Factors That Predict Duration of Delayed Graft Function in Cadaveric Kidney Transplantation

Development and validation of a novel nomogram model for predicting delayed graft function in deceased donor kidney transplantation based on pre-transplant biopsies

BACKGROUND

Delayed graft function (DGF) is an important complication after kidney transplantation surgery. The present study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram for preoperative prediction of DGF on the basis of clinical and histological risk factors.

METHODS

The prediction model was constructed in a development cohort comprising 492 kidney transplant recipients from May 2018 to December 2019. Data regarding donor and recipient characteristics, pre-transplantation biopsy results, and machine perfusion parameters were collected, and univariate analysis was performed. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model was used for variable selection. The prediction model was developed by multivariate logistic regression analysis and presented as a nomogram. An external validation cohort comprising 105 transplantation cases from January 2020 to April 2020 was included in the analysis.

RESULTS

266 donors were included in the development cohort, 458 kidneys (93.1%) were preserved by hypothermic machine perfusion (HMP), 96 (19.51%) of 492 recipients developed DGF. Twenty-eight variables measured before transplantation surgery were included in the LASSO regression model. The nomogram consisted of 12 variables from donor characteristics, pre-transplantation biopsy results and machine perfusion parameters. Internal and external validation showed good discrimination and calibration of the nomogram, with Area Under Curve (AUC) 0.83 (95%CI, 0.78-0.88) and 0.87 (95%CI, 0.80-0.94). Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically useful.

CONCLUSION

A DGF predicting nomogram was developed that incorporated donor characteristics, pre-transplantation biopsy results, and machine perfusion parameters. This nomogram can be conveniently used for preoperative individualized prediction of DGF in kidney transplant recipients.

Risk factors and outcomes of prolonged recovery from delayed graft function after deceased kidney transplantation

Objective

We aimed to evaluate the effect of prolonged recovery from DGF on outcomes, using a new definition of DGF recovery time, among deceased donor kidney transplant recipients with DGF, and to examine the risk factors for prolonged recovery.

Methods

From 2007 to 2016, 91 deceased donor kidney transplant recipients with DGF were retrospectively analyzed. DGF recovery time was defined as the time from transplantation to achieve a stable estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Recipients with a DGF recovery time greater than or equal to the median were assigned to the prolonged recovery group, while the others were assigned to the rapid recovery group.

Result

The median DGF recovery time was 27 days. Donor terminal eGFR was significantly lower in the prolonged recovery group (n = 46) compared with the rapid recovery group (n = 45) (median 24.9 vs. 65.4 ml/min/1.73m², p = 0.004). The eGFR at 1 year post-transplant in the prolonged recovery group was significantly lower than that in the rapid recovery group (50.6 ± 20.0 vs. 63.5 ± 21.4 ml/min/1.73m², p = 0.005). The risk of adverse outcomes (acute rejection, pneumonia, graft failure, and death) was significantly greater in the prolonged recovery group (hazard ratio 2.604, 95% confidence interval 1.102–6.150, p = 0.029) compared with the rapid recovery group.

Conclusion

Decreased donor terminal eGFR is a risk factor for prolonged recovery from DGF after deceased kidney transplantation. Prolonged DGF recovery time is associated with reduced graft function at 1-year post-transplant, and poor transplant outcome.

Comparison of nighttime and daytime operation on outcomes of kidney transplant with deceased donors: a retrospective analysis

Background:

Kidney transplant is always emergent operations and frequently need to be performed at nighttime to reduce cold ischemia time (CIT). Previous studies have revealed that fatigue and sleep deprivation can result in adverse consequences of medical procedures. This study aimed to evaluate whether nighttime operation has adverse impact on kidney transplant.

Methods:

A retrospective analysis of recipients accepted kidney transplant from deceased donors in one center from 2014 to 2016 was performed. Daytime transplant was defined as operation started after 8 am or ended before 8 pm and nighttime operation was defined as operation ended after 8 pm or started before 8 am. The incidences of complications such as delayed graft function, acute rejection, surgical complications and nosocomial infections were compared between 2 groups. Student's t-test was used to analyze continuous variables such as serum creatinine (Scr) at 1-year of post-transplant. The Chi-square test was used to analyze categorical variables. Differences in recipients and graft survival were analyzed using Kaplan–Meier methodology and log-rank tests.

Results:

Among the 443 recipients, 233 (52.6%) were classified into the daytime group and the others 210 (47.4%) were in the nighttime group. The 1-year survival rate of recipients was similar for the recipients in the daytime and nighttime groups (95.3% vs. 95.2%, P = 0.981). Although the 1-year graft survival rate in the nighttime group was slightly superior to that in the daytime group, the difference was not significant (92.4% vs. 88.4%, P = 0.164). Furthermore, Scr and incidence of complications were also not significantly different between the 2 groups.

Conclusions:

Our results suggested that operation time of kidney transplant with short CIT has no significant impact on the outcome of kidney transplant. Nighttime operation of kidney transplant with short CIT could be postponed to the following day to alleviate the burden on medical staffs and avoid the potential risk.

Is there a "weekend effect" in kidney transplantation?

The ‘weekend effect’ describes increased adverse outcomes after weekend hospitalization.

We examined weekend-weekday differences in the outcome of 580 patients following renal transplantation (RTx, brain dead donors) between January 2007 and December 2014 at our center. 3-year patient and graft survival, incidence of delayed graft function (DGF), acute rejections and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, CKD-EPI) at 1 year as well as surgical complications were assessed. Of all 580 transplants, 416 (71.7%) were performed on weekdays (Monday-Friday) and 164 (28.3%) on weekends (Saturday-Sunday). 3-year patient and graft survival, frequencies of DGF, acute rejections and 1-year eGFR as well as length of hospital stay were similar between RTx patients transplanted on weekdays or weekends, respectively. However, a noticeable difference was detected with regard to surgical complications which were more frequent in RTx patients transplanted on weekends. All results remained consistent across all definitions of weekend status. Our results suggest that weekend transplant status does not affect functional short-term and long-term outcomes after RTx. The standardized protocols and operationalized processes applied in RTx might contribute to this finding and may provide a model for other medical procedures that are performed on weekends to improve efficiency and outcomes. The higher rate of surgical complications after weekend RTx needs further elaboration to fully assess the presence of a weekend effect in RTx.

Nighttime kidney transplantation is associated with less pure technical graft failure

Purpose

To minimize cold ischemia time, transplantations with kidneys from deceased donors are frequently performed during the night. However, sleep deprivation of those who perform the transplantation may have adverse effects on cognitive and psychomotor performance and may cause reduced cognitive flexibility. We hypothesize that renal transplantations performed during the night are associated with an increased incidence of pure technical graft failure.

Methods

A retrospective analysis of data of the Dutch Organ Transplant Registry concerning all transplants from deceased donors between 2000 and 2013 was performed. Nighttime surgery was defined as the start of the procedure between 8 p.m. and 8 a.m. The primary outcome measure was technical graft failure, defined as graft loss within 10 days after surgery without signs of (hyper)acute rejection.

Results

Of 4.519 renal transplantations in adult recipients, 1.480 were performed during the night. The incidence of pure technical graft failure was 1.0 % for procedures started during the night versus 2.6 % for daytime surgery (p = .001). In a multivariable model, correcting for relevant donor, recipient and graft factors, daytime surgery was an independent predictor of pure technical graft failure (p < .001).

Conclusions

Limitation of this study is mainly to its retrospective design, and the influence of some relevant variables, such as the experience level of the surgeon, could not be assessed. We conclude that nighttime surgery is associated with less pure technical graft failures. Further research is required to explore factors that may positively influence the performance of the surgical team during the night.

Do we need a different organ allocation system for kidney transplants using donors after circulatory death?

BACKGROUND

There is no national policy for allocation of kidneys from Donation after circulatory death (DCD) donors in the UK. Allocation is geographical and based on individual/regional centre policies. We have evaluated the short term outcomes of paired kidneys from DCD donors subject to this allocation policy.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of paired renal transplants from DCD's from 2002 to 2010 in London. Cold ischemia time (CIT), recipient risk factors, delayed graft function (DGF), 3 and 12 month creatinine) were compared.

RESULTS

Complete data was available on 129 paired kidneys.115 pairs were transplanted in the same centre and 14 pairs transplanted in different centres. There was a significant increase in CIT in kidneys transplanted second when both kidneys were accepted by the same centre (15.5 ± 4.1 vs 20.5 ± 5.8 hrs p<0.0001 and at different centres (15.8 ± 5.3 vs. 25.2 ± 5.5 hrs p=0.0008). DGF rates were increased in the second implant following sequential transplantation (p=0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Paired study sequential transplantation of kidneys from DCD donors results in a significant increase in CIT for the second kidney, with an increased risk of DGF. Sequential transplantation from a DCD donor should be avoided either by the availability of resources to undertake simultaneous procedures or the allocation of kidneys to 2 separate centres.

Does multiorgan versus kidney-only cadaveric organ procurement affect graft outcomes?

INTRODUCTION

The majority of kidney grafts in most European countries still come from deceased donors who provide other organs. We analyzed whether multiorgan procurement portends a worse functional outcome compared with kidney-only harvesting.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of 1043 consecutive brain-dead donor kidney transplantations performed at a single academic institution from September 2002 to June 2011. The graft outcomes using kidney-only donors (n = 243) were compared with multiorgan donor grafts (n = 800) analyzing donor age, gender, cause of death, duration of mechanical ventilation, renal function, and cold ischemic interval. We compared delayed graft function and serum creatinine values at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months posttransplantation as well as graft survivals. This methodology was also applied to the subset of expanded criteria donors: 179 kidney-only versus 474 multiorgan. The influence of donor variables on graft survival was also analyzed in a Cox regression model. Immunosuppressive regimens and preservation solutions were similar in both groups.

RESULTS

Kidney-only donors were older than their multiorgan counterparts (53.1 versus 44.8, P < .0005) and predominantly male (76.5% versus 62.6% male donors, P < .0005). Other donor variables were comparable. Kidney-only donor grafts showed a slightly higher incidence of delayed function (27.2 versus 21.1%, P = .049), but the mean serum creatinine values were similar at all intervals. No differences were observed in 7-year graft survival: 80.7% versus 79.9%. Expanded criteria donor grafts showed overlapping results, except for a higher rate of donor oligoanuria and a lower 1-month mean creatinine among kidney-only donors. Multivariate analysis revealed that the number of harvested organs did not influence graft survival.

DISCUSSION

Immediate and long-term outcomes of kidney grafts did not correlate with the number of organs harvested from the donor. The longer explantation time associated with multiorgan procurement did not seem to affect graft function.

CYP2C8*3 polymorphism and donor age are associated with allograft dysfunction in kidney transplant recipients treated with calcineurin inhibitors

Epoxieicosatrienoic acids (EETs) play a protective role against damaging processes in the kidney. We have assessed the effect of polymorphisms in EETs-producing enzymes (CYP2C8 and CYP2J2) and other proteins involved in calcineurin inhibitors (CNIs) disposition (CYP3A4, CYP3A5, and ABCB1) on graft function and clinical outcome in 166 renal transplant recipients treated with CNIs. Both CYP2C8*3 and donor age greater than 48 years were associated to a higher incidence of delayed graft function (DGF) [OR = 2.01 (1.1-4.1), P = .04 and 5.14 (2.4-10.9), P < .0001; respectively] and worse creatinine clearance 1 year after grafting (P < .05 and P < .001, respectively). In addition, carrying 4-6 variants in the 3 ABCB1 loci and older donor age were individually associated to higher incidence of calcineurin-inhibitor-induced nephrotoxicity [OR = 2.38 (1.1-5.4), P = .03 and OR = 1.03 (1.01-1.06), P = .038]. Regression analyses confirmed the relevant effect of both CYP2C8*3 and donor age on graft dysfunction. Carrying the 2C8*3 allele and having a donor older than 48 years was defined as a high-risk status and observed to be highly related to DGF [OR = 3.91 (1.46-10.48), P < .01] and worse creatinine clearance (P = .033). Our results show that genetic and clinical parameters can be combined to identify risk factors for allograft dysfunction in renal transplant recipients.

The new CYP3A4 intron 6 C>T polymorphism (CYP3A4*22) is associated with an increased risk of delayed graft function and worse renal function in cyclosporine-treated kidney transplant patients

OBJECTIVE

Cyclosporine A (CsA) is a substrate of cytochrome P450 3A4 (CYP3A4). Recently, a newly discovered intron 6 single-nucleotide polymorphism in CYP3A4 (rs35599367 C>T), defining the CYP3A4*22 allele, has been linked to reduced hepatic expression and activity of CYP3A4. In the present study, the clinical impact of this single-nucleotide polymorphism was investigated in a cohort of patients receiving a CsA-based immunosuppressive regimen.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 172 de-novo kidney transplant recipients, receiving CsA/mycophenolate mofetil as immunosuppressive therapy and participating in the Fixed-Dose Concentration Controlled study, were genotyped for the new CYP3A4*22 allele. CsA C(0) and/or C(2) levels were measured on days 3 and 10 and in months 1, 3, 6, and 12 after transplantation. Plasma creatinine concentrations, delayed graft function (DGF), and biopsy-proven acute rejection were recorded.

RESULTS

The CYP3A4*22 allele was significantly associated with a higher risk of DGF compared with the CYP3A4*1/*1 patients after adjustment for known risk factors [odds ratio (OR)=6.34, confidence interval (CI(95%): 1.38-29.3), P=0.015]. Mixed-model analysis demonstrated that the overall creatinine clearance was 20% lower in CYP3A4*22 allele carriers compared with CYP3A4*1/*1 patients [CI(95%) (-33.1 to -7.2%), P=0.002]. For ABCB1 3435C>T, T-variant carriers had a decreased risk of developing DGF compared with CC patients [CT: OR=0.30, CI(95%) (0.11-0.77), P=0.011; TT: OR=0.18, CI(95%) (0.05-0.67), P=0.011].

CONCLUSION

CYP3A4*22 constitutes a risk factor for DGF and worse creatinine clearance in patients receiving CsA-based immunosuppressive therapy. Therefore, pretransplant genotyping for the CYP3A4*22 allele might help clinicians to identify patients at risk of DGF and poor renal function when treated with CsA.

Induction therapy by anti-thymocyte globulin (rabbit) versus basiliximab in deceased donor renal transplants and the effect on delayed graft function and outcomes

The use of induction therapy significantly reduces the incidence of acute rejection (AR) episodes posttransplantation and prevents delayed graft function (DGF). In our program, all adult deceased donor kidney transplant (DDKT) recipients receive immunosuppression induction therapy with either basiliximab (anti-CD25 Ab) or rabbit anti-thymocyte globulin (RATG). Our protocol is risk adjusted such that patients who are at a higher risk for DGF or AR received RATG and all other patients receive anti-CD25 Ab. We hypothesized that treating our higher-risk patients with RATG induction at the time of transplantation would lead to a lower rate of DGF and better outcomes. From August 1, 2005 through August 31, 2010, 116 consecutive adult patients received a DDKT in a single academic transplantation center. All DDKT patients received induction with RATG or anti-CD25 Ab. The induction decision was made prior to transplantation based on donor and recipient risk factors for AR and DGF. Transplants that were deemed at higher risk for DGF or AR based on donor factors or recipient factors received RATG. Medical records and patient databases were reviewed retrospectively. The use of RATG in higher-risk recipients for DGF and AR did not significantly reduce the DGF rate. At 6 months the function of the allograft function measured as creatinine clearance or serum creatinine was lower in the RATG group than the patients who received anti-CD25 Ab induction. The choice of induction therapy did not improve outcomes in high-risk patients in this short-term study.

Cost-benefit estimation of cadaveric kidney transplantation: the case of a developing country

BACKGROUND

In this paper we have estimated the cost savings for the health care system and quality-of-life improvement for patients from an increased number of kidney transplants in Chile. We compared the present value of dialysis and transplantation costs and quality of life over a 20-year horizon.

METHODS

We used Markov models and introduced some degree of uncertainty in the value of some of the parameters that built the model. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we estimated the confidence intervals for our results.

RESULTS

Our estimates suggested that a kidney transplant showed an expected savings value of US$28,000 for the health care system. If the quality-of-life improvement was also considered, the expected savings rise to US$ 102,000. These results imply that increasing donation rate by 1 donor per million population would achieve an estimated cost saving of US$827,000 per year, or near US$3 million per year considering the effect on the quality of life.

CONCLUSION

These results demonstrated that kidney transplantation along with a better quality of life for patients are a cost-saving decision for developing countries.

Polymorphisms in CYP3A5, CYP3A4, and ABCB1 are not associated with cyclosporine pharmacokinetics nor with cyclosporine clinical end points after renal transplantation

BACKGROUND

The association of CYP3A5, CYP3A4, and ABCB1 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with cyclosporine (CsA) pharmacokinetics is controversial. The authors studied the influence of these SNPs on CsA pharmacokinetics as well as on the incidence of biopsy-proven acute rejection (BPAR) and renal function after kidney transplantation.

METHOD

One hundred seventy-one patients participating in an international, randomized controlled trial were genotyped for CYP3A5*3, CYP3A4*1B and the ABCB1 1236 C>T, 2677 G>T/A, and 3435 C>T SNPs. The patients were treated with CsA, mycophenolate mofetil, and glucocorticoids. CsA was dosed to reach predose concentrations (C0) or two hours postdose concentrations (C2). Pharmacokinetic parameters were measured on Days 3 and 10 and Months 1, 3, 6, and 12 after transplantation. Renal function was assessed by measuring serum creatinine and calculating the creatinine clearance. The incidence of BPAR and delayed-graft function was recorded.

RESULTS

CYP3A5, CYP3A4, and ABCB1 genotype were not associated with dose-adjusted CsA C0 or C2. The incidence of BPAR in this cohort was 16% and was comparable between the different ABCB1 genotype groups. No significant difference in the incidence of BPAR was found between CYP3A5 expressers (10%) and nonexpressers (18%) (P = 0.24) nor was there a difference in the incidence of BPAR between CYP3A4*1 homozygotes (5%) versus CYP3A4*1B carriers (18%) (P = 0.13). There were no differences with regard to creatinine clearance between the different CYP3A and ABCB1 genotype groups.

CONCLUSION

According to the results, determination of CYP3A and ABCB1 SNPs pretransplantation is not helpful in determining the CsA starting dose and does not aid in predicting the risk of BPAR or worse renal function in an individual patient.