Exploring the cost effectiveness of an immunization programme for rotavirus gastroenteritis in the United Kingdom

Methods of assessing value for money of UK-based early childhood public health interventions: a systematic literature review

INTRODUCTION

Economic evaluation has an important role to play in the demonstration of value for money of early childhood public health interventions; however, concerns have been raised regarding their consistent application and relevance to commissioners. This systematic review of the literature therefore aims to collate the breadth of the existing economic evaluation evidence of these interventions and to identify the approaches adopted in the assessment of value.

SOURCE OF DATA

Recently published literature in Medline, EMBASE, EconLit, Health Management Information Consortium, Cochrane CENTRAL, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Health Technology Assessment, NHS EED and Web of Science.

AREAS OF AGREEMENT

The importance of the early childhood period on future health and well-being as well as the potential to impact health inequalities making for a strong narrative case for expenditure in early childhood public health.

AREAS OF CONTROVERSY

The most appropriate approaches to evaluating value for money of such preventative interventions relevant for UK decision-makers given the evident challenges.

GROWING POINTS

The presented review considered inconsistencies across methodological approaches used to demonstrate value for money. The results showed a mixed picture in terms of demonstrating value for money.

AREAS TIMELY FOR DEVELOPING RESEARCH

Future resource allocations decisions regarding early childhood public health interventions may benefit from consistency in the evaluative frameworks and health outcomes captured, as well as consistency in approaches to incorporating non-health costs and outcomes, incorporating equity concerns and the use of appropriate time horizons.

Cost-impact study of rotavirus vaccination programme in Scotland

Aim: In July 2013, the Scottish Government introduced a rotavirus vaccination programme into the childhood immunisation schedule. The aim of this research was to estimate the cost-impact of this programme. Methods: Data for rotavirus-related resource use were identified including laboratory reports, hospitalisations, attendances at accident and emergency departments (A&E), general practice consultations (GP), calls to the National Health Service telephone helpline (NHS24) and prescriptions for common rehydration treatments. We used an interrupted time series analysis approach to assess the impact on resource utilisation in all categories. Appropriate costs were added to the models and predicted pre-and post-vaccination mean annual costs were estimated. The cost of the vaccination programme was estimated using costs from the literature. Results: The vaccination programme was associated with a reduction in utilisation in all measured healthcare resource categories. These reductions were all statistically significant (at the 95% level) with p-values less than 0.001. Reductions ranged from 18% in calls to NHS24 to 73% in positive laboratory reports. The vaccination programme was associated with a reduction in annual healthcare resource costs of 38% (£595,000 per 100,000 infants < 5 years old) in our measured categories (including £495,000 from a reduction in hospital stays). The annual overall cost-impact of the rotavirus vaccination programme (the cost of delivering the programme minus the reduction in resource costs) was estimated at approximately £435,000 per 100,000 infants < 5 years old. Conclusion: The rotavirus vaccination programme was associated with a reduction in all measured categories of rotavirus-related resource use by infants < 5 years old.

Impact on affected families and society of severe rotavirus infections in Swedish children assessed in a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Few prospective cohort studies have estimated the overall impact of severe rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) leading to hospitalization on families and society. We assessed human and economic resources needed to care for an affected average child aged <5 years in Sweden.

METHODS

The study was conducted in Astrid Lindgren Children's Hospital which serves approximately 14% of all Swedish children <5 years of age. All children admitted with acute gastroenteritis in the study period were tested for rotavirus. Health care consumption was collected prospectively and publically available unit costs used to calculate direct costs. Non-medical and indirect costs were collected in interviews with families using a standardized questionnaire during the hospital stay and approximately 14 days post-discharge.

RESULTS

144/206 children (70%) with laboratory-confirmed RVGE were included. The median age was 14 months. The average total cost per hospitalized child was €3894, of which €2169 (56%) was due to direct healthcare-related costs (including Emergency Department visits and in-patient care), €104 (2%) to non-medical direct costs and €1621 (42%) to indirect costs due to productivity loss. Carers of children with severe RVGE were absent from work on average five days per study child: four days during hospitalization of affected child and one day due to gastroenteritis in the carer.

CONCLUSIONS

Costs for RVGE are dominated by direct costs which are similar to some other countries in Europe, but indirect costs due to productivity loss are also important, and should be considered in decisions to introduce rotavirus vaccines into national vaccination programmes.

Assessing the impacts of the first year of rotavirus vaccination in the United Kingdom

The United Kingdom (UK) added rotavirus (RV) vaccine (Rotarix GlaxoSmithKline) to the national vaccine schedule in July 2013. During the 2012–2014 rotavirus seasons, children presenting to the Bristol Royal Hospital for Children Emergency Department with gastroenteritis symptoms had stool virology analysis (real-time PCR) and clinical outcome recorded. Nosocomial cases were identified as patients with non-gastroenteritis diagnosis testing positive for rotavirus > 48h after admission. In comparison to average pre-vaccine seasons, in the first year after vaccine introduction there were 48% fewer attendances diagnosed with gastroenteritis, 53% reduction in gastroenteritis admissions and a total saving of 330 bed-days occupancy. There was an overall reduction in number of rotavirus-positive stool samples with 94% reduction in children aged under one year and a 65% reduction in those too old to have been vaccinated. In the first year after the introduction of universal vaccination against rotavirus we observed a profound reduction in gastroenteritis presentations and admissions with a substantial possible herd effect seen in older children. Extrapolating these findings to the UK population we estimate secondary healthcare savings in the first year of ca £7.5 (€10.5) million. Ongoing surveillance will be required to determine the long-term impact of the RV immunisation programme.

Rotavirus vaccination in Europe: drivers and barriers

Rotavirus gastroenteritis is a vaccine-preventable disease that confers a high medical and economic burden in more developed countries and can be fatal in less developed countries. Two vaccines with high efficacy and good safety profiles were approved and made available in Europe in 2006. We present an overview of the status of rotavirus vaccination in Europe. We discuss the drivers (including high effectiveness and effect of universal rotavirus vaccination) and barriers (including low awareness of disease burden, perception of unfavourable cost-effectiveness, and potential safety concerns) to the implementation of universal rotavirus vaccination in Europe. By February, 2014, national universal rotavirus vaccination had been implemented in Belgium, Luxembourg, Austria, Finland, Greece, Luxembourg, Norway, and the UK. Four other German states have issued recommendations and reimbursement is provided by sickness funds. Other countries were at various stages of recommending or implementing universal rotavirus vaccination.

Systematic review of the economic value of diarrheal vaccines

Diarrheal disease is a leading cause of child mortality in low-income settings and morbidity across a range of settings. A growing number of studies have addressed the economic value of new and emerging vaccines to reduce this threat. We conducted a systematic review to assess the economic value of diarrheal vaccines targeting a range of pathogens in different settings. The majority of studies focused on the economic value of rotavirus vaccines in different settings, with most of these concluding that vaccination would provide significant economic benefits across a range of vaccine prices. There is also evidence of the economic benefits of cholera vaccines in specific contexts. For other potential diarrheal vaccines data are limited and often hypothetical. Across all target pathogens and contexts, the evidence of economic value focuses the short-term health and economic gains. Additional information is needed on the broader social and long-term economic value of diarrhea vaccines.

Systematic review of incremental non-vaccine cost estimates used in cost-effectiveness analysis on the introduction of rotavirus and pneumococcal vaccines

OBJECTIVE

To review the approaches used in the cost-effectiveness analysis (CEAs) literature to estimate the cost of expanded program on immunization (EPI) activities, other than vaccine purchase, for rotavirus and pneumococcal vaccines.

METHODS

A systematic review in PubMed and NHS EED databases of rotavirus and pneumococcal vaccines CEAs was done. Selected articles were read and information on how EPI costs were calculated was extracted. EPI costing approaches were classified according to the method or assumption used for estimation.

RESULTS

Seventy-nine studies that evaluated cost effectiveness of rotavirus (n=43) or pneumococcal (n=36) vaccines were identified. In general, there are few details on how EPI costs other than vaccine procurement were estimated. While 30 studies used some measurement of that cost, only one study on pneumococcal vaccine used a primary cost evaluation (bottom-up costing analysis) and one study used a costing tool. Twenty-seven studies (17 on rotavirus and 10 on pneumococcal vaccine) assumed the non-vaccine costs. Five studies made no reference to additional costs. Fourteen studies (9 rotavirus and 5 pneumococcal) did not consider any additional EPI cost beyond vaccine procurement. For rotavirus studies, the median for non-vaccine cost per dose was US$0.74 in developing countries and US$6.39 in developed countries. For pneumococcal vaccines, the median for non-vaccine cost per dose was US$1.27 in developing countries and US$8.71 in developed countries.

CONCLUSIONS

Many pneumococcal (52.8%) and rotavirus (60.4%) cost-effectiveness analyses did not consider additional EPI costs or used poorly supported assumptions. Ignoring EPI costs in addition to those for vaccine procurement in CEA analysis of new vaccines may lead to significant errors in the estimations of ICERs since several factors like personnel, cold chain, or social mobilization can be substantially affected by the introduction of new vaccines.

Cost-effectiveness of total disc replacement versus multidisciplinary rehabilitation in patients with chronic low back pain: a Norwegian multicenter RCT

STUDY DESIGN

Randomized clinical trial with 2-year follow-up.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of total disc replacement (TDR) versus multidisciplinary rehabilitation (MDR) in patients with chronic low back pain (CLBP).

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

The existing studies on CLBP report cost-effectiveness of fusion surgery versus disc replacement and fusion versus rehabilitation. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of TDR versus MDR.

METHODS

Between April 2004 and May 2007, 173 patients with CLBP (>1 yr) were randomized to TDR (n = 86) or MDR (n = 87). Treatment effects (Euro Qol 5D [EQ-5D] and Short Form 6D [SF-6D]) and relevant direct and indirect costs at 6 weeks and at 3, 6, 12, and 24 months after treatment were assessed. Gain in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) after 2 years was estimated. Cost-effectiveness was expressed as an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio.

RESULTS

The mean QALYs gained (standard deviation) using EQ-5D was 1.29 (0.53) in the TDR group and 0.95 (0.52) in the MDR group, a significant difference of 0.34 (95% confidence interval 0.18-0.50). The mean total cost per patient in the TDR group was &OV0556;87,622 (58,351) compared with &OV0556;74,116 (58,237) in the MDR group, which was not significantly different (95% confidence interval: -4041 to 31,755). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for the TDR procedure varied from &OV0556;39,748 using EQ-5D (TDR cost-effective) to &OV0556;128,328 using SF-6D (TDR not cost-effective). The dropout rate was 20% (15% TDR group, 24% MDR group). Five patients moved from the MDR to the TDR group, whereas 9 patients randomized to TDR declined surgery. Using per-protocol analysis instead of intention-to-treat analysis indicated that TDR was not cost-effective, irrespective of the use of EQ-5D or SF-6D.

CONCLUSION

In this study, TDR was cost-effective compared with MDR after 2 years when using EQ-5D for assessing QALYs gained and a willingness to pay of &OV0556;74,600 (kr500,000/QALY). TDR was not cost-effective when SF-6D was used; therefore, our results should be interpreted with caution. Longer follow-up is needed to accurately assess the cost-effectiveness of TDR.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

2.

Cost-effectiveness of a pentavalent rotavirus vaccine in Japan

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the impact of universal vaccination with a pentavalent rotavirus vaccine (RV5) on the healthcare burden and costs associated with rotavirus gastroenteritis (RGE) in Japan.

METHODS

The model included a hypothetical cohort of 1,091,156 children followed for their first 5 years of life. In the absence of universal vaccination, there were 19 deaths, 78,000 hospitalizations, and 678,000 outpatient visits due to RGE. The efficacy of RV5 is based on international clinical trial data, which was similar to the efficacy observed in clinical trials conducted in Japan. The primary outcome measure is the cost per quality-adjusted-life-year (QALY) gained. In the base case, the QALY loss per 1000 RGE episodes included 2.2 for children and 1.8 per parent.

RESULTS

Universal vaccination is projected to reduce hospitalizations by 92%, outpatient visits by 74%, and work-loss days by 73%. For the base case analysis, the total vaccination cost was ¥26 billion. The estimated reduction in medical costs was ¥16 billion. Of 2500 QALYs gained with the vaccination program, approximately half are directly attributed to the child. In the base case analysis, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for vaccination vs. no vaccination is ¥4 million and ¥2 million per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained from the healthcare payer and societal perspectives, respectively. The ICERs are ¥8 million and ¥4 million if parental disutilities are excluded. KEY LIMITATION: The QALY decrements for children and parents were evaluated using different instruments, and the QALY decrements do not vary based on episode severity. Given the interdependence between children and their parents, excluding parental disutilities may under-estimate the impact of RGE.

CONCLUSION

Universal vaccination with RV5 in Japan is projected to have a substantial public health impact and may be cost-effective from both the payer and societal perspectives if parental disutilities are included in the cost-effectiveness ratios.

Pharmacoeconomic spotlight on rotavirus vaccine RIX4414 (Rotarix™) in developed countries

The most common cause of severe diarrhea in infants and young children is rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE), which is associated with significant morbidity, healthcare resource use, and direct and indirect costs in industrialized nations. The monovalent rotavirus vaccine RIX4414 (Rotarix™) is administered as a two-dose oral series in infants and has demonstrated protective efficacy against RVGE in clinical trials conducted in developed countries. In addition, various naturalistic studies have demonstrated ‘real-world’ effectiveness after the introduction of widespread rotavirus vaccination programs in the community setting.

Numerous cost-effectiveness analyses have been conducted in developed countries in which a universal rotavirus vaccination program using RIX4414 was compared with no universal rotavirus vaccination program. There was a high degree of variability in base-case results across studies even when the studies were conducted in the same country, often reflecting differences in the selection of data sources or assumptions used to populate the models. In addition, results were sensitive to plausible changes in a number of key input parameters. As such, it is not possible to definitively state whether a universal rotavirus vaccination program with RIX4414 is cost effective in developed countries, although results of some analyses in some countries suggest this is the case. In addition, international guidelines advocate universal vaccination of infants and children against rotavirus. It is also difficult to draw conclusions regarding the cost effectiveness of rotavirus vaccine RIX4414 relative to that of the pentavalent rotavirus vaccine, which is administered as a three-dose oral series. Although indirect comparisons in cost-effectiveness analyses indicate that RIX4414 provided more favorable incremental cost-effectiveness ratios when each vaccine was compared with no universal rotavirus vaccination program, results were generally sensitive to vaccine costs. Actual tender prices of a full vaccination course for each vaccine were not known at the time of the analyses and therefore had to be estimated.

Cost effectiveness of infant vaccination for rotavirus in Canada

INTRODUCTION

Rotavirus is the main cause of gastroenteritis in Canadian children younger than five years of age, resulting in significant morbidity and cost. The present study provides evidence on the cost effectiveness of two alternative rotavirus vaccinations (RotaTeq [Merck Frosst Canada Ltd, Canada] and Rotarix [GlaxoSmithKline, Canada]) available in Canada.

METHODS

Analysis was conducted through a Markov model that followed a cohort of children from birth to five years of age. Analysis used pertinent data on the natural history of rotavirus and the effects of vaccination. Estimates of heath care costs for children requiring hospitalizations and emergency department visits were derived from the Canadian Immunization Monitoring Program, Active (IMPACT) surveillance, emergency department studies, as well as other Canadian studies. The model estimated the effect of vaccination on costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs).

RESULTS

The incremental cost per QALY gained from the health care system perspective was $122,000 for RotaTeq and $108,000 for Rotarix. From the societal perspective, both vaccination strategies were dominant - both cost saving and more effective. The cost-effectiveness of vaccination is dependent on the mode of administration, the perspective adopted and the cost of the vaccine.

CONCLUSIONS

From a societal perspective, a universal vaccination program against rotavirus will be both cost saving and more effective than no vaccination. Becasue the majority of rotavirus infections do not require emergency department visits or hospital admission, from a health care system perspective, a program would not be considered cost effective.

A critical literature review of health economic evaluations of rotavirus vaccination

Two licensed vaccines are available to prevent RVGE in infants. A worldwide critical review of economic evaluations of these vaccines was conducted. The objective was to describe differences in methodologies, assumptions and inputs and determine the key factors driving differences in conclusions. 68 economic evaluations were reviewed. RV vaccination was found to be cost-effective in developing countries, while conclusions varied between studies in developed countries. Many studies found that vaccination was likely to be cost-effective under some scenarios, such as lower prices scenarios, inclusion of herd protection, and/or adoption of a societal perspective. Other reasons for variability included uncertainty around healthcare visits incidence and lack of consensus on quality of life (QoL) valuation for infants and caregivers. New evidence on the vaccination effectiveness in real-world, new ways of modeling herd protection and assessments of QoL in children could help more precisely define the conditions under which RV vaccination would be cost-effective in developed countries.

Burden of community-acquired and nosocomial rotavirus gastroenteritis in the pediatric population of Western Europe: a scoping review

BACKGROUND

Rotavirus affects 95% of children worldwide by age 5 years and is the leading cause of severe dehydrating diarrhea. The objective of this review was to estimate the burden of rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) in the Western European pediatric population.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search (1999-2010) was conducted in PubMed and other sources (CDC; WHO, others). Data on the epidemiology and burden of RVGE among children < 5 years-old in Western Europe --including hospital-acquired disease--were extracted.

RESULTS

76 studies from 16 countries were identified. The mean percentage of acute gastroenteritis (AGE) cases caused by rotavirus ranged from 25.3%-63.5% in children < 5 years of age, peaking during winter. Incidence rates of RVGE ranged from 1.33-4.96 cases/100 person- years. Hospitalization rates for RVGE ranged from 7% to 81% among infected children, depending on the country. Nosocomial RVGE accounted for 47%-69% of all hospital-acquired AGE and prolonged hospital stays by 4-12 days. Each year, RVGE incurred $0.54- $53.6 million in direct medical costs and $1.7-$22.4 million in indirect costs in the 16 countries studied. Full serotyping data was available for 8 countries. G1P[8], G2P[4], G9P[8], and G3P[8] were the most prevalent serotypes (cumulative frequency: 57.2%- 98.7%). Serotype distribution in nosocomial RVGE was similar.

CONCLUSIONS

This review confirms that RVGE is a common disease associated with significant morbidity and costs across Western Europe. A vaccine protecting against multiple serotypes may decrease the epidemiological and cost burden of RVGE in Western Europe.

Cost-effectiveness of rotavirus vaccination in Bolivia from the state perspective

BACKGROUND

In Bolivia, in 2008, the under-five mortality rate is 54 per 1000 live births. Diarrhea causes 15% of these deaths, and 40% of pediatric diarrhea-related hospitalizations are caused by rotavirus illness (RI). Rotavirus vaccination (RV), subsidized by international donors, is expected to reduce morbidity, mortality, and economic burden to the Bolivian state. Estimates of illness and economic burden of RI and their reduction by RV are essential to the Bolivian state's policies on RV program financing. The goal of this report is to estimate the economic burden of RI and the cost-effectiveness of the RV program.

METHODS

To assess treatment costs incurred by the healthcare system, we abstracted medical records from 287 inpatients and 6751 outpatients with acute diarrhea between 2005 and 2006 at 5 sentinel hospitals in 4 geographic regions. RI prevalence rates were estimated from 4 years of national hospital surveillance. We used a decision-analytic model to assess the potential cost-effectiveness of universal RV in Bolivia.

RESULTS

Our model estimates that, in a 5-year birth cohort, Bolivia will incur over US$3 million in direct medical costs due to RI. RV reduces, by at least 60%, outpatient visits, hospitalizations, deaths, and total direct medical costs associated with rotavirus diarrhea. Further, RV was cost-savings below a price of US$3.81 per dose and cost-effective below a price of US$194.10 per dose. Diarrheal mortality and hospitalization inputs were the most important drivers of rotavirus vaccine cost-effectiveness.

DISCUSSION

Our data will guide Bolivia's funding allocation for RV as international subsidies change.

Rotavirus vaccine RIX4414 (Rotarix™): a pharmacoeconomic review of its use in the prevention of rotavirus gastroenteritis in developed countries

The most common cause of severe diarrhoea in infants and young children is rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE), which is associated with significant morbidity, healthcare resource use and direct and indirect costs in industrialized nations. The monovalent rotavirus vaccine RIX4414 (Rotarix™) is administered as a two-dose oral series in infants and has demonstrated protective efficacy against RVGE in clinical trials conducted in developed countries. In addition, various naturalistic studies have demonstrated 'real-world' effectiveness after the introduction of widespread rotavirus vaccination programmes in the community setting. Numerous cost-effectiveness analyses have been conducted in developed countries in which a universal rotavirus vaccination programme using RIX4414 was compared with no universal rotavirus vaccination programme. There was a high degree of variability in base-case results across studies even when conducted in the same country, often reflecting differences in the selection of data sources or assumptions used to populate the models. In addition, results were sensitive to plausible changes in a number of key input parameters. As such, it is not possible to definitively state whether a universal rotavirus vaccination programme with RIX4414 is cost effective in developed countries, although results of some analyses in some countries suggest this is the case. In addition, international guidelines advocate universal vaccination of infants and children against rotavirus. It is also difficult to draw conclusions regarding the cost effectiveness of rotavirus vaccine RIX4414 relative to that of the pentavalent rotavirus vaccine, which is administered as a three-dose oral series. Although indirect comparisons in cost-effectiveness analyses indicate that RIX4414 provided more favourable incremental cost-effectiveness ratios when each vaccine was compared with no universal rotavirus vaccination programme, results were generally sensitive to vaccine costs. Actual tender prices of a full vaccination course for each vaccine were not known at the time of the analyses and therefore had to be estimated.

Cost-effectiveness of a pentavalent human-bovine reassortant rotavirus vaccine for children ≤5 years of age in Taiwan

OBJECTIVE

A Markov model was used to assess the impact of RV5, a pentavalent (G1, G2, G3, G4, P1A[8]) human bovine (WC3 strain) reassortant rotavirus vaccine, on reducing the healthcare burden and cost associated with rotavirus gastroenteritis (RGE) in Taiwan. Other cost-effectiveness analyses for rotavirus vaccination in industrialized countries have produced varying results depending on the input parameters assumed.

METHODS

Vaccination with RV5 is compared to no vaccination in a hypothetical cohort of Taiwanese children during their first 5 years of life to determine the per dose prices at which vaccination would be cost neutral or provide good value based on established standards from the healthcare (direct medical care costs only) and societal (all RGE-related costs) perspectives. The effects of vaccination on RGE healthcare utilization and days of parental work loss missed are based on results from the Rotavirus Efficacy and Safety Trial.

RESULTS

Without vaccination there would be 122,526 symptomatic episodes of RGE. Universal vaccination would reduce RGE-related deaths, hospitalizations, emergency department, and outpatient visits by 91.7%, 92.1%, 83.7%, and 73.4%, respectively. The price per dose at which vaccination would be cost-neutral is US$ 21.80 (688 NTD) and US$ 26.20 (827 NTD) from the healthcare and societal perspectives, respectively. At $25 per dose, the cost per QALY gained is US$ 2261 (71,335 NTD) from the healthcare perspective and cost saving from the societal perspective. KEY LIMITATION: The model only assesses the effect of RV5 on vaccinated children and does not account for herd immunity. However, given that high levels of coverage are anticipated in Taiwan, the effects of herd immunity are likely to be short-term.

CONCLUSION

A pentavalent rotavirus vaccination program is likely to substantially reduce the healthcare burden associated with rotavirus gastroenteritis at a cost per QALY ratio within the range defined as cost-effective.

Exploring Model Uncertainty in Economic Evaluation of Health Interventions: The Example of Rotavirus Vaccination in Vietnam

Objective . Motivated by observed discrepancies between 2 published studies on the cost-effectiveness of rotavirus vaccination in Vietnam, the authors’ objectives were to illustrate a specific, systematic approach to assessing model (structure and process) uncertainty and to quantify explicitly the contributions of different sources of variation in the outputs of different studies that share the same research question. Methods . On the basis of a series of working definitions of key model elements, the authors developed 5 alternative computer simulation (state-transition) models of rotavirus disease. They examined how epidemiological outcomes and cost-effectiveness ratios associated with rotavirus vaccination would change as elements of model structure and modeling process were progressively modified. They also explicitly decomposed the relative contributions of different modeling elements to differences in the cost-effectiveness results between the 2 previous analyses motivating the present study. Results . The findings suggest that within the category of a static, deterministic, aggregate-level model, different choices in model structure and process lead to relatively modest differences in the estimated cost-effectiveness of rotavirus vaccination, but that intermediate epidemiologic outcomes vary more substantially depending on the choice of model structure. Conclusions . The authors caution against generalizing the quantitative results in this study beyond the present example but suggest that the approach presented here may serve as a template for other examinations of model uncertainty. As new research questions arise after the introduction of rotavirus vaccination programs, a reevaluation of model uncertainty is likely to be needed.

Pentavalent rotavirus vaccine (RotaTeq): a review of its use in the prevention of rotavirus gastroenteritis in Europe

In Europe, rotavirus gastroenteritis is associated with a significant health, economic and social burden, as it is responsible for large numbers of hospitalizations and other healthcare encounters among infants and children, as well as numerous days of work lost by parents and caregivers. RotaTeq is a three-dose, orally administered, live, pentavalent human-bovine reassortant rotavirus vaccine used for the active immunization of infants for prevention of rotavirus gastroenteritis. The protective efficacy of RotaTeq has been evaluated in terms of its effects on the incidence of rotavirus gastroenteritis and on healthcare resource use. Clinical trial data from REST (a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multinational study in approximately 70,000 healthy infants aged 6-12 weeks) and various subgroup analyses, including a large European cohort, have shown that RotaTeq may be administered at the same time as various other routine vaccines, has high and sustained efficacy covering the main period of risk for rotavirus gastroenteritis, has early protective efficacy after the first and second doses, reduces rotavirus gastroenteritis-associated hospitalization and emergency department and physician visits, and is generally well tolerated. Moreover, RotaTeq has demonstrated efficacy against the five most prevalent serotypes of rotavirus in Europe (G1-G4, G9), in terms of reductions in associated healthcare resource use. There is also evidence that the widespread use of RotaTeq may provide herd immunity, as it appears to have indirect benefits in older, unvaccinated children. Reports on the 'real world' effectiveness of RotaTeq in Europe are just emerging, but data from the US have shown a rapid and marked reduction in rotavirus burden nationwide during the approximately 2-year period following the introduction of RotaTeq and the subsequent availability of official recommendations advocating universal use of the vaccine as part of routine childhood immunization. Similar benefits have also been demonstrated in Australia after the introduction of a publicly funded rotavirus vaccination programme. Postmarketing surveillance data from the US have not identified any concerns, such as an association with intussusception or Kawasaki disease, related to the safety of RotaTeq. In conclusion, RotaTeq is a generally well tolerated vaccine that has efficacy against the five most prevalent serotypes of rotavirus in Europe and provides sustained efficacy over the main risk period for rotavirus gastroenteritis in infants and children, reducing hospitalizations and emergency department visits by decreasing the incidence and severity of illness.

Burden of paediatric Rotavirus Gastroenteritis (RVGE) and potential benefits of a universal Rotavirus vaccination programme with a pentavalent vaccine in Spain

BACKGROUND

Rotavirus is the most common cause of gastroenteritis in young children worldwide. The aim of the study was to assess the health outcomes and the economic impact of a universal rotavirus vaccination programme with RotaTeq, the pentavalent rotavirus vaccine, versus no vaccination programme in Spain.

METHODS

A birth cohort was followed up to the age of 5 using a cohort model. Epidemiological parameters were taken from the REVEAL study (a prospective epidemiological study conducted in Spain, 2004-2005) and from the literature. Direct and indirect costs were assessed from the national healthcare payer and societal perspectives by combining health care resource utilisation collected in REVEAL study and unit costs from official sources. RotaTeq per protocol efficacy data was taken from a large worldwide rotavirus clinical trial (70,000 children). Health outcomes included home care cases, General Practioner (GP)/Paediatrician, emergency department visits, hospitalisations and nosocomial infections.

RESULTS

The model estimates that the introduction of a universal rotavirus vaccination programme with RotaTeq (90% coverage rate) would reduce the rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) burden by 75% in Spain; 53,692 home care cases, 35,187 GP/Paediatrician visits, 34,287 emergency department visits, 10,987 hospitalisations and 2,053 nosocomial infections would be avoided. The introduction of RotaTeq would avoid about 76% of RVGE-related costs from both perspectives: euro22 million from the national health system perspective and euro38 million from the societal perspective.

CONCLUSIONS

A rotavirus vaccination programme with RotaTeq would reduce significantly the important medical and economic burden of RVGE in Spain.

Health and economic impact of rotavirus vaccination in GAVI-eligible countries

BACKGROUND

Rotavirus infection is responsible for about 500,000 deaths annually, and the disease burden is disproportionately borne by children in low-income countries. Recently the World Health Organization (WHO) has released a global recommendation that all countries include infant rotavirus vaccination in their national immunization programs. Our objective was to provide information on the expected health, economic and financial consequences of rotavirus vaccines in the 72 GAVI support-eligible countries.

METHODS

We synthesized population-level data from various sources (primarily from global-level databases) for the 72 countries eligible for the support by the GAVI Alliance (GAVI-eligible countries) in order to estimate the health and economic impact associated with rotavirus vaccination programs. The primary outcome measure was incremental cost (in 2005 international dollars [I$]) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted. We also projected the expected reduction in rotavirus disease burden and financial resources required associated with a variety of scale-up scenarios.

RESULTS

Under the base-case assumptions (70% coverage), vaccinating one single birth cohort would prevent about 55% of rotavirus associated deaths in the 72 GAVI-eligible countries. Assuming I$25 per vaccinated child (approximately $5 per dose), the number of countries with the incremental cost per DALY averted less than I$200 was 47. Using the WHO's cost-effectiveness threshold based on per capita GDP, the vaccines were considered cost-effective in 68 of the 72 countries (approximately 94%). A 10-year routine rotavirus vaccination would prevent 0.9-2.8 million rotavirus associated deaths among children under age 5 in the poorest parts of the world, depending on vaccine scale-up scenarios. Over the same intervention period, rotavirus vaccination programs would also prevent 4.5-13.3 million estimated cases of hospitalization and 41-107 million cases of outpatient clinic visits in the same population.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that rotavirus vaccination would be considered a worthwhile investment for improving general development as well as childhood health level in most low-income countries, with a favorable cost-effectiveness profile even under a vaccine price ($1.5-$5.0 per dose) higher than those of traditional childhood vaccines.

Outcome measurement in economic evaluations of public health interventions: a role for the capability approach?

Public health interventions have received increased attention from policy makers, and there has been a corresponding increase in the number of economic evaluations within the domain of public health. However, methods to evaluate public health interventions are less well established than those for medical interventions. Focusing on health as an outcome measure is likely to underestimate the impact of many public health interventions. This paper provides a review of outcome measures in public health; and describes the benefits of using the capability approach as a means to developing an all encompassing outcome measure.

Is it cost-effective to introduce rotavirus vaccination in the Dutch national immunization program?

This study assessed whether the inclusion of two rotavirus (RV) vaccines in the Dutch national immunization programme is cost-effective. Costs and outcomes in unvaccinated and vaccinated populations are compared for a time period of 20 years. In the baseline, assuming competitive market forces in relation to vaccine costs, Rotarix is more cost-effective than RotaTeq, resulting in a cost-utility ratio (CUR) of euro 53,000 per DALY (third payer perspective) and euro 49,000 per DALY (societal perspective), but both considered as being not cost-effective. Vaccine-related costs, annual epidemic-size, and indirect protection are the major factors that determine cost-effectiveness of RV vaccination.

Estimating the incidence of symptomatic rotavirus infections: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

We conducted for the first time a systematic review, including a meta-analysis, of the incidence of symptomatic rotavirus (RV) infections, because (1) it was shown to be an influential factor in estimating the cost-effectiveness of RV vaccination, (2) multiple community-based studies assessed it prospectively, (3) previous studies indicated, inconclusively, it might be similar around the world.

METHODOLOGY

Pubmed (which includes Medline) was searched for surveys assessing prospectively symptomatic (diarrheal) episodes in a general population and situation, which also reported on the number of the episodes being tested RV+ and on the persons and the time period observed. A bias assessment tool was developed and used according to Cochrane guidelines by 4 researchers with different backgrounds. Heterogeneity was explored graphically and by comparing fits of study-homogenous 'fixed effects' and -heterogeneous 'random effects' models. Data were synthesized using these models. Sensitivity analysis for uncertainty regarding data abstraction, bias assessment and included studies was performed.

PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

Variability between the incidences obtained from 20 studies is unlikely to be due to study groups living in different environments (tropical versus temperate climate, slums versus middle-class suburban populations), nor due to the year the study was conducted (from 1967 to 2003). A random effects model was used to incorporate unexplained heterogeneity and resulted in a global incidence estimate of 0.31 [0.19; 0.50] symptomatic RV infections per personyear of observation for children below 2 years of age, and of 0.24 [0.17; 0.34] when excluding the extreme high value of 0.84 reported for Mayan Indians in Guatemala. Apart from the inclusion/exclusion of the latter study, results were robust.

CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE

Rather than assumptions based on an ad-hoc selection of one or two studies, these pooled estimates (together with the measure for variability between populations) should be used as an input in future cost-effectiveness analyses of RV vaccination.

Cost of routine immunization of young children against rotavirus infection with Rotarix versus RotaTeq

Using a probabilistic model of the clinical and economic burden of rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE), we estimated the expected impact of vaccinating a US birth cohort with Rotarix in lieu of RotaTeq. Assuming full vaccination of all children, use of Rotarix - rather than RotaTeq - was estimated to reduce the total number of RVGE events by 5% and associated costs by 8%. On an overall basis, Rotarix would reduce costs by $77.2 million (95% CI $71.5-$86.5). Similar reductions with Rotarix were estimated to occur under an assumption of incomplete immunization of children.

Rotavirus vaccine RIX4414 (Rotarix): a review of its use in the prevention of rotavirus gastroenteritis

Rotavirus vaccine RIX4414 is an oral vaccine composed of a monovalent, live, attenuated, human rotavirus strain of G1P[8] type. RIX4414 vaccination in infants aged 6-17 weeks at enrolment provided protection against rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) of any severity and high-level protection against severe RVGE requiring hospitalization in large, randomized clinical trials conducted in a wide range of geographic regions. Protective efficacy was evident over the period (2 months) between the first and second doses of vaccine, and the protection afforded by the full two-dose course was sustained for at least 2 years, the limit to which efficacy was assessed. RIX4414 displayed protective efficacy against the common rotavirus G, P[8] types (G1P[8], G3P[8], G4P[8], and G9P[8]) and the fully heterotypic G2P[4] type. RIX4414 did not interfere with other common childhood injectable immunizations when administered concomitantly, suggesting that it should be possible to integrate the vaccine into most routine childhood vaccination schedules, including those still using oral poliovirus vaccine. RIX4414 was generally well tolerated and there was no evidence of an increased risk of intussusception. Although dependent on many factors, including prevalent infecting strains, efficacy rates, and vaccine costs, pharmacoeconomic analyses suggest that mass immunization with RIX4414 would be cost effective in many countries, especially when assessed from the societal perspective. Therefore, rotavirus vaccine RIX4414 offers a highly effective control strategy for reducing the burden of RVGE in infants.

Cost-effectiveness of Rotavirus vaccination in Vietnam

BACKGROUND

Rotavirus is the most common cause of severe diarrhea leading to hospitalization or disease-specific death among young children. New rotavirus vaccines have recently been approved. Some previous studies have provided broad qualitative insights into the health and economic consequences of introducing the vaccines into low-income countries, representing several features of rotavirus infection, such as varying degrees of severity and age-dependency of clinical manifestation, in their model-based analyses. We extend this work to reflect additional features of rotavirus (e.g., the possibility of reinfection and varying degrees of partial immunity conferred by natural infection), and assess the influence of the features on the cost-effectiveness of rotavirus vaccination.

METHODS

We developed a Markov model that reflects key features of rotavirus infection, using the most recent data available. We applied the model to the 2004 Vietnamese birth cohort and re-evaluated the cost-effectiveness (2004 US dollars per disability-adjusted life year [DALY]) of rotavirus vaccination (Rotarix) compared to no vaccination, from both societal and health care system perspectives. We conducted univariate sensitivity analyses and also performed a probabilistic sensitivity analysis, based on Monte Carlo simulations drawing parameter values from the distributions assigned to key uncertain parameters.

RESULTS

Rotavirus vaccination would not completely protect young children against rotavirus infection due to the partial nature of vaccine immunity, but would effectively reduce severe cases of rotavirus gastroenteritis (outpatient visits, hospitalizations, or deaths) by about 67% over the first 5 years of life. Under base-case assumptions (94% coverage and $5 per dose), the incremental cost per DALY averted from vaccination compared to no vaccination would be $540 from the societal perspective and $550 from the health care system perspective.

CONCLUSION

Introducing rotavirus vaccines would be a cost-effective public health intervention in Vietnam. However, given the uncertainty about vaccine efficacy and potential changes in rotavirus epidemiology in local settings, further clinical research and re-evaluation of rotavirus vaccination programs may be necessary as new information emerges.

Cost-Effectiveness of Rotavirus Vaccination: Exploring Caregiver(s) and ``No Medical Care'' Disease Impact in Belgium

Aim . To estimate the cost-effectiveness of universal childhood rotavirus vaccination in Belgium, taking into account the impact of caregiver burden and the burden of sick children for whom no medical care is sought (``no medical care''). Methods . A cohort of newborns is modeled in relation to costs and health outcomes for rotavirus disease, distinguishing episodes leading to consultations, hospitalizations, and deaths from no medical care episodes. Fully funded universal vaccination is compared with no vaccination as well as with the current situation in Belgium, whereby the 2-dose Rotarix or the 3-dose RotaTeq vaccine can be bought at market prices, which are partially reimbursed. Results . Compared with no vaccination, fully funded universal rotavirus vaccination would cost 51,030 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained with Rotarix and 65,767 with RotaTeq (for society, 7572 and 30,227 per QALY, respectively). However, there is considerable uncertainty due to some analytical choices: the proportion of simulations with an acceptable incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (given a willingness to pay 50,000 for an additional QALY), increases from 2%/0.6% (Rotarix/RotaTeq) to 86%/59% when considering no medical care, and including 2 caregivers to estimate QALY loss instead of zero. Uncertainty is greater still under the societal than under the health care payer perspective. Conclusion . For the Belgian health care payer, at current vaccine prices, universal childhood rotavirus vaccination is unlikely to be judged cost-effective versus no vaccination but would be a more efficient and equitable choice than continuing with current practice.

Reviewing the cost effectiveness of rotavirus vaccination: the importance of uncertainty in the choice of data sources

Published health economic evaluations of rotavirus vaccination up until July 2008 were reviewed. We assess whether differences in the results and conclusions of the various studies are due to differences in methodological and modelling choices, and/or the way parameter uncertainty was taken into account, or whether these are merely the result of genuine country/region-specific differences. No unambiguous single answer emerged as to whether universal rotavirus vaccination is or is not cost effective. The relevance and merits of each study need to be assessed within its context. This is illustrated by the fact that comparisons of different analyses for a single country show that one of the most important explanations for the variations in results and conclusions seems to be the use of different information sources for the estimation of input parameters. Future studies should gather reliable and relevant information focusing on the most influential input parameters, i.e. rotavirus mortality (and efficacy against rotavirus deaths) for low- and middle-income countries, and a range of variables for high-income countries, including the incidence and cost of rotavirus hospitalization. Moreover, if no information is available for an important input parameter, the impact of a wide range of values should be explored rather than excluding it from the analysis or specifying a single-point value. Furthermore, future analyses may have to consider ways of accounting for herd immunity (e.g. by using a dynamic model).

The health and economic burden of rotavirus disease in Belgium

For health economic evaluations of rotavirus vaccination, estimates of the health and cost burden of rotavirus are required. Due to differences in health care systems and surveillance organisations, this is difficult to achieve by imputing estimates from one country to others. This study aimed to estimate the burden of rotavirus disease in Belgium. In children younger than 7 years of age, rotavirus is predicted to account annually for about 5,600 hospitalisations (676:100,000 children); 26,800 outpatient, general practitioner and paediatrician visits; and about 44,600 episodes for which no medical care is sought. This burden is estimated to represent direct costs of 7.7 million Euro and indirect costs of 12.8 million Euro. Rotavirus disease causes a substantial health and economic burden in Belgium.

Infantile gastroenteritis in the community: a cost-of-illness study

Rotavirus infections are the main cause of gastroenteritis in infants and children and it is expected that by the age of 5 years, nearly every child will have experienced at least one episode of rotavirus gastroenteritis. While severe cases are hospitalized, milder disease is either treated at home or by the GP, and as such the true prevalence of rotavirus infection in the community, and the burden of disease, is unknown. This paper reports the results of a cost-of-illness study which was conducted alongside a structured community surveillance study. Forty-eight percent of our sample was found to have rotavirus acute gastroenteritis; and the average total cost of a child presenting with rotavirus gastroenteritis ranged between pound sterling 59 and pound sterling 143 per episode, depending on the perspective. Given the prevalence and severity of the disease, the estimated burden of rotavirus gastroenteritis to society is pound sterling 11.5 million per year.

Burden of rotavirus gastroenteritis and potential benefits of a pentavalent rotavirus vaccination in Belgium

OBJECTIVE AND METHODS

A decision analytic model was built to assess the paediatric rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) burden and potential benefits associated with the introduction of RotaTeq (pentavalent rotavirus vaccine) in Belgium.

RESULTS

In the absence of a rotavirus (RV) immunisation programme, paediatric RVGE was estimated to account for about 5,860 hospitalisations, 1,720 cases of nosocomial infections, 9,410 cases treated by general practitioners/paediatricians (GP/P) and 10,790 cases not seeking medical care for a birth cohort followed up to 5 years of age. Paediatric RVGE was estimated to cost about euro9.0 million from the Belgian healthcare provider perspective and euro15.3 million to society. Given a 90% RV vaccination coverage rate, the pentavalent RV vaccine would have a high impact on RV burden by preventing more than 4,850 hospitalisations, 995 cases of nosocomial infections, 7,145 cases treated by GP/P and 8,190 cases not seeking medical care, and reduce RVGE costs by euro7.1 million from the Belgian healthcare provider perspective and euro12.0 million to society.

Estimating utility scores in young children with acute rotavirus gastroenteritis in the UK

OBJECTIVE

To estimate utility scores for different severities of acute rotavirus gastroenteritis in children aged<5 years in the UK.

METHODS

UK general practitioners (n=25) and paediatricians (n=25) rated four different health state descriptions of acute rotavirus gastroenteritis using the EuroQol (EQ-5D) questionnaire for children aged<18 months and 18 months to 5 years. EQ-5D scores were modified to account for limited self-care and mobility, and converted into utility values using the standard algorithm using UK data.

RESULTS

General practitioners rated the mean utility for primary care cases at 0.781 (standard deviation (SD) 0.263) and 0.688 (SD 0.345) for the younger and older age groups, respectively. For hospitalised cases the corresponding scores were 0.425 (SD 0.243) and 0.200 (sd 0.386). Paediatricians rated the mean utility for hospitalised severe cases at 0.595 (SD 0.171) and 0.634 (SD 0.217) in the younger and older groups, respectively, and for hospitalised very severe cases at 0.256 (SD 0.251) and 0.077 (SD 0.340), respectively. In all cases, the utility differences between the health states were statistically significant (p<0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Acute rotavirus gastroenteritis substantially impairs quality of life in children aged<5 years as rated by health professionals. This study provides useful quantitative utility estimates for economic evaluations.