Clinical Factors Associated with Progression to AIDS in the Italian Cohort of HIV-Positive Hemophiliacs

Major surgery seems not to influence HIV disease progression in haemophilia patients

The influence of major surgery on HIV disease progression and decline in CD4+ cell count was evaluated in 23 seropositive haemophilia patients. 24 HIV-infected patients served as non-operated controls. In addition, 32 age-matched seronegative subjects were included. The follow-up time was up to 5 years. During the course of the study, eight of the operated (35%) and 11 of the non-operated (48%) subjects developed HIV-related symptoms (P=0.267). The relative risk for developing HIV-related symptoms after surgery was 0.60 (95% CI 0.25; 1.48). A significant decline in CD4+ cell counts was observed in both the surgery (4.0 x 10(6)/l/month, 95% CI 2.0; 6.0 x 10(6), P=0.001) and the non-surgery (4.0 x 10(6)/l/month, 95% CI 2.0; 6.0 x 10(6), P=0.004) seropositive subgroup, but no difference between the two subgroups was seen (P=0.793). HIV (6.0 x 10(6)/l/month, 95% CI 2.1; 9.9 x 10(6), P=0.0005) but not surgery (-1.0 x 10(6)/l/ month, 95% CI -3.0; 0.96 x 10(6), P=0.647) was an independent predictor for the decline in CD34+ cell count. No interaction effect was observed between HIV infection and surgery (P=0.361). The annual amount of factor concentrate used for regular replacement therapy did not influence the decline in CD4+ cell count (P=0.492). We conclude that major surgery may be considered in symptom-free HIV-seropositive haemophilia patients, with CD4+ cell counts > or = 0.20 x 10(9)/l under similar premises as for seronegative subjects.

Determinants of progression of HIV infection in a Greek hemophilia cohort followed for up to 16 years after seroconversion

Our objectives are to describe the progression of HIV disease and to assess the influence of hemophilia-related variables, age at infection, and antibodies to cytomegalovirus infection (anti-CMV) in a Greek cohort of 158 HIV-1-positive hemophilic men, who received prospective follow-up for up to 16 years after infection. A total of 79 patients had died, representing a cumulative progression rate of 72.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 56.6-83.3). A significant proportion of the mortality (30%) resulted from conditions not formally related to AIDS, with liver failure and cerebral hemorrhage predominant. At 16 years after seroconversion, 66 patients had developed clinical AIDS, a cumulative progression rate of 58.2% (95% CI, 47.1%-86.3%) whereas 15 years after infection 81.5% (95% CI, 74.2%-87.9%) of the patients had AIDS or a CD4 cell count <200 cells/mm3. Hemophilia-related variables or presence of anti-CMV were not significantly associated with disease progression. Age at infection was a strong prognostic factor for all three endpoints. Appropriate modeling showed a nonlinear age effect, with a steeper increase of relative hazard for patients >40 years of age at seroconversion. The age effect remained significant even after controlling for current CD4 cell count. Further investigation is required to elucidate the mechanisms of the age effect and the contribution of HCV coinfection on the disease progression.

Coinfection with HTLV-I and HIV: increase in HTLV-I-related outcomes but not accelerated HIV disease progression?

Human T-lymphotropic virus type I (HTLV-I) and HTLV-II have been postulated to accelerate disease progression in patients coinfected with HIV. However, recent evidence suggests that HTLV-II has no effect on HIV disease progression. In addition, it has recently been reported that HIV viral load was not increased in subjects coinfected with HTLV-I, suggesting that the biologic basis for the hypothesis does not exist. Several recent studies in Brazil, however, suggest that coinfection with HTLV-I and HIV has substantial medical consequences. For example, coinfection was associated with a higher CD4 lymphocytes count following adjustment for HIV viral load or HIV clinical stage. In addition, coinfected subjects have a high prevalence of clinical significant myelopathy. The effect of other putative viruses as cofactors in HIV disease progression is also discussed.

Importance of age at infection with HIV-1 for survival and development of AIDS in UK haemophilia population. UK Haemophilia Centre Directors' Organisation

BACKGROUND

Greater age at infection with HIV-1 is known to be associated with shorter time to development of AIDS, but the size of the differences between people infected in infancy and those infected in old age has not been examined in a single large population of patients with death as an endpoint. We, therefore, investigated the role of age at seroconversion in the entire UK population of haemophiliacs.

METHODS

We studied 1216 HIV-1-infected haemophilia patients in the UK who were registered with the National Haemophilia Register and were alive on Jan 1, 1985. Their estimated ages at HIV-1 seroconversion ranged from 8 months to 79 years.

FINDINGS

10 years after seroconversion 67% (95% Cl 64-69) of the population were still alive. Survival was strongly related to age at seroconversion (86% [82-90], 72% [68-76], 45% [39-51], and 12% [5-21] at 10 years among those patients who seroconverted at ages < 15, 15-34, 35-54, and > or = 55). This steep age-gradient in survival was not explained by deaths expected in the absence of HIV infection or by confounding with other factors such as haemophilia type or severity. The age-gradient was steeper for survival (ie, time from HIV-1 infection to death) than for time to diagnosis of AIDS, partly because survival after an AIDS diagnosis was poorer in older patients, and there was also a substantial increase in mortality among HIV-infected patients who did not satisfy the formal AIDS definition and this increase was greater in older patients.

INTERPRETATION

Age at infection with HIV-1 is a more important determinant of survival than has previously been appreciated. Age should, therefore, be considered in future studies of disease progression, and studies that compare people infected at different ages should provide insight into the biology of the immune response to HIV-1.