, cardiovascular events and mortality in type 1 diabetes (T1D).

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study on 658 individuals with T1D from Steno Diabetes Center Copenhagen. Plasma copeptin concentrations and conventional risk factors were assessed at baseline. The five endpoints were traced through national registries and electronic laboratory records.

RESULTS

Baseline mean age was 55 ± 13 years and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 81 ± 26 mL/min/1.73 m2. The median follow-up was 6.2 years (interquartile range 5.8-6.7); 123 participants reached a combined renal endpoint [decline in eGFR ≥30%, end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) or all-cause mortality], 93 had a decrease in eGFR ≥30%, 21 developed ESKD, 94 experienced a combined cardiovascular endpoint and 58 died from all causes. Higher copeptin was associated with all endpoints in unadjusted Cox regression analyses. Upon adjustment for baseline eGFR, the associations were attenuated and remained significant only for the combined renal endpoint and decrease in eGFR ≥30%. Results were similar upon further adjustment for other risk factors, after which hazard ratios for the two renal endpoints were 2.27 (95% confidence interval 1.08-4.74) and 4.49 (1.77-11.4), respectively, for the highest versus the lowest quartile of copeptin.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher copeptin was an independent risk marker for a combined renal endpoint and decline in renal function. AVP may be a marker of renal damage or a factor whose contribution to renal and cardiovascular risk is partially mediated by renal damage.

The association of glucagon with disease severity and progression in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease: an observational cohort study

Background

Mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) inhibitors and ketogenesis have been shown to ameliorate disease progression in experimental autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD). Glucagon is known to lower mTOR activity and stimulate ketogenesis. We hypothesized that in ADPKD patients, higher endogenous glucagon is associated with less disease severity and progression.

Methods

Data were analysed from 664 Dutch ADPKD patients participating in the Developing Intervention Strategies to Halt Progression of ADPKD observational cohort, including patients >18 years of age with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m² and excluding patients with concomitant diseases or medication use that may impact the natural course of ADPKD. The association between glucagon and disease severity and progression was tested using multivariate linear regression and mixed modelling, respectively.

Results

The median glucagon concentration was 5.0 pmol/L [interquartile range (IQR) 3.4-7.2) and differed significantly between females and males [4.3 pmol/L (IQR 2.9-6.0) and 6.6 (4.5-9.5), P < 0.001, respectively]. Intrasubject stability of glucagon in 30 patients showed a strong correlation (Pearson's correlation coefficient 0.893; P < 0.001). Moreover, glucagon showed significant associations with known determinants (sex, body mass index and copeptin; all P < 0.01) and known downstream effects (glucose, haemoglobin A1c and cholesterol; all P < 0.05), suggesting that glucagon was measured reliably. Cross-sectionally, glucagon was associated with eGFR and height-adjusted total kidney volume, but in the opposite direction of our hypothesis, and these lost significance after adjustment for confounders. Glucagon was not associated with an annual decline in kidney function or growth in kidney volume.

Conclusions

These data do not provide evidence for a role of endogenous glucagon as a protective hormone in ADPKD. Intervention studies are needed to determine the relation between glucagon and ADPKD.

An update on the use of tolvaptan for ADPKD: Consensus statement on behalf of the ERA Working Group on Inherited Kidney Disorders (WGIKD), the European Rare Kidney Disease Reference Network (ERKNet) and Polycystic Kidney Disease International (PKD-International)

Approval of the vasopressin V2 receptor antagonist tolvaptan—based on the landmark TEMPO 3:4 trial—marked a transformation in the management of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD). This development has advanced patient care in ADPKD from general measures to prevent progression of chronic kidney disease to targeting disease-specific mechanisms. However, considering the long-term nature of this treatment, as well as potential side effects, evidence-based approaches to initiate treatment only in patients with rapidly progressing disease are crucial. In 2016, the position statement issued by the European Renal Association (ERA) was the first society-based recommendation on the use of tolvaptan and has served as a widely used decision-making tool for nephrologists. Since then, considerable practical experience regarding the use of tolvaptan in ADPKD has accumulated. More importantly, additional data from REPRISE, a second randomized clinical trial (RCT) examining the use of tolvaptan in later-stage disease, have added important evidence to the field, as have post hoc studies of these RCTs. To incorporate this new knowledge, we provide an updated algorithm to guide patient selection for treatment with tolvaptan and add practical advice for its use.

Arginine vasopressin and pathophysiology of COVID-19: An innovative perspective

In Covid-19, systemic disturbances may progress due to development of cytokine storm and dysregulation of and plasma osmolarility due to high release of pro-inflammatory cytokines and neuro-hormonal disorders. Arginine vasopressin (AVP) which is involve in the regulation of body osmotic system, body water content, blood pressure and plasma volume, that are highly disturbed in Covid-19 and linked with poor clinical outcomes. Therefore, this present study aimed to find the potential association between AVP serum level and inflammatory disorders in Covid-19. It has been observed by different recent studies that physiological response due to fever, pain, hypovolemia, dehydration, and psychological stress is characterized by activation release of AVP to counter-balance high blood viscosity in Covid-19 patients. In addition, activated immune cells mainly T and B lymphocytes and released pro-inflammatory cytokines stimulate discharge of stored AVP from immune cells, which in a vicious cycle trigger release of pro-inflammatory cytokines. Vasopressin receptor antagonists have antiviral and anti-inflammatory effects that may inhibit AVP-induced hyponatremia and release of pro-inflammatory cytokines in Covid-19. In conclusion, release of AVP from hypothalamus is augmented in Covid-19 due to stress, high pro-inflammatory cytokines, high circulating AngII and inhibition of GABAergic neurons. In turn, high AVP level leads to induction of hyponatremia, inflammatory disorders, and development of complications in Covid-19 by activation of NF-κB and NLRP3 inflammasome with release of pro-inflammatory cytokines. Therefore, AVP antagonists might be novel potential therapeutic modality in treating Covid-19 through mitigation of AVP-mediated inflammatory disorders and hyponatremia.

The effect of trichlormethiazide in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease patients receiving tolvaptan: a randomized crossover controlled trial

The vasopressin V2 receptor antagonist tolvaptan delays the progression of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD). However, some patients discontinue tolvaptan because of severe adverse aquaretic events. This open-label, randomized, controlled, counterbalanced, crossover trial investigated the effects of trichlormethiazide, a thiazide diuretic, in patients with ADPKD receiving tolvaptan (n = 10) who randomly received antihypertensive therapy with or without trichlormethiazide for 12 weeks. The primary and secondary outcomes included amount and osmolarity of 24-h urine and health-related quality-of-life (HRQOL) parameters assessed by the Kidney Disease Quality of Life-Short Form questionnaire, renal function slope, and plasma/urinary biomarkers associated with disease progression. There was a significant reduction in urine volume (3348 ± 584 vs. 4255 ± 739 mL; P < 0.001) and a significant increase in urinary osmolarity (182.5 ± 38.1 vs. 141.5 ± 38.1 mOsm; P = 0.001) in patients treated with trichlormethiazide. Moreover, trichlormethiazide improved the following HRQOL subscales: effects of kidney disease, sleep, emotional role functioning, social functioning, and role/social component summary. No significant differences were noted in renal function slope or plasma/urinary biomarkers between patients treated with and without trichlormethiazide. In patients with ADPKD treated with tolvaptan, trichlormethiazide may improve tolvaptan tolerability and HRQOL parameters.

Plasma Renin Activity Predicts Prognosis and Liver Disease-Related Events in Liver Cirrhosis Patients with Ascites Treated by Tolvaptan

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

A retrospective study was to analyze the association of plasma renin activity (PRA) with overall survival and liver disease-related events in decompensated liver cirrhosis with ascites treated by tolvaptan.

METHODS

We included 196 patients with decompensated cirrhosis treated with tolvaptan and for whom hepatic ascites had remained uncontrolled by conventional diuretics. Factors associated with prognosis and appearance of liver disease-related events were investigated, including vasopressin, sympathetic nervous system hormones (adrenaline, noradrenaline, and dopamine), and the renin-angiotensin system (PRA and aldosterone) at the beginning of tolvaptan treatment.

RESULTS

Age, history of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and PRA were identified as independent factors for prognosis after tolvaptan treatment. The median survival time in patients with PRA ≥9.5 ng/mL/h at the beginning of tolvaptan treatment was significantly shorter than in patients with PRA <9.5 ng/mL/h (193 vs. 893 days, p < 0.001). PRA and a history of HCC were independent factors for the occurrence of liver disease-related events. The median event-free period in patients with PRA ≥3.2 ng/mL/h was significantly shorter than that of patients with PRA <3.2 ng/mL/h (89 vs. 222 days, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

PRA is an independent predictor of prognosis and appearance of liver disease-related events in patients with decompensated cirrhosis who have started tolvaptan treatment.

The Effect of Tolvaptan on BP in Polycystic Kidney Disease: A Post Hoc Analysis of the TEMPO 3:4 Trial

BACKGROUND

The V2 receptor antagonist tolvaptan is prescribed to patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease to slow disease progression. Tolvaptan may alter BP via various acute and chronic effects.

METHODS

To investigate the magnitude and time course of the effect of tolvaptan use on BP, we conducted a post hoc study of the TEMPO 3:4 trial, which included 1445 patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease randomized 2:1 to tolvaptan or placebo for 3 years. We evaluated systolic and diastolic BP, mean arterial pressure, hypertension status, and use and dosing of antihypertensive drugs over the course of the trial.

RESULTS

At baseline, BP did not differ between study arms. After 3 weeks of tolvaptan use, mean body weight had decreased from 79.7 to 78.8 kg, and mean plasma sodium increased from 140.4 to 142.6 mmol/L (both P<0.001), suggesting a decrease in circulating volume. We observed none of these changes in the placebo arm. Nonetheless, BP remained similar in the study arms. After 3 years of treatment, however, mean systolic BP was significantly lower in participants receiving tolvaptan versus placebo (126 versus 129 mm Hg, respectively; P=0.002), as was mean diastolic BP (81.2 versus 82.6 mm Hg, respectively; P=0.01). These differences leveled off at follow-up 3 weeks after discontinuation of the study medication. Use of antihypertensive drugs remained similar in both study arms during the entire study.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term treatment with tolvaptan gradually lowered BP compared with placebo, which may be attributed to a beneficial effect on disease progression, a continued natriuretic effect, or both.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRY NAME AND REGISTRATION NUMBER

TEMPO 3:4, NCT00428948.

Overweight and Obesity and Progression of ADPKD

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

On the basis of earlier observations, we evaluated the association between overweight and obesity and rapid progression of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease in participants in the Tolvaptan Efficacy and Safety in Management of Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease and Its Outcomes (TEMPO) 3:4 trial. More importantly, we also determined whether efficacy of tolvaptan was attenuated in individuals with baseline overweight or obesity.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

A total of 1312 study participants with relatively early-stage autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (mean eGFR 78±22 ml/min per 1.73 m²) who were at high risk of rapid progression were categorized by body mass index (BMI; calculated using nonkidney weight) as normal weight (18.5-24.9 kg/m²; n=670), overweight (25.0-29.9 kg/m²; n=429), or obese (≥30 kg/m²; n=213). Linear and multinomial logistic regression models were used to determine the association of baseline overweight and obesity with change in total kidney volume (TKV) over the 3-year study period.

RESULTS

In fully adjusted models, higher BMI was associated with greater annual percent change in TKV (difference of 1.20 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 0.85 to 1.55] per five-unit higher BMI). Overweight and obesity were associated with higher odds of annual percent change in TKV of ≥7% versus <5% (overweight: odds ratio, 2.04 [95% CI, 1.45 to 2.87]; obese: odds ratio, 4.31 [95% CI, 2.83 to 6.57] versus normal weight). eGFR decline did not differ according to BMI (fully adjusted difference in decline of -0.95 [95% CI, -2.32 to 0.40] ml/min per 1.73 m² per year per five-unit higher BMI). The three-way interaction (treatment×time×BMI group) was not statistically significant in linear mixed models with an outcome of TKV (log-transformed estimated coefficient comparing the treatment effect for overweight versus normal weight: 0.56% [95% CI, -0.70% to 1.84%] per year; P=0.38; obese versus normal weight: 0.07% [95% CI, -1.47% to 1.63%] per year; P=0.93) or eGFR (estimated coefficient comparing overweight versus normal weight: -0.07 [95% CI, -0.95 to 0.82] ml/min per 1.73 m² per year; P=0.88; obese versus normal weight: 0.22 [95% CI, -0.93 to 1.36] ml/min per 1.73 m² per year; P=0.71).

CONCLUSIONS

Overweight and particularly obesity are strongly and independently associated with kidney growth, but not eGFR slope, in the TEMPO 3:4 trial, and tolvaptan efficacy is irrespective of BMI categorization.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRY NAME AND REGISTRATION NUMBER

Tolvaptan Efficacy and Safety in Management of Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease and Its Outcomes (TEMPO) 3:4, NCT00428948.

Urine concentrating defect as presenting sign of progressive renal failure in Bardet-Biedl syndrome patients

BACKGROUND

Urine concentrating defect is a common dysfunction in ciliopathies, even though its underlying mechanism and its prognostic meaning are largely unknown. This study assesses renal function in a cohort of 54 Bardet-Biedl syndrome (BBS) individuals and analyses whether renal hyposthenuria is the result of specific tubule dysfunction and predicts renal disease progression.

METHODS

The estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), urine albumin:creatinine ratio (ACR) and maximum urine osmolality (max-Uosm) were measured in all patients. Genetic analysis was conducted in 43 patients. Annual eGFR decline (ΔeGFR) was measured in patients with a median follow-up period of 6.5 years. Urine aquaporin-2 (uAQP2) excretion was measured and the furosemide test was performed in patients and controls.

RESULTS

At baseline, 33 (61.1%), 12 (22.2%) and 9 (16.7%) patients showed an eGFR >90, 60-90 and <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, respectively; 27.3% showed an ACR >30 mg/g and 55.8% of patients showed urine concentrating defect in the absence of renal insufficiency. Baseline eGFR, but not max-Uosm, correlated negatively with age. Conversely, truncating mutations affected max-Uosm and showed a trend towards a reduction in eGFR. Max-Uosm correlated with ΔeGFR (P < 0.005), suggesting that urine concentrating defect may predict disease progression. uAQP2 excretion and Na+ and Cl- fractional excretion after furosemide did not differ between hyposthenuric patients and controls, suggesting that specific collecting duct and thick ascending limb dysfunctions are unlikely to play a central role in the pathogenesis of hyposthenuria.

CONCLUSIONS

Hyposthenuria is a warning sign predicting poor renal outcome in BBS. The pathophysiology of this defect is most likely beyond defective tubular function.

Higher volume of water intake is associated with lower risk of albuminuria and chronic kidney disease

Increased water intake correlated to lower vasopressin level and may benefit kidney function. However, results of previous studies were conflicted and inconclusive. We aimed to investigate the association between water intake and risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and albuminuria.In this cross-sectional study, the study population were adult participants of 2011-2012 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) whose estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were ≥30 ml/min/1.73 m2. Data of water intake were obtained from the NHANES 24-h dietary recall questionnaire. Participants were divided into three groups based on volume of water intake: <500 (low, n = 1589), ≥500 to <1200 (moderate, n = 1359), and ≥1200 ml/day (high, n = 1685). CKD was defined as eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m2, and albuminuria as albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) ≥30 mg/g.Our results showed that 377 out of 4633 participants had CKD; the prevalence inversely correlated to volume of water intake: 10.7% in low, 8.2% in moderate, and 5.6% in high intake groups (P < .001). Prevalence of albuminuria was also lower in high (9.5%) compared with moderate (12.8%) and low intake groups (14.1%), P < .001. Additionally, water intake positively correlated to eGFR and negatively correlated to urinary ACR, as well as plasma and urine osmolality. Multivariable logistic regression showed that low water intake group had higher risk of CKD (OR 1.35, 95% CI 1.01-1.82) and albuminuria when compared to high water intake group (OR 1.42, 95% CI 1.13-1.79).In conclusion, increased water intake was associated lower risk of CKD and albuminuria. Meticulous studies are needed to elucidate the underlying mechanisms.

Enhanced MCP-1 Release in Early Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease

Introduction

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) causes kidney failure typically in adulthood, but the disease starts in utero. Copeptin, epidermal growth factor (EGF), and monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1) are associated with severity and hold prognostic value in adults but remain unstudied in the early disease stage. Kidneys from adults with ADPKD exhibit macrophage infiltration, and a prominent role of MCP-1 secretion by tubular epithelial cells is suggested from rodent models.

Methods

In a cross-sectional study, plasma copeptin, urinary EGF, and urinary MCP-1 were evaluated in a pediatric ADPKD cohort and compared with age-, sex-, and body mass index (BMI)-matched healthy controls. MCP-1 was studied in mouse collecting duct cells, human proximal tubular cells, and fetal kidney tissue.

Results

Fifty-three genotyped ADPKD patients and 53 controls were included. The mean (SD) age was 10.4 (5.9) versus 10.5 (6.1) years (P = 0.543), and the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 122.7 (39.8) versus 114.5 (23.1) ml/min per 1.73 m² (P = 0.177) in patients versus controls, respectively. Plasma copeptin and EGF secretion were comparable between groups. The median (interquartile range) urinary MCP-1 (pg/mg creatinine) was significantly higher in ADPKD patients (185.4 [213.8]) compared with controls (154.7 [98.0], P = 0.010). Human proximal tubular cells with a heterozygous PKD1 mutation and mouse collecting duct cells with a PKD1 knockout exhibited increased MCP-1 secretion. Human fetal ADPKD kidneys displayed prominent MCP-1 immunoreactivity and M2 macrophage infiltration.

Conclusion

An increase in tubular MCP-1 secretion is an early event in ADPKD. MCP-1 is an early disease severity marker and a potential treatment target.

Assessing Risk of Rapid Progression in Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease and Special Considerations for Disease-Modifying Therapy

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is the most common inherited cause of kidney failure, accounting for 5%-10% of cases. Predicting which patients with ADPKD will progress rapidly to kidney failure is critical to assess the risk-benefit ratio of any intervention and to consider early initiation of long-term kidney protective measures that will maximize the cumulative benefit of slowing disease progression. Surrogate prognostic biomarkers are required to predict future decline in kidney function. Clinical, genetic, environmental, epigenetic, and radiologic factors have been studied as predictors of progression to kidney failure in ADPKD. A complex interaction of these prognostic factors determines the number of kidney cysts and their growth rates, which affect total kidney volume (TKV). Age-adjusted TKV, represented by the Mayo imaging classification, estimates each patient's unique rate of kidney growth and provides the most individualized approach available clinically so far. Tolvaptan has been approved to slow disease progression in patients at risk of rapidly progressive disease. Several other disease-modifying treatments are being studied in clinical trials. Selection criteria for patients at risk of rapid progression vary widely among countries and are based on a combination of age, baseline glomerular filtration rate (GFR), GFR slope, baseline TKV, and TKV rate of growth. This review details the approach in assessing the risk of disease progression in ADPKD and identifying patients who would benefit from long-term therapy with disease-modifying agents.

Preservation of kidney function irrelevant of total kidney volume growth rate with tolvaptan treatment in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease

Background

Tolvaptan slowed the rates of total kidney volume (TKV) growth and renal function decline over a 3-year period in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) enrolled in the Tolvaptan Efficacy and Safety in Management of Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease and Its Outcomes (TEMPO) 3:4 trial (NCT00428948). In this post hoc analysis of Japanese patients from TEMPO 3:4, we evaluated whether the effects of tolvaptan on TKV and on renal function are interrelated.

Methods

One hundred and forty-seven Japanese patients from TEMPO 3:4 were included in this analysis (placebo, n = 55; tolvaptan, n = 92). Tolvaptan-treated patients were stratified into the responder group (n = 37), defined as tolvaptan-treated patients with a net decrease in TKV from baseline to year 3, and the non-responder group (n = 55), defined as tolvaptan-treated patients with a net increase in TKV.

Results

Mean changes during follow-up in the placebo, responder, and non-responder groups were 16.99%, − 8.33%, and 13.95%, respectively, for TKV and − 12.61, − 8.47, and − 8.58 mL/min/1.73 m², respectively, for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Compared with the placebo group, eGFR decline was significantly slowed in both the responder and non-responder groups (P < 0.05).

Conclusion

Tolvaptan was effective in slowing eGFR decline, regardless of TKV response, over 3 years in patients with ADPKD in Japan. Treatment with tolvaptan may have beneficial effects on slowing of renal function decline even in patients who have not experienced a reduction in the rate of TKV growth by treatment with tolvaptan.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10157-020-02009-0.

Magnetic Resonance Kidney Parenchyma-T2 as a Novel Imaging Biomarker for Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease

OBJECTIVE

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is a chronic progressive disorder with a significant disease burden leading to end-stage renal disease in more than 75% of the affected individuals. Although prediction of disease progression is highly important, all currently available biomarkers-including height-adjusted total kidney volume (htTKV)-have important drawbacks in the everyday clinical setting. Thus, the purpose of this study was to evaluate T2 mapping as a source of easily obtainable and accurate biomarkers, which are needed for improved patient counseling and selection of targeted treatment options.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 139 ADPKD patients from The German ADPKD Tolvaptan Treatment Registry and 10 healthy controls underwent magnetic resonance imaging on a clinical 1.5-T system including acquisition of a Gradient-Echo-Spin-Echo T2 mapping sequence. The ADPKD patients were divided into 3 groups according to kidney cyst fraction (0%-35%, 36%-70%, >70%) as a surrogate marker for disease severity. The htTKV was calculated based on standard T2-weighted imaging. Mean T2 relaxation times of both kidneys (kidney-T2) as well as T2 relaxation times of the residual kidney parenchyma (parenchyma-T2) were measured on the T2 maps.

RESULTS

Calculation of parenchyma-T2 was 6- to 10-fold faster than determination of htTKV and kidney-T2 (0.78 ± 0.14 vs 4.78 ± 1.17 minutes, P < 0.001; 0.78 ± 0.14 vs 7.59 ± 1.57 minutes, P < 0.001). Parenchyma-T2 showed a similarly strong correlation to cyst fraction (r = 0.77, P < 0.001) as kidney-T2 (r = 0.76, P < 0.001), the strongest correlation to the serum-derived biomarker copeptin (r = 0.37, P < 0.001), and allowed for the most distinct separation of patient groups divided according to cyst fraction. In contrast, htTKV showed an only moderate correlation to cyst fraction (r = 0.48, P < 0.001). These observations were even more evident when considering only patients with preserved kidney function.

CONCLUSIONS

The rapidly assessable parenchyma-T2 shows a strong association with disease severity early in disease and is superior to htTKV when it comes to correlation with renal cyst fraction.

Estimation of Changes in Kidney Volume Growth Rate in ADPKD

Introduction

In the Mayo Imaging Classification (MIC) for autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD), the height-adjusted total kidney volume (HtTKV) growth rate is estimated for classification. Estimated HtTKV slope, termed as eHTKV-α, is calculated by the equation [HtTKV at age t] = K(1+α/100)^(t-A), where K = 150 and A = 0 are used in MIC. If eHTKV-α is nearly stable during a standard-of-care period, the change in eHTKV-α from baseline can be used for estimation of the treatment effect on the HtTKV slope.

Methods

The constancy of eHTKV-α (A = 0 and K = 150) was evaluated using 453 placebo-assigned subjects in the Tolvaptan Efficacy and Safety in Management of ADPKD and Its Outcomes (TEMPO) 3:4 trial. A and K were sought out respectively by a converged pattern of regression lines of log10(HtTKV) plotted against age for subgroups divided according to MIC, and by change in eHTKV-α from baseline. A total of 239 standard-of-care patients from the Kyorin University Cohort (KUC) served as validation. Changes in eHTKV-α from baseline were evaluated in 809 tolvaptan-treated subjects in TEMPO 3:4.

Results

In placebo-assigned subjects, eHTKV-α (A = 0 and K = 150) changed significantly from baseline at the third year. As regression lines of placebo-assigned subgroups converged around age 0, A was set as 0, which was confirmed by KUC. K = 130 was selected because of minimal change in eHTKV-α from baseline. The KUC validated the constancy of eHTKV-α (A = 0 and K = 130) but not that of eHTKV-α (A=0 and K=150). In tolvaptan-treated subjects, eHTKV-α remained significantly lower than baseline for 3 years.

Conclusions

eHTKV-α (A = 0 and K = 130) was nearly stable from baseline through follow-up in standard-of-care adults. Treatment effects on the HtTKV slope can be estimated by changes in eHTKV-α from baseline.