Milestones in the journey towards addressing obesity; Past trials and triumphs, recent breakthroughs, and an exciting future in the era of emerging effective medical therapies and integration of effective medical therapies with metabolic surgery

Consolidating International Care Models and Clinical Services for Adult Obesity

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

This paper aims to analyze and consolidate the existing evidence on models of care and clinical obesity services for adults living with obesity 1) to identify the key components of clinical obesity services, and 2) to propose recommendations for future directions of promoting the international development of clinical obesity care.

RECENT FINDINGS

The key components of clinical obesity services include 1) a contextualized composition of multi-disciplinary teams and mechanisms to empower the healthcare professionals, 2) clear stepwise pathways matching patient needs with appropriate clinical and community resources in a timely manner, 3) comprehensive assessment and individualized treatment plan informed by the evidence-based clinical practice guidelines. Furthermore, clinical information systems and financing resources are instrumental to the effective and sustainable functioning of a comprehensive clinical service with strong connections across primary, secondary and tertiary levels of care. We synthesized these findings to make recommendations for healthcare practitioners, hospital administrations and policymakers in developing and improving comprehensive clinical services to address the needs of adults living with obesity.

Interrelations of Leptin and Interleukin-6 in Vitamin D Deficient and Overweight Orthodox Nuns from Northern Greece: A Pilot Study

Background/Objectives: Athonian fasting, a rigorous form of intermittent fasting practiced by Christian Orthodox nuns and a subset of the Mediterranean diet, has known health benefits, but its impact on the interplay of adipokines, inflammatory cytokines, and vitamin D status remains under-investigated. This study aimed to elucidate these relationships within this controlled dietary context. Methods: This cross-sectional study examined the interplay of leptin, interleukin-6 (IL-6), and vitamin D in 41 overweight, vitamin D-sufficient Christian Orthodox nuns practicing Athonian fasting. Anthropometric, biochemical, and inflammatory markers were assessed in the nuns (mean age 53.4 ± 17.1 years, median monastery stay 17 years, median BMI 26.8 kg/m2). Results: Analysis revealed significant positive correlations between age and monastery stay (r = 0.615, p < 0.001), age and visceral fat (ρ = 0.791, p < 0.001), age and IL-6 (ρ = 0.647, p < 0.001), and BMI and IL-6 (ρ = 0.622, p < 0.001). Strong associations existed between adiposity (BMI, body fat, visceral fat), leptin, and IL-6. Specifically, body fat showed substantial positive correlations with visceral fat (ρ = 0.858, p < 0.001), leptin (ρ = 0.538, p < 0.001), and IL-6 (ρ = 0.675, p < 0.001). Visceral fat demonstrated strong positive correlations with leptin (ρ = 0.613, p < 0.001) and IL-6 (ρ = 0.741, p < 0.001). A significant positive correlation was also observed between leptin and IL-6 (ρ = 0.507, p = 0.003). Conversely, a significant negative correlation was found between 25(OH)D and PTH (ρ = -0.380, p = 0.016). Multivariate regression analysis did not reveal independent effects of leptin or IL-6 after adjusting for other factors. Conclusions: This study reveals a complex interplay of adiposity, inflammation, and vitamin D status in this unique population of Orthodox monastery fasters. The strong correlations suggest potential targets for interventions aimed at improving metabolic health. Future research should investigate the effects of vitamin D within the context of Athonian fasting.

Human subjects with impaired beta-cell function and glucose tolerance have higher levels of intra-islet intact GLP-1

AIMS

A number of studies have suggested that pancreatic α cells produce intact GLP-1, thereby constituting a gut-independent paracrine incretin system. However, the debate on whether human α cells contain intact GLP-1 and whether this relates to the presence of diabetes is still ongoing. This study aimed to determine the presence of proglucagon-derived peptides, including GLP-1 isoforms, in pancreas biopsies obtained during partial pancreatectomy from metabolically profiled human donors, stratified according to pre-surgery glucose tolerance.

METHODS

We enrolled 61 individuals with no known history of type 2 diabetes (31F/30M, age 64.6 ± 10.6 yrs., BMI 24.2 ± 3.68 kg/m2) scheduled for partial pancreatectomy for periampullary neoplasm. Differences in glucose tolerance and insulin secretion/sensitivity were assessed using preoperative 2 h OGTT, 4 h-Mixed Meal Test and Hyperinsulinemic Euglycemic Clamp. Subjects were subsequently classified as normal glucose tolerant (NGT, n = 19), impaired glucose tolerant (IGT, n = 20) or newly diagnosed diabetes (DM) (n = 22). We measured total GLP-1, intact GLP-1, glucagon, insulin, and C-peptide in pancreas biopsies and plasma from these subjects and correlated the results with their secretory and metabolic parameters.

RESULTS

Extractable levels of total GLP-1 were 23.9 ± 2.66 pmol/g, while intact GLP-1 levels were 1.15 ± 0.18 pmol/g. When we examined proglucagon derived peptides (adjusted for glucagon levels), in subjects classified according to glucose tolerance, we observed similar levels of total GLP-1, however, intact GLP-1 was significantly increased in IGT and DM groups and inversely associated with beta cell glucose sensitivity and insulin secretion in vivo.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data show that development of glucose intolerance and beta cell dysfunction are significantly associated with increased levels of intra-islet intact GLP-1, a potentially beneficial adaptation of the paracrine regulation of insulin secretion in type 2 diabetes.

GDF-15 improves the predictive capacity of steatotic liver disease non-invasive tests for incident morbidity and mortality risk for cardio-renal-metabolic diseases and malignancies

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Noninvasive tools (NITs) are currently used to stratify the risk of having or developing hepatic steatosis or fibrosis. Their performance and a proteomic-enabled improvement in forecasting long-term cardio-renal-metabolic morbidity, malignancies, as well as cause-specific and all-cause mortality, are lacking. Therefore, the performance of established NITs needs to be investigated in identifying cardio-renal-metabolic morbidity, malignancies, cause-specific and overall mortality and improve their performance with novel, proteomic-enabled NITs, including growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), allowing multipurpose utilization.

METHODS

502,359 UK Biobank participants free of the study outcomes at baseline with a 14-year median follow-up were grouped into three categories: a) general population, b) potentially metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) population, c) individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus. The investigated NITs include Aspartate aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI), Fibrosis 4 Index (FIB-4), Fatty Liver Index (FLI), Hepatic Steatosis Index (HSI), Lipid Accumulation Product (LAP), and metabolic dysfunction-associated fibrosis (MAF-5) score.

RESULTS

Adding GDF-15 to the existing NITs led to significantly increased prognostic performance compared to the traditional NITs in almost all instances, reaching substantially high C-indices, ranging between 0.601 and 0.808, with an overall >0.2 improvement in C-index. Overall, with the GDF-15 enhanced NITs, up to more than seven times fewer individuals need to be screened to identify more incident cases of adverse outcomes compared to the traditional NITs. The cumulative incidence of all outcomes, based on the continuous value percentiles of NITs, is increasing exponentially in the upper quintile of the GDF-15 enhanced NITs.

CONCLUSIONS

The herein-developed GDF-15 enhanced indices demonstrate higher screening effectiveness and significantly improved prognostic abilities, which are reduced to practice through an easy-to-use web-based calculator tool (https://clinicalpredictor.shinyapps.io/multimorbidity-mortality-risk/).

Emerging pharmacotherapies for obesity: A systematic review

The history of antiobesity pharmacotherapies is marked by disappointments, often entangled with societal pressure promoting weight loss and the prevailing conviction that excess body weight signifies a lack of willpower. However, categories of emerging pharmacotherapies generate hope to reduce obesity rates. This systematic review of phase 2 and phase 3 trials in adults with overweight/obesity investigates the effect of novel weight loss pharmacotherapies, compared to placebo/control or US Food and Drug Administration-approved weight loss medication, through searching Medline, Embase, and ClinicalTrials.gov (2012-2024). We identified 53 phase 3 and phase 2 trials, with 36 emerging antiobesity drugs or combinations thereof and 4 withdrawn or terminated trials. Oral semaglutide 50 mg is the only medication that has completed a phase 3 trial. There are 14 ongoing phase 3 trials on glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists (RAs) (ecnoglutide, orforglipron, and TG103), GLP-1 RA/amylin agonist (CagriSema), GLP-1/glucagon RAs (mazdutide and survodutide), GLP-1/glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide and glucagon RA (retatrutide), dapagliflozin, and the combination sibutramine/topiramate. Completed phase 2 trials on incretin-based therapies showed a mean percent weight loss of 7.4% to 24.2%. Almost half of the drugs undergoing phase 2 trials are incretin analogs. The obesity drug pipeline is expanding rapidly, with the most promising results reported with incretin analogs. Data on mortality and obesity-related complications, such as cardio-renal-metabolic events, are needed. Moreover, long-term follow-up data on the safety and efficacy of weight maintenance with novel obesity pharmacotherapies, along with studies focused on underrepresented populations, cost-effectiveness assessments, and drug availability, are needed to bridge the care gap for patients with obesity. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Obesity is the epidemic of the 21st century. Except for the newer injectable medications, drugs with suboptimal efficacy have been available in the clinician's armamentarium for weight management. However, emerging alternatives of novel agents and combinations populate the current obesity therapeutic pipeline. This systematic review identifies the state and mechanism of action of emerging pharmacotherapies undergoing or having completed phase 2 and phase 3 clinical trials. The information provided herein furthers the understanding of obesity management, implying direct clinical implications and stimulating research initiatives.

Simplifying coronary artery disease risk stratification: development and validation of a questionnaire-based alternative comparable to clinical risk tools

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery disease (CAD) comprises one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality both in the European population and globally. All established clinical risk stratification scores and models require blood lipids and physical measurements. The latest reports of the European Commission suggest that attracting health professionals to collect these data can be challenging, both from a logistic and cost perspective, which limits the usefulness of established models and makes them unsuitable for population-wide screening in resource-limited settings, i.e., rural areas. Therefore, the aim of this study was to develop and externally validate a questionnaire-based risk stratification model on a population scale at minimal cost, i.e., the Questionnaire-Based Evaluation for Estimating Coronary Artery Disease (QUES-CAD) to stratify the 10-year incidence of coronary artery disease.

METHODS

Cox proportional hazards (CoxPH) and Cox gradient boosting (CoxGBT) models were trained with 10-fold cross-validation using combinations of ten questionnaire variables on the White population of the UK Biobank (n = 448,818) and internally validated the models in all ethnic minorities (n = 27,433). The Lifelines cohort was employed as an independent external validation population (n = 97,770). Additionally, we compared QUES-CAD's performance, containing only questionnaire variables, to clinically established risk prediction tools, i.e., Framingham Coronary Heart Disease Risk Score, American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association pooled cohort equation, World Health Organization cardiovascular disease risk charts, and Systematic Coronary Risk Estimation 2 (SCORE2). We conducted partial log-likelihood ratio (PLR) tests and C-index comparisons between QUES-CAD and established clinical prediction models.

FINDINGS

In the external validation set, QUES-CAD exhibited C-index values of CoxPH: 0.692 (95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 0.673-0.71) and CoxGBT: 0.699 (95% CI: 0.681-0.717) for the male population and CoxPH: 0.771 (95% CI: 0.748-0.794) and CoxGBT: 0.759 (95% CI: 0.736-0.783) for the female population. The addition of measurement-based variables and variables that require a prior medical examination (i.e., insulin use, number of treatments/medications taken, prevalent cardiovascular disease [other than CAD, and stroke diagnosed by a doctor]) and the further addition of biomarkers/other measurements (i.e., high-density lipoprotein [HDL] cholesterol, total cholesterol, and glycated haemoglobin) did not significantly improve QUES-CAD's performance in most instances. C-index comparisons and PLR tests showed that QUES-CAD performs and fits the data at least as well as the clinical prediction models.

INTERPRETATION

QUES-CAD performs comparably to established clinical prediction models and enables a population-wide identification of high-risk individuals for CAD. The model developed and validated herein relies solely on ten questionnaire variables, overcoming the limitations of existing models that depend on physical measurements or biomarkers.

FUNDING

University Medical Center Groningen.

Efficacy and safety of triple hormone receptor agonist retatrutide for the management of obesity: a systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Retatrutide is a novel triple hormone receptor agonist which has shown great promise in tackling obesity in preliminary trials. We did this systematic review and meta-analysis to pool the results of all available trials and ascertain its safety and efficacy in the treatment of obesity.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A literature search was conducted in PubMed, Cochrane Central and Embase using appropriate search terms and randomized control trials (RCTs) were identified which reported the safety and efficacy of retatrutide. Data was pooled using mean differences for continuous variables and risk ratios for the safety profile in RStudio.

RESULTS

After the initial search four RCTs were included in the analysis which compared the safety and efficacy of retatrutide versus placebo. Retatrutide showed a dose dependent relationship with the 12 mg dose causing the maximum reductions across all the outcomes considered. The safety profile of retatrutide was found to be comparable to the control group.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion our analysis found retatrutide to be clinically and statistically better than placebo in the various studies outcomes. We eagerly await the conduction of further trials for more robust and substantial results.

PROTOCOL REGISTRATION

www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero identifier is CRD42024566153.

Evidence from clinical studies of leptin: current and future clinical applications in humans

Leptin has been established as the prototype adipose tissue secreted hormone and as a major regulator of several human physiology functions. Here, we are primarily reviewing the findings from studies in humans involving leptin administration. We are describing the metabolic, endocrine and immunologic effects of leptin replacement in conditions of leptin deficiency, such as short-term fasting in healthy individuals, relative energy deficiency in sports (REDS), congenital leptin deficiency (CLD), generalized (GL) and partial lipodystrophy (PL), HIV-associated lipodystrophy (HIV-L) and of leptin treatment in conditions of leptin excess (common obesity, type 2 diabetes, steatotic liver disease). We are comparing the results with the findings from preclinical models and present the main conclusions regarding the role of leptin in human physiology, pathophysiology and therapeutics. We conclude that, in conditions of energy deficiency, leptin substitution effectively reduces body weight and fat mass through reduction of appetite, it improves hypertriglyceridemia, insulin resistance and hepatic steatosis (especially in GL and PL), it restores neuroendocrine function (especially the gonadotropic axis), it regulates adaptive immune system cell populations and it improves bone health. On the contrary, leptin treatment in conditions of leptin excess, such as common obesity and type 2 diabetes, does not improve any metabolic abnormalities. Strategies to overcome leptin tolerance/resistance in obesity and type 2 diabetes have provided promising results in animal studies, which should though be tested in humans in randomized clinical trials.

The impact of weight loss on fat-free mass, muscle, bone and hematopoiesis health: Implications for emerging pharmacotherapies aiming at fat reduction and lean mass preservation

Similar to bariatric surgery, incretin receptor agonists have revolutionized the treatment of obesity, achieving up to 15-25 % weight loss in many patients, i.e., at a rate approaching that achieved with bariatric surgery. However, over 25 % of total weight lost from both surgery and pharmacotherapy typically comes from fat-free mass, including skeletal muscle mass, which is often overlooked and can impair metabolic health and increase the risk of subsequent sarcopenic obesity. Loss of muscle and bone as well as anemia can compromise physical function, metabolic rate, and overall health, especially in older adults. The myostatin-activin-follistatin-inhibin system, originally implicated in reproductive function and subsequently muscle regulation, appears to be crucial for muscle and bone maintenance during weight loss. Activins and myostatin promote muscle degradation, while follistatins inhibit their activity in states of negative energy balance, thereby preserving lean mass. Novel compounds in the pipeline, such as Bimagrumab, Trevogrumab, and Garetosmab-which inhibit activin and myostatin signaling-have demonstrated promise in preventing muscle loss while promoting fat loss. Either alone or combined with incretin receptor agonists, these medications may enhance fat loss while preserving or even increasing muscle and bone mass, offering a potential solution for improving body composition and metabolic health during significant weight loss. Since this dual therapeutic approach could help address the challenges of muscle and bone loss during weight loss, well-designed studies are needed to optimize these strategies and assess long-term benefits. For the time being, considerations like advanced age and prefrailty may affect the choice of suitable candidates in clinical practice for current and emerging anti-obesity medications due to the associated risk of sarcopenia.

The effects of chicory inulin-type fructans supplementation on weight management outcomes: systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression of randomized controlled trials

BACKGROUND

Excess body weight and adiposity can adversely affect metabolic health. Prebiotics such as inulin-type fructans (ITFs) from chicory root are known to modulate gut microbiota and may improve body weight regulation.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess evidence for chicory ITF supplementation to support weight management.

METHODS

Eligible articles (initial search to 2021, updated to February 2023) were searched from EMBASE, MEDLINE (PubMed), and Cochrane Library. Data on primary (body weight) and secondary outcomes [body mass index (BMI), total fat mass, body fat percentage, and waist circumference] were extracted by 2 reviewers independently. Random-effects model using inverse-variance method was used. Subgroup analysis (health status and ITF type) and meta-regression (dose and duration) were evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 32 eligible studies were included. Chicory ITF significantly reduced body weight [mean difference (MD): -0.97 kg; 95% CI: -1.34, -0.59); n = 1184] compared with placebo. ITF favored overall effects reduction in BMI (MD: -0.39 kg/m2; 95% CI: -0.57, -0.20; n = 985), fat mass (MD: -0.37 kg; 95% CI: -0.61, -0.13; n = 397), waist circumference (MD: -1.03 cm; 95% CI: -1.69, -0.37; n = 604), and for intervention duration of >8 wk, body fat percentage (MD: -0.78%; 95% CI: -1.17, -0.39; n = 488). Except for considerable heterogeneity in body weight (I2: 73%) and body fat percentage (I2: 75%), all other outcomes had negligible to moderate heterogeneity. Significant reduction in body weight, BMI, and waist circumference was evident irrespective of participants' health status. There was minimal evidence that dose, duration, or type of ITF influenced the magnitude of reductions in outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Chicory ITF supplementation may benefit weight management by reducing body weight, BMI, fat mass, waist circumference, and, to a certain extent, body fat percentage. This systematic review with meta-analysis was registered at PROSPERO as CRD42020184908.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and diabetes: the cross-talk between hepatologist and diabetologist

INTRODUCTION

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) are the most prevalent metabolic disorders globally. The numbers affected in both disorders are also rapidly increasing with alarming trends in children and young adults.

AREAS COVERED

Insulin resistance (IR) and the subsequent metabolic dysregulation are the fundamental pathogenesis pathways of the prevalent metabolic disorders. The interaction and impacts are bidirectional between MASLD and DM in terms of disease mechanisms, disease course, risks, and prognosis. There's a pressing issue for highlighting the links between MASLD and DM for both care specialists and primary care providers. The review collected the scientific evidence addressing the mutual interactions between the two disorders. The strategies for surveillance, risk stratification, and management are discussed in a practical manner. It also provides individualized viewpoints of patient care in hepatology and diabetology.

EXPERT OPINION

Both MASLD and DM shared similar disease mechanisms, and affected the disease development and progression in a bidirectional manner. The high prevalence and the cross-link between the two disorders raise clinical issues from awareness, screening, risk stratification, optimal referral, to appropriate management for primary care providers.

Steatotic Liver Disease: Pathophysiology and Emerging Pharmacotherapies

Steatotic liver disease (SLD) displays a dynamic and complex disease phenotype. Consequently, the metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)/metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) therapeutic pipeline is expanding rapidly and in multiple directions. In parallel, noninvasive tools for diagnosing and monitoring responses to therapeutic interventions are being studied, and clinically feasible findings are being explored as primary outcomes in interventional trials. The realization that distinct subgroups exist under the umbrella of SLD should guide more precise and personalized treatment recommendations and facilitate advancements in pharmacotherapeutics. This review summarizes recent updates of pathophysiology-based nomenclature and outlines both effective pharmacotherapeutics and those in the pipeline for MASLD/MASH, detailing their mode of action and the current status of phase 2 and 3 clinical trials. Of the extensive arsenal of pharmacotherapeutics in the MASLD/MASH pipeline, several have been rejected, whereas other, mainly monotherapy options, have shown only marginal benefits and are now being tested as part of combination therapies, yet others are still in development as monotherapies. Although the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has recently approved resmetirom, additional therapeutic approaches in development will ideally target MASH and fibrosis while improving cardiometabolic risk factors. Due to the urgent need for the development of novel therapeutic strategies and the potential availability of safety and tolerability data, repurposing existing and approved drugs is an appealing option. Finally, it is essential to highlight that SLD and, by extension, MASLD should be recognized and approached as a systemic disease affecting multiple organs, with the vigorous implementation of interdisciplinary and coordinated action plans. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Steatotic liver disease (SLD), including metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis, is the most prevalent chronic liver condition, affecting more than one-fourth of the global population. This review aims to provide the most recent information regarding SLD pathophysiology, diagnosis, and management according to the latest advancements in the guidelines and clinical trials. Collectively, it is hoped that the information provided furthers the understanding of the current state of SLD with direct clinical implications and stimulates research initiatives.

Bariatric surgery, through beneficial effects on underlying mechanisms, improves cardiorenal and liver metabolic risk over an average of ten years of observation: A longitudinal and a case-control study

BACKGROUND

Bariatric surgery has long-term beneficial effects on body weight and metabolic status, but there is an apparent lack of comprehensive cardiometabolic, renal, liver, and metabolomic/lipidomic panels, whereas the underlying mechanisms driving the observed postoperative ameliorations are still poorly investigated. We aimed to study the long-term effects of bariatric surgery on metabolic profile, cardiorenal and liver outcomes in association with underlying postoperative gut hormone adaptations.

METHODS

28 individuals who underwent bariatric surgery [17 sleeve gastrectomy (SG), 11 Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB)] were followed up 3, 6 and 12 and at 10 years following surgery. Participants at 10 years were cross-sectionally compared with an age-, sex- and adiposity-matched group of non-operated individuals (n = 9) and an age-matched pilot group of normal-weight individuals (n = 4).

RESULTS

There were durable effects of surgery on body weight and composition, with an increase of lean mass percentage persisting despite some weight regain 10 years postoperatively. The improvements in metabolic and lipoprotein profiles, cardiometabolic risk markers, echocardiographic and cardiorenal outcomes persisted over the ten-year observation period. The robust improvements in insulin resistance, adipokines, activin/follistatin components and postprandial gastrointestinal peptide levels persisted 10 years postoperatively. These effects were largely independent of surgery type, except for a lasting reduction of ghrelin in the SG subgroup, and more pronounced increases in proglucagon products, mainly glicentin and oxyntomodulin, and in the cardiovascular risk marker Trimethylamine-N-oxide (TMAO) within the RYGB subgroup. Despite similar demographic and clinical features, participants 10 years after surgery showed a more favorable metabolic profile compared with the control group, in conjunction with a dramatic increase of postprandial proglucagon product secretion.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrate that cardiorenal and metabolic benefits of bariatric surgery remain robust and largely unchanged ten years postoperatively and are associated with durable effects on gastrointestinal- muscle- and adipose tissue-secreted hormones.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04170010.

Pharmacoeconomic evaluation of anti-obesity drugs for chronic weight management: a systematic review of literature

Introduction

Pharmacological therapy is recommended as a second-line alternative to reverse obesity. Currently, five anti-obesity drugs (AODs) have been approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for chronic weight management. The aim of this paper is to investigate the pharmacoeconomic evaluation of AODs through a systematic review with a special focus on methodological considerations.

Methods

We searched the general and specific databases to identify the primary pharmacoeconomic evaluation of AODs.

Results

A total of 18 full-text articles and three conference abstracts were included in this review. Most of the economic assessments were still about Orlistat. And the observations we could make were consistent with the previous systematic review. A few studies were on the combined therapies (i.e. PHEN/TPM ER and NB ER) compared to different comparators, which could hardly lead to a generalized summary of the cost-effectiveness. Most recently, pharmacoeconomic evidence on the newest GLP 1 RA approved for the indication of obesity or obesity with at least one comorbidity emerged gradually. Modelling-based cost-utility analysis is the major type of assessment method. In the modelling studies, a manageable number of the key health states and the state transitions were structured to capture the disease progression. In particular, the principal structure of the decision model adopted in the three studies on the newly approved drug was nearly the same, which enables more in-depth comparisons and generalizations of the findings.

Conclusion

This study provided an up-to-date overview of the strengths and areas for improvement in the methodological design of the pharmacoeconomic evaluation of the licensed drugs for chronic weight management. Future modelling evaluations would benefit from a better understanding of the long-term weight loss effects of the current therapeutic options and the weight rebound process after the discontinuation of treatment.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42022302648, identifier CRD42022302648.

Rare Variants of Obesity-Associated Genes in Young Adults with Abdominal Obesity

The increase in the prevalence of overweight, obesity and associated diseases is a serious problem. The aim of the study was to identify rare variants in obesity-associated genes in young adults with abdominal obesity in our population and to analyze information about these variants in other populations. Targeted high-throughput sequencing of obesity-associated genes was performed (203 young adults with an abdominal obesity phenotype). In our study, all of the 203 young adults with abdominal obesity had some rare variant in the genes associated with obesity. The widest range of rare and common variants was presented in ADIPOQ, FTO, GLP1R, GHRL, and INS genes. The use of targeted sequencing and clinical criteria makes it possible to identify carriers of rare clinically significant variants in a wide range of obesity-associated genes and to investigate their influence on phenotypic manifestations of abdominal obesity.

Effective questionnaire-based prediction models for type 2 diabetes across several ethnicities: a model development and validation study

Background

Type 2 diabetes disproportionately affects individuals of non-White ethnicity through a complex interaction of multiple factors. Therefore, early disease detection and prediction are essential and require tools that can be deployed on a large scale. We aimed to tackle this problem by developing questionnaire-based prediction models for type 2 diabetes prevalence and incidence for multiple ethnicities.

Methods

In this proof of principle analysis, logistic regression models to predict type 2 diabetes prevalence and incidence, using questionnaire-only variables reflecting health state and lifestyle, were trained on the White population of the UK Biobank (n = 472,696 total, aged 37-73 years, data collected 2006-2010) and validated in five other ethnicities (n = 29,811 total) and externally in Lifelines (n = 168,205 total, aged 0-93 years, collected between 2006 and 2013). In total, 631,748 individuals were included for prevalence prediction and 67,083 individuals for the eight-year incidence prediction. Type 2 diabetes prevalence in the UK Biobank ranged between 6% in the White population to 23.3% in the South Asian population, while in Lifelines, the prevalence was 1.9%. Predictive accuracy was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and a detailed sensitivity analysis was conducted to assess potential clinical utility. We compared the questionnaire-only models to models containing physical measurements and biomarkers as well as to clinical non-laboratory type 2 diabetes risk tools and conducted a reclassification analysis.

Findings

Our algorithms accurately predicted type 2 diabetes prevalence (AUC = 0.901) and eight-year incidence (AUC = 0.873) in the White UK Biobank population. Both models replicated well in the Lifelines external validation, with AUCs of 0.917 and 0.817 for prevalence and incidence, respectively. Both models performed consistently well across different ethnicities, with AUCs of 0.855-0.894 for prevalence and 0.819-0.883 for incidence. These models generally outperformed two clinically validated non-laboratory tools and correctly reclassified >3,000 additional cases. Model performance improved with the addition of blood biomarkers but not with the addition of physical measurements.

Interpretation

Our findings suggest that easy-to-implement, questionnaire-based models could be used to predict prevalent and incident type 2 diabetes with high accuracy across several ethnicities, providing a highly scalable solution for population-wide risk stratification. Future work should determine the effectiveness of these models in identifying undiagnosed type 2 diabetes, validated in cohorts of different populations and ethnic representation.

Funding

University Medical Center Groningen.