Metroticket 2.0 Model for Analysis of Competing Risks of Death After Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Modality-Aware Distillation Network for Microvascular Invasion Prediction of Hepatocellar Carcinoma From MRI Images

Microvascular invasion (MVI) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a crucial histopathologic prognostic factor associated with cancer recurrence after liver transplantation or hepatectomy. Recently, clinicoradiologic characteristics are combined with medical images to enhance the HCC prediction. However, compared to medical imaging data, the clinicoradiologic characteristics (e.g., APOe4 genotyping) is not easy to collect or even unavailable, as it requires more efforts of clinicians and more medical instruments for collecting diverse measurements. This work explores how to transfer the knowledge of a teacher network learned from non-image clinical data and image data to a student network with only image data such that the student network can leverage the transferred clinical information to boost HCC classification with only imaging data as input. Specifically, we present a modality-aware distillation network (MD-Net) to transform non-image clinicoradiologic from the teacher network to the student network. The teacher network integrates non-image clinicoradiologic characteristics with two 3D MRI modality images via two MRI-clinical-fusion modules and a symmetric attention (SA) module, while the student network extracts features from two modality MRI data via two MRI-only modules and then refine these two MRI features via a SA module. A classification-level distillation and a feature-level distillation are jointly utilized to transfer the clinical information between teacher and student networks. Furthermore, we design a novel self-supervised task to predict clinicoradiologic characteristics from the imaging data to further enhance the downstream HCC classification. The experimental results from our collected dataset and a multi-modal sarcasm detection dataset have demonstrated the effectiveness of our approach. Specifically, we achieved an AUC score of 71.86% and 75.51% respectively, surpassing the performance of the state-of-the-art classification methods.

The 2024 ILTS-ILCA consensus recommendations for liver transplantation for HCC and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

Liver transplantation (LT) provides the best long-term survival outcomes for patients with liver cancer. As a result, the field of transplant oncology has grown greatly over the past few decades, and many centers have expanded their criteria to allow increased access to LT for liver malignancies. Center-level guidelines and practices in transplant oncology significantly vary across the world, leading to debate regarding the best course of treatment for this patient population. An international consensus conference was convened by the International Liver Transplantation Society and the International Liver Cancer Association on February 1-2, 2024, in Valencia, Spain to establish a more universal consensus regarding LT for oncologic indications. The conference followed the Delphi process, followed by an external expert review. Consensus statements were accepted regarding patient assessment and waitlisting criteria, pretransplant treatment (including immunotherapy) and downstaging, living donor LT, post-LT patient management, and patient- and caregiver-related outcomes. The multidisciplinary participants in the consensus conference provided up-to-date recommendations regarding the selection and management of patients with liver cancer being considered for LT. Although participants deferred to center protocols in many cases, there was great interest in safely expanding access to LT for patients with larger tumor burden and biologically amenable lesions.

Tumor biology characteristics score based on alpha-fetoprotein and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist II as a predictor for recurrence and survival after curative resection for hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

Current hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) staging systems lack comprehensive assessment of tumor biologic characteristics. This study aimed to develop and validate a tumor biology characteristics score (TBCS) based on alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist II (PIVKA-II) to predict long-term oncologic outcomes after HCC resection.

METHODS

In this multicenter retrospective cohort study, patients who underwent curative resection for HCC between June 2018 and December 2022 were included. TBCS (range, 2-6 points) was calculated by combining preoperative AFP (<20, 20-199, and ≥200 ng/mL) and PIVKA-II levels (<40, 40-399, and ≥400 mAU/mL). Patients were stratified into low (2 points), medium (3-4 points), and high TBCS groups (5-6 points). The primary outcomes were recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

A total of 695 patients were analyzed; the low, medium, and high TBCS groups comprised 132 (19.0%), 233 (33.5%), and 330 patients (47.5%), respectively. Notably, 5-year RFS was 30.4%, 14.7%, and 9.7%, whereas 5-year OS was 42.1%, 35.5%, and 23.5% for low, medium, and high TBCS groups, respectively (both P <.001). Multivariate analysis identified TBCS as an independent predictor of both RFS (medium TBCS: hazard ratio [HR], 1.583; 95% CI, 1.219-2.057; P =.001; high TBCS: HR, 1.895; 95% CI, 1.473-2.438; P <.001) and OS (high TBCS: HR, 1.781; 95% CI, 1.353-2.343; P <.001).

CONCLUSION

The novel TBCS combining AFP and PIVKA-II effectively stratified patients with HCC into distinct prognostic groups after curative-intent resection, independently predicting both RFS and OS. This score may help identify high-risk patients for more intense postoperative recurrence surveillance and receipt of adjuvant therapies.

Recent Strategies to Attenuate Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence After Liver Transplantation: A Narrative Review

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading causes of liver transplant worldwide. While liver transplantation offers a survival advantage for early-stage HCC patients, post-transplant recurrence remains a significant concern, affecting up to 15% of recipients. We sought to conduct a comprehensive review related to HCC recurrence after liver transplant. Tumor-related factors such as poor differentiation, vascular invasion, and elevated tumor biomarkers like alpha-fetoprotein are key predictors of recurrence. Donor-related factors, including graft type and surgical procedures, can also influence outcomes, though their effects are less conclusive. Advancements in patient selection criteria and scoring systems, such as the Milan Criteria and RETREAT score, have improved risk stratification by incorporating tumor size, biomarkers, and response to pre-transplant treatment. Despite these measures, recurrent HCC after transplantation poses treatment challenges. Curative approaches such as resection are feasible for localized or oligometastatic recurrence and offer the best outcomes when applicable. Locoregional treatments, including ablation and transarterial chemoembolization, provide options for unresectable cases but have limited long-term efficacy. Systemic therapies, including targeted agents like sorafenib, regorafenib, and lenvatinib, have shown modest benefits in managing advanced recurrent HCC. Emerging immunotherapy approaches hold promise but face unique challenges due to the required immunosuppression in transplant recipients. Multidisciplinary evaluation remains essential for tailoring treatment plans. Future efforts should focus on refining predictive tools and exploring novel therapies to improve survival outcomes for patients with recurrent HCC after liver transplantation.

Liver transplantation as a treatment for cancer: comprehensive review

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation for cancer indications has gained momentum in recent years. This review is intended to optimize the care setting of liver transplant candidates by highlighting current indications, technical aspects and barriers with available solutions to facilitate the guidance of available strategies for healthcare professionals in specialized centres.

METHODS

A review of the most recent relevant literature was conducted for all the cancer indications of liver transplantation including colorectal cancer liver metastases, hilar cholangiocarcinoma, intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, neuroendocrine tumours, hepatocellular carcinoma and hepatic epitheloid haemangioendothelioma.

RESULTS

Transplant benefit from the best available evidence, including SECA I, SECA II, TRANSMET studies for colorectal liver metastases, various preoperative protocols for cholangiocarcinoma patients, standard, extended selection criteria for hepatocellular carcinoma and neuroendocrine tumours, are discussed. Innovative approaches to deal with organ shortages, including machine-perfused deceased grafts, living donor liver transplantation and RAPID procedures, are also explored.

CONCLUSION

Cancer indications for liver transplantation are here to stay, and the selection criteria among all cancer groups are likely to evolve further with improved prognostication of tumour biology using adjuncts such as radiomics, cancer genomics, and circulating DNA and RNA status. International prospective registry-based studies could overcome the limitations of smaller patient cohorts and lack of level 1 evidence.

Role of Liver Transplant in Primary and Secondary Liver Malignancies

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and cholangiocarcinoma are the primary hepatic malignancies with established pathways to transplantation and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) exception points. Other tumors managed with liver transplantation (LT) include hepatic epithelioid hemangioendothelioma and fibrolamellar HCC. LT for metastatic neuroendocrine tumor has been established with patient selection criteria and a path to MELD exception points. Additionally, recent data on LT for patients with unresectable hepatic colorectal metastases demonstrate increasingly encouraging initial results.

A novel ypN-TRG staging system for gastric cancer patients after neoadjuvant therapy based on the metro-ticket paradigm: a multicenter and large sample retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND

Conventional ypT category evaluates the depth of invasion after neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) for gastric cancer (GC) and has limited prognostic value. Tumor regression grade (TRG) measures the extent of tumor response to treatment, and when combined with the ypN category, it may enhance the prediction of patient outcomes. This study aims to develop a new staging system by integrating TRG and ypN category to better evaluate the prognosis of GC patients receiving NAT.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis included 962 patients who underwent radical gastrectomy after NAT, with 513 in the development cohort (from one center) and 449 in the external validation cohort (from five centers). The ypN-TRG staging system was established by calculating the distance from the origin on a cartesian plane incorporating the ypN (x-axis) stage and TRG (y-axis) grade, and five sub-stages were delineated.

RESULTS

In the development cohort, 3-year overall survival rates according to ypN-TRG stage I, IIA, IIB, IIIA, IIB were 87.6%, 80.2%, 70.7%, 47.3%, 21.5%, p < 0.01. Compared with ypTNM, the ypN-TRG staging system performed better in terms of the prognostic discrimination power (C-index), goodness-of-fit (AIC, BIC), model improvement (NRI, IDI), and model stability (time-AUC). Multivariate Cox regression analysis confirmed the superiority of ypN-TRG over ypTNM staging. In the external validation cohort, ypN-TRG staging was a better predictor of OS and DFS in patients with GC.

CONCLUSIONS

The ypN-TRG staging system is superior to the AJCC eighth edition ypTNM staging system in accurately assessing the prognosis of patients with GC after NAT.

Up-front resection for hepatocellular carcinoma: Assessing futility in the preoperative setting

OBJECTIVE

We sought to develop a predictive model to preoperatively identify patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) at risk of undergoing futile upfront liver resection (LR).

METHODS

Patients undergoing curative-intent LR for HCC were identified from a large multi-institutional database. Futile LR was defined by death or disease recurrence within six months postoperatively. Backward logistic regression was performed to identify factors associated with futility. Additionally, binary criteria were established for surgical candidacy, aiming to keep the likelihood of futility below 20 %.

RESULTS

Among 1633 patients with HCC, 264 (16.2 %) underwent futile upfront LR. Tumor burden score (TBS) (coefficient: 0.083, 95%CI: 0.067-0.099), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) (coefficient: 0.254, 95%CI: 0.195-0.310), and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 2/3 (coefficient: 0.566, 95%CI: 0.420-0.718) were independently associated with an increased risk of futile LR. The model demonstrated strong discrimination and calibration in both derivation and validation cohorts. Low, intermediate, and high-risk groups were determined based on the risk model, each with an escalating likelihood of futility, worse histological features, and worse survival outcomes. Six distinct conditions based on AFP-adjusted-to-TBS criteria were established, all with a futility likelihood of less than 20 %. Patients fulfilling these criteria had significantly better long-term recurrence-free and overall survival. The futility risk model was made available online for wide clinical applicability: (https://altaf-pawlik-hcc-futilityofsurgery-calculator.streamlit.app/).

CONCLUSION

A preoperative risk model and AFP-adjusted-to-TBS criteria were developed and validated to predict the likelihood of futile LR among patients with HCC. This pragmatic clinical tool may assist clinicians in preoperative decision-making, helping them avoid futile surgery unlikely to offer long-term benefits.

Hepatocellular carcinoma in people living with HIV

People living with HIV (PLWH) carry a higher risk of developing chronic liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This relates to shared transmission pathways of HIV and viral hepatitis and a plethora of direct and indirect effects of HIV in the progression of chronic liver disease and HCC. In absence of active cancer treatment, the prognosis of PLWH affected by HCC is worse compared to matched controls without HIV. Evolving evidence suggests that PLWH may receive curative therapies including liver transplantation, loco-regional and systemic anti-cancer therapy for HCC with comparable benefit than people without HIV, underscoring that well controlled HIV infection should not be a barrier to the delivery of cancer care. Nevertheless, PLWH have historically been excluded from interventional clinical trials, and most of the evidence supporting clinical decision making in this population comes from small retrospective studies, adding further challenges to the management of PLWH affected by HCC. Furthermore, whether the biology of the tumour and its microenvironment is influenced by HIV and affects response to treatment is incompletely understood. In this review we summarise the current understanding of pathophysiology, screening and management of HCC in PLWH and discuss the persisting challenges and disparities in care which may contribute to clinical outcome in PLWH.

Development and Validation of a Pre-Transplant Risk Score (LT-MVI Score) to Predict Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Candidates for Liver Transplantation

Background/Objectives: MVI is a relevant prognostic factor among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) receiving liver transplantation (LT). The preoperative assessment of the risk for MVI is relevant to pre-LT patient management and selection. The objective of this study was to create and validate a model to predict microvascular invasion (MVI) based on preoperative variables in the LT setting. Methods: A total of 2170 patients from 11 collaborative centers in Europe, Asia, and the US, who received transplants between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2017, were enrolled in the study. The entire cohort was split into a training and a validation set (70/30% of the initial cohort, respectively) using random selection. Results: MVI was reported in 586 (27.0%) explanted specimens. Using the training set data, multivariable logistic regression identified three preoperative parameters associated with MVI: α-fetoprotein (lnAFP; odds ratio [OR] = 1.19; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.13-1.27), imaging tumor burden score (lnTBS; OR = 1.66; 95%CI = 1.39-1.99), and a fast-track approach before LT due to the availability of a live donation (OR = 1.99; 95%CI = 1.56-2.53). In the validation set, the LT-MVI c-index was 0.74, versus 0.69 for the MVI score proposed by Endo et al. (Brier Skill Score +75%). The new score had a relevant net reclassification index (overall value = 0.61). Stratifying the validation set into three risk categories (0-50th, 51st-75th, and >75th score percentiles), a very good stratification was observed in terms of disease-free (5-year: 89.3, 75.5, and 50.7%, respectively) and overall survival (5-year: 79.5, 72.6, and 53.7%, respectively). Conclusions: The preoperative assessment of MVI using the proposed score demonstrated very good accuracy in predicting MVI after LT.

Optical Coherence Tomography Angiography, Elastography, and Attenuation Imaging for Evaluation of Liver Regeneration

Background/Objectives: As a result of metabolic changes and the disruption of tissue architecture and microcirculation, the regenerative potential of the liver decreases with violations at both micro and macro levels. The development of intraoperative approaches for assessing its regenerative potential is important for reducing the risk of the occurrence of post-resection liver failure. In this study, we used multimodal optical coherence tomography (MM OCT), a combination of three optical coherence tomography modalities-OCT-angiography (OCTA), attenuation coefficient mapping, and OCT-elastography (OCE) to provide real-time three-dimensional and label-free assessment of changes in microcirculation, and in the structure and stiffness of the liver during regeneration. Methods: In our study, the regeneration of a healthy liver was induced by 70% partial hepatectomy. Monitoring of changes was carried out on the 0 (normal liver), 3rd and 7th day of regeneration using modalities of MM OCT. OCT offers the benefits of higher resolution and specificity compared with other clinical imaging modalities, and can be used, even intraoperatively. Results: By the 3rd day of liver regeneration, a decreased density of all observable vessels, together with increased values of the liver tissue's attenuation coefficient and stiffness, was revealed compared to their initial state. However, by the 7th day, the studied parameters tended to return to their normal values, except that the density of large-caliber vessels continued to increase further. Histological and biochemical blood analysis methods were used to verify the MM OCT data. Conclusions: Such data are a first step towards further investigation of liver regeneration in pathology, and, taken in perspective, this should serve as a basis for predictive intraoperative assessment of the regenerative potential of the liver in a clinical setting.

Transplant oncology: an emerging field in cancer care

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Primary and secondary liver cancers are frequently unresectable at the time of diagnosis. Historically, these patients were treated with palliative therapy and no hope for curative resection. While liver transplant has been the standard of care for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), its indications have expanded to other oncologic indications based on promising data from select centers. This review focuses on the utilization of liver transplant for HCC, cholangiocarcinoma, and colorectal liver metastasis.

RECENT FINDINGS

In the realm of HCC, immunotherapy is an emerging treatment that has the potential for use in the advanced and neoadjuvant setting. It can benefit patients by downstaging them to resectable or transplantable disease burden. Regarding cholangiocarcinoma, better molecular profiling and targeted therapies have benefited patients, and ongoing studies in the United States and internationally will help further delineate the patients with cholangiocarcinoma who benefit from transplantation. Finally, there is emerging evidence that liver transplant for colorectal liver metastases can be safe and effective. While there is promising data showing survival benefit of liver transplantation (LT) for CRLM, standardized guidelines and recommendations in coordination with multidisciplinary oncology teams will be essential for establishing best practices.

SUMMARY

Similar to the evolution of LT becoming the standard of care for well selected patients with HCC, the evolution of the role for LT for other hepatobiliary malignancies is quickly progressing as centers in Europe, Asia, and North America gain experience and develop protocols for selected patients with favorable tumor biology. Optimal oncology treatment requires multidisciplinary tumor board and case-by-case approaches which are essential for providing these patients with the best chance at optimal survival.

Precision surgery for hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma arises in the setting of cirrhosis in most cases, requiring multidisciplinary input to define resectability. In this regard, more precise surgical management considers patient factors and anatomical states, including resection margins, tumour biology, and perioperative therapy. Together with advances in surgical techniques, this integrated approach has resulted in considerable improvements in patient morbidity and oncological outcomes. Despite this, recurrence rates in hepatocellular carcinoma remain high. As the systemic treatment landscape in hepatocellular carcinoma continues to evolve and locoregional options are increasingly used, we review current and future opportunities to individualise the surgical management of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

New Scenarios in Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Despite liver transplantation (LT) is considered the optimal treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), particularly in patients with impaired liver function, the shortage of donors has forced the application of very restrictive criteria for selecting ideal candidates for whom LT can offer the best outcome. With the evolving LT landscape due to the advent of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) and the steady increase in donors, major efforts have been made to expand the transplant eligibility criteria for HCC. In addition, the emergence of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) for the treatment of HCC, with demonstrated efficacy in earlier stages, has revolutionized the therapeutic approach for these patients, and their integration in the setting of LT is challenging. Management of immunological compromise from ICIs, including the wash-out period before LT and post-LT immunosuppression adjustments, is crucial to balance the risk of graft rejection against HCC recurrence. Additionally, the effects of increased immunosuppression on non-hepatic complications must be understood to prevent them from becoming obstacles to long-term OS.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this review, we will evaluate the emerging evidence and its implications for the future of LT in HCC. Addressing these novel challenges and opportunities, while integrating the current clinical evidence with predictive algorithms, would ensure a fair balance between individual patient needs and the overall population benefit in the LT system.

Comparative Outcome Analysis of Lenvatinib Versus Sorafenib for Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Liver Transplantation

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurs after liver transplantation (LT) in ~17% of patients. We aimed to retrospectively compare the outcomes of patients treated with different tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) for recurrent HCC post-LT.

METHODS

Patients with recurrent HCC post-LT between 2006 and 2019 were included. The impact of sorafenib and lenvatinib treatment for recurrent disease was assessed using survival analysis with an a priori multivariable Cox regression (alpha-fetoprotein [AFP] at recurrence, recurrence lesion diameter, single-site versus multisite metastases).

RESULTS

Seven hundred fifty-four patients underwent LT for HCC, of whom 120 (15.9%) developed recurrence. Of these patients, 56 received TKIs: sorafenib (n = 42) or lenvatinib (n = 14). The median age at LT was 60.8 y (interquartile range, 54.0-66.2); 52 (93%) were men and 26 (46%) were within Milan criteria at listing. Baseline characteristics at recurrence were comparable between the 2 groups, including largest tumor diameter ( P  = 0.15), receipt of local therapies before TKI ( P  = 0.33), and single-site recurrence ( P  = 0.75), and time from interventional treatment to start of TKI ( P  = 0.44). The AFP at recurrence was higher in the sorafenib group (95.0 versus 3.0 µg/L, P  < 0.001). The median overall survival (OS) after initiation of TKI treatment was longer in the lenvatinib group (15.0 mo [95% confidence interval [CI], 11.5-31.5] versus 7.8 mo [95% CI, 4.0-15.4]; P  = 0.02) with a 2.3-fold a priori adjusted effect on OS (adjusted hazard ratio 2.32 [95% CI, 1.03-5.20], P  = 0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest lenvatinib is a valuable treatment option for patients with HCC recurrence after LT.

Evolving Transplant Oncology: Evolving Criteria for Better Decision-Making

Transplant oncology integrates a wide variety of fields, such as surgery, oncology, and transplant medicine, intending to increase the range of studies and treatments for hepatobiliary cancers and other liver-related malignant lesions. Liver transplantation (LT) has proven to be an effective treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma. While the Milan criteria are still the gold standard, several new, more inclusive criteria have been proposed, and hepatocellular carcinoma has become a major indication for liver transplantation. The continuous evolution of diagnostic technologies supported this with higher image quality and more accurate staging. This review describes the current applications of transplant oncology in hepatocellular carcinoma, cholangiocarcinoma, neuroendocrine tumors, and liver metastatic disease from colorectal cancer and discusses the path that led to the development of transplant oncology as an organized approach to managing gastrointestinal malignancies through transplantation. More importantly, the significance of a multidisciplinary approach and criteria in the selection of suitable candidates are discussed. In addition, newer aspects of transplant oncology, such as immunotherapy, circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), novel surgical techniques, and the utilization of artificial intelligence, are presented. Finally, the opportunities and challenges involved in the field's future, as well as the evolution of the criteria used over the years and insightful thoughts for the future of the criteria, are discussed.

Combining radiomics and imaging biomarkers with clinical variables for the prediction of HCC recurrence after liver transplantation

To develop and validate an integrated model that combines CT-based radiomics and imaging biomarkers with clinical variables to predict recurrence and recurrence-free survival in patients with HCC following liver transplantation (LT), this 2-center retrospective study includes 123 patients with HCC who underwent LT between 2007 and 2021. Radiomic features (RFs) were extracted from baseline CT liver tumor volume. Feature selection was performed using the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression method with 10-fold cross-validation in the training cohort (n=48) to build a predictive radiomics signature for HCC recurrence. Combined diagnostic models were built based on the radiomics signature supplemented with imaging features beyond the Milan criteria, the AFP (alpha-fetoprotein) model, and Metroticket 2.0 before LT using multivariate logistic regression. Receiver operating characteristic analyses were performed in both internal (n=22) and external (n=53) validation cohorts, and patients were stratified into either high-risk or low-risk groups for HCC recurrence. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to analyze recurrence-free survival. LASSO and multivariate regression analysis revealed 4 independent predictors associated with an increased risk of HCC recurrence: radiomics signature of 5 RF, peritumoral enhancement, satellite nodules, and no bridging therapies. For the prediction of tumor recurrence, the highest AUC of the final integrated models combining clinical variables, non-radiomics imaging features, and radiomics was 0.990 and 0.900 for the internal and external validation sets, respectively, outperforming the Milan and clinical stand-alone models. In all integrated models, the high-risk groups had a shorter recurrence-free survival than the corresponding low-risk group. CT-based radiomics and imaging parameters beyond the Milan criteria representing aggressive behavior, along with the history of bridging therapies, show potential for predicting HCC recurrence after LT.

A prospective multicenter validation of RETREAT for posttransplantation HCC recurrence prediction

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The RETREAT(Risk Estimation of Tumor REcurrence After Transplant) score is a simple risk stratification tool for postliver transplantation (LT) HCC recurrence that has been validated in retrospective cohort studies. A prospective, multicenter study is needed to further demonstrate accuracy especially given the evolving clinical demographics and HCC transplant practice. Our aim is to validate and compare the RETREAT score to other post-LT HCC recurrence risk scores in a contemporary, prospective cohort of patients.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We prospectively enrolled patients with HCC who underwent LT from 8 centers between 2018 and 2022. The primary outcome was post-LT recurrence-free survival. Secondary outcomes included post-LT and post-recurrence survival. Model performance, determined using the concordance index, Akaike information criterion, integrated Brier score, and calibration, was compared to that of other established risk scores.We included 1166 patients with HCC who underwent LT, of which 78 (6.7%) had post-LT HCC recurrence after a median follow-up time of 2.2 years (IQR 1.2-3.2). The median RETREAT score was 4 (IQR 3-5) in patients with post-LT HCC recurrence and 1 (IQR 1 - 2) in patients without. Those with a RETREAT score of 0, 3, and 5+ had a 99.4%, 84.1%, and 55.6% recurrence-free survival, respectively, at 3 years post-LT. The RETREAT score was also able to stratify post-LT overall and postrecurrence survival. The RETREAT score's concordance index was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.77-0.85) and outperformed the MORAL and RELAPSE scores across multiple metrics.

CONCLUSIONS

The RETREAT score retains high accuracy for predicting post-LT HCC recurrence, further supporting RETREAT-guided post-LT HCC surveillance and care.

Deep learning for hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence before and after liver transplantation: a multicenter cohort study

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence after liver transplantation (LT) is a major contributor to mortality. We developed a recurrence prediction system for HCC patients before and after LT. Data from patients with HCC who underwent LT were retrospectively collected from three specialist centres in China. Pre- and post-operative variables were selected using support vector machine, random forest, and logistic regression (LR). Then, pre- and post-operative models were developed using three machine learning methods: LR, stacking, and two survival-based approaches. Models were evaluated using seven assessment indices, and patients were classified as either high- or low-risk based on recurrence risk. 466 patients were included and followed for a median of 51.0 months (95% CI 47.8-54.2). The pre-DeepSurv model (pre-DSM) had a C-index of 0.790 ± 0.003 during training, 0.775 ± 0.037 during testing, and 0.765 ± 0.001 and 0.819 ± 0.002 during external validation. After incorporating clinicopathologic variables, the post-DeepSurv model (post-DSM) had a 0.835 ± 0.008 C-index during training, 0.812 ± 0.082 during testing, and 0.839 ± 0.001 and 0.831 ± 0.002 during external validation. The post-DSM outperformed the Milan criteria by more accurately identifying patients at high risk of recurrence. Tumour recurrence predictions also improved significantly with DeepSurv. Both pre- and post-DSMs have the potential to guide personalised surveillance strategies for LT patients with HCC.

α-Fetoprotein model versus Milan criteria in predicting outcomes after hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma: multicentre study

BACKGROUND

The Milan criteria and the French α-fetoprotein (AFP) model have both been validated for predicting outcomes after liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma, with the Milan criteria also used for predicting outcomes after hepatic resection. The aim of this study was to evaluate the AFP model's predictive value for recurrence and survival following hepatocellular carcinoma resection and compare its performance with that of the Milan criteria.

METHODS

Data for patients who underwent hepatocellular carcinoma resection between 2002 and 2021 were analysed. For both the AFP model and Milan criteria, patients were divided into two groups: those with hepatocellular carcinoma within and beyond the AFP model (scores ≤ 2 and > 2 points, respectively) and the Milan criteria. Cumulative recurrence and overall survival rates were compared between patients within and beyond the AFP model. Predictions of recurrence and overall survival by the AFP model and Milan criteria were compared using net reclassification improvement and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve analyses.

RESULTS

Among 1968 patients evaluated, 1058 (53.8%) and 940 (47.8%) were classified as beyond on the AFP model and Milan criteria, respectively. After controlling for competing factors on multivariable analyses, being beyond the AFP model was independently associated with recurrence and worse overall survival after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma. Time-dependent net reclassification improvement and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve analyses demonstrated that the AFP model was superior to the Milan criteria in predicting recurrence. Of note, patients who were classified as beyond both the Milan criteria and AFP model had an even higher risk of postoperative recurrence and mortality (hazard ratios 1.51 and 1.47, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The French AFP model demonstrated superior prognostic accuracy to the Milan criteria in predicting recurrence and survival after hepatocellular carcinoma resection. The AFP model not only effectively stratified patient risk but also identified a subgroup of high-risk patients among those beyond the Milan criteria.

Role of biomarkers in the diagnosis and management of HCC

For many cancers, biomarkers have served as an important tool across the cancer care continuum from risk stratification and early detection to diagnosis and treatment. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) remains one of the few validated biomarkers for patients with HCC. Although AFP has shown potential for each of these steps, its performance, when used alone, has often been suboptimal. There continue to be discordant recommendations about AFP's value when combined with ultrasound for surveillance, as well as its role in diagnostic algorithms. Conversely, high AFP levels are associated with aggressive tumor biology and survival, so it remains a key factor for the selection of candidates for liver transplant. There have been immense efforts to identify and validate additional biomarkers for each of these steps in the HCC care continuum. Indeed, biomarker panels have shown promising data for HCC risk stratification and surveillance among patients with cirrhosis, as well as prognostication and detection of minimal residual disease in patients undergoing HCC treatment. Several large prospective studies are currently ongoing to evaluate the role of these emerging biomarkers in clinical practice.

Comparative Validation of Prediction Models for HCC Outcomes in Living Donor Liver Transplantation: Superiority of Tumor Markers to Imaging Study

BACKGROUND

Living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) offers timely curative treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aims to validate and compare previous prediction models for HCC outcomes in 488 LDLT recipients.

METHODS

For 488 patients who underwent LDLT for HCC, pretransplant imaging studies assessed by modified RECSIT criteria, tumor markers such as alpha feto-protein (AFP) and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA II), and explant pathology were recruited. C-index of models for the HCC outcomes was compared, followed by further investigation for the predictive performances of the best model.

RESULTS

We found MoRAL (11√PIVKA-II + 2√AFP) demonstrated a higher C-index for HCC recurrence than other models that included radiologically viable tumor number and/or size (MoRAL: 0.709, Milan: 0.537, UCSF: 0.575, Up-to-7: 0.572, French AFP: 0.634, Pre-MORAL: 0.637, HALT-HCC: 0.626, Metroticket2.0: 0.629) and also had the highest C-index for HCC-specific deaths (0.706). Five-year HCC recurrence was well stratified upon dividing the patients into three groups by MoRAL cutoffs (11.9% for MoRAL < 100, 29.6% for MoRAL 100-200, and 48.6% for MoRAL > 200, p < 0.001). However, patients with major vessel invasion or portal vein tumor thrombus showed similarly high HCC recurrence regardless of this grouping (p = 0.612).

CONCLUSION

The MoRAL, based on tumor markers, showed the best predictive performance for HCC recurrence and HCC-specific death among the validated models, except in cases with major vessel invasion or portal vein tumor thrombus.

Expanding Indications in Transplant Oncology

Liver transplantation is aptly described as the only curative treatment for cirrhosis and cirrhosis with co-morbid hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Its utility in the management of various other primary and secondary liver cancers is gaining traction rapidly, with more thorough assessments on broader populations continuing to emerge. Most prominently, this includes colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM), cholangiocarcinoma (CCA), neuroendocrine tumors (NETs), and more. Furthermore, despite being a well described treatment for HCC for many years, growing evidence supports a change in oncological strategy for HCC, with broadened selection criteria and more advanced systemic and locoregional therapies available. Our review aims to describe the evidence supporting the expansion of indications and selection criteria for liver transplantation in various oncologic indications of primary and secondary liver tumors.

CRAFITY score and nomogram predict the clinical efficacy of lenvatinib combined with immune checkpoint inhibitors in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The CRAFITY score is mainly utilized for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients receiving atezolizumab and bevacizumab, with little investigation in its predictive capacity for alternative regimens, such as lenvatinib and programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) inhibitors, which are widely utilized in Chinese clinical practice.

AIM

To look at the predictive significance of the CRAFITY score in HCC patients taking lenvatinib and PD-1 inhibitors.

METHODS

The retrospective investigation consisted of 192 patients with incurable HCC who received lenvatinib and PD-1 inhibitors between January 2018 and January 2022. Patients were stratified according to CRAFITY score (based on baseline alpha-fetoprotein and C-reactive protein levels) into CRAFITY-low, CRAFITY-intermediate, and CRAFITY-high groups. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis, and independent prognostic factors were identified through Cox regression analysis. Nomograms were created to forecast survival for a year.

RESULTS

The median PFS and OS were the longest for patients in the CRAFITY-low group, followed by those in the CRAFITY-intermediate and CRAFITY-high groups (median PFS: 8.4 months, 6.0 months, and 3.1 months, P < 0.0001; median OS: 33.4 months, 19.2 months, and 6.6 months, P < 0.0001). Both the objective response rate (5%, 19.6%, and 22%, P = 0.0669) and the disease control rate (50%, 76.5%, and 80%, P = 0.0023) were considerably lower in the CRAFITY-high group. The findings from the multivariate analysis showed that a nomogram which included the tumor number, prior transarterial chemoembolization history, and CRAFITY score predicted 12-month survival with an area under the curve of 0.788 (95% confidence interval: 0.718-0.859), which was in good agreement with actual data.

CONCLUSION

The CRAFITY score is a valuable predictor of survival and treatment outcomes in patients receiving lenvatinib and PD-1 inhibitors.

Evolving Indications for Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Following the Milan Criteria

Background/Objectives: Since their introduction in the 1990s, the Milan criteria have been the gold standard of indication for liver transplantation (LT) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Nevertheless, several institutions have reported wider indication criteria for LT with comparable survival outcomes. Methods: This paper summarizes the recent indications for LT for HCC through a literature review. Results: There are several criteria expanding the Milan criteria, which can be subdivided into the "based on tumor number and size only", "based on tumor number and size plus tumor markers", and "based on tumor differentiation" groups, with the outcomes being comparable to those of patients included within the Milan criteria. Besides the tumor size and number, which are included in the Milan criteria, recent criteria included biomarkers and tumor differentiation. Several retrospective studies have reported microvascular invasion (MVI) as a significant risk factor for postoperative recurrence, highlighting the importance of preoperatively predicting MVI. Several studies attempted to identify preoperative predictive factors for MVI using tumor markers or preoperative imaging findings. Patients with HCC who are LT candidates are often treated while on the waiting list to prevent the progression of HCC or to reduce the measurable disease burden of HCC. The expanding repertoire of chemotherapeutic regiments suitable for patients with HCC should be further investigated. Conclusions: There are several criteria expanding Milan criteria, with the outcomes being comparable to those of patients included within the Milan criteria.

HepatoPredict Accurately Selects Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients for Liver Transplantation Regardless of Tumor Heterogeneity

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major cause of cancer-related deaths rising worldwide. This is leading to an increased demand for liver transplantation (LT), the most effective treatment for HCC in its initial stages. However, current patient selection criteria are limited in predicting recurrence and raise ethical concerns about equitable access to care. This study aims to enhance patient selection by refining the HepatoPredict (HP) tool, a machine learning-based model that combines molecular and clinical data to forecast LT outcomes.

METHODS

The updated HP algorithm was trained on a two-center dataset and assessed against standard clinical criteria. Its prognostic performance was evaluated through accuracy metrics, with additional analyses considering tumor heterogeneity and potential sampling bias.

RESULTS

HP outperformed all clinical criteria, particularly regarding negative predictive value, addressing critical limitations in existing selection strategies. It also demonstrated improved differentiation of recurrence-free and overall survival outcomes. Importantly, the prognostic accuracy of HP remained largely unaffected by intra-nodule and intra-patient heterogeneity, indicating its robustness even when biopsies were taken from smaller or non-dominant nodules.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings support the usage of HP as a valuable tool for optimizing LT candidate selection, promoting fair organ allocation and enhancing patient outcomes through integrated analysis of molecular and clinical data.

Criteria and prognostic models for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing liver transplantation

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-associated death globally. Liver transplantation (LT) has emerged as a key treatment for patients with HCC, and the Milan criteria have been adopted as the cornerstone of the selection policy. To allow more patients to benefit from LT, a number of expanded criteria have been proposed, many of which use radiologic morphological characteristics with larger and more tumors as surrogates to predict outcomes. Other groups developed indices incorporating biological variables and dynamic markers of response to locoregional treatment. These expanded selection criteria achieved satisfactory results with limited liver supplies. In addition, a number of prognostic models have been developed using clinicopathological characteristics, imaging radiomics features, genetic data, and advanced techniques such as artificial intelligence. These models could improve prognostic estimation, establish surveillance strategies, and bolster long-term outcomes in patients with HCC. In this study, we reviewed the latest findings and achievements regarding the selection criteria and post-transplant prognostic models for LT in patients with HCC.

Current management of hepatobiliary malignancies between centers with or without a liver transplant program: A multi-society national survey

BACKGROUND

Availability of liver transplantation (LT) as a treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and other liver malignancies may determine heterogeneity of therapeutic strategies across different centers.

AIMS

To investigate the practice between hepato-biliary centers without (HB centers) and with a LT program (LT centers), we launched a 38-item web-based national survey, with directors of centers as a target.

METHODS

The survey, including 4 clinical vignettes, collected data on their approach to HCC and transplant oncology.

RESULTS

After duplicates removal, 75 respondents were considered. Respondents from LT centers (n = 22, 29.3 %) were more in favor of LT in the case of HCC outside Milan criteria (90.9 % vs. 67.9 %, p = 0.037), recurrent HCC (95.5 % vs. 50.9 %, p = 0.002) and other malignancies such as cholangiocarcinoma or neuroendocrine tumors. No significant difference was observed concerning the proportion of centers favorable to LT for unresectable colorectal liver metastases (100 % vs. 88.7 %, p = 0.100).

CONCLUSION

This national survey showed how management of HCC and awareness of transplant oncology may differ between HB and LT centers. Effective networking between HB and LT centers is crucial to provide optimal treatment and access to LT.

EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of hepatocellular carcinoma

Liver cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide, with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounting for approximately 90% of primary liver cancers. Advances in diagnostic and therapeutic tools, along with improved understanding of their application, are transforming patient treatment. Integrating these innovations into clinical practice presents challenges and necessitates guidance. These clinical practice guidelines offer updated advice for managing patients with HCC and provide a comprehensive review of pertinent data. Key updates from the 2018 EASL guidelines include personalised surveillance based on individual risk assessment and the use of new tools, standardisation of liver imaging procedures and diagnostic criteria, use of minimally invasive surgery in complex cases together with updates on the integrated role of liver transplantation, transitions between surgical, locoregional, and systemic therapies, the role of radiation therapies, and the use of combination immunotherapies at various stages of disease. Above all, there is an absolute need for a multiparametric assessment of individual risks and benefits, considering the patient's perspective, by a multidisciplinary team encompassing various specialties.

The Role of Liver Transplantation in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Liver transplantation (LT) is the standard-of-care for early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Current selection criteria depend primarily on measures of tumor burden and alpha-fetoprotein levels. Evolving strategies include the application of prognostic scores and the development of specialized molecular markers to predict recurrence. New technologies such as machine perfusion of donor organs are expected to dramatically improve the availability and access to LT in HCC.

Downstaging of hepatocellular carcinoma before liver transplantation: Results from a national multicenter prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Patients with HCC meeting United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS)-downstaging (DS) criteria have excellent post-liver transplantation (LT) outcomes. Studies on HCC beyond UNOS-DS criteria ("All-Comers" [AC]) have been limited by small sample size and short follow-up time, prompting this analysis.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Three hundred twenty-six patients meeting UNOS-DS and 190 meeting AC criteria from 9 LT centers across 5 UNOS regions were enrolled from 2015 to 2023 and prospectively followed. Competing risk analysis and Kaplan-Meier method were used to evaluate DS and LT outcomes, and Fine-and-Gray and Cox models were used to identify predictors of outcomes. AC and UNOS-DS had similar median alpha-fetoprotein (15 vs. 12 ng/mL; p =0.08), MELD (9 vs. 9; p =0.52), and Child-Pugh (A vs. A; p =0.30). Two years after the first local regional therapy, 82% of UNOS-DS and 66% of AC were successfully downstaged ( p <0.001). In AC, DS rates were 72% for tumor number plus diameter of largest lesion <10, 51% for sum 10-12, and 39% for sum >12 ( p =0.01). Yttrium-90 achieved higher DS success than transarterial chemoembolization in AC (74% vs. 65%; p <0.001). 48% of UNOS-DS and 40% of AC underwent LT ( p =0.10). Five-year post-LT survival was similar between UNOS-DS and AC (74% vs. 72%; p =0.77), although 5-year post-LT recurrence was higher in AC (30% vs. 14%; p =0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite higher HCC recurrence and lower intention-to-treat survival in AC, post-LT survival was comparable between UNOS-DS and AC. Yttrium-90 attained higher DS success than transarterial chemoembolization in AC. LT after DS is feasible in AC, though defining an upper limit in tumor burden may be necessary.

PET-Assessed Metabolic Tumor Volume Across the Spectrum of Solid-Organ Malignancies: A Review of the Literature

Solid-organ malignancies represent a significant disease burden and remain one of the leading causes of death globally. In the past few decades, the rapid evolution of imaging modalities has shifted the paradigm towards image-based precision medicine, especially in the care of patients with solid-organ malignancies. Metabolic tumor volume (MTV) is one such semi-quantitative parameter obtained from positron emission tomography (PET) imaging with 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) that has been shown to have significant implications in the clinical oncology setting. Across various solid tumor malignancies, including lung cancer, head and neck cancer, breast cancer, esophageal cancer, and colorectal cancer, the current literature has demonstrated an association between MTV and various clinical outcomes. MTV may be used in conjunction with several existing and established clinical parameters to help inform risk stratification and treatment strategies and predict outcomes in cancer. Optimizing such volumetric parameters is paramount for advancing efforts to advance cancer care for our patients. While such advancements are made, it is important to investigate and address the limitations of MTV, including variability in terms of measurement methods, a lack of standardized cut-off values, and the impact of inherent tumor heterogeneity. Despite these limitations, which can precipitate challenges in standardization, MTV as a prognostic factor has great potential and opens an avenue for the future integration of technology into an image-based precision medicine model of care for cancer patients. This article serves as a narrative review and explores the utility and limitations of PET-MTV in various settings of solid-organ malignancy.

Validation of the R3-AFP model for risk prediction of HCC recurrence after liver transplantation in the SiLVER randomized clinical trial

Explant-based models for assessing HCC recurrence after liver transplantation serve as the gold standard, guiding post-liver transplantation screening and immunosuppression adjustment. Incorporating alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels into these models, such as the novel R3-AFP score, has notably enhanced risk stratification. However, validation of these models in high-evidence data is mandatory. Therefore, the aim of the present research was to validate the R3-AFP score in a randomized clinical trial. We analyzed the intention-to-treat population from the 2-arm SiLVER trial (NCT00355862), comparing calcineurin-based ([calcineurin inhibitors]-Group A) versus mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitors-based (sirolimus-Group B) immunosuppression for post-liver transplantation HCC recurrence. Competing risk analysis estimated sub-hazard ratios, with testing of discriminant function and calibration. Overall, 508 patients from the intention-to-treat analysis were included (Group A, n = 256; Group B, n = 252). The R3-AFP score distribution was as follows: 42.6% low-risk (n = 216), 35.7% intermediate-risk (n = 181), 19.5% high-risk (n = 99), and 2.2% very-high-risk (n = 11) groups. The R3-AFP score effectively stratified HCC recurrence risk, with increasing risk for each stratum. Calibration of the R3-AFP model significantly outperformed other explant-based models (Milan, Up-to-7, and RETREAT), whereas discrimination power (0.75 [95% CI: 0.69; 0.81]) surpassed these models, except for the RETREAT model ( p = 0.49). Subgroup analysis showed lower discrimination power in the mammalian target of rapamycin group versus the calcineurin inhibitors group ( p = 0.048). In conclusion, the R3-AFP score accurately predicted HCC recurrence using high-quality evidence-based data, exhibiting reduced performance under mammalian target of rapamycin immunosuppression. This highlights the need for further research to evaluate surveillance schedules and adjuvant regimens.

Survival benefit associated with liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma based on tumor burden scores at listing

INTRODUCTION

Liver transplantation (LT) provides significant survival benefits to patients with unresectable HCC. In the United States, organ allocation policies for HCCs within the United Network for Organ Sharing criteria do not prioritize patients based on their differences in oncological characteristics. This study assessed whether transplant-associated survival benefits (TASBs) vary among patients with different tumor burden scores (TBS) measured at the time of listing.

METHODS

We analyzed data from adults applying for HCC MELD exception points between 2002 and 2019, with follow-up until December 2023, using the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients. TBS was determined based on the largest tumor diameter and number of HCCs. Patients were categorized into low (≤3), intermediate (3.1-5), and high (>5) TBS groups. TASB was measured as the difference in 5-year survival with and without LT.

RESULTS

This study included 36,634 LT candidates. High-TBS patients had higher waitlist dropout rates and marginally lower post-transplant survival, resulting in a significantly greater TASB. The 5-year TASB for the low, intermediate, and high TBS groups were 15.7, 22.1, and 25.0 months, respectively. The adjusted survival benefit expressed in 5-year survival differences was 21.9%, 34.5%, and 39.4% in the low, intermediate, and high TBS groups, respectively (p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher TBS during listing correlates with greater LT benefits for patients with unresectable HCC within UNOS criteria. We conclude that organ allocation policies in the United States should prioritize patients with high TBS due to their increased risk of dropout and comparable post-transplant survival when compared to patients with less advanced tumors.

Dynamic changes of serum α-fetoprotein predict the prognosis of bevacizumab plus immunotherapy in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) has been established as a biomarker for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); however, whether its dynamic changes could predict the response to systemic therapy remains elusive. This study explored the AFP trajectory and the association with survival in patients who received bevacizumab plus immunotherapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 536 HCC patients who received bevacizumab plus immunotherapy between February 2021 and February 2023. Patients were divided into two groups according to AFP values before treatment (400 ng/ml). Dynamic changes of AFP were fitted using a latent class model to generate the AFP trajectories. Multivariable Cox models were utilized to compute hazard ratios (HRs) for survival. Inverse-probability-of-treatment weighted analyses were conducted to mitigate the influence of unmeasured confounding variables. The primary endpoint is progression-free survival (PFS). The second endpoint is overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Three distinct trajectories were identified for AFP-low and AFP-high patients, respectively. In the AFP-low group, compared with the high-rising class (25%; n =69), HRs of PFS were 0.39 and 0.2 for the low-stable class (59.1%; n =163) and sharp-falling class (15.9%; n =44), after adjusting by tumor diameter, tumor number, and extra-hepatic metastasis. In the AFP-high group, compared with the high-stable class (18.5%; n =48), HRs of PFS were 0.3 and 0.04 for the middle-stable class (56.5%; n =147) and sharp-falling class (25%; n =65), after adjusting by tumor diameter, tumor number, and extra-hepatic metastasis. Furthermore, the AFP trajectories exhibited the utmost relative importance among all covariates regarding PFS and OS in the multivariable regression models.

CONCLUSION

The AFP trajectories in HCC patients receiving bevacizumab and immunotherapy constituted an independent biomarker indicative of clinical outcomes. Findings from this study hold potential clinical utility in dynamically forecasting the prognosis of systemic therapy in HCC patients and facilitating clinical decision-making. Rapid reduction of AFP post-treatment can lead to favorable patient prognoses.

Comparison of the Effectiveness of Transarterial Bland Embolization and Transarterial Chemoembolization for Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Propensity Score-Matched Study of 1,008 Patients

PURPOSE

To assess the effectiveness of transarterial bland embolization (TAE) compared with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) therapy in the treatment of patients with intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Two thousand two hundred ninety-seven patients with intermediate-stage HCC were screened, and 1,461 patients who underwent TAE or TACE as the first-choice treatment were retrospectively analyzed and baseline matched according to the 2 treatment methods. Subgroup analysis was performed among patients according to the Up-to-7 criteria. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

A total of 1,461 patients with HCC who underwent TAE or TACE were included; 730 patients underwent TACE and 731 underwent TAE. The patients in the TAE group exhibited poorer liver function and a significantly higher rate of hepatitis B infection (P < .001) compared with the TACE group. After propensity score matching, 504 well-matched pairs of patients with intermediate-stage HCC were selected for analysis. Univariate analysis showed that TACE significantly prolonged patient survival compared with TAE (P < .001). The 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS rates were 74.3%, 57.1%, and 44.4% and for the TACE group and 58.3%, 32.4%, and 21.7% for the TAE group, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed a hazard ratio of 0.517 (95% CI, 0.442-0.605; P < .001) for the TACE approach over the TAE approach for OS. The TACE group had a significantly higher overall response rate than the TAE group (35% vs 26%; P = .024).

CONCLUSIONS

TACE resulted in higher response rate and longer OS compared with TAE as the initial treatment for intermediate-stage HCC.

Are Ki-67 and Procalcitonin Expression Levels Useful in Predicting the Biological Behavior of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Liver Transplantation?

Background: Examinations of procalcitonin (PCT) and Ki-67 expression levels in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who have undergone liver transplantation (LT) through immunohistochemical analyses of tumor tissue may reveal the biological characteristics of the tumor, thus informing the selection of HCC patients for LT. Methods: Hepatectomy specimens from 86 HCC patients who underwent LT were obtained and analyzed immunohistochemically for the expression of PCT and Ki-67. The percentage and intensity of PCT staining, as well as the percentage of Ki-67 expression, were assessed for each patient. The impacts of PCT and Ki-67 expression on disease-free survival, overall survival, and the recurrence rate were studied, as well as their correlations with other clinicopathological features. Results: The recurrent HCC group showed a higher Ki-67 level (p < 0.001), larger maximum dominant tumor diameter (p < 0.001), and higher rate of vascular invasion (p = 0.001). The pre-transplant AFP (p = 0.001), maximum dominant tumor diameter (p < 0.001), number of tumor nodules (p < 0.001), rate of vascular invasion (p = 0.001), and Ki-67 level (p = 0.044) were higher in patients beyond the Milan criteria. Similarly, the pre-transplant AFP (p < 0.001); maximum dominant tumor diameter (p < 0.001); number of tumor nodules (p < 0.001); rates of portal vein tumor thrombus (p = 0.002), poor differentiation (p = 0.021), and vascular invasion (p < 0.001); and Ki-67 level (p = 0.010) were higher in patients beyond the expanded Malatya criteria. The maximum dominant tumor diameter (p = 0.006); Ki-67 level (p = 0.003); rates of vascular invasion (p < 0.001), cases beyond the Milan criteria (p = 0.042) and the expanded Malatya criteria (p = 0.027), and portal vein tumor thrombus (p = 0.020); and presence of recurrence (p < 0.001) were higher in HCC patients with mortality. The Kaplan-Meier estimates indicated that Ki-67 levels exceeding 5% significantly affected DFS and OS. Although the Kaplan-Meier estimates indicated that a PCT staining percentage of ≥25% did not have a statistically significant effect on DFS or OS, the outcomes may be considered clinically significant. Conclusions: This study demonstrated that the Ki-67 proliferation index can be used as a predictive biomarker of the biological behavior of HCC. Furthermore, we claim that PCT expression over a particular threshold might impact recurrence and survival, and we believe that further multicenter prospective studies focused on standardized PCT antibody staining are crucial in order to determine its potential as a biomarker for HCC.

Symptom Cluster Trajectories Among Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Partial Hepatectomy: A Longitudinal Study

AIMS

To investigate types of symptom clusters in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after partial hepatectomy and explore symptom cluster trajectories over time.

DESIGN

A longitudinal observational study was conducted.

METHODS

Symptoms of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma were assessed on the second day, seventh day, third week, fourth week and twelfth week post-operation using the MD Anderson Symptom Assessment Inventory and the Symptom Module for Primary Liver Cancer. Symptom clusters were extracted using exploratory factor analysis, and symptom cluster trajectories were analysed using a latent class growth model.

RESULTS

Two hundred and thirty patients with hepatocellular carcinoma completed the five-point investigation after partial hepatectomy. Three symptom clusters were identified: general somatic, psychological and liver impairment. Each symptom cluster was further categorised into three groups: severe, moderate and low. The severity of the three symptom clusters and subgroups decreased over time.

CONCLUSION

Three symptom clusters were identified in patients who underwent partial hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma, and symptom cluster trajectories decreased over time during the 12-week postoperative period. These findings will assist healthcare professionals in providing prompt symptom management and improve patient quality of life.

IMPLICATIONS FOR THE PROFESSION AND/OR PATIENT CARE

Healthcare professionals should evaluate symptom clusters and their trajectories in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after partial hepatectomy.

REPORTING METHOD

This report was prepared in accordance with the Guidelines for Reporting Cohort Research.

PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION

Hepatobiliary surgery nurses worked closely with the research team to ensure the questionnaires were fully assessed before being sent to patients. The active participation of patients provided valuable information for the study.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR2400084232).

EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on liver transplantation

Liver transplantation (LT) is an established life-saving procedure. The field of LT has changed in the past 10 years from several perspectives, with the expansion of indications, transplantation of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure, evolution of transplant oncology, the use of donations after cardiac death, new surgical techniques, and prioritisation of recipients on the waiting list. In addition, the advent of organ perfusion machines, the recognition of new forms of rejection, and the attention paid to the transition from paediatric to adult patients, have all improved the management of LT recipients. The purpose of the EASL guidelines presented here is not to cover all aspects of LT but to focus on developments since the previous EASL guidelines published in 2016.

Expanding Selection Criteria in Deceased Donor Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Long-term Follow-up of a National Registry and 2 Transplant Centers

BACKGROUND

This study compares selection criteria for liver transplant (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) for inclusivity and predictive ability to identify the most permissive criteria that maintain patient outcomes.

METHODS

The Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) database was queried for deceased donor LT's for HCC (2003-2020) with 3-y follow-up; these data were compared with a 2-center experience. Milan, University of California, San Francisco (UCSF), 5-5-500, Up-to-seven (U7), HALT-HCC, and Metroticket 2.0 scores were calculated.

RESULTS

Nationally, 26 409 patients were included, and 547 at the 2 institutions. Median SRTR-follow-up was 6.8 y (interquartile range 3.9-10.1). Three criteria allowed the expansion of candidacy versus Milan: UCSF (7.7%, n = 1898), Metroticket 2.0 (4.2%, n = 1037), and U7 (3.5%, n = 828). The absolute difference in 3-y overall survival (OS) between scores was 1.5%. HALT-HCC (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.559, 0.551-0.567) best predicted 3-y OS although AUC was notably similar between criteria (0.506 < AUC < 0.527, Mila n = 0.513, UCSF = 0.506, 5-5-500 = 0.522, U7 = 0.511, HALT-HCC = 0.559, and Metroticket 2.0 = 0.520), as was Harrall's c-statistic (0.507 < c-statistic < 0.532). All scores predicted survival to P  < 0.001 on competing risk analysis. Median follow-up in our enterprise was 9.8 y (interquartile range 7.1-13.3). U7 (13.0%, n = 58), UCSF (11.1%, n = 50), HALT-HCC (6.4%, n = 29), and Metroticket 2.0 (6.3%, n = 28) allowed candidate expansion. HALT-HCC (AUC = 0.768, 0.713-0.823) and Metroticket 2.0 (AUC = 0.739, 0.677-0.801) were the most predictive of recurrence. All scores predicted recurrence and survival to P  < 0.001 using competing risk analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Less restrictive criteria such as Metroticket 2.0, UCSF, or U7 allow broader application of transplants for HCC without sacrificing outcomes. Thus, the criteria for Model for End-stage Liver Disease-exception points for HCC should be expanded to allow more patients to receive life-saving transplantation.

Machine Perfusion as a Strategy to Decrease Ischemia-Reperfusion Injury and Lower Cancer Recurrence Following Liver Transplantation

Liver transplantation (LT) is a key treatment for primary and secondary liver cancers, reducing tumor burden with concurrent improvement of liver function. While significant improvement in survival is noted with LT, cancer recurrence rates remain high. Mitochondrial dysfunction caused by ischemia-reperfusion injury (IRI) is known to drive tumor recurrence by creating a favorable microenvironment rich in pro-inflammatory and angiogenic factors. Therefore, strategies that decrease reperfusion injury and mitochondrial dysfunction may also decrease cancer recurrence following LT. Machine perfusion techniques are increasingly used in routine clinical practice of LT with improved post-transplant outcomes and increased use of marginal grafts. Normothermic (NMP) and hypothermic oxygenated machine perfusion (HOPE) provide oxygen to ischemic tissues, and impact IRI and potential cancer recurrence through different mechanisms. This article discussed the link between IRI-associated inflammation and tumor recurrence after LT. The current literature was screened for the role of machine perfusion as a strategy to mitigate the risk of cancer recurrence. Upfront NMP ("ischemia free organ transplantation") and end-ischemic HOPE were shown to reduce hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence in retrospective studies. Three prospective randomized controlled trials are ongoing in Europe to provide robust evidence on the impact of HOPE on cancer recurrence in LT.

Outcomes of Bridging Therapy in Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background: Liver transplantation (LT) is a method for treating hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with satisfactory outcomes. One of the novel methods for predicting LT outcomes is the Metroticket 2.0 model. The disease in patients initially within the Milan criteria (MC) may progress while on a transplantation waitlist; thus, various transplantation bridging therapy (BT) methods are proposed for patients to stay within the MC and optimize the LT outcome. Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of patients who underwent LT for HCC at an oncological and transplantation center in northern Poland. Patients who underwent (n = 10) or did not undergo (n = 11) BT were included. The primary endpoints of the study were mortality among the patients, HCC recurrence, and Metroticket 2.0 scores based on LT qualification results and explant pathology outcomes. The median follow-up length was 44.03 months. Results: Patients who underwent BT had significantly lower Metroticket 2.0 scores and greater AFP concentrations at baseline. At LT, there was no significant difference in Metroticket 2.0 scores or AFP concentrations between the groups. Explant Metroticket 2.0 scores were significantly lower in patients who received BT. A complete pathologic response was achieved in 30.0% of patients who underwent BT. The recurrence-free survival rates were 100% and 90.91% in patients who underwent and did not undergo BT, respectively. Overall survival was 80.0% and 81.81% in patients who underwent and did not undergo BT, respectively. Conclusions: BT should be considered only as a means of remaining within the LT criteria. Routine BT does not appear to be justified for LT patients.

Development and validation of a model for predicting who can benefit from multiple TACE in HCC patients

This study was to develop and validate a model for predicting who can benefit from multiple transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.228 and 98 patients were included in the development and validation sets, respectively. The primary clinical endpoint was benefiting from consecutive multiple TACE treatments. Logistic regression analysis was used to screen the independent risk factors for the clinical endpoint. The independent risk factors were then used to construct the predictive model. The area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and clinical decision curves were used to evaluate the predictive ability of the model.Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that complete envelope, hepatic lopes, tumor number, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) were independent risk factors for benefiting from multiple TACE in HCC patients. The area under the curve (AUC) of the model constructed by using independent risk factors in the development and validation sets was 0.843 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.784-0.902) and 0.828 (95%CI: 0.739-0.916), respectively. The calibration curves and clinical decision curves showed that the model had good predictive ability.The model established in this study has a good predictive effect on HCC patients who can benefit from multiple TACE.

Predicting long-term survival among patients with HCC

BACKGROUND

Prognosticating survival among patients with HCC and cirrhosis must account for both the tumor burden/stage, as well as the severity of the underlying liver disease. Although there are many staging systems used to guide therapy, they have not been widely adopted to predict patient-level survival after the diagnosis of HCC. We sought to develop a score to predict long-term survival among patients with early- to intermediate-stage HCC using purely objective criteria.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study among patients with HCC confined to the liver, without major medical comorbidities within the Veterans Health Administration from 2014 to 2023. Tumor data were manually abstracted and combined with clinical and laboratory data to predict 5-year survival from HCC diagnosis using accelerated failure time models. The data were randomly split using a 75:25 ratio for training and validation. Model discrimination and calibration were assessed and compared to other HCC staging systems.

RESULTS

The cohort included 1325 patients with confirmed HCC. A risk score using baseline clinical, laboratory, and HCC-related survival had excellent discrimination (integrated AUC: 0.71 in the validation set) and calibration (based on calibration plots and Brier scores). Models had superior performance to the BCLC and ALBI scores and similar performance to the combined BCLC-ALBI score.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a risk score using purely objective data to accurately predict long-term survival for patients with HCC. This score, if validated, can be used to prognosticate survival for patients with HCC, and, in the setting of liver transplantation, can be incorporated to consider the net survival benefit of liver transplantation versus other curative options.

Recurrence risk prediction models for hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation

Liver transplantation (LT) is an effective method for curing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However postoperative tumor recurrence can lead to higher mortality rates. To select suitable candidates for LT, the Milan Criteria (MC) were first proposed based on tumor morphological characteristics. For those patients who meet the MC, the MC can effectively reduce the postoperative tumor recurrence rate and improve the prognosis of patients undergoing LT. It has always been internationally recognized as the gold standard for selecting candidates for LT, marking a milestone in the history of LT for HCC. However, its strict conditions exclude some HCC patients who could benefit from LT. Therefore, comprehension consideration criteria, including serum biomarkers, tumor histology, and other factor, have been continuously proposed in addition to tumor morphology. This article summaries the prediction model for HCC recurrence after LT from five aspects: tumor morphology, serum markers, histopathology, cellular inflammatory factors and downstaging treatment before transplantation. The aim is to assist clinicians in accurately assessing HCC status, selecting appropriate liver transplant candidates, maximize graft and patients' survival, and optimizing the utilization of social health resources.

Artificial intelligence-based model for the recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

Artificial intelligence-based models might improve patient selection for liver transplantation in hepatocellular carcinoma. The objective of the current study was to develop artificial intelligence-based deep learning models and determine the risk of recurrence after living donor liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma.

METHODS

The study was a single-center retrospective cohort study. Patients who underwent living donor liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma were divided into training and validation cohorts (n = 192). The deep learning models were used to stratify patients in the training cohort into low- and high-risk groups, and 5-year recurrence-free survival was assessed in the validation cohort.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period was 59.1 (33.9-72.4) months. The artificial intelligence model (pretransplant factors) had an area under the curve of 0.86 in the training cohort and 0.71 in the validation cohort. The largest tumor diameter and alpha-fetoprotein level had the greatest Shapley Additive exPlanations values for recurrence (>0.4). The 5-year recurrence-free survival rates in the low- and high-risk groups were 92.6% and 45% (P < .001). In the second artificial intelligence model (pretransplant factors + grade), the area under the curve for the validation cohort was 0.77, with 5-year recurrence-free survival rates of 96% and 30% in the low- and high-risk groups (P < .001). None of the low-risk patients outside the Milan and University of California San Francisco Criteria had recurrence during follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

The artificial intelligence-based hepatocellular carcinoma transplant recurrence models might improve patient selection for liver transplantation.

Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors in the Pre-Transplant Hepatocellular Carcinoma Setting: A Glimpse Beyond the Liver

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver cancer and the third leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Liver transplantation (LT) is the best therapy for most patients with non-metastatic HCC. In recent years, the management of patients with HCC has considerably changed, thanks to the improvement of molecular biology knowledge and the introduction of immunotherapy. To date, systemic therapy is authorized in the Western world only in patients with advanced HCC. However, this therapy could not only stabilize the tumour disease or improve survival but could display excellent response and lead to downstaging of the tumour that finally permits LT. There are increasing reports of patients that have performed LT after pretreatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). However, due to the intrinsic mechanism of ICIs, graft rejection might be favoured. In addition, chronic adverse effects affecting other organs may also appear after the end of therapy. This review aims to evaluate the readiness and outcomes of LT in patients with advanced HCC who have previously undergone treatment with ICIs. It seeks to identify the challenges, risks, and benefits associated with this conversion therapy. The integration of ICIs into the treatment paradigm for advanced HCC necessitates a nuanced approach to LT. While early evidence supports the feasibility of LT following ICIs therapy, there is an urgent need for standardized guidelines and more extensive longitudinal studies to optimize patient selection, timing, and post-transplant management.

The Neoangiogenic Transcriptomic Signature Impacts Hepatocellular Carcinoma Prognosis and Can Be Triggered by Transarterial Chemoembolization Treatment

Background/Objectives: We evaluated the relationship between the neoangiogenic transcriptomic signature (nTS) and clinical symptoms, treatment outcomes, and survival in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. Methods: This study prospectively followed 328 patients in the derivation and 256 in the validation cohort (with a median follow-up of 31 and 22 months, respectively). The nTS was associated with disease presentation, treatments administered, and overall survival rates. Additionally, this study investigated how multiple treatments influenced changes in nTS status and alterations in microRNA expression. Results: The nTS was identified in 27.4% of patients, linked to aggressive features like multifocality and elevated alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), a pattern consistent with that of the validation cohort. Most patients in both cohorts received treatment for HCC. nTS+ patients had limited access to, and benefited less from, liver transplantation or radiofrequency ablation (RFA) compared to nTS- patients. By the end, 78.9% had died, with nTS- patients showing better median survival and response to treatments than their nTS+ counterparts, who had lower survival across all treatment types. Among those who received transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), 31.2% (21/80 patients after the initial treatment and another four following a second TACE) transitioned from an nTS- to an nTS+ status. This shift was associated with lower survival and alterations in microRNA expressions related to oncogenic pathways. Conclusions: The nTS markedly influences treatment eligibility and survival in patients with HCC. Notably, the nTS can develop after repeated TACE procedures, significantly impacting patient survival and altering oncogenic microRNA expression patterns. These findings highlight the critical role of the nTS in guiding treatment decisions and prognostication in HCC management.

Intermediate hepatocellular carcinoma: new horizons and prospects for our patients

INTRODUCTION

In recent years, significant progress has been made in treatment strategies for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), which is a highly heterogeneous patient population requiring tailored therapies based on tumor characteristics.

METHODS

We conducted a comprehensive review of treatment approaches for intermediate-stage HCC, highlighting the evolution of treatment options over time. While chemoembolization remains the standard therapy for many patients, it has advanced to include combinations with systemic therapies, known as combination therapy, which is becoming the new standard of care for this group.

CONCLUSION

Based on our clinical and research experience, combination therapy is increasingly recognized as the preferred first-line treatment for intermediate-stage HCC patients. This approach allows most patients to be candidates for subsequent curative-intent treatments, while a smaller number will require palliative care.