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Nielsen GH, Heiger-Bernays WJ, Levy JI, White RF, Axelrad DA, Lam J, Chartres N, Abrahamsson DP, Rayasam SDG, Shaffer RM, Zeise L, Woodruff TJ, Ginsberg GL. Application of probabilistic methods to address variability and uncertainty in estimating risks for non-cancer health effects. Environ Health 2023; 21:129. [PMID: 36635712 PMCID: PMC9835218 DOI: 10.1186/s12940-022-00918-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
Human health risk assessment currently uses the reference dose or reference concentration (RfD, RfC) approach to describe the level of exposure to chemical hazards without appreciable risk for non-cancer health effects in people. However, this "bright line" approach assumes that there is minimal risk below the RfD/RfC with some undefined level of increased risk at exposures above the RfD/RfC and has limited utility for decision-making. Rather than this dichotomous approach, non-cancer risk assessment can benefit from incorporating probabilistic methods to estimate the amount of risk across a wide range of exposures and define a risk-specific dose. We identify and review existing approaches for conducting probabilistic non-cancer risk assessments. Using perchloroethylene (PCE), a priority chemical for the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency under the Toxic Substances Control Act, we calculate risk-specific doses for the effects on cognitive deficits using probabilistic risk assessment approaches. Our probabilistic risk assessment shows that chronic exposure to 0.004 ppm PCE is associated with approximately 1-in-1,000 risk for a 5% reduced performance on the Wechsler Memory Scale Visual Reproduction subtest with 95% confidence. This exposure level associated with a 1-in-1000 risk for non-cancer neurocognitive deficits is lower than the current RfC for PCE of 0.0059 ppm, which is based on standard point of departure and uncertainty factor approaches for the same neurotoxic effects in occupationally exposed adults. We found that the population-level risk of cognitive deficit (indicating central nervous system dysfunction) is estimated to be greater than the cancer risk level of 1-in-100,000 at a similar chronic exposure level. The extension of toxicological endpoints to more clinically relevant endpoints, along with consideration of magnitude and severity of effect, will help in the selection of acceptable risk targets for non-cancer effects. We find that probabilistic approaches can 1) provide greater context to existing RfDs and RfCs by describing the probability of effect across a range of exposure levels including the RfD/RfC in a diverse population for a given magnitude of effect and confidence level, 2) relate effects of chemical exposures to clinical disease risk so that the resulting risk assessments can better inform decision-makers and benefit-cost analysis, and 3) better reflect the underlying biology and uncertainties of population risks.
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Affiliation(s)
- Greylin H Nielsen
- Department of Environmental Health, Boston University School of Public Health, 715 Albany Street, T4W, Boston, MA, 02118, USA
| | - Wendy J Heiger-Bernays
- Department of Environmental Health, Boston University School of Public Health, 715 Albany Street, T4W, Boston, MA, 02118, USA.
| | - Jonathan I Levy
- Department of Environmental Health, Boston University School of Public Health, 715 Albany Street, T4W, Boston, MA, 02118, USA
| | - Roberta F White
- Department of Environmental Health, Boston University School of Public Health, 715 Albany Street, T4W, Boston, MA, 02118, USA
| | | | - Juleen Lam
- Department of Public Health, California State University, East Bay, Hayward, CA, USA
| | - Nicholas Chartres
- Program on Reproductive Health and the Environment, Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Sciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Dimitri Panagopoulos Abrahamsson
- Program on Reproductive Health and the Environment, Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Sciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Swati D G Rayasam
- Program on Reproductive Health and the Environment, Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Sciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Rachel M Shaffer
- Department of Environmental and Occupational Health Sciences, University of Washington School of Public Health, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Lauren Zeise
- Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment, California Environmental Protection Agency, Oakland, CA, USA
| | - Tracey J Woodruff
- Program on Reproductive Health and the Environment, Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Sciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Gary L Ginsberg
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
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Model systems and organisms for addressing inter- and intra-species variability in risk assessment. Regul Toxicol Pharmacol 2022; 132:105197. [DOI: 10.1016/j.yrtph.2022.105197] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/16/2022] [Revised: 05/20/2022] [Accepted: 05/25/2022] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
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Characterization of primary glutathione conjugates with acrylamide and glycidamide: Toxicokinetic studies in Sprague Dawley rats treated with acrylamide. Chem Biol Interact 2021; 350:109701. [PMID: 34656557 DOI: 10.1016/j.cbi.2021.109701] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/14/2021] [Revised: 09/20/2021] [Accepted: 10/09/2021] [Indexed: 01/30/2023]
Abstract
Acrylamide (AA) is classified as a probable human carcinogen and is ubiquitous in foods processed at high temperatures. The carcinogenicity of AA has been attributed to its active metabolite, glycidamide (GA). Both AA and GA can spontaneously or enzymatically conjugate with glutathione (GSH) to form their corresponding GSH conjugates. Profiling AA-glutathione conjugate (AA-GSH) and GA-glutathione conjugates (2 isomers: GA2-GSH and GA3-GSH) in serum would better illustrate AA detoxification compared with urinary metabolite analysis. However, the lack of AA-, GA2, and GA3-GSH study remains a critical data gap. Our study aimed to investigate the toxicokinetics of AA-, GA2-and GA3-GSH in Sprague Dawley rats treated with 0.1 mg/kg, 1.0 mg/kg, or 5.0 mg/kg AA. Blood samples were collected for LC-MS/MS analysis of the GSH conjugate products. Within 24 h of treatment, we observed rapid formation, elimination, and linear kinetics of AA-, GA2-and GA3-GSH. The ∑GA-GSH AUC/AA-GSH AUC ratios were 0.14-0.29, similar to ∑GA/AA AUC in serum but different from ∑GA/AA-derived urinary mercapturic acids in rodents. Our analysis of AA- and GA-GSHs values represents direct detoxification of AA and GA in vivo. This study advances our understanding of sex and inter-species differences in AA detoxification and may refine the existing kinetic models for a more relevant risk extrapolation.
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Dalaijamts C, Cichocki JA, Luo YS, Rusyn I, Chiu WA. Quantitative Characterization of Population-Wide Tissue- and Metabolite-Specific Variability in Perchloroethylene Toxicokinetics in Male Mice. Toxicol Sci 2021; 182:168-182. [PMID: 33988684 DOI: 10.1093/toxsci/kfab057] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/18/2023] Open
Abstract
Quantification of interindividual variability is a continuing challenge in risk assessment, particularly for compounds with complex metabolism and multi-organ toxicity. Toxicokinetic variability for perchloroethylene (perc) was previously characterized across 3 mouse strains and in 1 mouse strain with various degrees of liver steatosis. To further characterize the role of genetic variability in toxicokinetics of perc, we applied Bayesian population physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling to the data on perc and metabolites in blood/plasma and tissues of male mice from 45 inbred strains from the Collaborative Cross (CC) mouse population. After identifying the most influential PBPK parameters based on global sensitivity analysis, we fit the model with a hierarchical Bayesian population analysis using Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation. We found that the data from 3 commonly used strains were not representative of the full range of variability in perc and metabolite blood/plasma and tissue concentrations across the CC population. Using interstrain variability as a surrogate for human interindividual variability, we calculated dose-dependent, chemical-, and tissue-specific toxicokinetic variability factors (TKVFs) as candidate science-based replacements for the default uncertainty factor for human toxicokinetic variability of 100.5. We found that toxicokinetic variability factors for glutathione conjugation metabolites of perc showed the greatest variability, often exceeding the default, whereas those for oxidative metabolites and perc itself were generally less than the default. Overall, we demonstrate how a combination of a population-based mouse model such as the CC with Bayesian population PBPK modeling can reduce uncertainty in human toxicokinetic variability and increase accuracy and precision in quantitative risk assessment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chimeddulam Dalaijamts
- Interdisciplinary Faculty of Toxicology, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas 77843-4458, USA.,Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas 77843-4458, USA
| | - Joseph A Cichocki
- Interdisciplinary Faculty of Toxicology, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas 77843-4458, USA.,Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas 77843-4458, USA
| | - Yu-Syuan Luo
- Interdisciplinary Faculty of Toxicology, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas 77843-4458, USA.,Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas 77843-4458, USA
| | - Ivan Rusyn
- Interdisciplinary Faculty of Toxicology, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas 77843-4458, USA.,Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas 77843-4458, USA
| | - Weihsueh A Chiu
- Interdisciplinary Faculty of Toxicology, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas 77843-4458, USA.,Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas 77843-4458, USA
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Dalaijamts C, Cichocki JA, Luo YS, Rusyn I, Chiu WA. PBPK modeling of impact of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease on toxicokinetics of perchloroethylene in mice. Toxicol Appl Pharmacol 2020; 400:115069. [PMID: 32445755 DOI: 10.1016/j.taap.2020.115069] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2020] [Revised: 05/13/2020] [Accepted: 05/19/2020] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), a major cause of chronic liver disease in the Western countries with increasing prevalence worldwide, may substantially affect chemical toxicokinetics and thereby modulate chemical toxicity. OBJECTIVES This study aims to use physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling to characterize the impact of NAFLD on toxicokinetics of perchloroethylene (perc). METHODS Quantitative measures of physiological and biochemical changes associated with the presence of NAFLD induced by high-fat or methionine/choline-deficient diets in C57B1/6 J mice are incorporated into a previously developed PBPK model for perc and its oxidative and conjugative metabolites. Impacts on liver fat and volume, as well as blood:air and liver:air partition coefficients, are incorporated into the model. Hierarchical Bayesian population analysis using Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation is conducted to characterize uncertainty, as well as disease-induced variability in toxicokinetics. RESULTS NAFLD has a major effect on toxicokinetics of perc, with greater oxidative and lower conjugative metabolism as compared to healthy mice. The NAFLD-updated PBPK model accurately predicts in vivo metabolism of perc through oxidative and conjugative pathways in all tissues across disease states and strains, but underestimated parent compound concentrations in blood and liver of NAFLD mice. CONCLUSIONS We demonstrate the application of PBPK modeling to predict the effects of pre-existing disease conditions as a variability factor in perc metabolism. These results suggest that non-genetic factors such as diet and pre-existing disease can be as influential as genetic factors in altering toxicokinetics of perc, and thus are likely contribute substantially to population variation in its adverse effects.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chimeddulam Dalaijamts
- Interdisciplinary Faculty of Toxicology, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA; Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA
| | - Joseph A Cichocki
- Interdisciplinary Faculty of Toxicology, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA; Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA
| | - Yu-Syuan Luo
- Interdisciplinary Faculty of Toxicology, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA; Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA
| | - Ivan Rusyn
- Interdisciplinary Faculty of Toxicology, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA; Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA
| | - Weihsueh A Chiu
- Interdisciplinary Faculty of Toxicology, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA; Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA.
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Luo YS, Cichocki JA, Hsieh NH, Lewis L, Wright FA, Threadgill DW, Chiu WA, Rusyn I. Using Collaborative Cross Mouse Population to Fill Data Gaps in Risk Assessment: A Case Study of Population-Based Analysis of Toxicokinetics and Kidney Toxicodynamics of Tetrachloroethylene. ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES 2019; 127:67011. [PMID: 31246107 PMCID: PMC6792382 DOI: 10.1289/ehp5105] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/14/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Interindividual variability in susceptibility remains poorly characterized for environmental chemicals such as tetrachloroethylene (PERC). Development of population-based experimental models provide a potential approach to fill this critical need in human health risk assessment. OBJECTIVES In this study, we aimed to better characterize the contribution of glutathione (GSH) conjugation to kidney toxicity of PERC and the degree of associated interindividual toxicokinetic (TK) and toxicodynamic (TD) variability by using the Collaborative Cross (CC) mouse population. METHODS Male mice from 45 strains were intragastrically dosed with PERC ([Formula: see text]) or vehicle (5% Alkamuls EL-620 in saline), and time-course samples were collected for up to 24 h. Population variability in TK of S-(1,2,2-trichlorovinyl)GSH (TCVG), S-(1,2,2-trichlorovinyl)-L-cysteine (TCVC), and N-acetyl-S-(1,2,2-trichlorovinyl)-L-cysteine (NAcTCVC) was quantified in serum, liver, and kidney, and analyzed using a toxicokinetic model. Effects of PERC on kidney weight, fatty acid metabolism-associated genes [ Acot1 (Acyl-CoA thioesterase 1), Fabp1 (fatty acid-binding protein 1), and Ehhadh (enoyl-coenzyme A, hydratase/3-hydroxyacyl coenzyme A dehydrogenase)], and a marker of proximal tubular injury [KIM-1 (kidney injury molecule-1)/Hepatitis A virus cellular receptor 1 ( Havcr1)] were evaluated. Finally, quantitative data on interstrain variability in both formation of GSH conjugation metabolites of PERC and its kidney effects was used to calculate adjustment factors for the interindividual variability in both TK and TD. RESULTS Mice treated with PERC had significantly lower kidney weight, higher kidney-to-body weight (BW) ratio, and higher expression of fatty acid metabolism-associated genes ( Acot1, Fabp1, and Ehhadh) and a marker of proximal tubular injury (KIM-1/ Havcr1). Liver levels of TCVG were significantly correlated with KIM-1/ Havcr1 in kidney, consistent with kidney injury being associated with GSH conjugation. We found that the default uncertainty factor for human variability may be marginally adequate to protect 95%, but not more, of the population for kidney toxicity mediated by PERC. DISCUSSION Overall, this study demonstrates the utility of the CC mouse population in characterizing metabolism-toxicity interactions and quantifying interindividual variability. Further refinement of the characterization of interindividual variability can be accomplished by incorporating these data into in silico population models both for TK (such as a physiologically based pharmacokinetic model), as well as for toxicodynamic responses. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP5105.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yu-Syuan Luo
- Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, USA
| | - Joseph A. Cichocki
- Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, USA
| | - Nan-Hung Hsieh
- Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, USA
| | - Lauren Lewis
- Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, USA
| | - Fred A. Wright
- Bioinformatics Research Center and Departments of Statistics and Biological Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina, USA
| | - David W. Threadgill
- Department of Molecular and Cellular Medicine, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, USA
| | - Weihsueh A. Chiu
- Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, USA
| | - Ivan Rusyn
- Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, USA
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