Limitations of cross-lagged panel models in addiction research and alternative models: An empirical example using project MATCH

Examining the reciprocal associations of muscularity bias internalization with muscularity-oriented disordered eating, muscle dysmorphia symptoms, and eating-related psychosocial impairment in Chinese adults

Emerging empirical evidence supports muscularity bias internalization as a close correlate of muscularity-oriented disordered eating, muscle dysmorphia symptoms, and eating-related psychosocial impairment. However, there is a lack of research investigating the longitudinal links of muscularity bias internalization with these related variables. Drawing on longitudinal research evidence from weight bias internalization supporting reciprocal associations with biopsychosocial outcomes, the present study examined the reciprocal associations of muscularity bias internalization with muscularity-oriented disordered eating, muscle dysmorphia symptoms, and eating-related psychosocial impairment. An online sample of 799 Chinese adults (400 men and 399 women; baseline Mage=29.96 years) provided data at baseline (T1) and six months later (T2). Cross-lagged regression analyses were conducted. Results showed that muscularity bias internalization had reciprocal associations with these three variables. Specifically, muscularity bias internalization at T1 was associated with higher muscularity-oriented disordered eating, muscle dysmorphia symptoms, and eating-related psychosocial impairment at T2. Also, higher muscularity-oriented disordered eating, muscle dysmorphia symptoms, and eating-related psychosocial impairment at T1 were associated with higher muscularity bias internalization at T2. Findings suggest cyclic associations between muscularity bias internalization and muscularity-oriented disordered eating, muscle dysmorphia symptoms, and eating-related psychosocial impairment, and interventions targeting muscularity bias internalization may be a promising strategy to reduce muscularity-related psychopathology.

Daily general discrimination predicts changes in trait negative affectivity: A 30-year cohort longitudinal study using a random-intercept cross-lagged panel model

OBJECTIVE

Increasing evidence indicates discrimination is an emerging risk factor for reducing psychological well-being. Negative affectivity is a personality trait that has been associated with discrimination. Yet, few studies to date have examined the longitudinal relationship between discrimination and personality. The current study addresses this gap by examining how general discrimination and negative affectivity influence each other longitudinally.

METHOD

The Midlife in the United States (MIDUS) dataset was used for the current study. The MIDUS sample (N = 4244) was predominately white (90.7%), 52% female, and had an average age of 46 years old. Individuals completed follow-up measures 10 and 20 years after baseline. Data were analyzed using a random-intercept cross-lagged panel model.

RESULTS

Individuals that scored higher on trait negative affectivity also tended to score higher on perceived daily discrimination. We found general perceived discrimination at age 55 unidirectionally predicted changes in negative affectivity around retirement age, but not from age 45 to 55. In contrast, negative affectivity did not significantly predict increases in perceived discrimination at any timepoint.

CONCLUSION

Our results indicate that perceived discrimination has pernicious impacts on well-being up to a decade later and may do so by increasing an individual's tendency to experience negative emotions (i.e., negative affectivity).

Longitudinal analysis of the ABCD® study

The Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development® (ABCD) Study provides a unique opportunity to investigate developmental processes in a large, diverse cohort of youths, aged approximately 9-10 at baseline and assessed annually for 10 years. Given the size and complexity of the ABCD Study, researchers analyzing its data will encounter a myriad of methodological and analytical considerations. This review provides an examination of key concepts and techniques related to longitudinal analyses of the ABCD Study data, including: (1) characterization of the factors associated with variation in developmental trajectories; (2) assessment of how level and timing of exposures may impact subsequent development; (3) quantification of how variation in developmental domains may be associated with outcomes, including mediation models and reciprocal relationships. We emphasize the importance of selecting appropriate statistical models to address these research questions. By presenting the advantages and potential challenges of longitudinal analyses in the ABCD Study, this review seeks to equip researchers with foundational knowledge and tools to make informed decisions as they navigate and effectively analyze and interpret the multi-dimensional longitudinal data currently available.

Disentangling the temporal relationship between alcohol-related attitudes and heavy episodic drinking in adolescents within a randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Within many alcohol prevention interventions, changes in alcohol-related attitudes (ARA) are often proposed as precursors to changes in drinking behaviour. This study aimed to measure the longitudinal relationship between ARA and behaviour during the implementation of a large-scale prevention trial.

DESIGN AND SETTING

This study was a two-arm school-based clustered randomized controlled trial. A total of 105 schools in Northern Ireland and Scotland participated in the Steps Towards Alcohol Misuse Prevention Programme (STAMPP) Trial.

PARTICIPANTS

A sample of 12 738 pupils (50% female; mean age = 12.5 years at baseline) self-completed questionnaires on four occasions (T1-T4). The final data sweep (T4) was 33 months post baseline.

MEASUREMENTS

Individual assessments of ARA and heavy episodic drinking (HED) were made at each time-point. Additional covariates included location, school type, school socio-economic status and intervention arm. Estimated models examined the within-individual autoregressive and cross-lagged effects between ARA and HED across the four time-points (Bayes estimator).

FINDINGS

All autoregressive effects were statistically significant for both ARA and HED across all time-points. Past ARA predicted future ARA [e.g. ARAT1 → ARAT2 = 0.071, credibility interval (CI) = 0.043-0.099, P < 0.001, one-tailed]. Similarly, past HED predicated future HED (e.g. HEDT1 → HEDT2 = 0.303, CI = 0.222-0.382, P < 0.001, one-tailed). Autoregressive effects for HED were larger than those for ARA at all time-points. In the cross-lagged effects, past HED statistically significantly predicted more positive ARA in the future (e.g. HEDT2 → ARAT3 = 0.125, CI = 0.078-0.173, P < 0.001, one tailed) except for the initial T1-T2 path. In contrast, past ARA did not predict future HED across any time-points.

CONCLUSIONS

Changes in alcohol-related attitudes were not a precursor to changes in heavy episodic drinking within the Steps Towards Alcohol Misuse Prevention Programme (STAMPP) Trial in Scotland and Northern Ireland. Rather, alcohol-related attitudes were more likely to reflect prior drinking status than predict future status. Heavy episodic drinking status appears to have a greater impact on future alcohol attitudes than attitudes do on future heavy episodic drinking.

Reciprocal associations of future time perspective and smartphone addiction among Chinese college students: Disaggregation of between-person and within-person effects

Smartphone addiction negatively affects physical and mental health. Future time perspective, a key personality and social cognitive factor, may not only be a protective factor for addictive behaviors but may also be shaped during the development of addiction. Based on three waves of data collected from Chinese college students (N = 622, 46.95% male, Mage = 18.16, SD = 1.49), this study examined the within-person and between-person effects on the associations between future time perspective and smartphone addiction. The results of the traditional cross-lagged model demonstrated a bidirectional negative association between future time perspective and smartphone addiction. The results of the random intercept cross-lagged panel model also indicated a reciprocal negative within-person effect between future time perspective and smartphone use consistently over time while controlling for the significantly negative between-person effect. These findings deepen the understanding of the longitudinal relationship between future time perspective and smartphone addiction.

Onset and offset of nonsuicidal self-injury prospectively associates with emotion regulation and suicide ideation in adolescents

OBJECTIVE

Suicide ideation and attempts are increasing for individuals between the ages of 15 and 24. Emotion dysregulation is a common factor that has been linked to many risky behaviors including NSSI and suicidal ideation. The current study aimed to longitudinally examine how the onset and offset of NSSI associated with changes in emotion regulation domains and suicidal ideation in a community sample of adolescents.

METHOD

Participants between the ages of 14-17 were asked about NSSI, emotion regulation, and suicide ideation at baseline and 6-month follow-up. Most adolescents reported no NSSI at either timepoint (n = 316; 83 %); 5 % (n = 20) reported NSSI at both time points, 6 % (n = 23) had onset NSSI, and 6 % (n = 23) had offset NSSI. NSSI change groups were compared on emotion regulation domains and suicide ideation across time.

RESULTS

Adolescents who consistently did or did not engage in NSSI across time did not report any changes in emotion dysregulation or suicide ideation. Adolescents who reported an onset of NSSI during the follow-up also reported an increase in lack of impulse control and suicide ideation severity. Adolescents who stopped engaging in NSSI during the follow-up reported significantly better impulse control, better access to emotion regulation strategies, and increased use of reappraisal.

CONCLUSIONS

These results hold potential for interventions that help adolescents find alternative coping/emotion regulation strategies outside of NSSI use.

Collateral effects of Coping Power on caregiver symptoms of depression and long-term changes in child behavior

A large body of research demonstrates positive impacts of the Coping Power Program as a preventive intervention for youth behavioral outcomes, but potential collateral effects for caregivers is less known. The current study examined whether the youth-focused Coping Power Program can have a secondary impact on caregiver self-reported symptoms of depression and in turn result in longer-term impacts on child disruptive behavior problems including aggression, conduct problems and hyperactivity. Data from 360 youth/caregiver pairs across 8 waves of data (grades 4 through 10) were analyzed. We used two methodological approaches to (a) assess indirect effects in the presence of potential bidirectionality using timepoint-to-timepoint dynamic effects under Autoregressive Latent Trajectory modeling and (b) estimate scale scores in the presence of measurement non-invariance. Results showed that individually delivered Coping Power (ICP) produced greater direct effects on conduct problems and indirect effects on general externalizing and hyperactivity (through reductions in caregiver self-reported symptoms of depression), compared to group Coping Power (GCP). In comparison to GCP, ICP produced similar direct effects on reductions in caregiver depression. Child-focused prevention interventions can have an indirect impact on caregiver depression, which later shows improvements in longer-term reductions for child disruptive problems.

Longitudinal Effect of Depression on Generalised Pathological Internet Use and the Mechanisms of This Effect: A Four-Wave Follow-Up of Chinese University Students

By employing the cognitive-behavioural model and self-control theory, the present study investigated the longitudinal effects of depression on GPIU. Although numerous cross-sectional studies have investigated the association between depression and generalised pathological Internet use (GPIU), debates persist regarding the longitudinal effects of depression on GPIU. Moreover, little is known regarding the longitudinal mechanisms underlying this association. A total of 912 university students with an average age of 18.36 years (standard deviation = 0.82 years) at the time of the first survey participated in the study. They completed four assessments spaced 6 months apart over a 2-year period. The results indicate that (i) depression can predict GPIU over time; (ii) depression can predict GPIU through the mediating effects of perceived social support, maladaptive cognitions, and self-control over time respectively; and (iii) depression can predict GPIU through sequential mediating effects of perceived social support to self-control over time. Additionally, the associations among studied variables were more suitable for male, urban registered residence, and low family income students. These results have implications for interventions targeting GPIU.

Reciprocal relationships between adolescent mental health difficulties and alcohol consumption

The directionality of the relationship between adolescent alcohol consumption and mental health difficulties remains poorly understood. This study investigates the longitudinal relationship between alcohol use frequency, internalizing and externalizing symptoms from the ages of 11 to 17. We conducted a random-intercept cross-lagged panel model across three timepoints (ages: 11yrs, 14yrs, 17yrs; 50.4% female) in the Millennium Cohort Study (N = 10,647). Survey weights were used to account for attrition. At each timepoint, past month alcohol use frequency was self-reported, parents and cohort members reported internalizing/externalizing symptoms using the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire. We controlled for alcohol expectancies, sex, and four cumulative risk indices (perinatal risk, early childhood adverse parenting, longitudinal parent-level risk occurrence, and persistent household socioeconomic deprivation). More frequent past month alcohol use at age 11 predicted increased internalizing symptoms at age 14 (β = 0.06; p =.01). More frequent past month alcohol use at age 14 predicted increased externalizing symptoms at age 17 (β = 0.11; p <.001). Increased internalizing symptoms consistently predicted reduced alcohol use at the next timepoint throughout the study period (11 years: β= -0.04; p =.03; 14 years: β= -0.09; p <.001). Increased externalizing symptoms at age 11 predicted increased alcohol consumption at age 14 (β = 0.06; p =.004). Frequent adolescent alcohol consumption represents a significant risk for subsequent mental health difficulties. Externalizing symptoms and alcohol use frequency appear to exacerbate one another. Internalizing symptoms may reduce the risk of frequent alcohol consumption. Incorporating routine alcohol screening into adolescent mental health treatment settings could reduce the risk of comorbid externalizing and alcohol use disorders.

"I must make the grade!": the role of cognitive appraisals, irrational beliefs, exam anxiety, and affect, in the academic self-concept of undergraduate students

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Examination anxiety is a common occurrence, and is potentially detrimental to student attainment. In recent theorizing, it has been suggested that cognitive appraisals, as put forth in cognitive appraisal theory, and irrational beliefs, as put forth in rational emotive behavior therapy, may interact to predict affectivity. The current research examines the antecedents and associates of examination affect and academic self-concept in undergraduate students.

DESIGN

A preliminary study applied confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) to test the factor structure of an irrational beliefs inventory. Study 1 utilized a cross-sectional and correlational approach to testing core theoretical assumptions. Study 2 took a two-wave longitudinal and path analytical approach to examine temporal effects between target variables.

METHOD

All self-report data collection took place in the United Kingdom with university students. We recruited n = 1150, n = 362, n = 662 for preliminary, study 1, and study 2, respectively.

RESULTS

Across studies, data indicated that a pattern of adaptive cognitive appraisal was associated with more advantageous affectivity, and better academic self-concept.

CONCLUSIONS

Reciprocal temporal relationships were revealed between many variables, supporting an interactive and bidirectional view of how cognition and affect are related pertaining to examination anxiety.

How do early affiliative memories explain body image shame? A 12-month longitudinal study in adolescent girls

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to explain adolescent girls' body image shame across a 12- month longitudinal design, and its relationship with early parental memories of warmth and safeness and fear of receiving compassion from others.

DESIGN AND METHODS

Participants included 231 adolescent girls, who completed self-report measures at three different periods: baseline (W1), 6-month follow-up (W2), and 12-month follow-up (W3). Descriptive and correlational analyses were performed, and differences between participants at the different waves were explored through repeated measures ANOVA. A cross-lagged panel model tested the mediational effect of fears of receiving compassion on the association between early affiliative memories (W1) and body image shame (W3).

RESULTS

ANOVA results found significant differences throughout time in memories of warmth and safeness (tending to diminish) and in body image shame (tending to rise). Correlation analysis revealed that all variables were significantly associated in the expected directions, across the three waves. Finally, path analysis revealed that early affiliative parental memories (in W1) had a direct effect on body image shame (in W3), through the fear of receiving compassion from others (in W2), accounting for 85% of body image shame's variance (W3).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings indicate that the lack of early affiliative memories often leads to the development of defensive mechanisms such as fears of receiving compassion from others which in turn can foster isolation and distant relationships, enhancing feelings of inferiority and inadequacy, which in female adolescents can emerge centered on body image - body image shame. This study further highlights the importance of prevention and intervention strategies based on compassion to specifically target fears of receiving compassion from others, in adolescent girls dealing with feelings of inferiority and shame regarding their body.

Going it alone: Examining interpersonal sensitivity and hostility as mediators of the link between perfectionism and social disconnection

OBJECTIVE

Perfectionism is linked to a variety of mental health conditions in university students. The Perfectionism Social Disconnection Model posits that perfectionistic individuals exhibit off-putting interpersonal behaviors (i.e., rejection sensitivity and hostility), which lead to social disconnection, and in turn contribute to psychological distress. Although several longitudinal studies have found that social disconnection mediates the link between perfectionistic traits and psychological distress, less is known about how perfectionism leads to social disconnection. The present study aimed to address this gap.

METHODS

A sample of 877 university students completed one survey a month for three consecutive months.

RESULTS

Our random-intercept cross-lagged panel model results showed significant positive associations between the random intercepts of socially prescribed and self-oriented perfectionism with rejection sensitivity, hostility, and loneliness, with stronger associations for socially prescribed perfectionism. In addition, the random intercept of other-oriented perfectionism showed positive associations with hostility but not rejection sensitivity or loneliness. Moreover, almost all cross-lagged paths were nonsignificant.

CONCLUSION

Collectively, these findings indicate that although perfectionistic traits may be associated with rejection sensitivity and hostility to varying degrees at the between-person level, these behaviors may not cause social disconnection at the within-person level.

Between- and within-child level associations between externalizing and internalizing behavior problems in a nationally representative sample of US elementary school children

BACKGROUND

Both transactional and common etiological models have been proposed as explanations of why externalizing behavior problems (EBP) and internalizing behavior problems (IBP) co-occur in children. Yet little research has empirically evaluated these competing theoretical explanations. We examined whether EBP and IBP are transactionally related at the within-child level while also identifying antecedents commonly associated with between-child differences in underlying stability of both EBP and IBP across elementary school.

METHODS

We analyzed a nationally representative and longitudinal sample of US schoolchildren (N = 7,326; 51% male) using random-intercept cross-lagged panel modeling (RI-CLPM). We used teacher ratings of EBP and IBP as annually assessed from the spring of kindergarten (Mage = 6.12 years) through the spring of 5th grade (Mage = 11.09 years). Early childhood antecedents included child internal (i.e. inhibitory control, cognitive flexibility, working memory, and language/literacy) and external factors (i.e. parental warmth, harsh parenting, parenting stress, and maternal depressive symptoms).

RESULTS

We found little evidence for within-child, transactional relations between EBP and IBP. Both types of behavior problems instead were substantially associated at the between-child level. Inhibitory control was the strongest common antecedent that explained this longitudinal overlap. Cognitive flexibility, working memory, language/literacy skills, and maternal depression contributed specifically to the stability of IBP. Measures of parenting were specific to the stability of EBP.

CONCLUSIONS

Common etiological factors rather than transactional relations better explain the co-occurrence of EBP and IBP during elementary school. Inhibitory control is a promising target of early intervention efforts for schoolchildren at risk of displaying both EBP and IBP.

Effect of social class on personal control beliefs

OBJECTIVE

This research investigated the effect of social class on personal control beliefs.

BACKGROUND

Differences in personal control beliefs serve as a central theoretical explanation for social class differences in cognition, emotion, and behavior. However, prior empirical research has not yet conclusively demonstrated that personal control beliefs differ between social classes.

METHOD

Across four studies (total N = 138,417), we investigated the link between social class and personal control beliefs with well-established measures of social class (e.g., ISEI, McArthur Scale),representative samples, and data that allow for causal conclusions (e.g., experimental, and longitudinal data).

RESULTS

We found that (a) higher social class was associated with higher personal control beliefs across 60 countries. Furthermore, we observed that (b) higher social class of parents was associated with higher personal control beliefs in their children, and that (c) experimentally induced higher (vs. lower) social class led to increases (vs. decreases) of personal control beliefs.

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals from lower social classes consistently have weaker personal control beliefs than individuals from upper social classes. Social class differences in this fundamental personality characteristic are bound to have important consequences in various life domains (e.g., psychological and physical well-being, and academic success).

Longitudinal examination of alcohol demand and alcohol-related reinforcement as predictors of heavy drinking and adverse alcohol consequences in emerging adults

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Behavioral economic theory predicts that high alcohol demand and high proportionate alcohol-related reinforcement are important determinants of risky alcohol use in emerging adults, but the majority of research to date has been cross-sectional in nature. The present study investigated prospective and dynamic relationships between alcohol demand and proportionate alcohol-related reinforcement in relation to heavy drinking days and alcohol problems.

DESIGN

Longitudinal cohort with assessments every 4 months for 20 months.

SETTING

Ontario, Canada.

PARTICIPANTS

Emerging adults reporting regular heavy episodic drinking (n = 636, Mage = 21.44; 55.8% female).

MEASUREMENTS

Heavy drinking days (HDD; Daily Drinking Questionnaire), alcohol problems (Brief Young Adult Alcohol Consequences Questionnaire), alcohol demand (Alcohol Purchase Task) and proportionate alcohol-related reinforcement (Activity Level Questionnaire).

FINDINGS

Linear mixed effects models revealed that behavioral economic indicators and alcohol-related outcomes significantly decreased over the study, consistent with 'aging out' of risky alcohol use. Random intercept cross-lagged panel models revealed significant between-person relationships, such that higher alcohol demand and alcohol-related reinforcement were positively associated with HDD and alcohol problems (random intercepts = 0.187-0.534, Ps < 0.01). Moreover, alcohol demand indicators (particularly the rate of change in elasticity of the demand curve, as measured by α, and the maximum expenditure, Omax) and proportionate alcohol-related reinforcement significantly forecasted changes in HDD at all time points (|βs| = 0.063-0.103, Ps < 0.05) in cross-lagged relationships, with bidirectional associations noted for the rate of change in elasticity (βs = -0.085 to -0.104, Ps < 0.01). Proportionate alcohol-related reinforcement also significantly forecasted changes in alcohol problems at all time points (βs = 0.072-0.112, Ps < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple behavioral economic indicators (demand elasticity, maximum expenditure and reinforcement ratio) forecast changes in heavy episodic drinking and alcohol problems over the course of emerging adulthood. These results further implicate alcohol demand and proportionate alcohol-related reinforcement as etiologically and developmentally important mechanisms in alcohol use trajectories.

The longitudinal mediating effect of rumination on the relationship between depressive symptoms and problematic smartphone use in Chinese university students: A three-wave cross-lagged panel analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Although previous studies have considered rumination a possible mediator of the relationship between mental health and problematic smartphone use (PSU), few prospective studies have been conducted, limiting the ability to draw causal inferences. Therefore, the current study aimed to examine the mediating role of rumination on the depression-PSU relationship using three-wave cross-lagged panel models (CLPMs) with longitudinal data.

METHODS

A sample of 321 medical students from China Medical University completed three waves of online measures of depressive symptoms, rumination, and PSU. The three-wave CLPMs were constructed to examine the mediating role of rumination.

RESULTS

Our results demonstrated that depressive symptoms were bidirectionally related to rumination, and that rumination was bidirectionally related to PSU. The reciprocal CLPM suggested that depressive symptoms at Time 1 positively affected PSU at Time 3 via rumination at Time 2. The indirect effect was significant, with a path coefficient of 0.023 (95% CI: 0.004 to 0.042). Conversely, PSU at Time 1 positively affected depressive symptoms at Time 3 via rumination at Time 2, with a path coefficient of 0.015 (95% CI: 0.001 to 0.029).

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS

This prospective study provided empirical evidence of the influence of depression on PSU and vice versa among Chinese university students. It also highlighted the importance of rumination in the depression-PSU relationship, revealing a bidirectional mediating role of rumination. Additional large-scale multi-wave longitudinal studies are needed to verify our results.

Aggression and Irritability in Middle Childhood: Between- and Within-Person Associations

OBJECTIVE

This study tested predicted bidirectional associations between irritability and physical and relational forms of aggression, disentangling theorized within- and between-person effects using latent curve models with structured residuals (LCM-SR) over one year in middle childhood. Gender differences and robustness of results when controlling for other externalizing problems (i.e., attention problems, delinquency) were also considered.

METHOD

Children in third, fourth, and fifth grade (N = 704, 49.9% female) were recruited from schools in a large midwestern city. The sample was diverse in regard to race/ethnicity (31% Black, 29% White, 13% Hmong, 14% Latinx, 4% Native American, 4% Asian, 5% other races/ethnicities). Irritability, attention problems, and delinquency were measured using teacher-report, and physical and relational aggression were measured using self-report at three time points over one calendar year.

RESULTS

At the between-person level, higher mean levels of irritability predicted higher initial levels of physical and relational aggression. Irritability continued to predict higher levels of physical aggression across the course of the study, whereas the effect of irritability on relational aggression diminished. Boys showed higher starting levels of physical aggression, but no other significant gender differences emerged. No significant within-person associations were found.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study suggests that irritability may represent a between-person risk factor for high levels of physical and relational aggression in middle childhood, although effects on physical aggression may be more persistent. This highlights the importance of considering affective processes to understand the development of aggression trajectories.

The Longitudinal Interplay between Adverse Peer Experiences and Self-Regulation Facets: A Prospective Analysis during Middle Childhood

Positive peer experiences and self-regulation (SR) skills are crucial for children's healthy development, but little is known about how they interact during middle childhood. Therefore, we examined the prospective links between adverse peer experiences (APEs) and SR, drawing from the dataset of the PIER study. Across three measurement points, 1654 children aged 6-11 (T1), 7-11 (T2), and 9-13 years (T3) were included. We assessed the SR facets updating, flexibility, inhibition, emotional reactivity, inhibitory control, and planning using computerized tasks, parent- and teacher-reports. The latent variable of APEs consisted of measures of peer victimization and peer rejection assessed via self-, parent-, and teacher-report. Separate cross-lagged panel models were calculated, investigating the interplay of each SR facet and APEs. Results indicated that experiencing more APEs at T1 predicted higher emotional reactivity, and lower inhibition, inhibitory control, updating, and flexibility at T2. More APEs at T2 predicted higher emotional reactivity and lower planning at T3. Lower inhibition, updating, and flexibility at T2 predicted more APEs at T3. Accordingly, we found a negative bidirectional relationship between inhibition, updating, and flexibility with APEs. Our findings highlight that during middle childhood more APEs predict lower SR, which in turn predicts more experiences of peer victimization and rejection.

Too Tired to Think: Within and Between-Person Relations Among Impulsive Traits, Sleep Duration, and Mental Health Outcomes

Heavier drinking and depression are common mental health concerns in the USA, yet few studies have sought to understand transdiagnostic risk factors for both. Two health-focused risk factors are impulsive personality traits and sleep duration, but research typically separates the two, precluding additive and interactive relations. The current study sought to test a theoretical model where risk conferred from impulsive traits is heightened when individuals have reduced sleep. Public-access data from the National Longitudinal Study on Adolescent to Adult Health (Add Health) were used to test study hypotheses. Participants reported on impulsive traits (i.e., lack of premeditation, sensation seeking), sleep duration, depression, and drinking across three waves spanning adolescence, emerging adulthood, and adulthood. Multilevel models distinguished risk processes at the between- vs. within-person level. At the between-person level, sensation seeking predicted drinking whereas premeditation predicted depression. Additionally, within-person deviations in both traits were associated with drinking, whereas within-person deviations in premeditation were associated with depression. Sleep duration was protective against outcomes at both levels. However, main effects were qualified by interactions at both levels, such that having below average sleep duration heightened the effects of premeditation at the between-person level, whereas within-person decreases in sleep heightened the effects of sensation seeking at the within-person level. Findings support a theoretical model where poor sleep exacerbates risk conferred from impulsive traits. Risk conferred from impulsive traits diverged based upon level of analysis, suggesting that global and just-in-time interventions may benefit from targeting specific impulsive traits as well as sleep.

Longitudinal Associations between Homelessness and Substance Use: Investigating Demographic Differences for Young Adults in Treatment

Objective: To examine prospective, bidirectional associations between homelessness and substance use frequency among young adults receiving substance use treatment in the United States. We also investigated potential differences across demographic subgroups. Methods: Young adults (N = 3717, Mage = 20.1, 28% female, 7.3% sexual/gender minority, and 37% non-Hispanic White) receiving substance use treatment in the U.S. completed assessments at intake, 3 months, 6 months, and 12 months post-intake. Latent growth curve models with structured residuals (LGC-SR) were used to examine cross-lagged associations between homeless days and frequency of substance use and associated problems. Models were stratified by sex, race/ethnicity, and sexual and/or gender minority status. Results: Overall, days spent homeless (μ slope = -0.19, p = 0.046) and substance use frequency (μ slope 1 = -6.19, p < 0.001) significantly decreased during treatment, with no significant cross-lagged associations between homeless days and substance use frequency. However, results differed by race and ethnicity. For non-Hispanic White young adults, greater substance use at treatment entry was associated with steeper declines in homeless days between-persons (ϕ standardized = -0.14, p = 0.04). For African Americans, homeless days at treatment entry were associated with greater increases in substance use between-persons (ϕ standardized = 0.29, p = 0.04). No significant differences were found by sex or sexual/gender minority status. Conclusions: Despite overall declines in homelessness and substance use during treatment, these outcomes may unfold differently for non-Hispanic White and African American young adults. More support may be needed for African American young adults reporting homelessness at treatment entry.

Underlying patterns of the co-occurrence of tobacco use and mental health among youth

We aimed to examine how bidirectional relationships between mental health problems and tobacco use are formed over time by types of tobacco use in recent samples of U.S. youth. Data were drawn from Waves 1-4 of the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health Study (N = 10,082) and analyzed using cross-lagged panel models. A high level of internalizing problems at Wave 1 predicted conventional cigarette smoking (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 1.19, 95% CI = 1.06-1.34) and e-cigarette use (AOR = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.09-1.43) at Wave 2, but not vice versa. Both cigarette smoking and e-cigarette use at Wave 2 tended to persist into Wave 3, which, in turn, increased the risk of subsequent internalizing problems in late adolescence or young adulthood (Wave 4). The bidirectional relationship between tobacco use and internalizing problems seems to begin as a procession from internalizing problems to tobacco use, and then from persistent tobacco use to exacerbated internalizing problems over time.

Temporal reciprocal relationships among anxiety, depression, and posttraumatic stress disorder for family surrogates from intensive care units over their first two bereavement years

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE

Bereaved family surrogates from intensive care units (ICU) are at risk of comorbid anxiety, depression, and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), but the temporal reciprocal relationships among them have only been examined once among veterans. This study aimed to longitudinally investigate these never-before-examined temporal reciprocal relationships for ICU family members over their first two bereavement years.

METHODS

In this prospective, longitudinal, observational study, symptoms of anxiety, depression, and PTSD were assessed among 321 family surrogates of ICU decedents from 2 academically affiliated hospitals in Taiwan by the anxiety and depression subscales of the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, and the Impact of Event Scale-Revised, respectively at 1, 3, 6, 13, 18, and 24 months postloss. Cross-lagged panel modeling was conducted to longitudinally examine the temporal reciprocal relationships among anxiety, depression, and PTSD.

RESULTS

Examined psychological-distress levels were markedly stable over the first 2 bereavement years: autoregressive coefficients for symptoms of anxiety, depression, and PTSD were 0.585-0.770, 0.546-0.780, and 0.440-0.780, respectively. Cross-lag coefficients showed depressive symptoms predicted PTSD symptoms in the first bereavement year, whereas PTSD symptoms predicted depressive symptoms in the second bereavement year. Anxiety symptoms predicted symptoms of depression and PTSD at 13 and 24 months postloss, whereas depressive symptoms predicted anxiety symptoms at 3 and 6 months postloss while PTSD symptoms predicted anxiety symptoms during the second bereavement year.

CONCLUSIONS

Different patterns of temporal relationships among symptoms of anxiety, depression, and PTSD over the first 2 bereavement years present important opportunities to target symptoms of specific psychological distress at different points during bereavement to prevent the onset, exacerbation, or maintenance of subsequent psychological distress.

Maturing Out: Between- and Within-Persons Changes in Social-Network Drinking, Drinking Identity, and Hazardous Drinking Following College Graduation

Many college students reduce hazardous drinking (HD) following graduation without treatment. Identifying cognitive mechanisms facilitating this "natural" reduction in HD during this transition is crucial. We evaluated drinking identity as a potential mechanism and tested whether within-person changes in one's social network's drinking were linked to within-person changes in drinking identity and subsequent within-person changes in HD. A sample of 422 undergraduates reporting HD was followed from six months before until two years after graduation. Their drinking, drinking identity, and social networks were assessed online. Within-person changes in drinking identity did not mediate the relationship between within-person changes in social network drinking and personal HD, though significant positive between-person associations among all constructs were found. Instead, there was some evidence that within-person changes in drinking identity followed changes in HD, suggesting that drinking identity may function as a marker versus mechanism of "natural" HD reduction during transition out of college.

Relationships between eating disorder symptoms, muscle dysmorphia symptoms, and suicidal ideation: A random intercepts cross-lagged panel approach

OBJECTIVE

Eating disorder (ED) symptoms correlate with suicidality; yet the strength of these relationships in men is unclear. Muscle dysmorphia (MD) symptoms may reflect a more accurate index of body-related concerns for men, as they better target muscularity concerns typical of men. However, no studies have tested a model in which ED/MD symptoms and suicidality are simultaneously examined. We longitudinally tested whether ED/MD symptoms were related to suicidal ideation among a community sample of men.

METHODS

Men with MD symptoms (N = 272) were recruited to complete three surveys over 6 weeks. A random intercepts cross-lagged panel model tested predictive associations between ED/MD symptoms and suicidal ideation, while disaggregating between/within-person variance.

RESULTS

ED/MD symptoms were significantly associated with suicidal ideation at the between-subjects level (ED: b = .04; MD: b = .09) and showed significant within-wave covariances with suicidal ideation (ED: b = .02-.04; MD: b = .02-.05). Those who experienced increases in ED symptoms showed increased suicidal ideation at the next wave (b = .32). Those who experienced increases in suicidal ideation showed increases in MD symptoms at the next wave (b = .85).

DISCUSSION

Results highlight ED symptoms as a potential risk factor for suicidal ideation among men. Further, suicidal ideation predicted MD symptoms. ED symptoms may create intra- and interpersonal distress predicting suicidal ideation. Suicidal ideation may lead to muscle-building behaviors to cope with suicidal thoughts. Clinicians should assess for suicidal ideation among men at risk for MD/EDs, and for MD symptoms among those reporting suicidal ideation.

PUBLIC SIGNIFICANCE

Eating disorder (ED) symptoms are related to suicidality, but these relationships are understudied among men. Since men report concerns surrounding muscularity, muscle dysmorphia (MD) may be a better ED index for this population. However, little research has investigated relationships between ED symptoms, MD symptoms, and suicidality among men. This study investigated relationships between ED/MD symptoms and suicidality among 272 men. Results may inform clinical assessment, treatment, and classification of MD.

Dynamic longitudinal relations among solitary drinking, coping motives, & alcohol problems during emerging adulthood

INTRODUCTION

Solitary drinking (i.e., drinking alone) and coping drinking motives are risk factors for alcohol problems. Theoretical models suggest that solitary drinking and coping motives are highly related. However, the direction of effects between solitary drinking and coping motives is unclear. It also remains unclear if relations are present solely at the between-person level, or if there are also dynamic, within-person relations. Therefore, the current study tested dynamic, reciprocal relations among solitary drinking, coping motives, and alcohol problems using Random Intercept Cross Lagged Panel Modeling (RI-CLPM).

METHODS

Data came from a large alcohol administration study with longitudinal follow-ups over 2 years (N = 448). Participants completed a baseline session and then were followed up 6, 12, 18, and 24 months later. Participants reported their solitary drinking frequency, coping motives, drinking behavior, and alcohol problems at all assessments.

RESULTS

Person-level solitary drinking was related to person-level coping motives and alcohol problems, and person-level coping motives were related to person-level alcohol problems. There were also contemporaneous within-person effects, such that a within-person increase in solitary drinking was associated with a concurrent within-person increase in coping motives, and a within-person increase in coping motives was associated with a concurrent within-person increase in alcohol problems. There were no within-person prospective relations among any variables.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings suggest strong between-person associations among solitary drinking, coping motives, and alcohol problems. Within-person associations were concurrent but not prospective. Targeting solitary and coping-motivated drinkers, as well within-person increases in both, may be effective at reducing risk for alcohol problems.

Directional Ordering of Self-Concept, School Grades, and Standardized Tests Over Five Years: New Tripartite Models Juxtaposing Within- and Between-Person Perspectives

Much research shows academic self-concept and achievement are reciprocally related over time, based on traditional longitudinal data cross-lag-panel models (CLPM) supporting a reciprocal effects model (REM). However, recent research has challenged CLPM's appropriateness, arguing that CLPMs with random intercepts (RI-CLPMs) provide a more robust (within-person) perspective and better control for unmeasured covariates. However, there is much confusion in educational-psychology research concerning appropriate research questions and interpretations of RI-CLPMs and CLPMs. To clarify this confusion, we juxtapose CLPMs and RI-CLPMs relating math self-concept (MSCs), school grades, and achievement tests over the five years of compulsory secondary schooling (N = 3,425). We extend basic models to evaluate: directional ordering among three rather than only two constructs; longitudinal invariance over time (multiple school years) and multiple groups (school tracks); lag-2 paths between non-adjacent waves; and covariates (gender, primary-school math and verbal achievement). Across all basic and extended RI-CLPMs and CLPMs, there was consistent support for the REM bidirectional-ordering hypothesis that self-concept and achievement are each a cause and an effect of the other. Consistent with the logic of these models, extensions of the basic models had more effect on CLPMs, but the direction and statistical significance of cross-lagged paths were largely unaffected for both RI-CLPMs and CLPMs. This substantive-methodological synergy has important implications for theory, methodology, and policy/practice; we support the importance of MSC as a predictor of subsequent achievement and demonstrate a more robust methodological framework for evaluating longitudinal-panel models.

Conformity to masculine norms, masculine discrepancy stress, and changes in muscle dysmorphia symptoms

Muscle dysmorphia (MD) is a severe psychiatric illness; however, little is known regarding risk factors for MD development. Conformity to masculine norms may represent a risk factor for MD, but research has yet to establish temporal ordering for these relationships. Masculine discrepancy stress (distress at not amounting to masculine stereotypes) could represent a mechanism underlying these relationships. Therefore, the current study examined longitudinal relationships between conformity to masculine norms, masculine discrepancy stress, and MD symptoms. Participants were 272 men displaying elevated MD symptoms who completed self-report questionnaires at three timepoints. An autoregressive cross-lagged mediation model was specified to examine relationships between conformity to masculine norms and MD symptoms and test if masculine discrepancy stress mediated these relationships. Masculine discrepancy stress did not mediate relationships between masculine norms and MD symptoms. However, MD symptoms predicted increased masculine discrepancy stress, and conformity to masculine norms was related to MD symptoms. MD symptoms were both a predictor and outcome of masculine norms, and signs for relationships differed on the masculine norm endorsed. Conformity to masculine norms may represent a risk factor and outcome for MD symptoms. If clinicians provide clients with tools to reduce rigid adherence to masculine identities, this may prevent MD symptom development.