Antibiotic therapy in acute pancreatitis: From global overuse to evidence based recommendations

Beyond the Basics: Recommended Approach to Severe Acute Pancreatitis Management in the Critical Care Setting

Acute Pancreatitis (AP) poses a significant healthcare burden globally. While most cases present with a mild course, approximately one-fifth progress to severe forms characterized by severe pancreatitis and systemic complications, leading to a mortality rate of up to 40%. Effective management of severe acute pancreatitis necessitates a multidisciplinary approach involving gastroenterologists, interventional radiologists, intensive care teams, and surgeons. The advances in treatment modalities, including early hydration, nutrition, and pain control, have led to a decrease in the morbidity and long-term complications associated with severe acute pancreatitis down to 20%. In this review, we focus on the management challenges and outcomes associated with the difficult condition of severe acute pancreatitis.

Phospholipase D2: A biomarker for stratifying disease severity in acute pancreatitis?

In this editorial, we critically evaluate the recent article by Niu et al, which explores the potential of phospholipase D2 (PLD2) as a biomarker for stratifying disease severity in acute pancreatitis (AP). AP is a clinically heterogeneous inflammatory condition that requires reliable biomarkers for early and accurate classification of disease severity. PLD2, an essential regulator of neutrophil migration and inflammatory responses, has emerged as a promising candidate. Although current biomarkers such as C-reactive protein and procalcitonin provide general indications of inflammation, they lack specificity regarding the molecular mechanisms underlying AP progression. Recent studies, including the research conducted by Niu et al, suggest an inverse correlation between PLD2 expression and AP severity, offering both diagnostic insights and mechanistic understanding. This editorial critically evaluates the role of PLD2 as a biomarker in the broader context of AP research. Evidence indicates that decreased levels of PLD2 are associated with increased neutrophil chemotaxis and cytokine release, contributing to pancreatic and systemic inflammation. However, several challenges remain, including the need for large-scale validation and functional studies to establish causation, and standardization of measurement protocols. Additionally, further investigation into the temporal dynamics of PLD2 expression and its variability across diverse populations is warranted. Looking ahead, PLD2 holds the potential to revolutionize AP management by integrating molecular diagnostics with precision medicine. The utilization of large-scale multi-omics approaches and advancements in diagnostic platforms could position PLD2 as a fundamental biomarker for early diagnosis, prognosis, and potentially therapeutic targeting. While promising, it is crucial to conduct critical evaluations and rigorous validations of PLD2's role to ensure its efficacy in improving patient outcomes.

Hydrogel Innovations in Biosensing: A New Frontier for Pancreatitis Diagnostics

Pancreatitis is a prominent and severe type of inflammatory disorder that has grabbed a lot of scientific and clinical interest to prevent its onset. It should be detected early to avoid the development of serious complications, which occur due to long-term damage to the pancreas. The accurate measurement of biomarkers that are released from the pancreas during inflammation is essential for the detection and early treatment of patients with severe acute and chronic pancreatitis, but this is sub-optimally performed in clinically relevant practices, mainly due to the complexity of the procedure and the cost of the treatment. Clinically available tests for the early detection of pancreatitis are often time-consuming. The early detection of pancreatitis also relates to disorders of the exocrine pancreas, such as cystic fibrosis in the hereditary form and cystic fibrosis-like syndrome in the acquired form of pancreatitis, which are genetic disorders with symptoms that can be correlated with the overexpression of specific markers such as creatinine in biological fluids like urine. In this review, we studied how to develop a minimally invasive system using hydrogel-based biosensors, which are highly absorbent and biocompatible polymers that can respond to specific stimuli such as enzymes, pH, temperature, or the presence of biomarkers. These biosensors are helpful for real-time health monitoring and medical diagnostics since they translate biological reactions into quantifiable data. This paper also sheds light on the possible use of Ayurvedic formulations along with hydrogels as a treatment strategy. These analytical devices can be used to enhance the early detection of severe pancreatitis in real time.

Pancreatitis in children: practical management from the BSPGHAN Pancreatitis Working Group

Pancreatitis, a condition characterised by inflammation of the pancreas, has multiple aetiologies. Improving clinical proficiency in prompt diagnosis and effective management leads to better outcomes for children with acute pancreatitis, acute recurrent pancreatitis and chronic pancreatitis. Establishing consensus guidance via the British Society of Paediatric Gastroenterology Hepatology and Nutrition Pancreatitis Working Group has ensured further focus on these patients who are often cared for in a multidisciplinary framework and may prompt future research in this area. Initial assessment includes serum amylase/lipase, triglyceride levels, full blood count, C reactive protein, renal and liver function profile, glucose, calcium and capillary blood gas. Fasted transabdominal ultrasound for all children and young people with suspected pancreatitis is recommended to identify pancreatic parenchyma and pancreatobiliary ductal changes, and complications. For fluid resuscitation, use crystalloids or Ringer’s lactate: initial bolus of 10 to 20 mL/kg, 1.5–2 times maintenance volume, with hourly monitoring of urine output over the initial 24–48 hours. Initiate oral intake within the first 24 hours after fluid resuscitation; fat restriction is not recommended. For suspected autoimmune pancreatitis, workup includes immunoglobulin levels (IgG, IgM, IgA, IgG subclasses), complement components and autoantibody profile to confirm diagnosis. Significant interventional management for pancreatitis and related complications is performed via endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography or endoscopic ultrasound; referral to a specialised paediatric hepatobiliary surgical team is highly recommended. Close collaboration with a specialist centre can improve diagnostic and management pathways and outcomes for children.

Initial Management of Acute Pancreatitis

The initial management of acute pancreatitis (AP) is continually evolving. Goal-directed moderate fluid resuscitation is now preferred over more aggressive strategies. Antibiotics should be administered only when there is a proven or highly probable infection rather than for prophylactic purposes. Urgent endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography would be beneficial for patients with acute cholangitis. Same-admission cholecystectomy for mild biliary PA is safe, efficiently prevents relapse, and is associated with lower costs compared with interval cholecystectomy. Ongoing research into novel pharmacologic treatments and strategies is essential for further advancements in AP management.

The 12-Year Experience of the Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group

The Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group (HPSG) was established with the aim of advancing pancreatology. Our summary outlines the methodologies, key results, and future directions of the HPSG. Methodological elements included, the formation of strategic national and international collaborations, the establishment of patient registries and biobanks, and a strong focus on education and guideline development. Key results encompassed, pioneering research on pancreatic ductal function and the role of cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) in inflammation, significant advancements in understanding acute and chronic pancreatitis, and the execution of numerous clinical trials to explore new therapeutic approaches. Despite challenges, such as securing funding and translating research into clinical practice, the HPSG's commitment to patient care and scientific innovation has been unwavering. The group aims to deepen research into pancreatic cancer and chronic pancreatitis, conduct more randomized controlled trials (RCTs), and expand its efforts internationally by involving global staff and patients. The authors hope that this summary inspires others to undertake similar initiatives and contribute to the global advancement of medical research and patient care in pancreatology.

Three-tiered critical care management of acute pancreatitis

INTRODUCTION AND AIMS

Acute pancreatitis (AP) can rapidly progress from a stable condition to multiple organ failure with high mortality. We aimed to describe the characteristics of AP patients requiring admission to a critical care facility and to identify predictors of disease progression.

METHODS

We conducted a post-hoc analysis using prospectively collected data from AP patients admitted to the high dependency unit (HDU) and intensive care unit (ICU) at the University of Pécs, Hungary, from 2016 to 2019. Patients were categorized according to critical care needs and severity. Daily records of organ function, organ support and laboratory parameters were kept. Descriptive analysis and predictive models were developed to forecast the need for escalated critical care and mortality.

RESULTS

Analysis of 92 cases (65 % male, mean age 63 (range 19-92) years) revealed a median critical care stay of 8 days (range 1-69) and a mortality rate of 47 %. Naive Bayes prediction models using admission C-reactive protein (CRP) and amylase levels achieved 75 % accuracy in predicting mortality and a 65 % probability of requiring HDU and/or ICU admission. CRP levels increased significantly (47 vs 62 mg/l, p: 0.015) from 48 to 24 h before critical care admission, contrasting with controls, resulting in significantly higher CRP levels in critical care patients (62 vs 32 mg/l, p: 0.007) 24 h before admission.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that on-admission CRP and amylase cannot reliably predict progression of AP. However, elevated and increasing levels of CRP and amylase may indicate the need for early HDU admission to enable closer monitoring.

Impact of invasive infections on clinical outcomes in acute pancreatitis: early predictive factors and implications for prophylactic anti-infective therapy

BACKGROUND

The use of antibiotic therapy in acute pancreatitis remains controversial and is currently recommended only for confirmed infections of peripancreatic necrosis. However, reliable early predictors of septic complications and unfavorable outcomes are substantially lacking.

METHODS

Patients with acute pancreatitis were retrospectively reviewed and divided into two groups: one with a septic course defined by pathogen detection [GERM(+)] and one without [GERM(-)]. After propensity score matching, both groups were compared regarding clinical outcomes. Early predictors of pathogen detection were evaluated by multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

424 patients with acute pancreatitis were included. After propensity score matching 123 GERM(-) patients were compared to 74 GERM(+) patients. GERM(+) patients demonstrated significantly worse clinical outcomes with higher rate of intensive care treatment (59.5% vs. 35.0%; p = 0.0011) and consecutive longer stay in intensive care unit (11.5 ± 25.2d vs. 3.0 ± 7.9d; p = 0.0007), longer in-hospital stay (26.8 ± 22.0d vs. 14.7 ± 15.0d; p = 0.0003) as well as worse results in the composite outcome length of in-hospital stay > 15d or death (67.6% vs. 31.7%; p < 0.0001). Prescence of ascites and elevated white blood cell count at the onset of acute pancreatitis were identified as significant predictive factors in the early disease associated with invasive infection and pathogen detection. The most frequently detected pathogens were commensals of the gastrointestinal tract, observed in 70.7% of the examined body fluids and 50.7% of the examined blood cultures.

CONCLUSIONS

Detection of pathogens is associated with unfavorable clinical outcomes in acute pancreatitis. The presence of ascites and elevated white blood cell count at onset of acute pancreatitis are significant predictive factors indicating the risk of invasive infection with relevant bacterial load. Thus, an aggressive, early anti-infective strategy against pathogens of intestinal origin should be considered in these cases and may improve patient outcomes.

Risk Factor Analysis and Molecular Epidemiological Investigation of Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE) Infection in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis

Objective

Patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) complicated by carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE) infection often have a higher mortality rate. However, little investigation on the risk factor analysis has been published for the AP complicated by CRE. Therefore, this study conducted a retrospective analysis of the clinical characteristics, risk factors, and molecular epidemiological features associated with CRE infection in patients with AP.

Methods

A total of 240 patients with AP were admitted to our hospital from 2011 to 2021 as the research objects, and were divided into a CRE group of 60 cases and a non-CRE group of 180 cases based on whether they were co-infected with CRE or not. Furthermore, both univariate analysis and multivariate analysis were used to analyze the risk factors of AP co-infection with CRE. In the CRE group, polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and agarose gel electrophoresis (AGE) were used to detect the expression of five common carbapenemase genes including bla KPC, blaIMP, blaVIM, blaNDM , and blaOXA-48 .

Results

The pathogenic bacteria in the CRE group are composed of Klebsiella pneumonia at 35.00%, Escherichia coli at 33.33%, Enterobacter cloacae at 25.00%, and Citrobacter freundii at 6.67%. Multivariate analysis showed that APACHE-II scores (OR=1.22), history of abdominal surgery (OR=81.82), and ERCP (OR=3.66) were independent risk factors for AP co-infection with CRE (P<0.05). About half (18/40) of the CRE carried carbapenemase genes. bla KPC was the major carbapenemase gene.

Conclusion

There are many risk factors for AP co-infection with CRE, which can occur in patients with high APACHE-II scores, experienced ERCP, and a history of abdominal surgery.

Appropriate Use of Antibiotics in Acute Pancreatitis: A Scoping Review

BACKGROUND

While selective use of antibiotics for infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) in acute pancreatitis (AP) is recommended, studies indicate a high rate of inadequate treatment.

METHODS

A search of PubMed, Scopus, and Cochrane databases was conducted, focusing on primary research and meta-analyses. Data were categorized based on core concepts, and a narrative synthesis was performed.

RESULTS

The search identified a total of 1016 publications. After evaluating 203 full texts and additional sources from the grey literature, 80 studies were included in the review. The answers obtained were: (1) Preventive treatment does not decrease the incidence of IPN or mortality. Given the risks of bacterial resistance and fungal infections, antibiotics should be reserved for highly suspected or confirmed IPN; (2) The diagnosis of IPN does not always require microbiological samples, as clinical suspicion or computed tomography signs can suffice. Early diagnosis and treatment may be improved by using biomarkers such as procalcitonin and novel microbiological methods; (3) When indicated, early initiation of antibiotics is a key determinant in reducing mortality associated with IPN; (4) Antibiotics with good penetration into pancreatic tissue covering Gram-negative and Gram-positive bacteria should be used. Routine antifungal therapy is not recommended; (5) The step-up approach, including antibiotics, is the standard for IPN management; (6) Antibiotic duration should be kept to a minimum and should be based on the quality of source control and patient condition.

CONCLUSIONS

Early antibiotic therapy is essential for the treatment of IPN, but prophylactic antibiotics are not recommended in AP. High-quality randomized controlled trials are required to better understand the role of antibiotics and antifungals in AP management.

Current Diagnosis and Treatment of Acute Pancreatitis in Korea: A Nationwide Survey

Background/Aims

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a leading cause of emergency hospitalization. We present the current diagnostic and therapeutic status of AP as revealed by analysis of a large multicenter dataset.

Methods

The medical records of patients diagnosed with AP between 2018 and 2019 in 12 tertiary medical centers in Korea were retrospectively reviewed.

Results

In total, 676 patients were included, of whom 388 (57.4%) were male, and the mean age of all patients was 58.6 years. There were 355 (52.5%), 301 (44.5%), and 20 (3.0%) patients with mild, moderate, and severe AP, respectively, as assessed by the revised Atlanta classification. The most common etiologies of AP were biliary issues (41.6%) and alcohol consumption (24.6%), followed by hypertriglyceridemia (6.8%). The etiology was not identified in 111 (16.4%) patients at the time of initial admission. The overall mortality rate was 3.3%, increasing up to 45.0% among patients with severe AP. Notably, 70.0% (14/20) of patients with severe AP and 81.5% (154/189) of patients with systemic inflammatory response syndrome had received <4 L per day during the initial 24 hours of admission. Only 23.8% (67/281) of acute biliary pancreatitis patients underwent cholecystectomy during their initial admission. In total, 17.8% of patients experienced recurrent attacks during follow-up. However, none of the patients with acute biliary pancreatitis experienced recurrent attacks if they had undergone cholecystectomy during their initial admission.

Conclusions

This study provides insights into the current status of AP in Korea, including its etiology, severity, and management. Results reveal disparities between clinical guidelines and their practical implementation for AP treatment.

Metagenomic next-generation sequencing, instead of procalcitonin, could guide antibiotic usage in patients with febrile acute necrotizing pancreatitis: a multicenter, prospective cohort study

BACKGROUNDS

The effectiveness of procalcitonin-based algorithms in guiding antibiotic usage for febrile acute necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP) remains controversial. Metagenomic next-generation sequencing (mNGS) has been applied to diagnose infectious diseases. The authors aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of blood mNGS in guiding antibiotic stewardship for febrile ANP.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The prospective multicenter clinical trial was conducted at seven hospitals in China. Blood samples were collected during fever (T ≥38.5°C) from ANP patients. The effectiveness of blood mNGS, procalcitonin, and blood culture in diagnosing pancreatic infection was evaluated and compared. Additionally, the real-world utilization of antibiotics and the potential mNGS-guided antimicrobial strategy in febrile ANP were also analyzed.

RESULTS

From May 2023 to October 2023, a total of 78 patients with febrile ANP were enrolled and 30 patients (38.5%) were confirmed infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN). Compared with procalcitonin and blood culture, mNGS showed a significantly higher sensitivity rate (86.7% vs. 56.7% vs. 26.7%, P <0.001). Moreover, mNGS outperformed procalcitonin (89.5 vs. 61.4%, P <0.01) and blood culture (89.5 vs. 69.0%, P <0.01) in terms of negative predictive value. Blood mNGS exhibited the highest accuracy (85.7%) in diagnosing IPN and sterile pancreatic necrosis, significantly superior to both procalcitonin (65.7%) and blood culture (61.4%). In the multivariate analysis, positive blood mNGS (OR=60.2, P <0.001) and lower fibrinogen level (OR=2.0, P <0.05) were identified as independent predictors associated with IPN, whereas procalcitonin was not associated with IPN, but with increased mortality (Odds ratio=11.7, P =0.006). Overall, the rate of correct use of antibiotics in the cohort was only 18.6% (13/70) and would be improved to 81.4% (57/70) if adjusted according to the mNGS results.

CONCLUSION

Blood mNGS represents important progress in the early diagnosis of IPN, with particular importance in guiding antibiotic usage for patients with febrile ANP.

Antibiotic Stewardship in Surgical Departments

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) has emerged as one of the leading public health threats of the 21st century. New evidence underscores its significance in patients' morbidity and mortality, length of stay, as well as healthcare costs. Globally, the factors that contribute to antimicrobial resistance include social and economic determinants, healthcare governance, and environmental interactions with impact on humans, plants, and animals. Antimicrobial stewardship (AS) programs have historically overlooked surgical teams as they considered them more difficult to engage. This review aims to summarize the evolution and significance of AS in surgical wards, including the surgical intensive care unit (SICU) and the role of diagnostic stewardship (DS). The contribution of AS team members is presented. The new diagnostic modalities and the new technologies including artificial intelligence (AI) are also reviewed.

Recent Treatment Strategies for Acute Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a leading gastrointestinal disease that causes hospitalization. Initial management in the first 72 h after the diagnosis of AP is pivotal, which can influence the clinical outcomes of the disease. Initial management, including assessment of disease severity, fluid resuscitation, pain control, nutritional support, antibiotic use, and endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in gallstone pancreatitis, plays a fundamental role in AP treatment. Recent updates for fluid resuscitation, including treatment goals, the type, rate, volume, and duration, have triggered a paradigm shift from aggressive hydration with normal saline to goal-directed and non-aggressive hydration with lactated Ringer's solution. Evidence of the clinical benefit of early enteral feeding is becoming definitive. The routine use of prophylactic antibiotics is generally limited, and the procalcitonin-based algorithm of antibiotic use has recently been investigated to distinguish between inflammation and infection in patients with AP. Although urgent ERCP (within 24 h) should be performed for patients with gallstone pancreatitis and cholangitis, urgent ERCP is not indicated in patients without cholangitis. The management approach for patients with local complications of AP, particularly those with infected necrotizing pancreatitis, is discussed in detail, including indications, timing, anatomical considerations, and selection of intervention methods. Furthermore, convalescent treatment, including cholecystectomy in gallstone pancreatitis, lipid-lowering medications in hypertriglyceridemia-induced AP, and alcohol intervention in alcoholic pancreatitis, is also important for improving the prognosis and preventing recurrence in patients with AP. This review focuses on recent updates on the initial and convalescent management strategies for AP.

Nosocomial surveillance of multidrug-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii: a genomic epidemiological study

Acinetobacter baumannii is a major opportunistic pathogen causing hospital-acquired infections, and it is imperative to comprehend its evolutionary and epidemiological dynamics in hospitals to prevent and control nosocomial transmission. Here, we present a comprehensive genomic epidemiological study involving the genomic sequencing and antibiotic resistance profiling of 634 A. baumannii strains isolated from seven intensive care units (ICUs) of a Chinese general hospital over 2 consecutive years. Our study reveals that ST2 is highly dominant (90.54%) in the ICUs, with 98.90% of the ST2 exhibiting multidrug resistant or extensively drug resistant. Phylogenetic analyses of newly sequenced genomes and public data suggest that nosocomial isolates originated outside the hospital but evolved inside. The major lineages appear to be stable, with 9 of the 28 identified nosocomial epidemic clones infecting over 60% of the affected patients. However, outbreaks of two highly evolved clones have been observed in different hospitals, suggesting significant inter-hospital transmission chains. By coupling patient medical records and genomic divergence of the ST2, we found that cross-ward patient transfer played a crucial role in pathogen's nosocomial transmission. Additionally, we identified 831 potential adaptive evolutionary loci and 44 associated genes by grouping and comparing the genomes of clones with different prevalence. Overall, our study provides a comprehensive and contemporary survey on the epidemiology and genomic evolution of A. baumannii in a large Chinese general hospital. These findings shed light on the nosocomial evolution and transmission of A. baumannii and offers valuable information for transmission prevention and antibiotic therapy.IMPORTANCEThis study delved into the genomic evolution and transmission of nosocomial Acinetobacter baumannii on a large scale, spanning both an extended time period and the largest sample size to date. Through molecular epidemiological investigations based on genomics, we can directly trace the origin of the pathogen, detecting and monitoring outbreaks of infectious diseases in a timely manner, and ensuring public health safety. In addition, this study also collects a large amount of genomic and antibiotic resistance detection data, which is helpful for phenotype prediction based on genomic sequencing. It enables patients to receive personalized antibiotic treatment quickly, helps doctors select antibiotics more accurately, and contributes to reducing the use of antibiotics and lowering the risk of antibiotic resistance development.

Persistently High Procalcitonin and C-Reactive Protein Are Good Predictors of Infection in Acute Necrotizing Pancreatitis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Infected necrotizing pancreatitis (INP) is associated with an increased risk of organ failure and mortality. Its early recognition and timely initiation of antibiotic therapy can save patients' lives. We systematically searched three databases on 27 October 2022. In the eligible studies, the presence of infection in necrotizing pancreatitis was confirmed via a reference test, which involved either the identification of gas within the necrotic collection through computed tomography imaging or the examination of collected samples, which yielded positive results in Gram staining or culture. Laboratory biomarkers compared between sterile necrotizing pancreatitis and INP were used as the index test, and our outcome measures included sensitivity, specificity, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the ROC curve (AUC). Within the first 72 hours (h) after admission, the AUC of C-reactive protein (CRP) was 0.69 (confidence interval (CI): 0.62-0.76), for procalcitonin (PCT), it was 0.69 (CI: 0.60-0.78), and for white blood cell count, it was 0.61 (CI: 0.47-0.75). After the first 72 h, the pooled AUC of CRP showed an elevated level of 0.88 (CI: 0.75-1.00), and for PCT, it was 0.86 (CI: 0.60-1.11). The predictive value of CRP and PCT for infection is poor within 72 h after hospital admission but seems good after the first 72 h. Based on these results, infection is likely in case of persistently high CRP and PCT, and antibiotic initiation may be recommended.

Construction and validation of machine learning models for sepsis prediction in patients with acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to construct predictive models for the risk of sepsis in patients with Acute pancreatitis (AP) using machine learning methods and compared optimal one with the logistic regression (LR) model and scoring systems.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, data were collected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC III) database between 2001 and 2012 and the MIMIC IV database between 2008 and 2019. Patients were randomly divided into training and test sets (8:2). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression plus 5-fold cross-validation were used to screen and confirm the predictive factors. Based on the selected predictive factors, 6 machine learning models were constructed, including support vector machine (SVM), K-nearest neighbour (KNN), multi-layer perceptron (MLP), LR, gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) and adaptive enhancement algorithm (AdaBoost). The models and scoring systems were evaluated and compared using sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), accuracy, and the area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

A total of 1, 672 patients were eligible for participation. In the training set, 261 AP patients (19.51%) were diagnosed with sepsis. The predictive factors for the risk of sepsis in AP patients included age, insurance, vasopressors, mechanical ventilation, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), heart rate, respiratory rate, temperature, SpO2, platelet, red blood cell distribution width (RDW), International Normalized Ratio (INR), and blood urea nitrogen (BUN). The AUC of the GBDT model for sepsis prediction in the AP patients in the testing set was 0.985. The GBDT model showed better performance in sepsis prediction than the LR, systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) score, bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) score, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, quick-SOFA (qSOFA), and simplified acute physiology score II (SAPS II).

CONCLUSION

The present findings suggest that compared to the classical LR model and SOFA, qSOFA, SAPS II, SIRS, and BISAP scores, the machine learning model-GBDT model had a better performance in predicting sepsis in the AP patients, which is a useful tool for early identification of high-risk patients and timely clinical interventions.

The Effect of Prophylactic Carbapenem Use on Outcomes in Acute Pancreatitis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Objective

This study aimed to determine the effect of prophylactic use of carbapenems for acute pancreatitis on clinical outcomes.

Materials and Methods

It was conducted according to the preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines by using the keywords "Pancrea * AND carbapenem OR imipenem OR ertapenem OR meropenem OR doripenem." Primer outcomes were mortality, surgical intervention, and pancreatic and non-pancreatic infection. Subgroup analyses were also performed to reduce the risk of bias.

Results

Ten studies with 4038 patients were included in the meta-analyses. While eight of ten were randomized controlled trials, two were observational studies. The prophylactic use of carbapenems had no statistically significant effect on mortality (OR=0.82, 95% CI=0.65-1.04, I²=0%) and surgical intervention. (OR=0.81, 95% CI=0.57-1.17, I²=0%). However, the real impact of prophylaxis on reducing the incidence of mortality and surgical intervention was uncertain due to the insufficient sample size. The prophylactic use of carbapenems was significantly associated with a lower risk of peripancreatic (OR=0.37, 95% CI=0.25-0.55, I²=61%) and non-pancreatic infection risk (OR=0.60, 95% CI=0.46-0.78, I²=65%). The definitions of infection in the articles were not clear, and the diagnostic approach to infection was based on subjective criteria. In addition, there was inadequate collateral damage and safety assessments. In high-quality studies with a low risk of bias, prophylactic carbapenems had no effect on peripancreatic infection (RR=1.54, 95% CI=0.65-3.47, I²=0%) and non-pancreatic infection (RR=0.72, 95% CI=0.48-1.07, I²=0%).

Conclusion

Although there is a reduction in the infection risk, routine carbapenem use in acute pancreatitis cases should not be recommended based on current evidence. Cooperation with Infectious Disease specialists and developing diagnostic algorithms are required instead of routine prophylaxis to prevent infection, especially non-pancreatic infection.

Clinical Effect of Electroacupuncture on Acute Pancreatitis: Efficacies and Mechanisms

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common acute abdomen and the number one cause of acute digestive hospitalizations in the United States. Abdominal pain is the main clinical manifestation of abdominal symptoms, so reducing the abdominal symptoms caused by inflammation is very important to alleviate the pain of patients. Electroacupuncture (EA) as a traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) therapy has significant conditioning effects on various inflammatory diseases including AP. Continuous studies in recent years have shown that EA conditioning has significant effects on reducing inflammation and regulating gastrointestinal symptoms in AP. At the same time, there is sufficient evidence to further elucidate the mechanism of EA. In this review, we will summarize the effect of EA on AP and its mechanism, so as to better serve clinical practice in the treatment of AP in the future.

Comparison of Interleukin-6, C-Reactive Protein, Procalcitonin, and the Computed Tomography Severity Index for Early Prediction of Severity of Acute Pancreatitis

Background/Aims

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common gastrointestinal disease associated with hospitalization. With the increase in its incidence, AP has become a greater burden on healthcare resources. Early identification of patients with mild AP can facilitate the appropriate use of resources. We aimed to investigate the ability of inflammatory markers, including interleukin-6 (IL-6), procalcitonin, and C-reactive protein (CRP), as well as various scoring systems to differentiate mild AP from more severe diseases.

Methods

We retrospectively investigated patients hospitalized with AP, for whom severity assessment and clinical course confirmation were possible. Inflammatory markers were measured at admission, and CRP levels were measured 24 hours after admission (CRP2). Predictive values were calculated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and logistic regression model analysis.

Results

Of 103 patients with AP, 42 (40.8%) were diagnosed with mild AP according to the revised Atlanta classification. Based on the AUROC, IL-6 (0.755, p<0.001), CRP2 (0.787, p<0.001), and computed tomography severity index (CTSI) (0.851, p<0.001) were useful predictors of mild AP. With standard cutoff values, the diagnostic sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 83.3%, 62.3%, and 70.9% for IL-6 (<50 pg/mL), and 78.6%, 63.9%, and 69.9% for CRP2 (<50 mg/L), respectively. The AUROC of IL-6 and CRP2 were significantly higher than those of other inflammatory markers and were not significantly different from that of CTSI.

Conclusions

IL-6, CRP2, and CTSI are helpful for early differentiation of AP severity. Among inflammatory markers, IL-6 has the advantage of early prediction of mild pancreatitis at the time of admission.

Gut Microbiota and Antibiotic Treatments for the Main Non-Oncologic Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Disorders

The gut microbiota is a pivotal actor in the maintenance of the balance in the complex interconnections of hepato-biliary-pancreatic system. It has both metabolic and immunologic functions, with an influence on the homeostasis of the whole organism and on the pathogenesis of a wide range of diseases, from non-neoplastic ones to tumorigenesis. The continuous bidirectional metabolic communication between gut and hepato-pancreatic district, through bile ducts and portal vein, leads to a continuous interaction with translocated bacteria and their products. Chronic liver disease and pancreatic disorders can lead to reduced intestinal motility, decreased bile acid synthesis and intestinal immune dysfunction, determining a compositional and functional imbalance in gut microbiota (dysbiosis), with potentially harmful consequences on the host's health. The modulation of the gut microbiota by antibiotics represents a pioneering challenge with striking future therapeutic opportunities, even in non-infectious diseases. In this setting, antibiotics are aimed at harmonizing gut microbial function and, sometimes, composition. A more targeted and specific approach should be the goal to pursue in the future, tailoring the treatment according to the type of microbiota modulation to be achieved and using combined strategies.

The impact of multi-drug resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa infections on acute pancreatitis patients

INTRODUCTION

Acute pancreatitis (AP) accounts for a high proportion of digestive diseases worldwide and has a high risk of infection. Pseudomonas aeruginosa, a common pathogen of hospital infections, has been observed to increase the resistance rate to several antibiotics, causing difficulties in treatments. Our study aims to investigate the impact of the multi-drug resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa (MDR-PA) infections on AP patients.

METHODS

At two Chinese tertiary referral centers for AP patients infected with MDR-PA, a retrospective case-control study with a 1:2 case-control ratio was performed. Comparisons were preformed between with/without MDR-PA infections and different drug-resistance of MDR-PA infections patients, respectively. Independent risk factors of overall mortality were assessed via univariate and multivariate binary logistic regression analyses, and the distribution and antibiotic resistant rates of strains were described.

RESULTS

Mortality in AP patients with MDR-PA infections was significantly higher than in those without MDR-PA infections (7 (30.4%) vs. 4 (8.7%), P = 0.048). The rate of prophylactic use of carbapenem for 3 days (0 vs. 50%, P = 0.019) and the incidence rate of multiple organ failure (MOF) (0 vs. 57.1%, P = 0.018) were remarkably higher in the carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa group compared with the carbapenem-sensitive Pseudomonas aeruginosa group. In the multivariate analysis, the severe categories of AP (OR = 13.624, 95% CIs = 1.567-118.491, P = 0.018) and MDR-PA infections (OR = 4.788, 95% CIs = 1.107-20.709, P = 0.036) were independent risk factors for mortality. The resistance rates of MDR-PA strains were low for amikacin (7.4%), tobramycin (3.7%), and gentamicin (18.5%). The resistance rates of MDR-PA strains to imipenem and meropenem were up to, 51.9% and 55.6%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In AP patients, severe categories of AP and MDR-PA infections were both independent risk factors for mortality. Inappropriate use of carbapenem antibiotics and MOF were related to carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa infections. Amikacin, tobramycin, and gentamicin are recommended for the treatment of AP patients with MDR-PA infections.

Dynamics of Serum Procalcitonin Can Predict Outcome in Patients of Infected Pancreatic Necrosis: A Prospective Analysis

BACKGROUND

Timely intervention can alter outcome in patients of infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) but lacks adequate biomarker. Role of serum procalcitonin (PCT) in the management of IPN is understudied, and hence, this study was planned.

METHODOLOGY

All patients of acute pancreatitis with IPN without prior intervention were included. Baseline demographic, radiological and laboratory parameters were documented. PCT was measured at baseline, prior to intervention, and thereafter every 72 h. Patients were grouped into those having baseline PCT < 1.0 ng/mL and those with PCT ≥ 1.0 ng/mL and various outcome measures were compared.

RESULTS

Of the 242 patients screened, 103 cases (66 males; 64.1%) with IPN were grouped into 2: PCT < 1.0 ng/mL (n = 29) and PCT ≥ 1.0 ng/mL (n = 74). Patients with baseline PCT ≥ 1.0 ng/mL had significantly more severe disease scores. 16 out of 19 patients with rise in PCT on day-7 post-intervention expired. PCT ≥ 1.0 ng/mL group had higher need for ICU (p = 0.001) and mortality (p = 0.044). PCT > 2.25 ng/mL (aOR 22.56; p = 0.013) at baseline and failure in reduction of PCT levels to < 60% of baseline at day-7 post-intervention (aOR 53.76; p = 0.001) were significant mortality predictors.

CONCLUSION

Baseline PCT > 1.0 ng/mL is associated with poor outcome. PCT > 2.25 ng/mL and failure in reduction of PCT levels to < 60% of its baseline at day-7 post-intervention can identify high-mortality risk patients.

Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease is associated with acute pancreatitis with more severe course: Post hoc analysis of a prospectively collected international registry

INTRODUCTION

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a proven risk factor for acute pancreatitis (AP). However, NAFLD has recently been redefined as metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). In this post hoc analysis, we quantified the effect of MAFLD on the outcomes of AP.

METHODS

We identified our patients from the multicentric, prospective International Acute Pancreatitis Registry of the Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group. Next, we compared AP patients with and without MAFLD and the individual components of MAFLD regarding in-hospital mortality and AP severity based on the revised Atlanta classification. Lastly, we calculated odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using multivariate logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

MAFLD had a high prevalence in AP, 39% (801/2053). MAFLD increased the odds of moderate-to-severe AP (OR = 1.43, CI: 1.09-1.89). However, the odds of in-hospital mortality (OR = 0.89, CI: 0.42-1.89) and severe AP (OR = 1.70, CI: 0.97-3.01) were not higher in the MAFLD group. Out of the three diagnostic criteria of MAFLD, the highest odds of severe AP was in the group based on metabolic risk abnormalities (OR = 2.68, CI: 1.39-5.09). In addition, the presence of one, two, and three diagnostic criteria dose-dependently increased the odds of moderate-to-severe AP (OR = 1.23, CI: 0.88-1.70, OR = 1.38, CI: 0.93-2.04, and OR = 3.04, CI: 1.63-5.70, respectively) and severe AP (OR = 1.13, CI: 0.54-2.27, OR = 2.08, CI: 0.97-4.35, and OR = 4.76, CI: 1.50-15.4, respectively). Furthermore, in patients with alcohol abuse and aged ≥60 years, the effect of MAFLD became insignificant.

CONCLUSIONS

MAFLD is associated with AP severity, which varies based on the components of its diagnostic criteria. Furthermore, MAFLD shows a dose-dependent effect on the outcomes of AP.

International multidisciplinary survey on the initial management of acute pancreatitis: Perspective of point-of-care specialists focused on daily practice

BACKGROUND

The initial management of patients with acute pancreatitis impacts both morbidity and mortality. Point-of-care decisions have been reported to differ from clinical guideline recommendations.

METHODS

An online anonymous questionnaire was distributed through scientific associations and social media using REDCap. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify the characteristics of participants associated with compliance with the recommendations.

RESULTS

A total of 1054 participants from 94 countries completed the questionnaire; median age (IQR) was 39 (32-47) years; 30.7% were women. Among the participants, 37% opted for nonmoderate flow of i.v. fluid, 31% for fluid type other than Ringer's lactate; 73.4% were in favor of nil per os to patients who could eat, 75.5% for other than enteral feeding to patients with oral intolerance; 15.5% used prophylactic antibiotic in patients with severe acute pancreatitis, 34.1% in necrotizing acute pancreatitis, and 27.4% in patients with systemic inflammatory response syndrome; 27.8% delayed cholecystectomy after biliary acute pancreatitis. Participants with publications in PubMed on acute pancreatitis showed better compliance (OR, 1.62; 95% CI: 1.15-2.32; P = .007) with recommendations of the clinical guidelines.

CONCLUSIONS

Feeding and nutrition require the greatest improvement efforts, but also the use of prophylactic antibiotics and timing of cholecystectomy should be improved.

Characteristics and risk factors for extrapancreatic infection in patients with moderate or severe acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

How to detect acute pancreatitis (AP) complicated with infection early and how to arrange the treatment time are still the main problems in the world. There are few reports on the potential relationship between extrapancreatic infections and AP. The purpose of this article was to investigate the characteristics, influencing factors and prognosis of extrapancreatic infection in AP patients with modified Marshall score ≥2 on admission.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed AP admitted to emergency intensive care unit of Ruijin hospital within 72 h of onset from September 2019 to December 2021. In addition to the patients' baseline data, sites of infection and microorganisms outside the pancreas were collected. Microbial cultures were used to identify infections of the respiratory tract, blood, abdominal cavity, biliary tract, urinary tract and clostridium difficile in feces.

RESULTS

144 patients with AP were included, of which extrapancreatic infection accounted for 40.28%. C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, blood urea nitrogen, serum creatinine, oxygenation index, modified Marshall score, BISAP score and APACHE II score were significantly increased in the extrapancreatic infection group. The risk factors of extrapancreatic infection included blood urea nitrogen, Modified Marshall score and duration of mechanical ventilation. The positive rates of pathogenic bacteria in sputum culture, blood culture, ascites culture and bile culture were significantly higher than those in the 1-3 days after admission. The infection begins to worsen as early as 4-7 days after the onset of symptoms. Extrapancreatic infection is associated with pancreatic necrosis, the rate of laparotomy, length of hospital stay and in-hospital mortality.

CONCLUSION

Our research has confirmed the need to prevent and monitor extrapancreatic infection in the early stage.

Lactated Ringer's Solution Reduces Severity, Mortality, Systemic and Local Complications in Acute Pancreatitis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Fluid therapy is the cornerstone of early supportive therapy in acute pancreatitis (AP). Regrettably, the type of fluid is still debated among clinicians, despite recent evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCTs). We aimed to incorporate all evidence from RCTs comparing lactated Ringer's solution (LR) with normal saline (NS) in adult and pediatric AP patients, with particular emphasis on clinically relevant outcomes. We evaluated RCTs comparing intravenous fluid resuscitation with LR to NS in adult or pediatric AP patients according to a prospectively registered protocol (CRD42021224542). Moderate-to-severe AP (MSAP), mortality, length of hospitalization (LoH), need for intensive care, the incidence of systemic (organ failure, OF) and local complications (in total), necrosis and pseudocyst formation were analyzed separately. Risk ratio (RR) and median difference (MD) were calculated with 95% confidence intervals (CI) using a random effect model. Risk of bias and quality of evidence were assessed. Altogether, 8 eligible RCTs were found, including 557 patients (LR: 278; NS: 279). LR reduced the risk of MSAP by 31% (RR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.36-0.97, high quality) and the risk of death by 62% (RR: 0.48; 95% CI: 0.24-0.98, very low quality). LR was associated with a significantly lower risk of need for intensive care (RR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.33-0.77), OF (RR: 0.78, 95% CI: 0.61-0.99) and local complications (RR: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.46-0.89). No significant risk reduction was observed for LoH (MD: -0.57 days, CI: -1.33-0.19), necrosis, pseudocyst and inflammatory parameters by LR compared to NS. LR reduces severity, mortality, need of intensive care and systemic and local complications in AP.

Factors associated with hospital length of stay in children with acute pancreatitis

INTRODUCTION AND AIM

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is the most common cause of pancreatic disease in children. Previous studies have described factors related to days of hospital length of stay (LOS) in children. Our aim was to identify factors associated with LOS in AP.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted at the Hospital Infantil de México Federico Gómez in Mexico City, encompassing the time frame of January 1, 2017 and March 31, 2019. AP was confirmed by medical chart review, according to the INSPPIRE criteria at the time of hospital admission, in patients below 18 years of age. AP grade was classified, following the NASPGHAN guidelines. Demographic, clinical, biochemical, nutritional, and treatment data were collected. Prolonged hospital LOS was considered that which lasted 7 days or longer.

RESULTS

Fifty-one events (32 patients) were registered. Median LOS was 8 days (IQR 4-14 days). Antibiotic use was significantly associated with longer LOS (OR 31.71; 95% CI: 2.71-370.65; p = 0.006) and early feeding (EF) (within 72 h of admission) was associated with shorter LOS (OR 0.05; 95% CI: 0.001-0.63; p = 0.02). There was no association between LOS and the variables of age, recurrence, grade, etiology, comorbidities, complications, fluid resuscitation, parenteral nutrition, or biochemical characteristics upon admission.

CONCLUSION

Our study, like others, corroborated the fact that EF in the management of AP was associated with fewer days of hospital LOS.

Inflammatory bowel disease does not alter the clinical features and the management of acute pancreatitis: A prospective, multicentre, exact-matched cohort analysis

OBJECTIVE AND AIMS

Acute pancreatitis in inflammatory bowel disease occurs mainly as an extraintestinal manifestation or a side effect of medications. We aimed to investigate the prognostic factors and severity indicators of acute pancreatitis and the treatment of patients with both diseases.

DESIGN

We performed a matched case-control registry analysis of a multicentre, prospective, international acute pancreatitis registry. Patients with both diseases were matched to patients with acute pancreatitis only in a 1:3 ratio by age and gender. Subgroup analyses were also carried out based on disease type, activity, and treatment of inflammatory bowel disease.

RESULTS

No difference in prognostic factors (laboratory parameters, bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis, imaging results) and outcomes of acute pancreatitis (length of hospitalization, severity, and local or systemic complications) were detected between groups. Significantly lower analgesic use was observed in the inflammatory bowel disease population. Antibiotic use during acute pancreatitis was significantly more common in the immunosuppressed group than in the non-immunosuppressed group (p = 0.017). However, none of the prognostic parameters or the severity indicators showed a significant difference between any subgroup of patients with inflammatory bowel disease.

CONCLUSION

No significant differences in the prognosis and severity of acute pancreatitis could be detected between patients with both diseases and with pancreatitis only. The need for different acute pancreatitis management is not justified in the coexistence of inflammatory bowel disease, and antibiotic overuse should be avoided.

Impact of multiple drug-resistant Gram-negative bacterial bacteraemia on infected pancreatic necrosis patients

Introduction

Multiple drug-resistant Gram-negative bacterial (MDR-GNB) bacteraemia poses a serious threat to patients in hospital. Infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) patients are a vulnerable population to infectious complications during hospitalization. This study aims to evaluate the impact of MDR Gram-negative bacteraemia on IPN patients.

Methods

A case-control study was performed with data collected from 1 January 2016 to 1 July 2022 in a Chinese tertiary teaching hospital. Clinical data of the IPN patients with MDR-GNB bacteraemia were analyzed and compared to those of a matched control group without MDR-GNB bacteraemia (case-control ratio of 1:2). Comparisons were performed between with/without MDR-GNB bacteraemia and different severities of acute pancreatitis (AP). Independent predictors of overall mortality were identified via univariate and multivariate binary logistic regression analyses.

Results

MDR-GNB bacteraemia was related to a higher mortality rate (62.5% vs. 8.3%, p < 0.001). Severe AP combined with MDR-GNB bacteraemia further increased mortality up to 81.3% (p = 0.025). MDR-GNB bacteraemia (odds ratio (OR) = 8.976, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.805 -44.620, p = 0.007) and severe AP (OR = 9.414, 95% CI = 1.742 -50.873, p = 0.009) were independent predictors of overall mortality. MDR- Klebsiella pneumoniae was the most common causative pathogen.

Conclusion

A higher mortality rate in IPN patients was related to MDR-GNB bacteraemia and further increased in severe AP patients combined with MDR-GNB bacteraemia.

A nomogram for predicting the risk of mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis and Gram-negative bacilli infection

OBJECTIVE

Gram-negative bacilli (GNB) are common pathogens of infection in severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), and their occurrence increases the mortality of SAP. Early identification of SAP severity and prognosis is of great significance to SAP treatment. This study explored risk factors for mortality in patients with SAP and GNB infection and established a model for early prediction of the risk of death in GNB-infected SAP patients.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with SAP from January 1, 2016, to March 31, 2022, were included, and their baseline clinical characteristics were collected. Univariate logistic regression analysis was performed to screen for death related variables, and concurrently, a Boruta analysis was performed to identify potentially important clinical features associated with mortality. The intersection of the two results was taken for further multivariate logistic regression analysis. A logistic regression model was constructed according to the independent risk factor of death and then visualized with a nomogram. The performance of the model was further validated in the training and validation cohort.

RESULTS

A total of 151 patients with SAP developed GNB infections. Univariate logistic regression analysis identified 11 variables associated with mortality. The Boruta analysis identified 11 clinical features, and 4 out of 9 clinical variables: platelet counts (odds ratio [OR] 0.99, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.99-1.00; p = 0.007), hemoglobin (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.92-1; p = 0.037), septic shock (OR 6.33, 95% CI 1.12-43.47; p = 0.044), and carbapenem resistance (OR 7.99, 95% CI 1.66-52.37; p = 0.016), shared by both analyses were further selected as independent risk factors by multivariate logistic regression analysis. A nomogram was used to visualize the model. The model demonstrated good performance in both training and validation cohorts with recognition sensitivity and specificity of 96% and 80% in the training cohort and 92.8% and 75% in the validation cohort, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram can accurately predict the mortality risk of patients with SAP and GNB infection. The clinical application of this model allows early identification of the severity and prognosis for patients with SAP and GNB infection and identification of patients requiring urgent management thus allowing rationalization of treatment options and improvements in clinical outcomes.

Application of metagenomic next-generation sequencing for suspected infected pancreatic necrosis

BACKGROUND

Metagenomic next-generation sequencing (mNGS) is increasingly used for the clinical diagnosis of infectious diseases, but there is a paucity of data regarding the application of mNGS in the early diagnosis of infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN).

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the clinical application value of mNGS in the pathogenic diagnosis of IPN.

METHODS

Forty-two patients with suspected IPN were prospectively and consecutively enrolled from August 2019 to August 2021. Blood samples were collected for mNGS and microbial culture simultaneously during fever (T ≥ 38.5 °C). For patients who had indications of surgical interventions, peri-pancreatic specimens were collected for mNGS and microbial culture simultaneously during the first surgical intervention to confirm IPN. The clinical performance of mNGS and microbial culture were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 21 patients (50.0%) were confirmed to have IPN during hospitalization. The sensitivity of blood mNGS was significantly higher than blood culture (95.2% vs. 23.8%, P < 0.001) in diagnosing IPN. The negative predictive value of blood mNGS was 90.0%. The turnaround time of mNGS was significantly shorter than that of microbial culture [(37.70 ± 1.44) vs. (115.23 ± 8.79) h, P < 0.01] and the average costs of mNGS accounted for 1.7% of the average total cost of hospitalization. The survival analysis demonstrates that the positive blood mNGS result was not associated with increased mortality (P = 0.119).

CONCLUSIONS

With more valuable diagnostic performance and shorter turnaround time, clinical mNGS represents a potential step forward in the early diagnosis of IPN.

New-onset diabetes secondary to acute pancreatitis: An update

Diabetes is a condition of persistent hyperglycemia caused by the endocrine disorder of the pancreas. Therefore, all pancreatic diseases have the risk of diabetes. In particular, increasing attention has been paid recently to new-onset diabetes secondary to acute pancreatitis (AP). The complications of secondary diabetes have caused a lot of trouble for patients and have garnered increasing attention. At present, the pathophysiological mechanism of new-onset diabetes caused by AP is not clear. This review summarizes the current understanding of new-onset diabetes secondary to AP.

Pancreatic family history does not predict disease progression but connotes alcohol consumption in adolescents and young adults with acute pancreatitis: Analysis of an international cohort of 2,335 patients

BACKGROUND

In pediatric acute pancreatitis (AP), a family history of pancreatic diseases is prognostic for earlier onset of recurrent AP (ARP) and chronic pancreatitis (CP). No evidence supports the same association in adult-onset pancreatitis. Age-specific reasons for familial aggregation are also unclear. We aimed to examine the prognostic role of pancreatic family history for ARP/CP and observe possible underlying mechanisms.

METHODS

We conducted a secondary analysis of the Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group's (HPSG) multicenter, international, prospective registry of patients with AP, both children and adults. We compared the positive family history and the negative family history of pancreatic diseases, in different age groups, and analyzed trends of accompanying factors. Chi-square and Fisher exact tests were used.

RESULTS

We found a higher rate of ARP/CP in the positive pancreatic family history group (33.7 vs. 25.9%, p = 0.018), peaking at 6-17 years. Idiopathic AP peaked in childhood in the positive family history group (75% 0-5 years) and was consistently 20-35% in the negative group. A higher rate of alcohol consumption/smoking was found in the positive groups at 12-17 years (62.5 vs. 15.8%, p = 0.013) and 18-29 years (90.9 vs. 58.1%, p = 0.049). The prevalence of diabetes and hyperlipidemia steadily rose with age in both groups.

CONCLUSION

Positive family history most likely signifies genetic background in early childhood. During adolescence and early adulthood, alcohol consumption and smoking emerge-clinicians should be aware and turn to intervention in such cases. Contrary to current viewpoints, positive pancreatic family history is not a prognostic factor for ARP and CP in adults, so it should not be regarded that way.

Acute Pancreatitis: Diagnosis and Treatment

Acute pancreatitis is a common indication for hospital admission, increasing in incidence, including in children, pregnancy and the elderly. Moderately severe acute pancreatitis with fluid and/or necrotic collections causes substantial morbidity, and severe disease with persistent organ failure causes significant mortality. The diagnosis requires two of upper abdominal pain, amylase/lipase ≥ 3 ×upper limit of normal, and/or cross-sectional imaging findings. Gallstones and ethanol predominate while hypertriglyceridaemia and drugs are notable among many causes. Serum triglycerides, full blood count, renal and liver function tests, glucose, calcium, transabdominal ultrasound, and chest imaging are indicated, with abdominal cross-sectional imaging if there is diagnostic uncertainty. Subsequent imaging is undertaken to detect complications, for example, if C-reactive protein exceeds 150 mg/L, or rarer aetiologies. Pancreatic intracellular calcium overload, mitochondrial impairment, and inflammatory responses are critical in pathogenesis, targeted in current treatment trials, which are crucially important as there is no internationally licenced drug to treat acute pancreatitis and prevent complications. Initial priorities are intravenous fluid resuscitation, analgesia, and enteral nutrition, and when necessary, critical care and organ support, parenteral nutrition, antibiotics, pancreatic exocrine and endocrine replacement therapy; all may have adverse effects. Patients with local complications should be referred to specialist tertiary centres to guide further management, which may include drainage and/or necrosectomy. The impact of acute pancreatitis can be devastating, so prevention or reduction of the risk of recurrence and progression to chronic pancreatitis with an increased risk of pancreas cancer requires proactive management that should be long term for some patients.

Systematic Review with Trial Sequential Analysis of Prophylactic Antibiotics for Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Prophylactic antibiotics (PAB) are being still widely used for treatment of acute pancreatitis (AP) despite trials showing no firm evidence of efficacy. We aimed to evaluate effects of PAB for AP in a meta-analysis and the need for further research by trial sequential analysis (TSA).

METHODS

Medline, Scopus and Web of Science were searched for randomized clinical trials. Primary outcomes were all infections and mortality. Secondary outcomes comprised infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN), specific infections, organ failure, surgical interventions, and length of hospital stay.

RESULTS

Twenty-one trials with 1383 pts were included. PAB were received by 703 pts, while 680 were controls. Mortality was similar with RR 0.85 (95% CI 0.66-1.10). Infections were significantly reduced (RR 0.60; 95% CI 0.49-0.74), mainly due to decreased risk of sepsis (RR 0.43; 95% CI 0.25-0.73) and urinary tract infections (RR 0.46; 95% CI 0.25-0.86). No significant reduction for IPN was shown (RR 0.81; 95% CI 0.63-1.04). Length of hospital stay was diminished by MD -6.65 (95% CI -8.86 to -4.43) days. TSA for all infections showed that the cumulative Z score crossed both conventional and monitoring boundaries at 526 pts from a heterogeneity-corrected required information size of 1113 pts based on a 40% incidence of infections in the control group, RRR of 30%, alpha 5%, beta 20%, and heterogeneity 56%.

CONCLUSIONS

PABs decrease the rate of infections in AP, mainly due to RRR of extra-pancreatic infections, requiring no further research. No significant effect is shown on IPN and mortality, although firmer evidence is needed.

Adherence to Guidelines Influenced the Mortality, Hospital Stay, and Health Care System Costs in Patients With Acute Pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

The primary end point was the compliance rate with guidelines. The secondaries were mortality, hospital stay, and costs.

METHODS

This study included 1904 patients with acute pancreatitis (AP): group A, diagnosed before 2013, and group B, after 2013.

RESULTS

The compliance rate was 0.6%. The compliance rates increased for fluid resuscitation (3.3% vs 13.7%, P < 0.001), for antibiotics use (21.9% vs 28.1%, P = 0.002), for oral feeding (55.0% vs 49.7%, P = 0.007), and for correct use of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) (83% vs 91.9%, P < 0.001). Compliance to severity assessment with computed tomography (odds ratio [OR], 0.4; P = 0.029), parenteral nutrition recommendations (OR, 0.3; P = 0.009), and early surgery (OR, 0.3; P = 0.010) reduced the mortality. Compliance to antibiotic therapy (OR, 0.6; P < 0.001), correct use of parenteral nutrition (OR, 0.3; P < 0.001), correct use of ERCP (OR, 0.5; P < 0.001), and early surgery (OR, 0.3; P = 0.010) reduced hospital stay. The compliance reduced the costs for parenteral nutrition (P < 0.001), correct use of ERCP (P = 0.011), and surgery (P = 0.010).

CONCLUSIONS

The adherence to guidelines for AP was low. Compliance could reduce mortality, prolonged hospital stay, and costs.

Tricetin Reduces Inflammation and Acinar Cell Injury in Cerulein-Induced Acute Pancreatitis: The Role of Oxidative Stress-Induced DNA Damage Signaling

Acute pancreatitis (AP) poses a worldwide challenge due to the growing incidence and its potentially life-threatening course and complications. Specific targeted therapies are not available, prompting the identification of new pathways and novel therapeutic approaches. Flavonoids comprise several groups of biologically active compounds with wide-ranging effects. The flavone compound, tricetin (TCT), has not yet been investigated in detail but sporadic reports indicate diverse biological activities. In the current study, we evaluated the potential protective effects of TCT in AP. TCT (30 μM) protected isolated primary murine acinar cells from the cytotoxic effects of cerulein, a cholecystokinin analog peptide. The protective effects of TCT were observed in a general viability assay (calcein ester hydrolysis), in an apoptosis assay (caspase activity), and in necrosis assays (propidium iodide uptake and lactate dehydrogenase release). The effects of TCT were not related to its potential antioxidant effects, as TCT did not protect against H2O2-induced acinar cell death despite possessing radical scavenging activity. Cerulein-induced expression of IL1β, IL6, and matrix metalloproteinase 2 and activation of nuclear factor-κB (NFκB) were reduced by 30 μM TCT. In vivo experiments confirmed the protective effect of TCT in a mouse model of cerulein-induced AP. TCT suppressed edema formation and apoptosis in the pancreas and reduced lipase and amylase levels in the serum. Moreover, TCT inhibited interleukin-1β (IL1β), interleukin-6 (IL6), and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNFα) expression in the pancreas and reduced the activation of the oxidative DNA damage sensor enzyme poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase-1 (PARP-1). Our data indicate that TCT can be a potential treatment option for AP.

EASY-APP: An artificial intelligence model and application for early and easy prediction of severity in acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a potentially severe or even fatal inflammation of the pancreas. Early identification of patients at high risk for developing a severe course of the disease is crucial for preventing organ failure and death. Most of the former predictive scores require many parameters or at least 24 h to predict the severity; therefore, the early therapeutic window is often missed.

METHODS

The early achievable severity index (EASY) is a multicentre, multinational, prospective and observational study (ISRCTN10525246). The predictions were made using machine learning models. We used the scikit-learn, xgboost and catboost Python packages for modelling. We evaluated our models using fourfold cross-validation, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the area under the ROC curve (AUC), and accuracy metrics were calculated on the union of the test sets of the cross-validation. The most critical factors and their contribution to the prediction were identified using a modern tool of explainable artificial intelligence called SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP).

RESULTS

The prediction model was based on an international cohort of 1184 patients and a validation cohort of 3543 patients. The best performing model was an XGBoost classifier with an average AUC score of 0.81 ± 0.033 and an accuracy of 89.1%, and the model improved with experience. The six most influential features were the respiratory rate, body temperature, abdominal muscular reflex, gender, age and glucose level. Using the XGBoost machine learning algorithm for prediction, the SHAP values for the explanation and the bootstrapping method to estimate confidence, we developed a free and easy-to-use web application in the Streamlit Python-based framework (http://easy-app.org/).

CONCLUSIONS

The EASY prediction score is a practical tool for identifying patients at high risk for severe AP within hours of hospital admission. The web application is available for clinicians and contributes to the improvement of the model.

The role of procalcitonin as a prognostic factor for acute cholangitis and infections in acute pancreatitis: a prospective cohort study from a European single center

BACKGROUND

Infection in acute pancreatitis will worsen the disease prognosis. The aim of our study was to analyze the role of procalcitonin as a prognostic biomarker for infections and clinical severity.

METHOD

A prospective single-cohort observational study of patients diagnosed of acute pancreatitis (n = 152) was designed. PCT determination was tested on admission (first 72 h). Infections (biliary, extrapancreatic and infected pancreatic necrosis), need for antibiotics, urgent ERCP and severity scores for acute pancreatitis was assessed. ROC curves were designed and the area under the curve was calculated. Logistic regression for multivariate analysis was performed to evaluate the association between procalcitonin optimal cut-off level and major complications.

RESULTS

PCT >0.68 mg/dL had higher incidence of global infection, acute cholangitis, bacteraemia, infected pancreatic necrosis, use of antibiotics in general, and need for urgent ERCP. In the multivariate regressions analysis, PCT >0.68 mg/dL at admission demonstrated to be a strong risk factor for complications in acute pancreatitis.

DISCUSSION

PCT levels can be used as a reliable laboratory test to predict infections and the clinical severity of acute pancreatitis. High levels of PCT predict antibiotics prescription as well as the need for urgent ERCP in patients with concomitant clinically severe cholangitis.

Development and Evaluation of a Nomogram to Predict the Eventual Severity of the First Episode of Acute Pancreatitis

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this research was to establish a nomogram for early prediction of the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

A total of 1860 AP patients from 2013 to 2020 were included in this study. According to the 2012 revised Atlanta classification, patients were divided into nonsevere AP group and severe AP (SAP) group. The baseline characteristics and first laboratory indicators after admission between the 2 groups were analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis in training set. R language was used for establishing a predictive nomogram and further verified in validation set.

RESULTS

Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis in the training set showed red blood cell distribution width, d -dimer, apolipoprotein A1, and albumin were independent factors for SAP. A predictive nomogram was accordingly established based on the 4 indicators. Validation on this predictive nomogram showed high internal validation concordance index of 0.940 (95% confidence interval, 0.922-0.958) and high external validation concordance index of 0.943 (95% confidence interval, 0.920-0.966). The calibration curve, receiver operating characteristic curve, and decision curve analysis all showed that the nomogram had good predictive ability.

CONCLUSIONS

This nomogram may be an effective clinical tool for predicting the first episode of SAP.

Risk Factors for Mortality Among Critical Acute Pancreatitis Patients with Carbapenem-Resistant Organism Infections and Drug Resistance of Causative Pathogens

Introduction

Carbapenem-resistant organisms (CRO) have emerged as a major global public health threat, but their role in critical acute pancreatitis (CAP) is still not defined. Our study aims to investigate risk factors associated with mortality and drug resistance among CAP patients with CRO infection.

Methods

The clinical characteristics of CAP patients with CRO infection and drug resistance of causative pathogens from January 1, 2016, to October 1, 2021, were reviewed retrospectively. Independent risk factors for mortality were determined via univariate and multivariate analyses.

Result

Eighty-two CAP patients suffered from CRO infection, with mortality of 60.0%. The independent risk factors for mortality were procalcitonin > 5 ng/L (hazard ratio = 2.300, 95% confidence interval = 1.180–4.484, P = 0.014) and lactic acid > 2 mmol/L (hazard ratio = 2.101, 95% confidence interval = 1.151–3.836, P = 0.016). The pancreas was the main site of infection, followed by lung, bloodstream and urinary tract. Klebsiella pneumoniae and Acinetobacter baumannii were the main pathogenic bacteria of CRO strains with extensive antibiotic resistance (> 60%) to 6 of 8 common antibiotics, except sulfamethoxazole (56.3%) and tigecycline (33.2%).

Conclusion

CRO infection has become a serious threat for CAP patients, with high rates of mortality. Procalcitonin and lactic acid represent two independent risk factors for mortality in CAP patients with CRO infection. Klebsiella pneumoniae and Acinetobacter baumannii are the primary categories of CRO pathogens. Greater efforts are needed for early prevention and prompt treatment of CRO infections in CAP patients.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40121-022-00624-w.

Impact of carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii infections on acute pancreatitis patients

BACKGROUND

Carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (CRAB) infections present great challenges in clinical practices with high mortality. The aim of this study is to identify the impact of CRAB infections on acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

A case-control study was performed via collecting data from March 1st, 2016 to August 1st, 2020 in two comprehensive teaching hospital. Clinical data of the CRAB-positive AP patients were analyzed and compared to a matched control group (case-control ratio of 1:1). Comparisons were preformed between with/without CRAB infections and multiple organ failure (MOF), respectively. Independent risk factors of overall mortality were determined via univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

CRAB infections were associated with higher mortality (49.2% vs. 23.0%, P < 0.01). CRAB combined with MOF increased a mortality up to 90% (P < 0.01). MOF (Odds ratio (OR) = 21.49, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 5.26-87.80, P < 0.01), CRAB infections (OR = 3.58, 95%CI = 1.24-10.37, P = 0.02) and hemorrhage (OR = 3.70, 95%CI = 1.21-11.28, P = 0.02) were independent risk factors of overall mortality. Lung was the most common site of strains (37 of 82). CRAB strains were highly resistant (>60%) to ten of eleven common antibiotics, except for tigecycline (28%).

CONCLUSION

High mortality rate in AP patients was associated with CRAB infections and further increased when CRAB infections combined with MOF.

Proton Pump Inhibitors Were Associated With Reduced Pseudocysts in Acute Pancreatitis: A Multicenter Cohort Study

Background: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a systemic inflammatory disorder with a wide spectrum of clinical symptoms that can range from mild to severe. Previous preclinical study results suggest that proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) can inhibit exocrine pancreatic secretion and exert anti-inflammatory properties, which might in turn improve the outcome of AP.

Aim: We conducted this multicenter, retrospective cohort study to investigate the potential effects of PPIs on the mortality, and total duration of hospital stay and local complication occurrence of patients with AP.

Methods: A total of 858 patients with AP were included. All patients presented to the hospital within 48 h of symptom onset and were divided into the following two groups: patients who were treated with PPIs (n = 684) and those not treated with PPIs (n = 174). We used propensity score matching (PSM) analysis to reduce confounding bias before comparing the outcomes between the two groups.

Results: Before PSM analysis, there were significant differences in a number of parameters between the two groups, including age, sex, hematocrit, blood urea nitrogen, peritonitis signs, Ranson’s score, and Acute Physiology Chronic Health Evaluation II score and organ failure occurrence. Before PSM, the PPIs group had a higher rate of mortality than the control group [RR = 1.065; 95% confidence ratio (CI) 1.045–1.086; p = 0.001]. After PSM, there was no significant difference in mortality (RR = 1.009; 95% CI, 0.999–1.019; p = 0.554) or total hospital stay (p = 0.856), although the PPIs group had a lower occurrence of pancreatic pseudocyst (RR = 0.416; 95% CI 0.221–0.780; p = 0.005).

Conclusion: This study showed that PPIs therapy was not associated with reduced mortality or total hospital stay, but was associated with a reduction in the occurrence of pseudocysts in patients with acute pancreatitis.

Clostridioides difficile Infection Is Associated with Adverse Outcomes among Hospitalized Pediatric Patients with Acute Pancreatitis

PURPOSE

Studies in adults have shown an increasing incidence of Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) in patients hospitalized with acute pancreatitis (AP). There is lack of epidemiological data on CDI and its impact on hospitalized pediatric patients with AP.

METHODS

We analyzed the National Inpatient Sample and Kids' Inpatient Database between the years 2003 and 2016 and included all patients (age <21 years) with a primary diagnosis of AP using specific International Classification of Diseases codes. We compared clinical outcomes between children with CDI and those without CDI. Our primary outcome was severe AP and secondary outcomes included length of stay and hospital charges.

RESULTS

A total of 123,240 hospitalizations related to AP were analyzed and CDI was noted in 0.6% of the hospital. The prevalence rate of CDI doubled from 0.4% (2003) to 0.8% (2016), p=0.03. AP patients with CDI had increased comorbidities, and also underwent more invasive surgical procedures, p<0.05. AP patients with CDI had a higher in-hospital mortality rate and increased prevalence of severe AP, p<0.001. Multivariate regression models showed that CDI was associated with 2.4 times (confidence interval [CI]: 1.91 to 3.01, p<0.001) increased odds of severe AP. CDI patients had 7.24 (CI: 6.81 to 7.67, p<0.001) additional hospital days while incurring $59,032 (CI: 54,050 to 64,014, p<0.001) additional hospitalization charges.

CONCLUSION

CDI in pediatric patients with AP is associated with adverse clinical outcomes and increased healthcare resource utilization. Further studies are needed to elucidate this association to prevent the development of CDI and to improve outcomes.

Hypertriglyceridemia is a Risk Factor for Fever in Early Acute Non-biliary Pancreatitis

Background/Aims

Fever is a common symptom of acute pancreatitis (AP). This study examined the factors associated with fever due to pancreatic inflammation in the early stages of non-biliary AP.

Methods

This study analyzed the AP database from Kangwon National University Hospital from January 2018 until April 2021 and identified patients who developed fever within 1 week of hospitalization. Patients with gallstone pancreatitis, pseudocyst, walled-off necrosis, chronic pancreatitis, bacteremia, and other site infections were excluded. The febrile group was compared with the afebrile group.

Results

One hundred and fifty-two patients were analyzed, and fever was diagnosed in 79 patients (52.0%). Based on multivariate analysis, fever was positively correlated with hypertriglyceridemia-induced AP (OR 16.8, 95% CI 4.0-70.7, p<0.01) and computed tomography severity index (OR 1.7, 95% CI 1.2-2.6, p<0.01). Recurrent AP was negatively associated with fever (OR 0.3, 95% CI 0.1-0.8, p=0.01). Fever was more frequent in patients with higher initial serum triglyceride (TG) levels than those with lower levels (TG <200 mg/dL; 35.1%, 200≤TG<500 mg/dL; 42.3%, TG ≥500 mg/dL; 88.6%, p<0.01).

Conclusions

Hypertriglyceridemia and CT severity index are associated with fever in early non-biliary AP.

Hypoalbuminemia affects one third of acute pancreatitis patients and is independently associated with severity and mortality

The incidence and medical costs of acute pancreatitis (AP) are on the rise, and severe cases still have a 30% mortality rate. We aimed to evaluate hypoalbuminemia as a risk factor and the prognostic value of human serum albumin in AP. Data from 2461 patients were extracted from the international, prospective, multicentre AP registry operated by the Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group. Data from patients with albumin measurement in the first 48 h (n = 1149) and anytime during hospitalization (n = 1272) were analysed. Multivariate binary logistic regression and Receiver Operator Characteristic curve analysis were used. The prevalence of hypoalbuminemia (< 35 g/L) was 19% on admission and 35.7% during hospitalization. Hypoalbuminemia dose-dependently increased the risk of severity, mortality, local complications and organ failure and is associated with longer hospital stay. The predictive value of hypoalbuminemia on admission was poor for severity and mortality. Severe hypoalbuminemia (< 25 g/L) represented an independent risk factor for severity (OR 48.761; CI 25.276-98.908) and mortality (OR 16.83; CI 8.32-35.13). Albumin loss during AP was strongly associated with severity (p < 0.001) and mortality (p = 0.002). Hypoalbuminemia represents an independent risk factor for severity and mortality in AP, and it shows a dose-dependent relationship with local complications, organ failure and length of stay.

Inflammatory Biomarkers Are Inaccurate Indicators of Bacterial Infection on Admission in Patients With Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease-A Systematic Review and Diagnostic Accuracy Network Meta-Analysis

Introduction: The value of inflammatory biomarkers in the diagnosis of bacterial infection induced acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) is currently unclear. Our objective was to investigate the diagnostic accuracy of on-admission inflammatory biomarkers in differentiating bacterial origin in AECOPD. Methods: Systematic literature search was performed to include cross-sectional studies on AECOPD patients with microbiological culture results as gold standard, and at least one on-admission inflammatory biomarker determined from serum: C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, eosinophil percentage, CD64index; or sputum: neutrophil elastase, tumor necrosis factor alfa, interleukin-1-beta (IL-1b), interleukin-8, sputum color, as index tests. We ranked index tests by superiority indices in a network meta-analysis and also calculated pooled sensitivity and specificity. Results: Altogether, 21 eligible articles reported data on 2,608 AECOPD patients (44% bacterial). Out of the 14 index tests, sputum IL-1b showed the highest diagnostic performance with a pooled sensitivity of 74% (CI: 26-97%) and specificity of 65% (CI: 19-93%). Pooled sensitivity for CRP and PCT were: 67% (CI: 54-77%) and 54% (CI: 39-69%); specificity 62% (CI: 52-71%) and 71% (CI: 59-79%), respectively. Conclusion: Admission inflammatory biomarkers are inaccurate indicators of bacterial infection in AECOPD. Systematic Review Registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/#myprospero, identifier: 42020161301.

Glucose levels show independent and dose-dependent association with worsening acute pancreatitis outcomes: Post-hoc analysis of a prospective, international cohort of 2250 acute pancreatitis cases

BACKGROUND

Metabolic risk factors, such as obesity, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia are independent risk factors for the development of various complications in acute pancreatitis (AP). Hypertriglyceridemia dose-dependently elicits pancreatotoxicity and worsens the outcomes of AP. The role of hyperglycemia, as a toxic metabolic factor in the clinical course of AP, has not been examined yet.

METHODS

We analyzed a prospective, international cohort of 2250 AP patients, examining associations between (1) glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c), (2) on-admission glucose, (3) peak in-hospital glucose and clinically important outcomes (mortality, severity, complications, length of hospitalization (LOH), maximal C-reactive protein (CRP)). We conducted a binary logistic regression accounting for age, gender, etiology, diabetes, and our examined variables. Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC) was applied to detect the diagnostic accuracy of the three variables.

RESULTS

Both on-admission and peak serum glucose are independently associated with AP severity and mortality, accounting for age, gender, known diabetes and AP etiology. They show a dose-dependent association with severity (p < 0.001 in both), mortality (p < 0.001), LOH (p < 0.001), maximal CRP (p < 0.001), systemic (p < 0.001) and local complications (p < 0.001). Patients with peak glucose >7 mmol/l had a 15 times higher odds for severe AP and a five times higher odds for mortality. We found a trend of increasing HbA1c with increasing LOH (p < 0.001), severity and local complications.

CONCLUSIONS

On-admission and peak in-hospital glucose are independently and dose-dependently associated with increasing AP severity and mortality. In-hospital laboratory control of glucose and adequate treatment of hyperglycemia are crucial in the management of AP.