1
|
Ellis EC, Malhi Y, Ritchie H, Montana J, Díaz S, Obura D, Clayton S, Leach M, Pereira L, Marris E, Muthukrishna M, Fu B, Frankopan P, Grace MK, Barzin S, Watene K, Depsky N, Pasanen J, Conceição P. An aspirational approach to planetary futures. Nature 2025:10.1038/s41586-025-09080-1. [PMID: 40562921 DOI: 10.1038/s41586-025-09080-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/07/2024] [Accepted: 04/29/2025] [Indexed: 06/28/2025]
Abstract
Prevailing frameworks to address planetary environmental challenges tend to focus on setting goals, targets, or boundaries to limit human harm to ecosystems or species. Here we propose an aspirational approach aimed at empowering people to shape a better future for all of life on Earth. We do this by building on the human development approach and its supporting metrics, especially the Human Development Index (HDI), a broadly influential framework that has contributed to decades of human progress by measuring and promoting people's capabilities to lead the lives that they value. Rather than assessing the state or dynamics of the biosphere, we propose the Nature Relationship Index (NRI), which would focus on measuring the progress of nations towards delivering mutually beneficial relationships among people and the rest of the living world in terms that people widely understand and value. Through an open-ended process informed by expert consultation, international concept testing and indicator development, the NRI could help to incentivize progress towards a world in which humanity thrives together with the rest of life on Earth. We explore the challenges and opportunities of developing a robust NRI and invite broader participation to facilitate this development in collaboration with the United Nations Development Programme Human Development Report.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Erle C Ellis
- Department of Geography and Environmental Systems, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD, USA.
- Leverhulme Centre for Nature Recovery, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
- Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
| | - Yadvinder Malhi
- Leverhulme Centre for Nature Recovery, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Jasper Montana
- Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Centre for the Public Awareness of Science, Australian National University, Acton, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
| | - Sandra Díaz
- Leverhulme Centre for Nature Recovery, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Instituto Multidisciplinario de Biología Vegetal (IMBIV), CONICET, Córdoba, Argentina
- FCEFyN, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina
| | | | - Susan Clayton
- Department of Psychology, The College of Wooster, Wooster, OH, USA
| | - Melissa Leach
- Social Anthropology and Cambridge Conservation Initiative (CCI), University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Laura Pereira
- Global Change Institute, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
- Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
| | | | - Michael Muthukrishna
- Department of Psychological and Behavioural Science, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK
- STICERD, Developmental Economics Group, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK
| | - Bojie Fu
- State Key Laboratory of Regional and Urban Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
| | | | - Molly K Grace
- Department of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Samira Barzin
- Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Krushil Watene
- University of Auckland, Auckland Central, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Nicholas Depsky
- Human Development Report Office (HDRO), United Nations Development Programme, New York, NY, USA
| | - Josefin Pasanen
- Human Development Report Office (HDRO), United Nations Development Programme, New York, NY, USA
| | - Pedro Conceição
- Human Development Report Office (HDRO), United Nations Development Programme, New York, NY, USA
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Wauchope HS, zu Ermgassen SOSE, Jones JPG, Carter H, Schulte to Bühne H, Milner-Gulland EJ. What is a unit of nature? Measurement challenges in the emerging biodiversity credit market. Proc Biol Sci 2024; 291:20242353. [PMID: 39657801 PMCID: PMC11631508 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2024.2353] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/30/2024] [Revised: 11/07/2024] [Accepted: 11/07/2024] [Indexed: 12/12/2024] Open
Abstract
Bending the curve of biodiversity loss requires the business and financial sectors to disclose and reduce their biodiversity impacts and help fund nature recovery. This has sparked interest in developing generalizable, standardized measurements of biodiversity-essentially a 'unit of nature'. We examine how such units are defined in the rapidly growing voluntary biodiversity credits market and present a framework exploring how biodiversity is quantified, how delivery of positive outcomes is detected and attributed to the investment and how the number of credits issued is adjusted to account for uncertainties. We demonstrate that there are deep uncertainties throughout the process and question if the benefits of biodiversity credits, and other efforts to abstract nature to a single unit, outweigh the harms. Credits can only be positive for biodiversity if they are used with unprecedentedly strict regulation that ensures businesses mostly avoid negative impacts and if they are purchased to quantify positive contributions rather than as direct offsets. While there may be a role for markets in attracting conservation funding, they will only ever be part of the solution, especially for the many aspects of nature that cannot be reduced to a unit.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Julia P. G. Jones
- School of Environment and Natural Sciences, Bangor University, Bangor, UK
- Department of Biology, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
3
|
Luxton SJ, Smith GS, Williams KJ, Ferrier S, Bond AJ, Prober SM. An introduction to key ecological concepts, financial opportunities, and risks underpinning aspirations for nature positive. Bioscience 2024; 74:450-466. [PMID: 39156612 PMCID: PMC11328145 DOI: 10.1093/biosci/biae040] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/24/2023] [Revised: 03/08/2024] [Accepted: 04/14/2024] [Indexed: 08/20/2024] Open
Abstract
Global biodiversity is in decline, and businesses and society are being required to urgently create new operating models to ameliorate the crisis. Among the strategies proposed to do this, implementing the concept of nature positive has captured worldwide attention. Critical to its success will be effective collaboration between ecologists and businesspeople, driven by a shared understanding of key nature positive terminology, concepts, and risks. To this end, we introduce three core aspects: the ecological concepts in the definition of nature positive (health, abundance, diversity, and resilience), a typology of financial instruments that may be applied to achieving nature positive, and an overview of risks to biodiversity and society. The pivotal findings include that ecological complexity and uncertainty belie the simplicity of the definition of nature positive and that managing risk requires embedding aspirations into existing and emerging biodiversity conservation and restoration science and policy. Although it is challenging, nature positive deserves pursuit.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Sarah J Luxton
- Commonwealth Scientific and Research Organisation (CSIRO), Canberra, ACT and Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
| | - Greg S Smith
- Commonwealth Scientific and Research Organisation (CSIRO), Canberra, ACT and Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
| | - Kristen J Williams
- Commonwealth Scientific and Research Organisation (CSIRO), Canberra, ACT and Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
| | - Simon Ferrier
- Commonwealth Scientific and Research Organisation (CSIRO), Canberra, ACT and Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
| | - Anthelia J Bond
- School of Economics and Public Policy, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Suzanne M Prober
- Commonwealth Scientific and Research Organisation (CSIRO), Canberra, ACT and Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
McGeoch MA, Clarke DA, Mungi NA, Ordonez A. A nature-positive future with biological invasions: theory, decision support and research needs. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 2024; 379:20230014. [PMID: 38583473 PMCID: PMC10999266 DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2023.0014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/05/2023] [Accepted: 01/24/2024] [Indexed: 04/09/2024] Open
Abstract
In 2050, most areas of biodiversity significance will be heavily influenced by multiple drivers of environmental change. This includes overlap with the introduced ranges of many alien species that negatively impact biodiversity. With the decline in biodiversity and increase in all forms of global change, the need to envision the desired qualities of natural systems in the Anthropocene is growing, as is the need to actively maintain their natural values. Here, we draw on community ecology and invasion biology to (i) better understand trajectories of change in communities with a mix of native and alien populations, and (ii) to frame approaches to the stewardship of these mixed-species communities. We provide a set of premises and actions upon which a nature-positive future with biological invasions (NPF-BI) could be based, and a decision framework for dealing with uncertain species movements under climate change. A series of alternative management approaches become apparent when framed by scale-sensitive, spatially explicit, context relevant and risk-consequence considerations. Evidence of the properties of mixed-species communities together with predictive frameworks for the relative importance of the ecological processes at play provide actionable pathways to a NPF in which the reality of mixed-species communities are accommodated and managed. This article is part of the theme issue 'Ecological novelty and planetary stewardship: biodiversity dynamics in a transforming biosphere'.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Melodie A. McGeoch
- Securing Antarctica's Environmental Future, School of Biological Sciences, Monash University, Clayton 3800, Victoria, Australia
| | - David A. Clarke
- Securing Antarctica's Environmental Future, School of Biological Sciences, Monash University, Clayton 3800, Victoria, Australia
| | - Ninad Avinash Mungi
- Section of Ecoinformatics and Biodiversity, Department of Biology, Aarhus University, Aarhus 8000, Denmark
- Center for Ecological Dynamics in a Novel Biosphere (ECONOVO), Department of Biology, Aarhus University, Aarhus 8000, Denmark
| | - Alejandro Ordonez
- Section of Ecoinformatics and Biodiversity, Department of Biology, Aarhus University, Aarhus 8000, Denmark
- Center for Ecological Dynamics in a Novel Biosphere (ECONOVO), Department of Biology, Aarhus University, Aarhus 8000, Denmark
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Hogg CJ. Translating genomic advances into biodiversity conservation. Nat Rev Genet 2024; 25:362-373. [PMID: 38012268 DOI: 10.1038/s41576-023-00671-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 10/12/2023] [Indexed: 11/29/2023]
Abstract
A key action of the new Global Biodiversity Framework is the maintenance of genetic diversity in all species to safeguard their adaptive potential. To achieve this goal, a translational mindset, which aims to convert results of basic research into direct practical benefits, needs to be applied to biodiversity conservation. Despite much discussion on the value of genomics to conservation, a disconnect between those generating genomic resources and those applying it to biodiversity management remains. As global efforts to generate reference genomes for non-model species increase, investment into practical biodiversity applications is critically important. Applications such as understanding population and multispecies diversity and longitudinal monitoring need support alongside education for policymakers on integrating the data into evidence-based decisions. Without such investment, the opportunity to revolutionize global biodiversity conservation using genomics will not be fully realized.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Carolyn J Hogg
- School of Life & Environmental Sciences, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Maron M, Quétier F, Sarmiento M, Ten Kate K, Evans MC, Bull JW, Jones JPG, Zu Ermgassen SOSE, Milner-Gulland EJ, Brownlie S, Treweek J, von Hase A. 'Nature positive' must incorporate, not undermine, the mitigation hierarchy. Nat Ecol Evol 2024; 8:14-17. [PMID: 37735564 DOI: 10.1038/s41559-023-02199-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/23/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Martine Maron
- School of the Environment, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
- Centre for Biodiversity & Conservation Science, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
| | | | | | | | - Megan C Evans
- Public Service Research Group, School of Business, University of New South Wales, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
| | - Joseph W Bull
- Department of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Julia P G Jones
- College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Bangor University, Bangor, UK
- Department of Biology, University of Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
7
|
Affiliation(s)
- Alexandre Antonelli
- Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew, Richmond, UK. .,Gothenburg Global Biodiversity Centre, Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden. .,Department of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
| |
Collapse
|