Ten-year clinical outcomes in N0 ER+ breast cancer patients with Recurrence Score-guided therapy

Second breast cancer: recurrence score results, clinicopathologic characteristics, adjuvant treatments, and outcomes-exploratory analysis of the Clalit registry

Data on using the 21-gene Recurrence Score (RS) testing on second breast cancer (BC; second primary or local recurrence) are lacking. This cohort study examined patients with first and second BC, who underwent 21-gene testing both times. It included a 'study-cohort' (60 N0/N1mi/N1 ER + HER2‒ BC patients with ≥2 RS results >1 year apart) and a 'general 21-gene-tested BC-cohort' (2044 previously described N0/N1mi/N1 patients). The median time between the first and second BC was 5.2 (IQR, 3.1-7.1) years; the second BC was ipsilateral in 68%. Patient/tumor characteristics of the first- and second-BC in the 'study-cohort' were similar, except for the RS which was higher in the second BC (median [IQR]: 23 [17-30] vs 17 [14-22], p < 0.001). Overall, 56 patients had follow-up data, of whom 5 experienced distant recurrence (2 RS 11-25 patients and 3 RS 26-100 patients). Studies exploring the prognostic utility of the RS in this setting are warranted.

Genomic signature to guide adjuvant chemotherapy treatment decisions for early breast cancer patients in France: a cost-effectiveness analysis

Introduction

Chemotherapy (CT) is commonly used as an adjuvant treatment for women with early breast cancer (BC). However, not all patients benefit from CT, while all are exposed to its short- and long-term toxicity. The Oncotype DX^® test assesses cancer-related gene expression to estimate the risk of BC recurrence and predict the benefit of chemotherapy. The aim of this study was to estimate, from the French National Health Insurance (NHI) perspective, the cost-effectiveness of the Oncotype DX^® test compared to standard of care (SoC; involving clinicopathological risk assessment only) among women with early, hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative BC considered at high clinicopathological risk of recurrence.

Methods

Clinical outcomes and costs were estimated over a lifetime horizon based on a two-component model that comprised a short-term decision tree representing the adjuvant treatment choice guided by the therapeutic decision support strategy (Oncotype DX^® test or SoC) and a Markov model to capture long-term outcomes.

Results

In the base case, the Oncotype DX^® test reduced CT use by 55.2% and resulted in 0.337 incremental quality-adjusted life-years gained and cost savings of €3,412 per patient, compared with SoC. Being more effective and less costly than SoC, Oncotype DX^® testing was the dominant strategy.

Discussion

Widespread implementation of Oncotype DX^® testing would improve patient care, provide equitable access to more personalized medicine, and bring cost savings to the health system.

Clinical outcomes in estrogen receptor-positive early-stage breast cancer patients with Recurrence Score 26-30: observational real-world cohort study

Data on adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) benefit in ER + HER2‒ early-stage breast cancer (EBC) patients with Recurrence Score (RS) 26-30 are limited. This real-world study evaluated the relationships between the RS, adjuvant treatments, and outcomes in 534 RS 26-30 patients tested through Clalit Health Services (N0: n = 394, 49% CT-treated; N1mi/N1: n = 140, 62% CT-treated). The CT-treated and untreated groups were imbalanced (more high-risk clinicopathologic characteristics in CT-treated patients). With median follow-up of 8 years, Kaplan-Meier estimates for overall survival (OS), distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS), and BC-specific mortality (BCSM) were not significantly different between CT-treated and untreated N0 patients. Seven-year rates (95% CI) in CT-treated vs untreated: OS, 97.9% (94.4-99.2%) vs 97.9% (94.6-99.2%); DRFS, 91.5% (86.6-94.7%) vs 91.2% (86.0-94.6%); BCSM, 0.5% (0.1-3.7%) vs 1.6% (0.5-4.7%). For N1mi/N1 patients, OS/DRFS did not differ significantly between treatment groups; whereas BCSM did (1.3% [0.2-8.6%] vs 6.2% [2.0-17.7%] for CT-treated and untreated patients, respectively, p = 0.024).

Impact of the 21-gene expression assay on treatment decisions and clinical outcomes in breast cancer with one to three positive lymph nodes

BACKGROUND

To assess the practice patterns of the recurrence score (RS) based on the 21-gene expression assay on adjuvant chemotherapy recommendations and survival outcomes in estrogen receptor-positive (ER+)/HER2- breast cancer (BC) with one to three positive lymph nodes (N1).

METHODS

We included patients with T1-2N1M0 and ER+/HER2- BC diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Oncotype DX Database. Breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed.

RESULTS

We included 35,137 patients in this study. There were 21.2% of patients who had RS testing in 2010, which was significantly increased to 36.8% in 2015 (P < 0.001). Performance of the 21-gene testing was associated with older age, lower tumor grade, T1 stage, lower number of positive lymph nodes, and progesterone receptor-positive disease (all P < 0.05). In those without 21-gene testing, age was the main factor significantly related to the receipt of chemotherapy, whereas RS was the main factor significantly related to chemotherapy receipt in those with 21-gene testing. The probability of chemotherapy receipt in those without 21-gene testing was 64.1% and was decreased to 30.8% in those with 21-gene testing. On multivariate prognostic analysis, the performance of 21-gene testing was associated with better BCSS (P < 0.001) and OS (P < 0.001) compared with those without 21-gene testing. Similar results were found after propensity score matching.

CONCLUSIONS

The 21-gene expression assay is frequently and increasingly used for chemotherapy decision-making in ER+/HER2- BC with N1 disease. Performance of the 21-gene testing is associated with improved survival outcomes. Our study supports the routine use of 21-gene testing in the clinical practice of this population.

Gene expression signatures in older patients with breast cancer: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Gene expression signatures have emerged to predict prognosis and guide the use of adjuvant therapy in patients with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer. The objective of this systematic review was to evaluate the prognostic and predictive value of commercially available gene expression signatures as a tool in adjuvant treatment decision-making in older patients with breast cancer.

METHODS

PubMed, MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Emcare were reviewed for relevant articles published before December 2021. Eligible studies were randomised trials and cohort studies that externally validated commercially available gene expression signatures in patients aged 65 years and older, including studies that presented subanalyses of this age group. Data extraction and risk of bias assessment was performed independently by two investigators.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies were included. Most studies investigated Oncotype DX, while results from other gene expression signatures were limited. Several studies underlined the prognostic performance of Oncotype DX and Prosigna Risk of Recurrence in older patients. Moreover, Oncotype DX was predictive for older patients with an intermediate-risk recurrence score; chemotherapy could be spared in both lymph node-positive and lymph node-negative disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Prognostic performance has been demonstrated in older patients for several gene expression signatures. However, additional validation in patients with high-risk tumours is needed before gene expression signatures can be implemented in clinical practice as a prediction tool for adjuvant chemotherapy decision-making in the older age group.

Molecular differences between younger versus older ER-positive and HER2-negative breast cancers

The RxPONDER and TAILORx trials demonstrated benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy in patients age ≤ 50 with node-positive breast cancer and Recurrence Score (RS) 0-26, and in node-negative disease with RS 16-25, respectively, but no benefit in older women with the same clinical features. We analyzed transcriptomic and genomic data of ER+/HER2- breast cancers with in silico RS < 26 from TCGA (n = 530), two microarray cohorts (A: n = 865; B: n = 609), the METABRIC (n = 867), and the SCAN-B (n = 1636) datasets. There was no difference in proliferation-related gene expression between age groups. Older patients had higher mutation burden and more frequent ESR1 copy number gain, but lower frequency of GATA3 mutations. Younger patients had higher rate of ESR1 copy number loss. In all datasets, younger patients had significantly lower mRNA expression of ESR1 and ER-associated genes, and higher expression of immune-related genes. The ER- and immune-related gene signatures showed negative correlation and defined three subpopulations in younger women: immune-high/ER-low, immune-intermediate/ER-intermediate, and immune-low/ER-intermediate. We hypothesize that in immune-high cancers, the cytotoxic effect of chemotherapy may drive the benefit, whereas in immune-low/ER-intermediate cancers chemotherapy induced ovarian suppression may play important role.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of the Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score® Test in Node-Negative Early Breast Cancer

Background

The 21-gene assay (the Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score^® test) is a validated multigene assay which produces the Recurrence Score^® result (RS) to inform decisions on the use of adjuvant chemotherapy in human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-), hormone receptor positive (HR+) early invasive breast cancer. A model-based economic evaluation estimated the cost-effectiveness of the 21-gene assay against the use of clinical risk tools alone based on the latest evidence from prospective studies.

Methods

The proportion of patients assigned to chemotherapy conditional on their RS result was obtained from retrospective data from the Clalit registry. The probability of distant recurrence with endocrine and chemo-endocrine therapy conditional on RS result was obtained from TAILORx and NSABP B-20 trials. The cost-effectiveness of the 21-gene assay compared to using clinical risk tools alone was estimated in terms of cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) over a lifetime horizon.

Results

The 21-gene assay was more effective (0.17 more quality-adjusted life years) at a lower cost (-£519) over a lifetime compared to clinical risk alone. The model results were sensitive to assumptions around the magnitude of benefit of chemotherapy in the high RS result subgroup. Other assumptions underpinning the model, such as the proportion of patients assigned to chemotherapy in the low and mid-range RS result subgroups and long-term distant recurrence probabilities, had a smaller impact on the results.

Conclusion

The analysis showed that the cost-effectiveness of the 21-gene assay is sensitive to assumptions for chemotherapy sparing for patients with RS 0–25 whose outcomes with endocrine therapy are no worse compared to chemotherapy-assigned patients, and a chemotherapy benefit in the RS 26–100 group. Future studies need to incorporate a wider set of tumour profiling tests other than the 21-gene assay to allow a direct comparison of their cost-effectiveness.

Chemotherapy and gene expression profiling in older early luminal breast cancer patients: An International Society of Geriatric Oncology systematic review

BACKGROUND

The benefit of chemotherapy for older patients with hormone receptor (HR)-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative early breast cancer (EBC) is a key area of debate. Gene expression profiling (GEP) may identify patients deriving benefit, but their predictive role has not been established for older adults. We summarise evidence on efficacy, safety, and quality-of-life impacts of chemotherapy and on GEP use and impact in older HR-positive, HER2-negative EBC patients.

METHODS

We conducted a literature search of PubMed and Embase on publications describing prospective studies evaluating chemotherapy in older adults with HR-positive, HER2-negative EBC and on publications describing retrospective and prospective studies evaluating GEP in older adults.

RESULTS

Eight publications on chemotherapy use, including 2,035 older patients with EBC were selected. Only one trial evaluated chemotherapy survival benefits in older adults, showing no benefit. Of four studies comparing different regimens, only one showed the superiority of taxanes versus anthracyclines alone. Those investigating alternative regimens did not show improvements over standard regimens despite significant limitations. Five publications on GEP, including 445,323 older patients, were included and investigated Oncotype DX. Limited evidence shows that GEP aids treatment decisions in this population. GEP was offered less frequently to older versus younger patients. Higher Recurrence Score was prognostic for distant recurrence, but chemotherapy did not improve prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

In older patients with HR-positive, HER2-negative, chemotherapy survival benefits EBC are unclear and GEP is less used. Although its prognostic role is well established, its predictive role remains unknown.

Expanding the Staging Criteria for T1-2N0 Hormone-Receptor Positive Breast Cancer Patients Enrolled in TAILORx

BACKGROUND

The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition pathologic prognostic staging (PPS) incorporates anatomic and biologic factors. The OncotypeDX Breast Recurrence Score (RS) was included based on the initial report of the TAILORx trial, with T1-2N0 hormone receptor-positive (HR+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) breast cancer patients who had a RS < 11 staged as PPS 1A. This study examined whether the RS criteria for PPS 1A can be further expanded using patients enrolled in the TAILORx trial.

METHODS

The TAILORx trial enrolled 10,273 HR+HER2- T1-2N0 patients. Those with incomplete HR-status/grade and T3 disease were excluded for analysis. The recurrence-free interval (RFI) was compared between the patients who did and those who did not fall into the current PPS 1A category using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

The study enrolled 9535 patients for analysis. The RS was < 11 in 16.1%, 11-17 in 35.9%, 18-25 in 32.4%, and > 25 in 15.6% of the patients. The majority (91.2%) of the patients (including all the T1N0 patients regardless of RS) were PPS 1A, and 8.8% were not-PPS 1A. The median follow-up time was 95 months. The PPS 1A patients had an 8-year RFI of 94.2%, which was similar to that of the patients with a RS of 11-17 who were not-PPS 1A (91.7%; p = 0.07) and better than that of the patients with a RS ≥ 18 who were not-PPS 1A (85.4% for a RS of 18-25, 76.0% for a RS > 25; both p < 0.01). Similar RFI trends were seen in patients who received endocrine therapy or chemotherapy followed by endocrine therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with T1-2N0 HR+HER2- breast cancer and a RS < 18 have an RFI similar to that of patients staged as PPS 1A by the current AJCC staging system, regardless of treatment, suggesting that the criteria for PPS 1A can be expanded to include a RS < 18.

The Utility of the Oncotype DX Test for Breast Cancer Patients in an Australian Multidisciplinary Setting

Introduction

The Oncotype DX test is a genomic assay that generates a Recurrence Score (RS) predicting the 10-year risk of recurrence and response to adjuvant chemotherapy in ER+/HER2− breast cancer patients. The aims were to determine breast cancer distant recurrence and correlate with adjuvant chemoendocrine prescribing patterns based on the Oncotype DX recurrence score.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective single-institution case series of 71 patients who had Oncotype DX assay testing after definitive surgery between 2012 and 2016. Both node-positive and node-negative patients were included. Patients were divided into Oncotype DX low risk (RS < 11) (n = 10, 14%), intermediate risk (RS 11–25) (n = 45, 63%), and high risk (RS > 25) (n = 16, 23%). Median follow-up was 6.1 years (range 4–8.9 years). Adjuvant treatment regimens and oncological outcomes were determined. Results. Mean age at diagnosis was 56 years (range, 33–77). Invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) accounted for the majority (87%), with most tumors measuring between 10–20 mm (52%). 48% of the cohort were node positive. 15 of 16 high-risk patients (94%) received chemotherapy. 96% of intermediate-risk patients received endocrine therapy alone, one patient received chemoendocrine therapy (2%), and one declined systemic therapy (2%). In the low-risk group, 100% received endocrine therapy only. The high-risk group had the lowest mean ER% (P < 0.05), greatest mean mitotic rate (P < 0.05), and greatest proportion of Ki67% > 14. Five patients developed distant recurrence (7%): three from the intermediate-risk group (7%), one from the low-risk group (10%), and one from the high-risk group (6%).

Conclusion

This is the first Australian study reporting the experience with medium-term recurrence outcomes of using the Oncotype DX assay in breast cancer. Chemotherapy was rarely given for patients with low-to-intermediate RS and always offered in high RS. This pattern of prescribing was associated with low rates of distant recurrence. National funding models should be considered.

Personalising therapy for early-stage oestrogen receptor-positive breast cancer in older women

Age is one of the most important risk factors for the development of breast cancer. Nearly a third of all breast cancer cases occur in older women (aged ≥70 years), with most cases being oestrogen receptor-positive (ER+). Such tumours are often indolent and unlikely to be the ultimate cause of death for older women, particularly when considering other comorbidities. This Review focuses on unique clinical considerations for screening, detection, and treatment regimens for older women who develop ER+ breast cancers-specifically, we focus on recent trends for de-implementation of screening, staging, surgery, and adjuvant therapies along the continuum of care. Additionally, we also review emerging basic and translational research that will further uncover the unique underlying biology of these tumours, which develop in the context of systemic age-related inflammation and changing hormone profiles. With prevailing trends of clinical de-implementation, new insights into mechanistic biology might provide an opportunity for precision medicine approaches to treat patients with well tolerated, low-toxicity agents to extend patients' lives with a higher quality of life, prevent tumour recurrences, and reduce cancer-related burdens.

The clinician's perspective on the 21-gene assay in early breast cancer

Most patients with early HR+ and HER2- breast cancer receive a hormone therapy; the clinical question still open is how to identify patients who can really benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. The accurate identification of these patients is essential to avoid an over-treatment, increasing the risk of an unnecessary toxicity; on the contrary, the omission of chemotherapy can deprive high risk patients of a potential life-saving treatment (under-treatment). Several multigene assays (MGAs), assessing the risk of relapse according to the biological characteristics of the tumor, have been developed. To date, the 21-gene assay (Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score^®) is the only test developed and validated to be actionable, i.e., able to predict the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy. The different available tests can be classified according to their clinical utility based on their prognostic and predictive value. A prognostic test gives information about the outcome of the disease, regardless of the administered therapy. When the aim of the test is to drive the treatment decisions, the predictive component, and therefore the ability to accurately identify which patients could benefit from chemotherapy, is essential. This review summarizes the clinical evidences of the Oncotype DX^® test supporting its clinical utility.

Systemic therapy for older patients with early breast cancer

Over a third of breast cancers are diagnosed in patients ≥70 years. With the ageing of the population, the number of older breast cancer patients will continue to rise. Older patients are under-represented in clinical studies underpinning breast cancer therapy, and frequently do not receive guideline-concordant care. This review outlines the evidence on the efficacy and the safety of systemic treatment options for the management of early-stage breast cancer (EBC) in older adults and identifies where critical data gaps exist. Chemotherapy is beneficial for older patients with oestrogen receptor (ER)-negative EBC, whilst the benefit for those with ER-positive disease is less certain. Careful consideration should be given to the side-effect profile of the treatment regimen chosen, owing to the risks of myelosuppression and cardiac damage, as well as toxicities, such as neuropathy, that may impact independence. The impact of chemotherapy on quality of life (QOL) outcomes appears significant but reversible in this population. Gene expression profiling, benefit and chemotherapy toxicity prediction tools integrating global health considerations hold promise to better inform chemotherapy decisions in this population. Benefits on targeted anti-human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) agents is maintained in older EBC patients with a favourable safety profile. Endocrine therapy including aromatase inhibitors is the standard of care in this population, and extended treatment decisions should consider effects on bone health and life expectancy. More trials recruiting older adults with pragmatic designs and meaningful endpoints for this population are warranted to better inform systemic treatment decisions and discussion with patients.

Expanding Criteria for Prognostic Stage IA in Hormone Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

The prognostic significance of patients with low-risk recurrence score (RS) results in the context of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) eighth edition pathologic prognostic staging has not been investigated. We evaluated if expanded RS criteria can be considered for downstaging in AJCC pathologic prognostic staging.

METHODS

Using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data, we identified patients with T1-3N0-3M0 hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer treated from 2010 to 2015 with follow-up data through 2016. We evaluated TNM categories, grade, and RS result. The primary outcome measured was 5-year disease-specific survival (DSS) of patients with low-risk RS results not already pathologic prognostic stage IA, determined by T and N categories per AJCC eighth edition. All statistical tests were 2-sided.

RESULTS

Of 154 050 patients with median follow-up of 49 months (range = 0-83), RS results were obtained in 60 886 (39.5%): RS was less than 11 in 13 570 (22.3%); 11-17 in 22 719 (37.3%); 18-25 in 16 521 (27.1%); and 26 or higher in 8076 (13.3%). Five-year DSS for pathologic prognostic stage IA patients (n = 114 910, 74.6%) was 98.8%. Among N0-1 patients with a RS less than 18 not staged as pathologic prognostic stage IA by current criteria, 5-year DSS was excellent and not statistically significantly different than for pathologic prognostic stage IA patients (97.2%-99.7%; P > .05). For those with a RS of 18-25, there was a small decrease in DSS for T2N0 (2.3%) and modest decrease for T1-2N1 (4.2%-6.4%) compared with pathologic prognostic stage IA patients (P < .001).

CONCLUSION

Patients with a RS less than 18 have excellent 5-year DSS regardless of T category for N0-1 disease suggesting further modification of the AJCC staging system using this cutoff.

Development and Validation of a Tool Integrating the 21-Gene Recurrence Score and Clinical-Pathological Features to Individualize Prognosis and Prediction of Chemotherapy Benefit in Early Breast Cancer

PURPOSE

The 21-gene recurrence score (RS) is prognostic for distant recurrence (DR) and predictive for chemotherapy benefit in early breast cancer, whereas clinical-pathological factors are only prognostic. Integration of genomic and clinical features offers the potential to guide adjuvant chemotherapy use with greater precision.

METHODS

We developed a new tool (RSClin) that integrates RS with tumor grade, tumor size, and age using a patient-specific meta-analysis including 10,004 women with hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative, and node-negative breast cancer who received endocrine therapy alone in the B-14 (n = 577) and TAILORx (n = 4,854) trials or plus chemotherapy in TAILORx (n = 4,573). Cox models for RSClin were compared with RS alone and clinical-pathological features alone using likelihood ratio tests. RSClin estimates of DR used a baseline risk with TAILORx event rates to reflect current medical practice. A patient-specific estimator of absolute chemotherapy benefit was computed using individualized relative chemotherapy effect from the randomized TAILORx and B-20 trials. External validation of risk estimation was performed by comparing RSClin estimated risk and observed risk in 1,098 women in the Clalit registry.

RESULTS

RSClin provides more prognostic information (likelihood ratio χ2) for DR than RS or clinical-pathological factors alone (both P < .001, likelihood ratio test). In external validation, the RSClin risk estimate was prognostic for DR risk in the Clalit registry (P < .001) and the estimated risk closely approximated the observed 10-year risk (Lin concordance 0.962). The absolute chemotherapy benefit estimate ranges from 0% to 15% as the RS ranges from 11 to 50 using RSClin in a 55-year-old woman with a 1.5-cm intermediate-grade tumor.

CONCLUSION

The RSClin tool integrates clinical-pathological and genomic risk to guide adjuvant chemotherapy in node-negative breast cancer and provides more individualized information than clinical-pathological or genomic data alone.

Podoplanin expression in cancer-associated fibroblasts predicts unfavorable prognosis in node-negative breast cancer patients with hormone receptor-positive/HER2 - negative subtype

BACKGROUND

Podoplanin expression in cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs) has been proposed as an indicator for poor prognosis in patients with invasive breast carcinomas, but little is known about its clinical significance in node-negative breast cancer patients with hormone receptor (HR) + /HER2  - subtype, who are expected to have a favorable prognosis.

METHODS

Immunohistochemical analyses were performed on 169 resected specimens of node-negative invasive carcinoma of no special type with HR + /HER2 - subtype using antibodies for podoplanin. When more than 10% of CAFs showed immunoreactivity with podoplanin as strong as that of internal positive controls, the specimens were judged as podoplanin-positive.

RESULTS

Podoplanin-positive status in CAFs was observed in 16.0% (27 of 169 cases) and it associated with high Ki67 labeling index (LI) (> 30%) (p = 0.03), higher stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (p < 0.001) and progesterone receptor-negative status (p = 0.045). Log-rank test showed that podoplanin-positive status in CAFs correlated with shorter disease-free survival (DFS) (p = 0.007) and disease-specific survival (DSS) (p < 0.001). Univariate analysis showed a significant correlation between shorter DFS and podoplanin-positive status in CAFs (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.380; p = 0.012), the presence of lymphatic invasion (HR = 5.621; p < 0.001), high Ki67 LI (HR = 5.217; p < 0.001), and histological grade III (HR = 3.748; p = 0.008). According to Cox multivariate analysis, podoplanin-positive status in CAFs had the most significant effect on shorter DSS (HR = 37.759; p = 0.003) followed by high Ki67LI (HR = 27.664; p = 0.007).

CONCLUSION

Podoplanin expression in CAFs could be an independent predictor for poor prognosis in node-negative breast cancer patients with HR + /HER2 - subtype.

The Potential Use of Tumour-Based Prognostic and Predictive Tools in Older Women with Primary Breast Cancer: A Narrative Review

A move is under way towards personalised cancer treatment, where tumour biology of an individual patient is examined to give unique predictive and prognostic information. This is extremely important in the setting of older women, who have treatment-specific goals which may differ from their younger counterparts, and may include conservation of quality of life rather than curative intent of treatment. One method employed to assist with this is the use of tumour-based prognostic and predictive tools. This article explores six of the most common tumour-based tools currently available on the market: MammaPrint, Oncotype DX, Mammostrat, Prosigna, EndoPredict, IHC4. The article discusses the creation and validation of these tools, their use and validation in older women, and future directions in the field. With the exception of Oncotype Dx, which has also been licensed for prediction of response from adjuvant chemotherapy, these tools have been licensed for use as prognostic tools only, mainly in the setting of adjuvant therapy following surgery. The evidence base for use in older women is strongest for Mammostrat and PAM50, although overall the evidence is much weaker than that in younger women. Where older women have been included in validation studies, this is often in small numbers, or the exact proportion of older women is unknown. In practice, all six of the tools are recommended to be utilised on surgical excision specimens, as well as in core needle biopsy (CNB) specimens in all of the tools except Mammostrat. This is extremely important in the setting of older women, of whom a large proportion do not undergo surgery. The suggested nature of the sample is formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded in all the tools except MammaPrint, which can also be performed on fresh-frozen samples. Future development of prognostic tools in older women with breast cancer should focus on treatment dilemmas specific to this population. This includes the decision of primary treatment between surgery or endocrine therapy and decisions regarding adjuvant therapy, in particular, chemotherapy.

Chemotherapy and 21-gene recurrence score testing for older breast cancer patients: A competing-risks analysis

PURPOSE

To evaluate the effect of the 21-gene recurrence score (RS) assay in breast cancer-specific mortality (BCSM) and decision-making for chemotherapy in older (aged ≥65 years) breast cancer.

METHODS

We retrospectively included older patients with T1-2N0 and estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Cox regression model and competing-risks model were used for data analysis.

RESULTS

This study included 8524 patients, 1987 (23.3%) had low RS, 5059 (59.4%) had intermediate RS, and 1478 (17.3%) had high RS. Chemotherapy was administrated in 2.0%, 8.6%, and 51.2% for low, intermediate, and high RS cohorts, respectively (P < 0.001). A total of 597 deaths were recorded, including one-quarter of breast cancer-related deaths and three-quarters as competing causes of death. The 5-year BCSM was 5.4%, 4.7%, and 9.1% for low, intermediate, and high RS cohorts, respectively (P < 0.001), using the Cox regression model, and was 0.8%, 0.9%, and 5.2% for low, intermediate, and high RS cohorts using the competing-risks regression, respectively (P < 0.001). RS was independently correlated with BCSM in both prognostic models. The stratified analysis demonstrated that chemotherapy was not correlated with a lower risk of BCSM in intermediate and high RS cohorts in both prognostic models. Sensitivity analyses replicated similar findings after stratification by the year of diagnosis and patients' age.

CONCLUSIONS

The competing-risks model is useful in dealing with multiple end events for older breast cancer patients. 21-gene RS was independently associated with BCSM. However, chemotherapy did not significantly decrease the risk of BCSM in intermediate and high RS cohorts.

21-gene recurrence score testing utilization among older women from different races: A population-based study

OBJECTIVES

The influence of older age at diagnosis in combination with race/ethnicity on utilization and results of the 21-gene recurrence score (RS) assay for breast cancer (BC) patients is not fully understood. Our objectives were to evaluate the utilization of RS among older women with BC, the likelihood of a high-risk RS, and factors associated with breast cancer-specific mortality (BCSM) among older patients across different races.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We utilized the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and Results (SEER) database with linked RS results to evaluate women with estrogen receptor-positive BC diagnosed 2004-2015. Multivariable logistic regression was used to describe the differences in utilization of RS testing and the association of high-risk RS according to patient characteristics. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze factors associated with BCSM.

RESULTS

We found that 20.4% (109,244/536,555) of all women ≥18 and 14.3% (33,584/235,171) of women ≥65 underwent RS testing. Non-whites had lower odds of RS testing at younger ages whereas among women ≥65 there was no significant difference. After taking into account stage and grade, being ≥65 reduced the odds of high-risk RS in all races except American Indian/Alaskan Native. Age ≥ 65 was independently associated with increased hazard BCSM. Among women ≥65 with high-risk RS, chemotherapy was associated with lower hazard of BCSM in all races.

CONCLUSIONS

Older women are less likely to be tested for RS, but also less likely to have high-risk RS. Older women with high-risk RS, when given chemotherapy have reduced BCSM across all races.

Personalised medicine and the decision to withhold chemotherapy in early breast cancer with intermediate risk of recurrence - a systematic review and meta-analysis

Purpose

To assess the evidence for decision making, at the health care and the patient levels, regarding the use of gene expression assays to inform chemotherapy decisions in breast cancer patients with intermediate clinical risk of recurrence.

Methods

Systematic literature searches were performed (January 2002–April 2020) in Medline, Embase, PubMed, Cochrane Library, PsycINFO and HTA databases. Inclusion criteria: patients (P) were individuals with post-surgical breast cancer at intermediate clinical risk of recurrence; intervention (I)/comparison (C) was (i) use of, versus no use of, a gene expression assay and (ii) withholding versus providing chemotherapy; outcomes (O) were overall survival (OS), health-related quality of life (HRQL), and recurrence. Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and non-RCTs were included. Random-effects meta-analyses were performed where possible.

Results

Three inconclusive non-RCTs, respectively, compared OS and recurrence with and without a gene expression assay. No studies investigated HRQL. Regarding the comparison withholding versus providing chemotherapy based on a gene expression assay, one RCT and four non-RCTs evaluated OS. In the RCT, 93.9% (I) versus 93.8% (C) were alive at 9 years. Three RCTs and seven non-RCTs evaluated recurrence. Three RCTs could be pooled regarding distant recurrence; 4.29% versus 3.88% had such an event (risk ratio: 1.12 (95% confidence interval: 0.90 to 1.39).

Conclusion

Regarding the use of gene expression assays in breast cancer, evidence on patient effects, informing patient-level chemotherapy decision making, is available. However, evidence for prioritisation at the overall health care level, i.e. use of, versus no use of, such assays, is largely lacking.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00228-020-02914-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

The prognostic and predictive role of 21-gene recurrence scores in hormone receptor-positive early-stage breast cancer

Over the past two decades, gene expression profiling of breast cancer has emerged as an important tool in early-stage breast cancer management. The approach provides important information on underlying biological mechanisms, breast cancer classification, future risk potential of developing recurrent metastatic disease, and provides beneficial clues for adjuvant chemotherapy in hormone receptor (HR) positive breast cancer. Of the commercially available genomic tests for breast cancer, the prognostic and predictive value of 21-gene recurrence score tests have been validated using both retrospective data and prospective clinical trials. In this paper, we reviewed the current evidence on 21-gene expression profiles for HR-positive HER2-negative early-stage breast cancer management. We show that current evidence supports endocrine therapy alone as an appropriate adjuvant systemic therapy for approximately 70% of women with HR-positive, HER2-negative, node-negative breast cancer. Evolving evidence also suggests that 21-gene recurrence scores have predictive values for node-positive breast cancer and that chemotherapy can be avoided in more than half of women with nodes 1 to 3 positive HR-positive breast cancer. Furthermore, retrospective data also supports the predictive role of 21-gene recurrence scores for adjuvant radiation therapy. A prospective trial in this area is ongoing.