Drivers of Cost in Adult Thoracolumbar Spine Deformity Surgery

Comparison of Outcomes Between Staged and Same-Day Circumferential Spinal Fusion for Adult Spinal Deformity: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Adult spinal deformity (ASD) is a prevalent condition often treated with circumferential spinal fusion (CF), which can be performed as staged or same-day procedures. However, evidence guiding the choice between these approaches is lacking.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to compare patient outcomes following staged and same-day CF for ASD.

METHODS

Following PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines, a comprehensive literature search was conducted in PubMed, MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane CENTRAL, Web of Science, and Scopus. Eligibility criteria included studies comparing outcomes following staged and same-day CF in adults with ASD. Searches were exported to Covidence, and records were deduplicated automatically. Title and abstract screening, full-text review, and data extraction were performed by two independent reviewers, with all conflicts being resolved by a third reviewer. A meta-analysis was conducted for outcomes reported in 3 or more studies.

RESULTS

Seven studies with 741 patients undergoing CF for ASD were included in the review (staged: n=331, 44.7% and same-day: n=410, 55.3%). Four studies that had comparable outcomes were merged for the quantitative meta-analysis and split based on observed measures. The meta-analysis revealed significantly shorter hospital length of stay (mean difference 3.98, 95% CI 2.23-5.72 days; P<.001) for same-day CF. Three studies compared the operative time between staged and same-day CF, with all reporting a lower mean operative time for same-day CF (mean between 291-479, SD 129 minutes) compared to staged CF (mean between 426-541, SD 124 minutes); however, inconsistent reporting of mean and SD made quantitative analyses unattainable. Of the 4 studies that compared estimated blood loss (EBL) in the relevant groups, 3 presented a lower EBL (mean between 412-1127, SD 954 mL) in same-day surgery compared to staged surgery (mean between 642, SD 550 to 1351, SD 869 mL). Both studies that reported intra- and postoperative adverse events showed more intraoperative adverse events in staged CF (10.9% and 13.6%, respectively) compared to same-day CF (9.1% and 3.6%, respectively). Four studies measuring any perioperative adverse events showed a higher incidence of adverse events in staged CF than all studies combined. However, quantitative analysis of EBL, intraoperative adverse events, and perioperative adverse events found no statistically significant difference. Postoperative adverse events, reoperation, infection rates, and readmission rates showed inconsistent findings between studies. Data quality assessment revealed a moderate degree of bias for all included studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Same-day CF may offer shorter operating time and hospital stay compared to staged CF for ASD. However, there was marked heterogeneity in perioperative outcomes reporting, and continuous variables were inconsistently presented. This underscored the need for standardized reporting of clinical variables and patient-reported outcomes and higher evidence of randomized controlled trials to elucidate the clinical superiority of either approach.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42022339764; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=339764.

INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID)

RR2-10.2196/42331.

The ISSG-AO Complication Intervention Score, but Not Major/Minor Designation, is Correlated With Length of Stay Following Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective review.

OBJECTIVES

The International Spine Study Group-AO (ISSG-AO) Adult Spinal Deformity (ASD) Complication Classification System was developed to improve classification, reporting, and study of complications among patients undergoing ASD surgery. The ISSG-AO system classifies interventions to address complications by level of invasiveness: grade zero (none); grade 1, mild (e.g., medication change); grade 2, moderate (e.g., ICU admission); grade 3, severe (e.g., reoperation related to surgery of interest). To evaluate the efficacy of the ISSG-AO ASD Complication Classification System, we aimed to compare correlations between postoperative length of stay (LOS) and complication severity as classified by the ISSG-AO ASD and traditional major/minor complication classification systems.

METHODS

Patients age ≥18 in a multicenter ASD database who sustained in-hospital complications were identified. Complications were classified with the major/minor and ISSG-AO systems and correlated with LOS using an ensemble-based machine learning algorithm (conditional random forest) and a generalized linear mixed model.

RESULTS

490 patients at 19 sites were included. 64.9% of complications were major, and 35.1% were minor. By ISSG-AO classification, 20.4%, 66.1%, 6.7%, and 6.7% were grades 0-3, respectively. ISSG-AO complication grading demonstrated significant correlation with LOS, whereas major/minor complication classification demonstrated inverse correlation with LOS. In conditional random forest analysis, ISSG-AO classification had the greatest relative importance when assessing correlations across multiple variables with LOS.

CONCLUSIONS

The ISSG-AO system may help identify specific complications associated with prolonged LOS. Targeted interventions to avoid or reduce these complications may improve ASD surgical quality and resource utilization.

The economic burden of diabetes in spinal fusion surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

This study aimed at comparing the costs of spinal fusion surgery between patients with and without diabetes.

METHODS

Following PRISMA guidelines, a systematic search of four databases was conducted. A meta-analysis was performed on comparative studies examining diabetic versus non-diabetic adults undergoing cervical/lumbar fusion in terms of cost. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 test. Standardized mean differences (SMD) and odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using a random-effects model in the presence of heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Twenty-two studies were included in this meta-analysis. Standardized costs were significantly higher in the diabetic group (SMD 0.02, 95% CI 0.01 to 0.03, p < 0.05). The excess cost per diabetic patient undergoing spinal fusion surgery was estimated to be $2,492 (95% CI: $1,620 to $3,363). The length of stay (LOS) was significantly longer in the diabetes group (MD 0.42, 95% CI 0.24 to 0.60, p < 0.001). No significant difference was observed in intensive care unit admission between the groups (OR 4.15, 95% CI 0.55 to 31.40, p > 0.05). Reoperation showed no significant differences between the groups (OR 1.14, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.35, p > 0.05). However, 30-day and 90-day readmissions were significantly higher in the diabetes group: (OR 1.42, 95% CI 1.24 to 1.62, p < 0.05) and (OR 1.39, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.68, p < 0.001), respectively. Non-routine or non-home discharge was also significantly higher in the diabetes group (OR 1.89, 95% CI 1.67 to 2.13, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Patients with diabetes undergoing spinal fusion surgery had increased costs, prolonged LOS, increased 30-day/90-day readmission rates, and more frequent non-routine discharges.

Thoracolumbar fusions for adult lumbar deformity show superior QALY gain and lower costs compared with upper thoracic fusions

PURPOSE

Adult spinal deformity (ASD) patients with sagittal plane deformity (N) or structural lumbar/thoraco-lumbar (TL) curves can be treated with fusions stopping at the TL junction or extending to the upper thoracic (UT) spine. This study evaluates the impact on cost/cumulative quality-adjusted life year (QALY) in patients treated with TL vs UT fusion.

METHODS

ASD patients with > 4-level fusion and 2-year follow-up were included. Index and total episode-of-care costs were estimated using average itemized direct costs obtained from hospital records. Cumulative QALY gained were calculated from preoperative to 2-year postoperative change in Short Form Six-Dimension (SF-6D) scores. The TL and UT groups comprised patients with upper instrumented vertebrae (UIV) at T9-T12 and T2-T5, respectively.

RESULTS

Of 566 patients with type N or L curves, mean age was 63.2 ± 12.1 years, 72% were female and 93% Caucasians. Patients in the TL group had better sagittal vertical axis (7.3 ± 6.9 vs. 9.2 ± 8.1 cm, p = 0.01), lower surgical invasiveness (- 30; p < 0.001), and shorter OR time (- 35 min; p = 0.01). Index and total costs were 20% lower in the TL than in the UT group (p < 0.001). Cost/QALY was 65% lower (492,174.6 vs. 963,391.4), and 2-year QALY gain was 40% higher, in the TL than UT group (0.15 vs. 0.10; p = 0.02). Multivariate model showed TL fusions had lower total cost (p = 0.001) and higher QALY gain (p = 0.03) than UT fusions.

CONCLUSION

In Schwab type N or L curves, TL fusions showed lower 2-year cost and improved QALY gain without increased reoperation rates or length of stay than UT fusions.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

III.

What Is the Carbon Footprint of Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery?

Background/Objectives: While the economic cost of adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery has been studied extensively, its environmental impact is unknown. The aim of this study is to determine the carbon footprint (CF) associated with ASD surgery. Methods: ASD patients who underwent > four levels of corrective surgery between 2017 and 2021 were included. The open group included a posterior-only, single-stage technique, while the minimally invasive surgery (MIS) group was defined as the use of lateral interbody fusion and percutaneous posterior screw fixation. The two groups were propensity-score matched to adjust for baseline demographic, surgical, and radiographic characteristics. Data on all disposables and reusable instruments, anesthetic gas, and non-gas medications used during surgery were collected from medical records. The CF of transporting, using, and disposing of each product and the footprint of energy use in operating rooms were calculated. The CF produced was evaluated using the carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e), which is relative to the amount of CO2 with an equivalent global warming potential. Results: Of the 175 eligible patients, 15 pairs (65 ± 9 years, 47% female) were properly matched and analyzed for all variables. The average CF generated per case was 147.7 ± 37.3 kg-CO2e, of which 54% was attributable to energy used to sterilize reusable instruments, followed by anesthetic gas released into the environment (17%) and operating room air conditioning (15%). Conclusions: The CF generated during ASD surgery should be reduced using a multidisciplinary approach, taking into account that different surgical procedures have different impacts on carbon emission sources.

Who Can Be Discharged Home after Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery?

Introduction: After adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery, patients often require postoperative rehabilitation at an inpatient rehabilitation (IPR) center or a skilled nursing facility (SNF). However, home discharge is often preferred by patients and hsas been shown to decrease costs. In a cohort of patients undergoing ASD surgery, we sought to (1) report the incidence of discharge to home, (2) determine the factors significantly associated with discharge to home in the form of a simple scoring system, and (3) evaluate the impact of discharge disposition on patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs). Methods: A single-institution, retrospective cohort study was undertaken for patients undergoing ASD surgery from 2009 to 2021. Inclusion criteria were ≥ 5-level fusion, sagittal/coronal deformity, and at least 2-year follow-up. Exposure variables included preoperative, perioperative, and radiographic data. The primary outcome was discharge status (dichotomized as home vs. IPR/SNF). Secondary outcomes included PROMs, such as the numeric rating scales (NRSs) for back and leg pain, the Oswestry Disability Index (ODI), and EQ-5D. A subanalysis comparing IPR to SNF discharge was conducted. Univariate analysis was performed. Results: Of 221 patients undergoing ASD surgery with a mean age of 63.6 ± 17.6, 112 (50.6%) were discharged home, 71 (32.2%) were discharged to an IPR center, and 38 (17.2%) were discharged to an SNF. Patients discharged home were significantly younger (55.7 ± 20.1 vs. 71.8 ± 9.1, p < 0.001), had lower rate of 2+ comorbidities (38.4% vs. 45.0%, p = 0.001), and had less hypertension (57.1% vs. 75.2%, p = 0.005). Perioperatively, patients who were discharged home had significantly fewer levels instrumented (10.0 ± 3.0 vs. 11.0 ± 3.4 levels, p = 0.030), shorter operative times (381.4 ± 139.9 vs. 461.6 ± 149.8 mins, p < 0.001), less blood loss (1101.0 ± 977.8 vs. 1739.7 ± 1332.9 mL, p < 0.001), and shorter length of stay (5.4 ± 2.8 vs. 9.3 ± 13.9 days, p < 0.001). Radiographically, preoperative SVA (9.1 ± 6.5 vs. 5.2 ± 6.8 cm, p < 0.001), PT (27.5 ± 11.1° vs. 23.4 ± 10.8°, p = 0.031), and T1PA (28.9 ± 12.7° vs. 21.6 ± 13.6°, p < 0.001) were significantly higher in patients who were discharged to an IPR center/SNF. Additionally, the operating surgeon also significantly influenced the disposition status (p < 0.001). A scoring system of the listed factors was proposed and was validated using univariate logistic regression (OR = 1.55, 95%CI = 1.34-1.78, p < 0.001) and ROC analysis, which revealed a cutoff value of > 6 points as a predictor of non-home discharge (AUC = 0.75, 95%CI = 0.68-0.80, p < 0.001, sensitivity = 63.3%, specificity = 74.1%). The factors in the scoring system were age > 56, comorbidities ≥ 2, hypertension, TIL ≥ 10, operative time > 357 mins, EBL > 1200 mL, preop SVA > 6.6 cm, preop PT > 33.6°, and preop T1PA > 15°. When comparing IPR (n = 71) vs. SNF (n = 38), patients discharged to an SNF were significantly older (74.4 ± 8.6 vs. 70.4 ± 9.1, p = 0.029) and were more likely to be female (89.5% vs. 70.4%, p = 0.024). Conclusions: Approximately 50% of patients were discharged home after ASD surgery. A simple scoring system based on age > 56, comorbidities ≥ 2, hypertension, total instrumented levels ≥ 10, operative time > 357 mins, EBL > 1200 mL, preop SVA > 6.6 cm, preop PT > 33.6°, and preop T1PA > 15° was proposed to predict non-home discharge. These findings may help guide postoperative expectations and resource allocation after ASD surgery.

Tension Parameters of Junctional Tethers in Proximal Junction Kyphosis: A Cadaveric Biomechanical Study

OBJECTIVE

Proximal junctional failure following surgical correction for adult spinal deformity significantly impacts quality of life and increases the economic burden of treating underlying spinal deformity. The objective of this cadaver study was to determine optimal tension parameters in junctional tethers for proximal junctional kyphosis prevention.

METHODS

Cadaveric specimens were used to establish the optimal tension range in polyethylene tethering devices, such as the VersaTie (NuVasive) used in this study. Three specimens were instrumented to test tether tensions of 0, 75, and 150 Newtons (N) at L1-L2, T9-T10, and T3-T4. An optical tracking system was used to measure when specimens reached proximal junctional kyphosis, experienced instrumentation or tissue failure, or reached a cap of 2500 cycles. Radiographs were obtained before and after testing.

RESULTS

At all levels, use of a tether at tension forces of 75 N and 150 N elicited a protective effect. The only level in which a higher tension on the tether resulted in more protection was at T3-T4. When averaged, the use of a tether at tension forces of 75 N and 150 N showed 1000 cycles of protection at L1-L2, 2000 cycles at T9-T10, and 1426 cycles at T3-T4. Radiographic analysis corroborated these findings.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of a tether in a cadaveric model prevents the development of proximal junctional kyphosis across all tested levels and an increased tension force of 150 N is protective at the proximal thoracic spine. These data can be used to develop further models for a tether system that reproducibly applies a fixed tension force above the thoracolumbar rod construct.

Accounting for age in prediction of discharge destination following elective lumbar fusion: a supervised machine learning approach

BACKGROUND CONTEXT

The number of elective spinal fusion procedures performed each year continues to grow, making risk factors for post-operative complications following this procedure increasingly clinically relevant. Nonhome discharge (NHD) is of particular interest due to its associations with increased costs of care and rates of complications. Notably, increased age has been found to influence rates of NHD.

PURPOSE

To identify aged-adjusted risk factors for nonhome discharge following elective lumbar fusion through the utilization of Machine Learning-generated predictions within stratified age groupings.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective Database Study.

PATIENT SAMPLE

The American College of Surgeons National Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database years 2008 to 2018.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Postoperative discharge destination.

METHODS

ACS-NSQIP was queried to identify adult patients undergoing elective lumbar spinal fusion from 2008 to 2018. Patients were then stratified into the following age ranges: 30 to 44 years, 45 to 64 years, and ≥65 years. These groups were then analyzed by eight ML algorithms, each tasked with predicting post-operative discharge destination.

RESULTS

Prediction of NHD was performed with average AUCs of 0.591, 0.681, and 0.693 for those aged 30 to 44, 45 to 64, and ≥65 years respectively. In patients aged 30 to 44, operative time (p<.001), African American/Black race (p=.003), female sex (p=.002), ASA class three designation (p=.002), and preoperative hematocrit (p=.002) were predictive of NHD. In ages 45 to 64, predictive variables included operative time, age, preoperative hematocrit, ASA class two or class three designation, insulin-dependent diabetes, female sex, BMI, and African American/Black race all with p<.001. In patients ≥65 years, operative time, adult spinal deformity, BMI, insulin-dependent diabetes, female sex, ASA class four designation, inpatient status, age, African American/Black race, and preoperative hematocrit were predictive of NHD with p<.001. Several variables were distinguished as predictive for only one age group including ASA Class two designation in ages 45 to 64 and adult spinal deformity, ASA class four designation, and inpatient status for patients ≥65 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Application of ML algorithms to the ACS-NSQIP dataset identified a number of highly predictive and age-adjusted variables for NHD. As age is a risk factor for NHD following spinal fusion, our findings may be useful in both guiding perioperative decision-making and recognizing unique predictors of NHD among specific age groups.

Methodology of economic evaluations in spine surgery: a systematic review and qualitative assessment

OBJECTIVES

The present study is a systematic review conducted as part of a methodological approach to develop evidence-based recommendations for economic evaluations in spine surgery. The aim of this systematic review is to evaluate the methodology and quality of currently available clinical cost-effectiveness studies in spine surgery.

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic literature review.

DATA SOURCES

PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, EconLit and The National Institute for Health Research Economic Evaluation Database were searched through 8 December 2022.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR SELECTING STUDIES

Studies were included if they met all of the following eligibility criteria: (1) spine surgery, (2) the study cost-effectiveness and (3) clinical study. Model-based studies were excluded.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

The following data items were extracted and evaluated: pathology, number of participants, intervention(s), year, country, study design, time horizon, comparator(s), utility measurement, effectivity measurement, costs measured, perspective, main result and study quality.

RESULTS

130 economic evaluations were included. Seventy-four of these studies were retrospective studies. The majority of the studies had a time horizon shorter than 2 years. Utility measures varied between the EuroQol 5 dimensions and variations of the Short-Form Health Survey. Effect measures varied widely between Visual Analogue Scale for pain, Neck Disability Index, Oswestry Disability Index, reoperation rates and adverse events. All studies included direct costs from a healthcare perspective. Indirect costs were included in 47 studies. Total Consensus Health Economic Criteria scores ranged from 2 to 18, with a mean score of 12.0 over all 130 studies.

CONCLUSIONS

The comparability of economic evaluations in spine surgery is extremely low due to different study designs, follow-up duration and outcome measurements such as utility, effectiveness and costs. This illustrates the need for uniformity in conducting and reporting economic evaluations in spine surgery.

Impact of Affective Disorders on Inpatient Opioid Consumption and Hospital Outcomes Following Open Posterior Spinal Fusion for Adult Spine Deformity

OBJECTIVE

Affective disorders (ADs) are common and have a profound impact on surgical recovery, though few have studied the impact of ADs on inpatient narcotic consumption. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of ADs on inpatient narcotic consumption and healthcare resource utilization in patients undergoing spinal fusion for adult spinal deformity.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed using the 2016-2017 Premier Healthcare Database. Adults who underwent adult spinal deformity surgery were identified using International Classification of Disease, Tenth Revision, codes. Patients were grouped based on comorbid diagnosis of an AD. Demographics, comorbidities, intraoperative variables, complications, length of stay, admission costs, and nonroutine discharge rates were assessed. Increased inpatient opioid use was categorized by morphine milligram equivalents consumption greater than the 75th percentile. Multivariate regression analysis was used to identify predictors of increased healthcare recourse utilization.

RESULTS

Of the 1831 study patients, 674 (36.8%) had an AD. A smaller proportion of patients in the AD cohort were 65+ years of age (P = 0.001), while a greater proportion of patients in the AD cohort identified as non-Hispanic White (P < 0.001). A greater proportion of patients in the AD cohort had increased morphine milligram equivalents consumption (P < 0.001). The AD cohort also had a longer mean length of stay (P < 0.001). A greater proportion of patients in the AD cohort had nonroutine discharges (P = 0.039) and unplanned 30-day readmission (P = 0.041). On multivariate analysis, AD was significantly associated with increased cost (odds ratio: 1.61, P < 0.001) and nonroutine discharge (odds ratio: 1.36, P = 0.035).

CONCLUSIONS

ADs may be associated with increased inpatient opioid consumption and healthcare resource utilization.

Improvements in Outcomes and Cost After Adult Spinal Deformity Corrective Surgery Between 2008 and 2019

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether patient outcomes and cost-effectiveness of adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery have improved over the past decade.

BACKGROUND

Surgery for ASD is an effective intervention, but one that is also associated with large initial healthcare expenditures. Changes in the cost profile for ASD surgery over the last decade has not been evaluated previously.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

ASD patients who received surgery between 2008 and 2019 were included. Analysis of covariance was used to establish estimated marginal means for outcome measures [complication rates, reoperations, health-related quality of life, total cost, utility gained, quality adjusted life years (QALYs), cost-efficiency (cost per QALY)] by year of initial surgery. Cost was calculated using the PearlDiver database and represented national averages of Medicare reimbursement for services within a 30-day window including length of stay and death differentiated by complication/comorbidity, revision, and surgical approach. Internal cost data was based on individual patient diagnosis-related group codes, limiting revisions to those within two years (2Y) of the initial surgery. Cost per QALY over the course of 2008-2019 were then calculated.

RESULTS

There were 1236 patients included. There was an overall decrease in rates of any complication (0.78 vs . 0.61), any reoperation (0.25 vs . 0.10), and minor complication (0.54 vs . 0.37) between 2009 and 2018 (all P <0.05). National average 2Y cost decreased at an annual rate of $3194 ( R2 =0.6602), 2Y utility gained increased at an annual rate of 0.0041 ( R2 =0.57), 2Y QALYs gained increased annually by 0.008 ( R2 =0.57), and 2Y cost per QALY decreased per year by $39,953 ( R2 =0.6778).

CONCLUSION

Between 2008 and 2019, rates of complications have decreased concurrently with improvements in patient reported outcomes, resulting in improved cost effectiveness according to national Medicare average and individual patient cost data. The value of ASD surgery has improved substantially over the course of the last decade.

Predictive Models for Length of Stay and Discharge Disposition in Elective Spine Surgery: Development, Validation, and Comparison to the ACS NSQIP Risk Calculator

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective study at a single academic institution.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study is to utilize machine learning to predict hospital length of stay (LOS) and discharge disposition following adult elective spine surgery, and to compare performance metrics of machine learning models to the American College of Surgeon's National Surgical Quality Improvement Program's (ACS NSQIP) prediction calculator.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

A total of 3678 adult patients undergoing elective spine surgery between 2014 and 2019, acquired from the electronic health record.

METHODS

Patients were divided into three stratified cohorts: cervical degenerative, lumbar degenerative, and adult spinal deformity groups. Predictive variables included demographics, body mass index, surgical region, surgical invasiveness, surgical approach, and comorbidities. Regression, classification trees, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) were used to build predictive models. Validation of the models was conducted on 16% of patients (N=587), using area under the receiver operator curve (AUROC), sensitivity, specificity, and correlation. Patient data were manually entered into the ACS NSQIP online risk calculator to compare performance. Outcome variables were discharge disposition (home vs. rehabilitation) and LOS (days).

RESULTS

Of 3678 patients analyzed, 51.4% were male (n=1890) and 48.6% were female (n=1788). The average LOS was 3.66 days. In all, 78% were discharged home and 22% discharged to rehabilitation. Compared with NSQIP (Pearson R2 =0.16), the predictions of poisson regression ( R2 =0.29) and LASSO ( R2 =0.29) models were significantly more correlated with observed LOS ( P =0.025 and 0.004, respectively). Of the models generated to predict discharge location, logistic regression yielded an AUROC of 0.79, which was statistically equivalent to the AUROC of 0.75 for NSQIP ( P =0.135).

CONCLUSION

The predictive models developed in this study can enable accurate preoperative estimation of LOS and risk of rehabilitation discharge for adult patients undergoing elective spine surgery. The demonstrated models exhibited better performance than NSQIP for prediction of LOS and equivalent performance to NSQIP for prediction of discharge location.

Frailty measured by risk analysis index and adverse discharge outcomes after adult spine deformity surgery: analysis of 3104 patients from a prospective surgical registry (2011-2020)

BACKGROUND CONTEXT

Measurement of frailty with the Risk Analysis Index (RAI) has demonstrated improved outcome prediction compared to other frailty indices across the surgical literature. However, the generalizability and clinical utility of preoperative RAI scoring for prediction of postoperative morbidity after adult spinal deformity surgery is presently unknown. Thus, recent studies have called for an RAI analysis of spine deformity outcomes.

PURPOSE

The present study sought to evaluate the discriminatory accuracy of preoperative frailty, as measured by RAI, for predicting postoperative morbidity among adult spine deformity surgery patients using data queried from a large prospective surgical registry representing over 700 hospitals from 49 US states and 11 countries.

STUDY DESIGN/SETTING

Secondary analysis of a prospective surgical registry.

PATIENT SAMPLE

American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database (2011-2020).

OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary endpoint was "adverse discharge outcome" (ADO) defined as discharge to a non-home, non-rehabilitation nursing/chronic care facility.

METHODS

Adult spine deformity surgeries were queried from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database (2011-2020) using diagnosis and procedure codes. The relationship between increasing preoperative RAI frailty score and increasing rate of primary endpoint (ADO) was assessed with Cochran-Armitage linear trend tests. Discriminatory accuracy was tested by computation of concordance statistics (with 95% confidence interval [CI]) in receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 3,104 patients underwent spine deformity surgery and were stratified by RAI score: 0-10: 22%, 11-15: 11%, 16-20: 29%, 21-25: 26%, 26-30: 8.0%, 31-35: 2.4%, and 36+: 1.4%. The rate of ADO was 14% (N=439/3094). The rate of ADO increased significantly with increasing RAI score (p<.0001). RAI demonstrated robust discriminatory accuracy for prediction of ADO in ROC analysis (C-statistic: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.69-0.74, p<.001). In pairwise comparison of ROC curves (DeLong test), RAI demonstrates superior discriminatory accuracy compared to the 5-factor modified frailty index (mFI-5; p<.001).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative frailty, as measured by RAI, is a robust predictor of postoperative morbidity (measured by ADO) after adult spine deformity surgery. The frailty score may be translated directly to the bedside with a user-friendly risk calculator, deployed here: https://nsgyfrailtyoutcomeslab.shinyapps.io/spineDeformity.

The Differences Between Same-Day and Staged (Circumferential) Fusion Surgery in Adult Spinal Deformity: Protocol for a Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Adult spinal deformity (ASD) is a deformity in the curvature of the adult spine. ASD includes a range of pathology that leads to decreased quality of life for patients as well as debilitating morbidities. Treatment can range from nonoperative management to long-segment surgical corrections and depends greatly on the deformity and patient profiles. If surgical treatment is indicated, circumferential (a combined anterior and posterior approach) fusion is one of the tools in the spine surgeon's armamentarium. Depending on the complexity, the procedure is either completed on the same day or staged. Determining whether to perform a circumferential surgery in a staged fashion is based largely on the surgeon's preference and perception of the individual case complexity; at present, there is no high-quality evidence that can be used to support that decision.

OBJECTIVE

This paper presents the protocol for a systematic review that aims to investigate the differences between same-day versus staged circumferential fusion surgery in ASD both in patient selection and in outcomes.

METHODS

Searches will be performed on MEDLINE, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Web of Science, and Scopus. Gray literature and the reference lists of articles included in the full-text screening will also be screened for inclusion. Results will be exported to Covidence. Data will be collected on demographics, type of procedures performed, surgery levels, blood loss, total operation time, length of stay, disposition, readmissions (30 days and 90 days), and perioperative complications. Patient-reported outcomes will also be assessed. Data quality assessment of randomized controlled trials will be performed using the Cochrane Collaboration's tool for assessing risk of bias in randomized trials, and nonrandomized studies will be assessed with the ROBINS-I (Risk of Bias in Non-randomized Studies of Interventions) tool. All screening, quality assessment, and data extraction will be done by 2 independent reviewers. A descriptive synthesis will be performed, and data will be evaluated for further analysis.

RESULTS

This study is currently in the screening phase. There are no results yet. The search strategy has been developed and documented. Information has been exported to Covidence. Upon conclusion of the critical appraisal stage, screening and extraction, as well as a synthesis of the results, will be performed.

CONCLUSIONS

The intended review will summarize the differences in perioperative outcomes and complications between same-day and staged (circumferential) fusion surgery in adult spinal deformity. It will also describe the patients selected for such procedures based on their demographics and pathology. Identified gaps in knowledge will provide insight into current limitations and guide further studies on this topic.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42022339764; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=339764.

INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID)

PRR1-10.2196/42331.

COVID-19 Significantly Impacted Hospital Length of Stay and Discharge Patterns for Adult Spinal Deformity Patients

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective review.

OBJECTIVE

The primary aim was to compare length of stay (LOS) and discharge disposition of adult spinal deformity (ASD) patients undergoing surgery before and during the pandemic. Secondary aims were to compare the rates of 30-day complications, reoperations, readmissions, and unplanned emergency department (ED) visits.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

ASD patients often require extended LOS and non-routine discharge. Given resource limitations during the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and caution regarding hospital stays, surgeons modified standard postoperative protocols to minimize patient exposure.

METHODS

We identified all patients who underwent elective thoracolumbar ASD surgery with more than or equal to five levels fusion at a tertiary care center during two distinct time intervals: July to December 2019 (Pre-COVID, N = 60) and July to December 2020 (During-COVID, N = 57). Outcome measures included LOS and discharge disposition (home vs. non-home), as well as 30-day major complications, reoperations, readmissions, and ED visits. Regression analyses controlled for demographic and surgical factors.

RESULTS

Patients who underwent ASD surgery during the pandemic were younger (61 vs. 67 yrs) and had longer fusion constructs (nine vs. eight levels) compared with before the pandemic (P < 0.05 for both). On bivariate analysis, patients undergoing surgery during the pandemic had shorter LOS (6 vs. 9 days) and were more likely to be discharged home (70% vs. 28%) (P < 0.05 for both). After controlling for age and levels fused on multivariable regression, patients who had surgery during the pandemic had shorter LOS (IRR = 0.83, P = 0.015) and greater odds of home discharge (odds ratios [OR] = 7.2, P < 0.001). Notably, there were no differences in major complications, reoperations, readmissions, or ED visits between the two groups.

CONCLUSION

During the COVID-19 pandemic, LOS for patients undergoing thoracolumbar ASD surgery decreased, and more patients were discharged home without adversely affecting complication or readmission rates. Lessons learned during the pandemic may help improve resource utilization without negatively influencing short-term outcomes.Level of Evidence: 3.

Drivers of Readmission and Reoperation After Surgery for Vertebral Column Metastases

OBJECTIVE

To determine those clinical, demographic, and operative factors that predict 30-day unplanned reoperation and readmission within a population of adults who underwent spinal metastasis surgery at a comprehensive cancer center.

METHODS

Adults who underwent spinal metastasis surgery at a comprehensive cancer center were analyzed. Data included baseline laboratory values, cancer history, demographics, operative characteristics and medical comorbidities. Medical comorbidities were quantified using the modified Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). Values associated with the outcomes of interest were then subjected to multivariable logistic regression to identify independent predictors of readmission and reoperation.

RESULTS

A total of 345 cases were identified. Mean age was 59.4 ± 11.7 years, 56% were male, and the racial makeup was 64% white, 29% black, and 7.3% other. Forty-two patients (12.2%) had unplanned readmissions, most commonly for wound infection with dehiscence (14.2%), venous thromboembolism (14.2%), and bowel obstruction/complication (11.9%). Thirteen patients required reoperation (4%), most commonly for wound infection with dehiscence (39%) or local recurrence (23%). Multivariable analysis showed that the modified CCI (odds ratio [OR], 1.25; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-1.52; P = 0.03) was an independent predictor of 30-day readmission. Independent predictors of 30-day unplanned reoperation were: black (vs. white) race (OR, 0.08; 95% CI, 0.01-0.41; P < 0.01), length of stay (OR, 1.05 per day; 95% CI, 1.00-1.09; P = 0.04), and CCI (OR, 1.72 per point; 95% CI, 1.29-2.28; P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing medical comorbidities is independently predictive of both 30-day unplanned readmission and reoperation after spinal metastasis surgery. Unplanned reoperation is also positively predicted by a longer index admission. Neither tumor pathology nor age predicted outcome, suggesting that poor wound-healing factors and increased surgical morbidity may best predict these adverse outcomes.

Factors Associated With Short Length of Stay After Long Fusions for Adult Spinal Deformity: Initial Steps Toward Developing an Enhanced Recovery Pathway

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES

The identification of case types and institutional factors associated with reduced length of stay (LOS) is a key initial step to inform the creation of clinical care pathways that can assist hospitals to maximize the benefit of value-based payment models. The objective of this study was to identify preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative factors associated with shorter than expected LOS after adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed of 82 patients with ASD who underwent ≥5 levels of fusion to the pelvis between 2013 and 2018. A LOS <6 days was determined as a basis for comparison, as 5.7 days was the "expected LOS" generated through Poisson regression modeling of the sample. Clinical, radiographic, surgical, and postoperative factors were compared between those staying ≥6 days (L group) and <6 days (S group). Logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with LOS <6 days.

RESULTS

A total of 35 patients were in group S (42.7%). Gender, age, body mass index, ASA (American Society of Anesthesiologists) class, and use of preoperative narcotics, revision surgery, day of admission, and surgical complications did not vary between the cohorts (P > .05). Mild-moderate preoperative sagittal deformity (sagittal Schwab modifiers 0 or +), lower estimated blood loss (<1200 mL), fewer levels fused (7 vs 10 levels), shorter operating room time, procedure end time before 15:00, and no intensive care unit stay, were associated with short LOS (P < .05). Only 1 major medical complication occurred in the short LOS group (P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

This study identifies the ASD "case phenotype," intra-, and postoperative benchmarks associated with shorter LOS, providing targets for pathways designed to reduce LOS.

Enhanced recovery pathway in adult patients undergoing thoracolumbar deformity surgery

BACKGROUND CONTEXT

Enhanced recovery (ERAS) pathways can help hospitals maximize the incentives of bundled payment models while maintaining high-quality patient care. A key component of an enhanced recovery pathway is the ability to predictably reduce inpatient length of stay, as this is a critical component of the cost equation.

PURPOSE

To determine the efficacy of an enhanced recovery pathway on reducing length of stay after thoracolumbar adult deformity surgery.

STUDY DESIGN

Single surgeon retrospective review of prospectively-collected data.

PATIENT SAMPLE

Forty adult deformity patients who underwent ≥5 levels of fusion to the pelvis (two to L5) with a single surgeon before and after implementation of an ERAS pathway.

METHODS

The pathway involved participation by anesthesiology, hospital medicine, and physical therapy, and was designed to achieve goals previously associated with decreased LOS (eg, EBL<1200 mL, procedure time <4.5 hours, avoidance of ICU postoperatively, and mobilization POD0-1). Patients were propensity-score matched 1:1 to a historical cohort (enhanced recovery [ER] and historical [H] cohorts), based on demographics, medical comorbidities, radiographic alignment parameters, and surgical factors. Outcomes were compared to determine the effect of the enhanced recovery pathway. Primary outcomes included LOS and 90-day complications and readmissions.

RESULTS

After matching, gender, BMI, ASA class, preoperative opioid dependence, day of surgery, sagittal alignment parameters, rate of revision surgery, three-column osteotomies, and interbody fusions were comparable between the cohorts (p>.05). In the ER cohort, there was reduced EBL (920±640 vs. 1437±555, p=.004) and no ER patient went to the ICU immediately following surgery, compared with 30% of H patients (p=.022). The ER cohort also had a greater number of patients ambulating by POD1 compared to the H cohort (100% vs. 55%, p=.010). ER patients had a shorter LOS (4.5±1.3 vs. 7.3±4.4 days, p=.010). A 90-day readmission and complications were comparable between the cohorts (p>.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The creation of an ERAS pathway for patients undergoing thoracolumbar adult deformity surgery reduced length of stay without negatively affecting short-term morbidity and complications. Given the specificity of this pathway to a single surgeon and hospital, the resources and staffing changes that were instrumental in creating the pathway may not be generalizable to other centers.

Spine Instrumented Surgery on a Budget-Tools for Lowering Cost Without Changing Outcome

STUDY DESIGN

Review article.

OBJECTIVES

There have been substantial increases in the utilization of complex spinal surgery in the last 20 years. Spinal instrumented surgery is associated with high costs as well as significant variation in approach and care. The objective of this manuscript is to identify and review drivers of instrumented spine surgery cost and explain how surgeons can reduce costs without compromising outcome.

METHODS

A literature search was conducted using PubMed. The literature review returned 217 citations. 27 publications were found to meet the inclusion criteria. The relevant literature on drivers of spine instrumented surgery cost is reviewed.

RESULTS

The drivers of cost in instrumented spine surgery are varied and include implant costs, complications, readmissions, facility-based costs, surgeon-driven preferences, and patient comorbidities. Each major cost driver represents an opportunity for potential reductions in cost. With high resource utilization and often uncertain outcomes, spinal surgery has been heavily scrutinized by payers and hospital systems, with efforts to reduce costs and standardize surgical approach and care pathways.

CONCLUSIONS

Education about cost and commitment to standardization would be useful strategies to reduce cost without compromising patient-reported outcomes after instrumented spinal fusion.

Cost-Effectiveness of Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery

STUDY DESIGN

Review article.

OBJECTIVE

A review of the literature evaluating the cost-effectiveness of undergoing adult spinal deformity surgery and potential avenues for reducing costs.

METHODS

A review of the current literature and synthesis of data to provide an update on the cost effectiveness of undergoing adult spinal deformity surgery.

RESULTS

Compared with nonoperative management, operative management for adult spinal deformity is associated with improved patient-reported outcomes and quality of life; however, it is associated with significant financial and resource use.

CONCLUSION

Operative management for adult spinal deformity has been shown to be effective but is associated with significant cost and resource utilization. The optimal operative treatment is highly dependent on the patients' symptomatology and is surgeon dependent. Maximizing preoperative surgical health and minimizing postoperative complications are key measures in reducing the cost and resource utilization of adult spinal deformity surgery. Future studies are needed to evaluate how to optimize the cost-effectiveness.

Postoperative Complication Burden, Revision Risk, and Health Care Use in Obese Patients Undergoing Primary Adult Thoracolumbar Deformity Surgery

STUDY DESIGN

This is a retrospective cohort study using a nationally representative administrative database.

OBJECTIVE

To identify the impact of obesity on postoperative outcomes in patients undergoing thoracolumbar adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery.

BACKGROUND

The obesity rate in the United States remains staggering, with approximately one-third of all Americans being overweight or obese. However, the impact of elevated body mass index on spine surgery outcomes remains unclear.

METHODS

We queried the MarketScan database to identify patients who were diagnosed with a spinal deformity and underwent ASD surgery from 2007 to 2016. Patients were then stratified by whether or not they were diagnosed as obese at index surgical admission. Propensity score matching (PSM) was then utilized to mitigate intergroup differences between obese and nonobese patients. Patients <18 years and those with any prior history of trauma or tumor were excluded from this study. Baseline demographics and comorbidities, postoperative complication rates, and short- and long-term reoperation rates were determined.

RESULTS

A total of 7423 patients met the inclusion criteria of this study, of whom 597 (8.0%) were obese. Initially, patients with obesity had a higher 90-day postoperative complication rate than nonobese patients (46.1% vs 40.8%, P < .05); however, this difference did not remain after PSM. Revision surgery rates after 2 years were similar across the 2 groups following primary surgery (obese, 21.4%, vs nonobese, 22.0%; P = .7588). Health care use occurred at a higher rate among obese patients through 2 years of long-term follow-up (obese, $152 930, vs nonobese, $140 550; P < .05).

CONCLUSION

Patients diagnosed with obesity who underwent ASD surgery did not demonstrate increased rates of complications, reoperations, or readmissions. However, overall health care use through 2 years of follow-up after index surgery was higher in the obesity cohort.

Bundled Payment Models in Spine Surgery

STUDY DESIGN

The following is a narrative discussion of bundled payments in spine surgery.

OBJECTIVE

The cost of healthcare in the United States has continued to increase. To lower the cost of healthcare, reimbursement models are being investigated as potential cost saving interventions by driving incentives and quality improvement in fields such a spine surgery.

METHODS

Narrative overview of literature pertaining to bundled payments in spine surgery synthesizing findings from computerized databases and authoritative texts.

RESULTS

Spine surgery is challenging to define payment modes because of high cost variability and surgical decision-making nuances. While implementing bundled care payments in spine surgery, it is important to understand concepts such as value-based purchasing, episodes of care, prospective versus retrospective payment models, one versus two-sided risk, risk adjustment, and outlier protection. Strategies for implementation underscore the importance of risk stratification and modeling, adoption of evidence based clinical pathways, and data collection and dissemination. While bundled care models have been successfully implemented, challenges facing institutions adopting bundled care payment models include financial stressors during adoption of the model, distribution of risks, incentivization of treating only low risk patients, and nuanced variation in procedures leading to variation in costs.

CONCLUSION

An alternative for fee for service payments, bundled care payments may lead to higher cost savings and surgeon accountability in a patient's care.

Surgery for spinal deformity: non-elective admission status is associated with higher cost of care and longer length of stay

INTRODUCTION

Surgery is commonly indicated for adult spinal deformity. Annual rates and costs of spinal deformity surgery have both increased over the past two decades. However, the impact of non-elective status on total cost of hospitalization and patient outcomes has not been quantified.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the impact of admission status on patient outcomes and healthcare costs in spinal deformity surgery.

METHODS

All patients who underwent spinal deformity surgery at a single institution between 2008 and 2016 were grouped by admission status: elective, emergency (ED), or transferred. Demographics were compared by univariate analysis. Cost of care and length of stay (LOS) were compared between admission statuses using multivariable linear regression with elective admissions as reference. Multivariate logistic regression was utilized to assess in-hospital complications, discharge destination, and readmission rates.

RESULTS

There were 427 spinal deformity surgeries included in this study. Compared to elective patients, ED patients had higher Elixhauser Comorbidity Index scores (p < 0.0001), longer LOS (+ 10.9 days, 97.5% CI 6.1-15.6 days, p < 0.0001), and higher costs (+ $20,076, 97.5% CI $9,073-$31,080, p = 0.0008). Transferred patients had significantly higher Elixhauser scores (p = 0.0002), longer LOS (+ 8.8 days, 97.5% CI 3.0-14.7 days, p < 0.0001), and higher rates of non-home discharge (OR = 15.8, 97.5% CI 2.3-110.0, p = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Patients admitted from the ED undergoing spinal deformity surgery had significantly higher cost of care and longer LOS compared to elective patients. Transferred patients had significantly longer LOS and a higher rate of non-home discharge compared to elective patients.

Drivers for nonhome discharge in a consecutive series of 1502 patients undergoing 1- or 2-level lumbar fusion

OBJECTIVE

Unexpected nonhome discharge causes additional costs in the current reimbursement models, especially to the payor. Nonhome discharge is also related to longer length of hospital stay and therefore higher healthcare costs to society. With increasing demand for spine surgery, it is important to minimize costs by streamlining discharges and reducing length of hospital stay. Identifying factors associated with nonhome discharge can be useful for early intervention for discharge planning. The authors aimed to identify the drivers of nonhome discharge in patients undergoing 1- or 2-level instrumented lumbar fusion.

METHODS

The electronic medical records from a single-center hospital administrative database were analyzed for consecutive patients who underwent 1- to 2-level instrumented lumbar fusion for degenerative lumbar conditions during the period from 2016 to 2018. Discharge disposition was determined as home or nonhome. A logistic regression analysis was used to determine associations between nonhome discharge and age, sex, body mass index (BMI), race, American Society of Anesthesiologists grade, smoking status, marital status, insurance type, residence in an underserved zip code, and operative factors.

RESULTS

A total of 1502 patients were included. The majority (81%) were discharged home. Factors associated with a nonhome discharge were older age, higher BMI, living in an underserved zip code, not being married, being on government insurance, and having more levels fused. Patients discharged to a nonhome facility had longer lengths of hospital stay (5.6 vs 3.0 days, p < 0.001) and significantly increased hospital costs ($21,204 vs $17,518, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Increased age, greater BMI, residence in an underserved zip code, not being married, and government insurance are drivers for discharge to a nonhome facility after a 1- to 2-level instrumented lumbar fusion. Early identification and intervention for these patients, even before admission, may decrease the length of hospital stay and medical costs.

Acute Colonic Pseudo-Obstruction After Posterior Spinal Fusion: A Case Report and Literature Review

BACKGROUND

Acute colonic pseudo-obstruction (ACPO) or Ogilvie's syndrome occurs in 0.22%-7% of patients undergoing surgery, with a mortality of up to 46%. ACPO increased median hospital days versus control in spinal surgery (14 vs. 6 days; P < 0.001). If defined as postoperative ileus, the incidence was 7%-13.4%. Postoperative ileus is associated with 2.9 additional hospital days and an $80,000 increase in cost per patient. We present a case of ACPO in an adult patient undergoing spinal fusion for correction of scoliosis and review the available literature to outline clinical characteristics and surgical outcomes.

CASE DESCRIPTION

The patient was a 31-year-old woman with untreated advanced scoliosis with no history of neurologic issues. T2-L3 spinal instrumentation and fusion was completed. Plain abdominal radiography showed of dilated cecum 11 cm and the department of general surgery was consulted. Neostigmine administration was planned after conservative treatment failure after transfer to the intensive care unit. The patient was discharged home with no recurrence >60 days. Thirty cases were found in our literature review using PubMed and Embase databases and summarized.

CONCLUSIONS

Of 30 cases reviewed, only 3 cases of ACPO were specific to patients undergoing spinal fusion for scoliosis. According to the literature, 20% of patients had resolution with conservative treatment, 40% with neostigmine, and 30% with surgical intervention. Other noninvasive treatments may have similar efficacy in preventing complications leading to surgical invention. Sixty clinical trials and 9 systematic reviews were summarized with an updated management algorithm.

Preoperative and Postoperative Spending Among Working-Age Adults Undergoing Posterior Spinal Fusion Surgery for Degenerative Disease

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the health care resource utilization and the associated 6 months preoperative and 6 months postoperative spending among patients undergoing posterior lumbar fusion.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed a private insurance claims database for patients who underwent single-level posterior spinal fusion from January 2011 to December 2015. Outpatient health services, prescription pain medications, and inpatient admissions were assessed.

RESULTS

Among 25,401 patients (mean age, 52 years; 58% female) in the final cohort, median spending during the period from 6 months before surgery to 6 months after surgery was $60,714 (interquartile range [IQR], $46,961-$79,892)/patient. Preoperative spending accounted for 7% ($121 million) of the total costs, and postoperative spending accounted for 8% ($135 million). Median preoperative spending was $3566 (IQR, $2144-$5857) per patient, with imaging accounting for the highest proportion (33%) of preoperative spending. In the 6 months period preceding surgery, 46% patients received injections and 47% received physical therapy. The median postoperative spending was $1954/patient (IQR, $735-$4416). Total postoperative spending was significantly higher among those not discharged home (median, $7525; IQR, $6779-$19,602) compared with those discharged home (median, $1617/patient; IQR, $648-$4033) and home with home care services (median, $2921; IQR, $1406-$5662) (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Unplanned readmission after posterior spinal fusion was the highest contributor to postoperative spending and the second highest contributor to overall costs. Understanding factors that contribute to the costs in the preoperative and postoperative period in patients undergoing single-level posterior lumbar fusion for degenerative pathology is essential to identify targets for cost containment.

Utilization of Predictive Modeling to Determine Episode of Care Costs and to Accurately Identify Catastrophic Cost Nonwarranty Outlier Patients in Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery: A Step Toward Bundled Payments and Risk Sharing

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective review of prospectively-collected, multicenter adult spinal deformity (ASD) database.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the rate of patients who accrue catastrophic cost (CC) with ASD surgery utilizing direct, actual costs, and determine the feasibility of predicting these outliers.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

Cost outliers or surgeries resulting in CC are a major concern for ASD surgery as some question the sustainability of these surgical treatments.

METHODS

Generalized linear regression models were used to explain the determinants of direct costs. Regression tree and random forest models were used to predict which patients would have CC (>$100,000).

RESULTS

A total of 210 ASD patients were included (mean age of 59.3 years, 83% women). The mean index episode of care direct cost was $70,766 (SD = $24,422). By 90 days and 2 years following surgery, mean direct costs increased to $74,073 and $77,765, respectively. Within 90 days of the index surgery, 11 (5.2%) patients underwent 13 revisions procedures, and by 2 years, 26 (12.4%) patients had undergone 36 revision procedures. The CC threshold at the index surgery and 90-day and 2-year follow-up time points was exceeded by 11.9%, 14.8%, and 19.1% of patients, respectively. Top predictors of cost included number of levels fused, surgeon, surgical approach, interbody fusion (IBF), and length of hospital stay (LOS). At 90 days and 2 years, a total of 80.6% and 64.0% of variance in direct cost, respectively, was explained in the generalized linear regression models. Predictors of CC were number of fused levels, surgical approach, surgeon, IBF, and LOS.

CONCLUSION

The present study demonstrates that direct cost in ASD surgery can be accurately predicted. Collectively, these findings may not only prove useful for bundled care initiatives, but also may provide insight into means to reduce and better predict cost of ASD surgery outside of bundled payment plans.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3.

Epidemiology and Socioeconomic Trends in Adult Spinal Deformity Care

Adult spinal deformity (ASD) has gained significant attention over the past decade with improvements in diagnostic tools, classification schemes, and surgical technique. The demographics of the aging population in the United States are undergoing a fundamental shift as medical care advances and life expectancy increases. The “baby boomers” represent the fastest growing demographic in the United States and by 2050, the number of individuals 65 yr and older is projected to reach 89 million, more than double its current size. Based on current prevalence estimates there are approximately 27.5 million elderly individuals with some form of spinal deformity, which will place a significant burden on our health care systems. Rates of surgery for ASD and case complexity are both increasing, with concomitant increase in the cost of deformity care. At the same time, patients are more medically complex with increasing number of comorbidities that result in increased surgical risk and complication profiles. This review aims to highlight recent trends in the epidemiology and socioeconomic patterns in surgery for ASD.