Circulating metabolomic markers in association with overall burden of microvascular complications in type 1 diabetes

INTRODUCTION

Diabetic retinopathy (DR), diabetic kidney disease (DKD) and distal symmetric polyneuropathy (DSPN) share common pathophysiology and pose an additive risk of early mortality.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

In adults with type 1 diabetes, 49 metabolites previously associated with either DR or DKD were assessed in relation to presence of DSPN. Metabolites overlapping in significance with presence of all three complications were assessed in relation to microvascular burden severity (additive number of complications-ie, presence of DKD±DR±DSPN) using linear regression models. Subsequently, the same metabolites were assessed with progression to endpoints: soft microvascular events (progression in albuminuria grade, ≥30% estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline, or any progression in DR grade), hard microvascular events (progression to proliferative DR, chronic kidney failure, or ≥40% eGFR decline), and hard microvascular or macrovascular events (hard microvascular events, cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, stroke, or arterial interventions), or cardiovascular mortality), using Cox models. All models were adjusted for sex, baseline age, diabetes duration, systolic blood pressure, HbA1c, body mass index, total cholesterol, smoking, and statin treatment.

RESULTS

The full cohort investigated consisted of 487 participants. Mean (SD) follow-up was 4.8 (2.9, 5.7) years. Baseline biothesiometry was available in 202 participants, comprising the cross-sectional cohort. Eight metabolites were significantly associated with presence of DR, DKD, and DSPN, and six with additive microvascular burden severity. In the full cohort longitudinal analysis, higher levels of 3,4-dihydroxybutanoic acid (DHBA), 2,4-DHBA, ribonic acid, glycine, and ribitol were associated with development of events in both crude and adjusted models. Adding 3,4-DHBA, ribonic acid, and glycine to a traditional risk factor model improved the discrimination of hard microvascular events.

CONCLUSIONS

While prospective studies directly assessing the predictive ability of these markers are needed, our results strengthen the role of clinical metabolomics in relation to risk assessment of diabetic complications in chronic type 1 diabetes.

Albuminuria-lowering effect of adding semaglutide on top of empagliflozin in individuals with type 2 diabetes: A randomized and placebo-controlled study

AIM

To investigate whether combined treatment with empagliflozin (a sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitor) and semaglutide (a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist) can reduce urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) compared to treatment with empagliflozin alone in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and albuminuria.

METHODS

We conducted a randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind, parallel study including 60 individuals with T2D and albuminuria. All participants initiated open-label empagliflozin 25 mg once daily, on top of renin-angiotensin system inhibition, in a run-in period of 26 weeks. Subsequently, participants were randomized to semaglutide or placebo 1 mg once weekly for 26 weeks. The primary endpoint was change in UACR. Secondary endpoints were change in: (i) measured glomerular filtration rate (GFR); (ii) 24-hour systolic blood pressure; (iii) glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) level; (iv) body weight; and (v) plasma renin and aldosterone levels.

RESULTS

Addition of semaglutide to empagliflozin provided no additional change in UACR from randomization to end-of-treatment. The mean (95% confidence interval) difference in UACR was -22 (-44; 10)% (P = 0.15) between treatment groups. Neither GFR, 24-hour blood pressure, body weight, nor plasma renin activity was changed with semaglutide. HbA1c (-8 [-13; -3] mmol/mol; P = 0.003) and plasma aldosterone (-30 [-50; -3] pmol/L; P = 0.035) were reduced with semaglutide compared to placebo.

CONCLUSIONS

Semaglutide added to empagliflozin did not change UACR, measured GFR, 24-hour systolic blood pressure, body weight or plasma renin levels in individuals with T2D and albuminuria. Semaglutide improved glycaemic control and plasma aldosterone levels compared to placebo.

Overall and inter-individual effect of four different drug classes on soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor in type 1 and type 2 diabetes

AIM

To evaluate the effect of four different drug classes on soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR), a biomarker active in multiple inflammatory processes and a risk factor for complications, in people with type 1 and type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

We conducted post hoc analyses of a randomized, open-label, crossover trial including 26 adults with type 1 and 40 with type 2 diabetes with urinary albumin-creatinine ratio ≥30 and ≤500 mg/g assigned to 4-week treatments with telmisartan 80 mg, empagliflozin 10 mg, linagliptin 5 mg and baricitinib 2 mg, separated by 4-week washouts. Plasma suPAR was measured before and after each treatment. SuPAR change after each treatment was calculated and, for each individual, the best suPAR-reducing drug was identified. Subsequently, the effect of the best individual drug was compared against the mean of the other three drugs. Repeated-measures linear mixed-effects models were employed.

RESULTS

The baseline median (interquartile range) plasma suPAR was 3.5 (2.9, 4.3) ng/mL. No overall effect on suPAR levels was observed for any one drug. The individual best-performing drug varied, with baricitinib being selected for 20 participants (30%), followed by empagliflozin for 19 (29%), linagliptin for 16 (24%) and telmisartan for 11 (17%). The individual best-performing drug reduced suPAR by 13.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.7, 22.8; P = 0.007). The difference in suPAR response between the individual best-performing drug and the other three was -19.7% (95% CI -23.1, -16.3; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated no overall effect of 4-week treatment with telmisartan, empagliflozin, linagliptin or baricitinib on suPAR. However, individualization of treatment might significantly reduce suPAR levels.

Derivation of an Outcome-Driven Threshold for Aortic Pulse Wave Velocity: An Individual-Participant Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Aortic pulse wave velocity (PWV) predicts cardiovascular events (CVEs) and total mortality (TM), but previous studies proposing actionable PWV thresholds have limited generalizability. This individual-participant meta-analysis is aimed at defining, testing calibration, and validating an outcome-driven threshold for PWV, using 2 populations studies, respectively, for derivation IDCARS (International Database of Central Arterial Properties for Risk Stratification) and replication MONICA (Monitoring of Trends and Determinants in Cardiovascular Disease Health Survey - Copenhagen).

METHODS

A risk-carrying PWV threshold for CVE and TM was defined by multivariable Cox regression, using stepwise increasing PWV thresholds and by determining the threshold yielding a 5-year risk equivalent with systolic blood pressure of 140 mm Hg. The predictive performance of the PWV threshold was assessed by computing the integrated discrimination improvement and the net reclassification improvement.

RESULTS

In well-calibrated models in IDCARS, the risk-carrying PWV thresholds converged at 9 m/s (10 m/s considering the anatomic pulse wave travel distance). With full adjustments applied, the threshold predicted CVE (hazard ratio [CI]: 1.68 [1.15-2.45]) and TM (1.61 [1.01-2.55]) in IDCARS and in MONICA (1.40 [1.09-1.79] and 1.55 [1.23-1.95]). In IDCARS and MONICA, the predictive accuracy of the threshold for both end points was ≈0.75. Integrated discrimination improvement was significant for TM in IDCARS and for both TM and CVE in MONICA, whereas net reclassification improvement was not for any outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

PWV integrates multiple risk factors into a single variable and might replace a large panel of traditional risk factors. Exceeding the outcome-driven PWV threshold should motivate clinicians to stringent management of risk factors, in particular hypertension, which over a person's lifetime causes stiffening of the elastic arteries as waypoint to CVE and death.

Collagen turnover is associated with cardiovascular autonomic and peripheral neuropathy in type 1 diabetes: novel pathophysiological mechanism?

BACKGROUND

Diabetic cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy (CAN) and distal symmetrical polyneuropathy (DSPN) are severe diabetic complications. Collagen type VI (COL6) and III (COL3) have been associated with nerve function. We investigated if markers of COL6 formation (PRO-C6) and COL3 degradation (C3M) were associated with neuropathy in people with type 1 diabetes (T1D).

METHODS

In a cross-sectional study including 300 people with T1D, serum and urine PRO-C6 and C3M were obtained. CAN was assessed by cardiovascular reflex tests: heart rate response to deep breathing (E/I ratio), to standing (30/15 ratio) and to the Valsalva maneuver (VM). Two or three pathological CARTs constituted CAN. DSPN was assessed by biothesiometry. Symmetrical vibration sensation threshold above 25 V constituted DSPN.

RESULTS

Participants were (mean (SD)) 55.7 (9.3) years, 51% were males, diabetes duration was 40.0 (8.9) years, HbA1c was 63 (11 mmol/mol, (median (IQR)) serum PRO-C6 was 7.8 (6.2;11.0) ng/ml and C3M 8.3 (7.1;10.0) ng/ml. CAN and DSPN were diagnosed in 34% and 43% of participants, respectively. In models adjusted for relevant confounders a doubling of serum PRO-C6, was significantly associated with odds ratio > 2 for CAN and > 1 for DSPN, respectively. Significance was retained after additional adjustments for eGFR only for CAN. Higher serum C3M was associated with presence of CAN, but not after adjustment for eGFR. C3M was not associated with DSPN. Urine PRO-C6 analyses indicated similar associations.

CONCLUSIONS

Results show previously undescribed associations between markers of collagen turnover and risk of CAN and to a lesser degree DSPN in T1D.

Presence of retinopathy and incident kidney and cardiovascular events in type 2 diabetes with normoalbuminuria - A post-hoc analysis of the PRIORITY randomized clinical trial

AIMS

Baseline diabetic retinopathy (DR) and risk of development of microalbuminuria, kidney function decline, and cardiovascular events (CVEs) in type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Post-hoc analysis of the PRIORITY study including 1758 persons with type 2 diabetes and normoalbuminuria followed for a median of 2.5 (IQR: 2.0-3.0) years. DR diagnosis included non-proliferative and proliferative abnormalities, macular oedema, or prior laser treatment. Cox models were fitted to investigate baseline DR presence with development of persistent microalbuminuria (urinary albumin-creatinine ratio > 30 mg/g); chronic kidney disease (CKD) G3 (eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73m²); and CVE. Models were adjusted for relevant risk factors.

RESULTS

At baseline, 304 (17.3 %) had DR. Compared to persons without DR, they were older (mean ± SD: 62.7 ± 7.7 vs 61.4 ± 8.3 years, p = 0.019), had longer diabetes duration (17.9 ± 8.4 vs. 10.6 ± 7.0 years, p < 0.001), and higher HbA_1c (62 ± 13 vs. 56 ± 12 mmol/mol, p < 0.001). The adjusted hazard ratios of DR at baseline for development of microalbuminuria (n = 197), CKD (n = 166), and CVE (n = 64) were: 1.50 (95%CI: 1.07, 2.11), 0.87 (95%CI: 0.56, 1.34), and 2.61 (95%CI: 1.44, 4.72), compared to without DR.

CONCLUSIONS

Presence of DR in normoalbuminuric type 2 diabetes was associated with an increased risk of developing microalbuminuria and CVE, but not with kidney function decline.

Optimization of Albuminuria-Lowering Treatment in Diabetes by Crossover Rotation to Four Different Drug Classes: A Randomized Crossover Trial

OBJECTIVE

Renin-angiotensin system (RAS) inhibitors decrease the urinary albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR) but are ineffective in up to 40% of patients. We hypothesized that rotation through different drug classes overcomes RAS inhibitor resistance and tested this in a randomized crossover trial.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We assigned 26 adults with type 1 diabetes and 37 with type 2 diabetes and UACR between 30 and 500 mg/g and estimated glomerular filtration rate >45 mL/min/1.73 m2 to 4-week treatment periods with telmisartan 80 mg, empagliflozin 10 mg, linagliptin 5 mg, and baricitinib 2 mg in random order, separated by 4-week washout periods. Each participant was then re-exposed for 4 weeks to the drug that induced that individual's largest UACR reduction. Primary outcome was the difference in UACR response to the best-performing drug during the confirmation period versus UACR response to the other three drugs.

RESULTS

There was substantial variation in the best-performing drug. Telmisartan was best performing for 33 participants (52%), empagliflozin and linagliptin in 11 (17%), and baricitinib in 8 participants (13%). The individuals' best-performing drug changed UACR from baseline during the first and confirmatory exposures by a mean of -39.6% (95% CI -44.8, -33.8; P < 0.001) and -22.4% (95% CI -29.7, -12.5; P < 0.001), respectively. The Pearson correlation for first versus confirmatory exposure was 0.39 (P = 0.017). The mean change in UACR with the other three drugs was +1.6% (95% CI -4.3%, 8.0%; P = 0.593 versus baseline; difference versus individuals' best-performing drug at confirmation, 30.9% [95% CI 18.0, 45.3]; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated a large and reproducible variation in participants' responses to different UACR-lowering drug classes. These data support systematic rotation through different drug classes to overcome therapy resistance to RAS inhibition.

Marker for kidney fibrosis is associated with inflammation and deterioration of kidney function in people with type 2 diabetes and microalbuminuria

BACKGROUND

Diabetic kidney disease is a major cause of morbidity and mortality. Dysregulated turnover of collagen type III is associated with development of kidney fibrosis. We investigated whether a degradation product of collagen type III (C3M) was a risk marker for progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD), occurrence of cardiovascular disease (CVD), and mortality during follow up in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and microalbuminuria. Moreover, we investigated whether C3M was correlated with markers of inflammation and endothelial dysfunction at baseline.

METHODS

C3M was measured in serum (sC3M) and urine (uC3M) in 200 participants with T2D and microalbuminuria included in an observational, prospective study at Steno Diabetes Center Copenhagen in Denmark from 2007-2008. Baseline measurements included 12 markers of inflammation and endothelial dysfunction. The endpoints were CVD, mortality, and CKD progression (>30% decline in eGFR).

RESULTS

Mean (SD) age was 59 (9) years, eGFR 90 (17) ml/min/1.73m2 and median (IQR) urine albumin excretion rate 102 (39-229) mg/24-h. At baseline all markers for inflammation were positively correlated with sC3M (p≤0.034). Some, but not all, markers for endothelial dysfunction were correlated with C3M. Median follow-up ranged from 4.9 to 6.3 years. Higher sC3M was associated with CKD progression (with mortality as competing risk) with a hazard ratio (per doubling) of 2.98 (95% CI: 1.41-6.26; p = 0.004) adjusted for traditional risk factors. uC3M was not associated with CKD progression. Neither sC3M or uC3M were associated with risk of CVD or mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher sC3M was a risk factor for chronic kidney disease progression and was correlated with markers of inflammation.

Predictive power of 24-h ambulatory pulse pressure and its components for mortality and cardiovascular outcomes in 11 848 participants recruited from 13 populations

BACKGROUND

The role of pulse pressure (PP) 'widening' at older and younger age as a cardiovascular risk factor is still controversial. Mean PP, as determined from repeated blood pressure (BP) readings, can be expressed as a sum of two components: 'elastic PP' (elPP) and 'stiffening PP' (stPP) associated, respectively, with stiffness at the diastole and its relative change during the systole. We investigated the association of 24-h ambulatory PP, elPP, and stPP ('PP variables') with mortality and composite cardiovascular events in different age classes.

METHOD

Longitudinal population-based cohort study of adults with baseline observations that included 24-h ambulatory BP. Age classes were age 40 or less, 40-50, 50-60, 60-70, and over 70 years. Co-primary endpoints were total mortality and composite cardiovascular events. The relative risk expressed by hazard ratio per 1SD increase for each of the PP variables was calculated from multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models.

RESULTS

The 11 848 participants from 13 cohorts (age 53 ± 16 years, 50% men) were followed for up for 13.7 ± 6.7 years. A total of 2946 participants died (18.1 per 1000 person-years) and 2093 experienced a fatal or nonfatal cardiovascular event (12.9 per 1000 person-years). Mean PP, elPP, and stPP were, respectively, 49.7, 43.5, and 6.2 mmHg, and elPP and stPP were uncorrelated ( r  = -0.07). At age 50-60 years, all PP variables displayed association with risk for almost all outcomes. From age over 60 years to age over 70 years, hazard ratios of of PP and elPP were similar and decreased gradually but differently for pulse rate lower than or higher than 70 bpm, whereas stPP lacked predictive power in most cases. For age 40 years or less, elPP showed protective power for coronary events, whereas stPP and PP predicted stroke events. Adjusted and unadjusted hazard ratio variations were similar over the entire age range.

CONCLUSION

This study provides a new basis for associating PP components with outcome and arterial properties in different age groups and at different pulse rates for both old and young age. The similarity between adjusted and unadjusted hazard ratios supports the clinical usefulness of PP components but further studies are needed to assess the prognostic significance of the PP components, especially at the young age.

Baseline risk markers and visit-to-visit variability in relation to kidney outcomes - A post-hoc analysis of the PERL study

BACKGROUND

Baseline risk variables and visit-to-visit variability (VV) of systolic blood pressure (SBP), HbA_1c, serum creatinine, and uric acid (UA) are potential risk markers of kidney function decline in type 1 diabetes.

METHODS

Post-hoc analysis of a double-blind randomized placebo-controlled clinical trial investigating allopurinol's effect on iohexol-derived glomerular filtration rate (iGFR) in type 1 diabetes with elevated UA. Primary outcome was iGFR change over three years. Linear regression with backwards selection of baseline clinical variables was performed to identify an optimized model forecasting iGFR change. Furthermore, VVs of SBP, HbA_1c, serum creatinine, and UA were calculated using measurements from the run-in period; thereafter assessed by linear regression, with iGFR change as the dependent variable.

RESULTS

404 participants were included in the primary analyses. In the optimized baseline variable model, higher HbA_1c, SBP, iGFR, albuminuria, and heart rate, and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist prescription were associated with greater iGFR decline. Higher VV of SBP was associated with greater iGFR decline (adjusted β (ml/min/1.73 m²/50 % increase): -0.79, p = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

We identified several risk markers for faster iGFR decline in a high-risk population with type 1 diabetes. While further research is needed, our results indicate possible new and clinically feasible measures to risk stratify for DKD in type 1 diabetes.

Circulating metabolites and molecular lipid species are associated with future cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in type 1 diabetes

Background

Cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of mortality in individuals with diabetes and improved understanding of its pathophysiology is needed. We investigated the association of a large panel of metabolites and molecular lipid species with future cardiovascular events in type 1 diabetes.

Methods

The study included 669 individuals with type 1 diabetes. Non-targeted serum metabolomics and lipidomics analyses were performed using mass spectrometry. Data on cardiovascular events (cardiovascular mortality, coronary artery disease, stroke, and peripheral arterial interventions) were obtained from Danish Health registries and analyzed by Cox hazards models. Metabolites and molecular lipid species were analyzed in univariate models adjusted for false discovery rate (FDR). Metabolites and molecular lipid species fulfilling a p_FDR < 0.05 were subsequently analyzed in adjusted models including age, sex, hemoglobin A_1c, mean arterial pressure, smoking, body mass index, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, estimated glomerular filtration rate, urinary albumin excretion rate and previous cardiovascular disease. Analyses of molecular lipid species were further adjusted for triglycerides and statin use.

Results

Of the included participants, 55% were male and mean age was 55 ± 13 years. Higher 4-hydroxyphenylacetic acid (HR 1.35, CI [1.01–1.80], p = 0.04) and lower threonine (HR 0.81, CI [0.67–0.98] p = 0.03) were associated with development of cardiovascular events (n = 95). In lipidomics analysis, higher levels of three different species, diacyl-phosphatidylcholines (PC)(36:2) (HR 0.82, CI [0.70–0.98], p = 0.02), alkyl-acyl-phosphatidylcholines (PC-O)(34:2) (HR 0.76, CI [0.59–0.98], p = 0.03) and (PC-O)(34:3) (HR 0.75, CI [0.58–0.97], p = 0.03), correlated with lower risk of cardiovascular events, whereas higher sphingomyelin (SM)(34:1) (HR 1.32, CI [1.04–1.68], p = 0.02), was associated with an increased risk.

Conclusions

Circulating metabolites and molecular lipid species were associated with future cardiovascular events in type 1 diabetes. While the causal effect of these biomolecules on the cardiovascular system remains unknown, our findings support that omics-based technologies, although still in an early phase, may have the potential to unravel new pathways and biomarkers in the field of cardiovascular disease in type 1 diabetes.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12933-022-01568-8.

Acute and Long-Term Treatment With Dapagliflozin and Association With Serum Soluble Urokinase Plasminogen Activator Receptor

Background: Elevated soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is highly associated with increased risk of diabetic complications. Dapagliflozin is a drug inhibiting the sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 in the kidney to decrease blood glucose, while also decreasing risk of kidney disease, heart failure, and death. Therefore, we have investigated suPAR as a monitor for treatment effect with dapagliflozin in diabetes. Methods: suPAR was measured in two double-blinded randomized clinical cross-over trials. The first trial investigated the effect of a single dose dapagliflozin 50 mg or placebo 12 h after intake, in individuals with type 1 diabetes and albuminuria. The second trial investigated the effect of a daily dose dapagliflozin 10 mg or placebo for 12 weeks, in individuals with type 2 diabetes and albuminuria. suPAR was measured in serum samples taken, in the acute trial, after treatment with dapagliflozin and placebo, and in the long-term trial, before and after treatment with dapagliflozin and placebo. Effect of dapagliflozin on suPAR levels were assessed using paired t-test. Results: 15 participants completed the acute trial and 35 completed the long-term trial. Mean difference in suPAR between dapagliflozin and placebo in the acute trial after 12 h was 0.70 ng/ml (95% CI: 0.66; 1.33, p = 0.49). In the long-term trial the mean difference was 0.06 ng/ml (95% CI -0.15; 0.27, p = 0.57). Conclusion: Based on our findings we conclude that suPAR is not a feasible marker to monitor the effect of treatment with dapagliflozin. Thus, a further search of suitable markers must continue.

The importance of addressing multiple risk markers in type 2 diabetes: Results from the LEADER and SUSTAIN 6 trials

AIMS

To investigate to what extent multiple risk marker improvements confer lower risk of cardiovascular and kidney complications in a contemporary type 2 diabetes population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Post-hoc analysis of the LEADER (n = 8638; median follow-up 3.8 years) and SUSTAIN 6 (n = 3040; median follow-up 2.1 years) cardiovascular outcome trials. Participants were those with baseline and year-1 assessment of at least one of the parameters of interest; we pooled the liraglutide-/semaglutide- and placebo-treated groups and categorized them by number of risk markers with clinically relevant improvements after 1 year of study participation. We investigated risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), expanded MACE, cardiovascular death and nephropathy. Predefined clinically relevant changes: body weight loss ≥5%; reductions in: glycated haemoglobin ≥1%, systolic blood pressure ≥5 mmHg and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol ≥0.5 mmol/L; estimated glomerular filtration rate change ≥0 ml/min/1.73 m² and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio change ≥30% of baseline value. Cox regression analysed risk of outcomes adjusted for baseline risk marker levels and treatment group and stratified by trial.

RESULTS

Participants with two, three, or four or more improved risk markers versus participants with no risk marker improvement had reduced risk of expanded MACE [hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) 0.80 (0.67-0.96); 0.80 (0.66-0.97); 0.82 (0.66-1.02)], cardiovascular death [0.66 (0.45-0.96), 0.67 (0.45-0.99), 0.60 (0.38-0.94)] and nephropathy [0.71 (0.52-0.97), 0.48 (0.34-0.68), 0.43 (0.29-0.65)].

CONCLUSIONS

In persons with type 2 diabetes, improvements in ≥2 risk markers conferred cardiovascular risk reduction versus none or one improved risk marker. The nephropathy risk decreased with improvement in more risk markers. These findings stress the importance of multifactorial interventions targeting all risk markers.

Cardiovascular Autonomic Neuropathy in Type 1 Diabetes Is Associated With Disturbances in TCA, Lipid, and Glucose Metabolism

INTRODUCTION

Diabetic cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy (CAN) is associated with increased mortality and morbidity. To explore metabolic mechanisms associated with CAN we investigated associations between serum metabolites and CAN in persons with type 1 diabetes (T1D).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Cardiovascular reflex tests (CARTs) (heart rate response to: deep breathing; lying-to-standing test; and the Valsalva maneuver) were used to diagnose CAN in 302 persons with T1D. More than one pathological CARTs defined the CAN diagnosis. Serum metabolomics and lipidomic profiles were analyzed with two complementary non-targeted mass-spectrometry methods. Cross-sectional associations between metabolites and CAN were assessed by linear regression models adjusted for relevant confounders.

RESULTS

Participants were median (IQR) aged 55(49, 63) years, 48% males with diabetes duration 39(32, 47) years, HbA_1c 63(55,69) mmol/mol and 34% had CAN. A total of 75 metabolites and 106 lipids were analyzed. In crude models, the CAN diagnosis was associated with higher levels of hydroxy fatty acids (2,4- and 3,4-dihydroxybutanoic acids, 4-deoxytetronic acid), creatinine, sugar derivates (ribitol, ribonic acid, myo-inositol), citric acid, glycerol, phenols, phosphatidylcholines and lower levels of free fatty acids and the amino acid methionine (p<0.05). Upon adjustment, positive associations with the CAN diagnoses were retained for hydroxy fatty acids, tricarboxylic acid (TCA) cycle-based sugar derivates, citric acid, and phenols (P<0.05).

CONCLUSION

Metabolic pathways, including the TCA cycle, hydroxy fatty acids, phosphatidylcholines and sugar derivatives are associated with the CAN diagnosis in T1D. These pathway may be part of the pathogeneses leading to CAN and may be modifiable risk factors for the complication.

Copeptin and renal function decline, cardiovascular events and mortality in type 1 diabetes

BACKGROUND

Plasma copeptin is a surrogate of arginine vasopressin (AVP) secretion and is associated with a risk of renal and cardiovascular disease. We investigated associations between copeptin and renal events, cardiovascular events and mortality in type 1 diabetes (T1D).

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study on 658 individuals with T1D from Steno Diabetes Center Copenhagen. Plasma copeptin concentrations and conventional risk factors were assessed at baseline. The five endpoints were traced through national registries and electronic laboratory records.

RESULTS

Baseline mean age was 55 ± 13 years and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 81 ± 26 mL/min/1.73 m2. The median follow-up was 6.2 years (interquartile range 5.8-6.7); 123 participants reached a combined renal endpoint [decline in eGFR ≥30%, end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) or all-cause mortality], 93 had a decrease in eGFR ≥30%, 21 developed ESKD, 94 experienced a combined cardiovascular endpoint and 58 died from all causes. Higher copeptin was associated with all endpoints in unadjusted Cox regression analyses. Upon adjustment for baseline eGFR, the associations were attenuated and remained significant only for the combined renal endpoint and decrease in eGFR ≥30%. Results were similar upon further adjustment for other risk factors, after which hazard ratios for the two renal endpoints were 2.27 (95% confidence interval 1.08-4.74) and 4.49 (1.77-11.4), respectively, for the highest versus the lowest quartile of copeptin.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher copeptin was an independent risk marker for a combined renal endpoint and decline in renal function. AVP may be a marker of renal damage or a factor whose contribution to renal and cardiovascular risk is partially mediated by renal damage.

Autonomic nervous system activity in primary Raynaud's phenomenon: Heart rate variability, plasma catecholamines and [123 I]MIBG heart scintigraphy

Background and Aim

Primary Raynaud's phenomenon (pRP) is characterized by an exaggerated response to cold, resulting in the whitening typically of the fingers and toes. The patients are generally perceived as healthy individuals with a benign condition. However, the condition has been associated with increased cardiovascular mortality and changes in autonomic nervous system activity. This study aimed to investigate whether pRP is associated with pervasive changes in autonomic nervous activity. The hypothesis was that patients with pRP have increased sympathetic nervous activity.

Methods

The autonomic nervous activity of 22 patients with pRP was investigated by means of heart rate variability (HRV) and the plasma catecholamine response to head‐up tilt and compared with 22 age‐ and gender‐matched controls. In addition, the patients were examined with a [¹²³I]metaiodobenzylguanidine heart scintigraphy and compared with an external control group.

Results

The plasma norepinephrine response to head‐up tilt was significantly lower in the patient group than in the control group. Similarly, the heart scintigraphy revealed a lower heart‐to‐mediastinum ratio in the patient group than in the control group. HRV analysis did not reveal significant differences between the groups.

Conclusion

The findings of the study showed that the autonomic nervous activity of patients with pRP was altered compared with the activity of healthy individuals. This was observed both during rest and after positional stress, but the findings did not uniformly concur with our initial hypothesis.

Liraglutide reduces cardiac adipose tissue in type 2 diabetes: A secondary analysis of the LIRAFLAME randomized placebo-controlled trial

AIM

To test the hypothesis that treatment with liraglutide can reduce cardiac adipose tissue.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

LIRAFLAME is a randomized placebo-controlled, double-blind, parallel clinical study. Participants with type 2 diabetes were randomized to treatment with liraglutide 1.8 mg/d or placebo for 26 weeks. Computed tomography was performed at baseline and at end of treatment to evaluate the cardiac adipose tissue volume, quantified automatically. We report the results of a secondary endpoint evaluating changes in cardiac adipose tissue.

RESULTS

A total of 102 participants were randomly assigned to liraglutide (n = 51) or placebo (n = 51). At baseline, the mean (SD) cardiac adipose tissue volume was comparable between the liraglutide and the placebo group (232.6 [112.8] vs. 227.0 [103.2] mL; P = 0.80). The mean change in body weight was -3.7 (-4.8, -2.6) kg in the liraglutide and -0.18 (-0.76, 0.40) kg in the placebo group. From baseline to end of treatment the mean cardiac adipose tissue change was -11.5 (95% confidence interval -17.6, -5.4) mL in the liraglutide (P < 0.001) and -0.01 (-5.3, 5.3) mL in the placebo (P = 1.00) groups. The reduction in cardiac adipose tissue was significantly greater in the liraglutide compared to the placebo group (mean difference -11.4 [-19.4, -3.3] mL; P = 0.006), but significance was lost after adjustment for changes in body mass index (P = 0.46).

CONCLUSION

Treatment with liraglutide for 26 weeks was associated with a reduction in cardiac adipose tissue compared to placebo. The reduction was not independent of weight loss, suggesting that this is not a drug-specific effect.

Isolated Diastolic Hypertension in the IDACO Study: An Age-Stratified Analysis Using 24-Hour Ambulatory Blood Pressure Measurements

[Figure: see text].

Cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy and the impact on progression of diabetic kidney disease in type 1 diabetes

INTRODUCTION

We investigated the association between cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy (CAN) and decline in kidney function in type 1 diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We included 329 persons with type 1 diabetes. CAN was assessed by cardiovascular reflex tests (CARTs): heart rate response to deep breathing (E/I ratio), to standing (30/15 ratio) and to the Valsalva maneuvre. Two or more pathological CARTs defined CAN diagnosis. Outcomes were yearly change in albuminuria or yearly change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). An endpoint of eGFR decline >30%, development of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) or death was examined.Associations were assessed by linear and Cox regression.

RESULTS

Participants were aged 55.2 (9.4) years, 52% were male, with a diabetes duration of 40.1 (8.9) years, HbA_1c of 7.9% (62.5 mmol/mol), eGFR 77.9 (27.7) mL/min/1.73 m², urinary albumin excretion rate of 14.5 (7-58) mg/24 hours, and 31% were diagnosed with CAN.CAN was associated with a 7.8% higher albuminuria increase per year (95% CI: 0.50% to 15.63%, p=0.036) versus no CAN. The endpoint of ESKD, all-cause mortality and ≥30% decline in eGFR was associated with CAN (HR=2.497, p=0.0254).

CONCLUSION

CAN and sympathetic dysfunction were associated with increase in albuminuria in individuals with type 1 diabetes suggesting its role as a potential marker of diabetic kidney disease progression.

Relative and Absolute Risk to Guide the Management of Pulse Pressure, an Age-Related Cardiovascular Risk Factor

BACKGROUND

Pulse pressure (PP) reflects the age-related stiffening of the central arteries, but no study addressed the management of the PP-related risk over the human lifespan.

METHODS

In 4,663 young (18-49 years) and 7,185 older adults (≥50 years), brachial PP was recorded over 24 hours. Total mortality and all major cardiovascular events (MACEs) combined were coprimary endpoints. Cardiovascular death, coronary events, and stroke were secondary endpoints.

RESULTS

In young adults (median follow-up, 14.1 years; mean PP, 45.1 mm Hg), greater PP was not associated with absolute risk; the endpoint rates were ≤2.01 per 1,000 person-years. The adjusted hazard ratios expressed per 10-mm Hg PP increments were less than unity (P ≤ 0.027) for MACE (0.67; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.47-0.96) and cardiovascular death (0.33; 95% CI, 0.11-0.75). In older adults (median follow-up, 13.1 years; mean PP, 52.7 mm Hg), the endpoint rates, expressing absolute risk, ranged from 22.5 to 45.4 per 1,000 person-years and the adjusted hazard ratios, reflecting relative risk, from 1.09 to 1.54 (P < 0.0001). The PP-related relative risks of death, MACE, and stroke decreased >3-fold from age 55 to 75 years, whereas absolute risk rose by a factor 3.

CONCLUSIONS

From 50 years onwards, the PP-related relative risk decreases, whereas absolute risk increases. From a lifecourse perspective, young adulthood provides a window of opportunity to manage risk factors and prevent target organ damage as forerunner of premature death and MACE. In older adults, treatment should address absolute risk, thereby extending life in years and quality.

Effect of liraglutide on expression of inflammatory genes in type 2 diabetes

Anti-inflammatory effects of glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonist (GLP-1 RA) treatment in T2D may contribute to the cardiovascular benefits observed with GLP-1 RAs in outcome studies. We investigated if the GLP-1 RA liraglutide exerts anti-inflammatory effects through modulation of inflammatory gene expression in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs). From 54 participants of a double-blinded trial where individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) were randomized to liraglutide (1.8 mg/day) or placebo for 26 weeks, a sub-study was performed in which PBMCs were extracted from fresh blood at study start and at end-of-treatment. The expression of selected inflammatory genes in PBMCs were measured by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Moreover, the expression of the GLP-1 receptor (GLP1R) was examined in a subset (n = 40) of the PBMC samples. The human monocytic cell line THP-1 was used for in vitro GLP-1 exposure experiments. The expression of tumor necrosis factor-α (TNFA) (p = 0.004) and interleukin-1β (IL1B) was downregulated (p = 0.046) in the liraglutide-treated group (n = 31), and unchanged in the placebo group (n = 21, p ≥ 0.11), with no significant differences between the two groups (p ≥ 0.67). The expression of interferon-γ (IFNG) and cluster of differentiation 163 (CD163) were upregulated in both groups (p ≤ 0.006) with no differences between groups (p ≥ 0.47). C–C Motif Chemokine Ligand 5 (CCL5) was upregulated in the liraglutide-treated group (p = 0.002) and unchanged in the placebo group (p = 0.14), with no significant difference between groups (p = 0.36). Intercellular adhesion molecule 1 (ICAM1) was unchanged in both groups (p ≥ 0.43). GLP1R expression in the PBMCs was undetectable. In vitro experiments showed no effect of GLP-1 treatment on inflammatory gene expression in THP-1 cells. GLP1R expression in THP-1 cells was not detectable. In summary, we observed a discrete modulatory effect of liraglutide on the expression of inflammatory genes in PBMCs. The lack of evidence for GLP1R expression in PBMCs and THP-1 cells suggests that possible effects of liraglutide on the PBMCs’ gene expression are most likely indirect. Further investigations are needed to establish the anti-inflammatory potential of GLP-1 RAs.

Ceramides and phospholipids are downregulated with liraglutide treatment: results from the LiraFlame randomized controlled trial

INTRODUCTION

Treatment with glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) can reduce risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in persons living with type 2 diabetes, however the mechanisms explaining this cardiovascular benefit are still debated. We investigated changes in the plasma lipidome following treatment with the GLP-1 RA liraglutide.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

In a double-blind placebo-controlled trial, we randomized 102 persons with type 2 diabetes to liraglutide or placebo for 26 weeks. Fasting blood plasma was collected at baseline and at end-of-treatment. The lipidome was measured using liquid-chromatography-coupled mass-spectrometry as a secondary end point in the study. Treatment response of each lipid was tested with lipid-specific linear mixed-effect models comparing liraglutide with placebo. Bonferroni p<7.1e-03 was employed. The independence of the findings from clinical covariates was evaluated with adjustment for body mass index, HbA_1c, fasting status, lipid-lowering treatment and change in lipid-lowering treatment during the trial.

RESULTS

In total, 260 lipids were identified covering 11 lipid families. We observed significant decreases following liraglutide treatment compared with placebo in 21 lipids (p<7.1e-03) from the following lipid families: ceramides, hexocyl-ceramides, phosphatidylcholines, phosphatidylethanolamines and triglycerides. We confirmed these findings in adjusted models (p≤0.01). In the liraglutide-treated group, the individual lipids were reduced in the range of 14%-61% from baseline level, compared with 19% decrease to 27% increase from baseline level in the placebo group.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with placebo, liraglutide treatment led to a significant downregulation in ceramides, phospholipids and triglycerides, which all are linked to higher risk of CVD. These findings were independent of relevant clinical covariates. Our findings are hypothesis generating and shed light on the biological mechanisms underlying the cardiovascular benefits observed with GLP-1 RAs in outcome studies, and further strengthen the evidence base for recommending GLP-1 RAs to prevent CVD in type 2 diabetes.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT03449654.

Urinary proteomics combined with home blood pressure telemonitoring for health care reform trial: rational and protocol

BACKGROUND

Hypertension and diabetes cause chronic kidney disease (CKD) and diastolic left ventricular dysfunction (DVD) as forerunners of disability and death. Home blood pressure telemonitoring (HTM) and urinary peptidomic profiling (UPP) are technologies enabling prevention.

METHODS

UPRIGHT-HTM (Urinary Proteomics Combined with Home Blood Pressure Telemonitoring for Health Care Reform [NCT04299529]) is an investigator-initiated 5-year clinical trial with patient-centred design, which will randomise 1148 patients to be recruited in Europe, sub-Saharan Africa and South America. During the whole study, HTM data will be collected and freely accessible for patients and caregivers. The UPP, measured at enrolment only, will be communicated early during follow-up to 50% of patients and their caregivers (intervention), but only at trial closure in 50% (control). The hypothesis is that early knowledge of the UPP risk profile will lead to more rigorous risk factor management and result in benefit. Eligible patients, aged 55-75 years old, are asymptomatic, but have ≥5 CKD- or DVD-related risk factors, preferably including hypertension, type-2 diabetes, or both. The primary endpoint is a composite of new-onset intermediate and hard cardiovascular and renal outcomes. Demonstrating that combining UPP with HTM is feasible in a multicultural context and defining the molecular signatures of early CKD and DVD are secondary endpoints.

EXPECTED OUTCOMES

The expected outcome is that application of UPP on top of HTM will be superior to HTM alone in the prevention of CKD and DVD and associated complications and that UPP allows shifting emphasis from treating to preventing disease, thereby empowering patients.

Urinary peptidome and diabetic retinopathy in the DIRECT-Protect 1 and 2 trials

BACKGROUND

Given the association of diabetic retinopathy (DR) and kidney disease, we investigated the urinary peptidome to presence and deterioration of DR in a post hoc analysis of trials investigating the effect of candesartan on progression of DR in type 1 and type 2 diabetes, respectively.

METHODS

Baseline urinary peptidomic analysis was performed on a random selection of 783 and 792 subjects in two randomized controlled trials, DIRECT-Protect 1 and 2, respectively. End points were two-step (RET2) and three-step (RET3) change in Early Treatment of Diabetic Retinopathy Study protocol (ETDRS) defined level. Peptide levels were correlated to baseline EDTRS level in a discovery set of 2/3 of the participants from DIRECT-Protect 1. The identified peptides were then validated cross-sectionally in the remaining 1/3 from DIRECT-Protect 1. Thereafter, peptides identified in the discovery set were assessed in the entire DIRECT-Protect 1 and 2 cohorts and significant peptides were tested longitudinally.

RESULTS

Follow-up ranged 4.0-4.7 years. 24 peptides were associated with baseline DR in the discovery set. COL3A1 (seq: NTG~) and COL4A1 (seq: DGA~) were associated with baseline DR in the validation set (Rho: -.223, p < 0.001 and Rho: -.141, p = 0.024). Neither was significantly associated with end points. Assessing the 24 identified peptides in the entire cohorts, several collagen peptides were associated with baseline DR and end points; however, there was no overlap across diabetes types.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified several urinary peptides (mainly collagen) associated with the presence of DR, however they could not be conclusively associated with worsening of DR.

Effect of Liraglutide on Vascular Inflammation Evaluated by [64Cu]DOTATATE

Quantification of vascular inflammation before and after treatment with glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) may help reveal mechanistic pathways underlying the cardiovascular benefits of these drugs. We assessed change in vascular inflammation in the carotid arteries over 26 weeks by copper-64-labeled [1,4,7,10-tetraazacyclododecane-N,N′,N″,N‴-tetraacetic acid]-D-Phe1, Tyr3-octreotate ([⁶⁴Cu]DOTATATE) PET in 30 participants included in a substudy of a double-blind trial where persons with type 2 diabetes (T2D) were randomized to liraglutide (n = 15) or placebo (n = 15) for 26 weeks. Mean age (SD) was 66.4 (7.2) years, HbA_1c 56.4 (9.2) mmol/mol and BMI 28.9 (4.6) kg/m². Weight and HbA_1c were significantly reduced by liraglutide vs. placebo (p ≤ 0.01). The [⁶⁴Cu]DOTATATE uptake (mean standardized uptake values) was significantly reduced in the liraglutide-treated group (−0.11 [95% confidence interval −0.19 to −0.03], p = 0.01) and not changed significantly in the placebo group (−0.07 [−0.14 to 0.01], p = 0.08). The mean difference between groups did not reach significance (−0.04 [−0.15 to 0.07], p = 0.44). In conclusion, [⁶⁴Cu]DOTATATE uptake was reduced in persons with T2D treated with liraglutide. However, the reduction compared to placebo did not reach statistical significance, perhaps due to limited power. A reduction in vascular inflammation with liraglutide could help explain the cardiovascular protection observed with GLP-1 RAs in outcome studies but warrants further and larger studies.

Effect of Liraglutide on Arterial Inflammation Assessed as [18F]FDG Uptake in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes: A Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Trial

BACKGROUND

The mechanism behind the cardiovascular protection observed with human GLP-1 RA (glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists) in type 2 diabetes is unknown. We hypothesized that treatment with the GLP-1 RA liraglutide had a positive effect on vascular inflammation.

METHODS

LIRAFLAME (Effect of liraglutide on vascular inflammation in type-2 diabetes: A randomized, placebocontrolled, double-blind, parallel clinical PET/CT trial) was a double-blind, randomized controlled trial performed at a single university hospital clinic in Denmark. Patients with type 2 diabetes were via computer-generated randomization list assigned (1:1) liraglutide up to 1.8 mg or placebo once daily for 26 weeks. The primary end point was change in vascular inflammation over 26 weeks assessed by [¹⁸F]-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography. Analyses were based on intention-to-treat. Key secondary outcomes included change in other indices of atherosclerosis.

RESULTS

Between October 26, 2017, and August 16, 2019, 147 patients were screened and 102 were randomly assigned to liraglutide (n=51) or placebo (n=51) and 99 (97%) completed the trial. Change in the [¹⁸F]-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography measure of vascular inflammation (active-segment target-to-background ratio) did not differ between treatment groups: change from baseline to 26 weeks was -0.04 (95% CI, -0.17 to 0.08) in the liraglutide group compared with -0.09 (-0.19 to 0.01) in the placebo group (mean difference, 0.05 [95% CI, -0.11 to 0.21], P=0.53). Secondary analyses restricted to [¹⁸F]-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography of the carotid arteries as well as other indices of atherosclerosis confirmed the primary result. We performed an explorative analysis of interaction between treatment group and history of cardiovascular disease (P=0.052).

CONCLUSIONS

In this low to moderate risk population with type 2 diabetes, liraglutide did not change vascular inflammation assessed as [¹⁸F]-fluorodeoxyglucose uptake compared with placebo. An explorative analysis indicated a possible effect in persons with history of cardiovascular disease, in line with current guidelines where liraglutide is recommended to patients with history of cardiovascular disease. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03449654.

Non-invasive assessment of temporal changes in myocardial microvascular function in persons with type 2 diabetes and healthy controls

BACKGROUND

Cardiac Rubidium-82 (⁸² Rb) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) provides a measure of the myocardial blood flow and the myocardial flow reserve, which reflects the function of both large epicardial arteries and the myocardial microcirculation. Knowledge on changes in the myocardial microvascular function over time is lacking.

METHODS

In this cohort study, we recruited 60 persons with type 2 diabetes and 30 non-diabetic controls, in 2013; all free of overt cardiovascular disease. All underwent a cardiac ⁸² Rb PET/CT scan. In 2019, all survivors (n = 82) were invited for a repeated cardiac ⁸² Rb PET/CT scan using the same protocol, and 29 with type 2 diabetes and 19 controls participated.

RESULTS

Median duration between visits was 6.2 years (IQR: 6.1-6.3). In the total cohort, the mean age was 66.4 years (SD: 9.3) and 33% were females. The myocardial flow reserve was lower in persons with type 2 diabetes compared to controls (p = 0.002) but there was no temporal change in the myocardial flow reserve in participants with type 2 diabetes: mean change: -0.22 (95% CI: -0.47 to 0.02) nor in controls: -0.12 (-0.49 to 0.25) or when comparing type 2 diabetes to controls: mean difference: -0.10 (95% CI: -0.52 to 0.31). The temporal reduction in stress-induced myocardial blood flow did not differ within the groups but was more pronounced in type 2 diabetes compared to controls: mean difference: -0.30 (95% CI: -0.55 to -0.04).

CONCLUSION

The myocardial microvascular function was impaired in persons with type 2 diabetes compared to controls but did not change significantly in either of the groups when evaluated over 6 years.

The effect of liraglutide and sitagliptin on oxidative stress in persons with type 2 diabetes

Glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists have shown cardioprotective effects which have been suggested to be mediated through inhibition of oxidative stress. We investigated the effect of treatment with a glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonist (liraglutide) on oxidative stress measured as urinary nucleic acid oxidation in persons with type 2 diabetes. Post-hoc analysis of two independent, randomised, placebo-controlled and double-blinded clinical trials. In a cross-over study where persons with type 2 diabetes and microalbuminuria (LIRALBU, n = 32) received liraglutide (1.8 mg/day) or placebo for 12 weeks in random order, separated by 4 weeks of wash-out. In a parallel-grouped study where obese persons with type 2 diabetes (SAFEGUARD, n = 56) received liraglutide (1.8 mg/day), sitagliptin (100 mg/day) or placebo for 12 weeks. Endpoints were changes in the urinary markers of DNA oxidation (8-oxo-7,8-dihydro-2′-deoxyguanosine (8-oxodG)) and RNA oxidation [8-oxo-7,8-dihydroguanosine (8-oxoGuo)]. In LIRALBU, we observed no significant differences between treatment periods in urinary excretion of 8-oxodG [0.028 (standard error (SE): 0.17] nmol/mmol creatinine, p = 0.87) or of 8-oxoGuo [0.12 (0.12) nmol/mmol creatinine, p = 0.31]. In SAFEGUARD, excretion of 8-oxodG was not changed in the liraglutide group [2.8 (− 8.51; 15.49) %, p = 0.62] but a significant decline was demonstrated in the placebo group [12.6 (− 21.3; 3.1) %, p = 0.02], resulting in a relative increase in the liraglutide group compared to placebo (0.16 nmol/mmol creatinine, SE 0.07, p = 0.02). Treatment with sitagliptin compared to placebo demonstrated no significant difference (0.07 (0.07) nmol/mmol creatinine, p = 0.34). Nor were any significant differences for urinary excretion of 8-oxoGuo liraglutide vs placebo [0.09 (SE: 0.07) nmol/mmol creatinine, p = 0.19] or sitagliptin vs placebo [0.07 (SE: 0.07) nmol/mmol creatinine, p = 0.35] observed. This post-hoc analysis could not demonstrate a beneficial effect of 12 weeks of treatment with liraglutide or sitagliptin on oxidatively generated modifications of nucleic acid in persons with type 2 diabetes.

Comparison of Natriuretic Peptides as Risk Markers for All-Cause Mortality and Cardiovascular and Renal Complications in Individuals With Type 1 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

Few studies have compared midregional proatrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP) and N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP). We compared their value as risk markers for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular (CV) and renal complications in individuals with type 1 diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

MR-proANP and NT-proBNP were measured in 664 individuals. Hazard ratios (HRs) were assessed per doubling of NT-proBNP or MR-proANP for risk of a composite of ischemic events, heart failure (HF), a combined renal end point of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥30%, and all-cause mortality or individual end points. Adjustments included CV risk factors and addition of MR-proANP or NT-proBNP.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 5.1-6.2 years. MR-proANP was associated with higher risk of all-cause mortality (n = 57; HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.1-2.7), combined CV end point (n = 94; 1.6, 1.1-2.2), HF (n = 27; 2.8, 1.5-5.2), combined renal end point (n = 123; 1.6, 1.2-2.1), and ESKD (n = 21; 3.1, 1.2-7.8) independent of CV risk factors (P ≤ 0.02). After addition of NT-proBNP, significance for all end points was lost. A doubling of NT-proBNP was associated with higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.5, 95% CI 1.2-1.8), the combined CV end point (1.3, 1.1-1.5), HF (1.7, 1.3-2.1), and the combined renal end point (1.3, 1.1-1.4) independent of CV risk factors (model 2 [P < 0.001]) and MR-proANP (model 3 [P ≤ 0.03]). There was no association with decline in eGFR ≥30% (n = 93).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher NT-proBNP was independently associated with all-cause mortality, CV disease, HF, and the combined renal end point. MR-proANP was associated with all end points but decline in eGFR, although not independent of NT-proBNP. MR-proANP may contribute to the predictive value of NT-proBNP for risk stratification in type 1 diabetes.

Effect of 26 Weeks of Liraglutide Treatment on Coronary Artery Inflammation in Type 2 Diabetes Quantified by [64Cu]Cu-DOTATATE PET/CT: Results from the LIRAFLAME Trial

BACKGROUND

Quantification of coronary artery inflammation and atherosclerosis remains a challenge in high-risk individuals. In this study we sought to investigate if the glucagon like peptide-1 receptor agonist liraglutide has a direct anti-inflammatory effect in the coronary arteries using positron emission tomography (PET) with a radioactive tracer targeting activated macrophages in the vessel-wall.

METHODS

Thirty randomly selected participants with type 2 diabetes from the placebo-controlled trial LIRAFLAME were enrolled in this sub-study. Participants were, prior to enrollment in this sub-study, randomized to either treatment with daily liraglutide (n=15) or placebo (n=15). Both groups underwent a combined [⁶⁴Cu]Cu-DOTATATE positron emission tomography and computed tomography scan of the heart at baseline and after 26 weeks of treatment. Coronary artery uptake of [⁶⁴Cu]Cu-DOTATATE were measured as maximum standardized uptake values (SUV_max); and means of the maximum values (mSUV_max), both values were calculated at the level of each participant and each individual coronary-segment.

RESULTS

SUV_max and mSUV_max values decreased significantly in the liraglutide group both at the participant level (SUV_max: p=0.013; mSUV_max: p=0.004) and at the coronary-segment level (SUV_max: p=0.001; mSUV_max: p<0.0001). No change was observed in the placebo group neither at the participant level (SUV_max: p=0.69; mSUV_max: p=0.67) or at the coronary-segment level (SUV_max: p=0.49; mSUV_max: p=0.30). When comparing the mean change in uptake values between the two groups at both the participant level (SUV_max: p=0.076; mSUV_max: p=0.077) and the coronary segment level (SUV_max: p=0.13; mSUV_max: p=0.11) a borderline significant difference was observed. Baseline SUV_max [⁶⁴Cu]Cu-DOTATATE uptake values showed a weak positive correlation with the inflammatory biomarker high-sensitivity c-reactive protein (τ =0.26, p=0.045).

CONCLUSION

Liraglutide treatment for 26-weeks caused a significant reduction in [⁶⁴Cu]Cu-DOTATATE uptake in the coronary arteries whereas this was not seen in the placebo treated group. In addition, [⁶⁴Cu]Cu-DOTATATE PET/CT as a marker of coronary inflammation correlated with the systemic inflammation marker hs-CRP.

The Association Between Cardiovascular Autonomic Function and Changes in Kidney and Myocardial Function in Type 2 Diabetes and Healthy Controls

BACKGROUND

The mechanisms linking cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy, diabetic kidney disease and cardiovascular mortality in type 2 diabetes are widely unknown. We investigated the relationship between baseline cardiovascular autonomic function and changes in kidney and myocardial function over six years in patients with type 2 diabetes and healthy controls.

METHODS

Post-hoc analysis of a cohort study in 24 patients with type 2 diabetes and 18 healthy controls. Baseline determinants were cardiovascular autonomic reflex tests (heart rate response to: standing (30:15); deep breathing (E:I); and the Valsalva test) and time- and frequency-domain heart rate variability indices. Outcomes were changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), albuminuria, myocardial flow reserve (MFR) measured by cardiac ⁸²Rb Positron emission tomography computed tomography (PET/CT), and coronary artery calcium score (CACS).

RESULTS

Mean age at inclusion was 61 ± 10 years and 36% were female. Mean follow up time was 6 ± 0 years. A lower response in heart rate to the Valsalva test (corresponding to weaker autonomic function) was associated with a larger decline in eGFR (p=0.04), but not significantly after adjustment for sex, baseline age, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, heart rate, HbA_1c, body mass index and baseline eGFR (p=0.12). A higher baseline response in heart rate to standing (30:15) was associated with a larger decline in myocardial flow reserve in the unadjusted analysis (p=0.02) and after adjustment (p=0.02). A higher response in heart rate to the Valsalva maneuver was associated with a larger increase in CACS (p = 0.02), but the association became insignificant after adjustment (p = 0.16).

CONCLUSION

A lower response in heart rate to the Valsalva test was associated with a larger decline in kidney function, indicating that autonomic dysfunction may predict future loss of kidney function. However, we did not find any association between lower values in cardiovascular autonomic function at baseline and a worsening in albuminuria, myocardial function, or atherosclerotic burden.

Association of Fatal and Nonfatal Cardiovascular Outcomes With 24-Hour Mean Arterial Pressure

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Major adverse cardiovascular events are closely associated with 24-hour blood pressure (BP). We determined outcome-driven thresholds for 24-hour mean arterial pressure (MAP), a BP index estimated by oscillometric devices. We assessed the association of major adverse cardiovascular events with 24-hour MAP, systolic BP (SBP), and diastolic BP (DBP) in a population-based cohort (n=11 596). Statistics included multivariable Cox regression and the generalized R² statistic to test model fit. Baseline office and 24-hour MAP averaged 97.4 and 90.4 mm Hg. Over 13.6 years (median), 2034 major adverse cardiovascular events occurred. Twenty-four-hour MAP levels of <90 (normotension, n=6183), 90 to <92 (elevated MAP, n=909), 92 to <96 (stage-1 hypertension, n=1544), and ≥96 (stage-2 hypertension, n=2960) mm Hg yielded equivalent 10-year major adverse cardiovascular events risks as office MAP categorized using 2017 American thresholds for office SBP and DBP. Compared with 24-hour MAP normotension, hazard ratios were 0.96 (95% CI, 0.80–1.16), 1.32 (1.15–1.51), and 1.77 (1.59–1.97), for elevated and stage-1 and stage-2 hypertensive MAP. On top of 24-hour MAP, higher 24-hour SBP increased, whereas higher 24-hour DBP attenuated risk (P<0.001). Considering the 24-hour measurements, R² statistics were similar for SBP (1.34) and MAP (1.28), lower for DBP than for MAP (0.47), and reduced to null, if the base model included SBP and DBP; if the ambulatory BP indexes were dichotomized according to the 2017 American guideline and the proposed 92 mm Hg for MAP, the R² values were 0.71, 0.89, 0.32, and 0.10, respectively. In conclusion, the clinical application of 24-hour MAP thresholds in conjunction with SBP and DBP refines risk estimates.

Gut microbiota profile and selected plasma metabolites in type 1 diabetes without and with stratification by albuminuria

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Abnormal gut microbiota and blood metabolome profiles have been reported both in children and adults with uncomplicated type 1 diabetes as well as in adults with type 1 diabetes and advanced stages of diabetic nephropathy. In this study we aimed to investigate the gut microbiota and a panel of targeted plasma metabolites in individuals with type 1 diabetes of long duration without and with different levels of albuminuria.

METHODS

In a cross-sectional study we included 161 individuals with type 1 diabetes and 50 healthy control individuals. Individuals with type 1 diabetes were categorised into three groups according to historically measured albuminuria: (1) normoalbuminuria (<3.39 mg/mmol); (2) microalbuminuria (3.39-33.79 mg/mmol); and (3) macroalbuminuria (≥33.90 mg/mmol). From faecal samples, the gut microbiota composition at genus level was characterised by 16S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing and in plasma a targeted profile of 31 metabolites was analysed with ultra HPLC coupled to MS/MS.

RESULTS

Study participants were aged 60 ± 11 years (mean ± SD) and 42% were women. The individuals with type 1 diabetes had had diabetes for a mean of 42 ± 15 years and had an eGFR of 75 ± 25 ml min^-1 (1.73 m)^-2. Measures of the gut microbial beta diversity differed significantly between healthy controls and individuals with type 1 diabetes, either with micro- or macroalbuminuria. Taxonomic analyses showed that 79 of 324 genera differed in relative abundance between individuals with type 1 diabetes and healthy controls and ten genera differed significantly among the three albuminuria groups with type 1 diabetes. For the measured plasma metabolites, 11 of 31 metabolites differed significantly between individuals with type 1 diabetes and healthy controls. When individuals with type 1 diabetes were stratified by the level of albuminuria, individuals with macroalbuminuria had higher plasma concentrations of indoxyl sulphate and L-citrulline than those with normo- or microalbuminuria and higher plasma levels of homocitrulline and L-kynurenine compared with individuals with normoalbuminuria. Whereas plasma concentrations of tryptophan were lower in individuals with macroalbuminuria compared with those with normoalbuminuria.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

We demonstrate that individuals with type 1 diabetes of long duration are characterised by aberrant profiles of gut microbiota and plasma metabolites. Moreover, individuals with type 1 diabetes with initial stages of diabetic nephropathy show different gut microbiota and plasma metabolite profiles depending on the level of albuminuria. Graphical abstract.

Improved Time in Range Over 1 Year Is Associated With Reduced Albuminuria in Individuals With Sensor-Augmented Insulin Pump-Treated Type 1 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between treatment-induced change in continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) time in range (TIR) and albuminuria in persons with type 1 diabetes (T1D) treated with sensor-augmented insulin pumps (SAP).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Twenty-six out of 55 participants with albuminuria and multiple daily injection therapy (25% females; median 51 [interquartile range 46-63] years of age; glycated hemoglobin A_1c (HbA_1c) 75 [68-88] mmol/mol [9.0% (8.4-10.4%)]; and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) 89 [37-250] mg/g) were in a randomized controlled trial assigned to SAP therapy for 1 year. Anthropometrics, CGM data, and blood and urine samples were collected every 3 months.

RESULTS

Mean change (95% CI) in percentage of TIR (%TIR) was 13.2% (6.2; 20.2), in HbA_1c was -14.4 (-17.4; -10.5) mmol/mol (-1.3% [-1.6; -1.0]), and in UACR was -15% (-38; 17) (all P < 0.05). UACR decreased by 19% (10; 28) per 10% increase in %TIR (P = 0.04), 18% (1; 30) per 10 mmol/mol decrease in HbA_1c (P = 0.07), and 31% per 10-mmHg decrease in mean arterial pressure (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In this longitudinal study, treatment-induced increase in %TIR was significantly associated with decrease in albuminuria in T1D.

MR-proANP and incident cardiovascular disease in patients with type 2 diabetes with and without heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

Background

Mid-regional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP) is a useful biomarker in outpatients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) to diagnose heart failure (HF). Elevated B-type natriuretic peptides are included in the definition of HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) but little is known about the prognostic value of including A-type natriuretic peptides (MR-proANP) in the evaluation of patients with T2D.

Methods

We prospectively evaluated the risk of incident cardiovascular (CV) events in outpatients with T2D (n = 806, mean ± standard deviation age 64 ± 10 years, 65% male, median [interquartile range] duration of diabetes 12 [6–17] years, 17.5% with symptomatic HFpEF) according to MR-proANP levels and stratified according to HF-status including further stratification according to a prespecified cut-off level of MR-proANP.

Results

A total of 126 CV events occurred (median follow-up 4.8 [4.1–5.3] years). An elevated MR-proANP, with a cut-off of 60 pmol/l or as a continuous variable, was associated with incident CV events (p < 0.001). Compared to patients without HF, patients with HFpEF and high MR-proANP (≥ 60 pmol/l; median 124 [89–202] pmol/l) and patients with HF and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) had a higher risk of CV events (multivariable model; hazard ratio (HR) 2.56 [95% CI 1.64–4.00] and 3.32 [1.64–6.74], respectively). Conversely, patients with HFpEF and low MR-proANP (< 60 pmol/l; median 46 [32–56] pmol/l) did not have an increased risk (HR 2.18 [0.78–6.14]).

Conclusions

Patients with T2D and HFpEF with high MR-proANP levels had an increased risk for CV events compared to patients with HFpEF without elevated MR-proANP and compared to patients without HF, supporting the use of MR-proANP in the definition of HFpEF from a prognostic point-of-view.

Myocardial flow reserve assessed by cardiac 82Rb positron emission tomography/computed tomography is associated with albumin excretion in patients with Type 1 diabetes

AIMS

To evaluate myocardial flow reserve (MFR) and coronary artery calcium (CAC) in persons with Type 1 diabetes with or without albuminuria and in non-diabetic controls. MFR reflects the function of large epicardial arteries and myocardial microcirculation. CAC represents structural aspects of atherosclerosis. In addition, we evaluated the association of MFR and CAC with retinopathy, another microvascular complication.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Cross-sectional study in Type 1 diabetes, stratified by normoalbuminuria (NORMO; n = 30) and macroalbuminuria (MACRO; n = 30), and in non-diabetic controls (n = 30). MFR (pharmacological stress flow/rest flow) was evaluated by cardiac 82Rb positron emission tomography/computed tomography. MFR was similar in patients with NORMO and controls (3.1 ± 0.79 vs. 3.0 ± 0.79; P = 0.74). Patients with MACRO had lower (impaired) MFR when compared with NORMO (2.1 ± 0.92 vs. 3.1 ± 0.79; P < 0.0001). The CAC score [median (interquartile range)] was higher in NORMO when compared with controls [72 (22-247) vs. 0 (0-81), P = 0.03], and comparable between MACRO and NORMO. MFR was comparable in patients with diabetes and simplex or no retinopathy (n = 24 and n = 12, 2.8 ± 0.84 vs. 3.3 ± 0.77, P = 0.11), but lower in proliferative (n = 24) compared with simplex retinopathy (2.1 ± 0.97 vs. 2.8 ± 0.84, P = 0.02). The CAC score was comparable between groups of retinopathy.

CONCLUSION

Myocardial microvascular function was comparable in non-diabetic controls and patients with Type 1 diabetes and NORMO; but impaired in the presence of microvascular complications (MACRO and proliferative retinopathy). Coronary calcification was elevated in diabetes, however, not explained by albuminuria.

Circulating Metabolites and Lipids Are Associated to Diabetic Retinopathy in Individuals With Type 1 Diabetes

Omics-based methods may provide new markers associated to diabetic retinopathy (DR). We investigated a wide omics panel of metabolites and lipids related to DR in type 1 diabetes. Metabolomic analyses were performed using two-dimensional gas chromatography with time-of-flight mass spectrometry and lipidomic analyses using an ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography quadruple time-of-flight mass spectrometry method in 648 individuals with type 1 diabetes. Subjects were subdivided into no DR, mild nonproliferative DR (NPDR), moderate NPDR, proliferative DR, and proliferative DR with fibrosis. End points were any progression of DR, onset of DR, and progression from mild to severe DR tracked from standard ambulatory care and investigated using Cox models. The cohort consisted of 648 participants aged a mean of 54.4 ± 12.8 years, 55.5% were men, and follow-up was 5.1-5.5 years. Cross-sectionally, 2,4-dihydroxybutyric acid (DHBA), 3,4-DHBA, ribonic acid, ribitol, and the triglycerides 50:1 and 50:2 significantly correlated (P < 0.042) to DR stage. Longitudinally, higher 3,4-DHBA was a risk marker for progression of DR (n = 133) after adjustment (P = 0.033). We demonstrated multiple metabolites being positively correlated to a higher grade of DR in type 1 diabetes and several triglycerides being negatively correlated. Furthermore, higher 3,4-DHBA was an independent risk marker for progression of DR; however, confirmation is required.

Relation of cardiac adipose tissue to coronary calcification and myocardial microvascular function in type 1 and type 2 diabetes

Background

Cardiac adipose tissue may have local paracrine effects on epicardial arteries and the underlying myocardium, promoting calcification and affecting myocardial microcirculation. We explored whether the total amount of cardiac adipose tissue was associated with coronary artery calcium score (CAC) and myocardial flow reserve in persons with type 1 or type 2 diabetes and healthy controls.

Methods

We studied three groups: (1) 30 controls, (2) 60 persons with type 1 diabetes and (3) 60 persons with type 2 diabetes. The three groups were matched for sex and age. The three groups derived from retrospective analysis of two clinical studies. All underwent cardiac ⁸²Rb positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) scanning. Cardiac adipose tissue volume (the sum of epicardial and pericardial fat), CAC, and myocardial flow reserve (ratio of pharmacological stress flow and rest flow) were evaluated using semiautomatic software. We applied linear regression to assess the association between cardiac adipose tissue, CAC and myocardial flow reserve.

Results

Mean (SD) cardiac adipose tissue volume was 99 (61) mL in the control group, 106 (78) mL in the type 1 diabetes group and 228 (97) mL in the type 2 diabetes group. Cardiac adipose tissue was positively associated with body mass index in all three groups (p ≤ 0.02). In the controls, cardiac adipose tissue was positively associated with CAC score (p = 0.008) and negatively associated with myocardial flow reserve (p = 0.005). However, cardiac adipose tissue was not associated with CAC or myocardial flow reserve in the groups including persons with type 1 or type 2 diabetes (p ≥ 0.50).

Conclusions

In contrast to what was found in healthy controls, we could not establish a relation between cardiac adipose tissue and coronary calcification or myocardial microvascular function in person with type 1 or type 2 diabetes. The role of cardiac adipose tissue in cardiovascular disease in diabetes remains unclear.

Opposing Age-Related Trends in Absolute and Relative Risk of Adverse Health Outcomes Associated With Out-of-Office Blood Pressure

Participant-level meta-analyses assessed the age-specific relevance of office blood pressure to cardiovascular complications, but this information is lacking for out-of-office blood pressure. At baseline, daytime ambulatory (n=12 624) or home (n=5297) blood pressure were measured in 17 921 participants (51.3% women; mean age, 54.2 years) from 17 population cohorts. Subsequently, mortality and cardiovascular events were recorded. Using multivariable Cox regression, floating absolute risk was computed across 4 age bands (≤60, 61-70, 71-80, and >80 years). Over 236 491 person-years, 3855 people died and 2942 cardiovascular events occurred. From levels as low as 110/65 mm Hg, risk log-linearly increased with higher out-of-office systolic/diastolic blood pressure. From the youngest to the oldest age group, rates expressed per 1000 person-years increased (P<0.001) from 4.4 (95% CI, 4.0-4.7) to 86.3 (76.1-96.5) for all-cause mortality and from 4.1 (3.9-4.6) to 59.8 (51.0-68.7) for cardiovascular events, whereas hazard ratios per 20-mm Hg increment in systolic out-of-office blood pressure decreased (P≤0.0033) from 1.42 (1.19-1.69) to 1.09 (1.05-1.12) and from 1.70 (1.51-1.92) to 1.12 (1.07-1.17), respectively. These age-related trends were similar for out-of-office diastolic pressure and were generally consistent in both sexes and across ethnicities. In conclusion, adverse outcomes were directly associated with out-of-office blood pressure in adults. At young age, the absolute risk associated with out-of-office blood pressure was low, but relative risk high, whereas with advancing age relative risk decreased and absolute risk increased. These observations highlight the need of a lifecourse approach for the management of hypertension.

P797Association of office and ambulatory blood pressure with mortality and cardiovascular endpoints

Background

Blood pressure (BP) is the strongest modifiable risk factor predicting death and cardiovascular complications. However, which BP index has greater clinical relevance is not established.

Purpose

To compare associations of adverse health outcomes with commonly used BP indexes.

Methods

Longitudinal population-based cohort study of 11,135 adults recruited in Europe, Asia and South America with baseline observations collected from 1985 until 2010 and last follow-up year ranging from 2006 to 2016. Multivariable-adjusted analyses addressed the associations of primary endpoints (total mortality and composite CV endpoints) and secondary endpoints (CV mortality, cardiac and coronary endpoints and stroke) with conventional BP, automated office BP and ambulatory BP indexes. Model performance was assessed by the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and change in the area under the curve (ΔAUC).

Results

The study included 49.3% women. Median age was 54.7 years. Over 13.8 years (median), 2836 participants died (18.5 per 1000 person-years) and 2049 (13.4 per 1000 person-years) experienced a cardiovascular endpoint. Both endpoints were related to all single systolic BP (SBP) indexes (P<0.001). In models that included both 24-h and nighttime SBP, the HRs for total mortality and the cardiovascular endpoint in relation to 24-h SBP were 0.98 (95% confidence interval, 0.92–1.06) and 1.17 (1.08–1.28) and HRs associated with nighttime SBP were 1.18 (1.11–1.27) and 1.12 (1.04–1.21), respectively. Otherwise, depending on the SBP index combined with 24-h or nighttime SBP, HRs for both endpoints associated with 24-h or nighttime SBP retained significance (P≤0.004), ranging from 1.12 (1.07–1.17) to 1.56 (1.41–1.74). In models that included either 24-h or nighttime SBP, HRs associated with other SBP indexes weakened, lost significance or reversed. IDI and ΔAUC for adding 24-h or nighttime SBP to other SBP indexes were consistently greater than unity except for combining 24-h and nighttime SBP. These findings were consistent for secondary endpoints, for systolic and diastolic BP, and in sensitivity analyses performed to evaluate the influence of antihypertensive drug treatment at baseline, various definitions of day and night, and the contribution of different cohorts to the overall results.

Conclusions

Associations of outcomes were strongest for 24-h and nighttime ambulatory BP, which outperformed all other BP indexes in predicting 10-year absolute risk and which should therefore be prioritised in clinical practice.

Acknowledgement/Funding

The European Union, the European Research Council, the European Research Area Net for Cardiovascular Diseases, et al.

P4449Incident cardiovascular disease in patients with type 2 diabetes: Established cardiovascular disease versus traditional risk markers

Background/Introduction

It is well established that patients with both T2D and established cardiovascular disease (CVD) are at high-risk of a re-event and should be treated with either a glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) analogue or a sodium-glucose transporter-2 (SGLT-2) inhibitor. Other high-risk patients with T2D may also benefit from these treatments. Whether traditional risk markers can identify patients with T2D without CVD with a similar incidence of CVD events as patients with T2D with established CVD is unknown.

Purpose

To compare the CVD incidence in patients with T2D with and without established CVD, stratified according to mid-regional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP), albuminuria, electrogardiogram (ECG), echocardiography and age, to identify patients without established CVD who are at high risk of a CVD event.

Methods

In this prospective cohort study, patients with T2D (n=921) from a specialized diabetes clinic were examined at baseline regarding the different risk markers. Increasing cut-offs for MR-proANP were analysed to identify high-risk patients. Albuminuria included both micro- and macroalbuminuria. An abnormal ECG was defined as the presence of ST-/T-changes, bundle branch block or atrial fibrillation, and an abnormal echocardiography was defined as either heart failure with preserved (HFpEF) or reduced (HFrEF) ejection fraction. Established CVD was reported at baseline as prior myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, cerebrovascular disease or peripheral artery disease. Information regarding CVD events was retrieved through national registers and a CVD event was similarly defined as established CVD, but in addition also included hospitalisation for heart failure and CVD death.

Results

In total, 224 (24%) patients had established CVD at baseline. Median [interquartile range] of follow-up was 4.7 [4.0–5.3] years. The incidence of CVD events among patients with established CVD was 95.7 per 1000-person years. Using a cut-off for MR-proANP of 190 pmol/l revealed that patients with a value above had similar incidence (93.9 per 1000-person years) and was found in 47 of 697 (6.7%) patients without CVD. In contrast, patients without CVD and with albuminuria (146 of 685 (21.3%) patients) or abnormal ECG (147 of 679 (21.6%)) or abnormal echocardiography (221 of 618 (35.7%)) or an age>65 years (335 of 697 (35.7%)) had substantial lower incidence (47.1, 35.1, 32.7 and 33.7 per 1000-person years, respectively).

Kaplan-Meier curves

Conclusion(s)

In patients with T2D without established CVD, using a range of traditional risk markers, we were only able to identify a subgroup of patients with MR-proANP values above 190 pmol/l who had a similar high incidence of CVD as T2D patients with established CVD. This subgroup may benefit from treatment with a GLP-1 analog or a SGLT-2 inhibitor. In contrast, the presence of other traditional risk markers in T2D was not associated with risk of incident CVD similar to patients with established CVD.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Thermo Fisher Scientific (Germany) funded the MR-proANP kits

Association of Office and Ambulatory Blood Pressure With Mortality and Cardiovascular Outcomes

IMPORTANCE

Blood pressure (BP) is a known risk factor for overall mortality and cardiovascular (CV)-specific fatal and nonfatal outcomes. It is uncertain which BP index is most strongly associated with these outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association of BP indexes with death and a composite CV event.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Longitudinal population-based cohort study of 11 135 adults from Europe, Asia, and South America with baseline observations collected from May 1988 to May 2010 (last follow-ups, August 2006-October 2016).

EXPOSURES

Blood pressure measured by an observer or an automated office machine; measured for 24 hours, during the day or the night; and the dipping ratio (nighttime divided by daytime readings).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) expressed the risk of death or a CV event associated with BP increments of 20/10 mm Hg. Cardiovascular events included CV mortality combined with nonfatal coronary events, heart failure, and stroke. Improvement in model performance was assessed by the change in the area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Among 11 135 participants (median age, 54.7 years, 49.3% women), 2836 participants died (18.5 per 1000 person-years) and 2049 (13.4 per 1000 person-years) experienced a CV event over a median of 13.8 years of follow-up. Both end points were significantly associated with all single systolic BP indexes (P < .001). For nighttime systolic BP level, the HR for total mortality was 1.23 (95% CI, 1.17-1.28) and for CV events, 1.36 (95% CI, 1.30-1.43). For the 24-hour systolic BP level, the HR for total mortality was 1.22 (95% CI, 1.16-1.28) and for CV events, 1.45 (95% CI, 1.37-1.54). With adjustment for any of the other systolic BP indexes, the associations of nighttime and 24-hour systolic BP with the primary outcomes remained statistically significant (HRs ranging from 1.17 [95% CI, 1.10-1.25] to 1.87 [95% CI, 1.62-2.16]). Base models that included single systolic BP indexes yielded an AUC of 0.83 for mortality and 0.84 for the CV outcomes. Adding 24-hour or nighttime systolic BP to base models that included other BP indexes resulted in incremental improvements in the AUC of 0.0013 to 0.0027 for mortality and 0.0031 to 0.0075 for the composite CV outcome. Adding any systolic BP index to models already including nighttime or 24-hour systolic BP did not significantly improve model performance. These findings were consistent for diastolic BP.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this population-based cohort study, higher 24-hour and nighttime blood pressure measurements were significantly associated with greater risks of death and a composite CV outcome, even after adjusting for other office-based or ambulatory blood pressure measurements. Thus, 24-hour and nighttime blood pressure may be considered optimal measurements for estimating CV risk, although statistically, model improvement compared with other blood pressure indexes was small.

Outcome-Driven Thresholds for Ambulatory Blood Pressure Based on the New American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Classification of Hypertension

The new American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guideline reclassified office blood pressure and proposed thresholds for ambulatory blood pressure (ABP). We derived outcome-driven ABP thresholds corresponding with the new office blood pressure categories. We performed 24-hour ABP monitoring in 11 152 participants (48.9% women; mean age, 53.0 years) representative of 13 populations. We determined ABP thresholds resulting in multivariable-adjusted 10-year risks similar to those associated with elevated office blood pressure (120/80 mm Hg) and stages 1 and 2 of office hypertension (130/80 and 140/90 mm Hg). Over 13.9 years (median), 2728 (rate per 1000 person-years, 17.9) people died, 1033 (6.8) from cardiovascular disease; furthermore, 1988 (13.8), 893 (6.0), and 795 (5.4) cardiovascular and coronary events and strokes occurred. Using a composite cardiovascular end point, systolic/diastolic outcome-driven thresholds indicating elevated 24-hour, daytime, and nighttime ABP were 117.9/75.2, 121.4/79.6, and 105.3/66.2 mm Hg. For stages 1 and 2 ambulatory hypertension, thresholds were 123.3/75.2 and 128.7/80.7 mm Hg for 24-hour ABP, 128.5/79.6 and 135.6/87.1 mm Hg for daytime ABP, and 111.7/66.2 and 118.1/72.5 mm Hg for nighttime ABP. ABP thresholds derived from other end points were similar. After rounding, approximate thresholds for elevated 24-hour, daytime, and nighttime ABP were 120/75, 120/80, and 105/65 mm Hg, and for stages 1 and 2, ambulatory hypertension 125/75 and 130/80 mm Hg, 130/80 and 135/85 mm Hg, and 110/65 and 120/70 mm Hg. Outcome-driven ABP thresholds corresponding to elevated blood pressure and stages 1 and 2 of hypertension are similar to those proposed by the current American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guideline.

Utility of Plasma Concentration of Trimethylamine N-Oxide in Predicting Cardiovascular and Renal Complications in Individuals With Type 1 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

Trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO) is suggested as an independent gut microbiota-derived risk factor for cardiovascular and renal disease. We investigated associations between plasma TMAO concentrations and cardio-renal outcomes in a prospective study of individuals with type 1 diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Plasma TMAO was measured at baseline in 1,159 individuals with type 1 diabetes (58% male, mean ± SD age 46 ± 13 years). End points were all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and renal events tracked from national registries. Associations between TMAO and end points were tested using Cox regression models.

RESULTS

After 15.0 (6.7-19.3) (median [interquartile range]) years of follow-up, we recorded all-cause and cardiovascular mortality (n = 363 and 120, respectively), combined CVD (n = 406), coronary outcome (myocardial infarction and coronary intervention) (n = 163), stroke (n = 115), hospitalization for heart failure (n = 81), and end-stage renal disease (n = 144). In univariate analyses, higher TMAO concentrations were associated with all end points (P ≤ 0.005). Except for stroke and heart failure, all end points remained significantly associated with higher TMAO concentrations after adjustment for conventional cardiovascular risk factors (P ≤ 0.003). After further adjustment for baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), results became insignificant for all end points. TMAO was inversely associated with baseline eGFR (R ² = 0.29; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In individuals with type 1 diabetes, higher concentrations of plasma TMAO were associated with mortality, CVD events, and poor renal outcome, independent of conventional risk factors. However, the association became insignificant after further adjustment for baseline eGFR. This could reflect TMAO as a renal function marker or a risk factor for micro- and macrovascular complications mediated through impaired renal function.

Soluble Urokinase Plasminogen Activator Receptor Predicts Cardiovascular Events, Kidney Function Decline, and Mortality in Patients With Type 1 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is an important inflammatory biomarker implicated in endothelial and podocyte dysfunction. However, suPAR's predictive qualities for complications in type 1 diabetes have yet to be determined. We investigated the prognostic value of suPAR for the development of cardiovascular events, decline in renal function, and mortality in patients with type 1 diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We included 667 patients with type 1 diabetes with various degrees of albuminuria in a prospective study. End points were cardiovascular events (cardiovascular death, nonfatal acute myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, or coronary or peripheral arterial interventions), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline ≥30%, progression from lower to higher albuminuric state, development of end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and mortality. Follow-up was 5.2-6.2 years. Results were adjusted for known risk factors. Hazard ratios (HRs) are presented per doubling of suPAR with 95% CI. Relative integrated discrimination improvement (rIDI) was calculated.

RESULTS

Quantification of suPAR was available in all participants; median (interquartile range) was 3.4 ng/mL (2.7-4.5). The adjusted HR (95% CI) for cardiovascular events (n = 94), progression in albuminuria (n = 36), eGFR decline (n = 93), ESRD (n = 23), and mortality (n = 58) were 3.13 (1.96-5.45, P < 0.001), 1.27 (0.51-3.19, P = 0.61), 2.93 (1.68-5.11, P < 0.001), 2.82 (0.73-11.9, P = 0.13), and 4.13 (1.96-8.69, P < 0.001), respectively. rIDI was significant for cardiovascular events (22.6%, P < 0.001), eGFR decline (14.4%, P < 0.001), and mortality (23.9%, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with type 1 diabetes and a broad range of albuminuria, a higher level of suPAR is a significant and independent risk factor for cardiovascular events, decline in eGFR ≥30%, and mortality. In addition, suPAR contributes significantly to discrimination for the end points.