Associations of body mass index trajectory, waist circumference trajectory, or both with type 2 diabetes mellitus risk in Chinese adults: The China-PAR project

AIMS

To identify the trajectories of body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC), and assess the associations of BMI trajectory, WC trajectory, or the two combined, with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) risk in Chinese adults.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study was based on a prospective project-the Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China (China-PAR). A total of 54 434 participants (39.21% men) who were measured on at least two occasions were included. Three slowly increasing trajectory patterns were identified for BMI, and four for WC, by latent mixed modelling. A nine-category variable was derived by combining the WC trajectory (low, moderate, moderate-high/high) and the BMI trajectory (low, moderate, high). Logistic regression models were applied to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

The risk of developing T2DM increased with elevated BMI or WC trajectory levels (all ptrend <0.001). The risks were 2.85 (2.59-3.14) for high BMI trajectory and 4.34 (3.78-4.99) for high WC trajectory versus low trajectory groups, respectively. The association was more pronounced among younger individuals (pinteraction <0.001). In the joint analysis, compared to participants with low WC and BMI trajectory, those with moderate-high/high WC combined with high BMI trajectory had the highest risk of T2DM (OR 3.96, 95% CI 3.48-4.50); even those who maintained moderate-high/high WC but low BMI trajectory showed a higher T2DM risk (OR 3.00, 95% CI 2.31-3.91).

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that simultaneous dynamic and continuous monitoring of BMI and WC may contribute more than single measurements to predicting T2DM risk and determining preventive strategies.

A study on the estimation of area of origin of swing cast-off pattern

In bloodstain pattern analysis (BPA), a field of forensic science, there has been active discussion on the estimation of the area of origin of impact spatter. However, there is no established methodology to quantitatively analyze the area of origin of a swing cast-off pattern. To quantitatively analyze the methodology of previous research on estimation of area of origin, a device for generating uniform swing cast-off patterns was produced. Using artificial blood, 10 swing cast-off patterns were generated on porous paper; in each, 10 blood drops were selected for the calculation of the impact angle. Hemospat software was used for individual bloodstain analysis, and an open source code was used for estimation of area of origin. Under the same conditions, an additional 10 swing cast-off patterns were generated, and quantitative analysis was performed using trigonometric functions and an adjustment formula that minimized errors in calculating the impact angle. The adjustment formula was corrected to calculate the impact angle for the bloodstains on the porous surface. As uncertainty decreases, the error increases, and the point at which both uncertainty and error can be minimized is calculated as 75%. The existing formula included the trajectory in the estimated likelihood range in 75% of samples. When the adjustment formula was applied, the accuracy was improved, with the trajectory included in the area with a 90% likelihood.

Single-cell senescence identification reveals senescence heterogeneity, trajectory, and modulators

Cellular senescence underlies many aging-related pathologies, but its heterogeneity poses challenges for studying and targeting senescent cells. We present here a machine learning program senescent cell identification (SenCID), which accurately identifies senescent cells in both bulk and single-cell transcriptome. Trained on 602 samples from 52 senescence transcriptome datasets spanning 30 cell types, SenCID identifies six major senescence identities (SIDs). Different SIDs exhibit different senescence baselines, stemness, gene functions, and responses to senolytics. SenCID enables the reconstruction of senescent trajectories under normal aging, chronic diseases, and COVID-19. Additionally, when applied to single-cell Perturb-seq data, SenCID helps reveal a hierarchy of senescence modulators. Overall, SenCID is an essential tool for precise single-cell analysis of cellular senescence, enabling targeted interventions against senescent cells.

Weekly pain trajectories among people with knee or hip osteoarthritis participating in a digitally delivered first-line exercise and education treatment

OBJECTIVE

Digital self-management programs are increasingly used in the management of osteoarthritis (OA). Little is known about heterogeneous patterns in response to these programs. We describe weekly pain trajectories of people with knee or hip OA over up to 52-week participation in a digital self-management program.

METHODS

Observational cohort study among participants enrolled between January 2019 and September 2021 who participated at least 4 and up to 52 weeks in the program (n = 16 274). We measured pain using Numeric Rating Scale (NRS 0-10) and applied latent class growth analysis to identify classes with similar trajectories. Associations between baseline characteristics and trajectory classes were examined using multinomial logistic regression and dominance analysis.

RESULTS

We identified 4 pain trajectory classes: "mild-largely improved" (30%), "low moderate-largely improved" (34%), "upper moderate-improved" (24%), and "severe-persistent" (12%). For classes with decreasing pain, the most pain reduction occurred during first 20 weeks and was stable thereafter. Male sex, older age, lower body mass index (BMI), better physical function, lower activity impairment, less anxiety/depression, higher education, knee OA, no walking difficulties, no wish for surgery and higher physical activity, all measured at enrolment, were associated with greater probabilities of membership in "mild-largely improved" class than other classes. Dominance analysis suggested that activity impairment followed by wish for surgery and walking difficulties were the most important predictors of trajectory class membership.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results highlight the importance of reaching people with OA for first-line treatment prior to developing severe pain, poor health status and a wish for surgery.

Mechanism for High-Precision Control of Movement at Maximum Output in the Vertical Jump Task

Human movements are governed by a tradeoff between speed and accuracy. Previous studies that have investigated the tradeoff relationship in sports movements involving whole-body movements have been limited to examining the relationship from the perspective of competition-specific movements, and the findings on whether the relationship is valid have not been unified. Therefore, this study incorporated a vertical jump task with the introduction of a condition in which landing position control was added to evaluate the essence of a sports movement that requires both speed and accuracy. Accuracy was examined using a method that quantifies the coordinates of the landing and takeoff positions using entropy. The mechanism of that tradeoff was then examined by confirming the phenomenon and analyzing the 3D vector trajectories. An increase in accuracy and a decrease in speed were observed when the landing position was the control target, even in the vertical jumping task normally performed at maximum effort, and the 3D velocity vector was characterized by the following: a reduced scalar and a more vertical direction. While the entropy from the takeoff to the landing position seemed to decrease when the accuracy of the landing position improved, the following noteworthy results were obtained given the characteristics of the vertical jump. Unlike traditional feedback control in the entropy reduction in hand movements, the trajectory is predetermined in a feedforward-like manner by controlling the initial velocity vector at takeoff, which allows the landing point to be adjusted.

Could poor glycaemic control be a predictor of walking speed decline in older adults? Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing

AIM

Although diabetes is a risk factor for walking speed decline in older adults, it remains unclear how glycaemic control [assessed by glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c)] might affect the long-term trajectories of walking speed. We investigated whether the glycaemic control status accelerates the walking speed decline and whether this decline differs depending on previous mobility conditions.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In total, 3202 individuals aged ≥60 years from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) were classified at baseline and after 4 and 8 years of follow-up according to glycaemic control status as 'without diabetes' (no self-reported diabetes and HbA1c <6.5%), 'good glycaemic control' (self-reported diabetes and HbA1c ≥6.5% and <7.0%) and 'poor glycaemic control' (PGC) (self-reported diabetes and HbA1c ≥7.0%). The generalized linear mixed models verified the walking speed trajectories in m/s. A second analysis was performed, including only participants without slowness at baseline (>0.8 m/s).

RESULTS

Compared with the status 'without diabetes', the annual walking speed decline was -0.015 m/s for PGC and -0.011 m/s for good glycaemic control, totalling -0.160 and -0.130 m/s, respectively, over 8 years. Among those without slowness at baseline, only PGC had a significant walking speed decline, corresponding to -0.014 m/s per year and -0.222 m/s over 8 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Poor glycaemic control is a discriminator of walking speed decline in older adults, regardless of previous mobility conditions. It may serve as an early screening tool for those at risk of decreased functional performance later in life.

Childhood correlates and young adult outcomes of trajectories of emotional problems from childhood to adolescence

BACKGROUND

Emotional problems, especially anxiety, have become increasingly common in recent generations. Few population-based studies have examined trajectories of emotional problems from early childhood to late adolescence or investigated differences in psychiatric and functional outcomes.

METHODS

Using the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC, n = 8286, 50.4% male), we modeled latent class growth trajectories of emotional problems, using the parent-reported Strength and Difficulties Questionnaire emotional scale (SDQ-E) on seven occasions (4-17 years). Psychiatric outcomes in young adulthood (21-25 years) were major depressive disorder (MDD), generalized anxiety disorder (GAD), and self-harm. Functional outcomes were exam attainment, educational/occupational status, and social relationship quality.

RESULTS

We identified four classes of emotional problems: low (67.0%), decreasing (18.4%), increasing (8.9%), and persistent (5.7%) problems. Compared to those in the low class, individuals with decreasing emotional problems were not at elevated risk of any poor adult outcome. Individuals in the increasing and persistent classes had a greater risk of adult MDD (RR: 1.59 95% CI 1.13-2.26 and RR: 2.25 95% CI 1.49-3.41) and self-harm (RR: 2.37 95% CI 1.91-2.94 and RR: 1.87 95% CI 1.41-2.48), and of impairment in functional domains. Childhood sleep difficulties, irritability, conduct and neurodevelopmental problems, and family adversity were associated with a persistent course of emotional problems.

CONCLUSIONS

Childhood emotional problems were common, but those whose symptoms improved over time were not at increased risk for adverse adult outcomes. In contrast, individuals with persistent or adolescent-increasing emotional problems had a higher risk of mental ill-health and social impairment in young adulthood which was especially pronounced for those with persistent emotional problems.

The association of metabolic syndrome scores trajectory patterns with risk of all cancer types

BACKGROUND

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) elevates cancer risk. However, a single MetS assessment does not fully reveal the long-term association with cancer. Inflammation, alongside MetS, could synergistically expedite both the onset and advancement of cancer. This study aims to investigate MetS score trajectories and cancer risk in a large, prospective cohort study.

METHODS

The authors prospectively examined the relationship between MetS score trajectory patterns and new-onset cancer in 44,115 participants. Latent mixture modeling was used to identify the MetS score trajectories. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to evaluate the association between MetS score trajectory patterns and the risk of overall and site-specific cancers.

RESULTS

Four MetS score trajectory patterns were identified: low-stable (n = 4657), moderate-low (n = 18,018), moderate-high (n = 18,288), and elevated-increasing (n = 3152). Compared to participants with a low-stable trajectory pattern, the elevated-increasing trajectory pattern was associated with an elevated risk of overall (hazard ratio [HR], 1.27; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-1.55), breast (HR, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.04-4.34), endometrial (HR, 3.33; 95% CI, 1.16-6.77), kidney (HR, 4.52; 95% CI, 1.17-10.48), colorectal (HR, 2.54; 95% CI, 1.27-5.09), and liver (HR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.09-4.57) cancers. Among participants with chronic inflammation (C-reactive protein levels ≥3 mg/L), the elevated-increasing trajectory pattern was significantly associated with subsequent breast, endometrial, colorectal, and liver cancers.

CONCLUSIONS

Trajectories of MetS scores are associated with the occurrence of cancers, especially breast, endometrial, kidney, colorectal, and liver cancers, emphasizing the importance of long-term monitoring and evaluation of MetS.

PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY

The association between long-term elevated metabolic syndrome (MetS) scores and a heightened risk of various cancers is a pivotal finding of our study. Our research further indicates that individuals with MetS, particularly when coupled with chronic inflammation, are at an increased risk of cancer. We propose that sustained monitoring and management of MetS could be beneficial in reducing cancer risk.

Two-Year Trajectories of Dental Anxiety in Parents and Their Association with Parents' and Children's Oral Healthcare Procedures in FinnBrain Birth Cohort Study

We aimed to identify parents' dental anxiety trajectories and the association of the trajectories with the number of parents' and their children's oral healthcare procedures in the FinnBrain Birth Cohort Study. Dental anxiety was measured with the Modified Dental Anxiety Scale at gestational weeks (gw) 14 and 34, as well as 3 and 24 months (mo) after childbirth. Oral healthcare procedures from gw14 to 24 mo were obtained from the national patient data register and categorized as preventive and treatment. Trajectories were identified with latent growth mixture modelling for 2068 fathers and 3201 mothers. Associations between trajectories and procedures adjusted for education were analyzed using unordered multinomial logit models. Fathers' trajectories were stable low (80.1%), stable high (3.4%), stable moderate (11.0%), moderate increasing (3.9%) and high decreasing (1.6%). Mothers' trajectories were stable low (80.7%), stable high (11.2%), moderate increasing (5.3%) and high decreasing (2.8%). Mothers with decreasing dental anxiety had a higher number of preventive and treatment procedures. Fathers with decreasing dental anxiety had a higher number of preventive and treatment procedures, while fathers with increasing dental anxiety had fewer procedures. Children of mothers with stable low dental anxiety had higher number of preventive procedures. There seems to be a two-way association between dental anxiety trajectories and oral healthcare procedures.

Kidney Function Trajectories and Right Heart Failure Following LVAD Implantation

BACKGROUND

Preoperative kidney dysfunction is a risk factor for right heart failure (RHF) after implantation of a left ventricular assist device (LVAD). However, characteristic kidney function trajectories before and after post-LVAD RHF are uncertain, so we investigated this.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We identified individuals who received primary continuous-flow LVAD implantation from July 1, 2014 to December 31, 2017 in the Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support (INTERMACS) data set. Incident RHF was ascertained using the INTERMACS definition at 1 and 3 months and classified as transient or persistent. Kidney function trajectories before and after RHF onset, and relationships of baseline kidney function with RHF risk at the different time points, were assessed. We identified 8076 LVAD recipients who met inclusion criteria. Incident RHF was present at 1 month in 26.4%. There were 4850 individuals with follow-up at 3 months, with incident RHF in 4.2%. Kidney function trajectories differed from pre-LVAD implantation to 1-month follow-up by RHF category, with those developing persistent RHF having no improvement in baseline kidney function. For trajectories before the 3-month RHF ascertainment time, the shape was similar for those with and without RHF, with lower estimated glomerular filtration rate levels among those who developed RHF. Baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate levels below the normal range were associated with higher risk of RHF at 1 and 3 months.

CONCLUSIONS

In LVAD recipients, preimplantation kidney function and subsequent kidney function trajectories differed substantially by RHF at 1 and 3 months postimplantation, even after adjustment for several confounders. This may demonstrate bidirectional associations between kidney function and right ventricular function in LVAD recipients.

Comparison of BP variability, cumulative BP, and BP trajectory for predicting cardiovascular events in the general population

OBJECTIVE

Systolic blood pressure variability (SBPV), cumulative systolic BP (cumSBP), and systolic blood pressure trajectory (trajSBP) are major indices describing characteristics of BP changes. The aim of this study was to compare their discrimination abilities for cardiovascular (CV) events.

METHODS

In 51698 subjects, associations were assessed using Cox regression in the overall cohort and Framingham risk score (FRS) stratified groups. Individuals with <10%, 10%-20%, and >20% 10-year CV risk were categorized into the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk group, respectively. Discrimination capabilities were evaluated using the area under curve (AUC), Harrell's C index, net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination index (IDI).

RESULTS

Within a mean follow-up of 6.83 ± 0.89 years, 2330 participants had CV events, and all three markers were significantly associated with CV events. TrajSBP provided the best additional discriminative value for CV events, with improvements of 1.54% in AUC%, 0.01 in Harrell's C, 37.52% in NRI%, and 0.59% in IDI%. CumSBP had good additional discriminative capability in the intermediate to high FRS groups, but the effect sizes were smaller than those of trajSBP. Although, SBPV improved the predictive capabilities in the low-to intermediate-risk groups, the effect sizes were much smaller than those of the other indices. Sensitivity analyses excluding patients who underwent antihypertensive therapy revealed similar patterns but higher effect sizes than in the overall population.

CONCLUSION

TrajSBP provides the best additional discrimination capabilities based on traditional risk profiles and may assist the risk stratification and individual prediction for future CV events.

Using Trajectories of Bedside Vital Signs to Identify COVID-19 Subphenotypes

BACKGROUND

Trajectories of bedside vital signs have been used to identify sepsis subphenotypes with distinct outcomes and treatment responses. The objective of this study was to validate the vitals trajectory model in a multicenter cohort of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 and to evaluate the clinical characteristics and outcomes of the resulting subphenotypes.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Can the trajectory of routine bedside vital signs identify COVID-19 subphenotypes with distinct clinical characteristics and outcomes?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

The study included adult patients admitted with COVID-19 to four academic hospitals in the Emory Healthcare system between March 1, 2020, and May 31, 2022. Using a validated group-based trajectory model, we classified patients into previously defined vital sign trajectories using oral temperature, heart rate, respiratory rate, and systolic and diastolic BP measured in the first 8 h of hospitalization. Clinical characteristics, biomarkers, and outcomes were compared between subphenotypes. Heterogeneity of treatment effect to tocilizumab was evaluated.

RESULTS

The 7,065 patients with hospitalized COVID-19 were classified into four subphenotypes: group A (n = 1,429, 20%)-high temperature, heart rate, respiratory rate, and hypotensive; group B (1,454, 21%)-high temperature, heart rate, respiratory rate, and hypertensive; group C (2,996, 42%)-low temperature, heart rate, respiratory rate, and normotensive; and group D (1,186, 17%)-low temperature, heart rate, respiratory rate, and hypotensive. Groups A and D had higher ORs of mechanical ventilation, vasopressors, and 30-day inpatient mortality (P < .001). On comparing patients receiving tocilizumab (n = 55) with those who met criteria for tocilizumab but were admitted before its use (n = 461), there was significant heterogeneity of treatment effect across subphenotypes in the association of tocilizumab with 30-day mortality (P = .001).

INTERPRETATION

By using bedside vital signs available in even low-resource settings, we found novel subphenotypes associated with distinct manifestations of COVID-19, which could lead to preemptive and targeted treatments.

Trajectories of Perceived Gratitude and Change Following Relationship Interventions: A Randomized Controlled Trial With Lower-Income, Help-Seeking Couples

The current study was designed to advance basic and applied research on perceived gratitude from one's partner in established couple relationships. From a three-arm randomized controlled trial involving 615 lower-income, help-seeking couples (N = 1,224 individuals), study analyses examined (a) the trajectory of perceived gratitude from one's partner among couples assigned to the wait-list condition (i.e., absent of any intervention), and (b) changes in perceived gratitude for individuals assigned to either the OurRelationship (OR) or ePREP relationship intervention condition. With respect to the first aim, levels of perceived gratitude among wait-listed couples demonstrated no significant mean increase over the 6-month period; this rate of change was significantly different from rates of change observed in other relationship constructs (e.g., satisfaction, communication, support) during the wait-list period. Being married, female, and having more children were all associated with lower initial levels of perceived gratitude. For the second aim, individuals assigned to either the OR or ePREP treatment condition demonstrated significant improvements in levels of perceived partner gratitude compared to wait-listed couples. The magnitude of program effect sizes for gratitude (d = 0.33), however, was 3%-48% smaller compared to the magnitude of program effects of other relationship constructs (0.34 < d < 0.64). Results indicated that perceived gratitude is a distinct component of couple relationships, generally lower in more established relationships, and can be improved by participating in OR or ePREP relationship interventions. Implications for research and practice related to gratitude in couple relationships are discussed.

Trajectories of Daily Postconcussion Symptoms in Children

OBJECTIVES

To identify trajectories of daily postconcussion symptoms (PCS) from the acute postinjury period to symptom resolution among concussed children and examine demographic factors and acute PCS associated with the identified symptom trajectories.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Seventy-nine participants with a concussion were enrolled within 72 hours of injury and completed a daily survey that assessed PCS from enrollment until symptom resolution.

DESIGN

This was a prospective cohort study among concussed children aged 11-17 years.

MAIN MEASURES

Children rated their concussion symptoms daily using the Post-Concussion Symptom Scale. Symptom duration was assessed using participants' date of symptom resolution and coded as a dichotomous variable: (1) PCS duration 14 days or less or (2) PCS duration longer than 14 days.

RESULTS

Of the 79 participants, most were male ( n = 53, 67%), injured during a sporting activity ( n = 67, 85%), or had PCS that persisted for more than 14 days post-injury ( n = 41, 52%). Group-based trajectory modeling yielded 4 trajectory groups: (1) low acute/resolved PCS ( n = 39, 49%), (2) moderate/persistent PCS ( n = 19, 24%), (3) high acute/persistent PCS ( n = 13, 16%), and (4) high acute/resolved PCS ( n = 8, 10%). No significant associations were found between demographic factors and the trajectory group. A higher symptom burden at injury was associated with an increased odds of being in the high acute/resolved or high acute/persistent recovery groups than being in the low acute/resolved group (odds ratio [OR] 1.39, 95% CI = 1.11-1.74; OR = 1.33, 95% CI = 1.11-1.60, respectively), as was a higher symptom severity at injury (OR = 1.09, 95% CI = 1.03-1.15; OR = 1.06, 95% CI = 1.02-1.11, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Our findings may help clinicians identify concussed children on slower recovery trajectories, and implement early, individualized treatment plans that foster optimal recovery for concussed children.

Trajectories of cardiovascular risk predict pregnancy outcomes: The Bogalusa Heart Study and the Cardiovascular Risk in Young Finns Study

BACKGROUND

Life course patterns of change in risk-trajectories-affect health.

OBJECTIVES

To examine how trajectories of cardiovascular risk factors are associated with pregnancy and birth outcomes.

METHODS

Data from two cohort studies participating in the International Childhood Cardiovascular Consortium-The Bogalusa Heart Study (BHS; started in 1973, N = 903 for this analysis) and the Cardiovascular Risk in Young Finns Study (YFS; started in 1980, N = 499) were used. Both followed children into adulthood and measured cardiovascular risk factors, including body mass index (BMI), systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP/DBP), total, lipoprotein (LDL)- and high density lipoprotein (HDL)-cholesterol and serum triglycerides. Discrete mixture modelling was used to divide each cohort into distinct trajectories according to these risk factors from childhood to early adulthood, and these groups were then used to predict pregnancy outcomes including small for gestational age (SGA; <10th study-specific percentile of gestational age by sex), preterm birth (PTB; <37 weeks' gestation), hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), with control for age at baseline and at first birth, parity, socioeconomic status, BMI and smoking.

RESULTS

The models created more trajectories for BMI, SBP and HDL-cholesterol in the YFS than in BHS, for which three classes generally seemed to be sufficient to represent the groups in the population across risk factors. In BHS, the association between the higher and flatter DBP trajectory and PTB was aRR 1.77, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.06, 2.96. In BHS the association between consistent total cholesterol and PTB was aRR 2.16, 95% CI 1.22, 3.85 and in YFS the association between elevated high trajectory and PTB was aRR 3.35, 95% CI 1.28, 8.79. Elevated-increasing SBP was associated with a higher risk of GH in BHS and increasing or persistent-obese BMI trajectories were associated with GDM in both cohorts (BHS: aRR 3.51, 95% CI 1.95, 6.30; YFS: aRR 2.61, 95% CI 0.96, 7.08).

CONCLUSIONS

Trajectories of cardiovascular risk, particularly those that represent a consistent or more rapid worsening of cardiovascular health, are associated with a higher risk of pregnancy complications.

Effect of intensity of persistent social isolation on mental health in the late middle-aged and older population: results of the Korea Longitudinal Study of Ageing (2006-2020)

BACKGROUND

Social isolation (SI) was recently identified as a significant public health issue in the United States. Consequently, several studies on the association between SI and mental health were conducted. However, few studies have considered the duration and intensity of SI. In the present study, a longitudinal analysis was conducted to determine the effect of the intensity of persistent SI on the mental health status of late middle-aged and older Koreans.

METHODS

After excluding missing values, data on 6200 participants were analyzed using the group-based trajectory model (GBTM) from the first to fifth Korean Longitudinal Study of Ageing (KLoSA) to categorise the SI trajectory (SIT). The Chi-square test, t-test, analysis of variance, and time-lagged generalised estimation equations were utilised from the fifth to eighth KLoSA to determine the association between SIT and the incidence of cognitive decline (the group with a Korean version Mini-Mental State Examination score of 23 or lower), cognitive function score, and depression score.

RESULTS

Four SIT groups were identified in the GBTM analysis. These were the non-SIT (21.7%), mild (46.8%), moderate (21.1%), and severe SIT (10.4%) groups. Compared to the non-SIT group, the severe SIT group experienced a greater incidence of cognitive decline (odds ratio = 1.57, P < 0.0001) as well as poorer cognitive function scores (B = -0.63, P < 0.0001) and depression scores (B = 0.90, P < 0.0001). Furthermore, stratified analysis by sex and age showed that mental health status was inversely proportionate to the intensity of SIT, particularly in males and patients, aged 65 years and above.

CONCLUSION

A close association was observed between SIT and mental health. This finding highlighted the need for policies and institutional measures to reduce the incidence of mental health deterioration among vulnerable groups due to the intensity of SI.

Trajectories of Body Mass Index and Waist Circumference in Relation to the Risk of Cardiac Arrhythmia: A Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The aim of the current study was to explore the trajectories, variabilities, and cumulative exposures of body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) with cardiac arrhythmia (CA) risks.

METHODS

In total, 35,739 adults from the Kailuan study were included. BMI and WC were measured repeatedly during the 2006-2010 waves. CA was identified via electrocardiogram diagnosis. BMI and WC trajectories were fitted using a group-based trajectory model. The associations were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

We identified four stable trajectories for BMI and WC, respectively. Neither the BMI trajectories nor the baseline BMI values were associated with the risk of CA. Compared to the low-stable WC group, participants in the high-stable WC group had a higher risk of CA (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.40, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06, 1.86). Interestingly, the cumulative exposures of BMI and WC instead of their variabilities were associated with the risk of CA. In the stratified analyses, the positive associations of the high-stable WC group with the risk of CA were found in females only (HR = 1.98, 95% CI: 1.02, 3.83).

CONCLUSIONS

A high-stable WC trajectory is associated with a higher risk of CA among Chinese female adults, underscoring the potential of WC rather than BMI to identify adults who are at risk.

Impact of Pre-Diagnostic Risk Factors on Short- and Long-Term Ovarian Cancer Survival Trajectories: A Longitudinal Observational Study

Tumor- and treatment-related factors are established predictors of ovarian cancer survival. New studies suggest a differential impact of exposures on ovarian cancer survival trajectories (i.e., rapidly fatal to long-term disease). This study examined the impact of pre-diagnostic risk factors on short- and long-term ovarian cancer survival trajectories in the Canadian context. This population-based longitudinal observational study included women diagnosed with invasive epithelial ovarian cancer from 1995 to 2004 in Ontario. Data were obtained from medical records, interviews, and the provincial cancer registry. Extended Cox proportional hazard models estimated the association between risk factors and all-cause and ovarian cancer-specific mortality by survival time intervals (<3 years (i.e., short-term survival), 3 to <6 years, 6 to <10 years, and ≥10 years (i.e., long-term survival)). Among 1421 women, histology, stage, and residual disease were the most important predictors of all-cause mortality in all survival trajectories, particularly for short-term survival. Reproductive and lifestyle factors did not strongly impact short-term overall survival but were associated with long-term overall survival. As such, among long-term survivors, history of breastfeeding significantly decreased the risk of all-cause mortality (HR 0.65; 95% CI 0.46, 0.93; p < 0.05), whereas smoking history (HR 1.75; 95% CI 1.27, 2.40; p < 0.05) and obesity (HR 1.81; 95% CI 1.24, 2.65; p < 0.05) significantly increased the risk of all-cause mortality. The findings were consistent with ovarian cancer-specific mortality. These findings suggest that pre-diagnostic exposures differentially influence survival time following a diagnosis of ovarian cancer.

Association between TyG index trajectory and new-onset lean NAFLD: a longitudinal study

Objective

The purpose of this manuscript is to identify longitudinal trajectories of changes in triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and investigate the association of TyG index trajectories with risk of lean nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

Methods

Using data from 1,109 participants in the Health Management Cohort longitudinal study, we used Latent Class Growth Modeling (LCGM) to develop TyG index trajectories. Using a Cox proportional hazard model, the relationship between TyG index trajectories and incident lean NAFLD was analyzed. Restricted cubic splines (RCS) were used to visually display the dose-response association between TyG index and lean NAFLD. We also deployed machine learning (ML) via Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) to predict lean NAFLD, validated by receiver operating characteristic curves (ROCs). The LightGBM model was used to create an online tool for medical use. In addition, NAFLD was assessed by abdominal ultrasound after excluding other liver fat causes.

Results

The median age of the population was 46.6 years, and 440 (39.68%) of the participants were men. Three distinct TyG index trajectories were identified: "low stable" (TyG index ranged from 7.66 to 7.71, n=206, 18.5%), "moderate stable" (TyG index ranged from 8.11 to 8.15, n=542, 48.8%), and "high stable" (TyG index ranged from 8.61 to 8.67, n=363, 32.7%). Using a "low stable" trajectory as a reference, a "high stable" trajectory was associated with an increased risk of lean-NAFLD (HR: 2.668, 95% CI: 1.098-6.484). After adjusting for baseline age, WC, SBP, BMI, and ALT, HR increased slightly in "moderate stable" and "high stable" trajectories to 1.767 (95% CI:0.730-4.275) and 2.668 (95% CI:1.098-6.484), respectively. RCS analysis showed a significant nonlinear dose-response relationship between TyG index and lean NAFLD risk (χ2 = 11.5, P=0.003). The LightGBM model demonstrated high accuracy (Train AUC 0.870, Test AUC 0.766). An online tool based on our model was developed to assist clinicians in assessing lean NAFLD risk.

Conclusion

The TyG index serves as a promising noninvasive marker for lean NAFLD, with significant implications for clinical practice and public health policy.

Associations of trajectories in body roundness index with incident cardiovascular disease: a prospective cohort study in rural China

Aims

The body roundness index (BRI) has good predictive ability for both body fat and visceral adipose tissue. Longitudinal BRI trajectories can reveal the potential dynamic patterns of change over time. This prospective study assessed potential associations between BRI trajectories and incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) in rural regions of Northeast China.

Methods

In total, 13,209 participants (mean age: 49.0 ± 10.3 years, 6,856 [51.9%] male) were enrolled with three repeated times of BRI measurements at baseline (2004-2006), 2008, and 2010, and followed up until 2017 in this prospective study. Using latent mixture model, the BRI trajectories were determined based on the data from baseline, 2008 and 2010. Composite CVD events (myocardial infarction, stroke, and CVD death combined) was the primary endpoint. Cox proportional-hazards models were used to analyze the longitudinal associations between BRI trajectories and incident CVD.

Results

Three distinct BRI trajectories were identified: high-stable (n = 538), moderate-stable (n = 1,542), and low-stable (n = 11,129). In total, 1,382 CVD events were recorded during follow-up. After adjustment for confounders, the moderate-stable and high-stable BRI groups had a higher CVD risk than did the low-stable BRI group, and the HR (95%CI) were 1.346 (1.154, 1.571) and 1.751 (1.398, 2.194), respectively. Similar associations were observed between the trajectories of BRI and the risk of stroke and CVD death. The high-stable group was also significantly and independently associated with CVD, myocardial infarction, stroke, and CVD death in participants aged <50 years.

Conclusion

BRI trajectory was positively associated with incident CVD, providing a novel possibility for the primary prevention of CVD in rural regions of China.

Daytime sleep duration during infancy as an indicator for cognitive development at school age: a prospective cohort study

STUDY OBJECTIVES

The reduction in daytime sleep during early life is considered one of the indicators of the maturation of sleep patterns, which is closely associated with cognitive development. The current study aims to analyze the relationships between daytime sleep duration (DSD) during infancy and cognitive development at 6 and 10 years.

METHODS

The study included 262 mothers with their newborns from the Shanghai Sleep Birth Cohort Study, spanning eleven follow-ups from 42 days to 10 years. Sleep parameters were assessed using parent-report questionnaires at each follow-up, and cognitive development was evaluated with the Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children, 4th edition at 6 and 10 years.

RESULTS

Two distinct DSD trajectories in early childhood were identified: "typical DSD" (66.7%) and "infancy excessive DSD" (33.3%). Children in the "infancy excessive DSD" trajectory exhibited lower working memory scores than those in the "typical DSD" trajectory at 6 years (Mean difference=5.90, 95% CI [1.83, 9.96], p=0.005) and 10 years (Mean difference=4.37, 95% CI [0.26, 8.48], p=0.037). Additional analysis in a relatively homogeneous sample consistently showed correlations between DSD trajectories and working memory performance. No consistent significant differences were found in other domains of cognitive development.

CONCLUSIONS

Excessive daytime sleep during infancy may serve as an early indicator for poor working memory at school age. These findings raise concerns about the long-term cognitive development of infants with excessive DSD.

RatInABox, a toolkit for modelling locomotion and neuronal activity in continuous environments

Generating synthetic locomotory and neural data is a useful yet cumbersome step commonly required to study theoretical models of the brain's role in spatial navigation. This process can be time consuming and, without a common framework, makes it difficult to reproduce or compare studies which each generate test data in different ways. In response, we present RatInABox, an open-source Python toolkit designed to model realistic rodent locomotion and generate synthetic neural data from spatially modulated cell types. This software provides users with (i) the ability to construct one- or two-dimensional environments with configurable barriers and visual cues, (ii) a physically realistic random motion model fitted to experimental data, (iii) rapid online calculation of neural data for many of the known self-location or velocity selective cell types in the hippocampal formation (including place cells, grid cells, boundary vector cells, head direction cells) and (iv) a framework for constructing custom cell types, multi-layer network models and data- or policy-controlled motion trajectories. The motion and neural models are spatially and temporally continuous as well as topographically sensitive to boundary conditions and walls. We demonstrate that out-of-the-box parameter settings replicate many aspects of rodent foraging behaviour such as velocity statistics and the tendency of rodents to over-explore walls. Numerous tutorial scripts are provided, including examples where RatInABox is used for decoding position from neural data or to solve a navigational reinforcement learning task. We hope this tool will significantly streamline computational research into the brain's role in navigation.

Age Differences in the Association of Sleep Duration Trajectory With Cancer Risk and Cancer-Specific Mortality: Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Baseline sleep duration is associated with cancer risk and cancer-specific mortality; however, the association between longitudinal patterns of sleep duration and these risks remains unknown.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to elucidate the association between sleep duration trajectory and cancer risk and cancer-specific mortality.

METHODS

The participants recruited in this study were from the Kailuan cohort, with all participants aged between 18 and 98 years and without cancer at baseline. The sleep duration of participants was continuously recorded in 2006, 2008, and 2010. Latent mixture modeling was used to identify shared sleep duration trajectories. Furthermore, the Cox proportional risk model was used to examine the association of sleep duration trajectory with cancer risk and cancer-specific mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 53,273 participants were included in the present study, of whom 40,909 (76.79%) were men and 12,364 (23.21%) were women. The average age of the participants was 49.03 (SD 11.76) years. During a median follow-up of 10.99 (IQR 10.27-11.15) years, 2705 participants developed cancers. Three sleep duration trajectories were identified: normal-stable (44,844/53,273, 84.18%), median-stable (5877/53,273, 11.03%), and decreasing low-stable (2552/53,273, 4.79%). Compared with the normal-stable group, the decreasing low-stable group had increased cancer risk (hazard ratio [HR] 1.39, 95% CI 1.16-1.65) and cancer-specific mortality (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.18-2.06). Dividing the participants by an age cutoff of 45 years revealed an increase in cancer risk (HR 1.88, 95% CI 1.30-2.71) and cancer-specific mortality (HR 2.52, 95% CI 1.22-5.19) only in participants younger than 45 years, rather than middle-aged or older participants. Joint analysis revealed that compared with participants who had a stable sleep duration within the normal range and did not snore, those with a shortened sleep duration and snoring had the highest cancer risk (HR 2.62, 95% CI 1.46-4.70).

CONCLUSIONS

Sleep duration trajectories and quality are closely associated with cancer risk and cancer-specific mortality. However, these associations differ with age and are more pronounced in individuals aged <45 years.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Chinese Clinical Trial Registry ChiCTR-TNRC-11001489; http://tinyurl.com/2u89hrhx.

One-Year Disability Trajectories and Long-Term Cardiovascular Events, Recurrent Stroke, and Mortality After Ischemic Stroke

BACKGROUND

Patients with stroke are often affected by varying degrees of functional disability and have different evolution patterns in functional disability. However, little is known about the predictive usefulness of disability changes after stroke. We aimed to describe 1-year disability trajectories and to assess the associations of longitudinal disability trajectories with 24-month clinical outcomes after ischemic stroke.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 3533 patients with ischemic stroke from CATIS (China Antihypertensive Trial in Acute Ischemic Stroke) were studied. Distinct trajectories of disability were identified by the group-based trajectory model, as measured by modified Rankin Scale score within 12 months. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the associations of disability trajectories with 24-month cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality. We identified 4 distinct disability trajectories: no significant disability (562 participants [15.9%]), slight disability to recovery (1575 participants [44.6%]), severe to moderate disability (1087 participants [30.8%]), and persistent severe disability (309 participants [8.7%]). Compared with no significant disability trajectory, the multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (95% CIs) of patients within the persistent heavy-severe trajectory were 2.63 (1.20-5.76) for cardiovascular events, 2.55 (1.12-5.79) for recurrent stroke, and 6.10 (2.22-16.72) for all-cause mortality; notably, the hazard ratios (95% CIs) for patients within the severe to moderate disability trajectory were 1.99 (1.01-3.94) for cardiovascular events and 1.85 (1.03-3.33) for the composite outcome of cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Functional disability trajectories within 12 months after stroke onset were associated with the risk of 24-month adverse outcomes. Patients with persistent severe disability or severe to moderate disability had higher risk of cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01840072.

Association between trajectories of maternal depressive symptoms and length of hospital stay, hospitalization costs, and adverse maternal and infantile outcomes: A longitudinal observational study

This study aimed to determine the trajectories of perinatal depression and their relationship with length of hospital stay (LOS), hospitalization costs, and adverse maternal and infantile outcomes. This longitudinal observational study included 525 participants. Perinatal depressive symptoms were assessed at four waves (from the first trimester to the postpartum period). LOS, hospitalization costs, and adverse maternal (sleep, fatigue, anxiety, perceived stress, and memory problems) and infantile outcomes of participants were obtained from medical records and self-reported questionnaires. Trajectories of perinatal depressive symptoms were explored with latent class growth analysis. Associations between trajectories and adverse maternal and infant outcomes were explored with multiple linear regression and binary logistic regression models. The participants' average age was 29.6 ± 3.9 years. Five heterogeneous developmental trajectories of perinatal depressive symptoms were identified as follows: high-level (7.05%), moderate-increasing (12%), remission (15.05%), moderate-level (37.14%), and low-level (28.76%). The average LOS was 5.78 ± 2.13 days, and the average hospitalization costs were 12,695.27 ± 5457.51 yuan. Compared with the trajectory of low-level depressive symptoms, the LOS, hospitalization costs, and likelihood of adverse outcomes of women with high-level and moderate-increasing depressive symptom trajectories increased. The findings capture the heterogeneity of perinatal depression in Chinese women. Women in the moderate-increasing and high-level trajectory groups had longer LOS, more hospitalization costs, and poor birth outcomes. Elucidating the trajectories of perinatal depression and their relationship with maternal and infant health outcomes provides important insights into the development of person-centred care planning for women during pregnancy and postpartum.

Adaptive Care Planning: A paradigm shift

A key challenge of implementing advance care planning lies in the fact that decisions made in advance require patients and their family members to imagine what their clinical picture will look like rather than knowing or experiencing the clinical circumstances as they unfold. Even more important is the acknowledgment of the unpredictability of a given clinical course. This type of situation requires adaptiveness and flexibility in decision-making that frequently occurs in the moment(s) triggered by changes in health state(s). We describe an alternative frameshifting approach called "Adaptive Care Planning (AdaptCP)," which features an evolving communication between physicians and patients/families with ongoing incorporation of the patient's/family's perspective. This process continues iteratively until each decision can be reached in a way that is both harmonious with the patient's/family's perspective and is consistent with medical treatment options that are actionable for the healthcare team. We include a table of tools drawn from the literature that can help clinicians when implementing AdaptCP.

Preconception maternal retinal arteriolar narrowing and fetal growth throughout pregnancy: A prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between preconception maternal retinal arteriolar calibre and fetal growth.

DESIGN, SETTING AND POPULATION

A hospital-based, prospective preconception cohort including 369 women with a singleton live birth.

METHODS

We collected detailed information on sociodemographic status, pregnancy history and lifestyle, and performed retinal imaging at the preconception visit.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

We retrieved medical records documenting fetal growth biometrics (e.g., abdominal circumference [AC], head circumference [HC], femur length [FL]) at 11-13, 18-21, 24-28, and 32-34 weeks throughout pregnancy. We then computed the z scores for all fetal growth biometrics from 14 weeks of gestation where data were available, referencing the INTERGROWTH-21st fetal growth chart. We used a linear mixed model to estimate the association between maternal preconception retinal arteriolar calibre and fetal growth biometrics z scores throughout pregnancy, with random intercept accounting for repeated measures within individuals. We then performed a multivariable linear regression of maternal preconception retinal arteriolar calibre and z score changes for all fetal growth biometrics between 24-28 weeks and 32-34 weeks of gestation, after full adjustment.

RESULTS

Maternal preconception generalised retinal arteriolar narrowing was consistently associated with a reduction in fetal AC z scores (-0.34; 95% CI -0.66 to -0.03) throughout pregnancy. In addition, women with preconception generalised retinal arteriolar narrowing tended to have significantly reduced z score changes in AC (-0.41; 95% CI -0.90 to -0.001) and fetal FL (-0.55; 95% CI -1.00 to -0.10) between 24-28 weeks and 32-34 weeks of gestation, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that women with narrower preconception retinal arterioles had smaller fetuses, evidenced by reductions in AC and FL z score throughout pregnancy.

Kidney outcomes associated with haematuria and proteinuria trajectories among patients with IgA nephropathy in real-world clinical practice: The Japan Chronic Kidney Disease Database

AIM

Among patients with Immunoglobulin A (IgA) nephropathy, we aimed to identify trajectory patterns stratified by the magnitude of haematuria and proteinuria using repeated urine dipstick tests, and assess whether the trajectories were associated with kidney events.

METHODS

Using a nationwide multicentre chronic kidney disease (CKD) registry, we analysed data from 889 patients with IgA nephropathy (mean age 49.3 years). The primary outcome was a sustained reduction in eGFR of 50% or more from the index date and thereafter. During follow-up (median 49.0 months), we identified four trajectories (low-stable, moderate-decreasing, moderate-stable, and high-stable) in both urine dipstick haematuria and proteinuria measurements, respectively.

RESULTS

In haematuria trajectory analyses, compared to the low-stable group, the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence interval [CI]) for kidney events were 2.59 (95% CI, 1.48-4.51) for the high-stable, 2.31 (95% CI, 1.19-4.50) for the moderate-stable, and 1.43 (95% CI, (0.72-2.82) for the moderate-decreasing groups, respectively. When each proteinuria trajectory group was subcategorized according to haematuria trajectories, the proteinuria group with high-stable and with modest-stable haematuria trajectories had approximately 2-times higher risk for eGFR reduction ≥50% compared to that with low-stable haematuria trajectory.

CONCLUSION

Assessments of both haematuria and proteinuria trajectories using urine dipstick could identify high-risk IgA nephropathy patients.

Periconceptional maternal diet quality and offspring wheeze trajectories: Japan Environment and Children's Study

BACKGROUND

The role of prenatal diet on childhood wheezing and subsequent risk of asthma is inconclusive, which may be partly due to the heterogeneity in wheezing phenotypes. We aimed to identify wheeze trajectories in early childhood and to examine their associations with periconceptional maternal diet quality.

METHODS

Data from 70,530 mother-child pairs of liveborn singletons from the Japan Environment and Children's Study were analysed. Wheezing was reported by caregivers using a modified International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood questionnaire yearly from 1 to 4 years of age, from which trajectories were derived using group-based trajectory modelling. Maternal diet in the year preceding the first trimester of pregnancy was assessed using a validated food frequency questionnaire; overall diet quality was determined using the balanced diet score based on the Japanese Food Guide Spinning Top. Bayesian inference of multinomial logistic regression models was performed to examine the association between maternal diet quality and wheeze trajectory in early childhood.

RESULTS

We identified four wheeze trajectories: 'never/infrequent' (69.1%; reference group), 'early-childhood onset' (6.2%), 'transient early' (16.5%) and 'persistent' (8.2%). After adjustment for confounders, a higher quartile of maternal balanced diet score was associated with a lower risk of belonging to the 'transient early' and 'persistent' wheeze trajectories compared with the 'never/infrequent' wheeze trajectory by 10% of both. Maternal balanced diet score was not associated with belonging to the 'early-childhood onset' wheeze trajectory.

CONCLUSION

Improving maternal diet quality prior to conception may reduce certain wheeze phenotypes in early childhood.

Association between alcohol consumption and latent fasting blood glucose trajectories among midlife women

Background

This investigation sought to elucidate the correlations between alcohol intake and trajectories of fasting blood glucose (FBG) among American women in midlife.

Methods

Our analysis was rooted in the foundational data from the Study of Women's Health Across the Nation (SWAN), a comprehensive longitudinal study centered on US women during their midlife transition. We employed group-based trajectory modeling to chart the FBG trajectories spanning from 1996 to 2005. Employing logistic regression, we gauged the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to draw connections between initial alcohol consumption and FBG trajectory patterns, whilst controlling for predominant potential confounders.

Results

Our cohort comprised 2,578 women in midlife, ranging in age from 42 to 52, each having a minimum of three subsequent FPG assessments. We discerned two distinct FBG trajectories: a low-stable pattern (n = 2,467) and a high-decreasing pattern (n = 111). Contrasted with the low-stable group, our data showcased an inverse relationship between alcohol intake and the high-decreasing FBG trajectory in the fully adjusted model 3. The most pronounced reduction was evident in the highest tertile of daily servings of alcoholic beverages (OR: 0.23, 95% CI: 0.10-0.52, p < 0.001), percentage of kilocalories sourced from alcoholic beverages (OR: 0.30, 95% CI: 0.16-0.58, p < 0.001), and daily caloric intake from alcoholic beverages (OR: 0.31, 95% CI: 0.16-0.62, p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Moderate alcohol consumption may protect against high FPG trajectories in middle-aged women in a dose-response manner. Further researches are needed to investigate this causality in midlife women.

Allergic rhinitis phenotypes with distinct transcriptome profiles in children: A birth cohort

BACKGROUND

Allergic rhinitis (AR) phenotypes in childhood are unclear.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to determine AR phenotypes and investigate their natural course and clinical and transcriptomic characteristics.

METHODS

Latent class trajectory analysis was used for phenotyping AR in 1050 children from birth through 12 years using a birth cohort study. Blood transcriptome analyses were performed to define the underlying mechanisms of each phenotype.

RESULTS

Five AR phenotypes were identified: early onset (n = 88, 8.4%), intermediate transient (n = 110, 10.5%), late onset (n = 209, 19.9%), very late onset (n=187, 17.8%), and never/infrequent (n = 456, 43.4%). Children with early-onset AR were associated with higher AR severity and sensitizations to foods at age 1 year and inhalants at age 3 years and asthma symptoms, but not with bronchial hyperresponsiveness (BHR). Children with late-onset AR phenotype associated with sensitizations to various foods at age 1 year but not from age 3 years, and to inhalants from age 7 years and with asthma with BHR. Children with very late-onset AR phenotype associated with sensitizations to foods throughout preschool age and to inhalants at ages 7 and 9 years and with asthma with BHR. Transcriptome analysis showed that early-onset AR was associated with viral/bacterial infection-related defense response, whereas late-onset AR was associated with T cell-related immune response.

CONCLUSIONS

Early-onset AR phenotype was associated with sensitization to foods and inhalants at an early age and asthma symptoms, but not with BHR, whereas very late- and late-onset AR phenotypes were positively associated with sensitization to inhalants and asthma with BHR. Transcriptomic analyses indicated that early- and late-onset AR phenotypes had distinct underlying mechanisms related to AR as well.

Associations between social jetlag trajectories and body mass index among young adults

STUDY OBJECTIVES

This study employed longitudinal data collected repeatedly from individuals over the course of several years to examine the trajectories of social jetlag from ages 11 to 22 years and their associations with subsequent body mass index (BMI). Potential sex differences were also investigated.

METHODS

Data were obtained from two longitudinal studies conducted in Taiwan (N = 4287). Social jetlag was defined as ≥ 2 hours of absolute difference in sleep midpoint between weekdays and weekends. BMI was calculated using weight (kg)/height(m)2 and categorized as underweight (<18 kg/m2), normal weight (18 kg/m2 ≤ BMI < 24 kg/m2), overweight (24 kg/m2 ≤ BMI < 27 kg/m2), and obese (≥27 kg/m2). Group-based trajectory modeling and multinomial logistic regression were applied to investigate study objectives.

RESULTS

Four distinct trajectories of social jetlag throughout the adolescent years were identified, with corresponding proportions as follows: low-stable (42%), moderate-decreasing (19%), low-increasing (22%), and chronic (17%) trajectories. Among males, the risk of being underweight (aOR, 1.96; 95% CI: 1.35 to 2.84) or obese (aOR, 1.40; 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.92) was higher in individuals with a low-increasing trajectory than in those with a low-stable trajectory. Among females, those with a low-increasing (aOR, 1.61; 95% CI: 1.02 to 2.54) or chronic (aOR, 2.04; 95% CI: 1.27 to 3.25) trajectory were at a higher risk of being obese relative to those with a low-stable trajectory.

CONCLUSIONS

Addressing the development of increasing or chronic social jetlag during adolescence can help prevent abnormal BMI in young adulthood. Practitioners should consider sex differences in treatment or consultation.

Association of social integration with cognitive function trajectories among Chinese older adults: evidence from the China health and retirement longitudinal study (CHARLS)

Background

The prevalence of cognitive impairment among older adults remains high. It has been proven that social integration is related to cognitive function. However, limited research has examined the association of social integration and its different dimensions with cognitive function trajectories of older adults.

Methods

The data were from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) spanning 2013 (T1) to 2018 (T3). A total of 3,977 older adults were included in the final analysis. Cognitive function was measured with items from an adapted Chinese version of the Mini-Mini-Mental Mental State Examination (MMSE), while the measurement of social integration included three dimensions: economic integration, relational integration and community integration. A group-based trajectory model (GBTM) was used to identify cognitive trajectory groups among participants and an unordered multinomial logistic regression was employed to explore the association of baseline social integration and its three dimensions with cognitive function trajectories.

Result

Three cognitive function trajectory groups were identified: low-decline group (24.1%), medium-decline group (44.2%) and high-stable group (31.7%). Comparing to the medium-decline trajectory group, older adults with higher social integration scores were more likely to be in the high-stable trajectory group (OR = 1.087, 95%CI: 1.007 ~ 1.174), while less likely to be in the low-decline group (OR = 0.806, 95%CI: 0.736 ~ 0.882). Among the different dimensions of social integration, older adults with higher community integration scores were more likely to be in the high-stable trajectory group (OR = 1.222, 95%CI: 1.026 ~ 1.456); Older adults with higher relational integration scores were less likely to be in the low-decline trajectory group (OR = 0.816, 95%CI: 0.734 ~ 0.906). The economic integration was not found to correlate with the cognitive function trajectories. Stratified analyses revealed that the association between community integration and cognitive trajectories was only significant among older adults aged 60 to 69, and the association between relational integration and cognitive trajectories was only significant among older adults who was agricultural household registration.

Conclusion

The developmental trajectories of cognitive function among Chinese older adults are heterogeneous. Social integration is significantly related to the trajectories of cognitive function in Chinese older adults. Measures should be taken to promote social integration of Chinese older adults to reduce the decline of cognitive function.

Lung function trajectories in a cohort of patients with moderate-to-severe asthma on mepolizumab, omalizumab, or dupilumab

BACKGROUND

Lung function is an independent predictor of mortality. We evaluated the lung function trajectories of a cohort of patients with asthma receiving biologic therapy.

METHODS

We identified 229 monoclonal antibody-naïve adult patients with moderate-to-severe asthma who initiated omalizumab, mepolizumab, or dupilumab between 2010 and 2022 in a large healthcare system in Boston, MA. Generalized additive mixed models were used to estimate the lung function trajectories during the 156 weeks following biologic initiation. Response was defined as an improvement in FEV1 or a decrease of ≤0.5% per year. The Kaplan-Meier estimator was used to assess time to no additional improvement in FEV1 in responders. All models were adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, baseline exacerbation rate, and baseline blood eosinophil count.

RESULTS

Eighty-eight patients initiated mepolizumab, 76 omalizumab, and 65 dupilumab. Baseline eosinophil count was highest in the mepolizumab group (405 cells/mcL) and lowest for omalizumab (250 cells/mcL). Both FEV1 and FVC improved in the mepolizumab group (FEV1  + 20 mL/year; FVC +43 mL/year). For omalizumab, there was an initial improvement in the first year followed by decline with an overall FEV1 loss of -44 mL/year and FVC -32 mL/year. For dupilumab, both FEV1 (+61 mL/year) and FVC (+74 mL/year) improved over time. Fifty percent of the mepolizumab group, 58% omalizumab, and 72% of dupilumab were responders. The median time to no additional FEV1 improvement in responders was 24 weeks for omalizumab, 48 weeks for mepolizumab, and 57 weeks for dupilumab.

CONCLUSION

In this clinical cohort, mepolizumab, omalizumab, and dupilumab had beneficial effects on FEV1 and FVC with distinct post-initiation trajectories.

Trajectories of psychosocial environmental factors and their associations with asthma symptom trajectories among children in Australia

INTRODUCTION

Several psychosocial factors, such as maternal mental health and parents' financial hardship, are associated with asthma symptoms among children. So, we aim to investigate the changing patterns of important psychosocial environmental factors and their associations with asthma symptom trajectories among children in Australia.

METHODS

We considered asthma symptoms as wheezing (outcome) and psychosocial environmental factors (exposures) from 0/1 year to 14/15 years of the participants from the "Longitudinal Study of Australian Children (LSAC)" for this study. We used group-based trajectory modeling to identify the trajectory groups for both exposure and outcome variables. Associations between psychosocial factors and three distinct asthma symptom trajectories were assessed by multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

We included 3917 children from the LSAC birth cohort in our study. We identified distinct trajectories for maternal depression, parents' financial hardship, parents' stressful life events and parents' availability to their children from birth to 14/15 years of age. Compared to the "low/no" asthma symptom trajectory group, children exposed to a "moderate & increasing" maternal depression, "moderate & declining" parents' financial hardship, and "moderate & increasing" parents' stressful life events were significantly associated (relative risk ratio [RRR]: 1.55, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.27, 1.91; RRR: 1.40, 95%; CI: 1.15, 1.70; RRR: 1.77, 95%; CI: 1.45, 2.16) with "persistent high" asthma symptom trajectory.

CONCLUSION

Several psychosocial factors that are potential stressors for mental health increase the risk of having an adverse asthma symptom trajectory during childhood. Further attention should be given to reducing exposure to maternal depression, parents' financial hardship, and parents' stressful live events for long-term asthma control in children.

The "velocity barrier" in giant slalom skiing: An experimental proof of concept

BACKGROUND

Alpine skiing involves the conversion of potential energy into kinetic energy, with the "velocity barrier" (VB) at each moment corresponding to the maximal velocity at which the athlete can ski while staying within the boundaries of the gates and maintaining control. Nevertheless, this concept has never been proven by evidence. The aim of this study was to experimentally test the existence of the VB and clarify its relationship with skier's force production/application capacities.

METHODS

Fourteen skiers were equipped with ski-mounted force plates and a positional device and ran a 2-turn Giant Slalom section starting from eight different heights on the slope. Three conditions were selected for further analysis: minimal entrance velocity (vmin ); entrance velocity allowing the better section time (VB); maximal entrance velocity (vmax ). Entrance velocity, section time, mean force output, ratio of force application effectiveness, velocity normalized energy dissipation, and path length were compared between the three conditions. Moreover, skier's mechanical energy and velocity curves were compared all along the section between the three conditions using SPM analysis.

RESULTS

The section time was reduced in VB compared to vmin (p < 0.001) and vmax (p = 0.002). Skiers presented an incapacity to increase force output beyond the VB (p = 0.441) associated with a lower force application effectiveness (p = 0.005). Maximal entrance velocity was associated to higher energy dissipation (p < 0.001) and path length (p = 0.005).

CONCLUSION

The present study experimentally supports the existence of the VB. The force production/application capacities seem to limit the skiing effectiveness beyond the VB, associated to increased energy dissipations and path length.

Temporal trends in laboratory parameters in survivors and non‑survivors of critical COVID‑19 illness and the effect of dexamethasone treatment

Although coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-induced changes in laboratory parameters in patients upon admission have been well-documented, information on their temporal changes is limited. The present study describes the laboratory trends and the effect of dexamethasone treatment on these parameters, in patients with COVID-19 in the intensive care unit (ICU). Routine laboratory parameters, namely white blood cell (WBC), neutrophil, lymphocyte and platelet (PLT) counts, fibrinogen, C-reactive protein (CRP), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) and albumin concentrations, were recorded upon admission to the ICU and, thereafter, on days 3, 5, 10, 15 and 21; these values were compared between survivors and non-survivors, as well as between those who were treated with dexamethasone and those who were not. Among the 733 patients in the ICU, (mean age, 65±13 years; 68% males; ICU mortality rate 45%; 76% of patients treated with dexamethasone), the WBC and neutrophil counts were persistently high in all patients, without significant differences over the first 15 days. Initially, low lymphocyte counts exhibited increasing trends, but remained higher in survivors compared to non-survivors (P=0.01). The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was persistently elevated in all patients, although it was significantly higher in non-survivors compared to survivors (P<0.001). The PLT count was initially increased in all patients, although it was significantly decreased in non-survivors over time. The fibrinogen and LDH values remained similarly elevated in all patients. However, the increased levels of CRP, which did not differ between patients upon admission, further increased in non-survivors compared to survivors after day 10 (P=0.001). Declining trends in albumin levels over time, overall, with a significant decrease in non-survivors compared to survivors, were observed. Dexamethasone treatment significantly affected the temporal progression of fibrinogen and CRP in survivors and that of NLR in non-survivors. On the whole, the present study demonstrates that patients in the ICU with COVID-19 present persistently abnormal laboratory findings and significant differences in laboratory trends of NLR, CRP, PLT and albumin, but not in WBC and neutrophil count, and fibrinogen and LDH levels, between survivors and non-survivors. The temporal progression of fibrinogen, CRP and NLR is affected by dexamethasone treatment.

Trajectories of Physical Function and Disability Over 12 Months in Older Adults With Chronic Low Back Pain

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Understanding prognosis is critical for clinical care and health policy initiatives. The purpose of this study was to determine whether distinct prognostic trajectories of physical function and disability exist in a cohort of 245 community-dwelling older adults with chronic low back pain (LBP), and to characterize the demographic, health, and pain-related profiles of each trajectory subgroup.

METHODS

All participants underwent standard clinic examinations at baseline, 3 months, 6 months, and 12 months. At each time point, the Late Life Function & Disability Instrument (LLFDI) was used to measure general physical function (LLFDI Function) and disability (LLFDI Disability-Limitation); the Quebec LBP Disability Questionnaire was used to measure disability due to pain. Growth mixture modeling (GMM) was performed on each outcome to identify distinct trajectory classes/subgroups; baseline demographic (eg, age and sex), health (eg, comorbidities, depressive symptoms, and physical activity level), and pain-related (eg, LBP intensity, pain-related fear, and pain catastrophizing) characteristic profiles were compared across subgroups.

RESULTS

GMM statistics revealed an optimal number of 3 to 4 trajectory subgroups, depending on the outcome examined. Subgroups differed across demographic, health, and pain-related characteristics; the classes with the most favorable prognoses had consistent profile patterns: fewer depressive symptoms, fewer comorbidities, higher physical activity levels, lower LBP intensities, less pain-related fear, and less pain catastrophizing.

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicate that several distinct trajectory subgroups exist that would have been masked by observing mean cohort change alone. Furthermore, subgroup characteristic profiles may help clinicians identify likely prognostic trajectories for their patients. Future research should focus on identifying modifiable risk factors that best predict group membership, and tailoring interventions to mitigate the risk of poor prognosis.

The Influence of Dietary Counseling Over 20 Years on Tracking of Non-High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol from Infancy to Young Adulthood

This 26-year study found that non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) levels tracked from infancy to young adulthood suggesting early-life non-HDL-C could predict future levels. However, infancy-onset dietary counseling reduced the odds of maintaining at-risk non-HDL-C, highlighting the potential importance of early interventions in preventing cardiovascular risk associated with high pediatric non-HDL-C.

Trajectory of multimorbidity before dementia: A 24-year follow-up study

INTRODUCTION

Although the multimorbidity-dementia association has been widely addressed, little is known on the long-term trajectory of multimorbidity (TOM) in preclinical dementia.

METHODS

Based on the Health and Retirement Study, burden of multimorbidity was quantified with the total number of eight long-term conditions (LTC). Patterns of TOM before dementia diagnosis were investigated with mixed-effects models.

RESULTS

In 1752 dementia cases and 5256 matched controls, cases showed higher and faster increasing predicted number of LTC than controls, with a significant case-control difference from 20 years prior to dementia diagnosis. Larger increases in number of LTC during preclinical phase of dementia were found in White participants, females, those whose age at dementia onset was younger, and those who were less educated.

DISCUSSION

Our findings emphasize the faster accumulation of multimorbidity in prodromal dementia than in natural aging, as well as effect modifications by age and sex.

Highlights

TOM increased faster in prodromal dementia than in natural ageing.Patterns of TOM by dementia status diverged at 20 years before dementia diagnosis.Patterns of TOM were modified by age and sex.

Breastfeeding and the Longitudinal Changes of Body Mass Index in Childhood and Adulthood: A Systematic Review

Mounting evidence supports the beneficial role of breastfeeding in lowering obesity risk, but the enduring impact of breastfeeding on longitudinal changes in body mass index (BMI) (i.e., BMI trajectories) remains unclear. This systematic review summarized evidence on how breastfeeding influenced the longitudinal trajectories of BMI later in life. Literature searches were conducted in Medline, Embase, Web of Science, and ScienceDirect to identify studies that assessed how breastfeeding (versus other feeding types or duration) was associated with longitudinal trajectories of BMI or BMI z-score. Three randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and 24 longitudinal cohort studies were included. Two-thirds (18/27) of studies were rated as acceptable or high quality. Most cohort studies (9/11) showed that children who continued to breastfeed at 3 to 12 mo of age had a lower BMI trajectory or lower odds of following a high BMI trajectory than those who were formula-fed or mixed-fed. The BMI differences between breastfeeding and other feeding groups were evident from age 7 mo and remained up to 8 y, and the magnitude of between-group BMI differences increased with age. For breastfeeding duration, 12 out of 15 cohort studies found that longer breastfeeding duration was associated with lower BMI trajectories up to age 18 y. Moreover, beneficial associations were observed for both exclusive and any breastfeeding with BMI trajectory. In contrast, mixed findings were reported from 3 RCTs that compared BMI trajectories from birth to ages 12 to 24 mo between breastfeeding promotion versus control or breastfeeding versus formula-feeding groups. The current review provides further longitudinal evidence from cohort studies that breastfeeding versus formula/mixed feeding or longer breastfeeding duration was associated with lower BMI trajectories. Such associations initiated in early childhood became more apparent with age and were sustained into early adulthood. The existing evidence substantiates the importance of breastfeeding promotion and continuation to support obesity prevention.

Predictors of changes in resilience among spousal caregivers of patients with advanced cancer within the first 6 months after initial treatment

BACKGROUND

While previous research has established that resilience is affected by various factors, these studies have primarily focussed on individual variables associated with resilience, without providing insights into how to influence the rate of change in resilience.

AIM

To examine the trajectory of resilience and identify the factors associated with changes in resilience among spousal caregivers of patients with newly diagnosed advanced cancer receiving treatment during the first 6 months.

DESIGN

An observational longitudinal study.

METHODS

A total of 312 spousal caregivers of patients with newly diagnosed advanced cancer were recruited from January 2022 to December 2022 in Yancheng, China. Three data collection points were established, spanning from the first month to 6 months after initial cancer treatment. A latent growth model was employed to depict the resilience trajectory at various time points. A latent growth model with time-invariant covariates was adopted to determine the factors influencing resilience trajectory. The study adhered to the STROBE checklist for proper reporting.

RESULTS

Throughout the follow-up period, the participants experienced a significant increase in resilience. Gender, family income, the patient's health status, spirituality and belief in familism were significantly associated with the baseline resilience level. Moreover, family income, the patient's health status, spirituality, caregiver burden and belief in familism were significantly associated with the rate of resilience change over time.

CONCLUSIONS

Spousal caregivers demonstrated a linear increase in resilience during the first 6 months after initial treatment. Meanwhile, changes in resilience were influenced by multiple factors during the early phase of cancer treatment. Thus, more attention should be paid to early identification and implementation of targeted interventions.

RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE

Healthcare professionals should understand the change in resilience among spousal caregivers and conduct timely mental health interventions to enhance the resilience of families affected by cancer.

PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION

The Guidance for Reporting Involvement of Patients and the Public-Short Form reporting checklists were used to improve patient and public involvement.

Association of trajectory of body shape index with all-cause and cause-specific mortality: 18 years follow-up

Objectives

The current study aimed to examine how the trajectory of a body shape index (ABSI) could predict mortality in a prospective cohort of 5587 participants.

Methods

A Growth Mixture Model (GMM) was employed to identify ABSI and body shape trajectories spanning from 2000 to 2018. Multivariate Cox regression models with hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were built to assess the association of death from all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) with ABSI and body shape trajectories.

Results

We found that individuals with a low ABSI-marked increase (Class II) and high ABSI-marked increase trajectory (Class III) had a higher risk of all-cause (adjusted HR for Class II, 1.37; 95%CI, 1.04-1.79; adjusted HR for Class III, 1.42; 95%CI, 1.05-1.91) and non- CVD mortality (adjusted HR for Class II, 1.38; 95%CI, 1.00-1.91; adjusted HR for Class III, 1.42; 95%CI, 1.00-2.05) as well as an increased risk of CVD (adjusted HR for Class II, 1.40; 95%CI, 1.14-1.71; adjusted HR for Class III, 1.42; 95%CI, 1.13-1.78) and coronary heart disease (CHD) (adjusted HR for Class II, 1.52; 95%CI, 1.18-1.96; adjusted HR for Class III, 1.47; 95%CI, 1.11-1.95. The trajectories of body shape phenotypes did not show any significant associations with mortality, CVD, or CHD events.

Conclusions

ABSI trajectories might be associated with subsequent risk of mortality and CVD events.

Cancer Risk According to Alcohol Consumption Trajectories: A Population-based Cohort Study of 2.8 Million Korean Men

BACKGROUND

Alcohol drinking behaviors change temporally and can lead to changes in related cancer risks; previous studies have been unable to identify the association between the two using a single-measurement approach. Thus, this study aimed to investigate the association of drinking trajectories with the cancer risk in Korean men.

METHODS

A trajectory analysis using group-based trajectory modeling was performed on 2,839,332 men using data on alcohol drinking levels collected thrice during the Korean National Health Insurance Service's general health screening program conducted between 2002 and 2007. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to evaluate the associations between drinking trajectories and cancer incidence, after adjustments for age, income, body mass index, smoking status, physical activity, family history of cancer, and comorbidities.

RESULTS

During 10.5 years of follow-up, 189,617 cancer cases were recorded. Six trajectories were determined: non-drinking, light, moderate, decreasing-heavy, increasing-heavy, and steady-heavy. Light-to-heavy alcohol consumption increased the risk for all cancers combined in a dose-dependent manner (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.03; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.05 for light drinking, aHR 1.06; 95% CI 1.05-1.08 for moderate drinking, aHR 1.19; 95% CI, 1.16-1.22 for decreasing-heavy drinking, aHR 1.23; 95% CI, 1.20-1.26 for increasing-heavy drinking, and aHR 1.33; 95% CI, 1.29-1.38 for steady-heavy drinking [P-trend <0.001]). Light-to-heavy alcohol consumption was linked to lip, oral cavity, pharyngeal, esophageal, colorectal, laryngeal, stomach, and gallbladder and biliary tract cancer risks, while heavy alcohol consumption was associated with hepatic, pancreatic, and lung cancer risks. An inverse association was observed for thyroid cancer. The cancer risks were lower for decreasing-heavy drinkers, compared to steady-heavy drinkers.

CONCLUSION

No safe drinking limits were identified for cancer risks; reduction in heavy intake had protective effects.

Risk factors associated with glycated hemoglobin A1c trajectories progressing to type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The notion of prediabetes, defined by the ADA as glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) of 5.7-6.4%, implies increased vascular inflammatory and immunologic processes and higher risk for developing diabetes mellitus and major cardiovascular events. We aimed to determine the risk factors associated with rapid progression of normal and prediabetes patients to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study in a single 8-hospital health system in southeast Michigan, between 2006 and 2020. All patients with HbA1c <6.5% at baseline and at least 2 other HbA1c measurements were clustered in five trajectories encompassing more than 95% of the study population. Multivariate linear regression analysis was performed to examine the association of demographic and comorbidities with HbA1c trajectories progressing to diabetes.

RESULTS

A total of 5,347 prediabetic patients were clustered based on their HbA1c progression (C1: 4,853, C2: 253, C66: 102, C12: 85, C68: 54). The largest cluster (C1) had a baseline median HbA1c value of 6.0% and exhibited stable HbA1c levels in prediabetic range across all subsequent years. The smallest cluster (C68) had the lowest median baseline HbA1c value and also remained stable across subsequent years. The proportion of normal HbA1c in each of the pre-diabetic trajectories ranged from 0 to 12.7%, whereas 81.5% of the reference cluster (C68) were normal HbA1c at baseline. The C2 (steady rising) trajectory was significantly associated with BMI (adj OR 1.10, 95%CI 1.03-1.17), and family history of DM (adj OR 2.75, 95%CI 1.32-5.74). With respect to the late rising trajectories, baseline BMI was significantly associated with both C66 and C12 trajectory (adj OR 1.10, 95%CI 1.03-1.18) and (adj OR 1.13, 95%CI 1.05-1.23) respectively, whereas, the C12 trajectory was also significantly associated with age (adj OR 1.62, 95%CI 1.04-2.53) and history of MACE (adj OR 3.20, 95%CI 1.14-8.93).

CONCLUSIONS

We suggest that perhaps a more aggressive preventative approach should be considered in patients with a family history of T2DM who have high BMI and year-to-year increase in HbA1c, whether they have normal hemoglobin A1c or they have prediabetes.KEY MESSAGESProgression to diabetes from normal or prediabetic hemoglobin A1c within four years is associated with baseline BMI.A steady rise in HbA1c during a four-year period is associated with age and family history of T2DM, whereas age and personal history of MACE are associated with a rapid rise in HbA1c.A more aggressive preventative approach should be considered in patients with a family history of T2DM who have high BMI and year-to-year increase in HbA1c.

Weekday and weekend physical activity patterns and their correlates among young adults

BACKGROUND

Accelerometers enable assessment of within and between day variation in physical activity. The main aim was to examine weekday and weekend physical activity patterns among young adults. Additionally, correlates of the physical activity patterns were examined.

METHODS

Overall 325 adults (mean age 26.0 years, standard deviation 0.03) from the Special Turku Coronary Risk Factor Intervention Project used a wrist-worn ActiGraph accelerometer continuously for 1 week. Physical activity patterns over weekdays and weekends were identified by using the group-based trajectory modeling. Adolescent leisure time physical activity (LTPA) and sociodemographic characteristics (sex, marital and family status, education, work status, occupation, and health consciousness) were examined as possible correlates of physical activity patterns using multinomial regression analysis.

RESULTS

Five patterns were identified: consistently low activity (45%), active on weekday evenings and weekends (32%), consistently moderate activity (11%), active on weekdays (7%), and consistently high activity (5%). Low adolescent LTPA was associated with consistently low activity pattern in young adulthood. Women were more likely than men to belong in the more physically active groups (all other groups except active on weekdays, odds ratios between 2.26 and 6.17). Those in the active on weekdays group had lower education, were more often in the working life and in manual occupations than those in the consistently low activity group.

CONCLUSIONS

Marked heterogeneity in physical activity patterns across the week was observed among young adults. Especially history of physical activity, sex, education, work status, and occupation were associated with different physical activity patterns.

Trajectories and risk factors of persistent cough after pulmonary resection: A prospective two-center study

BACKGROUND

Persistent cough is one of the most frequent complications following lung cancer surgery. To promote optimal recovery, we conducted a study to investigate the trajectories of coughing symptoms and their impact on quality of life (QOL), as well as to identify potential risk factors of persistent cough after pulmonary resection (CAP).

METHODS

This prospective observational study assessed patients who underwent pulmonary resection for lung tumor at two medical centers in China. Persistent CAP was evaluated before surgery, at discharge, and 1, 3, and 6 months following surgery using visual analog scale (VAS), cough symptom score (CSS), and Leicester Cough Questionnaire in Mandarin Chinese (LCQ-MC). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to explore independent risk factors for persistent CAP.

RESULTS

Of the 506 enrolled patients, 130 patients were diagnosed with persistent CAP with an incidence of 25.69%. Compared to the noncough group, patients with persistent CAP reported significantly higher VAS (p < 0.001) and CSS scores (p < 0.001) and experienced worse QOL (p < 0.001) for up to 6 months, particularly at 1 month following surgery. Multivariable regression analysis revealed that a duration of anesthesia exceeding 156 min (odds ratio [OR]: 1.847, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.156-2.951, p = 0.010) and gastroesophageal acid reflux (GER) (OR: 3.870, 95% CI: 2.376-6.304, p < 0.001) were independent risk factors of persistent CAP.

CONCLUSION

Patients who suffer from persistent CAP face a substantial burden and diminished QOL for an extended period compared to noncough patients. Moreover, prolonged duration of anesthesia and postoperative GER are potential risk factors of persistent CAP.

Frequency and predictors of individual treatment outcomes (response, remission, exacerbation, and relapse) in clinical adolescents with nonsuicidal self-injury

BACKGROUND

Nonsuicidal self-injury (NSSI) is prevalent in adolescent clinical samples. There is evidence that NSSI can be treated effectively but data on individual treatment outcomes is limited. The goal of this study was to examine response, remission, exacerbation, and relapse rates over one and two years, respectively, among a clinical sample of adolescents with NSSI. Furthermore, we aimed to identify clinically relevant predictors of NSSI trajectories.

METHODS

The sample consists of n = 203 adolescents (12-17 y., 94% female) from a specialized outpatient clinic for risk-taking and self-harming behavior with NSSI on at least five days in the six months before first assessment. Assessments were completed at baseline and one (FU1) and two (FU2) years later using structured clinical interviews and self-report questionnaires.

RESULTS

At FU1, 75% reported a reduction in NSSI frequency by at least 50% (treatment response); among those, one third (25% of the entire sample) achieved a remission (0 NSSI); an exacerbation (⩾50% more NSSI) was observed in 11% of patients. Of those in remission, 41% relapsed one year later. Predictors of non-response or non-remission were inpatient treatment and depressive symptoms. Adolescents with lower NSSI frequency at baseline had a higher risk of exacerbation. Due to limited sample size at FU2 no prediction model for relapse was established.

CONCLUSIONS

While most adolescents presenting with NSSI achieved significant improvement, more attention should be paid to the rather low rates of full remission. Prediction and early detection of individuals who deteriorate during or relapse after treatment is critical.