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Karlsen TH, Sheron N, Zelber-Sagi S, Carrieri P, Dusheiko G, Bugianesi E, Pryke R, Hutchinson SJ, Sangro B, Martin NK, Cecchini M, Dirac MA, Belloni A, Serra-Burriel M, Ponsioen CY, Sheena B, Lerouge A, Devaux M, Scott N, Hellard M, Verkade HJ, Sturm E, Marchesini G, Yki-Järvinen H, Byrne CD, Targher G, Tur-Sinai A, Barrett D, Ninburg M, Reic T, Taylor A, Rhodes T, Treloar C, Petersen C, Schramm C, Flisiak R, Simonova MY, Pares A, Johnson P, Cucchetti A, Graupera I, Lionis C, Pose E, Fabrellas N, Ma AT, Mendive JM, Mazzaferro V, Rutter H, Cortez-Pinto H, Kelly D, Burton R, Lazarus JV, Ginès P, Buti M, Newsome PN, Burra P, Manns MP. The EASL-Lancet Liver Commission: protecting the next generation of Europeans against liver disease complications and premature mortality. Lancet 2022; 399:61-116. [PMID: 34863359 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(21)01701-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 270] [Impact Index Per Article: 135.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/18/2021] [Revised: 07/10/2021] [Accepted: 07/15/2021] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Tom H Karlsen
- Department of Transplantation Medicine and Research Institute for Internal Medicine, Division of Surgery, Inflammatory Diseases and Transplantation, Oslo University Hospital Rikshospitalet and University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
| | - Nick Sheron
- Institute of Hepatology, Foundation for Liver Research, Kings College London, London, UK
| | - Shira Zelber-Sagi
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Social Welfare and Health Sciences, University of Haifa, Haifa, Israel; Department of Gastroenterology, Tel Aviv Medical Center, Tel Aviv, Israel
| | - Patrizia Carrieri
- Aix-Marseille University, Inserm, Institut de recherche pour le développement, Sciences Economiques et Sociales de la Santé et Traitement de l'Information Médicale (SESSTIM), ISSPAM, Marseille, France
| | - Geoffrey Dusheiko
- School of Medicine, University College London, London, UK; Kings College Hospital, London, UK
| | - Elisabetta Bugianesi
- Department of Medical Sciences, Division of Gastroenterology, University of Torino, Torino, Italy
| | | | - Sharon J Hutchinson
- School of Health and Life Sciences, Glasgow Caledonian University, Glasgow, UK; Clinical and Protecting Health Directorate, Public Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK
| | - Bruno Sangro
- Liver Unit, Clinica Universidad de Navarra-IDISNA and Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Hepáticas y Digestivas (CIBEREHD), Pamplona, Spain
| | - Natasha K Martin
- Division of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA; Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Michele Cecchini
- Health Division, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris, France
| | - Mae Ashworth Dirac
- Department of Health Metrics Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA; Department of Family Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Annalisa Belloni
- Health Economics and Modelling Division, Public Health England, London, UK
| | - Miquel Serra-Burriel
- Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Cyriel Y Ponsioen
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Brittney Sheena
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Alienor Lerouge
- Health Division, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris, France
| | - Marion Devaux
- Health Division, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris, France
| | - Nick Scott
- Disease Elimination Program, Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Margaret Hellard
- Disease Elimination Program, Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Department of Infectious Diseases, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Doherty Institute and School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Henkjan J Verkade
- Paediatric Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Paediatrics, University Medical Centre Groningen, University of Groningen, Netherlands; European Reference Network on Hepatological Diseases (ERN RARE-LIVER), Hamburg, Germany
| | - Ekkehard Sturm
- Division of Paediatric Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Children's Hospital Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany; European Reference Network on Hepatological Diseases (ERN RARE-LIVER), Hamburg, Germany
| | | | | | - Chris D Byrne
- Department of Nutrition and Metabolism, Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK; Southampton National Institute for Health Research, Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospital Southampton and Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK
| | - Giovanni Targher
- Department of Medicine, Section of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Metabolism, University of Verona, Verona, Italy
| | - Aviad Tur-Sinai
- Department of Health Systems Management, The Max Stern Yezreel Valley College, Yezreel Valley, Israel
| | - Damon Barrett
- School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | | | - Tatjana Reic
- European Liver Patients Organization, Brussels, Belgium; Croatian Society for Liver Diseases-Hepatos, Split, Croatia
| | | | - Tim Rhodes
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Carla Treloar
- Centre for Social Research in Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Claus Petersen
- Department of Pediatric Surgery, Hannover Medical School, Hannover, Germany
| | - Christoph Schramm
- Martin Zeitz Center for Rare Diseases, Hamburg Center for Translational Immunology (HCTI), and First Department of Medicine, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany; European Reference Network on Hepatological Diseases (ERN RARE-LIVER), Hamburg, Germany
| | - Robert Flisiak
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Hepatology, Medical University of Białystok, Poland
| | - Marieta Y Simonova
- Department of Gastroenterology, HPB Surgery and Transplantation, Clinic of Gastroentrology, Military Medical Academy, Sofia, Bulgaria
| | - Albert Pares
- Liver Unit, Hospital Clinic of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; Institut d'Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain; CIBEREHD, Madrid, Spain
| | - Philip Johnson
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, Institute of Systems, Molecular and Integrative Biology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Alessandro Cucchetti
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences-DIMEC, Alma Mater Studiorum, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Isabel Graupera
- Liver Unit, Hospital Clinic of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; Institut d'Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain; CIBEREHD, Madrid, Spain; Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Barcelona, Spain
| | - Christos Lionis
- Clinic of Social and Family Medicine, Medical School, University of Crete, Heraklion, Greece
| | - Elisa Pose
- Liver Unit, Hospital Clinic of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; Institut d'Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain; Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Barcelona, Spain
| | - Núria Fabrellas
- Institut d'Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain; CIBEREHD, Madrid, Spain; Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Barcelona, Spain
| | - Ann T Ma
- Liver Unit, Hospital Clinic of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; Institut d'Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain
| | - Juan M Mendive
- Prevention and Health Promotion Research Network (redIAPP), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain; La Mina Health Centre, Catalan Institute of Health (ICS), Barcelona, Spain
| | - Vincenzo Mazzaferro
- HPB Surgery and Liver Transplantation, Istituto Nazionale Tumori IRCCS Foundation (INT), Milan, Italy; Department of Oncology and Hemato-Oncology, University of Milan, Milan, Italy
| | - Harry Rutter
- Department of Social and Policy Sciences, University of Bath, Bath, UK
| | - Helena Cortez-Pinto
- Clínica Universitária de Gastrenterologia and Laboratório de Nutrição, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
| | - Deirdre Kelly
- Liver Unit, Birmingham Women's and Children's Hospital and University of Birmingham, UK
| | - Robyn Burton
- Alcohol, Drugs, Tobacco and Justice Division, Public Health England, London, UK
| | - Jeffrey V Lazarus
- Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), Hospital Clínic, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Pere Ginès
- Liver Unit, Hospital Clinic of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; Institut d'Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain; CIBEREHD, Madrid, Spain; Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Barcelona, Spain
| | - Maria Buti
- CIBEREHD del Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain; Liver Unit, Hospital Universitario Valle Hebron, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Philip N Newsome
- National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Patrizia Burra
- Multivisceral Transplant Unit, Gastroenterology, Department of Surgery, Oncology and Gastroenterology, Padua University Hospital, Padua, Italy
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Usher MG, Tourani R, Simon G, Tignanelli C, Jarabek B, Strauss CE, Waring SC, Klyn NAM, Kealey BT, Tambyraja R, Pandita D, Baum KD. Overcoming gaps: regional collaborative to optimize capacity management and predict length of stay of patients admitted with COVID-19. JAMIA Open 2021; 4:ooab055. [PMID: 34350391 PMCID: PMC8327377 DOI: 10.1093/jamiaopen/ooab055] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/16/2021] [Revised: 05/12/2021] [Accepted: 07/06/2021] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective Ensuring an efficient response to COVID-19 requires a degree of inter-system coordination and capacity management coupled with an accurate assessment of hospital utilization including length of stay (LOS). We aimed to establish optimal practices in inter-system data sharing and LOS modeling to support patient care and regional hospital operations. Materials and Methods We completed a retrospective observational study of patients admitted with COVID-19 followed by 12-week prospective validation, involving 36 hospitals covering the upper Midwest. We developed a method for sharing de-identified patient data across systems for analysis. From this, we compared 3 approaches, generalized linear model (GLM) and random forest (RF), and aggregated system level averages to identify features associated with LOS. We compared model performance by area under the ROC curve (AUROC). Results A total of 2068 patients were included and used for model derivation and 597 patients for validation. LOS overall had a median of 5.0 days and mean of 8.2 days. Consistent predictors of LOS included age, critical illness, oxygen requirement, weight loss, and nursing home admission. In the validation cohort, the RF model (AUROC 0.890) and GLM model (AUROC 0.864) achieved good to excellent prediction of LOS, but only marginally better than system averages in practice. Conclusion Regional sharing of patient data allowed for effective prediction of LOS across systems; however, this only provided marginal improvement over hospital averages at the aggregate level. A federated approach of sharing aggregated system capacity and average LOS will likely allow for effective capacity management at the regional level.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michael G Usher
- Division of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Minnesota Medical School, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
| | - Roshan Tourani
- Department of Medicine, Institute for Health Informatics, University of Minnesota Medical School, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
| | - Gyorgy Simon
- Department of Medicine, Institute for Health Informatics, University of Minnesota Medical School, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
| | - Christopher Tignanelli
- Department of Medicine, Institute for Health Informatics, University of Minnesota Medical School, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA.,Division of Acute Care Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Minnesota Medical School, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
| | - Bryan Jarabek
- Department of Informatics, M Health Fairview, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
| | - Craig E Strauss
- Minneapolis Heart Institute Center for Healthcare Delivery Innovation, Minneapolis Heart Institute, Allina Health, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
| | - Stephen C Waring
- Essentia Institute of Rural Health, Essential Health, Duluth, Minnesota, USA
| | - Niall A M Klyn
- Information Services, Essentia Health, Duluth, Minnesota, USA
| | - Burke T Kealey
- Internal Medicine, HealthPartners, St. Paul, Minnesota, USA
| | - Rabindra Tambyraja
- Children's Hospitals and Clinics of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
| | - Deepti Pandita
- Department of Medicine, Hennepin Healthcare, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
| | - Karyn D Baum
- Division of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Minnesota Medical School, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
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11
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Patel NG, Reissis D, Mair M, Hart A, Ragbir M, Giele H, Mosahebi A, Ramakrishnan V. Safety of major reconstructive surgery during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United Kingdom and Ireland - multicentre national cohort study. J Plast Reconstr Aesthet Surg 2020; 74:1161-1172. [PMID: 33402316 PMCID: PMC7733685 DOI: 10.1016/j.bjps.2020.12.032] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/02/2020] [Revised: 11/15/2020] [Accepted: 12/02/2020] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
Background The safety of surgery during and after the coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is paramount. Early reports of excessive perioperative mortality in COVID-positive patients promoted the widespread avoidance of operations. However, cancelling or delaying operations for cancer, trauma, or functional restitution has resulted in increased morbidity and mortality. Methods A national multicentre cohort study of all major reconstructive operations carried out over a 12-week period of the ‘COVID-19 surge’ in the United Kingdom and Ireland was performed. Primary outcome was 30-day mortality and secondary outcome measures were major complications (Clavien-Dindo grade ≥3) and COVID-19 status of patients and healthcare professionals before and after surgery. Results A total of 418 patients underwent major reconstructive surgery with a mean operating time of 7.5 hours and 12 days’ inpatient stay. Cancer (59.8%) and trauma (29.4%) were the most common indications. COVID-19 infection was present in 4.5% of patients. The 30-day post-operative mortality was 0.2%, reflecting the death of one patient who was COVID-negative. Overall complication rate was 20.8%. COVID status did not correlate with major or minor complications. Eight healthcare professionals developed post-operative COVID-19 infection, seven of which occurred within the first three weeks. Conclusions Major reconstructive operations performed during the COVID-19 crisis have been mostly urgent cases involving all surgical specialties. This cohort is a surrogate for all major operations across all surgical specialties. Patient safety and surgical outcomes have been the same as in the pre-COVID era. With adequate precautions, major reconstructive surgery is safe for patients and staff. This study helps counsel patients of COVID-19 risks in the perioperative period.
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Affiliation(s)
- N G Patel
- Consultant Plastic and Reconstructive Surgeon, University Hospitals of Leicester, UK; University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada; Department of Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery, University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester Royal Infirmary Hospital, Infirmary Square, Leicester, LE1 5WW UK.
| | - D Reissis
- Department of Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery, Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust, Royal Free Hospital, Pond Street, Hampstead, London, NW3 2QG UK.
| | - M Mair
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology, University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester Royal Infirmary Hospital, Infirmary Square, Leicester, LE1 5WW UK
| | - A Hart
- Canniesburn Plastic Surgery Unit, NHS Greater Glasgow & Clyde, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, 84 Castle Street, Glasgow, G4 0SF UK.
| | - M Ragbir
- Department of Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery, Newcastle Upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Trust, Royal Victoria Infirmary, Queen Victoria Road, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE1 4LP UK.
| | - H Giele
- Department of Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Headley Way, Headington, Oxford, OX3 9DU UK.
| | - A Mosahebi
- Department of Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery, Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust, Royal Free Hospital, Pond Street, Hampstead, London, NW3 2QG UK.
| | - V Ramakrishnan
- Anglia Ruskin University, Chelmsford UK; St Andrew's Centre for Plastic Surgery and Burns, Mid Essex Hospital Services NHS Trust, Broomfield Hospital, Court Road, Chelmsford, Essex, CM1 7ET UK.
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