Clinical outcomes in patients with node-negative breast cancer treated based on the recurrence score results: evidence from a large prospectively designed registry

Optimal adjuvant therapy in older (≥70 years of age) women with low-risk early-stage breast cancer

Older women are under-represented in breast cancer (BC) clinical trials, and treatment guidelines are primarily based on BC studies in younger women. Studies uniformly report an increased incidence of local relapse with omission of breast radiation therapy. Review of the available literature suggests very low rates of distant relapse in women ≥70 years of age. The incremental benefit of endocrine therapy in decreasing rate of distant relapse and improving disease-free survival in older patients with low-risk BC remains unclear. Integration of molecular genomic assays in diagnosis and treatment of estrogen receptor positive BC presents an opportunity for optimizing risk-tailored adjuvant therapies in ways that may permit treatment de-escalation among older women with early-stage BC. The prevailing knowledge gap and lack of risk-specific adjuvant therapy guidelines suggests a compelling need for prospective trials to inform selection of optimal adjuvant therapy, including omission of adjuvant endocrine therapy in older women with low risk BC.

Second breast cancer: recurrence score results, clinicopathologic characteristics, adjuvant treatments, and outcomes-exploratory analysis of the Clalit registry

Data on using the 21-gene Recurrence Score (RS) testing on second breast cancer (BC; second primary or local recurrence) are lacking. This cohort study examined patients with first and second BC, who underwent 21-gene testing both times. It included a 'study-cohort' (60 N0/N1mi/N1 ER + HER2‒ BC patients with ≥2 RS results >1 year apart) and a 'general 21-gene-tested BC-cohort' (2044 previously described N0/N1mi/N1 patients). The median time between the first and second BC was 5.2 (IQR, 3.1-7.1) years; the second BC was ipsilateral in 68%. Patient/tumor characteristics of the first- and second-BC in the 'study-cohort' were similar, except for the RS which was higher in the second BC (median [IQR]: 23 [17-30] vs 17 [14-22], p < 0.001). Overall, 56 patients had follow-up data, of whom 5 experienced distant recurrence (2 RS 11-25 patients and 3 RS 26-100 patients). Studies exploring the prognostic utility of the RS in this setting are warranted.

Genomic signature to guide adjuvant chemotherapy treatment decisions for early breast cancer patients in France: a cost-effectiveness analysis

Introduction

Chemotherapy (CT) is commonly used as an adjuvant treatment for women with early breast cancer (BC). However, not all patients benefit from CT, while all are exposed to its short- and long-term toxicity. The Oncotype DX^® test assesses cancer-related gene expression to estimate the risk of BC recurrence and predict the benefit of chemotherapy. The aim of this study was to estimate, from the French National Health Insurance (NHI) perspective, the cost-effectiveness of the Oncotype DX^® test compared to standard of care (SoC; involving clinicopathological risk assessment only) among women with early, hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative BC considered at high clinicopathological risk of recurrence.

Methods

Clinical outcomes and costs were estimated over a lifetime horizon based on a two-component model that comprised a short-term decision tree representing the adjuvant treatment choice guided by the therapeutic decision support strategy (Oncotype DX^® test or SoC) and a Markov model to capture long-term outcomes.

Results

In the base case, the Oncotype DX^® test reduced CT use by 55.2% and resulted in 0.337 incremental quality-adjusted life-years gained and cost savings of €3,412 per patient, compared with SoC. Being more effective and less costly than SoC, Oncotype DX^® testing was the dominant strategy.

Discussion

Widespread implementation of Oncotype DX^® testing would improve patient care, provide equitable access to more personalized medicine, and bring cost savings to the health system.

Impact of non-adherence to endocrine therapy on recurrence risk in older women with stage I breast cancer after breast-conserving surgery

PURPOSE

We examined the impact of non-adherence to adjuvant endocrine therapy (ET) on the risk and site of recurrence among older women with early stage, hormone receptor positive (HR+) breast cancer (EBC).

METHODS

A population-based cohort of women age ≥ 65 years with T1N0 HR + EBC who were diagnosed between 2010 and 2016 and treated with breast-conserving surgery (BCS) + ET was identified. Treatment and outcomes were ascertained through linkage with administrative databases. ET non-adherence was examined as a time-dependent covariate in multivariable cause-specific Cox regression models to evaluate its effect on the risks of ipsilateral local recurrence (LR), contralateral breast cancer, and distant metastases.

RESULTS

The population cohort includes 2637 women; 73% (N = 1934) received radiation (RT) + ET and 27% (N = 703) received ET alone. At a median follow-up of 8.14 years, the first event was LR in 3.6% of women treated with ET alone and 1.4% for those treated with RT + ET (p < 0.001); the risk of distant metastases was < 1% in both groups. The proportion of time adherent to ET was 69.0% among those treated with RT + ET and 62.8% for those treated with ET alone. On multivariable analysis, increasing proportion of time non-adherent to ET was associated with increased risk of LR ((HR = 1.52 per 20% increase in time; 95%CI 1.25, 1.85; p < 0.001), contralateral BC (HR = 1.55; 95%CI 1.30, 1.84; p < 0.001), and distant metastases (HR = 1.44; 95%CI 1.08, 1.94; p = 0.01) but absolute risks were low.

CONCLUSION

Non-adherence to adjuvant ET was associated with an increased risk of recurrence, but absolute recurrence rates were low.

Clinical outcomes in estrogen receptor-positive early-stage breast cancer patients with Recurrence Score 26-30: observational real-world cohort study

Data on adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) benefit in ER + HER2‒ early-stage breast cancer (EBC) patients with Recurrence Score (RS) 26-30 are limited. This real-world study evaluated the relationships between the RS, adjuvant treatments, and outcomes in 534 RS 26-30 patients tested through Clalit Health Services (N0: n = 394, 49% CT-treated; N1mi/N1: n = 140, 62% CT-treated). The CT-treated and untreated groups were imbalanced (more high-risk clinicopathologic characteristics in CT-treated patients). With median follow-up of 8 years, Kaplan-Meier estimates for overall survival (OS), distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS), and BC-specific mortality (BCSM) were not significantly different between CT-treated and untreated N0 patients. Seven-year rates (95% CI) in CT-treated vs untreated: OS, 97.9% (94.4-99.2%) vs 97.9% (94.6-99.2%); DRFS, 91.5% (86.6-94.7%) vs 91.2% (86.0-94.6%); BCSM, 0.5% (0.1-3.7%) vs 1.6% (0.5-4.7%). For N1mi/N1 patients, OS/DRFS did not differ significantly between treatment groups; whereas BCSM did (1.3% [0.2-8.6%] vs 6.2% [2.0-17.7%] for CT-treated and untreated patients, respectively, p = 0.024).

Impact of the 21-gene expression assay on treatment decisions and clinical outcomes in breast cancer with one to three positive lymph nodes

BACKGROUND

To assess the practice patterns of the recurrence score (RS) based on the 21-gene expression assay on adjuvant chemotherapy recommendations and survival outcomes in estrogen receptor-positive (ER+)/HER2- breast cancer (BC) with one to three positive lymph nodes (N1).

METHODS

We included patients with T1-2N1M0 and ER+/HER2- BC diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Oncotype DX Database. Breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed.

RESULTS

We included 35,137 patients in this study. There were 21.2% of patients who had RS testing in 2010, which was significantly increased to 36.8% in 2015 (P < 0.001). Performance of the 21-gene testing was associated with older age, lower tumor grade, T1 stage, lower number of positive lymph nodes, and progesterone receptor-positive disease (all P < 0.05). In those without 21-gene testing, age was the main factor significantly related to the receipt of chemotherapy, whereas RS was the main factor significantly related to chemotherapy receipt in those with 21-gene testing. The probability of chemotherapy receipt in those without 21-gene testing was 64.1% and was decreased to 30.8% in those with 21-gene testing. On multivariate prognostic analysis, the performance of 21-gene testing was associated with better BCSS (P < 0.001) and OS (P < 0.001) compared with those without 21-gene testing. Similar results were found after propensity score matching.

CONCLUSIONS

The 21-gene expression assay is frequently and increasingly used for chemotherapy decision-making in ER+/HER2- BC with N1 disease. Performance of the 21-gene testing is associated with improved survival outcomes. Our study supports the routine use of 21-gene testing in the clinical practice of this population.

Gene expression signatures in older patients with breast cancer: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Gene expression signatures have emerged to predict prognosis and guide the use of adjuvant therapy in patients with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer. The objective of this systematic review was to evaluate the prognostic and predictive value of commercially available gene expression signatures as a tool in adjuvant treatment decision-making in older patients with breast cancer.

METHODS

PubMed, MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Emcare were reviewed for relevant articles published before December 2021. Eligible studies were randomised trials and cohort studies that externally validated commercially available gene expression signatures in patients aged 65 years and older, including studies that presented subanalyses of this age group. Data extraction and risk of bias assessment was performed independently by two investigators.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies were included. Most studies investigated Oncotype DX, while results from other gene expression signatures were limited. Several studies underlined the prognostic performance of Oncotype DX and Prosigna Risk of Recurrence in older patients. Moreover, Oncotype DX was predictive for older patients with an intermediate-risk recurrence score; chemotherapy could be spared in both lymph node-positive and lymph node-negative disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Prognostic performance has been demonstrated in older patients for several gene expression signatures. However, additional validation in patients with high-risk tumours is needed before gene expression signatures can be implemented in clinical practice as a prediction tool for adjuvant chemotherapy decision-making in the older age group.

A retrospective validation of CanAssist Breast in European early-stage breast cancer patient cohort

CanAssist Breast (CAB), a prognostic test uses immunohistochemistry (IHC) approach coupled with artificial intelligence-based machine learning algorithm for prognosis of early-stage hormone-receptor positive, HER2/neu negative breast cancer patients. It was developed and validated in an Indian cohort. Here we report the first blinded validation of CAB in a multi-country European patient cohort. FFPE tumor samples from 864 patients were obtained from-Spain, Italy, Austria, and Germany. IHC was performed on these samples, followed by recurrence risk score prediction. The outcomes were obtained from medical records. The performance of CAB was analyzed by hazard ratios (HR) and Kaplan Meier curves. CAB stratified European cohort (n = 864) into distinct low- and high-risk groups for recurrence (P < 0.0001) with HR of 3.32 (1.85–5.93) like that of mixed (India, USA, and Europe) (n = 1974), 3.43 (2.34–4.93) and Indian cohort (n = 925), 3.09 (1.83–5.21). CAB provided significant prognostic information (P < 0.0001) in women aged ≤ 50 (HR: 4.42 (1.58–12.3), P < 0.0001) and >50 years (HR: 2.93 (1.44–5.96), P = 0.0002). CAB had an HR of 2.57 (1.26–5.26), P = 0.01) in women with N1 disease. CAB stratified significantly higher proportions (77%) as low-risk over IHC4 (55%) (P < 0.0001). Additionally, 82% of IHC4 intermediate-risk patients were stratified as low-risk by CAB. Accurate risk stratification of European patients by CAB coupled with its similar performance inIndian patients shows that CAB is robust and functions independent of ethnic differences. CAB can potentially prevent overtreatment in a greater number of patients compared to IHC4 demonstrating its usefulness for adjuvant systemic therapy planning in European breast cancer patients.

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CanAssist Breast risk (CAB) risk stratification is accurate in European breast cancer patients.

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CAB performance in European cohort was like that of Indian as assessed by low-risk group DMFS, HR and C-index.

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CAB identified significantly higher proportions as low risk compared to IHC4.

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Greater number of IHC4 intermediate risk patients were identified as low risk by CAB.

Definition of High-Risk Early Hormone-Positive HER2−Negative Breast Cancer: A Consensus Review

Breast cancer is one of the major causes of cancer-related morbidity and mortality in women worldwide. During the past three decades, several improvements in the adjuvant treatment of hormone receptor-positive/HER2−negative breast cancer have been achieved with the introduction of optimized adjuvant chemotherapy and endocrine treatment. However, estimating the risk of relapse of breast cancer on an individual basis is still challenging. The IRIDE (hIGh Risk DEfinition in breast cancer) working group was established with the aim of reviewing evidence from the literature to synthesize the current relevant features that predict hormone-positive/HER2−negative early breast cancer relapse. A panel of experts in breast cancer was involved in identifying clinical, pathological, morphological, and genetic factors. A RAND consensus method was used to define the relevance of each risk factor. Among the 21 features included, 12 were considered relevant risk factors for relapse. For each of these, we provided a consensus statement and relevant comments on the supporting scientific evidence. This work may guide clinicians in the practical management of hormone-positive/HER2−negative early breast cancers.

The clinician's perspective on the 21-gene assay in early breast cancer

Most patients with early HR+ and HER2- breast cancer receive a hormone therapy; the clinical question still open is how to identify patients who can really benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. The accurate identification of these patients is essential to avoid an over-treatment, increasing the risk of an unnecessary toxicity; on the contrary, the omission of chemotherapy can deprive high risk patients of a potential life-saving treatment (under-treatment). Several multigene assays (MGAs), assessing the risk of relapse according to the biological characteristics of the tumor, have been developed. To date, the 21-gene assay (Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score^®) is the only test developed and validated to be actionable, i.e., able to predict the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy. The different available tests can be classified according to their clinical utility based on their prognostic and predictive value. A prognostic test gives information about the outcome of the disease, regardless of the administered therapy. When the aim of the test is to drive the treatment decisions, the predictive component, and therefore the ability to accurately identify which patients could benefit from chemotherapy, is essential. This review summarizes the clinical evidences of the Oncotype DX^® test supporting its clinical utility.

Radiogenomic Signatures of Oncotype DX Recurrence Score Enable Prediction of Survival in Estrogen Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer: A Multicohort Study

Background Radiogenomics explores the association between imaging features and genomic assays to uncover relevant prognostic features; however, the prognostic implications of the derived signatures remain unclear. Purpose To identify preoperative radiogenomic signatures of estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer associated with the Oncotype DX recurrence score (RS) and to evaluate whether they are biomarkers for survival and responses to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT). Materials and Methods In this retrospective multicohort study, three data sets were analyzed. The radiogenomic development data set, with preoperative dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and RS data obtained between January 2016 and October 2019 was used to identify radiogenomic signatures. Prognostic implications of the imaging signatures were assessed by measuring overall survival and recurrence-free survival in the prognostic assessment data set using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model. The therapeutic implication of the radiogenomic signatures was evaluated by determining their ability to predict the response to NACT using the treatment assessment data set obtained between August 2015 and March 2019. Prediction performance was estimated by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results The final cohorts included a radiogenomic development data set with 130 women (mean age, 52 years ± 10 [standard deviation]), a prognostic assessment data set with 116 women (mean age, 48 years ± 9), and a treatment assessment data set with 135 women (mean age, 50 years ± 11). Radiogenomic signatures (n = 11) of texture and morphologic and statistical features were identified to generate the predicted RS (R² = 0.33, P < .001). A predicted RS greater than 29.9 was associated with poor overall and recurrence-free survival (P = .001 and P = .007, respectively); predicted RS was greater in women with a good NACT response (30.51 ± 6.92 vs 27.35 ± 4.04 [responders vs nonresponders], P = .001). By combining the predicted RS and complementary features, the model achieved improved performance in prediction of the NACT response (AUC, 0.85; P < .001). Conclusion Radiogenomic signatures associated with genomic assays provide markers of prognosis and treatment in estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer. © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

The impact of Oncotype DX testing on adjuvant chemotherapy decision making in 1-3 node positive breast cancer

BACKGROUND

Oncotype DX testing has reduced the use of adjuvant chemotherapy in node-negative early breast cancer but less is known about its impact in node positive patients.

AIM

This study aimed to investigate the impact of Oncotype DX gene assay testing on the decision to offer adjuvant chemotherapy in oestrogen positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative, 1-3 lymph node positive patients.

METHODS

Retrospective review of all node positive patients who underwent Oncotype DX testing at a single centre. Clinicopathological data, as well as estimated survival benefit data (from the PREDICT tool), was evaluated by a multidisciplinary group of surgeons and oncologists. Treatment decisions based on clinicopathological data were compared to recurrence scores (RS). A cut off RS > 30 was used to offer adjuvant chemotherapy.

RESULTS

The 69 patients were identified, of which 9 (13%) had an RS > 30 and assigned a high-genomic risk of recurrence. The 32 patients (46.4%) were offered adjuvant chemotherapy. Overall based on the use of the RS, the decision to offer adjuvant chemotherapy changed in 36% of patients, and ultimately 24 patients (34.7%) would have been spared chemotherapy.

CONCLUSION

Using clinicopathological data alone to make decisions regarding adjuvant chemotherapy in node positive breast cancer leads to overtreatment. Additional information on tumour biology as assessed by the Oncotype DX RS helps to select those patients who will benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy and spare patients from unnecessary chemotherapy.

Breast Cancer-Epidemiology, Risk Factors, Classification, Prognostic Markers, and Current Treatment Strategies-An Updated Review

Simple Summary

Breast cancer is the most common cancer among women. It is estimated that 2.3 million new cases of BC are diagnosed globally each year. Based on mRNA gene expression levels, BC can be divided into molecular subtypes that provide insights into new treatment strategies and patient stratifications that impact the management of BC patients. This review addresses the overview on the BC epidemiology, risk factors, classification with an emphasis on molecular types, prognostic biomarkers, as well as possible treatment modalities.

Abstract

Breast cancer (BC) is the most frequently diagnosed cancer in women worldwide with more than 2 million new cases in 2020. Its incidence and death rates have increased over the last three decades due to the change in risk factor profiles, better cancer registration, and cancer detection. The number of risk factors of BC is significant and includes both the modifiable factors and non-modifiable factors. Currently, about 80% of patients with BC are individuals aged >50. Survival depends on both stage and molecular subtype. Invasive BCs comprise wide spectrum tumors that show a variation concerning their clinical presentation, behavior, and morphology. Based on mRNA gene expression levels, BC can be divided into molecular subtypes (Luminal A, Luminal B, HER2-enriched, and basal-like). The molecular subtypes provide insights into new treatment strategies and patient stratifications that impact the management of BC patients. The eighth edition of TNM classification outlines a new staging system for BC that, in addition to anatomical features, acknowledges biological factors. Treatment of breast cancer is complex and involves a combination of different modalities including surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, hormonal therapy, or biological therapies delivered in diverse sequences.

Assessment of potential process quality indicators for systemic treatment of breast cancer in Belgium: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Quality indicators (QIs) for the management of breast cancer (BC) have been published in Europe and internationally. In Belgium, a task force was established to select measurable process indicators of systemic treatment for BC, focusing on appropriateness of delivered care. The objective of this study was to evaluate the results of the selected QIs, both nationally and among individual centres.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Female Belgian residents with unilateral primary invasive BC diagnosed between 2010 and 2014 were selected from the Belgian Cancer Registry database. The national number enabled linkage with the national reimbursement database, which contains information on all reimbursed medical procedures. A total of 12 process indicators were measured on the population and hospital level. Intercentre variability was assessed by median results and interquartile ranges.

RESULTS

A total of 48  872 patients were included in the study. QIs concerning specific BC subtypes only applied to patients diagnosed in 2014 (n = 9855). Clinical stage (cStage) I patients (n = 17 116) were staged with positron emission tomography/computed tomography. Among patients who were pT1aN0 human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) positive (n = 47), 25.5% (n = 12) received adjuvant trastuzumab. Among patients with de novo metastatic luminal A/B-like HER2-negative BC (n = 295), 17.3% (n = 51) received upfront chemotherapy. (Neo)adjuvant chemotherapy was administered in 52.4% (n = 12 592) of operated women with cStage I-III, in 37.0% (n = 1270) of operated women with cStage I-III luminal A/B-like HER2-negative BC, and in 19.1% of operated women with cStage I luminal A/B-like HER2-negative BC. In the population of operated patients with cStage I-III, of those younger than 70 years that started adjuvant endocrine therapy (n = 3591), 81.7% (n = 2932) continued treatment for ≥4.5 years. Among patients in cStage I-III older than 70 years (n = 8544), 19.0% (n = 1622) received (neo)adjuvant chemotherapy, whereas among patients with cStage I-III luminal A/B-like HER2-negative BC (n = 1388), 13.0% (n = 181) received (neo)adjuvant chemotherapy. In patients with cStage I-II luminal A/B-like HER2-negative BC older than 70 years (n = 1477), 11.6% (n = 171) were not operated and received upfront endocrine treatment.

CONCLUSION

Well-considered QIs using population-based data can evaluate quality of care and expose disparities among treatment centres. Their use in daily practice should be implemented in all centres treating BC.

PONDx: real-life utilization and decision impact of the 21-gene assay on clinical practice in Italy

Clinicopathological prognostic features have limited value to identify with precision newly diagnosed patients with hormone receptor (HR)-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer (BC), who would benefit from chemotherapy (CT) in addition to adjuvant hormonal therapy (HT). The 21-gene Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score® (RS) assay has been demonstrated to predict CT benefit, hence supporting personalized decisions on adjuvant CT. The multicenter, prospective, observational study PONDx investigated the real-life use of RS® results in Italy and its impact on treatment decisions. Physicians' treatment recommendations (HT ± CT) were documented before and after availability of RS results, and changes in recommendations were determined. In the HR+ HER2- early BC population studied (N = 1738), physicians recommended CT + HT in 49% of patients pre-RS. RS-guided treatment decisions resulted in 36% reduction of CT recommendations. PONDx confirms that RS results provide clinically relevant information for CT recommendation in early-stage BC, resulting in a reduction of more than a third of CT use.

Multigene tests for breast cancer: the physician's perspective

Breast cancer is the most common tumour in women and the first cause of death for cancer in the female population. Preserving the quality of life has therefore become an important objective in the management of the disease. The benefits of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with HR+ HER2- early breast cancer should always be balanced against its potential short and long-term adverse effects, and identifying the appropriate patients for whom chemotherapy can offer the highest clinical benefit is critical. Besides clinical and pathological factors, today four multigene tests able to guide the choice of the adjuvant therapy early breast cancer are available in Italy: Oncotype DX®, EndoPredict®, MammaPrint® e Prosigna®. This review evaluates the main characteristics of these diagnostic tests, the studies on clinical utility, their economic impact and their inclusion in international and national guidelines. The Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score® test is the only multigene test validated, with level IA evidence, to guide the adjuvant therapy decisions: hormone therapy alone for most patients with RS results 0-25, and chemotherapy for patients with RS results 26-100. Clinical data demonstrate that the Oncotype DX test is able to significantly impact therapeutic decisions, reducing chemotherapy use up to 49% and supporting the use of chemotherapy (up to 12%) in potentially under-treated patients. Based on the level of clinical evidence and established clinical utility, several multigene tests have been included in the main international guidelines, with recommendations ranging from "strong" to "moderate".

Adequacy of early-stage breast cancer systemic adjuvant treatment to Saint Gallen-2013 statement: the MCC-Spain study

The St Gallen Conference endorsed in 2013 a series of recommendations on early breast cancer treatment. The main purpose of this article is to ascertain the clinical factors associated with St Gallen-2013 recommendations accomplishment. A cohort of 1152 breast cancer cases diagnosed with pathological stage < 3 in Spain between 2008 and 2013 was begun and then followed-up until 2017/2018. Data on patient and tumour characteristics were obtained from medical records, as well as their first line treatment. First line treatments were classified in three categories, according on whether they included the main St Gallen-2013 recommendations, more than those recommended or less than those recommended. Multinomial logistic regression models were carried out to identify factors associated with this classification and Weibull regression models were used to find out the relationship between this classification and survival. About half of the patients were treated according to St Gallen recommendations; 21% were treated over what was recommended and 33% received less treatment than recommended. Factors associated with treatment over the recommendations were stage II (relative risk ratio [RRR] = 4.2, 2.9-5.9), cancer positive to either progesterone (RRR = 8.1, 4.4-14.9) or oestrogen receptors (RRR = 5.7, 3.0-11.0). Instead, factors associated with lower probability of treatment over the recommendations were age (RRR = 0.7 each 10 years, 0.6-0.8), poor differentiation (RRR = 0.09, 0.04-0.19), HER2 positive (RRR = 0.46, 0.26-0.81) and triple negative cancer (RRR = 0.03, 0.01-0.11). Patients treated less than what was recommended in St Gallen had cancers in stage 0 (RRR = 21.6, 7.2-64.5), poorly differentiated (RRR = 1.9, 1.2-2.9), HER2 positive (RRR = 3.4, 2.4-4.9) and luminal B-like subtype (RRR = 3.6, 2.6-5.1). Women over 65 years old had a higher probability of being treated less than what was recommended if they had luminal B-like, HER2 or triple negative cancer. Treatment over St Gallen was associated with younger women and less severe cancers, while treatment under St Gallen was associated with older women, more severe cancers and cancers expressing HER2 receptors.

Adjuvant chemotherapy and survival outcome in node-negative breast cancer with a 21-gene recurrence score of 26-30

Aim: To investigate the benefit of chemotherapy among early-stage breast cancer patients with 21-gene recurrence scores of 26-30. Methods: We identified 3754 patients in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Results: 57.6% of the patients received adjuvant chemotherapy. Patients with higher tumor grade, larger tumors and younger age were more likely to receive chemotherapy. The receipt of chemotherapy was independently associated with better breast cancer-specific survival than in patients without chemotherapy before (p = 0.016) and after (p = 0.043) propensity score matching. The sensitivity analyses showed that survival gain was pronounced in patients with poorly differentiated or undifferentiated disease. Conclusions: Adjuvant chemotherapy improves the outcome for early-stage breast cancer with 21-gene recurrence score of 26-30, especially for patients with high-grade tumors.

Chemotherapy and 21-gene recurrence score testing for older breast cancer patients: A competing-risks analysis

PURPOSE

To evaluate the effect of the 21-gene recurrence score (RS) assay in breast cancer-specific mortality (BCSM) and decision-making for chemotherapy in older (aged ≥65 years) breast cancer.

METHODS

We retrospectively included older patients with T1-2N0 and estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Cox regression model and competing-risks model were used for data analysis.

RESULTS

This study included 8524 patients, 1987 (23.3%) had low RS, 5059 (59.4%) had intermediate RS, and 1478 (17.3%) had high RS. Chemotherapy was administrated in 2.0%, 8.6%, and 51.2% for low, intermediate, and high RS cohorts, respectively (P < 0.001). A total of 597 deaths were recorded, including one-quarter of breast cancer-related deaths and three-quarters as competing causes of death. The 5-year BCSM was 5.4%, 4.7%, and 9.1% for low, intermediate, and high RS cohorts, respectively (P < 0.001), using the Cox regression model, and was 0.8%, 0.9%, and 5.2% for low, intermediate, and high RS cohorts using the competing-risks regression, respectively (P < 0.001). RS was independently correlated with BCSM in both prognostic models. The stratified analysis demonstrated that chemotherapy was not correlated with a lower risk of BCSM in intermediate and high RS cohorts in both prognostic models. Sensitivity analyses replicated similar findings after stratification by the year of diagnosis and patients' age.

CONCLUSIONS

The competing-risks model is useful in dealing with multiple end events for older breast cancer patients. 21-gene RS was independently associated with BCSM. However, chemotherapy did not significantly decrease the risk of BCSM in intermediate and high RS cohorts.

Quantitative assessment of distant recurrence risk in early stage breast cancer using a nonlinear combination of pathological, clinical and imaging variables

Use of genomic assays to determine distant recurrence risk in patients with early stage breast cancer has expanded and is now included in the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging manual. Algorithmic alternatives using standard clinical and pathology information may provide equivalent benefit in settings where genomic tests, such as OncotypeDx, are unavailable. We developed an artificial neural network (ANN) model to nonlinearly estimate risk of distant cancer recurrence. In addition to clinical and pathological variables, we enhanced our model using intraoperatively determined global mammographic breast density (MBD) and local breast density (LBD). LBD was measured with optical spectral imaging capable of sensing regional concentrations of tissue constituents. A cohort of 56 ER+ patients with an OncotypeDx score was evaluated. We demonstrated that combining MBD/LBD measurements with clinical and pathological variables improves distant recurrence risk prediction accuracy, with high correlation (r = 0.98) to the OncotypeDx recurrence score.

Adjuvant radiation therapy alone is associated with improved overall survival compared to hormonal therapy alone in older women with estrogen receptor positive early stage breast cancer

Background

Breast conserving surgery (BCS) and adjuvant hormonal therapy (HT) without radiation therapy (RT) is an acceptable approach for older women with early stage, estrogen receptor (ER) positive breast cancer. Toxicity and compliance remain issues with HT. Adjuvant RT alone may have better compliance, but its efficacy in the absence of HT is unclear. We aim to assess patterns of adjuvant therapy and survival outcomes among older women with early stage, ER positive (ER+) breast cancer.

Methods

The National Cancer Data Base (NCDB) was used to identify 130,194 women age ≥65 years with invasive ER+, node negative breast cancer diagnosed between 2004 and 2015. All patients underwent BCS. Kaplan‐Meier survival curves were used to examine overall survival (OS). The association between adjuvant therapy and OS was assessed in multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models.

Results

Unadjusted 5/10‐year OS rates were 90.0%/64.3% for HT and RT, 84.2%/54.9% for RT alone, 78.7%/44.5% for HT alone, and 71.6%/38.0% for no treatment; p<0.001 for all. Compared to HT alone, the 10‐year multivariable hazard ratio (HR) for death for RT alone was 0.86 (95% CI 0.82‐0.91). In propensity‐matched patients who received RT alone or HT alone (n=21,326), RT alone had significantly better survival at 5 (HR_adj: 0.84) and 10 (HR_adj: 0.87) years.

Conclusions

Older women with early stage ER+ breast cancer who undergo BCS and receive both HT and RT have the best survival, while RT as single‐modality therapy had higher rates of OS at 5 and 10 years compared to HT alone.

The 21-Gene Recurrence Score Assay and Prediction of Chemotherapy Benefit: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis of the SEER Database

Background: To evaluate the performance of the 21-gene recurrence score (RS) assay in predicting chemotherapy benefit in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results population, we aimed to assess breast cancer-specific mortality (BCSM) by chemotherapy use within each of the RS categories. Methods: Data on breast cancer (BC) cases diagnosed between 2004 and 2015 with available RS results were released. Our analysis included patients with hormone receptor-positive, node-negative early-stage BC (n = 89,402), and three RS groups were defined; RS < 11, low; RS 11–25, intermediate; RS > 25, high. A propensity score matched-analysis was performed to assess and compare BCSM. Results: Chemotherapy was significantly associated with a reduced risk of BC death among patients in the high RS group (hazard ratio = 0.782; 95% CI, 0.618–0.990; p = 0.041). However, in the low and intermediate RS groups, there were no significant differences in BCSM between patients who received chemotherapy and those who did not. Among those with RS 11–25, chemotherapy benefit varied with tumor size (p = 0.001). Conclusions: Our findings provide real-world evidence that the 21-gene RS assay is predictive of chemotherapy benefit among patients in clinical practice. More refined risk estimates would be needed for patients with an intermediate RS.

Clinicopathological characteristics, adjuvant chemotherapy decision and disease outcome in patients with breast cancer with a 21-gene recurrence score of 26-30

Recurrence score (RS) could be used to predict clinical outcomes and chemotherapy efficacy in patients with hormone receptor (HR)-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative and lymph node-negative breast cancer. However, the clinical features and management of patients with an RS of 26–30 are not completely understood. In the present study, 783 patients with HR⁺/HER2⁻, lymph node-negative early breast cancer and RS ≥18 were included and categorized into RS=18−25 (47.8%), 26–30 (25.5%) or ≥31 (26.7%) groups. Clinicopathological characteristics, adjuvant chemotherapy usage and disease outcomes were compared. Alterations in the adjuvant chemotherapy recommendation after 21-gene RS testing were also analyzed. The results indicated that patients with RS=26−30 had higher progesterone receptor (PR) expression [odds ratio (OR)=2.84; P<0.001] and lower Ki-67 index (OR, 1.88; P=0.032) compared with patients with RS ≥31. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that age ≤50 years (OR, 5.75; P=0.001) and luminal-B subtype (OR, 7.75; P<0.001) were factors that were independently associated with chemotherapy usage in the RS=26−30 group. Among 104 patients who were not recommended chemotherapy before 21-gene RS testing, the treatment decision for 52 patients was changed to recommend chemotherapy once an RS of 26–30 was identified. The patient adherence rate to the treatment recommendation was 95.0% (190/200). After a median follow-up of 21.5 months, 6 patients displayed disease recurrence in the RS=26−30 group, and there was no significant difference between patients receiving chemotherapy and patients not receiving chemotherapy. In conclusion, patients with RS=26−30 had tumors with higher PR expression and lower Ki-67 index compared with those of patients with RS ≥31. Age, luminal subtype and RS testing influenced chemotherapy usage in patients with RS=26−30; however, no significant benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy was observed in a short term of 2 years.

Personalised medicine and the decision to withhold chemotherapy in early breast cancer with intermediate risk of recurrence - a systematic review and meta-analysis

Purpose

To assess the evidence for decision making, at the health care and the patient levels, regarding the use of gene expression assays to inform chemotherapy decisions in breast cancer patients with intermediate clinical risk of recurrence.

Methods

Systematic literature searches were performed (January 2002–April 2020) in Medline, Embase, PubMed, Cochrane Library, PsycINFO and HTA databases. Inclusion criteria: patients (P) were individuals with post-surgical breast cancer at intermediate clinical risk of recurrence; intervention (I)/comparison (C) was (i) use of, versus no use of, a gene expression assay and (ii) withholding versus providing chemotherapy; outcomes (O) were overall survival (OS), health-related quality of life (HRQL), and recurrence. Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and non-RCTs were included. Random-effects meta-analyses were performed where possible.

Results

Three inconclusive non-RCTs, respectively, compared OS and recurrence with and without a gene expression assay. No studies investigated HRQL. Regarding the comparison withholding versus providing chemotherapy based on a gene expression assay, one RCT and four non-RCTs evaluated OS. In the RCT, 93.9% (I) versus 93.8% (C) were alive at 9 years. Three RCTs and seven non-RCTs evaluated recurrence. Three RCTs could be pooled regarding distant recurrence; 4.29% versus 3.88% had such an event (risk ratio: 1.12 (95% confidence interval: 0.90 to 1.39).

Conclusion

Regarding the use of gene expression assays in breast cancer, evidence on patient effects, informing patient-level chemotherapy decision making, is available. However, evidence for prioritisation at the overall health care level, i.e. use of, versus no use of, such assays, is largely lacking.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00228-020-02914-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Radiogenomics of magnetic resonance imaging and a new multi-gene classifier for predicting recurrence prognosis in estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer: A preliminary study

To examine the correlation of qualitative and quantitative dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) results with 95-gene classifier or Curebest 95-gene classifier Breast (95GC) results for recurrence prediction in estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer (ERPBC).This retrospective study included 78 ERPBC patients (age range, 24-74 years) classified into high- (n = 33) and low- (n = 45) risk groups for recurrence based on 95GC and who underwent DCE-MRI between July 2006 and November 2012. For qualitative evaluation, mass shape, margin, and internal enhancement based on BI-RADS MRI lexicon and multiplicity were determined by consensus interpretation by 2 breast radiologists. For quantitative evaluation, mass size, volume ratios of the DCE-MRI kinetics, and both the kurtosis and the skewness of the intensity histogram for the whole mass in the initial and delayed phases were determined. Differences between the 2 risk-groups were analyzed using univariate logistic regression analyses and multiple logistic regression analyses. Receiver-operating characteristic curve cut-off values were used to define the groups.As for the qualitative findings, the difference between the 2 groups was not significant. For the quantitative data, the volume ratio of "medium" in the initial phase differed significantly between the 2 groups (P = .049). The volume ratio of "medium" (P = .006) and of "slow-persistent" (P = .005), and the delayed phase kurtosis (P = .012) in the univariate logistic regression analyses, and in the multiple logistic regression, volume ratio of "medium" >38.9% and delayed phase kurtosis >3.31 were identified as significant high-risk indicators (odds ratio, 5.83 and 3.55; 95% confidence interval, 1.58 to 21.42 and 1.24 to 10.15; P = .008 and P = .018, respectively).A high volume ratio of "medium" in the initial phase and/or high kurtosis in the delayed phase for quantitative evaluation could predict high ERPBC recurrence risk based on 95GC.

Gene Expression Profiling Tests for Early-Stage Invasive Breast Cancer: A Health Technology Assessment

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer is a disease in which cells in the breast grow out of control. They often form a tumour that may be seen on an x-ray or felt as a lump.Gene expression profiling (GEP) tests are intended to help predict the risk of metastasis (spread of the cancer to other parts of the body) and to identify people who will most likely benefit from chemotherapy. We conducted a health technology assessment of four GEP tests (EndoPredict, MammaPrint, Oncotype DX, and Prosigna) for people with early-stage invasive breast cancer, which included an evaluation of effectiveness, safety, cost effectiveness, the budget impact of publicly funding GEP tests, and patient preferences and values.

METHODS

We performed a systematic literature search of the clinical evidence. We assessed the risk of bias of each included study using either the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool, Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST), or Risk of Bias Assessment tool for Non-randomized Studies (RoBANS), depending on the type of study and outcome of interest, and the quality of the body of evidence according to the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) Working Group criteria. We also performed a literature survey of the quantitative evidence of preferences and values of patients and providers for GEP tests.We performed an economic evidence review to identify published studies assessing the cost-effectiveness of each of the four GEP tests compared with usual care or with one another for people with early-stage invasive breast cancer. We adapted a decision-analytic model to compare the costs and outcomes of care that includes a GEP test with usual care without a GEP test over a lifetime horizon. We also estimated the budget impact of publicly funding GEP tests to be conducted in Ontario, compared with funding tests conducted through the out-of-country program and compared with no funding of tests in any location.To contextualize the potential value of GEP tests, we spoke with people who have been diagnosed with early-stage invasive breast cancer.

RESULTS

We included 68 studies in the clinical evidence review. Within the lymph-node-negative (LN-) population, GEP tests can prognosticate the risk of distant recurrence (GRADE: Moderate) and may predict chemotherapy benefit (GRADE: Low). The evidence for prognostic and predictive ability (ability to indicate the risk of an outcome and ability to predict who will benefit from chemotherapy, respectively) was lower for the lymph-node-positive (LN+) population (GRADE: Very Low to Low). GEP tests may also lead to changes in treatment (GRADE: Low) and generally may increase physician confidence in treatment recommendations (GRADE: Low).Our economic evidence review showed that GEP tests are generally cost-effective compared with usual care.Our primary economic evaluation showed that all GEP test strategies were more effective (led to more quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs]) than usual care and can be considered cost-effective below a willingness-to-pay of $20,000 per QALY gained. There was some uncertainty in our results. At a willingness-to-pay of $50,000 per QALY gained, the probability of each test being cost-effective compared to usual care was 63.0%, 89.2%, 89.2%, and 100% for EndoPredict, MammaPrint, Oncotype DX, and Prosigna, respectively.Sensitivity analyses showed our results were robust to variation in subgroups considered (i.e., LN+ and premenopausal), discount rates, age, and utilities. However, cost parameter assumptions did influence our results. Our scenario analysis comparing tests showed Oncotype DX was likely cost-effective compared with MammaPrint, and Prosigna was likely cost-effective compared with EndoPredict. When the GEP tests were compared with a clinical tool, the cost-effectiveness of the tests varied. Assuming a higher uptake of GEP tests, we estimated the budget impact to publicly fund GEP tests in Ontario would be between $1.29 million (Year 1) and $2.22 million (Year 5) compared to the current scenario of publicly funded GEP tests through the out-of-country program.Gene expression profiling tests are valued by patients and physicians for the additional information they provide for treatment decision-making. Patients are satisfied with what they learn from GEP tests and feel GEP tests can help reduce decisional uncertainty and anxiety.

CONCLUSIONS

Gene expression profiling tests can likely prognosticate the risk of distant recurrence and some tests may also predict chemotherapy benefit. In people with breast cancer that is ER+, LN-, and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative, GEP tests are likely cost-effective compared with no testing. The GEP tests are also likely cost-effective in LN+ and premenopausal people. Compared with funding GEP tests through the out-of-country program, publicly funding GEP tests in Ontario would cost an additional $1 million to $2 million annually, assuming a higher uptake of tests. GEP tests are valued by both patients and physicians for chemotherapy treatment decision-making.

Should women with early breast cancer under 40 years of age have a routine 21-gene recurrence score testing: A SEER database study

PURPOSE

To investigate the effect of 21-gene recurrence score (RS) on chemotherapy-decision making and prognosis in breast cancer patients aged <40 years.

METHODS

Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program, we included patients aged <40 years with tumor size ≤5 cm, node negative, and estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer between 2004 and 2015. Correlations among the 21-gene RS, chemotherapy decision-making and prognosis were analyzed.

RESULTS

We included 2721 patients in this study. According to TAILORx cutoffs, 352 (12.9%), 1814 (66.7%), and 555 (20.4%) patients were classified as low-, intermediate-, and high-risk cohorts, respectively. The 21-gene RS categories were associated with the probability of receiving chemotherapy, with 7.1%, 33.4%, and 77.1% of patients in low-, intermediate-, and high-risk cohorts treated with chemotherapy, respectively (P < 0.001). Those in the intermediate-risk cohort were significantly less likely to receive chemotherapy over time (P = 0.008), and the trends of chemotherapy receipt were stable in the low-risk and high-risk cohorts over time. Multivariate analysis showed that the 21-gene RS was an independent prognostic indicator for breast cancer specific survival. In the stratified analysis, the receipt of chemotherapy was associated with better breast cancer specific survival in the high-risk cohort (P = 0.028), but not in the intermediate-risk cohort (P = 0.223).

CONCLUSIONS

21-gene RS has clinical implications for young breast cancer patients with respect to optimizing chemotherapy-decisions. Despite increasing rates of chemotherapy receipt in young patients, more studies are needed to determine the definitive effect of chemotherapy in young patients with three RS categories.

Ten-year clinical outcomes in N0 ER+ breast cancer patients with Recurrence Score-guided therapy

The 21-gene Recurrence Score (RS) assay is a validated prognosticator/predictor of chemotherapy (CT) benefit in early-stage estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer (BC). Long-term data from real-life clinical practice where treatment was guided by the RS result are lacking. We performed exploratory analysis of the Clalit Health Services (CHS) registry, which included all CHS patients with node-negative ER+ HER2-negative BC who underwent RS testing between 1/2006 and 12/2009 to determine 10-year Kaplan-Meier estimates for distant recurrence/BC-specific mortality (BCSM) in this cohort. The analysis included 1365 patients. Distribution of RS results: RS 0-10, 17.8%; RS 11-25, 62.5%; RS 26-100, 19.7%. Corresponding CT use: 0, 9.4, and 69.9%. Ten-year distant recurrence rates in patients with RS 0-10, 11-25, and 26-100: 2.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-6.2%), 6.1% (95% CI, 4.4-8.6%), and 13.1% (95% CI, 9.4-18.3%), respectively (P < 0.001); corresponding BCSM rates: 0.7% (95% CI 0.1-5.1%), 2.2% (95% CI, 1.3-3.7%), and 9.5% (95% CI, 6.0-14.9%) (P < 0.001). When the analysis included patients treated with endocrine therapy alone (95.5/87.5% of patients with RS 0-10/11-25), 10-year distant recurrence and BCSM rates for RS 0-10 patients were 2.7% (95% CI, 1.1-6.5%) and 0.8% (95% CI, 0.1-5.3%), respectively, and for RS 11-25 patients, 5.7% (95% CI, 3.9-8.3%) and 2.0% (95% CI, 1.1-3.7%), respectively. For RS 11-25 patients, no statistically significant differences were observed in 10-year distant recurrence/BCSM rates between CT-treated and untreated patients; however, this should be interpreted cautiously since the number of events was low and patients were not randomized. In conclusion, in node-negative ER+ HER2-negative BC patients, where treatment decisions in real-life clinical practice incorporated the RS, patients with RS 0-25 (~80% of patients, <10% CT use) had excellent outcomes at 10 years. Patients with RS 26-100 had high distant recurrence risk despite CT use and are candidates for new treatment approaches.

Adjuvant chemotherapy and survival among patients 70 years of age and younger with node-negative breast cancer and the 21-gene recurrence score of 26-30

Background

The benefits of chemotherapy in node-negative, hormone receptor-positive, and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative breast cancer patients with the 21-gene recurrence score (RS) of 18–30, particularly those with RS 26–30, are not known.

Methods

Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data, we retrospectively identified 29,137 breast cancer patients with the 21-gene RS of 18–30 diagnosed between 2004 and 2015. Mortality risks according to the RS and chemotherapy use were compared by the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox’s proportional hazards model.

Results

Among the breast cancer patients with the RS 18–30, 21% of them had RS 26–30. Compared to breast cancer patients with RS 18–25, patients with RS 26–30 had more aggressive tumor characteristics and chemotherapy use and increased risk of breast cancer-specific mortality and overall mortality. In breast cancer patients who were aged ≤ 70 years and had RS of 26–30, chemotherapy administration was associated with a 32% lower risk of breast cancer-specific mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.68; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.47–0.99) and a 42% lower risk of overall mortality (HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.44–0.76). Survival benefits were most pronounced in breast cancer patients who were younger or had grade III tumor.

Conclusions

The 21-gene RS of 18–30 showed heterogeneous outcomes, and the RS 26–30 was a significant prognostic factor for an increased risk of mortality. Adjuvant chemotherapy could improve the survival of node-negative, hormone receptor-positive, and HER2-negative breast cancer patients with the 21-gene RS 26–30 and should be considered for patients, especially younger patients or patients with high-grade tumors.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13058-019-1190-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Cross-Canada differences in early-stage breast cancer treatment and acute-care use

Background

Chemotherapy has improved outcomes in early-stage breast cancer, but treatment practices vary, and use of acute care is common. We conducted a pan-Canadian study to describe treatment differences and the incidence of emergency department visits (edvs), edvs leading to hospitalization (edvhs), and direct hospitalizations (hs) during adjuvant chemotherapy.

Methods

The cohort consisted of women diagnosed with early-stage breast cancer (stages i-iii) during 2007-2012 in British Columbia, Manitoba, Ontario, or Nova Scotia who underwent curative surgery. Parallel provincial analyses were undertaken using linked clinical, registry, and administrative databases. The incidences of edvs, edvhs, and hs in the 6 months after treatment initiation were examined for patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy.

Results

The cohort consisted of 50,224 patients. The proportion of patients who received chemotherapy varied by province, with Ontario having the highest proportion (46.4%), and Nova Scotia, the lowest proportion (38.0%). Age, stage, receptor status, comorbidities, and geographic location were associated with receipt of chemotherapy in all provinces. Ontario had the highest proportion of patients experiencing an edv (36.1%), but the lowest proportion experiencing h (6.4%). Conversely, British Columbia had the lowest proportion of patients experiencing an edv (16.0%), but the highest proportion experiencing h (26.7%). The proportion of patients having an edvh was similar across provinces (13.9%-16.8%). Geographic location was associated with edvs, edvhs, and hs in all provinces.

Conclusions

Intra- and inter-provincial differences in the use of chemotherapy and acute care were observed. Understanding variations in care can help to identify gaps and opportunities for improvement and shared learnings.

Panoptic View of Prognostic Models for Personalized Breast Cancer Management

The efforts to personalize treatment for patients with breast cancer have led to a focus on the deeper characterization of genotypic and phenotypic heterogeneity among breast cancers. Traditional pathology utilizes microscopy to profile the morphologic features and organizational architecture of tumor tissue for predicting the course of disease, and is the first-line set of guiding tools for customizing treatment decision-making. Currently, clinicians use this information, combined with the disease stage, to predict patient prognosis to some extent. However, tumoral heterogeneity stubbornly persists among patient subgroups delineated by these clinicopathologic characteristics, as currently used methodologies in diagnostic pathology lack the capability to discern deeper genotypic and subtler phenotypic differences among individual patients. Recent advancements in molecular pathology, however, are poised to change this by joining forces with multiple-omics technologies (genomics, transcriptomics, epigenomics, proteomics, and metabolomics) that provide a wealth of data about the precise molecular complement of each patient's tumor. In addition, these technologies inform the drivers of disease aggressiveness, the determinants of therapeutic response, and new treatment targets in the individual patient. The tumor architecture information can be integrated with the knowledge of the detailed mutational, transcriptional, and proteomic phenotypes of cancer cells within individual tumors to derive a new level of biologic insight that enables powerful, data-driven patient stratification and customization of treatment for each patient, at each stage of the disease. This review summarizes the prognostic and predictive insights provided by commercially available gene expression-based tests and other multivariate or clinical -omics-based prognostic/predictive models currently under development, and proposes a more inclusive multiplatform approach to tackling the challenging heterogeneity of breast cancer to individualize its management. "The future is already here-it's just not very evenly distributed."-William Ford Gibson.

Validation Study of the American Joint Committee on Cancer Eighth Edition Prognostic Stage Compared With the Anatomic Stage in Breast Cancer

Importance

The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) eighth edition staging manual introduced a new prognostic stage for breast cancer incorporating biologic factors in addition to traditional anatomic factors.

Objective

To perform a validation study of the AJCC eighth edition prognostic stage in a single-institution cohort and a large population database.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Patients with breast cancer treated with surgery as an initial intervention were identified in a prospective institutional database from The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center and the California Cancer Registry. Vital status data were complete through December 31, 2016, in The University of Texas MD Anderson cohort and through December 31, 2014, in the California Cancer Registry cohort. Patients receiving neoadjuvant systemic therapy, those with inflammatory or rare breast cancers, and those with unknown clinicopathologic factors were excluded. Factors evaluated included T, N, and M categories and tumor grade, as well as estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, and HER2 status.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Disease-specific survival was calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method. The Harrell concordance index (C index) was used to quantify models' predictive performance, and the Akaike information criterion (AIC) was used to compare model fits.

Results

A total of 3327 patients with stage I to IIIC breast cancer treated between 2007 and 2013 at The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center (median follow-up of 5 years) with complete clinicopathologic data were identified. Compared with the AJCC anatomic stage, the prognostic stage upstaged 29.5% of patients and downstaged 28.1%. The prognostic stage (C index, 0.8357 and AIC, 816.8) provided more accurate stratification with respect to disease-specific survival than the anatomic stage (C index, 0.737 and AIC, 1039.8) (P < .001 for the C index). A total of 54 727 patients with stage I to IV breast cancer treated between 2005 and 2009 were identified in the California Cancer Registry (median follow-up of 7 years). The prognostic stage upstaged 31.0% of patients and downstaged 20.6%. The prognostic stage (C index, 0.8426 and AIC, 80 661.68) performed better than the anatomic stage (C index, 0.8097 and AIC, 81 577.89) (P < .001 for the C index).

Conclusions and Relevance

The prognostic stage provided more accurate prognostic information than the anatomic stage alone in both a single-institution cohort and a large population database, thereby supporting its use in breast cancer staging.

Impact of 21-Gene Breast Cancer Assay on Treatment Decision for Patients with T1-T3, N0-N1, Estrogen Receptor-Positive/Human Epidermal Growth Receptor 2-Negative Breast Cancer: Final Results of the Prospective Multicenter ROXANE Study

BACKGROUND

The ROXANE Italian prospective study evaluated the impact of the 21-gene Recurrence Score (RS) results on adjuvant treatment decision for patients with early breast cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Nine centers participated. Physicians used the RS test whenever unsure about adjuvant treatment recommendation for patients with estrogen receptor-positive/human epidermal growth receptor 2-negative, T1-T3, N0-N1 early breast cancer. Pre-RS and post-RS treatment recommendations were collected.

RESULTS

A total of 251 patients were included. N0 patients (61%) showed higher grade (p < .001) and higher Ki67 (p = .001) and were more frequently progesterone receptor negative (p = .012) as compared with N1 patients. RS results were as follows: <11, n = 63 (25.1%); 11-25, n = 143 (57%); and ≥26, n = 45 (17.9%). Higher RS was found in N0 vs. N1 patients (p = .001) and in cases of G3 (p < .001) and higher Ki67 (p < .001). The rate of change in treatment decision was 30% (n = 75), mostly from chemotherapy (CT) plus hormone therapy (CT + HT) to hormone therapy (HT; 76%, n = 57/75). The proportion of patients recommended to CT + HT was significantly reduced from pre-RS to post-RS (52% to 36%, p < .0001). CT use reduction was more evident for N1 patients (55% to 27%) than for N0 patients (50% to 42%) and was observed only in cases of RS ≤17.

CONCLUSION

Physicians predominantly used the 21-gene assay in N0 patients with a more aggressive biology or in N1 patients showing more indolent biology. In this selected patient population, the use of RS testing led to a 30% rate of change in treatment decision. In the N1 patient subgroup, the use of RS testing contributed to reduce CT use by more than half.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

This study shows that, even in a context in which physicians recommend a high proportion of patients to endocrine treatment alone before knowing the results of the Recurrence Score (RS) assay, the use of the RS test, whenever uncertainty regarding adjuvant treatment recommendation is present, significantly contributes in further reducing the use of chemotherapy, especially for N1 patients.

Female breast cancers (T1-2, N0, M0, HR+, HER2-) with an intermediate genetic-based recurrence risk: a real-world estimate in Italy

OBJECTIVES

Prognostic definition and treatment of breast cancer are supported by multigene testing. A recent trial (TAILORx) provided evidence against the use of adjuvant chemotherapy in early breast cancer (HR+ HER2-) with an intermediate result (11-25) in a multigene test (Oncotype DX). These results consequently fueled great discussion among oncologists. We aimed to estimate the burden of Italian incident breast cancer patients who, each year, may be involved in such decision-making.

METHODS

We used the data collected in the Romagna Cancer Registry to estimate the number of cases with the inclusion criteria of the TAILORx trial. Adjustments based on geographical variability in breast cancer incidence in Italy were applied to national estimates. Cases were estimated by Oncotype DX recurrence risk groups: ⩽10, 11-25, ⩾26. We also estimated the proportion of grade 1, 2, or 3 disease among breast cancer cases.

RESULTS

An overall 52,300 breast cancer cases were estimated to be diagnosed in Italy in 2018. Of these, 18,225 fit the TAILORx inclusion criteria: 3,025 were expected to have a low risk of recurrence (⩽10), 11,536 (63.3% of all cases) an intermediate risk (11-25), and 3,664 a high risk (⩾26). Among the group at intermediate risk, who may benefit from less aggressive therapy, 2,414 were estimated to have grade 1 disease, 7,618 grade 2, and 1,983 grade 3.

CONCLUSIONS

This article provides reliable estimates on the burden of Italian women with breast cancer who, once tested with multigene testing, could potentially have their treatment changed to hormone therapy only.

Clinical significance of 21-gene recurrence score assay for hormone receptor-positive, lymph node-negative breast cancer in early stage

OBJECTIVE

To identify the relationship between clinical pathological characteristics and the recurrence score (RS) on a 21-gene expression assay in patients with hormone receptor-positive, node-negative breast cancer, as well as the effect of RS on adjuvant decision-making.

METHODS

The retrospective study was conducted among luminal breast cancer patients admitted to Xijing Hospital between October 10, 2016, and September 14, 2018. Real-time PCR was used for 21-genome detection. Based on the calculated RS, participants were classified into low-risk, moderate-risk, and high-risk groups. Single-factor analysis and multiple logistic regression analysis were performed to explore independent predictors of high RS. Moreover, the effect of RS on adjuvant decision-making was studied.

RESULTS

Two hundred twenty-two patients with luminal breast cancer, aged 48.3 ± 9.66, were enrolled. Among them, 33.8% had low (13 ± 3.34), 45.5% intermediate (23 ± 3.65), and 20.7% high (37 ± 3.44) RS. According to the single-factor analysis, age, tumor size, Ki-67, molecular subtype, CK5/6 expression, E-cadherin level, and histological grade were positively associated with high RS. Multiple logistic analyses showed that tumor size and histological grade were independent variables that might predict high RS in patients with hormone receptor-positive, node-negative breast cancer. For adjuvant decision-making, the proportion of adjuvant chemotherapy in the intermediate-/high-risk groups was higher than that in the low-risk group, P < 0.001. Compared with the data worldwide, the changes of treatment selection in the present study were similar to those in Japan (23.0% vs. 26%) and America (23.0% vs. 23.0%). Considering the pathology types, 14.3% of patients with invasive breast cancer with lower RS changed treatment recommendations, predominantly from chemo-endocrine to endocrine treatment alone, whereas the percentage in intermediate/high RS groups was 8.1%.

CONCLUSIONS

Tumor size and histological grade were independent variables, predicting high risk in patients with hormone receptor-positive, node-negative breast cancer; 21-gene RS assessment was potentially a critical tool in guiding adjuvant decision-making in China.

Clinical analysis of 21-gene recurrence score test in hormone receptor-positive early-stage breast cancer

The 21-gene recurrence score (RS) predicts the prognosis of patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative early-stage breast cancer and the effectiveness of adding adjuvant chemotherapy on the basis of endocrine therapy to avoid excessive chemotherapy. The present study aimed to analyze clinicopathological characteristics and chemotherapeutic efficacy-related target genes with the 21-gene RS in hormone receptor-positive early-stage breast cancer in China. The prognostic value of chemotherapeutic efficacy-related target genes was also examined. In addition, this study investigated the postoperative adjuvant therapeutic decision-oriented role of 21-gene RS in hormone receptor-positive and lymph node-negative early-stage breast cancer. In the present retrospective study, 110 ER⁺/HER2⁻ early-stage breast cancer patients were tested with the 21-gene RS. The analyses of clinicopathological characteristics and chemotherapeutic efficacy-related target genes with the 21-gene RS were performed using the χ² test, the Wilcoxon rank-sum test and binary logistic regression. Kaplan-Meier survival plots were drawn in www.kmplot.com. Furthermore, the McNemar χ² test was used to compare the changes of treatment decisions before and after the 21-gene test. The median RS of 110 patients was 16 (range, 2–47), and patients were categorized as low (59.1%), intermediate (34.5%) or high risk (6.4%). The results revealed that higher body mass index, invasive ductal carcinoma type, higher histological grade, luminal B molecular type and higher thymidylate synthetase (TYMS) and DNA topoisomerase IIα (TOP2A) gene expression levels were more likely to have a higher RS. Kaplan-Meier plots suggested that expression of TYMS, tubulin β3 class III (TUBB3) and TOP2A genes was significantly associated with relapse-free survival for ER⁺ breast cancer. Additionally, prior to 21-gene RS testing, 61 patients (55%) were recommended adjuvant chemotherapy and endocrine therapy; however, following 21-gene test, 32 patients (29%) were treated with only adjuvant endocrine therapy. TYMS, TUBB3 and TOP2A gene expression may have prognostic value for ER⁺ breast cancer. In addition, 21-gene RS testing may aid to avoid excessive postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy.

Artemisinin enhances the anti-tumor immune response in 4T1 breast cancer cells in vitro and in vivo

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer is a prominent cause of death among women worldwide. Recent studies have demonstrated that artemisinin (ART) displays anti-tumor activity. Using a mouse breast cancer model, we investigated the effects of ART in vitro and in vivo to determine how it influences the anti-tumor immune response.

METHODS

We measured the proliferation and apoptosis of 4T1 cells in vitro after ART treatment by MTT assay and FACS. To examine the effects of ART in vivo, tumor volumes and survival rates were measured in 4T1 tumor-bearing mice. FACS was used to determine the frequencies of Tregs, MDSCs, CD4⁺ IFN-γ⁺ T cells, and CTLs in the tumors and spleens of the mice. mRNA levels of the transcription factors T-bet and FOXP3 and cytokines IFN-γ, TNF-α, TGF-β, and IL-10 were also determined by real-time RT-PCR. ELISA was used to measure TGF-β protein levels in the cell culture supernatants.

RESULTS

ART supplementation significantly increased 4T1 cell apoptosis and decreased TGF-β levels in vitro. ART also impeded tumor growth in 4T1 TB mice and extended their survival. MDSC and Treg frequencies significantly decreased in the 4T1 TB mice after ART treatment while CD4⁺ IFN-γ⁺ T cells and CTLs significantly increased. ART significantly increased T-bet, IFN-γ, and TNF-α mRNA levels within the tumor and significantly decreased TGF-β mRNA levels.

CONCLUSION

ART supplementation hindered 4T1 tumor growth in vivo by promoting T cell activation and quelling immunosuppression from Tregs and MDSCs in the tumor.

Summary of head-to-head comparisons of patient risk classifications by the 21-gene Recurrence Score® (RS) assay and other genomic assays for early breast cancer

Many genomic assays that assess recurrence risk in early breast cancer (EBC) are prognostic, but they differ in risk group stratification, which can affect clinical utility. Prospective outcomes of >60 K patients treated based on the 21-gene assay results have shown that chemotherapy may be safely omitted in EBC patents with low Recurrence Score (RS) results (RS < 18). Because of its extensive validation and wide clinical use, the RS assay is a common comparator in head-to-head studies with other assays. Published/presented studies of the RS assay performed on the same tumor samples with Breast Cancer Index (BCI), EndoPredict (EP) or EP+ clinical features (EPclin), MammaPrint (MMP) and/or Prosigna (ROR) assays were reviewed. Study findings were summarized descriptively.

21-gene recurrence score and adjuvant chemotherapy decisions in patients with invasive lobular breast cancer

Aim: To determine the effect of the 21-gene recurrence score (RS) on outcome and chemotherapy decision in breast invasive lobular carcinoma (ILC). Materials & methods: We included 6467 patients with early stage and estrogen receptor–positive ILC from the Surveillance, epidemiology, and end results database. Results: A total of 9.1, 31.4, and 70.1% of patients with low-, intermediate-, and high-risk RS groups received chemotherapy, respectively. A higher RS was independently associated with poor breast cancer-specific survival, and receipt of chemotherapy was not related to better breast cancer-specific survival in low-, intermediate-, or high-risk RS groups. Conclusion: The 21-gene RS could impact chemotherapy decision making in early-stage ILC. However, adjuvant chemotherapy does not appear to improve outcome in high-risk RS cohort.

The Distribution and Outcomes of the 21-Gene Recurrence Score in T1-T2N0 Estrogen Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer With Different Histologic Subtypes

Background: The clinical value of 21-gene recurrence score (RS) in various breast cancer histologic subtypes is not well established.

Aims: To assess the distribution and outcomes of the 21-gene RS among various T1-T2N0 estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer histologic subtypes.

Methods: Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database, we investigated the distribution and outcomes of the 21-gene RS among various breast cancer histologic subtypes between 2004 and 2015. The histologic subtypes with 200 or more cases were further analyzed.

Results: We identified 83,665 patients including eight histologic subtypes. The most common subtype was invasive ductal carcinoma not otherwise specified (IDC NOS) (77.9%), followed by lobular carcinoma NOS, mixed infiltrating duct and lobular carcinoma (IDC-L), mucinous adenocarcinoma, tubular adenocarcinoma, micropapillary ductal carcinoma, cribriform carcinoma NOS, and intraductal papillary adenocarcinoma with invasion with 10.8, 7.7, 2.1, 0.6, 0.3, 0.2, and 0.2%, respectively. The 5-years breast cancer specific survival (BCSS) was 98.8, 98.8, 98.9, 99.6, 100, 100, 100, and 100%, respectively (P = 0.011). Patients with IDC NOS (8.9%), micropapillary ductal carcinoma (8.8%), and intraductal papillary adenocarcinoma with invasion (8.2%) had significantly higher percentage of high-risk RS compared to other histologic subtypes (1.0–3.8%) (P < 0.001). The mean RS was higher in IDC NOS, lobular carcinoma NOS, and IDC-L compared to other subtypes. In multivariate analysis, 21-gene RS was the independent prognostic factor in patients with IDC NOS (P < 0.001), lobular carcinoma NOS (P < 0.001), and IDC-L (P < 0.001), patients with a higher RS was associated with poor BCSS.

Conclusion: Our results demonstrate that there is a significant difference in distribution of 21-gene RS in T1-T2N0 estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer with different histologic subtypes. Long-term studies with larger series are needed to confirm the role of the 21-gene RS array in prognosis assessment and chemotherapy decision-making in special histologic subtypes with favorable prognosis.

New and Important Changes in the TNM Staging System for Breast Cancer

Expanded understanding of biologic factors that modulate the clinical course of malignant disease have led to the gradual integration of biomarkers into staging classifications. The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM staging system is universally used and has largely displaced other staging classifications for most, although not all, cancers. Many of the chapters of the eighth edition of the AJCC TNM staging system integrated biomarkers with anatomic definitions. The Breast Chapter added estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PR) expression, HER2 expression, and/or amplification and histologic grade to the anatomic assessment of tumor size, regional lymph node involvement, and distant metastases (known as TNM). While preserving an anatomic staging system for continuity and for regions where modern biomarkers are not always available, the eighth edition emphasizes the increased prognostic precision of the clinical prognostic stage groups and the pathologic prognostic stage groups. The clinical prognostic stage groups are applicable to all patients with primary breast cancer before any treatment has been implemented, but require a clinical and imaging evaluation as well as a biopsy with grade and available ER, PR, and HER2 results; the pathologic prognostic stage groups are applicable to all patients treated with complete surgical excision as first treatment and also require a complete pathology report, grade, and ER, PR, and HER2. Applying the pathologic prognostic stage groups to a large database of patients staged by basic TNM groupings changed the stage grouping of almost 40% of patients. Grouping by pathologic prognostic stage groups led to a better prognostic distribution of the group and more precise individual prognostication.

Adjuvant Chemotherapy Guided by a 21-Gene Expression Assay in Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

The recurrence score based on the 21-gene breast cancer assay predicts chemotherapy benefit if it is high and a low risk of recurrence in the absence of chemotherapy if it is low; however, there is uncertainty about the benefit of chemotherapy for most patients, who have a midrange score.

METHODS

We performed a prospective trial involving 10,273 women with hormone-receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative, axillary node-negative breast cancer. Of the 9719 eligible patients with follow-up information, 6711 (69%) had a midrange recurrence score of 11 to 25 and were randomly assigned to receive either chemoendocrine therapy or endocrine therapy alone. The trial was designed to show noninferiority of endocrine therapy alone for invasive disease-free survival (defined as freedom from invasive disease recurrence, second primary cancer, or death).

RESULTS

Endocrine therapy was noninferior to chemoendocrine therapy in the analysis of invasive disease-free survival (hazard ratio for invasive disease recurrence, second primary cancer, or death [endocrine vs. chemoendocrine therapy], 1.08; 95% confidence interval, 0.94 to 1.24; P=0.26). At 9 years, the two treatment groups had similar rates of invasive disease-free survival (83.3% in the endocrine-therapy group and 84.3% in the chemoendocrine-therapy group), freedom from disease recurrence at a distant site (94.5% and 95.0%) or at a distant or local-regional site (92.2% and 92.9%), and overall survival (93.9% and 93.8%). The chemotherapy benefit for invasive disease-free survival varied with the combination of recurrence score and age (P=0.004), with some benefit of chemotherapy found in women 50 years of age or younger with a recurrence score of 16 to 25.

CONCLUSIONS

Adjuvant endocrine therapy and chemoendocrine therapy had similar efficacy in women with hormone-receptor-positive, HER2-negative, axillary node-negative breast cancer who had a midrange 21-gene recurrence score, although some benefit of chemotherapy was found in some women 50 years of age or younger. (Funded by the National Cancer Institute and others; TAILORx ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00310180 .).

Practice patterns and outcomes for patients with node-negative hormone receptor-positive breast cancer and intermediate 21-gene Recurrence Scores

BACKGROUND

The recommendation for chemotherapy in early-stage breast cancer patients has been refined by the 21-gene Recurrence Score. However, uncertainty remains whether patients in the Intermediate Risk category benefit from chemotherapy.

METHODS

We analyzed female patients from the National Cancer Database from 2006 to 2012 who had pT1c-T2N0M0 breast cancer, were ER/PR-positive and HER2-negative, received endocrine therapy, and had a 21-gene Recurrence Score from 11 to 25. We performed univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to see what impacted chemotherapy receipt. We compared overall survival using Kaplan-Meier curves and the log-rank test. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to assess what variables impacted overall survival.

RESULTS

Of 21,991 patients who met all inclusion and exclusion criteria, 4646 (21.1%) received chemotherapy and 17,345 (78.9%) did not. Chemotherapy was more often received by patients who were younger (adjusted odds ratios (aORs) compared to age < 40 years, 0.48 for 40s, 0.34 for 50s, 0.20 for 60s, 0.10 for 70s, and 0.07 for 80+), had private insurance vs Medicare (aOR = 1.37), were from metro vs urban counties (aOR = 1.15), and were treated in community cancer centers vs academic programs (aOR = 1.26), and those with tumors of higher grade (grade 2 vs 1, aOR = 1.72; grade 3 vs 1, aOR = 3.76), higher tumor stage (pT2 vs pT1c, aOR = 1.62), or presence of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (aOR = 1.41). At a median follow-up of 46.4 months, there was no significant difference in overall survival between patients who received chemotherapy vs those who did not (5-year estimated overall survival, 97.4% vs 97.8%, p = 0.89). On multivariable analysis, worse overall survival was associated with Black race, treatment at a community program, Medicaid, high-grade tumors, pT2 vs pT1c, higher Charlson-Deyo score, and no radiotherapy. Utilization trends showed that chemotherapy receipt in these patients has been decreasing from 25.8% in 2010 to 18.4% in 2013 (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In these patients where the benefit of chemotherapy remains uncertain, current practices see chemotherapy more likely to be used in patients with younger age, higher pathologic T stage, higher grade tumors, and LVI. No apparent difference was seen in overall survival between those who received chemotherapy and those who did not.